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		<title>The 80th Anniversary of the Victory in the World Anti-Fascist War</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/the-80th-anniversary-of-the-victory-in-the-world-anti-fascist-war/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Amilcar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2025 19:00:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Socialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fascism]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[As we commemorate eighty years since the people’s victory in the World Anti-Fascist War, we must remember who truly saved humanity – and honour their sacrifice with the truth.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h4 style="text-align:center;">Understanding Who Saved Humanity: A Restorationist History</h4>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small">This study was written by Neville Roy Singham, chair of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research’s advisory board. The author acknowledges with gratitude the crucial support of the Tricontinental team, spanning multifaceted research, comprehensive statistical analysis, technical infrastructure, and the production of this publication. An earlier version of this study was published in <i>Guancha </i>(观察者网), whose editors provided valuable advice for further research and analysis. The author takes full responsibility for any errors or omissions in this work.</p>
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<p>As we commemorate the 80th anniversary of the victory in the World Anti-Fascist War (WAFW), the Western powers spin their familiar tale: US industrial might and British resolve saved the world from fascism. This is a lie. The truth burns in the numbers: while the Western powers calculated their economic advantage, the Soviet and Chinese peoples paid in blood. Fascism was defeated not by Anglo-American capital but by socialist leadership and mass heroism – a brilliant strategy from Moscow and Yan’an, unbreakable resilience from workers and peasants who refused to surrender, and a sacrifice that saved humanity from slavery.</p>
<p>The real war began not in 1939, when Adolf Hitler invaded Poland, but in 1931, when Japan invaded Northeast China (东北).<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> For ten years, China fought mainly alone except for Soviet aid, which included planes and pilots. Britain, France, and the United States sent only minimal aid to China from 1937 to 1941. Washington and London would rather count profits.</p>
<p>Throughout the same decade, the Soviet Union raced against time, force-marching industrialisation while knowing invasion was imminent. Josef Stalin’s February 1931 speech to industrial managers predicted with terrible precision: ‘We are fifty or a hundred years behind the advanced countries. We must make good this distance in ten years. Either we do it, or we shall go under’.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> Ten years later – June 1941 – the Wehrmacht invaded. The USSR had exactly one decade to prepare for a war everyone knew was coming. The preparation was not enough to prevent the initial catastrophe, but it was exactly enough to enable recovery.</p>
<p>The Atlantic powers’ initial strategy until just before their entry into the war was simple and cynical: let fascism and communism destroy each other.</p>
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<h1 data-heading-number="1"><span class="heading-number">1.</span> The West’s Deliberate Delay: A Strategy of Treachery</h1>
<p>The timeline of Western betrayal speaks for itself. From 1931 to 1941, as Japan carved up China, Western banks maintained their offices in Tokyo, Western oil fuelled Japanese warships, and Western scrap metal became Japanese bullets.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a> When full-scale invasion erupted in 1937 – the Rape of Nanjing, the terror bombing of Chinese cities – the Allied imperialists’ response was to sell more oil to Japan. The US provided 80% of Japan’s petroleum until 1941.<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a></p>
<p>This was not isolation but calculated provision – fascism executing what the failed White Encirclement could not accomplish. By 1941, 250 US corporations operated in Nazi Germany.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a> Thomas Watson of IBM automated the Holocaust while maintaining personal friendships with both US President Franklin D. Roosevelt and Secretary of State Cordell Hull.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a> General Motors’ German subsidiary Opel produced Wehrmacht trucks until 1944, with GM later claiming a $22.7 million tax write-off for its ‘abandoned’ Nazi operations.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a> The US continued strategically to be economically, politically, and militarily committed to the destruction of the Soviet Union.</p>
<p>Western historiography attributes this late US entry to ‘isolationism’. This ahistorical view ignores documented precedent: during the White Encirclement of 1919, the US deployed 11,500 troops to Russia – 4,500 to Arkhangelsk and 7,000 to Vladivostok – alongside British, French, and Japanese forces, fighting the Red Army directly with over 500 US casualties.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a> US President Woodrow Wilson also provided more than $50 million in military support to White armies. When direct military intervention failed to nip socialism in the bud, the strategy shifted. US policymakers consistently favoured right-wing autocrats who promised stability and anti-Bolshevism over democratic movements. This policy produced open support for European fascism. In 1933, President Roosevelt stated that he was ‘deeply impressed by what [Benito Mussolini] has accomplished and by his evidenced honest purpose of restoring Italy’.<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a></p>
<p>The first British strategy, even when it entered the war, was to let Hitler and Stalin exhaust each other. When Germany invaded Poland in September 1939, Britain and France, while declaring war on Germany, did nothing – the ‘Phoney War’ lasted eight months while they hoped Hitler would turn east. Winston Churchill’s anti-communist hatred defined his career. In 1919, he sought to ‘strangle Bolshevism in its cradle’.<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a> By 1945, with Hitler barely dead, he planned Operation Unthinkable – using Wehrmacht forces to attack the Soviet Union.<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a></p>
<p>Churchill’s genocidal impulses targeted communists and colonised peoples equally. His racial violence was extensive: celebrating killing ‘savages’ at Omdurman (1898), supporting concentration camps that killed forty-eight thousand Africans and Boers, and advocating poison gas for Iraqi ‘uncivilised tribes’ (1920). By 1942, as Bengal starved, he told Leo Amery, the secretary of state for India: ‘I hate Indians. They are a beastly people with a beastly religion’. When Amery begged for famine relief, Churchill replied that Indians ‘breed like rabbits’.<a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a> Three million Indians died while Britain exported Bengal’s rice. After Churchill’s India tirade, Leo Amery wrote in his diary: ‘I couldn’t help telling him that I didn’t see much difference between his outlook and Hitler’s’.<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a> Today, Britain venerates this man, who differed from Hitler only in his victory.</p>
<p>The US entered the war only when it was directly attacked at Pearl Harbor (Hawaiʻi) – a decade into Japan’s war against China. The Second Front, promised for 1942, was not delivered until June 1944 – 730 days late, after the battles at Stalingrad (1942–1943) and Kursk (1943) had already broken the Wehrmacht’s spine.<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> By D-Day, the Red Army had already destroyed the myth of German invincibility and Nazi defeat was already determined. The US and Britain had to invade continental Europe in 1944, by which time the Soviet Union had already guaranteed the defeat of Germany, to ensure that the socialist USSR did not liberate the entire continent, threatening capitalism in Western as well as Eastern Europe.</p>
<p>US priorities were clear: better a fascist Europe than a socialist one. Better Japanese domination of Asia than Chinese liberation and the expansion of socialism. The metropolitan powers’ hatred of communism and love of their colonies outweighed their anti-fascist principles.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="2"><span class="heading-number">2.</span> When Inter-Imperialist Rivalries Mattered</h1>
<p>The Western strategy towards Nazi Germany followed a logic established in 1917. When British intervention failed to overthrow the Bolsheviks, geopolitical theorist Halford Mackinder – appointed high commissioner to organise support for the White Army – recommended that German rearmament, though dangerous to British interests, was essential as a bulwark against Bolshevik control of Eastern Europe. The Treaty of Versailles (1919), as economist Thorstein Veblen observed, was fundamentally ‘a compact for the reduction of Soviet Russia’ – a goal that, while ‘not written into the text of the Treaty’, was nonetheless ‘the parchment upon which the text was written’.<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> This remained Western strategy through 1945: contain and destroy the USSR, even if it meant enabling fascism.</p>
<p>At Munich in 1938, British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain formalised this strategy with Hitler: Germany would receive a ‘free hand’ in Eastern Europe to attack the USSR in exchange for respecting British imperial interests. Yet inter-imperialist rivalry imposed limits. Britain wanted Hitler to destroy the Soviet Union but feared that unchecked German expansion would threaten the British Empire itself – the contradiction explains both the collusion and Britain’s eventual war declaration.</p>
<p>When Britain sent negotiators to Moscow by slow merchant ship, Admiral Reginald Drax arrived without written authority – the message was unmistakable: no real alliance with communists.<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a> Foreign Secretary Halifax praised Hitler in a 1937 meeting as a ‘bulwark against Bolshevism’, while a 1939 government-endorsed pamphlet by Lord Lloyd of Dolobran identified Hitler’s ‘final apostasy’ not as invading Poland but as signing the German-Soviet pact—‘the betrayal of Europe’.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> Facing isolation, Stalin signed the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact in August 1939 – not from choice but from necessity created by Western collusion with Hitler.</p>
<p>In the following twenty-two months (September 1939–mid-June 1941), the Soviet Union more than tripled its army from 1.6 to 5.3 million, doubled its tank production from 2,794 units in 1940 to 6,590 in 1941 (including 1,225 T-34s), and moved entire industries eastward. US attachés reported massive industrial transfers to the Urals by late 1940, before the invasion. The USSR pushed its borders 200–300 kilometres west, trading space for time. Stalin knew war was coming.<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a></p>
<p>In May 1940, Churchill became prime minister as France and Britain’s army fled Dunkirk. Foreign Secretary Viscount Halifax proposed negotiating peace through Mussolini – Germany could have Europe if Britain kept its empire.<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a> Churchill opposed this plan, not from principle but out of arithmetic. If Germany were allowed to conquer Europe, its strength would mean it could later overturn any peace agreement and defeat Britain. To take only one example, the Caucasus produced 25.4 million tonnes of oil annually – 80% of Soviet output. Germany had 3.1 months of oil reserves.<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a> If Germany’s Chancellor Adolf Hitler seized Soviet resources, Britain faced certain defeat.</p>
<p>By continuing the war, Churchill forced Germany to maintain forty-nine divisions in Western Europe and Norway – 24% of total Wehrmacht strength that could not be deployed against the USSR.<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> While significant, this did not prevent the assembly of history’s largest invasion force.</p>
<p>Germany launched Operation Barbarossa with 153 German divisions totalling over 3 million troops. The Imperial War Museum, Britain’s unrepentant national museum, calculates that 80% of the German Army was committed to this invasion.<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a> Additionally, 36 Axis-allied divisions joined the assault – 16 Finnish, 15 Romanian, 3 Italian, and 2 Slovak – bringing the total to 189 divisions. This force of nearly 4 million troops represented the overwhelming concentration of Axis military power. The Eastern Front was not another theatre of war but the primary site of fascist aggression, where the Wehrmacht deployed its best units, most experienced commanders, and maximum strength.</p>
<p>This was the largest military invasion in human history. Yet the Soviet Union defeated this unprecedented assault through its own strategic depth, mass mobilisation, and industrial relocation.</p>
<p>Facing extremely powerful adversaries, Stalin and Mao Zedong took into account how to exploit inter-imperialist rivalries that became so intense by the 1940s. These inter-imperialist contradictions – contingent moments when empire’s internal conflicts accidentally serve revolutionary forces – are usually brief and unreliable. They emerge unpredictably from capitalism’s internal contradictions, must be recognised and leveraged when they appear, but never mistaken for a strategic alliance.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="3"><span class="heading-number">3.</span> Economic Power in 1941: The Myth of Western Might</h1>
<p>In 1941, world GDP totalled approximately $4.5–$5 trillion (in 1990 international dollars). Those with the greatest capacity to fight fascism deliberately chose not to do so.</p>
<p>As documented by economic historian Mark Harrison in his book <em>The Economics of World War II </em>(1998), the Anglo-American imperial core commanded approximately 30.2% of world GDP. The US alone controlled $1,094 billion – roughly 22–24% of global output – while maintaining comfortable neutrality a decade into the WAFW. The British Empire added $344 billion (7–8% of world GDP), extracted from 427 million colonial subjects. In total, this camp (the US and its territories and the British Empire as defined by the British in 1941) controlled 28.6% of the world’s population. The US remained neutral until it was attacked. Britain declared war but prioritised empire.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130543" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130543" class="size-large wp-image-130543 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-1024x681.png" alt="" width="1024" height="681" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-1024x681.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-300x199.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-768x510.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-1536x1021.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-2048x1361.png 2048w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130543" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Population data mainly from Maddison (2010); GDP data mainly from Harrison (1998), p. 10, table 1.3; USSR population for 1941 from Statista (2025); China and world-total GDP are corroborated estimates by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
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<p>The US dedicated just 11% of its GNP to military spending before Pearl Harbor. The US military in December 1941 fielded only 1.62 million troops from a population of 133.9 million – just 1.2% of its population was under arms. By contrast, Germany had 7.3 million troops from a population of 70.2 million (10.4%), and the Soviet Union had 7.1 million from a population of 195.4 million (3.6%) by year’s end. Britain, despite declaring war in 1939, had reached 53% of national expenditure on military efforts, but much of this went to protecting empire, not fighting fascism directly. In North Africa, British forces fought to maintain colonial control, not liberate populations. Churchill’s quote: ‘I have not become the King’s First Minister to liquidate the British Empire’. <a href="#_edn23" name="_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a></p>
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<div id="attachment_130553" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130553" class="size-large wp-image-130553 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-1024x821.png" alt="" width="1024" height="821" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-1024x821.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-300x241.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-768x616.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-1536x1232.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-2048x1642.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130553" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Troops data from Harrison (1998), p. 14, table 1.5; population from Maddison (2010) and Statista (2025). See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
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<p>The fascist-imperialist Axis had weaponised its economies. Germany devoted 52% of GNP to military spending in 1941, reaching 70% by 1943, and fielded 3 million troops for the Barbarossa invasion (1941). Other Axis powers fielded an additional 500,000 to 700,000 troops (Romania, Finland, Hungary, Italy, and Slovakia), thus allowing Hitler to claim that this was a pan-European operation. It was and remains the largest military invasion in human history. Japan maintained 1.7 million soldiers in China with a military burden of 27% of GDP after a decade of continuous warfare.</p>
<p>The Axis, led by Germany, Italy, and Japan, also included pact signatories Hungary, Romania, Slovakia, Bulgaria, and Croatia, with Finland as a co-belligerent. The Axis powers and the territories they controlled commanded approximately 20.1% of world GDP. This figure was composed of contributions from Germany proper ($412 billion), the annexed territory of Austria ($29 billion), Japan ($196 billion), Italy ($144 billion), the heavily industrialised occupied territory of France ($130 billion), and the other members (approximately $47 billion). In addition to this, ‘neutral’ collaborators, including Switzerland, Sweden, Spain, and Portugal, contributed a separate 2.6% of world GDP to the Axis economic sphere.</p>
<p>The socialist camp – the Soviet Union and Chinese Communist base areas that would tie down 60% of Japanese forces – represented approximately 8% of world GDP with $359 billion. By mid-1941, with German armies deep in Soviet territory, even this was shrinking. Yet the Soviets had mobilised 28% of GNP for military expenditure. The Red Army expanded the army’s peacetime strength from 1.5 million on 1 January 1938 to over 5 million in June 1941.<a href="#_edn24" name="_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a></p>
<p>China’s tragedy was written in numbers. Controlling 23% of the world’s population (490–525 million people), China generated only around 5% of world GDP after its century of humiliation and a decade of Japanese devastation. Official data from the Kuomintang (KMT) government is scarce. In 1937, the year of full escalation of Japanese aggression, the estimate for KMT troops was 1.7 million; by 1941, the US military estimated 3.8 million troops. A scholarly monograph on Chinese military history estimated that there were 6 million KMT troops in the summer of 1941.<a href="#_edn25" name="_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a> The people’s army, led by the Communist Party of China (CPC), grew from 56,000 in 1937 to around 440,000 in 1941 and 1.3 million in 1945.<a href="#_edn26" name="_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a> With little domestic arms production, military capacity depended on foreign supplies, especially from the Soviet Union. China had people but few weapons, courage but little industry, resistance but scant resources.</p>
<p>The pattern of foreign aid exposed priorities. Between October 1937 and June 1941, while the US watched, the Soviet Union provided China with over $250 million in credits, 1,235 aircraft, thousands of artillery pieces, tens of thousands of machine guns, as well as ammunition and supplies.<a href="#_edn27" name="_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a> The Soviets sent more than 2,000 pilots – 200 of whom died defending Chinese cities – and military advisers.<a href="#_edn28" name="_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a> While the USSR was fighting for survival, it still managed to send aid that represented 0.07% of Soviet GDP annually. Soviet pilots flew combat missions over Nanjing, Wuhan, and Chongqing. Before Pearl Harbor, the US provided almost nothing despite commanding 22–24% of world GDP.</p>
<p>Even after entering the war, China received just $632 million in Lend-Lease aid (1941–1945) while Britain, along with its two white settler states (Australia and New Zealand), received $25.8 billion of the $30.3 billion assigned by the US to the ‘British Empire’.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130563" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130563" class="size-large wp-image-130563 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-1024x855.png" alt="" width="1024" height="855" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-1024x855.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-300x250.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-768x641.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-1536x1282.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-2048x1710.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130563" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Lend-Lease aid numbers from US Department of State (1945), p. 14, table 2, and pp. 42–43, table 25; population data from Maddison (2010); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India death data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See appendix for full methodology.<br>*‘British India’ here refers to India and today’s Pakistan and Bangladesh. The Lend-Lease aid and population numbers for British India and Ceylon (now Sri Lanka) are included here.<br>*‘White settler states’ refers to Australia and New Zealand.</small></p></div>
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<p>Chart 1: Per capita aid: whites received $442.3 per person; non-whites (China, British India, and Ceylon) received $4.4 – a 101:1 ratio</p>
<p>Chart 2: Per death valuation: white deaths ‘valued’ at $52,913; non-white (China, British India) deaths at $155 – a 341:1 ratio</p>
<p>The British Empire in 1945 (as defined by the US in the Lend-Lease Programme) consisted of 58.3 million whites and 443.1 million non-white subjects. The mathematics was simple: the US directed 85.1% of the British Empire’s Lend-Lease aid to whites, who comprised only 11.6% of the Empire’s population.</p>
<p>From 1945 to 1948, the US provided at least $1.4 billion to Chiang Kai-shek’s government, with over half being military aid – double the $700 million in military aid given during the WAFW – excluding substantial surplus property sales.<a href="#_edn29" name="_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a> Additional aid continued through 1949 when the Nationalists lost the civil war. The formula: minimal help against Japan, maximum support against communism.</p>
<p>Poignant observations were made by two articles in <em>Historical Review</em> published by the China Academy of Social Sciences in August 2025:</p>
<blockquote><p>First: Overall, in the early stages of the full-scale War of Resistance, the Soviet Union’s vital assistance to a China engaged in an arduous struggle was like ‘offering fuel in snowy weather’.</p>
<p>Second: After the end of the Anti-Japanese War, the US actively aided and supported the Kuomintang reactionaries in launching a civil war and signed the seemingly reciprocal but actually unequal ‘Sino-American Treaty of Friendship, Commerce, and Navigation’ with the Nationalist government, aiming to maintain influence over China through economic control and military intervention.</p></blockquote>
<p>The economic arithmetic was clear: the Anglo-Americans had the money but would not fight. The fascists had militarised everything. The socialists had little but gave all.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130573" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130573" class="wp-image-130573 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-1024x939.png" alt="" width="1024" height="939" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-1024x939.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-300x275.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-768x704.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-1536x1409.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-2048x1878.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130573" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Source: Harrison (1998), p. 21, table 1.8. See appendix for a verbatim transcript of the source data.</small></p></div>
</div>
<h1 data-heading-number="4"><span class="heading-number">4.</span> China’s Fourteen-Year Resistance: The Forgotten Foundation of Victory</h1>
<p>China’s fourteen-year resistance against Japanese imperialism tied down the bulk of Japanese land forces throughout the war. Chinese forces prevented over half a million Japanese soldiers from attacking the Soviet Far East or sweeping through the Pacific.<a href="#_edn30" name="_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a> As the war progressed, increasing numbers of KMT soldiers defected to the Communist forces, strengthening the guerrilla resistance. Every Chinese soldier who held a position with obsolete weapons and an empty stomach prevented a Japanese soldier from fighting elsewhere. China’s military weakness made its resistance more heroic, not less.</p>
<p>The Red Army soldiers who fled Ruijin, site of the first Chinese Soviet Republic, crossed frozen mountains in straw sandals in 1935 while KMT bombers with US engines hunted them from above.<a href="#_edn31" name="_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a> Blood froze in their footprints. Toes turned black and fell off. Those who survived became the core of guerrilla forces that by 1940 tied down 60% of Japanese troops.</p>
<p>The following numbers shatter every myth about who won this war:</p>
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<div id="attachment_130583" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130583" class="size-large wp-image-130583 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-1024x759.png" alt="" width="1024" height="759" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-1024x759.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-300x222.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-768x569.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-1536x1139.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-2048x1518.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130583" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
</div>
<p>The deployment patterns expose the truth: socialist forces were desperately engaged in existential struggle while capitalist forces carefully husbanded their strength for post-war advantage.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="5"><span class="heading-number">5.</span> The Blood Price: Who Really Defeated Fascism</h1>
<p>The global struggle against fascism killed 85 million human beings.</p>
<p>That is 3.8% of humanity: dead.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130593" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130593" class="size-large wp-image-130593 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-1024x793.png" alt="" width="1024" height="793" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-1024x793.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-300x232.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-768x595.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-1536x1190.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-2048x1586.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130593" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: USSR death data from Andreev et al. (1993); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; French Indochina population from Budge (2014) and death data from The National WWII Museum New Orleans (n.d.); other population data from Maddison (2010). See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
</div>
<p>Who paid this price reveals who saved the world. The arithmetic will destroy every lie that the late arrivals have said about this war, not as statistics but as accusations. Every number is a crime – every percentage a verdict.</p>
<p>59.8% socialists dead, 13.1% colonised peoples dead – only 1% Anglo-Americans dead.</p>
<p>This was not their war. It was their profit.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130603" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130603" class="size-large wp-image-130603 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-1024x765.png" alt="" width="1024" height="765" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-1024x765.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-300x224.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-768x574.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-1536x1147.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-2048x1530.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130603" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405 and p. 442. See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
</div>
<p>But even these deaths tell only half the horror. The wounded – those who survived maimed, traumatised, broken – vanished from Western history. We restore them here: thirteen to eighteen million Soviets wounded – ignored. Each lived with pain that Washington and London never felt. Every Western soldier wounded became a casualty worthy of pensions, medals, remembrance. The eleven to twenty-six million wounded Chinese vanished from history as if they never existed, never suffered, never mattered.</p>
<p>The arithmetic convicts: socialist forces suffered 59.8% of all WAFW deaths with less than 15% of world GDP. In Korea, 99% of deaths were Korean or Chinese. In Vietnam, 99% of the deaths were Southeast Asian. The pattern screams across three wars, across five decades, and across continents – those with nothing saved humanity while those with everything preserved their strength for the post-war plunder.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="6"><span class="heading-number">6.</span> The Soviet Union Destroyed Fascism in Europe</h1>
<p>The Red Army eliminated or decisively defeated the Wehrmacht’s strength in battles that decided humanity’s fate: Moscow, Stalingrad, Kursk, and Berlin. The price: 27 million Soviet deaths.<a href="#_edn32" name="_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a> That’s 13.8% of the Soviet population based on a population of 196.0 million in 1940. That is 1.2% of the entire world’s population wiped out because they stood between fascism and the rest of us.</p>
<p>These were not abstract statistics. Whole villages where no men between the ages of eighteen and fifty survived. The Soviet Union inflicted 9 million of Germany’s 11.1 million military casualties. This victory was partly possible because China’s resistance prevented Japan from attacking the Soviet Far East during 1941–1942 when Moscow hung by a thread. As President Vladimir Putin acknowledged in 2025, China’s resistance was ‘one of the crucial factors that prevented Japan from stabbing the Soviet Union in the back during the darkest months’.</p>
<p>Among Soviet deaths were 1.3 million Jews murdered in the Holocaust’s eastern killing fields, 3.3 million prisoners of war deliberately starved in German camps, and millions of civilians killed in accordance with Generalplan Ost (Master Plan for the East) and other Nazi racial policies targeting ‘subhuman’ Slavs.<a href="#_edn33" name="_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a></p>
<h1 data-heading-number="7"><span class="heading-number">7.</span> China’s Demographic Catastrophe</h1>
<p>At least 23.6 million deaths were documented from 1937 to 1945 alone – 20.6 million direct deaths from combat and massacres, plus 3 million from the 1942 Henan famine caused by the Japanese disruption. Before that, from 1931 to mid-1937, the Japanese invasion also resulted in an estimated 450,000 deaths. The total documented deaths from 1931 to 1945: 24.05 million. With wounded included, total casualties reached 35 million. However, even this staggering figure understates the catastrophe. When including the 15 million who were never born because of the war’s destruction, China’s total population loss exceeded 50 million. The West acknowledges perhaps 15–20 million dead, ignores the wounded entirely, and erases the demographic hole that took generations to fill.<a href="#_edn34" name="_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>The forced-labour system added another dimension to this genocide: from 1935 to 1945, 20% of the 11.5 million forced labourers in Northeast China died (2.3 million deaths). Among the 38,935 forced labourers shipped to Japan, 17.5% were killed in the emperor’s homeland, according to Chinese Academy of Social Sciences historian Bian Xiuyue.<a href="#_edn35" name="_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a> This research documents the genocide in precise terms, not with vague estimates.</p>
<p>The Western insistence on counting only deaths performs a double erasure. When 35 million Chinese were killed or wounded, focusing only on the West’s understated count of 20 million or fewer deaths erases at least 11 million wounded people whose lives were destroyed by Japanese aggression.</p>
<p>China’s 2015 government survey, involving 600,000 participants, documented systematic extermination through multiple methods. The Nanjing Massacre: 300,000 killed in six weeks and an estimated 20,000–80,000 rapes.<a href="#_edn36" name="_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> Japan’s ‘Three Alls’ campaign – ‘Kill all, burn all, loot all’ – turned entire provinces into graveyards. Even regular POW camps revealed a national chauvinism extermination policy: Japan killed 99.9% of Chinese prisoners but only 27.1% of Western POWs.<a href="#_edn37" name="_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a></p>
<h1 data-heading-number="8"><span class="heading-number">8.</span> The Colonial Holocaust: Eleven Million Erased</h1>
<p>While the imperial powers preserved their strength, their colonies bled. A total of 11.2 million colonial subjects died – more than ten times the total Anglo-American war death toll.</p>
<p>The Bengal Famine of 1943 killed 3 million Indians through British policy. While Bengalis starved, Britain exported rice from Bengal and denied relief ships.<a href="#_edn38" name="_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a> Churchill told his private secretary that ‘the Hindus were a foul race protected by their mere pullulation from the doom that is their due’. He wished that Air Chief Marshal Arthur Harris, head of the British Bomber Command, could ‘send some of his surplus bombers to destroy them’.<a href="#_edn39" name="_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a></p>
<p>The Dutch East Indies lost 3.4 million people – 4.7% of the population. Both colonial powers killed them – the Dutch through centuries of extraction that left them defenceless, the Japanese through forced labour, starvation, and systematic violence.</p>
<p>In Java alone, 1.8 million excess deaths occurred between 1944 and 1945. The <em>r</em>ō<em>musha</em> forced-labour system sent 300,000 Indonesians overseas; only 77,000 returned.<a href="#_edn40" name="_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a> On the Sumatra Railway alone, 17,000 of 22,000 Javanese labourers died – a mortality rate of 77%.</p>
<p>French Indochina: 1.5 million deaths – 6.5% of the population. The 1944–1945 famine killed 1–2 million Vietnamese through the combined extraction of Japanese requisitions and continued French colonial administration.</p>
<p>Burma: 270,000 to perhaps as high as 1 million dead under Japanese occupation while Britain fled, destroying oil fields but abandoning the Indian labourers and Burmese civilians who had no means of escape. The Thailand-Burma Railway (402 kilometres) killed 215 people per kilometre of track laid: 31 Western POW deaths per kilometre, 184 Asian labourer deaths per kilometre – a six-fold racial calculus.<a href="#_edn41" name="_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a> The shorter Kra Isthmus Railway (90 kilometres) had an even higher mortality rate of 537 deaths per kilometre (Huff, 2020), constructed entirely by Asian workers whose deaths went largely undocumented by Japanese authorities. Of an estimated 260,000–270,000 total workers on both railways, approximately 90,000–140,000 Asian labourers perished, including significant numbers among the more than 100,000 Malays and Tamils conscripted from British territories.</p>
<p>Malaya and Singapore: up to 150,000. Philippines: 765,000.<a href="#_edn42" name="_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a> Portuguese Timor: 14% to 19% of its population – the highest death rate of any territory in South Asia.<a href="#_edn43" name="_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a></p>
<p>The colonial arithmetic: killed by fascist occupation while colonial masters hoarded resources. Indians starved; Britain had grain. Indonesians died; Dutch extraction had built nothing to save them. Vietnamese perished; France maintained its extraction apparatus even under Japanese rule.</p>
<p>Eleven million colonial deaths. Museums memorialise the 12,000 US and Filipino soldiers who died in the Bataan Death March.<a href="#_edn44" name="_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a> The rōmusha who built the Burma Railway – 90,000–100,000 dead – have no museum nor movie like <em>Bridge on the River Kwai</em> (1957).</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="9"><span class="heading-number">9.</span> Africa: Two Million Erased</h1>
<p>Africa became the Allies’ emergency reserve when France fell, and the Western colonies in Asia were lost to Japan. Britain, France, and Belgium extracted maximum resources from African colonies while fighting a war supposedly for freedom. Between 1.6 and 2 million Africans died – from fascist invasion, forced labour, combat service, and systematic starvation. Colonial authorities, who tracked copper production down to the metric tonne, never counted African deaths.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Ethiopia: The First Battlefield</h2>
<p>The WAFW began in Africa in 1935 when Italy invaded Ethiopia. A 1945 Ethiopian government memorandum documented 760,300 deaths: 275,000 battle deaths, 300,000 from hunger among refugees, 75,000 patriots killed during occupation, 35,000 in concentration camps, 30,000 in the February 1937 Addis Ababa massacre, 24,000 executions, 17,800 civilians killed by air strikes. Despite signing the Geneva Protocol, Italy used 300–500 tonnes of mustard gas and dropped 4,336 aerial bombs filled with sulphur mustard and 540 bombs containing diphenylchlorarsine on Ethiopia. Soviet analysts calculated that these chemical weapons caused 30% of Ethiopian combat deaths. At Ametsegna Washa cave in 1939, Italian forces gassed and machine-gunned over 5,500 Ethiopians.</p>
<p>Ethiopian women fought as armed combatants (<em>arbegna</em>) against Italian occupation – the Ethiopian government’s official <em>Book of Honour, 1935–1941</em> documented their sacrifice, recording one-third of its names as women patriots who took up arms against fascism, though Western histories erase them entirely.<a href="#_edn45" name="_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> These women learned to use rifles and grenades, endured aerial bombardment and mustard gas attacks, and in some cases took command of troops. By March 1948, the UN War Crimes Commission identified 1,200 Italian war criminals from the Ethiopian campaign. Prosecutions: zero.<a href="#_edn46" name="_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a> Badoglio, who was implicated in the Italian genocide in Libya (1929–1934), went back to Italy to become Mussolini’s last prime minister.<a href="#_edn47" name="_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a> The Italian field marshal who authorised the systematic use of chemical weapons that killed tens of thousands of Ethiopians became the Anglo-Americans’ ‘valuable asset’ against communism.</p>
<p>When the Bonomi government appeared ready to arrest Badoglio, Prime Minister Churchill sent a ‘Personal and Top Secret’ telegram on 8 December 1944 to Sir Noel Charles, the British ambassador in Rome, stating: ‘You are responsible for the Marshal’s safety and sanctuary in the British Embassy or in some equally safe place to which he can be removed’.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Combat Service</h2>
<p>Nearly one million Africans served. France deployed 100,000 African soldiers against Germany in 1940 – 17,500 killed. Morocco sent 90,000 troops to France. In Burma, 90,000 African soldiers constituted 9% of imperial forces. The 82nd West African Division suffered 2,085 casualties – the highest in the XV Corps.</p>
<p>Military apartheid structured everything. African privates received one-third of white soldiers’ pay, and corporal punishment remained legal for Africans until 1946. Officers were so rare among the 500,000 African soldiers that each was known by name. The racial discrimination extended beyond institutional policy into brutal violence: in 1940, the Nazis massacred 3,000 Black French soldiers and Hitler kept African POWs in captivity while releasing white prisoners.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Extraction Mathematics</h2>
<p>Africa supplied 98% of Allied industrial diamonds, 90% of cobalt, 50% of gold production, and 39% of chromite. The British conscripted 100,000 men for Nigerian tin mines between 1942 and 1944. Death rate from disease on the Tente Dam: 10%.<a href="#_edn48" name="_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> Production increase: 6%. In Belgian-occupied Congo, mandatory labour reached 120 days annually. French West Africa: 38,153 men in forced-labour armies. Entire villages fled – 6,000 from Forécariah to Sierra Leone.</p>
<p>The Shinkolobwe mine provided uranium for the atom bombs used on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The ore: 75% uranium oxide versus 0.2% considered marketable in North America. Congolese miners handled radioactive ore bare-handed. Their names: never recorded. Their deaths: never counted.<a href="#_edn49" name="_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a></p>
<p>Forced crop substitution created famine. Mozambique: 800,000 in forced cotton cultivation. Cape Verde: 24,643 dead from wartime famine. Nigeria: Groundnut exports rose, while millet production was abandoned. Starvation followed export ledgers.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Betrayal</h2>
<p>1 December 1944, Thiaroye, Senegal: French officers massacred West African veterans demanding back pay. Official count: 35 dead. Military archives: 70 dead. Current historical research: 300–400 dead. The archives contain falsified documents and remain classified eighty years later, deemed ‘sensitive’.</p>
<p>Victory in Europe Day, 8 May 1945: French forces began killing Algerians in Sétif and Guelma. Algeria counts 45,000 dead.<a href="#_edn50" name="_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a> France admits to 1,500.</p>
<p>The 1945 Nigerian general strike.</p>
<p>Madagascar, 1947: 40,000 killed, crushing independence.</p>
<p>French West African railway strike, 1947–1948: 160 days, 20,000 workers on strike.</p>
<p>Gold Coast (now Ghana), 1948: British Superintendent Imray personally shot three veteran protest leaders.</p>
<p>General strikes erupted from Durban to Tunis, from Dakar to Dar es Salaam. Mombasa, 1947: 15,000 workers paralysed the city.</p>
<p>Witwatersrand, 1946: African miners struck despite 1,248 wounded by police.</p>
<p>The pattern was set: veterans demanding wages were massacred, workers demanding rights were shot, independence movements would be crushed. France would kill 1.5 million in Algeria. Britain would cage 1.5 million Kenyans. Portugal would burn Mozambique. The veterans who survived fascism now understood the enemy. Within a decade, liberation wars would erupt from Algeria to Kenya, from Angola to Mozambique – led and influenced by socialist movements and leaders who learned that the West’s six-hundred-year formula never changed: maximum extraction, maximum death, minimum acknowledgement, no accountability.</p>
<p>The 1935–1945 accounting the colonial powers never made: between 1.6 and 2 million Africans dead. Ethiopia alone: 760,000. Military deaths: 75,000. Forced labour and famine: hundreds of thousands. Colonial authorities documented copper down to the metric tonne: 262,394 tonnes. African deaths: ‘unrecorded’.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="10"><span class="heading-number">10.</span> How Socialism Defeated Fascism Through Superior Strategy</h1>
<p>Three battles proved Japan could be beaten. At Pingxingguan (平型关) in 1937, Communist forces killed over 1,000 Japanese and captured 82 vehicles – Japan’s first defeat.<a href="#_edn51" name="_ednref51"><sup>51</sup></a> At Taierzhuang (台儿庄) in 1938, the Japanese were routed. There are varying historical estimates. One 1996 study estimates that there were 20,000 casualties among 55,000 Japanese soldiers.<a href="#_edn52" name="_ednref52"><sup>52</sup></a> At Wanjialing (万家岭) on 10 October 1938, an entire Japanese division – 31,000 troops – was reduced to 1,000 survivors. It was Japan’s darkest day.</p>
<p>The CPC’s Hundred Regiments Offensive of 1940 – a series of coordinated strikes across northern China – shattered Japanese infrastructure. The CPC’s forces tied down 60% of Japanese forces and 95% of puppet forces – not some vague ‘bulk’ but a precise, bleeding majority.<a href="#_edn53" name="_ednref53"><sup>53</sup></a> ‘Sparrow warfare’ (麻雀战) made Japanese patrols bleed for every mile. Tunnel warfare in Ranzhuang (冉庄) in 1939: sixteen kilometres long, connecting five villages, guerrillas appearing and vanishing like ghosts.<a href="#_edn54" name="_ednref54"><sup>54</sup></a></p>
<p>The defeat of fascism was not just about sacrifice; it was a brilliant strategy that turned initial weakness into strength. Socialist leadership did not just mobilise the masses; it outthought and outfought its enemies, despite every material advantage.</p>
<p>Soviet innovation transformed defeat into total victory. The USSR faced an impossible equation: while constructing humanity’s first socialist society from the ruins of tsarism’s feudal system – transforming social relations of production and reproduction at an unprecedented scale – it had exactly one decade to build a military-industrial capacity for the inevitable war.</p>
<p>When German armies smashed through Soviet defences in June 1941, Western observers gave the USSR weeks to survive. Within six months, the USSR imposed the first major strategic defeat on Nazi Germany with the Moscow counteroffensive; within eighteen months the Red Army was decimating entire German army groups. The secret lay in combining revolutionary military doctrine with unprecedented social mobilisation. Deep battle theory envisioned rupturing enemy lines at multiple points, then exploiting with reserves to annihilate entire fronts. When the crisis arose, 1,523 factories were loaded onto 1.5 million railcars and evacuated beyond the Urals in five months under Luftwaffe bombardment.<a href="#_edn55" name="_ednref55"><sup>55</sup></a> Seventeen million Soviet citizens evacuated with their factories.<a href="#_edn56" name="_ednref56"><sup>56</sup></a> The Kirov Works was evacuated from Leningrad to Chelyabinsk, where 5,800 machines were installed and operational in less than three weeks – in roofless halls, with workers living in tents at –40°C.<a href="#_edn57" name="_ednref57"><sup>57</sup></a></p>
<p>Soviet tank production rose from 6,590 in 1941 to 24,719 in 1942 – nearly quadrupling despite catastrophic losses.<a href="#_edn58" name="_ednref58"><sup>58</sup></a> The Soviets produced over 100,000 tanks and self-propelled guns total, versus Germany’s 43,000 (1941–1945).<a href="#_edn59" name="_ednref59"><sup>59</sup></a> The T-34 so devastated Wehrmacht forces that German engineers desperately tried to copy it and failed. Even RAND Corporation admitted that it was the ‘epitome of creative design’.<a href="#_edn60" name="_ednref60"><sup>60</sup></a></p>
<p>Stalin created the State Defence Committee (GKO) on 30 June 1941, which coordinated this unprecedented evacuation. Workers laboured around the clock and built new factories around the equipment as trains arrived. By March 1942, these evacuated plants were producing at pre-war levels. The Germans had captured areas containing 40% of the population, 60% of coal, steel, and aluminium production, yet Soviet military output surpassed German production by 1942.<a href="#_edn61" name="_ednref61"><sup>61</sup></a> Only a socialist-led society could achieve this miracle of relocation while under invasion.</p>
<p>This was scientific superiority.</p>
<p>Stalingrad demonstrated a superior battle strategy over German tactical excellence. General Georgy Zhukov let the Germans pour their best units into urban combat where tank superiority meant nothing. Every building became a fortress; every room became a battlefield. While German forces exhausted themselves in the city, Soviet reserves massed on the flanks. Operation Uranus in 1942 struck with mathematical precision, targeting the Romanian armies Germany had positioned on its flanks – weaker Axis-allied forces holding critical positions. Multiple simultaneous attacks shattered these Romanian armies and encircled the entire Sixth Army.</p>
<p>By the war’s end, Soviet offensives routinely destroyed entire German army groups across thousand-mile fronts. The same army that collapsed in 1941 was by 1944 conducting operations of complexity and scale that no capitalist military could match.</p>
<p>This was not heroism alone, but the fusion of Marxist science with mass creativity. Where capitalist armies preserved professional forces, the Soviet system mobilised everyone. By 1942, women in the Red Army numbered 800,000. By 1945, there were 246,000 women in uniform on the front line – snipers, pilots, tank crews, not just nurses.<a href="#_edn62" name="_ednref62"><sup>62</sup></a> Partisan warfare tied down 500,000 German troops with locally organised forces; approximately 205,600 partisans were organised behind German lines by 1 July 1944.<a href="#_edn63" name="_ednref63"><sup>63</sup></a> Despite losing most of its prewar industrial base, the USSR outproduced Germany in every category that mattered: 112,100 combat aircraft to Germany’s 89,500.<a href="#_edn64" name="_ednref64"><sup>64</sup></a> Of Germany’s 3–3.5 million military deaths, 2.6–3.1 million died fighting the Red Army; of their 11.1 million total casualties, 9 million came on the Eastern Front.<a href="#_edn65" name="_ednref65"><sup>65</sup></a> From 1941 to 1942, Germany had to deploy 72–80% of its entire military strength along this 3,000-kilometre front – and lost them there. While the Allied imperialists faced 54 German divisions on D-Day, the Red Army was simultaneously dismantling and destroying 156½ divisions in the East.<a href="#_edn66" name="_ednref66"><sup>66</sup></a></p>
<p>Meanwhile, Chinese innovation overcame the Japanese superiority in arms. The CPC transformed China’s weakness into strength. Its Eighth Route Army and New Fourth Army tied down 60% of Japanese forces through guerrilla warfare. Its ‘comprehensive resistance’ turned every farmer into a supplier, every worker into a saboteur, every student into an organiser.</p>
<p>The KMT’s conventional forces engaged the remaining 40% but faced severe challenges in battle despite some notable defensive victories.</p>
<p>In <em>On Protracted War</em> (1938), Mao provided a scientific analysis: Japan was strong but small, isolated, and barbaric; China was weak but vast, progressive, and with time on its side. Mao predicted three phases – strategic defensive, strategic stalemate, strategic counteroffensive – exactly how the war unfolded. The prophecy proved exact.</p>
<p>The rear battlefield became Japan’s bleeding wound. Communist forces established bases throughout the occupied territories, implementing land reform to mobilise peasants and democratic governance to unite all patriotic classes against the invader. By the stalemate phase, guerrilla warfare tied down 60% of Japanese troops and 95% of puppet forces. Tunnel warfare, mobile warfare, and landmine warfare – each tactic exploited Japanese vulnerabilities. The occupiers controlled the cities and railways; the resistance controlled everything else.</p>
<p>The Hundred Regiments Offensive of 1940 proved the occupied zones were graveyards, not colonies. Coordinated strikes across northern China destroyed Japanese infrastructure and shattered the myth of pacification. Every blown railway, every ambushed convoy demonstrated a simple truth: superior weapons meant nothing when every village was hostile, every peasant an intelligence network, every night an opportunity for attack. The Japanese found themselves drowning in an ocean of people’s war.</p>
<p>This was scientific application of revolutionary theory to concrete conditions. The equation proved exact: correct political line plus mass mobilisation equals military miracles. China proved that imperialism’s technical superiority crumbles when an entire people refuse to be enslaved.</p>
<p>The contrast with capitalist military leadership was also stark. US and British commanders had every advantage: larger forces, uninterrupted supply lines, overwhelming air support. Yet they moved cautiously, preserving forces rather than eliminating enemies. Operation Market Garden (1944) failed. The Ardennes caught them by surprise. It took them eleven months to advance from Normandy to Berlin, a distance the Red Army covered in four months while fighting more challenging battles.<a href="#_edn67" name="_ednref67"><sup>67</sup></a></p>
<p>The US ‘production miracle’ was actually inefficiency. Manufacturing productivity fell 1.4% annually during the war. Cost-plus contracts guaranteed profit regardless of waste – corporations were paid all costs plus profit. The Truman Committee’s verdict: ‘War is waste – waste of manpower and material’.<a href="#_edn68" name="_ednref68"><sup>68</sup></a> The formula: maximum profit, minimum efficiency, let others bleed.<a href="#_edn69" name="_ednref69"><sup>69</sup></a></p>
<p>Socialist and colonised peoples: 73% of all deaths.</p>
<p>Anglo-Americans: 1%.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130613" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130613" class="size-large wp-image-130613 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-1024x810.png" alt="" width="1024" height="810" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-1024x810.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-300x237.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-768x608.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-1536x1215.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-2048x1620.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130613" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Author’s elaboration based on Mukerjee (2010), p. 205 and pp. 246–247; Murayama (1995); Nie, Guo, Selden, and Kleinman (2010), p. 5; Kohn and Harahan (1988), p. 88; Stone (1952), p. 312.</small></p></div>
</div>
<h1 data-heading-number="11"><span class="heading-number">11.</span> Fascism’s Anti-Communist Laboratory: The Domestic Rehearsal for Global Genocide</h1>
<p>Before fascism turned outward to conquer nations, it perfected mass murder at home. From 1931 to 1945, fascist regimes systematically exterminated 216,000–286,000 communists and leftists across Germany, Spain, Italy, and Japan – not casualties of war but deliberate political genocide.<a href="#_edn70" name="_ednref70"><sup>70</sup></a> Millions more faced imprisonment, torture, and exile.</p>
<p>This was the rehearsal for what was to come next, watched with approval by the colonial metropoles. Better dead communists than red revolution. While fascism perfected its killing techniques on communists at home, the imperial ‘liberal democracies’ calculated their economic advantages.</p>
<p>Germany industrialised political murder, and its first targets were the Communists. In the November 1932 elections, the Communist Party of Germany (KPD) was a massive political force, securing nearly 6 million votes (16.9% of the total).<a href="#_edn71" name="_ednref71"><sup>71</sup></a> This entire political world was targeted for annihilation. Following the Reichstag Fire in February 1933, the Nazi regime launched its first mass wave of terror. Conservative data indicate that at least 100,000 political opponents were arrested in 1933 alone, with 600 dying in custody; the KPD leadership’s own estimate placed these figures at 130,000 arrested and 2,500 murdered.<a href="#_edn72" name="_ednref72"><sup>72</sup></a></p>
<p>These early arrests filled the first concentration camps – such as Oranienburg and the notorious Dachau – which became the laboratories for industrialised extermination. The chaotic brutality of the Sturmabteilung (SA) soon gave way to the bureaucratic terror of the Schutzstaffel (SS). By the end of 1933, at least 27,000 people were held in the camps, the vast majority political prisoners – 80% were members of the KPD and 10% from the Social Democratic Party of Germany.<a href="#_edn73" name="_ednref73"><sup>73</sup></a> There, methods of dehumanisation were refined. By 1937 the red triangle marking political prisoners was the precursor for the classification of all victims, and the system of torture and forced labour became standard practice. The assault on the Communists established the blueprint for the Holocaust; over the course of the Nazi regime, approximately 150,000 Communists would be imprisoned, and between 20,000 and 30,000 would be murdered or executed.<a href="#_edn74" name="_ednref74"><sup>74</sup></a> The torture and murder of communists served as the laboratory where Nazis perfected techniques later deployed against Jews, Roma, and Slavs.</p>
<p>Spain turned political cleansing into a science. Franco murdered 150,000 to 200,000 civilians behind the lines and executed 50,000 Republicans after March 1939.<a href="#_edn75" name="_ednref75"><sup>75</sup></a> The prison population reached 233,000 by 1941.</p>
<p>The Badajoz massacre (1936): 4,000 unarmed leftists slaughtered.<a href="#_edn76" name="_ednref76"><sup>76</sup></a> International Brigades volunteers faced a 30% casualty rate – Nationalists often executed international prisoners.<a href="#_edn77" name="_ednref77"><sup>77</sup></a> In 1940, Franco refused Nazi requests to repatriate Spanish Republicans from French camps, declaring them stateless – condemning more than 10,000 to Nazi concentration camps.</p>
<p>Japan’s Special Higher Police arrested 65,000 under the Peace Preservation Law.<a href="#_edn78" name="_ednref78"><sup>78</sup></a> Torture was policy – the autopsy of proletarian writer Kobayashi Takiji in 1933 revealed systematic brutality.<a href="#_edn79" name="_ednref79"><sup>79</sup></a> Between 1942 and 1945, one Jinzhou court in Manchukuo alone sentenced 1,700 to death and 2,600 to life for ‘thought crimes’.</p>
<p>Italy had already demonstrated the pattern before 1931: <em>squadristi</em> carried out 2,120 acts of anti-socialist violence between 1919 and 1922, including 709 killings, while systematically attacking socialist councils and worker organisations across the Po Valley and throughout Emilia-Romagna.<a href="#_edn80" name="_ednref80"><sup>80</sup></a> Though these pre-1931 murders are not counted in our figures above, they established fascism’s violent blueprint. By 1943, the OVRA, Mussolini’s secret police, had compiled surveillance files on 130,000 suspected subversives.</p>
<p>Western leaders did not just know – they applauded.<a href="#_edn81" name="_ednref81"><sup>81</sup></a> Churchill stated in 1937: ‘I will not pretend that, if I had to choose between Communism and Nazi-ism, I would choose Communism’. To decode this Harrow (upper-class private school) circumlocution, Churchill was announcing he preferred Hitler to Stalin while preserving the linguistic escape route of never having actually said so.</p>
<p>This support extended from political and media elites to industrial capital, with US industrialist Henry Ford providing a direct ideological blueprint for Nazism. Hitler called Ford his ‘inspiration’ and kept a large portrait of him in his Munich office. Ford’s antisemitic book, <em>The International Jew: The World’s Foremost Problem</em> (1920–1922), was translated and ‘circulated to millions throughout Germany’, promoting the core Nazi fiction of a ‘Judeo-Bolshevik’ conspiracy to control the world. Hitler copied passages from it for <em>Mein Kampf</em> (1925), and high-ranking German officials alleged that Ford provided some of the Nazi Party’s earliest funding. In July 1938, Hitler awarded Ford the Grand Cross of the German Eagle, the highest decoration the Third Reich could give a foreigner.<a href="#_edn82" name="_ednref82"><sup>82</sup></a> Every Western handshake with fascism was signed in communist blood.</p>
<p>These techniques would later return in Indonesia, Chile, El Salvador – anywhere people chose socialism over subjugation.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="12"><span class="heading-number">12.</span> The Anti-Communist Crusade: From Hidden Agenda to Open War</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Atomic Bombings: The First Act of the Cold War</h2>
<p>The atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki on 6 and 9 August 1945 targeted the Soviet Union more than Japan. Japan was already defeated. Admiral William Leahy, the highest-ranking US military officer and Truman’s chief of staff, wrote in his 1950 memoir: ‘The use of this barbarous weapon at Hiroshima and Nagasaki was of no material assistance in our war against Japan. The Japanese were already defeated and ready to surrender’. General Dwight Eisenhower told Secretary of War Stimson in July 1945: ‘Japan was already defeated… dropping the bomb was completely unnecessary’.</p>
<p>The July 1946 US Strategic Bombing Survey concluded that Japan would have surrendered by November 1945 ‘even if the atomic bombs had not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war, and even if no invasion had been planned or contemplated’. Historian Gar Alperovitz documents similar opposition from five additional five-star US officers.<a href="#_edn83" name="_ednref83"><sup>83</sup></a></p>
<p>Yet the bombs were dropped. The timing exposes the calculation. At the Yalta Conference (4–11 February 1945), the Soviet Union committed to enter the war within three months of Germany’s surrender – establishing an 8–15 August deadline. Philip Morrison, a Manhattan Project physicist, revealed in 1948 that ‘the scientists responsible for making the bomb were pushed to meet a “mysterious” deadline in which it was to be ready by “a date near August tenth”’. The Trinity test succeeded on 16 July 1945 during the Potsdam Conference. Truman issued the bombing directive on 25 July. Hiroshima: 6 August 1945. Soviet declaration of war: 8 August. Soviet invasion of Manchuria: early morning of 9 August. Nagasaki: 9 August, hours after the Soviet offensive began.</p>
<p>President Truman’s Potsdam diary reveals his calculations. On 17 July, after meeting Stalin: ‘He’ll be in the Jap War on August 15th. … Japs [will be finished] when that comes about’. He noted contentious issues with the Soviets, then wrote: ‘I have an ace in the hole and another one showing’. On 18 July: ‘Believe Japs will fold up before Russia comes in. I am sure they will when Manhattan appears over their homeland’. Secretary of State James Byrnes was explicit. His aide Walter Brown’s diary recorded on 24 July that Byrnes hoped that ‘after [the] atomic bomb Japan will surrender and Russia will not get in so much on the kill’. Secretary of War Stimson’s diary entries from May 1945 describe the bomb as giving Washington ‘all the cards’, a ‘royal straight flush’ in dealing with Moscow, and the ‘master card’ in US diplomacy.<a href="#_edn84" name="_ednref84"><sup>84</sup></a></p>
<p>The Soviet invasion destroyed Japan’s last strategic hope. The atomic bombing of Hiroshima did not trigger immediate surrender negotiations. The Supreme War Council did not convene an emergency meeting on 7 or 8 August. The Soviet declaration of war on 9 August forced Prime Minister Kantarõ Suzuki to call the first emergency meeting that same morning to discuss surrender. Emperor Hirohito’s 17 August rescript cited Soviet entry as ‘endangering the very foundation of the Empire’s existence’ – not the atomic bombs.</p>
<p>Patrick M. S. Blackett, the British Nobel Prize-winning physicist, provided the first systematic analysis in his 1949 book <em>Fear, War, and the Bomb: Military and Political Consequences of Atomic Energy</em>. Blackett argued that ‘the dropping of the atomic bombs was not so much the last military act of the Second World War, as the first major operation of the cold diplomatic war with Russia now in progress’.</p>
<p>Japan had already offered to negotiate peace terms with one condition: preservation of the emperor. A US invasion remained months away. The Soviet Union was preparing to enter the war on August 8. The US objective, Blackett explained, was to force Japanese surrender before the Soviets could advance into Manchuria and ensure that Japan surrendered to the US alone.<a href="#_edn85" name="_ednref85"><sup>85</sup></a></p>
<p>The United States killed 110,000–210,000 Japanese civilians to demonstrate atomic monopoly and secure exclusively US occupation of Japan, avoiding the four-power partition that complicated Germany. This was the first act of the Cold War, not the last act of the WAFW.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Unbroken War: From Tokyo to Seoul</h2>
<p>The moment fascism fell, the mask dropped. The Atlantic powers’ true strategic enemy had always been communism, not fascism. The WAFW was barely over before the killing resumed – now aimed directly at any nation choosing socialist development.</p>
<p>The timeline reveals the truth:</p>
<ul class="timeline-list">
<li><strong>August 1945:</strong> Japan surrenders.</li>
<li><strong>September–October 1945:</strong> Ho Chi Minh declares Vietnamese independence; the British release and rearm French troops in Saigon; and the US provides eight transport ships to ferry French troops to attempt to reconquer Vietnam.<a href="#_edn86" name="_ednref86"><sup>86</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>Greek Civil War (1946–1949):</strong> Britain, then the US, crush the communists; 158,000 dead.<a href="#_edn87" name="_ednref87"><sup>87</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>Jeju Uprising in South Korea (April 1948):</strong> US-backed forces massacre 14,000–30,000.<a href="#_edn88" name="_ednref88"><sup>88</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>Fall 1950:</strong> Full-scale US invasion of Korea begins.</li>
</ul>
<p>Five years from ‘victory over fascism’ to genocidal war against socialism. No pause. No peace. The same B-29s that firebombed Tokyo were firebombing the northern half of Korea in the ‘Fatherland Liberation War’. The killing never stopped – it just changed targets.</p>
<p>Japan surrendered in September 1945. By 1950 – just five years later – the US was incinerating Korea to prevent reunification under socialist leadership. The war killed 4.5 million Koreans while the US lost only 54,246. This excludes the 197,653 Chinese People’s Volunteers who sacrificed their lives defending Korea from US genocide.<a href="#_edn89" name="_ednref89"><sup>89</sup></a></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">North Korea Bore the Genocidal Brunt</h2>
<p>Western estimates show that between 1.5 and 2.5 million Koreans from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) were killed – 15.6% to 26.0% of their pre-war population. No official DPRK figures are publicly available, so we cannot provide the DPRK’s own accounting. Given the record, the DPRK is unlikely to be the sole case where Western tallies do not understate deaths.</p>
<p>The US dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on a country the size of Pennsylvania.<a href="#_edn90" name="_ednref90"><sup>90</sup></a> US General Curtis LeMay stated – and these are his exact words – ‘We… burned down every town in North Korea… we killed off – what – twenty percent of the population’.<a href="#_edn91" name="_ednref91"><sup>91</sup></a></p>
<p>General MacArthur said: ‘The war in Korea has already almost destroyed that nation of 20 million people. I have never seen such devastation. I have seen, I guess, as much blood and disaster as any living man, and it just curdled my stomach the last time I was there. After I looked at that wreckage and those thousands of women and children and everything, I vomited’.<a href="#_edn92" name="_ednref92"><sup>92</sup></a></p>
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<div id="attachment_130623" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130623" class="size-large wp-image-130623 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-937x1024.png" alt="" width="937" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-937x1024.png 937w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-274x300.png 274w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-768x839.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-1405x1536.png 1405w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-1874x2048.png 1874w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 937px) 100vw, 937px"><p id="caption-attachment-130623" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Shin (2001), Halliday and Cumings (1988); The Star-Ledger (1995); Vietnam Veterans of America (2025). See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
</div>
<p>The US obliterated eighteen of the DPRK’s twenty-two major cities – with destruction in individual cities ranging from 65% to 100%, including the complete destruction of Sinanju and 95% of Sariwon.<a href="#_edn93" name="_ednref93"><sup>93</sup></a></p>
<p>With napalm and firestorms, there are no wounded – flesh burns, lungs sear, and everyone in the target area dies. The conventional bombing created countless more casualties – crushed under rubble, maimed by shrapnel, orphaned, and starving.</p>
<p>No nation in modern history has suffered such concentrated destruction.</p>
<p>China sent hundreds of thousands of volunteers to The War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea. Among the dead was Mao Anying, Mao Zedong’s son, killed in November 1950.</p>
<p>General Douglas MacArthur, the same man who had abandoned the Philippines in 1942, now ordered the Air Force to destroy ‘every installation, factory, city, and village’ north of the 38th parallel. The racist extermination tactics used against Japan now targeted any nation resisting capitalism.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Vietnam: The Pattern Continues</h2>
<p>Vietnam confirmed the pattern. As France’s colonial war failed, the US seamlessly took over. From 1955 to 1975, Vietnam lost at least 3.1 million people – taken from various reports including those of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam.</p>
<p>This was not a ‘discrepancy’.</p>
<p>This was erasure.</p>
<p>US bombing: 7.66 million tonnes dropped across Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia – 3.6 times the tonnage dropped in all sectors of the WAFW. Deaths in Laos and Cambodia are not separately documented in available sources but are included in the regional devastation.</p>
<p>3.1 million Vietnamese. 58,000 US soldiers.</p>
<p>The ratio: 53:1.</p>
<p>The US dropped more bombs on Vietnam than on all WAFW battlefields combined. Why? Because Vietnam’s example – successful resistance by a small nation against the world’s richest – threatened to inspire others.</p>
<p>When we calculate population percentages, the word ‘genocide’ becomes undeniable.</p>
<p>In the case of the DPRK, remember that 26% died. Remember that number when they speak of ‘humanitarian intervention’.</p>
<p>The pattern across three wars reveals systematic extermination. When 26% of a population dies, we call it genocide – unless the US is the <em>génocidaire</em>.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="13"><span class="heading-number">13.</span> Manufacturing Memory</h1>
<p>Hollywood transformed D-Day into the turning point in the WAFW, erasing Moscow, Stalingrad, and Kursk. US textbooks portrayed Lend-Lease as charity rather than delayed support that arrived after the most decisive battles. The atomic bomb became the war winner, not the Soviet armies racing towards Japan. This served as preparation, not just propaganda. If the US public believed that they had saved the world from fascism, they could be mobilised to ‘save’ it from communism. The same corporations that had done business with Hitler now profited from containing socialism.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Ideological Apparatus: Money and Methods</h2>
<p>Academic complicity ran through specific institutions and individuals. The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) pumped tens of millions of dollars into the Congress for Cultural Freedom over seventeen years, waging what they called a ‘battle for men’s minds’.<a href="#_edn94" name="_ednref94"><sup>94</sup></a> Irving Kristol edited <em>Encounter</em>, Sidney Hook attended Berlin conferences – both received CIA funding through this network.<a href="#_edn95" name="_ednref95"><sup>95</sup></a> Hook promoted the ‘totalitarian twins’ thesis equating Stalin with Hitler. Arthur Schlesinger Jr., attending these same conferences, would later write <em>The Vital Center</em> (1949), arguing that US liberalism saved democracy, erasing at a minimum forty-five million Soviet and thirty-five million Chinese total casualties. Thomas Braden, who ran the CIA’s International Organisations Division, later confessed in the <em>Saturday Evening Post</em>: ‘I’m glad the CIA is “immoral”’ – boasting about buying an entire generation of intellectuals.<a href="#_edn96" name="_ednref96"><sup>96</sup></a></p>
<p>Those who documented socialist sacrifice faced systematic destruction. For example, William Appleman Williams faced repeated tenure denials, despite publishing in prestigious journals, for documenting US imperial expansion in <em>The Tragedy of American Diplomacy</em> (1959). A survey of 2,451 social scientists conducted in the spring of 1955 revealed agents had contacted 61% of professors – not for investigation but for intimidation.<a href="#_edn97" name="_ednref97"><sup>97</sup></a></p>
<p>Parallel to this ideological suppression, the Pentagon’s overwhelming financial power created a structural dependency that fostered a new academic culture – one of service to the national security state. Throughout the 1950s, the Department of Defense (DOD) accounted for the vast majority of all federal research spending, peaking at 83.8% of the total budget. This capital was not merely granted; it was targeted. The Korean War mobilisation doubled R&amp;D funding to $1.3 billion, establishing university-managed military laboratories like MIT’s Lincoln Laboratory and Stanford’s Applied Electronics Laboratory. By 1960, these military contracts accounted for 40% of Stanford University’s entire operating budget, institutionalising a permanent dependency in the physical sciences.<a href="#_edn98" name="_ednref98"><sup>98</sup></a> The influence of DOD funding extended beyond the sciences. Academic ‘freedom’ meant Pentagon priorities – the architecture of intellectual capture. The message was clear: write about US heroism or lose your career.</p>
<p>Harvard requires two European languages for European history PhDs. For Chinese history: fourth-year modern Chinese, second-year literary Chinese, and third-year Japanese. The Japanese requirement was not neutral – US graduate students in Chinese studies were routinely sent to Kyoto for training, required to approach Chinese history through Japanese scholarly frameworks. To document China’s suffering, Western scholars first had to master the language of its invader.</p>
<p>Even scholars who clear these barriers produce systematic undercounts. Rana Mitter – Oxford’s leading China specialist with full linguistic access – estimates only 15 to 20 million Chinese deaths.<a href="#_edn99" name="_ednref99"><sup>99</sup></a> Chinese government documentation records 24.05 million deaths between 1931 and 1945, with 35 million total casualties, including both dead and wounded.<a href="#_edn100" name="_ednref100"><sup>100</sup></a> The pattern reveals erasure beyond language: methodological choices, source selection, and what counts as credible evidence.</p>
<p><em>Encyclopaedia Britannica</em> – for over two centuries, the gold standard of Anglo-American knowledge production – reveals imperial historiography through what it counts and what it erases. Their WWII casualty table lists 1.31 million military deaths for China but provides no entry for civilian deaths or total deaths – just blank spaces.<a href="#_edn101" name="_ednref101"><sup>101</sup></a> By contrast, Poland shows 5.675 million civilian deaths and 5.8 million total. Yugoslavia: 1.2 million civilian deaths, 1.505 million total. Even defeated Germany gets entries: 0.78 million civilian deaths, 4.2 million total. China – the nation that fought longest (1931–1945) – receives blanks where more than 24 million civilian deaths belong.</p>
<p><em>Encyclopaedia Britannica</em>’s sardonic footnote: ‘The figures for China comprise casualties of the Chinese Nationalist forces during 1937–1945, as reported in 1946, and do not include figures for local armies and communists. Estimates of 2.2 million military dead and 22 million civilian deaths appear in some compilations but are of doubtful accuracy’. The gap represents not a counting error but decades of coordinated erasure.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Appeasement Fiction: How Collusion Became Confusion</h2>
<p>Western historiography transformed Neville Chamberlain’s calculated collusion with Hitler into a tale of naïve ‘appeasement’ – well-meaning but misguided efforts to avoid war. This fiction serves a purpose: if Chamberlain merely misjudged Hitler’s intentions, British strategy appears as honourable failure rather than anti-communist conspiracy. The documentary record destroys this myth.</p>
<p>Two days before meeting Hitler, Chamberlain wrote to King George VI stating his aim: an ‘Anglo-German understanding’ with Germany and England as ‘the two pillars of European peace and buttresses against communism’, acknowledging Hitler was determined ‘to proceed further East’.<a href="#_edn102" name="_ednref102"><sup>102</sup></a> Over three September 1938 meetings, this strategy was formalised. At Godesberg on 22–23 September, Hitler made the deal explicit. As recorded by official German translator Dr Paul Schmidt, Hitler told Chamberlain: ‘we will not stand in the way of your pursuit of your non-European interests and you may without harm let us have a free hand on the European continent in central and South-East Europe’.<a href="#_edn103" name="_ednref103"><sup>103</sup></a></p>
<p>Chamberlain did not protest. The meeting ended, Schmidt noted, ‘in a completely friendly tone’. Britain’s ambassador to Germany later wrote: ‘Nor would the world have failed to acclaim Hitler as a great German if he had known when and where to stop: even, for instance, after Munich and the Nuremberg decrees for the Jews’.<a href="#_edn104" name="_ednref104"><sup>104</sup></a></p>
<p>As <em>Monthly Review</em> editor John Bellamy Foster observed, Chamberlain’s government sought ‘not so much to “appease” Nazi Germany, as to collude with it, in the hope that Germany would turn its guns eastward, toward the USSR’.<a href="#_edn105" name="_ednref105"><sup>105</sup></a> The transformation of documented collusion into the ‘appeasement myth’ represents another deliberate erasure – this time not of socialist sacrifice but of Western complicity in enabling fascism’s eastward expansion.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Cultural Front: Propaganda as History</h2>
<p>The Pentagon’s collaboration with Hollywood – documented in more than 2,500 productions – ensures that people in the United States learn history through films like <em>Saving Private Ryan</em> (1998) rather than through scholarship.<a href="#_edn106" name="_ednref106"><sup>106</sup></a> While Soviet films such as <em>Come and See</em> (1985) were effectively restricted to a maximum of one hundred theatres, Pentagon-approved films reached thousands of theatres.<a href="#_edn107" name="_ednref107"><sup>107</sup></a> Every suppressed Soviet film meant millions never learned that the Red Army destroyed ten Wehrmacht soldiers for every one the Western Allies faced. When <em>Enemy at the Gates</em> (2001) depicted Soviet soldiers sharing rifles – pure fiction according to Russian historians – it reached more viewers than all Soviet war films combined.<a href="#_edn108" name="_ednref108"><sup>108</sup></a> The Pentagon does not need to ban truth when it can drown it in well-funded lies.</p>
<p>The same erasure methodology operates across all socialist casualties. Vietnam documents 3.1 million deaths from 1955 to 1975; Western historians acknowledge 2 million. Guenter Lewy deflated US military body counts by 30% while dismissing Vietnamese government figures as ‘politically inflated’. The perpetrators become the accountants of their crimes.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">History in Stone: Sanitising Fascism</h2>
<p>The anti-communist crusade required more than erasing socialist victories; it required sanitising fascism. Nearly 1,500 monuments honouring Nazi collaborators now stand across 25 countries. In Germany and Austria, there are over 110. In the US – the supposed victor – there are 36.<a href="#_edn109" name="_ednref109"><sup>109</sup></a></p>
<p>First, their crimes were pardoned. Then, they were put on pedestals.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="14"><span class="heading-number">14.</span> The Formula for Impunity: Capital, Science, and the Cold War</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">US Capital and the Nazi War Machine</h2>
<p>The scale of US corporate collaboration with Nazi Germany demands closer examination. By 1941, 250 US corporations had embedded capital directly into the Nazi war machine’s industrial infrastructure.</p>
<p>Henry Ford’s involvement went beyond ideological support. With approval from Ford’s Dearborn executives, the company’s French subsidiary produced trucks for the German military even after Pearl Harbor, prompting a US criminal investigation under the Trading with the Enemy Act that was suppressed after Edsel Ford’s death in 1943.</p>
<p>After the war, accountability was sidelined as Ford rehired its Nazi-era German manager – who had used slave labourers from the Buchenwald camp – as a consultant in 1950.</p>
<p>IBM’s collaboration was personally managed by its president, Thomas J. Watson, who travelled to Germany multiple times and accepted a special medal from Hitler in 1937. Watson oversaw the customisation of IBM’s technology specifically for Nazi requirements, establishing a German subsidiary, Dehomag, to service the Reich’s needs while maintaining direct control. IBM’s Hollerith punch card machines – the forerunner to the computer – automated the Holocaust itself. The technology allowed the Nazis to efficiently identify Jewish populations through census data, manage the logistics of train transports to the death camps, and track prisoners within the camps themselves. IBM technicians serviced the machines on-site – nearly every camp, including Auschwitz, had a Hollerith Department. The five-digit numbers tattooed on inmates’ arms corresponded directly to the IBM punch card system used to manage them. Watson only returned his Nazi medal in 1940 under public pressure, but IBM’s machines kept running in the camps until liberation.</p>
<p>International Telephone &amp; Telegraph (ITT), under president Sosthenes Behn – one of the first US executives to meet with Hitler on 3 August 1933 – entered into cartel agreements with the German firm Siemens &amp; Halske and, as late as 1943, held a 29% stake in the aircraft manufacturer Focke-Wulf – whose planes killed Allied aviators and soldiers. A 1942 US government report noted Behn’s ‘unusual ability to get along with fascist governments and particularly with Nazi Germany’. After the war, the US government compensated ITT $27 million for Allied bomb damage to its German factories – paying US corporations for facilities that had produced weapons to kill US soldiers.<a href="#_edn110" name="_ednref110"><sup>110</sup></a></p>
<p>General Motors’ Opel subsidiary became the Wehrmacht’s primary truck manufacturer. Opel’s Rüsselsheim plant produced the Opel Blitz truck, the primary transport vehicle used by the Wehrmacht in its invasions of Poland, France, and the Soviet Union. The Brandenburg plant alone produced 130,000 Blitz trucks by 1944. GM’s chief executive for overseas operations, James D. Mooney, received the Grand Cross of the German Eagle from Hitler in 1938. Throughout the war, GM’s plants used forced and slave labour supplied by the Reich. The financial manipulation was sophisticated: unable to repatriate profits after 1941, GM declared Opel ‘abandoned’ and claimed a $22.7 million tax write-off under special legislation Roosevelt signed in October 1942 – even while Opel continued producing for the Wehrmacht. After the war, GM regained control of its valuable German facilities and resumed operations. The company profited from pre-war collaboration (1933–1941), wartime tax benefits, and post-war recovery of industrial assets.</p>
<p>The suppression of this history constitutes another pernicious form of erasure – this time concerning the systemic integration of US capital into the Nazi war machine. Not one US corporate executive faced prosecution for operating concentration camp factories or automating the Holocaust. Instead, they collected compensation for bomb damage and tax write-offs for their ‘losses’. This evidence refutes the claim that President Franklin Roosevelt was merely constrained by public opinion; it documents a state policy that protected these powerful corporate interests. The formula was established: profit from building fascism’s capacity for genocide, then profit from fascism’s defeat.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Recruiting the Enemy: Nazi Industrialists and Scientists</h2>
<p>While Nazi scientists received US laboratories, Nazi industrialists received US protection. Alfred Krupp – whose slave labourers built the Wehrmacht’s arsenal – walked free in 1951, his fortune restored by US decree.<a href="#_edn111" name="_ednref111"><sup>111</sup></a> The Quandt dynasty, enriched by concentration camp labour, became BMW billionaires.<a href="#_edn112" name="_ednref112"><sup>112</sup></a> Hermann Josef Abs, Hitler’s banker who financed Auschwitz, became an adviser to West Germany’s Chancellor Konrad Adenauer.<a href="#_edn113" name="_ednref113"><sup>113</sup></a> Ferdinand Porsche, who used Buchenwald slaves to build the Ferdinand (later Elefant) tank destroyers, saw his family’s empire flourish under US occupation.<a href="#_edn114" name="_ednref114"><sup>114</sup></a></p>
<p>Operation Paperclip (1945–1959) brought more than 1,500 Nazi war criminals to the United States, including SS members who used slave labour and conducted human experiments.<a href="#_edn115" name="_ednref115"><sup>115</sup></a> They received laboratories while scholars documenting Soviet sacrifice were blacklisted.</p>
<p>Not one Nazi industrialist – nor any of their US corporate collaborators – faced justice at Nuremberg for operating concentration camp factories.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Japanese War Crimes: The Architecture of US-Enforced Impunity</h2>
<p>Japan’s war criminals received far greater protection. Whereas the Allies prosecuted 199 major German war criminals – 24 at Nuremberg and 177 in subsequent trials – they prosecuted only 25 Japanese war criminals at Tokyo. The disparity reveals deliberate design.</p>
<p>The prosecution patterns expose the design. While 5,700 Japanese war criminals faced Allied tribunals, US official Saltzman ended these in 1949, declaring ‘no further trials’. Though 920 were executed, this was foreign justice imposed by victim nations.<a href="#_edn116" name="_ednref116"><sup>116</sup></a> Germany was forced to investigate 90,000 individuals and established domestic courts, prosecuting tens of thousands.<a href="#_edn117" name="_ednref117"><sup>117</sup></a> Japan investigated zero domestically. Japan prosecuted zero domestically. The US occupation preserved Japan’s war-criminal bureaucracy, making self-prosecution impossible.</p>
<p>The organisational immunity granted to Japan exceeded even this individual protection. At Nuremberg, the Allies declared four organisations criminal: the SS, Gestapo, SD, and Nazi Party Leadership Corps. Membership alone became grounds for prosecution. For Japan, the Allies declared zero organisations criminal. Not the Kempeitai, the military police that tortured POWs. Not the Special Higher Police, which arrested 65,000 for political crimes. Not Unit 731, whose 3,607 members conducted human experiments. This wholesale organisational immunity ensured that systematic crimes could never be prosecuted as systematic.</p>
<p>The Tokyo Trial architecture neutered crimes against humanity as a distinct category. Unlike Nuremberg’s clear distinctions, the 5,700 Japanese ‘Class B and Class C’ prosecutions were merged into a single category, with no separate Class C indictments or verdicts issued, erasing crimes against humanity as an independent charge and avoiding precedents applicable to Western colonial rule.</p>
<p>The financial disparity completed the racial hierarchy: while Germany paid $86.8 billion in Holocaust reparations through 2018, with direct compensation to victims, Japan paid $2.6 billion total through state-to-state deals with mandatory waivers blocking individual compensation. The ‘comfort women’ (<em>ianfu</em>) – 200,000 to 400,000 enslaved – saw zero prosecutions of those responsible. Chinese POWs suffered 99.9% mortality while Western POWs faced 27% mortality under the same captors. The legal architecture did not just reflect racial hierarchy; it codified it.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">From War Criminals to Japan’s Ruling Elite</h2>
<p>Unit 731 exemplified both the depths of Japanese war crimes and the completeness of US complicity. The unit’s 3,607 members called prisoners <em>maruta</em> (logs) while conducting experiments on them that defied human comprehension.<a href="#_edn118" name="_ednref118"><sup>118</sup></a> They performed vivisections without anaesthesia, infected prisoners with plague and cholera, froze limbs to study frostbite until they sounded like boards when struck, subjected prisoners to pressure chambers until their eyes popped out, used them as living targets for germ bombs and flamethrowers, and cut open pregnant women to observe foetal infection. Prisoners had a maximum life expectancy of one month; technicians fed them dumplings laced with typhoid, injected them with snake venom and prussic acid, replaced their blood with horse blood, then carefully documented their deaths before burning the bodies in oil-fuelled crematoria.</p>
<p>On 6 May 1947, MacArthur radioed Washington: Unit 731 commander Shirō Ishii would provide the ‘complete story’ if granted ‘documentary immunity’. The State-War-Navy Coordinating Committee deemed this data ‘the only known source’ of human experimentation results – research the US could not duplicate due to ‘scruples’. Fort Detrick paid 150,000–200,000 yen for the data – what General Charles Willoughby called ‘a pittance’ – and collected 8,000 pathology slides from over 200 cases of human experimentation. Fort Detrick incorporated this blood data into its biological weapons programme.</p>
<p>The racial calculus was explicit. The US executed two Japanese physicians at Yokohama for vivisecting US pilots – they were not even Unit 731. Yet all 3,607 Unit 731 members who killed 3,000 in experiments and 200,000 through biological weapons – overwhelmingly Chinese – received immunity.<a href="#_edn119" name="_ednref119"><sup>119</sup></a> US lives: prosecution. Asian lives: immunity and payment.</p>
<p>When the Soviets prosecuted twelve captured Unit 731 members at Khabarovsk in 1949 – exposing the human experiments on Chinese, Korean, and Soviet prisoners in sworn testimony – Western governments, including the US, dismissed the trial as Soviet propaganda.</p>
<p>The career trajectories of Unit 731 personnel demonstrate how immunity became advancement. Commander Ishii became a medical consultant to the US Army. His deputies founded Green Cross Pharmaceuticals. Yoshimura Hisato, who conducted frostbite experiments, became president of Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine and received the Order of the Rising Sun from Emperor Hirohito. These men trained the next generation of Japanese doctors. The Nuremberg Doctors’ Trial executed seven of twenty-three Nazi physicians for identical experiments. Japanese experimenters became medical educators.</p>
<p>The transformation of war criminals into political leadership followed the same pattern. Nobusuke Kishi administered forced labour in North China: four million enslaved, 40% mortality. At the Fushun Coal Mine, 25,000 of 40,000 workers were replaced yearly after being worked to death. MacArthur released him from Sugamo Prison on 24 December 1948 – the day after Prime Minister Hideki Tojo’s execution. The message: some war criminals hang, others rule. The CIA orchestrated Kishi’s rise: by 1957, he was prime minister, having rammed through the US-Japan Security Treaty. Nine years from war criminal to prime minister. His grandson Shinzo Abe served as prime minister for over 3,188 days, Japan’s longest tenure.<a href="#_edn120" name="_ednref120"><sup>120</sup></a></p>
<p>The financial architecture of impunity proved equally systematic. Yoshio Kodama plundered $175 million through opium trafficking – the CIA called him ‘a professional liar, gangster, charlatan, and outright thief’ yet kept him on the payroll. His stolen wealth funded the Liberal Democratic Party. Ryoichi Sasakawa, ‘the world’s wealthiest fascist’, transformed wartime loot into Japan’s gambling monopoly, funding right-wing causes globally through his Nippon Foundation.</p>
<p>The <em>zaibatsu</em> corporations – Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Nissan, Sumitomo – exploited 40,000 Chinese prisoners and hundreds of thousands of Koreans. Their executives died as honoured billionaires. Matsutaro Shoriki, a Class A war criminal, founded Nippon Television while shaping public memory for generations.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Enforcing Historical Denial</h2>
<p>The architecture of impunity required more than protecting war criminals – it demanded enforcing historical denial. Japan has never issued a full apology to Asian victims. China, with 24 million dead, received no formal unqualified apology. Indonesia lost 3.4 million, Burma 345,000, Malaya 100,000 in Sook Ching (purge) operations, the Philippines 765,000 – all without direct acknowledgement.</p>
<p>The 1995 Murayama Statement was merely personal; the Diet’s resolution avoided admitting guilt.<a href="#_edn121" name="_ednref121"><sup>121</sup></a> School textbooks minimise these crimes. Nippon Kaigi’s 40,000 members work systematically to overturn ‘the Tokyo Tribunal’s view of history’. A nation that enshrines war criminals and censors their victims cannot claim contrition.</p>
<p>MacArthur’s immunity for Hirohito created the foundation for all denial. The emperor who bore command responsibility for Unit 731 was guaranteed immunity before trials began. This created a legal black hole: if the supreme commander was immune, no organisation could be criminal, no chain of command could be traced. Hirohito died in 1989, never questioned about the millions killed under his command.</p>
<p>The Yasukuni Shrine honours 1,066 war criminals, including 14 Class A criminals. Seven prime ministers have worshipped there since 1978 – Koizumi six times. The Yushukan Museum displays the Thai-Burma Railway locomotive, celebrating Japanese engineering while erasing 90,000 Asian labourers who died building it. At Harbin’s Unit 731 Museum, victims preserve evidence perpetrators deny. Germany criminalises Holocaust denial; Japan’s establishment suppresses war crimes acknowledgement. Historians documenting atrocities face death threats. Comfort women memorials trigger diplomatic protests.</p>
<p>MacArthur architected impunity as policy, ensuring war criminals became Japan’s ruling elite, choosing anti-communist stability over justice for millions of Asian dead.</p>
<p>War criminals became cabinet ministers. Their victims became blank spaces in encyclopaedias.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="15"><span class="heading-number">15.</span> The Memory Hole: Admitting the Real War</h1>
<p>On 29 March 2025, US Defence Secretary Hegseth stood at Iwo Jima, celebrating yesterday’s enemy as today’s friend. Japan and America fought as rival empires, not ideological opponents. Their shared enemy was always socialism.</p>
<p>The historical revision accelerates. At the 2023 G7 Hiroshima Summit, the atomic bombing was recast – no longer US mass murder of civilians but a warning about Russian and Chinese nuclear threats. The victims of US nuclear weapons became props in propaganda against nations that have never used them. Japan’s prime minister stood where 140,000 died and pointed at Beijing and Moscow, not Washington.</p>
<p>Within five years of Hiroshima, MacArthur was rearming Japan. Within six years, the San Francisco Treaty excluded China and the Soviet Union – two nations that actually defeated Japanese fascism. Now, Hegseth announces Japan as a warfighting headquarters against Chinese Communist aggression. This timeline reveals the truth: a temporary conflict between imperialist states (1941–1945) and a permanent war against socialism that began in 1917 and continues for more than a century.</p>
<p>The West’s historical erasure operates on multiple levels. The first is a near-total silence in the popular sphere, where the foundational facts of the war – that the Soviet Union destroyed 80% of the Wehrmacht and China tied down the Japanese army at a cost of 27 million and 24 million dead respectively – are simply absent.</p>
<p>Beyond this public silencing, a more subtle academic erasure occurs. Even when a high death toll – perhaps 50 million – is technically acknowledged, it is frequently buried in obscure, supposedly neutral texts and presented as data stripped of perpetrator, responsibility, and the context of a socialist victory. Simultaneously, the most comprehensive research from victim nations is actively minimised through a grotesque demand for bookkeeping from the graveyards, allowing their casualty reports to be dismissed as politically inflated while the perpetrators control the historical ledger. This is how empires lie – by making the dead disappear twice. First, they kill and maim them. Then they deny they ever existed. The gap between Western admissions and reality is not an error, oversight, or methodological difference. It is a deliberate, systematic, and ongoing act of erasure.</p>
<p>The full accounting, therefore, requires restoring this lost context and human cost. The calculation is derived by summing two main groups of silenced victims:</p>
<ul>
<li>The full human cost of the WAFW, including both the socialist victors and the colonised victims whose suffering is ignored:
<ul>
<li>Soviet Union: 40–45 million casualties (dead and wounded)</li>
<li>China: 35–50 million casualties (dead and wounded)</li>
<li>Colonised peoples (Asia and Africa): 11.2 million dead</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The victims of the anti-communist genocides that followed, and whose murders are minimised or forgotten:
<ul>
<li>Koreans killed: 4.5 million</li>
<li>Southeast Asians killed (Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia): 3.1–5.1 million</li>
<li>Indonesians killed (1965–1966): 1–2 million</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>The sum of these figures reveals the true scale of what is hidden behind the West’s neutralised data and public silence: a total of 90–115 million human beings rendered invisible. This conservative tally does not even include the victims of terror by US-backed regimes from Chile to Guatemala, nor those murdered during six centuries of uninterrupted imperial barbarism across the African continent. Every uncounted casualty serves empire. Every genocide minimised protects the guilty.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="16"><span class="heading-number">16.</span> The Architecture of Betrayal: Cairo to San Francisco</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Post-War Betrayals Were Scripted before the War Ended</h2>
<p>The Cairo Declaration (27 November 1943) promised Korea would become ‘free and independent’ – Roosevelt, Churchill, and Chiang signed this while Korean forced labourers died in Japanese mines.<a href="#_edn122" name="_ednref122"><sup>122</sup></a> The Atlantic Charter (1941) guaranteed ‘no territorial changes that do not accord with the freely expressed wishes of the peoples concerned’.<a href="#_edn123" name="_ednref123"><sup>123</sup></a> However, Prime Minister Churchill clarified to Parliament less than a month later that this principle applied only to ‘states and nations of Europe now under the Nazi yoke’ and explicitly excluded the subjects of the British Empire.<a href="#_edn124" name="_ednref124"><sup>124</sup></a> The Potsdam Declaration (26 July 1945) demanded Japan’s complete demilitarisation and China’s territorial restoration. Roosevelt’s ‘Four Policemen’ concept envisioned the UN under the control of four great powers: the US, Britain, the USSR, and China. Every promise would be systematically broken.</p>
<p>The reversal began immediately. In August 1945, Dean Rusk – a mere colonel – drew the 38th parallel line dividing Korea, the nation promised independence.<a href="#_edn125" name="_ednref125"><sup>125</sup></a> By 1950, the US was incinerating the Korea it had pledged to free. The Atlantic Charter’s territorial integrity? The US would eventually establish 902 foreign military bases across 98 countries and territories.<a href="#_edn126" name="_ednref126"><sup>126</sup></a></p>
<p>After the WAFW, the US military occupied Okinawa – the Ryukyu Kingdom that Japan had forcibly annexed in 1879. The Potsdam Declaration limited Japanese sovereignty to its main islands and ‘such minor islands as we determine’ but made no provision for Ryukyuan self-determination. The US simply replaced Japan as the occupying power, maintaining control until 1972 when it transferred administrative authority back to Japan – again without consulting the Okinawan people. US bases remained, occupying 18% of the island today, where 70% of all US forces in Japan are concentrated.<a href="#_edn127" name="_ednref127"><sup>127</sup></a> Japan’s demilitarisation? MacArthur created the Police Reserve (later known as the Self-Defence Forces) in 1950, just five years after the bombing of Hiroshima.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The San Francisco Exclusion</h2>
<p>The Treaty of San Francisco (8 September 1951) crystallised the betrayal through calculated exclusion. Neither Beijing nor Taipei was invited, despite China having borne 35–50 million casualties defeating Japan. The USSR attended but refused to sign.<a href="#_edn128" name="_ednref128"><sup>128</sup></a> Soviet delegate Andrei Gromyko protested that the treaty would turn Japan into ‘an American military base’ while excluding China, ‘one of the main victims’.<a href="#_edn129" name="_ednref129"><sup>129</sup></a> When he attempted to secure a discussion, US-orchestrated parliamentary manoeuvres ruled him ‘out of order’. The question of China’s participation was simply dismissed. US Secretary of State John Foster Dulles received ‘paeans of praise’ from twenty delegations for engineering this exclusion – the same Dulles who would later threaten ‘massive retaliation’ and push the world to nuclear brinkmanship. The US negotiated peace with Japan by excluding the two nations that sacrificed the most in defeating it. This was not oversight – it set the security architecture of post-war East Asia.</p>
<p>The United Nations (UN), designed for collective security through great power cooperation, was immediately circumvented. The US exploited the Soviet absence during the Security Council vote on Korea then created alternatives to bypass Soviet vetoes. The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO), established in 1949, and other parallel structures operated outside UN authority. By calling Korea a ‘police action’, the US established precedent for endless interventions without Security Council approval. The same semantic manipulation is used today in Syria, Libya, and Yemen.</p>
<p>Three wars. One pattern.</p>
<p>The final accounting shatters imperial mythology: those with overwhelming wealth inflicted maximum violence on those who had the least – and still lost. Socialist forces with minimal wealth mobilised maximum humanity – and won.</p>
<p>Today’s ‘new Cold War’ against China and Russia (independent, not socialist) follows the same script. The faces change, the imperialism remains. When Western media demonise China while ignoring its lifting of 800 million from poverty, when it portrays Russia as aggressive while NATO expands to its borders, we see the same propaganda machinery that erased the truth about who defeated fascism.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="17"><span class="heading-number">17.</span> Conclusion: The World Anti-Fascist War within the Century-Long Struggle</h1>
<p>The WAFW was not humanity’s ‘good war’ against evil, after which peace prevailed. It involved one chapter in imperialism’s century-long assault on socialism that began with the 1917 Russian Revolution and continues today.</p>
<p>The liberal fiction of three competing systems – democracy, fascism, and communism – obscures the truth: fascism is capitalism in crisis, its mask dropped. The real struggle was never between three systems but between two: socialism and capitalism, with fascism as capitalism’s emergency response to revolutionary threat.</p>
<p>The colonial metropoles supported fascism’s rise – from Churchill praising Mussolini to US corporations building Hitler’s war machine – because fascism was the solution to defeat any emergence of socialism in the weakest links of the imperialist chain and to destroy the Soviet experiment. Only when fascism threatened the interests of Western imperialist powers did they reluctantly join the socialist powers they had hoped to see destroyed.</p>
<p>The numbers expose the truth with brutal clarity.</p>
<p>The Soviet Union and China – controlling less than one-sixth of global economic output – destroyed over 80% of fascist military power while suffering 59.8% of all WAFW deaths. They won the war. Roosevelt and Churchill positioned themselves to win the peace. This was not a coincidence, strategy, or clever timing. This was betrayal – planned from the beginning, executed with precision, covered with propaganda that continues to this day – as the West celebrates D-Day while minimising Moscow and Stalingrad, honours Churchill while hiding his Bengal genocide, and claims victory while those who actually won lie in unmarked graves by the millions.</p>
<p>But this war never strategically ended. It simply changed form. In 1931, Japan invaded China. In 1941, Germany invaded the USSR. In 1950, the US invaded Korea. In 1955, the US took over France’s war in Vietnam. No pause between ‘defeating fascism’ and attacking socialism – because defeating socialism was always the decisive goal.</p>
<p>The same arithmetic of sacrifice continued. Korea: 4.5 million deaths, while the US lost 54,246. Vietnam: 3.1 million deaths by Vietnamese documentation, while the US lost 58,000. Indonesia: 1–2 million murdered in 1965–1966 through death lists provided by the governments of Australia and the United States.<a href="#_edn130" name="_ednref130"><sup>130</sup></a> For Africa there have been six centuries of uninterrupted imperial barbarism, starting with the slave trade and colonial genocide. This year also marks seventy years since the 1955 Bandung Conference, when twenty-nine African and Asian nations declared their refusal to be pawns in the Cold War while demanding genuine independence from both colonial rule and emerging neocolonial domination.</p>
<p>Today, anti-communist and colonial genocide has stretched from Korea’s mountains and Indonesia’s islands to Congo’s mines, Chile’s copper fields, and Gaza – the target never changes. Each nation pays in blood for the crime of seeking real independence. The weapons improve; the genocide remains constant. Any nation attempting truly independent development faces the choice: submit to capital or face imperialist assault.</p>
<p>As the US-led military bloc now accounts for over 75% of the world’s total military spending, as NATO expands despite promises, and as sanctions strangle any nation asserting sovereignty – from Cuba to the Sahel – imperialism promotes the same war by other means.<a href="#_edn131" name="_ednref131"><sup>131</sup></a> The ‘rules-based international order’ means the same thing as the ‘civilising mission’: submit or be destroyed.</p>
<p>When Western leaders invoke the World Anti-Fascist War to justify aggression, remember who actually fought and died. They claim to defend democracy, yet they allied with fascism until forced to fight. They promise to protect human rights while they let millions burn, preserving their strength.</p>
<p>The Soviet and Chinese peoples saved humanity not through wealth but through sacrifice; not through superior resources but through superior strategy; not through the preservation of capital but through the mobilisation of the masses.</p>
<p>Socialist peoples and leadership can defeat imperialism in any form – fascist then, hyper-imperialist now – despite every material disadvantage. That victory required genius, courage, and unimaginable sacrifice. It also proved something imperialism cannot accept: ordinary people, organised and led with brilliance, can defeat any empire. Mao crystallised this truth in <em>On Protracted War</em> (1938): ‘The richest source of power to wage war lies in the masses of the people’. Not in GDP percentages or military budgets, not in colonial extraction or industrial capacity, but in the mobilised masses who refuse to kneel. The arithmetic proved him right: those with 8% of world GDP defeated those with 30–32%. The formula remains unchanged – when the people are organised, no empire can stand.</p>
<p>We live in times of change not seen in a hundred years. It has been a century since the first socialist state established the precedent that a world beyond capital was achievable. Today, for the first time since 1900, the eight richest imperialist countries have fallen from 57.3% of world GDP to 29.9% – their economic stranglehold weakening as the Global South rises. We draw inspiration from all our martyrs. We will not allow their sacrifice to be in vain. History is on our side.</p>
<p>That is why they lie about who won the war.</p>
<p>That is why we must tell the truth.</p>
<h1 class="fwafw--img-header fwafw--img-header--apendix"><span class="fwafw--img-header-text">Appendix<i>:</i></span> <span class="fwafw--img-header-subtext">Data, Sources, and Methodology</span></h1>
<p>This appendix provides a comprehensive overview of the data sources, calculations, and methodological principles underpinning this study. It is intended to offer transparency and a centralised resource for readers seeking to understand the foundational evidence for the article’s central arguments. The appendix is divided into three sections:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Data Tables and Sources for Figures:</strong> the summary tables as they appear in the article</li>
<li><strong>Methodological Notes:</strong> explanations of how data were calculated and interpreted, including key comparative data tables</li>
<li><strong>Verbatim Data Source Excerpts:</strong> key data tables reproduced directly from primary sources for full transparency</li>
</ul>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Section 1: Data Tables and Sources for Figures</h2>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 1</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Economic capacity and population (1941)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>GDP (billions, 1990 international dollars)</th>
<th>% of world GDP</th>
<th>Population (millions)</th>
<th>% of world population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>412</td>
<td>8.7%</td>
<td>70.2</td>
<td>3.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>196</td>
<td>4.1%</td>
<td>74.0</td>
<td>3.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>344</td>
<td>7.2%</td>
<td>48.2</td>
<td>2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US</td>
<td>1,094</td>
<td>23.0%</td>
<td>133.9</td>
<td>5.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>359</td>
<td>7.5%</td>
<td>195.4</td>
<td>8.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>238</td>
<td>5.0%</td>
<td>521.5</td>
<td>23.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>World total</strong></td>
<td><strong>4,759</strong></td>
<td><strong>100.0%</strong></td>
<td><strong>2,260.4</strong></td>
<td><strong>100.0%</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="5">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Population data mainly from Maddison (2010); GDP data mainly from Harrison (1998), p. 10, table 1.3; USSR population for 1941 from Statista (2025); China and world-total GDP are corroborated estimates by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 2</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Late to the fight: troops as a percentage of population (1939–1945)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>US</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
<td>2.9%</td>
<td>6.6%</td>
<td>8.2%</td>
<td>8.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
<td>7.0%</td>
<td>8.5%</td>
<td>9.8%</td>
<td>10.1%</td>
<td>10.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>2.6%</td>
<td>3.6%</td>
<td>6.0%</td>
<td>6.4%</td>
<td>6.8%</td>
<td>6.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>6.5%</td>
<td>8.3%</td>
<td>10.4%</td>
<td>11.9%</td>
<td>13.5%</td>
<td>13.5%</td>
<td>11.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>2.2%</td>
<td>3.3%</td>
<td>3.8%</td>
<td>4.9%</td>
<td>7.0%</td>
<td>10.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Troops data from Harrison (1998), p. 14, table 1.5; population from Maddison (2010) and Statista (2025). See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 3</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Western calculations on the relative value of a life: Lend-Lease distribution (1941–1945)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country/group</th>
<th>Lend-Lease aid ($)</th>
<th>Deaths</th>
<th>Aid per death ($)</th>
<th>Per capita aid ($)</th>
<th>1945 population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>631,509,000</td>
<td>24,050,000</td>
<td>26</td>
<td>1.2</td>
<td>532,607,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>British India<sup>1</sup></td>
<td>3,567,477,000</td>
<td>3,000,000</td>
<td>1,189</td>
<td>8.6</td>
<td>417,050,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>White settler states<sup>2</sup></td>
<td>2,432,913,000</td>
<td>55,000</td>
<td>44,235</td>
<td>268.0</td>
<td>9,077,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>23,335,549,000</td>
<td>432,000</td>
<td>54,017</td>
<td>474.5</td>
<td>49,182,000</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>
<p><strong>Sources:</strong> Lend-Lease aid numbers from US Department of State (1945), p. 14, table 2, and pp. 42–43, table 25; population data from Maddison (2010); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India death data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See Section 2 for full methodology.</p>
<ol>
<li>‘British India’ here refers to India and today’s Pakistan and Bangladesh. The Lend-Lease aid and population numbers for British India and Ceylon (now Sri Lanka) are included here.</li>
<li>‘White settler states’ refers to Australia and New Zealand.</li>
</ol>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 4</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The economics of delay: military spending commitments</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>US</td>
<td>1%</td>
<td>2%</td>
<td>11%</td>
<td>31%</td>
<td>42%</td>
<td>42%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>15%</td>
<td>44%</td>
<td>53%</td>
<td>52%</td>
<td>55%</td>
<td>53%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>17%</td>
<td>28%</td>
<td>61%</td>
<td>61%</td>
<td>53%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>23%</td>
<td>40%</td>
<td>52%</td>
<td>64%</td>
<td>70%</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>22%</td>
<td>22%</td>
<td>27%</td>
<td>33%</td>
<td>43%</td>
<td>76%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 21, table 1.8. See Section 3 for a verbatim transcript of the source data.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 5</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Who paid the price: death distribution in the World Anti-Fascist War</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Group</th>
<th>Deaths</th>
<th>Deaths as % of world total</th>
<th>Note</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>USSR + China</td>
<td>51,050,000</td>
<td>59.8%</td>
<td>Socialist forces who saved humanity</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>colonies (Asia/Africa)</td>
<td>11,218,000</td>
<td>13.1%</td>
<td>Victims of both Japanese fascism and Allied extraction</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Axis powers</td>
<td>11,007,000</td>
<td>12.9%</td>
<td>The fascist aggressors</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td>9,514,000</td>
<td>11.1%</td>
<td>Caught between fascism and liberation</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td>1,595,700</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
<td>France, Netherlands, Belgium (colonial powers)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Anglo-American (US + UK)</td>
<td>847,000</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
<td>US + UK who claimed ‘victory’</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World total deaths</td>
<td>85,335,700</td>
<td>100.0%</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 6</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Global distribution of World Anti-Fascist War deaths</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>% of world total deaths</th>
<th>% of country population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>31.6%</td>
<td>13.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>28.2%</td>
<td>4.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>French Indochina</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
<td>6.5%*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dutch East Indies</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="3">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> USSR death data from Andreev et al. (1993); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; French Indochina population from Budge (2014) and death data from The National WWII Museum New Orleans (n.d.); other population data from Maddison (2010). See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 7</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The USSR and China bear history’s burden</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Deaths (Western estimates)</th>
<th>Country reported/calculated deaths</th>
<th>Country reported/calculated deaths</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>20–27 million</td>
<td>27 million</td>
<td>40–45 million</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>14–20 million</td>
<td>24.1 million</td>
<td>35–50 million</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405, p. 442. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 8</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">When even the killers confess: perpetrator admissions</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>War</th>
<th>Perpetrator</th>
<th>Position</th>
<th>Direct quote</th>
<th>Deaths confirmed</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>WAFW</td>
<td>Winston Churchill</td>
<td>British prime minister</td>
<td>Indians ‘breed like rabbits… the Hindus were a foul race protected by their mere pullulation from the doom that is their due’. He wished that the head of British Bomber Command could: ‘send some of his surplus bombers to destroy them’.</td>
<td>Denying Bengal Famine relief; 3 million died</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>WAFW</td>
<td>Government of Japan</td>
<td>Murayama Statement (1995)</td>
<td>‘Caused tremendous damage and suffering to the people of many countries, particularly to those of Asian nations’.</td>
<td>Validates 24 million Chinese deaths</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>WAFW</td>
<td>Shirō Ishii</td>
<td>Unit 731 commander</td>
<td>Called prisoners ‘logs’; US paid for his data.</td>
<td>12,000+ murdered</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea</td>
<td>Curtis LeMay</td>
<td>Strategic Air Command</td>
<td>‘We killed off – what – twenty percent of the population’.</td>
<td>1.9 million North Korean deaths</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea</td>
<td>Emmett O’Donnell</td>
<td>Far East Bomber Command</td>
<td>‘Everything is destroyed. Nothing standing worthy of the name’.</td>
<td>85% of infrastructure destroyed</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="5">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Author’s elaboration based on Mukerjee (2010), p. 205, pp. 246–247; Murayama (1995); Nie, Guo, Selden, and Kleinman (2010), p. 5; Kohn and Harahan (1988), p. 88; Stone (1952), p. 312.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered" style="width: 100%; height: 112px;">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 9</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Fascism defeated: Korea and Vietnam choose sovereignty and socialism, face genocide</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr style="height: 16px;">
<th style="height: 16px;"></th>
<th style="height: 16px;" colspan="2">Deaths (admitted by West)</th>
<th style="height: 16px;" colspan="2">Deaths (estimates from invaded countries)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Country</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">Total deaths</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">% of pre-war population</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">Total deaths</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">% of pre-war population</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">DPRK (Korean War)</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1.5–2.5 million</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15.6%–26.0%</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Vietnam (Vietnam War)</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3.1–5.1 million</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8.3%–13.7%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;" colspan="5">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Shin (2001), Halliday and Cumings (1988); The Star-Ledger (1995); Vietnam Veterans of America (2025). See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Section 2: Methodological Notes</h2>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">GDP and Population Data Methodology</h4>
<p>All GDP and population data in this article follow a systematic source hierarchy to ensure consistency and maximise data coverage.</p>
<p><strong>GDP Data</strong></p>
<p>All GDP values are expressed in 1990 International Geary-Khamis dollars for cross-country comparability. Primary GDP figures are sourced from Harrison (1998). Where Harrison does not provide coverage, data are supplemented from Maddison (2010). Alternative sources are used only when both primary sources lack the required data.</p>
<p>The 1941 world GDP total is estimated using the following methodology: beginning with Maddison’s 1940 world total ($4,547 billion), we calculated the weighted average growth rate (4.6%) for countries with continuous 1940–1941 coverage (representing 73.7% of 1940 world GDP) and applied this rate to derive the 1941 global estimate based on 1940 world GDP data. Calculation: $4,547 billion × 1.046 = $4,759 billion.<a href="#_edn132" name="_ednref132"><sup>132</sup></a></p>
<p>For China, only the 1938 GDP figure is available; its 1941 GDP and share of world GDP are estimates.<a href="#_edn133" name="_ednref133"><sup>133</sup></a></p>
<p><strong>Population Data</strong></p>
<p>Population figures primarily derive from the Maddison 2010 database, which provides the most comprehensive coverage for the countries and time periods examined. While Harrison (1998) utilised an earlier version of Maddison’s dataset (now unavailable), this article uses the 2010 revision for consistency. Where Maddison lacks coverage, alternative sources or interpolation methods are employed. Specifically, USSR population data for 1941 and 1946 are sourced from Statista (2025), with values for 1942–1945 derived through linear interpolation.<a href="#_edn134" name="_ednref134"><sup>134</sup></a></p>
<p>We acknowledge that linear interpolation during wartime represents a simplified assumption that does not capture actual demographic disruptions; these figures should be considered rough estimates only.</p>
<p><strong>Note</strong></p>
<p>All interpolated or derived values represent methodological compromises necessitated by gaps in the historical record. Where territorial boundaries changed during the period under study, we use the boundaries as defined by the primary source for each respective year.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Note on Casualty Calculations for the World Anti-Fascist War</h4>
<p>This study documents deaths only. Our total of 85.3 million deaths falls at the high end of Western ranges, primarily due to our acceptance of comprehensive national research projects from the nations that suffered most.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>USSR:</strong> The figure of 27 million Soviet deaths is from Andreev et al. (1993).<a href="#_edn135" name="_ednref135"><sup>135</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>China (1931–1945):</strong> We assert that the WAFW began with Japan’s invasion of Northeast China in 1931. Our total of 24.05 million Chinese deaths is a comprehensive figure derived from multiple components, based primarily on the research of Bian (2012). The calculation is as follows:
<ul>
<li><strong>Direct deaths (1937–1945):</strong> about 20.6 million</li>
<li><strong>Indirect deaths (1937–1945):</strong> about 3 million (primarily from war-induced famine and displacement)</li>
<li><strong>Estimated deaths (1931–1937):</strong> about 450,000 (an educated estimate, as official figures for this period are unavailable, based on numerous documented incidents during the initial invasion and occupation of Northeast China)</li>
<li><strong>Total calculated deaths:</strong> about 24.05 million<a href="#_edn136" name="_ednref136"><sup>136</sup></a></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>India:</strong> The calculation of Indian deaths during the WAFW centres on two primary components: military casualties (87,000) and the Bengal Famine of 1943 (3 million) (Sen, 1977). While Indian deaths totalled 3.087 million, we use the consolidated figure of 3 million for analysis.<a href="#_edn137" name="_ednref137"><sup>137</sup></a> This rounding does not materially affect any of our calculations – India’s deaths remain 3.5% of global deaths and the Lend-Lease aid per death remains $1,189. Using the round figure of 3 million maintains consistency with our conservative methodological approach while acknowledging that famine deaths, not military casualties, constitute the overwhelming majority of Indian losses.</li>
</ul>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Death Numbers for Colonies</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Group</th>
<th>Final research deaths</th>
<th>Deaths as % of world total deaths</th>
<th>Pre-war population year</th>
<th>Pre-war population (Maddison)</th>
<th>Deaths as % of pre-war population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Burma</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>270,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,368,000</td>
<td>1.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dutch East Indies<sup>1</sup></td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,400,000</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>72,903,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>100,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1934</td>
<td>12,000,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>French Indochina<sup>2</sup></td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>1,500,000</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>23,000,000</td>
<td>6.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guam</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India (British India)</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,000,000</td>
<td>3.5%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>381,400,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea<sup>3</sup></td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>483,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
<td>1936</td>
<td>21,374,000</td>
<td>2.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaya and Singapore</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>150,000</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>5,317,000</td>
<td>2.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>765,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,275,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ruanda-Urundi</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>50,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>3,800,000</td>
<td>1.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7"><strong>Sources:</strong> Population data from Maddison (2010) unless otherwise noted; death totals from country-level research cited elsewhere in this appendix. See Section 2 for full methodology.
<ol>
<li>Dutch East Indies death number from Eng (2024). <a href="#_edn138" name="_ednref138"><sup>138</sup></a></li>
<li>Population of French Indochina from Budge (2014) and death data from The National WWII Museum New Orleans (n.d.). <a href="#_edn139" name="_ednref139"><sup>139</sup></a></li>
<li>Maddison (2010) provides population data only for South Korea (1936): 15.139 million; for Korea as a whole, we use the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific estimate: 21.374 million (1975), p. 13, table 2.<a href="#_edn140" name="_ednref140"><sup>140</sup></a></li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Note:</strong> Excluding the USSR and China, all other estimates fall below the high end of Western estimates. While individual African countries appear in various tables throughout this appendix, the total African deaths figure used in our analysis is 1.6 million (conservative estimate). See below for detailed explanation.</p></td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">African Deaths in the World Anti-Fascist War</h4>
<p>The assessment of African casualties during the WAFW presents unique challenges due to incomplete colonial record-keeping and historical marginalisation of African losses. This section establishes a conservative baseline of 1.6 million deaths, with a reasonable range of 1.6–2.0 million when accounting for undocumented losses.</p>
<p><strong>Primary Source Documentation</strong></p>
<p>The Ethiopian government’s 1945 memorandum to Allied powers recorded 760,300 deaths during the Italian invasion and occupation (1935–1941), comprising:<a href="#_edn141" name="_ednref141"><sup>141</sup></a></p>
<ol>
<li>275,000 battlefield deaths</li>
<li>300,000 deaths from war-induced famine and forced displacement</li>
<li>185,300 deaths from massacres, executions, concentration camps, and chemical warfare</li>
</ol>
<p>This documentation, reported in Del Boca (1969), p. 275, represents the most rigorous national accounting from the African theatre.</p>
<p>The Oxford Research Encyclopedia of African History provides consolidated estimates for the remainder of the continent:<a href="#_edn142" name="_ednref142"><sup>142</sup></a></p>
<ul>
<li>475,000 African military personnel deaths (including colonial troops in European and Asian theatres)</li>
<li>500,000 civilian deaths from war-related causes (excluding Ethiopia)</li>
</ul>
<p>These figures synthesise recent scholarship on North African campaigns, colonial troop deployments, and civilian casualties.</p>
<p><strong>Methodological Notes</strong></p>
<p>Consistent with our definition of the WAFW (1931–1945), we include the Italo-Ethiopian War beginning in 1935 as part of global anti-fascist resistance. The documented baseline of 1.74 million deaths derives from primary sources (Ethiopian government) and peer-reviewed academic syntheses (760,300 Ethiopian + 975,000 other African).</p>
<p>Colonial records systematically undercounted African deaths, particularly forced-labour mortality, localised famines, reprisal killings, and scorched earth campaigns. Based on analogous gaps in Asian theatre documentation, a 10–15% adjustment factor could account for these exclusions, yielding an upper bound of 2 million deaths.</p>
<p><strong>Conservative Approach: Using 1.6 million</strong></p>
<p>We deliberately adopt the most conservative figure of 1.6 million African deaths – the absolute lower bound – for several reasons:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Documentary rigour:</strong> This figure requires minimal extrapolation from documented sources and accounts for potential overlap between categories, making it highly defensible on evidentiary grounds.</li>
<li><strong>Strategic understatement:</strong> Using the lowest defensible estimate ensures our broader argument about sacrifice distribution cannot be dismissed as inflated. If anything, we understate African losses.</li>
<li><strong>Comparative context:</strong> Even at 1.6 million deaths – our most conservative estimate – African losses exceeded the combined military deaths of the United States and United Kingdom (847,000 total), demonstrating the profound disparity between who paid the price and who claimed victory.</li>
</ul>
<p>The actual death toll was almost certainly higher, likely approaching 2 million when accounting for systematic colonial undercounting. However, our methodological conservatism strengthens our central argument: even using minimum estimates, the erasure of African sacrifice from WAFW narratives represents a grave historical injustice.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Death Calculations: Korean and Vietnam Wars</h4>
<ul>
<li><strong>North Korea </strong><strong>(1950–1953):</strong> <strong>5</strong>–<strong>2.5 million deaths</strong><strong>.</strong> The upper bound derives from Halliday and Cummings (1988): ‘Over 2 million North Korean civilians died and about 500,000 North Korean soldiers’.<a href="#_edn143" name="_ednref143"><sup>143</sup></a> This aligns with US Air Force General Curtis LeMay’s admission of killing ‘twenty percent of the population’.</li>
<li><strong>South Korea </strong><strong>(1950–1953):</strong> <strong>5</strong>–<strong>2 million deaths</strong><strong>.</strong> Shin (2001) notes: ‘Underreporting of war deaths and inadequate death-registration systems following the war render this estimate less than half of reported war-related losses, which are likely to have been between 1.5 and 2 million’.</li>
<li><strong>Total Korean Peninsula </strong><strong>(1950–1953):</strong> 3–4.5 million deaths, representing 10–15% of the pre-war population.</li>
<li><strong>Vietnam (1955–1975):</strong> Current Vietnamese government figures document 3.1 million deaths, with some earlier demographic studies reaching as high as 5.1 million.<a href="#_edn144" name="_ednref144"><sup>144</sup></a></li>
</ul>
<p>Note: Vietnamese and US deaths calculated as percentage of their respective 1965 populations (midpoint of 1955–1975 war period) to account for demographic changes over the twenty-year conflict. Using a single reference year provides consistent baseline for comparison while acknowledging populations fluctuated throughout the war.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Comparative Death Tolls: Korea and Vietnam</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>War</th>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Deaths (research range)</th>
<th>% of pre-war population</th>
<th>% of total war deaths</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td rowspan="3">Korea (1950–1953)</td>
<td>Korea (total)</td>
<td>3,000,000–4,500,000</td>
<td>10.1%–15.1%</td>
<td>92.3%–94.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>197,653</td>
<td>0.04%</td>
<td>4.2%–6.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States*</td>
<td>54,246</td>
<td>0.04%</td>
<td>1.1%–1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2">Vietnam (1955–1975)</td>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td>3,100,000–5,100,000</td>
<td>8.3%–13.7%</td>
<td>98.2%–98.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td>58,200</td>
<td>0.03%</td>
<td>1.1%–1.8%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<div>
<p><strong>Sources:</strong> Shin (2001); Halliday and Cumings (1988); Li (2019); Highsmith (1998); The Star-Ledger (1995); Vietnam Veterans of America (2025).</p>
<ul>
<li>US deaths listed in Korean War Veterans Memorial in Washington, DC.<a href="#_edn145" name="_ednref145"><sup>145</sup></a></li>
</ul>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Lend-Lease Aid Calculation</h4>
<p>The Department of State (1945) reports total Lend-Lease aid to the British Empire as $30.26921 billion (p. 14, table 2) but does not provide breakdowns for individual Commonwealth nations. To estimate aid distribution among the United Kingdom, British India, Australia, and New Zealand, we developed the following methodology:</p>
<p><strong>Step 1: Calculate Export Proportions Using Table 25 (pp. 42</strong><strong>–43)</strong></p>
<p>We calculated each destination’s share of total British Empire Lend-Lease exports, which is $17,954,911. Therefore, for the United Kingdom, the share is: $13,842,043 ÷ $17,954,911= 77.1%.</p>
<p><strong>Step 2: Apply Proportions to Total Aid</strong></p>
<p>We then applied these percentages to the total British Empire aid and rounded them to thousand dollars.<a href="#_edn146" name="_ednref146"><sup>146</sup></a> Therefore, for the United Kingdom, the estimated aid is: $30,269,210,000 × 77.1% = $23,335,549,000.</p>
<p>Note: Ceylon (Sri Lanka) is included with India in both the source data and our calculations, as the two were administratively linked in US Lend-Lease accounting.</p>
<p><strong>Methodological Limitations:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>This method assumes aid distribution matched export distribution, which may not reflect actual patterns.</li>
<li>Some aid may have been distributed through channels not captured in export data.</li>
<li>Military equipment transfers may have followed different allocation patterns than general supplies.</li>
</ol>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Definitional Note of British Empire</h4>
<p>This study employs two distinct definitions of ‘British Empire’ corresponding to their historical usage by the respective governments:</p>
<p><strong>British Definition (Used for Population Data)</strong></p>
<p>For the 1941 population calculations in figure 1 we use the British government’s official definition of the British Empire, which included:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Dominions:</strong> Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, and Newfoundland (separate from Canada until 1949)</li>
<li><strong>The Indian empire:</strong> India (including present-day India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh), Burma, and Ceylon</li>
<li><strong>Colonial empire:</strong> colonies, protectorates, and mandated territories across Africa, Asia, the Middle East, the Americas, Pacific, and Mediterranean regions</li>
</ol>
<p>This comprehensive definition encompasses all territories under British sovereignty or protection, regardless of their degree of self-governance.</p>
<p><strong>United States Definition (Used for Lend-Lease Aid)</strong></p>
<p>For Lend-Lease aid distribution calculations in figure 3, we necessarily adopt the US Department of State’s administrative classification from 1945. The US definition treated the British Empire as follows:</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>British Malaya</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Anglo-Egyptian Sudan</td>
<td>Australia</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gold Coast</td>
<td>New Guinea</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td>New Zealand</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>British West Africa</td>
<td>British Oceania</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>British East Africa</td>
<td>Newfoundland and Labrador</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Union of South Africa</td>
<td>Honduras</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Southern Rhodesia</td>
<td>Bermuda</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine and Transjordan</td>
<td>Bahamas</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India and Ceylon</td>
<td>Jamaica</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burma</td>
<td>Trinidad and Tobago</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<p>This definition affected how aid was allocated and reported in official US documentation.</p>
<p>The distinction is critical: while the British definition was used for understanding the Empire’s total population and resources, the US definition determined the actual flow and accounting of wartime aid. Our calculations for per capita aid and per death valuations in figure 3 reflect these US administrative categories, not British imperial self-conception.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Calculation of the Eight Richest Imperialist Countries (1900 and 2024)</h4>
<p>The comparison stating that ‘the eight richest imperialist countries have fallen from 57.3% of world GDP to 29.9%’ required specific methodological decisions for both historical consistency and political categorisation.</p>
<p><strong>2024 Calculation</strong></p>
<p>The eight richest imperialist countries are identified through GDP ranking among nations classified as imperialist powers. The eight countries are: the US, Japan, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, and Canada. Note that the GDP for these eight countries and world total are in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) sourced from World Bank World Development Indicators, last updated July 2025.</p>
<p><strong>1900 Calculation</strong></p>
<p>The eight powers in 1900 – the US, United Kingdom, German Empire, French Empire, Russian Empire, Austria-Hungary, Italy, and Japan – were all engaged in imperial expansion or colonial administration. Using Maddison (2010) as our primary source, we confronted two specific issues:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Austria-Hungary:</strong> The Maddison 2010 database does not provide unified data for Austria-Hungary, as the empire had dissolved by the database’s construction. To reconstruct the 1900 Habsburg Empire’s economic weight, we summed the GDP figures for:
<ol>
<li>Austria</li>
<li>Hungary</li>
<li>Czechoslovakia (as the Czech lands were part of Austria-Hungary in 1900)</li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>
<p>This aggregation provides the closest approximation to the actual Austria-Hungarian Empire’s economic output.</p>
<ol start="2">
<li><strong>Poland:</strong> Maddison (2010) provides Poland’s GDP for 1900, despite Poland not existing as an independent state (having been partitioned between Russia, Germany, and Austria-Hungary since 1795). To accurately reflect the 1900 distribution among the partitioning powers, we allocated Poland’s reported GDP as follows:
<ol>
<li>60% to the Russian Empire (reflecting Russia’s control of Congress Poland, the largest partition)</li>
<li>30% to the German Empire (reflecting Prussia’s control of Greater Poland and Pomerania)</li>
<li>10% to Austria-Hungary (reflecting Austrian control of Galicia)</li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>
<p>These percentages approximate the territorial and population distribution of the Polish partitions.</p>
<p><strong>Note on Political Categorisation</strong></p>
<p>The exclusion of Russia from the 2024 list and its inclusion in the 1900 list reflects changed historical circumstances and our analysis of contemporary global power structures. This methodological decision ensures consistency in tracking the economic weight of imperialist powers across time.</p>
<p>The resulting calculation shows these eight imperialist powers controlled approximately 57.3% of world GDP in 1900, compared to the current eight richest imperialist countries’ 29.9% share in 2024.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Section 3: Verbatim Data Source Excerpts</h2>
<p>This section reproduces key data tables from foundational sources to provide maximum transparency for the statistical claims made in this article.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 1. Economic capacity and population (1941)</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 1.3</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Wartime GDP of the great powers (1939–1945) in 1990 international dollars and prices (billions)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Alliance/country</th>
<th>1938</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>800</td>
<td>869</td>
<td>943</td>
<td>1,094</td>
<td>1,235</td>
<td>1,399</td>
<td>1,499</td>
<td>1,474</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>284</td>
<td>287</td>
<td>316</td>
<td>344</td>
<td>353</td>
<td>361</td>
<td>346</td>
<td>331</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>186</td>
<td>199</td>
<td>82</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>101</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>117</td>
<td>92</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>359</td>
<td>366</td>
<td>417</td>
<td>359</td>
<td>318</td>
<td>464</td>
<td>495</td>
<td>396</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied total</strong></td>
<td>1,629</td>
<td>1,721</td>
<td>1,757</td>
<td>1,798</td>
<td>1,906</td>
<td>2,223</td>
<td>2,458</td>
<td>2,394</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>351</td>
<td>384</td>
<td>387</td>
<td>412</td>
<td>417</td>
<td>426</td>
<td>437</td>
<td>310</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>82</td>
<td>130</td>
<td>116</td>
<td>110</td>
<td>93</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td>24</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>29</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>28</td>
<td>29</td>
<td>12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>141</td>
<td>151</td>
<td>147</td>
<td>144</td>
<td>145</td>
<td>137</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>169</td>
<td>184</td>
<td>192</td>
<td>196</td>
<td>197</td>
<td>194</td>
<td>189</td>
<td>144</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> total</strong></td>
<td>686</td>
<td>747</td>
<td>835</td>
<td>911</td>
<td>903</td>
<td>895</td>
<td>748</td>
<td>466</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Allies/Axis</td>
<td>2.4</td>
<td>2.3</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>2.5</td>
<td>3.3</td>
<td>5.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR/Germany</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>0.8</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.3</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 10, table 1.3.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 2. Late to the fight: troops as a percentage of population (1939–1945)</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 1.5</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Armed forces of the great powers (1939–1945) (thousands)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Alliance/country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>1,620</td>
<td>3,970</td>
<td>9,020</td>
<td>11,410</td>
<td>11,430</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>480</td>
<td>2,273</td>
<td>3,383</td>
<td>4,091</td>
<td>4,761</td>
<td>4,967</td>
<td>5,090</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>5,000</td>
<td>7,000</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>5,000</td>
<td>7,100</td>
<td>11,340</td>
<td>11,858</td>
<td>12,225</td>
<td>12,100</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Allied total</strong></td>
<td>5,480</td>
<td>14,273</td>
<td>12,103</td>
<td>19,401</td>
<td>25,639</td>
<td>28,602</td>
<td>28,620</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>4,522</td>
<td>5,762</td>
<td>7,309</td>
<td>8,410</td>
<td>9,480</td>
<td>9,420</td>
<td>7,830</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>1,740</td>
<td>2,340</td>
<td>3,227</td>
<td>3,810</td>
<td>3,815</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>1,630</td>
<td>2,420</td>
<td>2,840</td>
<td>3,700</td>
<td>5,380</td>
<td>7,730</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> total</strong></td>
<td>6,262</td>
<td>9,732</td>
<td>12,956</td>
<td>15,060</td>
<td>16,995</td>
<td>14,800</td>
<td>15,560</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td>Allies/Axis:</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eastern Front</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.5</td>
<td>1.4</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>2.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Western and Pacific fronts</td>
<td>1.2</td>
<td>0.8</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>1.6</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 14, table 1.5.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 3.11</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The working population of the United States (thousands, annual average of monthly series)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th>Total</th>
<th colspan="5">By employment status</th>
<th colspan="2">By gender</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td><strong>C</strong><strong>ivilian employees</strong></td>
<td><strong>A</strong><strong>rmed forces</strong></td>
<td colspan="2"><strong>E</strong><strong>mployed population total</strong></td>
<td><strong>U</strong><strong>nemployed population total</strong></td>
<td><strong>M</strong><strong>ale</strong></td>
<td><strong>F</strong><strong>emale</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong> </strong></td>
<td><strong>1</strong></td>
<td><strong>2</strong></td>
<td><strong>3</strong></td>
<td colspan="2"><strong>4</strong></td>
<td><strong>5</strong></td>
<td><strong>6</strong></td>
<td><strong>7</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td style="text-align: center;" colspan="9">Numbers, thousands</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1938</td>
<td>54,872</td>
<td>44,142</td>
<td>340</td>
<td colspan="2">44,482</td>
<td>10,390</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1939</td>
<td>55,588</td>
<td>45,738</td>
<td>370</td>
<td colspan="2">46,108</td>
<td>9,480</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1940</td>
<td>56,180</td>
<td>47,520</td>
<td>540</td>
<td colspan="2">48,060</td>
<td>8,120</td>
<td>41,940</td>
<td>14,160</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1941</td>
<td>57,630</td>
<td>50,350</td>
<td>1,620</td>
<td colspan="2">51,970</td>
<td>5,660</td>
<td>43,070</td>
<td>14,650</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1942</td>
<td>60,380</td>
<td>53,750</td>
<td>3,970</td>
<td colspan="2">57,720</td>
<td>2,660</td>
<td>44,200</td>
<td>16,150</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1943</td>
<td>64,560</td>
<td>54,470</td>
<td>9,020</td>
<td colspan="2">63,490</td>
<td>1,070</td>
<td>45,950</td>
<td>18,830</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1944</td>
<td>66,040</td>
<td>53,960</td>
<td>11,410</td>
<td colspan="2">65,370</td>
<td>670</td>
<td>46,930</td>
<td>19,390</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1945</td>
<td>65,290</td>
<td>52,820</td>
<td>11,430</td>
<td colspan="2">64,250</td>
<td>1,040</td>
<td>46,910</td>
<td>19,304</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1946</td>
<td>60,970</td>
<td>55,250</td>
<td>3,450</td>
<td colspan="2">58,700</td>
<td>2,270</td>
<td>43,690</td>
<td>16,840</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1947</td>
<td>61,758</td>
<td>57,812</td>
<td>1,590</td>
<td colspan="2">59,402</td>
<td>2,356</td>
<td>44,258</td>
<td>16,683</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td style="text-align: center;" colspan="9">Sources of the increase in employment over 1940, thousands</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1941</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">3,910</td>
<td>2,560</td>
<td>1,130</td>
<td>490</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1942</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">9,660</td>
<td>5,460</td>
<td>2,260</td>
<td>1,960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1943</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">15,430</td>
<td>7,050</td>
<td>4,010</td>
<td>4,670</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1944</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">17,310</td>
<td>7,450</td>
<td>4,990</td>
<td>5,230</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1945</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">16,190</td>
<td>7,080</td>
<td>4,970</td>
<td>5,144</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1946</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">10,640</td>
<td>5,850</td>
<td>1,750</td>
<td>2,680</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1947</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">11,342</td>
<td>5,764</td>
<td>2,318</td>
<td>2,523</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 108, table 3.11.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Population</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
<th>1946</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>69,286</td>
<td>69,835</td>
<td>70,244</td>
<td>70,834</td>
<td>70,411</td>
<td>69,865</td>
<td>67,000</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>47,991</td>
<td>48,226</td>
<td>48,216</td>
<td>48,400</td>
<td>48,789</td>
<td>49,016</td>
<td>49,182</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>131,539</td>
<td>132,637</td>
<td>133,922</td>
<td>135,386</td>
<td>137,272</td>
<td>138,937</td>
<td>140,474</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>192,379</td>
<td>195,970</td>
<td>195,400*</td>
<td>190,167</td>
<td>185,074</td>
<td>180,118</td>
<td>175,294</td>
<td>170,600*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>516,046</td>
<td>518,770</td>
<td>521,508</td>
<td>524,261</td>
<td>527,028</td>
<td>529,810</td>
<td>532,607</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>72,364</td>
<td>72,967</td>
<td>74,005</td>
<td>75,029</td>
<td>76,005</td>
<td>77,178</td>
<td>76,224</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Maddison (2010); USSR 1941 and 1946 from Statista (2025); 1942–1945 are estimations. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 3. Western calculations on the relative value of a life: Lend-Lease distribution (1941–1945)</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 2</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Lend-Lease aid by country (March 1941–1 October 1945)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Amount ($)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>British Empire</td>
<td>30,269,210,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>10,801,131,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>1,406,600,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>631,509,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Republics</td>
<td>421,467,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td>162,157,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td>75,416,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td>52,443,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td>34,640,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td>28,063,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yugoslavia</td>
<td>25,885,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Other countries</td>
<td>43,284,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Aid not charged to foreign governments</td>
<td>2,088,249,000</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Total Lend-Lease aid</strong></td>
<td><strong>46,040,054,000</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> US Department of State (1945), p. 14, table 2.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered" style="width: 100%; height: 1936px;">
<caption>
<h5>Table 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Lend-Lease exports (thousands of dollars)</h3>
<p>Exports are classified by the country to which the goods are shipped, not by the country for whose account they are shipped. The bulk of supplies exported to Egypt, for example, was for use by the British troops in North Africa and the Middle East and was charged to the United Kingdom account.</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr style="height: 16px;">
<th style="height: 16px;">Country</th>
<th style="height: 16px;">Jan–June 1945</th>
<th style="height: 16px;">July–Sept 1945</th>
<th style="height: 16px;">Cumulative to Oct. 1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Europe:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">United Kingdom</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,507,140</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">339,077</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,842,043</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">USSR</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,392,427</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">314,936</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9,477,866</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">France</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">117,598</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">109,190</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">243,900</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Netherlands</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,550</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15,706</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">17,256</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Belgium and Luxembourg</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">42,132</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21,944</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">64,076</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Iceland</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,087</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">82</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,840</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other countries</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">119,904</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">33,042</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">641,571</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total Europe</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>3,181,834</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>833,977</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>24,293,352</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Africa and Middle East:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French Morocco</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,274</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7,178</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">106,843</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Algeria</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">36,074</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">17,261</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">407,194</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Tunisia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9,208</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,597</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">25,117</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Libya</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">250</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">22</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,315</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Egypt</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">113,685</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,828</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,014,806</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Anglo-Egyptian Sudan</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">69</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">12</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,192</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French Equatorial Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">681</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">108</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,203</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French West Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8,296</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,530</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">35,066</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Gold Coast</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">143</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">117</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">42,299</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Nigeria</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">131</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">72</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21,971</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British West Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">350</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">71</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,071</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Belgian Congo</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">368</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">118</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,144</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British East Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,653</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">330</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">66,617</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Union of South Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9,553</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,037</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">234,067</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Southern Rhodesia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">72</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">12</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">12,631</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,660</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">229</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">10,252</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Turkey</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">27</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">142</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">104,012</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Syria</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">182</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,863</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Iraq</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,164</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">832</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">161,477</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Iran</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,144</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,361</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">64,839</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Palestine and Transjordan</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">680</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">702</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">16,172</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other Middle East</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,976</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">256</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,574</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total Africa and Middle East</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>204,640</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>58,836</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>3,392,725</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Far East and Oceania:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">China</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">32,129</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15,827</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">223,904</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">India and Ceylon</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">369,438</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">102,351</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,116,135</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Burma</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">451</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,878</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British Malaya</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8,790</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Netherlands Indies</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">23,550</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Australia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">189,272</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">72,515</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,226,216</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">New Guinea</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">192</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">49</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,826</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">New Zealand</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">11,944</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7,488</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">216,925</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British Oceania</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">299</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">114</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,953</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French Pacific Islands</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">84</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">36</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,431</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total Far East and Oceania</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>603,358</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>198,831</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>3,836,608</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>North, Central, and South America:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Canada</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">44,243</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">10,278</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">628,013</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Newfoundland and Labrador</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">112</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">57</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,197</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Mexico</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,644</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">355</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">18,832</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Guatemala</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,089</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">El Salvador</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">851</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Honduras</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">11</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">324</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Nicaragua</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">31</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">628</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Costa Rica</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">145</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Bermuda</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">92</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">36</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,500</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Bahamas</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,685</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,297</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">58,641</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Cuba</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">605</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">138</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,777</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Jamaica</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">123</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">75</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,969</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Haiti</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">713</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">123</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,140</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Trinidad and Tobago</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,093</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">115</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">27,494</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Curacao</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">66</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">151</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8,237</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French West Indies</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,355</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">794</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,565</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Colombia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">391</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">68</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,352</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Venezuela</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">232</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">35</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,751</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Surinam</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">70</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,131</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Ecuador</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">181</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,868</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Peru</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,832</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">186</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">14,184</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Bolivia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,201</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">44</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,436</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Chile</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,678</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">325</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,988</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Brazil</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15,103</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,842</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">159,128</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Paraguay</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">162</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,387</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Uruguay</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,511</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,627</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other Countries</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">391</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">143</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,688</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total North, Central, and South America</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>79,941</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>18,992</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>992,655</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total, all countries</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>4,069,773</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>1,110,636</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>32,515,340</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;" colspan="4">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> US Department of State (1945), pp. 42–43, table 25.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 4. The economics of delay: military spending commitments</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 1.8</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The military burden (1939–1944) (military outlays, per cent of national income)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>At current prices</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>11</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>42</td>
<td>42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>15</td>
<td>44</td>
<td>53</td>
<td>52</td>
<td>55</td>
<td>53</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>23</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>52</td>
<td>64</td>
<td>70</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>8</td>
<td>12</td>
<td>23</td>
<td>22</td>
<td>21</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>22</td>
<td>22</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>33</td>
<td>43</td>
<td>76</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>At constant prices</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>11</td>
<td>32</td>
<td>43</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>17</td>
<td>28</td>
<td>61</td>
<td>61</td>
<td>53</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>23</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>52</td>
<td>63</td>
<td>70</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 21, table 1.8.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Final Death Numbers Used by Author</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Group 1</th>
<th>Group 2</th>
<th>Final research deaths</th>
<th>% of world deaths</th>
<th>Year for pre-war population</th>
<th>Pre–war population (Maddison)</th>
<th>Death % of pre–war population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Albania</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>30,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>1,040,000</td>
<td>2.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>42,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>6,971,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>384,700</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>100,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>8,392,000</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>110,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>6,666,000</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burma</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>270,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,368,000</td>
<td>1.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>47,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>11,570,000</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>USSR + China</td>
<td></td>
<td>24,050,000</td>
<td>28.2%</td>
<td>1930</td>
<td>489,000,000</td>
<td>4.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Czechoslovakia</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>278,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>1937</td>
<td>14,429,000</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dutch East Indies</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,400,000</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>72,903,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Estonia</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>81,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>1,134,000</td>
<td>7.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>100,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1934</td>
<td>12,000,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Finland</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>97,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>3,656,000</td>
<td>2.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>600,000</td>
<td>0.7%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>41,960,000</td>
<td>1.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>French Indochina</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>1,500,000</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>23,000,000</td>
<td>6.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>7,619,000</td>
<td>8.9%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>68,558,000</td>
<td>11.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>807,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>7,156,000</td>
<td>11.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hungary</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>634,000</td>
<td>0.7%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>9,227,000</td>
<td>6.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India (British India)</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,000,000</td>
<td>3.5%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>381,400,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>486,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>43,865,000</td>
<td>1.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>2,902,000</td>
<td>3.4%</td>
<td>1936</td>
<td>70,171,000</td>
<td>4.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>483,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
<td>1936</td>
<td>21,374,000</td>
<td>2.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaya &amp; Singapore</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>150,000</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>5,317,000</td>
<td>2.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>301,000</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>8,782,000</td>
<td>3.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Zealand</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>13,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>1,627,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>11,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>2,954,000</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua and New Guinea</td>
<td>Other</td>
<td></td>
<td>20,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>1,292,000</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>765,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,275,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>5,720,000</td>
<td>6.7%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>31,062,000</td>
<td>18.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portuguese Timor</td>
<td>Other</td>
<td></td>
<td>70,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>480,000</td>
<td>14.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>833,000</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>15,751,000</td>
<td>5.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ruanda-Urundi</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>50,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>3,800,000</td>
<td>1.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td>Other</td>
<td></td>
<td>14,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>10,160,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>USSR + China</td>
<td></td>
<td>27,000,000</td>
<td>31.6%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>195,970,000</td>
<td>13.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>Anglo America</td>
<td></td>
<td>432,000</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>47,494,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td>Anglo America</td>
<td></td>
<td>415,000</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>132,637,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yugoslavia</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>1,021,000</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>16,300,000</td>
<td>6.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Note:</strong> All figures cited with specific sources represent documented data from the referenced materials; all other data presented in this appendix are the author’s elaborations based on available estimates and methodological calculations described in Section 2.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
<tfoot></tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h1 class="fwafw--img-header fwafw--img-header--readers-guide"><span class="fwafw--img-header-text">Reader’s Guide</span> <span class="fwafw--img-header-subtext">to the Four-Layer Endnotes</span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part I: How to Read the Four-Layer Endnotes</h2>
<div class="notes-diagram">
<div class="notes-diagram--container">
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-1">
<div class="notes-diagram--heading">Layer 1: Context</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--explainer">Interpretive framing in italics explaining why this evidence matters to the broader argument</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example">
<div class="notes-diagram--example-heading">Context for claim X047</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example-text"><em>German armies captured territory with 40% of Soviet population and 60% of industrial capacity. The response: relocate entire factories under enemy fire.</em></div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-2">
<div class="notes-diagram--heading">Layer 2: Verifiable Claim</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--explainer">Specific facts that can be independently verified – no interpretation</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example">
<div class="notes-diagram--example-heading">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example-text"><em>Between July and December 1941, the Soviet Union evacuated 1,523 complete industrial enterprises eastward on 1.5 million railway cars.</em></div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-3">
<div class="notes-diagram--heading">Layer 3: Sources</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--explainer">Complete citations with exact page numbers for verification</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example">
<div class="notes-diagram--example-heading">Sources:</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example-text">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <em>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</em> (University Press of Kansas, 2015), 71.</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-4"><strong>LAYER 4: UNPUBLISHED WORKING NOTES –</strong> Research documentation, conflicting sources review, verification discussions, and selection rationale exist in database but are not published in endnotes.</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--footer"><strong>Note:</strong> Claim codes (like X047) are internal tracking numbers from the research process – readers can ignore them.</div>
</div>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">The Four-Layer Structure of Each Endnote</h4>
<p>Each endnote contains multiple layers of information, though only three are visible to readers.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">What Each Layer Means</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 1: </b>Context – interpretive framing that explains why this evidence is important</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 2: </b>Verifiable claim – specific facts that can be independently verified</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 3: </b>Sources – where to verify the facts with exact page numbers</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 4: </b>Evidence – research methodology that exists in the database but is not published</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Note on claim numbering:</b> Claims are numbered X001, N002, and so on, but the numbering is not consecutive (e.g., 1, 9, 47). This reflects an iterative multi-team research approach in which some claims were merged, moved, or deprecated during the writing process. The gaps are normal.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Example Endnote:</h4>
<div class="note-block example-note">
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X047</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>German armies captured territory with 40% of the Soviet population and 60% of industrial capacity. The response: relocate entire factories under enemy fire.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between July and December 1941, the Soviet Union evacuated 1,523 complete industrial enterprises eastward on 1.5 million railway cars.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler </i>(University Press of Kansas, 2015), 71.</div>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Following the Data Trail: A Simple Example</h4>
<p><b>Main text states:</b> ‘China suffered 24.05 million deaths’</p>
<p><b>Endnote provides:</b> Basic sources and context</p>
<p><b>Appendix explains:</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">How the 24.05 million was calculated</li>
<li aria-level="1">Why it differs from Western estimates</li>
<li aria-level="1">Which sources were used and why</li>
</ul>
<p><i>The following section provides methodological context for academic readers.</i></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part II: Methodology and Principles</h2>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Understanding the Research Methodology</h3>
<p>This document uses a forensic historiography approach – investigating gaps and erasures in historical records rather than simply accepting established narratives. The endnotes reflect this methodology through a system that separates interpretation from facts and prioritises evidence from the nations that suffered the losses.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Key Methodological Innovations</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">1. Investigating Erasure, Not Just Recording Events</h4>
<p>The research identifies two types of erasure:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Undercounted deaths</b> – millions missing from mainstream accounts</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Ignored evidence</b> – facts that exist in archives but rarely appear in mainstream histories</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">2. Temporal Reframing</h4>
<p>By starting the World Anti-Fascist War (WAFW) in 1931 (Japan’s invasion of China) rather than 1939, the methodology reveals eight years of resistance erased by Western periodisation.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">3. Transparency Through Layers</h4>
<p>Unlike traditional footnotes that mix everything together, this endnotes system:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Separates interpretation from facts</li>
<li aria-level="1">Documents methodology (even if not published)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Enables verification at multiple levels</li>
<li aria-level="1">Shows when sources conflict and explains choices</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Critical Reading Questions</h3>
<p>As you read, consider:</p>
<ol>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Whose voices are centred?</b> Notice when documentation from victim nations takes precedence over that of external observers.</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>What is being recovered?</b> Many of the facts presented existed in archives but were omitted from mainstream narratives.</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Why do numbers differ?</b> When you see conflicting estimates, the appendix explains which was chosen and why.</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>What remains unknown?</b> The methodology acknowledges when records were destroyed (as in Burma) and evidence cannot be recovered.</li>
</ol>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Source Prioritisation and Why It Matters</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">The Source Hierarchy: A Holistic Approach</h4>
<p>This research systematically considered various sources:</p>
<ol>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Primary sources from victim nations</b> – Chinese government surveys, Soviet archives, Vietnamese records</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Scholarship from affected countries</b> – historians with access to local archives and languages</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>International investigations</b> – UN reports, war crimes tribunals</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Western sources citing primary evidence</b> – academic works properly documenting original sources</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Western sources for comparison</b> – to establish what mainstream narratives claim</li>
</ol>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Why This Prioritisation?</h4>
<p>Victim nations had better direct access to the information needed to document their own losses. The figure of 24.05 million Chinese deaths comes from historian Bian Xiuyue of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, whose 2012 book documents approximately 23.6 million deaths from 1937 to 1945, plus the author’s estimate of 450,000 deaths from 1931 to 1937. Separately, the Chinese government’s decade-long survey documented 35 million total casualties (including both dead and wounded). When comprehensive victim-nation research shows 24.05 million deaths while Western estimates show only 14–20 million, the discrepancy reveals systematic undercounting in mainstream historiography. The methodology prioritises rigorous scholarship and surveys from affected nations over external estimates.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Strategic Use of Perpetrator Admissions</h3>
<p>When perpetrators admit damaging facts, these serve as conservative baselines. For example, when British Colonial Office records admit a 10% mortality rate in Nigerian tin mines, the actual rate was likely higher. Even the minimum admissions reveal severe exploitation.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Understanding Conservative Estimates</h3>
<p>Throughout this work, the methodology generally uses conservative estimates from victim nations’ own documentation, though the approach varies based on available evidence and attribution challenges. This means:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The actual human cost was likely higher than stated.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Even these minimum figures reveal systematic erasure.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Conservative numbers typically strengthen arguments, but the selection process reflects evidentiary complexities.</li>
<li aria-level="1">When ranges exist, the methodology varies by case: for Africa, using 1.6 million (from a 1.6–2.0 million range) reflects the challenge of determining which deaths are primarily attributable to the war versus other causes – a question that remains understudied despite almost equal likelihood of higher numbers; for Indochina, using 1.5 million reflects documented undercounting; for the Philippines, using 765,000 (a midpoint) balances sources suggesting even higher figures.</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The Substantive Innovation: Connecting Buried Evidence</h3>
<p>Beyond the methodological innovations, this research assembles scattered and minimised evidence into a coherent pattern that reveals the West’s strategies.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Corporate Complicity</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">IBM’s Thomas Watson befriended US President Franklin D. Roosevelt while receiving Hitler’s medals and automating the Holocaust with punch card systems.</li>
<li aria-level="1">General Motors claimed tax write-offs for Wehrmacht truck factories while producing vehicles that invaded the Soviet Union.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Two hundred and fifty US corporations operated in Nazi Germany as late as 1941.</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Protection of War Criminals</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Churchill’s secret memos ordered protection of Italy’s highest-ranking war criminals, including Badoglio.</li>
<li aria-level="1">General Douglas MacArthur freed all 3,607 Unit 731 members who tortured prisoners to death, paying them for their data.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Nobusuke Kishi went from war criminal to prime minister in nine years with CIA orchestration.</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Strategic Calculations</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The atomic bombings targeted Soviet and Chinese influence more than Japan – which was already defeated.</li>
<li aria-level="1">The Second Front was systematically delayed by 730 days while the Soviet Union bled.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Lend-Lease aid reveals a racial calculus: whites received $442 per person; non-whites received $4.40 per person – a 101:1 ratio.</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">The Death Rate Arithmetic</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Socialist forces: 59.8% of all WAFW deaths</li>
<li aria-level="1">Colonised peoples: 13.1% of deaths</li>
<li aria-level="1">Anglo-Americans: 1% of deaths</li>
<li aria-level="1">This pattern continued through Korea (92% Korean/Chinese deaths) and Vietnam (98% Southeast Asian deaths)</li>
</ul>
<p>These documented facts, usually scattered across specialised archives and minimised in mainstream histories, are brought together here with full citations. The endnotes don’t just provide sources – they reveal a systematic pattern of complicity that mainstream narratives work to obscure.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Understanding the Appendix Structure</h3>
<p>The appendix provides complete transparency through three sections:</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Section 1: Data Tables and Sources for Figures</h4>
<p>Clean presentation of the data as it appears in the main text, with source attribution.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Section 2: Methodological Notes</h4>
<p>Detailed explanations of:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">How calculations were performed</li>
<li aria-level="1">Why certain sources were chosen over others</li>
<li aria-level="1">How conflicting estimates were resolved</li>
<li aria-level="1">What assumptions were made and why</li>
<li aria-level="1">Conservative estimation principles</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Section 3: Verbatim Data Source Excerpts</h4>
<p>Original tables reproduced exactly as they appear in primary sources, allowing readers to verify all calculations themselves.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part III: Research Infrastructure and Technical Infrastructure: Industrial-Strength Citation Management</h2>
<p><i>For researchers interested in replicating the methodology or understanding the full scope of findings</i>.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Abstract</h3>
<p>This section documents a novel research infrastructure combining Zotero with supplemental software and development practices to manage more than 200 claims and more than 400 citations across a globally distributed research team. The system enforces the same four-layer separation of concerns defined in Part I (here presented from a workflow perspective: interpretation, facts, sources, methodology) while maintaining complete verification trails.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">System Architecture</h3>
<p><b>Core Components</b></p>
<p><b>1. Zotero as Data Layer</b></p>
<ul>
<li>Case items – store claims with four-layer structured notes</li>
<li>Book Section items only – every citation requires specific page numbers</li>
<li>Map items – shared research reports and methodology documentation</li>
<li>Flat repository structure – sequential numbering (80WAFW-001 through 80WAFW-999)</li>
</ul>
<p><b>2. Four-Layer Separation</b></p>
<ul>
<li>Layer 1: Context (interpretive) → published</li>
<li>Layer 2: Verifiable claim (factual) → published</li>
<li>Layer 3: Sources (citations) → published</li>
<li>Layer 4: Evidence (methodology and verification) → archived</li>
</ul>
<p>3. <b>Verification Infrastructure</b></p>
<ul>
<li>Software-assisted initial verification (pattern detection at scale)</li>
<li>Mandatory paired human review (catches systematic biases)</li>
<li>Colour-coded tracking (green, orange, yellow, red flags)</li>
<li>Consensus requirement before approval</li>
<li>Full audit trail in Layer 3</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Key Technical Innovations</h3>
<p><b>Book-Sections-Only Architecture for Books</b></p>
<p>Every book citation is a complete Book Section with full metadata. Benefits:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Self-contained records (no dependency failures)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Bibliography creation software code automatically de-duplicates</li>
<li aria-level="1">Simpler export/import pipelines</li>
<li aria-level="1">Each citation links to multiple claims via the Extra field</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Structured Note Templates</b></p>
<p>Every case item requires a note with an exact structure:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Claim ID: X001</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim name: [descriptive]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim context: [Layer 1 – interpretive]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Verifiable claim: [Layer 2 – factual]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim sources: [Layer 3 – citations]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim evidence: [Layer 4 – methodology]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Verification note: [paired review documentation]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Additional information: [optional]</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Software Pipeline</h3>
<p><b>Export Infrastructure</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Zotero → CSV (v63 script): Extracts four-layer structure, generates Chicago-style notes formatting</li>
<li aria-level="1">CSV → Word (VBA v64): UTF-8 handling, DOCX fallback, publication-ready endnotes</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Version Control Strategy</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Dedicated backup machine with snapshots</li>
<li aria-level="1">Collection-level RDF exports</li>
<li aria-level="1">Deprecation collections (never delete)</li>
<li aria-level="1">External metadata tracking in spreadsheets, json and markdown files.</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Review Process</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Software-assisted systems enable four rounds of review of claims and citations to address the many conflicting facts and interpretations. Each round included extensive review by researchers.</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Implementation Requirements</h3>
<p><b>Technical Stack</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Zotero 6+ with Better BibTeX</li>
<li aria-level="1">Node.js for export scripts</li>
<li aria-level="1">Excel or LibreOffice for CSV manipulation</li>
<li aria-level="1">Word with VBA support</li>
<li aria-level="1">Cloud storage for PDF repository</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Conclusion</h3>
<p>This methodology demonstrates how historical research can benefit from software development best practices while maintaining scholarly rigour. The four-layer architecture enables teams to challenge established narratives through systematic, transparent, and reproducible research.</p>
<p><b>Key Takeaways for Researchers:</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Separation of concerns (interpretation, facts, sources, methodology) improves clarity</li>
<li aria-level="1">Structured data enables verification at scale</li>
<li aria-level="1">Multiple stages of review catch systematic biases</li>
<li aria-level="1">Comprehensive source evaluation strengthens claims</li>
<li aria-level="1">Complete audit trails defend controversial findings</li>
</ul>
<p>The infrastructure investment pays dividends when defending research that challenges dominant historiography.</p>
<h3 class="single-post--content--citations-title fwafw--img-header fwafw--img-header--endnotes" style="margin:2em 0;"><span class="fwafw--img-header-text">Endnotes</span></h3>
<div class="lcm-endnotes">
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> Context for claim X001</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Western periodisation (1939–1945) erases eight years of Chinese resistance. Japan invaded Northeast China in 1931, with full-scale war starting in 1937. China fought alone except for Soviet aid while the West traded with Japan.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The World Anti-Fascist War began on 18 September 1931 with Japan’s invasion of Northeast China, not on 1 September 1939 with Germany’s invasion of Poland.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Overy, <i>Blood and Ruins: The Great Imperial War, 1931–1945</i> (London: Penguin, 2023), 15.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Context for claim X003</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Twelve years after imperialist intervention failed to strangle Soviet power, the USSR recognised that capitalist encirclement would inevitably attempt another war of annihilation against socialism.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Stalin declared on 4 February 1931: ‘We are fifty or a hundred years behind the advanced countries. We must make good this distance in ten years. Either we do it, or we shall go under’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">J. V. Stalin, ‘The Tasks of Business Executives’, in <i>J. V. Stalin Collected Works</i>, vol. 13 (Moscow: Foreign Languages Publishing House, 1954), 41.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Context for claim X009</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US provided 90% of Japan’s scrap metal until 1940. US metal became Zero fighters, battleships, and bullets to kill Chinese. Trade continued three years after full-scale invasion began.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US supplied 90% of Japan’s scrap metal imports between 1937 and 1940, millions of tonnes becoming weapons used against China.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Herbert Feis, <i>The Road to Pearl Harbor: The Coming of the War Between the United States and Japan</i> (Princeton University Press, 1950), 108.</div>
<div class="citation">Jerome B. Cohen, <i>Japan’s Economy in War and Reconstruction</i> (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1949), 118.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X223</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Western banks maintained their Japanese operations for a full decade after Japan’s 1931 invasion of China. Despite Japan’s escalating aggression – from occupying Manchuria (1931) to full-scale war against China (1937) – institutions like the Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation continued operating branches in Yokohama, Kobe, and Nagasaki. These Western financial institutions only ceased operations in December 1941, when Japanese authorities forcibly closed British, Dutch, and US bank offices following Pearl Harbor.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Major Western banks operated continuously in Japan from the 1931 invasion of China until 1941 – a full decade of maintaining financial operations during Japanese military aggression against China.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Adrian E. Tschoegl, ‘Foreign Banks in Japan’, <i>BOJ Monetary and Economic Studies</i> 6, no. 1 (1988): 93–118.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Context for claim X008</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US supplied 80% of Japan’s petroleum through 1941 – fuel for planes bombing Chinese cities. Even after the Nanjing Massacre (300,000 dead) and the terror bombing of Chongqing, oil sales continued unabated.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US provided 80% of Japan’s petroleum imports between 1937 and August 1941, including aviation gasoline essential for bombing Chinese cities.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Irvine H. Anderson, <i>The Standard-Vacuum Oil Company and United States East Asian Policy, 1933–1941</i> (Princeton University Press, 1975), 217.</div>
<div class="citation">Qi, Shirong [齐世荣], ‘绥靖政策研究 [Research on Appeasement Policy]’, in <i>绥靖政策研究</i> [Research on Appeasement Policy] (Beijing Normal University Press [首都师范大学出版社], 1998), 175.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Context for claim N025</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>By 1941, 250 US corporations operated in Nazi Germany – after Kristallnacht (1938) and after Germany invaded Poland (1939). They knew about concentration camps. They maintained operations anyway.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By 1941, 250 US corporations maintained operations in Nazi Germany, including IBM (Holocaust logistics), GM (Wehrmacht trucks), Ford (military vehicles), and ITT (Focke-Wulf aircraft).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Anthony Sampson, <i>The Sovereign State of ITT</i> (Connecticut: Fawcett Publications, Inc., 1974), 45.</div>
<div class="citation">Edwin Black, <i>IBM and the Holocaust: The Strategic Alliance Between Nazi Germany and America’s Most Powerful Corporation</i> (Washington: Dialog Press, 2012), 22, 207.</div>
<div class="citation">Max Wallace, <i>The American Axis</i> (New York: St. Martin’s, 2005), 303.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Business and Industry in the Nazi Germany’, in <i>Business and Industry in the Nazi Germany</i>, ed. Francis R. Nicosia, Studies in Business History (New York: Berghahn Books, 2004), 114.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Context for claim N020</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>IBM’s Dehomag subsidiary was Germany’s sole data-processing provider before 1933. Under the Third Reich, this commercial relationship became active participation in genocide, with every aspect micromanaged from IBM’s New York headquarters.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">IBM provided custom-designed Hollerith punch card systems used to identify Jews through census data, organise train transports, and manage concentration camp prisoners.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Edwin Black, <i>IBM and the Holocaust: The Strategic Alliance Between Nazi Germany and America’s Most Powerful Corporation</i> (Washington: Dialog Press, 2012), 22, 207.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Context for claim N022</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>GM’s Opel subsidiary was Nazi Germany’s largest vehicle manufacturer. The Opel Blitz truck was the Wehrmacht’s primary transport. GM collected profits through Switzerland while US soldiers died fighting.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">GM’s Opel produced the Wehrmacht’s primary transport vehicle, the Opel Blitz truck, manufacturing 130,000 units while using forced and enslaved labour.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Eckhart Bartels, <i>Opel Military Vehicles, 1906–1956</i> (Atglen: Schiffer Publishing, 1997), 173.</div>
<div class="citation">Max Wallace, <i>The American Axis</i> (New York: St. Martin’s, 2005), 303.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Context for claim N023</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Two decades before ‘isolationism’ toward Hitler, the US deployed at least 11,500 troops to Russia (1918–1920), fighting the Red Army directly with 424 combat deaths, while providing $50 million to White armies.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US deployed 11,500 troops to Russia (1918–1920): 4,500 to Arkhangelsk and 7,000 to Vladivostok. Combat deaths: 424. Military aid to White armies: $50 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David S. Foglesong, <i>America’s Secret War Against Bolshevism: US Intervention in the Russian Civil War, 1917–1920</i> (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1995), 72, 162, 187.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Context for claim N024</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The same year that Hitler took power (1933), Roosevelt praised Mussolini as restoring Italy. US policy: prefer fascist regimes over potential socialist movements. This preceded corporate Nazi collaboration.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Roosevelt stated in 1933: ‘I am deeply impressed by what [Mussolini] has accomplished and by his evidenced honest purpose of restoring Italy’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David F. Schmitz, <i>Thank God They’re on Our Side: The United States and Right-Wing Dictatorships, 1921–1965</i> (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1999), 90.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> Context for claim X011</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s lifelong anti-communism defined his career. In 1919 he authorised chemical weapons against the Red Army. In 1945 he planned Operation Unthinkable – using Wehrmacht forces against the USSR. The wartime alliance was tactical only.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill stated on 28 June 1954: ‘If I had been properly supported in 1919, I think we might have strangled Bolshevism in its cradle, but everybody turned up their hands and said, “How shocking!”’</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Hillsdale College, ‘Bolshevism: “Foul Baboonery…Strangle at Birth”’, The Churchill Project, 11 March 2016, <a href="https://winstonchurchill.hillsdale.edu/bolshevism/#_ftnref3">https://winstonchurchill.hillsdale.edu/bolshevism/#_ftnref3</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X131</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill authorised M-devices containing diphenylaminechloroarsine (DM) gas against the Bolsheviks in 1919; 50,000 were shipped to Arkhangelsk. The same man who later condemned Nazi barbarism used chemical weapons first.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">As war secretary, Churchill authorised chemical weapons against the Bolsheviks in 1919; the British deployed 50,000 M-devices containing DM gas at Arkhangelsk.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">National Churchill Museum, ‘Churchill’s 1919 War Office Memorandum’, America’s National Churchill Museum, 12 May 1919, <a href="https://www.nationalchurchillmuseum.org/churchills-1919-war-office-memorandum.html">https://www.nationalchurchillmuseum.org/churchills-1919-war-office-memorandum.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Context for claim X132</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>With Hitler dead for only eight days, Churchill planned to attack the USSR with Wehrmacht units – Operation Unthinkable would use Nazi soldiers to fight yesterday’s ally. Anti-communism trumped anti-fascism within one week.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">In May 1945, Churchill ordered the planning of Operation Unthinkable: a surprise attack on Soviet forces using British, US, and rearmed Wehrmacht troops scheduled for 1 July 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">The National Archives, ‘Operation Unthinkable’, text, The National Archives, 2 May 2020, <a href="https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/cold-war-on-file/operation-unthinkable/">https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/cold-war-on-file/operation-unthinkable/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> Context for claim N009</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s wartime leadership was shaped by a racist worldview that depicted Indians as biologically inferior, directly influencing his refusal to provide aid during the Bengal Famine. Amery wrote that he saw little difference between Churchill’s and Hitler’s views.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill told Amery: ‘I hate Indians. They are a beastly people with a beastly religion’, and blamed Indians who ‘breed like rabbits’ for the famine that killed 3 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), 78, 205, 246.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Context for claim X014</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s racial views shocked his own cabinet. In discussions about the Bengal Famine– in which 3 million died – his secretary of state for India compared Churchill’s outlook to Hitler’s in his private diary.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">After Churchill’s India tirade, Leo Amery wrote in his diary: ‘I couldn’t help telling him that I didn’t see much difference between his outlook and Hitler’s’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), 233–234.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Context for claim X016</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Stalingrad (August 1942–February 1943) and Kursk (July 1943) broke the Wehrmacht’s offensive power permanently. D-Day followed in June 1944 – after the war was already decided. The Red Army engaged 165½ divisions compared to the Allies’ 36.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Wehrmacht’s offensive capability was destroyed at Stalingrad (2 February 1943) and Kursk (23 August 1943). D-Day (6 June 1944) followed 11 months after these decisive defeats.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 336–337.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X133</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Stalin was promised a Second Front in 1942; it was delivered in June 1944 – 730 days late. During the delay came Stalingrad and Kursk: 20 million Soviet casualties. D-Day came after the Wehrmacht was already broken. Calculated betrayal.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Western Allies promised a Second Front for 1942, delivered on D-Day (6 June 1944) – 730 days late; the Soviets faced 80% of the Wehrmacht alone during the delay.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gabriel Kolko, <i>The Politics of War: The World and United States Foreign Policy, 1943–1945</i> (New York: Pantheon Books, 1990), 15, 16, 21, 22.</div>
<div class="citation">J. V. Stalin, ‘Memorandum in Russian from Joseph Stalin about Opening a Second Front in Europe during World War II, with English Translation of Same’, 13 August 1942, Library of Congress, Manuscript Division, <a href="https://www.loc.gov/item/mcc.077/">https://www.loc.gov/item/mcc.077/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Winston S. Churchill, <i>The Second World War</i> (London: Cassell, 1951), 237–429.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> Context for claim N039</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Following the October Revolution, the Allied powers intervened militarily to overthrow the Bolsheviks, with British forces supporting the White Army in the Russian Civil War. When this intervention failed, British geopolitical strategists developed a long-term policy framework that would shape Western strategy toward Germany and the USSR for the next two decades.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">British geopolitical theorist Halford Mackinder, appointed high commissioner for South Russia in 1919 to organise support for the White Army, recommended upon the intervention’s failure that German rearmament was essential as a bulwark against Bolshevik control of Eastern Europe. Economist Thorstein Veblen observed that the Treaty of Versailles was fundamentally ‘a compact for the reduction of Soviet Russia’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Brian W. Blouet, <i>Halford Mackinder: A Biography</i> (Texas A&amp;M University Press, 1987), 172–77.</div>
<div class="citation">John Bellamy Foster, ‘Revolution and Counterrevolution, 1917–2017’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 69, no. 03 (2017), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917%E2%80%932017/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917–2017/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Thorstein Veblen, <i>Essays in Our Changing Order</i> (New York: Viking Press, 1934), 464.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> Context for claim X134</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Britain sent Admiral Drax to Moscow by six-day merchant ship with no written authority; German foreign minister Ribbentrop flew to Moscow. Later, on 28 September 1939, a second round of talks was conducted, again in Moscow. Soviet foreign minister Vyacheslav Molotov went to Berlin by train only in November 1940. The Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact was signed while Drax was still talking.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Britain sent Admiral Drax to Moscow via merchant vessel (departed 5 August, arrived 11 August 1939) without written credentials or negotiating authority.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Jabara Carley, <i>1939: The Alliance That Never Was and the Coming of World War II</i> (Chicago: Ivan R. Dee Publisher, 1999), 186.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> Context for claim N037</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Foreign Secretary Lord Halifax wrote the introduction to </i>The British Case<i>, a 1939 government-endorsed pamphlet by Lord Lloyd of Dolobran. The pamphlet revealed how the British establishment viewed Hitler’s pact with Stalin as a betrayal of the anti-communist cause.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">In a November 1937 meeting with Hitler, Foreign Secretary Halifax praised Nazi Germany as a ‘bulwark of the West against Bolshevism’. In a later government-endorsed 1939 pamphlet, Lord Lloyd of Dolobran identified Hitler’s ‘final apostasy’ not as his invasion of Poland but as his signing of the German-Soviet pact – ‘the betrayal of Europe’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">C. Leibovitz et al., <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 19, 25.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Context for claim N043</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The signing of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact in August 1939 initiated a twenty-two-month period of intense Soviet preparation. The pact allowed the USSR to push its borders 200–300 km westward by occupying eastern Poland and parts of Finland, creating a territorial buffer. During this time, the USSR more than tripled its army’s numbers, dramatically increased tank production, including the new T-34, and began transferring critical industries to the Urals – a strategic move noticed by US military attachés before the invasion.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The scale and nature of this buildup indicate that the Soviet Union was engaged in a deliberate, pre-planned military and industrial mobilization specifically in preparation for a major war. In the following twenty-two months (September 1939–mid-June 1941), the Soviet Union more than tripled its army from 1.6 to 5.3 million, doubled its tank production from 2,794 units in 1940 to 6,590 in 1941 (including 1,225 T-34s), and moved entire industries eastward. US attachés reported massive industrial transfers to the Urals by late 1940, before the invasion. The USSR pushed its borders 200–300 kilometres west, trading space for time. Stalin knew war was coming.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander Werth, <i>Russia at War, 1941–1945: A History</i> (New York: Skyhorse Publishing Company, Incorporated, 2017), 113, 159, 163.</div>
<div class="citation">Antony Beevor, <i>The Second World War</i> (London: Weidenfeld &amp; Nicolson, 2012), 234–235.</div>
<div class="citation">David Glantz, <i>Barbarossa Derailed: The Battle for Smolensk</i> (Solihull: Helion &amp; Company, 2010), 20, 23, 27, 42.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 106.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz, <i>Stumbling Colossus: The Red Army on the Eve of World War</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 1998), 34, 107.</div>
<div class="citation">Jacques R. Pauwels, <i>The Myth of the Good War: America in the Second World War</i> (Toronto: Lorimer, 2017), 64, 67.</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>Accounting for War: Soviet Production, Employment, and the Defence Burden, 1940–1945</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1996), 68.</div>
<div class="citation">Steven J. Zaloga, <i>T-34/76 Medium Tank 1941–45</i> (Oxford: Osprey Publishing, 1994), 9.</div>
<div class="citation">Walter S. Dunn, <i>The Soviet Economy and the Red Army, 1930–1945</i> (Westport: Praeger Publishers, 1995), 23–24.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> Context for claim X200</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>May 1940: Foreign Secretary Halifax wanted a deal with Hitler via Mussolini. The terms: Britain keeps the empire, Germany gets Europe. Churchill barely stopped it. A close vote nearly gave Nazis the continent.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Lord Halifax proposed negotiated peace with Germany on 26–28 May 1940, using Mussolini as intermediary; Churchill defeated the proposal in the War Cabinet by a narrow margin.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Dunton, ‘Vital Words of Hope, 26 May 1940’, UK Government, The National Archives, 26 May 2020, <a href="https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20250613144333/https://blog.nationalarchives.gov.uk/vital-words-of-hope-26-may-1940/">https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20250613144333/https://blog.nationalarchives.gov.uk/vital-words-of-hope-26-may-1940/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref20" name="_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> Context for claim N012</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The German invasion targeted not only political centres but economic heartlands, with oil as a primary objective.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Caucasus produced 25.4 million tonnes of oil annually – 80% of Soviet output – while Germany operated on 3.1 months of reserves at the invasion’s start.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Agayev, Vagif [Вагиф Агаев] et al., ‘World War II and Azerbaijan’, <i>Azerbaijan International Magazine</i>, 1995, 50–55, 78.</div>
<div class="citation">Joel Hayward, ‘Too Little, Too Late: An Analysis of Hitler’s Failure in August 1942 to Damage Soviet Oil Production’, <i>Journal of Military History</i> 64, no. 3 (2000): 769–94.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N017</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Germany invaded the USSR with 3.1 months of oil reserves. The plan: capture the Caucasus oil fields by autumn 1941. The reality: the Wehrmacht was stalled 50 km from Grozny. The result: the German troops had to abandon their vehicles and resort to horses.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Germany launched Operation Barbarossa with 3.1 months of oil reserves, requiring capture of Soviet oil fields by autumn 1941 to avoid catastrophic fuel shortage.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Edward E. Ericson, <i>Feeding the German Eagle: Soviet Economic Aid to Nazi Germany, 1933–1941</i> (Westport: Praeger Publishers, 1999), <a href="http://archive.org/details/edward-e.-ericson-feeding-the-german-eagle-soviet-economic-aid-to-nazi-germany-1">http://archive.org/details/edward-e.-ericson-feeding-the-german-eagle-soviet-economic-aid-to-nazi-germany-1</a>, 44.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref21" name="_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> Context for claim X018</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>On 22 June 1941, Germany deployed 153 divisions (over 3 million troops) against the USSR but kept 49 divisions in Western Europe and Norway. Britain’s resistance tied down 20–24% of the Wehrmacht – the USSR faced 72–80%.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">On 22 June 1941, Germany stationed 49 divisions in Western Europe and Norway while deploying 153 divisions (3 million troops) for Operation Barbarossa.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Burkhart Mueller-Hillebrand, <i>Das Heer 1933–1945: Entwicklung des organisatorischen Aufbaues. Band II: Die Blitzfeldzüge 1939–1941</i> [The Army 1933–1945: Development of the Organisational Structure. Vol. II: The Blitz Campaigns 1939–1941] (Frankfurt am Main: E.S. Mittler &amp; Sohn, 1956), 108, 111.</div>
<div class="citation">David Glantz, <i>Barbarossa Derailed: The Battle for Smolensk</i> (Solihull: Helion &amp; Company, 2010), 20, 23, 27, 42.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Operation “Barbarossa” And Germany’s Failure In The Soviet Union’, Imperial War Museums, accessed 26 September 2025, <a href="https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/operation-barbarossa-and-germanys-failure-in-the-soviet-union">https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/operation-barbarossa-and-germanys-failure-in-the-soviet-union</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref22" name="_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Context for claim X084</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>German force deployment reveals the Eastern Front as the war’s decisive theatre. Hitler considered the Soviet Union the natural enemy of Nazi Germany and its conquest a key strategic objective. The invasion, Operation Barbarossa, was the primary site of fascist aggression, where the Wehrmacht deployed its best units, most experienced commanders, and maximum strength. For the initial invasion in 1941, Germany committed 80% of its army to the East.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">At the launch of Operation Barbarossa in June 1941, Germany deployed approximately 153 divisions to the Eastern Front, representing about 80% of the Wehrmacht’s total strength. In contrast, 49 divisions – roughly 24% of its forces – were maintained for garrison and defence duties in Western Europe and Norway.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Burkhart Mueller-Hillebrand, <i>Das Heer 1933–1945: Entwicklung des organisatorischen Aufbaues. Band II: Die Blitzfeldzüge 1939–1941</i> [The Army 1933–1945: Development of the Organisational Structure. Vol. II: The Blitz Campaigns 1939–1941] (Frankfurt am Main: E.S. Mittler &amp; Sohn, 1956), 108, 111.</div>
<div class="citation">David Glantz, <i>Barbarossa Derailed: The Battle for Smolensk</i> (Solihull: Helion &amp; Company, 2010), 20, 23, 27, 42.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 61.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 91, 568–569, 607–611.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz, ‘The Soviet-German War 1941–1945: Myths and Realities: A Survey Essay’, Clemson University, 11 October 2001, 9, 14, 9, 14.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref23" name="_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Context for claim N034</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>North African campaign (1940–1943): the Wehrmacht Afrika Korps’ operational orders specified capturing the Suez Canal and controlling Middle Eastern oil; British Eighth Army orders focused on defending imperial supply routes and colonial territories. No operational order from either side mentioned liberating African populations.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill told Parliament on 10 November 1942: ‘I have not become the King’s First Minister to liquidate the British Empire’. After the Allied victory in North Africa, colonial rule continued unchanged – France retained Algeria until 1962 (1.5 million killed in the independence war), and Britain maintained control of Egypt until the 1956 Suez Crisis.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Ashley Jackson, <i>The British Empire and the Second World War</i> (London: Hambledon Continuum, 2006), 109.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref24" name="_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Context for claim X201</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Anticipating inevitable war with fascist Germany, the Soviet Union undertook massive military expansion despite economic constraints. The preparation proved exactly sufficient to survive the initial catastrophe and enable recovery.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between January 1938 and June 1941, the Red Army expanded from 1.5 million to over 5 million soldiers – a 233% increase in peacetime strength.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 29.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref25" name="_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Context for claim X043</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The KMT claimed 6 million troops in 1941. Of these, Chiang Kai-shek kept the best divisions in reserve against the Communists, not the Japanese. Regional warlords and CPC forces accounted for about half of the total organised forces.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 2019 scholarly monograph on Chinese military history estimated 6 million KMT troops in the summer of 1941, with only 300,000–400,000 well-organised troops under Chiang Kai-shek’s direct command.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Chen, Mo [陈默] and Wang Qisheng [王奇生], ‘中国抗日战争史 [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression]’, in <i>中国抗日战争史</i> [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression], ed. Bu Ping [步平] and Wang Jianlang [王建朗], vol. 4 (Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press [社会科学文献出版社], 2019), 67.</div>
<div class="citation">Mark D. Sherry, <i>China Defensive: 4 July 1942–4 May 1945</i>, CMH Pub 72–38, US Army Campaigns of World War II (US Army Center of Military History, 1996), 28.</div>
<div class="citation">Theresa L. Kraus, <i>China Offensive: 5 May–2 September 1945</i>, CMH Pub 72–39, US Army Campaigns of World War II (US Army Center of Military History, 1996), 24.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref26" name="_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Context for claim X228</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>CPC forces grew 23-fold through people’s war strategy, proving revolutionary mobilisation’s superiority over conventional armies. This growth – not US aid – determined China’s liberation.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The people’s army, led by the Communist Party of China (CPC), grew from 56,000 in 1937 to around 440,000 in 1941 and 1.3 million in 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 194.</div>
<div class="citation">Xinhua News Agency [新华社], ‘永远做中华民族文明成果与人类和平事业的捍卫者——写在中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利80周年之际 [Always Be a Defender of the Achievements of Chinese Civilization and the Cause of Human Peace — Written on the Occasion of the 80th Anniversary of the Victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War]’, Government Website, The Supreme People’s Procuratorate of the People’s Republic of China [中华人民共和国最高人民检察院], 29 August 2025, <a href="https://www.spp.gov.cn/spp/tt/202508/t20250829_704946.shtml">https://www.spp.gov.cn/spp/tt/202508/t20250829_704946.shtml</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref27" name="_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Context for claim N001</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>While Western powers supplied Japan with 80% of its petroleum and 90% of its steel after the 1937 invasion, the Soviet Union was the sole major power providing direct military and financial aid to China.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between October 1937 and June 1941, the Soviet Union provided China with credits exceeding $250 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Putin, Vladimir [Владимир Путин], ‘Vladimir Putin: Interview to Xinhua News Agency’, Ahead of His Official Visit to the People’s Republic of China, Vladimir Putin Gave a Written Interview to the Chinese News Agency Xinhua., 29 August 2025, <a href="http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/77864">http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/77864</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇], ‘不可虚无苏联反法西斯的贡献 [The Soviet Union’s Contribution to the Anti-Fascist Struggle Cannot Be Negated]’, <i>Historical Review</i> [历史评论], no. 4 (2025): 22–28.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇], ‘全面抗战时期苏联和共产国际对中共的援助研究 [A Study of the Aid to the CPC from the Soviet Union and the Communist International During the Full-Scale War against Japanese Aggression]’, <i>CPC History Studies</i> [中共党史研究], no. 8 (2011): 71–77.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref28" name="_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> Context for claim X002</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Between 1931 and 1941, China fought with Soviet aid only, while the US provided Japan with petroleum and steel through 1941 and Western banks maintained offices in Tokyo.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China received Soviet aid only (1937–1941): $250 million in credits, 1,235 aircraft, over 2,000 pilots. British, French, and US aid before Pearl Harbor: negligible.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Xu, Lan [徐蓝], ‘百年巨变中的中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争 [The Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japan and the World Anti-Fascist War in the Context of Unprecedented Changes in a Century]’, <i>Studies of the War of Resistance Against Japan</i> [抗日战争研究] 2025, no. 1 (2025), <a href="http://jds.cssn.cn/xscg/xslw/202505/t20250523_5875447.shtml">http://jds.cssn.cn/xscg/xslw/202505/t20250523_5875447.shtml</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref29" name="_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Context for claim X154</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US gave Chiang $2 billion after Japan surrendered – double the aid during actual war against Japan. US Marines occupied Beijing and Shanghai: 50,000 troops were deployed. ‘Neutrality’ meant arming one side.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US provided $2–3 billion to the Kuomintang between 1945 and 1949, including over $1 billion in military aid, and deployed 50,000 Marines to hold cities for Nationalists.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Committee on International Relations, US House of Representatives, ‘Marshall Testimony of February 20, 1945, Ongoing US Military Aid for China’, in <i>Selected Executive Session Hearings of the Committee, 1943–50, United States Policy in the Far East, Part I</i>, vol. 7, 80th Cong., 2d Sess., 1948 (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1976), 163–164.</div>
<div class="citation">Nathaniel Sher, ‘Rethinking the “Loss of China”: US Involvement in the Chinese Civil War, 1945–1949’, <i>Tsinghua International Relations Review</i> 1, no. 1 (2021).</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X203</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US military aid to the KMT doubled after Japan’s defeat, exposing the true priority: preventing communist victory. The formula was revealed: minimal help against fascism, maximum support against socialism.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">From 1945 to 1948, the US provided Chiang Kai-shek $1.4 billion in total aid, with the military portion exceeding twice the $700 million given during eight years fighting Japan.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US Department of State, ‘Memorandum Economic Assistance Program for China’, in <i>Foreign Relations of the United States, 1948, The Far East: China</i>, vol. 8 (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1948), 893.50 Recovery/2–2048, <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1948v08/d403">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1948v08/d403</a>, 479–485.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref30" name="_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> Context for claim X029</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan deployed close to 2 million soldiers in China, only 1.5 million across the entire Pacific. China tied down 57% of Japan’s army while the US island-hopped. Every Chinese victory saved US lives.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japan maintained roughly 2 million soldiers in the China theatre (1937–1945), versus 1.5 million across the entire Pacific theatre, including home islands.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Huang, Daoxuan [黄道炫] and Wang Xiliang [王希亮], ‘中国抗日战争史: 第——卷 局部抗战 [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 1, The Localised War of Resistance]’, in <i>中国抗日战争史: 第——卷 局部抗战</i> [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 1, The Localised War of Resistance], ed. Bu Ping [步平] and Wang Jianlang [王建朗], vol. 1, A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression [中国抗日战争史] (Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press (China) [社会科学文献出版社], 2019), 5.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X045</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China tied down roughly 60% of Japan’s army for 14 years. The result: Japan couldn’t attack the USSR during the critical 1941–1942 period and couldn’t reinforce the Pacific. Every Chinese soldier fighting saved Allied lives elsewhere.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Chinese forces tied down nearly 2 million Japanese soldiers continuously between 1937 and 1945, preventing their deployment to the Pacific or Soviet fronts.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 271–339.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref31" name="_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Context for claim X226</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Chinese Communist soldiers fought in straw sandals, eating grass when supplies failed, yet defeated mechanised Japanese forces. This material deprivation makes their victory more remarkable, not less.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Eighth Route Army soldiers fought wearing handmade straw sandals and were documented eating dried grass and tree bark when supply lines were cut during campaigns.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Liang, Xinlei [梁馨蕾], ‘革命“苦履”：中共军队的草鞋历史与记忆 [Revolutionary “Bitter Footwear”: The History and Memory of Straw Sandals of the CPC Army]’, <i>Studies in CPC History</i> [中共党史研究], no. 1 (2024), <a href="https://sxyk.henu.edu.cn/info/1014/4603.htm">https://sxyk.henu.edu.cn/info/1014/4603.htm</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Xu, Ping [徐平], ‘说说抗战时期八路军伙食 [Talking About the Eighth Route Army’s Rations During the War of Resistance]’, China Military Online [中国军网], 11 January 2024, <a href="http://www.81.cn/js_208592/jdt_208593/16279996.html">http://www.81.cn/js_208592/jdt_208593/16279996.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref32" name="_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Context for claim N019</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Soviet Union: 27 million dead (13.8% of population); United States: 415,000 dead (0.3% of population); Great Britain: 450,000 dead (0.9%). For every US death, 65 Soviets died.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet deaths in WWII: 27 million (Russian Academy of Sciences, 1993), representing 13.8% of the 1940 population of 196 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Guryev, E.P. [Гурьев, Е.П.] and Kondratenko, S. Yu. [Кондратенко, С.Ю.], ‘Советский Союз во Второй мировой войне [The Soviet Union in World War II]’, in <i>Советский Союз во Второй мировой войне</i> [The Soviet Union in World War II] (Moscow: Connection of Epochs Foundation [Фонд «Связь Эпох»], 2023), 134–135.</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, ‘Counting the Soviet Union’s War Dead: Still 26–27 Million’, <i>Europe-Asia Studies</i> 71, no. 6 (2018): 1036–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2018.1547366">https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2018.1547366</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Ellman and Sergei Maksudov, ‘Soviet Deaths in the Great Patriotic War: A Note’, <i>Europe-Asia Studies</i> 46, no. 4 (1994): 671–80, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/09668139408412190">https://doi.org/10.1080/09668139408412190</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref33" name="_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> Context for claim X056</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Before gas chambers, there were mass shootings. The Einsatzgruppen death squads murdered 1.3 million Soviet Jews during the Holocaust by bullets. Babi Yar: 33,771 in two days. Method: machine-gun fire over pits. The West emphasises the camps and forgets the bullets.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Einsatzgruppen and collaborators murdered 1.3 million Soviet Jews between 1941 and 1944 through mass shootings – including Babi Yar (33,771), Rumbula (25,000), and Ponary (70,000).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Rhodes, <i>Masters of Death: The SS-Einsatzgruppen and the Invention of the Holocaust</i> (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 2002), 156–157, 178, 214, 257.</div>
<div class="citation">Shivaun Woolfson, <i>Holocaust Legacy in Post-Soviet Lithuania: People, Places, and Objects</i> (London: Bloomsbury, 2014), 79.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X057</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Wehrmacht deliberately starved 3–3.5 million Soviet POWs to death in open-air pens without food or shelter in winter temperatures. Western POW death rate: 3.5%. Soviet POW death rate: 57%. Policy, not neglect.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Germans captured 5.7 million Soviet soldiers: 3–3.5 million died (57% mortality), primarily through deliberate starvation. Western POW mortality: 3.5%.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz, <i>Barbarossa: Hitler’s Invasion of Russia, 1941</i> (Stroud: Tempus, 2001), 55.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X058</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Generalplan Ost was the Nazi blueprint to exterminate 31 million Slavs, enslave 14 million, and colonise the region with 10 million Germans. This was not military conquest but racial genocide. Documents survived which prove intent.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Generalplan Ost documented Nazi intent: eliminate 31 million Slavs through murder and deportation, enslave 14 million, and settle 10 million Germans in conquered territories.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Mazower, <i>Hitler’s Empire: Nazi Rule in Occupied Europe</i> (London: Penguin, 2009), 114, 222, 267, 284, 287–288, 675.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref34" name="_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Context for claim X064</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China’s losses: 24 million dead, 11 million wounded, 15 million never born – a 50 million demographic catastrophe. Western histories count 14–20 million, erase 30 million Chinese from existence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China’s casualties (1931–1945): 24.05 million documented deaths. Western historian Rana Mitter estimates 15–20 million Chinese deaths.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 9, 11, 418, 442.</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 378.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref35" name="_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Context for claim X063</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan enslaved 11.5 million Chinese labourers in Manchuria: 2.3 million died (20% mortality). An additional 38,935 were shipped to Japan: 6,830 died (17.5%). This was industrial slavery as systematic extermination.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japanese forced-labour system: 11.5 million Chinese enslaved in Manchuria, 2.3 million died (20%); 38,935 transported to Japan, 17.5% mortality rate.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 372.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref36" name="_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Context for claim X007</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>In December 1937, Japanese forces used systematic rape as a weapon of terror in Nanjing – 20,000–80,000 women and girls raped, many murdered afterwards. This was not battlefield chaos but a deliberate policy of subjugation.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japanese forces raped 20,000–80,000 Chinese women and girls in Nanjing (December 1937–January 1938), victims aged 7 to over 70, many killed after assault.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Di, Chenchen [弟辰晨] et al., ‘铭记历史！关于南京大屠杀你必须知道的——组数字 [Remember History! A Set of Numbers You Must Know About the Nanjing Massacre]’, <i>CCTV</i>, 13 December 2021, <a href="https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml">https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Iris Chang, <i>The Rape of Nanking: The Forgotten Holocaust of World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 17–18.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X067</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Nanjing (December 1937): Japanese forces murdered 300,000 civilians in six weeks, raped 20,000–80,000, and destroyed one-third of the city. These were not battle casualties but systematic extermination.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">In Nanjing (13 December 1937–January 1938), Japanese forces killed 300,000 civilians, disarmed soldiers, and committed 20,000–80,000 rapes.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Di, Chenchen [弟辰晨] et al., ‘铭记历史！关于南京大屠杀你必须知道的——组数字 [Remember History! A Set of Numbers You Must Know About the Nanjing Massacre]’, <i>CCTV</i>, 13 December 2021, <a href="https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml">https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Iris Chang, <i>The Rape of Nanking: The Forgotten Holocaust of World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 17–18.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref37" name="_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Context for claim X069</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan’s treatment of POWs revealed an explicit racial hierarchy of who deserved to live. This systematic extermination of Chinese prisoners while keeping Western POWs alive for potential exchange exposed a shared racial calculus of human value.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Chinese POW mortality under Japan was 99.9% (about 50,000 were captured in Nanjing and only a handful survived). Western POW mortality was 27% (versus 1% in German camps).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Tanaka, Toshiyuki [田中利幸], ‘Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II’, in <i>Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II</i>, 2nd edn (Lanham: Rowman &amp; Littlefield, 2018), 3.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref38" name="_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Context for claim X015</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>During the Bengal Famine (1943), British policy killed 3 million – rice was exported from starving Bengal, relief ships were denied, and grain was stockpiled for Europe – while Churchill judged ‘relief of starvation not justified’ as a priority.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Three million died in the Bengal Famine while Britain exported 70,000 tonnes of rice from India, stockpiled grain for post-war Europe, and denied Australian wheat ships.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Amartya Sen, ‘Starvation and Exchange Entitlements: A General Approach and Its Application to the Great Bengal Famine’, <i>Cambridge Journal of Economics</i> 1, no. 1 (1977): 33–59, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349">https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), ix, 128, 144–145.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref39" name="_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> Context for claim N003</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s private statements revealed deep-seated animosity toward Indians that directly informed his Bengal Famine policies. Three million died while Britain exported rice and refused relief ships.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill stated that he wished Air Chief Marshal Arthur Harris could ‘send some of his surplus bombers to destroy them’ in reference to Bengal Famine victims.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), 246–247.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref40" name="_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Context for claim X204</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan’s </i>rōmusha<i> system demonstrated industrial-scale murder through labour. The 74% mortality rate exceeded most Nazi camps. This systematic extermination of Indonesian civilians remains largely unacknowledged in Western histories.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Of 300,000 Indonesians conscripted through Japan’s rōmusha forced labour system and sent abroad, only 77,000 survived – a documented 74% mortality rate.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 338.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref41" name="_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> Context for claim X137</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Burma Railway became the West’s archetypal narrative of Japanese cruelty – through films, books, and memorials focused exclusively on Western POW suffering. This selective memorialisation erases the Asian labourers who died at seven times the rate of Western POWs, revealing how imperial memory values lives by race.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Thailand-Burma Railway construction (402 km): out of 260,000–270,000 Asian labourers, 90,000–140,000 died, including over 100,000 Malays and Tamils conscripted from British territories. Death ratio: 215 labourers per kilometre – 31 Western POWs per kilometre, 184 Asian labourers per kilometre.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frank J. McLynn, <i>The Burma Campaign: Disaster into Triumph 1942–1945</i> (New Haven: Yale University press, 2011), 14.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 349.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref42" name="_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Context for claim X072</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Western narratives focus on Pacific naval battles and 12,000 POW deaths, ignoring 4.44 million Southeast Asian civilian deaths – 350 times more.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japanese occupation killed 4.44 million Southeast Asian civilians: 3.4 million in Indonesia, 1.5 million in Vietnam, 765,000 in the Philippines, and 150,000 in Malaysia.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 382.</div>
<div class="citation">The National WWII Museum New Orleans, ‘Research Starters: Worldwide Deaths in World War II’, accessed 29 September 2025, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">W. Gruhl, <i>Imperial Japan’s World War Two: 1931–1945</i> (New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers, 2007), <a href="https://books.google.com/books?id=ow5Wlmu9MPQC">https://books.google.com/books?id=ow5Wlmu9MPQC</a>, 143.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref43" name="_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Context for claim X211</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Portuguese Timor suffered the highest WWII death rate outside Eastern Europe – 19% of the population killed. This catastrophic loss in a peripheral colony exemplifies the erasure of non-Western suffering.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Portuguese Timor lost 19% of its total population during Japanese occupation (1942–1945), the highest territorial death rate in WWII.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Douglas Kammen, ‘Population Loss in Portuguese Timor During WW2 Revisited’, <i>New Mandala</i>, 30 October 2024, <a href="https://www.newmandala.org/population-loss-in-portuguese-timor-during-ww2-revisited/">https://www.newmandala.org/population-loss-in-portuguese-timor-during-ww2-revisited/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Statista, ‘WWII: Share of Total Population Lost Per Country 1939–945’, Chart, 2024, <a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/1351638/second-world-war-share-total-population-loss/">https://www.statista.com/statistics/1351638/second-world-war-share-total-population-loss/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref44" name="_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Context for claim X227</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Museums memorialise 12,000 Bataan deaths while 4.4 million Southeast Asian civilians remain unmemorialised – a 367:1 ratio revealing whose lives matter in Western memory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US memorials extensively commemorate 12,000 Bataan Death March victims, while 4.4 million Southeast Asian civilian deaths receive no equivalent Western memorialisation.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Ashley N. McCall-Washington, ‘Surrender at Bataan Led to One of the Worst Atrocities in Modern Warfare’, USO, 14 November 2015, <a href="https://www.uso.org/stories/122-surrender-at-bataan-led-to-one-of-the-worst-atrocities-in-modern-warfare">https://www.uso.org/stories/122-surrender-at-bataan-led-to-one-of-the-worst-atrocities-in-modern-warfare</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Geoffrey M. White et al., <i>Perilous Memories: The Asia-Pacific War(s)</i> (s)’, in <i>Perilous Memories: The Asia-Pacific War(s)</i> (Durham: Duke University Press, 2001), 218–219.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 382.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref45" name="_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Context for claim N033</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Ethiopia, which had never been colonised, mounted brave resistance against the Italian fascist invasion that began in 1935. Women played a major role in the resistance, including in command positions leading thousands of troops. Yet there is very limited mention of African women’s combat participation in Western military histories.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Ethiopian women fought as armed combatants (<i>arbegna</i>) against Italian occupation. Tsehai Berhane-Selassie (1979–1980) reports that approximately one-third of medal claimants on the Patriotic Association’s awards list in May 1941 were women; in 1945, 277 women were awarded medals. Named women commanders reported in the literature include Woizero Abebech Cherqos (reported as commanding up to 3,000 troops) and Woizero Lekyelesh Beyan (battalion-level command). Western general military histories seldom discuss these contributions explicitly.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Abebaw Ejigu, Tesfaw [ተስፋው አበባው እጅጉ], ‘The Overlooked Roles of Women in the Patriotic Resistance Movement in Bure Damot, 1936–1941’, <i>Cogent Arts and Humanities</i> 11, no. 1 (2024): 6–7, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2024.2390786">https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2024.2390786</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Judith Byfield and Hailu Habtu [ሃይሉ ሀብቱ], ‘Fighting Fascism: Ethiopian Women Patriots 1935–1941’, in <i>Africa and World War II</i>, ed. Carolyn A. Brown et al. (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2015), 384, 395–396.</div>
<div class="citation">Margaux Herman, ‘Women and War’, in <i>History of Women in Ethiopia</i> (Addis Ababa: Centre Français des Études Éthiopiennes, 2024), 153.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref46" name="_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Context for claim N035</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Italy used chemical weapons, which were responsible for up to 30% of Ethiopian combat deaths. The Ethiopian government documented 760,300 total deaths. The UN War Crimes Commission identified 1,200 Italian war criminals. Prosecutions: zero.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Italy deployed 300–500 tonnes of mustard gas, 4,336 mustard bombs, and 540 bombs with diphenylchlorarsine in Ethiopia. The result: up to 30% deaths from chemical weapons (Soviet numbers). War criminals identified: 1,200. Prosecuted: 0.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lina Grip and John Hart, ‘The Use of Chemical Weapons in the 1935–36 Italo-Ethiopian War’, <i>SIPRI Arms Control and Non-Proliferation Programmme</i>, October 2009.</div>
<div class="citation">Luigi Prosperi, ‘The Missed Italian Nuremberg: The History of an Internationally-Sponsored Amnesty’, paper presented at DEBACLES – Illusions and Failures in the History of International Adjudication, Max Planck Institute Luxembourg for Procedural Law, 25 November 2016, <a href="https://ssrn.com/abstract=2887267">https://ssrn.com/abstract=2887267</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref47" name="_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> Context for claim N036</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Marshal Badoglio oversaw the Libya genocide (1929–1934): half of Cyrenaica’s population was imprisoned in concentration camps. After using chemical weapons in Ethiopia, Churchill protected him from prosecution.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Badoglio directed the Libyan genocide (1929–1934): 15 concentration camps holding half of Cyrenaica’s population, stating: ‘even if entire population must perish’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander De Grand, ‘Mussolini’s Follies: Fascism in Its Imperial and Racist Phase, 1935–1940’, <i>Contemporary European History</i> 13, no. 2 (2004): 127–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777304001602">https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777304001602</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref48" name="_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> Context for claim N044</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>After Japan conquered Malaya and the Dutch East Indies in early 1942, Britain lost its primary tin sources and turned to Nigeria as the strategic replacement. Rather than improving wages or conditions, the British colonial administration implemented forced conscription of over 100,000 Nigerian peasants between April 1942 and April 1944. Death rates from disease reached 10% among certain groups, yet production increased by only 6%. This exemplifies the colonial formula of maximum extraction with minimum concern for African lives – treating colonised bodies as expendable resources while claiming to fight for freedom.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between April 1942 and April 1944, the British colonial administration conscripted over 100,000 peasants (mainly from Northern Nigeria) for forced labour in Nigerian tin mines. The death rate from disease reached 10% in 1943, particularly among Tiv migrants working on the Tente Dam. Despite a 40% increase in the labour force (reaching 71,000 men per month in 1943), tin production only increased by 6%, reaching 17,463 tonnes – below the 20,000-tonne target.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Africa and the Second World War’, in <i>Africa and the Second World War</i>, 1st ed., ed. David Killingray and Richard Rathbone (London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1986), 89.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref49" name="_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> Context for claim N032</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Manhattan Project required uranium. The Shinkolobwe mine in the Belgian Congo yielded ore at 75% uranium oxide, compared with 0.2% in North American ore. Congolese miners handled radioactive material bare-handed; their names were never recorded.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Shinkolobwe mine provided uranium to the Manhattan Project: ore contained 75% uranium oxide (versus 0.2% in North American ore); 1,200 tonnes were shipped in 1940 while miners worked without protection.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Susan Williams, ‘Introduction: The Manhattan Project and Shinkolobwe’, in <i>Spies in the Congo: The Race for the Ore That Built the Atomic Bomb</i> (London: Hurst &amp; Company, 2018), 2–3.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref50" name="_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> Context for claim N031</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>On 8 May 1945, as Europe celebrated liberation from fascism, French forces opened fire on Algerians celebrating victory and demanding the independence promised by the Atlantic Charter – the beginning of a massacre.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Starting on 8 May 1945 (VE Day), French forces killed 20,000–45,000 Algerian civilians using military units, naval bombardment, and settler militias against independence demonstrations.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Joshua Cole, ‘Massacres and Their Historians: Recent Histories of State Violence in France and Algeria in the Twentieth Century’, <i>French Politics, Culture &amp; Society</i> 28, no. 1 (2010): 112.</div>
<div class="citation">Khenouf, Mohamed [محمد خنوف] and Michael Brett, ‘Algerian Nationalism and the Allied Military Strategy and Propaganda during the Second World War: The Background to Setif’, in <i>Africa and the Second World War</i> (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 1986), 258.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref51" name="_edn51"><sup>51</sup></a> Context for claim X210</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Communist forces achieved China’s first victory against Japan, shattering the myth of invincibility. This guerrilla victory demonstrated that revolutionary strategy could defeat technologically superior fascist forces.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">On 25 September 1937, at Pingxingguan, the Communist Eighth Route Army killed over 1,000 Japanese soldiers and captured 82 vehicles in China’s first major victory.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rong, Weimu [荣维木] and Wang Qisheng [王奇生], ‘中国抗日战争史：第⼆卷 战时军事 [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 2, Wartime Military Operations]’, in <i>中国抗日战争史：第⼆卷 战时军事</i> [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 2, Wartime Military Operations], ed. Bu Ping [步平] and Wang Jianlang [王建朗], vol. 2 (Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press [社会科学文献出版社], 2019), 47–48.</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Battle for China: Essays on the Military History of the Sino-Japanese War of 1937–1945’, in <i>The Battle for China: Essays on the Military History of the Sino-Japanese War of 1937–1945</i>, ed. Mark R. Peattie et al. (Stanford University Press, 2011), 29, 310.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref52" name="_edn52"><sup>52</sup></a> Context for claim X073</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japanese propaganda claimed invincibility. Taierzhuang (1938) proved otherwise: Chinese forces routed over 55,000 Japanese troops, inflicting 8,000–20,000 casualties. Myth of invincibility shattered.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">At Taierzhuang (March–April 1938), Chinese forces defeated over 55,000 Japanese troops. Casualty estimates vary: Japanese report 11,974; Chinese sources claim over 20,000.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lin, Zhibo [林治波] and Zhao Guozhang [赵国章], ‘大捷——台儿庄战役实录 [Great Victory – A Factual Record of the Battle of Taierzhuang]’, in <i>大捷——台儿庄战役实录</i> [Great Victory – A Factual Record of the Battle of Taierzhuang], 1st edition (Guilin: Guangxi Normal University Press [广西师范大学出版社], 1996), 1, 53, 74.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref53" name="_edn53"><sup>53</sup></a> Context for claim X075</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China’s resistance operated on dual fronts: KMT conventional battles engaged 36% of Japanese forces; CPC guerrilla warfare tied down the rest as well as the majority of the puppet forces.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By 1945, Communist-led Eighth Route and New Fourth Armies engaged 64% of Japanese forces in China and 95% of puppet troops, controlling areas with 100 million people.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mao, Zedong [毛泽东], ‘论联合政府 [On Coalition Government]’, in <i>论联合政府</i> [On Coalition Government], vol. 1 (Beijing: People’s Publishing House [人民出版社], 1975), 19.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Weidong [张卫东], ‘Speech by Ambassador Zhang Weidong at the Seminar in Commemoration of the 70th Anniversary of the Victory of the War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression of China and the World Anti-Fascist War’, 28 August 2015, <a href="https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html">https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref54" name="_edn54"><sup>54</sup></a> Context for claim X217</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Communist forces engineered 16-kilometre tunnel networks connecting five villages, enabling sustained resistance without air support or heavy weapons. This innovation proved people’s war could defeat technological superiority.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">At Ranzhuang, Hebei province, Communist partisans constructed a 16-kilometre tunnel system connecting five villages with command posts and hidden firing positions.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">CGTN, ‘Ranzhuang Tunnel Warfare Site: A Key Relic from the War of Resistance’, 29 July 2025, <a href="https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025%E2%80%9307-29/Ranzhuang-Tunnel-Warfare-Site-A-key-relic-from-the-War-of-Resistance-1FoUNZF1iV2/p.html">https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025–07-29/Ranzhuang-Tunnel-Warfare-Site-A-key-relic-from-the-War-of-Resistance-1FoUNZF1iV2/p.html</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Yu, ‘From Beneath the Ground Rise Great Stories of Ingenuity and Defiance’, <i>China Daily</i>, 22 August 2025, <a href="https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html">https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref55" name="_edn55"><sup>55</sup></a> Context for claim X076</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>German armies captured territory containing 40% of the Soviet population and 60% of coal and steel production. The response: relocate 1,523 factories on 1.5 million railcars under enemy fire. History’s largest evacuation.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between July and December 1941, the Soviet Union evacuated 1,523 complete industrial enterprises eastward on 1.5 million railway cars, including the entire Kirov tank works.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 71.</div>
<div class="citation">Walter S. Dunn, <i>The Soviet Economy and the Red Army, 1930–1945</i> (Westport: Praeger Publishers, 1995), 272.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref56" name="_edn56"><sup>56</sup></a> Context for claim X077</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Industrial evacuation required skilled workers. The Soviet state moved 17 million citizens eastward with factories – the largest organised migration in history.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet government evacuated 17 million citizens eastward (1941–1942), including 10 million industrial workers and families, alongside 1,523 relocated factories.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rebecca Manley, <i>To the Tashkent Station: Evacuation and Survival in the Soviet Union at War</i> (Cornell University Press, 2009), 301.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref57" name="_edn57"><sup>57</sup></a> Context for claim X151</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Kirov Works evacuation saw 5,800 machines loaded under Luftwaffe bombing and transported 2,000 km to Chelyabinsk, producing tanks within three weeks. Workers lived in tents at −40°C. Capitalism couldn’t achieve this.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Kirov Works relocated from besieged Leningrad to Chelyabinsk between September and October 1941; 5,800 machines were operational within three weeks, producing KV tanks by November.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lennart Samuelson, <i>Tankograd: The Formation of a Soviet Company Town, Cheliabinsk, 1900s–1950s</i> (London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2011), <a href="http://link.springer.com/10.1057/9780230316669">http://link.springer.com/10.1057/9780230316669</a>, 192, 196.</div>
<div class="citation">Steven J. Zaloga, <i>KV-1 and 2 Heavy Tanks 1939–45</i> (London: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 1996), 33.</div>
<div class="citation">The Presidential Library, Russian Federation, ‘New Documents Entered the Collection of Digitised Archival Documents, Film and Photo Materials Dedicated to World War II’, Presidential Library, 1 July 2022, <a href="https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1343410">https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1343410</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">The Presidential Library, Russian Federation, ‘Presidential Library’s Materials Spotlight the Evacuation of Industry in Besieged Leningrad’, Presidential Library, 20 November 2020, <a href="https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1305280">https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1305280</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref58" name="_edn58"><sup>58</sup></a> Context for claim X212</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>After losing 60% of industrial capacity, the USSR quadrupled tank production through socialist planning. This ‘impossible’ achievement – from devastation to supremacy in one year – proved socialism’s mobilisation superiority.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet tank production increased from 6,590 units in 1941 to 24,719 in 1942, a 275% increase despite losing major industrial regions.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>Accounting for War: Soviet Production, Employment, and the Defence Burden, 1940–1945</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1996), 68.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref59" name="_edn59"><sup>59</sup></a> Context for claim X078</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The USSR lost 60% of pre-war steel and coal production and 40% of the population to German occupation. The response: evacuated factories produced over 100,000 tanks, compared with Germany’s 43,000. Socialist planning defeated capitalism.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet Union produced 102,500 tanks and self-propelled guns between 1941 and 1945. Germany: 43,000 units. Peak year 1943: USSR built over 24,000 tanks, Germany 11,900.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1998), 15–16.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref60" name="_edn60"><sup>60</sup></a> Context for claim N011</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The T-34 tank destroyed the majority of Wehrmacht armour on the Eastern Front. German engineers desperately tried to copy it and failed. RAND Corporation’s assessment challenged US prejudices.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 1976 RAND Corporation study concluded that the Soviet T-34 represented ‘the epitome of creative and skilful design’ that ‘fundamentally changed tank design worldwide’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Arthur J. Alexander, <i>Armor Development in the Soviet Union and the United States</i>, R-1860-NA (Rand, 1976), 24, <a href="https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/reports/2006/R1860.pdf">https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/reports/2006/R1860.pdf</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref61" name="_edn61"><sup>61</sup></a> Context for claim X044</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>By 1942 Germany occupied Soviet territory containing 78 million people, 60% of coal, steel, or aluminium production and 40% of grain production. The USSR lost its industrial heartland and fought on with 60% of pre-war resources.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet territories lost by 1942 included 40% of the population (78 million people), 60% of coal, steel, or aluminium production and 40% of grain production – yet the USSR continued fighting.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Susan J. Linz, <i>World War II and Soviet Economic Growth 1940–1953</i>, Working Paper no. 1038, BEBR Faculty Working Paper (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1984), 72, <a href="http://archive.org/details/worldwariisoviet1038linz">http://archive.org/details/worldwariisoviet1038linz</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref62" name="_edn62"><sup>62</sup></a> Context for claim X080</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Soviet Union alone mobilised women for combat at scale: 800,000 served in frontline roles; US and UK women served in support roles only. Soviet women flew combat missions, commanded tanks, and led sniper units.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By 1943, 800,000 Soviet women served in the Red Army. By 1945, 246,000 were in front line roles, with over 100,000 serving as snipers, tank commanders, and pilots, including three all-female air regiments.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 320–321.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref63" name="_edn63"><sup>63</sup></a> Context for claim X079</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Behind German lines, 205,600 organised partisans destroyed 18,000 trains, killed 500,000 Germans, and tied down 500,000 more on security. Central Command coordinated with Red Army offensives systematically.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By July 1944, Soviet partisan forces numbered 205,600 fighters in 6,200 detachments, operating under Central Partisan Command coordination with regular army operations.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook’, in <i>The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook</i>, ed. P. V. Malkov (Moscow: Federal State Statistics Service, 2020), 67, 253.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref64" name="_edn64"><sup>64</sup></a> Context for claim X081</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Luftwaffe destroyed 4,000 Soviet aircraft in the first week alone. The Soviet response: evacuate aviation factories and produce 112,100 combat aircraft, versus Germany’s 89,500. Air superiority reversed by 1943.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet Union produced 112,100 combat aircraft between 1941 and 1945, including 36,000 Il-2 Sturmoviks and 11,000 Yak-9s. Germany produced 89,500 total combat aircraft.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison’, in <i>The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison</i>, ed. Mark Harrison (Cambridge University Press, 1998), 15–16.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref65" name="_edn65"><sup>65</sup></a> Context for claim X052</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Eastern Front consumed the Wehrmacht: 80% of German military deaths, 75% of equipment losses, and 607 divisions destroyed. The Western Front was a sideshow. The mathematics prove where the real war was fought.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Red Army destroyed 80% of the Wehrmacht: 2.6–3.1 million of 3–3.5 million German military deaths occurred on the Eastern Front.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 569, 725.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X082</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Wehrmacht deployed 80% of its divisions eastward. The result: 2.7–3.1 million of Germany’s 3.5 million military deaths occurred fighting the Red Army. The Eastern Front was the real war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">German military deaths: 3–3.5 million total. Eastern Front deaths: 2.7–3.1 million (80–85%). Western Front: 340,000. Other theatres: 150,000.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 569, 725.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref66" name="_edn66"><sup>66</sup></a> Context for claim X017</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Red Army destroyed 607 Axis divisions; the Western Allies destroyed fewer than 200 total. The Eastern Front consumed 80% of Wehrmacht strength, 75% of the Luftwaffe, and two-thirds of the Kriegsmarine’s major surface units.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet forces destroyed or decisively defeated 607 Axis divisions between 1941 and 1945, versus fewer than 200 destroyed by all Western Allies combined.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Overy, <i>Why the Allies Won</i> (New York: W. W. Norton &amp; Company, 1996), 321.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X085</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>D-Day (6 June 1944) mythology claims it was the turning point in the war. The reality on D-Day: Western Allies faced 54 German divisions in France. Same day: the Red Army fought 156½ German divisions. Ratio reveals the truth.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">6 June 1944: Western Allies faced 54 German divisions in France. Eastern Front, same date: 156½ German divisions fighting the Red Army.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Burkhart Mueller-Hillebrand, <i>Das Heer 1933–1945: Der Zweifrontenkrieg: Das Heer vom Beginn des Feldzuges gegen die Sowjetunion bis zum Kriegsende. Band III.</i> [The Two-Front War: The Army from the Beginning of the Campaign Against the Soviet Union until the End of the War] (Frankfurt am Main: E.S. Mittler &amp; Sohn, 1956), 152.</div>
<div class="citation">Imperial War Museums, ‘The German Response to D-Day’, Imperial War Museums, 13 September 2025, <a href="https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/the-german-response-to-d-day">https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/the-german-response-to-d-day</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">John Keegan, ‘Germany 1945’, in <i>The Times Atlas of the Second World War</i> (London: Times Books, 1989), 182–183.</div>
<div class="citation">Steve Zaloga, <i>Bagration, 1944: The Destruction of Army Group Centre</i> (London: Osprey, 1996), 7.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref67" name="_edn67"><sup>67</sup></a> Context for claim X225</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Red Army covered in four months what the Western Allies took eleven months to cover while facing 80% of Wehrmacht strength. This operational superiority exposes the myth of Western military excellence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Western Allies took eleven months advancing from Normandy to Berlin (750 km); the Red Army covered a similar distance in four months during the 1945 offensive against larger German forces.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 420, 496, 517, 553, 568–570.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref68" name="_edn68"><sup>68</sup></a> Context for claim X207</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The myth of US production efficiency conceals documented waste. The Truman Committee’s own verdict: massive inefficiency through cost-plus contracts guaranteeing profit regardless of waste – capitalism’s inherent contradiction.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US Senate Truman Committee investigating war production concluded: ‘War is waste – waste of manpower and material’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander J. Field, <i>The Economic Consequences of US Mobilisation for the Second World War</i> (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2022), 259.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref69" name="_edn69"><sup>69</sup></a> Context for claim X140</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US ‘production miracle’ was actually inefficient. Manufacturing productivity fell by 1.4% annually from 1941 to 1945. Cost-plus contracts guaranteed profit regardless of waste. Maximum profit, minimum efficiency.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US manufacturing productivity declined by 1.4% annually from 1941 to 1945; production increased through massive labour and capital mobilisation, rather than efficiency improvements.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander J. Field, <i>The Economic Consequences of US Mobilisation for the Second World War</i> (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2022), 334.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref70" name="_edn70"><sup>70</sup></a> Context for claim X019</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Fascism’s first victims were domestic communists. Germany murdered 20,000–30,000 Communist Party of Germany (KPD) members; Franco executed 200,000 Republicans; Italy killed hundreds of socialists. The pattern: destroy the left at home, then expand abroad.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Fascist regimes killed 216,000–286,000 leftists between 1931 and 1945: Germany 20,000–30,000 Communists, Spain 150,000–200,000 republicans, Italy hundreds of socialists.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Eric D. Weitz, <i>Creating German Communism, 1890–1990: From Popular Protests to Socialist State</i> (Princeton University Press, 1997), 280.</div>
<div class="citation">Frank McDonough, <i>Opposition and Resistance in Nazi Germany</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2001), 4.</div>
<div class="citation">Jay Allen, ‘Slaughter of 4,000 at Badajoz, “City of Horrors”, Is Told by Tribune Man’, <i>Chicago Tribune</i>, 30 August 1936, 2.</div>
<div class="citation">Julián Casanova et al., <i>Morir, matar, sobrevivir: la violencia en la dictadura de Franco</i> [Die, Kill, Survive: Violence in Franco’s Dictatorship] (Barcelona: Crítica, 2002), 8.</div>
<div class="citation">Paul Preston, <i>The Spanish Holocaust: Inquisition and Extermination in Twentieth-Century Spain</i> (London: Harper Press, 2012), 10, 15.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref71" name="_edn71"><sup>71</sup></a> Context for claim X088</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>November 1932: the KPD won nearly 6 million votes (16.9%) and 100 Reichstag seats – making it Germany’s third-largest party. Three months later: Hitler takes power, KPD banned, 130,000 Communists arrested and 2,500 murdered.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">November 1932 Reichstag election: the KPD received 5,975,538 votes (16.9%) and won 100 seats, making it Germany’s third-largest party after the Nazis and the Social Democrats.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Neubauer, ‘The German Reichstag Elections’, <i>International Press Correspondence</i>, 10 November 1932, Vol. 12, no. 50 Edition, 1.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref72" name="_edn72"><sup>72</sup></a> Context for claim X089</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Nazi concentration camps were initially created for Communists, not Jews. Dachau opened on 22 March 1933 for political prisoners. By year’s end 130,000 Communists were arrested and 2,500 murdered; the KPD was destroyed.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">1933: the Nazi regime arrested 130,000 Communists (KPD’s own estimate) and murdered more than 2,500; documented deaths in custody: 600 confirmed minimum.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Eric D. Weitz, <i>Creating German Communism, 1890–1990: From Popular Protests to Socialist State</i> (Princeton University Press, 1997), 280.</div>
<div class="citation">German Criminal Police, ‘Communist Party Functionaries Wanted by the German Criminal Police (1933)’, German History in Documents and Images (GHDI), 1933, <a href="https://ghdi.ghi-dc.org/sub_image.cfm?image_id=1880">https://ghdi.ghi-dc.org/sub_image.cfm?image_id=1880</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref73" name="_edn73"><sup>73</sup></a> Context for claim X215</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Political prisoners, primarily communists, were Nazism’s first targets, establishing the camp system. By 1937, the red triangle preceded yellow stars, showing anti-communism was fascism’s foundational violence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The first Nazi concentration camps like Dachau and Oranienburg opened in 1933, holding at least 27,000 prisoners by year’s end – 80% Communists and 10% Social Democrats. Control shifted from the Sturmabteilung (SA) to the Schutzstaffel (SS), which perfected methods of dehumanisation and torture. By 1937, the red triangle marking political prisoners became the model for classifying all camp victims.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Arolsen Archives, ‘Prisoner Groups in the Concentration Camp: How the Nazis Stigmatised Their Victims’, Arolsen Archives, 23 November 2023, <a href="https://arolsen-archives.org/en/news/prisoner-groups-in-the-concentration-camp-how-the-nazis-stigmatized-their-victims/">https://arolsen-archives.org/en/news/prisoner-groups-in-the-concentration-camp-how-the-nazis-stigmatized-their-victims/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Berra, Peter, <i>Photo of Identification Badge of a Political Prisoner in Nazi Camps</i>, 17 July 2020, Montreal Holocaust Museum, <a href="https://museeholocauste.ca/en/objects/identification-badge-of-a-political-prisoner-nazi-camps/">https://museeholocauste.ca/en/objects/identification-badge-of-a-political-prisoner-nazi-camps/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Frank McDonough, <i>Opposition and Resistance in Nazi Germany</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2001), 4.</div>
<div class="citation">German Historical Institute Washington, ‘Table of Coloured Classification Symbols for Prisoners in Concentration Camps (c. 1938–1944)’, accessed 3 September 2025, <a href="https://germanhistorydocs.org/en/nazi-germany-1933%E2%80%931945/table-of-colored-classification-symbols-for-prisoners-in-concentration-camps-1939%E2%80%931942">https://germanhistorydocs.org/en/nazi-germany-1933–1945/table-of-colored-classification-symbols-for-prisoners-in-concentration-camps-1939–1942</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Nikolaus Wachsmann, <i>KL: A History of the Nazi Concentration Camps</i> (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2015), 10, 98, 137.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Dachau Concentration Camp Memorial Site’, KZ Gedenkstätte Dachau, 11 September 2025, <a href="https://www.kz-gedenkstaette-dachau.de/en/">https://www.kz-gedenkstaette-dachau.de/en/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref74" name="_edn74"><sup>74</sup></a> Context for claim X090</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Between taking power (1933) and invading Poland (1939), the Nazis executed 30,000 political opponents – primarily communists and socialists. This domestic genocide preceded external war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Nazi regime executed approximately 30,000 political opponents between 1933 and 1939 – the majority communists and socialists, along with trade unionists and social democrats.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frank McDonough, <i>Opposition and Resistance in Nazi Germany</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2001), 4.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref75" name="_edn75"><sup>75</sup></a> Context for claim X092</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Franco’s </i>limpieza<i> (cleansing) strategy systematically executed all leftists in captured territory. Civilians murdered behind lines – including teachers, union members, and anyone with Republican sympathy: 130,000–200,000.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Franco’s Nationalist forces executed 130,000–200,000 civilians and prisoners in controlled areas (1936–1939).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Julián Casanova et al., <i>Morir, matar, sobrevivir: la violencia en la dictadura de Franco</i> [Die, Kill, Survive: Violence in Franco’s Dictatorship] (Barcelona: Crítica, 2002), 8.</div>
<div class="citation">Paul Preston, <i>The Spanish Holocaust: Inquisition and Extermination in Twentieth-Century Spain</i> (London: Harper Press, 2012), 10, 15.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X093</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Victory on 1 April 1939 brought not peace but systematic extermination. Franco’s Law of Political Responsibilities retroactively criminalised supporting the Republic. Not less than 50,000 were executed after the war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Franco regime executed 50,000 Republicans after the war’s end (April 1939–1943), with 15,000 killed in the first year alone under retroactive death sentences.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Julián Casanova et al., <i>Morir, matar, sobrevivir: la violencia en la dictadura de Franco</i> [Die, Kill, Survive: Violence in Franco’s Dictatorship] (Barcelona: Crítica, 2002), 8.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref76" name="_edn76"><sup>76</sup></a> Context for claim X125</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Franco’s forces turned the city of Badajoz into a killing field in August 1936, machine-gunning Republicans in the city bullring; a </i>Chicago Tribune<i> reporter witnessed the massacre. This was the pattern for fascist victory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Nationalist forces under Colonel Juan Yagüe executed 2,000–4,000 Republicans in Badajoz on 14–15 August 1936, some machine-gunned in the city bullring.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Jay Allen, ‘Slaughter of 4,000 at Badajoz, “City of Horrors”, Is Told by Tribune Man’, <i>Chicago Tribune</i>, 30 August 1936, 2.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref77" name="_edn77"><sup>77</sup></a> Context for claim X152</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>More than 35,000 volunteers from over 50 nations fought Spanish fascism – 30% casualties. Captured brigaders were shot immediately. Survivors were blacklisted at home. The first anti-fascist fighters were the first abandoned.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">International Brigades suffered 30% casualties (over 10,000 of 35,000 volunteers); Nationalist forces typically executed captured international volunteers immediately.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Antony Beevor, <i>The Battle for Spain: The Spanish Civil War 1936–1939</i> (East Rutherford: Penguin Publishing Group, 2006), 157, 211, 366.</div>
<div class="citation">Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War, ‘The International Brigades’, in <i>Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War</i> (Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War), accessed 1 September 2025, <a href="https://www.vscw.ca/en/node/699">https://www.vscw.ca/en/node/699</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref78" name="_edn78"><sup>78</sup></a> Context for claim X094</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan’s Peace Preservation Law (1925) preceded Nazi power by eight years. The Special Higher Police (Tokkō) arrested nearly 65,000 for ‘thought crimes’ between 1928 and 1943. Torture was systematic and deaths routine – no trials needed.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Tokkō arrested nearly 65,000 under the Peace Preservation Law between 1928 and 1943.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Elise K. Tipton, <i>The Japanese Police State: The Tokkô in Interwar Japan</i> (London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2012), 25.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref79" name="_edn79"><sup>79</sup></a> Context for claim X126</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Kobayashi Takiji wrote </i>Kanikōsen<i>, exposing capitalist brutality. Special Higher Police (Tokkō) tortured him to death for three hours on 20 February 1933. The autopsy reported every finger broken and internal haemorrhaging.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Kobayashi Takiji, arrested on 20 February 1933 by Tokkō police, was tortured to death same day; the autopsy revealed systematic torture, including broken fingers.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Elise K. Tipton, <i>The Japanese Police State: The Tokkô in Interwar Japan</i> (London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2012), 26.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref80" name="_edn80"><sup>80</sup></a> Context for claim X153</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Mussolini’s Blackshirts (</i>squadristi<i>) destroyed 119 labour chambers, 107 cooperatives, and 83 peasant leagues between 1920 and 1922. The methods: burn buildings, kill leaders, and terrorise members. Democracy died building by building.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Squadristi carried out 2,120 documented violent attacks between 1920 and 1922, killing 709 leftists while destroying 119 labour chambers and 107 cooperatives across northern Italy.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alessandro Saluppo, ‘Paramilitary Violence and Fascism: Imaginaries and Practices of Squadrismo, 1919–1925’, <i>Contemporary European History</i> 29, no. 3 (2020): 289–308, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777319000390">https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777319000390</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Daron Acemoglu et al., ‘War, Socialism, and the Rise of Fascism: An Empirical Exploration’, <i>The Quarterly Journal of Economics</i> 137, no. 2 (2022): 1233–96, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac001">https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac001</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Mimmo Franzinelli, <i>Squadristi: protagonisti e tecniche della violenza fascista 1919–1922</i> [Squadristi: Protagonists and Techniques of Fascist Violence 1919–1922] (Milano: Feltrinelli, 2019), 33–34, 47, 74.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref81" name="_edn81"><sup>81</sup></a> Context for claim X209</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US media praised Hitler’s anti-communist violence as ‘necessary housekeeping’, revealing capitalism’s preference for fascism over socialism. This editorial support enabled the Holocaust’s architects.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 1933 <i>Seattle Times</i> editorial praised Hitler’s violent suppression of German communists as necessary ‘political housekeeping’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Associated Press, ‘Hitler Granted 4-Year Term as Supreme Ruler’, <i>The Seattle Daily Times</i> (Seattle, WA), 24 March 1933, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Branscum, ‘Nazism in the 1933 Seattle Times’, Civil Rights and Labor History Consortium/University of Washington, 2009, <a href="https://depts.washington.edu/depress/nazi_seattle_times.shtml">https://depts.washington.edu/depress/nazi_seattle_times.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Washington Editors, ‘What the State Thinks – Hitler Appraised’, <i>The Seattle Sunday Times</i> (Seattle, WA), 24 March 1933, 6.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref82" name="_edn82"><sup>82</sup></a> Context for claim X141</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Henry Ford received Nazi Germany’s highest foreign honour in July 1938 – after plans for Kristallnacht were underway and after the Anschluss. His </i>International Jew<i> inspired Hitler. Medal kept, business continued.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Henry Ford received the Grand Cross of the German Eagle – the highest Nazi honour for foreigners – on his 75th birthday, 30 July 1938, presented by a German consul in Detroit.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Max Wallace, <i>The American Axis</i> (New York: St. Martin’s, 2005), 43, 107.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref83" name="_edn83"><sup>83</sup></a> Context for claim N051</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan was already defeated by August 1945. The Soviet Union was preparing to enter the war. The US military leadership had won the Pacific War and understood Japan’s strategic position. Yet the atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima (6 August) and Nagasaki (9 August).</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The highest-ranking US military officer (Leahy) and the Supreme Allied Commander Europe (Eisenhower) stated that the atomic bombings were militarily unnecessary because Japan was already defeated. Historian Gar Alperovitz documents similar opposition from five additional five-star officers.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Dwight D. Eisenhower, <i>Mandate for Change, 1953–1956</i> (New York: Doubleday &amp; Company, Inc., 1963), 312–13.</div>
<div class="citation">Gar Alperovitz, <i>The Decision to Use the Atomic Bomb and the Architecture of an American Myth</i> (New York: A. A. Knopf, 1995), 319–359.</div>
<div class="citation">William D. Leahy, <i>I Was There: The Personal Story of the Chief of Staff to Presidents Roosevelt and Truman Based on His Notes and Diaries Made at the Time</i> (New York: Whittlesey House, McGraw-Hill Book Company, Inc., 1950), 441.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N052</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Immediately after Japan’s surrender, the US government conducted an official investigation into the effectiveness of strategic bombing. The survey, published in July 1946, had access to all military intelligence, Japanese government documents, and testimony from surviving Japanese leaders.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The official US Strategic Bombing Survey concluded that Japan would have surrendered by November 1945 without the atomic bombs, Soviet entry, or invasion.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation"><i>The United States Strategic Bombing Surveys: European War, Pacific War</i> (The United States Strategic Bombing Surveys, 1946), 107.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref84" name="_edn84"><sup>84</sup></a> Context for claim N053</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>At the Yalta Conference (4–11 February 1945), Stalin committed the USSR would enter the war against Japan within three months of Germany’s surrender. Germany surrendered on 8 May 1945. Three months set an 8 August deadline. Manhattan Project physicists worked frantically to complete the bomb.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Manhattan Project scientists were pushed to meet a ‘mysterious deadline’ near 10 August, corresponding to the Soviet Union’s commitment to enter the war by mid-August.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">John Bellamy Foster, ‘The US Quest for Nuclear Primacy: The Counterforce Doctrine and the Ideology of Moral Asymmetry’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 75, no. 09 (2024), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/the-u-s-quest-for-nuclear-primacy/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/the-u-s-quest-for-nuclear-primacy/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Philip Morrison, ‘Blackett’s Analysis of the Issues’, <i>Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists</i> 5, no. 2 (1949): 40.</div>
<div class="citation">US Department of State, ‘Protocol of the Proceedings of the Crimea Conference’, in <i>Foreign Relations of the United States: Diplomatic Papers, The Conferences at Malta and Yalta, 1945</i> (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1955), <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1945Malta/d503">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1945Malta/d503</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N054</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Truman attended the Potsdam Conference (17 July–2 August 1945), where he met with Stalin and Churchill. On 16 July, while at Potsdam, Truman received news that the Trinity test was successful. Truman kept a personal diary recording his private thoughts.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Truman’s diary reveals he viewed the atomic bomb as an ‘ace in the hole’ for dealing with the Soviets and expected Japan would surrender before Soviet entry once ‘Manhattan appears’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gar Alperovitz, <i>The Decision to Use the Atomic Bomb and the Architecture of an American Myth</i> (New York: A. A. Knopf, 1995), 319–359.</div>
<div class="citation">Harry S. Truman, ‘Diary Note of President Harry S. Truman’, 1945, President’s Secretary’s Files (Truman Administration), 1945–1953; File: Truman, Harry S.: Diary, 1947–1952, Harry S. Truman Library, <a href="https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568375">https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568375</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Harry S. Truman, ‘Diary Note of President Harry S. Truman’, 1945, President’s Secretary’s Files (Truman Administration), 1945–1953; File: Truman, Harry S.: Diary, 1947–1952, Harry S. Truman Library, <a href="https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568377">https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568377</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Henry L. Stimson, ‘Stimson Diary Entries, May 14 and 15, 1945’, National Security Archive, accessed 10 October 2025, <a href="https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/28513-document-12-stimson-diary-entries-may-14-and-15%E2%80%931945">https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/28513-document-12-stimson-diary-entries-may-14-and-15–1945</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N055</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>James Byrnes was Truman’s secretary of state, the architect of atomic diplomacy. His aide Walter Brown kept a detailed diary of their discussions at Potsdam. Byrnes had told physicist Leo Szilard in May 1945 that the Soviet Union might be ‘more manageable if impressed by American military might’.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Secretary of State Byrnes explicitly hoped that ‘after atomic bomb Japan will surrender and Russia will not get in so much on the kill’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Robert L. Messer, <i>The End of an Alliance: James F. Byrnes, Roosevelt, Truman, and the Origins of the Cold War</i> (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina press, 1982), 105.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref85" name="_edn85"><sup>85</sup></a> Context for claim N056</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Hiroshima was bombed on 6 August 1945. There was no emergency meeting of the Supreme War Council on 7 or 8 August. The USSR declared war on 8 August. The Soviet invasion of Manchuria began in the early morning of 9 August. The Supreme War Council held its first emergency meeting on surrender on the morning of 9 August. Nagasaki was bombed later that same day.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet invasion, not the atomic bomb, triggered Japan’s surrender decision; Emperor Hirohito’s rescript cited Soviet entry as threatening the empire’s existence but did not mention the atomic bombs.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Tsuyoshi Hasegawa, <i>Racing the Enemy: Stalin, Truman, and the Surrender of Japan</i> (Cambridge: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2005), 186, 198–199, 250, 295.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N057</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>P. M. S. Blackett was a British Nobel Prize-winning physicist (1948 Nobel Prize for cosmic-ray research), a Fellow of the Royal Society, and a scientific adviser to the British government during the war. He published </i>Fear, War, and the Bomb: Military and Political Consequences of Atomic Energy<i> in 1949 – four years after the bombings, when memories were fresh and evidence was accessible.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">British physicist P. M. S. Blackett’s 1948 analysis identified the atomic bombings as ‘the first major operation of the cold diplomatic war with Russia’ rather than the last military act of WWII, a thesis later verified by subsequent historians.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gar Alperovitz, <i>Atomic Diplomacy: Hiroshima and Potsdam; The Use of the Atomic Bomb and the American Confrontation with Soviet Power</i> (New York: Vintage Books (A Division of Random House), 1965), 127, 242.</div>
<div class="citation">P. M. S. Blackett, <i>Fear, War, and the Bomb: Military and Political Consequences of Atomic Energy</i> (New York: Whittlesey House, McGraw-Hill Book Company, Inc., 1949), 139.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref86" name="_edn86"><sup>86</sup></a> Context for claim X208</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Within weeks of Japan’s surrender, the US and the UK actively restored colonial rule in Vietnam, violating Atlantic Charter promises – an immediate betrayal of self-determination principles that exposed the true imperial agenda.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">After Ho Chi Minh declared independence on 2 September 1945, British forces rearmed French troops on 22–23 September; the US provided eight transport ships in October to ferry French divisions to Vietnam.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Fredrik Logevall, <i>Embers of War: The Fall of an Empire and the Making of America’s Vietnam</i> (New York: Random House, 2012), 128.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 27.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 405.</div>
<div class="citation">John Springhall, ‘“Kicking Out the Vietminh”: How Britain Allowed France to Reoccupy South Indochina, 1945–46’, <i>Journal of Contemporary History</i> 40, no. 1 (2005): 115–30.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref87" name="_edn87"><sup>87</sup></a> Context for claim X142</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Greek partisans who fought the Nazis were then killed by Britain and the US – the same resistance that tied down 300,000 Axis troops was crushed to prevent communism; 158,000 died. Democracy via massacre.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Greek Civil War (1946–1949): 158,000 deaths; Britain deployed 40,000 troops and the US provided $300 million in military aid to defeat Communist partisans.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Edward G. Lengel, ‘The Greek Civil War, 1944–1949’, The National WWII Museum, 22 May 2020, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/greek-civil-war-1944%E2%80%931949">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/greek-civil-war-1944–1949</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref88" name="_edn88"><sup>88</sup></a> Context for claim N013</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>In the aftermath of WWII, the US intervened to suppress leftist movements as part of the emerging Cold War strategy. On Jeju Island, the US military government oversaw the massacre of 14,000–30,000 civilians (1948–1949).</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">South Korean forces under US military government command killed 14,000–30,000 civilians on Jeju Island (1948–1949), with US advisors present and US aircraft conducting reconnaissance.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">The National Committee for Investigation of the Truth About the Jeju April 3 Incident, <i>The Jeju 4.3 Incident Investigation Report</i> (Jeju 4.3 Peace Foundation, 2014), 453–54, 654, <a href="https://doi.org/www.jeju43peace.or.kr">www.jeju43peace.or.kr</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref89" name="_edn89"><sup>89</sup></a> Context for claim X105</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China entered Korea to prevent US forces from reaching its border. The cost: 197,653 People’s Volunteer Army (PVA) soldiers dead, including Mao’s son. China calls it the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea – framing reveals perspective.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The PVA lost 197,653 soldiers in Korea (1950–1953), including Mao Anying (Mao Zedong’s son), killed by a US airstrike in November 1950.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Li, Xia, ‘China Holds Burial Ceremony for Soldier Remains Returned from ROK’, <i>Xinhua News Agency</i>, 4 April 2019, <a href="https://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019%E2%80%9304/04/c_137949939.htm">https://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019–04/04/c_137949939.htm</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref90" name="_edn90"><sup>90</sup></a> Context for claim X103</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Korea endured more bombs than the entire Pacific Theatre in WWII: 635,000 tonnes of conventional bombs and over 32,557 tonnes of napalm. No wounded from napalm – only dead, only instant incineration. Entire cities erased.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US forces dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on Korea between 1950 and 1953, exceeding the total Pacific Theatre WWII tonnage on a country one-seventieth the size of Japan.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 152.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref91" name="_edn91"><sup>91</sup></a> Context for claim X096</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US Strategic Air Command dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on Korea. General Curtis LeMay’s assessment: genocide achieved – ‘We killed off – what – twenty percent of the population’.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">General Curtis LeMay stated: ‘Over a period of three years or so, we killed off – what – twenty percent of the population of North Korea’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard H. Kohn and Joseph P. Harahan, <i>Strategic Air Warfare: An Interview with Generals Curtis E. LeMay, Leon W. Johnson, David A. Burchinal, and Jack J. Catton</i> (Office of Air Force History, US Air Force, 1988), 166.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref92" name="_edn92"><sup>92</sup></a> Context for claim N014</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US forces dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on Korea – more than the entire Pacific Theatre in WWII. Every city with a population over 50,000 was destroyed. General Douglas MacArthur himself said he vomited after seeing the results.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">MacArthur testified to the US Senate in 1951: ‘The war in Korea has already almost destroyed that nation of 20 million people – I have never seen such devastation – I vomited’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US Senate, Committee on Armed Services and Committee on Foreign Relations, <i>Military Situation in the Far East: Hearings Before the Committee on Armed Services and the Committee on Foreign Relations, US Senate, Eighty-Second Congress, First Session, to Conduct an Inquiry into the Military Situation in the Far East and the Facts Surrounding the Relief of General of the Army Macarthur from His Assignments in That Area</i>, 82d Cong., 1st Sess. (Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1951), <a href="https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736">https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N015</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Far East Bomber Command dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm. Targets included dams, irrigation systems, rice paddies, and cities. The strategy: destroy food production. The result: 20% of the population dead.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Major General Emmett O’Donnell Jr., Far East Air Force Bomber Command chief, testified: ‘Everything is destroyed. There is nothing standing worthy of the name’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US Senate, <i>Military Situation in the Far East: Hearings Before the Committee on Armed Services and the Committee on Foreign Relations, US Senate, Eighty-Second Congress, First Session</i>, S. Doc. 153797, Congressional Hearings no. 153797, 82d Cong., 1st Sess. (Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1951), 3075, <a href="https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736">https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref93" name="_edn93"><sup>93</sup></a> Context for claim X104</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US Air Force target lists evolved: military targets were exhausted by 1950; industrial sites destroyed by 1951; cities obliterated by 1952; irrigation dams by 1953. Policy: destroy everything. Result: 18 of 22 cities erased.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US airstrikes destroyed 18 of North Korea’s 22 major cities – Sinanju 100%, Sariwon 95%, Pyongyang 75% – with the average destruction rate exceeding 50%.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 152–153.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X202</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US bombing achieved destruction levels surpassing Dresden or Tokyo. Cities weren’t just damaged – they were erased. This systematic obliteration of civilian infrastructure constituted deliberate genocide through aerial warfare.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US Air Force damage assessments confirm Sinanju was 100% destroyed and Sariwon 95% destroyed during the US War of Aggression against Korea bombing campaign.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 153.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref94" name="_edn94"><sup>94</sup></a> Context for claim X107</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The CIA secretly funded intellectual warfare against communism: through the Congress for Cultural Freedom hundreds of intellectuals ended up on the agency payroll. The purpose: make anti-communism synonymous with intelligence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The CIA funded the Congress for Cultural Freedom (1950–1967) with tens of millions of dollars, publishing over 20 magazines and organising conferences globally.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frances Stonor Saunders, <i>The Cultural Cold War: The CIA and the World of Arts and Letters</i> (New York: The New Press, 2013), 148.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref95" name="_edn95"><sup>95</sup></a> Context for claim X119</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Irving Kristol – the ‘godfather of neoconservatism’ – built a career on CIA money. He edited </i>Encounter<i> magazine, which was secretly funded by the CIA through the Congress for Cultural Freedom. Democracy via deception.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Irving Kristol edited <i>Encounter</i> magazine (1953–1958), receiving CIA funds through the Congress for Cultural Freedom; the funding was revealed in 1967 – Kristol claimed ignorance.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frances Stonor Saunders, <i>The Cultural Cold War: The CIA and the World of Arts and Letters</i> (New York: The New Press, 2013), 97, 98, 131, 269, 341.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X120</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Sidney Hook promoted the ‘totalitarian twins’ thesis – equating Stalin with Hitler – at CIA-funded conferences. The agency paid for intellectuals to launder state propaganda as independent philosophy.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Sidney Hook attended the founding Congress for Cultural Freedom conference in Berlin (1950), which was secretly organised and funded by the CIA Office of Policy Coordination.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Warner, ‘Origins of the Congress of Cultural Freedom, 1949–50 Cultural Cold War’, <i>Studies in Intelligence</i> 38, no. 5 (1995): 89, 91, 93, 95.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref96" name="_edn96"><sup>96</sup></a> Context for claim X144</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>A CIA official publicly boasted about immorality. Thomas Braden’s 1967 confession: ‘I’m glad the CIA is immoral’. He admitted to buying intellectuals and rigging culture. Democracy via deception.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Thomas Braden, former chief of the CIA’s International Organisations Division, wrote in the <i>Saturday Evening Post</i> on 20 May 1967: ‘I’m glad the CIA is “immoral”’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Thomas W. Braden, ‘I’m Glad the CIA Is “Immoral”’, <i>The Saturday Evening Post</i>, 20 May 1967, 10, 12, 14.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref97" name="_edn97"><sup>97</sup></a> Context for claim X108</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The FBI’s systematic surveillance of academia created an intellectual climate where challenging imperial narratives became career suicide – an infrastructure of intimidation that ensured that those documenting socialist or anti-colonial struggles would be silenced while those promoting US exceptionalism thrived.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">1955 survey: 1,484 of 2,434 social science professors (61%) reported FBI contact within the past year – 676 had 1–2 contacts, 808 had more than 3 contacts.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Paul F. Lazarsfeld and Wagner Thielens, <i>The Academic Mind: Social Scientists in a Time of Crisis</i> (New York: Arno Press, 1958), 401.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref98" name="_edn98"><sup>98</sup></a> Context for claim X109</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Department of Defense captured US universities through funding dependency – in the 1950s it controlled 83.8% of federal research money; at Stanford in 1960, 40% of the budget came from military contracts.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Department of Defense controlled about 83.8% of federal research spending (1950s peak). Stanford University 1960: military contracts comprised 40% of total operating budget.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Andrew Myers, ‘A Period of Transformation 1955–1964’, 100 Years of Stanford Engineering, accessed 13 September 2025, <a href="https://engineering100.stanford.edu/stories/a-period-of-transformation">https://engineering100.stanford.edu/stories/a-period-of-transformation</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Rowberg, <i>Federal R&amp;D Funding: A Concise History</i>, nos 95–1209 STM (Congressional Research Service, 1998), 12, <a href="https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/95%E2%80%931209.html">https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/95–1209.html</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Stuart W. Leslie, <i>The Cold War and American Science: The Military-Industrial-Academic Complex at MIT and Stanford</i> (New York: Columbia University Press, 1993), 1, 8, 45–46, 59, 62, 73.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref99" name="_edn99"><sup>99</sup></a> Context for claim X206</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>There is a significant discrepancy between the casualty figures for WWII in China cited by some Western historians and the official, documented figures released by the Chinese government.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Western historian Rana Mitter estimates 15–20 million Chinese deaths while the Chinese government’s comprehensive 2015 survey documented 24.05 million deaths from 1931 to 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 402, 405.</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 271–339.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref100" name="_edn100"><sup>100</sup></a> Context for claim X066</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Chinese government casualty figures are confirmed through multiple official sources: announced at 50th (1995), 60th (2005), and 70th (2015) anniversary commemorations, verified through a decade-long nationwide survey (2005–2015) involving 600,000 participants, and formally presented at State Council press conferences (2015). The investigation covered the full war period from 1931 to 1945, collecting local records and survivor testimonies published as a nearly 300 volume research series.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China suffered 35 million military and civilian casualties (dead and wounded combined) from 1931 to 1945. Direct economic losses exceeded $100 billion and indirect economic losses exceeded $500 billion, both calculated using 1937 exchange rates. China’s total documented deaths in 1931–1945 were 24,050,000, comprising 20.6 million direct deaths, 3 million from war-induced famine, and 450,000 from 1931–1937 (author estimate).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 402, 405.</div>
<div class="citation">State Council Information Office [国务院新闻办公室], ‘新闻办吹风会介绍“抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失”调研成果情况和二战中中国贡献的最新理论研究成果 [News Briefing on Research Findings on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the Latest Theoretical Research on China’s Contribution in World War II]’, Chinese Government Website [中国政府网], 14 July 2015, <a href="https://www.gov.cn/xinwen/zb_xwb77/">https://www.gov.cn/xinwen/zb_xwb77/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Xi, Jinping [习近平], ‘习近平在纪念中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利70周年大会上的讲话_中华人民共和国外交部 [Speech at the Commemoration of the 70th Anniversary of Victory in the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War]’, Speech, Beijing, 3 September 2015, <a href="https://www.mfa.gov.cn/web/ziliao_674904/zyjh_674906/201509/t20150903_9869606.shtml">https://www.mfa.gov.cn/web/ziliao_674904/zyjh_674906/201509/t20150903_9869606.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">‘抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失调研丛书 [Research Series on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失调研丛书</i> [Research Series on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan], ed. Li, Zhongjie [李忠杰] et al., 抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失调研丛书 [Research Series on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan] / A (Beijing: 中共党史出版社 [CPC Party History Publishing House], 2014), Preface.</div>
<div class="citation">国新办新闻发布会 [State Council Information Office], ‘国新办举行抗战时期中国伤亡、财产损失及贡献等研究成果吹风会 [The State Council Information Office held a press briefing on research findings regarding Chinese casualties, property losses, and contributions during the Anti-Japanese War period]’, 国新办新闻发布会 [State Council Information Office], 1 July 2015, <a href="http://www.scio.gov.cn/xwfb/gwyxwbgsxwfbh/wqfbh_2284/2015n_9477/2015n07y14r/">http://www.scio.gov.cn/xwfb/gwyxwbgsxwfbh/wqfbh_2284/2015n_9477/2015n07y14r/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref101" name="_edn101"><sup>101</sup></a> Context for claim N002</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Major encyclopaedic reference works compile WWII casualties with varying completeness. Encyclopaedia Britannica lists 5.68 million Polish civilian deaths but leaves China’s civilian deaths blank despite a 14-year war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content"><i>Encyclopaedia Britannica</i>’s WWII casualty table lists 1,310,224 Chinese military deaths but leaves civilian and total death fields blank, while providing complete data for all European nations.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Thomas A Hughes and John Graham Royde-Smith, ‘World War II: Facts, Summary, History, Dates, Combatants, and Causes’, in <i>Encyclopaedia Britannica</i>, 9 September 2025, <a href="https://www.britannica.com/event/World-War-II">https://www.britannica.com/event/World-War-II</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref102" name="_edn102"><sup>102</sup></a> Context for claim N040</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>On 13 September 1938, two days before his first meeting with Hitler at Berchtesgaden, Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain wrote privately to King George VI. This letter reveals Chamberlain’s true strategic objectives, which differed fundamentally from his public statements about preserving peace and Czechoslovak sovereignty.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Chamberlain wrote to King George VI on 13 September 1938 stating that his aim was an ‘Anglo-German understanding’ with Germany and England as ‘the two pillars of European peace and buttresses against communism’, acknowledging Hitler was determined ‘to proceed further east’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Christopher Hitchens, ‘Chamberlain: Collusion, Not Appeasement’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 46, no. 8 (1995): 44–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046%E2%80%9308-1995%E2%80%9301_3">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046–08-1995–01_3</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Clement Leibovitz and Alvin Finkel, <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 26.</div>
<div class="citation">John W. Wheeler-Bennett, <i>King George VI: His Life and Reign</i> (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1958), 346–47.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref103" name="_edn103"><sup>103</sup></a> Context for claim N038</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The 1938 Munich Agreement was not an isolated act of appeasement but the culmination of a formal, secret deal negotiated between Chamberlain and Hitler. Over three meetings in September, Chamberlain sought to establish Germany as a ‘buttress against communism’ by explicitly offering it dominion over Eastern Europe in exchange for a promise to leave the British Empire and Western Europe untouched.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Over three meetings in September 1938, Chamberlain and Hitler formalised a deal, culminating in Hitler’s explicit offer at Godesberg, recorded by German translator Dr Paul Schmidt: ‘you may without harm let us have a free hand on the European continent in central and South-East Europe’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Clement Leibovitz and Alvin Finkel, <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 28.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref104" name="_edn104"><sup>104</sup></a> Context for claim N041</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Sir Nevile Henderson served as British ambassador to Germany from 1937 to 1939, personally negotiating with Hitler on behalf of the British government. After the outbreak of war in September 1939, Henderson wrote his assessment of British policy, revealing what the British leadership would have considered acceptable outcomes.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Britain’s ambassador to Germany, Sir Nevile Henderson, wrote in October 1939 that the world would have ‘acclaimed Hitler as a great German if he had known when and where to stop: even, for instance, after Munich and the Nuremberg decrees for the Jews’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Christopher Hitchens, ‘Chamberlain: Collusion, Not Appeasement’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 46, no. 8 (1995): 44–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046%E2%80%9308-1995%E2%80%9301_3">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046–08-1995–01_3</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Clement Leibovitz and Alvin Finkel, <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 20.</div>
<div class="citation">Neville Henderson, <i>Failure of a Mission: Berlin 1937–1939</i> (New York: G. P. Putnam’s Sons, 1940), 12.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref105" name="_edn105"><sup>105</sup></a> Context for claim N042</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Post-war historiography constructed a narrative of ‘appeasement’ – portraying Chamberlain as naïvely attempting to avoid war through concessions to Hitler. Recent historical scholarship using declassified documents has fundamentally challenged this interpretation, arguing instead that British policy represented calculated strategic collusion.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Historian and <i>Monthly Review</i> editor John Bellamy Foster argues that Chamberlain’s government sought ‘not so much to “appease” Nazi Germany, as to collude with it, in the hope that Germany would turn its guns eastward, toward the USSR’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Christopher Hitchens, ‘Chamberlain: Collusion, Not Appeasement’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 46, no. 8 (1995): 44–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046%E2%80%9308-1995%E2%80%9301_3">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046–08-1995–01_3</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">John Bellamy Foster, ‘Revolution and Counterrevolution, 1917–2017’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 69, no. 03 (2017), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917%E2%80%932017/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917–2017/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref106" name="_edn106"><sup>106</sup></a> Context for claim X110</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Pentagon operates Hollywood’s largest film subsidy programme – providing free equipment, locations, and personnel in exchange for script approval. More than 2,500 productions have been shaped by this process. The people of the US learn history through Pentagon edits.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Pentagon has collaborated on more than 2,500 Hollywood productions, providing equipment and locations in exchange for script approval rights and an ‘accuracy’ review.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Tanner Mirrlees, <i>The Militarisation of Movies and Television</i>, Research Report, Costs of War Project (Watson Institute for International &amp; Public Affairs, Brown University, 2025), 10, <a href="https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/papers/2025/Militarization%20of%20Movies%20and%20TV_2.25.25_.pdf">https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/papers/2025/Militarization%20of%20Movies%20and%20TV_2.25.25_.pdf</a>.</div>
<div class="citation"><i>Theaters of War: How the Pentagon and CIA Took Hollywood</i>, produced by Matthew Alford, directed by Roger Stahl (Media Education Foundation, 2022), 87 min, <a href="https://go.mediaed.org/theaters-of-war">https://go.mediaed.org/theaters-of-war</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref107" name="_edn107"><sup>107</sup></a> Context for claim X219</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Soviet war films reached a maximum of 100 US theatres, versus thousands for Hollywood, ensuring US citizens never saw the reality of the Eastern Front. This cultural blockade maintained a propaganda monopoly.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">During the 1950s, the best Soviet films secured bookings in only 100 US theatres, while average Soviet imports reached just 20–40 venues.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">James H. Krukones, ‘The Unspooling of Artkino: Soviet Film Distribution in America, 1940–1975 p. 9’, <i>History</i>, no. 36 (2009): 9.</div>
<div class="citation">Tsvetkova, Natalia [Наталья Цветкова] et al., ‘Americanisation Versus Sovietisation: Film Exchanges Between the United States and the Soviet Union, 1948–1950’, <i>Cogent Arts &amp; Humanities</i> 5, no. 1 (2018): 1–17, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2018.1471771">https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2018.1471771</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref108" name="_edn108"><sup>108</sup></a> Context for claim X218</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Hollywood depicts the Red Army as a primitive horde despite the USSR producing 30 million small arms. This myth transforms Soviet tactical superiority into Asiatic barbarism, erasing scientific victory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The 2001 film <i>Enemy at the Gates</i> depicts Soviet soldiers sharing rifles, contradicting documented Soviet production of nearly 20 million small arms during WWII.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Valerʹevich Isaev, Alekseĭ [Алексей Валерьевич Исаев], ‘Stalingrad: City on Fire’, in <i>Stalingrad: City on Fire</i> (Barnsley: Pen &amp; Sword Military, 2019), 25, 165–166.</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook’, in <i>The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook</i>, ed. P. V. Malkov (Moscow: Federal State Statistics Service, 2020), 67, 253.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref109" name="_edn109"><sup>109</sup></a> Context for claim N026</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>After executing some war criminals at Nuremberg, the West erected monuments to others. Physical memorialisation of fascists in countries that supposedly defeated fascism reveals priorities.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">An investigation documented 1,500 monuments honouring Nazi collaborators across 25 countries – 110 more than in Germany and Austria combined – and 36 in the US.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lev Golinkin, ‘Nazi Monuments Around the World’, <i>The Forward</i>, 27 January 2021, <a href="https://forward.com/news/462648/how-many-monuments-honor-fascists-nazis-and-murderers-of-jews-youll-be/">https://forward.com/news/462648/how-many-monuments-honor-fascists-nazis-and-murderers-of-jews-youll-be/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Marco Fernandes, ‘Nobody Is Forgotten, Nothing Is Forgotten: The 80th Anniversary of a Victory Still Contested’, <i>Peoples Dispatch</i>, 21 May 2025, <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/05/21/nobody-is-forgotten-nothing-is-forgotten-the-80th-anniversary-of-a-victory-still-contested/">https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/05/21/nobody-is-forgotten-nothing-is-forgotten-the-80th-anniversary-of-a-victory-still-contested/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref110" name="_edn110"><sup>110</sup></a> Context for claim N021</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>ITT President Sosthenes Behn met Hitler on 3 August 1933. ITT held 29% of Focke-Wulf aircraft manufacturer through 1943. The US government paid ITT $27 million in compensation for Allied bombing of its Nazi factories.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">ITT maintained 29% ownership of Focke-Wulf aircraft manufacturer until 1943, then received $27 million in US government compensation for Allied bomb damage to its Nazi facilities.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Anthony Sampson, <i>The Sovereign State of ITT</i> (Connecticut: Fawcett Publications, Inc., 1974), 45.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref111" name="_edn111"><sup>111</sup></a> Context for claim X115</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US denazification was reversed within six years – war criminals whose slave labour built the Wehrmacht arsenal that was used to massacre millions walked free and had their fortunes restored. The pattern: prosecute between 1945 and 1948, release between 1949 and 1951, enrich for Cold War.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Alfred Krupp, convicted in 1948 for using over 100,000 slave labourers, was pardoned on 31 January 1951 by US High Commissioner McCloy; Krupp’s entire industrial empire was restored.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Jack Raymond, ‘21 Nazi Criminals Saved From Death; McCloy, Gen. Handy Commute Sentences as Clemency – 7 to Die – Krupp to Go Free’, Archives, <i>The New York Times</i>, 1 February 1951, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1951/02/01/archives/21-nazi-criminals-saved-from-death-mccloy-gen-handy-commute.html">https://www.nytimes.com/1951/02/01/archives/21-nazi-criminals-saved-from-death-mccloy-gen-handy-commute.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref112" name="_edn112"><sup>112</sup></a> Context for claim X116</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Quandt family – concentration camp profiteers – became BMW billionaires. Günther Quandt used slave labour from Mauthausen and took over Jewish firms. Today, they are Germany’s richest family. Never prosecuted.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Quandt family acquired Jewish businesses through ‘Aryanisation’, used slave labourers from Mauthausen and other camps in battery factories, now control 42.7% of BMW.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rüdiger Jungbluth, <i>The Quandts: Their Quiet Rise to Germany’s Most Powerful Economic Dynasty</i> [Die Quandts: Ihr Leiser Aufstieg zur mächtigsten Wirtschaftsdynastie Deutschlands] (Cologne: Bastei Lübbe, 2004), 190–191.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref113" name="_edn113"><sup>113</sup></a> Context for claim X117</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Hermann Abs financed the construction of Auschwitz through Deutsche Bank and served on the IG Farben board during the Holocaust. Post-war he was advisor to chancellors and named an architect of Germany’s ‘economic miracle’ – he was never tried.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Hermann Abs, Deutsche Bank board member who arranged Auschwitz financing and served on over 40 Nazi corporate boards, became Adenauer’s chief financial advisor (1949–1966).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Robert S. Wistrich, <i>Who’s Who in Nazi Germany</i> (London: Routledge, 2001), 2–3.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref114" name="_edn114"><sup>114</sup></a> Context for claim X118</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Porsche designed Hitler’s ‘people’s car’ using slave labour. The KdF-Wagen factory was built by Italian POWs and operated with Eastern European slaves. Post-war it became Volkswagen; Porsche flourished.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Ferdinand Porsche used Buchenwald prisoners to produce the Ferdinand (then Elefant) tanks and V-1 flying bombs at the Volkswagen plant; he personally visited camps to select workers.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David De Jong, <i>Nazi Billionaires: The Dark History of Germany’s Wealthiest Dynasties</i> (London: William Collins, 2022), 13, 140, 158–159, 175–176, 211.</div>
<div class="citation">Robert S. Wistrich, <i>Who’s Who in Nazi Germany</i> (London: Routledge, 2001), 193.</div>
<div class="citation">Thomas Anderson, <i>Ferdinand and Elefant Tank Destroyer</i> (London: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 2015), 15, 18–19, 171, 208.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref115" name="_edn115"><sup>115</sup></a> Context for claim X147</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US recruited over 1,600 Nazi scientists, including SS members who used slave labour. Under Operation Paperclip war criminals got laboratories, concentration camp survivors got displaced-persons camps.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Operation Paperclip (1945–1959) brought over 1,500 Nazi scientists to the US – including Werner von Braun, SS major who used Dora camp slave labour and would later develop the Saturn V rocket.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US National Archives and Records Administration, ‘Records of the Secretary of Defense (RG 330)’, National Archives, 11 October 2016, <a href="https://www.archives.gov/iwg/declassified-records/rg-330-defense-secretary">https://www.archives.gov/iwg/declassified-records/rg-330-defense-secretary</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref116" name="_edn116"><sup>116</sup></a> Context for claim X124</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Allied powers executed 920 Japanese and 500 German war criminals yet protected entire Japanese command structures. Unit 731 received immunity; German doctors were executed. Racial calculus determined justice.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Allied tribunals executed 920 Japanese war criminals (mostly lower ranks) and approximately 500 Germans while granting immunity to Unit 731 and Emperor Hirohito.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Caroline Sharples, ‘What Do You Do with a Dead Nazi? Allied Policy on the Execution and Disposal of War Criminals, 1945–55’, in <i>Transforming Occupation in the Western Zones of Germany: Politics, Everyday Life and Social Interactions, 1945–55</i>, ed. Camilo Erlichmann and Christopher Knowles (London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2018), <a href="https://pure.roehampton.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/what-do-you-do-with-a-dead-nazi-allied-policy-on-the-execution-an">https://pure.roehampton.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/what-do-you-do-with-a-dead-nazi-allied-policy-on-the-execution-an</a>, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">Philip R. Piccigallo, <i>The Japanese on Trial: Allied War Crimes Operations in the East, 1945–1951</i> (Austin: University of Texas Press, 2021), xi, 265.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref117" name="_edn117"><sup>117</sup></a> Context for claim N028</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Germany was forced to investigate 90,000 individuals, establish domestic courts, and continue prosecutions to this day. In Japan, the US ended prosecutions in 1949. Japanese domestic investigations: zero. Prosecutions: zero.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 1949 US State-War-Navy Coordinating Committee memorandum stated: ‘No further trials should be initiated’. Total Japanese prosecuted: 5,700. Germans prosecuted: over 90,000.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Assistant Secretary of State for Occupied Areas (Saltzman) to the United States Member of the Far Eastern Commission (McCoy), <i>Memorandum Trial of Japanese War Criminals</i> (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1976), <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1949v07p2/d8">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1949v07p2/d8</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">John W. Dower, <i>Embracing Defeat: Japan in the Wake of World War II</i> (New York: Norton New Press, 1999), 447.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref118" name="_edn118"><sup>118</sup></a> Context for claim X070</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Unit 731 referred to prisoners as </i>maruta<i> (logs) and carried out vivisection without anaesthesia, froze limbs solid, and deliberately infected prisoners with plague. Over 3,000 were murdered in experiments and over 200,000 by biological weapons. The US granted them immunity.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Unit 731 personnel called their human experiment subjects maruta, conducting vivisection without anaesthesia on over 3,000 victims, primarily Chinese.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Nie, Jingbao [聂精保] et al., ‘Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics’, in <i>Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics</i> (London: Routledge, 2010), 33–108.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref119" name="_edn119"><sup>119</sup></a> Context for claim N027</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Unlike denazification in Germany, where the state apparatus was dismantled and rebuilt, the US strategically preserved Japan’s governmental and military structures. The same personnel who conducted the war managed occupation as anti-communist allies.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">MacArthur granted immunity to Emperor Hirohito and all 3,607 Unit 731 members who killed 3,000 in experiments and over 200,000 through biological weapons.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Douglas MacArthur, ‘Telegram General of the Army Douglas MacArthur to the Chief of Staff, United States Army (Eisenhower)’, in <i>Foreign Relations of the United States, 1946, The Far East</i>, vol. 8 (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1971), <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1946v08/d308">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1946v08/d308</a>, 396–397.</div>
<div class="citation">Tanaka, Toshiyuki [田中利幸], ‘Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II’, in <i>Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II</i>, 2nd edn (Lanham: Rowman &amp; Littlefield, 2018), 174.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X071</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>MacArthur granted immunity to 3,607 Unit 731 members who murdered over 3,000 in experiments and over 200,000 with bioweapons – and paid 150,000 yen ($556) for the data. Value of Chinese lives to the US: $0.19 each.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US granted immunity to all 3,607 Unit 731 members in exchange for biological warfare data, paying 150,000–200,000 yen for research from human experiments.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Nie, Jingbao [聂精保] et al., ‘Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics’, in <i>Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics</i> (London: Routledge, 2010), 33.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref120" name="_edn120"><sup>120</sup></a> Context for claim N029</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>By 1948, the US had decided to enlist war criminals to run Japan and turn the country into a weapon against the rising socialist forces in China and across Asia.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Kishi enslaved 4 million Chinese in Manchukuo (40% mortality), was released from Sugamo Prison on 24 December 1948, and became prime minister in 1957 with CIA support.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Driscoll, <i>Absolute Erotic, Absolute Grotesque: The Living, Dead, and Undead in Japan’s Imperialism 1895–1945</i> (Durham: Duke University Press, 2010), 289.</div>
<div class="citation">Tokumoto, Eiichiro [徳本栄一郎], ‘Boiling Point’, <i>Number 1 Shimbun</i>, August 2023, <a href="https://www.fccj.or.jp/number-1-shimbun-article/boiling-point">https://www.fccj.or.jp/number-1-shimbun-article/boiling-point</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref121" name="_edn121"><sup>121</sup></a> Context for claim N016</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan killed 24 million Chinese, 3.4 million Indonesians, 1.5 million Vietnamese. Fifty years later, one prime minister apologised. Subsequent leaders visit Yasukuni Shrine honouring war criminals.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Prime Minister Murayama stated on 15 August 1995: Japan ‘caused tremendous damage and suffering to the people of many countries, particularly to those of Asian nations’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Murayama, Tomiichi [村山富市], ‘Statement by Prime Minister Tomiichi Murayama “On the Occasion of the 50th Anniversary of the War’s End”’, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan, 15 August 1995, <a href="https://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/press/pm/murayama/9508.html">https://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/press/pm/murayama/9508.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref122" name="_edn122"><sup>122</sup></a> Context for claim X128</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Cairo Declaration promised Korea would be ‘free and independent’. The reality: two US colonels divided the country with a map, it was occupied by the US and USSR and then destroyed in a war that killed 20% of the population.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Cairo Declaration (1 December 1943): Roosevelt, Churchill, and Chiang stated that ‘in due course Korea shall become free and independent’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Stephen Early, ‘Cairo Communiqué’, National Diet Library, 1 December 1943, <a href="https://www.ndl.go.jp/constitution/e/shiryo/01/002_46/002_46tx.html">https://www.ndl.go.jp/constitution/e/shiryo/01/002_46/002_46tx.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref123" name="_edn123"><sup>123</sup></a> Context for claim X129</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Atlantic Charter Article 2 promised ‘no territorial changes that do not accord with the freely expressed wishes of the peoples concerned’. Yet colonial boundaries would be redrawn without consultation. Article 3 of the Atlantic Charter promised the ‘right of all peoples to choose their government’. In September 1941, Churchill clarified: whites only. Colonies mobilised for freedom they would never receive.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Article 2 of the Atlantic Charter (14 August 1941) declared: ‘no territorial changes that do not accord with the freely expressed wishes of the peoples concerned’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Franklin D. Roosevelt and Winston S. Churchill, ‘The Atlantic Charter’, 14 August 1941, Franklin D. Roosevelt Presidential Library and Museum.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref124" name="_edn124"><sup>124</sup></a> Context for claim N030</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Atlantic Charter promised self-determination (August 1941). The African colonies mobilised, expecting freedom. Churchill clarified in September 1941 that the charter applied only to Europe under Nazi rule, not to the British Empire.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill declared in Parliament on 9 September 1941 that the Atlantic Charter applied only to ‘states and nations of Europe now under the Nazi yoke’, explicitly excluding the subjects of the British Empire.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alawad Sikainga, Ahmad [أحمد العوض سيكانغا], ‘Sudanese Popular Response to World War II’, in <i>Africa and World War II</i> (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2015), 475.</div>
<div class="citation">Winston S. Churchill, ‘War Situation’, House of Commons Debate, 9 September 1941, cc67–156, Vol. 374, <a href="https://api.parliament.uk/historic-hansard/commons/1941/sep/09/war-situation">https://api.parliament.uk/historic-hansard/commons/1941/sep/09/war-situation</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref125" name="_edn125"><sup>125</sup></a> Context for claim X121</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Two US colonels divided Korea in 30 minutes using a </i>National Geographic<i> map – no Korean was consulted. Dean Rusk later admitted a ‘dangerous shortage of knowledge’. The result: 4–5 million dead, a nation destroyed.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Colonels Dean Rusk and Charles Bonesteel selected the 38th parallel dividing Korea on 10–11 August 1945 – after taking 30 minutes to decide – using a National Geographic map.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 100–211.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref126" name="_edn126"><sup>126</sup></a> Context for claim X213</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US maintains history’s largest foreign base network – 902 installations across 98 countries and territories. This permanent occupation – not defence – infrastructure defines modern imperialism’s military architecture.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The United States maintains at least 902 foreign military bases across 98 countries and territories, with major concentrations surrounding China and Russia.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage’, in <i>Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage</i>, ed. Gisela Cernadas et al. (Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, 2024), 22–23.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref127" name="_edn127"><sup>127</sup></a> Context for claim X214</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Okinawa bears 70% of US forces in Japan on 0.6% of Japanese territory – a continuing colonial occupation. This concentration proves the ‘alliance’ masks the subjugation of a strategic territory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US military bases occupy 18% of Okinawa’s land area while hosting 70% of all US forces stationed throughout Japan.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Taira, Yoshitoshi [平良好利], <i>Okinawa’s Inconvenient Truths</i> (The Tokyo Foundation, 2015), <a href="https://www.tokyofoundation.org/research/detail.php?id=617">https://www.tokyofoundation.org/research/detail.php?id=617</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Okinawa’s Peace Movement Struggles as Military Presence on the Islands Grows’, <i>All Things Considered</i>, directed by Anthony Kuhn, NPR, 9 April 2024, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2024/04/09/1243752613/okinawas-peace-movement-struggles-as-military-presence-on-the-islands-grows">https://www.npr.org/2024/04/09/1243752613/okinawas-peace-movement-struggles-as-military-presence-on-the-islands-grows</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref128" name="_edn128"><sup>128</sup></a> Context for claim X112</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US invited 52 nations for the signing of the Treaty of San Francisco (8 September 1951) but excluded China (24 million dead from the war); the Soviet Union refused to sign. The purpose: transform Japan from defeated enemy to anti-communist military base.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Treaty of San Francisco (8 September 1951): the People’s Republic of China excluded despite 24 million casualties; the Soviet Union attended but refused to sign.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">National Guardian, ‘US Jams “Treaty” through; Gromyko Calls It War Threat’, <i>National Guardian</i>, 12 September 1951, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">Treaty of Peace with Japan (with Two Declarations), Signed at San Francisco, on 8 September 1951, in United Nations Treaty Series, Vol. 136, No. 1832, 46 (1951), <a href="https://treaties.un.org/doc/publication/unts/volume%20136/volume-136-i-1832-english.pdf">https://treaties.un.org/doc/publication/unts/volume%20136/volume-136-i-1832-english.pdf</a>, 46–140.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref129" name="_edn129"><sup>129</sup></a> Context for claim X148</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The USSR refused to sign the Treaty of San Francisco. Gromyko warned that it excluded China – despite 24 million dead – and would turn Japan into a US military base. Prediction proven: 80 years later, 54,000 US troops remain in Japan.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Andrei Gromyko at San Francisco (4 September 1951): treaty makes Japan ‘American military base’, excluding China – ‘one of the main victims’ – invalidates agreement.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">National Guardian, ‘US Jams “Treaty” through; Gromyko Calls It War Threat’, <i>National Guardian</i>, 12 September 1951, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">The New York Times, ‘Text of Gromyko’s Statement on the Peace Treaty’, Archives, <i>The New York Times</i>, 9 September 1951, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1951/09/09/archives/text-of-gromykos-statement-on-the-peace-treaty-contrast-with-other.html">https://www.nytimes.com/1951/09/09/archives/text-of-gromykos-statement-on-the-peace-treaty-contrast-with-other.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref130" name="_edn130"><sup>130</sup></a> Context for claim X113</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Indonesia 1965: a military coup backed by the CIA; the US Embassy and the Australian government provided death lists of 5,000 Communists to the army. The result: 1–2 million murdered. The method: village-by-village extermination using US lists.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Indonesian military killed 1–2 million suspected communists in 1965–1966 using lists of 5,000 Communist Party of Indonesia members provided by the US Embassy in Jakarta and the Australian government.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Brad Simpson, ‘US Embassy Tracked Indonesia Mass Murder 1965’, National Security Archive, 17 October 2017, <a href="https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017%E2%80%9310-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files">https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017–10-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Human Rights Watch, ‘Indonesia: US Documents Released on 1965–66 Massacres’, Human Rights Watch, 18 October 2017, <a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/10/18/indonesia-us-documents-released-1965%E2%80%9366-massacres">https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/10/18/indonesia-us-documents-released-1965–66-massacres</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Robert B. Cribb, ‘Unresolved Problems Indonesian Killings of 1965–1966’, <i>Asian Survey</i> 42, no. 4 (2002): 557–59, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2002.42.4.550">https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2002.42.4.550</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref131" name="_edn131"><sup>131</sup></a> Context for claim X149</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US-led military bloc spends over $1.5 trillion annually – 75% of the global total. NATO alone outspends China 4:1 – not defence but an architecture of dominance. Same formula since 1945: overwhelm via dollar supremacy.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US and allied military blocs (NATO, AUKUS, Quad, bilateral treaties) account for over 75% of global military spending; the US alone comprises 39% at $877 billion.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Cernadas, Gisela and John Bellamy Foster, ‘Actual US Military Spending Reached $1.537 Trillion in 2022—More than Twice Acknowledged Level: New Estimates Based on U.S. National Accounts’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 75, no. 6 (2023), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1%E2%80%9353-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1–53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage’, in <i>Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage</i>, ed. Gisela Cernadas et al. (Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, 2024), 16.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref132" name="_edn132"><sup>132</sup></a> Verifiable claim D001</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The 1941 world GDP total of $4,759 billion was calculated using Maddison’s 1940 base of $4,547 billion with a 4.6% weighted growth rate.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Maddison Database 2010 | Releases | Groningen Growth and Development Centre | University of Groningen’, accessed 1 September 2025, <a href="https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010">https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref133" name="_edn133"><sup>133</sup></a> Verifiable claim D003</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The primary source for GDP, military spending, and troops count is Mark Harrison, <i>The Economics of World War II</i> (1998).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1998), 10, 14, 21, 101.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref134" name="_edn134"><sup>134</sup></a> Verifiable claim D002</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">USSR population data for 1941 (195.4 million) and 1946 (170.6 million) are from Statista; values for 1942–1945 are derived through linear interpolation.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Population of the Soviet Union 1941 and 1946’, Statista, 31 December 2015, <a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/1260605/soviet-population-changes-wwii-gender-age/?srsltid=AfmBOoq1eA8m43U8D4YjIahdJvpxnzGjd6I3v6Oq63HCkC63yC46Y1qr">https://www.statista.com/statistics/1260605/soviet-population-changes-wwii-gender-age/?srsltid=AfmBOoq1eA8m43U8D4YjIahdJvpxnzGjd6I3v6Oq63HCkC63yC46Y1qr</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref135" name="_edn135"><sup>135</sup></a> Verifiable claim D004</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet Union suffered 27 million deaths – 13.8% of its 1940 population of 196 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Andreev, Evgeny M. [Андреев, Евгений М.] et al., ‘Population of the Soviet Union: 1922–1991 [Население Советского Союза: 1922–1991]’, in <i>Population of the Soviet Union: 1922–1991</i> [Население Советского Союза: 1922–1991], with Institute of National Economic Forecasting [Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования] (Moscow: Science [Наука], 1993), 78.</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Haynes, ‘Counting Soviet Deaths in the Great Patriotic War: A Note’, <i>Europe-Asia Studies</i> 55, no. 2 (2003): 303–9, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/0966813032000055895">https://doi.org/10.1080/0966813032000055895</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref136" name="_edn136"><sup>136</sup></a> Verifiable claim D005</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China’s total documented deaths in 1931–1945 were 24,050,000, comprising 20.6 million direct deaths, 3 million from war-induced famine, and 450,000 from 1931–1937 (author estimate).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 402, 405.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref137" name="_edn137"><sup>137</sup></a> Verifiable claim D006</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">India’s WWII deaths include about 3 million from the Bengal Famine and about 87,000 military deaths. We use 3 million deaths as the consolidated number.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Amartya Sen, ‘Starvation and Exchange Entitlements: A General Approach and Its Application to the Great Bengal Famine’, <i>Cambridge Journal of Economics</i> 1, no. 1 (1977): 36, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349">https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">The National WWII Museum New Orleans, ‘Research Starters: Worldwide Deaths in World War II’, accessed 29 September 2025, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref138" name="_edn138"><sup>138</sup></a> Verifiable claim D009</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Dutch East Indies lost 3.4 million people (4.7% of the population), with 1.8 million excess deaths in Java alone between 1944 and 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Pierre van der Eng, ‘Missing Millions: Java’s 1944–45 Famine in Indonesia’s Historiography’, <i>Modern Asian Studies</i> 58, no. 2 (2024): 12.</div>
<div class="citation">Pierre van der Eng, ‘Mortality from the 1944–1945 Famine in Java, Indonesia’, <i>Asia-Pacific Economic History Review</i>, 5 February 2024, 205.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref139" name="_edn139"><sup>139</sup></a> Verifiable claim D010</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">French Indochina suffered 1.5 million deaths (6.5% of a population of 23 million).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Kent G. Budge, ‘French Indochina’, in <i>The Pacific War Online Encyclopedia</i>, 2014, <a href="http://www.pwencycl.kgbudge.com/F/r/French_Indochina.htm">http://www.pwencycl.kgbudge.com/F/r/French_Indochina.htm</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">The National WWII Museum New Orleans, ‘Research Starters: Worldwide Deaths in World War II’, accessed 29 September 2025, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref140" name="_edn140"><sup>140</sup></a> Verifiable claim D021</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The population for Korea as a whole in 1936 was 21.37 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, <i>Population of the Republic of Korea</i>, E/CN.11/1241, ESCAP Country Monograph Series (United Nations. Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, 1975), 273.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref141" name="_edn141"><sup>141</sup></a> Verifiable claim D007</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Ethiopian government’s 1945 memorandum recorded 760,300 deaths during the Italian invasion and occupation (1935–1941).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Angelo Del Boca, <i>The Ethiopian War 1935–1941</i> (University of Chicago Press, 1969), 275.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref142" name="_edn142"><sup>142</sup></a> Verifiable claim D008</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Total African deaths in WWII are estimated at 1.6–2 million, with the conservative estimate of 1.6 million adopted for this analysis.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Joe Lunn, ‘Africans in World Wars I and II’, <i>Oxford Research Encyclopedia of African History</i>, ahead of print, March 2019, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190277734.013.42">https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190277734.013.42</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref143" name="_edn143"><sup>143</sup></a> Verifiable claim D011</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">North Korea lost 1.5–2.5 million people (15.6–26% of the pre-war population).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Jon Halliday and Bruce Cumings, <i>Korea: The Unknown War</i> (New York: Pantheon, 1988), 200.</div>
<div class="citation">Shin, Eui Hang [신의항], ‘Effects of the Korean War on Social Structures of the Republic of Korea’, <i>International Journal of Korean Studies</i>, Spring/Summer 2001, 134.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref144" name="_edn144"><sup>144</sup></a> Verifiable claim D013</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Vietnamese government records document 3.1 million deaths during the war (1955–1975), with some demographic studies reaching 5.1 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bộ, Quốc phòng, Viện Lịch sử Quân sự Việt Nam [Ministry of National Defence, Vietnam Military History Institute], ‘Lịch sử Kháng chiến Chống Mỹ, Cứu nước (1954–1975), Tập VIII: Toàn thắng [History of the Resistance War Against the Americans to Save the Nation (1954–1975), Vol. VIII: Total Victory]’, in <i>Lịch sử Kháng chiến Chống Mỹ, Cứu nước (1954–1975), Tập VIII: Toàn thắng</i> [History of the Resistance War Against the Americans to Save the Nation (1954–1975), Vol. VIII: Total Victory], VIII (Hanoi: Nhà xuất bản Chính trị Quốc gia [National Political Publishing House], 2008), 463.</div>
<div class="citation">Vietnam Veterans of America, ‘Vietnam War Statistics’, accessed 29 August 2025, <a href="https://www.vva310.org/vietnam-war-statistics#top">https://www.vva310.org/vietnam-war-statistics#top</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref145" name="_edn145"><sup>145</sup></a> Verifiable claim D022</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US military deaths in Korea (1950–1953): 54,246.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Carol Highsmith, ‘Inscription Noting the Death Toll for the US and Its United Nations Allies at the Korean War Veterans Memorial in Washington, D.C.’, Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division Washington, D.C., 2006 1998, <a href="http://hdl.loc.gov/loc.pnp/highsm.14308">http://hdl.loc.gov/loc.pnp/highsm.14308</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref146" name="_edn146"><sup>146</sup></a> Verifiable claim D014</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Total Lend-Lease aid to the British Empire was $30.26 billion, with distribution calculated using export proportions from table 25.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">United States Office for Emergency Management et al., <i>Twenty-First Report to Congress on Lend-Lease Operations, For the Period Ended September 30, 1945</i>, Congressional Report H. Doc. 382, 79th Cong., 2d Sess. (Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1946), 14, 42–43, <a href="https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/report-congress-lend-lease-operations-9400/twenty-first-report-congress-lend-lease-operations-687771">https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/report-congress-lend-lease-operations-9400/twenty-first-report-congress-lend-lease-operations-687771</a>.</div>
</div>
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<p>United States Senate, Committee on Armed Services and Committee on Foreign Relations. <em>Military Situation in the Far East: Hearings Before the Committee on Armed Services and the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, Eighty-Second Congress, First Session, to Conduct an Inquiry into the Military Situation in the Far East and the Facts Surrounding the Relief of General of the Army Macarthur from His Assignments in That Area</em>. 82d Cong., 1st Sess. US Government Printing Office, 1951. <a href="https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736">https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736</a>.</p>
<p>United States Senate. <em>Military Situation in the Far East: Hearings Before the Committee on Armed Services and the Committee on Foreign Relations, United States Senate, Eighty-Second Congress, First Session</em>. Congressional Hearings No. 153797. 82d Cong., 1st Sess. US Government Printing Office, 1951. <a href="https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736">https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736</a>.</p>
<p>US National Archives and Records Administration. ‘Records of the Secretary of Defense (RG 330)’. National Archives, 11 October 2016. <a href="https://www.archives.gov/iwg/declassified-records/rg-330-defense-secretary">https://www.archives.gov/iwg/declassified-records/rg-330-defense-secretary</a>.</p>
<p>Valerʹevich Isaev, Alekseĭ [Алексей Валерьевич Исаев]. <em>Stalingrad: City on Fire</em>. Barnsley, South Yorkshire, UK Havertown, PA, USA: Pen &amp; Sword Military, 2019.</p>
<p>Veblen, Thorstein, and Leon Ardzrooni. <em>Essays Our Changing Order</em>. New York: Viking Press, 1934.</p>
<p>Vietnam Veterans of America. ‘Vietnam War Statistics’. Accessed 29 August 2025. <a href="https://www.vva310.org/vietnam-war-statistics#top">https://www.vva310.org/vietnam-war-statistics#top</a>.</p>
<p>Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War. ‘The International Brigades’. In <em>Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War</em>. Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War. Accessed 1 September 2025. <a href="https://www.vscw.ca/en/node/699">https://www.vscw.ca/en/node/699</a>.</p>
<p>Wachsmann, Nikolaus. <em>KL: A History of the Nazi Concentration Camps</em>, 1st edition. New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2015.</p>
<p>Wallace, Max. <em>The American Axis</em>. New York: St. Martin’s, 2005.</p>
<p>Warner, Michael. ‘Origins of the Congress of Cultural Freedom, 1949–50 Cultural Cold War’. <em>Studies in Intelligence</em> 38, no. 5 (1995).</p>
<p>Washington Editors. ‘What the State Thinks – Hitler Appraised’. <em>The Seattle Sunday Times</em> (Seattle, WA), 24 March 1933.</p>
<p>Weitz, Eric D. <em>Creating German Communism, 1890–1990: From Popular Protests to Socialist State</em>. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press, 1997.</p>
<p>Werth, Alexander, and Nicolas Werth. <em>Russia at War, 1941–1945: A History</em>. New York: Skyhorse Publishing Company, Incorporated, 2017.</p>
<p>Wheeler-Bennett, John W. <em>King George VI: His Life and Reign</em>. New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1958.</p>
<p>White, Geoffrey M., Lisa Yoneyama, and Takashi Fujitani. <em>Perilous Memories: The Asia-Pacific War</em>(s). Durham, NC: Duke University Press, 2001.</p>
<p>Williams, Susan. ‘Introduction: The Manhattan Project and Shinkolobwe’. In <em>Spies in the Congo: The Race for the Ore That Built the Atomic Bomb</em>. Hurst &amp; Company, 2018.</p>
<p>Wistrich, Robert S. <em>Who’s Who Nazi Germany</em>, 2nd edition. London: Routledge, 2001.</p>
<p>Woolfson, Shivaun. <em>Holocaust Legacy Post-Soviet Lithuania: People, Places, and Objects</em>. London: Bloomsbury, 2014.</p>
<p>Xi, Jinping [习近平]. ‘习近平在纪念中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利70周年大会上的讲话_中华人民共和国外交部 [Speech at the Commemoration of the 70th Anniversary of Victory in the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War]’. Speech. Beijing, 3 September 2015. <a href="https://www.mfa.gov.cn/web/ziliao_674904/zyjh_674906/201509/t20150903_9869606.shtml">https://www.mfa.gov.cn/web/ziliao_674904/zyjh_674906/201509/t20150903_9869606.shtml</a>.</p>
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<p>Zaloga, Steve. <em>Bagration, 1944: The Destruction of Army Group Centre</em>. London: Osprey, 1996.</p>
<p>Zaloga, Steven J. <em>T-34/76 Medium Tank 1941–45</em>. Oxford: Osprey Publishing, 1994.</p>
<p>Zaloga, Steven J., and Peter Sarson. <em>KV-1 and 2 Heavy Tanks 1939–45</em>, 1st edition. London: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 1996.</p>
<p>Zhang, Weidong [张卫东]. ‘Speech by Ambassador Zhang Weidong at the Seminar in Commemoration of the 70th Anniversary of the Victory of the War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression of China and the World Anti-Fascist War’. 28 August 2015. <a href="https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html">https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html</a>.</p>
<p>Zhang, Yu. ‘From Beneath the Ground Rise Great Stories of Ingenuity and Defiance’. <em>China Daily</em>, 22 August 2025. <a href="https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html">https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html</a>.</p>
<p>Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇]. ‘全面抗战时期苏联和共产国际对中共的援助研究 [A Study of the Aid to the CPC from the Soviet Union and the Communist International During the Full-Scale War against Japanese Aggression]’. <em>CPC History Studies </em>[中共党史研究], no. 8 (2011).</p>
<p>Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇]. ‘不可虚无苏联反法西斯的贡献 [The Soviet Union’s Contribution to the Anti-Fascist Struggle Cannot Be Negated]’. <em>Historical Review </em>[历史评论], no. 4 (2025).</p>
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		<title>Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-on-contemporary-dilemmas-4-hyper-imperialism/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jan 2024 08:00:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Modernisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global North]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[militarism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US military spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[multilateralism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hyper-Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declining West]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friends in Defence of the United Nation Charter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BRICS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New World Order]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Shanghai Cooperation Organisation]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[As we commemorate eighty years since the people’s victory in the World Anti-Fascist War, we must remember who truly saved humanity – and honour their sacrifice with the truth.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="single-post--content--acknowledgments">
<p>Research for this document has been conducted collectively for over a year and has received contributions from many scholars and socialist practitioners. This document was compiled with data and charts provided by Global South Insights (GSI), with editing and coordination by Gisela Cernadas, Mikaela Nhondo Erskog, Tica Moreno, and Deborah Veneziale. The data and charts for Part IV of the document rely heavily on published research by economist John Ross.</p>
</div>
<h1>Introduction</h1>
<p>It has been a scant 30 years since the ‘end of history’ was declared by bourgeois ideologists in pantomimes of wish-fulfilment for sensing the inviolability of United States imperialism.<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> For peoples’ struggles and movements feeling the boot of imperialism on their necks, no such end was in sight.</p>
<p>In the face of violent repression, such as Brazil’s Carajás Massacre in 1996, the Landless Workers’ Movement led the reclamation of land for popular agrarian reform through occupation and production, challenging agribusiness behemoths, such as the US multinational Monsanto.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> A ‘soldier who shook the continent’, Hugo Chávez won the popular vote in 1999, a sharp left turn that was followed by others in Latin America. This included a wave of mass mobilisation of millions of workers, peasants, Indigenous, women, and students that defeated the proposed US Free Trade Areas of the Americas in 2005, a direct challenge to nearly 200 years of the US Monroe Doctrine.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p>In 2002, Nigerian women gathered at the gates of Shell and Chevron to protest environmental destruction and exploitation in the Niger Delta. Haitians refused the centuries of humiliation in mass demonstrations following the US ousting of Jean-Bertrand Aristide and US occupation in 2004. Millions of Nepalese celebrated the toppling of the monarchy through armed resistance under the leadership of the communists in 2006. When fruit vendor Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire in 2010, the Tunisian people revolted against the neo-liberal system that had caused him to take such extreme measures.</p>
<p>In subsequent years, changes – sometimes small and imperceptible, at other times volatile and explosive – unfolded. These involved both popular movements and state actors, in some cases extremely powerful ones. The US was confronted by a rising economic powerhouse in China, growing economies in the Global South (which overtook the Global North’s GDP in PPP terms in 2007), years of domestic capital investment neglect, the financialisation of the economy, and the loss of manufacturing superiority.</p>
<p>The rise of the Tea Party in 2009 signalled internal fracturing of US domestic politics. Internationally, the US failed to achieve soft regime disruption in China and de-nuclearisation or regime change in Russia. After a temporary reduction in military spending with the end of the disastrous war on Iraq (2003–2011), the US shifted to the use and threat of military power as a central pillar of its response to these changes.</p>
<p>Hegemony is historically lost in three stages: production, finance, and military.<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> The United States has lost hegemony in production, though it still has some remaining areas of technological hegemony, including those related to the military. It is seeing its financial hegemony challenged, though still in the very early stages and revolving around the status of the US dollar. Even though the economic and political aspects of its decline might be accelerating, it still retains military power – creating a temptation for the US to attempt to overcome the consequences of its economic decline by military or military related means.</p>
<p>The US has defined China as its strategic competitor. The minimum programme of the US is the containment and economic diminishment of China, sufficient to guarantee the US’s own perpetual future economic hegemony.</p>
<p>From its own point of view, US capitalism is rational in its attempts to limit China’s rise. Failure to do so would erode the relative advantage the US has in controlling higher levels of productive forces and the resulting monopoly privileges that control entails. There is almost complete alignment amongst the US state actors to continue to manage decoupling from China (despite the near impossibility of fully re-modernising US productive forces domestically) and to advance military preparations against China.</p>
<p>The February 2022 movement of Russian troops into Ukraine – a result of the continued violations of US assurances on the non-expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) and the continuing civil war between Kyiv and Donbas – marked an explicit new phase in world military alignment for the US. In a series of rapid-fire moves, the US openly subordinated all the Global North countries and, in so doing, further subordinated the military apparatus of those states. It established itself as the open military hegemon of what is euphemistically called NATO+, which includes all but three members of the former Eastern Bloc. Those who attended the 2023 NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, as a member or observer – including Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and the Republic of Korea – are de facto members of NATO+. Only Israel (excused from attendance for political expediency) and a few smaller countries of the Global North did not attend.</p>
<p>Beginning in October 2023, Israel began a campaign of displacement, ethnic cleansing, collective punishment, and genocide of Palestinians with the full and shameless support of the United States government. The developments in Ukraine followed by the recent escalations in Gaza are significant markers reflecting that there has been a qualitative change within the imperialist system. The US has now completed its economic, political, and military subordination of all the other imperialist countries. This has consolidated an integrated, militarily focused imperialist bloc. It aims to maintain a grip on the Global South as a whole and has turned its attention to dominating Eurasia, the last area of the world that has escaped its control.</p>
<p>It is not a matter of exaggeration to say that the Global North has declared a state of open hostility and war on any section of the Global South that does not comply with the policies of the Global North. This is seen in the <a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_210549.htm">joint declaration</a> on EU-NATO Cooperation published on 9 January 2023:</p>
<blockquote><p>We will further mobilise the combined set of instruments at our disposal, <em>be they political, economic, or military</em>, to pursue our common objectives to the benefit of <em>our </em>one billion citizens.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>The Palestinian people in Gaza are certainly feeling the palpable barbarity of NATO+ and the forced ‘mass consensus’ of which the Global North is capable. As Palestinian liberation leader Leila Khaled put it recently:</p>
<blockquote><p>We know that they speak about terrorism, but they are the heroes of terrorism. The imperialist force everywhere in the world, in Iraq, in Syria, in different countries… are preparing to attack China. All of what they say about terrorism turns to be about them. People have the right to resist with all means to it, including the armed struggle. This is in the Charter of the United Nations. So, they are violating the rights of people for resistance because it’s their right to restore their freedom. And this is, and I say it always, a fundamental law: where there is repression, there is resistance. People will not live under occupation and repression. History taught us that when people resist, they can keep their dignity and their land.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p style="text-align: center;">***</p>
<p>Imperialism has begun its transformation to a new stage: Hyper-Imperialism.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a> This is imperialism conducted in an exaggerated and kinetic way, whilst also subject to the constraints that the declining empire has foisted on itself. The spasmodic quality of its exertion is felt by the millions of Congolese, Palestinians, Somalis, Syrians, and Yemeni living under US militarism, whose heads instinctively jerk for cover at sudden sounds.</p>
<p>Yet, this is not the full-blooded march across the globe that the Cold War initiated, fought in proxy battles that were followed by economic imperialism through the World Bank and other development institutions. It is the imperialism of a drowning billionaire who firmly believes he ought to be back on his yacht. It flexes the muscles of power that are still strong – the military. However, absent productive power and knowing that financial power is at a tipping point, the full suite of imperial technologies of control that the US once had is no longer at its disposal. It, therefore, channels its efforts through the mechanisms it has most at hand: culture (the control of truth) and war.</p>
<p>The tactics of Hyper-Imperialism are shaped partly by the modernisation of hybrid warfare, which includes lawfare, hyper-sanctions, seizure of national reserves and assets, and other manners of non-military warfare. New technological tools of surveillance and targeted communication characterising the digital age are deployed to wage imperialist control of the battle of ideas. This has involved implementing more perverse and covert methods against the truth, such as the political imprisonment of WikiLeaks’ publisher Julian Assange, who exposed numerous crimes against the Global South.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>The Global North is an integrated military, political, and economic bloc composed of 49 countries. These include the US, the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Japan, and secondary Western and Eastern European countries. In the military arena, Turkey (as a NATO member), the Republic of Korea and the Philippines (de facto militarised colonies of the US) are included in our definition of the ‘US-led Military Bloc’, even though they are part of the Global South.</p>
<p>Over the last twenty years, the Global North has endured a significant <em>relative</em> economic decline, along with a political, social, and moral decline. Its false ‘moral’ claims of civil rights and ‘press freedom’ are now complete mockeries as they seek to make illegal the public (including online) support for Palestinian rights. This full-on support for the humiliation and destruction of the darker peoples of the world is reminiscent of past centuries, exposing what can be described as collective ‘white fragility’.</p>
<p>The Global South countries comprise former colonies and semi-colonies, a few non-European independent states, and current and former socialist projects. The struggles for national liberation, independence, development, and total economic and political sovereignty still need to be completed for most of the Global South.</p>
<p>Despite the limitations of the terminology, we will use the term ‘Global North’ and occasionally ‘the West’ (an often-used hollow phrase) interchangeably with the more accurate term of the ‘US-Led Imperialist Camp’. We will analyse the Global North in four ‘Rings’. The rest of the world is currently known as the ‘Global South’, much of it was previously called the ‘Third World’. We will analyse the Global South in six ‘Groupings’ that are determined by the relative degree to which a country is a target of regime change and the role its government plays in publicly advancing international, anti-imperialist stances (both in Figure 1). The Global North is engaged in much higher levels of generalised conflict with the rest of the world, the Global South.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93649 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-1-e1705410945522.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-1.png"></p>
</div>
<h1>PART I: The Rise of a Complete US-Led Global North Military Bloc</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Shifts and Consolidation</h2>
<p>The US-Led Military Bloc has had two internal changes in the last three decades:</p>
<ol>
<li>The further expansion of the bloc to include all Eastern Europe countries (only missing Belarus).</li>
<li>The challenge to retain the full subordination of the Western European capitalist states, which abandoned any fundamental, and in many cases even the pretence of, independence.</li>
</ol>
<p>The latter became evident in 2018 by the Western European states’ genuflection to Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal – a significant blow to their economic interests. Further down, we will discuss the history of this process.<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a></p>
<p>The centre of the ‘US-Led Military Bloc’, as we call it, is NATO. It also includes Japan, Australia, Israel, New Zealand, three Global South countries, and the few other European countries who are not NATO members.</p>
<p>The US-Led Military Bloc is the world’s only bloc, a de facto and de jure military alliance with a central command. There is no other bloc of its kind. Its clarity and unity of purpose are sharply evident. The US has abandoned many important anti-nuclear proliferation treaties over the last ten years (Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002, Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty in 2019, and Open Skies Treaty in 2020).<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a> This has allowed military planners to potentially prepare for the placement of intermediate-range nuclear missiles capable of obliterating Moscow in minutes.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Military Spending</h3>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93659 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-2-e1705410995383.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-2.png"></p>
</div>
<p>In the November 2023 issue of <em>Monthly Review</em>, a well-researched paper by Gisela Cernadas and John Bellamy Foster, using <em>only</em> US official economic statistics from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and Office of Management and Budget (OMB), revealed that the actual US economic military spending is over<em> twice</em> that acknowledged by the US government or even the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a></p>
<p><em>The actual 2022 US military expenditure was US$ 1,537 billion.</em><a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a></p>
<p>To calculate the world total military expenditure, we have selected SIPRI’s published numbers as our primary source for all countries, except for the US.<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a> For the US alone, we use the figures from <em>Monthly Review</em>. In 2022, SIPRI adjusted the Chinese government reported national defence budget number of $229 billion to $292 billion, a 27.5% increase.<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> Starting in 2021, SIPRI began a new methodology for revising China’s military spending.<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> SIPRI changed their calculations for China’s military spending both for previous years and current years.<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a></p>
<p>SIPRI adjusted the US annual military budget reported by the OMB for the year 2022 by 14.5% up from US$ 765.8 to 876.9 billion.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> This was about half of the percentage increase added to China.</p>
<p>SIPRI’s treatment of China’s military spending is quite different from how it deals with the US, as it adopts a much more circumspect approach to US calculations.</p>
<p>Even if SIPRI doubled the military spending reported by China itself to US$ 458 billion, it would represent 2.6% of its GDP. This is significantly below the actual 6% spent by the US and, even then, China’s military spending would be only 29.8% of that of the US, with a population over four times greater than the US .<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a></p>
<p>Additionally, unlike the US, China does not have 902 overseas foreign bases.<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a> US bases and interventions create a drain not only on the annual budget but also on long-term economic debt. Additional details can be found in the endnote.<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a></p>
<p>What emerged from our analysis was a series of clear findings. The first is that the US controls, through NATO and other means, an astounding 74.3% of all military spending worldwide (Figure 2). This amounts to over US$ 2 trillion.<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93669 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-3-e1705411052617.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-3.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 3 shows that imperialist countries account for 12 of the top 16 military budgets in the world.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93679 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-4-e1705411128514.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-4.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 4 shows the 16 highest military per capita spending by Global North countries versus the three largest Global South military spenders. The United States spends 21 times more on its military per person than China does on its military.<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a> There can be no doubt as to the significance of these findings.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 5</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Countries with military spending exceeding 20 billion USD</h3>
<p>Global North and Global South, 2022</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country Name (GSI)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military Spending<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">US Dollars (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Percentage of<br>
GDP (CER)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Per Capita<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">&gt;world avg. (times)</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th colspan="4">
<div>US-Led Military Bloc</div>
</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,536,859</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68,463</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">55,760</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53,639</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46,365</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45,992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ukraine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,998</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">27.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,490</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">32,299</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,896</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,406</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,307</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th colspan="4">
<div>Global South</div>
</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">291,958</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,373</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">81,363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75,013</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,211</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on IMF, UN, SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 5 lists all countries that have military budgets exceeding US$ 20 billion, 11 of which are in the Global North compared to six (out of 145) countries in the Global South. For this chart, Republic of Korea is listed under the US-Led Military Bloc.</p>
<p>It is clear that the Global South, in contrast to the Global North, is not a bloc and certainly not a military bloc. The Global South thus faces the extreme monopoly of military spending by the US-Led Military Bloc. This represents a clear and present danger to all countries of the Global South; it presents an imminent danger to the continued existence of humankind and the planet.</p>
<p>In turn, the single most important aspect of state power – that is, military power – the absolute central danger to the working classes of <em>all</em> countries, especially to the darker nations of the world, lies in the US-Led Imperialist Camp. Objectively, there is no such thing as sub-imperialism or non-Western imperialist powers (such concepts are subjective deceptions that cloud over the factual realities).</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">US and UK Military Bases</h3>
<p>In March 2002, <em>Monthly Review</em> published an article with a list and map of countries with known US military bases, arguing that the extent of the US empire could be depicted by its bases.<a href="#_edn23" name="_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> This created a storm in some US military circles. Others have expanded on this work in subsequent years, including David Vine and World <em>Beyond</em> War (which has made an interactive map publicly available). <a href="#_edn24" name="_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a></p>
<p>The information about the location of these bases opened a window onto the absolutely pervasive nature of US military hegemony. The location and number of bases is valuable for understanding the shape and trajectory of imperialism by illuminating its frontiers and showing its role in policing them.</p>
<p>There are 902 known US military bases and 145 known UK military bases described below.<a href="#_edn25" name="_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a></p>
<p>Due to the secrecy of the US military and government, there is a lack of data on US military functions that occur inside these bases and the actions launched from US military forces located there. This makes a full qualitative analysis of US foreign military activities incomplete. Some of the analytical deficiencies include that:</p>
<ul>
<li>Listed bases exclude the facilities and locations of the many privatised military functions that the US has created over the last 40 years. Companies such as DynCorp International, Fluor Corporation, AECOM, and KBR, Inc. run operations worldwide, including in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia.<a href="#_edn26" name="_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a></li>
<li>They do not include ‘unofficial’ projects by the US military like the commandeering of Terminal 1 in Kotoka International Airport in Ghana’s capital city, in which US soldiers do not need passports or visas to enter (only their US military ID) and US military aircrafts are ‘free from boarding and inspection’.<a href="#_edn27" name="_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a> Terminal 1 is thus a de facto US military base. Ghana has ceded national sovereignty to the US.<a href="#_edn28" name="_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a></li>
<li>They exclude essential projects for the US military-industrial-digital communications complex. Many undersea cable terminus locations are controlled by US intelligence-cleared officials only. Control of the undersea cable communications of the world is one of the key US intelligence priorities.<a href="#_edn29" name="_ednref29"><sup>29 </sup></a>This is part of the NSA ‘Collect It All’ program to gather all communications of the world and store them in places like the Bluffdale Utah Data Centre (code-named ‘Bumblehive’), the first Intelligence Community Comprehensive National Cybersecurity Initiative data centre.<a href="#_edn30" name="_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a></li>
<li>They exclude secret military projects and locations (including host-nation facilities known as ‘lily pads’), although some have been exposed and included.<a href="#_edn31" name="_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a></li>
<li>There is little information regarding US military movements between locations, the nature of the activities carried out (such as troop movements or targeted assassinations), and the volume of goods, planes, and vessels.</li>
<li>Not all bases are equal in scale or function, assessing relative importance is near impossible. Sometimes a single building is classified as a base because it is discontiguous from other buildings a kilometre away. Some bases are massive and destructive to everything in their path – like the military facilities in Guam, destroying the natural environment and the lives of people living there. Others are known as small spy network installations.</li>
</ul>
<p>The result of these limitations is a tendency to report on what is measurable, not what is unknown but strategic.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93689 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-6-e1705411277591.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-6.png"></p>
</div>
<p>First, we provide a map using World <em>Beyond</em> War data that shows which countries have bases without showing the exact number in each country. This helps to reduce possible incorrect comparisons. The existence of even one US base within a country means that the country has already ceded some national sovereignty to the US. Second, for completeness, we include below two charts (one for the Global North and one for the Global South) that list countries with known bases as per World <em>Beyond</em> War.</p>
<p>Figure 6 shows the US has at least 902 foreign military bases. They are heavily concentrated in bordering regions or buffer zones around China and seriously undermine the sovereignty of Global South countries.<a href="#_edn32" name="_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 7</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">United States military bases in Global North countries and territories</h3>
<p>2023</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th style="width: 152px;">Number of bases</th>
<th style="width: 1231px;">Country/territory</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;" width="72">50+</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Germany (171), Japan (98)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;" width="123">20-49</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Italy (45), United Kingdom (25)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;">5-19</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Australia (17), Belgium (12), Portugal (9), Romania (9), Norway (8), Israel (7), Netherlands (7), Greece (5), Poland (5)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;">1-4</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Bulgaria (4), Iceland (3), Spain (3), Canada (2), Georgia (2), Hungary (2), Latvia (2), Slovakia (2), Cyprus (1), Denmark (1), Estonia (1), Greenland (1), Ireland (1), Kosovo (1), Luxembourg (1)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;"><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="width: 1231px;"><strong>445</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>US foreign military bases not only exist in the Global South, but also have a significant presence in the Global North (Figure 7). More than two-thirds of known bases are concentrated in the two countries defeated in World War II: Germany and Japan.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 8</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">United States military bases in Global South countries and territories</h3>
<p>2023</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Number of bases</th>
<th>Country/Territory</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td class="xl67">50+</td>
<td>Rep. Korea (62)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>20-49</td>
<td>Guam (45), Puerto Rico (34), Syria (28), Saudi Arabia (21)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5-19</td>
<td>Panama (15), Turkey (12), Philippines (11), Bahrain (10), Iraq (10), Marshall Islands (10), Bahamas (9), Belize (9), Honduras (9), Niger (9), Guatemala (8), Jordan (8), Kuwait (8), Oman (8), Pakistan (8), Egypt (7), Colombia (6), El Salvador (6), Somalia (6), Northern Mariana Islands (5), Peru (5), Qatar (5)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1-4</td>
<td>Cameroon (4), Costa Rica (4), Virgin Islands (U.S.) (4), Argentina (3), Central African Republic (3), Chad (3), Kenya (3), Mauritania (3), Nicaragua (3), Palau (3), Thailand (3), United Arab Emirates (3), American Samoa (2), Brazil (2), Diego Garcia (2), Djibouti (2), Dominican Republic (2), Gabon (2), Ghana (2), Mali (2), Singapore (2), Suriname (2), Tunisia (2), Uganda (2), Yemen (2), Antarctica (1), Aruba (1), Ascension (1), Botswana (1), Burkina Faso (1), Burundi (1), Cambodia (1), Chile (1), Cuba (1), DR Congo (1), Indonesia (1), Netherlands Antilles (1), Samoa (1), Senegal (1), Seychelles (1), South Sudan (1), Uruguay (1), Wake Island (1)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td><strong>457</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 8 lists the locations of US foreign military bases in Global South countries and territories. The Republic of Korea hosts 62 permanent US military bases.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 9</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">United States foreign military structures</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">No. of buildings, building area, land area, and no. of bases</h4>
<p>2023</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country/territory</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Building Internal<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">m2</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Buildings<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">total number</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Area<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hectares</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military Bases<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">total number</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,339,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,079</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41,715</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,135,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,537</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,682</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">93</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,631,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,832</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,262</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,011,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,032</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,382,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,807</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,322</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,364,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,883</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,253</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">676,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,503</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,549</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">661,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">663</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">588,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,540</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,662</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">478,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">817</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,356</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">419,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">889</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,802</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Puerto Rico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">411,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">794</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,042</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">390,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">468</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">83</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">362,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">479</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">286,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">633</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">551</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greenland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">220,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">197</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">94,306</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">459</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">151,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">150</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">128,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">400</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,059</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">114,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">170</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">532</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">92,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">336</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">120</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">179</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">177</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">62,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">179</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">61,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">85</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Helena</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,402</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">83</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">93</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Virgin Islands (U.S.)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,978</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cyprus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Curaçao</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Northern Mariana Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,499</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iceland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">425</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">91</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>35,548,000</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>48,712</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>240,533</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>468</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="5">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on the Dept. of Defense</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 9 shows the scale of the US military footprint: 36 million square metres in 49,000 buildings covering 245,000 hectares. Ranked by number of buildings, the three Axis powers are in the top four.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93699 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-10-e1705411404139.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-10.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Whilst the sun now happily sets without concern for the British Empire, Figure 10 shows how large the UK network of bases remains, with its focus on West Asia and Africa.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">US and UK Military Invasions, Interventions, and ‘Deployments’</h3>
<p>NATO countries conduct extensive military deployments and interventions worldwide, supported by their vast network of bases.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93709 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-11-e1705411470316.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-11.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figures 11 and 12 are for the year 2022 only. Imperialist forces deployed 317 military operations in Global South countries and 137 in Global North ally nations, totalling 454 (45 of which are not UN member states). The imperialist nations who carried out the highest number of military deployments include the US (56), the UK (32), France (31), Italy (20), Germany (17), Spain (15), Canada (13), and the Netherlands (13) (Figure 11).<a href="#_edn33" name="_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93719 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-12-e1705411531690.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-12.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 12 shows how Africa and West Asia remain the focal points of Western schemes, with the following five nations suffering the most military deployments in 2022 alone: Mali (31), Iraq (30), Lebanon (18), the Central African Republic (13), and South Sudan (13).<a href="#_edn34" name="_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>Looking at the geography of US and UK bases and Global North deployments, it is clear where the frontiers of US policing lie and how Eurasia and regions that buffer it are the battlegrounds of our time.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93729 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-13-e1705411600347.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-13.png"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93739 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-14-e1705411695821.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-14.png"></div>
<p>The US and its Global North allies, especially the UK, have had centuries of interventions as indicated in Figures 13 and 14. Since Congressional Research Services (CRS) is an official US government publication, it serves as a primary source of data on US military intervention. It is used to demonstrate the scale and historical <em>longue durée</em> of US military intervention. However, it must be noted that CRS does not include secret missions and does not aggregate its data to differentiate between various types of US Armed Forces’ overseas interventions. The data is not organised based on the qualitative and quantitative nature or scale of the instances. The listed instances (over 480) vary greatly in size, duration, legal authorisation, and significance.<a href="#_edn35" name="_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a></p>
<p>The Military Intervention Project (MIP) uses a more comprehensive definition of military intervention that encompasses ‘united instances of international conflict or potential conflict outside of normal peacetime activities in which the purposeful threat, display, or use of military force by official US government channels is explicitly directed toward the government, official representatives, official forces, property, or territory of another state actor’.<a href="#_edn36" name="_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> MIP has not published their database, so exact instances of all the military interventions they identify are not yet publicly available. As such, this report has only accessed summary data from the publication ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project’ (2023) and could not produce a map based on MIP.</p>
<p>As seen in Figure 13, as of June 2023, the acknowledged data from the US Congressional Research Service shows that the US Armed Forces have been deployed to 101 countries between 1798 and 2023.<a href="#_edn37" name="_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a> Figure 14 exposes the UK who has militarily invaded 170 countries and territories between 1169 and 2012.</p>
<p>According to MIP, between 1776 and 2019, the US carried out over 392 military interventions worldwide.<a href="#_edn38" name="_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a> Half of these operations were undertaken between 1950 and 2019, and 25% of them occurred in the post-Cold War period.<a href="#_edn39" name="_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a> The pace of US military interventions has clearly accelerated since 1991.</p>
<p>On International Working Women’s Day in 1950, Claudia Jones, a black communist and immigrant woman, addressed a rally of activists in the US. In different circumstances but with the same spirit, we share this report with the aim, to quote Jones, of ‘heightening [our] consciousness of the need for militant united-front campaigns around the burning demands of the day, against monopoly oppression, against war and fascism’.<a href="#_edn40" name="_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a></p>
<h1>PART II: Evolution of Imperialism</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The New Stage of Imperialism</h2>
<p>The US dollar monopoly and the switch from creditor to debtor nation that began in the 1970s, followed by the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, ushered in a period where the United States attempted to create a self-crafted unipolar world order. Unipolarity could not be fully established because states – which the US called ‘rogue states’ – refused to submit to this new system.<a href="#_edn41" name="_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a></p>
<p>Over the past fifteen years, the project of US unipolarity has been greatly weakened. The period between the ‘great financial recession’ of 2008 and the February 2022 conflict between NATO and Russia has consolidated a quantitative and qualitative change in global imperialism.</p>
<p>A key historical question flowing from this has been the depth and consequences of inter-imperialist rivalries. This has deep strategic and political implications: will other imperialist powers break with the US on fundamental issues or subordinate their own interests to those of the US?</p>
<p>Today, the facts show these differences are no longer strategic. Imperialism has consolidated a new stage of existence best described as <strong>Hyper-Imperialism. </strong>Later, we explain why we chose this term.</p>
<p>Some of the features of this new stage include the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>China has emerged as the largest and most dynamic economy in the world. The growth of the Global South exceeds that of the Global North. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in Asia is significantly higher than in the G7 countries.</li>
<li>Despite its remaining economic strengths, the US is facing meagre growth and is declining relative to the rise of the Global South (with China’s growth being a major locomotive). This is evidenced by total GDP, industry, trade, infrastructure, and 5G communications. The US is making aggressive attempts to curtail China’s economic growth and its role in global initiatives such as BRICS10. The US is leading the world into increased protectionism.</li>
<li>The US has rapidly advanced hybrid warfare, including US sanctions (inflicted on more than one in four countries around the world).<a href="#_edn42" name="_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a> The US seizure of national reserves (from Russia, Venezuela, Iran, and Afghanistan) has been a rude awakening to many in the Global South.</li>
<li>The US has now set its sights on the domination of Eurasia, where the West faces Russia and China, two powerful countries with a combined strong economic, technological, military, energy, and food capacity. The complete demilitarisation of the long border between China and Russia and their announced ‘no limits’ partnership is a testament to both countries’ common interests in peace and security.</li>
<li>There is a clear and present danger that imperialism will continue its militarist path and rely on its military dominance to offset its growing relative economic and political decline. The political and military interests of the imperialists have now become paramount. Short-term economic losses are being taken. <a href="#_edn43" name="_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a> The interests of individual capitalists or groups are secondary.</li>
<li>US dollar hegemony, financialisation, and technological ability allow finance to move trillions of dollars in trades in milliseconds, which has changed the mechanics of capitalist accumulation and its ownership. European and Japanese capitalists invest their capital in the same structures as those of their US class brethren, albeit under the control of the latter.</li>
<li>The US enhanced its already vast ‘soft power’ infrastructure based on the rise of a new generation of advanced social media and video streaming, under the full control of US monopolies, all of whom are explicitly integrated into the US military industrial digital complex.</li>
<li>The contradictions between the imperialist countries are now non-antagonistic and secondary. Germany, Japan, France, and all other imperialist powers must subordinate their short-term and medium-term interests to the fundamental interests of the United States. Their work is coordinated in NATO+. Official policy documents state that their strategy on China is to de-risk. Yet, Germany’s Bundestag officials, for example, are leading the calls for the isolation of China, even though that entails a considerable loss of markets for ‘German’ manufacturers.<a href="#_edn44" name="_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a> There is also a simultaneous internal drive to re-militarise Germany.</li>
<li>New multilateral institutions and alternative development financing models emerging from the Global South are gaining momentum. This is evident by the breadth of support for the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the growing interest in joining BRICS, now BRICS10. Nearly 80% of UN member states participate in the BRI, comprising around 64% of the global population with their combined economies representing 52% of the world’s GDP (Purchasing Power Parity) in 2022.<a href="#_edn45" name="_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> BRICS10 countries now encompass 45.5% of the world population, with 35.6% of the share of the world GDP (PPP). In comparison, though the G7 states (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States) account for merely 10% of the world population, their share of the global GDP (PPP) is 30.4%.<a href="#_edn46" name="_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a></li>
<li>The Global South is losing confidence in the US and Europe’s economic, political, and moral leadership. China, not the US, facilitated Saudi Arabia and Iran’s breakthrough diplomatic agreement. Russia and China now conduct most of the trade between the two countries in their own currencies. BRICS10 is setting up a working group to explore alternatives to the use of the US dollar, including international payment systems and a possible new reserve currency. On the vote for the UN resolution on a ceasefire in Gaza (A/ES-10/L.25), the Global North was outnumbered, with 14 votes against and 120 in favour.</li>
<li>For the first time in over 600 years, there is now a credible economic and political alternative to the domination of world affairs by the Europeans and their descendant white-settler colonial states. First, is the socialist grouping led by China. Second, are the growing aspirations for national sovereignty, economic modernisation, and multilateralism, emerging from the Global South.</li>
</ul>
<p>Given these shifts, leaders of the US political ruling class at the Centre for New American Security (CNAS) – the Washington-based think tank and the US government’s intellectual core – have defined US geo-strategy as the dual defeat of Russia and China, which would mean that the Global North would gain control of Eurasia. The size, share of natural resources, military power, geographic proximity, and independence from imperialist domination of China and Russia are the key factors in their respective global outlook and strategic partnership.</p>
<p>These objective factors are much more dominant than the ideological ones. The US wants to accomplish their unfinished mission of de-nuclearising Russia. There are maps hanging in Washington that have been drawn to show both countries broken up into small chunks, vassal states of the West, without independence and certainly without nuclear weapons.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93749 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-15-e1705411816711.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-15.png"></div>
<p>As pictured in Figure 15, China, Russia, the DPR Korea, and Iran are the four nuclear (or potentially nuclear) powers that are the centre of the frontline attack from imperialism. China and Russia are the top two targets, the former due to its economic strength and the latter due to its nuclear arsenal. Syria, Venezuela, Cuba, and Belarus are also immediate targets for regime change.</p>
<p>The world faces a very difficult and dangerous moment. Countries in the Global South are highly diverse and heterogeneous, do not form a bloc, and are not ideologically aligned. They certainly have no military alliances. Some – the Republic of Korea and the Philippines – have become enmeshed in the US military sphere.</p>
<p>What they do have is a shared history. They have suffered hundreds of years of colonial and semi-colonial abuse by the Global North. The whiter nations have spent the last fifty years trying to airbrush from history the terror they unleashed on the world’s darker peoples, including those who live within their own borders.</p>
<p>Western media revels in the vast differences within the Global South. The Group of 77 and the Non-Aligned Movement, despite being weaker, continue to exist. The developments stronger sense of shared identity amongst Global South countries cannot be easily dismissed. The demand for national sovereignty is deeply democratic. It remains a crux matter for improving the lives of the popular classes in the Global South and is also a necessary step towards socialism.</p>
<p>The First World War (WWI) ushered in the Russian Revolution (1917), followed by the creation of the Soviet Union, the world’s first fully functioning workers’ state and a wave of revolutionary national liberation struggles. The Second World War (WWII) ended with the creation of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (1948) and the People’s Republic of China (1949), which were followed by another wave of national liberation struggles that included important socialist victories, such as in Viet Nam (1954 and 1975) and Cuba (1959).</p>
<p>We are not living in a comparable period of revolutions today. Yet, there is a clear new mood and an awakening of the spirit to advance the incomplete national liberation projects that began in the two previous periods. The domination of the Western neo-colonial system is being questioned. We are witnessing ‘changes not seen in 100 years’ and entering a new period of history.</p>
<p>Summarily, we can say there are <strong>eight main contradictions</strong> evident in the world:<a href="#_edn47" name="_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Moribund US-led imperialism vs. emergent China-led socialism.</li>
<li>Parasitic rent-seeking capital vs. societies’ requirements for environmentally sustainable development, industry, agriculture, and employment.</li>
<li>US-led imperialism vs. the urgent necessity for national sovereignty of the socialist and capitalist countries within the Global South.</li>
<li>The ruling classes of the Global North vs. the bourgeoisie of the capitalist countries in the Global South.</li>
<li>The white supremacist ruling class of the G7 (and the rest of the Global North) vs. the popular classes (workers, peasants, and lower petty bourgeoise) in the darker nations of the Global South.</li>
<li>The bourgeoisie and upper strata of the Global South capitalist countries vs. the popular classes of the Global South.</li>
<li>Western imperialism vs. the future of the planet and human life.</li>
<li>The internal contradiction between the Global North bourgeoisie vs. millions of the working class (poor and increasingly growing sections of the skilled and semi-skilled) in the Global North.</li>
</ul>
<p>As we have already begun to do with the military, we attempt here to analyse this new stage of imperialism, the internal functioning of the imperialist camp, and to examine the Global South’s composition and connotations to understand the world’s primary contradictions today.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Conquest, Racism, and Genocide: The Common History of the Imperialist Camp</h2>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-94868 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-477x1024.png" alt="" width="477" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-477x1024.png 477w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-140x300.png 140w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-768x1650.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-715x1536.png 715w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-953x2048.png 953w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2.png 2000w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 477px) 100vw, 477px"></div>
<p>The wealth of the Global North originated from historical theft through violent dispossession over centuries (Figure 16).<a href="#_edn48" name="_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> Economic stagnation and demands for growth spurred the looting of resources from other regions. This began as early as the military invasions of the Crusades against Arab and Muslim areas of West Asia (1050–1291).</p>
<p>The end of the European Medieval Warm Period (which lasted from about 950AD to 1250AD), and the catastrophe of the Black Death (1346–1353) tilted things in favour of peasants, away from the aristocracy. The peasant rebellions and charters of the forest throughout Europe were a sign that capitalism’s future was far from sealed.</p>
<p>Europe then commenced its trajectory as a world hegemon through its militarised maritime powers, beginning as early as 1415 with Portugal’s invasion and capture of Ceuta, a fortified Moroccan port ­­– a date we use to mark the now over 600 years of Western domination. The first European colonial power, Portugal, used Genovese capital to fund its expeditions, and the rest of Europe followed suit in the 1400s.</p>
<p>The conquests of the darker nations of the world, the subsequent dispossession of peoples from their lands, and the subordination of their labour saw racial ideologies emerge. This ideological layer infiltrated the base and superstructure of both European societies and the peoples they conquered. It is most pronounced in the white settler colonial states, which were racial projects from the very beginning of their existence. Within these white settler colonial states, the US and Israel now represent the most acute, permanent, and deeply ingrained history of racial-religious projects.</p>
<p>Economic analysis shows that the real rise in capitalist investment in the UK began when slavery’s profits and plunder of countries such as India enabled the historic rise in fixed capital investment and was decisive in so-called capitalist primitive accumulation and the financing of the ‘industrial revolution’. In a 2022 study, Utsa Patnaik indicated that the UK extracted US$ 45 trillion (using a compound interest rate formula since it remains unrepaid) from India between 1765 to 1936.<a href="#_edn49" name="_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a> The overwhelming bulk of leading UK institutions profited from the trans-Atlantic slave trade. The racial ideological underpinning, in turn, has shaped the later development of both capitalism and imperialism.</p>
<p>Over the centuries, Europe created several further white-settler colonial projects outside its historic core in the Americas and Australasia, including in Kenya, South Africa, and Zimbabwe. The ‘successful’ ones did not do so by settling on uninhabited land, the myth of <em>terra nullius</em>, but rather through genocide and military conquest in creating majority white populations and states. Germany perpetrated the first twentieth century genocide, murdering approximately 80,000 Herero and Nama peoples in Namibia between 1904 to 1908. Five of these remain today: the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Israel, all projects of Britain – the latter having begun its colonial conquests in the mid-1500s in Ireland. . Britain’s role in the Americas resulted in the creation of the United States of America. The infamous British Balfour Declaration (1917) was central to the formation of Israel at the expense of the then-UK colony Palestine. The Zionist mission needed to create in Israel a barrier to the ‘barbaric hordes’ of Asia. No other nation is as influential in the US as Israel. The US, due to its size and role, remains the dominant force of world terrorism, but Israel has an outsized role in violence and military spending. It has nuclear weapons that the Western media conveniently downplays.</p>
<p>From creation to modern times, the US has been defined as a racial project. In <em>American Holocaust: The Conquest of the New World </em>(1992), David E. Stannard estimated that within the first 150 years of the European conquest of the Americas, as many as 100 million Indigenous people may have died because of the conquest and its aftermath, including disease, warfare, and enslavement.</p>
<p>By 1860, nearly four million black people were slaves in the US alone.<a href="#_edn50" name="_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a> In 2022, over 720,000 black people were incarcerated in US prisons and jails. Black people represented 38% of the prison population despite being only 12% of the US population. The US has nearly 20% of all prisoners in the world despite having only 5% of the world’s population.<a href="#_edn51" name="_ednref51"><sup>51</sup></a> Over 500 years after slavery began (with the earliest recorded arrival of a slave ship in 1519), the US still puts tens of thousands of black people in solitary confinement, despite this being considered a form of torture by the United Nations.<a href="#_edn52" name="_ednref52"><sup>52</sup></a> It was only in 2013 that the state of Mississippi officially ratified the 13th amendment which abolished slavery – first officially noted in the constitution on 6 December 1865.<a href="#_edn53" name="_ednref53"><sup>53</sup></a> We can only understand the ideology of the US ruling class by recognising the racialised character of its class structure.</p>
<p>The 2023 NATO declaration and the unified support for Israeli genocide against the Palestinians is ample proof that imperialism cannot be divorced from historic racial aspects. For over 600 years, European and white-settler states have sought to and succeeded in dominating the whole world.</p>
<p>Since WWII, the US has sought to extend this rule for at least a millennium. Initially, all the states within the imperialist camp were white. With the absolute defeat of Japan in WWII, including using atomic bombs, Japan was assimilated into the imperialist camp, eventually achieving what the South Africans coined ‘honorary white’ status. This was particularly possible because Japan was a previously fascist power that also tied its imperialist expansion to racialised practices.</p>
<p>Imperialism also has racialised patriarchal foundations, which trace back to how the sexual division of labour, the control of women’s reproductive capacities, and the exploitation of women’s unpaid work were reshaped within Western colonisation, as preconditions for the international expansion of capital accumulation.<a href="#_edn54" name="_ednref54"><sup>54</sup></a> From then to now, gender-based subordination and violence have been used extensively in warfare and conquest, from the sexual slavery of tens of thousands of ‘comfort women’ during Japan’s military occupation in China and Indonesia, to the current sexual exploitation that unfolds inside the US military bases in the Philippines.<a href="#_edn55" name="_ednref55"><sup>55</sup></a></p>
<p>It is not an accident that the United States shows up in seven of the eight categories of historical violence in Figure 16. This process did not begin in the 1890s with the development of modern imperialism. It can be traced back to 1492 with the first European invasion of the Americas.</p>
<p>In October 2023, out of 193 members of the UN, only the United States and Israel voted against ending the illegal embargo and blockade against heroic Cuba. When an initial draft resolution calling for a ceasefire in Gaza was drafted on 16 October 2023, not one single white member of the US House of Representatives initially signed it.<a href="#_edn56" name="_ednref56"><sup>56</sup></a> There is a throughline from the Portuguese slave traders in West Africa to the Israeli and US genocidaires in Palestine.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">History and Definition of ‘Hyper-Imperialism’</h2>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Pre-History</h3>
<p>The pre-history of modern imperialism began in 1415 with the advent of European maritime expansion. Africa was the first victim, followed by the colonisation of the Americas and the genocide of millions of Indigenous peoples, and then the rapid dependence by Europe (and its settler states) on blood-soaked capital from human slavery, which lasted 400 years.</p>
<p>Britain’s existence as a modern power started with the vampiric dependency on the blood of slaves and colonial labourers. The British were responsible for millions of deaths in the Atlantic slave trade and its colonial conquests. Slave labour in the Americas – as well as the British capture of a good part of Spanish and Portuguese colonies’ surplus – provided the ‘special’ ingredient to so-called primitive or originary accumulation (‘ursprüngliche Akkumulation’, the term used by Marx in <em>Capital</em>).<a href="#_edn57" name="_ednref57"><sup>57</sup></a></p>
<p>US imperialism, in addition to starting as a racial project, has a unique path of capitalist development, including the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>A highly profitable capitalist form of slavery.</li>
<li>A state unbridled in its expansion in a large territory, without any holdovers from feudalism.</li>
<li>The only major imperialist country whose territory was not militarily attacked by other imperialists.</li>
<li>An imperial power beginning after Europe had already divided the world.</li>
<li>A self-defined unlimited power through the Monroe Doctrine (1823), as well as concepts such as Manifest Destiny and US exceptionalism.</li>
</ul>
<p>Since the advent of modern industry, the capitalist world system has consisted of two successive periods of dominance by a single capitalist power – first the UK and then the US. From the late eighteenth century to WWII, Britain was considered the dominant force in international finance. However, this openly collapsed when Britain abandoned the pound’s convertibility to gold and ended the gold/pound standard in 1931. In reality, US dominance was clear from WWI and acknowledged US hegemony began in 1945, with Europe in tatters. At the core of the imperialist system, therefore, is what can be called the Anglo-American Project.</p>
<p>The size of the US economy overtook Britain’s in the 1870s, but US per capita GDP (PPP) did not equal Britain’s until the twentieth century. By 1913, the US economy was twice the size of Britain’s in GDP (PPP).<a href="#_edn58" name="_ednref58"><sup>58</sup></a> However, it was not until 1945 (with the US being five times greater than the UK) that US hegemony was fully and formally established. At that point, the US was manufacturing more than half of the products in the world.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">History</h3>
<p>Vladimir Lenin’s work, <em>Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism </em>(1916), drawing heavily on the work of Rudolf Hilferding’s 1910 book <em>Finance Capital</em>, explained the rise of finance capital during the last period of the nineteenth century – marking the shift from classical liberal capitalism to finance-driven imperialism.<a href="#_edn59" name="_ednref59"><sup>59</sup></a> The increase in the organic composition of capital meant that greater and greater outlays of capital were needed to expand production. This went beyond the ability of most individual capitalists engaging in classical competition, leading to domination by oligopolies and monopolies with the reorganisation of the financial system to meet their requirements.</p>
<p>In parallel with this were technological changes. The switch from steam power to electric power in the 1890s saw a leap in the productive forces and of factory production: higher energy efficiency, lower maintenance, decentralisation, a reconfigured factory floor layout, mass production, and a massive increase in the division and socialisation of labour. This type of rapid change in the productive forces happened again later with the invention of the transistor and the rise of computers.</p>
<p>Lenin noted five characteristics of this new stage: the rise of finance capital and the financial oligarchy; the concentration of production and monopolies; the export of capital; the rise of monopolist cartels, which ‘shared’ the world among themselves; and the completion of the territorial division of the whole world amongst the largest capitalist powers, along with the increasing conflict between the imperialist states.</p>
<p>These developments meant that a new, highest, and last stage of capitalism had begun, i.e., the stage of modern imperialism. There cannot be another new stage of capitalism (as a system with no competition would not be capitalism).</p>
<p>Lenin’s book was written on the eve of the Soviet Revolution. Once the Soviet Union was formed, the conflict between labour and capital changed qualitatively and was no longer solely a domestic contradiction within countries but included contradictions between states with a different class basis.</p>
<p>Modern imperialism fully inherits the history of the European project’s domination and exploitation of the world. Lenin defines super-profits, a result of modern imperialism, as ‘a surplus of profits over and above the capitalist profits that are normal and customary all over the world’.<a href="#_edn60" name="_ednref60"><sup>60</sup></a></p>
<p>Post-WWI, international capitalist divisions again intensified during the Great Depression (1929–1939), as various imperialist powers locked their economies behind tariffs and other barriers. Before the end of WWII, the US-led reorganisation of the global financial system was agreed to in Bretton Woods in July 1944. The convertibility of the main currencies into the US dollar and the US dollar into gold established the supremacy of the new ‘green gold’. To make sure its regulations were implemented and followed, the International Monetary Fund and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), later, the World Bank, were established. These two institutions have been key pillars of US domination over the Global South since then.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Post-World War Two</h3>
<p>1945 saw the decisive victory by the United States among the capitalist powers, and the US dollar began its domination. The period from 1945 to 1971 was an expansionary phase of US imperialism. The US did suffer significant political losses during this period, including a number of newly formed socialist projects. However, confident of its own productive supremacy, the US began a radical reorganisation of the global capitalist system after WWII. It dismantled tariffs and other protectionist measures that it deemed unnecessary to its own advancement (but retained subsidy measures that advantaged its own capitalist firms). The post-WWII new ‘globalised’ organisation of world capitalism differed significantly in its international structure from the pre-1945 capitalist system. It achieved a more rapid development of the productive forces than the era of the previous colonial empires. Throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, behind the veneer of free trade, there were always monopolies, as Karl Marx said with respect to Britain. The US further developed this domination through imperialist monopolies guarded by an international military apparatus.</p>
<p>Formed in 1949, NATO initially had three objectives: first, to stop the spread of the communist spectre into Western Europe; second, to guarantee the military subordination of all other imperialists to the US; and third to create a military bloc to contain and eventually overthrow the socialist bloc countries. The US also began the domestication of the European elite and elicited their support for the North Atlantic project through economic integration and dependency (symbolised by the Marshall Plan beginning in 1948) and political subordination (such as through institutions like the Bilderberg Meeting, beginning in 1954).<a href="#_edn61" name="_ednref61"><sup>61</sup></a></p>
<p>The US had three objectives in the colonial world. First, finalise the defeat of European control and remove barriers to US economic interests. Second, prohibit their alignment with the socialist bloc. Third, defeat any communist-inspired or -led revolutionary projects.</p>
<p>Outside a few exceptions, such as Cuba and the Philippines at the turn of the twentieth century, the US never had the full aim or desire to rule or manage the full scope of political, economic, and social relations at the local level in what was then called the Third World. Using military power, covert operations, economic inducements, and American ‘soft power’, the US developed a strategy of neo-colonialism: nominal political independence and near-total economic subordination. The first institution responsible for the conscription of Europeans into the US hegemonic project post-WWII, the IBRD, pivoted to its work in the Global South once the Marshall Plan kicked in.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Neo-liberalism</h3>
<p>The next phase of imperialism is generally called neo-liberalism. It emerged as a response to the economic stagnation that began in the 1960s (which became acute by the crisis of 1974) and the political threat of left-led Third World Projects.<a href="#_edn62" name="_ednref62"><sup>62</sup></a> Neo-liberalism was first experimented with in Chile (1973) and Argentina (1976) by the ‘Chicago Boys’ under Milton Friedman. Both were implemented through bloody coup d’états that killed tens of thousands of people to eradicate support for left projects, with support from the US. The elections of Margaret Thatcher (1979) in UK and Ronald Reagan (1980) in the US paved the way for its global ascendancy.</p>
<p>The US had become, in current terms, a debtor nation by 1981. The fall of the Soviet Union in 1991 enabled the US to engage in a more naked imperialist projection, especially in the military realm. Salient features of neo-liberalism included the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>The world experienced economic globalisation and the financialisation of monopoly capitalism, with ‘Super-Imperialist’ financial monopoly privileges created by the US sustaining the removal of the US dollar from the gold standard.</li>
<li>The US aggressively extended its intellectual property rights over the whole world and achieved near-perpetual global monopolies. The tangible goods economy was subordinated to the virtualised economy. Large areas of petty production were ruthlessly destroyed.</li>
<li>The International Monetary Fund and World Bank consistently pursued austerity policies that impoverished and saddled the Global South with large levels of debt. That debt could only be repaid through exporting things that the Global North would pay for in US dollars. Unlike any other bank, the World Bank got to author its creditors economic policy, shrinking the state, and deflating local currency to secure the primacy of the US dollar. Privatisation, enclosures of the public sector, the withdrawal of the state role in the economy and society (especially in the Global South), and increased casualisation of labour were core demands of their policies. This resulted in increased poverty and inequality, such as the intensification of women’s unpaid reproductive work.<a href="#_edn63" name="_ednref63"><sup>63</sup></a></li>
<li>The disarticulation of factory production and supply chains (helped by huge technology changes and US subsidised oil prices) created not only massive increases in productivity but huge advantages to global capital and its multinational corporations at the expense of the working class. Capital was easily able to move parts of production between various small, weak Global South countries, and late-entrant industrial Global South countries like Brazil and South Africa suffered de-industrialisation. Socialism and China’s large size protected it from this fate.</li>
<li>There was a shift from production to speculative finance and monopoly-rent seeking capital. A strong deregulation of financial markets all over the world – and a revolution in communication technologies – made possible huge flows of financial speculative capital in real time.</li>
<li>A new advanced form of monopoly production and circulation became evident in multiple sectors of the economy. Notably, within the rise of digital monopoly capital, a few monopolies and oligopolies, such as Google, dominate the whole world (except for China, Russia, Iran, DPR Korea, Cuba and a few others).</li>
<li>There was a growth in the coercive state, growing high levels of inequality, and a rise in neo-fascist populism.</li>
<li>The rise of Western cultural, political, and foreign policy hegemony was possible due to the pervasiveness and economic monopoly status of US technologies, including Google, Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, and Twitter.<a href="#_edn64" name="_ednref64"><sup>64</sup></a></li>
</ul>
<p>Michael Hudson’s work on<em> Super Imperialism </em>(1972) describes the great defeat of the rest of the world when the US abandoned the gold standard.<a href="#_edn65" name="_ednref65"><sup>65</sup></a> Rather than buy gold to maintain their currencies, the US forced other central banks to recycle their dollar surpluses into buying US Treasury bonds. This enabled it to force the rest of the world to pay its debts, including the debts incurred from the war against the people of Viet Nam. The US became a debtor nation but was able to outsource its debt through the instrument of the Dollar-Wall Street complex.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Technology and Soft Power</h3>
<p>Accompanying this process were tremendous changes in technology and the development of the productive forces. Semi-conductors, for example, saw a 100-billion-fold increase in transistor density between 1954, when the first single working silicon transistor was created, and in June 2023, with the release of the Apple M2 Ultra chip with 134 billion transistors.<a href="#_edn66" name="_ednref66"><sup>66</sup></a></p>
<p>The US tech sector power came into existence, first, due to the importance of technological advancement to the military-industrial complex and, second, to the US dominance in world trade that allowed them to flex their commercial muscles to reinforce the centrality of Silicon Valley. Thus, Silicon Valley is both an enabler of core state military intelligence functions and one of the beneficiaries of it.</p>
<p>The underlying nature of what is called the ‘network effect’ allowed for rapidly established ‘natural’ monopolies and oligopolies in many technology areas. Like phone exchanges of a hundred years ago, once a company like Google passed a threshold of market share in search functions and monetised it, they became an oligopoly. Technologies like cloud computing enabled Amazon to move from being solely a retail industry monopoly to challenging Google and Microsoft in new markets.</p>
<p>The term ‘soft power’ was developed by Joseph Nye in the late 1980s, but it is just a label for the extension of the aspect of Gramsci’s concepts of hegemony to US imperialism. The following ‘industries’ are part of US global hegemony: culture, information, entertainment, non-profits (NGO’s), academia, and think tanks. All of these rely on a common centralised communications industry, which covers undersea optical cables, satellites, telecommunications networks, massive data centres, digital communications firms like Twitter (X), Facebook, and Google.</p>
<p>There have been approximately five stages of communications technologies in the last century:</p>
<ol>
<li>Mass medium radio, the telephone, and ‘talkies’ (1920–1950).</li>
<li>Television and the rise of Madison Avenue advertising (1950–1970).</li>
<li>Digital revolution, the widescale growth of the Internet (which actually began as a US military project in 1969) (1980–2000).</li>
<li>Mobile and first-generation social media (2000­–2005).</li>
<li>Pervasive mobile, smart devices, and OTT streaming video monopolies, like Netflix, Amazon Prime, Disney+, CGI, Augmented and Virtual Reality, and soon, AI influenced media (2005–present).</li>
</ol>
<p>Each of these five generations of technologies were commercialised and then ‘weaponised’ under the watchful eye of US military and intelligence agencies. Hollywood is infamous for these ties. The fifth generation of technologies represent a quantitative and qualitative leap in capacity. US tech and media companies, proxies for US hegemony, now effectively control the bulk of voices that the youth of the Global South hear. While X may be declining and was mainly a space for the chattering classes, Facebook and Instagram and streaming services like Netflix penetrate the lives of billions of the working class.</p>
<p>Let’s take the case of India. During the first ten months of 2023, there were 510 million unique internet viewers in India, who spent a total of 371 billion (B) hours with 2.9 trillion views. 105B of these hours were spent on social media, 74B on entertainment, 10.5B on news, 10B on retail, and 12.8B on other (mainly finance). During the month of October 2023, those ages 18–24 years old spent on average 940 minutes on Instagram, 708 on YouTube, 387 on Facebook, and 117 on X. For all ages the time spent on Facebook, Instagram, and X has more than doubled since January 2020. During October 2023, the following OTT video streaming led in millions(M) of viewers: 170M – Disney, 99M – MX Player (Indian firm reportedly under talks with Amazon), 92M ­– JioCinema (Reliance, Paramount, and James Murdoch), and others like ZEE5, Netflix, and Sony. Despite the rise of Bollywood, Hollywood is still present in India.<a href="#_edn67" name="_ednref67"><sup>67</sup></a></p>
<p>Globally, Western media has used four types of censorship with social media: Shadow banning or ghosting (secret suppression of viewers), white and blacklists (prioritising desirable content; deprecating or eliminating unwanted content), private non-visible algorithmic manipulation, and now even direct removal and suppression of content and/or users.</p>
<p>An estimated 73% of internet traffic is conducted by so-called ‘bad bots’, including state-controlled fake user accounts by the United States and Israel in particular.<a href="#_edn68" name="_ednref68"><sup>68</sup></a> More than half of this traffic uses evasion techniques to mimic human behaviour. These techniques are systematically deployed for a range of US soft-power campaigns, including for elections and popular sentiment.</p>
<p>The<em> Financial Times</em>, noting ‘America’s cultural supremacy’, worries on behalf of the empire thus: ‘To retain immense cultural reach is a wonderful cushion for a post-peak superpower. The trick is to not fall asleep on it’.<a href="#_edn69" name="_ednref69"><sup>69</sup></a></p>
<p>However, the level of detailed control of every single phone call, message, and key stroke by US intelligence results in very high stakes for the Global South. Digital sovereignty requires serious attention and cannot be dismissed.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Fictitious Capital</h3>
<p>Karl Marx critically analysed the rise of fictitious capital in Volume III of <em>Capital</em>.<a href="#_edn70" name="_ednref70"><sup>70</sup></a> The latest report from the Bank for International Settlements reports that the total notional value of outstanding derivatives (the three types of which are interest rate, foreign exchange, and equity) reached US$ 715 trillion at the end of June 2023, up 16% in six months, over four times the world GDP (PPP), and over seven times the world GDP in current exchange rate (CER) terms.<a href="#_edn71" name="_ednref71"><sup>71</sup></a> The gross market value of these derivatives was nearly US$ 20 trillion.</p>
<p>Hedge funds such as Bridgewater Associates and private equity firms such as BlackRock engage in this hyper-speculation. One analogy used to help explain derivatives is that if you stand between two mirrors at a slight angle to each other, you can see a long series of images of yourself. You remain real, but the images are ephemeral.</p>
<p>Whilst the capital is fictitious, the results are not. The expropriation of the natural goods and companies of the Global South now happens at a scale of trillions of US dollars at a speed of milliseconds.<a href="#_edn72" name="_ednref72"><sup>72</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">2008–2022: A Transition</h3>
<p>The defeat of the Soviet Union in 1991 led to a new feeling of eternal confidence in imperialism from US capital. Now they could expropriate the markets of the former Soviet Union and have the sense of accomplishing Manifest Destiny. The idea of the ‘end of history’ and the emergence of the sentiment of unilateralism dominated the thinking of the Council of Foreign Relations and other strategic US institutions.</p>
<p>Confronted with a decline in the rate of capital creation in their economies, and as financialisation and intellectual property rights enhanced the prevalence of monopolies, a larger proportion of capital avoided productive investments and increasingly sought short-term gains, becoming even more speculative.</p>
<p>The 2007–2008 financial crisis – what we call the start of the Third Great Depression – meant that previous tools to fight stagnation proved increasingly ineffective. China’s imperviousness to this crisis added to the alarm of the Global North. The following 14 years saw a transition period marking the end of the neo-liberalism phase. From the early 2000s until 2022, major shifts began to take place. Some accelerated the consolidation of capital – others signalled the beginning of an existential crisis of capital:</p>
<ol>
<li>The most important single change was the rise of China as the largest economy in the world when measured by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP).</li>
<li>The Global South moved from 40% of world GDP to 60% when measured in PPP.</li>
<li>The Third Great Depression led to a further drop in GDP growth rates. By 2022, 10-year average per capita growth rates in Europe were less than 1% and in the US 1.5%.</li>
<li>European and Japanese capital were ‘de-nationalised’, accelerated by the rapid changes to the capital markets. They are now fully integrated, dependent on, and subordinate to the US on fundamental issues.</li>
<li>China consolidated itself as a socialist project and the Western hope for a new ‘Chinese Gorbachev’ completely failed.</li>
<li>NATO countries increased the number of their global military interventions but were confronted by a series of defeats such as in Afghanistan, Iraq, and even, to an extent, Syria.</li>
<li>The US decision to expand NATO into Eastern Europe and use Ukraine as a proxy at the centre of the move to control Russia resulted in an important military conflict between nuclear powers.</li>
<li>The US, facing relative economic and political hegemony, began to massively expand the use of sanctions, lawfare, tariffs, and seizure of foreign currency reserves.</li>
<li>To attempt to stop China’s technological advance, the US began using tariffs and protectionism. It began a full-fledged soft power attack on China and started a New Cold War.</li>
<li>Major voices in the US ruling class openly talk of the possibility of using its military hegemony to block China. Since they have also ‘lost’ Russia, at least with Vladimir Putin in power, the US is focused on planning how to complete their historic mission to subordinate Eurasia once and for all. This would ultimately entail the de-nuclearisation and potential dismemberment of both Russia and China.</li>
</ol>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Periodisation of Imperialism</h3>
<p>Imperialism has changed over the last 100 years. We can roughly describe a few key periods as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>1890–1916: </strong>The rise of modern imperialism.</li>
<li><strong>1917–1939:</strong> The birth of the Soviet Union, the decline of British hegemony, continued extreme inter-imperialist rivalry, the rise of fascism, the spread of socialist ideas across the world, and the Great Depression.</li>
<li><strong>1940–1945:</strong> The worldwide battle against fascism, and German and Japanese Aggression.</li>
<li><strong>1945–2008</strong>: The establishment of the People’s Republic of China, the era of US hegemony within the imperialist camp, the advance of national liberation struggles in the Global South and end of direct colonialism, the rising importance of socialist projects like Cuba and Viet Nam, dramatic changes in the productive forces, and numerous wars in which the US murdered tens of millions. This period could be subdivided into two parts: the so-called golden era of US imperialism during the 1950s and 1960s, followed by the 1970s and the turn to stagnation and neo-liberalism.</li>
<li><strong>2008–2023:</strong> The false hope of US unilateralism was replaced with an awareness that a powerful non-white socialist project would, within a lifetime, overcome the US economically. In 1918, on the 73<sup>rd</sup> day of the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic, Vladimir Lenin left his office at the Smolny Institute (Petrograd) and danced in the snow. He celebrated the fact that the Soviet experiment had outlasted the Paris Commune. On 18 November 2023, the People’s Republic of China marked 27,077 days of existence, exceeding the duration of the Soviet socialist project. As noted by President Xi Jinping, we are entering a period not seen in 100 years.</li>
</ul>
<p>In summary, these changes show a transition to what is best described as a new stage of imperialism: Hyper-Imperialism.</p>
<h1>PART III: The World Defined</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Global North Defined</h2>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93759 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-17-e1705411900506.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-17.png"></div>
<p>The Global North is an integrated military, political, and economic bloc at present composed of 49 countries, as pictured in Figure 17. These include the US, the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Japan, and secondary Western and Eastern European countries. This US-led bloc is the imperialist camp in today’s world.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93779 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-18-e1705412053306.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-18.png"></p>
</div>
<p>As pictured in Figure 18, the Global North is fundamentally a North Atlantic project, with two outlying countries – Australia and Japan.</p>
<p>Inspired by Samir Amin’s concept of the Triad but expanding and modifying it to suit the realities of the present, the organisation of the Global North bloc can be best understood as layers of four concentric rings.<a href="#_edn73" name="_ednref73"><sup>73</sup></a> The position of each country within each ring depends on its rapport with the United States and how close its intelligence services are to those of the US, which is explained below.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 1: Six Core US-Led Anglo-American Imperialist Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 19</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 1: US-led Anglo-American core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">338</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,463</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">76,343</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,717</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54,824</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,265</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58,316</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,629</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">62,026</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">502</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,990</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Zealand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">266</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,962</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>485</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 33,843</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 70,326</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>20.7%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 19</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 1: US-led Anglo-American core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th>NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th>Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,536,859</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68,463</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,896</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">32,299</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,406</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Zealand</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,829</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1,690,752</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>51</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>36</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>77</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>58.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Ring 1 (listed in Figure 19) represents the inner core of imperialism. The white English-speaking victors of  WWII, the Five Eyes (US, UK in 1946, Canada in 1948, Australia and New Zealand in 1956) established themselves as the Praetorian Guard of what can be called the Anglo-American Project. It is composed of the UK and the white settler states it spawned. Israel, treated by the US as the sixth eye, is unofficially part of the inner core. The cohesion of countries in this ring remains; an example is the trilateral security alliance AUKUS, created in September 2021.</p>
<p>A fundamental key to understanding the Global North is the special relationship between the United States and Israel. They are white settler states, founded on and justified by white supremacy and religious zealotry, and are the core of Ring 1 of the Global North. The US was established by white, religious extremists who, in 1690, conceived and established their colonial settlements as ‘plantations of religion’.<a href="#_edn74" name="_ednref74"><sup>74</sup></a> They believed that only they, the white Puritans, could realise God’s plan in the ‘American wilderness’. Their genocide against the native Americans and enslavement of Africans were viewed as the inevitable and obvious outcome of their racial and religious superiority.</p>
<p>Israel was the creation of British and US imperialism and was organised by the leaders of the Zionist movement. It was described by the military expert for <em>The Guardian</em>, Herbert Sidebotham, during WWI as follows: ‘The only possible colonists of Palestine are the Jews… at once a protection against the alien East and a mediator between it and us, a civilisation distinct from ours yet imbued with our political ideas’.<a href="#_edn75" name="_ednref75"><sup>75</sup></a> For the imperialists, ‘freedom from discrimination’ was only the pretext for the formation of the Judaic and white supremacist state of Israel.</p>
<p>As indicated earlier, between 1776, the year of independence from the British, and 2019, the US has spent 228 of 245 years in war/conflict, and only 17 years in ‘peace’.</p>
<p>During its history, the United Kingdom’s forces (or forces with a British mandate) have invaded, had some control over, or fought conflicts in 171 of the world’s 193 countries that are currently UN member states, or nine out of ten of all countries. <a href="#_edn76" name="_ednref76"><sup>76</sup></a></p>
<p>In its 72 years of existence, Israel has ‘officially’ started 16 military conflicts with the Palestinians and other Arab nations. One-fourth of them were under the rule of Benjamin Netanyahu (1996–1999; 2009–2023). Of course, not included in these ‘official’ statistics are the multiple incursions by Zionist settlers and their army brethren against Palestinians.</p>
<p>Israeli white racialism and religious demagogy have morphed from ideological justifications into material forces that have contributed to the qualitative change in imperialism today. This is exemplified by, among other things, the per capita military spend of the US, which is 12.6 times that of the world’s average, with Israel’s 7.2 times, the two largest in the Global North. In the first month following 7 October 2023, Israel killed more civilians than all the civilian deaths in the Ukraine since 2022 and detonated more tons of explosives than the combined weight of the two nuclear bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.<a href="#_edn77" name="_ednref77"><sup>77</sup></a></p>
<p>The US Congressional Research Service reported that: ‘Israel is the largest cumulative recipient of US foreign assistance since World War II… Israel is the first international operator of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, the Department of Defence’s fifth-generation stealth aircraft, considered to be the most technologically advanced fighter jet ever made’.<a href="#_edn78" name="_ednref78"><sup>78</sup></a> Adjusting for inflation, US aid to Israel from 1951 to 2022 totalled US$ 317.9 billion.<a href="#_edn79" name="_ednref79"><sup>79</sup></a></p>
<p>Nonetheless, it is the US — not Israel — who is driving the agenda in the region following 7 October 2023. Blinken’s ‘shuttle diplomacy’ sets the rules and tones for Israel’s military operations and the ‘proportionate’ actions against the Palestinian resistance and regional powers. The US provides the necessary political and military support for Israel to eliminate the Palestinian resistance ‘permanently’, deter Iran and its allies, and push forward normalisation with Arab neighbouring countries. All these US interventions seek to lay the ground for building the planned India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), which is not only an economic corridor but essentially an ideological and political plan to block China’s increasing integration and influence in the region. Therefore, Israel constitutes a ‘central junction’ for the US-programmed IMEC, which is outlined within the framework of the G7 Partnership for Global Infrastructure Investment (PGI), a Global North world plan, aiming essentially at countering China’s BRI and any form of Global South long-lasting cooperation.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 2: Nine Core European Imperialist Powers</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 20</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 2: European core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">83</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,370</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">64,086</td>
<td width="87"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">65</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,696</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">56,305</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">59</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,059</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,827</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,272</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47,711</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,244</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70,728</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">735</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">63,268</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sweden</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">695</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,091</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">427</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">78,014</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denmark</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">419</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">71,332</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>9 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>306</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>17,918</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>58,334</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3.8%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>10.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 20</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 2: European core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">55,760</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53,639</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,490</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1982</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,307</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,607</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,867</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sweden</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,722</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,388</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denmark</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,468</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 207,247</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>247</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>37</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>93</strong></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>7.2%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>As listed in Figure 20, the countries in Ring 2 are the closest to the US-led inner core, namely Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Norway, and Denmark. Ring 2 is defined by each country’s proximity and affinity, and the trustworthiness of their intelligence functions to those of the United States.</p>
<p>‘Politics is a concentrated expression of economics’, Lenin explained.<a href="#_edn80" name="_ednref80"><sup>80</sup></a> The military function is the essential expression of this political concentration. Post-WWII, and with the advent of the Internet and social media, the control of communications and all its related functions has become a qualitatively new strategic intelligence asset of the state and has further advanced the US’s dominant hegemonic control of vast portions of the world.</p>
<p>Thanks to the work of Wikileaks and the bravery of Julian Assange and Edward Snowden, the world was given its <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20131219010450/http:/cphpost.dk/news/denmark-is-one-of-the-nsas-9-eyes.7611.html">first public view</a> into the secret world of intelligence relations among the imperialist forces.<a href="#_edn81" name="_ednref81"><sup>81</sup></a></p>
<p>Instructively, the US prioritised its level of trust beyond the Five Eyes and the hidden special relationship with Israel. Subsequently, secretly but formally, the US created the Nine Eyes, which added Denmark, Norway, France, and the Netherlands. The Europeans were unwilling to have it be known, even privately, that Israel was a formal member. In addition, Israel did not fully trust many European powers with intelligence, so all parties allowed the US to continue having its special relationship with Israel.</p>
<p>Fifty years after WWII, the United States continued to exclude the former fascist powers of Germany, Italy, and Spain from the Five and Nine Eyes. Following the end of WWII, the US built an international system that was premised on the subordination and integration of the former fascist powers and the rest of Europe. This process of subordination and integration was evident in the military apparatus constructed by the United States, with NATO as one of the lynchpins. Establishing a system of US military bases in the defeated powers – Germany, Italy, and Japan – allowed Washington to set aside any talk of a sovereign military or diplomatic project for the defeated.</p>
<p>In 2001, five other countries (Germany, Belgium, Italy, Spain, and Sweden) were added to the Nine Eyes to <a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks-president-obama-australian-parliament">become</a> the Fourteen Eyes.<a href="#_edn82" name="_ednref82"><sup>82</sup></a> Between 2005–2009, the US became increasingly alarmed about Russia and China. The unofficial ‘Pivot to Asia’ had begun; the official launch was delayed until Barak Obama took office in 2012.<a href="#_edn83" name="_ednref83"><sup>83</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 3: Japan and Fourteen Lesser European Imperialist Powers</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 21</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 3: Japan + secondary European Powers</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,145</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">49,090</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Switzerland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2002</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">754</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,262</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ireland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">684</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">132,359</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">604</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,889</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">439</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,692</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">393</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">37,526</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Finland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">324</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58,445</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Luxembourg</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">91</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">141,333</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cyprus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,774</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malta</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">59,408</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iceland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">67,176</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Andorra</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,155</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Marino</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">79,633</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liechtenstein</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1990</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Monaco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>176</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 9,543</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 53,935</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.2%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5.8%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 21</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 3: Japan + secondary European Powers</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45,992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Switzerland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,145</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ireland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,164</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,626</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,500</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1952</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,105</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Finland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2023</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,823</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Luxembourg</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">565</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cyprus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">494</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malta</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">87</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iceland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Andorra</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Marino</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liechtenstein</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Monaco</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 74,501</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>118</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>40</strong></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Ring 3 (listed in Figure 21), though made up of 15 countries, has a special focus on Japan, which has become a decisive front-line asset in the effort to curtail and suppress China and Russia. However, we have added here other secondary Western European powers, who, although loyal to the United States, are less strategic than others. A few of them, like Portugal, Finland, and Iceland, are part of NATO. Portugal is the only former fascist colonial power not in Ring 2 due to its small importance to US military intelligence (they are not in the Fourteen Eyes) and its smaller GDP.</p>
<p>Therefore, the third ring of the imperialist camp includes Japan and another 14 European countries (Switzerland, Ireland, Austria, Portugal, Greece, Finland, Luxembourg, Cyprus, Malta, Iceland, Andorra, San Marino, Liechtenstein, and Monaco).</p>
<p>In the past several centuries, countries in the first three rings of the imperialist camp, other than Ireland, have caused massive human disasters. The United Kingdom, the US, and the Netherlands appropriated wealth through the African slave trade. Europeans implemented colonialism worldwide; the entirety of the Americas, nearly all of Africa, and more than half of Asia were dominated by colonisers. Anglo-Saxon white immigrants forcibly expelled or murdered Indigenous people in the Americas, Australia, and New Zealand. There were several imperialist attempts to break up China, including the First Opium War, when Hong Kong was ceded in 1842, and then Taiwan at the end of the First Sino-Japanese War in 1895. In 1884–1885, European colonisers arbitrarily partitioned Africa at the Berlin Conference. This violent methodology of the partitioning has continued unabated until today, as evidenced by the 2011 partition of Sudan and by the ongoing destruction of the country and its people. In 1919, they dismantled the Austro-Hungarian and German empires through the Treaty of Versailles, transferred rights of some areas of China (Shandong) to Japan, handed German colonies in Africa to victorious European powers, and re-established a world order led by Anglo-American forces. As a result of internal crises and imperialist rivalries, fascist states arose within this camp, triggering WWII and leading to the death of at least 50 million Soviet and Chinese people. In the final stages of WWII, the US used atomic bombs on civilians. To this day, the US still refuses to renounce the first use of nuclear weapons and has unilaterally withdrawn from key nuclear and missile treaties.</p>
<p>Since the end of WWII, Japan has become a strategic US ally. With the signing of the US-Japan Security Treaty in 1951, Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida accepted the dominance of the US military over his country. During the Cold War, Japan played a significant role in containing the Soviet Union and China on the Eastern front, and this role continues today. Japan is the second country with the most US military bases as of July 2023 (98), only after Germany (171). To date, none of the German bases are in the former German Democratic Republic.</p>
<p>Although not officially a NATO member, since 2014, Japan has cooperated with NATO on an individual basis – most recently agreeing to the Individually Tailored Partnership Program in July 2023 – and has participated in the past two NATO summits. Japan also regularly participates in meetings held at NATO Headquarters in Brussels between NATO Allies and the four partners in the Indo-Pacific region at the level of ambassadors. This practical incorporation can be explained by the NATO 2022 Strategic Concept, which states that ‘cooperation with partners in this region is key to addressing the increasingly complex global security environment, including Russia’s war on Ukraine, the shift in the global balance of power and the rise of China, and the security situation on the Korean Peninsula’.</p>
<p>In addition, Japan is the only G7 member not part of NATO. In 2022, China was <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64001554">labelled</a> by the Japanese government as ‘the greatest strategic challenge ever to securing the peace and stability of Japan’ and announced plans to double official military spending to 2% of the GDP (on par with NATO countries) by 2027, overturning Japan’s post-WWII cap, which had official limited military spending to 1% of GDP.<a href="#_edn84" name="_ednref84"><sup>84</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 4: Nineteen European Former Eastern Bloc Integrated into NATO</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 22</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 4: European former Eastern Bloc</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,643</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,624</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">737</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38,703</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Czech Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">519</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47,955</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ukraine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">449</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,886</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hungary</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">408</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,121</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovakia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40,211</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">205</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31,857</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Serbia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">164</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24,564</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Croatia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">155</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40,128</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lithuania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">133</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47,107</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">103</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48,757</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Georgia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,243</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Latvia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">73</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,167</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bosnia &amp; Herzegovina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">64</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,518</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Estonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">60</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44,630</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Albania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,164</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Macedonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,129</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Moldova</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,710</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Montenegro</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2006</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,862</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>19 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>167</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5,156</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>32,662</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 22</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 4: European former Eastern Bloc</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th>Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,573</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,187</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Czech Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,005</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ukraine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,998</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hungary</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,572</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovakia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,994</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,336</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Serbia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,426</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Croatia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2009</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,309</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lithuania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,732</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">735</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Georgia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">360</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Latvia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">849</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bosnia &amp; Herzegovina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">184</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Estonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">811</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Albania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2009</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">289</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Macedonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2020</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">225</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Moldova</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Montenegro</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2017</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>83,732</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>27</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>42</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>69</strong></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.9%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Ring 4 is composed of the European members of the former Eastern Bloc and the Eastern European members of the former Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (Comecon, which lasted from 1949 to 1991). They are a new category within imperialist camp and thus not included by Samir Amin in his seminal work on the Triad.</p>
<p>Ring 4 (listed in Figure 22) of the imperialist camp includes Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Ukraine, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Serbia, Croatia, Lithuania, Slovenia, Latvia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Estonia, Albania, North Macedonia, Moldova, and Montenegro (except Belarus). Five countries were formal republics of the Soviet Union.</p>
<p>These countries were not previously part of the imperialist camp. To expand its hegemony, the US has targeted this region militarily, politically, and culturally. Serbia, part of the former Yugoslavia, was subjected to a 78-day NATO bombing in 1999. Despite not being a NATO member to this day, Serbia was compelled to participate in joint military exercises with NATO countries in June 2023.</p>
<p>Romania’s entrance to NATO did not involve a referendum. Instead, the ruling government modified the constitution, allowing senators to make the decision without consultation from the Romanian people.</p>
<p>US and western European expansion were done mainly through economic subordination and NATO’s eastern expansion. Fourteen are NATO members, whilst four (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine) attended the NATO Vilnius meeting in June 2023. Some of these countries are governed by pro-NATO right-wing regimes (examples include Poland, Ukraine, and Estonia), and actively playing the role of frontline troops against Russia.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Global South Defined</h2>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-93789 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-23-e1705412154531.png" alt="" width="793" height="950" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-23.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Outside the 49 countries of the Global North imperialist camp, making up the vast majority of the world’s population, are 145 countries that constitute the Global South (Figure 23).</p>
<p>The use of the term ‘Global South’ has primarily been a loose, imprecise reference. The actions over the last four years of the now fully aligned and integrated US-led Military Bloc have, however, created a large group of countries that are the ‘Rest of the World’. The ‘Rest of the World’ are thus aligned initially by ‘negative unity’, i.e., all its members are excluded. Consequently, they have become a negation of the imperialist camp. These countries include Russia and Belarus, which are not developing countries but are heavily targeted for regime change and subjugation.</p>
<p>The Global South includes mainly so-called ‘less developed’ or ‘developing’ countries, geographically associated with countries in Latin America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. It implicitly refers to countries that have been historically marginalised in the global economic system and are all grappling with the legacies of colonialism and imperialism. These countries were often called the Third World.</p>
<p>The Global South lacks cohesion, an agreed on collective identity, and unified organisation and action. Unlike the integrated Global North bloc, the Global South is not a unified group or bloc. These 145 countries each have distinct ideologies and political agendas, with differences in proximity and orientation towards each other and Global North countries. Various disputes exist among some of them, ranging from territorial disputes (take the case of Eritrea and Ethiopia) to intra-regional political power struggles (take the historical case of Saudi Arabia and Iran).</p>
<p>Much of the Global South pursues sovereignty, peace, and development, yet these countries rarely reach a global consensus on any issue. Often, this points to differences in the degree of proximity of any given country to the inner core of the Global North. As such, we arrange these countries in ‘groupings’ based on some common attributes rather than in an integrated, layered ring, or distinct blocs.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93799 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-24-e1705412213290.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-24.png"></p>
</div>
<p>However, this does not mean that the Global South is – as some Western perspectives would have it – a fabricated concept devoid of substance. The Global South (Figure24) is former colonies or semi-colonies of the Global North imperialist camp, having suffered centuries of oppression and humiliation under imperialism. A handful of these countries share, to varying degrees of commitment or realisation, a socialist political orientation. Objectively, China’s current 2022 per capita income (U$12,850) makes it a developing country.<a href="#_edn85" name="_ednref85"><sup>85</sup></a> It is also because of this common historical background that Xi Jinping in his BRICS Business Forum 2023 speech (read by Wang Wentao) stated: ‘As a developing country and a member of the Global South, China breathes the same breath with other developing countries and pursues a shared future with them’.<a href="#_edn86" name="_ednref86"><sup>86</sup></a></p>
<p>The genealogical roots of the Global South can be traced to the Third World Project that attempted to shift the international balance of forces in favour of the interests of the newly politically independent but economically indentured countries in the mid-20<sup>th</sup> century. This included efforts of the Bandung Conference (1955), Non-Alignment Movement (1961), Organisation of Solidarity with the People of Asia, Africa, and Latin America (1966), and the pursuit of a New International Economic Order (1974) through the formation of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (1964) by developing countries.<a href="#_edn87" name="_ednref87"><sup>87</sup></a></p>
<p>These countries hold historical and contemporary marginalisation in the global economic and political order in common. One of the most poignant but devastating examples of this commonality is the environmental and ecological damage that the Global North has visited upon Global South countries. Resource extraction and financial speculation on land and crops has led to deforestation, habitat destruction, soil degradation, and water pollution. This has created significant loss of biodiversity and large swathes of uncultivatable agricultural land – destroying local ecosystems and species and resulting in widespread hunger.</p>
<p>In addition, Global North multinational corporations are responsible for air, water, and soil pollution through nefarious methods; neo-liberalism ensures that there are no regulations to prevent these practices. Prohibited in the Global North but widespread in the Global South, agrochemicals and the generation of hazardous and other waste materials have increased health risks, especially to Indigenous people, women, children, and elders.<a href="#_edn88" name="_ednref88"><sup>88</sup></a> Manufacturing, mining, energy, and transportation companies continuously emit greenhouse gases, the greatest contributor to climate change, putting the Global South in imminent danger of catastrophe. Direct Foreign Investment by Global North multinational corporations have decimated the environment, destroyed agricultural lands, and increased the precarity of all working peoples. At the same time, the Global North uses the climate crisis to push more land grabbing and privatisation of biodiverse resources through the financialisation of nature.<a href="#_edn89" name="_ednref89"><sup>89</sup></a></p>
<p>All these 145 countries are now enduring the immense pressure of imperialist over-expansion. Some of the common challenges these countries continue to face include but are not limited to historical underdevelopment, primary sector dependence, limited industrialisation, external debt, trade imbalances, technological gaps, infrastructural deficit, and disproportionate environmental crisis.</p>
<p>Disillusioned by the challenges mentioned above, growing sections of the new bourgeoisie in Global South countries – who emerged through rapid economic growth over the past two decades, particularly in Asia – are gradually losing confidence in the political, economic, and moral leadership of both the United States and Europe. New centres of economic power, such as China, offer alternative development and investment models (e.g., through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative) and have become more attractive to the Global South bourgeoisie.</p>
<p>Among the 145 countries of the Global South, six groupings of countries can be identified. While each grouping has some identifiable shared traits, importantly, the grouping number correlates to the descending order of countries considered to be a threat to the US-led Anglo-American imperialist bloc. Membership in the groupings is dynamic and can change according to the political and economic conjuncture.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 1: Six Independent Socialist Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 1: Socialist Independent</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,426</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30,217</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,404</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK<br>
Japan<br>
US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1977</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,321</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,284</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France<br>
Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Venezuela</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">28</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">197</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-11.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,302</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1811</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laos</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">69</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,207</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1953</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DPR Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1959</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1,597</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>31,804</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>20,577</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>20.0%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>19.4%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 1: Socialist Independent</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">291,958</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Venezuela</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laos</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DPR Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>291,963</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>5</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>1</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>10.2%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 1: Socialist Independent</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Venezuela</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laos</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DPR Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>5 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>5 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>All six countries in Grouping 1 (Figure 25) are advancing socialism to varying degrees, and often take progressive international positions. Five of the six are in the Group of Friends in Defence of the UN Charter.</p>
<p>China is the critical member in this grouping. Its GDP, measured by purchasing power parity, ranks first globally, almost tripling India’s. China’s GDP (PPP) corresponds to 119% of the United States’.<a href="#_edn90" name="_ednref90"><sup>90</sup></a> It has made the most significant advancement in human development by lifting 850 million people out of extreme poverty in the last four decades.<a href="#_edn91" name="_ednref91"><sup>91</sup></a> Though it does not seek hegemony over the world system, it is viewed by the US and its allies as the prime threat to their hegemony, labelled in recent years as a ‘near-peer’ competitor in US State and Defence Departments’ strategy documents. China not only represents an economic threat but, with the resurgence of a stronger communist party under President Xi Jinping, represents a major political threat with its overt revitalisation of socialist and communist traditions. China is thrust by its national and social interests and its historical support for the Global South into the role of supporting counter-hegemonic processes and projects. China continues to publicly state a commitment to ‘narrowing the North-South gap’.<a href="#_edn92" name="_ednref92"><sup>92</sup></a></p>
<p>While China represents the major economic and political challenge to Global North hegemony today, Cuba and Venezuela represent the frontline of historical, socialist resistance. Cuba continues to push back against the suffering caused by the over six decades of the US-led economic embargo and blockade. Cuba and heavily sanctioned Venezuela have made no attempt to hide their pursuit of a socialist agenda. DPR Korea remains the West’s ‘bogeyman’ in the east, while Laos and Viet Nam have long-standing communist parties at the helm of their governments and are undergoing rapid economic development.</p>
<p>Ever since the founding of the Soviet Union, the world’s left forces have faced a contradiction between the needs of the state and people of the socialist projects and the needs of the working class in specific countries or regions. Strategic thinking by the working-class leaders in all countries is required to keep ‘contradictions amongst the people’ non-antagonistic and ensure that the decisive blow is directed at the centre of imperialism. Pursuing the dictum that communists have ‘no interests separate and apart from those of the proletariat as a whole’, requires an investigation of the concrete.<a href="#_edn93" name="_ednref93"><sup>93</sup></a> For example, defeats such as the fall of the Soviet Union are catastrophic for all workers. Numerous tactical decisions must be made to take advantage of the cracks in the imperialist camp to protect socialist projects and movements, whether in power or not.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 2: Ten Strongly Sovereign Seeking Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 26</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 2: Strongly Sovereign Seeking</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">145</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,770</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,253</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iran</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">89</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,617</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,865</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belarus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">210</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22,679</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burkina Faso</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,549</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mali</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">57</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,514</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1958</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,025</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1958</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,518</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Syria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Afghanistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eritrea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 395</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 6,795</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 20,938</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>8 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5.0%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 26</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 2: Strongly Sovereign Seeking</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,373</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iran</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,847</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belarus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">821</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burkina Faso</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">563</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mali</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">515</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">441</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">243</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Syria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Afghanistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eritrea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 95,802</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong> 8</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>40</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3.3%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 26</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 2: Strongly Sovereign Seeking</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iran</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belarus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Observer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burkina Faso</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mali</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Syria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Afghanistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Observer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eritrea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>9 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>7 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Countries in this grouping (Figure 26) are not socialist states but are prime targets of US-led regime change. These countries are fiercely defending their sovereignty and that of others (as seen by seven out of the nine voting against the US-backed resolution for Russian withdrawal in February 2023 and their full support of a ceasefire in Gaza).</p>
<p>Although these nations have different reasons for doing so, they face some of the most acute situations of the struggle for national sovereignty. They are on the frontline of the Global South’s struggle against imperialism. Whilst they are all either fully or partially economically dependent on the West, they are actively pursuing political independence. They are, therefore, subjected to extreme hybrid warfare from imperialism; put simply, most of these countries are included in US intelligence’s critical targets for regime change.</p>
<p>Particularly since the US-backed, right-wing coup in Ukraine in February 2014, followed by Crimea’s annexation for unification, Russia has been a primary target for regime change by the imperialist camp. The US and its allies have dedicated considerable resources towards weakening, dismantling, and denuclearising Russia; the US has provided more than US$ 90 billion in military assistance to Ukraine for the campaign against Russia from February 2014 to February 2022.<a href="#_edn94" name="_ednref94"><sup>94</sup></a> Belarus is geopolitically and economically aligned with Russia (such as through the Collective Security Treaty Organisation, formed in 1992, as well as the Union State of Belarus and Russia, formed in 1996) and, therefore, remains within the crosshairs of US intelligence.</p>
<p>Since the 1978 and 1979 revolutions that ousted US-aligned leaders, Afghanistan and Iran have been targets of US military intervention and political interference. Iran has been an obstacle to Western advances in the region, with its nuclear energy programme, strong regional influence in proxy conflicts, and consistent anti-Western (and anti-Israeli) posture. Afghanistan was invaded by the US in 2001, with the US spending two decades and over US$ 2 trillion (US$ 300 million a day) to gain a foothold in central Asia – eventually withdrawing in 2021.<a href="#_edn95" name="_ednref95"><sup>95</sup></a> Since 2011, Syria has been a battleground for US attempts to secure control over the whole of West Asia, a war that proves journalist Patrick Seale’s 1965 definition of Syria – ‘the mirror of rival interests’.<a href="#_edn96" name="_ednref96"><sup>96</sup></a></p>
<p>This group is growing, with countries such as Eritrea, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger taking bolder steps to protect their national sovereignty. Eritrea has had a long-term hostility towards the US and being a target of US intervention via Ethiopia. Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger have rejected the neo-colonial presence of France in the Sahel and removed their Western-aligned political leaders. They have established both the Sahel Economic Alliance and the Alliance of Sahel States, aiming for economic and military cooperation. However, their political situation is still unstable, and they are struggling to guarantee their actual independence from imperialist powers. <strong><br>
</strong></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 3: Eleven Countries Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 27</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 3: Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">215</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,837</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,897</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1822</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Colombia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,720</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1819</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">60</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">953</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,728</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1931</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Algeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">584</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,900</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nepal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">144</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,787</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bolivia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">119</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,936</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1825</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,832</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicaragua</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,229</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zimbabwe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,603</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,364</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Israel, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Namibia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1990</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,080</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Germany, S. Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1990</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>456</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6,826</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15,397</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>10 Col</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5.7%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.2%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 27</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 3: Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,211</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Colombia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,938</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,995</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Algeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,146</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nepal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">428</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bolivia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">640</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">478</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicaragua</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zimbabwe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">182</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Namibia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">369</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>44,471</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>7</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>20</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 27</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 3: Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Colombia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Algeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nepal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bolivia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicaragua</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zimbabwe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Namibia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>10 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>The countries listed in Figure 27 are allocated to this grouping based on two essential concerns: the relative degree to which they are targets of regime change and their role in publicly advancing international anti-imperialist stances. Those in this grouping are either the next in line for regime change (following Grouping 2) or are playing a clear role in speaking out against the interests of the imperialist camp.</p>
<p>Regarding countries that pursue progressive agendas, examples include Brazil under the Workers’ Party (PT) and South Africa under the tripartite alliance (which includes the African National Congress, the South African Communist Party, and the Congress of South African Trade Unions), with the former showing leadership in building alternative intergovernmental institutions such as the South American Nations Union (UNASUR) in 2008, Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) in 2011, and the IBSA Dialogue Forum, which was supplemented by BRICS by 2009, with the latter playing an important role in building the African Union. These countries sometimes defend progressive international positions such as standing with Cuba against US sanctions in international organisations. Nepal abolished the monarchy in 2008, established a republic led by the left and has made significant strides in legally and politically emancipating historically marginalised communities.</p>
<p>Palestine has been under occupation and siege for over seven decades. Algeria has staunchly supported Palestinian self-determination and independence and, within the African Union, has been influential in promoting progressive stances on African unity and economic development. Following the popular coup in Niger, Algeria was the only African state to promptly advocate for non-military solutions to political crises.</p>
<p>These countries attempt to find a path of sovereign development within a global capitalist system yet confront severe internal contradictions. For example, South Africa was forced into significant economic concessions in the 1990s, including deindustrialisation and privatisation, leading to catastrophic results. Today, 57% of South Africans live below the poverty line, 46% are unemployed, and the share of manufacturing to the GDP has decreased from 25% in 1981 – during apartheid rule – to 12% in 2022.<a href="#_edn97" name="_ednref97"><sup>97</sup></a></p>
<p>Unlike China, for example, these nations have seen their revolutionary potential curtailed – or their revolutions did not culminate in socialism – but have tried to pursue progressive agendas in domestic, regional, and/or international spheres. These countries are considered by the US to have political positions that are inimical to the hegemony of the Global North. Many of these countries have experienced US interventions, hybrid warfare, sanctions, and government overthrows. Recent instances of these interventions include the coups in Honduras (2009), Brazil (2016), and Bolivia (2019). Zimbabwe continues to face US sanctions.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 4: Five New Non-Aligned Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 28</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 4: New Non-Aligned</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,417</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,901</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,398</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indonesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1950</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">276</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,037</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,687</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">85</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,353</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,314</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mexico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">128</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,064</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,548</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1810</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">36</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,150</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,836</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1,942</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>24,505</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>12,634</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>3 Col</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>24.3%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15.0%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 28</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 4: New Non-Aligned</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">81,363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indonesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,987</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,645</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mexico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,536</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75,013</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">21</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>184,543</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>4</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>34</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6.4%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 28</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 4: New Non-Aligned</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indonesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mexico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>4 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>1 Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>With sizable economies of scale, the non-alignment that characterises countries in this grouping is economic, not political (Figure 28). These non-socialist countries are not reviving the political project of the Non-Aligned Movement. Most of these countries have had 50 years or more of independence from former colonial rulers and today have very different relationships to them.</p>
<p>Economically, all five non-aligned countries have significant GDPs (all ranking in the top 20 largest economies in GDP (PPP) terms in 2022) and are taking increasingly independent economic measures.</p>
<p>These countries have recognised that the US hoarding of foreign exchange reserves and sanctions against countries with 30% of the world’s population poses severe threats. Today, more than one in four countries are subject to UN or Western government sanctions, while 29% of the global GDP is produced in sanctioned countries, up from 4% in 1960s.<a href="#_edn98" name="_ednref98"><sup>98</sup></a></p>
<p>Politically, they are ambivalent. Militarily, Indonesia, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia maintain very close relations with the United States. Saudi Arabia is one of the largest purchasers of advanced US weapons. Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is a less reliable partner for the West, notwithstanding Turkey being a NATO member.</p>
<p>This grouping shows highly contradictory behaviours on the international stage. They show some degree of slowly decreasing economic dependence on and alignment with the West and/or are prepared to oppose it on some key issues.</p>
<p>Despite India’s alignment with the US in organisations such as the QUAD, or its reactionary positions on Israel in its war on Gaza, since the start of the war in Ukraine, India has refused to accede to some important US demands, such as refusing to implement US sanctions against Russia. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar vocally defended his government’s refusal to accede to Washington’s pressure, saying at a press conference in June 2023, ‘A lot of Americans still have that NATO treaty construct in their heads… It seems almost like that is the only template or viewpoint with which they look at the world… That is not a template that applies to India’.<a href="#_edn99" name="_ednref99"><sup>99</sup></a> The conflict with Canada, and now with the US, over alleged Indian intelligence operations in their countries, is complicating the plan of the US to gain the support of India against China. The big national bourgeoisie of India is beginning to assert their interests.</p>
<p>Saudi Arabia differs from the US when its economic self-interests dictate, e.g., increasing Saudi-China investments (including oil deals paid in Chinese yuan) and using its partnership with Russia at OPEC+ to define the global price of oil. However, simultaneously, at the run-up to the Arab League summit in November 2023, Saudi Arabia blocked Algerian efforts to close US bases, blocked Iranian proposed military aid to Palestine, stopped a proposed trade boycott, and refused to curtail oil shipments to Israel. The Pentagon, CIA, and Saudi Arabia were front-line allies in the recent war against Yemen that took tens of thousands of lives. The US Special Forces provided Saudi pilots with the bombing coordinates of their targets.<a href="#_edn100" name="_ednref100"><sup>100</sup></a></p>
<p>Indonesia, home to the largest Islamic population in the world, has had a compounded average growth rate of the GDP (PPP) of 4.2% between 2012 and 2022.<a href="#_edn101" name="_ednref101"><sup>101</sup></a> According to IMF forecasts, by 2030, Indonesia could be the fifth largest economy in the world by GDP (PPP). Its state-owned enterprises’ assets as a share of GDP increased from 43% in 2014 to 54% in 2018.<a href="#_edn102" name="_ednref102"><sup>102</sup></a> In 2020, Indonesia banned the exports of raw nickel, a key component of lithium batteries. Indonesia accounted for 39% of global nickel production in 2022. Its total exports in current terms surged from US$ 183 to US$ 323 billion between 2020 and 2022.<a href="#_edn103" name="_ednref103"><sup>103</sup></a> On 2 February 2023, during the Mandiri Investment Forum in Jakarta, President Joko Widodo warned, ‘We must remember the sanctions imposed by the US on Russia. Visa and Mastercard could be a problem’. He also stated that, ‘If we use our own platforms, and everybody is using them, from ministries and local administrations to municipal governments, then we can be more secure’. Yet, in November 2023, the US (an active participant in the torture and assassination of 500,000+ Indonesian communists) and Indonesia signed an agreement upgrading their relations to a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership.<a href="#_edn104" name="_ednref104"><sup>104</sup></a> Indonesia withdrew its application to join BRICS in 2023 and has expressed public interest in becoming an OECD member.</p>
<p>Confronted with a war of aggression under international law, 1846 was the de facto moment that consolidated the emerging US imperial project in Mexico. Forced to exchange land for peace and cede 50% of its territory, the new Mexico-US border became a historical line that internally constitutes an inexorable and preordained determination. On the other hand, Mexico has a history that relentlessly returns to its anti-colonial roots, Indigenous culture, and anti-imperialist modern history. Very little analysis is given to the complex interdependency of Mexico and the US, e.g., in population, culture, economics, but perhaps more significant in terms of geopolitical security for the viability of US hegemony.<a href="#_edn105" name="_ednref105"><sup>105</sup></a> The government of López Obrador is, at multiple levels, an attempt of the Mexican social movements to launch a low intensity counter-neo-liberal reform. The concentration is on recovering the public property of all strategic resources, launching a new agrarian reform, and reclaiming land as social property. The current agrarian reform in Mexico guaranties by law the registration of 50.6 % of the territory as social communal property in the hands of campesinos and Indigenous communities (29,803 agrarian communes on 99.7 million hectares). However, the 2020 United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA, formerly the North America Free Trade Agreement) represents a constant impediment to the uncoupling or disentanglement of Mexico’s political position vis-à-vis the emerging Global South. In June 2023, the US began preliminary proceedings (through USMCA arbitration) to block the presidential decree that would take various measures to ban genetically modified corn, which makes up 96% of US corn exports.<a href="#_edn106" name="_ednref106"><sup>106</sup></a> The US is exhibiting more aggressive and interventionist policies to undermine the long and hard-fought historical gains of Mexican sovereignty. In 2022, Mexican President López Obrador refused to attend the VIII Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles after news emerged that the United States would not invite Cuban, Venezuelan, and Nicaraguan leaders to the meeting.</p>
<p>The five countries in this grouping have differing political, economic, or military perspectives and different nuanced levels of closeness to the Global North. However, their growing new national bourgeoisies are gradually seeking alternative economic relations and occasional political divergences with the US, albeit out of self-interest and self-preservation. The question of the new national bourgeoisie emerging in the Global South is outside the scope of this text; it will be addressed in our 2024 research on capital formation and ownership in the Global South.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 5: One Hundred and Eleven Diverse Global South Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 29</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information for top 20 countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">111</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,676</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,174</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1922</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">236</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,520</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,695</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">72</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,482</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,154</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,343</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,971</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,281</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,909</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,226</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,484</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1816</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,137</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34,834</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">835</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84,657</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">719</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">127,563</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">603</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30,523</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">579</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29,221</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1818</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">523</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,310</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">505</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,948</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1932</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">37</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,900</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France, Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">123</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">358</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,435</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">35</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">340</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,634</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">320</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,267</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">311</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,151</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">309</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">109,160</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">261</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,847</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>…</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2,242</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>21,171</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>9,687</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>103 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>28.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>12.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 29</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information for top 20 countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,646</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,337</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,724</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,806</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,109</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,578</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,671</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,688</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,133</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,566</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,845</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,683</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,995</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,031</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,053</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,138</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,412</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15.9</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,857</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>…</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>131,182</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>63</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>192</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 29</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information for top 20 countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>…</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>77 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>20 Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>There are 111 countries that are not included in the previous Global South four groupings above, due to multiple diversities. Figure 29 lists the twenty largest economies; the full list is in the appendix. They do not share the same political views nor governmental systems. Eswatini, Qatar, and Bhutan are still governed by monarchies, whilst Libya, Syria, and Somalia do not have a single governing authority. A handful of countries have abandoned socialist agendas after being hamstrung by Western development finance, such as in the case of Angola and Mozambique. Due to imperialist political and economic intervention, a series of countries in this grouping suffer severe governmental dysfunctionality (breakdown of governance, authority, and law), and are almost entirely unable to provide for their people.</p>
<p>The economic performance of these countries varies significantly. For example, despite Nigeria being the second largest economy in Africa and having a GDP (PPP) fourteen times that of Cambodia, the former has seen a 0.4% negative annual average growth rate between 2012 and 2022, while the latter grew by an annual 5.3%.</p>
<p>Among these countries, they have different levels of military allegiance to the Global North. Egypt has been a strategic partner of Israel and the United States since 1979, while Bangladesh, Comoros, and Djibouti participated in submitting a referral to the International Criminal Court regarding the situation in the State of Palestine on 17 November 2023.</p>
<p>They have a range of internal conflicts and territorial disputes, such as in the case of Morocco’s colonial occupation of Western Sahara, beginning in 1975.<a href="#_edn106" name="_ednref106"><sup>106</sup></a> Others, for example the Democratic Republic of Congo and Haiti, are subjected to UN military interventions, where other Global South countries take part.</p>
<p>Countries in Grouping 5 participate in diverse multilateral platforms with both Global South and Global North nations. Membership in this grouping can change should a country develop more distinctive characteristics. For example, whilst Argentina has played historically progressive roles in the region, the recent right-wing drift currently precludes membership in that grouping today. Therefore, this is not a static or permanent position.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 6: Two De Facto US Military Colonies</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 30</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 6: Heavily US Militarised</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,780</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53,845</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">116</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,495</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>167</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3,951</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>24,210</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>2 Col</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.4%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 30</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 6: Heavily US Militarised</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46,365</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">11</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>50,331</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>73</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1.8%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 30</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 6: Heavily US Militarised</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>0 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>0 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>The peoples of these two nations (Figure 30) largely align with the Global South. Both countries have had pro-US leaders, as well as independent-leaning leaders. However, these countries are – militarily – entirely controlled by the US.</p>
<p>Historically, both nations have been subordinated to the US through military conquest. After WWII, when the US had militarily occupied the Korean peninsula, and, later, at the end of the Korean War, the Republic of Korea retained a large US military presence. Its economic reconstruction was almost entirely funded and directed by the US. Following the Spanish-American War, the Philippines was a US colony for nearly five decades (1898–1946).</p>
<p>This vassalage is evident today: after the elections of Yoon Suk-yeol in the Republic of Korea and Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in the Philippines in 2022, both have served as frontline positions in containing China. In February 2023, the Philippines invited the US to expand its military presence in the country by adding four more bases to the existing five US-operated bases – 30 years after Philippine lawmakers ruled to end permanently the US military presence in the country. The Republic of Korea has also increased the military expansion of the US, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/the-spirit-of-camp-david-joint-statement-of-japan-the-republic-of-korea-and-the-united-states/">participating</a> alongside Japan ‘to inaugurate a new era of trilateral partnership’ with the US.<a href="#_edn108" name="_ednref108"><sup>108</sup></a> In addition, the General Security of Military Information Agreement between Japan and the Republic of Korea, facilitated by their closer alignment with the US, expands intelligence sharing between the two countries to include ‘threats from China and Russia’.<a href="#_edn109" name="_ednref109"><sup>109</sup></a> Their military expenditures should be attributed to the US-Led Military Bloc.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 31</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Global South countries with per capita military spending exceeding world average (excl. Russia)</h3>
<p>2022</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country Name (GSI)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military Spending<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">US Dollars (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Percentage of<br>
GDP (CER)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Per Capita<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">&gt;world avg. (times)</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75,013</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46,365</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,412</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,688</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,244</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,783</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,739</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,381</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,376</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">436</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on IMF, UN, SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 31 lists all Global South countries with military spending exceeding the world average (except Russia, which was shown earlier). Many of these countries have close military relations with the United States but are not listed in Grouping 6.</p>
<h1>PART IV: The West in Decline</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Erosion of United States Economic and Political Hegemony</h2>
<p>US slowing economic growth, measured by a decelerating GDP growth rate, fall of net investment as a share of GDP, higher levels of unutilised productive capacity, and unemployment/underemployment began in the mid-1960s and accelerated from the early-to-mid 1970s.<a href="#_edn110" name="_ednref110"><sup>110</sup></a>The transition to the US becoming a net importer of capital exacerbated the contradictions of monopoly capital.</p>
<p>The change in the US capital account to becoming dependent on continuous large-scale import of capital from the 1980s onwards is key to a financialised wealth generation process and a crucial economic mechanism of US imperialism. The world’s capital assets are preponderantly in US dollars and feed the overall position of US monopoly-finance capital.</p>
<p>By 2009, the US began to plan its pivot to Asia to curtail China’s economic growth. Under the Obama period, the US began to move against the World Trade Organisation. This period also marked the increased reliance on tariffs, sanctions, protectionism, and hybrid warfare.</p>
<p>Given that it is now dependent on large scale net capital imports, which by 2022 reached US$ 1 trillion a year, the US has little internal economic ability to provide economic advantages to its Global North or Global South allies.<a href="#_edn111" name="_ednref111"><sup>111</sup></a> Indeed, it needs to continue to attempt to hollow out even more surplus from them.</p>
<p>Under neo-liberalism, the relative autonomy of the US state eroded, and private capital exerted more direct control of much of the state. Today, however, faced with rising international economic threats to the US position, and the failure of neo-liberalism to maintain US economic dominance, the collective political interests of the ruling class are being asserted by an increasingly autonomous state (as opposed to representing the interests of individual capitalist groups). To borrow from Lenin, for the capitalists also, ‘politics must take precedence over economics’.<a href="#_edn112" name="_ednref112"><sup>112</sup></a></p>
<p>Financialisation or accumulation under the phase of monopoly-finance capital is truly a parasitic development aimed at drawing blood from a sponge and marking the structural crisis of capital. US capital has an internal contradiction. As US capital seeks to increase surplus extraction from its own working class, it risks losing support for its external military wars, which are aimed at removing international obstacles to US capitalist economic interests. The US ruling class is therefore forced into simultaneous attacks on the Global South and its own working class – this necessitated the rise of increasingly right-wing currents in US capitalism. In the 1930s, the US had sufficient reserves to confront a deep crisis of capitalism with a reformist domestic programme, unlike the open attack on the working class in Germany or Japan. However, it took WWII for the US to escape the economic depression not, as is popularly purported, the Keynesian New Deal. Today, in this new situation, the US has no alternative but to rely on combining external aggression with an increasingly repressive domestic agenda.</p>
<p>The US utilises inflation to attempt to increase profits – a trend exacerbated by military spending and the debt it incurs. Interest on US military debt accounts for around 70% of US federal government net interest payments. In the 1970s, the US was able to manage the consequences of its Viet Nam Bonanza in military spending by removing itself from the gold standard to push the cost of this debt onto other countries. This successful attack on imperialist rivals strengthened US economic and financial power compared to them.</p>
<p>An accurate historical perspective, as well as short-term shifts, is required when analysing a potential decline of an empire. In Europe, the transition from slavery to feudalism took several centuries as did the transition from feudalism to capitalism. France was still fighting remnants of feudalism in the 19<sup>th</sup> century, hundreds of years after European capitalism had begun on a small scale in Italian city-states.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93809 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-32-e1705412531537.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-32.png"></p>
</div>
<p>The relative economic decline of an imperialist state can be traced by its increasing need to extract capital from abroad – with the UK and US both following a similar historical trend. The UK stopped being an exporter capital beginning in the early 1930s (Figure 32).</p>
<p>A country’s balance of payments is equal to the difference between its domestic capital creation (savings/surplus) and its domestic capital investment. If a country’s ‘domestic’ capital creation is larger than its domestic investment, it is, therefore, exporting capital and runs a balance of payments surplus. If a country’s domestic capital creation is less than its ‘domestic’ capital investment, it runs a balance of payments deficit and is importing capital, that is, it has a surplus in its capital account.</p>
<p>From 1913 to the early 1980s, with rare exceptions, the US generated more surplus than it invested ‘domestically’. It had a surplus of capital that it could invest in other countries and extend its international hegemony not only through violence. Post-WWII, the particular beneficiaries of this were imperialist countries whom the US wished to enmesh, integrate, and dominate, as seen by the Marshall Plan in Europe. Other beneficiaries, such as the Republic of Korea, became military frontier states to constrain Russia and China and thus received US economic investment.</p>
<p>By the late 1960s, the US understood that the most urgent economic, as opposed to political, threat did not come from communism. The attention began to focus on curtailing the growth of other capitalist rivals. A few capitalist economies – first Germany in the immediate post-war period and then Japan until the late 1970s – achieved investment rates far higher than the US, reaching 30% of the GDP or above. This enabled these countries to achieve higher GDP growth rates than the US. This was a historical result of the immense defeats of the German and Japanese working classes by fascism – the consequences of which continued into the post-war period. German and Japanese capitalists were able to increase the rates of exploitation, which financed high rates of capital investment. Simultaneously, their ‘late industrialisation’ also allowed them access to better quality technology, which further increased productivity. While the US was prepared to accept the economic consequences of this in the immediate post-war period, the continuation of this process began to impact US economic growth.</p>
<p>To prevent effective economic competition from these countries, the United States used political and military pressure to force down their rates of investment and, therefore, growth rates. The decoupling of the US dollar from gold in 1971, and therefore the removal of restraints on the weaponisation of the US control of the international monetary system, played a key role in this process.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93820 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-33-e1705412978934.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-33.png"></p>
</div>
<p>The numbers in Figure 33, positive or negative, show the balance between domestic savings/capital creation and domestic investment over the span of 120 years. A positive number, for example, 0.8% for 1929, means the US is saving/creating more capital than it is investing domestically, i.e., it is lending/exporting capital abroad. A negative number, for example -3.9% of GNP for 2022, means US domestic investment is higher than US domestic capital creation/saving. Thus, there is an inflow of capital of 3.9% of GNP from abroad. A positive number represents an outflow of capital from the US, and a negative number indicates an inflow of capital into the US.<a href="#_edn113" name="_ednref113"><sup>113</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93830 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-34-e1705413026831.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-34.png"></p>
</div>
<p>But despite this ability to slow down imperialist rivals, the US proved incapable of raising its own economic growth rate (to achieve a new higher rate of investment and exploitation), partly because of the withdrawal of US-based capitalists from long-term productive investments within the United States. Indeed, US economic growth decelerated further – the average annual economic growth of the US today is only 2.0%, less than half its growth rate in the 1960s and far behind the rate of growth of China or indeed of a series of Asian states. Figure 34 shows that the US has had a long-term overall decline in average growth rate since 1953.</p>
<p>Confronted with this situation the US has subsequently turned to tariffs, economic sanctions, and technology bans, leading to an increasingly protectionist environment. However, despite this economic decline, as already analysed, the US still maintains a military lead over all other states. US Imperialism, therefore, now turns to a growing reliance on force.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93840 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-35-e1705413276761.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-35.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Tracing the processes underlying this and showing the inability of the US to raise its rate of growth without a complete restructuring of the US economy (which is not on the agenda), Line 1 in Figure 35 shows that from 1965 onwards, US net saving/capital creation progressively fell until by 2009 it was -2.7% of GNI. Line 2 shows that from the 1980s on, US borrowing from abroad, the use of capital imported from other countries, began to rise sharply. By 2002, for the first time, US borrowing from abroad was higher than its domestic net capital creation – i.e., for the first time, even the immediate increase in US capital stock was being financed more by capital from other countries than from the US itself. This slightly reversed and then fluctuated until 2020, when, once again, more of the addition to the US capital stock was financed from other countries.</p>
<p>To summarise this overall process, the US has structured the world economy to its advantage. Its corporations obtain gargantuan amounts of surplus value through the global arbitrage in the Global South and the entire imperial system forces US dollars on foreign countries – including via not only economic processes but through US military bases and other means. The aim is to create a system whereby countries have no choice but to put their US dollars into US securities, financing the US deficit and US domestic investment. This is how global monopoly-finance capital, which is an advanced form of financial imperialism backed by military and political power, works.</p>
<p>What is upsetting this system is that monopoly capital is relatively stagnant in terms of production (the real economy), which has allowed China and other countries in the Global South to leap forward in production. Hudson’s <em>Super Imperialism </em>provides useful insight on what the consequences would be if the US lost its dollar hegemony.<a href="#_edn114" name="_ednref114"><sup>114</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93850 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-36-e1705413371383.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-36.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 36 shows that China has outpaced the US in net fixed capital formation, whilst the US has seen a gradual decline. Whilst this section does not cover the rise of China, it should be noted here that every year since 1992, for 30 years, China has been a net exporter of capital. It is this surplus of capital that makes economically possible the financing of international initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).</p>
<p>This becomes a critical factor in understanding that two nuclei of international processes are developing:</p>
<ul>
<li>The US has increasingly become a fetter on the development of the productive forces domestically and globally.</li>
<li>China is now focused on the development of its national productive forces and on working with the developing nations as a whole. This presents a new path to modernisation through the development of the world’s productive forces taken as a whole (through the BRI, the Global Development Initiative, and various continental-scale industrialisation projects).</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The Sunsetting of Bourgeois Liberal Democracy</h3>
<p>Some outside of the US have long held an illusion that democracy in the US has existed for centuries and has only recently been defaced. In 1776, both wings of US capital, those led by Alexander Hamilton and those led by Thomas Jefferson (a slave owner), ensured that only property-owning white males like themselves had the right to vote. From 1776 onwards, property rights were sacrosanct and subordinated all other rights.</p>
<p>‘Freedom of speech’ was effectively restricted to those who owned the means of material production. As Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels wrote in <em>The German Ideology </em>(1846), these were generally those who owned the means of mental production, that is, the media, beginning with the printing press. In some cases, this right extended to those known to have fringe or no support, or others who were no threat to the system. Those opposing capitalist class interests who had the chance of any significant support were subjected to suppression, imprisonment, and sanctioning, as well as judicial murder or assassination. Bourgeois democracy was always a vehicle for protecting property rights. Only the pressure of the US to defend itself against socialist projects internationally in the twentieth century temporarily extended voting rights to black people and increased the appearance of free speech and other civil liberties.</p>
<p>There is a great misunderstanding internationally about the US electoral parties. From their inception, neither the Democratic nor Republican parties were formed as mass membership parties. They have been primarily top-down associations of propertied elites and professional class allies, closely aligned with the status quo. Third parties have practically no influence in the US system, a political party duopoly. The Democratic National Committee and the Republican National Committee that run their respective parties are formally organised as not-for-profit, tax-exempt corporations. They are primarily money-based, vote-gathering machines that periodically attract voters in the context of electoral contests and thus are quite distinct from membership political parties like many European parties. Although there are registered Democrats and Republicans, this mainly affects the right to vote in their respective primaries. Party affiliation for the vast majority of the population, thus, does not go beyond votes cast in particular elections. Therefore, around half of US voters see themselves as politically independent, not attached to either of the major parties. Indeed, neither political party, when in office, reflects the interests of the majority of the US population.</p>
<p>One of the most poignant written words on the hypocrisy of America’s self-proclaimed greatness is found in a poem by Langston Hughes:</p>
<blockquote><p>Let America be America again.<br>
Let it be the dream it used to be.<br>
Let it be the pioneer on the plain<br>
Seeking a home where he himself is free.</p>
<p>(America never was America to me.)</p>
<p>Let America be the dream the dreamers dreamed—<br>
Let it be that great strong land of love<br>
Where never kings connive nor tyrants scheme<br>
That any man be crushed by one above.</p>
<p>(It never was America to me.)</p>
<p>O, let my land be a land where Liberty<br>
Is crowned with no false patriotic wreath,<br>
But opportunity is real, and life is free,<br>
Equality is in the air we breathe.</p>
<p>(There’s never been equality for me,<br>
Nor freedom in this ‘homeland of the free’.)</p>
<p>…</p>
<p>Who said the free? Not me?<br>
Surely not me? The millions on relief today?<br>
The millions shot down when we strike?<br>
The millions who have nothing for our pay?<br>
For all the dreams we’ve dreamed<br>
And all the songs we’ve sung<br>
And all the hopes we’ve held<br>
And all the flags we’ve hung,<br>
The millions who have nothing for our pay —<br>
Except the dream that’s almost dead today.<a href="#_edn115" name="_ednref115"><sup>115</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Large sections of the capitalist class in the Global North and their hangers-on indulged in a period of euphoria caused by the demise of the Soviet Union in 1991. They deluded themselves into believing in the ‘end of history’ with aspirations for a perpetual unipolar world. The War on Terror campaign espoused by the US was a brilliantly constructed methodology to gain support for militarism.</p>
<p>Between 2006 and 2009, new realities began to set in:</p>
<ul>
<li>The demise of the Soviet Union did not result in Yeltsin’s promise of a de-nuclearised Russia nor the permanent establishment of a Russian government entirely following US directions. The usual cries of ‘who failed in Russia?’ followed.</li>
<li>US strategic circles began to announce the idea (both amoral and unscientific) that the US could achieve first-strike nuclear war capability.</li>
<li>In the face of NATO’s continuing eastward expansion and claims of the United States to be on the verge of nuclear primacy, Vladimir Putin delivered his Munich speech in February 2007, marking the end of any illusions about Russia being adopted into the Anglo-American club. In that speech, Putin criticised the ‘almost uncontained hyper use of force – military force – in international relations’ and suggested that the world must not be governed by ‘one master, one sovereign’.<a href="#_edn116" name="_ednref116"><sup>116</sup></a></li>
<li>The creation of the Centre for New American Security in 2007 marked a historic marriage of two groups of foreign policy elites, the mainly Republican neo-conservatives and the largely Democratic liberal hawks. Their joint strategy was to move to target Russia via Ukraine immediately.</li>
<li>Led by populist neo-fascists, the Tea Party arose in 2009. It appealed to the petty bourgeoisie and a section of the upper strata (mainly but not exclusively white) of the working class who had made little to no economic progress and feared a loss of privilege. This signalled the ending of the so-called bipartisan consensus that had dominated the US system for decades.</li>
<li>The bubble caused by financialisation turned into the Third Great Depression starting in 2008, the most significant economic crisis since the 1930s.</li>
<li>There was growing evidence that there would be no Gorbachev in China to lead the surrender of the Chinese Revolution.</li>
<li>The ‘Pivot to Asia’, which is more precisely the pivot to China, and a strategy for the US control of Eurasia, was devised.</li>
</ul>
<p>China’s economy continued to expand rapidly after the beginning of the Third Great Depression, while the Western economies were anaemic.<a href="#_edn117" name="_ednref117"><sup>117</sup></a> In 2016, China exceeded the US in terms of GDP (PPP), and there was palpable fear that by 2030, China would surpass the US in GDP at current exchange rates (CER). The US ruling class needed a response.</p>
<p>Neo-fascism and extreme right-wing forces grew globally. Obama, the Democratic president, adopted regressive domestic measures that would have been the envy of previous Republican administrations. Trump’s election weakened the shared identity of the bourgeoisie’s interests and widened awareness of the limitations of the US political system.</p>
<p>Internationally, this situation also it marked a resumption of global awareness of imperialism as the greatest danger facing humanity. Faced with the evident failure of neo-liberalism, which had culminated in the Third Great Depression, a new movement to reverse some aspects of the hollowing out of the state that neo-liberalism had produced began.</p>
<p>To accurately understand the events following the start of the Third Great Depression, we must evaluate the preceding 60 years. In 1964, Republican Barry Goldwater, an extreme right-wing capitalist, lost the general election but succeeded in bringing the far-right into the mainstream of the Republican Party and the country. The Democrats lost the 1968 election to Richard Nixon, a Republican centrist, who seized the white Southern vote and introduced a new institutional racism-based incarceration system, which both parties have followed since. The Democratic Party began a period of internal fracturing and began abandoning any leftward positioning in the name of ‘electability’ and ‘triangulation’. Instead, it attempted to capitalise on the rightward momentum of the Republicans.</p>
<p>The 1980 election of Ronald Reagan marked the actual far-right takeover of the Republican Party. The 1985 formation of the Democratic Leadership Council (DLC), a private corporation, marked the beginning of a new phase of the Democratic Party: the rise of the New Democrats. A list of some former chairmen of the DLC included Dick Gephardt, Chuck Robb, Sam Nunn, and Joe Lieberman – all military hawks, who favoured shifting social spending to the military. The DLC successfully defeated the left, and its crowning victory was winning the Presidency by their chosen candidate, Bill Clinton, in 1992.</p>
<p>Clinton’s virtue from the standpoint of the DLC was that he could bring the white South back into the Democratic Party by talking left and walking right. For example, he adopted both anti-welfare and pro-incarceration policies (both racial code positions) while making pretensions of a progressive agenda. Less anti-labour than Reagan, he nonetheless represented the Democratic strategy of trying to remain the ‘centre’ in a political dynamic that had shifted far to the right, with the Democrats standing for a lighter, kinder version of neo-liberalism.</p>
<p>It is instructive to think of the Democratic and Republican Parties as operating like private corporations with revenue derived mainly from various capitalists to serve the interests of the shareholders and the corporation’s top officers. For the Democratic Party, this includes groups like the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and the Centre for American Progress (CAP).<a href="#_edn118" name="_ednref118"><sup>118</sup></a> The product sold is elected officeholders who implement the interests of their financiers. Well-known officials include John Podesta and Debbie Wasserman Schultz.</p>
<p>Tony Blair and Hillary Clinton, once elected, became parasites of the state, earned tens of millions, and joined the higher echelons of the capitalist class. At least 85 of the 154 people from private interest groups who met or had phone conversations scheduled with Hillary Clinton, while she led the State Department under President Obama, donated a combined US$ 156 million to the Clinton Foundation.<a href="#_edn119" name="_ednref119"><sup>119</sup></a></p>
<p>The DNC business model requires the assembly of a disparate array of electoral blocks and the necessity of manipulating numerous social strata, groups, and movements. There is now more than ever a sharp rift between the interests of the people who vote for the Democratic Party versus the vastly different interests of the Democratic Party paymasters.</p>
<p>A more comprehensive assessment is beyond the scope of this document. However, the idea of entrepreneurial democracy, in which the concepts of competition between individual capitalists and groups and the battle to acquire votes like a market, trace back to Joseph Schumpeter.<a href="#_edn120" name="_ednref120"><sup>120</sup></a></p>
<p>In the last twenty years, the Republican Party has been transformed ideologically. The emergence of the Tea Party in 2009 signalled both a growing neofascist ideology and the creation of a more engaged core and base. Although the Republican Party also has internal fractures, the weaponisation of large sections of the lower middle class has engendered a radical right that destabilises bourgeois liberal democracy.</p>
<p>All the previous contradictions of race, class, gender, and social identity became weaponised by both the far right and the DNC corporation for different purposes. The social rift between various strata of the US is acute. Hyperbolic claims that the US is heading towards a civil war are highly misleading, however. There is no economic basis for California seceding from the US. This is not the pre-civil war period in the US.</p>
<p>Starting in 1970, the US working class received very little of the vast increases in wealth created by the US’s world domination. Millions of children suffer food insecurity, and their parents have precarious employment and lives. The US is undergoing significant demographic changes, with some estimates showing that non-Hispanic whites will become a minority within the US by 2045, which suggests a trajectory of US racial capitalism toward enhanced segregation and even apartheid.</p>
<p>Narcissism, pessimism, nihilism, and fatalism are now fundamental features of an increasingly stagnant capitalism in the Global North. The traditional trappings of bourgeois liberal democracy are becoming fetters on the needs of capital, which is, ironically, caught up in a process of self-negation.</p>
<p>These fissures inside the US political system are significant to the US working class, which is in a very uneven development of its revolutionary capacity. It faces great danger and opportunities. There can be no illusion that ‘worse is better’.</p>
<p>Simultaneously with this erosion of liberal democracy, millions of young people from Jakarta to Istanbul to Johannesburg to Des Moines, Iowa, have now been brought into political life based on their moral, racial, religious, and political outrage. This has been met with severe repression by Washington in its global geopolitical, economic, and hegemonic military roles. The United States is a waning hegemonic power; it is a wounded one and, as a result, is more dangerous.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">A Defeated and Submissive Europe and Japan</h2>
<p>Since the end of WWII, the United States has been committed to the military, political, and economic integration of countries in Europe and Japan into a bloc that it controls. Through the NATO+ structure, the US ensured complete military dominance within the imperialist group, deploying many military bases in countries defeated in WWII, including in Japan (120), Germany (119), and Italy (45). The latter is home to over 12,000 US military personnel.<a href="#_edn121" name="_ednref121"><sup>121</sup></a></p>
<p>Beginning in the 1950s, the US brought European political elites into their orbit. Through the Marshall Plan, European economic interests were subordinated to those of the US. Over the next fifty years, even imperialist leaders who dared to partially oppose US interests – such as Jacques Chirac (president of France between 1995 and 2007) or Gerhard Schroeder (Chancellor of Germany from 1998 to 2005), both of whom opposed the US invasion of Iraq – were targeted by the US for replacement.</p>
<p>After WWII, Japan, as a frontline state against Soviet and Chinese communism, was allowed to rapidly develop its economy. However, in the 1980s, Japan’s economic rise began to pose a possible threat to the United States’ global economic hegemony, leading to increased bilateral trade frictions. The United States forced a rapid appreciation of the Japanese yen through the 1985 ‘Plaza Accord’, reducing exports and causing Japan to lose its economic momentum.<a href="#_edn122" name="_ednref122"><sup>122</sup></a> Then, following the 1987 Wall Street crash, the US compelled Japan to adopt ultra-loose monetary and economic policies. This aimed to increase the flow of capital to the US to aid finance its international aggression against the USSR. In the process, it created the ‘bubble economy’ in Japan, the bursting of which plunged Japan into a decades-long economic stagnation.</p>
<p>In the fields of information technology and new energy, among other high-tech areas, Japan also faced suppression from the United States, hindering its industrial upgrading. Toshiba was the global leader in semiconductor manufacturing by 1987 until it was sanctioned by the US under the pretext of making deals with the USSR (very similar to what the United States has done with Huawei in China). Toshiba’s main competitors, IBM and Intel, benefited from this policy by the US state.</p>
<p>After the fall of the Soviet Union and Germany’s subsequent reunification, the German bourgeoisie coveted Russia’s markets and low-cost energy. They desired economic ties with Russia but only as long as they and their French compatriots could maintain their unfettered domination of the European project, which they had held since WWII. This meant building economic ties with Russia but excluding Russia’s political leadership from any equal participation in Europe’s political affairs, decisions, or structures. US strategy in turn had been to avoid any strategic relationship between Russia and Germany as their combined strength would create a formidable economic competitor in Europe.</p>
<p>Ownership of capital and the means of production are always fundamental. Over the last 30 years, the ability of capital to move quickly and seamlessly between the borders of imperialist countries has increased exponentially. Capital investments have a defined number of primary categories including stock, notes, bonds, private equity, real estate, and many forms of derivatives. The stock market is one of the fundamental vehicles for most capitalists to make long-term investments. A German firm that goes public may do so in either the US or German stock exchanges. Large funds like Vanguard purchase these funds, but they are not the beneficial owners. They are just effective trustees for the funds of major capital (some small percentage of this capital is owned by the petty bourgeoisie and privileged sectors of the working class through pension funds and other instruments).</p>
<p>The original shareholders of this firm eventually can and do sell their now public stock. They no longer remain dependent on managing their wealth via their investment inside one company. Rather they hire wealth managers, either through firms such as Goldman Sachs or their own advisors, who in turn, invest the cash proceeds from the sale of stock. For many capitalists, their advisors will have them invest well over 50% of their portfolio in the US stock markets. The German capitalist’s ‘family wealth’ therefore does not disappear when the German company they had originally owned declines in value.</p>
<p>The economic, political, and social consequences of this change in capital markets and ownership are vast. This newly minted global – formerly ‘German’ – capitalist behaves very much like their French, English, Swedish, or US peers. This level of integration and denationalisation of capital results in a much more robust economic and, eventually, reinforces political allegiance to the US.</p>
<p>Such a high level of stock market and capital integration rarely occurs in Global South countries for many historical reasons. A capitalist in Turkey has much greater difficulty having their company go public in the US. What the Turkish capitalist can do is to go public in Turkey, sell their stock, turn the proceeds into US dollars, and then invest those dollars in US stocks. This is the most common pathway for the Turkish capitalists to join the global elite. This process, however, is much more competitive, happens in smaller amounts, is less frequent, and is elongated.</p>
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<p>Figure 37 shows research from the OECD that indicates the percentage of beneficial foreign ownership for each of the major stock markets in the world.<a href="#_edn123" name="_ednref123"><sup>123</sup></a> These show that Europe overall has a high percentage of foreign ownership, whereas the US, China, and Saudi Arabia all have less than 20% foreign ownership. Different national imperialisms, and their ruling classes, are not separate or economically divided from each other. They do not pursue substantially divergent strategic national goals on any scale comparable to that before World War II. Progressive and socialist forces, however, always utilise partial, economic, or tactical differences between imperialist powers where valuable.</p>
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<p>The situation in Germany today, for example, clearly illustrates the effectiveness of this integration process and economic consolidation by the US as shown in Figure 38. According to 2020 IHS Markit data, only 13.3% of the German stock market’s value is owned by Germans, while investors from North America and the UK own 58.3%.<a href="#_edn124" name="_ednref124"><sup>124</sup></a> A 2023 study by Ernst &amp; Young revealed that at least 52.1% of the market value of the 40 blue-chip stocks that make up Germany’s DAX index is owned by funds outside of Germany in 2022. Of the remaining shares, 16.5% ownership is unidentified (very likely also owned by foreign capital), with only 31.3% of the market value owned by Germans.<a href="#_edn125" name="_ednref125"><sup>125</sup></a> The major companies of the German economy are primarily not owned by Germans.</p>
<p>Germany’s industrial value added has declined from 9% of the world to just above 6% in the last 18 years.<a href="#_edn126" name="_ednref126"><sup>126</sup></a> The loss of cheap Russian energy and its adaption to risk-managed decoupling are likely to be disastrous for its international competitiveness. In addition, the advent of Electric Vehicles (EV) has led to a huge loss with the end of the importance of the combustion engine. This had been a core one-hundred-year technology superiority enjoyed by Germany.</p>
<p>In 2022, FDI in Germany decreased 50.4% year-on-year.<a href="#_edn127" name="_ednref127"><sup>127</sup></a> Over the course of 15 quarters, starting in Q3 2019, Germany’s GDP increased by a paltry 0.6% in total, in constant prices, whereas China increased 20.2% during the same period, and the US by 8.1%.<a href="#_edn128" name="_ednref128"><sup>128</sup></a></p>
<p>In media, the US dominates more than the Global South. The European television market is largely a US business: ‘Around one in five (18%) of all private TV channels (excluding local TV) are US-owned and over one third of all SVOD (39%) and TVOD (33%) services in Europe belong to a US company… Around half of all children’s TV channels in Europe are US-owned (48%) and so are 59% of entertainment subscription video-on-demand services’.<a href="#_edn129" name="_ednref129"><sup>129</sup></a></p>
<p>The collapse of ‘national will’, the willingness to pursue a path corresponding to its national capitalist interests, demonstrated by Germany in the context of the war in Ukraine, shows that Germany has been defeated for a third time since the beginning of the twentieth century (the first two being the world wars, as noted by Hudson).<a href="#_edn130" name="_ednref130"><sup>130</sup></a> Despite the cost to itself, Germany supported sanctions against Russia and military aid to Ukraine. When Israel’s war on Gaza entered its 100th day, having killed more than 23,000 Palestinians, Germany – with its historical violence in Namibia and domestic holocaust against Jewish people during WWII – supported Israel in the hearing at the International Court of Justice brought by South Africa.<a href="#_edn131" name="_ednref131"><sup>131</sup></a></p>
<p>Over the last few months of 2023, political representatives of German capital in the Bundestag privately raised and then introduced measures to restrict trade with China under the guise of de-risking. This is clearly in contradiction to the short- and medium-term interests of German business. Marx described the relations between the capitalists as one between a band of warring brothers.<a href="#_edn132" name="_ednref132"><sup>132</sup></a> In periods of crisis, the state, as an organ of the ruling class, exerts its political role despite the fissiparous nature of intra-capitalist relations. Today, the short-term interests of executives at nominally German companies are subordinated to the interests of Hyper-Imperialism.</p>
<p>With the formation of the German Empire (1871–1918), political and economic expansion into Eastern Europe, rather than solely territorial expansion, was a key strategy. After reunification in 1990, Germany pursued a dual strategy: first, it decisively supported the US strategy towards Russia of NATO expansion. Second, it led a simultaneous strategy of ‘capital penetration’ into Russia with the aim of securing political control in that state of groups most tied to Western and German interests and against those pursuing a more independent policy. German capital supported proxies like Russian billionaire (at the time) Mikhail Khodorkovsky. In 2001, Khodorkovsky established the Open Russia Foundation, with Henry Kissinger as one of its trustees.<a href="#_edn133" name="_ednref133"><sup>133</sup></a> By 2004, he was imprisoned for fraud and embezzlement after attempting to carry out policies against Putin.</p>
<p>Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel pursued dual strategies of supporting military preparations against Russia and organising the internal opposition to Putin. She also orchestrated the building of Nord Stream 2 despite huge US resistance. The latter however was for German self-interest, not for the appeasement of Russia, nor to hinder NATO expansion. In 2014, she arranged the release of Khodorkovsky and enabled a calculated breach of the Minsk agreements. But the dual strategy ended in February 2022, when Germany as a willing partner alongside the US, and with the help of Ukraine, decided to wrestle and topple Russia.</p>
<p>Germany’s reality, however, is that unless it were prepared to undertake a full break with US policy, which no significant section of the German bourgeoisie is prepared to consider, any strategy it has fails without US support – giving the US the whip hand in this relationship. A paradox arose in which the US wanted to maintain German-Russian enmity, but not support a full German victory against Russia. This explains in part why the US appears to be threatening to cut off Ukraine’s funding. The US goal of destroying German-Russian relations has already been achieved as well as the vassalage of Europe and Germany under penalty of the deindustrialisation of Germany.</p>
<p>The US will continue to deprive the German bourgeoisie of all major options for asserting independent political positions. With the help of the capital ownership links that we have described, the German bourgeoisie will be faced with absolute subsumption of the options for the action of German capital under the US aegis. The hostility towards Russia acts as a driver of Europe’s subordination to the US and as a loss of any possibility of independent development.</p>
<p>The situation of antagonistic contradictions between US and European capital on fundamental issues has ceased. Small differences exist, but they are not strategic. The depth of US subordination of Europe is seen by the fact that only 11 of the 49 countries in the Global North are not part of a known US spy network nor attended the Vilnius NATO+ meeting. They are Andorra, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Cyprus, Ireland, Liechtenstein, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, San Marino, Serbia, and Switzerland. Collectively they have 28.3 million people (nearly equivalent to Delhi’s population) and a combined GDP of .8 trillion (1% of world GDP), a small portion of the Global North.</p>
<p>While a member of the secret Fourteen Eyes, Germany’s impotence was on full display when it was revealed that the US spied on its leaders, and it was incapable of even a whimper. Today, Europe’s bourgeoisie has become a toady for US intelligence operations.</p>
<p>NATO has long pressured Germany to spend a minimum of 2% of GDP on the military, following what was called the Goldilocks principle (established in the 1950s), aimed at:</p>
<blockquote><p>… encouraging defence contributions from medium-sized allies – for example, [the Republic of] Korea during the Cold War, or Poland today – while treading lightly when it comes to larger allies like Germany or Japan. In doing so, it seeks to maximise contributions from allies that are powerful enough to supply meaningful military power to the alliance but not so powerful that they can afford to spurn the alliance.<a href="#_edn134" name="_ednref134"><sup>134</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Japan’s governments have pursued policies of political provocation to China, at the behest of the US, despite the great advantages to Japan’s economy that would flow from closer ties with China. In the UK, US opposition to the ‘golden period’ of relations with China carried out under David Cameron’s premiership forced its reversal under his successors – with damaging consequences for British capital.</p>
<p>The creation of the Centre for New American Security in 2007 marked a historic marriage of two groups of foreign policy elites, the mainly Republican neo-conservatives and the largely Democratic liberal hawks. Their joint strategy was to move to target Russia via Ukraine immediately.</p>
<p>In 2022, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida set spending targets for the following five years of 43 trillion yen (US$316 billion).<a href="#_edn135" name="_ednref135"><sup>135</sup></a> It already has the second greatest number of F35 advanced aircraft in the world (after the US) and signed an agreement in 2020 to purchase 105 additional aircraft. These aircraft can be retrofitted with nuclear weapons. It has penned a revised national security strategy to allow the country to develop a pre-emptive strike capability and deploy long-range missiles.<a href="#_edn136" name="_ednref136"><sup>136</sup></a></p>
<p>The rearming of the two main fascist powers of WWII must be considered a crime. A dangerous revanchist movement is re-emerging in Germany. The difference is that this time they do so as part of the US-Led Military Bloc.</p>
<h1>PART V: Changes in the World Order</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">A Southwards Shift of the Economic Base</h2>
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<p>As the countries of the Global North have faced prolonged declining economic growth, countries of the Global South, especially in Asia, have displayed a higher economic growth trajectory over the past thirty years. As can be seen in Figure 39, at the end of the Cold War in 1993, the Global North accounted for 57.2% of the global GDP (PPP), while the Global South accounted for just 42.8%. Thirty years later, these proportions have definitively inverted: the share of the Global South has reached 59.4%, with the Global North holding at 40.6%.</p>
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<p>The G7 (United States, United Kingdom, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan) is the core economic countries of the Global North bloc, and in 1993, these seven countries accounted for 45.4% of the global economy. Meanwhile, the most significant economies of the Global South, later known as BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), made up only 16.7% of the global economy in that year. Among them, Russia had just emerged after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and China was deepening its economic reforms and establishing a socialist market economy. Neither Russia nor China were competitors to the G7 at the time. Thirty years later, the BRICS countries accounted for 31.5% of the global economy, having surpassed the G7 (30.3%) as shown in Figure 40.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93900 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-41-e1705413614357.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-41.png"></p>
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<p>In August 2023, BRICS expanded by inviting six countries: Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina (although Argentina has now temporarily declined). BRICS10 (excluding Argentina) added 4% to BRICS’s share of the world GDP (PPP) as shown in Figure 41.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93910 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-42-e1705413650824.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-42.png"></p>
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<p>Over the past thirty years, the absolute leader of the Global North, the United States, has seen its share of the world economy slowly decline in PPP terms from 19.7% in 1993 to 15.5% in 2022. However, in the Global South, China’s rapid rise has been the most notable variable. In 1993, China only accounted for 5% of the world economy (Figure 42); by 2016, China’s economy had surpassed that of the United States in PPP terms; and by 2022, China’s share of the world economy had reached 18.4%. This marks the first time in over 600 years that a non-white dominated country has economically broken through the hegemony of the white imperialist countries. This economic reality led the US to urgently begin to try to suppress China’s rise.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93920 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-43-e1705413712434.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-43.png"></p>
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<p>However, it would be a mistake to view China as the sole source of growth for the Global South. Even without China, the economies of the Global South had surpassed the Global North by 2022 — with their respective shares of the global economy at 41% and 40.6% (Figure 43). The overall economic development of the Global South has enabled them to objectively have the capacity and to seek a more just international order, which is contrary to the wishes of the imperialist bloc of the Global North.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93930 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-44-e1705413774159.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-44.png"></p>
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<p>We have identified all 43 countries – whose share of the world GDP (PPP) amounts to 41.1% (Figure 44) – that are part of one or more of the three new non-imperialist controlled international organisations: BRICS10 (founded in 2009, expanded in 2010 and 2023), Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (founded as ‘Shanghai Five’ in 1996, expanded in 2001, 2017, and 2023), and the Group of Friends in Defence of the Charter of the United Nations (founded in 2021). The full list is provided in a later section.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94794 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-1024x576.png" alt="" width="1024" height="576" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-1024x576.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-300x169.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-768x432.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-1536x864.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-2048x1152.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"></div>
<p>Figure 45 shows the past decade’s average annual growth rate of GDP (PPP) per capita of the 21 largest economies in the Global South and the G7 countries. China’s growth rate (5.8%) continues to lead among major countries. Asia’s growth rate is generally higher than other countries in the Global South. The next five countries with the highest growth rates are Bangladesh (5.3%), Viet Nam (4.9%), India (4.6%), the Philippines (3.3%), and Indonesia (3.1%). Aside from the United States, the rest of the G7 countries have an average per capita growth rate of less than 1%. Regrettably, the largest economies in Africa and Latin America have experienced negative per capita growth: Nigeria and South Africa at -0.4%, and Brazil and Argentina at 0% and -0.7%, respectively.</p>
<p>Of course, we acknowledge that growth rates themselves can mask the intense class struggles within these countries, where the share of the growth is not nearly equitably distributed between capital and labour. However, it would be a mistake to ignore the growth rates and what their trend lines describe.</p>
<p>One of the most significant changes in the world economy of the last 20 years has been a dramatic shift in the geography of world industrial production.</p>
<p>The World Bank publishes the industry percentage of GDP using the current prices and current exchange rates, which this study refers to as the Current Exchange Rate (CER) method. Currently, we are unaware of any published industry percentages for GDP (PPP) calculations.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93950 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-46-e1705413867986.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-46.png"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93960 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-47-e1705413993535.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-47.png"></div>
<p>Figures 46 and 47 show changes in the percentage of industry value added in GDP for both CER and PPP terms over the last 18 years. It is likely that the figures of the industry value added world share are somewhere in between the CER and PPP. Subsequent charts in this series are shown only for the PPP method and have the same qualifications as made for the first series.<a href="#_edn137" name="_ednref137"><sup>137</sup></a></p>
<p>What we see is that there is indeed a change in the base of the economy, with the Global South home to the majority share. Despite many predictions of a new post-industrial society, no major country has achieved modernisation without industrialisation.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93970 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-48-e1705414067837.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-48.png"></p>
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<p>The world share of industry value added of BRICS10 is now double that of the G7 (Figure 48).</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93980 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-49-e1705414107350.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-49.png"></p>
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<p>The results show the following for industry valued added as a percentage of the world using GDP (PPP):</p>
<ul>
<li>China is the world’s leading industrial country with a 25.7% share value added, while the US holds only a 9.7% share.</li>
<li>The Global South has a 69.4% share, while the Global North has a 30.6% share.</li>
<li>BRICS10 has a 44% share and exceeds the G7.</li>
<li>The share of Japan, Germany, France, and the UK are also declining, whilst India is increasing (Figure 49).</li>
</ul>
<p>We used the World Bank industry percentage multiplied by the annual GDP (PPP) for each country for each year to derive a country-based industrial value added. We then used these to calculate the percentage of total world industry value added by each country and country grouping category. There are some limitations and complex issues regarding this methodology.</p>
<p>Some economists have tried to minimise this change. Some argue that US dollar monopolies and ownership of large multinational corporations mean GDP figures overstate the change. China, at a minimum, cannot be said to have all its production under the lock and key of the US. Even in India, it is a mistake to understate the significance of a growing big national bourgeoise (albeit large sections of it politically reactionary). Moving industrial production to the Global South could only have occurred with massive improvements in their infrastructure.</p>
<p>In his parting words to Russian President Vladimir Putin during his state visit in March 2023, Chinese President Xi Jinping said, ‘Right now there are changes – the likes of which we haven’t seen for 100 years – and we are the ones driving these changes together’.<a href="#_edn138" name="_ednref138"><sup>138</sup></a> Eurasia is now centre stage for determining the future of the next period of human existence.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">US Strategy to Curtail China’s Economic Growth and Influence</h2>
<p>In 2007, Vladimir Putin delivered his famous Munich speech criticising US monopolistic dominance, ‘almost uncontained hyper use of force – military force – in international relations, force that is plunging the world into an abyss of permanent conflicts’.<a href="#_edn139" name="_ednref139"><sup>139</sup></a> In the same year, the Centre for New American Security (CNAS) was formed. By 2009, secret US cables to Washington revealed by Wikileaks stated:</p>
<blockquote><p>Xi knows how very corrupt China is and is repulsed by the all-encompassing commercialisation of Chinese society, with its attendant nouveau riche, official corruption, loss of values, dignity, and self-respect, and such ‘moral evils’ as drugs and prostitution… When Xi takes the helm of the party, he might aggressively attempt to address those evils, perhaps at the expense of the new moneyed class.<a href="#_edn140" name="_ednref140"><sup>140</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>The alarm bells in Langley and Foggy Bottom were ringing. The West’s dream for the rise of a ‘Chinese Gorbachev’ was eviscerated in 2012. It became clear that an economically ascendant China would not be imminently defeated. Thus, the Pivot to Asia strategy began integrating its allies to contain China. Then-US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton publicly declared that ‘the twenty-first century will be America’s Pacific Century’.<a href="#_edn141" name="_ednref141"><sup>141</sup></a> In contrast, Xi Jinping said to US President Barack Obama, ‘The Pacific Ocean is broad enough to accommodate the development of both China and the United States’.<a href="#_edn142" name="_ednref142"><sup>142</sup></a></p>
<p>By 2016, China’s GDP, calculated by purchasing power parity, had surpassed that of the United States. In 2020, the Centre for Economics and Business Research predicted that by 2028, China’s GDP, measured in US dollars, would overtake that of the US, a forecast that became a ‘demon barrier’.<a href="#_edn143" name="_ednref143"><sup>143</sup></a> US officials repeatedly defined China as the most significant strategic threat facing the US and the Global North.</p>
<p>The relative decline of US power, the rise of socialist China, and the economic growth of the Global South are key reasons behind US active subordination and subsequent integration of the rest of the imperialist countries. This has led to a full military, political, and economic bloc under US control. In 1998, former US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski warned, ‘The most dangerous scenario would be a grand coalition of China, Russia, and perhaps Iran… not out of a sudden love for one another but out of a shared opposition to the predominant power (the US)’.<a href="#_edn144" name="_ednref144"><sup>144</sup></a></p>
<p>CNAS, formed by a combination of neo-cons and liberal hawks, spawned a core cadre of US policy elites – from both parties – who focused on developing a new geopolitical strategy for the US. By 2021, ignoring Brzezinski’s warning, they began publicly promoting the preparation for simultaneous wars. Significant figures from CNAS include Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell, and former Under Secretary of Defence for Policy Michele Flournoy. Former CNAS staff and consultants have permeated strategic organs of the state, including the National Security Council.</p>
<p>National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, whilst not a member of CNAS, now plays a dominant role in the Presidency and pursues the same international strategy. In April 2023, Sullivan gave a speech titled ‘Renewing American Economic Leadership’ at the Brookings Institute.<a href="#_edn145" name="_ednref145"><sup>145</sup></a> This speech was significant for three distinct reasons. First, it is very unusual for such an important speech on the US economy to be given by a National Security Advisor. Historically, National Security Advisors, like Henry Kissinger, stayed in the realms of national security, geopolitics, and military affairs. Second, Sullivan’s speech sought to create a ‘new Washington Consensus’ to re-establish US economic hegemony. Third, Sullivan acknowledged the depth of the US structural crisis, including its economic stagnation.</p>
<p>This economic plan is required to support military expansion. In July 2023, the US proposed a bill to add US$ 345 million in military aid to Taiwan.<a href="#_edn146" name="_ednref146"><sup>146</sup></a> From Tel Aviv to Kiev to Taipei, the US is escalating its military operations to the doorsteps of Eurasia.</p>
<p>Cold Wars, necessarily associated with conflicts between nuclear powers, are always dangerous. In 1988, Edward Herman and Noam Chomsky published <em>Manufacturing Consent: The Political Economy of the Mass Media</em>, in which they decried the ‘propaganda model’ utilised by the US corporate media, often in partnership with the state. They wrote it long before that system was able to avail itself of the new technological tools of surveillance and targeted communication characterising the digital age. Thanks to whistle-blower Edward Snowden the world was able to get a glimpse of the vast expansion of US control over all communications and how it has integrated all the US IT tech monopoly platforms into adjuncts of US national security infrastructure.</p>
<p>‘Collect it all’ was how a former senior intelligence officer described the National Security Agency’s former director Keith Alexander’s approach to data collection. All the emails, phone calls, and text messages of all types (including those of WhatsApp, Telegram, and Signal), every key stroke, and every URL are captured for the vast majority of the world’s population (outside of China, Russia, and a few other countries). They are stored in vast networks of hard drives in locations like Bluffdale, Utah. The US created a global network able to capture and manage nearly every packet of data on all undersea optical cables, all cellular traffic, and satellite data traffic.</p>
<p>Despite military hegemony, capital still needs the approximation of consent. Over time, new techniques such as machine learning created a qualitative leap in the ability of the US to conduct psychological secret warfare against the people, the Global South, and their populations.<a href="#_edn147" name="_ednref147"><sup>147</sup></a> The economic models of all media companies collapsed with the advent of the internet and the creation of economic tech monopolies, which disintermediated all media profits. A new era of fully weaponised media outlets began – a development that is part of the overall hybrid war strategy (including economic sanctions and diplomatic isolation) that has been utilised by the US establishment around the world.</p>
<p>The pivot to Asia, in reality a pivot to China, began formally in 2012 under Obama. The US combined propaganda, diplomatic, economic, and political strategies to try to curb, at first, China’s economic development and, later, its growing influence in institutions like BRICS. Starting in 2016, Trump attempted to avoid conflict with Russia and began to focus all US energies against China.</p>
<p>Over the last eight years, the US used a coterie of selected and curated topics to define the Western media narrative on China. Despite millions of dead Muslims at the hands of NATO forces in Yemen, Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan, the West managed to integrate their formidable array of soft-power resources to wage a fierce cold war against China. Even the chief propagandist of the Nazis, Joseph Goebbels, might have been amazed at the hubris of the West in claiming the mantle of human rights and attempting to use Xinjiang as the whipping point against China.</p>
<p>Lawrence Wilkerson, former Chief of Staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell and former army colonel, noted that an important strategic goal of the US military’s invasion and long-term stationing in Afghanistan was to contain China’s Belt and Road Initiative (2013–present) and to create ethnic divisions and social unrest in Xinjiang.<a href="#_edn148" name="_ednref148"><sup>148</sup></a> <em>The New York Times</em>, <em>The Guardian</em>, and the <em>BBC</em> became central props in a hallmark US psyops campaign.</p>
<p>As we have explained in the economic analysis of Western economies, it is not irrational for the West to seek to retard China’s growth. Central to the next stage of development of China’s economy is promoting a dual circulation economy, i.e., to increase the weight of the domestic market while continuing to keep growing its international trade, switching to high quality development, and advancing the economic development of the western provinces of China. Attacking Xinjiang simultaneously accomplishes many Western interests: weakens China’s domestic growth strategies, isolates China internationally, masks US violence against Muslim countries, and continues to support extremist groups to destabilise their adversaries.</p>
<p>Fabricated allegations of genocide among the Uyghur population in Xinjiang, entirely unsubstantiated by the US State Department, enabled the US government to impose sanctions on China, aiming to strike at China’s entire textile industry chain, which exports more than US$ 300 billion and accounts for over one-third of the world’s textile exports, ranking first globally.<a href="#_edn149" name="_ednref149"><sup>149</sup></a> But despite US sanctions, Xinjiang’s foreign trade surged by 51.25% year-on-year, reaching US$ 30 billion in the first three-quarters of 2023, with trade with five Central Asian nations increasing by 59.1%.<a href="#_edn150" name="_ednref150"><sup>150</sup></a> China has just announced a free trade zone in Xinjiang to promote connectivity with regional Belt and Road countries.</p>
<p>In addition to ‘soft-power’ warfare, the US spared no effort to contain China’s development in high-tech sectors, especially in weakening China’s capacity to produce or even purchase top-end semiconductor chips. By imposing long-arm jurisdiction on technology such as extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines manufactured by the Dutch company ASML, the US seeks to prevent China from entering the future of chip technology. The Biden administration believes that its impact will extend far beyond weakening China’s military advancements, but also threatening China’s economic growth and scientific leadership.</p>
<p>Gregory C. Allen, director of the Artificial Intelligence Governance Project and senior fellow in the Emerging Technology Program at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, believes that the message conveyed by the export controls against China issued by the US Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) in October 2022, is part of ‘a new US policy of actively strangling large segments of the Chinese technology industry – strangling with an intent to kill’.<a href="#_edn151" name="_ednref151"><sup>151</sup></a> C.J. Muse, an industry analyst in the US, stated: ‘If you’d told me about these rules five years ago, I would’ve told you that’s an act of war — we’d have to be at war’.<a href="#_edn152" name="_ednref152"><sup>152</sup></a></p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93990 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-50-e1705414176544.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-50.png"></p>
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<p>Despite severe restrictions by the US, China continues to outgrow the Global North (Figure 50).</p>
<p>Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China strengthens its economic connections with the Global South. From 2013 to 2022, China’s total trade volume with countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reached US$ 19.1 trillion, with an average annual increase of 6.4%. Cumulative bilateral investment exceeded US$ 380 billion, and China’s foreign direct investment exceeded US$ 240 billion. China’s new contracted projects reached US$ 2 trillion, with a cumulative turnover of US$ 1.3 trillion completed.<a href="#_edn153" name="_ednref153"><sup>153</sup></a></p>
<p>Ironically, US containment in high-tech fields has only strengthened China’s resolve for self-reliance in innovation. In recent years, China has made significant breakthroughs in independent innovation in high-end chips, electric vehicles, and digital technology, making the US blockade and containment in high-tech fields increasingly unrealistic.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Global North Pushing the World Towards War</h2>
<p>The peaceful rise of the Global South countries, led by Asia and especially China, poses a comprehensive economic challenge to imperialist world dominance. For the first time in 600 years, the Atlantic imperialist powers are confronted with a non-white economic force capable of countering them.</p>
<p>To contain China’s rise, the US is intensifying internal integration within the imperialist camp, allowing and demanding that two fascist countries defeated in WWII – Japan and Germany – rearm themselves. US political leaders unanimously consider it essential to contain and defeat China as a core strategic enemy and started a New Cold War. US military leaders make alarming statements about China. The US geopolitical goal is to overthrow the regimes of China and Russia, de-nuclearise and if possible, dismember both countries, split them into several small countries, and ensure they can never again challenge US military or economic hegemony.</p>
<p>On Russia’s western border, NATO’s eastward expansion has brought the security issue of Ukraine to a critical boiling point. Before the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the United States had promised Gorbachev that NATO would not expand eastward since its original mission – countering the Soviet Union and containing European communism ­– had concluded with the end of the Cold War. However, NATO reneged on that ‘gentlemen’s agreement’ and it inducted 14 new member states, including several former Soviet Republics. In 2018, Ukraine amended its constitution to prioritise joining NATO and the European Union as its national strategy, posing a significant threat to Russia’s national security. With Kiev only 760 km away from Moscow, allowing NATO to deploy nuclear weapons in Ukraine would constitute an uncontrollable military threat to Russia.</p>
<p>Simultaneously, neo-Nazi forces in western Ukraine were on the rise. In January 2022, torchlight processions were held in cities like Kiev and Lviv, commemorating the birthday of Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera. Prior conflicts saw western Ukrainian nationalist extremists hoisting Nazi flags and threatening to annihilate eastern Ukrainians and pro-Russian elements. Ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine had to organise resistance and seek Russian aid. Under these circumstances, Russia launched a ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine, essentially facing a direct confrontation with NATO’s military force.</p>
<p>In the Western Pacific, the United States continuously attempts to stoke tensions over the South China Sea and Taiwan. In August 2022, despite strong opposition and solemn representations from China, US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan, seriously violating the One-China principle and the provisions of the three US-China joint communiqués, severely impacting the political foundation of Sino-American relations; it is important to recall that in 1972, in the Shanghai communiqué, the United States accepted the ‘One China’ policy, which acknowledges that there is only one China and that Taiwan is not a separate, sovereign state). In August 2023, the US Navy, along with forces from Canada and the Republic of Korea, conducted joint military exercises in the Sea of Japan and the Yellow Sea.<a href="#_edn154" name="_ednref154"><sup>154</sup></a> However, the exercises ended abruptly after just five hours due to China’s targeted military mobilisations.<a href="#_edn155" name="_ednref155"><sup>155</sup></a> Since Ferdinand Marcos Jr. became president of the Philippines in June 2022, the Philippines has opened multiple military bases to the US, strengthened security ties with Australia and Japan, and sparked disputes with China over sovereignty issues in the South China Sea. Warships from the US, Canada, Australia, and other countries also frequently patrol and exercise in the South China Sea, causing several close encounters and frictions with the Chinese Navy.</p>
<p>To date, faced with continuous provocations from the United States and its allies, China has maintained a restrained stance, striving to avoid military conflicts with the US and its allies – a confrontation that could escalate into a global nuclear war. However, Taiwan holds a special significance for China. As part of China, historically and under international law, Taiwan’s continued separation signifies that China’s civil war, and even the ‘century of humiliation’ that began with the Opium Wars in 1840, has not ended. The division of Taiwan is unacceptable to China, ultimately even if it means the risk of direct war against the United States.</p>
<p>With the direct support of Biden and Blinken, Israel is advancing an ethnic cleansing and genocide of Palestinian civilians in Gaza. The situation in Gaza starkly reveals the true face of the imperialist camp of the Global North as a collective of white settlers: when conflicts arise between white settlers and colonised people of colour, the imperialist camp uniformly stands with the settlers.</p>
<p>The fault lines of Ukraine and Palestine have exacerbated the polarisation of the social democrats, sections of whom have proven unable to overcome their desire for acceptability and join in a robust movement for peace.</p>
<p>Let us return to the quote from NATO and the EU that they would be ‘protecting our one billion citizens, preserving our freedom and democracy… against all threats’. This sentence, appearing in the first paragraph of the NATO-EU 2023 communiqué, clearly outlines the structure of today’s world: the imperialist camp, centred around the US and based on NATO infrastructure, is fully united and mobilised militarily, politically, and economically, ready to stifle any emerging forces that might pose a threat to their hegemonic status. This unprecedented immense imperialist pressure has forced many in the ‘rest of the world’ (those outside the imperialist camp) to identify alternative structures and identities for self-preservation.</p>
<h1>EPILOGUE: A Credible Economic and Political Alternative World Order</h1>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94774 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-855x1024.png" alt="" width="855" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-855x1024.png 855w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-250x300.png 250w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-768x920.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-1282x1536.png 1282w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 855px) 100vw, 855px"></p>
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<p>Twenty-five years after the publication of Zbigniew Brzezinski’s <em>The Grand Chessboard </em>(1997) – identifying this as the greatest geopolitical danger for the US – China, Russia, and Iran have indeed grown closer in various fields, including economics, politics, and security. Not coincidentally, they are the only three countries that are in the BRICS10, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, and the Group of Friends in Defence of the Charter and United Nations (Figure 51). The driving force behind this convergence – precisely as Brzezinski predicted – is the escalating hegemonic pressure from the imperialist group led by the United States. Compared to NATO, which is highly unified in ideology, military command, and intelligence sharing, there is no anti-imperialist international organisation that is comparable. Nevertheless, three influential international organisations have emerged within the Global South:</p>
<ul>
<li>The BRICS organisation, initiated by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, is an economic cooperation mechanism that expanded to 17 official and unofficial cooperating partners after the BRICS summit in August 2023. BRICS10 represents 45.5% of the world population, 35.6% of the GDP (PPP), and 44% of the global industrial output. The BRICS New Development Bank began with US$ 100 billion in capital investment and its Contingent Reserve Structure also holds US$ 100 billion.<a href="#_edn156" name="_ednref156"><sup>156</sup></a></li>
<li>The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) started with a focus on security issues. It brings together countries from the Eurasian continent – from the large economic performers like China, India, and Turkey to the leading OPEC countries such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, as well as member countries of the League of Arab States – to address security challenges through multifaceted development approaches. The SCO represents 60% of the Eurasian territory, a quarter of the world’s GDP, and 40% of the global population.<a href="#_edn157" name="_ednref157"><sup>157</sup></a> In July 2023, Xi Jinping proposed the creation of an SCO development bank.</li>
<li>The newly established Group of Friends in Defence of the Charter of the United Nations (FUNC) seeks to advocate for multilateralism and oppose hegemony and unilateralism within the framework of the UN Charter. Currently, this group has 20 member countries, with Venezuela as its initiator. On the issue of Palestine, the group supports the just demand for national independence of the Palestinian people, backs Palestine’s bid to become a formal member of the United Nations and supports the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital.</li>
</ul>
<p>Hitting its 10-year milestone, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), has also had a significant impact on the Global South. To date, with an investment surpassing US$ 1 trillion, the BRI has been a pivotal force in infrastructure development in the Global South.<a href="#_edn158" name="_ednref158"><sup>158</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94784 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-855x1024.png" alt="" width="855" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-855x1024.png 855w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-250x300.png 250w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-768x920.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-1282x1536.png 1282w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 855px) 100vw, 855px"></p>
</div>
<p>Contrary to the imperialist camp, the primary aspirations of the Global South countries are sovereignty and development, and to achieve peace. Specifically, they face at least eight common challenges and opportunities (Figure 52), elaborated on below:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Multilateralism:</strong> Engaging in profound multilateral dialogues and cooperation among Global South countries without reliance on platforms provided by the Global North countries.</li>
<li><strong>New Modernisation:</strong> Building regional economic integration through economic corridors and belts within the Global South to realise economies of scale at the continental level.</li>
<li><strong>De-dollarisation:</strong> Reducing dependence on the US dollar (especially for those countries facing sanctions) in international trade through mechanisms like local currency transactions, currency swaps, and regional common currencies.</li>
<li><strong>Innovation led by the Global South:</strong> Promoting democratic and open technological innovation among Global South countries. This includes reducing the economic premium caused by intellectual property monopolies in areas like medicine, new energy, and information technology.</li>
<li><strong>Reparations and Debt Resolution:</strong> Addressing the century-old debt trap imposed by imperialist countries through collective negotiations for reductions and compensations.</li>
<li><strong>Food Sovereignty: </strong>Ensuring the peoples’ and states’ right to define their agricultural and food policy, without any dumping vis-à-vis third countries, transnational corporations, and free trade agreements.</li>
<li><strong>Digital Sovereignty:</strong> Enhancing the capability of Global South countries to control digital spaces in hardware, software, data, content, standards, and regulations, and constructing alternatives to the US monopolised digital platforms.</li>
<li><strong>Environmental Justice:</strong> Formulating fair emission rights allocation plans and urging imperialist countries to compensate for their long-term cumulative pollution. Financialisation of nature is a dead end for the Global South.</li>
</ul>
<p>Humanity faces a dangerous and ruthless military power. The US is on a march to rearm the two main fascist powers of WWII, as it itself turns more towards a politics of the extreme right and neo-fascism.</p>
<p>It is sadly very true that the left forces outside the socialist camp are indeed weak and that the subjective aspect of revolution in most countries is not ready for conducting revolution. But we are witnessing significant changes and breaks in consciousness, albeit not full class consciousness. Millions of people are in the streets reviled by the sickness of not only the US and Israel’s genocidal regimes but also of France and the UK. The four nuclear powers of imperialism have banded together, demonstrating their power. The likely cost of this will be the creation of a future generation of youth in the Arab and Muslim world who will never forget nor forgive this flaunting of brutality and humiliation. Mao Zedong described this historical dialectic:</p>
<blockquote><p>Imperialism and all reactionaries, looked at in essence, from a long-term point of view, from a strategic point of view, must be seen for what they are – paper tigers. On this, we should build our strategic thinking. On the other hand, they are also living tigers, iron tigers, real tigers that can devour people. On this, we should build our tactical thinking.<a href="#_edn159" name="_ednref159"><sup>159</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Under President Xi Jinping’s leadership, China has proposed visionary recommendations for humanity. The China model of modernisation, a result of socialism with Chinese characteristics, indicates a path for the Global South countries that does not rely on exploiting and oppressing other nations. It balances the material and spiritual civilisation, economic development, and the ecological environment, offering an essential reference for the development of the Global South.</p>
<p>As a result of over 600 years of humiliation, racial violence, and economic exploitation by the Global North, we have arrived at this stage of Hyper-Imperialism. However, an emerging Global South, even with its contradictions, reminds us that human beings are not constrained to remain victims of history. Despite the different context of subjective factors, the concluding call of <em>The Communist Manifesto</em> (1848) remains compelling today:</p>
<p>We have a world to win.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">***</p>
<p style="text-align: right;"><strong>‘Black Woman’ </strong></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">by Cuban Poet Nancy Morejón</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Still I smell the foam of the sea they forced me to cross.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Night, I cannot recall the night.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Nor could the ocean itself recall it.<br>
But never have I forgotten the first seagull I glimpsed.<br>
High up, the clouds, like innocent ever-present witnesses.<br>
Perhaps I’ve not forgotten my lost coast nor even my ancestral tongue.<br>
They dropped me here and here I’ve lived.<br>
And because I work like a dog,<br>
Here is where I was reborn.<br>
And I sought to rely on epic story of the Mandinga after epic story.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I rebelled.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">His Grace purchased me in a public square.<br>
I embroidered His Grace’s cloak and I bore him a son.<br>
My son was given no name.<br>
And His Grace, he died at the hands of an impeccable English lord.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I trudged forward.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">This is the land where I was lashed and beaten upside down.<br>
I paddled along all its rivers.<br>
Under its sun I sewed, harvested, and ate none of the crops.<br>
I got a slave barracks for a house.<br>
I myself carried the stones to build it,<br>
but I sang in the natural beat of the nation’s birds.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I rose in rebellion.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">In this very land I touched the warm blood<br>
and rotten bones of many others like me,<br>
brought here, or not, as I was.<br>
Then I stopped thinking about the way to Guinea forever.<br>
To Guinea or Benin? Was I thinking about Madagascar or Cape Verde?</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I worked even more.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Then I laid the foundation for my best millenary chant and my hope.<br>
Here I built my world.<br>
I went to the mountains.<br>
My true independence happened at<em> the</em> <em>palenque</em><br>
and I rode with Maceo’s cavalry.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Only one century later, alongside my descendants,<br>
from atop a blue mountain,</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I came down from the Sierra</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">to put an end to capitalists and usurers,<br>
and generals and the petit bourgeois.<br>
Now I am: only now do we hold and create.<br>
Nothing is beyond our reach.<br>
Our land.<br>
Ours the sea and sky.<br>
Ours the magic and the amazing dreams.<br>
My equals, here I see you dance<br>
around the tree we planted for communism.<br>
Its generous wood is clearly resounding.</p>
<h1>APPENDIX</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Methodology</h2>
<p>This report was compiled with data and charts from Global South Insights (GSI), based on diverse sources, including the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, the United Nations, OECD, the Conference Board, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, <em>Monthly Review</em>, and World <em>Beyond</em> War, among others (see Figure 55). In this section, we present the methodological definitions and criteria that guided the elaboration of this report.</p>
<p>All 193 UN Member States and Palestine as an Observer State are included in the Global North Rings or the Global South Groupings.</p>
<p>In analysing the Global North, we found that among the factors included in our investigation – historical, military, and intelligence relationships – a critical factor was each country’s relationship to US intelligence. As a result, we have divided the Global North into four rings, comprising 49 countries in the US-Led Imperialist Camp. Our analysis of the Global South indicated factors such as the country’s economic and political independence from imperialism and the strategic relationships between Global South countries. However, a critical factor was the relative degree to which they were targets of regime change and their role in publicly advancing international anti-imperialist stances. Therefore, the 145 Global South countries are divided into six groupings.</p>
<p>In addition to UN member countries, we have included the number of military bases in non-UN member countries and in the territories – sometimes contentious – where foreign bases are located.</p>
<p>Other comparative calculations in this report include all countries and territories from their respective source database.</p>
<p>Although invaluable, international databases, such as those from the IMF and the World Bank, are burdened by limitations arising from disparities in national statistical production processes, particularly in the methodologies for variable measurement. This leads to the non-harmonisation of national data compiled by international databases at its sources. Similarly, international databases may have limitations regarding completeness. The data governance and rigorous audit procedures conducted by GSI sought to ensure maximum data consistency.</p>
<p>Regarding GDP-related data, this report primarily uses the IMF data. Notably, the IMF database does not include data for four countries: Cuba and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, due to their sovereign decision of not being subject to IMF dictates, as well as Monaco and Liechtenstein. The GDP (PPP) field in tables featuring these four countries is left blank.</p>
<p>Economic data from the World Bank is used only to calculate world industry value added. The World Bank publishes the value added of industry as a percentage of GDP using current prices and exchange rates, referred to in this study as the Current Exchange Rate (CER) method. Only in this case are both CER and GDP (PPP) values presented.</p>
<p>In this document, GDP (PPP) is adopted as the standard. This is not a choice free of controversy, and due to the scope of this report, we will not delve into our methodological reflections on such controversies. PPP conversion factors are statistical estimates based on baskets of goods and services for benchmark years, further applied to GDP for GDP (PPP) estimates. Although there are arguments that GDP (PPP) data could overestimate countries in the Global South, it is a more accurate measure in comparing economic performance and living standards across different countries, as it adjusts for differences in price levels and provides a more stable metric for international comparisons. At the same time, GDP (PPP) delivers a more meaningful basis for ranking countries regarding their economic size and contribution to the global economy, compared to the GDP rankings using CER. In such rankings, countries with strong currencies may rank higher, even if their actual economic output is not as significant.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94020 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-53-e1705414356315.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-53.png"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94030 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-54-e1705414396274.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-54.png"></div>
<p>Figures 53 and 54 show the comparisons for CER versus PPP calculations of percentage of world total GDP for 1) China versus the United States and 2) the Global South versus the Global North. Both CER and PPP show a dramatic rise in relative percentages for China and the Global South.</p>
<p>However, PPP conversion factors to measure military spending are necessarily less reliable than current exchange rates because no price data is collected for military expenditure. Therefore, the nature of military spending lacks this information for international comparisons. SIPRI recognises that using the PPP adjustment for military spending is inaccurate and, therefore, is less reliable than using currency exchange rates. Regarding military spending, we combined data from <em>Monthly Review</em> for actual US military spending, along with SIPRI data, to calculate the real worldwide military spending using CER.</p>
<p>As for other military data, various sources were used to comprehensively address this central phenomenon to analyse Hyper-Imperialism; however, limitations persist due to differing methodologies, measurement variables, data scarcity, and secrecy. We used data from the US Congressional Research Service combined with the Military Intervention Project (MIP) for the quantity of interventions. While the former is an official US publication that serves as a primary data source on US military interventions, it does not include some secret missions and does not aggregate its data to differentiate between the various types of US Armed Forces’ overseas interventions. The latter uses a more comprehensive definition of military intervention, although it only publishes a data summary. Finally, we used the lists published by World <em>Beyond</em> War, Declassified UK, and the US Department of Defence Base Structure Report for data on military bases.</p>
<p>In addition to the aforementioned data sources, GSI’s elaboration in this report draws from a broader set of data sources listed below. GSI carefully created new categories and built complex data integration platforms to provide the analysis from a Global South standpoint. Classification processes are inherently challenging and subject to modification since domestic and regional politics can change quickly. Extensive data collection and integration across diverse countries allowed for hypothesis testing. For example, in determining who were the closest allies of the US, we assessed closeness to US intelligence. The data for this analysis was exposed by Edward Snowden when he showed that, in addition to the ‘Five Eyes’ – the world’s oldest intelligence partnership between five anglophone Western states, which began with the 1946 British-US Communication Intelligence Agreement – there were two other hidden groups, the ‘Nine Eyes’ and the ‘Fourteen Eyes’ (SIGINT Seniors Europe, formed in 1982).</p>
<p>The foundation for this report is the integration of databases, data analysis, and GSI’s elaboration.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 55</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Sources and descriptions of data used for research</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th style="min-width: 10em;">Source</th>
<th style="min-width: 14em;">Database</th>
<th style="min-width: 14em;">GSI explanation</th>
<th style="min-width: 20em;">URLs</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Labor Quality to real GDP growth</td>
<td>https://data-central.conference-board.org/</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Labor Quantity to real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Total Capital Services to real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Total Factor Productivity to real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Congressional Research Service (CRS)</td>
<td></td>
<td>US acknowledged use of armed forces abroad, 1798–April 2023</td>
<td><a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738/41">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738/41</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Declassified UK</td>
<td></td>
<td>Declassified UK bases, 2020</td>
<td><a href="https://www.declassifieduk.org/revealed-the-uk-militarys-overseas-base-network-involves-145-sites-in-42-countries/">https://www.declassifieduk.org/revealed-the-uk-militarys-overseas-base-network-involves-145-sites-in-42-countries/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Encyclopedia Britannica</td>
<td></td>
<td>British Commonwealth members</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Enerdata</td>
<td>Global Energy &amp; CO<sup>2</sup> Data</td>
<td>Global Energy &amp; CO<sup>2</sup> Data</td>
<td><a href="https://www.enerdata.net/">https://www.enerdata.net/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Enerdata</td>
<td>World Energy Efficiency &amp; Demand</td>
<td>World Energy Efficiency &amp; Demand</td>
<td><a href="https://www.enerdata.net/">https://www.enerdata.net/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Energy Information Administration (EIA)</td>
<td>Natural Gas</td>
<td>Natural Gas Reserves</td>
<td><a href="https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/">https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ernst &amp; Young</td>
<td>Who owns the DAX? Analysis of the shareholder structure of DAX companies in 2018 – abridged version</td>
<td>Shareholder structure of DAX companies in 2018</td>
<td><a href="https://assets.ey.com/content/dam/ey-sites/ey-com/de_de/news/2019/06/ey-wem-gehoert-der-dax-2019.pdf?download=.">https://assets.ey.com/content/dam/ey-sites/ey-com/de_de/news/2019/06/ey-wem-gehoert-der-dax-2019.pdf?download=.</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Federation of American Scientists</td>
<td></td>
<td>Nuclear weapons sharing, 2023</td>
<td><a href="https://fas.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Nuclear-weapons-sharing-2023.pdf">https://fas.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Nuclear-weapons-sharing-2023.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Federation of American Scientists</td>
<td></td>
<td>Status of World Nuclear Forces</td>
<td><a href="https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/">https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>G-77</td>
<td></td>
<td>Group of 77 at the United Nations</td>
<td><a href="https://www.g77.org/doc/">https://www.g77.org/doc/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Colonial status</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Common history of Imperialist countries</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Global North or Global South</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Global North Ring or Global South Grouping</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>US-Led Military Bloc</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Finance &amp; Development Center</td>
<td></td>
<td>Countries signing BRI MOU</td>
<td><a href="https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/">https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Group of Friends in Defense of the Charter of the United Nations</td>
<td></td>
<td>Friends of the UN Charter</td>
<td><a href="https://www.gof-uncharter.org/">https://www.gof-uncharter.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>IHS Markit</td>
<td></td>
<td>Shareholder structure by region in 2020</td>
<td><a href="https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020---DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf">https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020—DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Deployment of troop information</td>
<td><a href="https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/">https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using constant prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using constant prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP per capita in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP per capita in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using constant prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP per capita in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>Population</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Organization for Standardization (ISO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>ISO country and territory</td>
<td><a href="https://www.iso.org/iso-3166-country-codes.html">https://www.iso.org/iso-3166-country-codes.html</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)</td>
<td>Renewable energy statistics 2023</td>
<td></td>
<td><a href="https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Jul/Renewable-energy-statistics-2023">https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Jul/Renewable-energy-statistics-2023</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maddison</td>
<td>Historical Statistics of the World Economy</td>
<td></td>
<td><a href="https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010">https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Monthly Review</td>
<td></td>
<td>Actual US military spending, 2022</td>
<td><a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/">https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>National Bureau of Statistics of China(NBS)</td>
<td></td>
<td>China quarterly GDP from 2019 Q3 to 2023 Q3</td>
<td><a href="https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/easyquery.htm?cn=B01">https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/easyquery.htm?cn=B01</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>2023 NATO Vilnius Summit participants</td>
<td><a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events_216418.htm?selectedLocale=en">https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events_216418.htm?selectedLocale=en</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>NATO member countries</td>
<td><a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_52044.htm">https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_52044.htm</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)</td>
<td>Capital Market Series</td>
<td>Capital in the hands of non-domestic investors, OECD 10,000 largest companies</td>
<td><a href="https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf">https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)</td>
<td>Capital Market Series</td>
<td>Foreign and domestic ownership key stock exchanges</td>
<td><a href="https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf">https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Eurozone quarterly GDP from 2019 Q3 to 2023 Q3</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://data.oecd.org/gdp/quarterly-gdp.htm</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)</td>
<td>The Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB)</td>
<td>World proven crude oil reserves by country</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://asb.opec.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)</td>
<td></td>
<td>OPEC members</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/25.htm</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SanctionsKill Campaign</td>
<td></td>
<td>US sanctioned countries</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://sanctionskill.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>SCO members</td>
<td><a href="https://eng.sectsco.org/">https://eng.sectsco.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)</td>
<td>SIPRI Military Expenditure</td>
<td>World military expenditure (constant USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)</td>
<td>SIPRI Military Expenditure</td>
<td>World military expenditure (current USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stuart Laycock (2012)</td>
<td></td>
<td>UK invasions 927-2012</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>UK current account balance</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>UK GDP at market prices</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>US current account balance 1885–1987</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>US gross national product (GNP) 1889–1987</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Life expectancy estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 1950–2021</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Life expectancy estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 2022–2100</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>UN defined regions, sub-regions and intermediate</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Documentation/Documentation/">https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Documentation/Documentation/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Population estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 1950–2021</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Population estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 2022–2100</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td></td>
<td>UN members</td>
<td><a href="https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states">https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td></td>
<td>UN voting data</td>
<td><a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/search?cc=Voting+Data&amp;ln=en&amp;c=Voting+Data">https://digitallibrary.un.org/search?cc=Voting+Data&amp;ln=en&amp;c=Voting+Data</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>International Transactions, International Services, and International Investment Position Tables</td>
<td>Balance on current account</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=62&amp;step=1&amp;_gl=1*xxlwzz*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYwMjkuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6NjIsInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDYsNl0sImRhdGEiOltbIlByb2R1Y3QiLCIxIl0sWyJUYWJsZUxpc3QiLCIxIl0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzEiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jMiIsWyIwIl1dLFsiRmlsdGVyXyMzIixbIjAiXV0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzQiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jNSIsWyIwIl1dXX0=">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=62&amp;step=1&amp;_gl=1*xxlwzz*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYwMjkuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6NjIsInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDYsNl0sImRhdGEiOltbIlByb2R1Y3QiLCIxIl0sWyJUYWJsZUxpc3QiLCIxIl0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzEiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jMiIsWyIwIl1dLFsiRmlsdGVyXyMzIixbIjAiXV0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzQiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jNSIsWyIwIl1dXX0=</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>National Income and Product Accounts</td>
<td>Gross domestic product (GDP), quantity indexes</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDMsM10sImRhdGEiOltbImNhdGVnb3JpZXMiLCJTdXJ2ZXkiXSxbIk5JUEFfVGFibGVfTGlzdCIsIjMiXSxbIkZpcnN0X1llYXIiLCIyMDIxIl0sWyJMYXN0X1llYXIiLCIyMDIzIl0sWyJTY2FsZSIsIjAiXSxbIlNlcmllcyIsIkEiXSxbIlNlbGVjdF9hbGxfeWVhcnMiLCIxIl1dfQ==</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>National Income and Product Accounts</td>
<td>Gross national product</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey&amp;_gl=1*es60tl*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYyODEuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDMsM10sImRhdGEiOltbImNhdGVnb3JpZXMiLCJTdXJ2ZXkiXSxbIk5JUEFfVGFibGVfTGlzdCIsIjMxNyJdLFsiRmlyc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjEiXSxbIkxhc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjMiXSxbIlNjYWxlIiwiLTkiXSxbIlNlcmllcyIsIkEiXSxbIlNlbGVjdF9hbGxfeWVhcnMiLCIxIl1dfQ==">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey&amp;_gl=1*es60tl*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYyODEuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDMsM10sImRhdGEiOltbImNhdGVnb3JpZXMiLCJTdXJ2ZXkiXSxbIk5JUEFfVGFibGVfTGlzdCIsIjMxNyJdLFsiRmlyc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjEiXSxbIkxhc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjMiXSxbIlNjYWxlIiwiLTkiXSxbIlNlcmllcyIsIkEiXSxbIlNlbGVjdF9hbGxfeWVhcnMiLCIxIl1dfQ==</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>National Income and Product Accounts</td>
<td>Net saving as a percentage of gross national income</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDNdLCJkYXRhIjpbWyJjYXRlZ29yaWVzIiwiU3VydmV5Il0sWyJOSVBBX1RhYmxlX0xpc3QiLCIxMzciXV19">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDNdLCJkYXRhIjpbWyJjYXRlZ29yaWVzIiwiU3VydmV5Il0sWyJOSVBBX1RhYmxlX0xpc3QiLCIxMzciXV19</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Department of Defense</td>
<td>Base Structure Reports FY2023</td>
<td>Buildings under US military control in foreign countries</td>
<td><a href="https://www.acq.osd.mil/eie/Downloads/BSI/Base%20Structure%20Report%20FY23.xlsx">https://www.acq.osd.mil/eie/Downloads/BSI/Base%20Structure%20Report%20FY23.xlsx</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>Adjusted savings: consumption of fixed capital (current USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>GDP in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using current USD</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>GDP in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using current international dollars</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>Gross fixed capital formation (current USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP)</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World BEYOND War</td>
<td>USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database</td>
<td>902 current US military bases</td>
<td><a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Nuclear Report</td>
<td></td>
<td>The World Nuclear Industry Status Report, 2022</td>
<td><a href="https://www.worldnuclearreport.org/IMG/pdf/wnisr2022-v3-hr.pdf">https://www.worldnuclearreport.org/IMG/pdf/wnisr2022-v3-hr.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Resources Institute (WRI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Country shapefiles and boundaries, India Perspective, last updated on May 4, 2017</td>
<td><a href="https://github.com/wri/wri-bounds">https://github.com/wri/wri-bounds</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XV BRICS Summit 2023</td>
<td>Johannesburg II Declaration BRICS and Africa: Partnership for Mutually Accelerated Growth, Sustainable Development and Inclusive Multilateralism</td>
<td>BRICS members</td>
<td><a href="https://brics2023.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Jhb-II-Declaration-24-August-2023-1.pdf">https://brics2023.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Jhb-II-Declaration-24-August-2023-1.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Global South Insights</h2>
<p>Global South Insights (GSI) is a network of researchers committed to advancing quantitative, data-driven research in the field of Humanities and Social Sciences. It is a partner of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research.</p>
<p>GSI has employed advanced data technologies focused on statistical databases from multiple authoritative institutions, embedding comprehensive data governance and audit mechanisms.</p>
<p>Common issues facing researchers include:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Complex data sources, difficultly in data integration. </strong>For commonly used data such as population and GDP statistics, organisations like the United Nations, World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund each have different statistical approaches. The data released by these institutions lack standardisation, leading to various compatibility and interoperability issues during data integration.</li>
<li><strong>Poor data quality, difficultly in data auditing</strong>. Missing and erroneous data exist in the datasets published by various organisations. Auditing original data and integrated/analysed data relies heavily on manual operations, which is labour-intensive, inefficient, error-prone, and lacks repeatability.</li>
<li><strong>Basic processing tools, difficultly in advanced analysis.</strong> Data integration and analysis depend significantly on basic tools like Excel, which are inefficient and cumbersome for operations like 10-year rolling averages and linear regression. These challenges make it difficult to conduct higher-level abstract analyses.</li>
<li><strong>Limited visualisation, difficultly for insight presentation.</strong> Relying on the limited chart formats provided by Excel makes it difficult to create more expressive data presentations like composite charts, maps, heatmaps, etc. Charts created with professional design tools cannot automatically update with data changes.</li>
<li><strong>Lack of data asset management, difficultly in team collaboration</strong>. Quantitative research processes based on Excel files lack the accumulation and management of data assets such as source data, data audit results, data processing workflows, process data, and interim outcomes, making it difficult to support long-term collaborative research among multiple people and multiple topics.</li>
</ul>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Full list of ‘One Hundred and Eleven Diverse Global South Countries’</h2>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 56</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, all countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">111</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,676</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,174</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1922</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">236</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,520</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,695</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">72</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,482</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,154</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,343</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,971</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,281</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,909</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,226</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,484</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1816</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,137</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34,834</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">835</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84,657</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">719</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">127,563</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">603</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30,523</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">579</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29,221</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1818</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">523</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,310</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">505</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,948</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1932</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">37</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,900</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France, Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">123</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">358</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,435</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">35</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">340</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,634</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">320</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,267</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">311</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,151</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">309</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">109,160</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">261</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,847</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">256</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24,117</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1844</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">249</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,238</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Angola</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">36</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">248</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,944</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ecuador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">231</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,818</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1822</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ghana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">217</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,752</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tanzania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">65</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">209</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,394</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">204</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,366</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">191</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38,699</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1650</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guatemala</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">188</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,076</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Côte d’Ivoire</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">28</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">184</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,486</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Azerbaijan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">181</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,800</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Panama</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">173</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,397</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1903</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tunisia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">154</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,723</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Libya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">143</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,104</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1951</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DR Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">99</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">136</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,409</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uganda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">134</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,062</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Costa Rica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">131</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,000</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,055</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cameroon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">28</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,431</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkmenistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">119</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19,028</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paraguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">108</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,535</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1811</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">99</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">27,770</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1825</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">90</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58,426</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cambodia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">90</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,613</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1953</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">78</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,794</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1943</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">78</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,894</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Senegal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">73</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,117</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,097</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yemen</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,035</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1967</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benin</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,048</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Armenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,795</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Madagascar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,817</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tajikistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">49</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,943</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mongolia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,996</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1911</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mozambique</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,469</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Botswana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,323</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kyrgyzstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,127</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trinidad &amp; Tobago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29,050</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gabon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,207</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua New Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,252</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rwanda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,904</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Haiti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,161</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1804</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malawi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">36</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,628</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritius</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,934</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guyana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,699</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jamaica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,302</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1984</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-0.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70,576</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1984</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,113</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Somalia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,928</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chad</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,724</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Equatorial Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19,465</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,277</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Togo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,594</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,023</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sierra Leone</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,009</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fiji</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1970</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,950</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1970</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maldives</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,663</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eswatini</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,217</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Suriname</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,498</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burundi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">856</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bhutan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,219</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>East Timor</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2002</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,064</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2002</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liberia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,690</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1847</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,670</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2011</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">456</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2011</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1977</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,502</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1977</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lesotho</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,092</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea-Bissau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,911</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Central African Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,081</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cabo Verde</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,263</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Barbados</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,339</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belize</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,564</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seychelles</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,079</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Lucia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,840</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comoros</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,363</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Antigua &amp; Barbuda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,575</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Grenada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,843</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St. Vincent &amp; the Grenadines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,216</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Solomon Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,325</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Kitts &amp; Nevis</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1983</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">27,767</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1983</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,883</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New Zealand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,293</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanuatu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,890</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>São Tomé &amp; Príncipe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,067</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tonga</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,686</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1970</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Micronesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-0.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,693</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">German Emp., Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kiribati</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,271</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1994</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,515</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">German Emp., Japan, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1994</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,497</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, German Emp., Japan, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1986</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nauru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,930</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, Australia, New Zealand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tuvalu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,376</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2,242</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>21,171</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>9,687</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>103 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>28.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>12.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 56</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, all countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,646</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,337</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,724</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,806</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,109</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,578</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,671</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,688</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,133</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,566</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,845</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,683</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,995</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,031</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,053</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,138</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,412</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15.9</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,857</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">761</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,244</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Angola</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,623</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ecuador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,489</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ghana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">229</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tanzania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">832</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,783</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guatemala</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">431</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Côte d’Ivoire</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">607</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Azerbaijan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Panama</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">15</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tunisia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,156</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Libya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DR Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">371</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uganda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">923</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Costa Rica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,323</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cameroon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">417</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkmenistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paraguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">366</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,376</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,381</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cambodia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">611</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,739</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">326</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Senegal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">433</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">422</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yemen</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benin</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">97</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Armenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">795</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Madagascar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tajikistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">103</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mongolia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">118</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mozambique</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">282</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Botswana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">489</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kyrgyzstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">150</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trinidad &amp; Tobago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">201</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gabon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">278</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua New Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">97</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rwanda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">177</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Haiti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malawi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">76</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritius</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guyana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jamaica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">215</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">436</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">225</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Somalia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">115</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chad</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">357</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Equatorial Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">157</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">266</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Togo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">337</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sierra Leone</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fiji</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">67</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maldives</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eswatini</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">74</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Suriname</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burundi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">101</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bhutan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>East Timor</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liberia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lesotho</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">35</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea-Bissau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Central African Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cabo Verde</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Barbados</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belize</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seychelles</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Lucia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comoros</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Antigua &amp; Barbuda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Grenada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St. Vincent &amp; the Grenadines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Solomon Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Kitts &amp; Nevis</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanuatu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>São Tomé &amp; Príncipe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tonga</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Micronesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kiribati</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nauru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tuvalu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>131,182</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>63</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>192</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 56</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, all countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3"><strong>International Affiliations</strong></th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2"><strong>UN Votes</strong></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Angola</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ecuador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ghana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tanzania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guatemala</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Côte d’Ivoire</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Azerbaijan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Panama</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tunisia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Libya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DR Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uganda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Costa Rica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cameroon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkmenistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paraguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cambodia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Senegal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yemen</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benin</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Armenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Madagascar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tajikistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mongolia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Observer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mozambique</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Botswana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kyrgyzstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trinidad &amp; Tobago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gabon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua New Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rwanda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Haiti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malawi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritius</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guyana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jamaica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Somalia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chad</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Equatorial Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Togo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sierra Leone</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fiji</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maldives</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eswatini</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Suriname</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burundi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bhutan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>East Timor</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liberia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lesotho</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea-Bissau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Central African Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cabo Verde</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Barbados</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belize</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seychelles</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Lucia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comoros</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Antigua &amp; Barbuda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Grenada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St. Vincent &amp; the Grenadines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Solomon Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Kitts &amp; Nevis</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanuatu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>São Tomé &amp; Príncipe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tonga</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Micronesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kiribati</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nauru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tuvalu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>77 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>20 Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h3 class="single-post--content--citations-title" style="margin:2em 0;">End Notes</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--citations-block">
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> Vijay Prashad, <em>Struggle Makes Us Human: Learning from Movements for Socialism </em>(New York: Haymarket Books, 2022); Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Ten Theses on Marxism and Decolonisation</em>, dossier no. 56, 20 September 2022, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-ten-theses-on-marxism-and-decolonisation/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-ten-theses-on-marxism-and-decolonisation/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Popular Agrarian Reform and the Struggle for Land in Brazil</em>, dossier no. 27, 6 April 2020, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-27-land/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-27-land/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The Strategic Revolutionary Thought and Legacy of Hugo Chávez Ten Years After His Death</em>, dossier no. 61, 28 February 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-61-chavez/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-61-chavez/</a>; Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>A Map of Latin America’s Present: An Interview with Héctor Béjar</em>, dossier no. 49, 7 February 2022, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-hector-bejar-latin-america/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-hector-bejar-latin-america/</a>; Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The US Ministry of Colonies and Its Summit</em>, red alert no. 14, 25 May 2022, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/red-alert-14-summit-of-the-americas/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/red-alert-14-summit-of-the-americas/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Immanuel Wallerstein, ‘The Three Instances of Hegemony in the History of the Capitalist World-Economy’, ed. Lenski, <em>Current Issues and Research in Macrosociology</em>, 1 January 1984, 100–108, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1163/9789004477995_008">https://doi.org/10.1163/9789004477995_008</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Jens Stoltenberg, Ursula von der Leyen, and Charles Michel, ‘Joint Declaration on EU-NATO Cooperation’, North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, 10 January 2023, <a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_210549.htm">https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_210549.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Leila Khaled, ‘Where There is Repression, There is Resistance’, <em>Capire,</em> 27 October 2023, <a href="https://capiremov.org/en/interview/leila-khaled-where-there-is-repression-there-is-resistance/">https://capiremov.org/en/interview/leila-khaled-where-there-is-repression-there-is-resistance/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Vladimir I. Lenin, <em>Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism: A Popular Outline</em> (New York: International Publishers, 1939); Walter Rodney, <em>How Europe Underdeveloped Africa</em> (London: Bogle-L’Ouverture Publications, 1972); Kwame Nkrumah, <em>Neo-Colonialism: The Last Stage of Imperialism</em>, Reprinted (London: Panaf, 2004).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Julian Assange, <em>When Google Met WikiLeaks</em> (New York: OR Books, 2014).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Donald Trump, ‘President Donald J. Trump Is Ending United States Participation in an Unacceptable Iran Deal’, The White House, 8 May 2018, <a href="https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trump-ending-united-states-participation-unacceptable-iran-deal/">https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trump-ending-united-states-participation-unacceptable-iran-deal/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> ‘US Completes Open Skies Treaty Withdrawal’, Arms Control Association, December 2020, <a href="https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2020-12/news/us-completes-open-skies-treaty-withdrawal">https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2020-12/news/us-completes-open-skies-treaty-withdrawal</a>; C. Todd Lopez, ‘US Withdraws From Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty’, US Department of Defence, 2 August 2019, <a href="https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/article/article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/">https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/article/article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/</a>; George W. Bush, ‘Statement by the President’, The White House, 13 June 2002, <a href="https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/article/article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.defense.gov%2FNews%2FNews-Stories%2FArticle%2FArticle%2F1924779%2Fus-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-f">https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2002/06/20020613-9.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Gisela Cernadas and John Bellamy Foster, ‘Actual US Military Spending Reached US$ 1.53 trillion in 2022 – More than Twice Acknowledged Level: New Estimates Based on US National Accounts’, <em>Monthly Review</em>, 1 November 2023, <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/">https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> The Quincy Institute and other authors have also published significantly higher US military spending estimates. Andrew Cockburn, ‘Getting the Defense Budget Right: A (Real) Grand Total, over $1.4 Trillion’, <em>Responsible Statecraft</em>, 7 May 2023, <a href="https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2023/05/07/getting-the-defense-budget-right-a-real-grand-total-over-1-4-trillion/">https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2023/05/07/getting-the-defense-budget-right-a-real-grand-total-over-1-4-trillion/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> ‘SIPRI Military Expenditure Database’, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Chen Zhuo, ‘Explainer: Prudent Chinese Defense Budget Growth Ensures Broad Public Security’, Ministry of National Defence, People’s Republic of China, 6 March 2022, <a href="http://eng.mod.gov.cn/xb/News_213114/TopStories/4906180.html">http://eng.mod.gov.cn/xb/News_213114/TopStories/4906180.html</a>; National Bureau of Statistics of China, accessed 20 December 2023,<br>
<a href="https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/adv.htm?m=advquery&amp;cnC01">https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/adv.htm?m=advquery&amp;cnC01</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> The 2022 SIPRI adjustment are expenses related to (a) spending on the paramilitary People’s Armed Police (PAP); (b) soldiers’ de-mobilisation and retirement payments from the Ministry of Civil Affairs; (c) additional military research, development, testing, and evaluation (RDT&amp;E) funding outside the national defence budget; (d) additional military construction expenses; (e) commercial earnings of the People’s Liberation Army (zero as of 2015); (f) subsidies to the arms industry (zero as of 2010); (e) Chinese arms imports (zero as of 2020); and (g) the Chinese Coast Guard (since 2013). The new series remains internally consistent over the period 1989–2019. <em>See </em>Nan Tian and Fei Su, ‘A New Estimate Of China’s Military Expenditure’, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, January 2021, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2021-01/2101_sipri_report_a_new_estimate_of_chinas_military_expenditure.pdf">https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2021-01/2101_sipri_report_a_new_estimate_of_chinas_military_expenditure.pdf</a>; ‘Sources and Methods’, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/sources-and-methods#sipri-estimates-for-china">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/sources-and-methods#sipri-estimates-for-china</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> SIPRI figures for China 2021 were on average about 1.36 times larger than China’s official national defence budget, though reducing the estimates made in the past. For instance, for the year 2019, the new SIPRI estimate is 1,660 billion yuan or US$ 240 billion, slightly lower than the old estimate of 1,803 billion yuan or US$ 261 billion. Under the previous estimates, SIPRI increased China’s official 2021 defence budget by 48.6%. Under the new estimates, China’s 2021 budget was increased 36.8% by SIPRI. With the new adjustments China’s military spending corresponds to 1.6% of GDP, compared to 1.3% that the official budget represents. Calculations for GDP are based on IMF WEO GDP CER data.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> Office of Management and Budget, ‘Historical Tables. Table 3.2. Outlays by Function and Subfunction: 1962–2028’, The White House, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historical-tables/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historical-tables/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Calculations based on the estimates of actual US military spending for the year 2022 by Gisela Cernadas and John Bellamy Foster. <em>See</em> note 11.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> ‘USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database’, <em>World Beyond War</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref20" name="_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> For decades, it has been recognised by independent researchers that actual US military spending is approximately twice the officially acknowledged level. The independent research is not restricted to left-wing circles, but it includes the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, funded by the right-wing billionaire George Soros, the Project on Government Oversight (POGO), and the ‘liberal’ Centre for American Progress. <em>See</em> Lawrence J. Krob and Kaveh Toofan, ‘A Trillion-Dollar Defense Budget? – Centre for American Progress’, <em>Centre for American Progress</em>, 12 July 2022, <a href="https://www.americanprogress.org/article/a-trillion-dollar-defense-budget/">https://www.americanprogress.org/article/a-trillion-dollar-defense-budget/</a>; Cockburn, ‘Getting the Defense Budget Right: A (Real) Grand Total, over $1.4 Trillion’; William Hartung and Mandy Smithberger, ‘Making Sense of the $1.25 Trillion National Security State Budget’, <em>Project on Government Oversight</em>, 7 May 2019, <a href="https://www.pogo.org/analysis/making-sense-of-the-1-25-trillion-national-security-state-budget">https://www.pogo.org/analysis/making-sense-of-the-1-25-trillion-national-security-state-budget</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref21" name="_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> Our <em>worldwide military spending figures use current exchange rates (CER). </em>PPP conversion factors to measure military spending are necessarily less reliable than currency exchange rates. PPP rates are statistical estimates, calculated on the basis of collected price data for baskets of goods and services for benchmark years. No such price data is collected for military expenditure. Therefore, the nature of military spending lacks this information for international comparisons. Thus, the calculation of the military spending applying PPP rates through GDP conversion factors is methodologically invalid since it’s based on the implicit assumption that the ratio of military prices equals the ratio of relative prices of GDP for which no evidence is presented. SIPRI recognises that using the PPP adjustment for military spending is inaccurate and therefore it is less reliable than using currency exchange rates. <em>See </em>Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, ‘Frequently Asked Questions’, SIPRI Military Expenditure Database, accessed 25 November 2023, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/frequently-asked-questions#PPP">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/frequently-asked-questions#PPP</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref22" name="_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Since China’s military spending is focused on only Chinese territory, there are clear limits to China’s military expansion, The country does not have significant military bases abroad, unlike the US with 902 in 2022. This idea is supported by the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: ‘China has thus far established only one actual, operating overseas military base, on the horn of Africa, in Djibouti, and is probably establishing a naval facility in Cambodia. But there are real limits to how far China can go in duplicating such places. As Isaac Kardon of the Carnegie Endowment has pointed out, China has no formal military alliances (beyond the dubious case of DPR Korea) and is unlikely to acquire any in the foreseeable future, a fact that imposes major constraints on its ability to establish serious military bases. Few if any countries wish to commit to housing full-fledged, sizeable military facilities that could project Chinese military power across their region and, in the process, invite an American response.’ <em>See</em> Michael D. Swaine, ‘Actually, China’s Military Isn’t Going Global’, <em>Responsible Statecraft</em>, 8 September 2023, <a href="https://responsiblestatecraft.org/china-military/">https://responsiblestatecraft.org/china-military/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref23" name="_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> The Editors, ‘US Military Bases and Empire’, Monthly Review, 1 March 2002, <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2002/03/01/u-s-military-bases-and-empire/.">https://monthlyreview.org/2002/03/01/u-s-military-bases-and-empire/.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref24" name="_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> ‘USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database’, <em>World Beyond War</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref25" name="_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2023</em>, International Institute for Security Studies, 15 February 2023, <a href="https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/">https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref26" name="_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Sally Williamson ‘Logistics Contractors and Strategic Logistics Advantage in US Military Operations’, <em>Logistics In War</em>, 4 June 2023, <a href="https://logisticsinwar.com/2023/06/04/logistics-contractors-and-strategic-logistics-advantage-in-us-military-operations/">https://logisticsinwar.com/2023/06/04/logistics-contractors-and-strategic-logistics-advantage-in-us-military-operations/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref27" name="_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> ‘Agreement Between the United States of America and Ghana’, Treaties and Other International Acts, series 18–531, US Department of State, <a href="https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/18-531-Ghana-Defense-Status-of-Forces.pdf">https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/18-531-Ghana-Defense-Status-of-Forces.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref28" name="_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> Vijay Prashad, ‘Why Does the United States Have a Military Base in Ghana?’, <em>Peoples Dispatch</em>, 15 June 2022, <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/06/15/why-does-the-united-states-have-a-military-base-in-ghana/">https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/06/15/why-does-the-united-states-have-a-military-base-in-ghana/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref29" name="_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Matthew P. Goodman and Matthew Wayland, ‘Securing Asia’s Subsea Network: US Interests and Strategic Options’, <em>Centre for Strategic International Studies</em>, 4 April 2022, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/securing-asias-subsea-network-us-interests-and-strategic-options">https://www.csis.org/analysis/securing-asias-subsea-network-us-interests-and-strategic-options</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref30" name="_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> ‘Utah Data Centre’, <em>Domestic Surveillance Directorate</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://nsa.gov1.info/utah-data-center/">https://nsa.gov1.info/utah-data-center/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref31" name="_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Nick Turse, ‘Pentagon Misled Congress About US Bases in Africa’, <em>The Intercept</em>, 8 September 2023, <a href="https://theintercept.com/2023/09/08/africa-air-base-us-military/">https://theintercept.com/2023/09/08/africa-air-base-us-military/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref32" name="_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> ‘USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database’, <em>World Beyond War</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref33" name="_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2023</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref34" name="_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2023</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref35" name="_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Barbara Salazar Torreon and Sofia Plagakis, <em>Instances of Use of United States Armed Forces Abroad, 1798–2023</em>, Congressional Research Service, 7 June 2023, <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref36" name="_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Kushi and Toft, ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project’, 4.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref37" name="_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Salazar Torreon and Plagakis, <em>Instances of Use of United States Armed Forces Abroad, 1798–2023</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref38" name="_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Sidita Kushi and Monica Duffy Toft, ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project: A New Dataset on US Military Interventions, 1776–2019’, <em>Journal of Conflict Resolution </em>67, no. 4 (2023): 752–779. <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00220027221117546?icid=int.sj-full-text.citing-articles.1">https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00220027221117546?icid=int.sj-full-text.citing-articles.1</a><u>.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref39" name="_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> The Military Intervention Project (MIP) has a slightly lower estimate than the larger lists from sources such as the Congressional Research Services (CRS), whose figures are more frequently cited by researchers. MIP uses a range of all known published databases. However, due to its more comprehensive definition, their aggregation process results in a slightly lower total figure due to reclassification. MIP and CRS, therefore, have incomparable data sets and incomparable raw numbers based on the different way they treat dating, scale, duration, legality, and intent. MIP and CRS have incomparable methodological approaches. We use CRS as it is the largest published data available. See Kushi and Toft, ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref40" name="_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Claudia Jones, ‘International Women’s Day and the Struggle for Peace’, speech delivered at a rally on 8 March 1950, <em>Liberation School</em>, 29 March 2023, <a href="https://www.liberationschool.org/claudia-jones-1950-iwd-speech/">https://www.liberationschool.org/claudia-jones-1950-iwd-speech/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref41" name="_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> Anthony Lake, ‘Confronting Backlash States’, <em>Foreign Affairs</em>, 1 March 1994, <a href="https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/1994-03-01/confronting-backlash-states">https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/1994-03-01/confronting-backlash-states</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref42" name="_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Francisco R. Rodríguez, ‘The Human Consequences of Economic Sanctions’, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 4 May 2023, <a href="https://cepr.net/press-release/new-report-finds-that-economic-sanctions-are-often-deadly-and-harm-peoples-living-standards-in-target-countries/">https://cepr.net/press-release/new-report-finds-that-economic-sanctions-are-often-deadly-and-harm-peoples-living-standards-in-target-countries/</a><u>.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref43" name="_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Agence France-Presse, ‘US Commerce Chief Warns against China “Threat”’, <em>South China Morning Post</em>, 3 December 2023, <a href="https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3243657/us-commerce-chief-warns-against-china-threat">https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3243657/us-commerce-chief-warns-against-china-threat</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref44" name="_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Deutscher Bundestag, <em>China-Strategie der Bundesregierung</em> [China Strategy of the Federal Government], 20/7770, 13 July 2023, <a href="https://dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/077/2007770.pdf">https://dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/077/2007770.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref45" name="_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Own elaboration based on data from Christoph Nedopil Wang, ‘Countries of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) – Green Finance &amp; Development Centre’, accessed 2 December 2023, <a href="https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/">https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref46" name="_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Global South Insights own elaboration based on World Bank WDI and IMF WEO.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref47" name="_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Eight Contradictions of the Imperialist “Rules-Based Order”</em>, Studies on Contemporary Dilemmas, 13 March 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/eight-contradiction-of-the-imperialist-rules-based-order/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/eight-contradiction-of-the-imperialist-rules-based-order/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref48" name="_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> All images in the ‘Common History of Imperialist Countries’ are in the public domain or under Creative Commons. See attribution, listed chronologically: Joseph Swain, <em>On Board a Slave Ship</em>, c.1835, <a href="https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:On_Board_a_Slave-Ship,_engraving_by_Swain_c._1835_Colorized.jpg">https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:On_Board_a_Slave-Ship,_engraving_by_Swain_c._1835_Colorized.jpg</a>; Unknown,<em> The </em><em>D</em><em>estruction of the Pequots</em>, c. 19<sup>th</sup> century, <a href="https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mystic_Massacre_1637_Destruction_Of_The_Pequots_in_Connecticut.png">https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mystic_Massacre_1637_Destruction_Of_The_Pequots_in_Connecticut.png</a>; Unknown, <em>The Berlin Conference on </em><em>P</em><em>artition of Africa</em>, c. 1884, <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Afrikakonferenz.jpg">https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Afrikakonferenz.jpg</a>; William Heysham Overend, <em>Chinese </em><em>O</em><em>fficers </em><em>T</em><em>ear </em><em>D</em><em>own the British </em><em>F</em><em>lag on the Arrow</em>, 8 October 1856, <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Chinese_officers_tear_down_the_British_flag_on_the_arrow.JPG">https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Chinese_officers_tear_down_the_British_flag_on_the_arrow.JPG</a>; Edward N. Jackson, Council of Four at the WWI Paris peace conference, 27 May 1919,  <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Big-Four-Paris_1919.jpg">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Big-Four-Paris_1919.jpg</a>; Charles Levy, <em>Atomic Cloud Rises Over Nagasaki, Japan</em>, 9 August 1945, <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nagasakibomb.jpg">https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nagasakibomb.jpg</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref49" name="_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> Utsa Patnaik, ‘Revisiting the “Drain”, or Transfer from India to Britain in the Context of Global Diffusion of Capitalism’, in <em>Agrarian and Other Histories: Essays for Binay Bhushan Chaudhuri</em>, edited by Shubhra Chakrabarti and Utsa Patnaik (New Delhi: Tulika, 2017).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref50" name="_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> Michael Johnson, ‘Teaching about Slavery’, Foreign Policy Research Institute, August 2008, <a href="https://www.fpri.org/article/2008/08/teaching-about-slavery/">https://www.fpri.org/article/2008/08/teaching-about-slavery/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref51" name="_edn51"><sup>51</sup></a> Wendy Sawyer and Peter Wagner, ‘Mass Incarceration: The Whole Pie 2023’, Prison Policy Initiative, 14 March 2023, <a href="https://www.prisonpolicy.org/reports/pie2023.html">https://www.prisonpolicy.org/reports/pie2023.html.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref52" name="_edn52"><sup>52</sup></a> ‘Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade – Database’, <em>SlaveVoyage</em>, 2019, <a href="https://www.slavevoyages.org/voyage/database">https://www.slavevoyages.org/voyage/database</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref53" name="_edn53"><sup>53</sup></a> Rachel Nuwer, ‘Mississippi Officially Ratifies Amendment to Ban Slavery, 148 Years Late’, <em>Smithsonian Magazine</em>, 20 February 2013, <a href="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/mississippi-officially-ratifies-amendment-to-ban-slavery-148-years-late-21328041/">https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/mississippi-officially-ratifies-amendment-to-ban-slavery-148-years-late-21328041/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref54" name="_edn54"><sup>54</sup></a> Maria Mies, <em>Patriarchy and Accumulation on a World Scale: Women in the International Division of Labour</em> (London: Zed Books, 2001).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref55" name="_edn55"><sup>55</sup></a> Jean Enriquez, ‘From “Comfort Women” to Prostitution in Military Bases’, <em>Capire</em>, 18 July 2023, <a href="https://capiremov.org/en/interview/from-comfort-women-to-prostitution-in-military-bases/">https://capiremov.org/en/interview/from-comfort-women-to-prostitution-in-military-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref56" name="_edn56"><sup>56</sup></a> Cori Bush and et. al., ‘Calling for an Immediate De-escalation and Cease-Fire in Israel and Occupied Palestine’, Pub. L. No. H.Res.786, 118th Congress (2023–2024) (2023), <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-resolution/786/cosponsors">https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-resolution/786/cosponsors.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref57" name="_edn57"><sup>57</sup></a> Rosalind C. Morris, ‘<em>Ursprüngliche Akkumulation</em>: The Secret of an Originary Mistranslation’, <em>boundary 2</em> 43, no. 3 (1 August 2016): 29–77, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1215/01903659-3572418">https://doi.org/10.1215/01903659-3572418</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref58" name="_edn58"><sup>58</sup></a> Daniel Larsen, <em>Plotting for Peace: American Peacemakers, British Codebreakers, and Britain at War, 1914–1917</em>, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021), <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108761833">https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108761833</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref59" name="_edn59"><sup>59</sup></a> Lenin, <em>Imperialism</em>; Rudolf Hilferding, <em>Finance Capital: A Study of the Latest Phase of Capitalist Development</em> (London: Routledge &amp; Kegan Paul, 1985).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref60" name="_edn60"><sup>60</sup></a> Vladimir Lenin, ‘Imperialism and the Split in Socialism’, in <em>V. I. Lenin Collected Works</em>, vol. 23 (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1964), 114, <a href="https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/oct/x01.htm">https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/oct/x01.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref61" name="_edn61"><sup>61</sup></a> ‘2023 Bilderberg Meeting Participant List’, <em>Public Intelligence</em>, 19 May 2023, <a href="https://publicintelligence.net/2023-bilderberg-participant-list/">https://publicintelligence.net/2023-bilderberg-participant-list/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref62" name="_edn62"><sup>62</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The Coup Against the Third World: Chile, 1973</em>, dossier no. 68, 5 September 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-68-the-coup-against-the-third-world-chile-1973/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-68-the-coup-against-the-third-world-chile-1973/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref63" name="_edn63"><sup>63</sup></a> Nalu Faria, ‘O Feminismo Latino-Americano e Caribenho: Perspectivas Diante Do Neo-liberalismo [Latin American and Caribbean Feminism: Perspectives on Neoliberalism]’, in <em>Desafios Do Livre Mercado Para o Feminismo [Challenges of the Free Market for Feminism]</em>, Cadernos Sempreviva 9 (São Paulo: SOF, 2005).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref64" name="_edn64"><sup>64</sup></a> Assange, <em>When Google Met WikiLeaks</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref65" name="_edn65"><sup>65</sup></a> Michael Hudson, <em>Super Imperialism: The Origin and Fundamentals of US World Dominance</em> (London: Pluto Press, 2003).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref66" name="_edn66"><sup>66</sup></a> ‘The Transistor Revolution: How Transistors Changed the World’, <em>Arrow</em>, 22 December 2022, <a href="https://www.arrow.com/en/research-and-events/articles/the-transistor-revolution-how-transistors-changed-the-world">https://www.arrow.com/en/research-and-events/articles/the-transistor-revolution-how-transistors-changed-the-world</a>; Omar Sohail, ’ Apple’s M3 Max Has the Highest Generational Leap in Transistor Count with a 37 Percent Difference Compared to the M2 Max’, <em>WCCF Tech</em>, 3 Novemeber 2023, <a href="https://wccftech.com/apple-m3-max-highest-transistor-count-for-any-m-series-chip/">https://wccftech.com/apple-m3-max-highest-transistor-count-for-any-m-series-chip/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref67" name="_edn67"><sup>67</sup></a> <em>2023 Year in Review – India Review</em>, Comscore, December 2023, <a href="https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Events-and-Webinars/Webinar/2023/2023-Year-in-Review-India-Edition">https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Events-and-Webinars/Webinar/2023/2023-Year-in-Review-India-Edition</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref68" name="_edn68"><sup>68</sup></a> Kevin Townsend, ‘Bad Bots Account for 73% of Internet Traffic: Analysis’, <em>Security Week</em>, 16 November 2023, <a href="https://www.securityweek.com/bad-bots-account-for-73-of-internet-traffic-analysis/">https://www.securityweek.com/bad-bots-account-for-73-of-internet-traffic-analysis/</a>; <em>Unheard Voices: Evaluating Five Years of pro-Western Covert Influence Operations</em>, Graphika and Stanford Internet Observatory, 24 August 2022, <a href="https://public-assets.graphika.com/reports/graphika_stanford_internet_observatory_report_unheard_voice.pdf.">https://public-assets.graphika.com/reports/graphika_stanford_internet_observatory_report_unheard_voice.pdf.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref69" name="_edn69"><sup>69</sup></a> Janan Ganesh, ‘America’s Cultural Supremacy and Geopolitical Weakness’, <em>Financial Times</em>, 19 December 2023,<u> </u><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/dce07860-f39e-432b-a0f6-1a2124e4e1a3">https://www.ft.com/content/dce07860-f39e-432b-a0f6-1a2124e4e1a3</a><u>.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref70" name="_edn70"><sup>70</sup></a> <em>See </em>Karl Marx, ‘Component Parts of Bank Capital’, in <em>Capital</em>, vol. III (New York: International Publishers, 1995), <a href="https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1894-c3/ch15.htm">https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1894-c3/ch15.htm</a>, 336–337.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref71" name="_edn71"><sup>71</sup></a> ‘OTC Derivatives Statistics at End-June 2023’, Bank of International Settlements, 16 November 2023, <a href="https://www.bis.org/publ/otc_hy2311.pdf">https://www.bis.org/publ/otc_hy2311.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref72" name="_edn72"><sup>72</sup></a> ‘OTC Derivatives Statistics at End-June 2023’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref73" name="_edn73"><sup>73</sup></a> Samir Amin, ‘How to Defeat the Collective Imperialism of the Triad’, <em>Monthly Reviw</em>, 5 December 2022, <a href="https://mronline.org/2022/12/05/samir-amin-how-to-defeat-the-collective-imperialism-of-the-triad/">https://mronline.org/2022/12/05/samir-amin-how-to-defeat-the-collective-imperialism-of-the-triad/</a>; Samir Amin, <em>Globalisation and Its Alternative</em>, interviewed by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, 30 October 2018, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/globalisation-and-its-alternative/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/globalisation-and-its-alternative/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref74" name="_edn74"><sup>74</sup></a> ‘Religion and the Founding of the American Republic’, Exhibitions, Library of Congress, <a href="https://www.loc.gov/exhibits/religion/rel01.html">https://www.loc.gov/exhibits/religion/rel01.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref75" name="_edn75"><sup>75</sup></a> Mohammad Shahid Alam, <em>Israeli Exceptionalism: The Destabilising Logic of Zionism</em> (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009), 109.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref76" name="_edn76"><sup>76</sup></a> Stuart Laycock, <em>All the Countries We’ve Ever Invaded: And the Few We Never Got Round To</em> (London: The History Press, 2012).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref77" name="_edn77"><sup>77</sup></a> ‘Israel Hits Gaza Strip with the Equivalent of Two Nuclear Bombs’, <em>Euro-Mediterranean Human Rights Monitor</em>, 2 November 2023, <a href="https://euromedmonitor.org/en/article/5908/Israel-hit-Gaza-Strip-with-the-equivalent-of-two-nuclear-bombs">https://euromedmonitor.org/en/article/5908/Israel-hit-Gaza-Strip-with-the-equivalent-of-two-nuclear-bombs</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref78" name="_edn78"><sup>78</sup></a> Jeremy M. Sharp, <em>US Foreign Aid to Israel</em>, Congressional Research Service, 1 March 2023, <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/RL/RL33222/">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/RL/RL33222/</a>, i.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref79" name="_edn79"><sup>79</sup></a> ‘How Much Aid Does the US Give to Israel?’, <em>USA FACTS</em>, 12 October 2023, <a href="https://usafacts.org/articles/how-much-military-aid-does-the-us-give-to-israel/">https://usafacts.org/articles/how-much-military-aid-does-the-us-give-to-israel/</a><u>. </u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref80" name="_edn80"><sup>80</sup></a> Vladimir Lenin, ‘Once Again on the Trade Unions: The Current Situation and the Mistakes of Trotsky and Bukharin’, in <em>V. I. Lenin Collected Works</em>, vol. 32 (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1965), 70­–107.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref81" name="_edn81"><sup>81</sup></a> Justin Cremer, ‘Denmark Is One of the NSA’s “9-Eyes”’, <em>The Copenhagen Post</em>, 4 November 2013, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20131219010450/http:/cphpost.dk/news/denmark-is-one-of-the-nsas-9-eyes.7611.html">https://web.archive.org/web/20131219010450/http:/cphpost.dk/news/denmark-is-one-of-the-nsas-9-eyes.7611.html</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref82" name="_edn82"><sup>82</sup></a> Ryan Gallagher, ‘The Powerful Global Spy Alliance You Never Knew Existed’, <em>The Intercept</em>, 1 March 2018, <a href="https://theintercept.com/2018/03/01/nsa-global-surveillance-sigint-seniors/">https://theintercept.com/2018/03/01/nsa-global-surveillance-sigint-seniors/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref83" name="_edn83"><sup>83</sup></a> Office of Press Secretary, ‘Remarks By President Obama to the Australian Parliament’, The White House, 17 November 2011, <a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks-president-obama-australian-parliament">https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks-president-obama-australian-parliament</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref84" name="_edn84"><sup>84</sup></a> ‘Japan Defence: China Threat Prompts Plan to Double Military Spending’, <em>BBC</em>, 16 December 2022 <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64001554">https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64001554</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref85" name="_edn85"><sup>85</sup></a> According to the World Bank, ‘high-income economies are those with a GNI per capita of $13,846 or more’, <em>see</em> ‘World Bank Country and Lending Groups’, The World Bank, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519#High_income">https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519#High_income</a>; ‘GNI per Capita, Atlas Method (Current US$) – China’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD?end=2022&amp;locations=CN&amp;start=2005">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD?end=2022&amp;locations=CN&amp;start=2005</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref86" name="_edn86"><sup>86</sup></a> Xi Jinping, speech at the Closing Ceremony of the BRICS Business Forum 2023. Full text: <a href="https://newsaf.cgtn.com/news/2023-08-23/Full-text-Xi-Jinping-s-speech-at-the-Closing-Ceremony-of-the-BRICS-Business-Forum-2023-1mulkZSzuso/index.html">https://newsaf.cgtn.com/news/2023-08-23/Full-text-Xi-Jinping-s-speech-at-the-Closing-Ceremony-of-the-BRICS-Business-Forum-2023-1mulkZSzuso/index.html</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref87" name="_edn87"><sup>87</sup></a> For more, <em>see</em> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The World Needs a New Socialist Development Theory</em>, dossier no. 66, 4 July 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-66-development-theory/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-66-development-theory/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref88" name="_edn88"><sup>88</sup></a> Larissa Mies Bombardi, <em>Agrotóxicos e Colonialismo Químico</em> [Agrotoxins and Pesticide Colonialism] (São Paulo, SP: Elefante, 2023).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref89" name="_edn89"><sup>89</sup></a> Larissa Packer and Camila Moreno, eds., O Brasil Na Retomada Verde: Integrar Para Entregar [Brazil in the Green Recovery: Integrate to Deliver] (Brasília: Grupo Carta de Belém, 2021).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref90" name="_edn90"><sup>90</sup></a> Own elaboration based on IMF data.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref91" name="_edn91"><sup>91</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Serve the People: The Eradication of Extreme Poverty in China</em>, Studies in Socialist Construction no. 1, 23 July 2021, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-1-socialist-construction/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-1-socialist-construction/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref92" name="_edn92"><sup>92</sup></a> Xi Jinping, Hold High the Great Banner of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics and Strive in Unity to Build a Modern Socialist Country in All Respects, report to the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, 16 October 2022, <a href="http://my.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zgxw/202210/t20221026_10792358.htm">http://my.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zgxw/202210/t20221026_10792358.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref93" name="_edn93"><sup>93</sup></a> Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, <em>The Communist Manifesto</em>, 22nd printing of 100th anniversary ed (New York: International Publishers, 1979).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref94" name="_edn94"><sup>94</sup></a> Bureau of Political-Military Affairs, ‘US Security Cooperation with Ukraine’, US Department of State, 12 December 2023, <a href="https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/">https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref95" name="_edn95"><sup>95</sup></a> Joe Biden, ‘Remarks by President Biden on the End of the War in Afghanistan’, The White House, 31 August 2021, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/08/31/remarks-by-president-biden-on-the-end-of-the-war-in-afghanistan/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/08/31/remarks-by-president-biden-on-the-end-of-the-war-in-afghanistan/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref96" name="_edn96"><sup>96</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Syria’s Bloody and Unforgiving War</em>, dossier no. 3, 5 April 2018, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-3-syrias-bloody-war/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-3-syrias-bloody-war/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref97" name="_edn97"><sup>97</sup></a> ‘Manufacturing, Value Added (% Of GDP) – South Africa’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS?locations=ZA">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS?locations=ZA</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref98" name="_edn98"><sup>98</sup></a> Rodríguez, ‘The Human Consequences of Economic Sanctions’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref99" name="_edn99"><sup>99</sup></a>Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, ‘The Emergence of a New Non-Alignment’, newsletter no. 24, 15 June 2023, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/new-non-alignment/.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref100" name="_edn100"><sup>100</sup></a> Patrick Wintour, ‘Gulf States Fend off Call From Iran to Arm Palestinians at Riyadh Summit’, <em>The Guardian</em>, 12 November 2023, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/12/gulf-states-fend-off-call-from-iran-to-arm-palestinians-at-riyadh-summit">https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/12/gulf-states-fend-off-call-from-iran-to-arm-palestinians-at-riyadh-summit</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref101" name="_edn101"><sup>101</sup></a> Own elaboration based on World Bank data.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref102" name="_edn102"><sup>102</sup></a> Kyunghoon Kim and Andy Sumner, ‘Bringing State-Owned Entities Back into the Industrial Policy Debate: The Case of Indonesia’, <em>Structural Change and Economic Dynamics</em> 59 (December 2021): 496–509, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2021.10.002">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2021.10.002</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref103" name="_edn103"><sup>103</sup></a> ‘Exports of Goods and Services (current US$) – Indonesia’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.CD?locations=ID">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.CD?locations=ID</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref104" name="_edn104"><sup>104</sup></a> Daniel Kritenbrink et al., ‘Joint Statement on the United States-Indonesia Senior Officials’ 2+2 Foreign Policy and Defense Dialogue’, US Department of Defence, 23 October 2023, <a href="https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3566363/joint-statement-on-the-united-states-indonesia-senior-officials-22-foreign-poli/">https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3566363/joint-statement-on-the-united-states-indonesia-senior-officials-22-foreign-poli/</a>; ‘US Embassy Tracked Indonesia Mass Murder 1965’, <em>National Security Archive</em>, 17 October 2017, <a href="https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017-10-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files">https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017-10-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref105" name="_edn105"><sup>105</sup></a> Ana Esther Ceceña and David Rodriguez, ‘La Guerra Contra El Narco En México Como Política de Reordenamiento Social’, OLAG, no. 157 (2022), <a href="https://geopolitica.iiec.unam.mx/index.php/node/1294">https://geopolitica.iiec.unam.mx/index.php/node/1294</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref106" name="_edn106"><sup>106</sup></a> Timothy A. Wise, ‘The US Assault on Mexico’s Food Sovereignty’, <em>Global Issues</em>, 6 June 2023, <a href="https://www.globalissues.org/news/2023/06/06/33954">https://www.globalissues.org/news/2023/06/06/33954</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref107" name="_edn107"><sup>107</sup></a> Chaba Brahim, ‘“Until Our Territories Are Free”: Women From Western Sahara in Ceaseless Struggle’, <em>Capire</em>, 18 February 2021, <a href="https://capiremov.org/en/interview/until-our-territories-are-free/">https://capiremov.org/en/interview/until-our-territories-are-free/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref108" name="_edn108"><sup>108</sup></a> ‘The Spirit of Camp David: Joint Statement of Japan, the Republic of Korea, and the United States’, press statement, White House, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/the-spirit-of-camp-david-joint-statement-of-japan-the-republic-of-korea-and-the-united-states/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/the-spirit-of-camp-david-joint-statement-of-japan-the-republic-of-korea-and-the-united-states/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref109" name="_edn109"><sup>109</sup></a> Shanna Khayat, ‘GSOMIA vs. TISA: What Is the Big Deal?’, <em>Pacific Forum</em>, 10 February 2020, <a href="https://pacforum.org/publication/yl-blog-19-gsomia-vs-tisa-what-is-the-big-deal">https://pacforum.org/publication/yl-blog-19-gsomia-vs-tisa-what-is-the-big-deal</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref110" name="_edn110"><sup>110</sup></a> The data and charts for this section of the document rely heavily on published research by economist John Ross.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref111" name="_edn111"><sup>111</sup></a> The data and charts for this section of the document rely heavily on published research by economist John Ross.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref111" name="_edn111"><sup>111</sup></a> Calculated by John Ross from <em>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics: </em>United Kingdom, United States of America, Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan,<em> and</em> Sweden, compiled by T. Liesner (The Economist, 1989) and ‘International Transactions’, Table 1, Bureau of Economic Analysis Data, accessed 13 November 2022, <a href="https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-transactions">https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-transactions</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref112" name="_edn112"><sup>112</sup></a> Lenin, ‘Once Again on the Trade Unions’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref113" name="_edn113"><sup>113</sup></a> Atish Rex Ghosh and Uma Ramakrishnan, ‘Current Account Deficits’, International Monetary Fund, accessed 7 December 2023, <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/Series/Back-to-Basics/Current-Account-Deficits">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/Series/Back-to-Basics/Current-Account-Deficits</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref114" name="_edn114"><sup>114</sup></a> Hudson, <em>Super Imperialism</em>, 77.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref115" name="_edn115"><sup>115</sup></a> Langston Hughes, <em>The Collected Poems of Langston Hughes</em>, 1st ed (New York: Knopf, distributed by Random House, 1994).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref116" name="_edn116"><sup>116</sup></a> Vladimir Putin, speech delivered at the Munich Security Council, Munich, Germany, 10 February 2007, <a href="https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf">https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref117" name="_edn117"><sup>117</sup></a> To understand why we refrain from using the terms ‘great recession’ or the ‘great financial crisis’, <em>see </em>our study: <em>The World in Economic Depression: A Marxist Analysis of Crisis</em>, notebook no. 4, 10 October 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-notebook-4-economic-crisis/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-notebook-4-economic-crisis/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref118" name="_edn118"><sup>118</sup></a> Independent Voter Project, ‘DNC to Court: We Are a Private Corporation With No Obligation to Follow Our Rules’, <em>Independent Voter News</em>, 14 August 2022, <a href="https://ivn.us/posts/dnc-to-court-we-are-a-private-corporation-with-no-obligation-to-follow-our-rules">https://ivn.us/posts/dnc-to-court-we-are-a-private-corporation-with-no-obligation-to-follow-our-rules</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref119" name="_edn119"><sup>119</sup></a>Associated Press, ‘Many Who Met with Clinton as Secretary of State Donated to Foundation’, CNBC, 23 August 2016, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref120" name="_edn120"><sup>120</sup></a> Joseph A. Schumpeter, <em>Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy</em> (New York: Harper Perennial Modern Thought, 2008).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref121" name="_edn121"><sup>121</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2022</em>, International Institute for Security Studies, 15 February 2023, <a href="https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/">https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref122" name="_edn122"><sup>122</sup></a> Vijay Prashad, <em>The Poorer Nations: A Possible History of the Global South</em> (London &amp; New York: Verso, 2014).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref123" name="_edn123"><sup>123</sup></a> A. De La Cruz, A. Medina, and Y. Tang, ‘Owners of the World’s Listed Companies’, OECD Capital Market Series, 17 October 2019, <a href="https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.htm">https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref124" name="_edn124"><sup>124</sup></a> <em>Who Owns the German DAX? The Ownership Structure of the German DAX 30 in 2020 – A Joint Study of IHS Markit and DIRK</em>, IHS Markit, June 2021, <a href="https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020---DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf">https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020—DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref125" name="_edn125"><sup>125</sup></a>  Henrik Ahlers, <em>Wem gehört der DAX? Analyse der Aktionärsstruktur der im Deutschen Aktienindex vertretenen Unternehmen </em>[Who Owns the Dax? Analysis of the Shareholder Structure of the Companies Represented in the German Stock Index] (Ernst &amp; Young, July 2023), <a href="https://www.ey.com/de_de/forms/download-forms/2023/07/wem-gehoert-der-dax-2023">https://www.ey.com/de_de/forms/download-forms/2023/07/wem-gehoert-der-dax-2023</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref126" name="_edn126"><sup>126</sup></a><em>Who Owns the German DAX?</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref127" name="_edn127"><sup>127</sup></a> ‘Foreign Direct Investment, Net Inflows (BoP, Current US$) – Germany’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?end=2022&amp;locations=DE&amp;start=1971">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?end=2022&amp;locations=DE&amp;start=1971</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref128" name="_edn128"><sup>128</sup></a> John Ross, ‘事实表明，中国经济表现继续远优于G7国家 [Facts show China’s economy continues to far outperform the G7 economies]’, <em>Weibo</em> (blog), 12 April 2023, https://weibo.com/ttarticle/p/show?id=2309404975244548113063.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref129" name="_edn129"><sup>129</sup></a> ‘US Companies Dominating European TV Market’, <em>Moonshot News</em> (blog), 20 January 2022, <a href="https://moonshot.news/news/media-news/us-companies-dominating-european-tv-market/">https://moonshot.news/news/media-news/us-companies-dominating-european-tv-market/</a>; Agnes Schneeberger, ‘Audiovisual Media Services in Europe – 2023 edition’, June 2023, European Audiovisual Observatory and the Council of Europe, <a href="https://rm.coe.int/audiovisual-media-services-in-europe-2023-edition-a-schneeberger/1680abc9bc#:~:text=Around%20one%20in%20five%20(18,in%20documentary%20and%20children's%20programming">https://rm.coe.int/audiovisual-media-services-in-europe-2023-edition-a-schneeberger/1680abc9bc#:~:text=Around%20one%20in%20five%20(18,in%20documentary%20and%20children’s%20programming</a><u>, 7.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref130" name="_edn130"><sup>130</sup></a> Hudson, <em>Super Imperialism</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref131" name="_edn131"><sup>131</sup></a> ‘Namibia Condemns Germany for Defending Israel in ICJ Genocide Case’, Al Jazeera, 14 January 2024, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/1/14/namibia-condemns-germany-for-defending-israel-in-icj-genocide-case.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref132" name="_edn132"><sup>132</sup></a> Marx, ‘Exposition of the Internal Contradictions of the Law’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref133" name="_edn133"><sup>133</sup></a> David Hoffman, ‘Russia’s Billionaire Matchmaker To the West’, <em>Washington Post</em>, 24 September 2002, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/lifestyle/2002/09/24/russias-billionaire-matchmaker-to-the-west/e6c98740-ac21-4933-a445-674ea6149102">https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/lifestyle/2002/09/24/russias-billionaire-matchmaker-to-the-west/e6c98740-ac21-4933-a445-674ea6149102</a>/.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref134" name="_edn134"><sup>134</sup></a> Brian D. Blankenship, ‘NATO and the Persistent Problem of German Defense Spending’, Cornell University Press (blog), 1 November 2023, <a href="https://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/burden-sharing-dilemma-coercive-diplomacy-brian-blankenship-11-01-2023/">https://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/burden-sharing-dilemma-coercive-diplomacy-brian-blankenship-11-01-2023/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref135" name="_edn135"><sup>135</sup></a> Mari Yamguchi, ‘Japan to Jointly Develop New Fighter Jet with UK, Italy’, <em>Associated Press</em>, 9 December 2022, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/business-japan-united-kingdom-government-states-219e0adadd5f14b115766141cd0c5f6f">https://apnews.com/article/business-japan-united-kingdom-government-states-219e0adadd5f14b115766141cd0c5f6f</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref136" name="_edn136"><sup>136</sup></a> Valerie Insinna, ‘US Gives the Green Light to Japan’s $23B F-35 Buy’, 10 July 2020, <a href="https://www.defensenews.com/smr/2020/07/09/us-gives-the-green-light-to-japans-massive-23b-f-35-buy/">https://www.defensenews.com/smr/2020/07/09/us-gives-the-green-light-to-japans-massive-23b-f-35-buy/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref137" name="_edn137"><sup>137</sup></a> If there is evidence that industry has a significantly lower conversion than other elements of GDP, the PPP figures we have presented would overstate for the percentages for the Global South. We feel that despite this possible error the direction of this approach provides useful insights. The percentage composition of the GDP by sector depends on the price data used to measure the value added of each of them. The PPP conversion factors are statistical estimates based on baskets of goods and services for benchmark years that are further applied to the GDP for GDP (PPP) estimates.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref138" name="_edn138"><sup>138</sup></a> Barbara Kollmeyer, ‘“Right Now There Are Changes, the Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen in 100 Years.” Here’s What China’s Xi Said to Putin before Leaving Russia’, <em>Market Watch</em>, 22 March 2023, <a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/right-now-there-are-changes-the-likes-of-which-we-havent-seen-in-100-years-what-china-president-xi-said-to-putin-before-leaving-russia-d15150ce">https://www.marketwatch.com/story/right-now-there-are-changes-the-likes-of-which-we-havent-seen-in-100-years-what-china-president-xi-said-to-putin-before-leaving-russia-d15150ce</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref139" name="_edn139"><sup>139</sup></a> Agnieszka Bryc, ‘The Russian Federation and Reshaping a Post-Cold War Order’, <em>Politeja</em> 5, no. 62 (31 October 2019): 161–74, <a href="https://doi.org/10.12797/Politeja.16.2019.62.09">https://doi.org/10.12797/Politeja.16.2019.62.09</a>; Vladimir Putin, speech delivered at the Munich Security Council, Munich, Germany, 10 February 2007, <a href="https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf">https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref140" name="_edn140"><sup>139</sup></a> ‘Special Report: Cables Show US Sizing up China’s Next Leader’, <em>Reuters</em>, 17 February 2011, <a href="https://www.reuters.comarticle/idUSTRE71G5WH/">https://www.reuters.comarticle/idUSTRE71G5WH/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref141" name="_edn141"><sup>141</sup></a> Luke Hunt, ‘The World’s Gaze Turns to the South Pacific’, <em>The Diplomat</em>, 4 September 2012, <a href="https://thediplomat.com/2012/09/the-worlds-gaze-turns-to-the-south-pacific/">https://thediplomat.com/2012/09/the-worlds-gaze-turns-to-the-south-pacific/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref142" name="_edn142"><sup>142</sup></a> Xi Jinping, ‘Remarks by President Obama and President Xi Jinping in Joint Press Conference’, 12 November 2014, The White House, <a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2014/11/12/remarks-president-obama-and-president-xi-jinping-joint-press-conference#:~:text=At%20the%20same%20time%2C%20I,instead%20of%20mutually%20exclusive%20ones">https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2014/11/12/remarks-president-obama-and-president-xi-jinping-joint-press-conference#:~:text=At%20the%20same%20time%2C%20I,instead%20of%20mutually%20exclusive%20ones</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref143" name="_edn143"><sup>143</sup></a> ‘China to Leapfrog US as World’s Biggest Economy by 2028 – Think Tank’, <em>Reuters</em>, 26 December 2020, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN290003/">https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN290003/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref144" name="_edn144"><sup>144</sup></a> Zbigniew Brzezinski, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 55; 30–31.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref145" name="_edn145"><sup>145</sup></a> The Editors, ‘Notes from the Editors’, <em>Monthly Review</em> 75, no. 4 (1 September 2023), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2023/09/01/mr-075-04-2023-08_0/">https://monthlyreview.org/2023/09/01/mr-075-04-2023-08_0/</a>; Jake Sullivan, ‘Remarks by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Renewing American Economic Leadership at the Brookings Institution’, The White House, 27 April 2023, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref146" name="_edn146"><sup>146</sup></a> Nomaan Merchant et al., ‘US Announces $345 Million Military Aid Package for Taiwan’, TIME, 29 July 2023, <a href="https://time.com/6299419/us-military-aid-taiwan/">https://time.com/6299419/us-military-aid-taiwan/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref147" name="_edn147"><sup>147</sup></a> Despite the recent exposures of fraudulent practices, behavioural economics was successfully weaponised by US intelligence in online media campaigns.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref148" name="_edn148"><sup>148</sup></a> Daniel McAdams, ‘“What Is The Empire’s Strategy?” – Col Lawrence Wilkerson Speech At RPI Media &amp; War Conference’, The Ron Paul Institute for Peace &amp; Prosperity, 22 August 2018, <a href="https://ronpaulinstitute.org/what-is-the-empires-strategy-col-lawrence-wilkerson-speech-at-rpi-media-war-conference/">https://ronpaulinstitute.org/what-is-the-empires-strategy-col-lawrence-wilkerson-speech-at-rpi-media-war-conference/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref149" name="_edn149"><sup>149</sup></a> Colum Lynch, ‘State Department Lawyers Concluded Insufficient Evidence to Prove Genocide in China’, <em>Foreign Policy</em>, 19 February 2021, <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/02/19/china-uighurs-genocide-us-pompeo-blinken/">https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/02/19/china-uighurs-genocide-us-pompeo-blinken/</a>; ‘Textile Exports by Country 2023’, <em>World Population Review</em>, accessed 26 December 2023, <a href="https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/textile-exports-by-country">https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/textile-exports-by-country</a>; ‘China’s Major Exports by Quantity and Value, December 2022 (in USD)’, General Administration of Customs, People’s Republic of China, 8 January 2023, <a href="http://english.customs.gov.cn/Statics/aeb5aefa-b537-4ef3-8e13-59244228cb0e.html">http://english.customs.gov.cn/Statics/aeb5aefa-b537-4ef3-8e13-59244228cb0e.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref150" name="_edn150"><sup>150</sup></a> Li Xuanmin, ‘A Decade of BRI Development Transforms China’s Xinjiang Region into a Core Area of the Silk Road Economic Belt – Global Times’, <em>Global Times</em>, 1 October 2023, <a href="https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202310/1299158.shtml">https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202310/1299158.shtml</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref151" name="_edn151"><sup>151</sup></a> Gregory C. Allen, ‘Choking off China’s Access to the Future of AI’, Centre for Strategic and International Studies, 11 October 2023, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/choking-chinas-access-future-ai">https://www.csis.org/analysis/choking-chinas-access-future-ai</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref152" name="_edn152"><sup>152</sup></a> Alex W. Palmer, ‘“An Act of War”: Inside America’s Silicon Blockade Against China’, <em>The New York Times</em>, 12 July 2023, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/magazine/semiconductor-chips-us-china.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/magazine/semiconductor-chips-us-china.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref153" name="_edn153"><sup>153</sup></a> Xinhua, ‘The Belt and Road Initiative: A Key Pillar of the Global Community of Shared Future’, State Council Information Office, People’s Republic of China, 10 October 2023, <a href="http://english.scio.gov.cn/whitepapers/2023-10/10/content_116735061_5.htm">http://english.scio.gov.cn/whitepapers/2023-10/10/content_116735061_5.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref154" name="_edn154"><sup>154</sup></a> David Choi, ‘US, South Korean, Canadian Warships Train in Yellow Sea Ahead of Incheon Anniversary’, <em>Stars and Stripes</em>, 15 September 2023, <a href="https://www.stripes.com/branches/navy/2023-09-15/trilateral-naval-drill-yellow-sea-incheon-11383145.html">https://www.stripes.com/branches/navy/2023-09-15/trilateral-naval-drill-yellow-sea-incheon-11383145.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref155" name="_edn155"><sup>155</sup></a> An Dong, ‘黄海军演仅5小时，美准航母跑路，舰载机坠毁，美军被迫发帖寻找 [Just Five Hours into the Yellow Sea Naval Exercise, a US Quasi-Aircraft Carrier Ran Away, Its Carrier Crashed, and the US Military Was Forced to Post a Search for It]’, <em>IFENG</em>, 18 September 2023, <a href="https://i.ifeng.com/c/8TBMF5tH2bY">https://i.ifeng.com/c/8TBMF5tH2bY</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref156" name="_edn156"><sup>156</sup></a> ‘Investor FAQs’, New Development Bank, accessed 26 November 2023, https://www.ndb.int/investor-relations/inverstor-faqs/; BRICS Information Centre, ‘Treaty for the Establishment of a BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement’, University of Toronto, accessed 26 November 2023, <a href="http://www.brics.utoronto.ca/docs/140715-treaty.html">http://www.brics.utoronto.ca/docs/140715-treaty.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref157" name="_edn157"><sup>157</sup></a> ‘Answers to the Questions of the Video Conference “SCO – Shaping Eurasia”’, The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, 27 October 2020, <a href="https://eng.sectsco.org/20201027/686658.html">https://eng.sectsco.org/20201027/686658.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref158" name="_edn158"><sup>158</sup></a> Christoph Nedopil Wang, ‘China Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) Investment Report 2023 H1’, Green Finance &amp; Development Centre, 1 August 2023, <a href="https://greenfdc.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-investment-report-2023-h1/">https://greenfdc.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-investment-report-2023-h1/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref159" name="_edn159"><sup>159</sup></a> Mao Zedong, ‘Speech at the Wuchang Meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China’, in <em>Selected Works of Mao Tse-Tung</em>, vol. IV (Beijing: Foreign Languages Press, 1958), 98–99, <a href="https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/mao/works/red-book/ch06.htm.">https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/mao/works/red-book/ch06.htm.</a></p>
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		<title>Eight Contradictions of the Imperialist ‘Rules-Based Order’</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/eight-contradiction-of-the-imperialist-rules-based-order/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Mar 2023 10:00:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Doomsday Clock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eight contradictions of the Imperialist Rules Based Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international rules-based order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine War]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=74912</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Our latest study explores how the decline of Global North hegemony has shifted the geopolitical landscape and opened new possibilities for emergent organisations of the Global South.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-74785 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card.png" alt="" width="950" height="499" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card-300x158.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card-768x403.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p>We are now entering a qualitatively new phase of world history. Significant global changes have emerged in the years since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. This can be seen in a new phase of imperialism and changes in the particularities of eight contradictions.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>1. The contradiction between moribund imperialism and an emerging successful socialism led by China</strong><strong>.</strong></span></h3>
<p>This contradiction has intensified because of the peaceful rise of socialism with Chinese characteristics. For the first time in 500 years, the Atlantic imperialist powers are confronted by a large, non-white economic power that can compete with them. This became clear in 2013 when China’s GDP in purchasing power parity (PPP) overtook that of the United States. China accomplished this in a much shorter period than the West, with a significantly larger population and without colonies, enslaving others, or military conquest. Whilst China stands for peaceful relations, the US has become increasingly bellicose.</p>
<p>The US has led the imperialist camp since World War II. Post-Angela Merkel and with the advent of the Ukraine military operation, the US strategically subordinated dominant sections of the European and Japanese bourgeoisie. This has resulted in weakening intra-imperialist contradictions. The US first permitted and then demanded that both Japan (the third-largest economy in the world) and Germany (the fourth-largest economy) – two fascist powers during World War II – greatly increase their military expenditure. The result has been the ending of Europe’s economic relationship with Russia, damage to the European economy, and economic and political benefits for the US. Despite the capitulation of most of Europe’s political elite to full US subordination, some large sections of German capital are heavily dependent on trade with China, much more than on their US counterparts. The US, however, is now pressuring Europe to downgrade its ties to China.</p>
<p>More importantly, China and the socialist camp now face an even more dangerous entity: the consolidated structure of the Triad (the United States, Europe, and Japan). The US’s growing internal social decay should not mask the near absolute unity of its political elite on foreign policy. We are witnessing the bourgeoisie placing its political and military interests over its short-term economic interests.</p>
<p>The centre of the world economy is shifting, with Russia and the Global South (including China) now accounting for 65% of the world’s GDP (measured in PPP). From 1950 until the present, the US share of the global GDP (in PPP) has fallen from 27% to 15%. The growth of the US’s GDP has also been declining for more than five decades and has now fallen to only around 2% per year. It has no large new markets in which to expand. The West suffers from an ongoing general crisis of capitalism as well as the consequences of the long-term tendency of the rate of profit to decline.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">2. The contradiction between the ruling classes of the narrow band of imperialist G7 countries and the political and economic elite of capitalist countries in the Global South.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>This relationship has undergone a major change from the heydays of the 1990s and the height of US unilateral power and arrogance. Today, there are growing cracks in the alliance between the G7 and Global South power elites. Mukesh Ambani and Gautam Adani, India’s largest billionaires, need oil and coal from Russia. The far-right Modi-led government represents India’s monopoly bourgeoisie. Thus, the Indian foreign minister now makes occasional statements against US hegemony in finance, sanctions, and other areas. The West does not have the economic and political ability to always provide what power elites in India, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey need. This contradiction, however, has not sharpened to the degree that it can be a focal point of other contradictions, unlike the contradiction between socialist China and the US-led G7 bloc.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">3. The contradiction between the broad urban and rural working class and sections of the lower petty bourgeoisie (collectively known as the popular classes) of the Global South versus the US-led imperial power elite.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>This contradiction is slowly becoming sharper. The West has a great soft power advantage in the Global South amongst all classes. Yet, for the first time in decades, young Africans have come out to support the expulsion of French troops in Mali and Burkina Faso in West Africa. For the first time, the popular classes in Colombia were able to elect a new government that rejected the country’s status as a vassal outpost of US military and intelligence forces. Working-class women are at the forefront of many critical battles of both the working class and society at large. Young people are rising up against the environmental crimes of capitalism. Growing numbers of the working class are identifying their struggles for peace, development, and justice as explicitly anti-imperialist. They are now able to see through the lies of US <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-17-venezuela-and-hybrid-wars-in-latin-america/">‘human rights’ ideology</a>, the destruction of the environment by Western energy and mining companies, and the violence of US <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-36-twilight/">hybrid war</a> and sanctions.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>4. The contradiction between advanced rent-seeking finance capital versus the needs of the popular classes, and even some sections of capital in non-socialist countries, regarding the organisation of societies’ requirements for investment in industry, environmentally sustainable agriculture, employment, and development.</strong></span></h3>
<p>This contradiction is a result of the decline in the rate of profit and the difficulty of capital to increase the rate of exploitation of the working class to a sufficient level able to finance increasing investment requirements and remain competitive. Outside of the socialist camp, in almost all of the advanced capitalist countries and in most of the Global South – with some exceptions, especially in Asia – there is an investment crisis. New types of firms have arisen that include hedge funds such as Bridgewater Associates and private equity firms such as BlackRock. ‘Private markets’ controlled $9.8 trillion worth of assets in 2022. Derivatives, a form of fictitious and speculative capital, are now worth $18.3 trillion in ‘market’ value but have a $632 trillion notional value – a value more than five times higher than the world’s total actual GDP.</p>
<p>A new class of information technology-based network-effect monopolies, including Google, Facebook/Meta, and Amazon – all under full US control – have emerged to attract monopoly rents. US digital monopolies, under the direct supervision of US intelligence agencies, control the information architecture of the whole world, outside of a few socialist and nationalist countries. These monopolies are the basis for the rapid expansion of US soft power in the last 20 years. The military-industrial complex, the merchants of death, also attract growing investments.</p>
<p>This intensified speculative and monopoly rentier accumulation phase of capital is deepening a strike by capital against necessary social investments. South Africa and Brazil have seen dramatic levels of deindustrialisation under neoliberalism. Even advanced imperialist countries have ignored their own infrastructure, such as the electricity grid, bridges, and the railway. The global elite has engineered a tax strike by providing huge reductions in tax rates and taxes as well as legal tax havens for both individual capitalists and their corporations to increase their share of surplus value.</p>
<p>Tax evasion by capital and the privatisation of large swathes of the public sector have decimated the availability of basic public goods like education, healthcare, and transportation for billions of people. It has contributed to Western capital’s ability to manipulate and gain high interest income from the ‘manufactured’ debt crisis facing the Global South. At its highest level, hedge fund profiteers like George Soros speculate and destroy the finance of entire countries.</p>
<p>The impact on the working class is severe, as their work has become increasingly precarious and permanent unemployment is destroying large sections of the world’s youth. A growing section of the population is superfluous under capitalism. Social inequality, misery, and desperation are abundant.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">5. The contradiction between the popular classes of the Global South and their domestic political and economic power elites.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>This manifests quite differently by country and region. In socialist and progressive countries, contradictions amongst the people are resolved in peaceful and varied ways. However, in several countries in the Global South where the capitalist elite has been fully in bed with Western capital, wealth is held by a small percentage of the population. There is widespread misery amongst the poorest people, and the capitalist development model is failing to serve the interests of the majority. Due to the history of neocolonialism and Western soft power, there is a decidedly pro-West middle-class consensus in most of the large Global South countries. This class hegemony of the local bourgeoisie and the upper stratum of the petty bourgeoisie is used to block the popular classes (who make up most of the population) from accessing power and influence.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>6. The contradiction between US-led imperialism versus nations strongly defending national sovereignty.</strong></span></h3>
<p>These nations fall into four main categories: socialist countries, progressive countries, other countries rejecting US control, and the special case of Russia. The US has created this antagonistic contradiction through hybrid warfare methods such as assassinations, invasions, NATO-led military aggression, sanctions, lawfare, trade war, and a now incessant propaganda war based on outright lies. Russia is in a special category, as it suffered more than 25 million deaths at the hands of European fascist invaders when it was a socialist country. Today, Russia –which notably has immense natural resources – is once again a target for complete annihilation as a state by NATO. Some elements of its socialist past are still present in the country, and there remains a high degree of patriotism. The US’s goal is to finish off what it started in 1992: at a minimum, to permanently destroy Russia’s nuclear military capacity and install a puppet regime in Moscow in order to dismember Russia in the long term and replace it with many smaller, permanently weakened vassal states of the West.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>7. The contradiction between the millions of discarded working-class poor in the Global North versus the bourgeoisie who dominate these countries.</strong></span></h3>
<p>These workers are showing some signs of rebellion against their economic and social conditions. However, the imperialist bourgeoisie is playing the white supremacist card to prevent a larger unity of working people in these countries. At this moment, workers are not consistently able to avoid falling prey to racist war propaganda. The number of people present at public events against imperialism has diminished precipitously over the last thirty years.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">8. The contradiction between Western capitalism versus the planet and human life.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>The inexorable path of this system is to destroy the planet and human life, threaten nuclear annihilation, and work against the needs of humanity to collectively reclaim the planet’s air, water, and land and stop the nuclear military madness of the United States. Capitalism rejects planning and peace. The Global South (including China) can help the world build and expand a ‘zone of peace’ and commit to living in harmony with nature.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes on the Contributors:</strong></span></h3>
<p><strong>Kyeretwie Opoku</strong> is the convenor of the Socialist Movement of Ghana.<br>
<strong>Manuel Bertoldi</strong> from Patria Grande /Federación Rural para la producción y el arraigo.<br>
<strong>Deby Veneziale</strong> is a senior fellow with Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research.<br>
<strong>Vijay Prashad</strong> is the executive director of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research.</p>
<p> </p>
<div class="cc-by-nc-40">This publication is issued under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. The human-readable summary of the license is available at <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/" rel="noopener">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/</a>.</div>
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		<title>Looking Over the Horizon at Nonalignment and Peace</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-on-contemporary-dilemmas-2-non-alignment-and-peace/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Sep 2022 09:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COP27]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COP28]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peace]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NATO]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[UN Climate Change Conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Non-alignment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BRICS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global South]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New World Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international peace movement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CELAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US militarisation]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=66056</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Significant global changes have emerged in the years since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. This can be seen in a new phase of imperialism and the particularities of eight contradictions, summarised in our latest text.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<p>Catastrophes of one kind or another have rippled outward from Ukraine, including galloping inflation that is out of control. Areas of the world that are not directly party to the conflict are being hit hard by rising prices nonetheless, with political unrest an inevitable consequence. In this context, the <a href="https://thecorbynproject.com/">Peace and Justice Project</a>, a research institute headed by Jeremy Corbyn, joined up with <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a> and with two media partners, <a href="https://globetrotter.media/">Globetrotter</a> and the <a href="https://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/">Morning Star</a>, to produce a series of reflections on the concepts of nonalignment and peace. The first report, by Roger McKenzie and Vijay Prashad, lays out the issues that are further explored by the rest of the articles in this series.</p>
<p>This series was originally produced and distributed by Globetrotter and the Morning Star from April to July 2022 and updated by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research for publication in this booklet in September 2022.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-66978 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Logos-Post-66056.png" alt="" width="626" height="70"></p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #403b99;">Contents</span></strong></h3>
<ol>
<li><a href="#section_1">Now Is the Time for Nonalignment and Peace</a> by Roger McKenzie and Vijay Prashad</li>
<li><a href="#section_2">Now, Let Us Talk Peace</a> by Jeremy Corbyn</li>
<li><a href="#section_3">Why Nonalignment Is an Urgent Imperative for the Global South</a> by Nontobeko Hlela</li>
<li><a href="#section_4">Why Latin America Needs a New World Order</a> by Marco Fernandes</li>
<li><a href="#section_5">India Has a Key Role to Play in a Possible New World Order</a> by Prasanth Radhakrishnan</li>
<li><a href="#section_6">Europe Is at a Crossroads between Neoliberalism and What People Actually Want</a> by Nora Garcia Nieves</li>
<li><a href="#section_7">Cuba’s Nonalignment: A Foreign Policy of Peace and Socialism</a> by Manolo De Los Santos</li>
<li><a href="#section_8">Rejecting War Is Not Enough—Racism Curdles Peace</a> by Claudia Webbe</li>
<li><a href="#section_9">Why Peace and Disarmament Are at the Heart of Nonalignmen</a>t by Kate Hudson</li>
<li><a href="#section_10">$2 Trillion for War Versus $100 Billion to Save the Planet</a> by Murad Qureshi</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_1"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Now Is the Time for Nonalignment and Peace</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Roger McKenzie and Vijay Prashad</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>War is an ugly part of the human experience. Everything about it is hideous. War is most obviously the act of invasion and the brutality that goes along with its operations. No war is precise; every war hurts civilians. Each act of bombardment sends a neurological shudder through society.</p>
<p>World War II demonstrated this ugliness in the Holocaust and in the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. From Hiroshima and the Holocaust rose two mighty movements, one for peace and against the perils of further nuclear attacks, and the other for an end to the divisions of humanity and for a nonalignment from these divisions. The Stockholm Appeal of 1950, signed by nearly 300 million people, called for an absolute ban on nuclear weapons. Five years later, 29 countries from Africa and Asia, representing 54 percent of the world’s population, gathered in Bandung, Indonesia, to sign a 10-point pledge against war and for the “promotion of mutual interests and cooperation.” The Bandung Spirit was for peace and for nonalignment, for the peoples of the world to put their efforts into building a process to eradicate history’s burdens (illiteracy, ill health, hunger) by using their social wealth. Why spend money on nuclear weapons when money should be spent on classrooms and hospitals?</p>
<p>Despite the major gains of many of the new nations that had emerged out of colonialism, the overwhelming force of the older colonial powers prevented the Bandung Spirit from defining human history. Instead, the civilization of war prevailed. This civilization of war is revealed in the massive waste of human wealth in the production of armed forces—sufficient to destroy hundreds of planets—and the use of these armed forces as the first instinct to settle disputes. Since the 1950s, the battlefield of these ambitions has not been in Europe or in North America, but rather it has been in Africa, Asia, and Latin America—areas of the world where old colonial sensibilities believe that human life is less important. This international division of humanity—which says that a war in Yemen is normal, whereas a war in Ukraine is horrific—defines our time. There are 40 wars taking place across the globe; there needs to be political will to fight to end each of these, not just those that are taking place within Europe. The Ukrainian flag is ubiquitous in the West; what are the colors of the Yemeni flag, of the Sahrawi flag, and of the Somali flag?</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Return to Peace, Return to Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>We are overwhelmed these days with certainties that seem less and less real. As Russia’s war in Ukraine continues, there is a baffling view that negotiations are futile. This view circulates even when reasonable people agree that all wars must end in negotiations. If that is the case, then why not call for an immediate ceasefire and build the trust necessary for negotiations? Negotiations are only feasible if there is respect on all sides, and if there is an attempt to understand that all sides in a military conflict have reasonable demands. To wit, to paint this war as the whims of Russian President Vladimir Putin is part of the exercise of permanent war. Security guarantees for Ukraine are necessary; but so are security guarantees for Russia, which would include a return to a serious international arms control regime.</p>
<p>Peace does not come merely because we wish for it. It requires a fight in the trenches of ideas and institutions. The political forces in power profit from war, and so they clothe themselves in machismo to better represent the arms dealers who want more war, not less. These people in the blue suits of bureaucracy are not to be trusted with the world’s future. They fail us when it comes to the climate catastrophe; they fail us when it comes to the pandemic; they fail us when it comes to peacemaking. We need to summon up the old spirits of peace and nonalignment and bring these to life inside mass movements that are the only hope of this planet.</p>
<p>It is not merely sentimental to reach back to the past to breathe life into the Nonaligned Movement of today. Already, the contradictions of the present have raised the specter of nonalignment in parts of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Most of these countries voted against the condemnation of Russia not because they support Russia’s war in Ukraine, but rather because they recognize that polarization is a fatal error. What is needed is an alternative to the two-camp world of the Cold War. That is the reason why many of the leaders of these countries—from China’s Xi Jinping to India’s Narendra Modi to South Africa’s Cyril Ramaphosa—have called, despite their very different political orientations, for a departure from the “Cold War mentality.” They are already walking toward a new nonaligned platform. It is this actual movement of history that provokes us to reflect on a return to the concepts of nonalignment and peace.</p>
<p>Nobody wants to imagine the full implications of the encirclement of China and Russia by the United States and its allies. Even countries that are closely allied with the United States—such as Germany and Japan—recognize that if a new iron curtain descends around China and Russia, it would be fatal for their own countries. Already, the war and sanctions have created serious political crises in Honduras, Pakistan, Peru, and Sri Lanka, with others to follow as food and fuel prices rise astronomically. War is too expensive for the poorer nations. Spending for war is eating into the human spirit, and warfare itself increases people’s general sense of despair.</p>
<p>The warmakers are idealists. Their wars do not settle the major dilemmas of humanity. The ideas of nonalignment and peace, on the other hand, are realistic; their framework has answers to the children who want to eat and to learn, to play and to dream.</p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Roger McKenzie</strong></span> is a reporter for the <a href="https://morningstaronline.co.uk/author/roger-mckenzie">Morning Star</a>. He is the general secretary of <a href="https://liberationorg.co.uk/about-us/">Liberation</a>, one of the oldest UK human rights organizations.</p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Vijay Prashad</strong></span> is an Indian historian, editor, and journalist. He is a writing fellow and chief correspondent at Globetrotter. He is the chief editor of <a href="https://mayday.leftword.com/">LeftWord Books</a> and the director of <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>, and a senior non-resident fellow at <a href="https://tinyurl.com/y2hdjcpo">Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies</a>, Renmin University of China. He has written more than 20 books, including <a href="https://smile.amazon.com/Darker-Nations-Peoples-History-Third/dp/1595583424/?tag=alternorg08-20"><em>The Darker Nations</em></a> and <a href="https://smile.amazon.com/Poorer-Nations-Possible-History-Global/dp/1781681589/?tag=alternorg08-20"><em>The Poorer Nations</em></a>. His latest books are<a href="https://www.haymarketbooks.org/books/1869-struggle-makes-us-human"> <em>Struggle Makes Us Human: Learning from Movements for Socialism</em></a> and (with Noam Chomsky)<a href="https://thenewpress.com/books/withdrawal"> <em>The Withdrawal: Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and the Fragility of U.S. Power</em></a>.</p>
<hr class="separator">
<p><a name="section_2"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Now, Let Us Talk Peace</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Jeremy Corbyn</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>With Russian shells raining down on Ukrainian cities, an uneasy ceasefire in Yemen, the attack on Palestinians at prayer in Jerusalem, and many other conflicts around the world, it might seem to some to be inappropriate to talk about peace.</p>
<p>When a war is going on, though, it is absolutely the time to talk about peace. How else can we prevent even further loss of life or yet more millions forced into refuge somewhere else in the world? It is welcome that at last the United Nations has taken an initiative to put into motion Secretary-General António Guterres’s request for face-to-face meetings with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.</p>
<p>There must be an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine followed by the withdrawal of Russian troops and agreement between Russia and Ukraine on future security arrangements.</p>
<p>All wars end in a negotiation of some sort—so why not now?</p>
<p>Everyone knows this is what will happen at some point. There is no reason to delay it for bombing and killing, more refugees, more dead and more grieving families in Ukraine and Russia. But instead of urging peace, most European nations have taken the opportunity to ramp up arms supplies, feed the war machine, and boost the share prices of weapons manufacturers.</p>
<p>It is also the time to talk about our humanity, or lack of it, to people in deep distress as a result of armed conflict, the abuse of their rights, or the grinding poverty that many face as a result of the global economic system.</p>
<p>Almost 10 percent of the population of Ukraine is now in exile, suffering trauma, loss, and fear. Most countries in Europe have been supportive of Ukrainian refugees. The British government pretends to be as well but then ensnares Ukrainians in the Home Office’s deliberately labyrinthine and nightmarish bureaucracy to deter them. Instead, Ukrainian refugees should be supported and made welcome. That’s what the British people by and large want; the huge generosity of ordinary people is showing the best of our humanity.</p>
<p>However, in the treatment of desperate refugees from wars where Britain has a direct responsibility, such as Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Yemen, the story is painfully different.</p>
<p>If someone is so desperate that they risk all to attempt to cross the English Channel in a dangerous, flimsy dinghy, they deserve sympathy and support. Instead, the Home Office plan is to remove them to Rwanda. If we believe in humanity and the rights of refugees, then they should all be treated equally and decently and allowed to make their contribution to our society, not criminalized and incarcerated. If the Conservative Party gets away with this outsourcing, other European countries will do the same. The Danish government has already spoken warmly about the cruel and unworkable proposal.</p>
<p>The effects of this war on the politics and hopes of our society are going to be huge, not least for the world’s institutions. The United Nations was established after World War II to “save succeeding generations from the scourge of war.” Since then, we can reel off the long and lengthening list of conflicts and proxy wars that the world has endured and that have taken the lives of millions. Korea, Vietnam, Iran-Iraq, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, India-Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and many other conflicts have barely been reported on by mainstream media, maybe because they were conflicts against colonial occupation such as the one in Kenya.</p>
<p>A huge question must be asked of the UN in the Ukraine conflict. When Russia brutally and illegally invaded Ukraine, was not that the moment for the UN to send its secretary-general to Moscow to demand a ceasefire? The UN has been too slow to act, and too much of the interstate system has pushed for escalation, not negotiation.</p>
<p>The call for more effective and proactive international institutions to support peace was powerfully made in April 2022 in Madrid at a conference hosted by Spain’s left-wing Podemos party, following a dialogue initiated by the left-wing activist organization Progressive International. Every one of the 17 speakers condemned the war and occupation and called for a ceasefire and a future of peace for the people of Ukraine and Russia. The participants knew about the dangers of escalation of this conflict and the further hot wars and violence a new cold war would bring. There are 1,800 nuclear warheads in the world primed and ready for use. One “tactical” weapon would kill hundreds of thousands; a nuclear bomb would kill millions. It cannot be contained, nor can its effects be limited.</p>
<p>In June 2022, Vienna hosted a major series of peace events around the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. This treaty, supported by the UN General Assembly and opposed by the declared nuclear weapons states, provides the best hope and opportunity for a nonnuclear weapons future. The opportunity should be grasped with both hands.</p>
<p>Some say to discuss peace at a time of war is a sign of some kind of weakness; the opposite is true. It is the bravery of peace protesters around the world that stopped some governments from being involved in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, or any of the dozens of other conflicts going on.</p>
<p>Peace is not just the absence of war; it is real security. The security of knowing you will be able to eat, your children will be educated and cared for, and a health service will be there when you need it. For millions, that is not a reality now; the aftereffects of the war in Ukraine will take that away from millions more.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, many countries are now increasing arms spending and investing resources in more and more dangerous weapons. The United States has just approved its biggest-ever defense budget. These resources used for weapons are all resources not used for health, education, housing, or environmental protection.</p>
<p>This is a perilous and dangerous time. Watching the horror play out and then preparing for more conflicts in the future will not ensure that the climate crisis, poverty crisis, or food supply is addressed. It’s up to all of us to build and support movements that can chart another course for peace, security, and justice for all.</p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #403b99;">Jeremy Corbyn</span></strong> is a member of the UK Parliament, former leader of the UK Labour Party, and the founder of the <a href="https://thecorbynproject.com/">Peace and Justice Project</a>.</p>
<hr class="separator">
<p><a name="section_3"></a></p>
<h1><strong><span style="color: #403b99;">Why Nonalignment Is an Urgent Imperative for the Global South</span></strong></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Nontobeko Hlela</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>South Africa and other countries that have <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/04/1115782">abstained</a> from voting against Russia at the United Nations General Assembly in response to the war in Ukraine face intense international criticism. In South Africa, the domestic criticism has been extraordinarily shrill, and often clearly racialized. It is frequently assumed that this abstention means that South Africa is in support of the Russian invasion and that this is either due to corrupt relations between Russian and South African elites, nostalgia for the support that the Soviet Union gave to the anti-apartheid struggle, or both.</p>
<p>There is seldom any acknowledgment that nonalignment, in this case refusing to be aligned with the United States and its allies or with Russia, can be a principled position as well as an astute tactical engagement with geopolitical realities. As two founding figures in the Nonaligned Movement (NAM), Yugoslavia’s then-President Josip Broz Tito and India’s then-Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru, said in a <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/26924448">joint statement</a> signed on December 22, 1954, “the policy of nonalignment with blocs… does not represent ‘neutrality’ or ‘neutralism’; neither does it represent passivity as is sometimes alleged. It represents the positive, active, and constructive policy that, as its goal, has collective peace as the foundation of collective security.”</p>
<p>The Global South houses <a href="https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/population">more than 80 percent</a> of the world’s people, yet its countries are systematically excluded from any decision-making in international organizations that determine how the “international community” operates. For decades, countries in the Global South have been advocating for the United Nations to be reformed so that it moves away from the zero-sum game of the cold war mentality that continues to drive it. In June 1969, Gabriel Valdés, Chile’s then-foreign minister, reported that Henry Kissinger <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1982/12/the-price-of-power/376309/">told</a> him, “Nothing important can come from the South. History has never been produced in the South. The axis of history starts in Moscow, goes to Bonn, crosses over to Washington, and then goes to Tokyo. What happens in the South is of no importance.”</p>
<p>Just a few years earlier, on September 30, 1963, Jaja Wachuku, then a Nigerian foreign minister, <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/1035325">posed</a> a still urgent question to the UN’s 18th Session: “Does this Organization want… [the] African States to be just vocal Members, with no right to express their views on any particular matter in important organs of the United Nations…[?] Are we only going to continue to be veranda boys?” Global South countries are still “veranda boys” watching the adults make the rules and decide on the path that the world must take. They continue to be lectured and chided when they do not do as expected.</p>
<p>It is time for a revitalized NAM. The NAM will only succeed if the leaders of the countries in the Global South put their egos aside, think strategically on a global scale, and put their considerable human capital, natural resources, and technological ingenuity to better use. The Global South includes an ascendant China, the second-biggest economy in the world. It includes India, one of the leading countries in medical care and technological innovation. It includes Africa, rich with a growing population and the natural resources that are needed for the mushrooming AI and cleaner energy industries. However, these resources are still extracted for profit to be accumulated in far-off capitals while Africa and much of the Global South remain underdeveloped, with millions still stuck in the desperation of impoverishment.</p>
<p>A renewed NAM has real potential if time is taken to build new institutions and to build buffers against the economic warfare that the United States has been waging against countries like Cuba and Venezuela and is now unleashing on Russia. Financial autonomy is critical.</p>
<p>BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) established the <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/new-development-bank-updates-ndb-enters-2022-in-expansion-mode-301460273.html">New Development  Bank</a> for its members. For the 16 nations of the <a href="https://www.sadc.int/">Southern African Development Community (SADC)</a>, there is the Development Bank of Southern Africa. Yet the reserves of the countries joined to these projects are still kept in the United States or European capitals. This is the time for leaders within the Global South to wake up and realize that given the type of economic warfare that is currently being let loose on a country like Russia, weaker countries across the Global South have no meaningful autonomy.</p>
<p>This is the time to rethink how we conduct politics, economics, and foreign policy when it is clear that the West can decide to decimate entire countries. The economic weapons being built against Russia will be available to be used against other countries that have the temerity not to toe Washington’s line.</p>
<p>BRICS has been disappointing in many respects, but it has opened some space for Global South countries—with their many differences in creed, culture, and political and economic systems—to find a way of working together. The rejection of intense pressure to bend their collective knee at the United Nations Security Council is an encouraging example of the Global South rejecting the assumption that they should remain permanent “veranda boys” (and girls).</p>
<p>As the United States rapidly escalates its new cold war against Russia and China and expects other countries to fall in line, there is now an urgent imperative to reject this cold war mentality of wanting to divide the world along old acrimonious lines. The Global South should reject this view and call for the respect of international law by <em>all</em> countries. When human rights and international law are only evoked when it is those countries whom the West dislikes or disagrees with who break them, it makes a mockery of these concepts. Only by standing together and speaking with one voice can the countries of the Global South hope to have any influence in international affairs and not continue to be just rubber-stampers of the positions of the West.</p>
<p>The Nonaligned Movement needs to be confident and bold and not seek permission from the West. NAM leaders need to understand that they are there to serve their people and protect their people’s interests and not allow the temptation of being included in the “big boys club” to sway their stance on issues. They need to constantly keep in mind that they have been kept as “veranda boys” for far too long, and unless they truly take their destiny into their hands, they will forever be at the foot of the table, with their people eating only the scraps from the wealth accumulated by the global economy, much of it from the exploitation of the South.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Nontobeko Hlela</strong></span> was the first secretary (political) at the High Commission of South Africa in Nairobi, Kenya. She currently works as a researcher for the South African office of <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/south-africa/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>.</p>
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<p><a name="section_4"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Why Latin America Needs a New World Order</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Marco Fernandes</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>The world wants to see an end to the conflict in Ukraine. The NATO countries, however, want to prolong the conflict by increasing arms shipments to Ukraine and by <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-to-return-embassy-to-ukraine-boost-military-aid-blinken-and-austin-tell-zelensky-in-visit-to-kyiv-11650859391">declaring</a> that they “want to see Russia weakened.”  By 3 March 2022, the United States had already allocated $13.6 billion to arm Ukraine; by 28 April, Biden had requested an additional $33 billion. By comparison, it would require $45 billion per year to <a href="https://ceres2030.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ceres2030-what-would-it-cost_.pdf">end world hunger</a> by 2030.</p>
<p>Even if negotiations take place and the war ends, an actual peaceful solution will not likely be possible. Nothing leads us to believe that geopolitical tensions will decrease, since behind the conflict around Ukraine is an attempt by the West to halt the development of China, to break its links with Russia, and to end China’s strategic partnerships with the Global South.</p>
<p>In March 2022, commanders of the U.S. <a href="https://www.news24.com/news24/africa/news/us-army-general-concerned-about-china-and-russias-growing-influence-in-africa-20220323">Africa Command</a> (General Stephen J. Townsend) and <a href="https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/southcom-commander-warns-about-russian-and-chinese-influence-in-latin-america">Southern Command</a> (General Laura Richardson) warned the U.S. Senate about the perceived dangers of increased Chinese and Russian influence in Africa as well as in Latin America and the Caribbean. The generals recommended that the United States weaken the influence of Moscow and Beijing in these regions. This policy is part of the 2018 national security doctrine of the United States, which frames China and Russia as “the <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/19/politics/trump-defense-strategy-china-russia/index.html">central challenge</a>.”</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>No Cold War</strong></span></h3>
<p>Latin America does not want a new cold war. The region has already suffered from decades of military rule and austerity politics justified based on the so-called “communist threat.” Tens of thousands of people lost their lives and many tens of thousands more were imprisoned, tortured, and exiled only because they wanted to create sovereign countries and decent societies. This violence was a product of the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/news/2020/sep/03/operation-condor-the-illegal-state-network-that-terrorised-south-america">U.S.-imposed cold war</a> on Latin America.</p>
<p>Latin America wants peace. Peace can only be built through regional unity, a process that began over 20 years ago after a cycle of popular uprisings, driven by the tsunami of neoliberal austerity, led to the election of progressive governments: Venezuela (1999), Brazil (2002), Argentina (2003), Uruguay (2004), Bolivia (2005), Ecuador (2007), and Paraguay (2008). These countries, joined by Cuba and Nicaragua, created a set of regional organizations: the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America–Peoples’ Trade Treaty (ALBA-TCP) in 2004, the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) in 2008, and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) in 2011. These platforms were intended to increase regional trade and political integration. Their gains were met with increased aggression from Washington, which sought to <a href="https://therealnews.com/the-role-the-us-played-in-reversing-latin-americas-pink-tide">undermine the process</a> by attempting to overthrow the governments in many of the member countries and by dividing the regional blocs to suit Washington’s interests.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Brazil</strong></span></h3>
<p>Because of its size and its political relevance, Brazil was a key player in these early organizations. In 2009, Brazil joined with Russia, India, China, and South Africa to form BRICS, a new alliance with the goal to rearrange the power relations of global trade and politics.</p>
<p>Brazil’s role did not please the White House, which—avoiding the crudeness of a military coup—staged a successful operation in alliance with sectors of the Brazilian elite that used the Brazilian legislature, judiciary system, and media to overthrow the government of President Dilma Rousseff in 2016 and to cause the arrest of former President Lula in 2018 (who was then leading the polls in the presidential election). Both were accused of a corruption scheme involving the Brazilian state oil company, and an investigation by Brazil’s judiciary known as Operation Car Wash ensued. The participation of both the U.S. Department of Justice and the <a href="https://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/agencia-publica/2020/07/01/o-fbi-e-a-lava-jato.htm">FBI</a> in that investigation was revealed following a massive <a href="https://theintercept.com/2019/06/09/brazil-archive-operation-car-wash/">leak</a> of the <a href="https://thewire.in/world/lula-de-silva-brazil-cia">Telegram chats</a> of Operation Car Wash’s lead <a href="https://www.conjur.com.br/2021-fev-08/deltan-disse-prisao-lula-presente-cia">prosecutor</a>. However, before the U.S. interference was uncovered, the removal of Lula and Dilma from politics brought the right wing back to power in Brasília, the country’s capital; Brazil no longer played a leading role in either the regional or the global projects that could weaken U.S. power. Brazil abandoned <a href="https://www.radiohc.cu/en/noticias/internacionales/188489-brazil-quits-unasur-after-receiving-pro-tempore-presidency">UNASUR</a> and <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-diplomacy-celac-idUSKBN1ZF2U9">CELAC</a> and remains in BRICS only formally—as is also the case with India—weakening the perspective of strategic alliances in the Global South.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Turning the Tide</strong></span></h3>
<p>In recent years, Latin America has experienced a new wave of progressive governments. The idea of regional integration has returned to the table. After four years without a summit meeting, <a href="https://elpais.com/mexico/2021-09-18/lopez-obrador-pide-la-integracion-comercial-y-el-fin-de-los-bloqueos-en-america-latina.html#?rel=mas">CELAC reconvened</a> in September 2021 under the leadership of Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Argentine President Alberto Fernández. Given <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/06/19/gustavo-petro-wins-historic-elections-in-colombia/">Gustavo Petro’s victory</a> in the Colombian presidential election in June 2022, and a possible victory should <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/30/is-brazil-ready-for-the-next-incarnation-of-president-lula">Lula win</a> his campaign for reelection to Brazil’s presidency in October 2022, for the first time in decades, the <a href="https://es.statista.com/grafico/26372/paises-latinoamericanos-con-el-mayor-pib-a-traves-del-tiempo/">four largest economies</a> in Latin America (<a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/802640/gross-domestic-product-gdp-latin-america-caribbean-country/">Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and Colombia</a>) would be governed by the center-left, notably supporters of Latin American and Caribbean integration. Lula has said that if he wins the presidency, Brazil will <a href="https://lula.com.br/integra-do-discurso-de-lula-na-camara-dos-deputados-do-mexico/">return to CELAC</a> and will resume an active stance in <a href="https://www.brasil247.com/blog/vitoria-de-lula-na-onu-incomoda-washington-porque-fortalece-geopolitica-dos-brics-x-eua-otan">BRICS</a>.</p>
<p>The Global South might be prepared to reemerge by the end of 2022 and create space for itself within the world order. Evidence for this is found in the lack of unanimity that greeted NATO’s attempt to create a large coalition to sanction Russia. This NATO project has aroused a backlash around the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/10/russia-ukraine-west-global-south-sanctions-war">Global South</a>. Even governments that condemn the war (such as Argentina, Brazil, India, and South Africa) do not agree with NATO’s unilateral sanction policy and prefer to support negotiations for a peaceful solution. The idea of resuming a <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/24/world/asia/cold-war-ukraine.html">movement of the nonaligned</a>—inspired by the initiative launched at the 1955 Bandung Conference—has found resonance in numerous circles.</p>
<p>Their intention is correct. They seek to de-escalate global political tensions, which are a threat to countries’ sovereignty and tend to negatively impact the global economy. The spirit of nonconfrontation, and peace, of the Bandung Conference is urgent today.</p>
<p>But the Nonaligned Movement emerged as a refusal by Third World countries to choose a side in the polarization between the United States and USSR during the Cold War. They were fighting for their sovereignty and the right to have relations with the countries of both systems, without their foreign policy being decided in Washington or Moscow.</p>
<p>This is not the current scenario. Only the Washington-Brussels axis (and allies) demand alignment with their so-called “<a href="https://mronline.org/2022/01/12/the-u-s-makes-a-mockery-of-treaties-and-international-law/">rules-based international order</a>.” Those who do not align suffer from sanctions applied against dozens of countries (devastating entire economies, such as those of <a href="https://www.wola.org/2020/10/new-report-us-sanctions-aggravated-venezuelas-economic-crisis/">Venezuela</a> and <a href="https://www.jacobinmag.com/2021/07/us-policy-cuba-blockade-embargo-protests-rubio-history-war-covid-food-medicine-shortages">Cuba</a>), illegal confiscation of hundreds of billions of dollars in assets (as in the cases of Venezuela, Iran, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/13/world/asia/afghanistan-funds-biden.html">Afghanistan</a>, and <a href="https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202203/1255112.shtml">Russia</a>), invasions and interference resulting in genocidal wars (as in Iraq, Syria, Libya, and Afghanistan), and outside support for “<a href="https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3124567/china-and-russia-should-work-together-combat-colour">color revolutions</a>” (from <a href="https://www.wsws.org/en/topics/event/2014-coup-ukraine">Ukraine in 201</a><a href="https://www.wsws.org/en/topics/event/2014-coup-ukraine">4</a> to Brazil in 2016). The demand for alignment comes only from the West, not from China or Russia.</p>
<p>Humanity faces urgent challenges, such as inequality, hunger, the climate crisis, and the threat of new pandemics. To overcome them, regional alliances in the Global South must be able to institute a new multipolarity in global politics. But the usual suspects may have other plans for humanity.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Marco Fernandes</strong></span> is a researcher at <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>, a member of the <a href="https://nocoldwar.org/">No Cold War</a> campaign, and a co-founder and co-editor of News on China (<a href="https://dongshengnews.org/en/">Dongsheng</a>). He lives in Shanghai.</p>
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<p><a name="section_5"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>India Has a Key Role to Play in a Possible New World Order</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Prasanth Radhakrishnan</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>In the first half of April 2022, India’s External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar made <a href="https://www.businesstoday.in/latest/economy/story/indias-monthly-oil-purchase-from-russia-less-than-europes-in-an-afternoon-jaishankar-329481-2022-04-12">some revealing remarks</a> at a press conference in Washington, D.C. He was standing beside U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin. When asked about India’s purchase of Russian oil, Jaishankar said: “If you’re looking at energy purchases from Russia, I’d suggest that your attention should be focused on Europe. We do buy some energy, which is necessary for our energy security. But I suspect, looking at figures, our total purchases for the month would be less than what Europe does in an afternoon.”</p>
<p>Jaishankar’s statement was not unusual. He and his colleagues <a href="https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/don-t-patronize-us-indian-envoy-at-un-to-dutch-ambassador-on-unga-voting-122050600161_1.html">have been pushing back</a> against the West’s “concerns” and “advice” to India about its stance on Russia in the Ukraine conflict, including India’s <a href="https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/india-abstains-on-resolution-to-call-for-un-general-assembly-session-on-ukraine-2793567">refusal</a> to <a href="https://thewire.in/diplomacy/un-general-assembly-india-abstain-resolution-criticise-russia-ukraine-invasion">vote against</a> Russia at the United Nations as well as India’s discussion with Russia to set up a <a href="https://www.livemint.com/politics/policy/russia-india-explore-opening-alternative-payment-channels-amid-sanctions-11647371750761.html">payment mechanism</a> that would bypass sanctions imposed by the West. <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/world/india-united-states-daleep-singh-russia-ukraine-war-7847094/">Visits</a> by <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/news/foreign-secretary-in-india-as-part-of-diplomatic-push-on-ukraine">Western diplomats</a> to India did not help to alter the Indian government’s actions.</p>
<p>India, under the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has been firmly in the U.S. camp, taking part <a href="https://thediplomat.com/2017/11/us-japan-india-and-australia-hold-working-level-quadrilateral-meeting-on-regional-cooperation/">in reviving the Quad</a> and signing <a href="https://theprint.in/defence/the-3-foundational-agreements-with-us-and-what-they-mean-for-indias-military-growth/531795/">three foundational defense</a> agreements with the United States. These moves suggest that India strongly agreed with the United States’ focus on the containment of China. Has India then shifted from this alignment with the United States based on its dealings with Russia? Is nonalignment back on the table? The answer to this question is far more complicated than it would appear on the surface.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Economics</strong></span></h3>
<p>Part of India’s recent response can be explained by simple economics. For a government dealing with mounting inflation, the <a href="https://www.livemint.com/news/india/russia-offers-oil-to-india-at-35-bbl-discount-from-pre-war-price-11648704105136.html">prospect of oil at discounted rates</a> from Russia <a href="https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/indias-russian-oil-purchases-since-ukraine-invasion-more-than-double-2021-total/2502873/">was too good to resist</a>. Also, Russia <a href="https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/russia-accounted-for-half-of-india-s-arms-imports-during-2016-20-122022600072_1.html">continues to be India’s largest arms supplier</a>, although its <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/russias-share-of-arms-import-to-india-fell-from-69-in-2012-17-to-46-in-2017-21-report/articleshow/90218483.cms">dependence seems to be decreasing</a> (imports from Israel and the United States have <a href="https://warontherocks.com/2022/04/after-ukraine-where-will-india-buy-its-weapons/">surged</a> in the past 30 years). A much less noticed fact is that India also <a href="https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/russia-ukraine-war-choking-fertiliser-supply/article65210842.ece">depends on Russia</a> for fertilizers that are vital for its agricultural sector. These economic bonds are too profitable to sever. There are precedents for this too. After all, India did not give in to U.S. pressure or <a href="https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/s400-missile-system-deal-us-may-still-sanction-india-says-top-diplomat-101646281899828.html">even the threat of sanctions</a> when it came to procuring the S-400 missile system from Russia. Geopolitically, Russia remains key if India wants to engage in its immediate neighborhood where it has previously missed the bus at key moments, such as during the crisis in Afghanistan.</p>
<p>However, at the current moment, purely economic and geopolitical perspectives are perhaps inadequate.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Strategic Autonomy</strong></span></h3>
<p>India’s post-Cold War approach has often been defined as strategic autonomy, which has encompassed groupings as diverse as the BRICS alliance of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa; the Shanghai Cooperation Organization; and the Quad, comprising the United States, India, Japan, and Australia. However, India’s foreign policy in the past few decades has been characterized by a more transactional approach, taking advantage of what has made financial and strategic sense at a particular moment more than any long-term perspective.</p>
<p>The responses of the West and its allies to the war in Ukraine indicate that such an approach has limited utility. The <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/russia-becomes-worlds-most-sanctioned-country/articleshow/90070310.cms">sanctions regime</a>, seizure of assets, <a href="https://qz.com/2135316/the-g-7-froze-all-of-russias-reserve-assets-in-their-countries/">freezing of reserves</a>, and attack on Russia’s currency are not mere responses to an armed conflict. They mark actions that have been weaponized previously and <a href="https://inthesetimes.com/article/sanctions-war-economic-punishment-afghanistan-iran-cuba-venezuela">deployed</a> against countries like Cuba, Venezuela, and Iran and are a warning to anyone who seeks to challenge the hegemony of the United States and its allies. They are a sign that any substantive challenge to the current global order will be met with a harsh response. The target is Russia today. Could it be China tomorrow? India the day after?</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>A Robust Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>The current moment calls for a fresh approach, and this is where the proposal for nonalignment crops up. Although it is not a new idea, it may now have found its moment of urgency.</p>
<p>The genesis of the Nonaligned Movement (NAM) lies in the tradition of <a href="https://www.telesurenglish.net/multimedia/The-Non-Aligned-Movement-was-Heart-of-Anti-Colonial-Struggle-20160711-0017.html">anti-colonial struggles</a>. For instance, an emergent NAM intervened critically in liberation movements in Africa. In contrast with colonialism, which evolved and continued its predatory activities, NAM was reduced to a moral voice, and its members were isolated and preyed upon by the neoliberal global order that rose from the 1970s.</p>
<p>So, what does nonalignment mean today when a few men and women, with the stroke of a pen, can seize billions in foreign reserves and bar trade between two sovereign countries? It is clear that in order for nonalignment to be effective, it cannot be restricted to transactional relationships or mere moral posturing.</p>
<p>It is also clear that the nonalignment of today must be based on the demand for the <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/text-a-plan-to-save-the-planet/">transformation of the world order</a><a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/text-a-plan-to-save-the-planet/">,</a> which will entail the rejection of the dictatorship of the World Bank and the IMF and the enduring impact of debt, the abolition of sanctions as a tool of war, and a more equitable United Nations. This requires the building of structures for which there are precedents. The BRICS nations had the right <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/05/02/why-nonalignment-is-an-urgent-imperative-for-the-global-south/">idea</a> with the New Development Bank, referred to as the BRICS Development Bank previously, which can be a model for future blocs. Organizations like the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) in <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/05/10/why-latin-america-needs-a-new-world-order/">Latin America</a> provided examples of such groupings in action.</p>
<p>Such structures are, however, not built in isolation or merely because a few leaders decree it. Their foundation must be based on a two-pronged strategy by individual countries. One prong must be a renewed emphasis on self-reliance in economic development and scientific and technological research. This is perhaps what India lost out on when it abandoned central planning and ended up being a supplier of skilled human resources and a mere recipient of both technology and goods.</p>
<p>The other prong has to be economic relationships that play to the strengths of each country and that can be achieved despite political and diplomatic differences. Trade and commercial blocs in Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America have all provided hints of what this could mean and how profoundly it could affect the global order.</p>
<p>For India and other countries in the Global South, this moment offers immense challenges and provides glimpses of the possibility of a new world. Will India transcend its transitional approach and embrace this possibility? There is little reason to expect any desire for change from the ruling class—but this possibility is integral to the agenda of people’s movements.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Prasanth Radhakrishnan</strong></span> is a journalist with Newsclick and Peoples Dispatch.</p>
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<p><a name="section_6"></a></p>
<h1><strong style="color: #403b99;">Europe Is at a Crossroads between Neoliberalism and What People Actually Want</strong></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Nora Garcia Nieves</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>“Neither war that destroys us, nor peace that oppresses us”: This historic anti-war slogan of the Spanish feminist movement holds one of the fundamental keys to building a horizon of peace. It claims that peace is not just a ceasefire, nor is it a surrender or silence in the face of those who impose their wars on others. Rather, peace is the building of a foundation to foster relations based on mutual respect and cooperation.</p>
<p>Such an idea is neither naive nor impossible. Where there’s a will, there’s a way.</p>
<p>Building a new path based on a lasting peace is the only possible alternative for the sustainability of all people and the planet. The opposite of this means a silencing of the people, the loss of human lives, a divided world, permanent war, living in constant fear of nuclear weapons, and misery for the people affected by war.</p>
<p>Those who claim to defend freedom do not want those who are not like them to enjoy it. What we are facing is an “either with me or against me” mentality—or, as Josep Borrell, a high representative of the European Union for foreign affairs and security policy, recently <a href="https://mobile.twitter.com/dw_espanol/status/1498829189482356739">said</a>, “We will remember those who are not by our side.”</p>
<p>Freedom, therefore, is not solely a choice between two options, but the possibility of creating our own option. That is why it is essential that, in the face of the mainstream perception of the world that tries to rob us of the ability to envision a new alternative, we must articulate one where everyone can fit in—where war is not inevitable.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>‘Europe Is Indefensible’</strong></span></h3>
<p>In the current context, with Russia having invaded Ukraine, we are surrounded by a sense of amnesia and the feeling of having returned to the 20th century. Once again, there is war, hatred, and the familiar rhetoric of division of “us” against the “others.” It is shocking that in the face of the war in Ukraine, <a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/documents/eur05/001/2014/en/">Fortress Europe</a> now finds it is so easy to make changes in policies and to open its doors to white people with blue eyes. This is the same approach that in Europe’s response to the refugees and migrants of war-torn and poor countries in the Global South has turned the Mediterranean Sea into a <a href="https://www.clarin.com/mundo/mediterraneo-gran-fosa-comun-inmigrantes-europa_0_FhU7-2XHT.html">mass grave</a>; that <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2021/may/05/revealed-2000-refugee-deaths-linked-to-eu-pushbacks">illegally</a> carries out pushbacks against migrants; and that <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/frontex-europes-border-agency-fire-aiding-libyas-brutal-migrant-detent-rcna6778">locks</a> asylum-seekers in detention centers, without any access to lawyers. However, the war in Ukraine has proven the EU to be perfectly capable of receiving refugees, but for those trapped in Libya—a country destroyed by NATO—there are no safe routes, no trains, and no free buses. This shows us again: <em>where there’s a will, there’s a way</em>.</p>
<p>All people have the right to flee war and rebuild their lives, like the Afghan, Kurdish, and Syrian people who made their way to Moria, the crowded refugee camp on the Greek island of Lesbos that burned down during the pandemic in 2020, leaving the <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54082201">almost</a> 13,000 people living in the camps there without any shelter. This is the same camp where 10-year-old children have <a href="https://tdh-europe.org/news/lesbos-prisoners-of-the-horror-camp-story-in-lillustre-magazine/7402">tried</a> to commit suicide due to violence, hunger, and overcrowding. The attitude from colonial Europe’s history has endured, reiterating that there are lives that matter and lives that don’t matter.</p>
<p>But not so many years ago, thousands of Spanish families had to flee fascism, which also persecuted “the others,” a categorization that included the Roma people, members of the LGBTQ community, and supporters of the Spanish Republic. As Aimé Césaire wrote in his <em>Discourse on Colonialism</em>, “Europe is indefensible.” The level of hypocrisy is already astounding, and yet we continue down this path where we talk about peace while we send weapons to the warring nations, we talk about democracy while we support censorship, we talk about human rights while we dismantle the United Nations, we talk about freedom while we ignore the creep of fascism. And at the center of all this is NATO. As if it were not enough to surrender our sovereignty to the capitalist market, we must also surrender it to wars waged by the United States.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>‘You Can’t Eat Dignity, but People Without Dignity Get Down on Their Knees and End Up Without Food’</strong></span></h3>
<p><a href="https://elpais.com/opinion/2020-05-16/julio-y-el-hilo-rojo.html">Julio Anguita González</a>, the late mayor of Córdoba and an influential political leader within Spain’s left wing, famously said, “You can’t eat dignity, but people without dignity get down on their knees and end up without food.” These words echo in my head as I try to figure out what is happening in Europe, or more importantly, what Europe is and how we can make it the opposite of that. But to understand what Europe is today, we must remember that the debates that built the consensus toward this European Union were laid out in abstract and aspirational terms, associating modernity with neoliberalism. While the people became enchanted by an empty European identity, the foundation for an economy separated from political and democratic power was built.</p>
<p>Like the little mermaid from Hans Christian Andersen’s popular fairy tale, we sold our voices for a romantic idea of love—in our case, for a sense of belonging to a vague European identity. While we were voiceless, the EU’s manufacturers filled the gap between economic and social structures with institutions that foster inequalities and a European security project that answers to Washington. The EU’s decisions in the face of the 2008 financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the war in Ukraine could not be any further from the real and daily security needs of its people. The lesson we should have taken from the little mermaid, however, is that without our voices, there can be no real love.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>The Fight Against Amnesia</strong></span></h3>
<p>Those of us who have fought against historical amnesia know that we don’t need military alliances, because war is a terrible symptom, but it isn’t the disease plaguing the world. To remove it, Europe urgently needs a heart transplant—an anti-fascist and anti-colonial heart, one that is responsible for the world it builds and the people who live in it and come to it. So how can we make Europe the opposite of what it is now? First, by assuming that we cannot postpone opening our eyes any longer, by seeing Europe for what it is, and by tackling the most difficult task: building a path of our own. With memory, we will be able to undertake that path, one that has been attempted before. Let’s listen to the past, and let’s make the present better. That path goes from the anti-war activist Rosa Luxemburg to the Nonaligned Movement, BRICS, Pan-Africanism, and the struggle of the Mothers of the Plaza de Mayo. All of this history reminds us that the struggle to build an alternative path to peace is full of courage and that those who fought for peace learned on their way that their will also counts.</p>
<p>Because <em>where there’s a will, there’s a way</em>.</p>
<p>More weapons won’t save us—we will.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Nora Garcia Nieves</strong></span>, is a member of the No Cold War campaign and lives in Madrid, where she is an activist working in the feminist, internationalist, and cultural struggle.</p>
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<p><a name="section_7"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Cuba’s Nonalignment: A Foreign Policy of Peace and Socialism</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Manolo De Los Santos</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>Though Bandung in Indonesia and Havana in Cuba couldn’t be farther apart geographically—with each city located on two distant islands in their respective countries and separated by more than 17,000 km—they are ideologically close in the imaginations of many people across the Global South. The <a href="https://www.globallearning-cuba.com/blog-umlthe-view-from-the-southuml/the-third-world-project-1948-79">Third World Project</a>, born out of the continuous collaboration between newly independent states and their struggles for national liberation, has defined and continues to define the history of the movements for peace and nonalignment even today.</p>
<p>When the Bandung Conference began on April 18, 1955, Fidel Castro was still a political prisoner on what was then called the Isle of Pines, just south of Havana. He was serving a 15-year sentence for having organized a failed attack on the Moncada Barracks two years before. During those years in prison, a young Fidel read voraciously and began to solidify his ideas on the concepts of sovereignty and independence and how they had to be redefined during the Cold War, when imperialism was developing new approaches about how to continue with the subjugation of whole continents.</p>
<p>As Fidel and his comrades in prison charted a new path for Cuba, it was clear that their cause for national liberation had to be closely connected to a broader project of ensuring development and work toward active nonalignment for the people of the Third World.</p>
<p>From the round table in Bandung, the leaders of the Third World unleashed a global struggle to <a href="https://www.globallearning-cuba.com/blog-umlthe-view-from-the-southuml/the-third-world-project-1948-79">restructure</a> the prevailing world system of that time. The conference witnessed the convergence of socialist countries and the Third World and saw a growing unity among these nations in the struggles to deepen the process of decolonization.</p>
<p>While at the Bandung Conference, the independent governments of Asia and Africa raised the urgency of reviving the anti-imperialist and anti-colonial struggle and the need to increasingly unite and solidify the interests and aspirations of their people. The vast majority of the governments of Latin America, meanwhile, went against the common interests and aspirations of their people and further submitted to U.S. imperialism under the guise of the Organization of American States (OAS), already functioning as the Ministry of Colonies of the U.S. Department of State, as Fidel would later <a href="https://mondediplo.com/2020/05/13oas">call</a> it.</p>
<p>In 1959, the Cuban Revolution triumphed, marking a transformative point of no return for Latin America and its relations with the United States, whose government would later decide not to recognize the revolutionary process on the island. By 1961, Cuba became the focal point of U.S. aggression in the region, leading to a blockade that is <a href="https://www.midwesternmarx.com/articles/the-blockade-against-cuba-turns-60-by-rosa-miriam-elizalde">now</a> six decades old. For the first time in history, a guerrilla movement had carried out a revolution and confronted U.S. imperialism right under its nose, unleashing far-reaching transformations in its socioeconomic structure that were opposed to the neocolonial interests of U.S. domination.</p>
<p>Soon after, Cuba became the only country in Latin America to join the Nonaligned Movement (NAM), created in Yugoslavia in 1961. Fidel Castro and the Cuban Revolution would begin to play a <a href="https://www.e-ir.info/2020/12/19/cuban-cold-war-internationalism-and-the-nonaligned-movement/">strategic</a> role in internationalist solidarity with the anti-imperialist and anti-colonial liberation struggles of the people of the Third World.</p>
<p>The Cuban Revolution was fully aware that its destiny was at one with that of the people of Latin America, Asia, and Africa. As Fidel <a href="https://tinyurl.com/yu36wvwa">said</a> in 1962, “What is the history of Cuba if not the history of Latin America? And what is the history of Latin America if not the history of Asia, Africa, and Oceania? And what is the history of all these people if not the history of the most ruthless and cruel exploitation of imperialism in the entire world?”</p>
<p>When Cuba joined the NAM in 1961, its foreign policy was at a stage of strategic definition. Cuba’s commitment to the Third World became a pillar of its internationalist strategy, whether through the Nonaligned Movement or the <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/our-history/">Tricontinental Conference</a> or the subsequent <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/homage-to-ospaaal-the-organisation-of-solidarity-for-the-peoples-of-asia-africa-and-latin-america-newsletter-thirty-one-2019/">Organization of Solidarity of the People of Asia, Africa, and Latin America</a> (OSPAAAL). In the coming decades, many of the national liberation movements that met in Havana in January 1966 during the first conference of OSPAAAL would be among the new states that began to participate in the Nonaligned Movement, becoming the new Third World paradigm.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Committed to Our Own Principles of Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>At the founding meeting of the Nonaligned Movement in socialist Belgrade (then the capital of Yugoslavia) in 1961, Osvaldo Dorticós Torrado, Cuba’s president at the time, stated that nonalignment “didn’t mean that we are not committed countries. We are committed to our own principles. And those of us who are peace-loving people, who struggle to assert their sovereignty, and to achieve the fullness of national development, are, finally, committed to responding to those transcendent aspirations and not betraying those principles.” In his opening speech during the founding NAM meeting, at a time when many criticized Cuba’s apparent “alignment” with the Soviet Union and attacked the premise of national liberation being tied to a socialist project, Dorticós sought to further define nonalignment, stating that the moment required “more than general formulations, [and that] concrete problems must be considered.”</p>
<p>This active definition of nonalignment has been important for Cuba’s foreign policy in its relationship with the most progressive forces of the Third World. The thinking of the Nonaligned Movement, starting from 1973, seems to have abandoned the ideas about “neutrality” that had permeated the movement since its creation and has expanded its activities to international economic relations in defense of the need for a new international economic order with much more force than in its previous period.</p>
<p>Following the fall of the USSR and the rise of the United States to a position of near primacy, the NAM struggled to adapt to the new realities and became adrift. In recent years, however, with the revival of regionalism in Latin America, and with the emergence of Eurasian integration, the importance of nonalignment and the NAM are gradually being considered once again. People around the world are resistant to the coercion tactics adopted by the United States, which has been trying to isolate countries that do not submit to the will of Washington. This has especially become clear with the June 2022 Organization of American States’ Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles, which countries such as Bolivia, Mexico, and Honduras <a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2022-05-21/biden-risks-troubled-americas-summit-in-los-angeles">boycotted</a> in protest of the ban that prevented Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela from attending. As an alternative, the <a href="https://peoplessummit2022.org/">People’s Summit for Democracy</a> carried forth the legacy of Bandung and Havana, bringing together the voices of the excluded.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Manolo De Los Santos</strong></span> is the co-executive director of the <a href="https://peoplesforum.org/">People’s Forum</a> and a researcher at <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>. Most recently, he co-edited <em>Viviremos: Venezuela vs. Hybrid War</em> (<a href="https://mayday.leftword.com/catalog/product/view/id/22050">LeftWord Books</a>/<a href="https://1804books.com/products/viviremos-venezuela-vs-hybrid-war">1804 Books</a>, 2020) and <em>Comrade of the Revolution: Selected Speeches of Fidel Castro</em> (<a href="https://mayday.leftword.com/catalog/product/view/id/22524">LeftWord Books</a>/<a href="https://1804books.com/products/comrade-of-the-revolution-selected-speeches-of-fidel-castro">1804 Books</a>, 2021). He is a co-coordinator of the <a href="https://peoplessummit2022.org/">People’s Summit for Democracy</a>.</p>
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<p><a name="section_8"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Rejecting War Is Not Enough—Racism Curdles Peace</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Claudia Webbe</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>War and racism have always been violently, tragically inseparable. For centuries, the most devastating and brutal conflicts in the world have been driven by destructive notions of racial superiority and murderous assertions of ethnic differences.</p>
<p>Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is abhorrent and deeply concerning. It is an unprovoked, unjustifiable outrage and a heinous violation of international law that will have long-lasting and tragic consequences. The Russian aggression, military bombardment, and deployment of troops to Ukraine should end immediately.</p>
<p>No good can ever come from war and military escalation. As <a href="https://globetrotter.media/author/vijayprashad/">Globetrotter</a> journalist Vijay Prashad <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/02/26/vijay-prashad-war-itself-is-a-crime/">said</a> at the <a href="https://peoplesforum.org/">People’s Forum</a> in February 2022, “War is never good for the poor. War is never good for workers. War itself is a crime.” The international community needs to redouble its efforts to find a diplomatic solution that ensures peace and protects the lives of people in Ukraine and in other countries <span style="color: #000000;">afflicted by war.</span></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Racism and Wars</strong></span></h3>
<p>The ubiquity of support for Ukraine, especially by Western states, holds up a mirror to show how, through the prism of racism, some conflicts, wars, and incidences of mass suffering are seen as more important and deserving of sympathy than others. There have been numerous instances of journalists expressing shock that the appalling images of suffering from Ukraine are taking place in a European country with a majority white population. This was expressed by NBC News London correspondent Kelly Cobiella, who <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CBWuDajHdCo">said</a>: “To put it bluntly, these are not refugees from Syria; these are refugees from neighboring Ukraine… These are Christians; they’re white. They’re very similar [to us].” Echoing this explicit reference to race, Ukraine’s former Deputy Chief Prosecutor David Sakvarelidze <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pU-8gKaUO_Y">told</a> the BBC: “It’s very emotional for me because I see European people with blue eyes and blond hair being killed.”</p>
<p>If we contrast this to the dehumanizing language used to describe nonwhite refugees, asylum-seekers, and victims of war—such as former British Prime Minister David Cameron’s <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/uk-politics-33714282">description</a> of refugees as a “swarm”—a very worrying picture emerges about the inherent racism in how crises are reported, discussed, and responded to by the media, leaders, and the public across the world. This othering of nonwhite, non-European people serves to diminish their suffering. We should oppose the unjustifiable trauma of people in Ukraine as vehemently as we do the suffering of victims of conflicts in Palestine, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, and other countries suffering from the evils of war.</p>
<p>The media organizations and the UK government need to recognize that every theater of conflict is deserving of both our solidarity and our compassion. The UK government should therefore provide safe passage and refuge for displaced people, refugees, and asylum-seekers arriving from Ukraine as well as all other theaters of conflict across the globe. The UK government’s ongoing hypocrisy is clear to see with the abhorrent <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/04/1116342">Rwanda offshore processing plan</a> and the anti-refugee <a href="https://bills.parliament.uk/bills/3023">Nationality and Borders Act</a> of 2022, which provides for drastic changes in Britain’s asylum system. These policies should be scrapped immediately.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>A Long Tradition of Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>On March 2, 2022, the United Nations held a <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/03/1113152">vote</a> on a motion condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This was supported by 141 of its 193 member states, with just <a href="https://theweek.com/russo-ukrainian-war/1010836/only-5-countries-including-north-korea-vote-against-un-resolution">five states</a>—Russia, Belarus, North Korea, Eritrea, and Syria—voting against it. To understand why 35 states, which are overwhelmingly former colonies from the Global South, abstained from voting on the motion, it is vital to consider the long tradition of nonalignment based on which these states are acting.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.globallearning-cuba.com/blog-umlthe-view-from-the-southuml/the-third-world-project-1948-79">Bandung Conference</a> of 1955 is rightly considered one of the most important meetings in human history, as it was a hugely inspiring global gathering of formerly colonized people and was a strong assertion of Pan-Africanism and anti-imperialist solidarity. The conference also helped to popularize the Nonaligned Movement, which was an effort to counterbalance the rapid polarization of the world during the Cold War, whereby two major powers formed blocs and embarked on a policy to pull the rest of the world into their orbits. One of these blocs was the pro-Soviet, communist bloc united under the Warsaw Pact, and the other was the pro-American, capitalist group of countries, many of which were members of NATO. Millions of civilians died during the proxy wars between the U.S. and the Soviet Union in the second half of the 20th century, and the ever-present threat of nuclear annihilation hung like the sword of Damocles over the entire planet.</p>
<p>Nonalignment points us toward a safer, more peaceful future. In 1961, drawing on the principles agreed to at the Bandung Conference of 1955, the Nonaligned Movement was formally established in Belgrade, then part of Yugoslavia. Today, the Nonaligned Movement includes 120 countries, representing nearly <a href="https://espace-mondial-atlas.sciencespo.fr/en/topic-regulatory-efforts/focus-6F02-EN-contemporary-aspects-of-nonalignment.html">two-thirds</a> of the United Nations’ members, which are home to 55 percent of the world’s population. Kwame Nkrumah, the first president of Ghana and a leader of the Nonaligned Movement, famously <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1960/11/21/archives/ghana-tells-us-she-is-a-neutral-nkrumah-assures-envoy-in-accra-his.html">said</a>, “We face neither East nor West; we face forward.”</p>
<p>While the Nonaligned Movement developed during the geopolitics of the Cold War, it was founded and has endured on the recognition that no good can ever come from war and that violent conflicts, colonialism, and racism have always been closely intertwined. For instance, of the 35 countries that abstained from voting on March 2, 17 were <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2022/03/09/figure-of-the-week-african-countries-votes-on-the-un-resolution-condemning-russias-invasion-of-ukraine/">African nations</a> that for centuries suffered the violent extraction of colonialism. The abstention was far from a reflection of support for Russia’s invasion. It was an assertion of pacifism made by countries that for centuries have lived under the abominable racist outcomes of colonial warfare.</p>
<p>Across the world, instances of appalling murder and violence at the hands of the British state have been erased from our present-day memory of the empire. The time has come for former colonial states to apologize for and take seriously the historical debt that they owe to the countries, communities, and individuals who endured their cruelty. A revitalized Nonaligned Movement, guided by the principles of pacifism, justice, and international cooperation, could help rebalance the scales of global politics away from racist wars and toward a future of peace.</p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Claudia Webbe</strong> </span>is a member of the UK Parliament representing Leicester East. You can follow her on <a href="https://www.facebook.com/claudiaforLE/">Facebook</a> and on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/ClaudiaWebbe">@ClaudiaWebbe</a>.</p>
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<p><a name="section_9"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Why Peace and Disarmament Are at the Heart of Nonalignment</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Kate Hudson</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>As our world spirals toward the catastrophe of nuclear war, there has never been a greater need for a new global balancing, a rejection of great power, war, exploitation, and aggression. Now more than ever, we need to reject the brutal unipolar agenda of the United States, the dividing up of the world between hostile powers, and the suppression of the rights of the many in the interests of the few. Nowhere is this clearer than the possession of nuclear weapons: only nine states possess these ultimate weapons of mass destruction, yet they can hold the rest of the world to ransom with their nuclear terror.</p>
<p>The struggle for a genuinely multipolar world, aligned only with the world’s people, not military blocs, has peace and disarmament at its heart: this is as true now as it was 60 years ago when the Nonaligned Movement (NAM) was founded. As well as opposition to colonization and economic subjection, those founding the movement championed self-determination and equality in states’ relations, and they also agreed on their opposition to military blocs, their commitment to world peace, and a very strong advocacy of global nuclear disarmament. That thread has remained a constant ever since, and today we continue to see the countries of the Global South leading global disarmament initiatives.</p>
<p>Virtually the entire Global South is self-organized into internationally recognized nuclear-weapons-free zones originating in the 1960s. In 1967, a nuclear-weapons-free zone was established by 21 countries in Latin America renouncing the acquisition and siting of nuclear weapons on their territories. Signatories to this treaty, the Treaty of Tlatelolco, also agreed to International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) jurisdiction over their nuclear power facilities. In return, nuclear weapons states agreed not to use or threaten to use nuclear weapons against any of the signatory states. The Treaty of Rarotonga, signed in 1985, prohibited nuclear explosive devices in the South Pacific and banned the testing and use of nuclear explosive technologies. The African nuclear-weapons-free zone was formalized in 1996 with the signing of the Treaty of Pelindaba following South Africa’s disarmament of its apartheid-era nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>There has been strong regional development in disarmament led by the Global South, but there have also been—and continue to be—global attempts. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), negotiated during the 1960s, which came into force in 1970, was in large part initiated by India to bring proliferation and spiraling arsenals under control. India and Pakistan both declined to join the NPT, asserting that it enshrined nuclear haves and have-nots in law—a two-tier, double standards system. Regrettably, they both went on to test and develop their own arsenals. But the point was correct—nuclear weapons states did not comply with their NPT obligations to disarm. Indeed, they have subsequently attempted to reinterpret the NPT as allowing them to retain nuclear weapons.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>The West Departs</strong></span></h3>
<p>In the early years of the 21st century, in the context of the so-called “war on terror,” U.S. President George W. Bush and UK Prime Minister Tony Blair attempted to shift the international legal framework governing nuclear weapons. They tried to overturn the disarmament requirement, focusing on preventing more countries from acquiring nuclear weapons. Their goal was to reinterpret the NPT as legitimizing the possession of weapons by existing nuclear states while using it to justify confrontation with states accused of proliferation. They claimed that a new document was needed to reflect the drastic changes in international security conditions, including the September 11 attacks in 2001.</p>
<p>The reality was that the U.S. and UK were researching new weapons and would be prepared to use them even against a non-nuclear-weapons state, and they were also developing weapons for confrontation with more powerful states such as Russia or China. This was the real driver of nuclear proliferation, together with the U.S. determination to make Israel the only nuclear weapons state in the Middle East.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>A New Path</strong></span></h3>
<p>It was frustration with the NPT that led to the founding of the Humanitarian Initiative on the consequences of nuclear weapons in 2013. This initiative came to fruition in the form of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), which entered into force in January 2021.</p>
<p>The treaty makes nuclear weapons illegal for the first time, outlawing the development, possession, and deployment of nuclear weapons by participating states. The treaty currently has 61 states parties that are legally bound by the treaty and many more that are in the process of coming on board. The countries of the Global South are at the forefront of achieving this treaty; they understand that any nuclear weapons use by states in the Global North will disastrously affect their own populations, lands, and food production. As has always been their position, any possession of nuclear weapons is unacceptable; no hands are safe hands when it comes to nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>In a remarkable development, the treaty also places obligations on signatories to assist victims of nuclear weapons use and testing. It requires environmental remediation for lands contaminated by nuclear testing. It also explicitly recognizes the disproportionate impact of nuclear weapon activities on Indigenous peoples because of the choices made by colonial nuclear powers for their testing sites. For example, many of the UK tests were conducted on the Australian First People’s territories in Emu Field and Maralinga, contaminating large parts of South Australia. France conducted nuclear tests in its former colonies, including 17 in Algeria and 193 in French Polynesia. These historic wrongs must be righted.</p>
<p>The initiatives of the global majority for peace and disarmament show that another world is possible. War is terrible. In all wars, people suffer, and war’s consequences last for generations. Countless people’s futures are destroyed, as we see in Ukraine, Afghanistan, Palestine, Yemen, Libya, Syria, Iraq, and the Sahel. The priorities of humanity are to fight against inequality and poverty, tackle the climate crisis, and expand access to health and vaccines. Massive state spending on military production and destruction is a criminal waste of resources. Military alliances do not solve our problems, but dialogue, demilitarization, and international cooperation do.</p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Kate Hudson</strong></span> is the general secretary of the <a href="https://cnduk.org/">Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament</a>. She is a leading anti-nuclear and anti-war campaigner in the United Kingdom and internationally.</p>
<hr class="separator">
<p><a name="section_10"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>$2 Trillion for War Versus $100 Billion to Save the Planet</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Murad Qureshi</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>During late April and early May, South Asia was shaken by the terrible impacts of global warming, with temperatures <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/05/03/1096085028/climate-scientists-say-south-asias-heat-wave-120f-is-a-sign-of-whats-to-come">reaching</a> almost 50 degrees Celsius (122 Fahrenheit) in some cities in the region. These high temperatures came alongside dangerous flooding in Northeast India and in Bangladesh as the rivers burst their banks, with <a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/bangladesh/flash-flooding-northeast-bangladesh-sylhet-sunamganj-and-netrokona-district-briefing-note-19062022">flash floods</a> taking place in places like Sunamganj in Sylhet, Bangladesh.</p>
<p>Saleemul Huq, the director of the <a href="https://www.iied.org/users/saleemul-huq#:~:text=Saleemul%20Huq%20is%20the%20director,the%20perspective%20of%20developing%20countries.">International Center of Climate Change and Development</a>, is from Bangladesh. He is a veteran of the UN climate change negotiations. When Huq read a tweet by Marianne Karlsen, the co-chair of the UN’s Adaptation Committee, which <a href="https://twitter.com/LossandDamage/status/1537434616809725953">said</a> that “[m]ore time is needed to reach an agreement” while referring to the negotiations on loss and damage finance, he <a href="https://twitter.com/SaleemulHuq/status/1537437290263216128">tweeted back</a>: “The one thing we have run out of is Time! Climate change impacts are already happening, and poor people are suffering losses and damages due to the emissions of the rich. Talk is no longer an acceptable substitute for action (money!)” Karlsen’s comment came in light of the treacle-slow process of <a href="https://time.com/6188699/loss-damages-blocked-from-cop27-agenda/">agreeing</a> on the “loss and damage” agenda for the 27th Conference of Parties or COP27 meeting to be held in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, in November 2022.</p>
<p>In 2009, at COP15, developed countries of the world agreed to a <a href="https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/what-does-cop26-mean-adaptation">$100 billion</a> annual adaptation assistance fund, which was supposed to be paid by 2020. This fund was intended to assist countries of the Global South to shift their reliance on carbon to renewable sources of energy and to adapt to the realities of the climate catastrophe. At the time of the Glasgow COP26 meeting in November 2021, however, developed countries were unable to meet this commitment. The $100 billion may seem like a modest fund, but it is far less than the <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2021/06/1094762">Trillion Dollar Climate Finance Challenge</a> that will be required to ensure comprehensive climate action.</p>
<p>The richer states—led by the West—have not only refused to seriously fund this adaptation, but they have also reneged on the original agreements such as the <a href="https://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol">Kyoto Protocol</a> (1997), an important step toward mitigating the climate crisis that the U.S. Congress has <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2013/07/26/world/kyoto-protocol-fast-facts/index.html">refused</a> to ratify. Furthermore, the United States has shifted the goalposts for reducing its methane emissions and has refused to account for the <a href="https://watson.brown.edu/research/2019/pentagon-fuel-use-climate-change-and-costs-war">massive output</a> of carbon emissions by the U.S. military.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Germany’s Money Goes to War Instead of the Climate</strong></span></h3>
<p>Germany hosts the secretariat of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. In June, as a prelude to COP27, the UN held a <a href="https://unfccc.int/SB56">conference</a> on climate change in Bonn. The talks ended in acrimony over finance for what is known as “loss and damage.” The European Union consistently blocked all discussions on compensation. Eddy Pérez of the Climate Action Network, Canada, <a href="https://climatenetwork.org/2022/06/16/eu-hypocrisy-as-a-climate-champion-exposed-at-bonn-climate-conference%EF%BF%BC/">said</a>, “Consumed by their narrow national interests, rich nations and in particular countries in the European Union came to the Bonn Climate Conference to block, delay, and undermine efforts from people and communities on the frontlines addressing the losses and damage caused by fossil fuels.”</p>
<p>On the table is the hypocrisy of countries such as Germany, which claims to lead on these issues but instead has been sourcing fossil fuels overseas and has been spending increasing funds on their military. At the same time, these countries have denied support to developing countries facing devastation from climate-induced superstorms and rising seas.</p>
<p>After the German elections in September 2021, hopes were raised that the new coalition of the Social Democrats with the Green Party would lift up the green agenda. However, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has instead <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/a9045654-f378-4f42-a012-e35f9e43b135">promised</a> €100 billion for the military, which Financial Times reporter Guy Chazan described as “the biggest increase in the country’s military expenditure since the end of the Cold War.” Chancellor Sholz also committed to increasing the military budget to more than 2 percent of the country’s gross domestic product. This means more money for the military and less money for climate mitigation and green transformation.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>The Military and the Climate Catastrophe</strong></span></h3>
<p>The money that is being swallowed into Western military establishments does not only drift away from any climate spending but also promotes greater climate catastrophe. The U.S. military is the largest institutional polluter on the planet. The maintenance of its more than 800 military bases around the world, for instance, means that the U.S. military <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/climate-collapse-and-the-responsibility-of-the-military/">consumes</a> 395,000 barrels of oil daily. In 2021, the world’s governments <a href="https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2022/world-military-expenditure-passes-2-trillion-first-time#:~:text=(Stockholm%2C%2025%20April%202022),2021%2C%20to%20reach%20%242113%20billion.">spent</a> $2 trillion on weapons, with the leading countries being those who are the richest (as well as the most sanctimonious on the climate debate). Money is available for war but not to deal with the climate catastrophe.</p>
<p>The way weapons have poured into the Ukraine conflict gives many of us pause. The prolongation of that war is intensifying severe food insecurity in a <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/06/13/climate-disasters-collide-with-ukraine-war-deepen-hunger-crisis/">global reality</a> in which 49 million people have already been identified as being at risk of famine in 46 countries as result of conflicts, climate change, and extreme weather conditions, <a href="https://www.fao.org/documents/card/en/c/cc0364en/">according</a> to the “Hunger Hotspots” report by the United Nations agencies. Conflict and organized violence were the main sources of food insecurity in Africa and the Middle East, specifically in northern Nigeria, central Sahel, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Somalia, South Sudan, Yemen, and Syria. The war in Ukraine has exacerbated the food crisis by driving up the price of agricultural commodities, as Russia and Ukraine together account for around 30 percent of the global wheat trade. So, the longer the Ukraine war continues, the more “hunger hotspots” will grow, taking the concentration of severe food insecurity beyond Africa and the Middle East.</p>
<p>While one COP meeting has already taken place on the African continent, another will take place later this year. First, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, hosted the UN Convention to Combat Desertification in May 2022, and then Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, will host the UN Climate Change Conference (COP27) in November 2022. These are major forums for African states to put on the table the great damage done to parts of the continent due to the climate catastrophe.</p>
<p>When the representatives of the countries of the world gather at Sharm el-Sheikh, they will hear Western representatives talk about climate change, make pledges, and then do everything possible to continue to exacerbate the catastrophe. What we saw in Bonn is a prelude to what will be a fiasco in Sharm el-Sheikh.</p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Murad Qureshi</strong></span> is a former member of the London Assembly and a former chair of the Stop the War Coalition.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
			</item>
		<item>
		<title>The United States Is Waging a New Cold War: A Socialist Perspective</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/the-united-states-is-waging-a-new-cold-war-a-socialist-perspective/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Amilcar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Sep 2022 05:00:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global South]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear primacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exterminism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear winter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NATO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neoconservatism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eurasia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military industrial complex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[world war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Henry Kissinger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[john ross]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Bellamy Foster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deborah veneziale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hegemony]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monthly Review]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=64140</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In our collaboration with the Peace and Justice Project, Globetrotter, and the Morning Star, we explore the realities of war and the possibilities of nonalignment and peace.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><b>Contents</b></span></h3>
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="1">
<li><a href="#section_1">Introduction</a> by Vijay Prashad</li>
<li><a href="#section_2">What Is Propelling the United States into Increasing International Military Aggression?</a> by John Ross (Luo Siyi)</li>
<li><a href="#section_3">Who Is Leading the United States to War?</a> by Deborah Veneziale</li>
<li><a href="#section_4">“Notes on Exterminism” for the Twenty-First-Century Ecology and Peace Movements</a> by John Bellamy Foster</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-64182 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/mrs_logos.png" alt="Tricontinental Institute, Monthly Review Press and NoColdWar logos" width="600" height="51" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/mrs_logos.png 600w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/mrs_logos-300x26.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_1"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_1"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Introduction</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">Vijay Prashad</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>At the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos (Switzerland) on May 23, 2022, former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger made some remarks about Ukraine that struck a nerve. Rather than be caught up “in the mood of the moment,” Kissinger said, the West—led by the United States—needs to enable a peace agreement that satisfies the Russians. “Pursuing the war beyond [this] point,” Kissinger said, “would not be about the freedom of Ukraine, but a new war against Russia itself.” Most of the commentary from the Western foreign policy establishment rolled their eyes and dismissed Kissinger’s comments. Kissinger, no peacenik, nonetheless indicated the great danger of escalation towards not only the establishment of a new iron curtain around Asia but perhaps open—and lethal—warfare between the West and Russia as well as China. This sort of unthinkable outcome was too much, even for Henry Kissinger, whose boss, former President Richard Nixon, spoke frequently of the Madman Theory of international relations; Nixon told his chief of staff Bob Haldeman that he had his “hand on the nuclear button” to terrify Ho Chi Minh into capitulation.</p>
<p>During the lead-up to the U.S.’s illegal invasion of Iraq in 2003, I spoke to a senior member of the U.S. State Department who told me that the prevailing theory in Washington amounts to a simple slogan: <i>short-term pain for long-term gain</i>. He explained that the general view is that the nation’s elites are willing to tolerate short-term pain for other countries—and perhaps for working people in the United States, who could experience economic difficulties due to the disruptions and carnage created by war. However, if all goes well, this price will result in long-term gain as the United States would be able to maintain what it has sought to maintain since the end of the Second World War, which is primacy. <i>If all goes well</i> is the premise that sent shivers down my back as he spoke, but what rattled me just as much was the callousness about who must face the pain and who would enjoy the gain. It was quite cynically said in Washington that it was worth the price that Iraqis and working-class U.S. soldiers be negatively impacted (and die), so long as large oil and financial companies could enjoy the fruits of a conquered Iraq. This attitude—<i>short term pain, long-term gain</i>—is the defining hallucination of the elites in the United States, who are unwilling to tolerate the project of building human dignity and the longevity of nature.</p>
<p><i>Short term pain, long-term gain</i> defines the dangerous escalation by the United States and its Western allies against Russia and China. What is striking about the posture of the United States is that it seeks to prevent a historical process that seems inevitable, which is the process of Eurasian integration. After the collapse of the U.S. housing market and the major credit crisis in the Western banking sector, the Chinese government, alongside other Global South countries, pivoted to build platforms that were not dependent upon the markets of North America and Europe. These platforms included the creation of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) in 2009 and the announcement of One Belt, One Road (later the Belt and Road Initiative or BRI) in 2013. Russia’s energy supply and its massive metal and mineral holdings, as well as China’s industrial and technological capacity, drew many countries into association with the BRI despite their political orientation, with Russia’s export of energy undergirding this association. These countries included Poland, Italy, Bulgaria, and Portugal, while Germany is now China’s largest trading partner in goods.</p>
<p>The historical fact of Eurasian integration threatened the primacy of the United States and of the Atlantic elites. It is this threat that drives the dangerous attempt by the United States to use any means to “weaken” both Russia and China. Old habits continue to dominate in Washington, which has long sought nuclear primacy to negate the theory of détente. The United States has developed a nuclear capacity and posture that would allow it to destroy the planet to maintain its hegemony. The strategies to weaken Russia and China include an attempt to isolate these countries through the escalation of the U.S.-imposed hybrid war (such as sanctions and the information war) and a desire to dismember these countries and then dominate them in perpetuity.</p>
<p>The three essays in this volume closely and rationally analyze the longer-term trends that have now manifested in Ukraine.</p>
<p>John Bellamy Foster, the editor of <i>Monthly Review</i>, catalogued the “escalation domination” theory of the U.S. establishment, which has been willing to risk nuclear winter—which means annihilation—to hold onto primacy. Despite the actual numbers of nuclear weapons held by Russia and the United States, the latter has developed an entire counterforce architecture that it believes can destroy Russian and Chinese nuclear weapons and then pulverize these countries into submission. This fantasy emerges not only in the turgid documents of U.S. policy makers, but it also appears occasionally in the popular press, where arguments are made about the importance of a nuclear attack against Russia.</p>
<p>Deborah Veneziale, a journalist based in Italy, excavates the social world of militarism in the United States, looking at how the various factions of the U.S. political elite have come together to support this strategy of confrontation against Russia and China. The intimate world of think tanks and arms production companies, of politicians and their scribes, has negated the constitutional protections of checks and balances. There is a rush to conflict so that the U.S. elites can protect their extraordinary control over global social wealth (the combined net worth of the richest 400 U.S. citizens is now close to $3.5 trillion, while the global elites, many of them from the United States, have hoarded nearly $40 trillion in illicit tax havens).</p>
<p>John Ross, a member of the No Cold War collective, writes that the United States has qualitatively escalated its military assault on the planet through the conflict in Ukraine. This war is dangerous because it shows that the United States is willing to directly confront Russia, a major power, and that it is willing to escalate its conflict with China by “Ukrainizing” Taiwan. What can constrain the United States, Ross argues, is China’s resilience and its commitment to defending its sovereignty and its project, as well as the growing annoyance in the Global South against the U.S.’s imposition of its foreign policy objectives. Most countries in the world do not see the Ukraine War as their conflict since they are gripped with the need to address broader dilemmas of humanity. It is telling that the head of the African Union, Moussa Faki Mahamat, said on May 25, 2022 that Africa has become “the collateral victim of a distant conflict, that between Russia and Ukraine.” The conflict is distant not only in terms of space, but also in terms of the political objectives of countries in Africa, as well as in Asia and Latin America.</p>
<p>This study is jointly produced by Monthly Review, No Cold War, and Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. We invite you to read it, share it with friends, and discuss it wherever you get the opportunity. Precious human life and the longevity of the planet are at stake. It is impossible to ignore these facts. Most of the people of the world would like to get along with our real problems. We do not want to be dragooned into a conflict that is driven by a parochial desire by the Western elite to maintain their preponderant power. We affirm life.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_2"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_2"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>What Is Propelling the United States into Increasing International Military Aggression?</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">John Ross</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Introduction</strong></span></h3>
<p>The events leading to the Ukraine War represent a qualitative acceleration of a more than two-decade-long trend in which the United States has escalated its military aggression on an international level. Before the Ukraine War, the United States carried out military confrontations only against developing countries, which had far weaker armed forces and did not possess nuclear weapons: the bombing of Serbia in 1999, the invasions of Afghanistan in 2001 and of Iraq in 2003, and the bombing of Libya in 2011. However, the U.S. threat to extend the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) into Ukraine, which is the main cause of the war, represents something fundamentally different. The United States was aware that extending NATO into Ukraine would directly confront the national interests of Russia, a country with large military forces and an enormous nuclear arsenal. Though it would cross Russia’s red lines, the United States was ready to take this risk.</p>
<p>The United States has not (yet) committed its own soldiers to the war in Ukraine, stating that this would threaten a world war and risk nuclear catastrophe. But it is, in fact, engaging in a proxy war against Russia. Not only has it insisted on leaving open the possibility that Ukraine could join NATO, but it trained Ukraine’s army in the lead up to the war and has now supplied massive amounts of military weapons and passed satellite and other intelligence information to the country. So far, U.S. aid to Ukraine has amounted to some $50 billion.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>How the United States Pushed Ukraine into the War</strong></span></h3>
<p>The United States and its allies have been preparing Ukraine for war since at least 2014, such as by sending hundreds of instructors to train Ukraine’s military. This is similar to its approach during the Gulf War in Iraq in 1990, reflecting a model that Washington appears to be using to achieve its geopolitical goals. Russia was purposefully lured into the situation in Ukraine beginning with the 2014 coup, when anti-Russian forces took power in Kiev, backed by Ukrainian neo-Nazis as well as by the United States. At that time, the Ukrainian army was not a powerful military force, having suffered considerably following the “reforms” launched in 1991, after the collapse of the United Socialist Soviet Republic (U.S.S.R.). Decades of neglect and underfunding led to decaying military infrastructure and equipment, along with the depletion of morale among officers and soldiers. As Vyacheslav Tetekin, a member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (K.P.R.F.), puts it, “The Ukrainian army did not want [to] and could not fight.”</p>
<p>After the 2014 coup, state spending was diverted away from improving social welfare and redeployed toward building up the military. From 2015–2019, Ukraine’s military budget increased from $1.7 billion to $8.9 billion, constituting 6% of the country’s GDP in 2019. Measured as a percentage of its GDP, Ukraine spent three times more on its military than most developed countries in the West. Extensive funds were poured into restoring and modernizing the country’s military hardware, and ultimately re-establishing the military’s combat capability.</p>
<p>During the 2014–15 war against Donbass (the Russian-speaking region of eastern Ukraine), Ukraine had little air combat support, as nearly all combat aircraft were in need of repair. However, by February 2022, the Air Force was equipped with approximately 150 fighters, bombers, and attack aircraft. The size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces also expanded dramatically. It is important to note that, at the end of 2021, remuneration for soldiers increased three-fold, according to Tetekin’s data. This strengthening of military power alongside powerful fortifications erected near Donbass indicates the U.S. intention to initiate conflict in the region.</p>
<p>However, despite these preparations for war, the Ukrainian army was unable to seriously contest with Russia. The balance of forces was clearly not in favor of Kiev. This did not matter to the United States, which sought to use Ukraine as cannon fodder against Russia. According to Tetekin, “the United States planned two options for the new, militarized Ukraine… The first one was to conquer Donbass and invade Crimea. The second option was to provoke Russia’s armed intervention.”</p>
<p>In December 2021, aware of the growing danger it faced from Ukraine under U.S. influence, Russia sought a set of security guarantees from NATO to defuse the crisis. In particular, Russia demanded that NATO end its eastward expansion, including membership of Ukraine. “The West… ignored these demands,” Tetekin writes, “knowing that preparations for the invasion of Donbass [were] in full swing. Most combat-ready units of the Ukrainian Army, numbering up to 150 thousand people, were concentrated close to Donbass. They could break the resistance of local troops within days, with the complete destruction of Donetsk and Lugansk and [the] death of thousands.”<a href="#_sect1_edn1" name="_sect1_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Ukraine Is a Qualitative Escalation of Military Aggression by the United States</strong></span></h3>
<p>It is therefore clear from both the fundamental political facts—the U.S.’s insistence on Ukraine’s “right” to enter NATO—and the military facts—the U.S. build-up of Ukraine’s armed forces—that the United States was preparing a confrontation in Ukraine, even though this would inevitably involve a direct clash with Russia. Consequently, in assessing the Ukraine crisis, it is important to note that the United States was prepared to escalate its military threats from simply those against developing countries—always unjust but not directly risking military conflicts with great powers or world wars­—to aggression against very strong states such as Russia, which do risk global military conflict. Therefore, it is crucial to analyze what creates this escalating U.S. military aggression. Is it temporary, after which the United States will resume a more conciliatory course, or is increasing military escalation a long-term trend in U.S. policy?</p>
<p>This is, of course, of utmost importance for all countries, but particularly for China, itself a powerful state. To take only one key example, in parallel with escalating U.S. aggression against Russia, the United States has not merely imposed tariffs against China’s economy and carried out a systematic international campaign to exploit the situation in Xinjiang for its own foreign policy agenda; it has also attempted to undermine the One China policy regarding Taiwan Province.</p>
<p>Among the United States’ actions regarding Taiwan Province:</p>
<ul>
<li>For the first time since the commencement of United States-China diplomatic relations, President Biden invited a representative of Taipei to the inauguration of a U.S. president.</li>
<li>Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi—the third-highest ranking U.S. official in order of presidential succession—visited Taipei on August 2, 2022.</li>
<li>The United States has called for Taipei’s participation in the UN.</li>
<li>The United States has intensified sales of military armaments and equipment to the island.</li>
<li>U.S. delegations visiting Taipei have increased.</li>
<li>The United States has increased its military deployment in the South China Sea and has regularly sent U.S. warships through the Taiwan Strait.</li>
<li>U.S. Special Operations Forces have trained Taiwanese ground troops as well as Taiwanese Navy sailors.</li>
</ul>
<p>As is the case with Ukraine and Russia, the United States is fully conscious that the One China policy affects China’s most fundamental national interests, and it has been the basis of U.S.-China relations for the fifty years since Nixon’s 1972 visit to Beijing. To abandon it crosses China’s red lines. It is therefore crystal clear that the United States is attempting in a confrontational way to undermine the One China policy in the same way that it deliberately decided to cross Russia’s red lines in Ukraine.</p>
<p>Regarding the question of whether these U.S. provocations against both China and Russia are temporary, long term, or even permanent, the clear conclusion of this author is that the trend of U.S. military escalation will continue. However, given that such an issue, potentially involving wars, is of utmost seriousness and has extremely major practical consequences, exaggeration and mere propaganda are unacceptable. The aim here is therefore to present in a factual, objective, and calm way the reasons why the United States will attempt to further escalate its military aggression over the coming period. In addition, I will ascertain which trends may serve to counteract this dangerous U.S. policy and which may exacerbate it.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Economic and Military Position of the United States during the “Old Cold War” and the “New Cold War”</strong></span></h3>
<p>Reduced to the most essential facts, the key forces that have driven this escalating U.S. policy of military aggression, which has now lasted more than two decades, are clear. They are, first, the permanent loss of the overwhelming weight of the U.S. economy in global production, and, second, the preponderance of U.S. military power and spending. This asymmetry creates a very dangerous period for humanity, one in which the U.S. may attempt to compensate for its relative economic decline through its use of military force. This helps explain U.S. military attacks on developing countries, as well as its escalating confrontation with Russia in Ukraine. An important question is whether this U.S. military aggression will increase further to include a growing confrontation with China, even to the point of a willingness to consider a world war. To answer this question, it is necessary to make an accurate analysis of the United States’ economic and military situation.</p>
<p>To start with the economy, in 1950, near the commencement of the first Cold War, the United States accounted for 27.3 percent of the world GDP. In comparison, the U.S.S.R., the largest socialist economy of that period, accounted for 9.6 percent of world GDP. In other words, the U.S. economy was nearly three times larger than the Soviet economy.<a href="#_sect1_edn2" name="_sect1_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> During the entire post-Second World War period (the first Cold War), the U.S.S.R. never came close to the U.S.’s GDP, equaling only 44.4 percent of it in 1975. That is, even at the peak of the U.S.S.R.’s relative economic achievement, the U.S. economy was still more than twice the size of the Soviet economy. Throughout the “Old Cold War,” the United States enjoyed a significant economic lead over the U.S.S.R., at least in terms of conventional measures of output.</p>
<p>Turning to the present situation, the United States accounts for considerably less of the global GDP than it did in 1950, ranging from roughly 15 to 25 percent depending on how it is measured. China, the main economic rival of the United States today, has gotten much closer to parity with the U.S. economy. Even at market exchange rates, which oscillate somewhat independently of actual outputs with currency fluctuations, China’s GDP is already 74 percent that of the United States’, a far higher level than the U.S.S.R. ever achieved. Furthermore, China’s economic growth rate has for some time been much faster than that of the United States, meaning that it will continue to close in on the latter.</p>
<p>Calculated in purchasing power parities (PPPs, which account for countries’ different price levels), the measure used by Angus Maddison and the IMF, by 2021, the United States accounted for only 16 percent of the world economy—that is, 84 percent of the world economy is outside of the United States. By the same measure, China’s economy is already 18 percent larger than that of the United States. By 2026, according to International Monetary Fund PPP projections, China’s economy will be at least 35 percent larger than that of the United States. The economic gap between China and the United States is far closer than anything the U.S.S.R. ever achieved.</p>
<p>Taking into account other factors, no matter how they are measured, China has become by far the world’s largest manufacturing power. In 2019, the latest available data point, China accounted for 28.7 percent of world manufacturing production, compared to 16.8 percent for the United States. In other words, China’s global share of manufacturing production was more than 70 percent higher than that of the United States. The U.S.S.R., on the other hand, never came close to overtaking the United States in manufacturing production.</p>
<p>Turning to trade in goods, the defeat of the United States by China in the trade war launched by Trump is even somewhat humiliating for him and the country. In 2018, China already traded more goods than any other country, though its trade in goods was only around 10 percent larger than that of the United States at that time. By 2021, China’s trade in goods outpaced the U.S. by 31 percent. The situation was even worse for the United States in terms of the export of goods: in 2018, China’s exports were 58 percent higher than those of the U.S., and, by 2021, China’s exports were 91 percent higher. In summary, not only has China become by far the world’s largest goods-trading nation, but the United States has suffered a clear defeat in the trade war launched by the Trump and Biden administrations.</p>
<p>Even more fundamental from a macroeconomic viewpoint is China’s lead in savings (household, business, and state), the source of real capital investment and the driving force of economic growth. According to the latest available data in 2019, China’s gross capital savings were, in absolute terms, 56 percent higher than those of the United States—the equivalent of $6.3 trillion, compared to $4.03 trillion. However, this figure greatly understates China’s lead: once depreciation is taken into account, China’s net annual capital creation was 635 percent higher than that of the United States—the equivalent of $3.9 trillion, compared to $0.6 trillion. In summary, China is greatly adding to its capital stock each year, while the United States, in comparative terms, is adding little.</p>
<p>The net result of these trends is that China has overwhelmingly outperformed the United States in terms of economic growth, not merely in the entire four-decade period since 1978, as is well known, but continuing into the recent period. In inflation adjusted prices, since 2007 (the year before the international financial crisis), the U.S. economy has grown by 24 percent, while China’s economy has grown by 177 percent—that is, China’s economy has grown more than seven times faster than the U.S. economy. On the terrain of relatively peaceful competition, China is winning.<a href="#_sect1_edn3" name="_sect1_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p>The U.S. lead in productivity, technology, and company size means that, overall, its economy is still stronger than China’s, but the gap between the two countries is far narrower than was the case between the United States and the U.S.S.R. Furthermore, whatever one might say are the exact relative economic strengths of the two global giants, it clear that the United States has lost its global economic predominance. From a purely economic standpoint, we are already in a global era of multipolarity.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The U.S. Military in a Moment of Economic Decline</strong></span></h3>
<p>These economic setbacks for the United States have led some, particularly in a few circles in the West, to believe that the defeat of the United States is inevitable or has already occurred. A similar view has been expressed by a small number of people in China who take the view that China’s comprehensive strength has already overtaken that of the United States. These views are incorrect. They forget, in V.I. Lenin’s famous words, that “politics must take precedence over economics, that is the ABC of Marxism,” and, regarding politics, that “political power grows out of the barrel of a gun,” in the famous dictum of Chairman Mao. The fact that the United States is losing its economic superiority does not mean that it will simply allow this economic trend to peacefully continue: to presume that this is the case would be to make the mistake of placing economics before politics. On the contrary, the fact that the United States is losing ground economically both to China and to other countries is pushing it toward military and military-related political means to overcome the consequences of its economic defeats.</p>
<p>More precisely, the danger to all countries is that the United States has not lost military supremacy. In fact, U.S. military spending is greater than that of the next nine countries combined. Only in one area, nuclear weapons, is U.S. strength roughly equaled by another country, Russia, which is due to Russia’s inheritance of nuclear weapons from the U.S.S.R. The exact numbers of nuclear weapons held by countries in general are state secrets, but, as of 2022, according to a leading Western estimate by the Federation of American Scientists, Russia possesses 5,977 nuclear weapons, while the United States has 5,428. Russia and the United States each have about 1,600 active deployed strategic nuclear warheads (though the United States has far more nuclear weapons than China).<a href="#_sect1_edn4" name="_sect1_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> Meanwhile, in the field of conventional weapons, U.S. spending is far greater than that of any other country.</p>
<p>This divergence in the United States’ position in economic and military spheres underlies its aggressive policy and creates the distinction between its economic and military positions in the present “New Cold War” compared to the “Old Cold War” waged against the U.S.S.R. In the Old Cold War, U.S. and U.S.S.R. military strengths were approximately equal, but, as already noted, the U.S. economy was much larger. Therefore, in the Old Cold War, the U.S. strategy was to attempt to shift issues onto an economic terrain. Even Reagan’s military buildup in the 1980s was not intended to be used to wage war against the U.S.S.R., but rather to engage it in an arms race that would damage the Soviet economy. Consequently, despite tension, the Cold War never turned to a hot war. The U.S.’s present situation is the opposite: its relative economic position has weakened tremendously, but its military power is great. Therefore, it attempts to move issues to the military terrain, which explains its escalating military aggression and why this is a permanent trend.</p>
<p>This means that humanity has entered a very dangerous period. The United States might be losing in peaceful economic competition, but it still retains a military lead over China. The temptation is then for the United States to use “direct” and “indirect” military means to attempt to halt China’s development.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Direct and Indirect Use of U.S. Military Strength</strong></span></h3>
<p>The U.S. employs both “direct” and “indirect” means to display its military strength, which are far more expansive than the most extreme “direct” possibility of a frontal war against China. Some of these approaches are already in use, while others are being discussed. The former includes, for example:</p>
<ul>
<li>subordinating other countries to the U.S. military and attempting to pressure these countries to adopt more hostile economic policies towards China, as is the case in relation to Germany and the European Union.</li>
<li>attempting to overcome the multipolar economic character of the world, which has already been established, instead creating alliances dominated in a unilateral way by the United States. This is clearly the case with NATO, the Quad (United States, Japan, Australia, India), and in relation to some other nations.</li>
<li>attempting to force countries that have good economic relations with China to weaken these relations. This is particularly evident with Australia and is now being attempted elsewhere.</li>
</ul>
<p>Meanwhile, approaches that are being discussed include the possibility of waging wars against allies of China and Russia and attempting to draw China into a “limited” war with the United States regarding Taiwan Province.</p>
<p>An example of the U.S.’s integrated use of both direct and indirect military pressure was given by <em>Financial Times</em> chief U.S. political commentator, Janan Ganesh, following the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, who explained how “America will be the ultimate ‘winner’ of the Ukrainian crisis.” Within three days of Russia’s intervention in Ukraine, Ganesh writes, Germany expedited the construction of the country’s first two liquified natural gas (LNG) terminals. By 2026, the U.S. will likely become Germany’s top LNG supplier, as it is closer both geographically and politically, thereby eliminating German dependence on Russian energy imports. Ganesh also argues that Germany’s pledge to increase its defense budget will also benefit the U.S. because Germany would in turn “share more of NATO’s financial and logistical burden” that is currently held by the U.S. Lastly, he points to what could be a massive advance for the U.S.:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">A Europe that is more tethered to America and at the same time less of a drain on it: no Kissinger could have schemed what the Kremlin is poised to achieve through accident. Far from ending the US turn to Asia, the war in Ukraine might be the event that enables it.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">As for that part of the world, if the Chinese aim is to exorcise at least the Pacific Rim of US influence, the past six weeks have been an education in the size of the task. Japan could hardly be doing more to side with Kyiv, and therefore with Washington.<a href="#_sect1_edn5" name="_sect1_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a></p>
<p>In short, the United States used its military pressure to increase the economic subordination of Germany and Japan. Though many other variants can be envisaged, their common feature is that the United States uses its military strength to attempt to compensate for its weakened economic position. Understood in this way, it is clear that the United States has already embarked on this fundamental policy of directly and indirectly using its military strength.</p>
<p>Since China is experiencing more rapid economic development than the United States, it is likely that its military strength will eventually become its equal. However, it would take years for China to build a nuclear arsenal equivalent to that of the United States, even if China decided to embark on such a policy. It would likely take even longer to create conventional armaments equivalent to those of the United States given the enormous technological development and training of personnel required for such advanced air and naval forces and much else. Therefore, the United States will have stronger armed forces than China for a very significant number of years, creating the permanent temptation for the United States to attempt to use military means to compensate for its declining economic position.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Significance of the War in Ukraine</strong></span></h3>
<p>Two fundamental lessons can be drawn from the events leading to the war in Ukraine.</p>
<p>First, it confirms that it is pointless to ask the United States for compassion. After the U.S.S.R.’s dissolution in 1991, for seventeen years Russia pursued a policy of attempting to have friendly relations with the United States. Under Boris Yeltsin, Russia was humiliatingly subordinated to the United States. During the early period of Putin’s presidency, Russia gave direct assistance to the United States in its so-called war on terror and in the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan. The U.S. response was to violate every promise it had made that NATO would not advance “by an inch” towards Russia, all while aggressively increasing military pressure on Russia.</p>
<p>Second, this dynamic makes it clear that the outcome of the war in Ukraine is crucial not only for Russia, but also for China and for the entire world. Russia is the only country which is the United States’ equal in terms of nuclear weapons, and the good relations between China and Russia are a major deterrent for the U.S. not to adopt any policy of a direct attack on China. The aim of the U.S. in Ukraine is precisely to attempt to bring about a fundamental change in Russia’s policy and install a government in Moscow which no longer defends Russia’s national interests—and one which is hostile to China and subordinate to the U.S. If that were achieved, not only would China face a greatly increased military threat from the U.S., but its long northern border with Russia would become a strategic threat; China would be surrounded from the north. In other words, both Russia and China’s national interests would be undermined. In the words of Sergei Glazyev, a Russian commissioner on the executive body of the Eurasian Economic Union: “After failing to weaken China head-on through a trade war, the Americans shifted the main blow to Russia, which they see as a weak link in the global geopolitics and economy. The Anglo-Saxons are trying to implement their eternal Russophobic ideas to destroy our country, and at the same time to weaken China, because the strategic alliance of the Russian Federation and the PRC is too tough for the United States.”<a href="#_sect1_edn6" name="_sect1_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>U.S. Military Actions and the Constraints They Face</strong></span></h3>
<p>As the United States is pushed both by its declining economic position and by its military strength, there is no limit on an “internal” (domestic) level to the scope of U.S. aggression. History clearly shows that the U.S. has been prepared to carry out the most extremely violent military aggression to the point of being willing to destroy entire countries. In one of many examples, in the Korean War, the U.S. destroyed nearly all of North Korea’s cities and towns, including an estimated 85 percent of its buildings.</p>
<p>The U.S. bombing in Indochina during the Vietnam War was even greater in scale, using both explosive devices and chemical weapons, such as the notorious Agent Orange, which produces horrifying deformities. From 1964 to August 15, 1973, the United States Air Force dropped over six million tons of bombs and other ordnance in Indochina, while U.S. Navy and Marine Corps aircraft expended another 1.5 million tons in Southeast Asia. As Micheal Clodfelter notes in<em> The Limits of Air Power:</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">This tonnage far exceeded that expended in World War II and in the Korean War. The U.S. Air Force consumed 2,150,000 tons of munitions in World War II and in the Korean War—1,613,000 tons in the European theater and 537,000 tons in the Pacific theater—and 454,000 tons in the Korean War.<a href="#_sect1_edn7" name="_sect1_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a></p>
<p>Edward Miguel and Gerard Roland expand upon the same point in their study on the long-term impact of bombing in Vietnam, noting that:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Vietnam War bombing thus represented at least three times as much (by weight) as both European and Pacific theater World War II bombing combined, and about fifteen times the total tonnage in the Korean War. Given the prewar Vietnamese population of approximately 32 million, U.S. bombing translates into hundreds of kilograms of explosives per capita during the conflict. For another comparison, the atomic bombs dropped at Hiroshima and Nagasaki had the power of roughly 15,000 and 20,000 tons of TNT. … U.S. bombing in Indochina represents 100 times the combined impact of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bombs.<a href="#_sect1_edn8" name="_sect1_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>In the invasion of Iraq, the United States was prepared to (and did) devastate the country, using horrific weapons such as depleted uranium, which is still producing terrible birth defects many years after the U.S. attack. In its bombing of Libya in 2011, the United States reduced what had been one of the richest income per capita countries in Africa, with a developed welfare state, to a society in which tribal conflicts exist and in which slaves are openly sold. The list goes on.</p>
<p>In short, the evidence shows that there is no level of crime or atrocity to which the United States is not prepared to descend. If the United States were to posit that it could eliminate the economic challenge from China by launching an atomic war, there is no evidence that it would not do so. Furthermore, while there are certainly anti-war movements in the United States, they are nowhere near strong enough to prevent the United States from using nuclear weapons if it were to decide to do so. There are no adequate internal constraints in the U.S. that could prevent it from launching a war against China.</p>
<p>But if there are no fundamental internal constraints on U.S. aggression, there are certainly great external constraints. The first is other countries’ possession of nuclear weapons. That is why the explosion of China’s first nuclear bomb in 1964 is rightly regarded as a great national achievement. China’s possession of nuclear weapons is a fundamental deterrent to a nuclear attack by the United States. Nevertheless, unlike its adversary, China has a No First Use nuclear weapons policy, showing its restraint and defensive military posture.</p>
<p>A full-scale nuclear war involving the United States, China, and Russia would be a military catastrophe without precedent in human history. In such a war, at a minimum hundreds of millions would die. It would be infinitely preferable to prevent the escalation of U.S. military aggression before it reached that point, but what are the chances of doing so?</p>
<p>The overall trend of United States policy since the Second World War shows a clear and logical pattern. When the United States feels that it is in a strong position, its policy is aggressive; when it feels weakened, it becomes more conciliatory. This was shown most dramatically before, during, and after the Vietnam War, but also in other periods.</p>
<p>Immediately after the Second World War, the United States considered itself to be—and was—in a strong position and was therefore prepared to carry out a war against Korea. Even after the U.S. failed to win the Korean War, it still felt confident enough to attempt to diplomatically isolate China during the 1950s and 1960s, depriving the country of a seat at the UN, blocking direct diplomatic relations, and so on. However, the United States suffered severe defeats due to the failure of its war on Vietnam, in which it sought to defeat the Vietnamese people’s national liberation struggle and the large-scale military support they received from China and the U.S.S.R. The weakening of the United States’ global position as a result of its defeat in Vietnam (beginning even before the official end of the war in 1975) led it to adopt a more conciliatory policy, symbolized by Nixon’s 1972 visit to Beijing and followed by the establishment of full diplomatic relations with China. Soon after 1972, the United States opened a policy of détente with the U.S.S.R. However, by the 1980s, having regrouped and recovered from defeat in Vietnam, the United States returned to a more aggressive policy towards the U.S.S.R. under then President Ronald Reagan.</p>
<p>This same pattern of U.S. aggression in moments of strength or a more conciliatory attitude in moments of weakness can also be seen around the international financial crisis that began in 2007/8. This crisis dealt a severe blow to the U.S. economy, as a result of which the United States began to emphasize international cooperation. Though the G20, which includes the world’s largest economies and two-thirds of its population, was established in 1999, it only began to hold yearly meetings after the 2007/8 economic crisis. In 2009, the G20 group pledged itself as the major force for international economic and financial cooperation, with the United States playing a major role. In particular, as it felt weakened, the United States displayed a more cooperative attitude toward China in these areas.</p>
<p>As the United States recovered from the international financial crisis, its posture with respect to China became increasingly aggressive, culminating in the launch of Trump’s trade war against the country. That is, as soon as the United States felt itself stronger, it became aggressive.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>A Comparison of Today’s Reality and the Pre-Second World War Period</strong></span></h3>
<p>Turning to an historical comparison, we can juxtapose the present situation with the period leading up to the Second World War. The immediate path to that war began with the strengthening of Japanese militarism and the resulting invasion of Northeast China in 1931, followed by Hitler’s ascension to power in Germany in 1933. Yet, despite these ominous events, the war was not inevitable. The first victories of Japanese militarism and German fascism escalated to world war as a result of a series of the Allied powers’ defeats and capitulations between 1931 and 1939 as well as their failure to confront the Japanese militarists and German Nazis.</p>
<p>The ruling political party in China, the Kuomintang, concentrated its efforts for most of the 1930s not on repelling Japan but on fighting the communists. Meanwhile, the United States failed to intervene to stop Japan until it was itself attacked at Pearl Harbor in 1941. In Europe, Britain and France failed to stop the remilitarization of Nazi Germany even when they had the right to do so under the Treaty of Versailles. Further, they did not support the legitimate government of Spain in 1936 against the fascist coup and civil war launched by Francisco Franco, who was supported by Hitler. Then, they directly capitulated to Hitler’s dismemberment of Czechoslovakia under the notorious Munich Pact of 1938.</p>
<p>Today, we see a pattern similar to 1931, which marked the beginning of the lead up to the Second World War. Though support for an aggressive world war certainly does not have majority support in the United States, such support does exist among a small and, so far, fringe element within the U.S. foreign policy/military establishment. If the United States suffers political defeats, it will not move directly to frontal war with China or Russia. Nonetheless, the medium-term danger exists that—as was the case following Japan’s invasion of China in 1931 and Hitler’s coming to power in 1933—if the United States achieves victories in more limited struggles, it will likely be encouraged to move towards a major global military conflict. The decisive struggle must be to prevent such a global conflict. This means that it is of utmost importance that the United States does not win immediate struggles, such as the war it provoked in Ukraine, its attempt to undermine the One China policy with regard to Taiwan, and its economic wars against many other countries.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Main Forces Opposing U.S. Military Aggression</strong></span></h3>
<p>There are two powerful forces that oppose U.S. military aggression. The first, and most powerful, is China, whose economic development is not merely crucial for improving the living standards of its population, but also for eventually allowing the country to put its military forces more on par with those of the United States. This will very likely be the ultimate deterrent to U.S. military aggression. The second powerful force is the opposition of a large number of countries to U.S. aggression—including many in the Global South, comprising the majority of the world’s people—not merely from a moral viewpoint but from direct self-interest. The U.S.’s attempt to overcome the consequences of its economic failures by military and political means inevitably leads it to take actions against numerous other countries’ interests.</p>
<p>One among many examples of the impacts of these actions is that the U.S. provocation of the war in Ukraine has helped create a massive increase in world food prices because Russia and Ukraine are the world’s largest international suppliers of wheat and fertilizer. Meanwhile, banning the Chinese telecommunications company Huawei from participation in 5G telecommunications development means that the inhabitants of every country that agrees to the U.S. ban pays more for their telecommunications. U.S. pressure to force Germany to buy U.S. liquified natural gas, instead of Russian natural gas, raises energy prices in Germany. In Latin America, the United States attempts to prevent countries from pursuing policies of national independence. U.S. tariffs on China’s exports raises the cost of living for U.S. households. The fact that, in practice, other countries’ populations are being forced to finance aggressive U.S. militarism is bound to generate opposition to such policies and their outcomes.</p>
<p>These two mutually reinforcing forces—China’s own development and the fact that U.S. policy is against the interests of the overwhelming majority of the world’s population—constitute the main obstacles to U.S. aggression. Integrating China’s development with the international forces that are opposed to the U.S.’s attacks against them is therefore the most crucial task for the majority of the global population. While those of us outside of the country cannot fully grasp the complexities facing China’s leaders, we can say that they shoulder a great responsibility not only to push the world toward peace and a sustainable planet, but also to make good on the promises of their revolution and to justify the great sacrifices of peasants and workers—the very sacrifices that made China’s current standing in the world possible.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Choices Facing the United States</strong></span></h3>
<p>The U.S. turn to escalating military aggression alongside its loss of economic supremacy has already begun. In Ukraine, the United States is directly and forcefully challenging Russia, a state with powerful atomic weapons, thereby raising a potential risk of a nuclear war. Simultaneously, it is applying maximum pressure on its allies, such as Germany, to damage their own interests by subordinating themselves to U.S. policy.</p>
<p>However, the United States is still hesitant to utilize full military force, evidently weighing the gains and risks of escalating its military aggression. Though the United States provoked the Ukraine War by threatening to extend NATO into the country, thereby giving it access to ever more deadly weaponry and intelligence, it has not yet dared to directly commit its military forces to this war, showing that there is still considerable uncertainty at work at the highest levels of the U.S. state machinery.</p>
<p>All of this directly affects Russia and China’s relations with each other, and it makes the outcome of the war in Ukraine crucial for the entire world. Because friendly Sino-Russian relations pose a formidable economic and military obstacle to U.S. threats of war, the central strategic goal of U.S. policy is to separate Russia and China. If this can be achieved, then the United States will have a greater capacity to attack them individually, including through the use of its military strength.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Conclusion</strong></span></h3>
<p>The United States will increase its aggressive actions towards China, as well as towards other countries, not only in the economic field but in particular through the direct and indirect use of U.S. military power, hesitating only when it suffers defeats. Naturally, every opening to develop a conciliatory approach by the United States must be taken advantage of, but it is essential to be clear that U.S. policy during such periods, when it has suffered defeats, will attempt to regroup its forces to launch a new aggressive policy.</p>
<p>Defeating U.S. aggression depends in large part on the overall domestic development of China in the economic, military, and all other fields, which is also in the interests of other countries suffering from U.S. aggression. After China’s own domestic development, the most important force blocking U.S. aggression is the opposition of the majority of the world’s population and countries whose position is worsened by U.S. policy. The degree to which U.S. military-based aggression, both direct and indirect, will intensify depends on how much the United States is defeated in individual struggles. The more it is successful, the more aggressive it will become; the more it is weakened, the more conciliatory it will become.</p>
<p>In the short term, the outcome of the war in Ukraine will therefore be crucial for the broader geopolitical reality. While the details of U.S. aggressive foreign policy cannot be seen with a crystal ball, the overall escalation of U.S. aggression clearly follows from its combination of economic weakening and military strength unless it suffers significant defeats.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref1" name="_sect1_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> Vyacheslav Tetekin, “How the US Pushed Ukraine into the War,” Communist Party of the Russian Federation, April 4, 2022, https://cprf.ru/2022/04/how-the-us-pushed-ukraine-into-the-war/. The quotes and analysis in this section are from this source.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref2" name="_sect1_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> See Angus Maddison, <em>The World Economy: A Global Perspective</em> (Paris: Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2001). Note that other sources give the U.S. economy a much greater share of global GDP in 1950, with estimates in excess of 40 percent.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref3" name="_sect1_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> The data comparing the economic performance of the United states and China are taken from the IMF’s database published accompanying the April 2022 <em>World Economic Outlook</em>, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2022/April; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, International Data, https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=62&amp;step=1#reqid=62&amp;step=9&amp;isuri=1&amp;6210=4; <em>Trading Economics</em>, https://tradingeconomics.com/; World Bank, <em>World Development Indicators</em>, https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref4" name="_sect1_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Federation of American Scientists, “Status of World Nuclear Forces,” 2022, https://fas.org/issues/nuclear-weapons/status-world-nuclear-forces/.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref5" name="_sect1_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Janan Ganesh, “The US will be the ultimate winner of Ukraine’s crisis,” <em>Financial Times</em>, April 5, 2022, https://www.ft.com/content/cd7270a6-f72b-4b40-8195-1a796f748c23.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref6" name="_sect1_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> “Events like This Happen Once a Century”: Sergey Glazyev on the breakdown of epochs and changing ways of life, <em>The Saker</em>, 28 March 2022, https://thesaker.is/events-like-this-happen-once-a-century-sergey-glazyev-on-the-breakdown-of-epochs-and-changing-ways-of-life/.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref7" name="_sect1_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Micheal Clodfelter quoted in Edward Miguel and Gerard Roland, “The Long-run Impact of Bombing Vietnam,” <em>Journal of Development Economics</em> 96 (1), 2011: 1-15. https://eml.berkeley.edu/~groland/pubs/vietnam-bombs_19oct05.pdf.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref8" name="_sect1_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Edward Miguel and Gerard Roland, “The Long-run Impact of Bombing Vietnam,” <em>Journal of Development Economics</em> 96 (1), 2011: 1–15. https://eml.berkeley.edu/~groland/pubs/vietnam-bombs_19oct05.pdf.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_3"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_3"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Who Is Leading the United States to War?</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">Deborah Veneziale</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>The world is sensing the United States’ growing rapacious intent for war.<a href="#_sect2_edn1" name="_sect2_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> Amid the development of the Ukraine crisis, the United States and NATO have been attempting to escalate their proxy war with Russia while continuing to intensify their siege and provocations against China. This intent to go to war was on display during the May 15, 2022 segment of NBC’s <em>Meet the Press</em>, which simulated a U.S. war against China.<a href="#_sect2_edn2" name="_sect2_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> It should be noted that this “war game” was organized by the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), a prominent Washington, D.C., think tank that is funded by the U.S. and allied governments, including the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office, George Soros’ Open Society Foundations, and an array of U.S. military and technology companies such as Raytheon, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, Boeing, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft.<a href="#_sect2_edn3" name="_sect2_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p>This simulation is in line with other alarming signals toward war from both Congress and the Pentagon. On April 5, Charles Richard, commander of U.S. Strategic Command, made a case before Congress that Russia and China pose nuclear threats to the United States, claiming that China is likely to use nuclear coercion for its own benefit.<a href="#_sect2_edn4" name="_sect2_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> Shortly thereafter, on April 14, a bipartisan delegation of U.S. lawmakers visited Taiwan. On May 5, South Korea announced that it had joined a cyber defense organization under NATO. In June, at its annual summit, NATO named Russia its “most significant and direct threat” and singled out China as a “challenge [to] our interests”. Furthermore, South Korea, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand participated in the summit for the first time, which suggests the possibility that an Asian branch may be formed in the future. Finally, on August 2, in a blatant provocation of Beijing, U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi—the third-highest ranking official in the Biden administration—visited Taiwan, escorted by the U.S. Air Force.<a href="#_sect2_edn5" name="_sect2_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a></p>
<p>In the face of the Biden administration’s aggressive foreign policy, one can’t help but wonder: among the U.S. ruling elite, who is advocating war? Is there a mechanism to curb such belligerence in the country?</p>
<p>This article comes to three conclusions. First, in the Biden administration, two elite foreign policy groups that used to compete against each other—liberal hawks and neoconservatives—have merged strategically, forming the most important foreign policy consensus within the country’s elite echelon since 1948 and bringing U.S. war policy to a new level. Second, in consideration of its long-term interests, the big bourgeoisie in the United States has reached a consensus that China is a strategic rival, and it has established solid support for this foreign policy. Third, the so-called democratic institutions of checks and balances are completely incapable of restraining this belligerent policy from spreading due to the design of the U.S. Constitution, the expansion of far-right forces, and the sheer monetization of elections.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Merging of Belligerent Foreign Policy Elites</strong></span></h3>
<p>Early representatives of U.S. liberal interventionism<strong> </strong>included Democratic presidents such as Harry Truman, John F. Kennedy, and Lyndon B. Johnson, whose ideological roots can be traced back to Woodrow Wilson’s notion that America should stand on the world stage fighting for democracy. The invasion of Vietnam was guided by this ideology.</p>
<p>After the U.S. defeat in Vietnam, the Democratic Party temporarily reduced calls for intervention as part of its foreign policy. However, Democratic Senator Henry “Scoop” Jackson (also known at the time as “the senator from Boeing”), a liberal hawk, joined with other anti-communists and staunch interventionists, helping to inspire the neoconservative movement. The neoconservatives, including a number of Jackson’s supporters and former staffers, supported Republican Ronald Reagan in the late 1970s because of his commitment to confront alleged Soviet expansionism.</p>
<p>With the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 and the rise of U.S. unilateralism, the neoconservatives entered the mainstream in U.S. foreign policy with their thought leader, Paul Wolfowitz, who had been a former aide to Henry Jackson. In 1992, just a few months after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Wolfowitz, then undersecretary of defense for policy, introduced his <em>Defense Policy Guidance</em>, which explicitly advocated for the United States to maintain a permanent unipolar position. This would be realized, he explained, through the expansion of U.S. military power into the former Soviet Union’s sphere of influence and along all its perimeters with the object of preventing the reemergence of Russia as a great power. The U.S.-led unipolar strategy, implemented through the projection of military force, guided the foreign policies of George H.W. Bush and his son George W. Bush, as well as Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. The U.S. was able to launch the first Gulf War in large part due to Soviet weakness. This was followed by the U.S. and NATO’s military dismemberment of Yugoslavia. After 9/11, the Bush Jr. administration’s foreign policy was completely dominated by the neoconservatives, including Vice President Dick Cheney and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.</p>
<p>While both liberal hawks and neoconservatives have ardently advocated for foreign military interventions, historically there have been two important differences between them. First, liberal hawks tended to believe that the United States should influence the United Nations and other international institutions to carry out military intervention, while neoconservatives tended to ignore multilateral institutions. Second, liberal hawks sought to lead military interventions alongside Western allies, while neoconservatives were more willing to conduct unilateral military operations and flagrantly violate international law. As Niall Ferguson, a historian at Harvard University, put it, the neoconservatives were happy to accept the title of the American Empire and unilaterally decide to attack any country as the world’s hegemonic power.<a href="#_sect2_edn6" name="_sect2_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p>
<p>Although Republicans and Democrats have historically developed their own policy and advocacy institutions, it is a misconception to think that they have distinct approaches to foreign policy strategy. It is true that think tanks such as the Heritage Foundation are major neoconservative strongholds that have leaned toward Republican policy, while others such as the Brookings Institution and the later established CNAS have been home to more pro-Democratic liberal hawks. However, members of both parties have worked in each of these organizations, with differences centering around specific policy proposals, not partisan affiliation. In reality, behind the White House and Congress, a bipartisan policy planning network consisting of nonprofit foundations, universities, think tanks, research groups, and other institutions collectively shape the agendas of corporations and capitalists into policy proposals and reports.</p>
<p>Another common misconception is that the so-called progressive side of liberalism will promote social development, provide international assistance, and limit military spending. However, the neoliberal period, which began in the mid-1970s, has been characterized by the state’s subordination to market forces and austerity in social spending in areas such as healthcare, food assistance, and education, all while encouraging unlimited military spending, severely damaging the quality of life for the vast majority of the population. Both Republicans and Democrats follow the principles of neoliberalism, as exemplified by Biden’s annual budget for 2022, which includes a 4 percent increase in military spending, and the fact that, during the COVID-19 pandemic, $1.7 trillion of the $5 trillion that the U.S. government provided in stimulus funding went directly into the pockets of corporations.<a href="#_sect2_edn7" name="_sect2_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a> Neoliberalism has had a particularly devastating impact in the Global South, where it has dragged developing countries into debt traps and coerced them into endless debt payments to the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.</p>
<p>In the field of foreign policy, the most influential U.S. think tank since the Second World War has been the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), which is funded by an array of ruling class sources. Founder-level corporate members of the council include leaders in energy (Chevron, ExxonMobil, Hess, Tellurian), finance (Bank of America, BlackRock, Citi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Moody’s, Nasdaq), technology (Accenture, Apple, AT&amp;T, Cisco), and the internet (Google, Meta), among other sectors, and the CFR’s current board includes Richard Haass, Bush Sr.’s principal adviser on the Middle East, and Ashton Carter, Obama’s secretary of defense. The German magazine <em>Der Spiegel</em> described the CFR as “the most influential private institution in the United States and the Western world” and “the politburo for capitalism,” while Richard Harwood, former senior editor and ombudsman at <em>The</em> <em>Washington Post</em>, called the council and its members “the nearest thing we have to a ruling establishment in the United States.”<a href="#_sect2_edn8" name="_sect2_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a> The CFR’s policy proposals reflect the long-term strategic thinking of the U.S. bourgeoisie, as seen by its proposal to “strengthen U.S.-Japan coordination in response to the Taiwan issue” in January 2022, ahead of Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan in August of the same year.</p>
<p>Regardless of which party’s candidates the staffers of these various institutions support in the elections, this long-standing bipartisan, collaborative network has maintained consistent foreign policy in Washington. This network promotes a U.S. supremacist worldview that denies other countries’ right to be involved in international affairs, an ideology dating back to the 1823 Monroe Doctrine that proclaimed U.S. domination over the entire Western hemisphere. Today’s U.S. foreign policy elite has extended the doctrine’s application from the Americas to the entire world. Cross-party synergy and party switching are common for this group of foreign policy makers, which is closely tied to the ruling capitalist class and its surrogates within the political power elite that control U.S. foreign policy, as well as to the Deep State (the intelligence services together with the military).</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_64119" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64119" class="wp-image-64119 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1.png" alt="" width="933" height="807" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1.png 933w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1-300x259.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1-768x664.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 933px) 100vw, 933px"><p id="caption-attachment-64119" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #ba2025;">Process of policy formation, from Who Rules America? by William Domhoff.</span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<p>At the turn of the century, neoconservatives, who gathered in the Republican Party, were more concerned with the disintegration and denuclearization of Russia than they were with China. Around 2008, however, forces within the U.S. political elite began to realize that China’s economy would continue its strong rise and that its future leaders would not cave to U.S. influence; there would be no Chinese equivalent of Gorbachev or Yeltsin. Beginning in this period, the neoconservatives began to take an entirely confrontational approach to China and pursue containment. At the same time, some pro-Democratic liberal hawks founded CNAS, and Hillary Clinton, then secretary of state, led the development and implementation of the Pivot to Asia, a strategic shift in U.S. foreign policy that was applauded by the neoconservatives, who were still in the Republican camp at the time. Clinton was hailed as a “strong voice” by Max Boot, a political commentator and senior fellow at CFR, who, in 2003, wrote that, “[g]iven the historical baggage that ‘imperialism’ carries, there’s no need for the U.S. government to embrace the term. But it should definitely embrace the practice.”<a href="#_sect2_edn9" name="_sect2_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a> Today, extending NATO to Ukraine and confronting Russia remains a priority for neoconservatives and liberal hawks alike. Both groups disagree with the realists who propose a détente with Russia in order to strengthen the confrontation with China.</p>
<p>However, the election of Trump in 2016 briefly created turbulence in the CFR consensus. As John Bellamy Foster wrote in <em>Trump in the White House: Tragedy and Farce</em>, the former president rose to power partly through the mobilization of a neofascist movement based in the white lower-middle class.<a href="#_sect2_edn10" name="_sect2_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a> Only a small number of people in the big capital elite supported him initially. Among them were Dick Uihlein, the owner of the shipping giant Uline; Bernie Marcus, the founder of the building materials retailer Home Depot; Robert Mercer, an investor in the far-right media outlet Breitbart News Network; and Timothy Mellon, grandson of the banking tycoon Andrew Mellon. Trump’s tendency to shrink engagement in global affairs—as seen with the withdrawal of troops from Syria and the initiation of the withdrawal from Afghanistan as well as diplomatic contact with North Korea—favored the short-term interests of the lower and middle bourgeoisie and won the support of foreign policy realists, including Henry Kissinger, but it upset the neoconservatives. A group of elite neoconservatives played a major role in the campaign against Trump, with some 300 officials who had supported the Bush administration backing the Democratic Party in the 2020 election. This included the aforementioned Boot, who has become a thought leader on foreign policy and has had a strong impact on the Biden administration.</p>
<p>Under Biden, the CFR consensus resumed, and the neoconservatives and liberal hawks have become completely aligned on the country’s strategic orientation. Their joint awareness of China’s rise has fostered a unity between these two groups unseen in decades. This unity is based on the theory of international affairs that stipulates that the United States should actively intervene in other countries’ politics, make every effort to promote “freedom and democracy,” crack down on those states that challenge Western economic and military dominance, remove unwanted governments, and secure global hegemony by all means—with Russia and China as its primary targets. In May 2021, Secretary of State Antony Blinken (who previously served as deputy secretary of state under Obama) declared that the U.S. would defend an ambiguous “rules-based international order,” a term that refers to U.S.-dominated international and security organizations rather than broader UN-based institutions. Blinken’s stance suggests that, under the Biden administration, liberal hawks have officially forsaken the pretense of following the UN or other international multilateral organizations unless they bow to U.S. diktat.</p>
<p>In 2019, the prominent neoconservative Robert Kagan co-authored an article with Antony Blinken urging the United States to abandon Trump’s America First policy. They called for the containment (i.e., siege and weakening) of Russia and China and proposed a policy of “preventive diplomacy and deterrence” against America’s adversaries, that is, troops and tanks wherever it is deemed necessary.<a href="#_sect2_edn11" name="_sect2_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a> Incidentally, Kagan’s wife, Victoria Nuland, served as the assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian affairs in the Obama administration. Nuland played a key role in organizing and supporting the 2014 color revolution/coup in Ukraine and has boasted about the billions of dollars the United States has spent to “promote democracy” in the country.<a href="#_sect2_edn12" name="_sect2_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a> She is currently serving as undersecretary of state for political affairs in the Biden administration, the third highest position in the State Department after Secretary Blinken and Deputy Secretary Wendy Sherman. She is also a spiritual heir to her mentor, the liberal hawk leader Madeleine Albright.</p>
<p>The hawkish orientation espoused by Kagan and Blinken was taken a step further by NATO’s think tank, the Atlantic Council, which has advocated for nuclear brinkmanship. In February, Matthew Kroenig, the deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Snowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, argued for the consideration of the U.S.’s preemptive use of “tactical” nuclear weapons.<a href="#_sect2_edn13" name="_sect2_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a></p>
<p>From this small coterie of warmongers, one can easily detect the deep integration of two elite foreign affairs groups, both of which are the real drivers of the Ukraine crisis. The evolution of this crisis reveals the following set of tactics adopted by this belligerent clique:</p>
<ul>
<li>strengthening U.S. leadership over NATO, using the military alliance (rather than the UN) as the primary mechanism for foreign intervention;</li>
<li>provoking a so-called adversary to war by refusing to recognize its claim to sovereignty and security over sensitive regions;</li>
<li>planning the use of tactical nuclear weapons and conducting a “limited nuclear war” in or around the so-called adversary’s territory; and</li>
<li>imposing hybrid warfare in order to weaken and subvert the adversary through unilateral coercive measures and combining economic sanctions with financial, informational, propagandistic, and cultural measures along with a color revolution, cyberwarfare, lawfare, and other tactics.</li>
</ul>
<p>If the desired results are achieved in Ukraine, the same strategy will undoubtedly be replicated in the Western Pacific.</p>
<p>Strategic alignment does not mean that policy elites are not divided on other issues that they deem to be of lesser importance, such as climate change. Even on this matter, however, the United States is demanding that Europe stop importing natural gas from Russia. John Kerry, Biden’s climate envoy, is noncommittal about the potential negative environmental impacts of such a move, in part because the United States wants to replace Russian gas sales in Europe with its own.</p>
<p>In recent years, progressive forces around the world have launched several international campaigns to voice their concerns about the aggressive global strategy being pursued by the U.S., often using the term “New Cold War.” However, the narratives put forth at times underestimate the depravity of some aspects of current U.S. foreign policy. The “Old Cold War” with the Soviet Union followed certain rules and bottom lines: the United States used a variety of political and economic means to exert pressure and seek to subvert the Soviet state, and the two sides acknowledged one another’s scope of interests and security needs. However, the U.S. did not try to change the national boundaries of nuclear adversaries. This is not the case today, as seen by <em>The</em> <em>Wall Street Journal</em>’s open declaration that the United States should demonstrate its ability to win a nuclear war, a stance which is undergirded by the foreign policy elite’s claim that Ukraine and Taiwan must be protected as they are both strategic locations within the Western military perimeter.<a href="#_sect2_edn14" name="_sect2_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> Even the Cold War leader Kissinger has expressed concern and opposition to current U.S. foreign policy, arguing that the correct strategy is to divide China and Russia and warning that there will be dangerous consequences if the U.S. directly pursues war against these two nuclear-armed states simultaneously.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The U.S. Bourgeoisie Prepares for War Against China</strong></span></h3>
<p>Washington has sought to economically decouple the United States from China through trade and technology wars, a process that was initiated by the Trump administration and has continued under Biden’s leadership. However, this policy has spurred unintended consequences. On the one hand, due to the formation of global supply chains, U.S. and European manufacturing industries rely heavily on imports from China, and Biden has faced domestic opposition with calls to scale back trade war tariffs in order to ease the enormous pressure of inflation in the United States. On the other hand, although China did not initiate economic decoupling, the pressure of the trade and technology wars has promoted the development of the “internal grand circulation” within the country (reducing reliance on exports and relying more on domestic consumption). Since the pandemic, there has been a superficial phased increase in the trade of merchandise between the U.S. and China.</p>
<p>It must be noted, however, that there is a change underway in the basic logic of U.S. relations with China: the U.S. bourgeoisie has been tightening its alliance against China and supporting the bellicose strategy of Washington. This situation stems from both economic and ideological factors. For one, GDP figures of the U.S. and other countries in the West mask the contributions made by labor in factories in the Global South. For example, Apple’s highly profitable sales in the United States appear in the U.S.’s GDP numbers, but the actual source of their high returns is the surplus created by the massively efficient and low-cost advanced productive labor force in Shenzhen, Chongqing, and other cities in China where Foxconn factories are located.<a href="#_sect2_edn15" name="_sect2_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> China has come a long way from the era of large factories with low-paid unskilled workers and has developed an extremely sophisticated industrial, logistical, and societal infrastructure that, as of 2019, accounted for 28.7 percent of global manufacturing.<a href="#_sect2_edn16" name="_sect2_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a> Moving the whole supply chain from China to India or Mexico would be a decades-long process and cannot be based on just lower wages.</p>
<p>Few sectors of the U.S. economy depend heavily on the local Chinese market for sales, with U.S. chipmakers being the exception. Major firms such as Boeing, Caterpillar, General Motors, Starbucks, Nike, Ford, and Apple (at 17 percent) obtain less than 25 percent of their revenue from China.<a href="#_sect2_edn17" name="_sect2_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> The total revenue of S&amp;P 500 companies is $14 trillion, no more than 5 percent of which is related to sales inside China.<a href="#_sect2_edn18" name="_sect2_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a> U.S. CEOs are unlikely to oppose the direction of U.S. foreign policy on China, as they are not being presented with a clear path to increase their long-term access to China’s growing internal market. This attitude was on display during Disney’s May 2022 earnings call when CEO Bob Chapek expressed confidence in the company’s success even without access to China’s market.<a href="#_sect2_edn19" name="_sect2_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a> This approach toward China is visible across key U.S. industries:</p>
<p><strong>Tech/internet</strong>.<strong> </strong>Nine of the top ten richest Americans are in the tech/internet industry, the zeitgeist of our time, with the partial exception of Elon Musk, the CEO of the electric automobile manufacturer Tesla, whose first pot of gold also came from the internet industry. Compared to the lists of the richest Americans from past decades, those from traditional sectors such as manufacturing, banking, and oil have been overtaken by a rising tech elite, which is steeped in anti-China attitudes due to the difficulties they have faced in penetrating the Chinese market. U.S. tech giants such as Google, Amazon, and Facebook have virtually no market in China, while companies like Apple and Microsoft face increasing difficulties. In the past decade, the Chinese technology and telecommunications corporation Huawei surpassed Apple in terms of market share within China, only for Apple to regain the top spot due to U.S. sanctions, which banned the sale of semiconductor chips—a key component in smartphones—to Huawei. The Chinese government is reportedly embracing indigenous Linux and Office Productivity systems to replace Microsoft Windows and Office software. Traditional IT companies such as IBM, Oracle, and EMC (collectively referred to as IOE) have long been marginalized in the Chinese market by the Alibaba-driven de-IOE wave, which seeks to replace IBM servers, Oracle databases, and EMC storage devices with indigenous and open-source solutions. U.S. tech giants yearn for a change to the political system in China that would open the door to the country’s massive market, and major actors in this sector are actively working to advance Washington’s hostile foreign policy. Eric Schmidt, the former CEO and executive chairman of Google, led the establishment of the U.S. government’s Defense Innovation Unit in 2016 and the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence in 2018. His fervent promotion of the “China Threat” theory reflects the prevailing opinion of the U.S. tech community, which also shapes public discourse. Twitter and Facebook have partnered with U.S. and Western governments to increasingly censor criticisms of their foreign policy and influence discussion around key issues—such as the pandemic, Hong Kong, and Xinjiang—in the name of combatting disinformation campaigns allegedly launched by China and other so-called adversaries.</p>
<p><strong>Manufacturing</strong>. U.S. manufacturing remains dependent on Chinese production capacity. Consistent investment and technological innovation in U.S. manufacturing were effectively abandoned during the neoliberal period, and, despite Obama’s and Trump’s calls to near-shore manufacturing back to North America, little has been accomplished in this regard. However, U.S. manufacturing investments in China have decreased in recent years, with the notable exception of Tesla’s mega-factory in Shanghai. Even in this case, however, it is important to note that Elon Musk has won numerous U.S. government and military procurement contracts through his space exploration firm SpaceX, whose Starlink satellite system was criticized by China for its “close encounters” with the Chinese space station on two occasions in 2021. The Chinese People’s Liberation Army warned that the U.S. may seek to militarize the Starlink system. The deployment of Starlink’s services in Ukraine during the war is evidence of this dynamic. Musk’s potential acquisition of Twitter would be unlikely to change the company’s relationship with U.S. and Western governments and orientation toward China and Russia.</p>
<p><strong>Finance</strong><em>. </em>The U.S. financial services industry has long expected China’s capital markets to open further to them, their ultimate hope being regime change in China that would lead the country to an outright neoliberal path. The anti-Chinese attitude of the influential Hungarian-born U.S. financial magnate and philanthropist George Soros is well known. In January 2022, Soros tweeted that “China’s Xi Jinping is the greatest threat that open societies face today.”<a href="#_sect2_edn20" name="_sect2_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a> These comments came after Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase, declared in November 2021 that the multinational bank would outlive the Communist Party of China (though he later apologized for this comment and said he was joking). Dimon also implied that China would suffer a heavy military strike if it attempted to reunify Taiwan, a threat for which made no apology.<a href="#_sect2_edn21" name="_sect2_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> This hostile attitude is a response to the fact that China’s capital markets are not advancing in the direction that Wall Street would prefer, as evidenced by the Chinese government strengthening capital controls and delisting a series of Chinese stocks from the U.S. stock exchange. At the investing conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholders meeting for 2022, Charlie Munger, vice chairman of the company, stated that China was still “worth” the investment. Even in this case, however, Munger accepted the premise of his interviewer, who characterized the Chinese government as an “authoritarian regime” that commits “human rights violations.” For Munger, China is only worth the extra risk because one can invest in better businesses at lower prices.</p>
<p><strong>Retail and consumer sectors</strong><em>.</em> U.S. retail and consumer industries have long been squeezed by their Chinese competitors. In March 2021, Nike and other companies boycotted Xinjiang cotton on the false grounds of forced labor. Shortly thereafter, Nike released an advertisement that was criticized for promoting racist stereotypes about Chinese people, resulting in a further loss of its market share, which had already begun to be outflanked by the Chinese brand Anta.</p>
<p>Furthermore, there is a significant disconnect between the two countries’ cultural and entertainment industries, with domestically produced movies accounting for 85 percent of the Chinese box office in 2021. Marvel superhero movies, once popular among Chinese filmgoers, have been unable to enter the Chinese market due to ideological concerns, with zero box office takings in China in 2021. The recent Marvel production <em>Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness</em> yet again features anti-Chinese scenes, including a reference to the far-right, anti-government newspaper <em>The Epoch Times</em>. It has not been screened in China. These cases reflect U.S. companies’ trade-offs between commercial interests—reaching the Chinese consumer market—and political ideology—opposing the Chinese political system.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The U.S. Military-Indus­­trial Complex and the Drive for War</strong></span></h3>
<p>The U.S. military-industrial complex plays a special role in galvanizing cooperation between strategic economic, technological, political, and military sectors toward imperialist interests. In 2021, the top six military contractors in the world—Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon Technologies, BAE Systems, Northrop Grumman, and General Dynamics—had combined sales of over $128 billion to the U.S. government.<a href="#_sect2_edn22" name="_sect2_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a> Big Tech companies including Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Oracle, IBM, and Palantir (founded by the extremist Peter Thiel) have formed close bonds with the U.S. military, signing thousands of contracts worth tens of billion dollars in recent decades.<a href="#_sect2_edn23" name="_sect2_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> The tech industry plays the strategic role of collecting data in the vast U.S. intelligence empire and is at the center of U.S. soft-power media and social media hegemony, ensuring digital domination over the majority of the Global South. As such, this sector has become immune from meaningful regulation or threats of de-monopolization.</p>
<p>The U.S. drive for military supremacy leads to spending sprees in the areas of weapons, computer technology (silicon chips, in particular), advanced communications (including satellite cyber warfare), and biotechnology. The U.S. government has officially requested $813 billion for the military as part of its 2023 budget (which does not factor in additional military spending that is disguised in other sections of the overall budget), and the Pentagon claims it will need at least $7 trillion in appropriations over the next ten years.<a href="#_sect2_edn24" name="_sect2_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a></p>
<p>The privatization of the state under neoliberalism has led to the development of a revolving door between the U.S. government and the private sector over the past four decades. The state has become a vehicle for high level government officials including congresspersons, senators, policy and security advisors, cabinet members, colonels, generals, and presidents from both parties to become multi-millionaires by leveraging their political insider status with private interest groups.<a href="#_sect2_edn25" name="_sect2_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a> Within governmental bureaucracy, the phrase “national security” opens the spigot for personal and corporate greed and radical military expansion even wider. Under this prevalent form of First World, legalized corruption, firms often tender payoffs to officials after they leave public office. These legal bribes are essentially payments in arrears for services granted while in office. For example, upon leaving office, former public officials are frequently hired as paid employees, board members, or advisors with the same firms that they had previously advocated on behalf of, provided favorable voting for, or awarded government contracts to as public officials.<a href="#_sect2_edn26" name="_sect2_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a> Some prominent examples of this pervasive dynamic include the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>Bill Clinton claims to have been $16 million dollars in debt when he left the White House in 2001, but, by 2021, he was worth an estimated $80 million.<a href="#_sect2_edn27" name="_sect2_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a></li>
<li>With shocking impunity, at least 85 of the 154 people from private interest groups who met or had phone conversations scheduled with Hillary Clinton while she led the State Department under President Obama donated a combined $156 million to the Clinton Foundation.<a href="#_sect2_edn28" name="_sect2_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a></li>
<li>James “Mad Dog” Mattis, a retired four-star general, former secretary of defense under Trump, and former board member of CNAS, had a net worth of $7 million in 2018, five years after his “retirement” from the military. This was earned through significant payments from a wide list of military contractors and included $600,000 to $1.25 million in stock and options in the major defense contractor General Dynamics.<a href="#_sect2_edn29" name="_sect2_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a></li>
<li>Lloyd Austin, the secretary of defense under President Biden, formerly served on the board of directors of several military-industrial companies such as United Technologies and Raytheon Technologies. Austin earned the majority of his $7 million net worth after “retiring” as a four-star general.<a href="#_sect2_edn30" name="_sect2_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a></li>
</ul>
<p>Between 2009 and 2011, over 70 percent of top U.S. generals worked for military contractors after retiring from their position. Generals also double dip by simultaneously receiving compensation from the Pentagon and payments from private military contractors.<a href="#_sect2_edn31" name="_sect2_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a> In 2016 alone, nearly 100 U.S. military officers went throug­h the revolving door between the government and private military contractors, including 25 generals, 9 admirals, 43 lieutenant generals, and 23 vice admirals.<a href="#_sect2_edn32" name="_sect2_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<p>During the Trump administration, many Obama-era officials moved to the private sector, consulting and advising the world’s largest corporations, only to return to the White House under Biden. In a staggering display of this revolving door, the Biden administration has appointed more than 15 senior officials from the corporate consultancy firm WestExec Advisors, which was founded in 2017 by a team of former Obama administration officials and claims to provide “unparalleled geopolitical risk analysis” to its clients (including “Managing China-Related Risk in an Era of Strategic Competition”).<a href="#_sect2_edn33" name="_sect2_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a> The firm facilitates cooperation between Big Tech and the U.S. military, with clients including Boeing, Palantir, Google, Facebook, Uber, AT&amp;T, the drone surveillance company Shield AI, and the Israeli artificial intelligence firm Windward. WestExec alumni working in the Biden administration include Secretary of State Blinken, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines, Deputy Director of the CIA David Cohen, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Ely Ratner, and former White House press secretary Jen Psaki.<a href="#_sect2_edn34" name="_sect2_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_64129" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64129" class="wp-image-64129 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="1186" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2-240x300.jpg 240w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2-820x1024.jpg 820w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2-768x959.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-64129" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #ba2025;">The WestExec to Biden administration pipeline, part one. Graphic: Soohee Cho/The Intercept. <a href="#_sect2_edn35" name="_sect2_ednref35"><sup style="color: #ba2025;">35</sup></a></span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Weakening of Domestic Resistance to U.S. Militarism</strong></span></h3>
<p>In 1973, the United States abolished military service conscription, or what was known as the draft, after which the U.S. military cleverly and misleadingly referred to itself as an all-volunteer army. This was done to reduce domestic opposition to U.S. wars abroad, especially from the children of propertied and middle-class families who had become vocal against the U.S. war of aggression in Vietnam. Although the measure was justified in the name of selecting more professional and dedicated soldiers, in reality, the bourgeoisie sought to prey upon the economic vulnerabilities of poorer working-class families, who they recruited into service through offers of technical training and secure earnings. Technological advances in warfare allowed the United States to simultaneously increase its capacity to kill civilians and enemy combatants in invaded countries while reducing the death rate of U.S. soldiers. For example, in the $2.2 trillion war against Afghanistan between 2001 and 2021, only 2,442—1 percent—of the 241,000 people killed (including over 71,000 civilians) were U.S. military personnel.<a href="#_sect2_edn36" name="_sect2_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> The reduction in U.S. death tolls has weakened the domestic emotional connection to U.S. war campaigns, which has further been blunted by the rise of private military contractors. By the mid-2010s, it was estimated that nearly half of the U.S. armed forces in Iraq and Afghanistan were employed by private military contractors. <a href="#_sect2_edn37" name="_sect2_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a> In 2016, the world’s largest private military contractor, ACADEMI (initially founded by Erik Prince as Blackwater) was purchased by the world’s largest private equity firm, Apollo, for an estimated $1 billion.<a href="#_sect2_edn38" name="_sect2_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a> Far from an all-volunteer army, today, it is increasingly apt to describe the U.S. military as an all-mercenary army.</p>
<p>The United States is further emboldened in its warmongering by the fact that, while it has invaded or participated in military operations in over a hundred countries, it has never been invaded or experienced large-scale civilian casualties at the hands of foreign governments. The psychology of U.S. exceptionalism is shaped by the fact that the current generation of political elites largely grew up after the end of the Cold War, a period defined as the so-called “end of history”, when their country appeared to be invincible. The United States had not experienced a serious challenger either abroad or at home until the rise of China. As a result, this elite is particularly ahistorical in its worldview, seized by delusions of grandeur, and consequently feels unconstrained—an extremely dangerous combination.</p>
<p>The military-industrial complex, composed of generals, politicians, tech companies, and private military contractors, is pursuing a massive expansion of U.S. military capacity. Today, nearly all in Washington use China as well as Russia as their pretext for this build up. Meanwhile, many of them have committed or supported war crimes in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, and elsewhere.</p>
<p>Few influential individual capitalists in the United States are willing to openly stand against the chorus demonizing China, and those who do are disciplined or ostracized. One rarely comes across publicly dissenting views or calls for restraint in the op-ed sections of <em>The New York Times</em> or <em>The</em> <em>Wall Street Journal</em>. During the 2020 presidential campaign, Michael Bloomberg was heavily criticized for being “soft” on China after he stated that the Communist Party was responsive to the public and refused to label President Xi Jinping as a dictator. Bloomberg appears to have been successfully disciplined; under the Biden administration, he joined the war hysteria and was named chair of the Pentagon’s Defense Innovation Board in February 2022. The global management consulting firm McKinsey &amp; Company, which has favored greater economic engagement with China, has faced increasing criticism for these views, being smeared by <em>The New York Times </em>as “help[ing] raise the stature of authoritarian and corrupt governments across the globe.”<a href="#_sect2_edn39" name="_sect2_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a> Consequently, McKinsey’s influence in U.S. business circles has been greatly weakened. Though a small number of figures—such as Ray Dalio, billionaire investor and founder of Bridgewater Associates—continue to express optimism about U.S.-China relations, they are outliers.</p>
<p>More critically, those in the current upper echelon of the U.S. bourgeois elite have diversified their investments across a slew of industries, enabling them to overcome the narrow, short-term economic interests of any one industry and to align with the “big picture” of U.S. strategy. In contrast to millionaires of generations past who were focused on a single industry, the billionaires of today have developed a more shared consciousness and can envision the major long-term returns from a fully liberalized Chinese market that would follow the overthrow of the Chinese state. Consequently, these billionaires are motivated to support the U.S. containment of China despite the short-term losses they might suffer as a result. As detailed above, this big bourgeoisie funds a large swathe of think tanks and policy groups through non-profit foundations, shaping U.S. policy discussions and proposals.</p>
<p>Among the upper-middle-class elite, there is a small group of far-right libertarian isolationists mainly composed of intellectuals and represented by the Cato Institute. This political network speaks out against the U.S. Federal Reserve System and foreign intervention and is opposed to the U.S.’s role in Ukraine. However, it is marginalized in the U.S. foreign policy arena and does not wield much influence.</p>
<p>As Karl Marx once noted, capitalists have always been a “band of warring brothers.” This band maintains a modern state that has a massive, permanent body of armed men and women, intelligence functionaries, and spies. In 2015, 4.3 million individuals in the United States had security clearance to access “confidential”, “secret”, or “top secret” government material.<a href="#_sect2_edn40" name="_sect2_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a> Regardless of any electoral result, this state apparatus is ultimately able to exert its dominance and guide U.S. foreign policy, as evidenced during the Trump administration’s inability to implement its own foreign policy.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Rise of the Far Right and the False Nature of Checks and Balances in the U.S. Political System</strong></span></h3>
<p>The hostility of the U.S. ruling bourgeois elite and middle classes toward China has deep, racist roots. Trump’s four years in office coincided with the formation of a united coalition of populist and white supremacist right-wing movements known as the Alt-Right. Stephen Bannon, a mouthpiece of this movement, is a former chairman of the white supremacist website <em>Breitbart News Network</em> and is unsurprisingly one of the most active anti-China campaigners in the United States. The Alt-Right’s support base comes from the lower middle class: mostly white people with annual household incomes of around $75,000. While Bannon and even Trump himself like to boast of the support they get from “the white working class,” their primary support base is in fact the lower middle class—not the working class.</p>
<p>The Republican Party has benefited electorally from the creation of this neofascist voting bloc. The Alt-Right tends to lionize big capitalist personalities and desires upward mobility to join the elite. Meanwhile, this bloc expresses hatred toward both elitist political and cultural leaders for blocking their road to wealth as well as toward the working class. In 1951, the prominent U.S. sociologist C. Wright Mills offered the following characterization of the U.S. middle classes:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">They are rear guarders. In the shorter run, they will follow the panicky ways of prestige; in the longer run, they will follow the ways of power, for, in the end, prestige is determined by power. In the meantime, on the political marketplace… the new middle classes are up for sale; whoever seems respectable enough, strong enough, can probably have them. So far, nobody has made a serious bid.<a href="#_sect2_edn41" name="_sect2_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a></p>
<p>The Trump administration directed the lower middle class’s resentment of their deteriorating economic situation toward China. The U.S. economy has never fully recovered from the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008, when loose monetary policy enabled big capitalists to reap enormous profits while the working class and the lower middle class suffered great losses. The latter group, angry and frustrated with their situation and in dire need of a spokesperson, was mobilized by Trump to become his key vote bank with the help of white supremacy, racial capitalism, and a New Cold War to suppress China as an opponent in an all-out manner.</p>
<p>Today, hostility toward China has become widespread across the U.S. population. The impression that China is the arch enemy of the free world and the greatest threat to the United States has been emphatically reinforced by mainstream media outlets and internet platforms, while freedom of speech for those who oppose this dangerous trend has been increasingly restricted. Any acknowledgement of Russian and Chinese perspectives or criticism of U.S. foreign policy toward these countries meets strong public criticism. Public opinion in the United States increasingly resembles the McCarthyist period of the 1950s and, in certain ways, the social climate bears disturbing similarities to that of Germany in the early 1930s.</p>
<p>Outsiders often misunderstand the real nature of checks and balances and the separation of powers in the U.S. political system. Unlike the history of European constitutional reforms that were spawned by social revolutionary movements, the U.S. Constitution, which was originally founded by a group of property holders (including slaveholders), was designed from the beginning to protect the rights of private property owners against what they feared could become mob majoritarian rule. To this day, the constitution allows for the dismantling of most traditional bourgeois social and legal rights.</p>
<p>Measures such as the electoral college, which was originally implemented to protect the interests of southern slave-holding and other smaller rural states, were designed to impede the people’s direct vote for president (one person, one vote). This undemocratic system, which is safeguarded by a difficult and onerous process to amend the constitution, resulted in both Bush Jr. and Trump winning the presidency despite receiving fewer votes than their respective opponents. Despite the eventual extension of voting rights to Black people, women, and those without property, voter disenfranchisement continues to this day. As of 2021, 19 states had enacted a total of 34 voter suppression laws that could limit the voting rights of up to 55 million voters in those states.<a href="#_sect2_edn42" name="_sect2_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a> Meanwhile, the unelected Supreme Court has the power to overturn voting rights legislation, strike down affirmative action, and allow religious organizations to abridge civil rights.</p>
<p>A 2010 Supreme Court ruling known as <em>Citizens United</em> removed limits on private and corporate contributions to elections, making them a contest of financial strength.<a href="#_sect2_edn43" name="_sect2_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a> In the 2020 elections, overall spending for the presidential, congressional, and Senate races was $14 billion.<a href="#_sect2_edn44" name="_sect2_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a> In addition to financial competition, there is also psychological-technological competition: the persuasive technological tools based on social media, behavioral economics, and Big Data play a huge role in shaping electoral processes. At the same time, these tools are extremely expensive, helping to ensure that politics is a near exclusive game for the rich. In 2015, the median wealth of U.S. senators exceeded $3 million.<a href="#_sect2_edn45" name="_sect2_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> This is hardly a government that is checked and balanced by the people.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Are We Doomed to War?</strong></span></h3>
<p>In 2014, Xi Jinping, shortly after becoming China’s top leader, told then U.S. President Obama that “the broad Pacific Ocean is vast enough to embrace both China and the United States.”<a href="#_sect2_edn46" name="_sect2_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a> Rejecting this diplomatic olive branch, then U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton boasted in an private speech that the United States could call the Pacific “the American Sea” and threatened to “ring China with missile defense.”<a href="#_sect2_edn47" name="_sect2_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a> In 2020, the UK’s Center for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) predicted that China would overtake the United States to become the world’s largest economy by 2028, a threshold that haunts the U.S. elite. U.S. foreign policy and public opinion in recent years have fixated on preparations to wage a hot war to contain China before that can take place. The proxy war in Ukraine can be seen as a prelude to this hot war. The ideological mobilization to prepare for war is already in full swing in the United States. The wheels of neofascism are turning, and a new era of McCarthyism has arisen. So-called democratic politics are only a cover for the rule of the bourgeois elite; they will not serve as a braking mechanism for the war machine.</p>
<p>There are 140 million working and poor people in the United States, with 17 million children suffering from hunger—six million more than before the pandemic.<a href="#_sect2_edn48" name="_sect2_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> While a portion of this class does express ideological support for U.S. warmongering policy, this support directly contradicts their interests: the near trillion-dollar military budget comes at the expense of providing funding to guarantee healthcare, education, infrastructure, and other human rights, as well as combating climate change. Historically, progressive groups in the United States such as Black and feminist movements have had a strong spirit of anti-war struggle, and leaders such as Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. and Malcolm X courageously fought to build a wave of domestic resistance to U.S. aggression in Southeast Asia. Sadly, today, some (but not all) progressive leaders in the United States have been unwilling to challenge Washington’s anti-China campaign or, worse, have even become supporters of it.</p>
<p>There are important moral voices in the United States that speak out. However, it must be noted that the few progressive groups opposed to a New Cold War have been vilified for allegedly justifying genocide in Xinjiang. The U.S. political system ruthlessly works to marginalize voices from this section of society.</p>
<p>Although the United States and its allies are aggressively pursuing global military expansion through NATO, the vast majority of the world does not welcome their war making. On March 2, 2022, the UN General Assembly held the 11<sup>th</sup> emergency special session, and countries which together constitute more than half of the world’s population voted against or abstained from voting on the draft resolution titled “Aggression against Ukraine.” Meanwhile, countries which represent 85 percent of the world’s population have not endorsed the U.S.-led sanctions against Russia.<a href="#_sect2_edn49" name="_sect2_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a> Washington’s attempts to escalate and prolong the war and to force a decoupling of Moscow and Beijing will lead to massive economic dislocation, which will bring about sizeable negative reactions to U.S. rule. Even countries like India and Saudi Arabia are deeply concerned about the excesses of the United States in freezing Russian foreign exchange reserves and reinforcing the hegemony of the dollar. Similarly, the presidents of Mexico, Bolivia, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala did not attend the Summit of the Americas hosted by the United States in Los Angeles in June 2022 because of the exclusion of Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua. Resistance to U.S. rule is growing in Latin America. It should be noted, however, that international platforms such as the UN are not actually capable of restraining the United States from waging wars. Washington refuses to be bound by anything but its own rules-based international order.</p>
<p>In the United States, the Biden administration is providing massive military aid to Ukraine to create a protracted war to weaken Russia to the maximum extent possible and bring about regime change. It is also deviating from the spirit of the three Sino-U.S. joint statements and destabilizing the Taiwan Strait in various ways. Though the United States does have great military power, its current economic strength, while immense, is in a perpetual state of decline and crisis.</p>
<p>As John Ross shows in this study, U.S. economic supremacy is waning and may be ended by the Chinese economic juggernaut. In addition, the United States, along with its NATO allies, face multiple profound economic and ecological difficulties. The U.S.-driven war will exacerbate these problems. The war may doom Europe to lower, possibly negative GDP growth, along with inflation and increased and socially useless military spending. The United States has effectively abandoned any pretense of a serious strategy to address climate change, not to mention that its unending pursuit of war has exacerbated the climate catastrophe. And, ironically, despite the domestic political consensus for economic decoupling, U.S. firms continue to increase orders to China—substantive decoupling remains a pipedream.</p>
<p>The United States will not just collapse economically, however; Washington’s drive for war, sanctions, and economic decoupling will continue to damage its own economy and jeopardize the world food supply chain. The resulting global social instability will, in turn, further weaken the U.S. economy and generate even more challenges to its rule, including growing opposition to the hegemony of the dollar.</p>
<p>China’s relatively stable social governance, strong national defense, diplomatic strategy of peace, and resistance to succumbing to U.S. power can, as Chinese State Councilor Yang Jiechi put it, allow the country to proceed “from a position of strength” and eventually force the United States to give up the illusion that it could go to war with China and win.<a href="#_sect2_edn50" name="_sect2_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a> It is in the interests of the Global South that China remain a strong socialist, sovereign state and that it continue to promote alternative policies for global governance such as the concept of “building a community with a shared future for humanity” and the Global Development Initiative. There must be an immediate commitment to reinvigorating viable multilateral projects of the Global South such as BRICS and the Non-Aligned Movement, initiatives in which much of the world shares a common interest. The world population, the vast majority of which is located in Global South, must resist war and call for peace. The United States is not the first empire to overreach with arrogance and hubris, and it, too, will eventually see its power come to an end.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref1" name="_sect2_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> This article was originally written for a Chinese audience and adapted and published in <em>Guancha</em>, a Chinese news website.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref2" name="_sect2_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Meet the Press, “War Game: What Would a Battle for Taiwan Look Like?,” NBC News, May 15, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/video/war-game-what-would-a-battle-for-taiwan-look-like-140042309777">https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/video/war-game-what-would-a-battle-for-taiwan-look-like-140042309777</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref3" name="_sect2_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Center for a New American Security, “CNAS Supporters,” accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cnas.org/support-cnas/cnas-supporters">https://www.cnas.org/support-cnas/cnas-supporters</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref4" name="_sect2_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Roxana Tiron, “U.S. Sees Rising Risk in ‘Breathtaking’ China Nuclear Expansion,” <em>Bloomberg</em>, April 4, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/u-s-sees-rising-risk-in-breathtaking-china-nuclear-expansion">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/u-s-sees-rising-risk-in-breathtaking-china-nuclear-expansion</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref5" name="_sect2_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> North Atlantic Treaty Organization, “NATO 2022 Strategic Concept”, June 29, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2022/6/pdf/290622-strategic-concept.pdf">https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2022/6/pdf/290622-strategic-concept.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref6" name="_sect2_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Niall Ferguson, <em>Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American Empire</em> (New York: Penguin Books, 2005).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref7" name="_sect2_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Joan E. Greve, “Biden’s Record Defense Budget Draws Progressive Ire Over Spending Priorities,” <em>The Guardian</em>, April 3, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/apr/03/biden-record-defense-budget-progressive-spending-priorities">https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/apr/03/biden-record-defense-budget-progressive-spending-priorities</a>; Alicia Parlapiano, Deborah B. Solomon, Madeleine Ngo and Stacy Cowley, “Where $5 Trillion in Pandemic Stimulus Money Went,” <em>The New York Times</em>, March 11, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/03/11/us/how-covid-stimulus-money-was-spent.html">https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/03/11/us/how-covid-stimulus-money-was-spent.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref8" name="_sect2_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Swiss Policy Research, “The American Empire and Its Media,” March 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://swprs.org/the-american-empire-and-its-media/">https://swprs.org/the-american-empire-and-its-media/</a>; Laurence H. Shoup, <em>Wall Street’s Think Tank: The Council on Foreign Relations and the Empire of Neoliberal Geopolitics, 1976-2019</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2019); Richard Harwood, “Ruling Class Journalists,” <em>The Washington Post</em>, October 30, 1993,  <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/1993/10/30/ruling-class-journalists/761e7bf8-025d-474e-81cb-92dcf271571e/">https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/1993/10/30/ruling-class-journalists/761e7bf8-025d-474e-81cb-92dcf271571e/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref9" name="_sect2_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Ivo H. Daalder and James M. Lindsay, “American Empire, Not ‘If’ but ‘What Kind’,” <em>New York Times</em>, May 10, 2003, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/10/arts/american-empire-not-if-but-what-kind.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/10/arts/american-empire-not-if-but-what-kind.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref10" name="_sect2_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> John Bellamy Foster, <em>Trump in the White House: Tragedy and Farce</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2017).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref11" name="_sect2_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Antony J. Blinken and Robert Kagan, ‘America First’ Is Only Making the World Worse. Here’s a Better Approach,” <em>Brookings Institution</em>, January 4, 2019, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2019/01/04/america-first-is-only-making-the-world-worse-heres-a-better-approach/">https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2019/01/04/america-first-is-only-making-the-world-worse-heres-a-better-approach/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref12" name="_sect2_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> Victoria Nuland, “Remarks at the U.S.-Ukraine Foundation Conference,” <em>U.S. Department of State</em>, December 13, 2013, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://2009-2017.state.gov/p/eur/rls/rm/2013/dec/218804.htm">https://2009-2017.state.gov/p/eur/rls/rm/2013/dec/218804.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref13" name="_sect2_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Matthew Kroenig, “Washington Must Prepare for War with Both Russia and China,” <em>Foreign Policy</em>, February 18, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/02/18/us-russia-china-war-nato-quadrilateral-security-dialogue/">https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/02/18/us-russia-china-war-nato-quadrilateral-security-dialogue/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref14" name="_sect2_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Seth Cropsey, “The U.S. Should Show It Can Win a Nuclear War,” <em>Wall Street Journal</em>, April 27, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-us-show-it-can-win-a-nuclear-war-russia-putin-ukraine-nato-sarmat-missile-testing-warning-11651067733">https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-us-show-it-can-win-a-nuclear-war-russia-putin-ukraine-nato-sarmat-missile-testing-warning-11651067733</a>; “A Conversation with Representative Michael McCaul,” <em>Council on Foreign Relations</em>, April 6, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cfr.org/event/conversation-representative-michael-mccaul">https://www.cfr.org/event/conversation-representative-michael-mccaul</a>; Elliot Abrams, “The Ukraine War, China, and Taiwan,” <em>Council on Foreign Relations</em>, May 3, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cfr.org/blog/ukraine-war-china-and-taiwan">https://www.cfr.org/blog/ukraine-war-china-and-taiwan</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref15" name="_sect2_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> John Smith, “The GDP Illusion: Value Added versus Value Capture,” <em>Monthly Review</em> 64, no. 3 (July-August 2012), <a class="footnote-link" href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-064-03-2012-07">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-064-03-2012-07</a>; Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, “iPhone Workers Today Are 25 Times More Exploited Than Textile Workers in 19<sup>th</sup> Century England: The Thirty-Ninth Newsletter (2019),” September 25, 2019, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/iphone-workers-today-are-25-times-more-exploited-than-textile-workers-in-19th-century-england-the-thirty-ninth-newsletter-2019/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/iphone-workers-today-are-25-times-more-exploited-than-textile-workers-in-19th-century-england-the-thirty-ninth-newsletter-2019/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref16" name="_sect2_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> Felix Richter, “China Is the World’s Manufacturing Superpower,” <em>Statista</em>, May 4, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.statista.com/chart/20858/top-10-countries-by-share-of-global-manufacturing-output/">https://www.statista.com/chart/20858/top-10-countries-by-share-of-global-manufacturing-output/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref17" name="_sect2_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> “10 US Companies with Highest Revenue Exposure to China,” <em>Yahoo! Finance</em>, August 2, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-us-companies-highest-revenue-225350456.html">https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-us-companies-highest-revenue-225350456.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref18" name="_sect2_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Yardeni Research, Inc., <em>S&amp;P 500 Revenues &amp; the Economy</em>, June 13, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.yardeni.com/pub/stmktbriefrev.pdf">https://www.yardeni.com/pub/stmktbriefrev.pdf</a>; Office of the United States Trade Representative, “The People’s Republic of China: U.S.-China Trade Facts,” accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/china-mongolia-taiwan/peoples-republic-china">https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/china-mongolia-taiwan/peoples-republic-china</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref19" name="_sect2_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> Phil Hall, “Can Marvel Films Profit without Playing in China? Here’s What Disney CEO Bob Chapek Says,” <em>Benzinga</em>, May 12, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/22/05/27166040/disneys-chapek-marvel-films-can-profit-without-playing-in-china">https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/22/05/27166040/disneys-chapek-marvel-films-can-profit-without-playing-in-china</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref20" name="_sect2_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> George Soros (@georgesoros), “China’s Xi Jinping is the greatest threat that open societies face today,” Twitter, January 31, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://twitter.com/georgesoros/status/1488233860584427530?lang=en">https://twitter.com/georgesoros/status/1488233860584427530?lang=en</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref21" name="_sect2_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> David Henry and Anshuman Daga, “Jamie Dimon jokes that JPMorgan will outlast China’s Communist Party,” <em>Reuters</em>, November 23 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/jpmorgan-ceo-dimon-jokes-his-bank-will-outlast-chinas-communist-party-2021-11-23/">https://www.reuters.com/business/jpmorgan-ceo-dimon-jokes-his-bank-will-outlast-chinas-communist-party-2021-11-23/</a></p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref22" name="_sect2_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Bloomberg Government, “The Top 10 Defense Contractors,” June 10, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://about.bgov.com/top-defense-contractors/">https://about.bgov.com/top-defense-contractors/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref23" name="_sect2_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Big Tech Sells War, accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://bigtechsellswar.com/">https://bigtechsellswar.com/</a>; April Glaser, “Thousands of Contracts Highlight Quiet Ties Between Big Tech and U.S. Military,” <em>NBC News</em>, July 8, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/thousands-contracts-highlight-quiet-ties-between-big-tech-u-s-n1233171">https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/thousands-contracts-highlight-quiet-ties-between-big-tech-u-s-n1233171</a>; Joseph Nograles, “Buy PLTR Stock: Palantir Is a Defense Contractor Powerhouse,” Nasdaq, October 14, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/buy-pltr-stock%3A-palantir-is-a-defense-contractor-powerhouse-2021-10-14">https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/buy-pltr-stock%3A-palantir-is-a-defense-contractor-powerhouse-2021-10-14</a>; Frank Konkel, “NSA Awards Secret $10 Billion Contract to Amazon,” Nextgov, August 10, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nextgov.com/it-modernization/2021/08/nsa-awards-secret-10-billion-contract-amazon/184390/">https://www.nextgov.com/it-modernization/2021/08/nsa-awards-secret-10-billion-contract-amazon/184390/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref24" name="_sect2_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Mike Stone, “Biden Wants $813 Billion for Defense as Ukraine Crisis Raises Alarm,” <em>Reuters</em>, March 28, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-wants-813-billion-defense-ukraine-crisis-raises-alarm-2022-03-28/">https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-wants-813-billion-defense-ukraine-crisis-raises-alarm-2022-03-28/</a>; Michael A. Cohen, “Bloated Defense Budget Passes Easily but Congress Fights over Safety Net Programs,” <em>MSNBC</em>, October 1, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/bloated-defense-budget-passes-easily-congress-fights-over-safety-net-n1280568">https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/bloated-defense-budget-passes-easily-congress-fights-over-safety-net-n1280568</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref25" name="_sect2_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Open Secrets, accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.opensecrets.org/">https://www.opensecrets.org/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref26" name="_sect2_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Ben Freeman, “The Hidden Costs of Star Creep: Generals Making More in Retirement Than in Service,” <em>POGO: Project on Government Oversight</em>, February 8, 2012, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.pogo.org/analysis/2012/02/hidden-costs-of-star-creep-generals-making-more-in-retirement-than-in-service">https://www.pogo.org/analysis/2012/02/hidden-costs-of-star-creep-generals-making-more-in-retirement-than-in-service</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref27" name="_sect2_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Sam DiSalvo, “How Much Is Bill Clinton Worth?” <em>Yahoo! News</em>, February 12, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://ca.news.yahoo.com/much-bill-clinton-worth-234218086.html">https://ca.news.yahoo.com/much-bill-clinton-worth-234218086.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref28" name="_sect2_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> CNBC, “Many Who Met with Clinton as Secretary of State Donated to Foundation,” August 23, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref29" name="_sect2_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Jeremy Herb and Connor O’Brien, “Pentagon Pick Mattis Discloses Defense Industry Work,” <em>Politico</em>, January 8, 2017, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.politico.com/blogs/donald-trump-administration/2017/01/james-mattis-defense-disclosures-233331">https://www.politico.com/blogs/donald-trump-administration/2017/01/james-mattis-defense-disclosures-233331</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref30" name="_sect2_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> Dan Alexander, “Here’s How Much Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin Is Worth,” <em>Forbes</em>, June 18, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/2021/06/18/heres-how-much-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-austin-is-worth/?sh=552340be63e4">https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/2021/06/18/heres-how-much-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-austin-is-worth/?sh=552340be63e4</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref31" name="_sect2_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Luke Johnson, “Report: 70 Percent of Retired Generals Took Jobs with Defense Contractors or Consultants,” <em>HuffPost</em>, November 20, 2012, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/defense-contractors-generals_n_2160771">https://www.huffpost.com/entry/defense-contractors-generals_n_2160771</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref32" name="_sect2_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Tom Vanden Brook, Ken Dilanian and Ray Locker, “How Some Retired Military Officers Became Well-Paid Consultants,” <em>ABC News</em>, November 18, 2009, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/retired-military-officers-retire-paid-consultants/story?id=9115368">https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/retired-military-officers-retire-paid-consultants/story?id=9115368</a>; Mandy Smithberger, “Brass Parachutes: The Problem of the Pentagon Revolving Door,” <em>POGO: Project on Government Oversight</em>, November 5, 2018, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.pogo.org/report/2018/11/brass-parachutes">https://www.pogo.org/report/2018/11/brass-parachutes</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref33" name="_sect2_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> Jonathan Guyer and Ryan Grim, “Meet the Consulting Firm That’s Staffing the Biden Administration,” <em>The Intercept</em>, July 6, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/">https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/</a>; WestExec Advisors, accessed August 14, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.westexec.com/">https://www.westexec.com/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref34" name="_sect2_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Jonathan Guyer and Ryan Grim, “Meet the Consulting Firm That’s Staffing the Biden Administration,” <em>The Intercept</em>, July 6, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/">https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/</a>; Alex Thompson and Theodoric Meyer, “Janet Yellen Made Millions in Wall Street, Corporate Speeches,” <em>Politico</em>, January 1, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/01/yellen-made-millions-in-wall-street-speeches-453223">https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/01/yellen-made-millions-in-wall-street-speeches-453223</a>; Eric Lipton and Kennet P. Vogel, “Biden Aides’ Ties to Consulting and Investment Firms Pose Ethics Test,” <em>The New York Times</em>, November 28, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/28/us/politics/biden-westexec.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/28/us/politics/biden-westexec.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref35" name="_sect2_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Jonathan Guyer and Ryan Grim, “Meet the Consulting Firm That’s Staffing the Biden Administration,” <em>The Intercept</em>, July 6, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/">https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref36" name="_sect2_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Neta C. Crawford and Catherine Lutz, “Human and Budgetary Costs to Date of the U.S. War in Afghanistan,” <em>Costs of War Project</em>, April 15, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/figures/2021/Human%20and%20Budgetary%20Costs%20of%20Afghan%20War%2C%202001-2021.pdf">https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/figures/2021/Human%20and%20Budgetary%20Costs%20of%20Afghan%20War%2C%202001-2021.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref37" name="_sect2_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Bryan Stinchfield, “The Creeping Privatization of America’s Armed Forces,” <em>Newsweek, </em>May 28, 2017, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.newsweek.com/creeping-privatization-americas-forces-616347">https://www.newsweek.com/creeping-privatization-americas-forces-616347</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref38" name="_sect2_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Ross Wilkers, “Apollo Group, Constellis Executives to Buy Out Security Services Contractor,” <em>GovCon Wire</em>, August 15, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.govconwire.com/2016/08/apollo-group-constellis-executives-to-buy-out-security-services-contractor/">https://www.govconwire.com/2016/08/apollo-group-constellis-executives-to-buy-out-security-services-contractor/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref39" name="_sect2_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> Walt Bogdanich and Michael Forsythe, “How McKinsey Has Helped Raise the Stature of Authoritarian Governments,” <em>The New York Times</em>, December 15, 2018, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/15/world/asia/mckinsey-china-russia.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/15/world/asia/mckinsey-china-russia.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref40" name="_sect2_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Congressional Research Service, “Security Clearance Process: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions,” October 17, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R43216">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R43216</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref41" name="_sect2_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> C. Wright Mills, <em>White Collar: The American Classes</em> (New York: Oxford University Press, 1951), 353.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref42" name="_sect2_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Tony Eskridge and Shailly Gupta Barnes, “Quick Facts on Voting Rights,” <em>Kairos Center</em>, accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://kairoscenter.org/quick-facts-on-voting-rights/">https://kairoscenter.org/quick-facts-on-voting-rights/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref43" name="_sect2_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Ian Vandewalker, “Since Citizens United, a Decade of Super PACs,” <em>The Brennan Center for Justice</em>, January 14, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/citizens-united-decade-super-pacs">https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/citizens-united-decade-super-pacs</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref44" name="_sect2_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Brian Schwartz, “Total 2020 Election Spending to Hit Nearly $14 Billion, More than Double 2016’s Sum,” <em>CNBC</em>, October 28, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/28/2020-election-spending-to-hit-nearly-14-billion-a-record.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/28/2020-election-spending-to-hit-nearly-14-billion-a-record.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref45" name="_sect2_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Dan Kopf, “The Typical Us Congress Member Is 12 Times Richer than the Typical American Household,” <em>Quartz</em>, February 12, 2018, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://qz.com/1190595/the-typical-us-congress-member-is-12-times-richer-than-the-typical-american-household/">https://qz.com/1190595/the-typical-us-congress-member-is-12-times-richer-than-the-typical-american-household/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref46" name="_sect2_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the United States, “Xi Jinping Holds Talks with President Barack Obama of the US,” November 12, 2014, <a class="footnote-link" href="http://us.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zmgx/zxxx/201411/t20141115_4909273.htm">http://us.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zmgx/zxxx/201411/t20141115_4909273.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref47" name="_sect2_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> William Gallo, “Clinton Says US Would ‘Ring China With Missile Defense’,” <em>Voice of America</em>, October 14, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.voanews.com/a/clinton-says-us-would-ring-china-with-missile-defense/3550418.html">https://www.voanews.com/a/clinton-says-us-would-ring-china-with-missile-defense/3550418.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref48" name="_sect2_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> Shailly Gupta Barnes, “Explaining the 140 Million: Breaking Down the Numbers Behind the Moral Budget,” <em>Kairos Center</em>, June 26, 2019, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://kairoscenter.org/explaining-the-140-million/">https://kairoscenter.org/explaining-the-140-million/</a>; Save the Children, “Child Hunger in America,” 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.savethechildren.org/us/charity-stories/child-hunger-in-america">https://www.savethechildren.org/us/charity-stories/child-hunger-in-america</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref49" name="_sect2_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> No Cold War, “Briefing: The World Does Not Want a Global NATO,” July 28, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://nocoldwar.org/news/briefing-the-world-does-not-want-a-global-nato">https://nocoldwar.org/news/briefing-the-world-does-not-want-a-global-nato</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref50" name="_sect2_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> “China Says U.S. Cannot Speak from ‘a Position of Strength’” <em>BBC</em> <em>News</em>, March 19, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-56456021">https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-56456021</a>.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_4"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_4"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>“Notes on Exterminism” for the Twenty-First-Century Ecology and Peace Movements</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">John Bellamy Foster</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>In 1980, the great English historian and Marxist theorist E. P. Thompson, author of <em>The Making of the English Working Class</em> and leader of the Movement for European Nuclear Disarmament, wrote the pathbreaking essay “Notes on Exterminism, the Last Stage of Civilization.”<a href="#_sect3_edn1" name="_sect3_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> Although the world has undergone a number of significant changes since, Thompson’s essay remains a useful starting point in approaching the central contradictions of our times, characterized by the planetary ecological crisis, COVID-19 pandemic, New Cold War, and current “empire of chaos”—all arising from features deeply embedded in the contemporary capitalist political economy.<a href="#_sect3_edn2" name="_sect3_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a></p>
<p>For Thompson, the term <em>exterminism</em> referred not to the extinction of life itself, since some life would remain even in the face of a global thermonuclear exchange, but rather to the tendency toward the “extermination of our [contemporary] civilization,” understood in its most universal sense. Nevertheless, exterminism pointed to mass annihilation and was defined as consisting of those “characteristics of society—expressed in differing degrees, within its economy, its polity, and its ideology—which thrust it in a direction whose outcome must be the extermination of multitudes.”<a href="#_sect3_edn3" name="_sect3_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a> “Notes on Exterminism” was written eight years before climatologist James Hansen’s famous 1988 testimony on global warming to the U.S. Congress and the formation that same year of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Hence, Thompson’s treatment of exterminism focused squarely on nuclear war and did not directly address the other emerging exterminist tendency of contemporary society: the planetary ecological crisis. Yet, his perspective was a deeply socioecological one. The tendency toward exterminism in modern society was thus seen as directly opposed to “the imperatives of human ecological survival,” demanding a worldwide struggle for a socially egalitarian and ecologically sustainable world.<a href="#_sect3_edn4" name="_sect3_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a></p>
<p>With the demise of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War in 1991, the nuclear threat that had loomed over the planet since the Second World War seemed to subside. As a result, most subsequent considerations of Thompson’s exterminism thesis have considered it primarily in the context of the planetary ecological crisis, itself a source of “the extermination of multitudes.”<a href="#_sect3_edn5" name="_sect3_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a> However, the advent of the New Cold War over the last decade has brought the threat of nuclear holocaust back into the center of world concerns. The 2022 Ukraine War, the origins of which date back to the 2014 U.S.-engineered Maidan coup and the resulting Ukrainian Civil War fought between Kyiv and the breakaway republics of the Russian-speaking Donbass region in Ukraine, has now evolved into a full-scale war between Moscow and Kyiv. This took on an ominous worldwide significance on February 27, 2022, with Russia, three days into its military offensive in Ukraine, placing its nuclear forces on high alert as a warning against a direct NATO intervention in the war, whether by non-nuclear or nuclear means.<a href="#_sect3_edn6" name="_sect3_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a> The potential for a global thermonuclear war between the leading nuclear powers is now greater than at any time in the post-Cold War world.</p>
<p>It is therefore necessary to address these dual exterminist tendencies: both the planetary ecological crisis (including not only climate change but also the crossing of the eight other key planetary boundaries that scientists define as essential for the Earth’s ability to be a safe home for humanity) and the growing threat of global nuclear annihilation. In approaching the dialectical interconnections between these two global existential threats, emphasis must be placed on updating the historical understanding of the thrust toward nuclear exterminism as it metamorphosed in the decades of U.S. unipolar power, while the world’s attention was directed elsewhere. How is it that the threat of global thermonuclear war is once again hanging over the globe, three decades after the end of the Cold War and at a time when the risk of irreversible climate change looms on the horizon? What approaches need to be adopted within the peace and environmental movements to counter these interrelated global existential threats? To answer these questions, it is important to address such issues as the nuclear winter controversy, the counterforce doctrine, and the U.S. quest for global nuclear supremacy. Only then can we perceive the full dimensions of the global existential threats imposed by today’s catastrophe capitalism.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Nuclear Winter</strong></span></h3>
<p>In 1983, teams of atmospheric scientists in both the United States and the Soviet Union produced models appearing in the major scientific journals predicting that a nuclear war would lead to a “nuclear winter.” This took place in the midst of the Ronald Reagan administration’s nuclear buildup, associated with the Strategic Defense Initiative (better known as Star Wars) and the growing threat of nuclear Armageddon. The outcome of a global thermonuclear exchange resulting in megafires in a hundred or more cities, it was discovered, could enormously reduce the average temperature of the Earth by pushing soot and smoke into the atmosphere and blocking solar radiation. The climate would be altered much more abruptly and in the opposite direction from global warming, introducing rapid global cooling causing temperatures to drop by several degrees or even “several tens of degrees” Celsius across the world (or at least across the hemisphere) in a matter of a month, with horrific consequences for life on Earth. Thus, although hundreds of millions­—perhaps even a billion or more people—would be killed by the <em>direct</em> effects of a global thermonuclear exchange, the <em>indirect</em> effects would be far worse, annihilating most people on the planet via starvation—even those not caught up in the direct effects of nuclear firebombs. The nuclear winter thesis had a powerful effect on the nuclear arms race that was taking place at the time and played a role in getting the U.S. and Soviet governments to pull back from the brink.<a href="#_sect3_edn7" name="_sect3_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a></p>
<p>However, the power elite in the United States saw the nuclear winter model as a direct attack on the nuclear armaments industry and the Pentagon, aimed at the Star Wars program in particular. It therefore led to one of the biggest scientific controversies of all time, despite the fact that the controversy was more political than scientific, since the scientific results were never really in doubt. Although claims were made that the initial nuclear winter models from NASA scientists were too simple and that studies were produced pointing to effects less extreme than originally envisioned—“nuclear autumn” rather than nuclear winter—the nuclear winter thesis was validated again and again by scientific models.<a href="#_sect3_edn8" name="_sect3_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>Nevertheless, if the initial response of the public and political leaders to the nuclear winter studies helped to create a strong movement to dismantle nuclear weapons, contributing to nuclear arms control and the end of the Cold War, this was soon countered by powerful military, political, and economic interests behind the U.S. nuclear war machine. Thus, the corporate media together with political forces launched various campaigns meant to discredit the nuclear winter thesis.<a href="#_sect3_edn9" name="_sect3_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a> In 2000, the popular science magazine <em>Discover</em> went so far as to list nuclear winter as one of its “20 Greatest Scientific Blunders in the Last 20 Years.” Yet, the most that <em>Discover</em> could claim in this respect was that the key scientists behind the most influential nuclear winter study in the 1980s had pulled back by 1990, claiming that the average temperature reduction as a result of a global nuclear exchange was estimated to be somewhat smaller than originally conceived and would at most constitute a 36°F (20°C) <em>drop</em> in average temperature in the Northern Hemisphere. This updated estimate, however, remained apocalyptic on a planetary level.<a href="#_sect3_edn10" name="_sect3_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a></p>
<p>In one of the greatest instances of denialism in the history of science, surpassing even the denial of climate change, the public sphere and the military widely rejected these scientific findings on nuclear winter out of hand based on the charge that the original estimate had somehow been “exaggerated.” The exaggeration charge has been used in ruling circles for decades, up to the present, to downplay the full effects of nuclear war. In the case of Pentagon capitalism, such denial was clearly motivated by the reality that, if the scientific results on nuclear winter were allowed to stand, the strategic planning aimed at fighting a “winnable” nuclear war, or at least one in which one’s own side would “prevail,” would be senseless. Once the atmospheric effects are considered, the global devastation cannot be confined to a particular nuclear theater; the unimaginable effects would, within several years of the global thermonuclear exchange, destroy all but a tiny fraction of the population of the Earth, going beyond what was even envisioned by mutual assured destruction (MAD).</p>
<p>In some ways, the catastrophic effects of nuclear war have always been downplayed by nuclear planners. As Daniel Ellsberg points out in <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, the estimated death toll from all-out nuclear warfare that U.S. strategic analysts provided was a “fantastic underestimate” from the start, “even before the discovery of nuclear winter,” since they deliberately omitted the firestorms in cities resulting from nuclear blasts—the largest impact on the overall urban population—on the questionable grounds that the level of devastation was too difficult to estimate.<a href="#_sect3_edn11" name="_sect3_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a> As Ellsberg writes:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Yet even in the sixties the firestorms caused by thermonuclear weapons were known to be predictably the <em>largest</em> production of fatalities in a nuclear war. … Moreover, what no one would recognize… [until the first nuclear winter studies emerged some twenty-one years after the Cuban Missile Crisis] were the indirect effects of our planned first strike that gravely threatened the other two thirds of humanity. These effects arose from another   neglected consequence of our attacks on cities: smoke. In effect, in ignoring fire, the [Joint] Chiefs [of Staff] and their planners ignored that where there’s fire there’s smoke.  But what is dangerous to our survival is not the smoke from ordinary fires, even very large ones—smoke that remained in the lower atmosphere and soon would be rained out—but smoke propelled into the upper atmosphere from the <em>firestorms</em> that our nuclear weapons were sure to create in the cities we targeted.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Ferocious updrafts from these multiple firestorms would loft millions of tons of smoke and soot into the stratosphere, which would not be rained out and would quickly encircle the globe, forming a blanket blocking most sunlight around the Earth for a decade or more. This would reduce sunlight and lower temperatures worldwide to a point that it would eliminate all harvests and starve to death—not all but nearly all—humans (and other animals that depend on vegetation for food). The population of the Southern Hemisphere—spared nearly all direct effects from nuclear explosions, even from fallout—would be nearly annihilated, as would that of Eurasia (which the Joint Chiefs already foresaw, from direct effects), Africa and North America.<a href="#_sect3_edn12" name="_sect3_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Worse than the original pushback against the nuclear winter thesis, according to Ellsberg, writing in 2017, was the fact that, over the decades that followed, nuclear planners in the United States and Russia have “<em>continued</em> to include ‘options’ for detonating hundreds of nuclear explosions near cities, which would loft enough soot and smoke into the upper stratosphere to lead [via nuclear winter] to death by starvation of nearly everyone on Earth, including, after all, ourselves.”<a href="#_sect3_edn13" name="_sect3_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a></p>
<p>The denialism built into the doomsday machine (the thrust to exterminism entrenched in Pentagon capitalism) is all the more significant given that not only were the original nuclear winter studies never disproven, but twenty-first-century nuclear winter studies, based on computer models more sophisticated than those of the early 1980s, have gone on to show that nuclear winter can be set off at lower levels of nuclear exchange than envisioned in the original models.<a href="#_sect3_edn14" name="_sect3_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> The importance of these new studies is symbolized by <em>Discover</em> magazine, which, in 2007—only seven years after it had included nuclear winter in its list of the twenty “greatest scientific blunders” of the previous two decades—carried an article entitled “The Return of Nuclear Winter,” essentially repudiating its earlier piece.<a href="#_sect3_edn15" name="_sect3_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a></p>
<p>The most recent studies, motivated in part by nuclear proliferation, demonstrated that a hypothetical nuclear war between India and Pakistan fought with 100 fifteen-kiloton (Hiroshima-sized) atomic bombs could produce direct fatalities comparable to all deaths in the Second World War, in addition to the fatalities and suffering resulting from global famine in the long-term. The atomic explosions would immediately ignite firestorms of three to five square miles. Burning cities would release some five million tons of smoke into the stratosphere, circling the Earth within two weeks, which could not be removed by rainfall and might remain for more than a decade. By blocking sunlight, this would decrease food production globally by 20 to 40 percent. The stratospheric smoke layer would absorb warming sunlight, heating the smoke to temperatures near water’s boiling point, resulting in an ozone layer reduction of 20 to 50 percent near populated areas and generating UV-B increases unprecedented in human history, such that fair-skinned individuals could get severe sunburns in around six minutes and levels of skin cancer would go off the charts. Meanwhile, it is estimated that up to 2 billion people would die of famine.<a href="#_sect3_edn16" name="_sect3_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a></p>
<p>The new series of nuclear winter studies, published in major peer-reviewed scientific journals beginning in 2007 and continuing to the present, did not stop there. They also looked at what would happen if there were a global thermonuclear exchange involving the five leading nuclear powers: the United States, Russia, China, France, and the United Kingdom. The United States and Russia alone, which account for most of the world’s nuclear arsenal, have thousands of strategic nuclear weapons with an explosive power ranging from seven to eighty times that of the Hiroshima bomb (although some thermonuclear weapons developed in the 1950s and ’60s that have since been discontinued were a thousand times as powerful as the atom bomb). A single strategic nuclear weapon hitting a city would ignite a firestorm covering a surface area of 90 to 152 square miles. Scientists calculated that the fires from a full-scale global thermonuclear exchange would propel into the stratosphere 150 to 180 million tons of black carbon soot and smoke that would remain for twenty to thirty years and would prevent up to 70 percent of solar energy from reaching the Northern Hemisphere and up to 35 percent with respect to the Southern Hemisphere. The noonday sun would end up looking like a full moon at midnight. Global average temperatures would fall below freezing every day for one or two years, or even longer in the main agricultural regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Average temperatures would dip below those experienced in the last Ice Age. The growing seasons of agricultural areas would disappear for more than a decade, while rainfall would decrease by up to 90 percent. Most of the human population would die of starvation.<a href="#_sect3_edn17" name="_sect3_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a></p>
<p>In his 1960 book <em>On Thermonuclear War</em>, RAND Corporation physicist Herman Kahn presented the notion of the “doomsday machine,” which would kill everyone on Earth in the event of a nuclear war.<a href="#_sect3_edn18" name="_sect3_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a> Kahn did not advocate building such a machine, nor did he contend that either the United States or the Soviet Union had done so or were then seeking to do so. He merely suggested that a mechanism that would ensure no survivability from nuclear war would be a cheap alternative with which to achieve complete and irrevocable deterrence on all sides and take nuclear warfare off the table. As Ellsberg, himself a former nuclear strategist, has since remarked—in line with scientists Carl Sagan and Richard Turco, who helped develop the nuclear winter model—today’s strategic arsenals in the hands of the dominant nuclear powers, if detonated, constitute an actual doomsday machine. Once set in motion, the doomsday machine would almost certainly directly or indirectly annihilate most of the population on the planet.<a href="#_sect3_edn19" name="_sect3_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Counterforce and the U.S. Drive to Nuclear Primacy</strong></span></h3>
<p>From the 1960s, when Moscow achieved rough nuclear parity with Washington, until the demise of the Soviet Union, the dominant nuclear strategy during the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union was based on the notion of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). This principle, which refers to the possibility of utter devastation on both sides, including the deaths of hundreds of millions of people, effectively translates into nuclear parity. However, as nuclear winter studies indicate, the consequences of an all-out nuclear war would go far beyond even this, extending to the destruction of almost all human life (as well as most other species) on the entire planet. Still, ignoring the nuclear winter warnings, the United States, with far more resources than the Soviet Union, sought to transcend MAD in the direction of U.S. “nuclear primacy” so as to restore the level of U.S. nuclear preeminence of the early Cold War years. <em>Nuclear primacy</em>, as opposed to <em>nuclear parity</em>, means “eliminating the possibility of a retaliatory strike” and thus is also referred to as “first strike capability.”<a href="#_sect3_edn20" name="_sect3_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a> In this respect, it is significant that Washington’s official defense posture has consistently included the possibility of the United States carrying out a first strike nuclear attack on nuclear or non-nuclear states.</p>
<p>In addition to introducing the doomsday machine concept, Kahn, as one of the leading U.S. strategic planners, also coined the key terms <em>countervalue</em> and <em>counterforce.</em><a href="#_sect3_edn21" name="_sect3_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> <em>Countervalue </em>refers to targeting an enemy’s cities, civilian population, and economy and is aimed at complete annihilation, thus leading to MAD. <em>Counterforce</em>, in contrast, refers to targeting the enemy’s nuclear weapons facilities to prevent retaliation.</p>
<p>When the counterforce strategy was originally introduced by Robert McNamara, the U.S. defense secretary in John F. Kennedy’s administration, it was seen as a “no cities” strategy that would attack the opponent’s nuclear weapons rather than civilian populations, and it has sometimes been fallaciously justified in those terms since. McNamara, however, soon realized the flaws in the counterforce strategy, namely that it provokes a nuclear arms race directed at achieving (or denying) nuclear primacy. Moreover, the notion that a “preemptive” counterforce strike did not involve attacks on cities was incorrect from that start, as targets included nuclear command centers in cities. He therefore abandoned the effort shortly after in favor of a nuclear strategy based on MAD, which he saw as the only true approach to nuclear deterrence.<a href="#_sect3_edn22" name="_sect3_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a></p>
<p>This U.S. nuclear strategy prevailed for most of the 1960s and ’70s and was characterized by the acceptance of rough nuclear parity with the Soviet Union and thus of the possible reality of MAD. However, this broke down in the final year of the Jimmy Carter administration. In 1979, Washington strong-armed NATO into allowing nuclear-armed cruise and Pershing II missiles, both counterforce weapons aimed at the Soviet nuclear arsenal, to be sited in Europe, a decision that ignited the European antinuclear movement.<a href="#_sect3_edn23" name="_sect3_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> In the subsequent U.S. administration under Ronald Reagan, Washington adopted the counterforce strategy in full force.<a href="#_sect3_edn24" name="_sect3_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a> The Reagan administration introduced Star Wars, aimed at developing a comprehensive antiballistic missile system capable of defending the U.S. homeland. Though this was subsequently abandoned as impractical, it nonetheless led to other antiballistic missile systems in later administrations.<a href="#_sect3_edn25" name="_sect3_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a> In addition, under the Reagan administration the United States pushed the MX missile (which later became known as the Peacemaker), viewed as a counterforce weapon able to destroy Soviet missiles before they were launched. All of these weapons threatened the “decapitation” of Soviet forces in a first attack as well as the ability to intercept through antiballistic missile systems what few Soviet missiles survived.<a href="#_sect3_edn26" name="_sect3_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a> Counterforce weapons required greater accuracy since they were no longer conceived as city-busters as in “countervalue” attacks, but rather as precision targeting of hardened missile silos, mobile land-based missiles, nuclear submarines, and command-and-control centers. It was here, in counterforce weapons, that the United States had a technological advantage.</p>
<p>This major nuclear arms buildup, beginning in 1979 with the planned deployment in Europe of missile delivery systems carrying nuclear warheads, generated the great nuclear war protests of the 1980s in Europe and North America as well as Thompson’s critique of exterminism and scientific research about nuclear winter. Nevertheless, today, “counterforce remains the sacrosanct principle of American nuclear strategy,” aimed at nuclear primacy, in the words of Janne Nolan of the Arms Control Association.<a href="#_sect3_edn27" name="_sect3_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a></p>
<p>With the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 and the end of the Cold War, Washington immediately commenced the process of translating its new unipolar position into a vision of permanent U.S. supremacy over the entire globe, beginning with the February 1992 <em>Defense Policy Guidance</em> issued by then Undersecretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz.<a href="#_sect3_edn28" name="_sect3_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a> This was to be enacted through a geopolitical expansion of the areas of Western dominance to regions formerly part of the Soviet Union or within its sphere of influence in order to thwart the reemergence of Russia as a great power. At the same time, in a climate of nuclear disarmament and with the deterioration of the Russian nuclear force under Boris Yeltsin, the United States sought to “modernize” its nuclear weapons, replacing them with more technologically advanced strategic weaponry with the object not of enhancing deterrence, but rather of achieving nuclear primacy.<a href="#_sect3_edn29" name="_sect3_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a></p>
<p>The U.S. pursuit of nuclear primacy in the post-Cold War world by continuing to promote counterforce weapons was known as the “maximalist” strategy in debates over nuclear policy at the time and was opposed by those who advocated for a “minimalist” strategy that relied on MAD. In the end, the maximalists won and the New World Order came to be defined by both the enlargement of NATO, with Ukraine seen as the ultimate geopolitical and strategic pivot, and by the U.S. pursuit of a maximalist goal of absolute nuclear dominance and first strike capability.<a href="#_sect3_edn30" name="_sect3_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a></p>
<p>In 2006, Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press published the landmark article “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy” in <em>Foreign Affairs</em>, the flagship journal of the Council of Foreign Relations. In their article, Lieber and Press argued that the United States was “on the verge of attaining nuclear primacy,” or first strike capability, and that this had been its aim since at least the end of the Cold War. As they put it, “the weight of evidence suggests that Washington is, in fact, deliberately seeking nuclear primacy.”<a href="#_sect3_edn31" name="_sect3_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a></p>
<p>What placed such first strike capability seemingly within Washington’s reach was the new nuclear weaponry associated with nuclear modernization that, if anything, accelerated after the Cold War. Weapons such as nuclear-armed cruise missiles, nuclear submarines able to fire their missiles near the shore, and low-flying B-52 stealth bombers carrying both nuclear-armed cruise missiles and nuclear gravity bombs could more effectively penetrate Russian or Chinese defenses. More accurate intercontinental ballistic missiles could fully eliminate hardened missile silos. Improved surveillance could allow for the tracking and destruction of mobile land-based missiles and nuclear submarines. Meanwhile, the more accurate Trident II D-5 missiles being introduced on U.S. nuclear submarines carried larger-yield warheads to use on hardened silos. More advanced remote sensing technology in which the United States has had the lead has greatly enhanced its ability to detect mobile land-based missiles and nuclear submarines. The ability to target the satellites of other nuclear powers could weaken or eliminate their capacity to deliver nuclear missiles.<a href="#_sect3_edn32" name="_sect3_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<p>The siting of strategic weapons in countries recently admitted to NATO and near or on Russian borders would serve to enhance the speed with which nuclear weapons could strike Moscow and other Russian targets, giving the Kremlin no time to react. The Aegis ballistic missile defense facilities that the United States established in Poland and Romania are also potential offensive weapons capable of launching nuclear-armed tomahawk cruise missiles.<a href="#_sect3_edn33" name="_sect3_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a> Nuclear missile defense facilities, mainly useful in the case of countering retaliation to a first strike by the United States, could shoot down a limited number of missiles that had survived and were launched on the other side, but these anti-ballistic missile systems would be ineffective in the face of a first attack since they would be overwhelmed by the sheer number of missiles and decoys. Furthermore, in recent decades, the United States has developed large numbers of high-precision, <em>non-nuclear</em> aerospace weapons to be used in a counterforce strike aimed at enemy missiles or command-and-control facilities that are comparable to nuclear weapons in their counterforce effects due to precision targeting based on satellites.<a href="#_sect3_edn34" name="_sect3_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>According to Lieber and Press, writing in 2006, “the odds that Beijing will acquire a survivable nuclear deterrent in the next decade are slim,” and the survivability of the Russian deterrent was in question in the face of a massive U.S. first strike. “What our analysis suggests is profound: Russia’s leaders can no longer count on a survivable nuclear deterrent.” As they wrote, the United States was “seeking primacy in every dimension of modern military technology, both in its conventional arsenal and in its nuclear forces,” something known as “escalation dominance.”<a href="#_sect3_edn35" name="_sect3_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a></p>
<p>The signing of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty or New START between the United States and Russia in 2010, while limiting nuclear weapons, did not prevent a race toward the modernization of counterforce weapons that would allow one side to destroy the other side’s armaments. The signing of the New START Treaty between the United States and Russia in 2010, while limiting nuclear weapons, did not prevent a race toward modernization of counterforce weapons to destroy the other side’s weapons. In fact, the limits on numbers of nuclear weapons permitted made a counterforce strategy, in which the United States had the upper hand, much more feasible, since one of the three primary bases for survivability of a nuclear retaliatory arsenal (along with hardening of land-based missile sites and concealment) is the sheer number and thus redundancy of such weapons.<a href="#_sect3_edn36" name="_sect3_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> With nuclear primacy as the goal set in Washington, the United States began unilaterally to withdraw from some of the main nuclear treaties established in the Cold War. In 2002, under the George W. Bush administration, the United States unilaterally withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. In 2019, under the Donald Trump administration, Washington withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, claiming that Russia had violated it. In 2020, again under Trump, the United States withdrew from the Open Skies Treaty (which placed limits on reconnaissance flights over other countries); this was followed by Russia’s withdrawal in 2021. There is little doubt that withdrawal from these treaties was favorable to Washington by allowing it to expand its counterforce options in its quest for nuclear primacy.</p>
<p>Given the U.S.’s pursuit of overall nuclear dominance, Russia has attempted to modernize its nuclear weapon systems over the last two decades, though it is at a distinct disadvantage in terms of counterforce capability. Its fundamental nuclear strategy is therefore determined by fears of a U.S. first strike that could effectively eliminate its nuclear deterrent and its ability to retaliate. Thus, it has strived to reestablish a credible deterrent. As Cynthia Roberts of the Saltzman Institute of War and Peace at Columbia University wrote in “Revelations About Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Policy” in 2020, Russians perceive further U.S. improvements to strategic forces, both conventional and nuclear, as part of a continuous effort to “stalk Russia’s nuclear deterrent and deny Moscow a viable second-strike option,” effectively eliminating its nuclear deterrent altogether through “decapitation.”<a href="#_sect3_edn37" name="_sect3_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a> While the United States has adopted a maximum nuclear “defense” posture of threatening “nuclear first use and phased escalation” in which it retains dominance at every level of escalation, this compares to Russia’s approach of “all-out war once deterrence fails” while continuing to rely primarily on MAD.<a href="#_sect3_edn38" name="_sect3_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a></p>
<p>However, in recent years, Russia and China have leaped ahead in strategic weapons technology and systems. In order to counter Washington’s attempts to develop first strike capability and neutralize its nuclear deterrents, both Moscow and Beijing have turned to asymmetrical strategic weapons systems designed to counterpoise U.S. superiority in missile defense and high-precision targeting. Intercontinental ballistic missiles are vulnerable because, while they reach hypersonic speeds—usually defined as Mach 5, or five times the speed of sound or greater—when they reenter the atmosphere, they follow an arc that constitutes a predictable ballistic path, like a bullet. They thus lack surprise; their targets are predictable, and they can theoretically be intercepted by antiballistic missiles. Hardened missile silos housing intercontinental ballistic missiles are also distinct targets and today are far more vulnerable given both nuclear and non-nuclear U.S. high-precision, satellite-guided missiles. Confronted with these counterforce threats to their basic deterrents, Russia and China have pushed ahead of the United States in developing hypersonic missiles that can maneuver aerodynamically in order to dodge missile defenses and prevent the adversary from knowing the ultimate intended target. Russia has developed a hypersonic missile called the Kinzhal that is reputed to reach Mach 10 or more on its own and another hypersonic weapon, Avangard, that, boosted by a rocket, can reach the astounding speed of Mach 27. China has a “waverider” hypersonic cruise missile that reaches Mach 6. Borrowing from Chinese folklore, it is referred to as an “assassin’s mace,” a weapon effective against a much better-armed adversary.<a href="#_sect3_edn39" name="_sect3_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a> Russia and China, meanwhile, have been developing antisatellite “counterspace” weapons designed to remove the U.S. advantage of high-precision nuclear and non-nuclear weapons.<a href="#_sect3_edn40" name="_sect3_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a></p>
<p>So-called nuclear primacy has remained just beyond Washington’s grasp given the technological prowess of the other leading nuclear powers. Moreover, a nuclear arms race spurred by a counterforce strategy is fundamentally irrational, threatening a global thermonuclear conflagration with consequences far greater than even those envisioned by the MAD scenario, with its hundreds of millions of deaths on both sides. Nuclear winter means that, in a global nuclear exchange, <em>the entire planet</em> would be engulfed by the smoke and soot circling the stratosphere, killing off almost all of humanity.</p>
<p>Given this reality, the U.S. nuclear posture, which is based on the notion of prevailing in an all-out nuclear war, is particularly dangerous since it denies the role of firestorms in cities and thereby the effects of smoke that would loft up into the upper atmosphere and blot out most of the sun’s rays. The search for nuclear primacy, therefore, leads from MAD to madness.<a href="#_sect3_edn41" name="_sect3_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a> As Ellsberg writes:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">The hope of successfully avoiding mutual annihilation by a decapitating attack has always been as ill-founded as any other. The realistic conclusion would be that a nuclear exchange between the United States and the Soviets [Russians] was—and is—virtually certain to be an unmitigated catastrophe, not only for the two parties but for the world. … [Policymakers] have chosen to act as if they believed (and perhaps actually do believe) that such a threat is not what it is: a readiness to trigger global omnicide.<a href="#_sect3_edn42" name="_sect3_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The New Cold War and the European Theater</strong></span></h3>
<p>In “Notes on Exterminism” and his general stance as a leader of the Movement for European Nuclear Disarmament in the 1980s, Thompson argued that the nuclear arms buildup in Europe taking place at the time was a product of military machines and technological imperatives “tak[ing] place independently of the ebb and flow of international diplomacy, although it is given an upward thrust by each crisis or by each innovation by ‘the enemy’.”<a href="#_sect3_edn43" name="_sect3_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a> His argument was part of a strategy to unite the peace movements of the West and East against their respective establishments based on the premise that nuclear buildup was equally a product of both sides. However, in this regard, he belied his own evidence, which pointed to Washington’s aggressive nuclear buildup of counterforce weapons and the placement of strategic weapons in Europe targeting the Soviet Union. In an article entitled “Nuclear Chicken” in the September 1982 issue of <em>Monthly Review</em>, Harry Magdoff and Paul M. Sweezy challenged this part of Thompson’s argument, pointing not only to the strategic expansions of NATO under the United States, but also to the fact that the U.S. imperial order was heavily dependent on credible threats of first strikes directed at other countries, both nuclear and non-nuclear.<a href="#_sect3_edn44" name="_sect3_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a></p>
<p>In a 1981 introduction to the U.S. edition of <em>Protest and Survive</em> edited by Thompson and Dan Smith, Ellsberg listed a long series of documented instances beginning in 1949 in which the United States used threats of nuclear first strikes to pressure other countries (both nuclear and non-nuclear) to back down in order to achieve its imperial ends.<a href="#_sect3_edn45" name="_sect3_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> Between 1945 and 1996 alone, twenty-five cases of nuclear threats were documented, though others have occurred since.<a href="#_sect3_edn46" name="_sect3_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a> In this sense, the use of nuclear warfare as a threat is built into U.S. strategy. The development of nuclear primacy through counterforce weapons held out the possibility that such threats could once again be credibly directed even at major nuclear powers such as Russia and China. Magdoff and Sweezy called this whole approach a game of “nuclear chicken,” in which the United States was the most aggressive player.</p>
<p>Nuclear chicken did not end with the Cold War. The U.S. national security state, influenced by key figures such as Zbigniew Brzezinski, Carter’s national security advisor and one of the principal architects of NATO’s post-Cold War expansion, continued to seek ultimate U.S. geopolitical hegemony over Eurasia, which he referred as the “grand chessboard.” Checkmate, according to Brzezinski, would constitute bringing Ukraine into NATO as a strategic nuclear alliance (though Brzezinski carefully excluded the nuclear aspect in presenting his geopolitical strategy), spelling the end of Russia as a great power and possibly leading to its breakup into various states, thereby marking U.S. supremacy over the entire globe.<a href="#_sect3_edn47" name="_sect3_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a> This attempt to turn U.S. unipolar power after the Cold War into a permanent global empire required the expansion of NATO to the east, which commenced in 1997 during the Bill Clinton administration, gradually annexing to the Atlantic Alliance virtually all the countries between Western Europe and Ukraine, with the latter as the ultimate prize and a dagger at Russia’s heart.<a href="#_sect3_edn48" name="_sect3_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> Here, there was a kind of oneness exhibited between the U.S.-directed strategy of expanding NATO and Washington’s drive for nuclear primacy, which proceeded in almost lockstep.</p>
<p>The fact that Russia was compelled to consider the question of its own national security in the face of NATO’s attempt to expand militarily into Ukraine should hardly surprise anyone. A decade into the expansion of NATO, which already encompassed eleven nations that were formerly either in the Warsaw Pact or part of the Soviet Union, and only a year after near U.S. nuclear primacy was highlighted in <em>Foreign Affairs</em>, Russian President Vladimir Putin startled the world by unequivocally declaring at the 2007 Munich Security Conference that “the unipolar model is not only unacceptable but impossible in today’s world.”<a href="#_sect3_edn49" name="_sect3_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a> Nevertheless, consistent with its long-term strategy to extend into what Brzezinski had called the “geopolitical pivot” of Eurasia, thereby fatally weakening Russia, in 2008 NATO declared outright at its Bucharest Summit that it intended to bring Ukraine into the military-strategic (nuclear) alliance.</p>
<p>In 2014, the U.S.-engineered Maidan coup in Ukraine deposed the country’s democratically elected president and imposed in his place a leader chosen by the White House, putting Ukraine in the hands of right-wing, ultra-nationalist forces. Russia’s response was to incorporate Crimea into its territory following a popular referendum that gave the predominantly Russian-speaking Crimean population, who regarded themselves as independent and not part of Ukraine, a choice as to whether to remain in Ukraine or join with Russia. The coup (or “color revolution”) led to Kyiv’s violent repression of the populations in the Russian-speaking Donbass region of Ukraine, resulting in the Ukrainian Civil War between Kyiv (supported by Washington) and the breakaway Russian-speaking Donbass republics of Donetsk and Luhansk (supported by Moscow). The Ukrainian Civil War, which resulted in more than 14,000 deaths between 2014 and early 2022, continued at a low ebb over the following eight years despite the signing of the Minsk peace agreements in 2014, meant to end the conflict and give autonomy to the Donbass republics within Ukraine. In February 2022, Kyiv had massed 130,000 troops on the borders of Donbass in eastern Ukraine, firing on Donetsk and Luhansk.<a href="#_sect3_edn50" name="_sect3_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a></p>
<p>As the Ukrainian crisis worsened, Putin insisted on a number of Russia’s red lines related to the country’s essential security needs, consisting of:</p>
<ol>
<li>adherence to the previous Minsk agreement (worked out by Russia, Ukraine, France, and Germany and signed onto by the Donbass people’s republics and supported by the UN Security Council), thereby guaranteeing the autonomy and security of Donetsk and Luhansk,</li>
<li>an end to NATO’s militarization of Ukraine, and</li>
<li>an agreement that Ukraine would remain outside of NATO.<a href="#_sect3_edn51" name="_sect3_ednref51"><sup>51</sup></a></li>
</ol>
<p>NATO, urged on by the United States, continued to cross all of these red lines, providing increased military aid to Kyiv in its war on the Donbass republics in what Russia interpreted as a de facto attempt to incorporate Ukraine into NATO.</p>
<p>On February 24, 2022, Russia intervened in the Ukrainian Civil War on the side of Donbass, attacking the Kyiv government’s military forces. On February 27, Moscow put its nuclear forces on high alert for the first time since the end of the Cold War, confronting the world with the possibility of a global nuclear holocaust, this time between competing great capitalist powers. Figures in Washington, such as Senator Joe Manchin III (Democrat, West Virginia), have backed the idea of a U.S. imposition of a no-fly zone in Ukraine, which would mean shooting down Russian planes, in all probability escalating into a Third World War.<a href="#_sect3_edn52" name="_sect3_ednref52"><sup>52</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Exterminism in Two Directions</strong></span></h3>
<p>It is common today to recognize that climate change represents a global existential threat that places the very survival of humanity in jeopardy. We are faced with a situation in which the continual expansion of capitalism based on the burning of ever larger amounts of fossil fuels points to the possibility—even probability, if the system of production is not altered radically in a matter of decades—of the downfall of industrial civilization, placing the survival of humanity in question. This is the meaning of environmental exterminism in our time. According to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), net zero carbon dioxide emissions must be reached by 2050 if the world is to have a reasonable hope of keeping global average temperatures below a 1.5°C, or well below a 2°C, increase over preindustrial levels. Not to accomplish this is to invite the devastation of the Earth as a safe home for humanity and innumerable other species.</p>
<p>Climate change is part of a more general planetary ecological crisis associated with crossing the nine planetary boundaries, including those—beyond climate change itself—related to species extinction, stratospheric ozone depletion, ocean acidification, the disruption of the nitrogen and phosphorous cycles, the loss of ground cover/forests, declining fresh water sources associated with desertification, atmospheric aerosol loading, and the introduction of novel entities such as new synthetic chemicals and new genetic forms.<a href="#_sect3_edn53" name="_sect3_ednref53"><sup>53</sup></a> To this should be added the emergence of new zoonoses, as in the COVID-19 pandemic, resulting principally from the transformation of human beings’ relationship to the environment, spurred by agribusiness.<a href="#_sect3_edn54" name="_sect3_ednref54"><sup>54</sup></a></p>
<p>Yet, there is no doubt that climate change is at the center of the current global ecological crisis. Like nuclear winter, it poses a threat to civilization and the continuation of the human species. The IPCC tells us in its 2021–22 reports on the physical science of climate change and its impacts that the most optimistic scenario, though warding off irreversible climate change, is still one of growing global catastrophe in the decades ahead. Immediate action is required to protect the lives and living conditions of hundreds of millions, and perhaps billions, of people who will be exposed to extreme weather events of a kind that global civilization has never seen before.<a href="#_sect3_edn55" name="_sect3_ednref55"><sup>55</sup></a> To counter this requires the greatest movement of workers and peoples the world has ever seen in order to restore the conditions that allow for their existence, which have been usurped by the regime of capital, and to reestablish an ecologically sustainable world rooted in substantive equality.<a href="#_sect3_edn56" name="_sect3_ednref56"><sup>56</sup></a></p>
<p>Ironically, the 2022 IPCC report, which was meant to draw the world’s attention to the catastrophic nature of today’s climate crisis, was published on February 28, 2022, four days after the Russian entry into the Ukrainian Civil War in defiance of NATO, resulting in growing concern over the possibility of a global thermonuclear exchange. Hence, the world’s attention was drawn away from considering one global existential threat endangering all of humanity, <em>carbon omnicide</em>, by the sudden reemergence of another, <em>nuclear omnicide</em>.</p>
<p>As the world turned its attention to the possibility of war between the leading nuclear powers, the full planetary scale of the nuclear threat, as understood by science in terms of nuclear winter, was absent from the picture. Global warming and nuclear winter, though arising in different ways, are closely connected in climate terms, demonstrating that the world is on the brink of destroying most of the inhabitants of the Earth in one way or the other: global warming leading to a point of no return for humanity, and/or the death of hundreds of millions by nuclear fire, followed by days and months of global cooling (nuclear winter) and the extermination of most of the rest of the world’s population through starvation. Just as the full destructive implications of climate change threatening the very existence of humanity are in large part denied by the powers that be, so are the full planetary effects of nuclear war, which scientific research about nuclear winter tells us will effectively annihilate the population of every continent on Earth. Furthermore, if global warming increases to the extent that global civilization is destabilized, something that natural scientists predict could happen if global average temperatures increase by 4°C, competition between capitalist nation states will increase, thereby enhancing the risk of a nuclear conflagration and thus nuclear winter.<a href="#_sect3_edn57" name="_sect3_ednref57"><sup>57</sup></a></p>
<p>Today, we are confronted with a choice between <em>exterminism</em> and the <em>human ecological imperative</em>.<a href="#_sect3_edn58" name="_sect3_ednref58"><sup>58</sup></a> The causal agent in the two global existential crises now threatening the human species is the same: capitalism and its irrational quest for exponentially increasing capital accumulation and imperial power in a limited global environment. The only possible response to this unlimited threat is a universal revolutionary movement rooted in both ecology and peace that turns away from the current systematic destruction of the Earth and its inhabitants and towards a world of substantive equality and ecological sustainability: namely, socialism.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref1" name="_sect3_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> E.P. Thompson, “Notes on Exterminism, the Last Stage of Civilization,” <em>New Left Review</em> 121 (1980): 3–31. Citations to this essay in the present article are taken from the slightly revised version in E. P. Thompson, <em>Beyond </em><em>the Cold War</em> (New York: Pantheon, 1982), 41–79. See also E. P. Thompson et al., <em>Exterminism and the Cold War</em> (London: Verso, 1982); E. P. Thompson and Dan Smith, ed., <em>Protest and Survive</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1981).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref2" name="_sect3_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 55; Samir Amin, <em>Empire of Chaos</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1992).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref3" name="_sect3_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, pp. 64, 73.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref4" name="_sect3_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 75–76.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref5" name="_sect3_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Rudolf Bahro, <em>Avoiding Social and Ecological Disaster</em> (Bath: Gateway Books, 1994), 19–20; John Bellamy Foster, <em>Ecological Revolution</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2009), 27–28; Ian Angus, <em>Facing the Anthropocene</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2016), 178–81.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref6" name="_sect3_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> For a brief discussion of the events leading up the present Ukraine War, see The Editors, “Notes from the Editors,” <em>Monthly Review</em> 73, no. 11 (April 2022).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref7" name="_sect3_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Stephen Schneider, “Whatever Happened to Nuclear Winter?,” <em>Climatic Change</em> 12 (1988): 215; Matthew R. Francis, “When Carl Sagan Warned About Nuclear Winter,” <em>Smithsonian Magazine</em>, November 15, 2017; Carl Sagan and Richard Turco, <em>A Path Where No Man Thought: Nuclear Winter and the End of the Arms Race</em> (New York: Random House, 1990), 19–44.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref8" name="_sect3_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Malcolm W. Browne, “Nuclear Winter Theorists Pull Back,” <em>New York Times</em>, January 23, 1990.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref9" name="_sect3_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Steven Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Towards Armageddon—U.S. Leaders Reject Nuclear Winter Studies,” <em>Public Interest Report</em> (Federation of American Scientists) 69, no. 2 (2016–17): 24.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref10" name="_sect3_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> Judith Newman, “20 of the Greatest Blunders in Science in the Last 20 Years,” <em>Discover</em>, January 19, 2000.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref11" name="_sect3_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Daniel Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner</em> (New York: Bloomsbury, 2017), 140. The failure to include the foremost cause of death from thermonuclear weapons directed at cities in the form of firestorms is deeply ingrained in the Pentagon. The declassified practical guide on nuclear weapons stockpile and management published by the U.S. Department of Defense for 2008 includes more than twenty pages on the effects of a nuclear weapons explosion in a city without a single mention of firestorms. See U.S. Department of Defense, <em>Nuclear Matters: A Practical Guide</em> (Washington: Pentagon, 2008), 135–58.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref12" name="_sect3_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 141–42.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref13" name="_sect3_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18, 142.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref14" name="_sect3_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Owen B. Toon, Allan Robock, and Richard P. Turco, “Environmental Consequences of Nuclear War,” <em>Physics Today</em> (2008): 37–42; Alan Robock and Owen Brian Toon, <em>Local Nuclear War, Global Suffering</em> (New York: Scientific American, 2009).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref15" name="_sect3_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> Emily Saarman, “Return of Nuclear Winter,” <em>Discover</em>, May 2, 2007.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref16" name="_sect3_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Toward Armageddon,” 4–5; Alan Robock, Luke Oman, and Geeorgiy L. Stenchikov, “Nuclear Winter Revisited with a Modern Climate Model and Current Nuclear Arsenals: Still Catastrophic Consequences,” <em>Journal of Geophysical Research </em>112 (2007) (D13107): 1–14.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref17" name="_sect3_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Toward Armageddon,” 5–6; Robock, Oman, and Stenchikov, “Nuclear Winter Revisited”; Joshua Coupe, Charles G. Bardeen, Alan Robock, and Owen B. Toon, “Nuclear Winter Responses to Nuclear War Between the United States and Russia in the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model Version 4 and the Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE,” <em>Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres</em> (2019): 8522–43; Alan Robock and Owen B. Toon, “Self-Assured Destruction: The Climate Impacts of Nuclear War,” <em>Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists</em> 68, no. 5 (2012): 66–74; Steven Starr, “Nuclear War, Nuclear Winter, and Human Extinction,” Federation of American Scientists, October 14, 2015.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref18" name="_sect3_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Herman Kahn, <em>On Thermonuclear War</em> (New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers, 2007), 145–51.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref19" name="_sect3_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18–19; Sagan and Turco, <em>A Path Where No Man Thought</em>, 213–19. Here, the doomsday machine is not to be confused with the version of the doomsday machine in Stanley Kubrick’s film <em>Strangelove</em>. Yet, Kubrick’s film drew on Kahn’s notion and retains a concrete significance in the context of contemporary nuclear reality. See Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18–19.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref20" name="_sect3_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” <em>Foreign Affairs</em> (2006), 44.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref21" name="_sect3_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> Sagan and Turco, <em>A Path Where No Man Thought</em>, 215.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref22" name="_sect3_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> John T. Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce,” <em>Air Force Magazine</em>, October 1, 2005; Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 120–23, 178–79.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref23" name="_sect3_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Harry Magdoff and Paul M. Sweezy, “Nuclear Chicken,” <em>Monthly </em><em>Review</em> 34, no. 4 (September 1981): 4; Richard J. Barnet, “Why Trust the Soviets?,” <em>World Policy Journal</em> 1, no. 3 (1984): 461–62.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref24" name="_sect3_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref25" name="_sect3_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Steven Pifer, “The Limits of U.S. Missile Defense,” Brookings Institution, March 30, 2015.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref26" name="_sect3_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Cynthia Roberts, “Revelations About Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Policy,” <em>War on the Rocks </em>(<em>Texas National Security Review</em>), June 19, 2020; Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref27" name="_sect3_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Janne Nolan, quoted in Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref28" name="_sect3_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> “Excerpts from Pentagon’s Plan: Preventing the Re-emergence of a New Rival,” <em>New York Times</em>, March 8, 1992.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref29" name="_sect3_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 45–48.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref30" name="_sect3_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> Richard A. Paulsen, <em>The Role of U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the Post-Cold War Era</em> (Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama: Air University Press, 1994), 84; Michael J. Mazarr, “Nuclear Weapons After the Cold War,” <em>Washington Quarterly</em> 15, no. 3 (1992): 185, 190–94; Zbigniew Brzezinski, <em>The Grand Chessboard</em> (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 46.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref31" name="_sect3_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 43, 50.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref32" name="_sect3_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 45.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref33" name="_sect3_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> Jack Detsch, “Putin’s Fixation with an Old-School U.S. Missile Launcher,” <em>Foreign Policy</em>, January 12, 2022; Jacques Baud (interview), “The Policy of USA Has Always Been to Prevent Germany and Russia from Cooperating More Closely,” <em>Swiss Standpoint</em>, March 15, 2022; Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Toward Armageddon.” Estonia has cruise missiles supplied by Israel: David Axe, “Estonia’s Getting a Powerful Cruise Missile. Now It Needs to Find Targets,” <em>Forbes</em>, October 12, 2021. Russia is also concerned with the possible reintroduction of Pershing II intermediate ballistic missiles in Europe.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref34" name="_sect3_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Jaganath Sankaran, “Russia’s Anti-Satellite Weapons: An Asymmetrical Response to U.S. Aerospace Superiority,” Arms Control Association, March 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref35" name="_sect3_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 48–49, 52–53; Karl A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press, “The New Era of Counterforce: Technological Change and the Future of Nuclear Deterrence,” <em>International Security</em> 41, no. 4 (2017). A key element of Beijing’s nuclear deterrent is reducing the acoustic signature or noise level of its nuclear submarines. In 2011, it was believed that it would take China decades to reduce the acoustic signature of its submarines enough to survive a U.S. first strike. However, in less than a decade, China made significant advances toward that goal. Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 47; Caleb Larson, “Chinese Submarines Are Becoming Quieter,” <em>National Interest</em>, September 10, 2020; Wu Riqiang, “Survivability of China’s Sea-Based Nuclear Forces,” <em>Science and Global Security</em> 19, no. 2 (2011): 91–120. The 2006 Lieber and Press article in <em>Foreign Affairs </em>resulted in criticisms of their analysis by both Russia and China, and also served to generate concerns in these states leading to the revival and modernization of their nuclear capabilities. Yet, the threat posed by the U.S, drive for nuclear primacy continues to stalk Russian and Chinese strategic planners. See Karl Lieber and Daryl G. Press, “Nuclear Weapons, Deterrence, and Conflict,” <em>Strategic Studies Quarterly </em>10, no. 5 (2016): 31–42.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref36" name="_sect3_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 16–17.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref37" name="_sect3_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Roberts, “Revelations About Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Policy”; Sankaran, “Russia’s Anti-Satellite Weapons.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref38" name="_sect3_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Alexey Arbatov, “The Hidden Side of the U.S.-Russian Strategic Confrontation,” Arms Control Association, September 2016; Brad Roberts, <em>The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21<sup>st</sup> Century</em> (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2015).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref39" name="_sect3_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> Richard Stone, “National Pride Is at Stake: Russia, China, United States Race to Build Hypersonic Weapons,” <em>Science</em>, January 8, 2020, 176–96; Dagobert L. Brito, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Michael D. Intriligator, “The Case for Submarine Launched Non-Nuclear Ballistic Missiles,” Baker Institute, January 2002.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref40" name="_sect3_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Sankaran, “Russia’s Anti-Satellite Weapons.” The development of “countermeasure” strategies and technologies to elude counterforce attack on a nation’s nuclear deterrence is emphasized by Russia and China, given the U.S. lead in counterforce. See Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 46–48.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref41" name="_sect3_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> See Diane Johnstone, “Doomsday Postponed?,” in Paul Johnston, <em>From Mad to Madness: Inside Pentagon Nuclear War Planning</em> (Atlanta, GA: Clarity, 2017), 272–86.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref42" name="_sect3_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 307. Today, there is once again increased discussion in U.S. strategic circles of a “low-casualty” or “decapitation” first-strike capability on the part of the United States, which would seem to make nuclear firestorms less likely. See Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 27–32.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref43" name="_sect3_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 46.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref44" name="_sect3_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Magdoff and Sweezy, “Nuclear Chicken,” 3–6.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref45" name="_sect3_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Daniel Ellsberg, “Introduction: Call to Mutiny,” in Thompson and Smith, ed., <em>Protest and Survive</em>, i–xxviii. It was reprinted as “Call to Mutiny,” <em>Monthly </em><em>Review</em> 33, no. 4 (September 1981): 1–26.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref46" name="_sect3_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 319–22.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref47" name="_sect3_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> Brzezinski, <em>The Grand Chessboard</em>, 46, 92–96, 103.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref48" name="_sect3_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> Editors, “Notes from the Editors.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref49" name="_sect3_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> Diana Johnstone, “Doomsday Postponed?,” 277.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref50" name="_sect3_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> Editors, “Notes from the Editors”; Diane Johnstone, “For Washington, War Never Ends,” <em>Consortium News</em> 27, no. 76 (2022); John Mearsheimer, “On Why the West Is Principally Responsible for the Ukrainian Crisis,” <em>Economist</em>, March 19, 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref51" name="_sect3_edn51"><sup>51</sup></a> Mark Episkopos, “Putin Warns the West to Heed Russia’s Redlines in Donbass,” <em>National Interest</em>, December 21, 2021; Associated Press, “Russia Publishes ‘Red Line’ Demands of U.S. and NATO Amid Heightened Tension Over Kremlin Threat to Ukraine,” <em>Marketwatch</em>, December 18, 2021.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref52" name="_sect3_edn52"><sup>52</sup></a> Luke Broadwater and Chris Cameron, “U.S. Lawmakers Say They Are Largely Opposed to a No-Fly Zone Over Ukraine,” <em>New York Times</em>, March 6, 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref53" name="_sect3_edn53"><sup>53</sup></a> Will Steffen et al., “Planetary Boundaries: Guiding Human Development on a Changing Planet,” <em>Science</em> 347, no. 6223 (2015): 736–46.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref54" name="_sect3_edn54"><sup>54</sup></a> See Rob Wallace, <em>Dead Epidemiologists: On the Origins of COVID-19</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2020).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref55" name="_sect3_edn55"><sup>55</sup></a> UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, “Summary for Policymakers,” <em>Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaption and Vulnerability</em> (Geneva: IPCC, 2022). See also “Summary for Policymakers,” <em>Climate Change 2021</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref56" name="_sect3_edn56"><sup>56</sup></a> This conclusion is in fact consistent with the original scientists’ assessment in the third part (on Mitigation) of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s <em>Sixth Assessment Report </em>(AR6). The scientists’ assessment <em>Summary for Policymakers </em>of AR6, part 3 was leaked in August 2021, months in advance of its final publication in April 2022. The published <em>Summary of Policymakers</em> of part 3 (known as the government assessment report) was severely censored and rewritten by governments, effacing the main findings on mitigation provided by scientists. See Editors, “Notes from the Editors,” <em>Monthly Review </em>(June 2022), <a class="footnote-link" href="https://monthlyreview.org/2022/06/01/mr-074-02-2022-06_0/">https://monthlyreview.org/2022/06/01/mr-074-02-2022-06_0/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref57" name="_sect3_edn57"><sup>57</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref58" name="_sect3_edn58"><sup>58</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 76.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<div class="creative-commons-license">This publication is issued under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. The human-readable summary of the license is available at <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/</a>.</div>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>A Plan to Save the Planet</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/text-a-plan-to-save-the-planet/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tech Tricontinental]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Nov 2021 21:43:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Research Institute Network]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ALBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LGBTQ]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[care work]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vaccine apartheid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[finance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food apartheid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medical apartheid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apartheid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[healthcare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New International Economic Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sacha Llorenti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Patriarchy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[A plan to save the planet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[women]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Carlos Ron]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CELAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[environment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Instituto Simón Bolívar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UNASUR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Non-aligned movement]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=53460</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The United States is committed to waging a New Cold War against both Russia and China, even at the risk of destroying the planet.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-53461 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/20211124-Plan-to-save-the-planet-WF.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="713" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/20211124-Plan-to-save-the-planet-WF.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/20211124-Plan-to-save-the-planet-WF-300x225.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/20211124-Plan-to-save-the-planet-WF-768x576.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></h2>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Preface</strong></span></h2>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Sacha Llorenti</em></p>
<p>Four and a half million people died infected by COVID-19. This global tragedy is the prism through which we must analyse how and in whose interest the ruling system on the planet works.</p>
<p>In the span of a few months, the pandemic compacted political, economic, and social phenomena, the consequences of which would take years to manifest in other circumstances.</p>
<p>Some of the issues that were clearly magnified through the lens of the pandemic are job insecurity, deficits in health systems, inequality, North-South relations, the United Nations’ failure to coordinate a collective effort, the use of unilateral coercive measures as a weapon to control and punish many peoples, global economic vulnerability, and the role of the state.</p>
<p>The multidimensional and existential nature of the crises faced by humankind and by life on the planet compels us to create and strengthen all possible opportunities to gather towards collectively building a common, intersectional, and inclusive horizon that enables us to reclaim our social and political initiative.</p>
<p>In this context, the Executive Secretariat of ALBA-TCP along with Instituto Simón Bolívar for Peace and Solidarity Among Peoples and Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research decided to hold a meeting of research institutes with the purpose of carrying out the challenging and urgent task of designing <em>A Plan to Save the Planet</em>.</p>
<p>After several working sessions, we now have a systematic set of proposals before us that will allow us to change the course towards which the capitalist system is leading our species and all living creatures on our planet.</p>
<p>This document has already taken on its own life and belongs to all the people and collectives willing to improve it and turn it into an instrument to fight against imperialism, colonialism, and capitalism.</p>
<hr>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Introduction</strong></span></h2>
<p><em>Carlos Ron </em>and<em> Vijay Prashad</em></p>
<p>Over the course of this pandemic, awareness has grown about the fragility of human society. Many parts of the world crumbled before COVID-19 while the fact of climate change introduced us to the reality that several species of plant and animal had gone extinct. Between annihilation and extinction stands the fate of the planet.</p>
<p>Sacha Llorenti, the Executive Secretary of ALBA-TCP, assembled a group of research institutes to draft <em>A</em> <em>Plan to Save the Planet</em>. This plan was to be written from a people-centred perspective against the profit-centred approach of many international institutions (such as the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development and the World Economic Forum). This document emerges out of that charge.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"></h3>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>What is ALBA-TCP?</strong></span></h3>
<p>The Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America or ALBA was born in 2004 in Havana, Cuba, when a joint declaration and implementation agreement were signed by Commanders Hugo Chávez Frías and Fidel Castro Ruz. In April 2006, Bolivia joined the Alliance, complementing its principles, and the Peoples’ Trade Treaty (TCP in Spanish) was incorporated, which proposes trade based on complementarity, solidarity, and cooperation.</p>
<p>ALBA-TCP is an inter-state body of nine states that promotes the twin goals of sovereignty from external domination and integration for internal advancement. Some of these methods for integration include the development of a common regional currency to reconcile inter-regional trade (the sucre), the creation of regional energy firms to advance social goals (PetroCaribe and PetroSur), and the establishment of a television network to democratise the global communications system (TeleSur). ALBA-TCP is one of a set of regional dynamics that promotes both sovereignty and integration, including the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC).</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>What is the Research Institute Network?</strong></span></h3>
<p>To develop <em>A</em> <em>Plan to Save the Planet</em>, ALBA-TCP worked with two research institutes: Simón Bolívar Institute for Peace and Solidarity Among Peoples and Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. Our two institutes gathered together other research institutes with whom we have worked over the years and established a working network towards the construction of this document. This network is an informal gathering which has been strengthened by our common work and which will lead to more collective projects in the future. If other research institutes are interested in joining this network, please write to <a href="mailto:plan@thetricontinental.org">plan@thetricontinental.org</a>.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>What is <em>A</em> <em>Plan to Save the Planet</em>?</strong></span></h3>
<p>In 1974, the United Nations General Assembly adopted a resolution called the New International Economic Order (NIEO) that was developed by the Non-Aligned Movement, the G-77, and the UN Conference on Trade and Development. That resolution was based on ‘equity, sovereign equality, interdependence, common interest, and cooperation among all states, irrespective of their economic and social systems, which shall correct inequalities and redress existing injustices, make it possible to eliminate the widening gap between developed and developing countries, and ensure steadily accelerating economic and social development and peace and justice for present and future generations’. There is nothing to be updated in these sentiments.</p>
<p>The weakening of the Third World Project, the demise of the USSR and the communist state system in Eastern Europe, and the collapse of social democracy in the advanced capitalist countries meant that the NIEO – and its entire agenda of development – were set aside. In their place arose the austerity and security (war) agenda of neoliberalism. The establishment of the South Commission under the leadership of Julius Nyerere between 1987 and 1990 was an attempt to resurrect the NIEO, but its final document, <em>The Challenge to the South,</em> was not given the serious attention that it required. <em>A Plan to Save the Planet</em> is drafted in the tradition of the NIEO (1974) and of <em>The Challenge of the South</em> (1990).</p>
<p><em>A Plan to Save the Planet</em> is a provisional text, a draft built out of the analyses and demands of our people’s movements and governments. It asks to be read and discussed, to be criticised and developed further. This is a first draft of many drafts to come. Please contact us at <a href="mailto:plan@thetricontinental.org">plan@thetricontinental.org</a> with your criticisms and your suggestions, since this is a living document. This document will eventually advance through our movements and our institutions, building towards a resolution at the United Nations to save the planet.</p>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>A Plan to Save the Planet</strong></span></p>
<p>Insecurities of various kinds grip the planet. The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic has produced the greatest economic downturn since the Great Depression. This downturn is not reflected in stock prices or in the earnings reports of the major multinational corporations, but in the data on unemployment and inequality, in rising hunger rates, and in rising feelings of desolation and anger. It is estimated that hundreds of millions of people will be pushed into absolute poverty by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is only one data point in an avalanche of bad news for those who are watching the slide of too many countries into catastrophic debt and despair. An emergency global programme must be undertaken to prevent this result. It is crucial that countries put aside narrow nationalist concerns and engage in a common, cooperative response to this crisis.</p>
<p>Three apartheids – of money, medicine, and food – govern the immediate situation in the world:</p>
<p><strong>Money Apartheid. </strong>The external debt of developing countries is higher than $11 trillion, with projections that debt servicing payments will amount to nearly $4 trillion by the end of 2021. In 2020, sixty-four countries spent more on debt servicing than on health care. There was modest talk about debt service suspension, with some small assistance from various multilateral agencies. This talk of debt suspension comes alongside the International Monetary Fund (IMF) policy for states to borrow more money since interest rates are low. Rather than lend more, why not simply cancel the total external debt and – at the same time – incorporate the at least $37 trillion that sits in illicit tax havens? The word that is often used to define debt cancellation is ‘forgiveness’. However, there is nothing to forgive since this debt is a consequence of a long history of colonial theft, imperialist expropriation, and plunder. Richer countries are able to borrow at low to zero rates of interest, while the developing world is charged usurious rates and has odious debts to pay off with precious funds that should be going towards breaking the chain of COVID-19 infection.</p>
<p><strong>Medical Apartheid. </strong>The World Health Organisation’s Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said that the world is on the brink of a ‘catastrophic moral failure’. He was referring to vaccine nationalism and vaccine hoarding. States in the North Atlantic (Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and many European states) have shrugged aside the call from India and South Africa to suspend intellectual property rules regarding the vaccine. These Northern states have underfunded the COVAX project, which, as a result, is at a high risk of failure, with growing expectations that many people in developing countries will not see a vaccine before 2023. Meanwhile, Northern states have hoarded vaccines: Canada alone built up reserves of five vaccines per Canadian, drawing some of these vaccines from the COVAX. Ghebreyesus calls this ‘vaccine apartheid’.</p>
<p><strong>Food Apartheid.</strong> World hunger, which had declined from 2005 to 2014, has begun to rise since then, with China – which eradicated extreme poverty in 2020 – as a major exception to this global trend. World hunger is now at 2010 levels. The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO)’s 2021 report, <em>The State of Food Insecurity and Nutrition in the World,</em> notes that ‘nearly one in three people in the world (2.37 billion) did not have access to adequate food in 2020 – an increase of almost 320 million people in just one year’. Hunger is intolerable. The UN’s World Food Programme projects that the number of those who are hungry could double before the pandemic is contained ‘unless swift action is taken’.</p>
<p>What is the cause of these three apartheids? The control that a handful of companies and governments exercise over the global economy:</p>
<ol>
<li>Control over science and technology</li>
<li>Control over financial systems</li>
<li>Control over access to resources</li>
<li>Control over weaponry</li>
<li>Control over communications</li>
</ol>
<hr>
<p>We, a network of research institutions that have been looking closely at the long-term crises of neoliberal austerity, induced debt regimes, and maldevelopment, have produced a set of policies towards a new world order. Our plan – drawing from the lineage of the NIEO – puts forward a vision for the present and the immediate future centred on twelve key themes: democracy and the world order, the environment, finance, health, housing, food, education, work, care, women, culture, and the digital world. This is the skeleton of a much fuller plan that we will produce in the year ahead.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Democracy and the World Order</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Affirm the importance of the United Nations Charter (1945).</li>
<li>Insist that member states of the United Nations adhere to the Charter, including to its specific requirements around the use of sanctions and force (Chapters VI and VII).</li>
<li>Reconsider the monopoly power exercised by the UN Security Council over decisions that impact a large section of the multilateral system; engage the UN General Assembly in a serious dialogue over democracy inside the global order.</li>
<li>Insist that multilateral bodies – such as the World Trade Organisation (WTO) – formulate polices in accord with the UN Charter and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (1948); forbid any policy that increases poverty, hunger, homelessness, and illiteracy.</li>
<li>Affirm the centrality of the multilateral system over the key areas of security, trade policy, and financial regulations, recognising that regional bodies such as NATO and parochial institutions such as the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) have supplanted the United Nations and its agencies (such as the UN Conference on Trade and Development) in the formulation of these policies.</li>
<li>Formulate policies to strengthen regional mechanisms and deepen the integration of developing countries.</li>
<li>Prevent the use of the security paradigm – notably, counterterrorism and counternarcotics – to address the world’s social challenges.</li>
<li>Cap spending on arms and militarism; ensure that outer space is demilitarised.</li>
<li>Convert the resources spent on arms production to fund socially beneficial production.</li>
<li><span style="color: #000000;">Ensure that all rights are available to all peoples, not just those who are citizens of a state; these rights must apply to all hitherto marginalised communities such as women, indigenous peoples, people of colour, migrants, undocumented people, people with disabilities, LGBTQ+ people, oppressed castes, and the impoverished</span></li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Environment</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Based on the 1992 United Nations Conference on Environment and Development formula of ‘common but differentiated responsibilities’, compel the developed countries who bear the historic responsibility for causing the climate catastrophe to rapidly cut their carbon emissions to stop global temperatures rising above the critical threshold of 1.5 °C.</li>
<li>Demand that developed countries reduce average per capita carbon emissions to a maximum of 2.3 tonnes by 2030, which is what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change assesses is the necessary global average to limit global warming to 1.5 °C.</li>
<li>Ensure that developed countries in the Global North provide climate compensation for the loss and damages caused by their carbon emissions and robustly fund public infrastructure to replace reliance upon carbon-based energy.</li>
<li>Deliver on the promises of the Paris Climate Change Agreement that developed countries provide $100 billion per year to address the needs of developing countries. These needs include adaptation and resilience to the real and disastrous impact of climate change, which is already being borne by developing countries (particularly low-lying countries and small island states).</li>
<li>Transfer technology and finance to developing countries for mitigation and adaptation away from carbon-based energy systems.</li>
<li>Demand that the developed countries responsible for polluting the waters, soil, and air with toxic and hazardous wastes – including nuclear waste – bear the costs of clean-up and cease to produce and use toxic waste.</li>
<li>Under a coherent, revised definition adjusted to the immediate urgencies of developing countries, elaborate a transition programme towards a paradigm capable of mitigating and adapting carbon-based energy systems. This should be combined with rational financing channels for developing countries, include the direct involvement of developing countries, and be adjusted according to the scale of needs and willingness to coordinate financing. This roadmap towards a concerted paradigm with the major countries would, in any case, need to provide the raw material for any energy transition in the near future.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Finance</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Renegotiate all odious external debts of developing countries.</li>
<li>Begin discussions about reparations for colonial plunder, including for enslavement.</li>
<li>Seize assets held in illicit tax havens.</li>
<li>Adopt ceilings on the interest rates that commercial and multilateral lenders charge developing countries.</li>
<li>Discourage the profit shifting activities of multinational corporations and adopt a unitary approach to tax the share of global profits generated by subsidiaries of multinational corporations.</li>
<li>Implement taxes on wealth and inheritance.</li>
<li>Implement higher rates of taxation on income, such as capital gains, made through financial speculation by all non-bank corporate entities.</li>
<li>Democratise the banking system by expanding the role and size of public banking and by implementing more regulation and transparency for private banking.</li>
<li>Enforce ceilings as a percentage of liabilities on speculative banking activity by commercial banks.</li>
<li>Regulate interest rates that banks charge for specific goods, such as for housing loans.</li>
<li>Set capital controls to prevent capital flight.</li>
<li>Create people-centred alternatives to IMF and World Bank-led finance for development programmes.</li>
<li>Encourage the creation of regional trade reconciliation mechanisms.</li>
<li>Implement tight regulations for pension funds so that the savings of the people are not used recklessly for financial speculation; encourage the creation of public sector pension funds.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Health</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Advance the cause of a people’s vaccine for COVID-19 and for future diseases.</li>
<li>Remove patent controls on essential medicines and facilitate the transfer of both medical science and technology to developing countries.</li>
<li>De-commodify, develop, and increase investment in robust public health systems.</li>
<li>Develop the public sector’s pharmaceutical production, particularly in developing countries.</li>
<li>Form a United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Health Threats.</li>
<li>Support and strengthen the role health workers’ unions play at the workplace and in the economy.</li>
<li>Ensure that people from underprivileged backgrounds and rural areas are trained as doctors.</li>
<li>Broaden medical solidarity, including through the World Health Organisation and health platforms associated with regional bodies.</li>
<li>Mobilise campaigns and actions that protect and expand reproductive and sexual rights.</li>
<li>Levy a health tax on large corporations that produce beverages and foods that are widely recognised by international health organisations to be harmful to children and to public health in general (such as those that lead to obesity or other chronic diseases).</li>
<li>Curb the promotional activities and advertising expenditures of pharmaceutical</li>
<li>Build a network of accessible, publicly funded diagnostic centres and strictly regulate the prescription and prices of diagnostic tests.</li>
<li>Provide psychological therapy as part of public health systems.</li>
</ol>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"></h2>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Housing</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Ensure the construction of sufficient housing, with an emphasis on developing diverse neighbourhoods with a mix of residential and commercial zones.</li>
<li>Place rent controls on rental housing units.</li>
<li>Repurpose vacant properties into community centres or housing units.</li>
<li>Build and repurpose housing developments that are linked to public transportation systems to reduce the necessity for private transportation such as cars.</li>
<li>Require all buildings above 2,000 metres to have green roofs or solar panels.</li>
<li>Develop new housing units with innovative materials which demonstrate thermal resistance.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Food</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Enhance national and regional food systems.</li>
<li>Review and repeal bilateral and multilateral agreements that prohibit or penalise public food systems and public food purchases.</li>
<li>Ensure that developed countries which use international trade mechanisms to prevent developing countries from subsidising agriculture are prohibited from pursuing hypocritical policies such as subsidising their own agribusinesses; apply WTO rules to facilitate development and not to subordinate developing countries.</li>
<li>Redistribute land, recognising it as a common resource of the people; limit the size of landownership and place ceilings on household and corporate landholdings.</li>
<li>Develop publicly funded, sustainable irrigation and related infrastructure to aid farmers to cultivate in increasingly extreme weather conditions.</li>
<li>Build public distribution systems, with particular focus on eliminating hunger.</li>
<li>Enhance public support for farmers in developing countries to ensure that agricultural work provides decent incomes to farmers and farm workers.</li>
<li>Develop credit systems for farmers to sustain farming and avoid draining income from the farms.</li>
<li>Enhance the cooperative sector’s food production and encourage popular participation in food production and distribution systems.</li>
<li>Provide cheap credit, subsidised inputs, free technical assistance, and land for the establishment of cooperative farms and markets.</li>
<li>Develop publicly funded transportation networks, including storage facilities, to ensure that small farms can get their produce to markets.</li>
<li>Ensure that healthy food is made available to public schools and crèches.</li>
<li>Build technical and scientific capacity for sustainable and ecological agriculture.</li>
<li>Remove patents on seeds and promote legal frameworks to protect native seeds against commodification by agribusinesses.</li>
</ol>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"></h2>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Education</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>De-commodify education, which includes strengthening public education and preventing the privatisation of education.</li>
<li>Promote the role of teachers in the management of educational institutions.</li>
<li>Ensure that underprivileged sectors of society are trained to become teachers.</li>
<li>Bridge the electricity and the digital divides.</li>
<li>Build publicly financed and publicly controlled high-speed broadband internet systems.</li>
<li>Ensure that all school children have access to all the elements of the educational process, including extra-curricular activities.</li>
<li>Develop channels through which students participate in decision-making processes in all forms of higher education.</li>
<li>Make education a lifelong experience, allowing people at every stage of life to enjoy the practice of learning in various kinds of institutions. This will foster the value that education is not only about building a career, but about building a society that supports the continuing growth and development of the mind and of the community.</li>
<li>Subsidise higher education and vocational courses for workers of all ages in areas related to their occupation.</li>
<li>Make education, including higher education, available to all in their spoken languages; ensure that governments take responsibility for providing educational materials in the spoken languages in their country through translations and other means.</li>
<li>Establish management educational institutes that cater to the needs of cooperatives in industrial, agricultural, and service sectors.</li>
</ol>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Work</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li aria-level="1">Demand that governments take responsibility for ensuring that their labour laws adhere to the fundamental Conventions of the International Labour Organisation (ILO), especially Conventions 87 and 98 on the rights to organise and to collective bargaining.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Enhance the level of social goods – such as public health, public education, and public leisure – to lessen the pressure on wages.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Encourage the principle of equal wages for equal work.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Strengthen the culture of trade unionism and promote collective bargaining to restrain the inherent imbalance of power in the workplace, give workers a democratic voice, and avoid individuals feeling isolated and burdened with the task of improving their workplaces on their own.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Ensure that all those who work – including those in the informal and gig economy – are covered by basic workplace protections.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Focus on the redistribution of working time through the process of collective bargaining, providing sufficient working hours for all at a living wage rate.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Ensure that every worker has the right to healthy and safe working conditions; make governments responsible for ensuring that safety standards are suitably monitored and enforced.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Create publicly financed employment centres to assist the unemployed in seeking employment; these centres can be rooted, for example, in a network of the union of the unemployed.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Provide robust, publicly financed systems of social welfare with no means testing and no work requirements.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Guarantee adequate pensions to all citizens of retirement age.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Ensure that the state provides adequate compensation and pensions for those injured or disabled during work, particularly for unorganised, precarious, and self-employed workers.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Ensure that governments promote workers’ cooperatives, contribute to the initial capital of such cooperatives, and ensure credit and reasonable prices.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Develop countries’ infrastructures in collaboration with such cooperatives, public research and technological institutes, and banks; ensure that a significant portion of the government’s infrastructure spending is allocated to such cooperatives.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Build a cheap and adequate public transport network (bus, rail, and metro) in cities to save workers’ time and finances spent in transport.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Build a network of government-supported cooperative food outlets in cities and cater to unorganised, precarious, and migrant workers.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Care</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Enhance social protection systems, including child and elder care programmes.</li>
<li>Build a system of publicly financed and neighbourhood-run crèches for children; create publicly financed and neighbourhood-run facilities for after-school childcare that provide meals to children.</li>
<li>Build a system of publicly financed neighbourhood-run facilities for the social life and care of the elderly.</li>
<li>Ensure that workers at crèches and facilities for the elderly receive decent salaries, training, and control over their workplace.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Women and LGBTQ+ People</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Nominate leaders of working-class women’s organisations to influential bodies that shape policy.</li>
<li>Support women’s organisations and networks, including workers’ organisations, community organisations, and self-help groups.</li>
<li>Recognise and count informal women workers as well as unpaid domestic work and household care work in national accounts. This must include women workers in hidden or invisible sectors.</li>
<li>Establish policies of paid parental leave.</li>
<li>Lessen the increasing care burden on women; ensure that financial support packages consider the unrecognised and unpaid care work most often carried out by women, such as childcare provision.</li>
<li>Provide immediate cash relief, food relief, and social protection measures to women workers; ensure that female-headed households receive as much aid as male-headed households; and ensure that LGBTQ+ people are provided with equal access to social programmes and subsidies.</li>
<li>Recognise the specific needs of women health care workers, many of whom are not treated as workers but as volunteers; ensure that they receive adequate compensation and proper equipment.</li>
<li>Provide credit to women’s cooperatives.</li>
<li>Create programmes to encourage the sharing of social reproductive labour in the home.</li>
<li>Establish systems that eliminate violence against women and LGBTQ+ people; implement plans to root out patriarchal violence and ensure that economic polices do not inadvertently ignore the problem of patriarchal violence.</li>
<li>Ensure that all people have equal access to social programmes and services – such as the right to safe, secure housing and healthy food – regardless of gender, gender identity, sexual orientation, or other marginalised identities.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Culture</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Promote the ideas of the UNESCO Constitution of 1945, particularly the idea that the wide diffusion of culture and education is indispensable to human dignity and to world peace.</li>
<li>Extend public support to cultural institutions that uphold the values of dignity, equality, and decency.</li>
<li>Encourage cultural activities that are not reduced to mindless consumerism.</li>
<li>Foster cultural and artistic initiatives against discrimination of all forms (such as racism, casteism, misogyny, transphobia, etc.).</li>
<li>Endorse cultural activities that depict ecological harmony and fight against the ravaging of the earth’s resources for private profit.</li>
<li>Stimulate the traditional arts of the people and prevent their commodification and distortion by cruel cultural nationalism.</li>
<li>Defend the right of artists and intellectuals to honest expression of speech.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Digital World</strong></span></h2>
<ol>
<li>Fight to extend the digital global commons by building public access to publicly regulated and controlled space on the internet.</li>
<li>Adhere to the 2016 UN Resolution, which defines internet access as a human right.</li>
<li>Nationalise telecommunications infrastructure and guarantee internet access and digital literacy to all sectors of society.</li>
<li>Protect all public and personal data from being exploited by transnational corporations; build participatory systems for computational analysis and for the control and use of big data for public purposes.</li>
<li>Promote and fund free hardware and software development with a focus on providing solutions to public problems.</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Network of Research Institutes:</strong></span></h2>
<p>The Network of Research Institutes is a collective brought together by ALBA-TCP, Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, and Simón Bolívar Institute for Peace and Solidarity Among People. The text above is part of a process initiated by this group.</p>
<ul>
<li>América Latina en movimiento, ALAI (Quito, Ecuador)</li>
<li>Centre for Research on the Congo (Kinshasa, DR Congo)</li>
<li>Centro de Investigaciones de la Economía Mundial (CIEM) (Cuba)</li>
<li>Centro de Investigaciones de Política Internacional (CIPI) (Cuba)</li>
<li>Centro per la Riforma dello Stato (Roma, Italy)</li>
<li>Chris Hani Institute (South Africa)</li>
<li>Consultation and Research Institute (Beirut, Lebanon)</li>
<li>Dominica Association of Industry &amp; Commerce (Roseau, Dominica)</li>
<li>Dominica State College (Roseau, Dominica)</li>
<li>Foundation for Education in Social Transformation and Progress (Kenya)</li>
<li>The Centre for International Gramscian Studies (GramsciLab), University of Cagliari (Italy)</li>
<li>Instituto Simón Bolívar for Peace and Solidarity Among Peoples (Venezuela)</li>
<li>Internationale Forschungsstelle DDR (Berlin, Germany)</li>
<li>Institute of Employment Rights (London, UK)</li>
<li>Marx Memorial Library (London, UK)</li>
<li>Instituto Internacional de Investigación ‘Andrés Bello’ (Bolivia)</li>
<li>Instituto Patria (Argentina)</li>
<li>Instituto Patria Grande (Bolivia)</li>
<li>Instituto Samuel Robinson (Venezuela)</li>
<li>Observatorio del Sur Global, Argentina</li>
<li>Research Group of the Popular Education Initiative (Accra, Ghana)</li>
<li>Sam Moyo African Institute of Agrarian Studies (Harare, Zimbabwe)</li>
<li>Society for Social and Economic Research (Delhi, India)</li>
<li>Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research
<ul>
<li>Instituto Tricontinental de Investigación Social (Argentina)</li>
<li>Instituto Tricontinental de Pesquisa Social (Brazil)</li>
<li>Tricontinental Research Services (India)</li>
<li>Tricontinental South Africa</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>University of the West Indies Open Campus (Roseau, Dominica)</li>
<li>Uralungal Labour Contract Cooperative Society Research Institute (Vadakara, Kerala)</li>
</ul>
<p> </p>
]]></content:encoded>
					
		
		
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		<item>
		<title>The Fate of Xolobeni Would Be the Fate Of Us All</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/the-fate-of-xolobeni-would-be-the-fate-of-us-all/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[celina]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Aug 2019 16:56:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global warming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Xolobeni]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Land struggle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Titanium]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pondo Revolt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[south africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mining]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.thetricontinental.org/?p=10474</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Since 1996, activists in Xolobeni, a coastal region in South Africa, have been fighting a foreign mining conglomerate that learned that their ancestral lands happen to be rich in titanium. The anti-mining activists of Xolobeni, who have lost many comrades to hit squads, continue to struggle against this foreign company and its partners in the [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-11548 img-responsive" src="https://www.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Working-Document-2_Social-Media_Twitter_EN_Twitter-Image.png" alt="" width="7000" height="3668" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Working-Document-2_Social-Media_Twitter_EN_Twitter-Image.png 7000w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Working-Document-2_Social-Media_Twitter_EN_Twitter-Image-300x157.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Working-Document-2_Social-Media_Twitter_EN_Twitter-Image-768x402.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/Working-Document-2_Social-Media_Twitter_EN_Twitter-Image-1024x537.png 1024w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 7000px) 100vw, 7000px"></p>
<p class="p1">Since 1996, activists in Xolobeni, a coastal region in South Africa, have been fighting a foreign mining conglomerate that learned that their ancestral lands happen to be rich in titanium. The anti-mining activists of Xolobeni, who have lost many comrades to hit squads, continue to struggle against this foreign company and its partners in the South African government. Given that their land is located in a global biodiversity hotspot, their struggle is the struggle of us all: it is the fight for water, soil, food, and air.</p>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>In the Ruins of the Present</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/working-document-1/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Tech Tricontinental]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Mar 2018 08:00:58 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Globalization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Trade Organization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Populism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Neofascism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Bank]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BRICS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debt Crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trump]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IMF]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NATO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Neoliberal]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Monetary Fund]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colonialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Neoliberalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WTO]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dev.thetricontinental.org/?p=296</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Ağaca balta vurmuşlar ‘sapı bendendir’ demiş. When the axe came into the forest, the trees said: the handle is one of us. (Turkish proverb). Raoul Peck, the Haitian filmmaker, opens his film – Der Junge Karl Marx (2017) – in the forests of Prussia. Peasants gather fallen wood. They look cold and hungry. We hear [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-15192 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/01_Globalisation.png" alt="" width="950" height="712" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/01_Globalisation.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/01_Globalisation-300x225.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/01_Globalisation-768x576.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>Ağaca balta vurmuşlar ‘sapı bendendir’ demiş.<br>
When the axe came into the forest, the trees said: the handle is one of us.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">(Turkish proverb).</p>
</div>
<p>Raoul Peck, the Haitian filmmaker, opens his film – Der Junge Karl Marx (2017) – in the forests of Prussia. Peasants gather fallen wood. They look cold and hungry. We hear horses in the distance. The guards and the aristocrats are near. They have come to claim the right to everything in the forest. The peasants run. But they have no energy. They fall. The whips and lances of the aristocrats and the guards strike them. Some of the peasants die. Even fallen wood is not allowed to them.</p>
<p>Young Karl Marx, sitting in Cologne in 1842, is dismayed at the violence against the German peasants. The peasants, he wrote, know the punishment. They are being beaten, even killed. But what they do not know is the crime. For what crime are they being punished?</p>
<p>Peck is clever to open his film with this dilemma, for it is the question that every sensitive person should ask today. What is the crime for which the world’s poor are being punished? Poverty and war produce refugees of hunger and bombardment, but they are denied mobility, denied any exit from their predicament. They know the punishment that they face: indignity, starvation and death. This they know. What they do not know is their crime. What have they done to deserve this?</p>
<p>The Dominican-American writer Junot Diaz visited Haiti after the devastating earthquake of 2010. In a memorable essay titled ‘Apocalypse’, Junot Diaz noted that Haiti warned us of the new ‘zombie stage of capitalism, where entire nations are being rendered through economic alchemy into not-quite-alive. In the old days, a zombie was a figure whose life and work had been captured by magical means. Old zombies were expected to work around the clock with no relief. The new zombie cannot expect work of any kind – the new zombie just waits around to die’.</p>
<p>And the new zombie cannot be allowed to forage for food or to seek shelter or medicine. The new zombie, truly, must just wait to die. This is the punishment. But what is the crime?</p>
<hr class="single-post--content--separator-section">
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part 1: Structure.</h2>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">International Division of Humanity</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>Aadmi tha, bari mushqil se insaan hua.<br>
We were people. With great difficulty we became human.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">­Akbar Illahabadi.</p>
</div>
<p>US President Donald Trump threatens to annihilate North Korea, Iran and Venezuela. This is the new Axis of Evil, a concept his predecessor George W. Bush used in 2002 but that then did not include Venezuela. It included Iraq, which the United States bombed in 2003 as part of its illegal invasion of the country. Since then, the US has also destroyed Libya and other countries that include Haiti, now substantially under US and UN occupation. Like a wounded dragon, the United States whips its tail across the planet and breathes fire on people – destroying countries, vanquishing its enemies. Its wounds are not fatal, but strategic. The United States still possesses the most powerful military in the world and is capable of destroying any country by aerial bombardment and by the use of weapons of mass destruction. But it uses this power in ways that do not always benefit its ambitions. Because the United States is the most powerful country in the world does not make it godlike; it has its own errors, which are to be carefully tracked by those who favour humanity over submission.<br>
There is iron in the soul of imperialism. It uses its immense military power against human beings and then – conveniently – forgets the human cost of suffering that follows. There has never been any accountability for the use of nuclear weapons on Japan in 1945 nor for the hideous bombardment of Korea in the 1950s nor the massive bombardment of Vietnam in the 1960s and 1970s nor indeed the endless war on Afghanistan and the destruction of Iraq and Libya. The iron is so lodged in the soul that there is barely any concern when the United States drops a massive bomb on Afghanistan. The local authorities – pushed by the United States and the Afghan government – declined to allow journalists into the site on the grounds of security. When the people around the bombsite spoke, their words were chilling. ‘The earth felt like a boat in a storm’, said Mohammed Shahzad. ‘It felt like heaven was falling’. Achin’s mayor – Naveed Shinwari – reflected, ‘There is no doubt that ISIS was brutal, and that they have committed atrocities against our people. But I don’t see why the bomb was dropped. It terrorised our people. My relatives thought the end of the world had come’.</p>
<p>This feels like the era of annihilation, when the world seems poised at the brink of capitalist-induced planetary climate chaos and of nuclear war.</p>
<p>It is fitting, therefore, to pause and register the grave words of those who have already experienced annihilation – the survivors of the US use of weapons of mass destruction against Japan. Torako Hironaka, who survived the US atomic bomb attack on Hiroshima made a list in her diary of what she recalled,</p>
<ol>
<li>Some burned work clothes.</li>
<li>A naked woman.</li>
<li>Naked girls crying ‘Stupid America’.</li>
<li>A field of watermelons.</li>
<li>What with dead cats, pigs and people, it was just a hell on earth.</li>
</ol>
<p>In his Hiroshima Diary (1955), written in the aftermath of the nuclear attack, Dr. Michihiko Hachiya wrote,</p>
<p>Those who were able walked silently towards the suburbs in the distant hills, their spirits broken, their initiative gone. When asked whence they had come, they pointed to the city and said, ‘That way’, and when asked where they were going, pointed away from the city and said, ‘This way’. They were so broken and confused that they moved and behaved like automatons. Their reactions had astonished outsiders, who reported with amazement the spectacle of long files of people holding stolidly to a narrow, rough path when close by was a smooth, easy road going in the same direction. The outsiders could not grasp the fact that they were witnessing the exodus of people who walked in the realm of dreams.</p>
<p>The words of the hibakusha, the survivors of the nuclear attack, are essential for our times, when it appears that annihilation is on the horizon. These are warnings against complacency. They provide the warmth of human survival against the harshness of iron and hatred.</p>
<p>Catastrophic natural events – hurricanes and rising sea levels – capture our imagination, as the Caribbean islands are wracked by wind and flood and as the South Sea islands disappear into the oceans. Water drowns land as capital drowns the dreams of human survival. Data from international agencies show us that formal employment is an impossible dream for millions of our fellows on the planet. There is, however, always a job with the military. Wars continue endlessly. Pitiless futures stand before the young. Their trust in humanity is fragile.</p>
<p>There is an international division of humanity. It is as if there is a wall that separates our humanity; those who live in zones of great war and tragedy are separated from those who live with the illusion of peace, in countries that produce the conditions for war but deny that they have a hand in it.</p>
<p>How to understand a world of unemployment and annihilation, of poverty, climate catastrophe and war? What concepts do we have to grasp these complex realities? The modes of thought that come from North American positivism – game theory, regression analysis, multi-level models, inferential statistics – are at a loss to offer a general theory of our condition. Steeped in common sense understandings of power and naive about the role of elites in our world, these approaches might explain this or that aspect of our world.</p>
<p>But can they explain the relationship between the endemic crisis produced by globalisation, the failure of neoliberalism to manage this crisis and the emergence of neofascism as its current consensus? Do they have the concepts – such as imperialism – that are essential to an investigation of the real world that we live in and not the illusory world dreamt up by the first principles of bourgeois social science? Can we understand why the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) wants to bomb this country or why the International Monetary Fund (IMF) wants to extract its pound of flesh from that country? Do they have an explanation for why the countries of the world spend more money on the arsenal of repression than on the production of social goods, why there are more police on our streets than social workers and artists?</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Globalisation</h3>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-15201 img-responsive" src="https://www.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/02_Globalisation.png" alt="" width="950" height="712" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/02_Globalisation.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/02_Globalisation-300x225.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/02_Globalisation-768x576.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>Where do people earn the Per Capita Income? More than one starving soul would like to know.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">Eduardo Galeano.</p>
</div>
<p>The concept used to explain the desiccation of social life across the planet is neoliberalism. Neoliberalism is essentially a policy platform designed by multinational agencies such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank as well as by intellectuals who circle these institutions. These intellectuals have absorbed the bourgeois logic that it is corporate ingenuity that makes history rather than the social labour of human beings. It is corporations, they say, that make jobs, and so therefore to make an economy hum one has to cater to the needs of the corporations. The motor of history is seen to be Capital – corporations and entrepreneurs. It is not seen to be social labour – the workers who design our future and whose hard work produces the commodities that enhance our present.</p>
<p>Scholars critical of the neoliberal policy slate turn to the projects of the UK’s Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher and the US President Ronald Reagan to explain how neoliberalism changed the world. It is as if these leaders were like sorcerers, conjuring up public policy as if from no-where, driving their agenda through the institutions of the planet. They championed the privatisation of the protected commons and the cannibalisation of social resources. That is indeed the case. But why? Why did they move towards privatisation and cannibalisation?</p>
<p>An idealist approach to human history is not adequate. Neoliberalism did not appear out of thin air. It was brought to bear by these governments to solve practical problems produced by structural changes in the global mode of production. Capitalism has always sought a global market, eager to break free of the limits set upon it by national governments, eager to find new resources and new techniques to produce goods for lower costs and to find new markets to sell these goods at higher prices. But capital’s great global ambitions were held in check by technological limitations – such as the inability to access information in real time from across the planet – and by working-class movements that demanded that nation-states restrict capital to benefit labour. But by the 1970s, certain technological barriers had been overcome and working-class power had been relatively depleted. Capital was now able to ascend its chariot and observe the planet from above, looking down at it from its satellites, hoarding information on its computers and seeking the cheapest workers and the dearest markets. This god-like position for capital inaugurates the era of globalisation.</p>
<p>A truly magical era opened up for capital. Technological developments came swiftly as a flood of workers marched in single-file towards its global factories, and as a new intellectual property regime developed to protect capital’s gains despite political objections from weakened states around the world. What state power workers and peasants had was now delivered comprehensively to capitalists. Now truly one could say that the state functions as a committee for managing the common affairs of the bourgeoisie.</p>
<p>The political condition for globalisation was set by the Western financial system’s induced debt crisis for the Third World. A sharp increase in US interest rates in 1979 – the Volcker Shock (named after US Federal Reserve chair Paul Volcker) – jolted the economies of the Third World. What Volcker did by his monetary policy was to export inflation from the shores of the United States to the rest of the world. High interest rates for the dollar meant that the London Inter-Bank Offer Rate (LIBOR) skyrocketed. For no fault of their own, Third World states now found themselves at catastrophic levels of debt against commercial banks and Western governments. The situation of the fifteen heavily indebted countries (based on the World Bank’s assessment) is illustrative. In 1970, these fifteen countries carried a total external public debt of $17.9 billion (9.8% of their Gross National Product, GNP). By 1987 – in the heat of the debt crisis – the figure rose to 402.2 billion (47.5% of their GNP). The debt service or interest payments on this loan was monumental – from a high payment of $2.8 billion (1970), it rose to an unmanageable $36.3 billion (1987). By 1991, the numbers had gone out of control. The total external debt for the Third World states was at $1.4 trillion, which amounted to 126.5% of the total exports of these countries. This means that the amount owed to commercial banks and governments was greater than the amount earned by the export of goods and services.</p>
<p>The Third World debt crisis crushed the ability of these states to provide social goods to their populations. UNICEF – the UN Children’s Agency – noted that this debt crisis resulted in a 25% drop in average incomes in the 1980s, a lost decade. The 37 poorest countries in the world reduced their spending per capita on health by 25% and on education by 50%. UNICEF’s interest was in the children. It estimated that in 1988 half a million children died of preventable ailments as a result of the debt crisis. That means, UNICEF noted, that 40,000 children died every day because of the financial system. At this time, Tanzania’s President Julius Nyerere put it clearly, ‘Must we starve our children to pay our debts?’.</p>
<p>The debt crisis in the Third World had destroyed the political confidence of many of the states in Africa, Asia and Latin America – which meant that they had little to bargain with when companies arrived to negotiate for ‘free trade zones’ and other advantages. It was the debt crisis that weakened the bargaining power of the post-colonial states, weakening their leaders’ resolve and the cultural confidence of the nationalist elites. Dependence is a consequence of a lack of independence. ‘He who feeds you’, warned Burkina Faso’s Thomas Sankara, ‘controls you’. So it has become.</p>
<p>It was on the graves of these children and on the weakness of the Third World states that the new architecture of globalisation would be built. There were three elements to this new dynamic: the development of new technologies, the delivery of millions of new workers to the accumulation strategies of the monopoly firms and the creation of a new intellectual property regime.</p>
<p>First, new technologies – such as satellite communications, computerisation and container ships – provided firms with the ability to manage global, real-time databases and to move goods as fast as possible. Firms could break-up factories and set them up in several countries at the same time – a process known as the disarticulation of production. Each factory could produce one part of the final commodity, with the firm able – thanks to detailed information held on its proprietary database – to judge which country would be best able to provide the cheapest location for which production need. Capital did not need to build factories near markets or to build one giant factory. Those days were over. Now capital could take advantage of small changes in prices of input costs to build smaller factories in many locations. Because of advances in transportation – containerisation, for instance – capital could move the parts of the commodity swiftly and relatively cheaply as well as shift commodities to markets with relative ease. The technological means to remove production from one territory and to spread production across the planet now became available.</p>
<p>Second, barriers erected by the October Revolution, the Chinese Revolution and the Third World Project began to tumble in the 1980s because of the Third World debt crisis, the fall of the USSR and the opening of the Chinese labour market to foreign capital. Millions of workers, previously sheltered from full-scale capitalist demands, now became prey to the capitalist market. They would await the disarticulated factory to descend into their lives.</p>
<p>Thirdly, capital went into the final round of the General Agreement on Trade and Tariffs (GATT)’s Uruguay Round from 1986 to 1994 to ensure that intellectual property rights would be in the hands of capital rather than society. Previously, intellectual property was vested in the process by which a good was produced, not in the good itself. That allowed people to find new ways to make goods and to therefore enhance science and technology. Reverse engineering of goods was possible, which was crucial to the pharmaceutical sector in the poorer nations where they could develop life-saving medicines for the poor. After the final round of GATT, which produced the World Trade Organisation (WTO) in 1994, the idea of intellectual property changed. Now, the good itself was to be patented, which means that capital can collect rent from anyone who makes this good – regardless of their own innovations. It also means that the value of goods produced outside the core territory of capital – North America and Western Europe – will be protected by this new intellectual property regime. Furthermore, the new intellectual property framework – through the patenting of nanotechnologies, genomics and transgenics – provided major food corporations with new power over agriculture that transcended control over land. It also provided ‘information firms’ with the basis for the new drive to ‘digital colonisation’ – namely the theft of data by large ‘information firms’ towards the consolidation of new desires through new means of consumer surveillance and by the delivery of mainly Western content to people across the planet (the slow death of ‘net neutrality’ as a principle for a social Internet is another indicator of digital colonisation). This was the new legal framework of the architecture of disarticulated production.</p>
<p>The World Trade Organisation came about as a result of a so-called ‘Grand Bargain’, as the economist Omar Dahi put it. Most of the global South, crippled by the debt crisis, gave up its industrial policy and protection of its workers and markets in return for exporting its agriculture and its extracted raw materials. In reality, what was lost was economic sovereignty in both industry and agriculture.</p>
<p>These technological developments, the delivery of millions of potential workers and the new intellectual property rules allowed firms to operate on a global scale. They used two different strategies along the global commodity chain for the production of goods and services. First, they moved their entire production processes overseas to one country. This is known as Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) outsourcing. Here, the multinational firm would still have to invest money elsewhere to build up the physical infrastructure for production. Second, to produce their commodities the multinational firms would merely hire subcontractors, who would struggle against each other in a race to the bottom. This ‘arms-length outsourcing’ – as political economist John Smith put it – allowed multinational firms to save their capital and to bear almost no risk in the production process. Either way – by FDI or by arm-length outsourcing – capital found its advantage in labour arbitrage, using cheaper and weaker labour to make its products, while hollowing out societies in the North and the South.</p>
<p>This new geography of production weakens the power of workers by removing the two institutional frameworks for the building of worker power – trade unions and nationalisation. How can workers build unions in these arms-length sub-contracted firms that are run on low margins by owners who use every brutal means to extract work from replaceable workers? How can states, if they are taken over by workers, nationalise parts of the production process if they do not control the entire process of the production of a commodity? Neither of these means is available to workers. Their own motion to change the world is stifled by the concentration camp features of the Export Processing Zones and by the maquiladora factories.</p>
<p>Arms-length outsourcing enables firms of the North to no longer invest their capital into the production process. Nike, Apple and others like them do not invest money into factories. They are brand firms. The profits they make from the rent they collect against their brand is astronomical – and it does not get substantially reinvested into productive enterprises. Little wonder that firms are sitting on vast amounts of cash or that they have turned over mountains of capital into the unproductive financial casino. Rather than invest this money for productive enterprises or for the social good, they hoard it in financial circuits where they attempt to produce more money from money without the intermediation of production. No surprise then that the people who control some of these large firms become obscenely wealthy. Eight men, says an Oxfam study, now hold as much wealth as the entire bottom half of humanity. Their wealth is a direct result of the arms-length outsourcing established by disarticulated production and by the ballooning financial sector as a result of the lack of need to invest in production.</p>
<p>Not only have the rich and corporations amassed vast amounts of cash, but they have also been – over the past forty years – stingy with that money. North American corporations – by themselves – are holding $1.9 trillion in cash within the US and an additional ​$1.1 trillion in their offshore accounts. US banks are holding ​$1 trillion in cash reserves. That’s a total of ​$4.0 trillion. Add in the cash held by corporations and banks in Europe and Japan and the total amounts to $7.3 trillion, a number that does not include the ‘black money’ hoarded in Luxembourg, Singapore, Switzerland and other such banking havens. That figure – according to a study by the National Bureau of Economic Research and based on numbers from the Bank for International Settlements – indicates that tax havens hold an estimated $5.6 trillion (in 2007). Offshore wealth – held in these havens – amounts to about 10% of total global GDP. In some countries (such as the UAE), the offshore wealth is above 70% of GDP. The elites of the UAE, Venezuela, Saudi Arabia, Russia and Argentina make their countries the highest states with offshore wealth as a percentage of GDP. This vast hoard of accumulated money capital means that the richest firms and individuals have outsourced stagnation into the heart of the world – they have refused to invest this cash into the world of social labour, while they insist on cuts to national budgets paid for by taxes on workers and peasants and lower living standards for workers and peasants. There is no greater scandal than this structural constipation of capital, this ‘investment strike’.</p>
<p>Based on this grim reality, it is necessary to develop – in our common sense language – the concept of the ‘tax strike’. Those who hold capital, who are the masters of property, have been – essentially – on strike against regimes of taxation. They use their vast wealth to either hide their money or change tax laws to offer them increasing protections. This vast pool of wealth is not used substantially in any productive way. If it is used, it is put to work to inflate the stock market and various asset bubbles. The most obscene version of this use of capital is in the centre of finance: in Wall Street. The turbulence that this dynamic can produce was shown in the 2007-08 explosion of the largest asset bubble to burst as of yet – the US housing market. In the heyday of the housing boom, the US government’s delivery of liquidity to banks was called the Greenspan Put – the US Federal Reserve’s chair was famous for flooding the markets with capital, which was used to inflate asset bubbles such as housing prices. Without any real social security or pension scheme, retirement for older middle-class US residents had come to be premised on increased home prices. This was the main asset, so the country’s middle class acceded willingly to the Greenspan Put and cheered on finance to develop out of control for their own short-term benefit. This is what Greenspan’s Put enabled – the North American Dream for the middle-class and upper levels of the working-class was now cemented in the foundations of rising property prices.</p>
<p>If housing prices provided the US middle class and upper sections of the working class with the dream of retirement, credit from banks allowed them to consume at rates that were far above their own incomes. The United States market operates as the ‘buyer of last resort’ for the world market, continuing to vacuum up goods and services as well as resources of all kinds from across the planet. The scale of US consumption is astronomic. Merely 5% of the world’s population, the US consumes at least a quarter of its energy. If everyone on the planet lived like a US resident, then at least four Earths would be needed to sustain that level of consumption. The scale of consumption, fuelled by the Greenspan Put and by credit delivered through the international banking system, allows the US consumer to become essential to the manufacturers from China to Mexico. So the inflation of the asset markets and the entry of cheap credit into the US consumer sector is not irrational for this system, but perfectly rational. The system is designed in this way, its rationality driving the system from one crisis to another, from chaos to chaos.</p>
<p>When the US housing market – an overinflated bubble – burst, Greenspan, one of America’s leading monetarist practitioners, said he was ‘shocked’. When Greenspan came before the US Congress in 2008, he faced sharp questions from Representative Henry Waxman (California):</p>
<p>Greenspan: I made a mistake in presuming that the self-interest of organisations, specifically banks and others, were such as that they were capable of protecting their own shareholders and their equity in the firms.</p>
<p>Waxman: In other words, you found that your view of the world, your ideology, was not right, it was not working.</p>
<p>Greenspan: Absolutely, precisely. You know that’s precisely the reason I was shocked, because I have been going for forty years or more with very considerable evidence that it was working exceptionally well.</p>
<p>Greenspan’s ideology, his theory, was flawed, and he was shocked – and yet it had no impact on the Economics profession or on their public policy frameworks. Monetarism came out of this crisis unscathed. Macro-economic policy remained in the hands of technocrats who pushed the view that there need not be any political discussion about their choices. They were above politics, in the land of theory, a theory that Greenspan himself had told the US Congress had been wrong. The former Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said quite clearly, ‘The danger of a coup these days comes not from a tank, but from a bank’. No need for a military coup (except in certain countries) when the well-paid lobbyists and the well-behaved bankers tied democracy up in chains.</p>
<p>The tax strike enabled individuals to hold large – unimaginable – quantities of social wealth. This wealth, beyond what an individual or a family could consume, created the morbid cult of philanthropy. Rich donors became the hero of our times, with Bill Gates lionised for his work on medicine and with other wealthy men and women seen as champions against poverty. It was these individuals who became key drivers of social policy against the democratically produced needs of a country. In this way, public policy is now driven less by democratic institutions and more by donor-driven agendas. As Sarah Mukasa of the African Feminist Forum put it, ‘We must caution against attempts to de-politicise economics and development and prevent this [new development] agenda from being completely donor-driven’.</p>
<p>Tax strikes come alongside the insistence from the official policy makers (backed by the full force of big capital) that public officials must balance the books of public finances. Governments must balance their budgets, even as capital reduces its payments into the public exchequer. This means that governments are forced to either sell assets to raise funds so as to continue to maintain social institutions or else they slice away at these social goods. Fiscal responsibility alongside the tax strike means impoverished government finances. No wonder then that the pressure on society is now defrayed from the state onto society. What the hidden hand destroyed, the hidden heart had to hold together – the social costs of globalisation frayed society, whose loose bonds had to be held together by triple time labour mainly from women in families.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Neoliberalism</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-15210 img-responsive" src="https://www.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/03_Neoliberalism.png" alt="" width="950" height="783" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/03_Neoliberalism.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/03_Neoliberalism-300x247.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/03_Neoliberalism-768x633.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>A philosophy of a hopeless society,<br>
Man eat man, man can’t plan<br>
Whiteman society IMF and subsidies,<br>
and like beggars we continue to stretch our hands.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">Kalamashaka, Ni Wakati.</p>
</div>
<p>Modern states, with commitments won by their population through sustained struggle, could not immediately cut all social benefits. Childcare, education, transportation, fresh air, welfare, pensions: all these the people had forced their states to provide. These were part of the minimum definition of modern civilisation. It is the tax strike, fiscal responsibility and the demands from the public for social goods that produced neoliberalism. Neoliberalism, in other words, was a product of a bourgeois public policy solution to the crisis of globalisation.<br>
The tax as well as investment strike and fiscal responsibility desiccated public budgets. Bourgeois governments simply could not find the means to deliver upon their obligations. Dearly won public assets and non-commodified parts of nature went on the auction block. This privatisation raised funds to maintain the tenuous finances of the modern states. International entities such as the IMF and commercial banks punished states that did not cut deep enough into their public finances, downgrading their bonds, preventing them from raising short-term capital to protect them from the spiral into insolvency. The gatekeeping by western institutions against the ‘developing nations’ is now well known. A World Bank report from 2007 found that by the end of the previous year ‘only 86 developing countries have been rated by the rating agencies. Of these, 15 countries have not been rated since 2004. Nearly 70 developing countries have never been rated’. In other words, the private ratings agencies – Fitch, Moodys and Standard &amp; Poors – ignore these countries and thereby make it hard for them to raise capital in commercial markets. It is the IMF that rates these countries, often adversely, making money expensive for them. Not only do these countries lose out because their GDP is under-reported (since they export valued commodities at low prices, which are marked up when they enter the imperialist zone), but they are also prejudiced against because they are seen as high-risk borrowers. This is the finance-development trap, where nations that are poor in capital are forever fated to remain so. Fire sale of their national assets is seen as the only way to contain their haemorrhaging national budgets.</p>
<p>The money raised from privatisation continues to be used to service debt obligations as well as to pay for expensive energy imports. This is money that does not provide new infrastructure or enhance the social wealth; it is rarely used to invest in education to broaden the skills of the population. This is – essentially – a form of theft. A recent study by Global Financial Integrity and the Centre for Applied Research (Norwegian School of Economics) found that the total aid, investment and income that entered the developing countries from outside in 2012 amounted to $1.3 trillion. That is a great deal of money. But then, the study looked at the outflow from the developing world that same year and found that the number is ​$3.3 trillion. In other words, the developing world haemorrhaged ​$2 trillion to the West. Since 1980, the total drain of wealth has amounted to ​$16.3 trillion. The richer nations, like vampires, have been sucking dry the wealth of the poorer nations – not during the era of high colonialism – as did happen –, but in our contemporary period. What is the character of this money that flees the developing world? It comes in three packets – ​$4.2 trillion in debt service (almost four times the total aid package), income made by foreign firms that is repatriated back to the Global North and unregulated and illegal capital flight (not just ‘black money’ but also trade misinvoicing, which itself amounted to $700 billion in capital loss). For the Global South, then, funds for basic social development are simply not easily available.</p>
<p>Matters are no easier in the Global North, where the State’s neoliberal obligations has driven social development into the private sector. In fact, the experience of neoliberal policy in the Global North has steadily gone global. Tax cuts for the wealthy and lax restrictions on corporations to repatriate profits into the territories where they are registered have decreased the assets in national budgets. Enormous expenditure on militaries and on security services dig into the wells of the national treasury. Money is not turned over for essential social services – education and health care. It then becomes the private obligation of citizens to find means to pay for what should be a social function. As a result, personal debt increases when citizens study and when they fall ill. Young people and cashiered older workers are forced to pay for their education through debt, as this education was promised as the avenue for individual advancement. Student loan debt in the United States is now $1.3 trillion, in the United Kingdom ​$500 billion. This model of the privatisation of social goods has been rapidly exported into the rest of the world. Student debt is on the rise from China to South Africa, from India to Mexico. In the United States, 85% of the population has some health insurance and yet – in 2012 – US residents spent ​$2.7 trillion on health care out of their own pockets. One study from 2010 showed that 40% of US residents had trouble paying their medical bills. Medical debt is the main reason for individuals in the United States to declare bankruptcy. This ‘American model’ of privatisation has resulted in a rise in global bankruptcy through health care bills. In India, the World Bank and the World Health Organisation found that 52.5 million Indians were impoverished by health care costs in 2011. Each year, the World Bank and WHO show, about a hundred million people go into ‘extreme poverty’ as a result of health care costs. The number rises to 180 million people per year if the threshold is lifted for extreme poverty from ​$1.90 or less per day to $3.10 per day as income.</p>
<p>Free university education – a major gain for social democracy – is being gradually whittled away across the world. College debt suffocates the ability of students to experiment with new ideas. They are eager to find courses that would enhance their ability to find a high paying job once they graduate. To this end they spend their time finding wage-less internships, whose growth has been astronomic over the past two decades. Students seek out ‘coaching’ classes to help them with their English, get them into expensive private graduate schools and hope against hope that the investment in them will pay off with jobs that are increasingly not available. This means that courses that challenge the prevailing social order or that introduce students to innovative thinking (whether in the arts or sciences) seem less attractive. College becomes less a social incubator and more a springboard to individual success – not driven by cupidity but by debt-induced desperation. This has an impact on intellectual life in general. ‘Once upon a time’, Professor Issa Shivji of the University of Dar es Salaam said, ‘our universities took pride in being centres of controversy; now we covet to become centres of excellence. You can’t attain excellence if you are controversial’. In other words, the discourse of ‘excellence’ sucks the energy out of new thinking, especially elaborations of counter-hegemonic thought rooted in the experiences of workers, peasants and the unemployed.</p>
<p>How was the economy to grow? Neoliberal policy bet on letting loose the animal spirits of consumerism, paid for through debt, and from the creation of new technologies and assets that would miraculously increase growth rates and produce social wealth that could be – somehow – spent on social goods. None of this happened. Instead, consumerism and the emergence of new technologies led to debt and the inflated assets led to more turbulence of the global economy, a derivative civilisation, a civilisation founded on trickery and theft. To make the economy grow, ordinary people had to go into debt.</p>
<p>Debt is one part of the plan to keep the economy humming, to make sure that the overabundance of products finds a buyer. The proliferation of advertising to create new desires is evident in the visual landscape that surrounds us. Firms have developed sophisticated theories of market segmentation to target more finely grained desires and to produce subcultures of consumption. Demand is created for goods that are either not essential or that are new versions of older products that do not need to be replaced (such as the requirement to get new phones or new cars). This drive for planned obsolescence certainly helps a saturated market expand, but at the same time it creates enormous volumes of waste. The world’s annual garbage production, according to a World Bank study, amounts to 1.3 billion tonnes of waste, namely around 11 million tonnes of garbage a day. It has been estimated that 99% of what is purchased is thrown away within six months. The World Bank study shows that by 2025, the total daily garbage will likely triple and that by 2100, the total annual waste would exceed 4 billion tonnes. Since 1950, the world has generated 9 billion tons of plastic waste – only 9% of which gets recycled. The mirror image of planned obsolescence to expand the shrinking market is the mountains of waste that find their home at the bottom of the seabed, as toxic gases after incineration and in landfills that leach into precious drinking water and onto fertile land. The volume of garbage and the destruction of nature are slowly eroding the ability of capitalism to gallop forward into its own version of Nirvana.</p>
<p>More than an economic policy, neoliberalism functioned as a desirable cultural agenda. The promise of a world of commodities is the lure of neoliberal policy. But beneath that is a call to live one’s life as if one is not a human being but a business enterprise. The sensibility of an enterprise culture or a culture of entrepreneurism attracts people of all backgrounds, but – as a great deal of psychological research shows – it impacts upon human beings divergently. Those with fewer resources are not so easily able to flourish in a world of self-improvement and self-motivation, to be able to live with the assumption of being a self-driven individual in world where success is premised upon background and on chance. Depression and insecurity are the outcome of a society that is increasingly driven by a quixotic drive for immediate success premised on individual talent or drive. Failure is a cost that is borne individually. ‘The psychic life of neoliberalism’, as sociologist Christina Scharff put it, damages not only society but human personality. It undermines cultures of solidarity in favour of cultures of consumerism and cultures of individualism – leading, in sum, to greater dispersed anxiety and less social cohesion. To put the point sharply, the World Health Organisation has suggested that in the past 45 years, suicide rates have increased by 60%. Suicide is now, as the WHO has pointed out, among the three leading causes of death among those men and women aged 15 and 44. The ideology of neoliberalism, seductive as it might be, has harsh effects in an unequal society, particularly amongst the youth.</p>
<p>The data on the poverty of our times is utterly miserable. Let’s begin with the fact that 22,000 children die every day from poverty. Every ten seconds a child dies of hunger. About half of the world’s population live on less than $2.50 per day. Household debt rates in much of the world have increased astronomically – which implicates the middle class into a debt-driven consumption pattern. There are miserable implications for this data – the fact that global wealth, drawn from the exploitation of social labour, has been sequestered by very small numbers of people; and that the amelioration of suffering of a very large number of people will be sporadic and insufficient.</p>
<p>Older categories that have been set aside by social science – such as humiliation, frustration, desolation, alienation, anger – will be needed if we are to understand the condition in the planet of slums. Rather than fight to break the tax strike, the governments of the world turn their energy towards corralling the masses through devices of great ingenuity – a War on Drugs, a War on Terror – with new vocabulary to suggest the inevitability of the new mechanisms of control – Security, Surveillance, Risk Mitigation, Sensitivity Analysis, Hazards. Social wealth that could be used to overcome poverty is now moved – increasingly – to build up the arsenal of ‘security’.</p>
<p>A 2016 report from the Institute for Economics and Peace showed that the total cost of violence per year is about $13.6 trillion, with half of this (​$6.6 trillion) going to military expenditure and a quarter ($3.5 trillion) going to internal security. The total cost of violence amounts to 13.3% of the world’s GDP. Since the stated commitment for Official Development Aid is merely 0.7% of GDP, this discrepancy between aid and violence shows that the market has failed. Neoliberal policy, which is essentially starvation of the social side of state policy and indulgence of the military side of state policy, has little answer to the widening inequality gap and the deepening sense of despair that grips large parts of the planet. Guns intimidate people, but they do not provide them with any hope for a better future.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Neofascism</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-15219 img-responsive" src="https://www.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/04_neofascism.png" alt="" width="950" height="897" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/04_neofascism.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/04_neofascism-300x283.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/04_neofascism-768x725.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>I just don’t want a poor person.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">Donald Trump.</p>
</div>
<p>Fixation on Donald Trump is a natural instinct. He is the most bellicose of the strong men, a long line that runs from the Philippines’ Rodrigo Duterte through India’s Narendra Modi to Turkey’s Recip Tayyip Erdogan. Of these men, Trump is in charge of the most powerful state, with vast military capabilities and with its power coursing through the institutions of international finance and diplomacy.</p>
<p>Trump – and the European neofascists – provides a muted rhetorical opposition to neoliberalism. They do not oppose neoliberal policy in any direct way, since they remain committed to policies that increase economic growth and to policies that curtail the social wage. Substantial critiques of globalisation are not to be found at the policy level, but only at the rhetorical or political level. It is here – in speeches before their constituencies – that Trump and the neofascists gesture towards policies of economic sovereignty. They grumble about job loss and trade policies, but – like neoliberals – they have no real alternative to globalisation. They are trapped by its material contradictions: immense profits harvested by multinational corporations that feed the financial structure; while great misery grows for the mass of the world’s population, who produce the social wealth to which they seem to have no claim.</p>
<p>Neofascism is the inverse of the psychic life of neoliberalism. The general cultural atmosphere of neoliberalism breeds the attitude that success is a personal journey, that self-direction drives excellence and wealth. This is the attitude of the novelist and philosopher Ayn Rand’s Howard Roark, from her novel Fountainhead (1943), who believes that ‘second handers’ must be shunned so that people of talent and motivation – such as himself – can win. But what happens to those who do not ‘win’, who cannot ‘succeed’, who find it hard to even live at the standard they think is necessary for their desires? Failure cannot be allowed to be personal, but nor is it understood in structural terms. It is someone else – the scapegoat – who is the reason for one’s failure, not one’s own limitations or the barriers placed upon social advance by the way the system is structured. Those who fail by Ayn Rand’s rules look over their shoulders to find someone to blame. It is, as Ernst Bloch wrote almost a century ago, a ‘swindle of fulfilment’ – a false, brutal community substitutes for a genuinely humane community. If neoliberalism blames the individual for ‘failure’, neofascism blames the scapegoat.</p>
<p>What the neofascists promise is much weaker than either economic sovereignty structured around nation-states or around the working-class. Their rhetoric sparkles with economic nationalism, but in fact their policy provisions are stuck at the border of cultural nationalism. They obsess over a fantasy of cultural homogeneity – a Europe without minarets and hijabs, an India without Muslims, the United States without Mexicans. Anti-immigrant sentiment is the platform of their nationalism. Trade ceases to be about the principles of exchange and becomes increasingly about racism. There is little serious conversation here about how increased productivity rates in the West – driven by technology – have been the cause of job loss. Trade has played only a marginal role in the haemorrhaging of ‘white collar’ jobs. Serious economic discussion is left by the wayside as the antidote to suffering is suffocated by ‘Build the Wall’ and ‘Muslim Ban’, ‘Beef Ban’ and the war on ‘drug pushers, hold-up men and do-nothings’ – slogans of great meaning to those who are hurt by them, but with little meaning for those who suffer from economic insecurity. This is the cruelty of the neofascism, the dominant political form of our times.</p>
<p>Ayn Rand’s children – those who believe that they have succeeded – are now in charge, a great buoyancy in Wall Street, the Finanzplatz, Dalal Street, and in the City of London, a sense that tax burdens will lessen even more and that liquidity will allow far more wealth to be created in the financial world than previously. The tax ‘reforms’ of the Trump administration are indicative of the favouritism towards Ayn Rand’s children rather than to the dispossessed populations. Wealth is comfortable with neofascism, if a little embarrassed by its cultural obscenity. The tax strike remains sacrosanct. So is the investment strike. None of this is under threat from the ‘nationalism’ of the neofascists who are quite happy to turn their attention against the vulnerable rather than the propertied.</p>
<p>The neofascists are under no compulsion to mask their belligerence, to hide behind phrases such as ‘humanitarian interventionism’ or ‘security’. They believe in violence and want to use it in allopathic doses to maintain their domination. Calls for re-colonisation come alongside calls for the theft of natural resources. Their wars – internal and external – are the prophylaxis against the failure of their fantasy of cultural sovereignty. They cannot make a world of cultural homogeneity so they use force to intimidate those who are seen as foreigners, as outsiders, as lesser human beings.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Imperialism</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-15228 img-responsive" src="https://www.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/05_Imperialism.png" alt="" width="950" height="733" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/05_Imperialism.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/05_Imperialism-300x231.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/03/05_Imperialism-768x593.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>When imperialism feels weak, it resorts to brute force.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">Hugo Chávez.</p>
</div>
<p>Neither neoliberalism nor neofascism is capable of moving a human agenda against the contradictions produced by globalisation. People are being seen as disposable, as a gated-community civilisation grafts itself above society. It is a miserable world that confronts us.</p>
<p>It is important to say directly that this new architecture of production is maintained by diplomatic and legal extortion as well as military intimidation. When countries do not agree with the institutional arrangements that benefit the largely Northern-based multinational firms or if policies move against property, the full force of the corporate media and the military establishment of the North are mobilised into action. The pressure that runs from Venezuela to Iran to North Korea is a visible demonstration of imperialism, namely the extra-economic power used by states in an era of hyper-monopoly arms-length capitalism.</p>
<p>In our current period, the United States government has been the main gendarme for the structure of imperialism. It links together a web of allies that runs from the countries in the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) and goes outwards to important regional allies such as Saudi Arabia, India and Colombia. The United States – and its European allies – has to hold together an unsustainable set of contradictions. The United States has made it clear that it would not like to see any rivals challenge its putative hegemony – with the main rivals in our time being China and Russia. The World Economic Forum estimates that in 2017 the United States had the largest economy in the world ($11 trillion, 14.84% of the world economy). IMF data shows that the Chinese economy grew by 6.7% in 2016, while the US economy grew at a much slower pace of 1.6%. A study by PricewaterhouseCooper says that China will be the largest economy by 2050. China, in other words, is poised to become the largest economy in the world. Furthermore, China’s economy dynamism is no longer to be based on low-wage work, but on technology-driven productivity improvements. The World Intellectual Property Organisation report from 2016 showed that in the previous year, China had filed the largest number of patent applications – twice the number of applications filed by US-based entities. China, in fact, filed a third of the world’s patent applications in 2015. This suggests that China might challenge the US and Western domination of the intellectual property driven arms-length outsourcing accumulation strategy.</p>
<p>If these rivals – China and Russia – emerge to become powerful poles, then they would challenge the three pillars of the Western advantaged system of disarticulated production and global accumulation of capital: arms-length outsourcing, intellectual property rights and the use of violence by the West for its own ends. There are small signs that these three pillars are indeed being challenged. The first two are certainly being undermined – although it would take many decades before they can be totally set aside. The third pillar – monopoly on force – is going to be harder to shake. The United States, in 2016, spent more than the next eight largest spenders on arms combined (China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, India, France, the United Kingdom, Japan and Germany). At $611.2 billion, the United States dwarfs the second largest spender, namely China, which spent a mere ​$215,7 billion in comparison. US President Donald Trump’s proposed increase to the US military budget will add more to US military spending than total spent by the third largest spender, namely Russia, at $69.2 billion. The United States also has a massive military footprint with its eight hundred bases spread over seventy countries. The United Kingdom, France and Russia combined have a total of thirty foreign bases. China has one foreign military base – in Djibouti – in the shadow of a massive US base in the same country. Russia’s military bases are mainly in the former Soviet Union (mostly in Central Asia), with two bases in the edges Asia (Syria and Vietnam). There is no indication that these powers – China and Russia – will be able to challenge US military supremacy at any point. At most, they will be able to halt the aggressive behaviour of the United States to conduct regime change operations, such as in Syria.</p>
<p>Despite their military weakness, these countries cannot be easily subordinated. Too much pressure on them would turn them inwards, or towards building their own networks of accumulation outside the parameters of Western institutions. China already through its Silk Road project and its investments in Africa as well as through its own intellectual property developments is building a production and accumulation architecture that would undermine the disarticulate production process that advantages Western firms. To push too hard against China and Russia might move China to slowly withdraw from the Western banking system to park its surpluses elsewhere and to cease to rely upon Western markets for sale of its products. The contradiction between holding the rivals down and making sure that they do not move outside the orbit of the West is the complex task of modern-day imperialism.</p>
<p>The use of force for economic ends is evident in the expansion of NATO towards Russia and in the encirclement of China. Hot conflicts in Ukraine and North Korea and cold conflicts around the South China Sea are the measure of these struggles. Neither Russia nor China is willing to provide economic advantages to the West. China is the nettle under the saddle for the United States. Its trade surpluses rankle. The behaviour of China as opposed to Japan is instructive. In the 1980s and 1990s, Japan’s trade surpluses also bothered the United States. Japan’s government twice allowed US political pressure to revalue the Yen to the betterment of the Dollar (in the 1985 Plaza Accord and the 1995 Reverse Plaza Accord). When Japan’s people elected in a reform-oriented government on a mandate to remove the US base at Okinawa in 2010, US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton directly intervened to force the resignation of Prime Minister Yukio Hatoyama. It has not been so easy to force China to revalue its currency and to allow its political system to be dictated by Washington. It has, therefore, been imperative to challenge China’s use of the sea-lanes and to threaten its security with military bases and over-flights. Much the same sort of sabre-rattling is evident in the expansion of NATO eastwards, breaking the minimal agreement between the Soviets and the Germans for the absorption of the newly unified Germany into NATO. Germany’s foreign minister Hans-Dietrich Genscher told the USSR’s foreign minister Eduard Shevardnadze, ‘We are aware that NATO membership for a unified Germany raises complicated questions. For us, one thing is certain: NATO will not expand to the east’. But it has, and in doing so with an aggressive missile defence shield, it has directly threatened the security of Russia. The Ukraine crisis is a clear consequence of the expansion of NATO into Eastern Europe. NATO’s expansion into Eastern Europe is not merely to protect the countries along the Russian perimeter but to ensure that these countries remain within the tentacles of a Western-dominated political economy rather than a Russian or Chinese one. The force of arms is the iron fist inside the velvet glove of globalisation.</p>
<p>Behind doors, the Masters of the World – the G7 states – continue their shenanigans despite the world financial crisis. Policy space is constrained by them in international institutions, allowing them latitude on subsidies but allowing the Global South little freedom. The pressure on the Global South against their food security requirements is one such. Another is the Trade in Services Agreement (TISA) pushed by the US and the European Union and their ‘Really Good Friends’ (a strange term of art used by the US and the EU to refer to the bloc they have put together). The bulk of the Really Good Friends involved in the TISA negotiations are from the upper income countries, with only two lower income states (Pakistan and Paraguay) in the process. The TISA pushes for the privatisation of public services and for the control over data by large corporations outside the territories from which this data is harvested. The point of the TISA agenda is to set aside the old development project and to assert in its place an ‘e-commerce’ strategy to reduce poverty. A UBS report suggested that the e-commerce agenda, rather than end poverty, would exacerbate it. With e-commerce, said the banking analysts, countries in the Global South ‘will face the threat of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, compromising low-skilled jobs via extreme automation, but may not have the technological ability to enjoy the relative gains that could be re-distributed via extreme connectivity’. What this means is that the digital colonialism will give a handful of firms – Facebook, Amazon, Netflix and Google (FANGs) – the power to provide services across the planet, harvest data from this provision and make efficiency gains that benefit capital but have a negative impact on labour and society.</p>
<p>Alongside the TISA is the trade regime pushed by the West on both flanks of Eurasia – the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) across the Atlantic and the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) across the Pacific. Both the TTIP and TPP bind countries to the Western networks of trade hegemony and keep weaker countries out of the networks of China and Russia. Both have been negotiated utterly in secret and – if not for the occasional leak – the entire content of the discussion would be unknown to the public. Domestic laws would be set-aside before the TTIP and TPP, where the North would set an agenda for the rest of the ‘partners’. One of the leaked documents suggests that the US is applying ‘great pressure’ on the countries to get through the divergence of opinion on questions of intellectual property. In the debate around investment, one of the documents shows, ‘the United States has shown no flexibility on its proposal’. The outcome of these ‘negotiations’ is typically a victory for the West. Western pressure continues to be overwhelming. Its rules will continue to subordinate the economies of the South to Western advantage. Any trade rule that weakens the intellectual property regime that benefits the large monopoly rent-seeking firms of the West will be rejected outright by the Western leadership. This is the essence of imperialist pressure in trade discussions.</p>
<p>US President Donald Trump has signed an executive order to rip up the TPP. To see Trump’s rejection of the TPP as a change in direction is an illusion. The real issue of the TPP is not the trade rules itself, but China and not even China, but the emergence of rivals who can rewrite the trade rules and produce new networks for global production and accumulation. On October 5, 2015, former US President Barack Obama said, ‘We can’t let countries like China write the rules of the global economy’. TPP was not the essence. It was the isolation of China and the prevention of any rival from writing the rules of the global order. Trump has set a much harsher tone but says the exact same thing. China, a sovereign country with the second largest economy in the world, must not be at the table when the ‘rules of the global economy’ are written. This is the underlying floor of imperialism. It must decide the rules.</p>
<p>Imperialism of the new era comes on two axes. First, on the institutional front, the Global North pushed a series of organisations, such as the WTO, to provide the only forum for discussion of issues of trade and development. At the same time, the Global North subordinated older institutions, such as the UN, to do its bidding in terms of use of force. Second, on the ideological front, the Global North argued against any alternative to the set of policies that went by the name of neoliberalism. Private sector led growth for private sector gains were seen as the only logical path for development. This, then, has been the new imperialism – so-called globalised institutions that follow a neoliberal policy platform even as the neofascists moan about the threats to their culture.</p>
<p>By the 2000s, the first major challenge at the inter-state level to the new imperialism emerged. In 2003, many states in the UN questioned the US desire to extend its warfare in Iraq while the emergent states at a WTO meeting in Cancun blocked the Global North’s agenda for intellectual property. These two developments – among others – provided the basis for the emergence of the BRICS (Brazil-Russia-China-India-South Africa) project. What was the BRICS bloc in its early stage? It was not an anti-imperialist platform. An anti-imperialist platform would have required the BRICS bloc to take on imperialism both at the institutional and ideological level. The BRICS grouping was merely an institutional challenge to ‘unipolarity’, a move by major states to craft a multi-polar world.</p>
<p>BRICS has certainly attempted a new institutional foundation beside that of the Global North – the New Development Bank against the World Bank; the Contingency Reserve Arrangement against the IMF; the demand for permanent seats for the BRICS states on the UN Security Council. There is talk of a Southern ratings agency against the hegemony of Fitch, Moody’s and Standard &amp; Poors. There is also talk of other currencies to denominate inter-state trade. Least convincingly, the BRICS has begun a conversation toward the creation of a new security architecture.</p>
<p>But the BRICS bloc – given the nature of its ruling classes (and particularly with the right now in ascendency in Brazil and in India) – has no ideological alternative to imperialism. The domestic policies adopted by the BRICS states can be described as neoliberal with southern characteristics – with a focus on sales of commodities, low wages to workers along with the recycled surplus turned over as credit to the North, even as the livelihood of their own citizens is jeopardised, and even as they have developed new markets in other, often more vulnerable, countries which were once part of the Third World bloc. There is little argument within the BRICS to defend food sovereignty or the right to food, to create decent jobs against hoarded wealth, and to fight against the power of the bankers. In fact, the new institutions of the BRICS will be yoked to the IMF and the dollar – not willing to create a new platform for trade and development apart from the Northern order. The Contingency Reserve Arrangement will continue to rely upon IMF surveillance and IMF agreements as a way to measure its own lending. The dollar is omnipresent in these mechanisms. Eagerness for Western markets continues to dominate the growth agenda of the BRICS states. The immense needs of their own populations do not drive their policy orientations.</p>
<p>Finally, the BRICS project has no ability to counter the military dominance of the US and NATO. When the UN votes to allow ‘member states to use all necessary measures’, as it did in Resolution 1973 on Libya, it essentially gives carte blanche to the Atlantic world to act with military force. There are no regional alternatives that have the capacity to operate on such UN resolutions. The Russian military interventions into Crimea in 2014 and into Syria in 2015 are indications that US military uni-polarity might be slightly weakened, but not at an end. The US is a global force with bases on every continent and with the ability to strike almost anywhere. Regional mechanisms for peace and conflict-resolution are weakened by the global presence of NATO and the United States’ war machine. Overwhelming military power translates into political power. BRICS have few means, at this time, to challenge that power.</p>
<p>Russian and Chinese alliances across Eurasia on security and economic lines are not signs of the creation of an alternative pole to Western imperialism. They are merely signs of defensiveness against imperialist aggression, with sanctioned Russia seeking shelter in the Chinese surpluses and with Chinese caution being given some boost by Russian confidence. The Russian-Chinese naval exercises during the 2017 US-North Korean standoff and the entry of Russian forces into West Asia, backed by China, is a sign that they will not allow complete US domination – as has been the case from 1991 to the present. What they are jockeying for is to protect their sovereignty and the zone of influence around their territory – not for competition around the globe against US imperialist power.</p>
<p>What we have rather than an inter-imperialist conflict is an inter-capitalist conflict, with the BRICS states – mainly China – pushing for market share across the world and pushing back a weakened Western economic bloc. Tensions between Trump’s America First policy and the political-economic order that has relied on the vast pools of labour brought into the capitalist orbit since the 1990s has led the inter-capitalist crisis to take on inter-state dimensions. Western fantasies of Chinese domination go back a decade at least, when Chinese – and other – surpluses bailed out the Western financial order from collapse. But those fantasies were not always translated from rhetoric to policy. The danger now is that policies might appear that would confound the system as it operates. China’s premier Xi Jinping put it plainly at the 2017 Davos meeting, ‘No one will emerge as a winner in a trade war’. What he meant is not merely a trade war but an inter-state conflict with confounding outcomes. As inter-capitalist rivalries accelerate the tendency towards inter-state – and in time, to inter-imperialist – conflict should not be underestimated.</p>
<p>Imperialism continues to structure the world order – but it no longer appears as either raw colonialism or as mid-20th century style neo-colonialism. Matters are more complex. Here are six contours of 21st century imperialism:</p>
<ol>
<li>To maintain the alliance system, with the United States as the hub and its secondary allies (the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Japan and others) as its spokes. At the outer edge of its spokes are subsidiary allies, such as Colombia, India, Israel and Saudi Arabia. These allies are essential to the global reach of US power. Any challenge to the allies will be swiftly put down by the full force of the United States military and with the open pipeline of military equipment and training from the Atlantic powers to their subsidiary allies.</li>
<li>To ensure that no challenge to the alliance system is allowed to emerge. The end of the Cold War signalled the demise of the main threat to the alliance – the Soviet Union and its satellites. Since then, the United States and its confederates have made sure to squeeze dry any challenge to the system. Pressure has built up on China and Russia through the expansion of NATO into Eastern Europe and with the build-up of US forces in the Pacific Rim region. South America’s emergence had to be cut down, whether through the old-fashioned coups (as in Honduras) or through post-modern coups (as in Brazil). BRICS, ALBA, or any other alphabet soup that sought an alternative power base had to be disaggregated.</li>
<li>To ensure that US confidence remain at a high note. During the first Gulf War of 1990-91, US President G. H. W. Bush said that the ‘Vietnam syndrome’ had been quelled. The US now felt confidence once more to act as a major power on the world stage – unafraid of exercising its full force. Proxy wars of the 1980s could be set aside. The US could now act with full spectrum domination against its adversaries. Calls for ‘another American century’ resounded after the US war on Iraq in 2003. – there was a fear that the imbroglio in Iraq would heighten doubts about US power. This had to be squashed. It was important to revive anew the self-image of the United States as primus inter pares – the first amongst equals, the ‘indispensable power’ as US Secretary of State Madeleine Albright put it. Threats against Iran and North Korea are visible depictions of this bluster.</li>
<li>To protect the global commodity chain, which is the basis for industrial production – whose benefits are secured by transnational corporations based in the Global North. Disaggregated production sites (with factories spread across nations) and stringent intellectual property laws enable these corporations to have much more power along this global commodity chain than workers’ organisations and nation-states. Diplomatic and military power of the Global North’s alliance system is used against policies of nationalisation and the intellectual commons. Sub-contracted mechanisms of labour discipline allow the Global North to maintain high moral standards while they rely entirely upon brutal work conditions that render social relations toxic.</li>
<li>To guarantee the safe passage of extracted raw materials from mines and wells at rates far below what might be paid to the people who are the guardians of that wealth. Environmentally deleterious and inhumane practices of extraction are hidden away in forests and deserts, where protests will be fought in the name of the War on Terror or the War on Drugs or some kind of war that allows the extraction to take place without threat. Both the subsidiary partners of the Global North and the emergent states rely upon exports of raw materials for their growth agendas, allowing the Global North to wash its hands off the harshness that takes place in the dark – outside its direct control.</li>
<li>To secure the financial power of the Global North, whether by protecting Saudi Arabia’s royal family so as to secure the flow of petro-dollars to the North’s banks or by making sure that debts taken by the countries of the poor are paid up in full. When the financial crisis struck the Atlantic world, the Global North begged the large states of Asia (China, India and Indonesia) to provide liquidity to the system. In exchange, the Global North promised to shut down its executive – the Group of Seven (G7) – and substitute it with the Group of Twenty (G20). After the banks recovered, that promise was forgotten. Financial power had to been restored. That was the bottom line.</li>
</ol>
<p>The challenge from the BRICS has now largely been muted. This has a great deal to do with its own internal contradictions, the rise of the right to power in Brazil and India as well as the rightward drift in South Africa, and the lowered commodity prices that struck at the heart of the BRICS economic power. The BRICS have failed – for now – to rebalance the world order. It was left to two of its members – Russia and China – to produce a modest challenge to Western imperialism. Squeezed on the two flanks of Eurasia by military manoeuvres and by Western threats against Iran and North Korea as well as by sanctions on Russia for its intervention in Crimea, the Russians and Chinese signed economic and commercial deals as well as military and strategic agreements. The economic and commercial ties – particularly for the sales of energy – remain, however, modest. Chinese and Russian naval manoeuvres off the coast of North Korea and the entry of Chinese warships into the Mediterranean near Russian ships are signals that they will not easily allow the West to use its force to fashion a world to its advantage. But these are defensive postures, not capable fully of rebalancing the world order let alone providing an alternative to this order. Whether they will be able to sustain their defensive attempt in this time of neofascism is hard to say: will Russian and Chinese aircrafts land in Tehran and Pyongyang to prevent regime change in these two borderline states of Eurasia?</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part 2: Agency.</h2>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Decomposition of the Agent of History</h3>
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<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>General, your tank is a strong vehicle.<br>
It breaks down a forest and crushes a hundred people.<br>
But it has one fault: it needs a driver.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">Bertolt Brecht, A German War Primer.</p>
</div>
<p>What remains before us? Across the planet, there are many strong and powerful movements of the people – labour struggles and dignity struggles, fights to defend the right to natural resources and fights to defend the rights to one’s body. These are the main avenues of resistance to the powerful.</p>
<p>For a hundred years, factories and offices drew in large numbers of workers in a dense environment of surveillance and productivity. Capital, hungry for profit, saw the advantages of creating gargantuan factories and offices. The scale of production benefitted capital – by making enormous numbers of commodities, capital could bid down the price of raw materials and saturate the market with its volume. Smaller firms went out of business. The craft of work vanished slowly, as the workers had to take their place in endless lines of production, where they expended their energy on smaller and smaller tasks that added up – outside their control – into the commodity. No worker made the entire commodity, but all the workers – combined – produced the commodity. This made individual workers into ‘an appendage of a machine’, as Marx wrote in Capital (1867). The intellectual demands on the workers fell, as artisans saw their skill taken over by the assembly line and the machine. The life of workers became indebted to the factory, and the working-class found itself dragged – as Marx wrote – ‘beneath the wheels of the Juggernaut of capital’.</p>
<p>The advantage of capital soon became its disadvantage. Having large numbers of workers consolidated in one factory allowed them to converse with each other. They would deliberate about their problems and consider how to understand the collapse of their dignity. It is in these conversations and the actions that the modern trade union movement developed. Factories were the centres of them because these were the places where the workers had density. They were also traps for capital – money had been invested in them, and any second of wastage would produce losses to the bosses. It meant that if the workers could strike work, then they would put capital under pressure. During this period, in Great Britain for instance, the bulk of the wageworkers were not employed in the factories; they were in domestic service. But domestic servants did not have the advantage of being in one factory, where they could organise together and where their strike would put pressure on capital. If a domestic servant protested, he or she would be fired. It was harder to fire an entire workforce in a factory. That is why factories became the hub of the trade union movement, and it is why the Marxists and socialists saw the trade unions as the centre of the socialist future. It also reveals how the sexism of parts of the trade union movement was reproduced in the strategy of industrial unionism: the majority of the working-class, difficult to organise because they were scattered in the homes of the propertied, were outside the hegemony of the working-class organisations.</p>
<p>By the mid-20th century, a hundred years after the trade union movement and its gains, capital had recourse to new methods of exploitation. We entered the era – as we have seen – of disarticulated production. Smaller factories no longer have the kind of worker density that large ones do. If a commodity is being built across national lines, it advantages capital against nations – governments of the people find it hard to nationalise a factory since they would only be able to nationalise one part of the production chain. The commodity chain revokes the strategy of nationalisation. The disarticulation of production makes trade unionism difficult, because capital now says that if you strike in one factory, then they will close you down and move production elsewhere. Their investment is no longer as trapped as it used to be. Since a great deal of production is outsourced to small capitalists in distant lands, the monopoly firms think nothing of abandoning one supplier for another in a different country. Their loyalty to their supplier is zero. In other words, the new techniques of production have disadvantaged trade unionism. It is also in these new, smaller, scattered factories that women workers have become such a crucial entity – brought in for less than a decade of their lives, worn out by the speed-up of the factory floor and then sent back to their rural lives from where they came – waste products of contemporary capitalism.</p>
<p>With workers traveling for insecure jobs, the question of the working day has now been elongated such that leisure time is minimal if not non-existent, and so the time required to build the bulwarks of the working-class and peasantry has been eaten away. This time of the commute has eaten into the time of the community and the time of the union. Social life has been frayed as time has been stolen from people not by employers alone, but by the structure of insecurity and part-time work. More time is often spent in search of work than in work itself.</p>
<p>Furthermore, the culture of unionism has taken a beating before the culture of commodities. People have increasingly been converted by a fierce blast from the media, from the advertising industry and from educational institutions from workers into consumers. That is, the new identity – worn down by the psychic life of neoliberalism – is not to be seen in relation to one’s workplace, but to one’s consumption patterns. Malls and advertisements attract people of many classes to imagine themselves as someone else. If not malls, then religious halls – temples, mosques, churches – have become once more salves for displaced informal workers, whose beaten bodies and consciousness is now redeemed through the salvation promised by preachers of different faiths. Pentecostalism in Latin America, Protestant Christianity in China and so on have doggedly made their presence felt where union and socialist culture once held sway. Communities are created around desire for commodities and around faith. These have become more appealing in many quarters than the culture of the union and of socialist societies.</p>
<p>Trade unionism, in this context is made to seem anachronistic. It is portrayed in the mainstream as yesterday’s culture, with its slogans depicted as reminiscent of the days without malls and advertisements. But this is not all, since even more general sentiments of unity – such as nationalism and patriotism – have been eroded. They are becoming merely lifestyles, not meaningful cultural attributes. One can claim to be a nationalist without having any commitment to the people who make up the nation. The sharp edge of nationalism rubs hard against dissent. Crying sedition has become the order of the day. Students, journalists, workers, peasants, women – anyone who wants to suggest that there are problems with the national ‘consensus’ is seen as alien to the nation. The ‘nationalism’ that is acceptable is a hateful, unthinking form of social cohesion that does not require the work of building society, but instead is premised on violence and anti-social activity.</p>
<p>Structural unemployment and the widened informal sector channel grievances out of the workplace and into the streets. Survival in these streets leads to activity that could be seen as illegal – whether in the trade in drugs, sex, weapons or even barter. The existence of these activities provides the state with the opportunity to go to war against the population. The character of the state tends more to security than to welfare, to the policing of the population rather than to its care. Ideologies that argue for a smaller state (neoliberalism) have no problem with an expanded state apparatus for security. The calculus between desperation and revolution was clear to the elite. Tom Clausen of Bank of America is exemplary, ‘When people are desperate, you have revolutions. It’s in our own evident self-interest to see that they are not forced into that. You must keep the patient alive, because otherwise you can’t effect the cure’. To prevent the journey to revolution, only two paths lay open to the elite – concessions to prevent the worst effects of neoliberal policy (which was the character of liberalism) or harsh security measures to crush the spirit of revolt (which was the character of fascism). But, in fact, in our times only one path opens up as neoliberalism and neofascism find common cause – namely, to send in the riot police. The gap narrows between the force of ‘free trade’ and ‘humanitarian intervention’, between the global commodity chains that wrap around the world and regime change wars that break states to create chaos. Force is, Marx wrote in 1867, ‘itself an economic power’.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Recomposition of the Agent of History</h3>
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<div class="single-post--content--epigraph">
<p>Nos tienen miedo porque no tenemos miedo.<br>
They are afraid of us because we are not afraid of them.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--epigraph--byline">­Berta Cáceres.</p>
</div>
<p>What does the Left movement do today as it is confronted by the disarticulation of production, the culture of consumerism and the rise of the Security state? There are no easy answers, but there are essential questions. There can be no full revival of trade union power without a revival of the culture of workers. There can be no easy revival of trade union power without an acknowledgment of the disarticulation of production, and the need – therefore – to build worker power where workers live if it is not always possible to organise them where they work. The point is to build worker power, not only factory power. Great social and economic changes are afoot beneath our feet, which will drive frustration and anger amongst workers. It is the role of the sentinels of the workers – the unions and parties – to be prepared when these waves break out, when the objective conditions of distress lead to the subjective eruption of protest. For that reason, the recomposition of the working-class and the peasantry is of the essence.</p>
<p>The promise of trade unionism is to build worker power. To build worker power does not mean to only build unions in the workplace, notably in factories and in the fields. There is no doubt that it remains important to organise workers into unions. But the difficulties in many sectors – notably in the small manufacturing outfits in Export Processing Zones and the home-based work – means that other, creative means must be deployed to organise workers. For example, some of the most dynamic organising work around the world has happened in the places where workers live, as they fight to survive against rising prices for essential items, including water, and as they fight to produce spaces of safety for their families. Such battles – over water and over public spaces – have galvanised workers and peasants around notions of the ‘community’ or the ‘neighbourhood’, terms that do not on the surface have a class connotation but certainly do so when one approaches them from a materialist perspective. After all, the ‘community’ that the workers of Cochabamba (Bolivia), organised by trade unionists, defended during the ‘water wars’ was not an abstraction, but it was the concrete community of workers whose lives were being torn apart by privatisation. They knew that their community was a tangible fact in their lives, the solidarity that they needed to fight against water privatisation and the social bonds that they needed to hold fast to and rebuild for survival in the protracted struggles ahead.</p>
<p>Experiences of South Africa’s Abahlali baseMjondolo (AbM or the Shack Dwellers) and Brazil’s Movement dos Trabalhadores Sem Terra (MST or the Landless Workers Movement) as well as that of the Democratic Youth Federation of India (DYFI) and the All-India Democratic Women’s Association (AIDWA) – both mass organisations of the Indian communist movement – show the efficacy of building worker and peasant power in the areas where workers and peasants live. Slums are the homes of the workers and peasants of our time. These are congested areas, with minimal state support. UN Habitat estimates that a fourth of the world’s population lives in slums. In some cities of the Global South, half the population live in slums, where there is inadequate shelter, lack of clean water, poor sanitation and little if no health and education facilities. The figures from international agencies seem deflated. For instance, the slum of Khayelitsha in Cape Town (South Africa) is said to have 400,000 residents, although those who work in the slum say that the actual population is at least three times this number. Dharavi in Mumbai (India) houses somewhere between 1 million and 1.5 million people, while that of Ciudad Neza in Mexico City (Mexico) houses a million people. The largest slum in the world is said to be Orangi Town in Karachi (Pakistan), which houses over 2.5 million people. In these slums live people who work in the informal sector – in some countries measuring close to the totality of the workforce (India’s informal sector, for instance, is 90% of the workforce). These working-class populations are outside the social regulations of state-driven labour policy and they are – often – outside the network of trade unions.</p>
<p>Social wealth does not trickle down to these places. The good side of the state is largely absent here. As a result, the workers in these areas rely upon (a) their own ingenuity and self-organisation; (b) the markets produced by gangsters of one kind or another as well as of religious orders and NGOs; (c) the invisible heart of the women amongst the workers, whose fight to protect the integrity of their families moves them to great efforts of social reproduction. The first practice demonstrates the possibility of socialism. It is here that one sees the formation of cooperatives and self-help groups by the working-class and for the working-class. The second is the most important challenge, since it is here that religious organisations and the mafia dig their own tentacles deep into working-class life. They – including NGOs – are a structural impediment to the growth of the Left. But the Left has learned that it will not grow merely by challenging these entities frontally. Experiences from across the Global South show us that the Left will have to prove by its work in the arena of social reproduction that it is indeed a better alternative to religious and charitable organisations as well as the mafia. Left organisations are already working to create platforms to assist the working-class in its fights for water and electricity, housing and street services, schools and healthcare – but at the same time working alongside the working-class as it begins to deliver these services in a relatively autonomous fashion. This is dangerous activity. It means undermining the gangs, the religious groups and the NGOs – all of whom have great stakes in this kind of work. At the same time, the intervention of the Left into these spaces socialises the privatised labour of social reproduction largely done by women. A great deal of work will need to be done to build the institutions of social reproduction amongst the workers and peasants, and a great deal of work will need to be done by intellectuals to study these initiatives, write about them to share them in different settings and to exchange the best experiences and outcomes that have emerged from this popular energy.</p>
<p>Furthermore, working-class power, in our period, is being built with great energy against the social divides of gender, religious and other types of hierarchies and discriminations. Marxists often used to worry that these divides of social hierarchy might ‘split’ working-class unity; in fact, these divides in society have already sundered unity and further the neglect of these issues only exacerbates disunity and distrust. The struggle for dignity by workers and peasants is not something outside class politics. It is precisely the essence of a class politics that wishes to liberate us from oppression and exploitation and redeem us as full human beings. Workers and peasants cannot be powerful unless they are united. The 180 million workers in India – under the flag of the trade union movement – who went on strike in September 2016 did so because the issues on the table included political questions of social division, including the division between unionised workers in the formal sector and non-unionised workers in the informal sector (many of them women, such as those workers in public health and early childhood education jobs). These workers showed that central to the building of working-class and peasant power is the fight against social hierarchies, religious sectarianism and misogyny.</p>
<p>A major constraint to the building of worker power has been the overwhelming bourgeois-dominated culture of commodities that proliferates the idea of people as consumers. This cultural push, driven by the corporate media and by the urgency of advertising, undermines notions of history and collectivity – with history reduced to emblems for the sale of goods, and with history elevated from the collective struggles of the popular classes to the intervention of individuals. These ideas are firmly inserted into the media and into academic discourses, where there is a broad hesitation to admit the importance of popular action in the making of history and where there is a general sentiment that transformative change is perhaps neither desirable nor possible. What this implies is that there is a need for a cultural struggle to enrich the reservoirs of Left history, to emphasise and illuminate the worker and peasant contribution to the world. Young people no longer learn about the Left in a robust way. The fight to introduce the history of the Left and of workers and peasants into the imagination of the youth is essential, not tangential, to any struggle to rebuild Left strength. Sympathetic intellectuals will need to make connections to popular movements to help drive this agenda.</p>
<p>The debate over ideas, in other words, is a central front for the movements of hope and possibility. A corporate-driven media, for instance, operated within a regime of truth that promotes the view that the West is benevolent when it bombs countries and when it pushes trade policies that destroy the agriculture in countries. When the United States military kills civilians in Afghanistan or Somalia, it is treated as an accident; when a government that is treated as a problem kills a civilian, it is seen as essential to the character of that country or civilisation. If a Western-driven trade policy ends up destroying cotton production in Mali, this is seen as a necessary effect of the laws of nature; when a country that is treated as a problem makes an error in economic policy, it is seen as the result of a failed model. Control of the narrative of history is one problem, but control over media representations of the present is another. A narrow, sclerotic corporate-driven media – whether CNN International or Globo – is saturated with an ideological framework that sees Western-driven regime change wars as acceptable and Western-driven trade policies as inevitable. To push back against the institutional control of this media and its ideological framework as well as to provide alternative networks for the traffic in emancipatory information is crucial.</p>
<p>What is the task of the socialist intellectual alongside the work being done by the political and social movements of the people? In an earlier era, it was considered straightforward that the socialist intellectuals would learn from the movements, would see what kind of alternatives the movements proposed and to build these gestures from the movements into a full-fledged theory of the future. This stance of the socialist intellectual is now no longer self-evident. Many socialist intellectuals – for various reasons – find themselves at a distance from movements. This is for a host of reasons: the embourgeoisement of the intellectual class (both the media intellectuals and the academics), the decomposition of the movements and the adoption of the idea that major change is simply not possible and the embarrassment in the post-modern era of taking a strong stand in favour of values seen to be ungrounded and contingent. Nonetheless, there are millions of intellectuals around the world who have not been impacted by these developments but continue to have strong ties to movements and continue to play vital roles with the movements. One of the tasks of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research is to bring these intellectuals together across national boundaries and to inspire – by their work – others to join in projects that are done in close association with social and political movements towards emancipatory ends.</p>
<p>If we look closely at our movements we will find that they want to bring macro-economic policy under democratic control, they want to increase social wages, they want to build infrastructure to attend to popular needs, they want to break the tax strike of corporations and the elite, they want convert banks from private entities into utilities, they want to ensure a livelihood for everyone and for housing for all. Here are elements of a future. It is up to intellectuals to take these ideas and stimulate debates around them. It is important that we nourish an intellectual platform for an alternative social, cultural, economic and political order drawn from the experience of the movements themselves. It is important, equally, to recover two ideas that have been eroded by the onslaught of bourgeois ideology – socialist ideas of the human and of the future.</p>
<p>The culture of commodities and the idea of people as consumers has desiccated the idea of the human. Bolivian socialists have looked deeply into their own traditions and elaborated a vocabulary to talk about human character, of a human society that is not subsumed by capitalist social norms. David Choquehuanca, the executive secretary of the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our Americas (ALBA), speaks of Qhapag ñan, the path of the good life, with the need to create not consumers and owners, but iyambae, a person without an owner. Being a person without an owner is, as Choquehuanca says, ‘the future, the path of people who look for the good life’. Such efforts to revive the idea of the human – and to revive ideas of the need to tend to the creation of a human community – requires a great deal of effort, effort already apparent in the mass movements which struggle against the reduction of human decision making to the logic of the double-entry account book.</p>
<p>As socialist intellectuals, it is important that we recover the very idea that the present is not eternal and that a transformation is possible. The possibility of such a transformation is nothing other than the idea of the future. There is no debate amongst us over the existence of a past and of a present. These are self-evident terms. But there is a debate about the future. We know that tomorrow will come and then the day after and then next month and then next year. But this is seen as merely sequential time – as the present stretching outwards. But this is not the idea of the future. If there is a common sense idea of the future, it has been seized by technology – technology, not human character, has become the idea of the future. It is imagined in our period that new technological breakthroughs will be able to solve our social crises – new green technologies to liberate us from climate change, new digital and nano-technologies to liberate us from economic stagnation. Technological determinism has meant that the problems that sit athwart the dreams of billions of people have no social or political barriers; they are entirely technical. This is a narrow idea of history and of the future. Certainly some technological developments will be essential for a better world, but technology itself will not shape history. Older, inherited hierarchies of wealth and power will need to be confronted before these technological breakthroughs can have a positive social impact and not merely provide greater and greater wealth and power to those at the top of the inherited hierarchies.</p>
<p>A rich idea of the future requires us to imagine that the present is not going to be eternal. Transformations are possible, new solutions to current problems are necessary, new horizons must be built. These solutions will come from people who know – in their bones – that the social organisation of our society is inadequate to our hopes and dreams. Our movements give us an indicator of these horizons. We have to make sure our social sciences are not dulled into the cynicism of the impossible.</p>
<p>The organised bestiality of our times, with food denied to people and weapons sold with eagerness to nations who have only scarce public resources, comes with little condemnation. Cynicism and nihilism is the order of the day. This opens the door to a blasé attitude towards the idea of humanity, of the necessary effort it takes to produce human freedom. All known traditions of humanity seem to be under great threat. Concepts such as democracy, peace and culture have been worn thin. They mean so little, often a fragile shell of the powerful ideas that they could become. It is clear to us that something in our world is dying. What is not so clear is what is being born as the replacement of the old.</p>
<p>Thirty million people are currently on the threshold of famine. They would like to flee towards food and away from drought, forest fires and war. Squeezed between the end of livelihood and the refusal to allow migration, the world’s poor experience punishment for a crime that is unknown. What did they do to deserve their fate? Why are they being punished when they have not committed a crime?</p>
<p>Vijay Prashad is the Executive Director of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. He is the author of twenty-five books and the editor of twenty others. Among these books are The Poorer Nations: A Possible History of the Global South and The Darker Nations: A People’s History of the Third World. He writes regularly for Frontline and The Hindu (India), Alternet (USA) and BirGün (Turkey). He is the Chief Editor of LeftWord Books (New Delhi).</p>
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<h3 class="single-post--content--citations-title" style="margin:2em 0;">References</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--citations-block">
<p>Annette Alstadsaeter, Niels Johannesen and Gabriel Zucman, ‘Who Owns the Wealth in Tax Havens? Macro Evidence and Implications for Global Inequality’ (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2017).</p>
<p>African Development Bank, African Development Report 2015 – Growth, Poverty and Inequality Nexus: Overcoming Barriers to Sustainable Development (African Development Bank, 2016).</p>
<p>Christina Scharff, ‘The Psychic Life of Neoliberalism: Mapping the Contours of Entrepreneurial Subjectivity’, Theory, Culture and Society (2015).</p>
<p>Corina Rodríguez Enríquez, ‘Economía feminista y economía del cuidado’, Nueva Sociedad (2015).</p>
<p>Daniel Hoornweg and Perinaz Bhada-Tata, What a Waste. A Global Review of Solid Waste Management (World Bank, 2012).</p>
<p>Deborah James, ‘Twelve Reasons to Oppose Rules on Digital Commerce in the WTO’ (CEPR, 2017).</p>
<p>Elisabeth Armstrong, Gender and Globalisation: The All-India Democratic Women’s Association and Globalisation Politics (Tulika, 2013).</p>
<p>Global Financial Integrity, Illicit Financial Flows to and from Developing Countries: 2005-2014, (Global Financial Integrity, 2017).</p>
<p>John Smith, Imperialism in the Twenty-First Century: Globalisation, Super-Exploitation and Capitalism’s Final Crisis (Monthly Review, 2016).</p>
<p>Junot Diaz, ‘Apocalypse’, Boston Review, 2011.</p>
<p>Jorge Máttar y Luis Mauricio Cuervo, eds., Planificación para el desarrollo en América Latina y el Caribe: Enfoques, experiencias y perspectivas (CEPAL, 2016).</p>
<p>Jürgen Weller, ed., Brechas y transformaciones. La evolución del empleo agropecuario en América Latina (CEPAL, 2016).</p>
<p>Melissa Wright, Disposable Women and Other Myths of Global Capitalism (Routledge, 2006).</p>
<p>Michihiko Hachiya, Hiroshima Diary (University of North Carolina Press, 1995).</p>
<p>Omar Dahi and Firat Demir, South-South Trade and Finance in the Twenty-first Century: Rise of the South or the Second Great Divergence (Anthem, 2016).</p>
<p>Prabir Purkayastha, ‘Net Neutrality in the Age of Internet Monopolies’, The Marxist (2015).</p>
<p>Spotlight on Sustainable Development 2017: Reclaiming Policies for the Public (Civil Society Reflection Group, 2017).</p>
<p>Strongmen: Trump-Modi-Erdogan-Duterte, edited by Vijay Prashad (LeftWord, 2018).</p>
<p>The Economic Value of Peace 2016 (Institute for Economics and Peace, 2016).</p>
<p>The Long View: How will the global economic order change by 2050? (PricewaterhouseCoopers, 2017).</p>
<p>UNCTAD, Trade and Development Report (UNCTAD, 2017).</p>
<p>UNCTAD, World Investment Report (UNCTAD, 2017).</p>
<p>UNICEF, The State of the World’s Children 2016: A Fair Chance for Every Child (UNICEF, 2016).</p>
<p>Utsa Patnaik and Prabhat Patnaik, A Theory of Imperialism (Tulika, 2016).</p>
<p>Vijay Prashad, The Poorer Nations: A Possible History of the Global South (Verso, 2013).</p>
<p>Vijay Prashad, No Free Left: the Futures of Indian Communism (LeftWord, 2015).</p>
<p>Wendy Wolford, This Land is Ours Now: Social Mobilisation and the Meaning of Land in Brazil (Duke, 2010).</p>
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<p><em>To listen to an interview on our Working Document with Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research Director Vijay Prashad and KPFA Radio, <a href="https://kpfa.org/episode/against-the-grain-april-10-2018/">click here</a>. </em></p>
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