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		<title>The Cooperative Movement in Kerala, India</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/study-kerala-cooperatives/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ricardo Vaz]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Dec 2025 08:00:42 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Socialist Construction]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Studies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cooperatives]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communist Party of India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kerala]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Socialism]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=132460</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Backed by powerful working-class and peasant movements as well as left governments that have been in power intermittently, Kerala’s cooperative movement has sprouted thousands of cooperatives, each one an incubator of possible futures beyond capitalism.]]></description>
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<p class="single-post--content--logos-block--text">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research in collaboration with the UL (Uralungal Labour Contract Cooperative Society) Research Centre</p>
</div>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small">The artwork in this study was produced by members of Young Socialist Artists (YSA). Since 2020, this group has brought together artists and cultural workers from across India who are embedded in social and political movements in their regions. Most of the YSA members who created the illustrations for this study are from and based in Kerala, where these cooperatives are part of the fabric of everyday life. The illustrations are based on photographs taken by the researchers who produced this text during their field visits.</p>
<hr class="single-post--content--separator-narrow">
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Ashique Ali Thuppilikkat</strong> is the co-founder and director of the SAFAR Foundation, an action research centre based in West Bengal, India. He was active with the student movement at Delhi University and Jawaharlal Nehru University, where he researched cooperatives during his MPhil in political science. He is currently a PhD student at the University of Toronto, Canada, and a researcher at STREET Lab. His research focuses on socio-technical designs for resistance, exploring the intersection of technology and labour/social movement organising.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Aswathi Rebecca Asok</strong> is a development economist and law graduate with expertise in interdisciplinary, evidence-based, and policy-oriented research. Over the past nine years, Aswathi has conducted extensive research on Kerala’s development trajectory and explored a wide range of topics such as financial inclusion, poverty, gender, migration, labour, and decentralisation. She was a student activist at multiple universities and campuses in India.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Najeeb VR</strong> is a social scientist and research coordinator at the UL Research Centre in Kozhikode, Kerala, where he integrates transdisciplinary approaches to cooperative development, social transformation, and knowledge systems. He is also a member of the expert committee for the 14th Five-Year Plan Subgroup of the Kerala State Planning Board and actively contributes to academic outreach, curriculum development, and public scholarship. He holds a PhD in sociology from Jawaharlal Nehru University and is a recipient of the Revise PhD Fellowship of the Kerala Council for Historical Research.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Vijoo Krishnan</strong> is the general secretary of the All India Kisan Sabha (AIKS) and a polit bureau member of the Communist Party of India (Marxist). As a leader of the AIKS, he played a crucial role in the historic farmers’ agitation in Delhi in 2021–2022. Before becoming a full-time political activist, he was the head of the Department of Political Science at St. Joseph’s College, Bangalore. In 1998–1999, he was the president of the Jawaharlal Nehru University Students’ Union. Vijoo is also a photographer who captures the everyday life of the working class.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Nidheesh J Villatt</strong> is a member of the All India Kisan Sabha’s Central Kisan Committee as well as the research coordinator of the P Sundarayya Memorial Trust, a research institute that focuses on agrarian issues and movements. Nidheesh is dedicated to studying and building the worker-peasant alliance, with a focus on its political economy and philosophy. He has written about agrarian and industrial class struggles, ‘competition’ under capitalism, political ecology, and Hindutva.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Nitheesh Narayanan</strong> is a movement researcher and writer who works at Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. He studies the history of working-class movements, including cooperatives, and was previously the vice president of the Students’ Federation of India and editor of its journal, <i>Student Struggle</i>. He has a PhD from Jawaharlal Nehru University. He is the author of a number of books in English and Malayalam, including <i>The 1921 Rebellion in Malabar: A Collection of Communist Writings</i>, edited with Vijay Prashad, and <i>If Humanity Is A Country: Cuban Days</i>.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Sarga TK</strong> is an assistant professor at Azim Premji University, Bhopal. Her research engages with themes of urban mobility, labour migration, and construction cooperatives, exploring how work and movement shape the urban landscape. She previously taught at Kannur University in Kerala.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Subin Dennis</strong> is an economist and a researcher at Tricontinental Institute for Social Research. He worked with the online news portal NewsClick as a correspondent before joining Tricontinental. He was active with the student movement and served as the Delhi state vice-president of the Students’ Federation of India. Subin’s writings in English and Malayalam on issues related to the economy and politics appear in various periodicals and websites. He is currently based in Kerala.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small"><strong>Vijay Prashad</strong> is the director of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. He is the author of forty books, including <i>The Darker Nations: A People’s History of the Third World</i>, <i>The Poorer Nations: A Possible History of Global South</i>, and (with Grieve Chelwa) <i>How the International Monetary Fund Suffocates Africa</i>. Vijay is an editor at LeftWord Books (New Delhi), Inkani Books (Johannesburg), and La Trocha (Santiago).</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Introduction: Possible Communism</h2>
<blockquote><p>But there was in store a still greater victory of the political economy of labour over the political economy of property. We speak of the cooperative movement, especially of the cooperative factories raised by the unassisted efforts of a few bold ‘hands’. The value of these great social experiments cannot be overrated. By deed, instead of by argument, they have shown that production on a large scale, and in accord with the behest of modern science, may be carried on without the existence of a class of masters employing a class of hands; that to bear fruit, the means of labour need not be monopolised as a means of dominion over, and of extortion against, the labouring man himself; and that, like slave labour, like serf labour, hired labour is but a transitory and inferior form, destined to disappear before associated labour plying its toil with a willing hand, a ready mind, and a joyous heart.<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a></p>
<p>– Karl Marx, <i>Inaugural Address of the International Working Men’s Association</i>, 1864.</p></blockquote>
<p>Misery greets the planet. Poverty persists for billions of the world’s people. Climate change – the product of capitalist expansionism – threatens the survival of life on Earth. Wars of grotesque proportions creep across the globe in myriad forms, including Israel’s genocide against Palestinians in Gaza, as famines driven by human behaviour plague swathes of the population. It is as if the five horsemen of the apocalypse are no longer sufficient – instead, untold horsemen ride around the planet suffocating the possibilities of human life.</p>
<p>All of this contributes to the sense that nothing other than this nightmare is possible, that alternatives cannot be imagined. When resilient people dare to think of a better future, as they inevitably do, those in power meet them with mockery and strive to snuff them out. It is better for the powerful and the propertied to see to it that no alternative is allowed to flourish. The survival of even one kernel of hope would call into question the claim that History has ended.</p>
<p>One of these kernels is the Indian state of Kerala (population of 35 million), which has a rich history of socialist construction. Ten years after India won its independence in 1947, the Communist Party of India won state elections in Kerala. Right from the start, the left government in Kerala adopted an agenda to smash ancient social hierarchies and customs, provide social goods to the public that were not readily available in the rest of India (including quality public education, health care, and transportation), and construct the basis of working-class and peasant power by defending workers’ rights to organise in unions and build cooperatives. Though the national government in Delhi unconstitutionally removed the communist state government in Kerala in 1959, the agenda set by the left remained largely in place. The left has returned to power periodically (1967–1969, 1980–1981, 1987–1991, 1996–2001, 2006–2011, and 2016–present), each time expanding the agenda of decentralisation, encouraging public action, and building the basis for social democratic state institutions.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> Even when the right came to power in the intervening years, it was not able to undermine the dynamic that had been set in motion by the left governments. It was in this context that the cooperative movement developed in Kerala.</p>
<p>People who are critical of the capitalist system are often as critical of the alternatives being built within the parameters of this system because they argue that such institutions are captive to capitalism’s logic. But this is a flawed assessment of cooperatives, which are – in fact – incubators of different logics of life and work that serve as beacons of inspiration and hope, offering a window into what humanity is capable of once the fetters of capitalism are transcended. Cooperatives provide schools for the working class and peasantry to learn how to build social relations based on a different economic foundation. In his third volume of <i>Capital</i>, Marx wrote:</p>
<blockquote><p>The cooperative factories of the labourers themselves represent within the old form the first sprouts of the new, although they naturally reproduce, and must reproduce, everywhere in their actual organisation all the shortcomings of the prevailing system. But the antithesis between capital and labour is overcome within them, if at first only by way of making the associated labourers into their own capitalist, i.e. by enabling them to use the means of production for the employment of their own labour. They show how a new mode of production naturally grows out of an old one, when the development of the material forces of production and of the corresponding forms of social production have reached a particular stage.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Marx’s insight here is crucial. Cooperatives are neither inherently mired in the capitalist law of value, nor are they easily able to transcend it. They are ‘sprouts’, he writes, of an alternative through which the working class can experiment with the annulment of capitalist management. Marx looked with great pride at the workers’ utopia being built in the Paris Commune of 1871, where he saw how the communards developed workers’ cooperatives and other means of building a new society amidst the jubilation of toppling the Second Empire of Louis Napoleon III (1852–1870).<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> In <i>The Civil War in France</i>, Marx wrote that during the two months of the commune’s existence, from March to May 1871, the commune was the ‘form at last discovered’ for the future workers’ state. It was in this text that Marx wrote of the insights of cooperatives:</p>
<blockquote><p>If cooperative production is not to remain a sham and a snare; if it is to supersede the capitalist system; if the united cooperative societies are to regulate national production upon a common plan, thus taking it under their control and putting an end to the constant anarchy and periodical convulsions which are the fatality of capitalist production – what else, gentlemen, would it be but communism, ‘possible’ communism.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>This text, <i>The Cooperative Movement in Kerala</i>, <i>India,</i> is part of a series from Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research called Studies on Socialist Construction. It is about possible communism, the possibilities in our time of a future society. An honest appraisal of a heroic venture, this study shows us that Kerala’s cooperatives have been able not only to survive in a small niche, but also to grow into substantial institutions that have become an integral part of the region’s social life. There are 16,429 registered cooperative societies in Kerala today (12,278 of which are active, 3,354 of which are dormant, and 797 of which are under liquidation).<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a> Cooperatives operate in a wide range of sectors, from the production and distribution of goods and services to hospitals and restaurants to agricultural production and housing construction. The largest cooperative (although not strictly registered as a cooperative), Kudumbashree, has 4.8 million members, all of whom are women. One in four women in Kerala is a member of this cooperative. There are also many cooperative-like organisations that are registered as charitable societies and trusts, such as the Brahmagiri Development Society, which focuses on agrarian development, and the Janatha Charitable Society, a major milk producer. Most of the active cooperative societies have branches in different parts of the state.</p>
<p>There are, of course, challenges and contradictions, and these are discussed with clarity: there is no sense in exaggerating the possibilities presented by cooperatives that must struggle to survive in a world where the capitalist law of value is the law of the land. Nor is there sense in minimising these cooperatives’ important contributions to the people who live in Kerala – both in material and spiritual terms. These cooperatives are not merely a source of inspiration: they provide a blueprint for cooperatives around the world as seeds of a just future that exist within the confines of capitalism today.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Kerala’s Cooperatives</i></h3>
<p>In 1943, at the 7th Session of the All India Kisan Sabha (AIKS, the country’s largest farmers’ union) in Bhakna Kalan, Punjab, the delegates discussed a range of issues, including the building of cooperatives. In one of their resolutions, the AIKS argued that cooperatives could help the farmers fight the ‘distress and humiliation’ of capitalist and colonial agriculture and enable them to achieve ‘economic, social, and national freedom’. During the deliberations, communist leader EMS Namboodiripad (1909–1998), or EMS as he was called, wrote a note entitled ‘Organisation – Not a Machine’. In the note, EMS pointed out that the resolutions would mean nothing without militant organisation that goes beyond ‘abstract politics’. Cooperatives would need to be built by the peasantry and agricultural workers to expand the democratic revolution and build the confidence of rural workers.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a></p>
<p>In October 1956, the Communist Party of India held a meeting in Thrissur, Kerala, that focused on cooperatives. The meeting was chaired by Professor Joseph Mundassery, who would become the first minister of education and cooperation during EMS’s tenure as the chief minister of Kerala (1957–1959), and resolved that rather than allow the cooperatives to become a ‘pocket borough’ of the feudal classes, working people themselves would build them and there would be political education about the role these cooperatives played in building democracy and socialism. The party leadership also emphasised the need for successful rural credit societies and cooperative banks controlled by communists and workers as a way of eliminating the stranglehold of the moneylenders, nourishing agricultural production, and improving the living conditions of peasants and agricultural workers. It is out of this ideological clarity that Kerala’s cooperatives emerged to become a beacon for democratic worker-led cooperatives around the world.</p>
<p>Brief portraits of some of Kerala’s cooperatives make up the rest of this study. These portraits are written by scholars and political leaders who have worked closely with the cooperatives to learn about them and assess them. The data in the essays has been largely accumulated from the cooperatives and from government documents. We are grateful to the UL Research Centre for assisting us with this work.</p>
<p>These essays reveal some important facts:</p>
<ol>
<li>The cooperative sector in Kerala would not have flourished without a long history of social reform that created the social basis for cooperation. When news about the Soviet Union trickled into Kerala, people involved in the social reform and anti-caste movements expressed their curiosity about its attempts to reconstruct social and economic relations. This curiosity led to studies about the cooperative movement in the Soviet Union, which were then presented in social reform and anti-caste movements’ public meetings.</li>
<li>The cooperative sector developed due to the vitality of the class struggle in Kerala, where organised peasants and workers pushed the social reform movement to combine the struggles against caste, landlordism, and colonialism. It was in these struggles that the peasant movement – mainly in northern Kerala – took the initiative to start peasant cooperatives to help the most impoverished amongst them. The emergence of these cooperatives weakened the grip of landlords, who could no longer lend money at usurious rates to the indebted peasantry or continue to be their main provider of consumer goods. Instead, they watched as the peasant cooperatives lifted the confidence of the masses. The success of cooperatives led to their duplication in other parts of the region, building on the organisational habits of mass movements.</li>
<li>The first communist ministry that came to power in Kerala (1957–1959) received mass support from the mass social reform movement and was bolstered both by the class struggle of previous decades and by the success of the cooperative movement. In turn, the communist government used a part of Kerala’s social wealth to finance the growth of more cooperatives across the state. The government set up coir (coconut fibre), handloom, and toddy (fermented coconut sap that is an alcoholic drink) cooperatives to enhance these sectors of the economy and improve the working conditions and wages of the workers.</li>
<li>The emphasis on building cooperatives to ensure mass employment and higher wages as well as to improve the efficiency and productivity of different enterprises meant that cooperatives could compete against the private sector.</li>
<li>The leadership of oppressed castes was drawn to the cooperative system and saw in them an opportunity to realise their independence and emancipation. At the December 1929 Cheramar Samajam Conference, for instance, the organisation’s president, Chaajan, told the two thousand members of the Pulaya community present there that these cooperative societies, along with education programmes and an anti-alcohol campaign, would be crucial for their struggles.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></li>
<li>The role of political education within cooperatives enabled their members to understand what they were building (socialism) and how what they were building was different – and better – than what the private sector had built (capitalism).</li>
<li>Without an extensive network of financial cooperatives, the entire sector would have been starved of funds. This system has also depended on the left’s periodic entry into government, which has prevented the large-scale privatisation of Kerala’s credit markets.</li>
<li>The cooperatives’ democratic structure, alongside the innovation of their members, allows them to diversify their work and adapt to the changing times. When tobacco consumption habits changed, for instance, the Dinesh Beedi<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a> Workers’ Central Cooperative Society shifted to food production.</li>
<li>A key element in Kerala’s cooperative movement is its commitment to social change, with an emphasis on using cooperative organisation to transcend patriarchy (through women’s cooperatives), caste hierarchies (through oppressed caste cooperatives), discrimination against tribal or Adivasi communities (through Scheduled Tribe<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a>cooperatives), and discrimination against transgender communities (through transgender cooperatives) as well as to promote equality for people with disabilities.</li>
</ol>
<p>This study shows how effective these cooperatives have been in promoting a social form of economic activity that offers a counter to the pressures of capitalism. In that regressive form of economic competition, workers’ livelihoods are the first to be dismissed, while profit is enshrined as a god. Kerala’s cooperatives invert this value system, putting the needs – and dignity – of the working class at their heart.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<div id="attachment_132502" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-132502" class="size-large wp-image-132502 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Uralungal-819x1024.jpg" alt="" width="819" height="1024" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Uralungal-819x1024.jpg 819w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Uralungal-240x300.jpg 240w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Uralungal-768x960.jpg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Uralungal.jpg 1200w" sizes="(max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px"><p id="caption-attachment-132502" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Vanshika Babbar (Young Socialist Artists), <em>Uralungal Cooperative Workers</em>, 2025.</small></p></div>
</div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Sahya Tea Cooperative</h2>
<p class="single-post--content--section-author">Nidheesh J Villatt and Vijoo Krishnan</p>
<p>At the 35<sup>th</sup> conference of the All India Kisan Sabha (AIKS) in December 2022, every delegate received a pack of Sahya tea along with Kerala’s famous spices and other condiments. It was not until months later, during a visit to Assam to report on the decisions made at the conference, that one of the delegates took note of the brand of tea. Local delegates inquired about it, claiming that it was better than their world-renowned Assam tea. Their query led us on a quest to find out more about the brand and the collective effort that went into its emergence.</p>
<p>In a letter to Wilhelm Bracke on 5 May 1875, Karl Marx wrote, ‘every step of real movement is more important than a dozen programmes’.<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a> The story of the Sahya Tea Cooperative Factory, located in the remote area of Thankamany in the hilly district of Idukki, Kerala, shows the significance of the ‘real movement’ of socialism. Launched in 2017, the factory was established by the Thankamany Service Cooperative Bank, Ltd (founded in 1966). The Cooperative Bank has 15,000 members, most of them small peasants and workers, and operates in the Kamakshy village panchayat,<a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a> which is mainly inhabited by small tea growers. The Thankamany Cooperative Tea Factory mostly manufactures black, green, and a variety of blended<b> </b>teas.</p>
<p>The cooperative bank and tea factory must be understood within the broader trajectory of Kerala’s communist-led cooperative movement.<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a> Russia’s 1917 October Revolution had a tremendous impact on Kerala’s progressive movements and helped reshape their orientation within the national movement. In 1934, the strongest sections of these movements formed the All India Congress Socialist Party. Five years later, the party’s Kerala unit went on to transform itself into the Kerala unit of the Communist Party of India, which eventually built the AIKS and a number of trade unions in the region. It was in this period and in this context that the AIKS and other progressive forces began to intervene in the cooperative movement and confront the British strategy of keeping cooperatives insulated from the intensified class struggle that was erupting in the 1930s and 1940s. For instance, as EMS documented, during the People’s War (1941–1945)<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> communists pressured the imperialist British government to procure grain from landlords and distribute it through ration shops, which were subsequently converted into producer and consumer cooperative societies.<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> Communists in Kerala identified building cooperatives as part of the expanding class struggle, distinct from the benevolent colonial idea of cooperatives derived from the Rochdale Principles, which have served as the primary guidelines for cooperatives since 1844.<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a></p>
<p>The dialectical relationship between building a strong working-class organisation that opposes imperialism and building cooperatives had already been established in the AIKS’s 1943 resolution on cooperatives, passed at its 7<sup>th</sup> Session. This resolution called on AIKS cadres to initiate cooperatives as a strategy to combat the economic and social subjugation of the peasantry. The insights from this resolution, particularly EMS’s note ‘Organisation – Not a Machine’, emphasised the necessity of militant class organisation to prevent cooperatives from devolving into ‘abstract politics’ and provided a crucial framework for later discussions on building cooperatives.</p>
<p>By the time communists and cooperative movement leaders convened in Thrissur in October 1956, the focus had shifted from the theoretical foundation laid in 1943 to the practical challenges of implementing this foundation in Kerala.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> During the meeting, participants took stock of the cooperatives’ activities in Kerala and criticised the delusions of Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru’s bourgeois landlord regime, which suggested that the creation of cooperatives by itself would lead to socialism. The participants made the point that communists had to be consciously involved in the organisation of cooperatives and enrol large numbers of working people into these and other mass organisations in order to ensure their political education in the process. Reference was made to the successful cooperative rural credit societies and banks, which had eliminated the stranglehold of moneylenders and nourished agricultural production, thereby increasing the income of the peasantry and agricultural workers. What distinguished these cooperatives from unsuccessful ones was the role of communists in ensuring that the cooperative form was not coopted by reactionaries who tried to maintain old forms of rural power.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>The Emergence of Small Tea Growers</i></h3>
<p>In the late 1990s, the tea industry underwent a sweeping restructuring driven by the profit fetish of monopoly capital, marked by mergers, acquisitions, and an aggressive focus on brand building. Vertically integrated monopolies such as Unilever and Tata – known as Big Tea – abandoned direct ties to agricultural production and divested from tea estate ownership and management. For instance, in March 2000 Tata acquired Tetley Group, the world’s second-largest tea manufacturer and distributor, for £271 million.<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a> Both Tata and Unilever, the world’s largest tea company, shifted to creating and marketing new branded teas – including crush, tear, and curl (CTC) as well as blended tea products – aimed at a variety of tastes and price ranges.</p>
<p>This transformation coincided with a financial crisis in tea estates, which grow and process tea and are largely managed by non-monopoly capital. While most estates were sold to smaller firms, the monopoly companies secured their supply through contractual clauses that guaranteed access to sufficient unprocessed tea. As Professor Natalie Langford observes, the industry shifted from ‘vertical integration’ to value chains in which ‘firms have sought to advance their competitive position through the outsourcing of lower value-adding activities’.<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a> In practice, Big Tea considered agricultural production and estate management the most troublesome links in the chain, as they were heavily regulated by labour and environmental law, and sought to distance themselves from these sectors to avoid class struggle. Instead, they consolidated control over higher value-added activities such as blending, packing, branding, distribution, and sales. Meanwhile, small tea growers rose as the main producers of tea leaves: their share increased from 7% in 1991 to 52% in 2022 and is projected to reach 70% by 2030.</p>
<p>Before the formation of the Sahya Tea Cooperative Factory, the roughly 3,500 small tea growers in the Idukki area operated under the stranglehold of a system run by monopoly firms such as Tata and AVT Beverages (a leading player in southern India). These large companies bought green leaves (freshly plucked, unprocessed tea leaves)<b> </b>from both the farmers and ‘agents’ (intermediaries who often act as buyers on behalf of factories, typically charging a commission on the green leaf collected from small farmers)<b> </b>at ‘an arbitrary rate and [under] humiliating terms and conditions’, a group of farmers told us. Many of the farmers shared stories with us about how companies turned away their green leaves when they tried to bargain for a fair price, inventing superficial excuses which forced the farmers – who had carried the leaves from far away – to dispose of them or use them as manure. Scenes of dispirited farmers returning home on their tractors with their rejected crops were commonplace. These methodically planned rejections were designed to create a docile peasantry that would be inured to selling their crops to the companies at low prices. The entire system was highly favourable to the large companies.</p>
<p>In the absence of successful cooperative action, trading agents generally charge small growers across India a commission of 15%–20% per kg of green leaves. A large chunk of this is sold to bought leaf tea factories, which process tea from purchased leaves rather than growing their own. Another chunk is sometimes sold to tea estate factories owned by big plantations. Trading agents evaluate the quality and price of the leaves based on their ‘fine leaf count’ (the proportion of young, tender leaves and buds, which determine the tea’s overall quality) in a very subjective way, compromising the interests of small farmers.<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a></p>
<p>Bought leaf tea factories usually sell their processed tea at auctions. Since the process is controlled by Big Tea companies (the primary buyers), the tea is sold at distorted prices.<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> The entire auction mechanism in India is designed in such a way that the basic postulate of neoclassical economics – that the interaction between supply and demand determines prices – appears as a farce. On the other hand, estate factories typically sell only half of their processed tea at auctions, as mandated by the regulations outlined in the 1983 Tea Marketing Control Order (itself under the 1953 Tea Act), and sell the other half through more profitable private channels.</p>
<p>Auction participants consist of major tea packing companies, trading agents, and other leading packet tea brands. Since these companies then undertake value-added processes such as blending, sorting, grading, and packaging the tea before distributing it to consumers, small tea growers, who are on the lower end of the value chain, receive a disproportionately lower share of consumer spending on tea – around 15%. Tea packing companies, on the other hand, which are mostly big monopoly companies, receive 50% of consumer spending on tea. That is why it is imperative for small tea growers to climb the value chain and gain direct access to markets<b> </b>in order to secure better prices.<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a> This is exactly what the Sahya Tea Cooperative is setting out to accomplish with its brave move to enter the terrain of Big Tea.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Cooperative Tea</i></h3>
<p>It was the difficult circumstances facing farmers that drove AIKS members to form the Sahya Tea Cooperative in 2017. Designed to process 15,000 kg of green leaves per day, the Sahya Tea Cooperative generates employment for more than 150 workers, most of them recruited from the agricultural working class and peasantry, while also protecting the interests of the peasants amongst the small tea growers. When we visited the cooperative factory and catchment area in September 2023, what caught our attention was the visible confidence among the small tea growers.</p>
<p>The first three years of the cooperative, from 2017 to 2020, were challenging: not only did it have to begin to pay back the large loan it had taken at 12% interest, but it was besieged by a number of shocks, such as the 2018 Kerala flood and the COVID-19 pandemic (2020–2023). Yet, despite the financial challenges the cooperative faced, it was able to procure green leaves and pay farmers INR 12 per kg (far higher than the corporate rate of INR 7 per kg). The cooperative’s steady prices in turn forced the corporate tea suppliers to increase the rates they pay to small tea growers.</p>
<p>The cooperative’s leadership convened peasants and workers to brainstorm how to improve their financial situation. Since Big Tea companies dominated the market with their packaged tea products, they decided to improve their marketing strategy and launch an effort to make inroads into the market. KS Chithra, a popular singer known as the ‘Nightingale of Kerala’, became the Sahya Tea Cooperative’s brand ambassador and helped popularise its brand, refusing to take any payment for her work. To strengthen its market presence, the cooperative also made use of Kerala’s Public Distribution System, such as Supplyco (Kerala State Civil Supplies Corporation) and Consumerfed (Kerala State Cooperative Consumers’ Federation), as well as the system that provides goods to police canteens.</p>
<p>The cooperative also received other forms of support from the state, such as in 2020–2021 when Kerala’s state government bought Sahya tea for the food kits distributed during the pandemic. As a result of these creative marketing mechanisms and state assistance, the cooperative turned a profit in its fourth year (2020–2021) and began to pay INR 18 per kg for green leaves and distribute the profits as incentives to the farmers who supplied the leaves. This set a historic precedent: for the first time, farmers were remunerated fairly for their contributions.</p>
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<div id="attachment_132512" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-132512" class="size-large wp-image-132512 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Udayapuram-819x1024.jpg" alt="" width="819" height="1024" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Udayapuram-819x1024.jpg 819w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Udayapuram-240x300.jpg 240w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Udayapuram-768x960.jpg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Udayapuram.jpg 1200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 819px) 100vw, 819px"><p id="caption-attachment-132512" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Vanshika Babbar (Young Socialist Artists), <em>Udayapuram Cooperative Workers</em>, 2025.</small></p></div>
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<h2 align="left" style="margin:3em 0;">The Uralungal Labour Contract Cooperative Society</h2>
<p class="single-post--content--section-author" align="left">Najeeb VR</p>
<p>In 1925, before the communist movement was established in southwestern India, the followers of the social reformer Vayaleri Kunhikannan Gurukkal, also known as Sri Vagbhatananda Guru, (1885–1939) founded the Uralungal Labour Contract Cooperative Society (ULCCS) to provide construction workers with social protection. Today, the ULCCS is Asia’s largest workers’ cooperative, and it was ranked second in the 2021 World Cooperative Monitor list of industry and utilities cooperatives. United Nations Development Programme Resident Coordinator in India Lise Grande calls it a model cooperative whose success provides ‘great lessons for the rest of the world’.<a href="#_edn23" name="_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> From its origins amongst a group of labourers, ULCCS, located in a rural part of Malabar in northern Kerala, now constructs roads and bridges, buildings, and software systems. The cooperative’s commitment to social harmony and inclusion as well as worker cooperation has allowed it to succeed in areas of social production that are often challenging for cooperatives.</p>
<p>The ULCCS was formed at a time when work was difficult to come by and when forms of caste and class discrimination were even more severe than they are today. In 1917, Sri Vagbhatananda Guru’s followers started the Atma Vidya Sangham school, whose members formed the United Credit Cooperative in 1922 to help each other if any of them faced financial problems due to discrimination in the credit market, which was controlled by the dominant castes. They also founded a school for their children, who had been denied education by the dominant castes in the region. Taking the advice of Vagbhatananda, they decided to form the Mutual Aid Society of Daily Wage Labourers in 1924 to circumvent the labour ban that the elite had imposed on them in an effort to curtail their struggle against caste discrimination. Then, on 13 February 1925, the workers created the Uralungal Kooli Velakkaarude Paraspara Sahaaya Sahakarana Sangham (Uralungal Labourers’ Mutual Aid and Cooperative Society, now ULCCS). Slowly, more and more workers joined the ULCCS, which now has a presence across Kerala.</p>
<p>During its initial years, the ULCCS was seldom able to obtain contracts, and when it did, the tender (or contract) amounts were set at a very low level. In order to compete, the ULCCS underbid private contractors, offering 27.5% less than the private bids. Though this enabled them to get some contracts, the profit margins were negligible. Inexperience with road work and other forms of large-scale construction led to problems for the ULCCS. The cooperative sustained itself by obtaining minor contracts from local governments and by receiving short-term loans from the better-off members of the cooperative. The ULCCS also received funds from microfinance systems such as <i>payattu</i> (money-gathering games) and <i>kurikkalyaanam</i> (marriage announcements)<a href="#_edn24" name="_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a> and used its growing prestige to provide assistance for its members’ basic needs by collecting donations from local merchants.</p>
<p>As time went by, ULCCS workers improved their skills and became more adept at basic business practices. The increased efficiency and quality of their work in turn attracted more lucrative contracts, and their work ethic introduced a new culture of excellence in Kerala’s construction industry. By the 1940s, they began to receive funding from the Malabar Cooperative Central Bank as well as fixed deposits by the public in ULCCS schemes.</p>
<p>Over the past century, the ULCCS has grown from a collective with an initial capital of INR 0.37 (USD 0.13 in 1925 dollars) to an annual revenue of INR 25 billion (USD 300 million) in 2023. It is comprised of 18,000 workers, including more than 1,000 engineers and 1,200 technicians. The cooperative not only advances the well-being of its workers and the surrounding community, fulfilling thirteen out of the seventeen United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, but also ensures that the quality of the work (including its timely completion) is balanced by reasonable costs. These factors, alongside the ULCCS’s modern construction techniques, allow it to compete against private corporations and win major contracts, such as those from the National Highway Authority of India, the Union Ministry of Road Transport and Highways, and the Government of Kerala. The ULCCS has completed over 7,500 major projects and is currently working on 500 projects worth INR 6.5 billion. Since it operates as a cooperative, the ULCCS has been able to provide better pay for its workers than they would earn in the private or even government sectors.</p>
<p>As part of its effort to keep pace with workers’ aspirations, the ULCCS has entered various sectors of the knowledge economy such as software development, diversifying from its initial form as a construction workers’ cooperative to take on the challenges facing cities and work in our times. These initiatives include:</p>
<ol>
<li>UL CyberPark in Kozhikode, the first cyberpark in India’s cooperative sector and part of one of the central government’s Coastal Economic Zones.</li>
<li>UL Technology Solutions, a next-generation digital solutions firm located in the UL CyberPark.</li>
<li>The arts and craft villages Sargaalaya (in Iringal) and the Kerala Arts &amp; Crafts Village (in Kovalam), which the ULCSS manages on behalf of the Government of Kerala. These villages help artisans produce handicrafts for the domestic and international markets.</li>
<li>UL Housing, which uses the cooperative’s construction skills to build apartment projects under the brand name UL SpaceUs. The first such building, called One Anthem, is in the UL CyberPark.</li>
<li>The high-tech Matter Material Testing and Research Laboratory, or MatterLab, an outgrowth of the ULCCS’s construction work created in 2021 to develop and test new sustainable construction materials.</li>
<li>The Indian Institute of Infrastructure and Construction, which ULCCS manages on behalf of the Government of Kerala in collaboration with national and international educational institutions.</li>
<li>UL Education, which develops students’ skills through a range of institutions and projects, such as:
<ol type="a">
<li>The Madappally Academic Project for Learning and Empowerment</li>
<li>The Vagbhatananda Edu Project</li>
<li>The Scholastic Excellence Programme for Students</li>
<li>The UL Space Club (for young aspiring astronauts).</li>
<li>The ULCCS Centenary LP School, an aided lower primary school in Muttungal managed by the ULCCS which offers classes from kindergarten to the 4<sup>th</sup> standard.</li>
</ol>
</li>
<li>ULCCS Charitable and Welfare Foundation, the cooperative’s social responsibility wing, which runs three key projects under the name UL Care:
<ol type="a">
<li>The Prasanthi School for Children with Special Needs</li>
<li>The Nayanar Sadanam Institute of Vocational Training and Placement for Adults with Intellectual Challenges</li>
<li>The Madithattu Geriatric Centre</li>
</ol>
</li>
<li>UL Insight, a management consultancy firm jointly managed with Insight Advisory and Consulting India</li>
</ol>
<p>As a workers’ cooperative, the ULCCS does not allow non-workers to become members. Its board – which is elected by and represents the workers – has thirteen directors, each of whom has between thirty and thirty-five years of experience in various sectors of the construction industry. Each worksite, including the project’s management, is overseen by a board member who evaluates the work at the end of each day.</p>
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<div id="attachment_132522" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-132522" class="size-large wp-image-132522 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/WhatsApp-Image-2025-05-02-at-3.23.36-PM-768x1024.jpeg" alt="" width="768" height="1024" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/WhatsApp-Image-2025-05-02-at-3.23.36-PM-768x1024.jpeg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/WhatsApp-Image-2025-05-02-at-3.23.36-PM-225x300.jpeg 225w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/WhatsApp-Image-2025-05-02-at-3.23.36-PM-1152x1536.jpeg 1152w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/WhatsApp-Image-2025-05-02-at-3.23.36-PM.jpeg 1200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 768px) 100vw, 768px"><p id="caption-attachment-132522" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Navin S. (Young Socialist Artists), <em>Tailors of Dinesh Apparels</em>, 2025.</small></p></div>
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<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Credit Cooperatives in Kerala</h2>
<p class="single-post--content--section-author">Aswathi Rebecca Asok</p>
<p>Credit cooperatives – member-owned financial institutions that provide affordable credit and financial services to rural and marginalised populations – were formed in Kerala even before the state was established in 1956. They largely service small-scale farmers and workers, often where private commercial banks are absent or insufficient. In Kerala, they have historically played a vital role in supporting land reform beneficiaries and preventing the re-concentration of land ownership. For instance, the Trivandrum Central Cooperative Bank was set up in 1915 to provide finance to the emerging cooperative sector in the area. Later, similar credit cooperatives were established across the northern Malabar region and in Cochin. In 1956, the Trivandrum Central Cooperative Bank became the Kerala State Cooperative Bank, anchoring the credit cooperatives of the new state. Today, there are 4,146 credit cooperatives in Kerala, accounting for over one-third of the total lending institutions in the state.<a href="#_edn25" name="_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a> These credit cooperatives have played a vital role in economically uplifting the people, particularly in rural Kerala. For example, when the communist ministry initiated land reforms in 1957, small-scale farmers who received land needed finance to begin cultivation, but this credit was not available from the private sector in sufficient volumes. It was the credit cooperatives that stepped in, providing the necessary capital and sparing farmers from having to borrow from moneylenders and the feudal class. Without the presence of credit cooperatives, a substantial portion of the distributed land in Kerala would have returned to the feudal class and moneylenders in the form of mortgages.</p>
<p>Though private commercial banking has emerged in rural Kerala, credit cooperatives continue to provide a vital function. Kerala is the fifth-best connected state in India in terms of coverage by commercial bank branches, yet there is a wide rural-urban gap in the distribution of these branches. Reserve Bank of India data from 2024 shows that only 5.3% of these branches are located in rural areas, while 22.5% are in urban areas and 72.2% are in semi-urban areas.<a href="#_edn26" name="_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a> However, if cooperative credit institutions are added into these figures, 25% of the bank branches in the state are located in rural areas.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>The Structure of Credit Cooperatives in Kerala</i></h3>
<p>Kerala’s credit cooperative sector is structured into two parallel systems: short-term cooperatives, which provide seasonal working capital loans for agriculture, and long-term cooperatives, which offer investment credit for rural infrastructure and agricultural development. Each system has its own institutional structure, including banks operating at village, district, and state levels.</p>
<p>Short-term cooperatives have historically operated through a three-tier structure consisting of Primary Agricultural Credit Societies (PACSs) at the village level, district cooperative banks at the district level, and the Kerala State Cooperative Bank at the state level. In 2019, this structure was simplified to two tiers by merging the district- and state-level banks into a single entity now known as Kerala Bank. This simplified structure has strengthened the integration and efficiency of the short-term cooperative network. Broadly speaking, this structure can be visualised as a pyramid: PACSs form the base, and Kerala Bank serves as the apex. Long-term cooperatives form a separate structure anchored by the Kerala State Cooperative Agricultural and Rural Development Bank at the state level and supported by primary cooperative agriculture and rural development banks at the district and block levels.</p>
<p>At the foundation of the short-term cooperative structure are the PACSs, popularly known as ‘societies’. Each village in Kerala has at least one PACS, making them the most accessible and familiar financial institutions in rural Kerala. These PACSs also form the backbone of the state’s broader cooperative movement. With 30.3 million members in 2022, Kerala’s PACSs account for the largest membership in India – more than double that of West Bengal, the state with the second highest membership.<a href="#_edn27" name="_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a> Most members come from small and marginal farming households or other economically and socially disadvantaged communities. This large membership base has enabled PACSs in Kerala to mobilise INR 1.217 billion in deposits – over two-thirds of the total deposits held by PACSs across India.<a href="#_edn28" name="_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a></p>
<p>The vibrant role that Kerala’s PACSs have played in enhancing credit availability and accessibility for the rural poor and other marginalised sections of the population underserved by commercial banks is illustrated by several Kerala-based empirical studies.<a href="#_edn29" name="_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a> These studies show that socially and economically deprived groups perceive cooperative societies as their friendly neighbourhood institutions and, therefore, as the most approachable banking institutions. Half of the low-income households in rural Kerala rely on the cooperative sector for loans, while 25% borrow from commercial banks. The studies also note a higher dependence of Dalit and Adivasi borrowers and extremely poor households on credit cooperatives compared to other socioeconomic categories and point to the barriers that stand between poor people and commercial banks. Further, the specific characteristics of financial cooperatives – familiarity between customers, employees, and the members of the boards of directors, as well as the right of anyone in the locality to secure membership – make these institutions easily accessible to marginalised populations. Complex forms, complicated procedures, and even the attire and sophisticated nature of commercial bank staff often instil a feeling of ‘otherness’ among the poor towards commercial banks.</p>
<p>The potential of credit cooperatives in Kerala to free socially and economically vulnerable groups from the clutches and exploitation of moneylenders is evident from the story of Mannarkkad Rural Service Cooperative Bank Ltd, located in the district of Palakkad.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Mannarkkad Rural Service Cooperative Bank Ltd</i></h3>
<p>The Mannarkkad Rural Service Cooperative Bank Ltd (MRSCB) began operating in 1989 with just 305 members and a share capital of INR 30,000. Over the last three decades, the bank has made tremendous progress in terms of membership, deposits, and share capital. Currently, the bank has more than 16,000 members, a share capital of INR 40 million, and an annual turnover of INR 7.5 billion. It has mobilised a total of INR 2.7 billion as deposits, distributed a total of INR 2.5 billion as loans, and consistently earned a profit since 1994. It pays a dividend of 25% to its members, which is the maximum permitted amount by the Kerala Cooperative Societies Act. In 2018, the bank launched a microfinance scheme called Muttathe Mulla (Jasmine in Your Yard) for poor villagers who live near the bank in order to save them from illegal moneylenders and private microfinance companies that charge exorbitant interest rates. Under this scheme, a person is eligible for bank loans at a discounted rate, which enable them to pay off older loans taken from moneylenders. The scheme has been implemented with the support of Kudumbashree neighbourhood groups, which are entrusted with the responsibilities of identifying those in need, distributing the loans, and collecting the weekly payments from borrowers at their doorsteps. Seeing the success of this scheme, the Government of Kerala adopted it at the state level and decided to implement it all over the state through PACSs.</p>
<p>Apart from providing traditional banking services, PACSs are also making diverse interventions to advance the development of rural local economies, thus acting as the backbone of the rural financial sector in Kerala. The institutions undertake a range of activities, such as distributing credit and inputs at subsidised rates; supporting farming, animal husbandry, and small-scale industries; and arranging facilities for processing, branding, and marketing local produce.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Palliyakkal Service Cooperative Bank Ltd</i></h3>
<p>The Palliyakkal Service Cooperative Bank Ltd (PSCB)<i> </i>was established in 1943 in the Ezhikkara grama panchayat (village panchayat) of Ernakulam district. Predominantly an agrarian village, Ezhikkara is known for the cultivation of pokkali rice (a salt-tolerant rice variety) and fish farming, both of which serve as the local community’s major income sources. During its first decades of its existence, the PSCB engaged in traditional banking activities such as lending money and accepting deposits. However, its financial performance turned out to be very poor with a very low recovery rate. In 2000, the PSCB’s board of directors conducted an in-depth analysis of the bank and found that the low profitability and reduced employment opportunities in the region’s farming sector were the major contributing factors to borrowers’ low repayment. The bank recognised the need to enhance the local community’s income in order to improve its financial viability.</p>
<p>With this in mind, the PSCB decided to address the agrarian crisis facing farmers in its area. It held consultations with its members and the local community and developed a strategic plan for achieving local self-sufficiency in food production, ensuring local food security, and driving local economic development. Mutual aid groups were formed under the aegis of the PSCB in seven sectors: pokkali rice cultivation, horticulture, floriculture, milk production, poultry, pisciculture, and herbal plant cultivation. To increase agricultural production, the PSCB regularly provided these community-based farmer groups with training, accessible (such as low-interest or easy-to-access) credit, and forward and backward linkages (connections to input suppliers and to markets for selling their produce). The bank also provided farmers with continuous agricultural consultancy through its agricultural officer, as well as financing, and introduced innovative agricultural practices. In addition, it offered facilities to procure and market produce and arranged its own distribution centre for agricultural inputs such as organic seeds, organic fertiliser, and agricultural equipment. The PSCB organised agricultural labourers into the Green Army, a service through which it provided farmers with a sufficient labour force, and set up a pokkali rice mill to improve the processing of pokkali products. It also organised markets where fruits, vegetables, milk, and eggs procured from the farmers were sold at some of the highest prices in Kerala. Landowners in the area supported these initiatives by allowing the bank to use their land for farming. Presently, more than a thousand families in the locality are involved in activities initiated by the bank, whose concerted efforts and achievements in reviving the local economy are widely recognised.</p>
<p>Over the past few years, the bank has won several performance awards in the cooperative sector. In the 2020 state budget, then Finance Minister of Kerala Dr T. M. Thomas Isaac announced the virtual Kerala Food Platform, which enables farm products to be purchased directly from farmers and delivered to consumers, ensuring not only more widely accessible and healthier products but also better returns for the farmers by avoiding intermediaries. In recognition of the PSCB’s interventions in the area, the bank was selected to implement the programme.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Cooperative Development</i></h3>
<p>Kerala’s extensive network of credit cooperatives has received international acclaim for its achievements furthering the development of rural economies. Free of the rigidities and cumbersome procedures that characterise commercial banks, these ‘people’s banks’ play a key role in making several state programmes a success. Such initiatives include the Care Home project, which built safe and better homes for families affected by the floods and landslides of 2018, and welfare pension schemes. Furthermore, these grassroots credit institutions played a key role in helping the state recover from the massive floods of 2018 and the COVID-19 pandemic by extending financial support to the people of Kerala. Between the long-term process of development and the short-term dynamic of relief, these institutions have proved themselves vital to progress in Kerala.</p>
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<div id="attachment_132532" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-132532" class="size-large wp-image-132532 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-dineshbeediworkers-1024x576.jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="576" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-dineshbeediworkers-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-dineshbeediworkers-300x169.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-dineshbeediworkers-768x432.jpg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-dineshbeediworkers.jpg 1200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-132532" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Kadambari (Young Socialist Artists), <em>Dinesh Beedi’s Read Aloud Programme</em>, 2025.</small></p></div>
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<h2 align="left" style="margin:3em 0;">Kerala Dinesh Beedi Workers’ Central Cooperative Society</h2>
<p class="single-post--content--section-author" align="left">Nitheesh Narayanan and Ashique Ali Thuppilikkat</p>
<p>On 15 February 1969, the Kerala Dinesh Beedi Workers’ Central Cooperative Society (Dinesh Beedi) was registered with the State Registrar of Cooperative Societies. Initially, the cooperative established one central society and twenty primary production units, where the workers rolled beedi (a type of thin hand-rolled cigarette). The cooperative was formed after a sustained period of agitation by the workers, whose demands to improve their working conditions were also taken up by the communists. In 1966, the efforts of communist leader AK Gopalan led to the passage of the Beedi and Cigar Workers (Conditions of Employment) Act in the Indian parliament, which laid out a minimum guarantee for the well-being of beedi workers, including decent wages and social security, and left the responsibility to implement the act to the discretion of state governments. It was worker agitation and the passage of this act that provided the impetus for the formation of Dinesh Beedi three years later.</p>
<p>When the communists won the 1967 state elections in Kerala by a landslide, EMS Namboodiripad, the new chief minister, implemented the Beedi and Cigar Workers Act. Private owners of the beedi factories protested, with some of them – such as Ganesh Beedi – going as far as abruptly shutting down their factories. They refused to negotiate with workers because they wanted the government to withdraw from implementing the legislation. When workers from the districts of Kannur and Kasaragod in northern Kerala began to suffer from the social impacts of these closures, trade unions and communists came together in a united front to demand support for them. ‘Workers knew only beedi-making, and it was not easy to find alternative jobs for such a large number of them’, wrote GK Panikkar, who later became the chairman of Dinesh Beedi from 1969 to 1996. ‘The economy of the district was shaken’, he said.<a href="#_edn30" name="_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a> It was at this point that the unionised workers decided to organise a cooperative for beedi production.</p>
<p>The formation of this workers’ cooperative became not only a solution to the crisis created by factory closures and an antidote to capital flight, but also an expression of the dignity of labour and the spirit of collective action. ‘The emergence of Dinesh Beedi was not as simple as many think’, said KP Sahadevan, who led the united front and helped establish the cooperative. ‘It was the result of the continuous struggle waged by the working class and by the overall militancy of the period’.<a href="#_edn31" name="_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a></p>
<p>The idea to form Dinesh Beedi was inspired by the Indian Coffee Workers’ Cooperative Society, formed in 1958 under the initiative of AK Gopalan. That earlier experience gave confidence that such worker-run schemes could work, which – alongside support from Kerala’s communist ministry – helped turn the beedi workers’ idea into reality nearly a decade later.</p>
<p>Capital for Dinesh Beedi came from the workers themselves. They fixed a share value of INR 20 in 1969, but many of them could not afford to buy their shares since the daily wage at that time was less than INR 3. To solve this problem, the state government provided INR 19 as a loan to each prospective worker-owner. Workers repaid the loan through instalments that were deducted from their wages. Though the project could not initially accommodate the 12,000 workers who lost their jobs, the 3,000 workers who first joined were accompanied by another 1,000 workers within a month. In other words, a third of the unemployed beedi workers entered the cooperative. The class-conscious beedi workers of northern Malabar made it clear that no divisions would be allowed between those who entered the cooperative as worker-owners and those who did not, and they educated all workers, whether employed in the cooperative or not, about how the cooperative worked.</p>
<p>From the onset, Dinesh Beedi faced a number of challenges. For instance, it had to struggle to gain a foothold against customers’ longstanding loyalty to older private brands. In the early period, the cooperative was stuck with unsold beedi packets, and it seemed like the new venture would not succeed, despite the workers’ efforts to produce high-quality beedi. At this point, through collective discussion, the workers decided to launch a mass campaign to promote Dinesh Beedi at every shop, requesting that they purchase their brand. This mass campaign gradually made Dinesh Beedi the preferred brand among Kerala’s working class and peasantry. Within a few years, Dinesh Beedi emerged as one of the most popular beedi brands in India and the largest beedi producer in southern India. The cooperative, which had started with 3,000 workers in 1969, employed 42,000 workers by the 1980s, becoming one of the largest worker cooperatives in Asia. As a result, they were able to pay themselves higher wages and social security than was provided in the private sector.</p>
<p>However, the point of a cooperative is not just to survive in the capitalist system but to use its democratic structure to expand the social horizons of its workers. Dinesh Beedi’s worker-owners both created a dignified work culture and eliminated the private contract system, which did not honour established workers’ rights – one of the main complaints during the agitations of the 1950s and 1960s. It was also among the first firms to provide its workers with paid time off, bonuses, and bereavement benefits. At the workplace, Dinesh Beedi encouraged both trade unionism and political discussion, such as through a ‘read aloud’ programme in which a designated worker read important literary works or texts on contemporary affairs to the other workers. It also organised arts and sports clubs in villages to provide workers, their families, and the community at large with necessary leisure activities. These reforms had a profound impact on the beedi industry, and some of them were even adopted by private firms. Dinesh Beedi became a symbol of resistance and of workers’ unity and dignity.</p>
<p>In the 1990s, a crisis in the beedi industry threatened Dinesh Beedi’s existence. The crisis stemmed from several developments, including the emergence of new private-sector beedi firms that paid wages below the government-mandated minimum and offered higher margins to retailers; a shift among younger consumers from beedis to cigarettes; and government anti-tobacco campaigns. Dinesh Beedi supported the government campaigns, which gained momentum as public awareness of tobacco’s health risks grew. Because of this new consciousness, the cooperative stopped hiring new workers after 1993 and consumer demand declined year after year. Dinesh Beedi workers’ hours were reduced, and many left the cooperative to seek employment elsewhere.</p>
<p>In this context, Dinesh Beedi’s worker-owners began to discuss diversifying production in order to save the cooperative. To support this initiative, Kerala’s Industries Minister Susheela Gopalan, a leader of the communist movement, held a state-wide workshop on diversification on 30 August 1996 in which many scientists provided their inputs to the cooperative’s worker-owners. Soon after, Dinesh Beedi launched a set of pilot products such as coconut milk (1997) and curry powder (1998). In the late 1990s, Dinesh Beedi expanded into five new ventures:</p>
<ol>
<li>Dinesh Foods manufactures and retails spice powders, coconut milk, virgin coconut oil, coconut milk ice cream, fruit squash, fruit jam, syrup, and pickles, mostly employing former beedi workers. The cooperative has four manufacturing units in Kannur district, ensuring round-the-year employment for its workers.</li>
<li>Cafe Dinesh operates cooperative restaurants and catering services in Kannur, Payyannur, Pinarayi, and Thalassery. Dinesh Foods’ products are available at these outlets.</li>
<li>Dinesh Information Technology Systems (DITS), established in 1999, provides IT support for the cooperative sector in Kerala, including the cooperative banking sector. In 2001, DITS established the Dinesh Software Park in Kannur.</li>
<li>Dinesh Auditorium in Kannur rents out a large hall with capacity for 1,000 people and is available for conferences and weddings.</li>
<li>Dinesh Apparel, created in 2007 in Kannur and Kasaragod, produces clothes for local and export markets. It employs more than 400 people.</li>
</ol>
<p>By diversifying into Kerala Dinesh, as it became more popularly known by the early 2000s, the cooperative was able to thrive and reduce its reliance on a harmful product. Democratic decision-making and a belief in prioritising workers’ interests have led to the creation of a cooperative ecosystem that continues to capture the imagination of workers across the world.</p>
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<div id="attachment_132542" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-132542" class="size-large wp-image-132542 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Food-Processing--1024x922.jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="922" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Food-Processing--1024x922.jpg 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Food-Processing--300x270.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Food-Processing--768x691.jpg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Food-Processing-.jpg 1200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-132542" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Vanshika Babbar (Young Socialist Artists), <em>Dinesh Foods</em>, 2025.</small></p></div>
</div>
<h2 align="left" style="margin:3em 0;">A Small Village Builds Its Own Labour Cooperative</h2>
<p class="single-post--content--section-author" align="left">Sarga T. K.</p>
<p>Kodom Belur, a village panchayat located in a remote part of Kerala’s northern Kasaragod district, had long been marked by deep socioeconomic disparities rooted in feudal landlordism. The material conditions of its people were shaped both by the land reforms of the decades following Kerala’s formation in 1956 and by remittances from migrants to the Persian Gulf, which gave rise to a new wealthy class. Yet large sections of the population did not benefit from either the land reforms or the remittances and remained unemployed, socially bereft, and frustrated by rampant corruption in publicly funded projects. Construction labourers were often denied their rightful wages while contractors seized public funds without completing projects.</p>
<p>Construction is a demand-driven sector. The need for infrastructure depends on the level of economic development, and the quality of physical infrastructure is unevenly distributed across regions. Construction work does not always take place where labour is available, nor is the need for labour constant. Workers go from one job site to another based on the availability of contracts, with the amount of labour and capital required dependent upon the size and value of each project. At each stage of construction, different skill sets are needed and new workers are brought in, giving capital investors the upper hand throughout the entire construction process. In large-scale projects, multiple layers of subcontracting further increase workers’ vulnerability. Altogether, the structural characteristics of construction activity create ample conditions for labour exploitation.</p>
<p>In 1996, Kerala’s Left Democratic Front government launched the People’s Campaign for Decentralised Planning, which built an impressive process to decentralise planning by drawing large sections of Kerala’s population into discussions about the problems and unmet potential in the state. These efforts galvanised the people of Kodom Belur to organise against exploitative construction companies and boycott the privately contracted public works in the area. They built an action group that began executing public contracts independently. However, technical backwardness, limited capital, pressure from private builders, and obstruction by corrupt officials – especially in the Public Works Department – undermined their efforts to assert popular control over these projects.</p>
<p>In 1997, a local elected leader and the panchayat standing committee chairman for Kodom Belur, AC Mathew, galvanised the members of the action group to organise themselves into the Hosdurg Labour Contract Cooperative Society. The society aimed to pool its members’ skilled labour and raise capital through their own savings so that they could bid for public works. In 2004, the society was renamed Udayapuram Labour Contract Cooperative Society. The society has grown from 221 initial members to 2,981 today, including 235 permanent Class A members (those with full voting rights and long-term participation in the cooperative), about one-quarter of whom belong to the Scheduled Tribes category. The Udayapuram Society secures construction contracts from the Kerala Public Works Department, local self-governing bodies, and other government departments. It is owned and maintained by its members and receives funding from the National Cooperative Development Corporation, district cooperative banks (now Kerala Bank), and the Kerala Financial Corporation.</p>
<p>The cooperative’s model is rooted in mutual aid and ultimately aims to improve the quality of life of its members. Before the creation of the Udayapuram Society, construction work was largely carried out by private builders. It was through the Udayapuram Society that labourers were able to overcome wage exploitation and dependency on private contractors.</p>
<p>The increased volume of work has gradually led to better socioeconomic conditions for its members. From 2011 onwards, the society began to undertake large-scale construction projects. It also diversified its activities to include agriculture and other industries in order to stabilise growth and make better use of available human resources. By creating productive job opportunities, the society became an engine of growth in the regional economy.</p>
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<div id="attachment_132552" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-132552" class="size-large wp-image-132552 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-IMG_3392-781x1024.jpg" alt="" width="781" height="1024" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-IMG_3392-781x1024.jpg 781w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-IMG_3392-229x300.jpg 229w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-IMG_3392-768x1007.jpg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-IMG_3392-1171x1536.jpg 1171w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/Copy-of-IMG_3392.jpg 1200w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 781px) 100vw, 781px"><p id="caption-attachment-132552" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Junaina Muhammad (Young Socialist Artists), <em>Kudumbashree</em>, 2025.</small></p></div>
</div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Kudumbashree</h2>
<p class="single-post--content--section-author">Subin Dennis</p>
<p>One of the most striking things about Kudumbashree is its sheer size: 4.8 million women – about one-third of adult women in Kerala – are members of this network.<a href="#_edn32" name="_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a> Although Kudumbashree (which means ‘prosperity of the family’ in Malayalam) began in May 1998 as a state-initiated programme to eradicate poverty among women, it has since become a transformative force in Kerala’s social and political life. ‘Partly a movement and partly a government programme’, as V. K. Ramachandran describes it, today Kudumbashree is engaged in a wide range of activities, from microfinance and collective farming to manufacturing apparel and running restaurants.<a href="#_edn33" name="_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a> It has become a ubiquitous presence in Kerala society.</p>
<p>Though Kudumbashree is not organised under the laws that govern cooperatives in Kerala, it is imbued with a cooperative spirit – the basic units of the Kudumbashree community network are controlled and run by its members in a democratic manner based on the ‘one member, one vote’ rule.<a href="#_edn34" name="_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a> The community network has a three-tier structure:</p>
<ol>
<li>The lowest tier is the Neighbourhood Group or NHG (<i>Ayalkkoottam</i> in Malayalam), consisting of ten to twenty members. All adult women in the neighbourhood are eligible to become members, and there is a focus on including women from economically and socially disadvantaged sections of the population.</li>
<li>The second tier is the Area Development Society (ADS), which is formed by federating all the NHGs in a ward of the relevant local self-government institution (LSGI, also known as local body or local government), such as a panchayat or municipality.</li>
<li>The third tier is the Community Development Society (CDS), which is formed by federating all the area development societies in the local body.</li>
</ol>
<p>The Kudumbashree community network is supported by a government structure called the Kudumbashree Mission (officially the State Poverty Eradication Mission). The mission is led by a governing body chaired by the state minister for local self-governments, an executive committee chaired by the additional chief secretary of the department of local self-government, and a government official who serves as executive director. There are fourteen district Kudumbashree missions (one for each district in Kerala) under the state mission.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Origins</i></h3>
<p>Previous local experiments in community development served as precursors to Kudumbashree.<a href="#_edn35" name="_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a> One such experiment was the Community-Based Nutrition Programme, initiated by the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) in the town of Alappuzha in 1991 to improve the health and nutritional status of women and children. The programme established women’s community development societies at three levels: NHGs, ADSs, and CDSs. A similar project was implemented in Malappuram district from 1994 onwards with a five-tier structure (NHGs, ADSs, CDSs, block-level CDSs, and district-level CDSs), though it was eventually reduced to three, like the one in Alappuzha. Thrift and credit societies, which mobilised the small savings of poor women members of the community development societies and provided loans to their members, became an integral part of the community organisation.</p>
<p>The early 1990s were also a time when the Kerala Sasthra Sahitya Parishad (Kerala Forum for Science Literature, or KSSP, Kerala’s biggest people’s science movement) was leading new experiments in a participatory model of planning for local development. The formation of NHGs, which participated in resource mapping and planning at the local level, was part of these experiments. The most prominent among them was implemented by KSSP at the Kalliasseri village panchayat in Kannur district in 1993, where nearly two hundred NHGs were formed.</p>
<p>In 1996, the Left Democratic Front government came to power in Kerala and launched the People’s Campaign for Decentralised Planning (also known as the People’s Plan Campaign) that same year. The campaign led to a much greater devolution of funds and powers to local governments, and NHGs were formed to strengthen the process of decentralised planning.<a href="#_edn36" name="_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> As part of the campaign, the state government also made it mandatory for local governments to earmark 10% of their annual plan funds exclusively for various projects that targeted the social advancement of women.</p>
<p>All of these processes and experiments informed the creation of Kudumbashree.</p>
<p>In 1997, a special government task force recommended forming the State Poverty Eradication Mission (the Kudumbashree Mission). The mission was announced in the 1997–1998 Kerala state budget and inaugurated on 17 May 1998. Its aim was to eradicate absolute poverty through concerted community action under the leadership of local governments.<a href="#_edn37" name="_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a></p>
<p>Today, Kudumbashree’s major programmes include microfinance, income-generating economic activities such as agriculture and microenterprises, and the implementation of various welfare and development initiatives of local governments.</p>
<p>All members of Kudumbashree are part of its thrift and credit programme. Members of Kudumbashree neighbourhood groups meet once a week and make small contributions to a thrift fund, which is then used to give small loans to members who need them. Most neighbourhood groups are also linked to banks, which provide loans to the groups. The groups then use these loan amounts for livelihood activities such as collective farming and setting up microenterprises.<a href="#_edn38" name="_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Collective Farming</i></h3>
<p>One of Kudumbashree’s most noteworthy initiatives is collective farming.<a href="#_edn39" name="_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a> Groups of four to ten NHGs members who are interested in farming are organised into Joint Liability Groups, also known as <i>sangha krishi</i> (collective farming) groups, which identify land (often land that is lying fallow) suited for cultivation in their village and surrounding areas. With the help of the panchayat and the Kudumbashree District Mission, they take the land on lease from landowners and cultivate it. Group members also pool their own land and cultivate it. Active sangha krishi groups are linked with banks, and loans are made available to them with subsidy on interest. The Kudumbashree Mission also supports the collectives by providing them with farm machinery, seeds, fertilisers, and pesticides at subsidised prices. The state agriculture department provides periodic training and technical support. Funds from various central government initiatives are also used to support the collective farming efforts. Ten thousand skilled women farmers from the sangha krishi groups have been designated as ‘master farmers’ who function as resource persons who provide training to the rest of the<i> </i>sangha krishi<i> </i>group members.</p>
<p>As of 30 June 2025, the number of women farmers who are part of the Kudumbashree sangha krishi groups in Kerala has reached 439,255. There are 96,177 sangha<i> </i>krishi groups, which have brought 21,457 hectares of land under cultivation.<a href="#_edn40" name="_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a> The main crops they grow are rice, vegetables, tubers, and bananas. The produce is first used for consumption among the women farmers’ families, and the surplus is then sold in village markets. Kudumbashree’s collective farming efforts have strengthened the food security of members’ families, and improved their incomes and living standards.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Local Governments</i></h3>
<p>The Kudumbashree community network plays a crucial role in the development initiatives of the local governments under decentralised planning in Kerala. While local governments are responsible for planning and implementing programmes for economic development, social justice, and poverty alleviation, Kudumbashree’s core mission is poverty eradication.<a href="#_edn41" name="_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a> From the beginning, this shared focus has meant that Kudumbashree NHGs, ADSs, and CDSs work in tandem with the local governments.</p>
<p>Kudumbashree acts as the implementation agency for several poverty eradication schemes and development initiatives of the state government. For instance, the Destitute-Free Kerala programme, aimed at eradicating extreme poverty in the state, is implemented by Kudumbashree, and the beneficiaries of the programme are identified by Kudumbashree members. The programme is intended to provide food, medical treatment, clothing, welfare pensions, schooling, land, and housing to those identified as destitute.<a href="#_edn42" name="_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a></p>
<p>As part of the planning process, Kerala’s local governments establish working groups for key development sectors such as health, education, poverty reduction, development of women and children, and social security, and it is mandatory that at least one Kudumbashree CDS member be included in every such working group.<a href="#_edn43" name="_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a> These working groups are tasked with surveying existing resources, analysing local conditions, exploring development potential, and identifying people’s needs. Moreover, people’s development needs are assessed at ward-level assemblies (known as <i>grama sabhas</i> in villages and <i>ward</i> <i>sabhas</i> in towns and cities). Kudumbashree members are the most active section of such assemblies and play a crucial role in keeping the assemblies vibrant.</p>
<p>In February 2020, Kerala’s left government announced that it was opening one thousand restaurants, to be run by Kudumbashree, where food would be provided at subsidised rates.<a href="#_edn44" name="_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a> During the COVID-19 lockdowns that year, Kudumbashree began setting up these restaurants, christening them ‘people’s restaurants’. During these months, Kudumbashree – along with local governments and employees’ unions – was also involved in running community kitchens across the state. As of 1 March 2025, there were 1,198 people’s restaurants functioning in the state, run by 5,104 Kudumbashree members.<a href="#_edn45" name="_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Microenterprises</i></h3>
<p>Microenterprises set up by Kudumbashree units are involved in a wide range of sectors, including the production of packaged foods, apparel, sanitary napkins, umbrellas, bags, pottery, floor mats, soaps, and toiletries. There are Kudumbashree initiatives that brand and market agricultural products produced by tribal farmers in various districts in the state to ensure that the producers receive higher incomes. The Home Shop network, which takes the products of Kudumbashree microenterprises directly to households, has been established in all fourteen districts in the state. There are also units that engage in rearing livestock and poultry and running fish farms.</p>
<p>Kudumbashree units run restaurants and canteens across the state; manage parking at railway stations; process coconut oil, cashew, and tamarind; and make snacks, pickles, and <i>pappadam </i>(a thin, crisp lentil-based snack). They run fitness centres, women’s hostels, daycare centres for children, driving schools, coir (coconut fibre) units, book binding units, printing centres, medical labs, tailoring units, and supermarkets. There are also units that manufacture LED bulbs and electronic products.</p>
<p>There are Kudumbashree all-women construction teams consisting of supervisors, masons, plumbers, and electricians who have been trained by the Kudumbashree Mission with the support of various other agencies. Kudumbashree also has a Haritha Karma Sena (Green Task Force) which collects plastic waste from houses and businesses, transports the waste to shredding units for recycling, and assists in household biowaste management. Amrutham Nutrimix, the cereal-based powder given to children aged six months to three years at Kerala’s childcare centres, is also manufactured by 241 Kudumbashree units in the state.<a href="#_edn46" name="_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a></p>
<p>As of 1 March 2025, there were a total of 157,097 Kudumbashree microenterprises in the state, run by 318,265 Kudumbashree members.<a href="#_edn47" name="_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a> Out of these, 69,484 enterprises were in the production sector, 49,381 in the service sector, and 35,646 in the trade sector.<a href="#_edn48" name="_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><i>Impact</i></h3>
<p>Kudumbashree has transformed the lives of its members, helping them improve their living standards, gain income-generating work outside their homes, strengthen their confidence and self-esteem, and increase their visibility in the public sphere. Kudumbashree members have also become a major presence in the activities and leadership of local governments in the state.</p>
<p>According to a 2015 sample survey carried out across Kerala by the Laurie Baker Centre for Habitat Studies, Thiruvananthapuram (henceforth LBC Survey), 54.1% of Kudumbashree members were engaged in some form of income-generating economic activity.<a href="#_edn49" name="_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a> This was double the work participation rate of adult women in the state (26.3%). The LBC Survey also showed that before joining Kudumbashree, 66.1% of its members were engaged solely in household work and were not involved in any income-generating activity outside their homes or in studies. This dropped to 37% after they joined Kudumbashree.<a href="#_edn50" name="_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a></p>
<p>Another sample survey conducted by Ambika Devi R in 2008–2009 as part of her PhD work at the University of Kerala showed that Kudumbashree helped nearly 50% of its members gain access to income-generating activities.<a href="#_edn51" name="_ednref51"><sup>51</sup></a> As part of this survey, Kudumbashree members were asked how much control they had over their income, the options being ‘to a great extent’, ‘to some extent’, and ‘no control’. As much as 88.8% of the women reported that they had control over their income ‘to a great extent’ after they joined Kudumbashree. The percentage of women who had the same level of control over their income before they joined Kudumbashree was much lower: 66.7%.<a href="#_edn52" name="_ednref52"><sup>52</sup></a> A 2016 survey in Ernakulam district by Taramol KG as part of her PhD work at Bharathiar University showed that the incomes of Kudumbashree members increased significantly after they became part of the community network.<a href="#_edn53" name="_ednref53"><sup>53</sup></a></p>
<p>Households with Kudumbashree members have also reported an increase in their acquisition of consumer durables and household assets as a result of their improved incomes. The 2015 LBC Survey showed that the percentage of Kudumbashree members living in <i>kutcha </i>houses (made of less durable materials such as mud, leaves, straw, and grass) was 6.7 percent, down from 22.9 percent before they joined Kudumbashree.<a href="#_edn54" name="_ednref54"><sup>54</sup></a> Furthermore, Kudumbashree members reported that their improved incomes helped them provide higher education to their children, secure better healthcare, and improve their houses or construct new ones.</p>
<p>A substantial proportion of the women who joined Kudumbashree (27.4%, according to Ambika Devi’s study; 36%, according to the LBC Survey) have reported that their public speaking skills have improved since they joined the network. A significant proportion of women (38.4%, according to the LBC Survey) gained the confidence and skills to demand services or facilities from government offices.<a href="#_edn55" name="_ednref55"><sup>55</sup></a> Similar gains have been made in their confidence to participate and express their views in meetings, and to take part in local government functions. The collective nature of Kudumbashree activities also helped improve the spirit and practice of mutual help among Kudumbashree members.<a href="#_edn56" name="_ednref56"><sup>56</sup></a></p>
<p>As mentioned earlier, Kudumbashree members are among the most active sections in the activities of local governments in Kerala. This has directly translated into greater representation of Kudumbashree members among elected representatives to local self-government institutions (LSGIs): of the 21,854 people elected as LSGI members in Kerala in the 2020 local government elections, 7,058 were active members of Kudumbashree.<a href="#_edn57" name="_ednref57"><sup>57</sup></a></p>
<p>To sum up, Kudumbashree has become a vital element of Kerala’s social and political life. It has helped women – particularly those from economically and socially disadvantaged backgrounds – improve their living conditions. Kudumbashree has enhanced their status within their families and enabled them to participate more effectively in the public sphere, including the political arena. Unsurprisingly, it has been referred to as one of the ‘greatest gender justice and poverty reduction programmes in the world’.<a href="#_edn58" name="_ednref58"><sup>58</sup></a></p>
<h3 class="single-post--content--citations-title" align="left" style="margin:2em 0;">Notes</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--citations-block">
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a>Karl Marx, ‘Inaugural Address of the Working Men’s International Association’, London, 21 October 1864, <a href="https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1864/10/27.htm">https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1864/10/27.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a>In 1964, the Communist Party of India split into the Communist Party of India (Marxist), or CPI(M), and the Communist Party of India (CPI). The government in Kerala has been led by the CPI(M) and has included the CPI and other left and democratic parties as coalition partners in the following periods: 1967–1969, 1980–1981, 1996–2001, 2006–2011, and 2016–present. The period from 1969 to 1977 saw a coalition government that included the CPI and the Indian National Congress as the main partners; the CPI(M) was in the opposition.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a>Karl Marx, <i>Capital. A Critique of Political Economy</i>, vol. 3 (New Delhi: LeftWord Books, 2010), 440.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a>For more on the Paris Commune, see: Tricontinental: Institute of Social Research, <i>Paris Commune 150</i>, (New Delhi: LeftWord, 2021), <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/text-paris-commune/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/text-paris-commune/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a>Karl Marx, ‘The Civil War in France’, in <i>Collected Works</i>, vol. 22 (Progress Publishers, 1986), 335.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a>‘Number Statement 2025’, Department of Cooperation, Government of Kerala, 31 March 2025, <a href="https://cooperation.kerala.gov.in/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Number-statement-2025.pdf">https://cooperation.kerala.gov.in/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Number-statement-2025.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a>Ashique Ali Thuppilikkat, ‘A Short History of the Cooperative Movement in Northern Malabar, Kerala’, <i>Economic and Political Weekly</i> 59, no. 30, 3 August 2024.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a><i>Malayala Manorama</i>, 29 December 1929.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a>Beedi are a type of hand-rolled cigarette.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a>In India, the government has ‘schedules’, or lists, of castes and tribes that are the most socioeconomically disadvantaged or historically oppressed. People belonging to Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes are entitled to certain rights and benefits.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a>Karl Marx, ‘Letter to Wilhelm Bracke’, in <i>Marx/Engels Selected Works, </i>vol. 3 (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1970), 11.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a>A panchayat<i> </i>is a local self-government body in India that is primarily responsible for governance and development in rural areas. It operates at the village, block, or district level as part of India’s decentralised administrative system.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a>Pyaralal Raghavan, ‘Growth and Performance of Cooperatives in Kerala: A Preliminary Analysis’, AK Gopalan Centre for Cooperative Enterprises and Alternative Politics, Kannur University, Kerala, 2019, <a href="https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4031735">https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4031735</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a>The stage of World War II after the Soviet Union entered the war is referred to as The People’s War.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a>EMS Namboodiripad, <i>With the Ploughshare and the Sickle: Kisan Sabha in the Campaign for More Food</i> (Bombay: People’s Publishing House, 1943).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a>Camila Piñeiro Harnecker, <i>Cooperatives and Socialism: A View from Cuba</i> (New York: Springer, 2012).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a>E Gopalakrishna Menon, <i>Cooperatives Movements and Communists</i> (Ernakulam: Prabhat Book House, 1956).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a>Financial Staff, ‘Tata Tea Pays £271m for Tetley’, <i>The Guardian</i>, 28 February 2000, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2000/feb/28/2">https://www.theguardian.com/business/2000/feb/28/2</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a>Natalie J Langford, ‘From Global to Local Tea Markets: The Changing Political Economy of Tea Production within India’s Domestic Value Chain’, <i>Development and Change</i> 52, no. 6 (2021): 11.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref20" name="_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a>Policy Report to Support Development of Small Tea Growers in India, Solidaridad Network Asia Limited, February 2023.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref21" name="_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a>Kingshuk Sarkar, ‘Trends and Price Formation Mechanism in Indian Tea Auctions’, <i>NRPPD Discussion Paper</i> 23 (2013), <a href="https://cds.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/NRPPD23.pdf">https://cds.edu/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/NRPPD23.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref22" name="_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a>Roopak Goswami, ‘Small Tea Growers Report Looks at Farming Issues in India, Better Pricing Models, the Future of Tea’, <i>World Tea News</i>, 7 June 2023, <a href="https://www.worldteanews.com/origins/small-tea-growers-report-looks-farming-issues-india-better-pricing-models-future-tea">https://www.worldteanews.com/origins/small-tea-growers-report-looks-farming-issues-india-better-pricing-models-future-tea</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref23" name="_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a>‘Kozhikode ULCCS a Role Model for Labour Cooperatives, Says UN Official’, <i>The Hindu</i>, 19 September 2013, <a href="https://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/kozhikode/kozhikode-ulccs-a-role-model-for-labour-cooperatives-says-un-official/article5144802.ece">https://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/kozhikode/kozhikode-ulccs-a-role-model-for-labour-cooperatives-says-un-official/article5144802.ece</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref24" name="_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a><i>Panam payattu</i> and <i>kurikkalyaanam</i> are popular methods in rural areas of Malabar to collect money to build homes, pay for weddings, send sons to work in the Persian Gulf region, and meet other financial needs. The person in need holds an event where they serve tea and snacks to attendees, who contribute money. The organiser of the event pays back the money at another event organised by another person, and so on.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref25" name="_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a>Kerala State Planning Board, <i>Economic Review 2024, Volume 2</i> (Thiruvananthapuram: Government of Kerala, January 2025), <a href="http://www.niyamasabha.org/codes/15kla/session_13/Economic%20Review/Economic%20Review_2024%20Eng_Vol%202.pdf">http://www.niyamasabha.org/codes/15kla/session_13/Economic%20Review/Economic%20Review_2024%20Eng_Vol%202.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref26" name="_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a>‘Quarterly Statistics on Deposits and Credits of Scheduled Commercial Banks’, Reserve Bank of India, March 2024.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref27" name="_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a>‘Performance of Primary Agricultural Credit Societies (April 1, 2022 to March 31, 2023)’, National Federation of State Cooperative Banks Ltd, 2023, <a href="https://nafscob.org/master/basic/images/fb749ee5ab92865a06a82bc450403466_1.pdf">https://nafscob.org/master/basic/images/fb749ee5ab92865a06a82bc450403466_1.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref28" name="_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a>‘Performance of Primary Agricultural Credit Societies (April 1, 2022 to March 31, 2023)’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref29" name="_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a>See: KK George et. al. and KUB Rao et. al., <i>How the Poor Manage Their Finances: A Study of the Portfolio Choices of the Poor Households in Ernakulam District, Kerala</i> (Reserve Bank of India and Centre for Socio-economic and Environmental Studies, 2013); Aswathi Rebecca Asok et. al., <i>Indebtedness Among the Rural Poor in Kerala</i> (Kochi: Centre for Socio-economic and Environmental Studies, 2020).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref30" name="_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a>Kerala Dinesh Beedi Golden Jubilee Souvenir, 2019, Kannur, Editor: Narayanan Kavubayi.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref31" name="_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a>Kerala Dinesh Beedi Golden Jubilee Souvenir, 2019, Kannur, Editor: Narayanan Kavubayi.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref32" name="_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a>‘Data on Kudumbashree’, Kudumbashree, accessed 1 September 2025, <a href="https://kudumbashree.org/pages/518">https://kudumbashree.org/pages/518</a> (See the IBCB-Organisation tab); Technical Group on Population Projections, <i>Census of India 2011: Population Projections for India and States, 2011–2036</i> (New Delhi: National Commission on Population, Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, July 2020).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref33" name="_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a>VK Ramachandran (Vice-Chairperson, Kerala State Planning Board), interviewed by Subin Dennis, 2020.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref34" name="_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a>Kudumbashree is a state-initiated programme with a community network as its core. The community network, which on its own is also commonly referred to as Kudumbashree, is run by its members based on the ‘one member, one vote’ rule. In contrast to companies in the private sector, where the voting rights of shareholders are in proportion to the number of shares they own, cooperatives uphold the principle of ‘one member, one vote’. According to the International Cooperative Alliance, ‘Cooperatives bring people together in a democratic and equal way. Whether the members are the customers, employees, users or residents, cooperatives are democratically managed by the “one member, one vote” rule. Members share equal voting rights regardless of the amount of capital they put into the enterprise’. (‘What is a cooperative?’, International Cooperative Alliance, <a href="https://ica.coop/en/cooperatives/what-is-a-cooperative">https://ica.coop/en/cooperatives/what-is-a-cooperative</a>).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref35" name="_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a>‘History and Evolution’, Kudumbashree, accessed 25 October 2022, <a href="https://kudumbashree.org/pages/178">https://kudumbashree.org/pages/178</a>; Paloli Mohammed Kutty, ‘Kudumbashree: Sthree Shaaktheekaranathil Oru Nishabda Viplavam’ [Kudumbashree: A Silent Revolution in Women’s Empowerment], interview by K. P. Jayendran, <i>Chintha Weekly</i>, 15 July 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref36" name="_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a>In 1950, the Government of India set up the Planning Commission to lead the process of economic planning for the country’s development. It remained in place until 2014, when it was dissolved by the government following the acceleration of neoliberal reforms. The state of Kerala, however, continues to have a planning board which formulates development plans at the state level. With the launching of the People’s Campaign for Decentralised Planning (or People’s Plan campaign), significant funds and powers were transferred from the state government to the local governments, with the latter making their own development plans.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref37" name="_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a>‘Overview’, Kudumbashree, accessed 25 October 2022, <a href="https://www.kudumbashree.org/pages/7">https://www.kudumbashree.org/pages/7</a> (See the tab ‘The Mission Setting Up’).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref38" name="_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a>KP Kannan and G Raveendran, <i>Poverty, Women and Capability: A Study of the Impact of Kerala’s Kudumbashree System on Its Members and Their Families</i> (Thiruvananthapuram: Laurie Baker Centre for Habitat Studies, October 2017), 5, 57.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref39" name="_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a>Benny Kuruvilla, ‘Kerala’s Web of Cooperatives: Advancing the Solidarity Economy’, in <i>Public Finance for the Future We Want</i>, eds. Lavinia Steinfort and Satoko Kishimoto (Amsterdam: Transnational Institute, The Democracy Collaborative, Change Finance, Focus on the Global South, New Economics Foundation, Fairfin, MOBA Housing Network, and Tellus Institute, June 2019), <a href="https://longreads.tni.org/public-finance-chapter-4">https://longreads.tni.org/public-finance-chapter-4</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref40" name="_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a>‘Data on Kudumbashree’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref41" name="_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a>Manu Sankar (Programme Manager of Kudumbashree National Resource Organisation in Trivandrum), interviewed by Subin Dennis, 22 August 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref42" name="_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a>Manu Sankar, interviewed by Subin Dennis.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref43" name="_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a>Manu Sankar, interviewed by Subin Dennis.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref44" name="_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a>Azhar Moideen, ‘People’s Restaurants in Kerala Step in to Feed the Hungry’, <i>NewsClick</i>, 21 October 2021, <a href="https://www.newsclick.in/People-Restaurants-Kerala-Step-Feed-Hungry">https://www.newsclick.in/People-Restaurants-Kerala-Step-Feed-Hungry</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref45" name="_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a>‘Data on Kudumbashree’, Kudumbashree, <a href="https://kudumbashree.org/pages/518">https://kudumbashree.org/pages/518</a> (See the NFL-ME tab and scroll down to find ‘Janakeeya Hotels’ [People’s Restaurants]). For further reading on Kerala’s response to the Covid-19 pandemic, see: Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <i>CoronaShock and Socialism</i>, Studies on CoronaShock, 8 July 2020, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-3-coronashock-and-socialism/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-3-coronashock-and-socialism/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref46" name="_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a>‘Data on Kudumbashree’ (See the NFL-ME tab in the web page).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref47" name="_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a>‘Data on Kudumbashree’ (See the NFL-ME tab in the web page).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref48" name="_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a>‘Data on Kudumbashree’ (See the NFL-ME tab in the web page).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref49" name="_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a>KP Kannan and G Raveendran, <i>Poverty, Women and Capability</i>, 99.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref50" name="_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a>KP Kannan and G Raveendran, <i>Poverty, Women and Capability</i>, 130.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref51" name="_edn51"><sup>51</sup></a>Ambika Devi R, ‘A Study on Women Empowerment with Special Reference to Kudumbashree’ (PhD Thesis, Department of Commerce, University of Kerala, Thiruvananthapuram, 2010), 143.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref52" name="_edn52"><sup>52</sup></a>Ambika Devi R, ‘A Study on Women Empowerment with Special Reference to Kudumbashree’, 132.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref53" name="_edn53"><sup>53</sup></a>Taramol KG, ‘The Impact of Kudumbashree Projects in Ernakulam District with Special Reference to Their Role in the Eradication of Poverty and Unemployment’ (PhD Thesis, Research and Development Centre, Bharathiar University, Coimbatore, 2018), 178.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref54" name="_edn54"><sup>54</sup></a>KP Kannan and G Raveendran, <i>Poverty, Women and Capability</i>,175.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref55" name="_edn55"><sup>55</sup></a>Ambika Devi R, ‘A Study on Women Empowerment with Special Reference to Kudumbashree’, 201; KP Kannan and G Raveendran, <i>Poverty, Women and Capability</i>, 195–196.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref56" name="_edn56"><sup>56</sup></a>KP Kannan and G Raveendran, <i>Poverty, Women and Capability</i>, 206.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref57" name="_edn57"><sup>57</sup></a>‘One-Third of Women Elected in Kerala Local Body Polls Are Active Kudumbashree Members’, <i>NewsClick</i>, 23 December 2020, <a href="https://www.newsclick.in/one-third-women-elected-kerala-local-body-polls-active-kudumbashree-members">https://www.newsclick.in/one-third-women-elected-kerala-local-body-polls-active-kudumbashree-members</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref58" name="_edn58"><sup>58</sup></a>P Sainath, ‘Kerala’s Women Farmers Rise above the Flood’, <i>People’s Archive of Rural India</i>, 24 September 2018, <a href="https://ruralindiaonline.org/en/articles/keralas-women-farmers-rise-above-the-flood/">https://ruralindiaonline.org/en/articles/keralas-women-farmers-rise-above-the-flood/</a>.</p>
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		<title>The 80th Anniversary of the Victory in the World Anti-Fascist War</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/the-80th-anniversary-of-the-victory-in-the-world-anti-fascist-war/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Amilcar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2025 19:00:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Soviet union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[world war II]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[World Anti-Fascist War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[history]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Socialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[fascism]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=129792</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Backed by powerful working-class and peasant movements as well as left governments that have been in power intermittently, Kerala’s cooperative movement has sprouted thousands of cooperatives, each one an incubator of possible futures beyond capitalism.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h4 style="text-align:center;">Understanding Who Saved Humanity: A Restorationist History</h4>
<p class="single-post--content--text-small">This study was written by Neville Roy Singham, chair of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research’s advisory board. The author acknowledges with gratitude the crucial support of the Tricontinental team, spanning multifaceted research, comprehensive statistical analysis, technical infrastructure, and the production of this publication. An earlier version of this study was published in <i>Guancha </i>(观察者网), whose editors provided valuable advice for further research and analysis. The author takes full responsibility for any errors or omissions in this work.</p>
<hr class="single-post--content--separator-narrow">
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-130433 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/1-1-1024x814.jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="814" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/1-1-1024x814.jpg 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/1-1-300x239.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/1-1-768x611.jpg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/1-1-1536x1222.jpg 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/1-1.jpg 1920w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"></div>
<p>As we commemorate the 80th anniversary of the victory in the World Anti-Fascist War (WAFW), the Western powers spin their familiar tale: US industrial might and British resolve saved the world from fascism. This is a lie. The truth burns in the numbers: while the Western powers calculated their economic advantage, the Soviet and Chinese peoples paid in blood. Fascism was defeated not by Anglo-American capital but by socialist leadership and mass heroism – a brilliant strategy from Moscow and Yan’an, unbreakable resilience from workers and peasants who refused to surrender, and a sacrifice that saved humanity from slavery.</p>
<p>The real war began not in 1939, when Adolf Hitler invaded Poland, but in 1931, when Japan invaded Northeast China (东北).<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> For ten years, China fought mainly alone except for Soviet aid, which included planes and pilots. Britain, France, and the United States sent only minimal aid to China from 1937 to 1941. Washington and London would rather count profits.</p>
<p>Throughout the same decade, the Soviet Union raced against time, force-marching industrialisation while knowing invasion was imminent. Josef Stalin’s February 1931 speech to industrial managers predicted with terrible precision: ‘We are fifty or a hundred years behind the advanced countries. We must make good this distance in ten years. Either we do it, or we shall go under’.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> Ten years later – June 1941 – the Wehrmacht invaded. The USSR had exactly one decade to prepare for a war everyone knew was coming. The preparation was not enough to prevent the initial catastrophe, but it was exactly enough to enable recovery.</p>
<p>The Atlantic powers’ initial strategy until just before their entry into the war was simple and cynical: let fascism and communism destroy each other.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-130443 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2-1-720x1024.jpg" alt="" width="720" height="1024" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2-1-720x1024.jpg 720w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2-1-211x300.jpg 211w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2-1-768x1092.jpg 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2-1-1081x1536.jpg 1081w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2-1-1441x2048.jpg 1441w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/2-1.jpg 1920w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px"></div>
<h1 data-heading-number="1"><span class="heading-number">1.</span> The West’s Deliberate Delay: A Strategy of Treachery</h1>
<p>The timeline of Western betrayal speaks for itself. From 1931 to 1941, as Japan carved up China, Western banks maintained their offices in Tokyo, Western oil fuelled Japanese warships, and Western scrap metal became Japanese bullets.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a> When full-scale invasion erupted in 1937 – the Rape of Nanjing, the terror bombing of Chinese cities – the Allied imperialists’ response was to sell more oil to Japan. The US provided 80% of Japan’s petroleum until 1941.<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a></p>
<p>This was not isolation but calculated provision – fascism executing what the failed White Encirclement could not accomplish. By 1941, 250 US corporations operated in Nazi Germany.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a> Thomas Watson of IBM automated the Holocaust while maintaining personal friendships with both US President Franklin D. Roosevelt and Secretary of State Cordell Hull.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a> General Motors’ German subsidiary Opel produced Wehrmacht trucks until 1944, with GM later claiming a $22.7 million tax write-off for its ‘abandoned’ Nazi operations.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a> The US continued strategically to be economically, politically, and militarily committed to the destruction of the Soviet Union.</p>
<p>Western historiography attributes this late US entry to ‘isolationism’. This ahistorical view ignores documented precedent: during the White Encirclement of 1919, the US deployed 11,500 troops to Russia – 4,500 to Arkhangelsk and 7,000 to Vladivostok – alongside British, French, and Japanese forces, fighting the Red Army directly with over 500 US casualties.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a> US President Woodrow Wilson also provided more than $50 million in military support to White armies. When direct military intervention failed to nip socialism in the bud, the strategy shifted. US policymakers consistently favoured right-wing autocrats who promised stability and anti-Bolshevism over democratic movements. This policy produced open support for European fascism. In 1933, President Roosevelt stated that he was ‘deeply impressed by what [Benito Mussolini] has accomplished and by his evidenced honest purpose of restoring Italy’.<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a></p>
<p>The first British strategy, even when it entered the war, was to let Hitler and Stalin exhaust each other. When Germany invaded Poland in September 1939, Britain and France, while declaring war on Germany, did nothing – the ‘Phoney War’ lasted eight months while they hoped Hitler would turn east. Winston Churchill’s anti-communist hatred defined his career. In 1919, he sought to ‘strangle Bolshevism in its cradle’.<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a> By 1945, with Hitler barely dead, he planned Operation Unthinkable – using Wehrmacht forces to attack the Soviet Union.<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a></p>
<p>Churchill’s genocidal impulses targeted communists and colonised peoples equally. His racial violence was extensive: celebrating killing ‘savages’ at Omdurman (1898), supporting concentration camps that killed forty-eight thousand Africans and Boers, and advocating poison gas for Iraqi ‘uncivilised tribes’ (1920). By 1942, as Bengal starved, he told Leo Amery, the secretary of state for India: ‘I hate Indians. They are a beastly people with a beastly religion’. When Amery begged for famine relief, Churchill replied that Indians ‘breed like rabbits’.<a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a> Three million Indians died while Britain exported Bengal’s rice. After Churchill’s India tirade, Leo Amery wrote in his diary: ‘I couldn’t help telling him that I didn’t see much difference between his outlook and Hitler’s’.<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a> Today, Britain venerates this man, who differed from Hitler only in his victory.</p>
<p>The US entered the war only when it was directly attacked at Pearl Harbor (Hawaiʻi) – a decade into Japan’s war against China. The Second Front, promised for 1942, was not delivered until June 1944 – 730 days late, after the battles at Stalingrad (1942–1943) and Kursk (1943) had already broken the Wehrmacht’s spine.<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> By D-Day, the Red Army had already destroyed the myth of German invincibility and Nazi defeat was already determined. The US and Britain had to invade continental Europe in 1944, by which time the Soviet Union had already guaranteed the defeat of Germany, to ensure that the socialist USSR did not liberate the entire continent, threatening capitalism in Western as well as Eastern Europe.</p>
<p>US priorities were clear: better a fascist Europe than a socialist one. Better Japanese domination of Asia than Chinese liberation and the expansion of socialism. The metropolitan powers’ hatred of communism and love of their colonies outweighed their anti-fascist principles.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="2"><span class="heading-number">2.</span> When Inter-Imperialist Rivalries Mattered</h1>
<p>The Western strategy towards Nazi Germany followed a logic established in 1917. When British intervention failed to overthrow the Bolsheviks, geopolitical theorist Halford Mackinder – appointed high commissioner to organise support for the White Army – recommended that German rearmament, though dangerous to British interests, was essential as a bulwark against Bolshevik control of Eastern Europe. The Treaty of Versailles (1919), as economist Thorstein Veblen observed, was fundamentally ‘a compact for the reduction of Soviet Russia’ – a goal that, while ‘not written into the text of the Treaty’, was nonetheless ‘the parchment upon which the text was written’.<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> This remained Western strategy through 1945: contain and destroy the USSR, even if it meant enabling fascism.</p>
<p>At Munich in 1938, British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain formalised this strategy with Hitler: Germany would receive a ‘free hand’ in Eastern Europe to attack the USSR in exchange for respecting British imperial interests. Yet inter-imperialist rivalry imposed limits. Britain wanted Hitler to destroy the Soviet Union but feared that unchecked German expansion would threaten the British Empire itself – the contradiction explains both the collusion and Britain’s eventual war declaration.</p>
<p>When Britain sent negotiators to Moscow by slow merchant ship, Admiral Reginald Drax arrived without written authority – the message was unmistakable: no real alliance with communists.<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a> Foreign Secretary Halifax praised Hitler in a 1937 meeting as a ‘bulwark against Bolshevism’, while a 1939 government-endorsed pamphlet by Lord Lloyd of Dolobran identified Hitler’s ‘final apostasy’ not as invading Poland but as signing the German-Soviet pact—‘the betrayal of Europe’.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> Facing isolation, Stalin signed the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact in August 1939 – not from choice but from necessity created by Western collusion with Hitler.</p>
<p>In the following twenty-two months (September 1939–mid-June 1941), the Soviet Union more than tripled its army from 1.6 to 5.3 million, doubled its tank production from 2,794 units in 1940 to 6,590 in 1941 (including 1,225 T-34s), and moved entire industries eastward. US attachés reported massive industrial transfers to the Urals by late 1940, before the invasion. The USSR pushed its borders 200–300 kilometres west, trading space for time. Stalin knew war was coming.<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a></p>
<p>In May 1940, Churchill became prime minister as France and Britain’s army fled Dunkirk. Foreign Secretary Viscount Halifax proposed negotiating peace through Mussolini – Germany could have Europe if Britain kept its empire.<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a> Churchill opposed this plan, not from principle but out of arithmetic. If Germany were allowed to conquer Europe, its strength would mean it could later overturn any peace agreement and defeat Britain. To take only one example, the Caucasus produced 25.4 million tonnes of oil annually – 80% of Soviet output. Germany had 3.1 months of oil reserves.<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a> If Germany’s Chancellor Adolf Hitler seized Soviet resources, Britain faced certain defeat.</p>
<p>By continuing the war, Churchill forced Germany to maintain forty-nine divisions in Western Europe and Norway – 24% of total Wehrmacht strength that could not be deployed against the USSR.<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> While significant, this did not prevent the assembly of history’s largest invasion force.</p>
<p>Germany launched Operation Barbarossa with 153 German divisions totalling over 3 million troops. The Imperial War Museum, Britain’s unrepentant national museum, calculates that 80% of the German Army was committed to this invasion.<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a> Additionally, 36 Axis-allied divisions joined the assault – 16 Finnish, 15 Romanian, 3 Italian, and 2 Slovak – bringing the total to 189 divisions. This force of nearly 4 million troops represented the overwhelming concentration of Axis military power. The Eastern Front was not another theatre of war but the primary site of fascist aggression, where the Wehrmacht deployed its best units, most experienced commanders, and maximum strength.</p>
<p>This was the largest military invasion in human history. Yet the Soviet Union defeated this unprecedented assault through its own strategic depth, mass mobilisation, and industrial relocation.</p>
<p>Facing extremely powerful adversaries, Stalin and Mao Zedong took into account how to exploit inter-imperialist rivalries that became so intense by the 1940s. These inter-imperialist contradictions – contingent moments when empire’s internal conflicts accidentally serve revolutionary forces – are usually brief and unreliable. They emerge unpredictably from capitalism’s internal contradictions, must be recognised and leveraged when they appear, but never mistaken for a strategic alliance.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="3"><span class="heading-number">3.</span> Economic Power in 1941: The Myth of Western Might</h1>
<p>In 1941, world GDP totalled approximately $4.5–$5 trillion (in 1990 international dollars). Those with the greatest capacity to fight fascism deliberately chose not to do so.</p>
<p>As documented by economic historian Mark Harrison in his book <em>The Economics of World War II </em>(1998), the Anglo-American imperial core commanded approximately 30.2% of world GDP. The US alone controlled $1,094 billion – roughly 22–24% of global output – while maintaining comfortable neutrality a decade into the WAFW. The British Empire added $344 billion (7–8% of world GDP), extracted from 427 million colonial subjects. In total, this camp (the US and its territories and the British Empire as defined by the British in 1941) controlled 28.6% of the world’s population. The US remained neutral until it was attacked. Britain declared war but prioritised empire.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130543" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130543" class="size-large wp-image-130543 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-1024x681.png" alt="" width="1024" height="681" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-1024x681.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-300x199.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-768x510.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-1536x1021.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN-2048x1361.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130543" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Population data mainly from Maddison (2010); GDP data mainly from Harrison (1998), p. 10, table 1.3; USSR population for 1941 from Statista (2025); China and world-total GDP are corroborated estimates by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
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<p>The US dedicated just 11% of its GNP to military spending before Pearl Harbor. The US military in December 1941 fielded only 1.62 million troops from a population of 133.9 million – just 1.2% of its population was under arms. By contrast, Germany had 7.3 million troops from a population of 70.2 million (10.4%), and the Soviet Union had 7.1 million from a population of 195.4 million (3.6%) by year’s end. Britain, despite declaring war in 1939, had reached 53% of national expenditure on military efforts, but much of this went to protecting empire, not fighting fascism directly. In North Africa, British forces fought to maintain colonial control, not liberate populations. Churchill’s quote: ‘I have not become the King’s First Minister to liquidate the British Empire’. <a href="#_edn23" name="_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a></p>
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<div id="attachment_130553" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130553" class="size-large wp-image-130553 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-1024x821.png" alt="" width="1024" height="821" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-1024x821.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-300x241.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-768x616.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-1536x1232.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_2-2048x1642.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130553" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Troops data from Harrison (1998), p. 14, table 1.5; population from Maddison (2010) and Statista (2025). See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
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<p>The fascist-imperialist Axis had weaponised its economies. Germany devoted 52% of GNP to military spending in 1941, reaching 70% by 1943, and fielded 3 million troops for the Barbarossa invasion (1941). Other Axis powers fielded an additional 500,000 to 700,000 troops (Romania, Finland, Hungary, Italy, and Slovakia), thus allowing Hitler to claim that this was a pan-European operation. It was and remains the largest military invasion in human history. Japan maintained 1.7 million soldiers in China with a military burden of 27% of GDP after a decade of continuous warfare.</p>
<p>The Axis, led by Germany, Italy, and Japan, also included pact signatories Hungary, Romania, Slovakia, Bulgaria, and Croatia, with Finland as a co-belligerent. The Axis powers and the territories they controlled commanded approximately 20.1% of world GDP. This figure was composed of contributions from Germany proper ($412 billion), the annexed territory of Austria ($29 billion), Japan ($196 billion), Italy ($144 billion), the heavily industrialised occupied territory of France ($130 billion), and the other members (approximately $47 billion). In addition to this, ‘neutral’ collaborators, including Switzerland, Sweden, Spain, and Portugal, contributed a separate 2.6% of world GDP to the Axis economic sphere.</p>
<p>The socialist camp – the Soviet Union and Chinese Communist base areas that would tie down 60% of Japanese forces – represented approximately 8% of world GDP with $359 billion. By mid-1941, with German armies deep in Soviet territory, even this was shrinking. Yet the Soviets had mobilised 28% of GNP for military expenditure. The Red Army expanded the army’s peacetime strength from 1.5 million on 1 January 1938 to over 5 million in June 1941.<a href="#_edn24" name="_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a></p>
<p>China’s tragedy was written in numbers. Controlling 23% of the world’s population (490–525 million people), China generated only around 5% of world GDP after its century of humiliation and a decade of Japanese devastation. Official data from the Kuomintang (KMT) government is scarce. In 1937, the year of full escalation of Japanese aggression, the estimate for KMT troops was 1.7 million; by 1941, the US military estimated 3.8 million troops. A scholarly monograph on Chinese military history estimated that there were 6 million KMT troops in the summer of 1941.<a href="#_edn25" name="_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a> The people’s army, led by the Communist Party of China (CPC), grew from 56,000 in 1937 to around 440,000 in 1941 and 1.3 million in 1945.<a href="#_edn26" name="_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a> With little domestic arms production, military capacity depended on foreign supplies, especially from the Soviet Union. China had people but few weapons, courage but little industry, resistance but scant resources.</p>
<p>The pattern of foreign aid exposed priorities. Between October 1937 and June 1941, while the US watched, the Soviet Union provided China with over $250 million in credits, 1,235 aircraft, thousands of artillery pieces, tens of thousands of machine guns, as well as ammunition and supplies.<a href="#_edn27" name="_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a> The Soviets sent more than 2,000 pilots – 200 of whom died defending Chinese cities – and military advisers.<a href="#_edn28" name="_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a> While the USSR was fighting for survival, it still managed to send aid that represented 0.07% of Soviet GDP annually. Soviet pilots flew combat missions over Nanjing, Wuhan, and Chongqing. Before Pearl Harbor, the US provided almost nothing despite commanding 22–24% of world GDP.</p>
<p>Even after entering the war, China received just $632 million in Lend-Lease aid (1941–1945) while Britain, along with its two white settler states (Australia and New Zealand), received $25.8 billion of the $30.3 billion assigned by the US to the ‘British Empire’.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130563" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130563" class="size-large wp-image-130563 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-1024x855.png" alt="" width="1024" height="855" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-1024x855.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-300x250.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-768x641.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-1536x1282.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_3-2048x1710.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130563" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Lend-Lease aid numbers from US Department of State (1945), p. 14, table 2, and pp. 42–43, table 25; population data from Maddison (2010); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India death data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See appendix for full methodology.<br>*‘British India’ here refers to India and today’s Pakistan and Bangladesh. The Lend-Lease aid and population numbers for British India and Ceylon (now Sri Lanka) are included here.<br>*‘White settler states’ refers to Australia and New Zealand.</small></p></div>
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<p>Chart 1: Per capita aid: whites received $442.3 per person; non-whites (China, British India, and Ceylon) received $4.4 – a 101:1 ratio</p>
<p>Chart 2: Per death valuation: white deaths ‘valued’ at $52,913; non-white (China, British India) deaths at $155 – a 341:1 ratio</p>
<p>The British Empire in 1945 (as defined by the US in the Lend-Lease Programme) consisted of 58.3 million whites and 443.1 million non-white subjects. The mathematics was simple: the US directed 85.1% of the British Empire’s Lend-Lease aid to whites, who comprised only 11.6% of the Empire’s population.</p>
<p>From 1945 to 1948, the US provided at least $1.4 billion to Chiang Kai-shek’s government, with over half being military aid – double the $700 million in military aid given during the WAFW – excluding substantial surplus property sales.<a href="#_edn29" name="_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a> Additional aid continued through 1949 when the Nationalists lost the civil war. The formula: minimal help against Japan, maximum support against communism.</p>
<p>Poignant observations were made by two articles in <em>Historical Review</em> published by the China Academy of Social Sciences in August 2025:</p>
<blockquote><p>First: Overall, in the early stages of the full-scale War of Resistance, the Soviet Union’s vital assistance to a China engaged in an arduous struggle was like ‘offering fuel in snowy weather’.</p>
<p>Second: After the end of the Anti-Japanese War, the US actively aided and supported the Kuomintang reactionaries in launching a civil war and signed the seemingly reciprocal but actually unequal ‘Sino-American Treaty of Friendship, Commerce, and Navigation’ with the Nationalist government, aiming to maintain influence over China through economic control and military intervention.</p></blockquote>
<p>The economic arithmetic was clear: the Anglo-Americans had the money but would not fight. The fascists had militarised everything. The socialists had little but gave all.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130573" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130573" class="wp-image-130573 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-1024x939.png" alt="" width="1024" height="939" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-1024x939.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-300x275.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-768x704.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-1536x1409.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_4-2048x1878.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130573" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Source: Harrison (1998), p. 21, table 1.8. See appendix for a verbatim transcript of the source data.</small></p></div>
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<h1 data-heading-number="4"><span class="heading-number">4.</span> China’s Fourteen-Year Resistance: The Forgotten Foundation of Victory</h1>
<p>China’s fourteen-year resistance against Japanese imperialism tied down the bulk of Japanese land forces throughout the war. Chinese forces prevented over half a million Japanese soldiers from attacking the Soviet Far East or sweeping through the Pacific.<a href="#_edn30" name="_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a> As the war progressed, increasing numbers of KMT soldiers defected to the Communist forces, strengthening the guerrilla resistance. Every Chinese soldier who held a position with obsolete weapons and an empty stomach prevented a Japanese soldier from fighting elsewhere. China’s military weakness made its resistance more heroic, not less.</p>
<p>The Red Army soldiers who fled Ruijin, site of the first Chinese Soviet Republic, crossed frozen mountains in straw sandals in 1935 while KMT bombers with US engines hunted them from above.<a href="#_edn31" name="_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a> Blood froze in their footprints. Toes turned black and fell off. Those who survived became the core of guerrilla forces that by 1940 tied down 60% of Japanese troops.</p>
<p>The following numbers shatter every myth about who won this war:</p>
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<div id="attachment_130583" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130583" class="size-large wp-image-130583 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-1024x759.png" alt="" width="1024" height="759" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-1024x759.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-300x222.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-768x569.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-1536x1139.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_5-2048x1518.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130583" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
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<p>The deployment patterns expose the truth: socialist forces were desperately engaged in existential struggle while capitalist forces carefully husbanded their strength for post-war advantage.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="5"><span class="heading-number">5.</span> The Blood Price: Who Really Defeated Fascism</h1>
<p>The global struggle against fascism killed 85 million human beings.</p>
<p>That is 3.8% of humanity: dead.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130593" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130593" class="size-large wp-image-130593 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-1024x793.png" alt="" width="1024" height="793" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-1024x793.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-300x232.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-768x595.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-1536x1190.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_6-2048x1586.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130593" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: USSR death data from Andreev et al. (1993); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; French Indochina population from Budge (2014) and death data from The National WWII Museum New Orleans (n.d.); other population data from Maddison (2010). See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
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<p>Who paid this price reveals who saved the world. The arithmetic will destroy every lie that the late arrivals have said about this war, not as statistics but as accusations. Every number is a crime – every percentage a verdict.</p>
<p>59.8% socialists dead, 13.1% colonised peoples dead – only 1% Anglo-Americans dead.</p>
<p>This was not their war. It was their profit.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130603" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130603" class="size-large wp-image-130603 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-1024x765.png" alt="" width="1024" height="765" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-1024x765.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-300x224.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-768x574.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-1536x1147.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_7-2048x1530.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130603" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405 and p. 442. See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
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<p>But even these deaths tell only half the horror. The wounded – those who survived maimed, traumatised, broken – vanished from Western history. We restore them here: thirteen to eighteen million Soviets wounded – ignored. Each lived with pain that Washington and London never felt. Every Western soldier wounded became a casualty worthy of pensions, medals, remembrance. The eleven to twenty-six million wounded Chinese vanished from history as if they never existed, never suffered, never mattered.</p>
<p>The arithmetic convicts: socialist forces suffered 59.8% of all WAFW deaths with less than 15% of world GDP. In Korea, 99% of deaths were Korean or Chinese. In Vietnam, 99% of the deaths were Southeast Asian. The pattern screams across three wars, across five decades, and across continents – those with nothing saved humanity while those with everything preserved their strength for the post-war plunder.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="6"><span class="heading-number">6.</span> The Soviet Union Destroyed Fascism in Europe</h1>
<p>The Red Army eliminated or decisively defeated the Wehrmacht’s strength in battles that decided humanity’s fate: Moscow, Stalingrad, Kursk, and Berlin. The price: 27 million Soviet deaths.<a href="#_edn32" name="_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a> That’s 13.8% of the Soviet population based on a population of 196.0 million in 1940. That is 1.2% of the entire world’s population wiped out because they stood between fascism and the rest of us.</p>
<p>These were not abstract statistics. Whole villages where no men between the ages of eighteen and fifty survived. The Soviet Union inflicted 9 million of Germany’s 11.1 million military casualties. This victory was partly possible because China’s resistance prevented Japan from attacking the Soviet Far East during 1941–1942 when Moscow hung by a thread. As President Vladimir Putin acknowledged in 2025, China’s resistance was ‘one of the crucial factors that prevented Japan from stabbing the Soviet Union in the back during the darkest months’.</p>
<p>Among Soviet deaths were 1.3 million Jews murdered in the Holocaust’s eastern killing fields, 3.3 million prisoners of war deliberately starved in German camps, and millions of civilians killed in accordance with Generalplan Ost (Master Plan for the East) and other Nazi racial policies targeting ‘subhuman’ Slavs.<a href="#_edn33" name="_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a></p>
<h1 data-heading-number="7"><span class="heading-number">7.</span> China’s Demographic Catastrophe</h1>
<p>At least 23.6 million deaths were documented from 1937 to 1945 alone – 20.6 million direct deaths from combat and massacres, plus 3 million from the 1942 Henan famine caused by the Japanese disruption. Before that, from 1931 to mid-1937, the Japanese invasion also resulted in an estimated 450,000 deaths. The total documented deaths from 1931 to 1945: 24.05 million. With wounded included, total casualties reached 35 million. However, even this staggering figure understates the catastrophe. When including the 15 million who were never born because of the war’s destruction, China’s total population loss exceeded 50 million. The West acknowledges perhaps 15–20 million dead, ignores the wounded entirely, and erases the demographic hole that took generations to fill.<a href="#_edn34" name="_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>The forced-labour system added another dimension to this genocide: from 1935 to 1945, 20% of the 11.5 million forced labourers in Northeast China died (2.3 million deaths). Among the 38,935 forced labourers shipped to Japan, 17.5% were killed in the emperor’s homeland, according to Chinese Academy of Social Sciences historian Bian Xiuyue.<a href="#_edn35" name="_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a> This research documents the genocide in precise terms, not with vague estimates.</p>
<p>The Western insistence on counting only deaths performs a double erasure. When 35 million Chinese were killed or wounded, focusing only on the West’s understated count of 20 million or fewer deaths erases at least 11 million wounded people whose lives were destroyed by Japanese aggression.</p>
<p>China’s 2015 government survey, involving 600,000 participants, documented systematic extermination through multiple methods. The Nanjing Massacre: 300,000 killed in six weeks and an estimated 20,000–80,000 rapes.<a href="#_edn36" name="_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> Japan’s ‘Three Alls’ campaign – ‘Kill all, burn all, loot all’ – turned entire provinces into graveyards. Even regular POW camps revealed a national chauvinism extermination policy: Japan killed 99.9% of Chinese prisoners but only 27.1% of Western POWs.<a href="#_edn37" name="_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a></p>
<h1 data-heading-number="8"><span class="heading-number">8.</span> The Colonial Holocaust: Eleven Million Erased</h1>
<p>While the imperial powers preserved their strength, their colonies bled. A total of 11.2 million colonial subjects died – more than ten times the total Anglo-American war death toll.</p>
<p>The Bengal Famine of 1943 killed 3 million Indians through British policy. While Bengalis starved, Britain exported rice from Bengal and denied relief ships.<a href="#_edn38" name="_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a> Churchill told his private secretary that ‘the Hindus were a foul race protected by their mere pullulation from the doom that is their due’. He wished that Air Chief Marshal Arthur Harris, head of the British Bomber Command, could ‘send some of his surplus bombers to destroy them’.<a href="#_edn39" name="_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a></p>
<p>The Dutch East Indies lost 3.4 million people – 4.7% of the population. Both colonial powers killed them – the Dutch through centuries of extraction that left them defenceless, the Japanese through forced labour, starvation, and systematic violence.</p>
<p>In Java alone, 1.8 million excess deaths occurred between 1944 and 1945. The <em>r</em>ō<em>musha</em> forced-labour system sent 300,000 Indonesians overseas; only 77,000 returned.<a href="#_edn40" name="_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a> On the Sumatra Railway alone, 17,000 of 22,000 Javanese labourers died – a mortality rate of 77%.</p>
<p>French Indochina: 1.5 million deaths – 6.5% of the population. The 1944–1945 famine killed 1–2 million Vietnamese through the combined extraction of Japanese requisitions and continued French colonial administration.</p>
<p>Burma: 270,000 to perhaps as high as 1 million dead under Japanese occupation while Britain fled, destroying oil fields but abandoning the Indian labourers and Burmese civilians who had no means of escape. The Thailand-Burma Railway (402 kilometres) killed 215 people per kilometre of track laid: 31 Western POW deaths per kilometre, 184 Asian labourer deaths per kilometre – a six-fold racial calculus.<a href="#_edn41" name="_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a> The shorter Kra Isthmus Railway (90 kilometres) had an even higher mortality rate of 537 deaths per kilometre (Huff, 2020), constructed entirely by Asian workers whose deaths went largely undocumented by Japanese authorities. Of an estimated 260,000–270,000 total workers on both railways, approximately 90,000–140,000 Asian labourers perished, including significant numbers among the more than 100,000 Malays and Tamils conscripted from British territories.</p>
<p>Malaya and Singapore: up to 150,000. Philippines: 765,000.<a href="#_edn42" name="_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a> Portuguese Timor: 14% to 19% of its population – the highest death rate of any territory in South Asia.<a href="#_edn43" name="_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a></p>
<p>The colonial arithmetic: killed by fascist occupation while colonial masters hoarded resources. Indians starved; Britain had grain. Indonesians died; Dutch extraction had built nothing to save them. Vietnamese perished; France maintained its extraction apparatus even under Japanese rule.</p>
<p>Eleven million colonial deaths. Museums memorialise the 12,000 US and Filipino soldiers who died in the Bataan Death March.<a href="#_edn44" name="_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a> The rōmusha who built the Burma Railway – 90,000–100,000 dead – have no museum nor movie like <em>Bridge on the River Kwai</em> (1957).</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="9"><span class="heading-number">9.</span> Africa: Two Million Erased</h1>
<p>Africa became the Allies’ emergency reserve when France fell, and the Western colonies in Asia were lost to Japan. Britain, France, and Belgium extracted maximum resources from African colonies while fighting a war supposedly for freedom. Between 1.6 and 2 million Africans died – from fascist invasion, forced labour, combat service, and systematic starvation. Colonial authorities, who tracked copper production down to the metric tonne, never counted African deaths.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Ethiopia: The First Battlefield</h2>
<p>The WAFW began in Africa in 1935 when Italy invaded Ethiopia. A 1945 Ethiopian government memorandum documented 760,300 deaths: 275,000 battle deaths, 300,000 from hunger among refugees, 75,000 patriots killed during occupation, 35,000 in concentration camps, 30,000 in the February 1937 Addis Ababa massacre, 24,000 executions, 17,800 civilians killed by air strikes. Despite signing the Geneva Protocol, Italy used 300–500 tonnes of mustard gas and dropped 4,336 aerial bombs filled with sulphur mustard and 540 bombs containing diphenylchlorarsine on Ethiopia. Soviet analysts calculated that these chemical weapons caused 30% of Ethiopian combat deaths. At Ametsegna Washa cave in 1939, Italian forces gassed and machine-gunned over 5,500 Ethiopians.</p>
<p>Ethiopian women fought as armed combatants (<em>arbegna</em>) against Italian occupation – the Ethiopian government’s official <em>Book of Honour, 1935–1941</em> documented their sacrifice, recording one-third of its names as women patriots who took up arms against fascism, though Western histories erase them entirely.<a href="#_edn45" name="_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> These women learned to use rifles and grenades, endured aerial bombardment and mustard gas attacks, and in some cases took command of troops. By March 1948, the UN War Crimes Commission identified 1,200 Italian war criminals from the Ethiopian campaign. Prosecutions: zero.<a href="#_edn46" name="_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a> Badoglio, who was implicated in the Italian genocide in Libya (1929–1934), went back to Italy to become Mussolini’s last prime minister.<a href="#_edn47" name="_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a> The Italian field marshal who authorised the systematic use of chemical weapons that killed tens of thousands of Ethiopians became the Anglo-Americans’ ‘valuable asset’ against communism.</p>
<p>When the Bonomi government appeared ready to arrest Badoglio, Prime Minister Churchill sent a ‘Personal and Top Secret’ telegram on 8 December 1944 to Sir Noel Charles, the British ambassador in Rome, stating: ‘You are responsible for the Marshal’s safety and sanctuary in the British Embassy or in some equally safe place to which he can be removed’.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Combat Service</h2>
<p>Nearly one million Africans served. France deployed 100,000 African soldiers against Germany in 1940 – 17,500 killed. Morocco sent 90,000 troops to France. In Burma, 90,000 African soldiers constituted 9% of imperial forces. The 82nd West African Division suffered 2,085 casualties – the highest in the XV Corps.</p>
<p>Military apartheid structured everything. African privates received one-third of white soldiers’ pay, and corporal punishment remained legal for Africans until 1946. Officers were so rare among the 500,000 African soldiers that each was known by name. The racial discrimination extended beyond institutional policy into brutal violence: in 1940, the Nazis massacred 3,000 Black French soldiers and Hitler kept African POWs in captivity while releasing white prisoners.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Extraction Mathematics</h2>
<p>Africa supplied 98% of Allied industrial diamonds, 90% of cobalt, 50% of gold production, and 39% of chromite. The British conscripted 100,000 men for Nigerian tin mines between 1942 and 1944. Death rate from disease on the Tente Dam: 10%.<a href="#_edn48" name="_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> Production increase: 6%. In Belgian-occupied Congo, mandatory labour reached 120 days annually. French West Africa: 38,153 men in forced-labour armies. Entire villages fled – 6,000 from Forécariah to Sierra Leone.</p>
<p>The Shinkolobwe mine provided uranium for the atom bombs used on Hiroshima and Nagasaki. The ore: 75% uranium oxide versus 0.2% considered marketable in North America. Congolese miners handled radioactive ore bare-handed. Their names: never recorded. Their deaths: never counted.<a href="#_edn49" name="_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a></p>
<p>Forced crop substitution created famine. Mozambique: 800,000 in forced cotton cultivation. Cape Verde: 24,643 dead from wartime famine. Nigeria: Groundnut exports rose, while millet production was abandoned. Starvation followed export ledgers.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Betrayal</h2>
<p>1 December 1944, Thiaroye, Senegal: French officers massacred West African veterans demanding back pay. Official count: 35 dead. Military archives: 70 dead. Current historical research: 300–400 dead. The archives contain falsified documents and remain classified eighty years later, deemed ‘sensitive’.</p>
<p>Victory in Europe Day, 8 May 1945: French forces began killing Algerians in Sétif and Guelma. Algeria counts 45,000 dead.<a href="#_edn50" name="_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a> France admits to 1,500.</p>
<p>The 1945 Nigerian general strike.</p>
<p>Madagascar, 1947: 40,000 killed, crushing independence.</p>
<p>French West African railway strike, 1947–1948: 160 days, 20,000 workers on strike.</p>
<p>Gold Coast (now Ghana), 1948: British Superintendent Imray personally shot three veteran protest leaders.</p>
<p>General strikes erupted from Durban to Tunis, from Dakar to Dar es Salaam. Mombasa, 1947: 15,000 workers paralysed the city.</p>
<p>Witwatersrand, 1946: African miners struck despite 1,248 wounded by police.</p>
<p>The pattern was set: veterans demanding wages were massacred, workers demanding rights were shot, independence movements would be crushed. France would kill 1.5 million in Algeria. Britain would cage 1.5 million Kenyans. Portugal would burn Mozambique. The veterans who survived fascism now understood the enemy. Within a decade, liberation wars would erupt from Algeria to Kenya, from Angola to Mozambique – led and influenced by socialist movements and leaders who learned that the West’s six-hundred-year formula never changed: maximum extraction, maximum death, minimum acknowledgement, no accountability.</p>
<p>The 1935–1945 accounting the colonial powers never made: between 1.6 and 2 million Africans dead. Ethiopia alone: 760,000. Military deaths: 75,000. Forced labour and famine: hundreds of thousands. Colonial authorities documented copper down to the metric tonne: 262,394 tonnes. African deaths: ‘unrecorded’.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="10"><span class="heading-number">10.</span> How Socialism Defeated Fascism Through Superior Strategy</h1>
<p>Three battles proved Japan could be beaten. At Pingxingguan (平型关) in 1937, Communist forces killed over 1,000 Japanese and captured 82 vehicles – Japan’s first defeat.<a href="#_edn51" name="_ednref51"><sup>51</sup></a> At Taierzhuang (台儿庄) in 1938, the Japanese were routed. There are varying historical estimates. One 1996 study estimates that there were 20,000 casualties among 55,000 Japanese soldiers.<a href="#_edn52" name="_ednref52"><sup>52</sup></a> At Wanjialing (万家岭) on 10 October 1938, an entire Japanese division – 31,000 troops – was reduced to 1,000 survivors. It was Japan’s darkest day.</p>
<p>The CPC’s Hundred Regiments Offensive of 1940 – a series of coordinated strikes across northern China – shattered Japanese infrastructure. The CPC’s forces tied down 60% of Japanese forces and 95% of puppet forces – not some vague ‘bulk’ but a precise, bleeding majority.<a href="#_edn53" name="_ednref53"><sup>53</sup></a> ‘Sparrow warfare’ (麻雀战) made Japanese patrols bleed for every mile. Tunnel warfare in Ranzhuang (冉庄) in 1939: sixteen kilometres long, connecting five villages, guerrillas appearing and vanishing like ghosts.<a href="#_edn54" name="_ednref54"><sup>54</sup></a></p>
<p>The defeat of fascism was not just about sacrifice; it was a brilliant strategy that turned initial weakness into strength. Socialist leadership did not just mobilise the masses; it outthought and outfought its enemies, despite every material advantage.</p>
<p>Soviet innovation transformed defeat into total victory. The USSR faced an impossible equation: while constructing humanity’s first socialist society from the ruins of tsarism’s feudal system – transforming social relations of production and reproduction at an unprecedented scale – it had exactly one decade to build a military-industrial capacity for the inevitable war.</p>
<p>When German armies smashed through Soviet defences in June 1941, Western observers gave the USSR weeks to survive. Within six months, the USSR imposed the first major strategic defeat on Nazi Germany with the Moscow counteroffensive; within eighteen months the Red Army was decimating entire German army groups. The secret lay in combining revolutionary military doctrine with unprecedented social mobilisation. Deep battle theory envisioned rupturing enemy lines at multiple points, then exploiting with reserves to annihilate entire fronts. When the crisis arose, 1,523 factories were loaded onto 1.5 million railcars and evacuated beyond the Urals in five months under Luftwaffe bombardment.<a href="#_edn55" name="_ednref55"><sup>55</sup></a> Seventeen million Soviet citizens evacuated with their factories.<a href="#_edn56" name="_ednref56"><sup>56</sup></a> The Kirov Works was evacuated from Leningrad to Chelyabinsk, where 5,800 machines were installed and operational in less than three weeks – in roofless halls, with workers living in tents at –40°C.<a href="#_edn57" name="_ednref57"><sup>57</sup></a></p>
<p>Soviet tank production rose from 6,590 in 1941 to 24,719 in 1942 – nearly quadrupling despite catastrophic losses.<a href="#_edn58" name="_ednref58"><sup>58</sup></a> The Soviets produced over 100,000 tanks and self-propelled guns total, versus Germany’s 43,000 (1941–1945).<a href="#_edn59" name="_ednref59"><sup>59</sup></a> The T-34 so devastated Wehrmacht forces that German engineers desperately tried to copy it and failed. Even RAND Corporation admitted that it was the ‘epitome of creative design’.<a href="#_edn60" name="_ednref60"><sup>60</sup></a></p>
<p>Stalin created the State Defence Committee (GKO) on 30 June 1941, which coordinated this unprecedented evacuation. Workers laboured around the clock and built new factories around the equipment as trains arrived. By March 1942, these evacuated plants were producing at pre-war levels. The Germans had captured areas containing 40% of the population, 60% of coal, steel, and aluminium production, yet Soviet military output surpassed German production by 1942.<a href="#_edn61" name="_ednref61"><sup>61</sup></a> Only a socialist-led society could achieve this miracle of relocation while under invasion.</p>
<p>This was scientific superiority.</p>
<p>Stalingrad demonstrated a superior battle strategy over German tactical excellence. General Georgy Zhukov let the Germans pour their best units into urban combat where tank superiority meant nothing. Every building became a fortress; every room became a battlefield. While German forces exhausted themselves in the city, Soviet reserves massed on the flanks. Operation Uranus in 1942 struck with mathematical precision, targeting the Romanian armies Germany had positioned on its flanks – weaker Axis-allied forces holding critical positions. Multiple simultaneous attacks shattered these Romanian armies and encircled the entire Sixth Army.</p>
<p>By the war’s end, Soviet offensives routinely destroyed entire German army groups across thousand-mile fronts. The same army that collapsed in 1941 was by 1944 conducting operations of complexity and scale that no capitalist military could match.</p>
<p>This was not heroism alone, but the fusion of Marxist science with mass creativity. Where capitalist armies preserved professional forces, the Soviet system mobilised everyone. By 1942, women in the Red Army numbered 800,000. By 1945, there were 246,000 women in uniform on the front line – snipers, pilots, tank crews, not just nurses.<a href="#_edn62" name="_ednref62"><sup>62</sup></a> Partisan warfare tied down 500,000 German troops with locally organised forces; approximately 205,600 partisans were organised behind German lines by 1 July 1944.<a href="#_edn63" name="_ednref63"><sup>63</sup></a> Despite losing most of its prewar industrial base, the USSR outproduced Germany in every category that mattered: 112,100 combat aircraft to Germany’s 89,500.<a href="#_edn64" name="_ednref64"><sup>64</sup></a> Of Germany’s 3–3.5 million military deaths, 2.6–3.1 million died fighting the Red Army; of their 11.1 million total casualties, 9 million came on the Eastern Front.<a href="#_edn65" name="_ednref65"><sup>65</sup></a> From 1941 to 1942, Germany had to deploy 72–80% of its entire military strength along this 3,000-kilometre front – and lost them there. While the Allied imperialists faced 54 German divisions on D-Day, the Red Army was simultaneously dismantling and destroying 156½ divisions in the East.<a href="#_edn66" name="_ednref66"><sup>66</sup></a></p>
<p>Meanwhile, Chinese innovation overcame the Japanese superiority in arms. The CPC transformed China’s weakness into strength. Its Eighth Route Army and New Fourth Army tied down 60% of Japanese forces through guerrilla warfare. Its ‘comprehensive resistance’ turned every farmer into a supplier, every worker into a saboteur, every student into an organiser.</p>
<p>The KMT’s conventional forces engaged the remaining 40% but faced severe challenges in battle despite some notable defensive victories.</p>
<p>In <em>On Protracted War</em> (1938), Mao provided a scientific analysis: Japan was strong but small, isolated, and barbaric; China was weak but vast, progressive, and with time on its side. Mao predicted three phases – strategic defensive, strategic stalemate, strategic counteroffensive – exactly how the war unfolded. The prophecy proved exact.</p>
<p>The rear battlefield became Japan’s bleeding wound. Communist forces established bases throughout the occupied territories, implementing land reform to mobilise peasants and democratic governance to unite all patriotic classes against the invader. By the stalemate phase, guerrilla warfare tied down 60% of Japanese troops and 95% of puppet forces. Tunnel warfare, mobile warfare, and landmine warfare – each tactic exploited Japanese vulnerabilities. The occupiers controlled the cities and railways; the resistance controlled everything else.</p>
<p>The Hundred Regiments Offensive of 1940 proved the occupied zones were graveyards, not colonies. Coordinated strikes across northern China destroyed Japanese infrastructure and shattered the myth of pacification. Every blown railway, every ambushed convoy demonstrated a simple truth: superior weapons meant nothing when every village was hostile, every peasant an intelligence network, every night an opportunity for attack. The Japanese found themselves drowning in an ocean of people’s war.</p>
<p>This was scientific application of revolutionary theory to concrete conditions. The equation proved exact: correct political line plus mass mobilisation equals military miracles. China proved that imperialism’s technical superiority crumbles when an entire people refuse to be enslaved.</p>
<p>The contrast with capitalist military leadership was also stark. US and British commanders had every advantage: larger forces, uninterrupted supply lines, overwhelming air support. Yet they moved cautiously, preserving forces rather than eliminating enemies. Operation Market Garden (1944) failed. The Ardennes caught them by surprise. It took them eleven months to advance from Normandy to Berlin, a distance the Red Army covered in four months while fighting more challenging battles.<a href="#_edn67" name="_ednref67"><sup>67</sup></a></p>
<p>The US ‘production miracle’ was actually inefficiency. Manufacturing productivity fell 1.4% annually during the war. Cost-plus contracts guaranteed profit regardless of waste – corporations were paid all costs plus profit. The Truman Committee’s verdict: ‘War is waste – waste of manpower and material’.<a href="#_edn68" name="_ednref68"><sup>68</sup></a> The formula: maximum profit, minimum efficiency, let others bleed.<a href="#_edn69" name="_ednref69"><sup>69</sup></a></p>
<p>Socialist and colonised peoples: 73% of all deaths.</p>
<p>Anglo-Americans: 1%.</p>
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<div id="attachment_130613" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130613" class="size-large wp-image-130613 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-1024x810.png" alt="" width="1024" height="810" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-1024x810.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-300x237.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-768x608.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-1536x1215.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_8-2048x1620.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"><p id="caption-attachment-130613" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Author’s elaboration based on Mukerjee (2010), p. 205 and pp. 246–247; Murayama (1995); Nie, Guo, Selden, and Kleinman (2010), p. 5; Kohn and Harahan (1988), p. 88; Stone (1952), p. 312.</small></p></div>
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<h1 data-heading-number="11"><span class="heading-number">11.</span> Fascism’s Anti-Communist Laboratory: The Domestic Rehearsal for Global Genocide</h1>
<p>Before fascism turned outward to conquer nations, it perfected mass murder at home. From 1931 to 1945, fascist regimes systematically exterminated 216,000–286,000 communists and leftists across Germany, Spain, Italy, and Japan – not casualties of war but deliberate political genocide.<a href="#_edn70" name="_ednref70"><sup>70</sup></a> Millions more faced imprisonment, torture, and exile.</p>
<p>This was the rehearsal for what was to come next, watched with approval by the colonial metropoles. Better dead communists than red revolution. While fascism perfected its killing techniques on communists at home, the imperial ‘liberal democracies’ calculated their economic advantages.</p>
<p>Germany industrialised political murder, and its first targets were the Communists. In the November 1932 elections, the Communist Party of Germany (KPD) was a massive political force, securing nearly 6 million votes (16.9% of the total).<a href="#_edn71" name="_ednref71"><sup>71</sup></a> This entire political world was targeted for annihilation. Following the Reichstag Fire in February 1933, the Nazi regime launched its first mass wave of terror. Conservative data indicate that at least 100,000 political opponents were arrested in 1933 alone, with 600 dying in custody; the KPD leadership’s own estimate placed these figures at 130,000 arrested and 2,500 murdered.<a href="#_edn72" name="_ednref72"><sup>72</sup></a></p>
<p>These early arrests filled the first concentration camps – such as Oranienburg and the notorious Dachau – which became the laboratories for industrialised extermination. The chaotic brutality of the Sturmabteilung (SA) soon gave way to the bureaucratic terror of the Schutzstaffel (SS). By the end of 1933, at least 27,000 people were held in the camps, the vast majority political prisoners – 80% were members of the KPD and 10% from the Social Democratic Party of Germany.<a href="#_edn73" name="_ednref73"><sup>73</sup></a> There, methods of dehumanisation were refined. By 1937 the red triangle marking political prisoners was the precursor for the classification of all victims, and the system of torture and forced labour became standard practice. The assault on the Communists established the blueprint for the Holocaust; over the course of the Nazi regime, approximately 150,000 Communists would be imprisoned, and between 20,000 and 30,000 would be murdered or executed.<a href="#_edn74" name="_ednref74"><sup>74</sup></a> The torture and murder of communists served as the laboratory where Nazis perfected techniques later deployed against Jews, Roma, and Slavs.</p>
<p>Spain turned political cleansing into a science. Franco murdered 150,000 to 200,000 civilians behind the lines and executed 50,000 Republicans after March 1939.<a href="#_edn75" name="_ednref75"><sup>75</sup></a> The prison population reached 233,000 by 1941.</p>
<p>The Badajoz massacre (1936): 4,000 unarmed leftists slaughtered.<a href="#_edn76" name="_ednref76"><sup>76</sup></a> International Brigades volunteers faced a 30% casualty rate – Nationalists often executed international prisoners.<a href="#_edn77" name="_ednref77"><sup>77</sup></a> In 1940, Franco refused Nazi requests to repatriate Spanish Republicans from French camps, declaring them stateless – condemning more than 10,000 to Nazi concentration camps.</p>
<p>Japan’s Special Higher Police arrested 65,000 under the Peace Preservation Law.<a href="#_edn78" name="_ednref78"><sup>78</sup></a> Torture was policy – the autopsy of proletarian writer Kobayashi Takiji in 1933 revealed systematic brutality.<a href="#_edn79" name="_ednref79"><sup>79</sup></a> Between 1942 and 1945, one Jinzhou court in Manchukuo alone sentenced 1,700 to death and 2,600 to life for ‘thought crimes’.</p>
<p>Italy had already demonstrated the pattern before 1931: <em>squadristi</em> carried out 2,120 acts of anti-socialist violence between 1919 and 1922, including 709 killings, while systematically attacking socialist councils and worker organisations across the Po Valley and throughout Emilia-Romagna.<a href="#_edn80" name="_ednref80"><sup>80</sup></a> Though these pre-1931 murders are not counted in our figures above, they established fascism’s violent blueprint. By 1943, the OVRA, Mussolini’s secret police, had compiled surveillance files on 130,000 suspected subversives.</p>
<p>Western leaders did not just know – they applauded.<a href="#_edn81" name="_ednref81"><sup>81</sup></a> Churchill stated in 1937: ‘I will not pretend that, if I had to choose between Communism and Nazi-ism, I would choose Communism’. To decode this Harrow (upper-class private school) circumlocution, Churchill was announcing he preferred Hitler to Stalin while preserving the linguistic escape route of never having actually said so.</p>
<p>This support extended from political and media elites to industrial capital, with US industrialist Henry Ford providing a direct ideological blueprint for Nazism. Hitler called Ford his ‘inspiration’ and kept a large portrait of him in his Munich office. Ford’s antisemitic book, <em>The International Jew: The World’s Foremost Problem</em> (1920–1922), was translated and ‘circulated to millions throughout Germany’, promoting the core Nazi fiction of a ‘Judeo-Bolshevik’ conspiracy to control the world. Hitler copied passages from it for <em>Mein Kampf</em> (1925), and high-ranking German officials alleged that Ford provided some of the Nazi Party’s earliest funding. In July 1938, Hitler awarded Ford the Grand Cross of the German Eagle, the highest decoration the Third Reich could give a foreigner.<a href="#_edn82" name="_ednref82"><sup>82</sup></a> Every Western handshake with fascism was signed in communist blood.</p>
<p>These techniques would later return in Indonesia, Chile, El Salvador – anywhere people chose socialism over subjugation.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="12"><span class="heading-number">12.</span> The Anti-Communist Crusade: From Hidden Agenda to Open War</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Atomic Bombings: The First Act of the Cold War</h2>
<p>The atomic bombings of Hiroshima and Nagasaki on 6 and 9 August 1945 targeted the Soviet Union more than Japan. Japan was already defeated. Admiral William Leahy, the highest-ranking US military officer and Truman’s chief of staff, wrote in his 1950 memoir: ‘The use of this barbarous weapon at Hiroshima and Nagasaki was of no material assistance in our war against Japan. The Japanese were already defeated and ready to surrender’. General Dwight Eisenhower told Secretary of War Stimson in July 1945: ‘Japan was already defeated… dropping the bomb was completely unnecessary’.</p>
<p>The July 1946 US Strategic Bombing Survey concluded that Japan would have surrendered by November 1945 ‘even if the atomic bombs had not been dropped, even if Russia had not entered the war, and even if no invasion had been planned or contemplated’. Historian Gar Alperovitz documents similar opposition from five additional five-star US officers.<a href="#_edn83" name="_ednref83"><sup>83</sup></a></p>
<p>Yet the bombs were dropped. The timing exposes the calculation. At the Yalta Conference (4–11 February 1945), the Soviet Union committed to enter the war within three months of Germany’s surrender – establishing an 8–15 August deadline. Philip Morrison, a Manhattan Project physicist, revealed in 1948 that ‘the scientists responsible for making the bomb were pushed to meet a “mysterious” deadline in which it was to be ready by “a date near August tenth”’. The Trinity test succeeded on 16 July 1945 during the Potsdam Conference. Truman issued the bombing directive on 25 July. Hiroshima: 6 August 1945. Soviet declaration of war: 8 August. Soviet invasion of Manchuria: early morning of 9 August. Nagasaki: 9 August, hours after the Soviet offensive began.</p>
<p>President Truman’s Potsdam diary reveals his calculations. On 17 July, after meeting Stalin: ‘He’ll be in the Jap War on August 15th. … Japs [will be finished] when that comes about’. He noted contentious issues with the Soviets, then wrote: ‘I have an ace in the hole and another one showing’. On 18 July: ‘Believe Japs will fold up before Russia comes in. I am sure they will when Manhattan appears over their homeland’. Secretary of State James Byrnes was explicit. His aide Walter Brown’s diary recorded on 24 July that Byrnes hoped that ‘after [the] atomic bomb Japan will surrender and Russia will not get in so much on the kill’. Secretary of War Stimson’s diary entries from May 1945 describe the bomb as giving Washington ‘all the cards’, a ‘royal straight flush’ in dealing with Moscow, and the ‘master card’ in US diplomacy.<a href="#_edn84" name="_ednref84"><sup>84</sup></a></p>
<p>The Soviet invasion destroyed Japan’s last strategic hope. The atomic bombing of Hiroshima did not trigger immediate surrender negotiations. The Supreme War Council did not convene an emergency meeting on 7 or 8 August. The Soviet declaration of war on 9 August forced Prime Minister Kantarõ Suzuki to call the first emergency meeting that same morning to discuss surrender. Emperor Hirohito’s 17 August rescript cited Soviet entry as ‘endangering the very foundation of the Empire’s existence’ – not the atomic bombs.</p>
<p>Patrick M. S. Blackett, the British Nobel Prize-winning physicist, provided the first systematic analysis in his 1949 book <em>Fear, War, and the Bomb: Military and Political Consequences of Atomic Energy</em>. Blackett argued that ‘the dropping of the atomic bombs was not so much the last military act of the Second World War, as the first major operation of the cold diplomatic war with Russia now in progress’.</p>
<p>Japan had already offered to negotiate peace terms with one condition: preservation of the emperor. A US invasion remained months away. The Soviet Union was preparing to enter the war on August 8. The US objective, Blackett explained, was to force Japanese surrender before the Soviets could advance into Manchuria and ensure that Japan surrendered to the US alone.<a href="#_edn85" name="_ednref85"><sup>85</sup></a></p>
<p>The United States killed 110,000–210,000 Japanese civilians to demonstrate atomic monopoly and secure exclusively US occupation of Japan, avoiding the four-power partition that complicated Germany. This was the first act of the Cold War, not the last act of the WAFW.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Unbroken War: From Tokyo to Seoul</h2>
<p>The moment fascism fell, the mask dropped. The Atlantic powers’ true strategic enemy had always been communism, not fascism. The WAFW was barely over before the killing resumed – now aimed directly at any nation choosing socialist development.</p>
<p>The timeline reveals the truth:</p>
<ul class="timeline-list">
<li><strong>August 1945:</strong> Japan surrenders.</li>
<li><strong>September–October 1945:</strong> Ho Chi Minh declares Vietnamese independence; the British release and rearm French troops in Saigon; and the US provides eight transport ships to ferry French troops to attempt to reconquer Vietnam.<a href="#_edn86" name="_ednref86"><sup>86</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>Greek Civil War (1946–1949):</strong> Britain, then the US, crush the communists; 158,000 dead.<a href="#_edn87" name="_ednref87"><sup>87</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>Jeju Uprising in South Korea (April 1948):</strong> US-backed forces massacre 14,000–30,000.<a href="#_edn88" name="_ednref88"><sup>88</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>Fall 1950:</strong> Full-scale US invasion of Korea begins.</li>
</ul>
<p>Five years from ‘victory over fascism’ to genocidal war against socialism. No pause. No peace. The same B-29s that firebombed Tokyo were firebombing the northern half of Korea in the ‘Fatherland Liberation War’. The killing never stopped – it just changed targets.</p>
<p>Japan surrendered in September 1945. By 1950 – just five years later – the US was incinerating Korea to prevent reunification under socialist leadership. The war killed 4.5 million Koreans while the US lost only 54,246. This excludes the 197,653 Chinese People’s Volunteers who sacrificed their lives defending Korea from US genocide.<a href="#_edn89" name="_ednref89"><sup>89</sup></a></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">North Korea Bore the Genocidal Brunt</h2>
<p>Western estimates show that between 1.5 and 2.5 million Koreans from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) were killed – 15.6% to 26.0% of their pre-war population. No official DPRK figures are publicly available, so we cannot provide the DPRK’s own accounting. Given the record, the DPRK is unlikely to be the sole case where Western tallies do not understate deaths.</p>
<p>The US dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on a country the size of Pennsylvania.<a href="#_edn90" name="_ednref90"><sup>90</sup></a> US General Curtis LeMay stated – and these are his exact words – ‘We… burned down every town in North Korea… we killed off – what – twenty percent of the population’.<a href="#_edn91" name="_ednref91"><sup>91</sup></a></p>
<p>General MacArthur said: ‘The war in Korea has already almost destroyed that nation of 20 million people. I have never seen such devastation. I have seen, I guess, as much blood and disaster as any living man, and it just curdled my stomach the last time I was there. After I looked at that wreckage and those thousands of women and children and everything, I vomited’.<a href="#_edn92" name="_ednref92"><sup>92</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<div id="attachment_130623" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-130623" class="size-large wp-image-130623 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-937x1024.png" alt="" width="937" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-937x1024.png 937w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-274x300.png 274w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-768x839.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-1405x1536.png 1405w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/WAFW_Charts_EN_9-1874x2048.png 1874w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 937px) 100vw, 937px"><p id="caption-attachment-130623" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small>Sources: Shin (2001), Halliday and Cumings (1988); The Star-Ledger (1995); Vietnam Veterans of America (2025). See appendix for full methodology.</small></p></div>
</div>
<p>The US obliterated eighteen of the DPRK’s twenty-two major cities – with destruction in individual cities ranging from 65% to 100%, including the complete destruction of Sinanju and 95% of Sariwon.<a href="#_edn93" name="_ednref93"><sup>93</sup></a></p>
<p>With napalm and firestorms, there are no wounded – flesh burns, lungs sear, and everyone in the target area dies. The conventional bombing created countless more casualties – crushed under rubble, maimed by shrapnel, orphaned, and starving.</p>
<p>No nation in modern history has suffered such concentrated destruction.</p>
<p>China sent hundreds of thousands of volunteers to The War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea. Among the dead was Mao Anying, Mao Zedong’s son, killed in November 1950.</p>
<p>General Douglas MacArthur, the same man who had abandoned the Philippines in 1942, now ordered the Air Force to destroy ‘every installation, factory, city, and village’ north of the 38th parallel. The racist extermination tactics used against Japan now targeted any nation resisting capitalism.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Vietnam: The Pattern Continues</h2>
<p>Vietnam confirmed the pattern. As France’s colonial war failed, the US seamlessly took over. From 1955 to 1975, Vietnam lost at least 3.1 million people – taken from various reports including those of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam.</p>
<p>This was not a ‘discrepancy’.</p>
<p>This was erasure.</p>
<p>US bombing: 7.66 million tonnes dropped across Vietnam, Laos, and Cambodia – 3.6 times the tonnage dropped in all sectors of the WAFW. Deaths in Laos and Cambodia are not separately documented in available sources but are included in the regional devastation.</p>
<p>3.1 million Vietnamese. 58,000 US soldiers.</p>
<p>The ratio: 53:1.</p>
<p>The US dropped more bombs on Vietnam than on all WAFW battlefields combined. Why? Because Vietnam’s example – successful resistance by a small nation against the world’s richest – threatened to inspire others.</p>
<p>When we calculate population percentages, the word ‘genocide’ becomes undeniable.</p>
<p>In the case of the DPRK, remember that 26% died. Remember that number when they speak of ‘humanitarian intervention’.</p>
<p>The pattern across three wars reveals systematic extermination. When 26% of a population dies, we call it genocide – unless the US is the <em>génocidaire</em>.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="13"><span class="heading-number">13.</span> Manufacturing Memory</h1>
<p>Hollywood transformed D-Day into the turning point in the WAFW, erasing Moscow, Stalingrad, and Kursk. US textbooks portrayed Lend-Lease as charity rather than delayed support that arrived after the most decisive battles. The atomic bomb became the war winner, not the Soviet armies racing towards Japan. This served as preparation, not just propaganda. If the US public believed that they had saved the world from fascism, they could be mobilised to ‘save’ it from communism. The same corporations that had done business with Hitler now profited from containing socialism.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Ideological Apparatus: Money and Methods</h2>
<p>Academic complicity ran through specific institutions and individuals. The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) pumped tens of millions of dollars into the Congress for Cultural Freedom over seventeen years, waging what they called a ‘battle for men’s minds’.<a href="#_edn94" name="_ednref94"><sup>94</sup></a> Irving Kristol edited <em>Encounter</em>, Sidney Hook attended Berlin conferences – both received CIA funding through this network.<a href="#_edn95" name="_ednref95"><sup>95</sup></a> Hook promoted the ‘totalitarian twins’ thesis equating Stalin with Hitler. Arthur Schlesinger Jr., attending these same conferences, would later write <em>The Vital Center</em> (1949), arguing that US liberalism saved democracy, erasing at a minimum forty-five million Soviet and thirty-five million Chinese total casualties. Thomas Braden, who ran the CIA’s International Organisations Division, later confessed in the <em>Saturday Evening Post</em>: ‘I’m glad the CIA is “immoral”’ – boasting about buying an entire generation of intellectuals.<a href="#_edn96" name="_ednref96"><sup>96</sup></a></p>
<p>Those who documented socialist sacrifice faced systematic destruction. For example, William Appleman Williams faced repeated tenure denials, despite publishing in prestigious journals, for documenting US imperial expansion in <em>The Tragedy of American Diplomacy</em> (1959). A survey of 2,451 social scientists conducted in the spring of 1955 revealed agents had contacted 61% of professors – not for investigation but for intimidation.<a href="#_edn97" name="_ednref97"><sup>97</sup></a></p>
<p>Parallel to this ideological suppression, the Pentagon’s overwhelming financial power created a structural dependency that fostered a new academic culture – one of service to the national security state. Throughout the 1950s, the Department of Defense (DOD) accounted for the vast majority of all federal research spending, peaking at 83.8% of the total budget. This capital was not merely granted; it was targeted. The Korean War mobilisation doubled R&amp;D funding to $1.3 billion, establishing university-managed military laboratories like MIT’s Lincoln Laboratory and Stanford’s Applied Electronics Laboratory. By 1960, these military contracts accounted for 40% of Stanford University’s entire operating budget, institutionalising a permanent dependency in the physical sciences.<a href="#_edn98" name="_ednref98"><sup>98</sup></a> The influence of DOD funding extended beyond the sciences. Academic ‘freedom’ meant Pentagon priorities – the architecture of intellectual capture. The message was clear: write about US heroism or lose your career.</p>
<p>Harvard requires two European languages for European history PhDs. For Chinese history: fourth-year modern Chinese, second-year literary Chinese, and third-year Japanese. The Japanese requirement was not neutral – US graduate students in Chinese studies were routinely sent to Kyoto for training, required to approach Chinese history through Japanese scholarly frameworks. To document China’s suffering, Western scholars first had to master the language of its invader.</p>
<p>Even scholars who clear these barriers produce systematic undercounts. Rana Mitter – Oxford’s leading China specialist with full linguistic access – estimates only 15 to 20 million Chinese deaths.<a href="#_edn99" name="_ednref99"><sup>99</sup></a> Chinese government documentation records 24.05 million deaths between 1931 and 1945, with 35 million total casualties, including both dead and wounded.<a href="#_edn100" name="_ednref100"><sup>100</sup></a> The pattern reveals erasure beyond language: methodological choices, source selection, and what counts as credible evidence.</p>
<p><em>Encyclopaedia Britannica</em> – for over two centuries, the gold standard of Anglo-American knowledge production – reveals imperial historiography through what it counts and what it erases. Their WWII casualty table lists 1.31 million military deaths for China but provides no entry for civilian deaths or total deaths – just blank spaces.<a href="#_edn101" name="_ednref101"><sup>101</sup></a> By contrast, Poland shows 5.675 million civilian deaths and 5.8 million total. Yugoslavia: 1.2 million civilian deaths, 1.505 million total. Even defeated Germany gets entries: 0.78 million civilian deaths, 4.2 million total. China – the nation that fought longest (1931–1945) – receives blanks where more than 24 million civilian deaths belong.</p>
<p><em>Encyclopaedia Britannica</em>’s sardonic footnote: ‘The figures for China comprise casualties of the Chinese Nationalist forces during 1937–1945, as reported in 1946, and do not include figures for local armies and communists. Estimates of 2.2 million military dead and 22 million civilian deaths appear in some compilations but are of doubtful accuracy’. The gap represents not a counting error but decades of coordinated erasure.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Appeasement Fiction: How Collusion Became Confusion</h2>
<p>Western historiography transformed Neville Chamberlain’s calculated collusion with Hitler into a tale of naïve ‘appeasement’ – well-meaning but misguided efforts to avoid war. This fiction serves a purpose: if Chamberlain merely misjudged Hitler’s intentions, British strategy appears as honourable failure rather than anti-communist conspiracy. The documentary record destroys this myth.</p>
<p>Two days before meeting Hitler, Chamberlain wrote to King George VI stating his aim: an ‘Anglo-German understanding’ with Germany and England as ‘the two pillars of European peace and buttresses against communism’, acknowledging Hitler was determined ‘to proceed further East’.<a href="#_edn102" name="_ednref102"><sup>102</sup></a> Over three September 1938 meetings, this strategy was formalised. At Godesberg on 22–23 September, Hitler made the deal explicit. As recorded by official German translator Dr Paul Schmidt, Hitler told Chamberlain: ‘we will not stand in the way of your pursuit of your non-European interests and you may without harm let us have a free hand on the European continent in central and South-East Europe’.<a href="#_edn103" name="_ednref103"><sup>103</sup></a></p>
<p>Chamberlain did not protest. The meeting ended, Schmidt noted, ‘in a completely friendly tone’. Britain’s ambassador to Germany later wrote: ‘Nor would the world have failed to acclaim Hitler as a great German if he had known when and where to stop: even, for instance, after Munich and the Nuremberg decrees for the Jews’.<a href="#_edn104" name="_ednref104"><sup>104</sup></a></p>
<p>As <em>Monthly Review</em> editor John Bellamy Foster observed, Chamberlain’s government sought ‘not so much to “appease” Nazi Germany, as to collude with it, in the hope that Germany would turn its guns eastward, toward the USSR’.<a href="#_edn105" name="_ednref105"><sup>105</sup></a> The transformation of documented collusion into the ‘appeasement myth’ represents another deliberate erasure – this time not of socialist sacrifice but of Western complicity in enabling fascism’s eastward expansion.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Cultural Front: Propaganda as History</h2>
<p>The Pentagon’s collaboration with Hollywood – documented in more than 2,500 productions – ensures that people in the United States learn history through films like <em>Saving Private Ryan</em> (1998) rather than through scholarship.<a href="#_edn106" name="_ednref106"><sup>106</sup></a> While Soviet films such as <em>Come and See</em> (1985) were effectively restricted to a maximum of one hundred theatres, Pentagon-approved films reached thousands of theatres.<a href="#_edn107" name="_ednref107"><sup>107</sup></a> Every suppressed Soviet film meant millions never learned that the Red Army destroyed ten Wehrmacht soldiers for every one the Western Allies faced. When <em>Enemy at the Gates</em> (2001) depicted Soviet soldiers sharing rifles – pure fiction according to Russian historians – it reached more viewers than all Soviet war films combined.<a href="#_edn108" name="_ednref108"><sup>108</sup></a> The Pentagon does not need to ban truth when it can drown it in well-funded lies.</p>
<p>The same erasure methodology operates across all socialist casualties. Vietnam documents 3.1 million deaths from 1955 to 1975; Western historians acknowledge 2 million. Guenter Lewy deflated US military body counts by 30% while dismissing Vietnamese government figures as ‘politically inflated’. The perpetrators become the accountants of their crimes.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">History in Stone: Sanitising Fascism</h2>
<p>The anti-communist crusade required more than erasing socialist victories; it required sanitising fascism. Nearly 1,500 monuments honouring Nazi collaborators now stand across 25 countries. In Germany and Austria, there are over 110. In the US – the supposed victor – there are 36.<a href="#_edn109" name="_ednref109"><sup>109</sup></a></p>
<p>First, their crimes were pardoned. Then, they were put on pedestals.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="14"><span class="heading-number">14.</span> The Formula for Impunity: Capital, Science, and the Cold War</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">US Capital and the Nazi War Machine</h2>
<p>The scale of US corporate collaboration with Nazi Germany demands closer examination. By 1941, 250 US corporations had embedded capital directly into the Nazi war machine’s industrial infrastructure.</p>
<p>Henry Ford’s involvement went beyond ideological support. With approval from Ford’s Dearborn executives, the company’s French subsidiary produced trucks for the German military even after Pearl Harbor, prompting a US criminal investigation under the Trading with the Enemy Act that was suppressed after Edsel Ford’s death in 1943.</p>
<p>After the war, accountability was sidelined as Ford rehired its Nazi-era German manager – who had used slave labourers from the Buchenwald camp – as a consultant in 1950.</p>
<p>IBM’s collaboration was personally managed by its president, Thomas J. Watson, who travelled to Germany multiple times and accepted a special medal from Hitler in 1937. Watson oversaw the customisation of IBM’s technology specifically for Nazi requirements, establishing a German subsidiary, Dehomag, to service the Reich’s needs while maintaining direct control. IBM’s Hollerith punch card machines – the forerunner to the computer – automated the Holocaust itself. The technology allowed the Nazis to efficiently identify Jewish populations through census data, manage the logistics of train transports to the death camps, and track prisoners within the camps themselves. IBM technicians serviced the machines on-site – nearly every camp, including Auschwitz, had a Hollerith Department. The five-digit numbers tattooed on inmates’ arms corresponded directly to the IBM punch card system used to manage them. Watson only returned his Nazi medal in 1940 under public pressure, but IBM’s machines kept running in the camps until liberation.</p>
<p>International Telephone &amp; Telegraph (ITT), under president Sosthenes Behn – one of the first US executives to meet with Hitler on 3 August 1933 – entered into cartel agreements with the German firm Siemens &amp; Halske and, as late as 1943, held a 29% stake in the aircraft manufacturer Focke-Wulf – whose planes killed Allied aviators and soldiers. A 1942 US government report noted Behn’s ‘unusual ability to get along with fascist governments and particularly with Nazi Germany’. After the war, the US government compensated ITT $27 million for Allied bomb damage to its German factories – paying US corporations for facilities that had produced weapons to kill US soldiers.<a href="#_edn110" name="_ednref110"><sup>110</sup></a></p>
<p>General Motors’ Opel subsidiary became the Wehrmacht’s primary truck manufacturer. Opel’s Rüsselsheim plant produced the Opel Blitz truck, the primary transport vehicle used by the Wehrmacht in its invasions of Poland, France, and the Soviet Union. The Brandenburg plant alone produced 130,000 Blitz trucks by 1944. GM’s chief executive for overseas operations, James D. Mooney, received the Grand Cross of the German Eagle from Hitler in 1938. Throughout the war, GM’s plants used forced and slave labour supplied by the Reich. The financial manipulation was sophisticated: unable to repatriate profits after 1941, GM declared Opel ‘abandoned’ and claimed a $22.7 million tax write-off under special legislation Roosevelt signed in October 1942 – even while Opel continued producing for the Wehrmacht. After the war, GM regained control of its valuable German facilities and resumed operations. The company profited from pre-war collaboration (1933–1941), wartime tax benefits, and post-war recovery of industrial assets.</p>
<p>The suppression of this history constitutes another pernicious form of erasure – this time concerning the systemic integration of US capital into the Nazi war machine. Not one US corporate executive faced prosecution for operating concentration camp factories or automating the Holocaust. Instead, they collected compensation for bomb damage and tax write-offs for their ‘losses’. This evidence refutes the claim that President Franklin Roosevelt was merely constrained by public opinion; it documents a state policy that protected these powerful corporate interests. The formula was established: profit from building fascism’s capacity for genocide, then profit from fascism’s defeat.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Recruiting the Enemy: Nazi Industrialists and Scientists</h2>
<p>While Nazi scientists received US laboratories, Nazi industrialists received US protection. Alfred Krupp – whose slave labourers built the Wehrmacht’s arsenal – walked free in 1951, his fortune restored by US decree.<a href="#_edn111" name="_ednref111"><sup>111</sup></a> The Quandt dynasty, enriched by concentration camp labour, became BMW billionaires.<a href="#_edn112" name="_ednref112"><sup>112</sup></a> Hermann Josef Abs, Hitler’s banker who financed Auschwitz, became an adviser to West Germany’s Chancellor Konrad Adenauer.<a href="#_edn113" name="_ednref113"><sup>113</sup></a> Ferdinand Porsche, who used Buchenwald slaves to build the Ferdinand (later Elefant) tank destroyers, saw his family’s empire flourish under US occupation.<a href="#_edn114" name="_ednref114"><sup>114</sup></a></p>
<p>Operation Paperclip (1945–1959) brought more than 1,500 Nazi war criminals to the United States, including SS members who used slave labour and conducted human experiments.<a href="#_edn115" name="_ednref115"><sup>115</sup></a> They received laboratories while scholars documenting Soviet sacrifice were blacklisted.</p>
<p>Not one Nazi industrialist – nor any of their US corporate collaborators – faced justice at Nuremberg for operating concentration camp factories.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Japanese War Crimes: The Architecture of US-Enforced Impunity</h2>
<p>Japan’s war criminals received far greater protection. Whereas the Allies prosecuted 199 major German war criminals – 24 at Nuremberg and 177 in subsequent trials – they prosecuted only 25 Japanese war criminals at Tokyo. The disparity reveals deliberate design.</p>
<p>The prosecution patterns expose the design. While 5,700 Japanese war criminals faced Allied tribunals, US official Saltzman ended these in 1949, declaring ‘no further trials’. Though 920 were executed, this was foreign justice imposed by victim nations.<a href="#_edn116" name="_ednref116"><sup>116</sup></a> Germany was forced to investigate 90,000 individuals and established domestic courts, prosecuting tens of thousands.<a href="#_edn117" name="_ednref117"><sup>117</sup></a> Japan investigated zero domestically. Japan prosecuted zero domestically. The US occupation preserved Japan’s war-criminal bureaucracy, making self-prosecution impossible.</p>
<p>The organisational immunity granted to Japan exceeded even this individual protection. At Nuremberg, the Allies declared four organisations criminal: the SS, Gestapo, SD, and Nazi Party Leadership Corps. Membership alone became grounds for prosecution. For Japan, the Allies declared zero organisations criminal. Not the Kempeitai, the military police that tortured POWs. Not the Special Higher Police, which arrested 65,000 for political crimes. Not Unit 731, whose 3,607 members conducted human experiments. This wholesale organisational immunity ensured that systematic crimes could never be prosecuted as systematic.</p>
<p>The Tokyo Trial architecture neutered crimes against humanity as a distinct category. Unlike Nuremberg’s clear distinctions, the 5,700 Japanese ‘Class B and Class C’ prosecutions were merged into a single category, with no separate Class C indictments or verdicts issued, erasing crimes against humanity as an independent charge and avoiding precedents applicable to Western colonial rule.</p>
<p>The financial disparity completed the racial hierarchy: while Germany paid $86.8 billion in Holocaust reparations through 2018, with direct compensation to victims, Japan paid $2.6 billion total through state-to-state deals with mandatory waivers blocking individual compensation. The ‘comfort women’ (<em>ianfu</em>) – 200,000 to 400,000 enslaved – saw zero prosecutions of those responsible. Chinese POWs suffered 99.9% mortality while Western POWs faced 27% mortality under the same captors. The legal architecture did not just reflect racial hierarchy; it codified it.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">From War Criminals to Japan’s Ruling Elite</h2>
<p>Unit 731 exemplified both the depths of Japanese war crimes and the completeness of US complicity. The unit’s 3,607 members called prisoners <em>maruta</em> (logs) while conducting experiments on them that defied human comprehension.<a href="#_edn118" name="_ednref118"><sup>118</sup></a> They performed vivisections without anaesthesia, infected prisoners with plague and cholera, froze limbs to study frostbite until they sounded like boards when struck, subjected prisoners to pressure chambers until their eyes popped out, used them as living targets for germ bombs and flamethrowers, and cut open pregnant women to observe foetal infection. Prisoners had a maximum life expectancy of one month; technicians fed them dumplings laced with typhoid, injected them with snake venom and prussic acid, replaced their blood with horse blood, then carefully documented their deaths before burning the bodies in oil-fuelled crematoria.</p>
<p>On 6 May 1947, MacArthur radioed Washington: Unit 731 commander Shirō Ishii would provide the ‘complete story’ if granted ‘documentary immunity’. The State-War-Navy Coordinating Committee deemed this data ‘the only known source’ of human experimentation results – research the US could not duplicate due to ‘scruples’. Fort Detrick paid 150,000–200,000 yen for the data – what General Charles Willoughby called ‘a pittance’ – and collected 8,000 pathology slides from over 200 cases of human experimentation. Fort Detrick incorporated this blood data into its biological weapons programme.</p>
<p>The racial calculus was explicit. The US executed two Japanese physicians at Yokohama for vivisecting US pilots – they were not even Unit 731. Yet all 3,607 Unit 731 members who killed 3,000 in experiments and 200,000 through biological weapons – overwhelmingly Chinese – received immunity.<a href="#_edn119" name="_ednref119"><sup>119</sup></a> US lives: prosecution. Asian lives: immunity and payment.</p>
<p>When the Soviets prosecuted twelve captured Unit 731 members at Khabarovsk in 1949 – exposing the human experiments on Chinese, Korean, and Soviet prisoners in sworn testimony – Western governments, including the US, dismissed the trial as Soviet propaganda.</p>
<p>The career trajectories of Unit 731 personnel demonstrate how immunity became advancement. Commander Ishii became a medical consultant to the US Army. His deputies founded Green Cross Pharmaceuticals. Yoshimura Hisato, who conducted frostbite experiments, became president of Kyoto Prefectural University of Medicine and received the Order of the Rising Sun from Emperor Hirohito. These men trained the next generation of Japanese doctors. The Nuremberg Doctors’ Trial executed seven of twenty-three Nazi physicians for identical experiments. Japanese experimenters became medical educators.</p>
<p>The transformation of war criminals into political leadership followed the same pattern. Nobusuke Kishi administered forced labour in North China: four million enslaved, 40% mortality. At the Fushun Coal Mine, 25,000 of 40,000 workers were replaced yearly after being worked to death. MacArthur released him from Sugamo Prison on 24 December 1948 – the day after Prime Minister Hideki Tojo’s execution. The message: some war criminals hang, others rule. The CIA orchestrated Kishi’s rise: by 1957, he was prime minister, having rammed through the US-Japan Security Treaty. Nine years from war criminal to prime minister. His grandson Shinzo Abe served as prime minister for over 3,188 days, Japan’s longest tenure.<a href="#_edn120" name="_ednref120"><sup>120</sup></a></p>
<p>The financial architecture of impunity proved equally systematic. Yoshio Kodama plundered $175 million through opium trafficking – the CIA called him ‘a professional liar, gangster, charlatan, and outright thief’ yet kept him on the payroll. His stolen wealth funded the Liberal Democratic Party. Ryoichi Sasakawa, ‘the world’s wealthiest fascist’, transformed wartime loot into Japan’s gambling monopoly, funding right-wing causes globally through his Nippon Foundation.</p>
<p>The <em>zaibatsu</em> corporations – Mitsubishi, Mitsui, Nissan, Sumitomo – exploited 40,000 Chinese prisoners and hundreds of thousands of Koreans. Their executives died as honoured billionaires. Matsutaro Shoriki, a Class A war criminal, founded Nippon Television while shaping public memory for generations.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Enforcing Historical Denial</h2>
<p>The architecture of impunity required more than protecting war criminals – it demanded enforcing historical denial. Japan has never issued a full apology to Asian victims. China, with 24 million dead, received no formal unqualified apology. Indonesia lost 3.4 million, Burma 345,000, Malaya 100,000 in Sook Ching (purge) operations, the Philippines 765,000 – all without direct acknowledgement.</p>
<p>The 1995 Murayama Statement was merely personal; the Diet’s resolution avoided admitting guilt.<a href="#_edn121" name="_ednref121"><sup>121</sup></a> School textbooks minimise these crimes. Nippon Kaigi’s 40,000 members work systematically to overturn ‘the Tokyo Tribunal’s view of history’. A nation that enshrines war criminals and censors their victims cannot claim contrition.</p>
<p>MacArthur’s immunity for Hirohito created the foundation for all denial. The emperor who bore command responsibility for Unit 731 was guaranteed immunity before trials began. This created a legal black hole: if the supreme commander was immune, no organisation could be criminal, no chain of command could be traced. Hirohito died in 1989, never questioned about the millions killed under his command.</p>
<p>The Yasukuni Shrine honours 1,066 war criminals, including 14 Class A criminals. Seven prime ministers have worshipped there since 1978 – Koizumi six times. The Yushukan Museum displays the Thai-Burma Railway locomotive, celebrating Japanese engineering while erasing 90,000 Asian labourers who died building it. At Harbin’s Unit 731 Museum, victims preserve evidence perpetrators deny. Germany criminalises Holocaust denial; Japan’s establishment suppresses war crimes acknowledgement. Historians documenting atrocities face death threats. Comfort women memorials trigger diplomatic protests.</p>
<p>MacArthur architected impunity as policy, ensuring war criminals became Japan’s ruling elite, choosing anti-communist stability over justice for millions of Asian dead.</p>
<p>War criminals became cabinet ministers. Their victims became blank spaces in encyclopaedias.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="15"><span class="heading-number">15.</span> The Memory Hole: Admitting the Real War</h1>
<p>On 29 March 2025, US Defence Secretary Hegseth stood at Iwo Jima, celebrating yesterday’s enemy as today’s friend. Japan and America fought as rival empires, not ideological opponents. Their shared enemy was always socialism.</p>
<p>The historical revision accelerates. At the 2023 G7 Hiroshima Summit, the atomic bombing was recast – no longer US mass murder of civilians but a warning about Russian and Chinese nuclear threats. The victims of US nuclear weapons became props in propaganda against nations that have never used them. Japan’s prime minister stood where 140,000 died and pointed at Beijing and Moscow, not Washington.</p>
<p>Within five years of Hiroshima, MacArthur was rearming Japan. Within six years, the San Francisco Treaty excluded China and the Soviet Union – two nations that actually defeated Japanese fascism. Now, Hegseth announces Japan as a warfighting headquarters against Chinese Communist aggression. This timeline reveals the truth: a temporary conflict between imperialist states (1941–1945) and a permanent war against socialism that began in 1917 and continues for more than a century.</p>
<p>The West’s historical erasure operates on multiple levels. The first is a near-total silence in the popular sphere, where the foundational facts of the war – that the Soviet Union destroyed 80% of the Wehrmacht and China tied down the Japanese army at a cost of 27 million and 24 million dead respectively – are simply absent.</p>
<p>Beyond this public silencing, a more subtle academic erasure occurs. Even when a high death toll – perhaps 50 million – is technically acknowledged, it is frequently buried in obscure, supposedly neutral texts and presented as data stripped of perpetrator, responsibility, and the context of a socialist victory. Simultaneously, the most comprehensive research from victim nations is actively minimised through a grotesque demand for bookkeeping from the graveyards, allowing their casualty reports to be dismissed as politically inflated while the perpetrators control the historical ledger. This is how empires lie – by making the dead disappear twice. First, they kill and maim them. Then they deny they ever existed. The gap between Western admissions and reality is not an error, oversight, or methodological difference. It is a deliberate, systematic, and ongoing act of erasure.</p>
<p>The full accounting, therefore, requires restoring this lost context and human cost. The calculation is derived by summing two main groups of silenced victims:</p>
<ul>
<li>The full human cost of the WAFW, including both the socialist victors and the colonised victims whose suffering is ignored:
<ul>
<li>Soviet Union: 40–45 million casualties (dead and wounded)</li>
<li>China: 35–50 million casualties (dead and wounded)</li>
<li>Colonised peoples (Asia and Africa): 11.2 million dead</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The victims of the anti-communist genocides that followed, and whose murders are minimised or forgotten:
<ul>
<li>Koreans killed: 4.5 million</li>
<li>Southeast Asians killed (Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia): 3.1–5.1 million</li>
<li>Indonesians killed (1965–1966): 1–2 million</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>The sum of these figures reveals the true scale of what is hidden behind the West’s neutralised data and public silence: a total of 90–115 million human beings rendered invisible. This conservative tally does not even include the victims of terror by US-backed regimes from Chile to Guatemala, nor those murdered during six centuries of uninterrupted imperial barbarism across the African continent. Every uncounted casualty serves empire. Every genocide minimised protects the guilty.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="16"><span class="heading-number">16.</span> The Architecture of Betrayal: Cairo to San Francisco</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Post-War Betrayals Were Scripted before the War Ended</h2>
<p>The Cairo Declaration (27 November 1943) promised Korea would become ‘free and independent’ – Roosevelt, Churchill, and Chiang signed this while Korean forced labourers died in Japanese mines.<a href="#_edn122" name="_ednref122"><sup>122</sup></a> The Atlantic Charter (1941) guaranteed ‘no territorial changes that do not accord with the freely expressed wishes of the peoples concerned’.<a href="#_edn123" name="_ednref123"><sup>123</sup></a> However, Prime Minister Churchill clarified to Parliament less than a month later that this principle applied only to ‘states and nations of Europe now under the Nazi yoke’ and explicitly excluded the subjects of the British Empire.<a href="#_edn124" name="_ednref124"><sup>124</sup></a> The Potsdam Declaration (26 July 1945) demanded Japan’s complete demilitarisation and China’s territorial restoration. Roosevelt’s ‘Four Policemen’ concept envisioned the UN under the control of four great powers: the US, Britain, the USSR, and China. Every promise would be systematically broken.</p>
<p>The reversal began immediately. In August 1945, Dean Rusk – a mere colonel – drew the 38th parallel line dividing Korea, the nation promised independence.<a href="#_edn125" name="_ednref125"><sup>125</sup></a> By 1950, the US was incinerating the Korea it had pledged to free. The Atlantic Charter’s territorial integrity? The US would eventually establish 902 foreign military bases across 98 countries and territories.<a href="#_edn126" name="_ednref126"><sup>126</sup></a></p>
<p>After the WAFW, the US military occupied Okinawa – the Ryukyu Kingdom that Japan had forcibly annexed in 1879. The Potsdam Declaration limited Japanese sovereignty to its main islands and ‘such minor islands as we determine’ but made no provision for Ryukyuan self-determination. The US simply replaced Japan as the occupying power, maintaining control until 1972 when it transferred administrative authority back to Japan – again without consulting the Okinawan people. US bases remained, occupying 18% of the island today, where 70% of all US forces in Japan are concentrated.<a href="#_edn127" name="_ednref127"><sup>127</sup></a> Japan’s demilitarisation? MacArthur created the Police Reserve (later known as the Self-Defence Forces) in 1950, just five years after the bombing of Hiroshima.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The San Francisco Exclusion</h2>
<p>The Treaty of San Francisco (8 September 1951) crystallised the betrayal through calculated exclusion. Neither Beijing nor Taipei was invited, despite China having borne 35–50 million casualties defeating Japan. The USSR attended but refused to sign.<a href="#_edn128" name="_ednref128"><sup>128</sup></a> Soviet delegate Andrei Gromyko protested that the treaty would turn Japan into ‘an American military base’ while excluding China, ‘one of the main victims’.<a href="#_edn129" name="_ednref129"><sup>129</sup></a> When he attempted to secure a discussion, US-orchestrated parliamentary manoeuvres ruled him ‘out of order’. The question of China’s participation was simply dismissed. US Secretary of State John Foster Dulles received ‘paeans of praise’ from twenty delegations for engineering this exclusion – the same Dulles who would later threaten ‘massive retaliation’ and push the world to nuclear brinkmanship. The US negotiated peace with Japan by excluding the two nations that sacrificed the most in defeating it. This was not oversight – it set the security architecture of post-war East Asia.</p>
<p>The United Nations (UN), designed for collective security through great power cooperation, was immediately circumvented. The US exploited the Soviet absence during the Security Council vote on Korea then created alternatives to bypass Soviet vetoes. The North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO), established in 1949, and other parallel structures operated outside UN authority. By calling Korea a ‘police action’, the US established precedent for endless interventions without Security Council approval. The same semantic manipulation is used today in Syria, Libya, and Yemen.</p>
<p>Three wars. One pattern.</p>
<p>The final accounting shatters imperial mythology: those with overwhelming wealth inflicted maximum violence on those who had the least – and still lost. Socialist forces with minimal wealth mobilised maximum humanity – and won.</p>
<p>Today’s ‘new Cold War’ against China and Russia (independent, not socialist) follows the same script. The faces change, the imperialism remains. When Western media demonise China while ignoring its lifting of 800 million from poverty, when it portrays Russia as aggressive while NATO expands to its borders, we see the same propaganda machinery that erased the truth about who defeated fascism.</p>
<h1 data-heading-number="17"><span class="heading-number">17.</span> Conclusion: The World Anti-Fascist War within the Century-Long Struggle</h1>
<p>The WAFW was not humanity’s ‘good war’ against evil, after which peace prevailed. It involved one chapter in imperialism’s century-long assault on socialism that began with the 1917 Russian Revolution and continues today.</p>
<p>The liberal fiction of three competing systems – democracy, fascism, and communism – obscures the truth: fascism is capitalism in crisis, its mask dropped. The real struggle was never between three systems but between two: socialism and capitalism, with fascism as capitalism’s emergency response to revolutionary threat.</p>
<p>The colonial metropoles supported fascism’s rise – from Churchill praising Mussolini to US corporations building Hitler’s war machine – because fascism was the solution to defeat any emergence of socialism in the weakest links of the imperialist chain and to destroy the Soviet experiment. Only when fascism threatened the interests of Western imperialist powers did they reluctantly join the socialist powers they had hoped to see destroyed.</p>
<p>The numbers expose the truth with brutal clarity.</p>
<p>The Soviet Union and China – controlling less than one-sixth of global economic output – destroyed over 80% of fascist military power while suffering 59.8% of all WAFW deaths. They won the war. Roosevelt and Churchill positioned themselves to win the peace. This was not a coincidence, strategy, or clever timing. This was betrayal – planned from the beginning, executed with precision, covered with propaganda that continues to this day – as the West celebrates D-Day while minimising Moscow and Stalingrad, honours Churchill while hiding his Bengal genocide, and claims victory while those who actually won lie in unmarked graves by the millions.</p>
<p>But this war never strategically ended. It simply changed form. In 1931, Japan invaded China. In 1941, Germany invaded the USSR. In 1950, the US invaded Korea. In 1955, the US took over France’s war in Vietnam. No pause between ‘defeating fascism’ and attacking socialism – because defeating socialism was always the decisive goal.</p>
<p>The same arithmetic of sacrifice continued. Korea: 4.5 million deaths, while the US lost 54,246. Vietnam: 3.1 million deaths by Vietnamese documentation, while the US lost 58,000. Indonesia: 1–2 million murdered in 1965–1966 through death lists provided by the governments of Australia and the United States.<a href="#_edn130" name="_ednref130"><sup>130</sup></a> For Africa there have been six centuries of uninterrupted imperial barbarism, starting with the slave trade and colonial genocide. This year also marks seventy years since the 1955 Bandung Conference, when twenty-nine African and Asian nations declared their refusal to be pawns in the Cold War while demanding genuine independence from both colonial rule and emerging neocolonial domination.</p>
<p>Today, anti-communist and colonial genocide has stretched from Korea’s mountains and Indonesia’s islands to Congo’s mines, Chile’s copper fields, and Gaza – the target never changes. Each nation pays in blood for the crime of seeking real independence. The weapons improve; the genocide remains constant. Any nation attempting truly independent development faces the choice: submit to capital or face imperialist assault.</p>
<p>As the US-led military bloc now accounts for over 75% of the world’s total military spending, as NATO expands despite promises, and as sanctions strangle any nation asserting sovereignty – from Cuba to the Sahel – imperialism promotes the same war by other means.<a href="#_edn131" name="_ednref131"><sup>131</sup></a> The ‘rules-based international order’ means the same thing as the ‘civilising mission’: submit or be destroyed.</p>
<p>When Western leaders invoke the World Anti-Fascist War to justify aggression, remember who actually fought and died. They claim to defend democracy, yet they allied with fascism until forced to fight. They promise to protect human rights while they let millions burn, preserving their strength.</p>
<p>The Soviet and Chinese peoples saved humanity not through wealth but through sacrifice; not through superior resources but through superior strategy; not through the preservation of capital but through the mobilisation of the masses.</p>
<p>Socialist peoples and leadership can defeat imperialism in any form – fascist then, hyper-imperialist now – despite every material disadvantage. That victory required genius, courage, and unimaginable sacrifice. It also proved something imperialism cannot accept: ordinary people, organised and led with brilliance, can defeat any empire. Mao crystallised this truth in <em>On Protracted War</em> (1938): ‘The richest source of power to wage war lies in the masses of the people’. Not in GDP percentages or military budgets, not in colonial extraction or industrial capacity, but in the mobilised masses who refuse to kneel. The arithmetic proved him right: those with 8% of world GDP defeated those with 30–32%. The formula remains unchanged – when the people are organised, no empire can stand.</p>
<p>We live in times of change not seen in a hundred years. It has been a century since the first socialist state established the precedent that a world beyond capital was achievable. Today, for the first time since 1900, the eight richest imperialist countries have fallen from 57.3% of world GDP to 29.9% – their economic stranglehold weakening as the Global South rises. We draw inspiration from all our martyrs. We will not allow their sacrifice to be in vain. History is on our side.</p>
<p>That is why they lie about who won the war.</p>
<p>That is why we must tell the truth.</p>
<h1 class="fwafw--img-header fwafw--img-header--apendix"><span class="fwafw--img-header-text">Appendix<i>:</i></span> <span class="fwafw--img-header-subtext">Data, Sources, and Methodology</span></h1>
<p>This appendix provides a comprehensive overview of the data sources, calculations, and methodological principles underpinning this study. It is intended to offer transparency and a centralised resource for readers seeking to understand the foundational evidence for the article’s central arguments. The appendix is divided into three sections:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Data Tables and Sources for Figures:</strong> the summary tables as they appear in the article</li>
<li><strong>Methodological Notes:</strong> explanations of how data were calculated and interpreted, including key comparative data tables</li>
<li><strong>Verbatim Data Source Excerpts:</strong> key data tables reproduced directly from primary sources for full transparency</li>
</ul>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Section 1: Data Tables and Sources for Figures</h2>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 1</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Economic capacity and population (1941)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>GDP (billions, 1990 international dollars)</th>
<th>% of world GDP</th>
<th>Population (millions)</th>
<th>% of world population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>412</td>
<td>8.7%</td>
<td>70.2</td>
<td>3.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>196</td>
<td>4.1%</td>
<td>74.0</td>
<td>3.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>344</td>
<td>7.2%</td>
<td>48.2</td>
<td>2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US</td>
<td>1,094</td>
<td>23.0%</td>
<td>133.9</td>
<td>5.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>359</td>
<td>7.5%</td>
<td>195.4</td>
<td>8.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>238</td>
<td>5.0%</td>
<td>521.5</td>
<td>23.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>World total</strong></td>
<td><strong>4,759</strong></td>
<td><strong>100.0%</strong></td>
<td><strong>2,260.4</strong></td>
<td><strong>100.0%</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="5">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Population data mainly from Maddison (2010); GDP data mainly from Harrison (1998), p. 10, table 1.3; USSR population for 1941 from Statista (2025); China and world-total GDP are corroborated estimates by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 2</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Late to the fight: troops as a percentage of population (1939–1945)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>US</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
<td>2.9%</td>
<td>6.6%</td>
<td>8.2%</td>
<td>8.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
<td>7.0%</td>
<td>8.5%</td>
<td>9.8%</td>
<td>10.1%</td>
<td>10.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>2.6%</td>
<td>3.6%</td>
<td>6.0%</td>
<td>6.4%</td>
<td>6.8%</td>
<td>6.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>6.5%</td>
<td>8.3%</td>
<td>10.4%</td>
<td>11.9%</td>
<td>13.5%</td>
<td>13.5%</td>
<td>11.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>2.2%</td>
<td>3.3%</td>
<td>3.8%</td>
<td>4.9%</td>
<td>7.0%</td>
<td>10.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Troops data from Harrison (1998), p. 14, table 1.5; population from Maddison (2010) and Statista (2025). See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 3</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Western calculations on the relative value of a life: Lend-Lease distribution (1941–1945)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country/group</th>
<th>Lend-Lease aid ($)</th>
<th>Deaths</th>
<th>Aid per death ($)</th>
<th>Per capita aid ($)</th>
<th>1945 population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>631,509,000</td>
<td>24,050,000</td>
<td>26</td>
<td>1.2</td>
<td>532,607,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>British India<sup>1</sup></td>
<td>3,567,477,000</td>
<td>3,000,000</td>
<td>1,189</td>
<td>8.6</td>
<td>417,050,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>White settler states<sup>2</sup></td>
<td>2,432,913,000</td>
<td>55,000</td>
<td>44,235</td>
<td>268.0</td>
<td>9,077,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>23,335,549,000</td>
<td>432,000</td>
<td>54,017</td>
<td>474.5</td>
<td>49,182,000</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>
<p><strong>Sources:</strong> Lend-Lease aid numbers from US Department of State (1945), p. 14, table 2, and pp. 42–43, table 25; population data from Maddison (2010); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India death data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See Section 2 for full methodology.</p>
<ol>
<li>‘British India’ here refers to India and today’s Pakistan and Bangladesh. The Lend-Lease aid and population numbers for British India and Ceylon (now Sri Lanka) are included here.</li>
<li>‘White settler states’ refers to Australia and New Zealand.</li>
</ol>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 4</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The economics of delay: military spending commitments</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>US</td>
<td>1%</td>
<td>2%</td>
<td>11%</td>
<td>31%</td>
<td>42%</td>
<td>42%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>15%</td>
<td>44%</td>
<td>53%</td>
<td>52%</td>
<td>55%</td>
<td>53%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>17%</td>
<td>28%</td>
<td>61%</td>
<td>61%</td>
<td>53%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>23%</td>
<td>40%</td>
<td>52%</td>
<td>64%</td>
<td>70%</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>22%</td>
<td>22%</td>
<td>27%</td>
<td>33%</td>
<td>43%</td>
<td>76%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 21, table 1.8. See Section 3 for a verbatim transcript of the source data.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 5</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Who paid the price: death distribution in the World Anti-Fascist War</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Group</th>
<th>Deaths</th>
<th>Deaths as % of world total</th>
<th>Note</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>USSR + China</td>
<td>51,050,000</td>
<td>59.8%</td>
<td>Socialist forces who saved humanity</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>colonies (Asia/Africa)</td>
<td>11,218,000</td>
<td>13.1%</td>
<td>Victims of both Japanese fascism and Allied extraction</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Axis powers</td>
<td>11,007,000</td>
<td>12.9%</td>
<td>The fascist aggressors</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td>9,514,000</td>
<td>11.1%</td>
<td>Caught between fascism and liberation</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td>1,595,700</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
<td>France, Netherlands, Belgium (colonial powers)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Anglo-American (US + UK)</td>
<td>847,000</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
<td>US + UK who claimed ‘victory’</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World total deaths</td>
<td>85,335,700</td>
<td>100.0%</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; India data from Sen (1977), p. 36. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 6</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Global distribution of World Anti-Fascist War deaths</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>% of world total deaths</th>
<th>% of country population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>31.6%</td>
<td>13.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>28.2%</td>
<td>4.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>French Indochina</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
<td>6.5%*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dutch East Indies</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="3">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> USSR death data from Andreev et al. (1993); China death data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405; French Indochina population from Budge (2014) and death data from The National WWII Museum New Orleans (n.d.); other population data from Maddison (2010). See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 7</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The USSR and China bear history’s burden</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Deaths (Western estimates)</th>
<th>Country reported/calculated deaths</th>
<th>Country reported/calculated deaths</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>20–27 million</td>
<td>27 million</td>
<td>40–45 million</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>14–20 million</td>
<td>24.1 million</td>
<td>35–50 million</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> USSR data from Andreev et al. (1993); China data from Bian (2012), pp. 401–405, p. 442. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 8</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">When even the killers confess: perpetrator admissions</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>War</th>
<th>Perpetrator</th>
<th>Position</th>
<th>Direct quote</th>
<th>Deaths confirmed</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>WAFW</td>
<td>Winston Churchill</td>
<td>British prime minister</td>
<td>Indians ‘breed like rabbits… the Hindus were a foul race protected by their mere pullulation from the doom that is their due’. He wished that the head of British Bomber Command could: ‘send some of his surplus bombers to destroy them’.</td>
<td>Denying Bengal Famine relief; 3 million died</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>WAFW</td>
<td>Government of Japan</td>
<td>Murayama Statement (1995)</td>
<td>‘Caused tremendous damage and suffering to the people of many countries, particularly to those of Asian nations’.</td>
<td>Validates 24 million Chinese deaths</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>WAFW</td>
<td>Shirō Ishii</td>
<td>Unit 731 commander</td>
<td>Called prisoners ‘logs’; US paid for his data.</td>
<td>12,000+ murdered</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea</td>
<td>Curtis LeMay</td>
<td>Strategic Air Command</td>
<td>‘We killed off – what – twenty percent of the population’.</td>
<td>1.9 million North Korean deaths</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea</td>
<td>Emmett O’Donnell</td>
<td>Far East Bomber Command</td>
<td>‘Everything is destroyed. Nothing standing worthy of the name’.</td>
<td>85% of infrastructure destroyed</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="5">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Author’s elaboration based on Mukerjee (2010), p. 205, pp. 246–247; Murayama (1995); Nie, Guo, Selden, and Kleinman (2010), p. 5; Kohn and Harahan (1988), p. 88; Stone (1952), p. 312.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered" style="width: 100%; height: 112px;">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 9</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Fascism defeated: Korea and Vietnam choose sovereignty and socialism, face genocide</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr style="height: 16px;">
<th style="height: 16px;"></th>
<th style="height: 16px;" colspan="2">Deaths (admitted by West)</th>
<th style="height: 16px;" colspan="2">Deaths (estimates from invaded countries)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Country</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">Total deaths</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">% of pre-war population</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">Total deaths</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">% of pre-war population</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">DPRK (Korean War)</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1.5–2.5 million</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15.6%–26.0%</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Vietnam (Vietnam War)</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3.1–5.1 million</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8.3%–13.7%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;" colspan="5">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Shin (2001), Halliday and Cumings (1988); The Star-Ledger (1995); Vietnam Veterans of America (2025). See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Section 2: Methodological Notes</h2>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">GDP and Population Data Methodology</h4>
<p>All GDP and population data in this article follow a systematic source hierarchy to ensure consistency and maximise data coverage.</p>
<p><strong>GDP Data</strong></p>
<p>All GDP values are expressed in 1990 International Geary-Khamis dollars for cross-country comparability. Primary GDP figures are sourced from Harrison (1998). Where Harrison does not provide coverage, data are supplemented from Maddison (2010). Alternative sources are used only when both primary sources lack the required data.</p>
<p>The 1941 world GDP total is estimated using the following methodology: beginning with Maddison’s 1940 world total ($4,547 billion), we calculated the weighted average growth rate (4.6%) for countries with continuous 1940–1941 coverage (representing 73.7% of 1940 world GDP) and applied this rate to derive the 1941 global estimate based on 1940 world GDP data. Calculation: $4,547 billion × 1.046 = $4,759 billion.<a href="#_edn132" name="_ednref132"><sup>132</sup></a></p>
<p>For China, only the 1938 GDP figure is available; its 1941 GDP and share of world GDP are estimates.<a href="#_edn133" name="_ednref133"><sup>133</sup></a></p>
<p><strong>Population Data</strong></p>
<p>Population figures primarily derive from the Maddison 2010 database, which provides the most comprehensive coverage for the countries and time periods examined. While Harrison (1998) utilised an earlier version of Maddison’s dataset (now unavailable), this article uses the 2010 revision for consistency. Where Maddison lacks coverage, alternative sources or interpolation methods are employed. Specifically, USSR population data for 1941 and 1946 are sourced from Statista (2025), with values for 1942–1945 derived through linear interpolation.<a href="#_edn134" name="_ednref134"><sup>134</sup></a></p>
<p>We acknowledge that linear interpolation during wartime represents a simplified assumption that does not capture actual demographic disruptions; these figures should be considered rough estimates only.</p>
<p><strong>Note</strong></p>
<p>All interpolated or derived values represent methodological compromises necessitated by gaps in the historical record. Where territorial boundaries changed during the period under study, we use the boundaries as defined by the primary source for each respective year.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Note on Casualty Calculations for the World Anti-Fascist War</h4>
<p>This study documents deaths only. Our total of 85.3 million deaths falls at the high end of Western ranges, primarily due to our acceptance of comprehensive national research projects from the nations that suffered most.</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>USSR:</strong> The figure of 27 million Soviet deaths is from Andreev et al. (1993).<a href="#_edn135" name="_ednref135"><sup>135</sup></a></li>
<li><strong>China (1931–1945):</strong> We assert that the WAFW began with Japan’s invasion of Northeast China in 1931. Our total of 24.05 million Chinese deaths is a comprehensive figure derived from multiple components, based primarily on the research of Bian (2012). The calculation is as follows:
<ul>
<li><strong>Direct deaths (1937–1945):</strong> about 20.6 million</li>
<li><strong>Indirect deaths (1937–1945):</strong> about 3 million (primarily from war-induced famine and displacement)</li>
<li><strong>Estimated deaths (1931–1937):</strong> about 450,000 (an educated estimate, as official figures for this period are unavailable, based on numerous documented incidents during the initial invasion and occupation of Northeast China)</li>
<li><strong>Total calculated deaths:</strong> about 24.05 million<a href="#_edn136" name="_ednref136"><sup>136</sup></a></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><strong>India:</strong> The calculation of Indian deaths during the WAFW centres on two primary components: military casualties (87,000) and the Bengal Famine of 1943 (3 million) (Sen, 1977). While Indian deaths totalled 3.087 million, we use the consolidated figure of 3 million for analysis.<a href="#_edn137" name="_ednref137"><sup>137</sup></a> This rounding does not materially affect any of our calculations – India’s deaths remain 3.5% of global deaths and the Lend-Lease aid per death remains $1,189. Using the round figure of 3 million maintains consistency with our conservative methodological approach while acknowledging that famine deaths, not military casualties, constitute the overwhelming majority of Indian losses.</li>
</ul>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Death Numbers for Colonies</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Group</th>
<th>Final research deaths</th>
<th>Deaths as % of world total deaths</th>
<th>Pre-war population year</th>
<th>Pre-war population (Maddison)</th>
<th>Deaths as % of pre-war population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Burma</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>270,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,368,000</td>
<td>1.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dutch East Indies<sup>1</sup></td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,400,000</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>72,903,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>100,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1934</td>
<td>12,000,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>French Indochina<sup>2</sup></td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>1,500,000</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>23,000,000</td>
<td>6.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guam</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India (British India)</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,000,000</td>
<td>3.5%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>381,400,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea<sup>3</sup></td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>483,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
<td>1936</td>
<td>21,374,000</td>
<td>2.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaya and Singapore</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>150,000</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>5,317,000</td>
<td>2.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>765,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,275,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ruanda-Urundi</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>50,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>3,800,000</td>
<td>1.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7"><strong>Sources:</strong> Population data from Maddison (2010) unless otherwise noted; death totals from country-level research cited elsewhere in this appendix. See Section 2 for full methodology.
<ol>
<li>Dutch East Indies death number from Eng (2024). <a href="#_edn138" name="_ednref138"><sup>138</sup></a></li>
<li>Population of French Indochina from Budge (2014) and death data from The National WWII Museum New Orleans (n.d.). <a href="#_edn139" name="_ednref139"><sup>139</sup></a></li>
<li>Maddison (2010) provides population data only for South Korea (1936): 15.139 million; for Korea as a whole, we use the United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific estimate: 21.374 million (1975), p. 13, table 2.<a href="#_edn140" name="_ednref140"><sup>140</sup></a></li>
</ol>
<p><strong>Note:</strong> Excluding the USSR and China, all other estimates fall below the high end of Western estimates. While individual African countries appear in various tables throughout this appendix, the total African deaths figure used in our analysis is 1.6 million (conservative estimate). See below for detailed explanation.</p></td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">African Deaths in the World Anti-Fascist War</h4>
<p>The assessment of African casualties during the WAFW presents unique challenges due to incomplete colonial record-keeping and historical marginalisation of African losses. This section establishes a conservative baseline of 1.6 million deaths, with a reasonable range of 1.6–2.0 million when accounting for undocumented losses.</p>
<p><strong>Primary Source Documentation</strong></p>
<p>The Ethiopian government’s 1945 memorandum to Allied powers recorded 760,300 deaths during the Italian invasion and occupation (1935–1941), comprising:<a href="#_edn141" name="_ednref141"><sup>141</sup></a></p>
<ol>
<li>275,000 battlefield deaths</li>
<li>300,000 deaths from war-induced famine and forced displacement</li>
<li>185,300 deaths from massacres, executions, concentration camps, and chemical warfare</li>
</ol>
<p>This documentation, reported in Del Boca (1969), p. 275, represents the most rigorous national accounting from the African theatre.</p>
<p>The Oxford Research Encyclopedia of African History provides consolidated estimates for the remainder of the continent:<a href="#_edn142" name="_ednref142"><sup>142</sup></a></p>
<ul>
<li>475,000 African military personnel deaths (including colonial troops in European and Asian theatres)</li>
<li>500,000 civilian deaths from war-related causes (excluding Ethiopia)</li>
</ul>
<p>These figures synthesise recent scholarship on North African campaigns, colonial troop deployments, and civilian casualties.</p>
<p><strong>Methodological Notes</strong></p>
<p>Consistent with our definition of the WAFW (1931–1945), we include the Italo-Ethiopian War beginning in 1935 as part of global anti-fascist resistance. The documented baseline of 1.74 million deaths derives from primary sources (Ethiopian government) and peer-reviewed academic syntheses (760,300 Ethiopian + 975,000 other African).</p>
<p>Colonial records systematically undercounted African deaths, particularly forced-labour mortality, localised famines, reprisal killings, and scorched earth campaigns. Based on analogous gaps in Asian theatre documentation, a 10–15% adjustment factor could account for these exclusions, yielding an upper bound of 2 million deaths.</p>
<p><strong>Conservative Approach: Using 1.6 million</strong></p>
<p>We deliberately adopt the most conservative figure of 1.6 million African deaths – the absolute lower bound – for several reasons:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Documentary rigour:</strong> This figure requires minimal extrapolation from documented sources and accounts for potential overlap between categories, making it highly defensible on evidentiary grounds.</li>
<li><strong>Strategic understatement:</strong> Using the lowest defensible estimate ensures our broader argument about sacrifice distribution cannot be dismissed as inflated. If anything, we understate African losses.</li>
<li><strong>Comparative context:</strong> Even at 1.6 million deaths – our most conservative estimate – African losses exceeded the combined military deaths of the United States and United Kingdom (847,000 total), demonstrating the profound disparity between who paid the price and who claimed victory.</li>
</ul>
<p>The actual death toll was almost certainly higher, likely approaching 2 million when accounting for systematic colonial undercounting. However, our methodological conservatism strengthens our central argument: even using minimum estimates, the erasure of African sacrifice from WAFW narratives represents a grave historical injustice.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Death Calculations: Korean and Vietnam Wars</h4>
<ul>
<li><strong>North Korea </strong><strong>(1950–1953):</strong> <strong>5</strong>–<strong>2.5 million deaths</strong><strong>.</strong> The upper bound derives from Halliday and Cummings (1988): ‘Over 2 million North Korean civilians died and about 500,000 North Korean soldiers’.<a href="#_edn143" name="_ednref143"><sup>143</sup></a> This aligns with US Air Force General Curtis LeMay’s admission of killing ‘twenty percent of the population’.</li>
<li><strong>South Korea </strong><strong>(1950–1953):</strong> <strong>5</strong>–<strong>2 million deaths</strong><strong>.</strong> Shin (2001) notes: ‘Underreporting of war deaths and inadequate death-registration systems following the war render this estimate less than half of reported war-related losses, which are likely to have been between 1.5 and 2 million’.</li>
<li><strong>Total Korean Peninsula </strong><strong>(1950–1953):</strong> 3–4.5 million deaths, representing 10–15% of the pre-war population.</li>
<li><strong>Vietnam (1955–1975):</strong> Current Vietnamese government figures document 3.1 million deaths, with some earlier demographic studies reaching as high as 5.1 million.<a href="#_edn144" name="_ednref144"><sup>144</sup></a></li>
</ul>
<p>Note: Vietnamese and US deaths calculated as percentage of their respective 1965 populations (midpoint of 1955–1975 war period) to account for demographic changes over the twenty-year conflict. Using a single reference year provides consistent baseline for comparison while acknowledging populations fluctuated throughout the war.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Comparative Death Tolls: Korea and Vietnam</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>War</th>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Deaths (research range)</th>
<th>% of pre-war population</th>
<th>% of total war deaths</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td rowspan="3">Korea (1950–1953)</td>
<td>Korea (total)</td>
<td>3,000,000–4,500,000</td>
<td>10.1%–15.1%</td>
<td>92.3%–94.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>197,653</td>
<td>0.04%</td>
<td>4.2%–6.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States*</td>
<td>54,246</td>
<td>0.04%</td>
<td>1.1%–1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2">Vietnam (1955–1975)</td>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td>3,100,000–5,100,000</td>
<td>8.3%–13.7%</td>
<td>98.2%–98.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td>58,200</td>
<td>0.03%</td>
<td>1.1%–1.8%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<div>
<p><strong>Sources:</strong> Shin (2001); Halliday and Cumings (1988); Li (2019); Highsmith (1998); The Star-Ledger (1995); Vietnam Veterans of America (2025).</p>
<ul>
<li>US deaths listed in Korean War Veterans Memorial in Washington, DC.<a href="#_edn145" name="_ednref145"><sup>145</sup></a></li>
</ul>
</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Lend-Lease Aid Calculation</h4>
<p>The Department of State (1945) reports total Lend-Lease aid to the British Empire as $30.26921 billion (p. 14, table 2) but does not provide breakdowns for individual Commonwealth nations. To estimate aid distribution among the United Kingdom, British India, Australia, and New Zealand, we developed the following methodology:</p>
<p><strong>Step 1: Calculate Export Proportions Using Table 25 (pp. 42</strong><strong>–43)</strong></p>
<p>We calculated each destination’s share of total British Empire Lend-Lease exports, which is $17,954,911. Therefore, for the United Kingdom, the share is: $13,842,043 ÷ $17,954,911= 77.1%.</p>
<p><strong>Step 2: Apply Proportions to Total Aid</strong></p>
<p>We then applied these percentages to the total British Empire aid and rounded them to thousand dollars.<a href="#_edn146" name="_ednref146"><sup>146</sup></a> Therefore, for the United Kingdom, the estimated aid is: $30,269,210,000 × 77.1% = $23,335,549,000.</p>
<p>Note: Ceylon (Sri Lanka) is included with India in both the source data and our calculations, as the two were administratively linked in US Lend-Lease accounting.</p>
<p><strong>Methodological Limitations:</strong></p>
<ol>
<li>This method assumes aid distribution matched export distribution, which may not reflect actual patterns.</li>
<li>Some aid may have been distributed through channels not captured in export data.</li>
<li>Military equipment transfers may have followed different allocation patterns than general supplies.</li>
</ol>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Definitional Note of British Empire</h4>
<p>This study employs two distinct definitions of ‘British Empire’ corresponding to their historical usage by the respective governments:</p>
<p><strong>British Definition (Used for Population Data)</strong></p>
<p>For the 1941 population calculations in figure 1 we use the British government’s official definition of the British Empire, which included:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Dominions:</strong> Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, and Newfoundland (separate from Canada until 1949)</li>
<li><strong>The Indian empire:</strong> India (including present-day India, Pakistan, and Bangladesh), Burma, and Ceylon</li>
<li><strong>Colonial empire:</strong> colonies, protectorates, and mandated territories across Africa, Asia, the Middle East, the Americas, Pacific, and Mediterranean regions</li>
</ol>
<p>This comprehensive definition encompasses all territories under British sovereignty or protection, regardless of their degree of self-governance.</p>
<p><strong>United States Definition (Used for Lend-Lease Aid)</strong></p>
<p>For Lend-Lease aid distribution calculations in figure 3, we necessarily adopt the US Department of State’s administrative classification from 1945. The US definition treated the British Empire as follows:</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>British Malaya</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Anglo-Egyptian Sudan</td>
<td>Australia</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gold Coast</td>
<td>New Guinea</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td>New Zealand</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>British West Africa</td>
<td>British Oceania</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>British East Africa</td>
<td>Newfoundland and Labrador</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Union of South Africa</td>
<td>Honduras</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Southern Rhodesia</td>
<td>Bermuda</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine and Transjordan</td>
<td>Bahamas</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India and Ceylon</td>
<td>Jamaica</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burma</td>
<td>Trinidad and Tobago</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
<p>This definition affected how aid was allocated and reported in official US documentation.</p>
<p>The distinction is critical: while the British definition was used for understanding the Empire’s total population and resources, the US definition determined the actual flow and accounting of wartime aid. Our calculations for per capita aid and per death valuations in figure 3 reflect these US administrative categories, not British imperial self-conception.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Calculation of the Eight Richest Imperialist Countries (1900 and 2024)</h4>
<p>The comparison stating that ‘the eight richest imperialist countries have fallen from 57.3% of world GDP to 29.9%’ required specific methodological decisions for both historical consistency and political categorisation.</p>
<p><strong>2024 Calculation</strong></p>
<p>The eight richest imperialist countries are identified through GDP ranking among nations classified as imperialist powers. The eight countries are: the US, Japan, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, and Canada. Note that the GDP for these eight countries and world total are in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) sourced from World Bank World Development Indicators, last updated July 2025.</p>
<p><strong>1900 Calculation</strong></p>
<p>The eight powers in 1900 – the US, United Kingdom, German Empire, French Empire, Russian Empire, Austria-Hungary, Italy, and Japan – were all engaged in imperial expansion or colonial administration. Using Maddison (2010) as our primary source, we confronted two specific issues:</p>
<ol>
<li><strong>Austria-Hungary:</strong> The Maddison 2010 database does not provide unified data for Austria-Hungary, as the empire had dissolved by the database’s construction. To reconstruct the 1900 Habsburg Empire’s economic weight, we summed the GDP figures for:
<ol>
<li>Austria</li>
<li>Hungary</li>
<li>Czechoslovakia (as the Czech lands were part of Austria-Hungary in 1900)</li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>
<p>This aggregation provides the closest approximation to the actual Austria-Hungarian Empire’s economic output.</p>
<ol start="2">
<li><strong>Poland:</strong> Maddison (2010) provides Poland’s GDP for 1900, despite Poland not existing as an independent state (having been partitioned between Russia, Germany, and Austria-Hungary since 1795). To accurately reflect the 1900 distribution among the partitioning powers, we allocated Poland’s reported GDP as follows:
<ol>
<li>60% to the Russian Empire (reflecting Russia’s control of Congress Poland, the largest partition)</li>
<li>30% to the German Empire (reflecting Prussia’s control of Greater Poland and Pomerania)</li>
<li>10% to Austria-Hungary (reflecting Austrian control of Galicia)</li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>
<p>These percentages approximate the territorial and population distribution of the Polish partitions.</p>
<p><strong>Note on Political Categorisation</strong></p>
<p>The exclusion of Russia from the 2024 list and its inclusion in the 1900 list reflects changed historical circumstances and our analysis of contemporary global power structures. This methodological decision ensures consistency in tracking the economic weight of imperialist powers across time.</p>
<p>The resulting calculation shows these eight imperialist powers controlled approximately 57.3% of world GDP in 1900, compared to the current eight richest imperialist countries’ 29.9% share in 2024.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Section 3: Verbatim Data Source Excerpts</h2>
<p>This section reproduces key data tables from foundational sources to provide maximum transparency for the statistical claims made in this article.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 1. Economic capacity and population (1941)</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 1.3</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Wartime GDP of the great powers (1939–1945) in 1990 international dollars and prices (billions)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Alliance/country</th>
<th>1938</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>800</td>
<td>869</td>
<td>943</td>
<td>1,094</td>
<td>1,235</td>
<td>1,399</td>
<td>1,499</td>
<td>1,474</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>284</td>
<td>287</td>
<td>316</td>
<td>344</td>
<td>353</td>
<td>361</td>
<td>346</td>
<td>331</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>186</td>
<td>199</td>
<td>82</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>101</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>117</td>
<td>92</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>359</td>
<td>366</td>
<td>417</td>
<td>359</td>
<td>318</td>
<td>464</td>
<td>495</td>
<td>396</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied total</strong></td>
<td>1,629</td>
<td>1,721</td>
<td>1,757</td>
<td>1,798</td>
<td>1,906</td>
<td>2,223</td>
<td>2,458</td>
<td>2,394</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>351</td>
<td>384</td>
<td>387</td>
<td>412</td>
<td>417</td>
<td>426</td>
<td>437</td>
<td>310</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>82</td>
<td>130</td>
<td>116</td>
<td>110</td>
<td>93</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td>24</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>29</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>28</td>
<td>29</td>
<td>12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>141</td>
<td>151</td>
<td>147</td>
<td>144</td>
<td>145</td>
<td>137</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>169</td>
<td>184</td>
<td>192</td>
<td>196</td>
<td>197</td>
<td>194</td>
<td>189</td>
<td>144</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> total</strong></td>
<td>686</td>
<td>747</td>
<td>835</td>
<td>911</td>
<td>903</td>
<td>895</td>
<td>748</td>
<td>466</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Allies/Axis</td>
<td>2.4</td>
<td>2.3</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>2.1</td>
<td>2.5</td>
<td>3.3</td>
<td>5.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR/Germany</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>0.8</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.3</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 10, table 1.3.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 2. Late to the fight: troops as a percentage of population (1939–1945)</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 1.5</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Armed forces of the great powers (1939–1945) (thousands)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Alliance/country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>1,620</td>
<td>3,970</td>
<td>9,020</td>
<td>11,410</td>
<td>11,430</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>480</td>
<td>2,273</td>
<td>3,383</td>
<td>4,091</td>
<td>4,761</td>
<td>4,967</td>
<td>5,090</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>5,000</td>
<td>7,000</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>5,000</td>
<td>7,100</td>
<td>11,340</td>
<td>11,858</td>
<td>12,225</td>
<td>12,100</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Allied total</strong></td>
<td>5,480</td>
<td>14,273</td>
<td>12,103</td>
<td>19,401</td>
<td>25,639</td>
<td>28,602</td>
<td>28,620</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>4,522</td>
<td>5,762</td>
<td>7,309</td>
<td>8,410</td>
<td>9,480</td>
<td>9,420</td>
<td>7,830</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>1,740</td>
<td>2,340</td>
<td>3,227</td>
<td>3,810</td>
<td>3,815</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>1,630</td>
<td>2,420</td>
<td>2,840</td>
<td>3,700</td>
<td>5,380</td>
<td>7,730</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Axis</strong><strong> total</strong></td>
<td>6,262</td>
<td>9,732</td>
<td>12,956</td>
<td>15,060</td>
<td>16,995</td>
<td>14,800</td>
<td>15,560</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td>Allies/Axis:</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eastern Front</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.5</td>
<td>1.4</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>2.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Western and Pacific fronts</td>
<td>1.2</td>
<td>0.8</td>
<td>0.9</td>
<td>1.1</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>1.9</td>
<td>1.6</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 14, table 1.5.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 3.11</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The working population of the United States (thousands, annual average of monthly series)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th>Total</th>
<th colspan="5">By employment status</th>
<th colspan="2">By gender</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td><strong>C</strong><strong>ivilian employees</strong></td>
<td><strong>A</strong><strong>rmed forces</strong></td>
<td colspan="2"><strong>E</strong><strong>mployed population total</strong></td>
<td><strong>U</strong><strong>nemployed population total</strong></td>
<td><strong>M</strong><strong>ale</strong></td>
<td><strong>F</strong><strong>emale</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong> </strong></td>
<td><strong>1</strong></td>
<td><strong>2</strong></td>
<td><strong>3</strong></td>
<td colspan="2"><strong>4</strong></td>
<td><strong>5</strong></td>
<td><strong>6</strong></td>
<td><strong>7</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td style="text-align: center;" colspan="9">Numbers, thousands</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1938</td>
<td>54,872</td>
<td>44,142</td>
<td>340</td>
<td colspan="2">44,482</td>
<td>10,390</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1939</td>
<td>55,588</td>
<td>45,738</td>
<td>370</td>
<td colspan="2">46,108</td>
<td>9,480</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1940</td>
<td>56,180</td>
<td>47,520</td>
<td>540</td>
<td colspan="2">48,060</td>
<td>8,120</td>
<td>41,940</td>
<td>14,160</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1941</td>
<td>57,630</td>
<td>50,350</td>
<td>1,620</td>
<td colspan="2">51,970</td>
<td>5,660</td>
<td>43,070</td>
<td>14,650</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1942</td>
<td>60,380</td>
<td>53,750</td>
<td>3,970</td>
<td colspan="2">57,720</td>
<td>2,660</td>
<td>44,200</td>
<td>16,150</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1943</td>
<td>64,560</td>
<td>54,470</td>
<td>9,020</td>
<td colspan="2">63,490</td>
<td>1,070</td>
<td>45,950</td>
<td>18,830</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1944</td>
<td>66,040</td>
<td>53,960</td>
<td>11,410</td>
<td colspan="2">65,370</td>
<td>670</td>
<td>46,930</td>
<td>19,390</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1945</td>
<td>65,290</td>
<td>52,820</td>
<td>11,430</td>
<td colspan="2">64,250</td>
<td>1,040</td>
<td>46,910</td>
<td>19,304</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1946</td>
<td>60,970</td>
<td>55,250</td>
<td>3,450</td>
<td colspan="2">58,700</td>
<td>2,270</td>
<td>43,690</td>
<td>16,840</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1947</td>
<td>61,758</td>
<td>57,812</td>
<td>1,590</td>
<td colspan="2">59,402</td>
<td>2,356</td>
<td>44,258</td>
<td>16,683</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td style="text-align: center;" colspan="9">Sources of the increase in employment over 1940, thousands</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1941</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">3,910</td>
<td>2,560</td>
<td>1,130</td>
<td>490</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1942</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">9,660</td>
<td>5,460</td>
<td>2,260</td>
<td>1,960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1943</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">15,430</td>
<td>7,050</td>
<td>4,010</td>
<td>4,670</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1944</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">17,310</td>
<td>7,450</td>
<td>4,990</td>
<td>5,230</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1945</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">16,190</td>
<td>7,080</td>
<td>4,970</td>
<td>5,144</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1946</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">10,640</td>
<td>5,850</td>
<td>1,750</td>
<td>2,680</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1947</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td colspan="2">11,342</td>
<td>5,764</td>
<td>2,318</td>
<td>2,523</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 108, table 3.11.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Population</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
<th>1945</th>
<th>1946</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>69,286</td>
<td>69,835</td>
<td>70,244</td>
<td>70,834</td>
<td>70,411</td>
<td>69,865</td>
<td>67,000</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>47,991</td>
<td>48,226</td>
<td>48,216</td>
<td>48,400</td>
<td>48,789</td>
<td>49,016</td>
<td>49,182</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>131,539</td>
<td>132,637</td>
<td>133,922</td>
<td>135,386</td>
<td>137,272</td>
<td>138,937</td>
<td>140,474</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>192,379</td>
<td>195,970</td>
<td>195,400*</td>
<td>190,167</td>
<td>185,074</td>
<td>180,118</td>
<td>175,294</td>
<td>170,600*</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>516,046</td>
<td>518,770</td>
<td>521,508</td>
<td>524,261</td>
<td>527,028</td>
<td>529,810</td>
<td>532,607</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>72,364</td>
<td>72,967</td>
<td>74,005</td>
<td>75,029</td>
<td>76,005</td>
<td>77,178</td>
<td>76,224</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Sources:</strong> Maddison (2010); USSR 1941 and 1946 from Statista (2025); 1942–1945 are estimations. See Section 2 for full methodology.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 3. Western calculations on the relative value of a life: Lend-Lease distribution (1941–1945)</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 2</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Lend-Lease aid by country (March 1941–1 October 1945)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Amount ($)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>British Empire</td>
<td>30,269,210,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>10,801,131,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>1,406,600,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>631,509,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Republics</td>
<td>421,467,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td>162,157,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td>75,416,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td>52,443,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td>34,640,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td>28,063,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yugoslavia</td>
<td>25,885,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Other countries</td>
<td>43,284,000</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Aid not charged to foreign governments</td>
<td>2,088,249,000</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Total Lend-Lease aid</strong></td>
<td><strong>46,040,054,000</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> US Department of State (1945), p. 14, table 2.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered" style="width: 100%; height: 1936px;">
<caption>
<h5>Table 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Lend-Lease exports (thousands of dollars)</h3>
<p>Exports are classified by the country to which the goods are shipped, not by the country for whose account they are shipped. The bulk of supplies exported to Egypt, for example, was for use by the British troops in North Africa and the Middle East and was charged to the United Kingdom account.</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr style="height: 16px;">
<th style="height: 16px;">Country</th>
<th style="height: 16px;">Jan–June 1945</th>
<th style="height: 16px;">July–Sept 1945</th>
<th style="height: 16px;">Cumulative to Oct. 1945</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Europe:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">United Kingdom</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,507,140</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">339,077</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,842,043</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">USSR</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,392,427</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">314,936</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9,477,866</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">France</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">117,598</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">109,190</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">243,900</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Netherlands</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,550</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15,706</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">17,256</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Belgium and Luxembourg</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">42,132</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21,944</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">64,076</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Iceland</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,087</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">82</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,840</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other countries</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">119,904</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">33,042</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">641,571</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total Europe</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>3,181,834</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>833,977</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>24,293,352</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Africa and Middle East:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French Morocco</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,274</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7,178</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">106,843</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Algeria</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">36,074</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">17,261</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">407,194</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Tunisia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9,208</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,597</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">25,117</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Libya</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">250</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">22</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,315</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Egypt</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">113,685</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,828</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,014,806</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Anglo-Egyptian Sudan</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">69</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">12</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,192</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French Equatorial Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">681</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">108</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,203</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French West Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8,296</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,530</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">35,066</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Gold Coast</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">143</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">117</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">42,299</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Nigeria</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">131</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">72</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21,971</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British West Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">350</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">71</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,071</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Belgian Congo</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">368</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">118</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,144</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British East Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,653</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">330</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">66,617</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Union of South Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9,553</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,037</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">234,067</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Southern Rhodesia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">72</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">12</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">12,631</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other Africa</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,660</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">229</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">10,252</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Turkey</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">27</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">142</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">104,012</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Syria</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">182</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,863</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Iraq</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,164</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">832</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">161,477</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Iran</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,144</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,361</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">64,839</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Palestine and Transjordan</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">680</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">702</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">16,172</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other Middle East</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,976</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">256</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,574</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total Africa and Middle East</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>204,640</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>58,836</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>3,392,725</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Far East and Oceania:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">China</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">32,129</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15,827</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">223,904</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">India and Ceylon</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">369,438</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">102,351</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,116,135</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Burma</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">451</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,878</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British Malaya</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8,790</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Netherlands Indies</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">23,550</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Australia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">189,272</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">72,515</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,226,216</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">New Guinea</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">192</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">49</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">13,826</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">New Zealand</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">11,944</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7,488</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">216,925</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">British Oceania</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">299</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">114</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,953</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French Pacific Islands</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">84</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">36</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,431</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total Far East and Oceania</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>603,358</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>198,831</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>3,836,608</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>North, Central, and South America:</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"></td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Canada</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">44,243</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">10,278</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">628,013</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Newfoundland and Labrador</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">112</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">57</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,197</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Mexico</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,644</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">355</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">18,832</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Guatemala</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,089</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">El Salvador</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">851</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Honduras</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">11</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">324</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Nicaragua</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">31</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">628</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Costa Rica</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">145</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Bermuda</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">92</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">36</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,500</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Bahamas</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,685</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,297</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">58,641</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Cuba</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">605</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">138</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,777</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Jamaica</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">123</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">75</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">6,969</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Haiti</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">7</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">713</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">123</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,140</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Trinidad and Tobago</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,093</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">115</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">27,494</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Curacao</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">66</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">151</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">8,237</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">French West Indies</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,355</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">794</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,565</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Colombia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">391</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">68</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,352</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Venezuela</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">232</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">35</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,751</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Surinam</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">70</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,131</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Ecuador</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">181</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">21</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,868</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Peru</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,832</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">186</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">14,184</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Bolivia</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">2,201</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">44</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,436</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Chile</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,678</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">325</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">20,988</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Brazil</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">15,103</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">4,842</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">159,128</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Paraguay</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">162</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">—</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,387</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Uruguay</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">1,511</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">9</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">5,627</td>
</tr>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;">Other Countries</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">391</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">143</td>
<td style="height: 24px;">3,688</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total North, Central, and South America</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>79,941</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>18,992</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>992,655</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg" style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>Total, all countries</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>4,069,773</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>1,110,636</strong></td>
<td style="height: 24px;"><strong>32,515,340</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr style="height: 24px;">
<td style="height: 24px;" colspan="4">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> US Department of State (1945), pp. 42–43, table 25.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Data Used to Generate Figure 4. The economics of delay: military spending commitments</h4>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h5>Table 1.8</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The military burden (1939–1944) (military outlays, per cent of national income)</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th>1939</th>
<th>1940</th>
<th>1941</th>
<th>1942</th>
<th>1943</th>
<th>1944</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>At current prices</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>11</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>42</td>
<td>42</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>15</td>
<td>44</td>
<td>53</td>
<td>52</td>
<td>55</td>
<td>53</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>23</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>52</td>
<td>64</td>
<td>70</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>8</td>
<td>12</td>
<td>23</td>
<td>22</td>
<td>21</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>22</td>
<td>22</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>33</td>
<td>43</td>
<td>76</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--red-bg">
<td><strong>At constant prices</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Allied powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USA</td>
<td>1</td>
<td>2</td>
<td>11</td>
<td>32</td>
<td>43</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>UK</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>17</td>
<td>28</td>
<td>61</td>
<td>61</td>
<td>53</td>
</tr>
<tr class="single-post--table--row--gray-bg">
<td><strong>Axis powers</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>23</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>52</td>
<td>63</td>
<td>70</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
<td>—</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="7">
<div><strong>Source:</strong> Harrison (1998), p. 21, table 1.8.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled single-post--table-bordered">
<caption>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Final Death Numbers Used by Author</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Group 1</th>
<th>Group 2</th>
<th>Final research deaths</th>
<th>% of world deaths</th>
<th>Year for pre-war population</th>
<th>Pre–war population (Maddison)</th>
<th>Death % of pre–war population</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Albania</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>30,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>1,040,000</td>
<td>2.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>42,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>6,971,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>384,700</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>100,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>8,392,000</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>110,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>6,666,000</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burma</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>270,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,368,000</td>
<td>1.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>47,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>11,570,000</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td>USSR + China</td>
<td></td>
<td>24,050,000</td>
<td>28.2%</td>
<td>1930</td>
<td>489,000,000</td>
<td>4.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Czechoslovakia</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>278,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
<td>1937</td>
<td>14,429,000</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dutch East Indies</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,400,000</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>72,903,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Estonia</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>81,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>1,134,000</td>
<td>7.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>100,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1934</td>
<td>12,000,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Finland</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>97,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>3,656,000</td>
<td>2.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>600,000</td>
<td>0.7%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>41,960,000</td>
<td>1.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>French Indochina</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>1,500,000</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>23,000,000</td>
<td>6.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>7,619,000</td>
<td>8.9%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>68,558,000</td>
<td>11.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>807,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>7,156,000</td>
<td>11.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hungary</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>634,000</td>
<td>0.7%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>9,227,000</td>
<td>6.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India (British India)</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>3,000,000</td>
<td>3.5%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>381,400,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>486,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>43,865,000</td>
<td>1.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>Axis</td>
<td>2,902,000</td>
<td>3.4%</td>
<td>1936</td>
<td>70,171,000</td>
<td>4.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Korea</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>483,000</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
<td>1936</td>
<td>21,374,000</td>
<td>2.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaya &amp; Singapore</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>150,000</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>5,317,000</td>
<td>2.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>301,000</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>8,782,000</td>
<td>3.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Zealand</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>13,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>1,627,000</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td>Western imperialist allies</td>
<td></td>
<td>11,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>2,954,000</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua and New Guinea</td>
<td>Other</td>
<td></td>
<td>20,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>1,292,000</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Asia</td>
<td>765,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>16,275,000</td>
<td>4.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>5,720,000</td>
<td>6.7%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>31,062,000</td>
<td>18.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portuguese Timor</td>
<td>Other</td>
<td></td>
<td>70,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>480,000</td>
<td>14.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>833,000</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>15,751,000</td>
<td>5.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ruanda-Urundi</td>
<td>Colonies</td>
<td>Colonies-Africa</td>
<td>50,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>3,800,000</td>
<td>1.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td>Other</td>
<td></td>
<td>14,000</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>1939</td>
<td>10,160,000</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>USSR</td>
<td>USSR + China</td>
<td></td>
<td>27,000,000</td>
<td>31.6%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>195,970,000</td>
<td>13.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td>Anglo America</td>
<td></td>
<td>432,000</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>1938</td>
<td>47,494,000</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td>Anglo America</td>
<td></td>
<td>415,000</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>132,637,000</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yugoslavia</td>
<td>Eastern/Southern Europe</td>
<td></td>
<td>1,021,000</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
<td>1940</td>
<td>16,300,000</td>
<td>6.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="8">
<div><strong>Note:</strong> All figures cited with specific sources represent documented data from the referenced materials; all other data presented in this appendix are the author’s elaborations based on available estimates and methodological calculations described in Section 2.</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
<tfoot></tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h1 class="fwafw--img-header fwafw--img-header--readers-guide"><span class="fwafw--img-header-text">Reader’s Guide</span> <span class="fwafw--img-header-subtext">to the Four-Layer Endnotes</span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part I: How to Read the Four-Layer Endnotes</h2>
<div class="notes-diagram">
<div class="notes-diagram--container">
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-1">
<div class="notes-diagram--heading">Layer 1: Context</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--explainer">Interpretive framing in italics explaining why this evidence matters to the broader argument</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example">
<div class="notes-diagram--example-heading">Context for claim X047</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example-text"><em>German armies captured territory with 40% of Soviet population and 60% of industrial capacity. The response: relocate entire factories under enemy fire.</em></div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-2">
<div class="notes-diagram--heading">Layer 2: Verifiable Claim</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--explainer">Specific facts that can be independently verified – no interpretation</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example">
<div class="notes-diagram--example-heading">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example-text"><em>Between July and December 1941, the Soviet Union evacuated 1,523 complete industrial enterprises eastward on 1.5 million railway cars.</em></div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-3">
<div class="notes-diagram--heading">Layer 3: Sources</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--explainer">Complete citations with exact page numbers for verification</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example">
<div class="notes-diagram--example-heading">Sources:</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--example-text">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <em>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</em> (University Press of Kansas, 2015), 71.</div>
</div>
</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--block notes-diagram--block-4"><strong>LAYER 4: UNPUBLISHED WORKING NOTES –</strong> Research documentation, conflicting sources review, verification discussions, and selection rationale exist in database but are not published in endnotes.</div>
<div class="notes-diagram--footer"><strong>Note:</strong> Claim codes (like X047) are internal tracking numbers from the research process – readers can ignore them.</div>
</div>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">The Four-Layer Structure of Each Endnote</h4>
<p>Each endnote contains multiple layers of information, though only three are visible to readers.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">What Each Layer Means</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 1: </b>Context – interpretive framing that explains why this evidence is important</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 2: </b>Verifiable claim – specific facts that can be independently verified</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 3: </b>Sources – where to verify the facts with exact page numbers</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Layer 4: </b>Evidence – research methodology that exists in the database but is not published</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Note on claim numbering:</b> Claims are numbered X001, N002, and so on, but the numbering is not consecutive (e.g., 1, 9, 47). This reflects an iterative multi-team research approach in which some claims were merged, moved, or deprecated during the writing process. The gaps are normal.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Example Endnote:</h4>
<div class="note-block example-note">
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X047</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>German armies captured territory with 40% of the Soviet population and 60% of industrial capacity. The response: relocate entire factories under enemy fire.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between July and December 1941, the Soviet Union evacuated 1,523 complete industrial enterprises eastward on 1.5 million railway cars.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler </i>(University Press of Kansas, 2015), 71.</div>
</div>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Following the Data Trail: A Simple Example</h4>
<p><b>Main text states:</b> ‘China suffered 24.05 million deaths’</p>
<p><b>Endnote provides:</b> Basic sources and context</p>
<p><b>Appendix explains:</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">How the 24.05 million was calculated</li>
<li aria-level="1">Why it differs from Western estimates</li>
<li aria-level="1">Which sources were used and why</li>
</ul>
<p><i>The following section provides methodological context for academic readers.</i></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part II: Methodology and Principles</h2>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Understanding the Research Methodology</h3>
<p>This document uses a forensic historiography approach – investigating gaps and erasures in historical records rather than simply accepting established narratives. The endnotes reflect this methodology through a system that separates interpretation from facts and prioritises evidence from the nations that suffered the losses.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Key Methodological Innovations</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">1. Investigating Erasure, Not Just Recording Events</h4>
<p>The research identifies two types of erasure:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Undercounted deaths</b> – millions missing from mainstream accounts</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Ignored evidence</b> – facts that exist in archives but rarely appear in mainstream histories</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">2. Temporal Reframing</h4>
<p>By starting the World Anti-Fascist War (WAFW) in 1931 (Japan’s invasion of China) rather than 1939, the methodology reveals eight years of resistance erased by Western periodisation.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">3. Transparency Through Layers</h4>
<p>Unlike traditional footnotes that mix everything together, this endnotes system:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Separates interpretation from facts</li>
<li aria-level="1">Documents methodology (even if not published)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Enables verification at multiple levels</li>
<li aria-level="1">Shows when sources conflict and explains choices</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Critical Reading Questions</h3>
<p>As you read, consider:</p>
<ol>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Whose voices are centred?</b> Notice when documentation from victim nations takes precedence over that of external observers.</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>What is being recovered?</b> Many of the facts presented existed in archives but were omitted from mainstream narratives.</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Why do numbers differ?</b> When you see conflicting estimates, the appendix explains which was chosen and why.</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>What remains unknown?</b> The methodology acknowledges when records were destroyed (as in Burma) and evidence cannot be recovered.</li>
</ol>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Source Prioritisation and Why It Matters</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">The Source Hierarchy: A Holistic Approach</h4>
<p>This research systematically considered various sources:</p>
<ol>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Primary sources from victim nations</b> – Chinese government surveys, Soviet archives, Vietnamese records</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Scholarship from affected countries</b> – historians with access to local archives and languages</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>International investigations</b> – UN reports, war crimes tribunals</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Western sources citing primary evidence</b> – academic works properly documenting original sources</li>
<li aria-level="1"><b>Western sources for comparison</b> – to establish what mainstream narratives claim</li>
</ol>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Why This Prioritisation?</h4>
<p>Victim nations had better direct access to the information needed to document their own losses. The figure of 24.05 million Chinese deaths comes from historian Bian Xiuyue of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, whose 2012 book documents approximately 23.6 million deaths from 1937 to 1945, plus the author’s estimate of 450,000 deaths from 1931 to 1937. Separately, the Chinese government’s decade-long survey documented 35 million total casualties (including both dead and wounded). When comprehensive victim-nation research shows 24.05 million deaths while Western estimates show only 14–20 million, the discrepancy reveals systematic undercounting in mainstream historiography. The methodology prioritises rigorous scholarship and surveys from affected nations over external estimates.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Strategic Use of Perpetrator Admissions</h3>
<p>When perpetrators admit damaging facts, these serve as conservative baselines. For example, when British Colonial Office records admit a 10% mortality rate in Nigerian tin mines, the actual rate was likely higher. Even the minimum admissions reveal severe exploitation.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Understanding Conservative Estimates</h3>
<p>Throughout this work, the methodology generally uses conservative estimates from victim nations’ own documentation, though the approach varies based on available evidence and attribution challenges. This means:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The actual human cost was likely higher than stated.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Even these minimum figures reveal systematic erasure.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Conservative numbers typically strengthen arguments, but the selection process reflects evidentiary complexities.</li>
<li aria-level="1">When ranges exist, the methodology varies by case: for Africa, using 1.6 million (from a 1.6–2.0 million range) reflects the challenge of determining which deaths are primarily attributable to the war versus other causes – a question that remains understudied despite almost equal likelihood of higher numbers; for Indochina, using 1.5 million reflects documented undercounting; for the Philippines, using 765,000 (a midpoint) balances sources suggesting even higher figures.</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The Substantive Innovation: Connecting Buried Evidence</h3>
<p>Beyond the methodological innovations, this research assembles scattered and minimised evidence into a coherent pattern that reveals the West’s strategies.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Corporate Complicity</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">IBM’s Thomas Watson befriended US President Franklin D. Roosevelt while receiving Hitler’s medals and automating the Holocaust with punch card systems.</li>
<li aria-level="1">General Motors claimed tax write-offs for Wehrmacht truck factories while producing vehicles that invaded the Soviet Union.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Two hundred and fifty US corporations operated in Nazi Germany as late as 1941.</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Protection of War Criminals</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Churchill’s secret memos ordered protection of Italy’s highest-ranking war criminals, including Badoglio.</li>
<li aria-level="1">General Douglas MacArthur freed all 3,607 Unit 731 members who tortured prisoners to death, paying them for their data.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Nobusuke Kishi went from war criminal to prime minister in nine years with CIA orchestration.</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Strategic Calculations</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">The atomic bombings targeted Soviet and Chinese influence more than Japan – which was already defeated.</li>
<li aria-level="1">The Second Front was systematically delayed by 730 days while the Soviet Union bled.</li>
<li aria-level="1">Lend-Lease aid reveals a racial calculus: whites received $442 per person; non-whites received $4.40 per person – a 101:1 ratio.</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">The Death Rate Arithmetic</h4>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Socialist forces: 59.8% of all WAFW deaths</li>
<li aria-level="1">Colonised peoples: 13.1% of deaths</li>
<li aria-level="1">Anglo-Americans: 1% of deaths</li>
<li aria-level="1">This pattern continued through Korea (92% Korean/Chinese deaths) and Vietnam (98% Southeast Asian deaths)</li>
</ul>
<p>These documented facts, usually scattered across specialised archives and minimised in mainstream histories, are brought together here with full citations. The endnotes don’t just provide sources – they reveal a systematic pattern of complicity that mainstream narratives work to obscure.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Understanding the Appendix Structure</h3>
<p>The appendix provides complete transparency through three sections:</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Section 1: Data Tables and Sources for Figures</h4>
<p>Clean presentation of the data as it appears in the main text, with source attribution.</p>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Section 2: Methodological Notes</h4>
<p>Detailed explanations of:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">How calculations were performed</li>
<li aria-level="1">Why certain sources were chosen over others</li>
<li aria-level="1">How conflicting estimates were resolved</li>
<li aria-level="1">What assumptions were made and why</li>
<li aria-level="1">Conservative estimation principles</li>
</ul>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Section 3: Verbatim Data Source Excerpts</h4>
<p>Original tables reproduced exactly as they appear in primary sources, allowing readers to verify all calculations themselves.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Part III: Research Infrastructure and Technical Infrastructure: Industrial-Strength Citation Management</h2>
<p><i>For researchers interested in replicating the methodology or understanding the full scope of findings</i>.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Abstract</h3>
<p>This section documents a novel research infrastructure combining Zotero with supplemental software and development practices to manage more than 200 claims and more than 400 citations across a globally distributed research team. The system enforces the same four-layer separation of concerns defined in Part I (here presented from a workflow perspective: interpretation, facts, sources, methodology) while maintaining complete verification trails.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">System Architecture</h3>
<p><b>Core Components</b></p>
<p><b>1. Zotero as Data Layer</b></p>
<ul>
<li>Case items – store claims with four-layer structured notes</li>
<li>Book Section items only – every citation requires specific page numbers</li>
<li>Map items – shared research reports and methodology documentation</li>
<li>Flat repository structure – sequential numbering (80WAFW-001 through 80WAFW-999)</li>
</ul>
<p><b>2. Four-Layer Separation</b></p>
<ul>
<li>Layer 1: Context (interpretive) → published</li>
<li>Layer 2: Verifiable claim (factual) → published</li>
<li>Layer 3: Sources (citations) → published</li>
<li>Layer 4: Evidence (methodology and verification) → archived</li>
</ul>
<p>3. <b>Verification Infrastructure</b></p>
<ul>
<li>Software-assisted initial verification (pattern detection at scale)</li>
<li>Mandatory paired human review (catches systematic biases)</li>
<li>Colour-coded tracking (green, orange, yellow, red flags)</li>
<li>Consensus requirement before approval</li>
<li>Full audit trail in Layer 3</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Key Technical Innovations</h3>
<p><b>Book-Sections-Only Architecture for Books</b></p>
<p>Every book citation is a complete Book Section with full metadata. Benefits:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Self-contained records (no dependency failures)</li>
<li aria-level="1">Bibliography creation software code automatically de-duplicates</li>
<li aria-level="1">Simpler export/import pipelines</li>
<li aria-level="1">Each citation links to multiple claims via the Extra field</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Structured Note Templates</b></p>
<p>Every case item requires a note with an exact structure:</p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Claim ID: X001</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim name: [descriptive]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim context: [Layer 1 – interpretive]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Verifiable claim: [Layer 2 – factual]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim sources: [Layer 3 – citations]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Claim evidence: [Layer 4 – methodology]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Verification note: [paired review documentation]</li>
<li aria-level="1">Additional information: [optional]</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Software Pipeline</h3>
<p><b>Export Infrastructure</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Zotero → CSV (v63 script): Extracts four-layer structure, generates Chicago-style notes formatting</li>
<li aria-level="1">CSV → Word (VBA v64): UTF-8 handling, DOCX fallback, publication-ready endnotes</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Version Control Strategy</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Dedicated backup machine with snapshots</li>
<li aria-level="1">Collection-level RDF exports</li>
<li aria-level="1">Deprecation collections (never delete)</li>
<li aria-level="1">External metadata tracking in spreadsheets, json and markdown files.</li>
</ul>
<p><b>Review Process</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Software-assisted systems enable four rounds of review of claims and citations to address the many conflicting facts and interpretations. Each round included extensive review by researchers.</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Implementation Requirements</h3>
<p><b>Technical Stack</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Zotero 6+ with Better BibTeX</li>
<li aria-level="1">Node.js for export scripts</li>
<li aria-level="1">Excel or LibreOffice for CSV manipulation</li>
<li aria-level="1">Word with VBA support</li>
<li aria-level="1">Cloud storage for PDF repository</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Conclusion</h3>
<p>This methodology demonstrates how historical research can benefit from software development best practices while maintaining scholarly rigour. The four-layer architecture enables teams to challenge established narratives through systematic, transparent, and reproducible research.</p>
<p><b>Key Takeaways for Researchers:</b></p>
<ul>
<li aria-level="1">Separation of concerns (interpretation, facts, sources, methodology) improves clarity</li>
<li aria-level="1">Structured data enables verification at scale</li>
<li aria-level="1">Multiple stages of review catch systematic biases</li>
<li aria-level="1">Comprehensive source evaluation strengthens claims</li>
<li aria-level="1">Complete audit trails defend controversial findings</li>
</ul>
<p>The infrastructure investment pays dividends when defending research that challenges dominant historiography.</p>
<h3 class="single-post--content--citations-title fwafw--img-header fwafw--img-header--endnotes" style="margin:2em 0;"><span class="fwafw--img-header-text">Endnotes</span></h3>
<div class="lcm-endnotes">
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> Context for claim X001</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Western periodisation (1939–1945) erases eight years of Chinese resistance. Japan invaded Northeast China in 1931, with full-scale war starting in 1937. China fought alone except for Soviet aid while the West traded with Japan.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The World Anti-Fascist War began on 18 September 1931 with Japan’s invasion of Northeast China, not on 1 September 1939 with Germany’s invasion of Poland.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Overy, <i>Blood and Ruins: The Great Imperial War, 1931–1945</i> (London: Penguin, 2023), 15.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Context for claim X003</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Twelve years after imperialist intervention failed to strangle Soviet power, the USSR recognised that capitalist encirclement would inevitably attempt another war of annihilation against socialism.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Stalin declared on 4 February 1931: ‘We are fifty or a hundred years behind the advanced countries. We must make good this distance in ten years. Either we do it, or we shall go under’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">J. V. Stalin, ‘The Tasks of Business Executives’, in <i>J. V. Stalin Collected Works</i>, vol. 13 (Moscow: Foreign Languages Publishing House, 1954), 41.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Context for claim X009</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US provided 90% of Japan’s scrap metal until 1940. US metal became Zero fighters, battleships, and bullets to kill Chinese. Trade continued three years after full-scale invasion began.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US supplied 90% of Japan’s scrap metal imports between 1937 and 1940, millions of tonnes becoming weapons used against China.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Herbert Feis, <i>The Road to Pearl Harbor: The Coming of the War Between the United States and Japan</i> (Princeton University Press, 1950), 108.</div>
<div class="citation">Jerome B. Cohen, <i>Japan’s Economy in War and Reconstruction</i> (Minneapolis: University of Minnesota Press, 1949), 118.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X223</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Western banks maintained their Japanese operations for a full decade after Japan’s 1931 invasion of China. Despite Japan’s escalating aggression – from occupying Manchuria (1931) to full-scale war against China (1937) – institutions like the Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation continued operating branches in Yokohama, Kobe, and Nagasaki. These Western financial institutions only ceased operations in December 1941, when Japanese authorities forcibly closed British, Dutch, and US bank offices following Pearl Harbor.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Major Western banks operated continuously in Japan from the 1931 invasion of China until 1941 – a full decade of maintaining financial operations during Japanese military aggression against China.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Adrian E. Tschoegl, ‘Foreign Banks in Japan’, <i>BOJ Monetary and Economic Studies</i> 6, no. 1 (1988): 93–118.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Context for claim X008</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US supplied 80% of Japan’s petroleum through 1941 – fuel for planes bombing Chinese cities. Even after the Nanjing Massacre (300,000 dead) and the terror bombing of Chongqing, oil sales continued unabated.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US provided 80% of Japan’s petroleum imports between 1937 and August 1941, including aviation gasoline essential for bombing Chinese cities.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Irvine H. Anderson, <i>The Standard-Vacuum Oil Company and United States East Asian Policy, 1933–1941</i> (Princeton University Press, 1975), 217.</div>
<div class="citation">Qi, Shirong [齐世荣], ‘绥靖政策研究 [Research on Appeasement Policy]’, in <i>绥靖政策研究</i> [Research on Appeasement Policy] (Beijing Normal University Press [首都师范大学出版社], 1998), 175.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Context for claim N025</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>By 1941, 250 US corporations operated in Nazi Germany – after Kristallnacht (1938) and after Germany invaded Poland (1939). They knew about concentration camps. They maintained operations anyway.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By 1941, 250 US corporations maintained operations in Nazi Germany, including IBM (Holocaust logistics), GM (Wehrmacht trucks), Ford (military vehicles), and ITT (Focke-Wulf aircraft).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Anthony Sampson, <i>The Sovereign State of ITT</i> (Connecticut: Fawcett Publications, Inc., 1974), 45.</div>
<div class="citation">Edwin Black, <i>IBM and the Holocaust: The Strategic Alliance Between Nazi Germany and America’s Most Powerful Corporation</i> (Washington: Dialog Press, 2012), 22, 207.</div>
<div class="citation">Max Wallace, <i>The American Axis</i> (New York: St. Martin’s, 2005), 303.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Business and Industry in the Nazi Germany’, in <i>Business and Industry in the Nazi Germany</i>, ed. Francis R. Nicosia, Studies in Business History (New York: Berghahn Books, 2004), 114.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Context for claim N020</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>IBM’s Dehomag subsidiary was Germany’s sole data-processing provider before 1933. Under the Third Reich, this commercial relationship became active participation in genocide, with every aspect micromanaged from IBM’s New York headquarters.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">IBM provided custom-designed Hollerith punch card systems used to identify Jews through census data, organise train transports, and manage concentration camp prisoners.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Edwin Black, <i>IBM and the Holocaust: The Strategic Alliance Between Nazi Germany and America’s Most Powerful Corporation</i> (Washington: Dialog Press, 2012), 22, 207.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Context for claim N022</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>GM’s Opel subsidiary was Nazi Germany’s largest vehicle manufacturer. The Opel Blitz truck was the Wehrmacht’s primary transport. GM collected profits through Switzerland while US soldiers died fighting.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">GM’s Opel produced the Wehrmacht’s primary transport vehicle, the Opel Blitz truck, manufacturing 130,000 units while using forced and enslaved labour.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Eckhart Bartels, <i>Opel Military Vehicles, 1906–1956</i> (Atglen: Schiffer Publishing, 1997), 173.</div>
<div class="citation">Max Wallace, <i>The American Axis</i> (New York: St. Martin’s, 2005), 303.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Context for claim N023</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Two decades before ‘isolationism’ toward Hitler, the US deployed at least 11,500 troops to Russia (1918–1920), fighting the Red Army directly with 424 combat deaths, while providing $50 million to White armies.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US deployed 11,500 troops to Russia (1918–1920): 4,500 to Arkhangelsk and 7,000 to Vladivostok. Combat deaths: 424. Military aid to White armies: $50 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David S. Foglesong, <i>America’s Secret War Against Bolshevism: US Intervention in the Russian Civil War, 1917–1920</i> (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1995), 72, 162, 187.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Context for claim N024</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The same year that Hitler took power (1933), Roosevelt praised Mussolini as restoring Italy. US policy: prefer fascist regimes over potential socialist movements. This preceded corporate Nazi collaboration.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Roosevelt stated in 1933: ‘I am deeply impressed by what [Mussolini] has accomplished and by his evidenced honest purpose of restoring Italy’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David F. Schmitz, <i>Thank God They’re on Our Side: The United States and Right-Wing Dictatorships, 1921–1965</i> (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina Press, 1999), 90.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> Context for claim X011</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s lifelong anti-communism defined his career. In 1919 he authorised chemical weapons against the Red Army. In 1945 he planned Operation Unthinkable – using Wehrmacht forces against the USSR. The wartime alliance was tactical only.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill stated on 28 June 1954: ‘If I had been properly supported in 1919, I think we might have strangled Bolshevism in its cradle, but everybody turned up their hands and said, “How shocking!”’</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Hillsdale College, ‘Bolshevism: “Foul Baboonery…Strangle at Birth”’, The Churchill Project, 11 March 2016, <a href="https://winstonchurchill.hillsdale.edu/bolshevism/#_ftnref3">https://winstonchurchill.hillsdale.edu/bolshevism/#_ftnref3</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X131</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill authorised M-devices containing diphenylaminechloroarsine (DM) gas against the Bolsheviks in 1919; 50,000 were shipped to Arkhangelsk. The same man who later condemned Nazi barbarism used chemical weapons first.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">As war secretary, Churchill authorised chemical weapons against the Bolsheviks in 1919; the British deployed 50,000 M-devices containing DM gas at Arkhangelsk.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">National Churchill Museum, ‘Churchill’s 1919 War Office Memorandum’, America’s National Churchill Museum, 12 May 1919, <a href="https://www.nationalchurchillmuseum.org/churchills-1919-war-office-memorandum.html">https://www.nationalchurchillmuseum.org/churchills-1919-war-office-memorandum.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Context for claim X132</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>With Hitler dead for only eight days, Churchill planned to attack the USSR with Wehrmacht units – Operation Unthinkable would use Nazi soldiers to fight yesterday’s ally. Anti-communism trumped anti-fascism within one week.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">In May 1945, Churchill ordered the planning of Operation Unthinkable: a surprise attack on Soviet forces using British, US, and rearmed Wehrmacht troops scheduled for 1 July 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">The National Archives, ‘Operation Unthinkable’, text, The National Archives, 2 May 2020, <a href="https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/cold-war-on-file/operation-unthinkable/">https://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/education/resources/cold-war-on-file/operation-unthinkable/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> Context for claim N009</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s wartime leadership was shaped by a racist worldview that depicted Indians as biologically inferior, directly influencing his refusal to provide aid during the Bengal Famine. Amery wrote that he saw little difference between Churchill’s and Hitler’s views.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill told Amery: ‘I hate Indians. They are a beastly people with a beastly religion’, and blamed Indians who ‘breed like rabbits’ for the famine that killed 3 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), 78, 205, 246.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Context for claim X014</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s racial views shocked his own cabinet. In discussions about the Bengal Famine– in which 3 million died – his secretary of state for India compared Churchill’s outlook to Hitler’s in his private diary.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">After Churchill’s India tirade, Leo Amery wrote in his diary: ‘I couldn’t help telling him that I didn’t see much difference between his outlook and Hitler’s’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), 233–234.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Context for claim X016</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Stalingrad (August 1942–February 1943) and Kursk (July 1943) broke the Wehrmacht’s offensive power permanently. D-Day followed in June 1944 – after the war was already decided. The Red Army engaged 165½ divisions compared to the Allies’ 36.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Wehrmacht’s offensive capability was destroyed at Stalingrad (2 February 1943) and Kursk (23 August 1943). D-Day (6 June 1944) followed 11 months after these decisive defeats.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 336–337.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X133</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Stalin was promised a Second Front in 1942; it was delivered in June 1944 – 730 days late. During the delay came Stalingrad and Kursk: 20 million Soviet casualties. D-Day came after the Wehrmacht was already broken. Calculated betrayal.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Western Allies promised a Second Front for 1942, delivered on D-Day (6 June 1944) – 730 days late; the Soviets faced 80% of the Wehrmacht alone during the delay.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gabriel Kolko, <i>The Politics of War: The World and United States Foreign Policy, 1943–1945</i> (New York: Pantheon Books, 1990), 15, 16, 21, 22.</div>
<div class="citation">J. V. Stalin, ‘Memorandum in Russian from Joseph Stalin about Opening a Second Front in Europe during World War II, with English Translation of Same’, 13 August 1942, Library of Congress, Manuscript Division, <a href="https://www.loc.gov/item/mcc.077/">https://www.loc.gov/item/mcc.077/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Winston S. Churchill, <i>The Second World War</i> (London: Cassell, 1951), 237–429.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> Context for claim N039</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Following the October Revolution, the Allied powers intervened militarily to overthrow the Bolsheviks, with British forces supporting the White Army in the Russian Civil War. When this intervention failed, British geopolitical strategists developed a long-term policy framework that would shape Western strategy toward Germany and the USSR for the next two decades.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">British geopolitical theorist Halford Mackinder, appointed high commissioner for South Russia in 1919 to organise support for the White Army, recommended upon the intervention’s failure that German rearmament was essential as a bulwark against Bolshevik control of Eastern Europe. Economist Thorstein Veblen observed that the Treaty of Versailles was fundamentally ‘a compact for the reduction of Soviet Russia’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Brian W. Blouet, <i>Halford Mackinder: A Biography</i> (Texas A&amp;M University Press, 1987), 172–77.</div>
<div class="citation">John Bellamy Foster, ‘Revolution and Counterrevolution, 1917–2017’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 69, no. 03 (2017), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917%E2%80%932017/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917–2017/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Thorstein Veblen, <i>Essays in Our Changing Order</i> (New York: Viking Press, 1934), 464.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> Context for claim X134</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Britain sent Admiral Drax to Moscow by six-day merchant ship with no written authority; German foreign minister Ribbentrop flew to Moscow. Later, on 28 September 1939, a second round of talks was conducted, again in Moscow. Soviet foreign minister Vyacheslav Molotov went to Berlin by train only in November 1940. The Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact was signed while Drax was still talking.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Britain sent Admiral Drax to Moscow via merchant vessel (departed 5 August, arrived 11 August 1939) without written credentials or negotiating authority.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Jabara Carley, <i>1939: The Alliance That Never Was and the Coming of World War II</i> (Chicago: Ivan R. Dee Publisher, 1999), 186.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> Context for claim N037</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Foreign Secretary Lord Halifax wrote the introduction to </i>The British Case<i>, a 1939 government-endorsed pamphlet by Lord Lloyd of Dolobran. The pamphlet revealed how the British establishment viewed Hitler’s pact with Stalin as a betrayal of the anti-communist cause.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">In a November 1937 meeting with Hitler, Foreign Secretary Halifax praised Nazi Germany as a ‘bulwark of the West against Bolshevism’. In a later government-endorsed 1939 pamphlet, Lord Lloyd of Dolobran identified Hitler’s ‘final apostasy’ not as his invasion of Poland but as his signing of the German-Soviet pact – ‘the betrayal of Europe’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">C. Leibovitz et al., <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 19, 25.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Context for claim N043</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The signing of the Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact in August 1939 initiated a twenty-two-month period of intense Soviet preparation. The pact allowed the USSR to push its borders 200–300 km westward by occupying eastern Poland and parts of Finland, creating a territorial buffer. During this time, the USSR more than tripled its army’s numbers, dramatically increased tank production, including the new T-34, and began transferring critical industries to the Urals – a strategic move noticed by US military attachés before the invasion.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The scale and nature of this buildup indicate that the Soviet Union was engaged in a deliberate, pre-planned military and industrial mobilization specifically in preparation for a major war. In the following twenty-two months (September 1939–mid-June 1941), the Soviet Union more than tripled its army from 1.6 to 5.3 million, doubled its tank production from 2,794 units in 1940 to 6,590 in 1941 (including 1,225 T-34s), and moved entire industries eastward. US attachés reported massive industrial transfers to the Urals by late 1940, before the invasion. The USSR pushed its borders 200–300 kilometres west, trading space for time. Stalin knew war was coming.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander Werth, <i>Russia at War, 1941–1945: A History</i> (New York: Skyhorse Publishing Company, Incorporated, 2017), 113, 159, 163.</div>
<div class="citation">Antony Beevor, <i>The Second World War</i> (London: Weidenfeld &amp; Nicolson, 2012), 234–235.</div>
<div class="citation">David Glantz, <i>Barbarossa Derailed: The Battle for Smolensk</i> (Solihull: Helion &amp; Company, 2010), 20, 23, 27, 42.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 106.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz, <i>Stumbling Colossus: The Red Army on the Eve of World War</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 1998), 34, 107.</div>
<div class="citation">Jacques R. Pauwels, <i>The Myth of the Good War: America in the Second World War</i> (Toronto: Lorimer, 2017), 64, 67.</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>Accounting for War: Soviet Production, Employment, and the Defence Burden, 1940–1945</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1996), 68.</div>
<div class="citation">Steven J. Zaloga, <i>T-34/76 Medium Tank 1941–45</i> (Oxford: Osprey Publishing, 1994), 9.</div>
<div class="citation">Walter S. Dunn, <i>The Soviet Economy and the Red Army, 1930–1945</i> (Westport: Praeger Publishers, 1995), 23–24.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> Context for claim X200</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>May 1940: Foreign Secretary Halifax wanted a deal with Hitler via Mussolini. The terms: Britain keeps the empire, Germany gets Europe. Churchill barely stopped it. A close vote nearly gave Nazis the continent.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Lord Halifax proposed negotiated peace with Germany on 26–28 May 1940, using Mussolini as intermediary; Churchill defeated the proposal in the War Cabinet by a narrow margin.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Dunton, ‘Vital Words of Hope, 26 May 1940’, UK Government, The National Archives, 26 May 2020, <a href="https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20250613144333/https://blog.nationalarchives.gov.uk/vital-words-of-hope-26-may-1940/">https://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/ukgwa/20250613144333/https://blog.nationalarchives.gov.uk/vital-words-of-hope-26-may-1940/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref20" name="_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> Context for claim N012</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The German invasion targeted not only political centres but economic heartlands, with oil as a primary objective.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Caucasus produced 25.4 million tonnes of oil annually – 80% of Soviet output – while Germany operated on 3.1 months of reserves at the invasion’s start.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Agayev, Vagif [Вагиф Агаев] et al., ‘World War II and Azerbaijan’, <i>Azerbaijan International Magazine</i>, 1995, 50–55, 78.</div>
<div class="citation">Joel Hayward, ‘Too Little, Too Late: An Analysis of Hitler’s Failure in August 1942 to Damage Soviet Oil Production’, <i>Journal of Military History</i> 64, no. 3 (2000): 769–94.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N017</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Germany invaded the USSR with 3.1 months of oil reserves. The plan: capture the Caucasus oil fields by autumn 1941. The reality: the Wehrmacht was stalled 50 km from Grozny. The result: the German troops had to abandon their vehicles and resort to horses.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Germany launched Operation Barbarossa with 3.1 months of oil reserves, requiring capture of Soviet oil fields by autumn 1941 to avoid catastrophic fuel shortage.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Edward E. Ericson, <i>Feeding the German Eagle: Soviet Economic Aid to Nazi Germany, 1933–1941</i> (Westport: Praeger Publishers, 1999), <a href="http://archive.org/details/edward-e.-ericson-feeding-the-german-eagle-soviet-economic-aid-to-nazi-germany-1">http://archive.org/details/edward-e.-ericson-feeding-the-german-eagle-soviet-economic-aid-to-nazi-germany-1</a>, 44.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref21" name="_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> Context for claim X018</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>On 22 June 1941, Germany deployed 153 divisions (over 3 million troops) against the USSR but kept 49 divisions in Western Europe and Norway. Britain’s resistance tied down 20–24% of the Wehrmacht – the USSR faced 72–80%.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">On 22 June 1941, Germany stationed 49 divisions in Western Europe and Norway while deploying 153 divisions (3 million troops) for Operation Barbarossa.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Burkhart Mueller-Hillebrand, <i>Das Heer 1933–1945: Entwicklung des organisatorischen Aufbaues. Band II: Die Blitzfeldzüge 1939–1941</i> [The Army 1933–1945: Development of the Organisational Structure. Vol. II: The Blitz Campaigns 1939–1941] (Frankfurt am Main: E.S. Mittler &amp; Sohn, 1956), 108, 111.</div>
<div class="citation">David Glantz, <i>Barbarossa Derailed: The Battle for Smolensk</i> (Solihull: Helion &amp; Company, 2010), 20, 23, 27, 42.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Operation “Barbarossa” And Germany’s Failure In The Soviet Union’, Imperial War Museums, accessed 26 September 2025, <a href="https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/operation-barbarossa-and-germanys-failure-in-the-soviet-union">https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/operation-barbarossa-and-germanys-failure-in-the-soviet-union</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref22" name="_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Context for claim X084</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>German force deployment reveals the Eastern Front as the war’s decisive theatre. Hitler considered the Soviet Union the natural enemy of Nazi Germany and its conquest a key strategic objective. The invasion, Operation Barbarossa, was the primary site of fascist aggression, where the Wehrmacht deployed its best units, most experienced commanders, and maximum strength. For the initial invasion in 1941, Germany committed 80% of its army to the East.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">At the launch of Operation Barbarossa in June 1941, Germany deployed approximately 153 divisions to the Eastern Front, representing about 80% of the Wehrmacht’s total strength. In contrast, 49 divisions – roughly 24% of its forces – were maintained for garrison and defence duties in Western Europe and Norway.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Burkhart Mueller-Hillebrand, <i>Das Heer 1933–1945: Entwicklung des organisatorischen Aufbaues. Band II: Die Blitzfeldzüge 1939–1941</i> [The Army 1933–1945: Development of the Organisational Structure. Vol. II: The Blitz Campaigns 1939–1941] (Frankfurt am Main: E.S. Mittler &amp; Sohn, 1956), 108, 111.</div>
<div class="citation">David Glantz, <i>Barbarossa Derailed: The Battle for Smolensk</i> (Solihull: Helion &amp; Company, 2010), 20, 23, 27, 42.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 61.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 91, 568–569, 607–611.</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz, ‘The Soviet-German War 1941–1945: Myths and Realities: A Survey Essay’, Clemson University, 11 October 2001, 9, 14, 9, 14.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref23" name="_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Context for claim N034</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>North African campaign (1940–1943): the Wehrmacht Afrika Korps’ operational orders specified capturing the Suez Canal and controlling Middle Eastern oil; British Eighth Army orders focused on defending imperial supply routes and colonial territories. No operational order from either side mentioned liberating African populations.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill told Parliament on 10 November 1942: ‘I have not become the King’s First Minister to liquidate the British Empire’. After the Allied victory in North Africa, colonial rule continued unchanged – France retained Algeria until 1962 (1.5 million killed in the independence war), and Britain maintained control of Egypt until the 1956 Suez Crisis.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Ashley Jackson, <i>The British Empire and the Second World War</i> (London: Hambledon Continuum, 2006), 109.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref24" name="_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Context for claim X201</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Anticipating inevitable war with fascist Germany, the Soviet Union undertook massive military expansion despite economic constraints. The preparation proved exactly sufficient to survive the initial catastrophe and enable recovery.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between January 1938 and June 1941, the Red Army expanded from 1.5 million to over 5 million soldiers – a 233% increase in peacetime strength.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 29.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref25" name="_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Context for claim X043</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The KMT claimed 6 million troops in 1941. Of these, Chiang Kai-shek kept the best divisions in reserve against the Communists, not the Japanese. Regional warlords and CPC forces accounted for about half of the total organised forces.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 2019 scholarly monograph on Chinese military history estimated 6 million KMT troops in the summer of 1941, with only 300,000–400,000 well-organised troops under Chiang Kai-shek’s direct command.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Chen, Mo [陈默] and Wang Qisheng [王奇生], ‘中国抗日战争史 [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression]’, in <i>中国抗日战争史</i> [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression], ed. Bu Ping [步平] and Wang Jianlang [王建朗], vol. 4 (Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press [社会科学文献出版社], 2019), 67.</div>
<div class="citation">Mark D. Sherry, <i>China Defensive: 4 July 1942–4 May 1945</i>, CMH Pub 72–38, US Army Campaigns of World War II (US Army Center of Military History, 1996), 28.</div>
<div class="citation">Theresa L. Kraus, <i>China Offensive: 5 May–2 September 1945</i>, CMH Pub 72–39, US Army Campaigns of World War II (US Army Center of Military History, 1996), 24.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref26" name="_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Context for claim X228</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>CPC forces grew 23-fold through people’s war strategy, proving revolutionary mobilisation’s superiority over conventional armies. This growth – not US aid – determined China’s liberation.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The people’s army, led by the Communist Party of China (CPC), grew from 56,000 in 1937 to around 440,000 in 1941 and 1.3 million in 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 194.</div>
<div class="citation">Xinhua News Agency [新华社], ‘永远做中华民族文明成果与人类和平事业的捍卫者——写在中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利80周年之际 [Always Be a Defender of the Achievements of Chinese Civilization and the Cause of Human Peace — Written on the Occasion of the 80th Anniversary of the Victory of the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War]’, Government Website, The Supreme People’s Procuratorate of the People’s Republic of China [中华人民共和国最高人民检察院], 29 August 2025, <a href="https://www.spp.gov.cn/spp/tt/202508/t20250829_704946.shtml">https://www.spp.gov.cn/spp/tt/202508/t20250829_704946.shtml</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref27" name="_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Context for claim N001</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>While Western powers supplied Japan with 80% of its petroleum and 90% of its steel after the 1937 invasion, the Soviet Union was the sole major power providing direct military and financial aid to China.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between October 1937 and June 1941, the Soviet Union provided China with credits exceeding $250 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Putin, Vladimir [Владимир Путин], ‘Vladimir Putin: Interview to Xinhua News Agency’, Ahead of His Official Visit to the People’s Republic of China, Vladimir Putin Gave a Written Interview to the Chinese News Agency Xinhua., 29 August 2025, <a href="http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/77864">http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/77864</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇], ‘不可虚无苏联反法西斯的贡献 [The Soviet Union’s Contribution to the Anti-Fascist Struggle Cannot Be Negated]’, <i>Historical Review</i> [历史评论], no. 4 (2025): 22–28.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇], ‘全面抗战时期苏联和共产国际对中共的援助研究 [A Study of the Aid to the CPC from the Soviet Union and the Communist International During the Full-Scale War against Japanese Aggression]’, <i>CPC History Studies</i> [中共党史研究], no. 8 (2011): 71–77.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref28" name="_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> Context for claim X002</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Between 1931 and 1941, China fought with Soviet aid only, while the US provided Japan with petroleum and steel through 1941 and Western banks maintained offices in Tokyo.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China received Soviet aid only (1937–1941): $250 million in credits, 1,235 aircraft, over 2,000 pilots. British, French, and US aid before Pearl Harbor: negligible.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Xu, Lan [徐蓝], ‘百年巨变中的中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争 [The Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japan and the World Anti-Fascist War in the Context of Unprecedented Changes in a Century]’, <i>Studies of the War of Resistance Against Japan</i> [抗日战争研究] 2025, no. 1 (2025), <a href="http://jds.cssn.cn/xscg/xslw/202505/t20250523_5875447.shtml">http://jds.cssn.cn/xscg/xslw/202505/t20250523_5875447.shtml</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref29" name="_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Context for claim X154</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US gave Chiang $2 billion after Japan surrendered – double the aid during actual war against Japan. US Marines occupied Beijing and Shanghai: 50,000 troops were deployed. ‘Neutrality’ meant arming one side.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US provided $2–3 billion to the Kuomintang between 1945 and 1949, including over $1 billion in military aid, and deployed 50,000 Marines to hold cities for Nationalists.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Committee on International Relations, US House of Representatives, ‘Marshall Testimony of February 20, 1945, Ongoing US Military Aid for China’, in <i>Selected Executive Session Hearings of the Committee, 1943–50, United States Policy in the Far East, Part I</i>, vol. 7, 80th Cong., 2d Sess., 1948 (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1976), 163–164.</div>
<div class="citation">Nathaniel Sher, ‘Rethinking the “Loss of China”: US Involvement in the Chinese Civil War, 1945–1949’, <i>Tsinghua International Relations Review</i> 1, no. 1 (2021).</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X203</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US military aid to the KMT doubled after Japan’s defeat, exposing the true priority: preventing communist victory. The formula was revealed: minimal help against fascism, maximum support against socialism.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">From 1945 to 1948, the US provided Chiang Kai-shek $1.4 billion in total aid, with the military portion exceeding twice the $700 million given during eight years fighting Japan.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US Department of State, ‘Memorandum Economic Assistance Program for China’, in <i>Foreign Relations of the United States, 1948, The Far East: China</i>, vol. 8 (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1948), 893.50 Recovery/2–2048, <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1948v08/d403">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1948v08/d403</a>, 479–485.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref30" name="_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> Context for claim X029</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan deployed close to 2 million soldiers in China, only 1.5 million across the entire Pacific. China tied down 57% of Japan’s army while the US island-hopped. Every Chinese victory saved US lives.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japan maintained roughly 2 million soldiers in the China theatre (1937–1945), versus 1.5 million across the entire Pacific theatre, including home islands.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Huang, Daoxuan [黄道炫] and Wang Xiliang [王希亮], ‘中国抗日战争史: 第——卷 局部抗战 [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 1, The Localised War of Resistance]’, in <i>中国抗日战争史: 第——卷 局部抗战</i> [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 1, The Localised War of Resistance], ed. Bu Ping [步平] and Wang Jianlang [王建朗], vol. 1, A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression [中国抗日战争史] (Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press (China) [社会科学文献出版社], 2019), 5.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X045</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China tied down roughly 60% of Japan’s army for 14 years. The result: Japan couldn’t attack the USSR during the critical 1941–1942 period and couldn’t reinforce the Pacific. Every Chinese soldier fighting saved Allied lives elsewhere.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Chinese forces tied down nearly 2 million Japanese soldiers continuously between 1937 and 1945, preventing their deployment to the Pacific or Soviet fronts.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 271–339.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref31" name="_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Context for claim X226</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Chinese Communist soldiers fought in straw sandals, eating grass when supplies failed, yet defeated mechanised Japanese forces. This material deprivation makes their victory more remarkable, not less.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Eighth Route Army soldiers fought wearing handmade straw sandals and were documented eating dried grass and tree bark when supply lines were cut during campaigns.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Liang, Xinlei [梁馨蕾], ‘革命“苦履”：中共军队的草鞋历史与记忆 [Revolutionary “Bitter Footwear”: The History and Memory of Straw Sandals of the CPC Army]’, <i>Studies in CPC History</i> [中共党史研究], no. 1 (2024), <a href="https://sxyk.henu.edu.cn/info/1014/4603.htm">https://sxyk.henu.edu.cn/info/1014/4603.htm</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Xu, Ping [徐平], ‘说说抗战时期八路军伙食 [Talking About the Eighth Route Army’s Rations During the War of Resistance]’, China Military Online [中国军网], 11 January 2024, <a href="http://www.81.cn/js_208592/jdt_208593/16279996.html">http://www.81.cn/js_208592/jdt_208593/16279996.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref32" name="_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Context for claim N019</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Soviet Union: 27 million dead (13.8% of population); United States: 415,000 dead (0.3% of population); Great Britain: 450,000 dead (0.9%). For every US death, 65 Soviets died.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet deaths in WWII: 27 million (Russian Academy of Sciences, 1993), representing 13.8% of the 1940 population of 196 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Guryev, E.P. [Гурьев, Е.П.] and Kondratenko, S. Yu. [Кондратенко, С.Ю.], ‘Советский Союз во Второй мировой войне [The Soviet Union in World War II]’, in <i>Советский Союз во Второй мировой войне</i> [The Soviet Union in World War II] (Moscow: Connection of Epochs Foundation [Фонд «Связь Эпох»], 2023), 134–135.</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, ‘Counting the Soviet Union’s War Dead: Still 26–27 Million’, <i>Europe-Asia Studies</i> 71, no. 6 (2018): 1036–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2018.1547366">https://doi.org/10.1080/09668136.2018.1547366</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Ellman and Sergei Maksudov, ‘Soviet Deaths in the Great Patriotic War: A Note’, <i>Europe-Asia Studies</i> 46, no. 4 (1994): 671–80, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/09668139408412190">https://doi.org/10.1080/09668139408412190</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref33" name="_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> Context for claim X056</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Before gas chambers, there were mass shootings. The Einsatzgruppen death squads murdered 1.3 million Soviet Jews during the Holocaust by bullets. Babi Yar: 33,771 in two days. Method: machine-gun fire over pits. The West emphasises the camps and forgets the bullets.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Einsatzgruppen and collaborators murdered 1.3 million Soviet Jews between 1941 and 1944 through mass shootings – including Babi Yar (33,771), Rumbula (25,000), and Ponary (70,000).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Rhodes, <i>Masters of Death: The SS-Einsatzgruppen and the Invention of the Holocaust</i> (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 2002), 156–157, 178, 214, 257.</div>
<div class="citation">Shivaun Woolfson, <i>Holocaust Legacy in Post-Soviet Lithuania: People, Places, and Objects</i> (London: Bloomsbury, 2014), 79.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X057</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Wehrmacht deliberately starved 3–3.5 million Soviet POWs to death in open-air pens without food or shelter in winter temperatures. Western POW death rate: 3.5%. Soviet POW death rate: 57%. Policy, not neglect.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Germans captured 5.7 million Soviet soldiers: 3–3.5 million died (57% mortality), primarily through deliberate starvation. Western POW mortality: 3.5%.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz, <i>Barbarossa: Hitler’s Invasion of Russia, 1941</i> (Stroud: Tempus, 2001), 55.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X058</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Generalplan Ost was the Nazi blueprint to exterminate 31 million Slavs, enslave 14 million, and colonise the region with 10 million Germans. This was not military conquest but racial genocide. Documents survived which prove intent.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Generalplan Ost documented Nazi intent: eliminate 31 million Slavs through murder and deportation, enslave 14 million, and settle 10 million Germans in conquered territories.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Mazower, <i>Hitler’s Empire: Nazi Rule in Occupied Europe</i> (London: Penguin, 2009), 114, 222, 267, 284, 287–288, 675.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref34" name="_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Context for claim X064</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China’s losses: 24 million dead, 11 million wounded, 15 million never born – a 50 million demographic catastrophe. Western histories count 14–20 million, erase 30 million Chinese from existence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China’s casualties (1931–1945): 24.05 million documented deaths. Western historian Rana Mitter estimates 15–20 million Chinese deaths.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 9, 11, 418, 442.</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 378.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref35" name="_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Context for claim X063</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan enslaved 11.5 million Chinese labourers in Manchuria: 2.3 million died (20% mortality). An additional 38,935 were shipped to Japan: 6,830 died (17.5%). This was industrial slavery as systematic extermination.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japanese forced-labour system: 11.5 million Chinese enslaved in Manchuria, 2.3 million died (20%); 38,935 transported to Japan, 17.5% mortality rate.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 372.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref36" name="_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Context for claim X007</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>In December 1937, Japanese forces used systematic rape as a weapon of terror in Nanjing – 20,000–80,000 women and girls raped, many murdered afterwards. This was not battlefield chaos but a deliberate policy of subjugation.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japanese forces raped 20,000–80,000 Chinese women and girls in Nanjing (December 1937–January 1938), victims aged 7 to over 70, many killed after assault.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Di, Chenchen [弟辰晨] et al., ‘铭记历史！关于南京大屠杀你必须知道的——组数字 [Remember History! A Set of Numbers You Must Know About the Nanjing Massacre]’, <i>CCTV</i>, 13 December 2021, <a href="https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml">https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Iris Chang, <i>The Rape of Nanking: The Forgotten Holocaust of World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 17–18.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X067</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Nanjing (December 1937): Japanese forces murdered 300,000 civilians in six weeks, raped 20,000–80,000, and destroyed one-third of the city. These were not battle casualties but systematic extermination.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">In Nanjing (13 December 1937–January 1938), Japanese forces killed 300,000 civilians, disarmed soldiers, and committed 20,000–80,000 rapes.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Di, Chenchen [弟辰晨] et al., ‘铭记历史！关于南京大屠杀你必须知道的——组数字 [Remember History! A Set of Numbers You Must Know About the Nanjing Massacre]’, <i>CCTV</i>, 13 December 2021, <a href="https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml">https://news.cctv.com/2021/12/13/ARTICqBUdzd0ORXhQX20fKMv211213.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Iris Chang, <i>The Rape of Nanking: The Forgotten Holocaust of World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 17–18.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref37" name="_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Context for claim X069</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan’s treatment of POWs revealed an explicit racial hierarchy of who deserved to live. This systematic extermination of Chinese prisoners while keeping Western POWs alive for potential exchange exposed a shared racial calculus of human value.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Chinese POW mortality under Japan was 99.9% (about 50,000 were captured in Nanjing and only a handful survived). Western POW mortality was 27% (versus 1% in German camps).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Tanaka, Toshiyuki [田中利幸], ‘Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II’, in <i>Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II</i>, 2nd edn (Lanham: Rowman &amp; Littlefield, 2018), 3.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref38" name="_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Context for claim X015</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>During the Bengal Famine (1943), British policy killed 3 million – rice was exported from starving Bengal, relief ships were denied, and grain was stockpiled for Europe – while Churchill judged ‘relief of starvation not justified’ as a priority.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Three million died in the Bengal Famine while Britain exported 70,000 tonnes of rice from India, stockpiled grain for post-war Europe, and denied Australian wheat ships.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Amartya Sen, ‘Starvation and Exchange Entitlements: A General Approach and Its Application to the Great Bengal Famine’, <i>Cambridge Journal of Economics</i> 1, no. 1 (1977): 33–59, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349">https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), ix, 128, 144–145.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref39" name="_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> Context for claim N003</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Churchill’s private statements revealed deep-seated animosity toward Indians that directly informed his Bengal Famine policies. Three million died while Britain exported rice and refused relief ships.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill stated that he wished Air Chief Marshal Arthur Harris could ‘send some of his surplus bombers to destroy them’ in reference to Bengal Famine victims.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Madhusree Mukerjee, <i>Churchill’s Secret War: The British Empire and the Ravaging of India During World War II</i> (New York: Basic Books, 2010), 246–247.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref40" name="_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Context for claim X204</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan’s </i>rōmusha<i> system demonstrated industrial-scale murder through labour. The 74% mortality rate exceeded most Nazi camps. This systematic extermination of Indonesian civilians remains largely unacknowledged in Western histories.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Of 300,000 Indonesians conscripted through Japan’s rōmusha forced labour system and sent abroad, only 77,000 survived – a documented 74% mortality rate.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 338.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref41" name="_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> Context for claim X137</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Burma Railway became the West’s archetypal narrative of Japanese cruelty – through films, books, and memorials focused exclusively on Western POW suffering. This selective memorialisation erases the Asian labourers who died at seven times the rate of Western POWs, revealing how imperial memory values lives by race.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Thailand-Burma Railway construction (402 km): out of 260,000–270,000 Asian labourers, 90,000–140,000 died, including over 100,000 Malays and Tamils conscripted from British territories. Death ratio: 215 labourers per kilometre – 31 Western POWs per kilometre, 184 Asian labourers per kilometre.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frank J. McLynn, <i>The Burma Campaign: Disaster into Triumph 1942–1945</i> (New Haven: Yale University press, 2011), 14.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 349.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref42" name="_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Context for claim X072</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Western narratives focus on Pacific naval battles and 12,000 POW deaths, ignoring 4.44 million Southeast Asian civilian deaths – 350 times more.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Japanese occupation killed 4.44 million Southeast Asian civilians: 3.4 million in Indonesia, 1.5 million in Vietnam, 765,000 in the Philippines, and 150,000 in Malaysia.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 382.</div>
<div class="citation">The National WWII Museum New Orleans, ‘Research Starters: Worldwide Deaths in World War II’, accessed 29 September 2025, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">W. Gruhl, <i>Imperial Japan’s World War Two: 1931–1945</i> (New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers, 2007), <a href="https://books.google.com/books?id=ow5Wlmu9MPQC">https://books.google.com/books?id=ow5Wlmu9MPQC</a>, 143.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref43" name="_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Context for claim X211</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Portuguese Timor suffered the highest WWII death rate outside Eastern Europe – 19% of the population killed. This catastrophic loss in a peripheral colony exemplifies the erasure of non-Western suffering.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Portuguese Timor lost 19% of its total population during Japanese occupation (1942–1945), the highest territorial death rate in WWII.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Douglas Kammen, ‘Population Loss in Portuguese Timor During WW2 Revisited’, <i>New Mandala</i>, 30 October 2024, <a href="https://www.newmandala.org/population-loss-in-portuguese-timor-during-ww2-revisited/">https://www.newmandala.org/population-loss-in-portuguese-timor-during-ww2-revisited/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Statista, ‘WWII: Share of Total Population Lost Per Country 1939–945’, Chart, 2024, <a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/1351638/second-world-war-share-total-population-loss/">https://www.statista.com/statistics/1351638/second-world-war-share-total-population-loss/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref44" name="_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Context for claim X227</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Museums memorialise 12,000 Bataan deaths while 4.4 million Southeast Asian civilians remain unmemorialised – a 367:1 ratio revealing whose lives matter in Western memory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US memorials extensively commemorate 12,000 Bataan Death March victims, while 4.4 million Southeast Asian civilian deaths receive no equivalent Western memorialisation.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Ashley N. McCall-Washington, ‘Surrender at Bataan Led to One of the Worst Atrocities in Modern Warfare’, USO, 14 November 2015, <a href="https://www.uso.org/stories/122-surrender-at-bataan-led-to-one-of-the-worst-atrocities-in-modern-warfare">https://www.uso.org/stories/122-surrender-at-bataan-led-to-one-of-the-worst-atrocities-in-modern-warfare</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Geoffrey M. White et al., <i>Perilous Memories: The Asia-Pacific War(s)</i> (s)’, in <i>Perilous Memories: The Asia-Pacific War(s)</i> (Durham: Duke University Press, 2001), 218–219.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 382.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref45" name="_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Context for claim N033</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Ethiopia, which had never been colonised, mounted brave resistance against the Italian fascist invasion that began in 1935. Women played a major role in the resistance, including in command positions leading thousands of troops. Yet there is very limited mention of African women’s combat participation in Western military histories.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Ethiopian women fought as armed combatants (<i>arbegna</i>) against Italian occupation. Tsehai Berhane-Selassie (1979–1980) reports that approximately one-third of medal claimants on the Patriotic Association’s awards list in May 1941 were women; in 1945, 277 women were awarded medals. Named women commanders reported in the literature include Woizero Abebech Cherqos (reported as commanding up to 3,000 troops) and Woizero Lekyelesh Beyan (battalion-level command). Western general military histories seldom discuss these contributions explicitly.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Abebaw Ejigu, Tesfaw [ተስፋው አበባው እጅጉ], ‘The Overlooked Roles of Women in the Patriotic Resistance Movement in Bure Damot, 1936–1941’, <i>Cogent Arts and Humanities</i> 11, no. 1 (2024): 6–7, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2024.2390786">https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2024.2390786</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Judith Byfield and Hailu Habtu [ሃይሉ ሀብቱ], ‘Fighting Fascism: Ethiopian Women Patriots 1935–1941’, in <i>Africa and World War II</i>, ed. Carolyn A. Brown et al. (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2015), 384, 395–396.</div>
<div class="citation">Margaux Herman, ‘Women and War’, in <i>History of Women in Ethiopia</i> (Addis Ababa: Centre Français des Études Éthiopiennes, 2024), 153.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref46" name="_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Context for claim N035</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Italy used chemical weapons, which were responsible for up to 30% of Ethiopian combat deaths. The Ethiopian government documented 760,300 total deaths. The UN War Crimes Commission identified 1,200 Italian war criminals. Prosecutions: zero.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Italy deployed 300–500 tonnes of mustard gas, 4,336 mustard bombs, and 540 bombs with diphenylchlorarsine in Ethiopia. The result: up to 30% deaths from chemical weapons (Soviet numbers). War criminals identified: 1,200. Prosecuted: 0.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lina Grip and John Hart, ‘The Use of Chemical Weapons in the 1935–36 Italo-Ethiopian War’, <i>SIPRI Arms Control and Non-Proliferation Programmme</i>, October 2009.</div>
<div class="citation">Luigi Prosperi, ‘The Missed Italian Nuremberg: The History of an Internationally-Sponsored Amnesty’, paper presented at DEBACLES – Illusions and Failures in the History of International Adjudication, Max Planck Institute Luxembourg for Procedural Law, 25 November 2016, <a href="https://ssrn.com/abstract=2887267">https://ssrn.com/abstract=2887267</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref47" name="_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> Context for claim N036</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Marshal Badoglio oversaw the Libya genocide (1929–1934): half of Cyrenaica’s population was imprisoned in concentration camps. After using chemical weapons in Ethiopia, Churchill protected him from prosecution.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Badoglio directed the Libyan genocide (1929–1934): 15 concentration camps holding half of Cyrenaica’s population, stating: ‘even if entire population must perish’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander De Grand, ‘Mussolini’s Follies: Fascism in Its Imperial and Racist Phase, 1935–1940’, <i>Contemporary European History</i> 13, no. 2 (2004): 127–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777304001602">https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777304001602</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref48" name="_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> Context for claim N044</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>After Japan conquered Malaya and the Dutch East Indies in early 1942, Britain lost its primary tin sources and turned to Nigeria as the strategic replacement. Rather than improving wages or conditions, the British colonial administration implemented forced conscription of over 100,000 Nigerian peasants between April 1942 and April 1944. Death rates from disease reached 10% among certain groups, yet production increased by only 6%. This exemplifies the colonial formula of maximum extraction with minimum concern for African lives – treating colonised bodies as expendable resources while claiming to fight for freedom.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between April 1942 and April 1944, the British colonial administration conscripted over 100,000 peasants (mainly from Northern Nigeria) for forced labour in Nigerian tin mines. The death rate from disease reached 10% in 1943, particularly among Tiv migrants working on the Tente Dam. Despite a 40% increase in the labour force (reaching 71,000 men per month in 1943), tin production only increased by 6%, reaching 17,463 tonnes – below the 20,000-tonne target.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Africa and the Second World War’, in <i>Africa and the Second World War</i>, 1st ed., ed. David Killingray and Richard Rathbone (London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 1986), 89.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref49" name="_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> Context for claim N032</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Manhattan Project required uranium. The Shinkolobwe mine in the Belgian Congo yielded ore at 75% uranium oxide, compared with 0.2% in North American ore. Congolese miners handled radioactive material bare-handed; their names were never recorded.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Shinkolobwe mine provided uranium to the Manhattan Project: ore contained 75% uranium oxide (versus 0.2% in North American ore); 1,200 tonnes were shipped in 1940 while miners worked without protection.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Susan Williams, ‘Introduction: The Manhattan Project and Shinkolobwe’, in <i>Spies in the Congo: The Race for the Ore That Built the Atomic Bomb</i> (London: Hurst &amp; Company, 2018), 2–3.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref50" name="_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> Context for claim N031</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>On 8 May 1945, as Europe celebrated liberation from fascism, French forces opened fire on Algerians celebrating victory and demanding the independence promised by the Atlantic Charter – the beginning of a massacre.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Starting on 8 May 1945 (VE Day), French forces killed 20,000–45,000 Algerian civilians using military units, naval bombardment, and settler militias against independence demonstrations.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Joshua Cole, ‘Massacres and Their Historians: Recent Histories of State Violence in France and Algeria in the Twentieth Century’, <i>French Politics, Culture &amp; Society</i> 28, no. 1 (2010): 112.</div>
<div class="citation">Khenouf, Mohamed [محمد خنوف] and Michael Brett, ‘Algerian Nationalism and the Allied Military Strategy and Propaganda during the Second World War: The Background to Setif’, in <i>Africa and the Second World War</i> (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 1986), 258.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref51" name="_edn51"><sup>51</sup></a> Context for claim X210</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Communist forces achieved China’s first victory against Japan, shattering the myth of invincibility. This guerrilla victory demonstrated that revolutionary strategy could defeat technologically superior fascist forces.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">On 25 September 1937, at Pingxingguan, the Communist Eighth Route Army killed over 1,000 Japanese soldiers and captured 82 vehicles in China’s first major victory.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rong, Weimu [荣维木] and Wang Qisheng [王奇生], ‘中国抗日战争史：第⼆卷 战时军事 [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 2, Wartime Military Operations]’, in <i>中国抗日战争史：第⼆卷 战时军事</i> [A History of the Chinese War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression: Vol. 2, Wartime Military Operations], ed. Bu Ping [步平] and Wang Jianlang [王建朗], vol. 2 (Beijing: Social Sciences Academic Press [社会科学文献出版社], 2019), 47–48.</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Battle for China: Essays on the Military History of the Sino-Japanese War of 1937–1945’, in <i>The Battle for China: Essays on the Military History of the Sino-Japanese War of 1937–1945</i>, ed. Mark R. Peattie et al. (Stanford University Press, 2011), 29, 310.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref52" name="_edn52"><sup>52</sup></a> Context for claim X073</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japanese propaganda claimed invincibility. Taierzhuang (1938) proved otherwise: Chinese forces routed over 55,000 Japanese troops, inflicting 8,000–20,000 casualties. Myth of invincibility shattered.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">At Taierzhuang (March–April 1938), Chinese forces defeated over 55,000 Japanese troops. Casualty estimates vary: Japanese report 11,974; Chinese sources claim over 20,000.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lin, Zhibo [林治波] and Zhao Guozhang [赵国章], ‘大捷——台儿庄战役实录 [Great Victory – A Factual Record of the Battle of Taierzhuang]’, in <i>大捷——台儿庄战役实录</i> [Great Victory – A Factual Record of the Battle of Taierzhuang], 1st edition (Guilin: Guangxi Normal University Press [广西师范大学出版社], 1996), 1, 53, 74.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref53" name="_edn53"><sup>53</sup></a> Context for claim X075</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China’s resistance operated on dual fronts: KMT conventional battles engaged 36% of Japanese forces; CPC guerrilla warfare tied down the rest as well as the majority of the puppet forces.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By 1945, Communist-led Eighth Route and New Fourth Armies engaged 64% of Japanese forces in China and 95% of puppet troops, controlling areas with 100 million people.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mao, Zedong [毛泽东], ‘论联合政府 [On Coalition Government]’, in <i>论联合政府</i> [On Coalition Government], vol. 1 (Beijing: People’s Publishing House [人民出版社], 1975), 19.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Weidong [张卫东], ‘Speech by Ambassador Zhang Weidong at the Seminar in Commemoration of the 70th Anniversary of the Victory of the War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression of China and the World Anti-Fascist War’, 28 August 2015, <a href="https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html">https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref54" name="_edn54"><sup>54</sup></a> Context for claim X217</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Communist forces engineered 16-kilometre tunnel networks connecting five villages, enabling sustained resistance without air support or heavy weapons. This innovation proved people’s war could defeat technological superiority.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">At Ranzhuang, Hebei province, Communist partisans constructed a 16-kilometre tunnel system connecting five villages with command posts and hidden firing positions.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">CGTN, ‘Ranzhuang Tunnel Warfare Site: A Key Relic from the War of Resistance’, 29 July 2025, <a href="https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025%E2%80%9307-29/Ranzhuang-Tunnel-Warfare-Site-A-key-relic-from-the-War-of-Resistance-1FoUNZF1iV2/p.html">https://news.cgtn.com/news/2025–07-29/Ranzhuang-Tunnel-Warfare-Site-A-key-relic-from-the-War-of-Resistance-1FoUNZF1iV2/p.html</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Zhang, Yu, ‘From Beneath the Ground Rise Great Stories of Ingenuity and Defiance’, <i>China Daily</i>, 22 August 2025, <a href="https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html">https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref55" name="_edn55"><sup>55</sup></a> Context for claim X076</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>German armies captured territory containing 40% of the Soviet population and 60% of coal and steel production. The response: relocate 1,523 factories on 1.5 million railcars under enemy fire. History’s largest evacuation.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Between July and December 1941, the Soviet Union evacuated 1,523 complete industrial enterprises eastward on 1.5 million railway cars, including the entire Kirov tank works.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 71.</div>
<div class="citation">Walter S. Dunn, <i>The Soviet Economy and the Red Army, 1930–1945</i> (Westport: Praeger Publishers, 1995), 272.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref56" name="_edn56"><sup>56</sup></a> Context for claim X077</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Industrial evacuation required skilled workers. The Soviet state moved 17 million citizens eastward with factories – the largest organised migration in history.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet government evacuated 17 million citizens eastward (1941–1942), including 10 million industrial workers and families, alongside 1,523 relocated factories.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rebecca Manley, <i>To the Tashkent Station: Evacuation and Survival in the Soviet Union at War</i> (Cornell University Press, 2009), 301.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref57" name="_edn57"><sup>57</sup></a> Context for claim X151</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Kirov Works evacuation saw 5,800 machines loaded under Luftwaffe bombing and transported 2,000 km to Chelyabinsk, producing tanks within three weeks. Workers lived in tents at −40°C. Capitalism couldn’t achieve this.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Kirov Works relocated from besieged Leningrad to Chelyabinsk between September and October 1941; 5,800 machines were operational within three weeks, producing KV tanks by November.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lennart Samuelson, <i>Tankograd: The Formation of a Soviet Company Town, Cheliabinsk, 1900s–1950s</i> (London: Palgrave Macmillan UK, 2011), <a href="http://link.springer.com/10.1057/9780230316669">http://link.springer.com/10.1057/9780230316669</a>, 192, 196.</div>
<div class="citation">Steven J. Zaloga, <i>KV-1 and 2 Heavy Tanks 1939–45</i> (London: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 1996), 33.</div>
<div class="citation">The Presidential Library, Russian Federation, ‘New Documents Entered the Collection of Digitised Archival Documents, Film and Photo Materials Dedicated to World War II’, Presidential Library, 1 July 2022, <a href="https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1343410">https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1343410</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">The Presidential Library, Russian Federation, ‘Presidential Library’s Materials Spotlight the Evacuation of Industry in Besieged Leningrad’, Presidential Library, 20 November 2020, <a href="https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1305280">https://www.prlib.ru/en/news/1305280</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref58" name="_edn58"><sup>58</sup></a> Context for claim X212</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>After losing 60% of industrial capacity, the USSR quadrupled tank production through socialist planning. This ‘impossible’ achievement – from devastation to supremacy in one year – proved socialism’s mobilisation superiority.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet tank production increased from 6,590 units in 1941 to 24,719 in 1942, a 275% increase despite losing major industrial regions.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>Accounting for War: Soviet Production, Employment, and the Defence Burden, 1940–1945</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1996), 68.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref59" name="_edn59"><sup>59</sup></a> Context for claim X078</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The USSR lost 60% of pre-war steel and coal production and 40% of the population to German occupation. The response: evacuated factories produced over 100,000 tanks, compared with Germany’s 43,000. Socialist planning defeated capitalism.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet Union produced 102,500 tanks and self-propelled guns between 1941 and 1945. Germany: 43,000 units. Peak year 1943: USSR built over 24,000 tanks, Germany 11,900.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1998), 15–16.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref60" name="_edn60"><sup>60</sup></a> Context for claim N011</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The T-34 tank destroyed the majority of Wehrmacht armour on the Eastern Front. German engineers desperately tried to copy it and failed. RAND Corporation’s assessment challenged US prejudices.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 1976 RAND Corporation study concluded that the Soviet T-34 represented ‘the epitome of creative and skilful design’ that ‘fundamentally changed tank design worldwide’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Arthur J. Alexander, <i>Armor Development in the Soviet Union and the United States</i>, R-1860-NA (Rand, 1976), 24, <a href="https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/reports/2006/R1860.pdf">https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/reports/2006/R1860.pdf</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref61" name="_edn61"><sup>61</sup></a> Context for claim X044</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>By 1942 Germany occupied Soviet territory containing 78 million people, 60% of coal, steel, or aluminium production and 40% of grain production. The USSR lost its industrial heartland and fought on with 60% of pre-war resources.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet territories lost by 1942 included 40% of the population (78 million people), 60% of coal, steel, or aluminium production and 40% of grain production – yet the USSR continued fighting.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Susan J. Linz, <i>World War II and Soviet Economic Growth 1940–1953</i>, Working Paper no. 1038, BEBR Faculty Working Paper (University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, 1984), 72, <a href="http://archive.org/details/worldwariisoviet1038linz">http://archive.org/details/worldwariisoviet1038linz</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref62" name="_edn62"><sup>62</sup></a> Context for claim X080</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Soviet Union alone mobilised women for combat at scale: 800,000 served in frontline roles; US and UK women served in support roles only. Soviet women flew combat missions, commanded tanks, and led sniper units.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By 1943, 800,000 Soviet women served in the Red Army. By 1945, 246,000 were in front line roles, with over 100,000 serving as snipers, tank commanders, and pilots, including three all-female air regiments.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 320–321.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref63" name="_edn63"><sup>63</sup></a> Context for claim X079</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Behind German lines, 205,600 organised partisans destroyed 18,000 trains, killed 500,000 Germans, and tied down 500,000 more on security. Central Command coordinated with Red Army offensives systematically.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">By July 1944, Soviet partisan forces numbered 205,600 fighters in 6,200 detachments, operating under Central Partisan Command coordination with regular army operations.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook’, in <i>The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook</i>, ed. P. V. Malkov (Moscow: Federal State Statistics Service, 2020), 67, 253.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref64" name="_edn64"><sup>64</sup></a> Context for claim X081</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Luftwaffe destroyed 4,000 Soviet aircraft in the first week alone. The Soviet response: evacuate aviation factories and produce 112,100 combat aircraft, versus Germany’s 89,500. Air superiority reversed by 1943.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet Union produced 112,100 combat aircraft between 1941 and 1945, including 36,000 Il-2 Sturmoviks and 11,000 Yak-9s. Germany produced 89,500 total combat aircraft.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison’, in <i>The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison</i>, ed. Mark Harrison (Cambridge University Press, 1998), 15–16.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref65" name="_edn65"><sup>65</sup></a> Context for claim X052</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Eastern Front consumed the Wehrmacht: 80% of German military deaths, 75% of equipment losses, and 607 divisions destroyed. The Western Front was a sideshow. The mathematics prove where the real war was fought.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Red Army destroyed 80% of the Wehrmacht: 2.6–3.1 million of 3–3.5 million German military deaths occurred on the Eastern Front.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 569, 725.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X082</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Wehrmacht deployed 80% of its divisions eastward. The result: 2.7–3.1 million of Germany’s 3.5 million military deaths occurred fighting the Red Army. The Eastern Front was the real war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">German military deaths: 3–3.5 million total. Eastern Front deaths: 2.7–3.1 million (80–85%). Western Front: 340,000. Other theatres: 150,000.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 569, 725.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref66" name="_edn66"><sup>66</sup></a> Context for claim X017</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Red Army destroyed 607 Axis divisions; the Western Allies destroyed fewer than 200 total. The Eastern Front consumed 80% of Wehrmacht strength, 75% of the Luftwaffe, and two-thirds of the Kriegsmarine’s major surface units.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Soviet forces destroyed or decisively defeated 607 Axis divisions between 1941 and 1945, versus fewer than 200 destroyed by all Western Allies combined.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Overy, <i>Why the Allies Won</i> (New York: W. W. Norton &amp; Company, 1996), 321.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X085</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>D-Day (6 June 1944) mythology claims it was the turning point in the war. The reality on D-Day: Western Allies faced 54 German divisions in France. Same day: the Red Army fought 156½ German divisions. Ratio reveals the truth.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">6 June 1944: Western Allies faced 54 German divisions in France. Eastern Front, same date: 156½ German divisions fighting the Red Army.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Burkhart Mueller-Hillebrand, <i>Das Heer 1933–1945: Der Zweifrontenkrieg: Das Heer vom Beginn des Feldzuges gegen die Sowjetunion bis zum Kriegsende. Band III.</i> [The Two-Front War: The Army from the Beginning of the Campaign Against the Soviet Union until the End of the War] (Frankfurt am Main: E.S. Mittler &amp; Sohn, 1956), 152.</div>
<div class="citation">Imperial War Museums, ‘The German Response to D-Day’, Imperial War Museums, 13 September 2025, <a href="https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/the-german-response-to-d-day">https://www.iwm.org.uk/history/the-german-response-to-d-day</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">John Keegan, ‘Germany 1945’, in <i>The Times Atlas of the Second World War</i> (London: Times Books, 1989), 182–183.</div>
<div class="citation">Steve Zaloga, <i>Bagration, 1944: The Destruction of Army Group Centre</i> (London: Osprey, 1996), 7.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref67" name="_edn67"><sup>67</sup></a> Context for claim X225</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Red Army covered in four months what the Western Allies took eleven months to cover while facing 80% of Wehrmacht strength. This operational superiority exposes the myth of Western military excellence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Western Allies took eleven months advancing from Normandy to Berlin (750 km); the Red Army covered a similar distance in four months during the 1945 offensive against larger German forces.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David M. Glantz and Jonathan M. House, <i>When Titans Clashed: How the Red Army Stopped Hitler</i> (Lawrence: University Press of Kansas, 2015), 420, 496, 517, 553, 568–570.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref68" name="_edn68"><sup>68</sup></a> Context for claim X207</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The myth of US production efficiency conceals documented waste. The Truman Committee’s own verdict: massive inefficiency through cost-plus contracts guaranteeing profit regardless of waste – capitalism’s inherent contradiction.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US Senate Truman Committee investigating war production concluded: ‘War is waste – waste of manpower and material’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander J. Field, <i>The Economic Consequences of US Mobilisation for the Second World War</i> (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2022), 259.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref69" name="_edn69"><sup>69</sup></a> Context for claim X140</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US ‘production miracle’ was actually inefficient. Manufacturing productivity fell by 1.4% annually from 1941 to 1945. Cost-plus contracts guaranteed profit regardless of waste. Maximum profit, minimum efficiency.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US manufacturing productivity declined by 1.4% annually from 1941 to 1945; production increased through massive labour and capital mobilisation, rather than efficiency improvements.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alexander J. Field, <i>The Economic Consequences of US Mobilisation for the Second World War</i> (New Haven: Yale University Press, 2022), 334.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref70" name="_edn70"><sup>70</sup></a> Context for claim X019</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Fascism’s first victims were domestic communists. Germany murdered 20,000–30,000 Communist Party of Germany (KPD) members; Franco executed 200,000 Republicans; Italy killed hundreds of socialists. The pattern: destroy the left at home, then expand abroad.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Fascist regimes killed 216,000–286,000 leftists between 1931 and 1945: Germany 20,000–30,000 Communists, Spain 150,000–200,000 republicans, Italy hundreds of socialists.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Eric D. Weitz, <i>Creating German Communism, 1890–1990: From Popular Protests to Socialist State</i> (Princeton University Press, 1997), 280.</div>
<div class="citation">Frank McDonough, <i>Opposition and Resistance in Nazi Germany</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2001), 4.</div>
<div class="citation">Jay Allen, ‘Slaughter of 4,000 at Badajoz, “City of Horrors”, Is Told by Tribune Man’, <i>Chicago Tribune</i>, 30 August 1936, 2.</div>
<div class="citation">Julián Casanova et al., <i>Morir, matar, sobrevivir: la violencia en la dictadura de Franco</i> [Die, Kill, Survive: Violence in Franco’s Dictatorship] (Barcelona: Crítica, 2002), 8.</div>
<div class="citation">Paul Preston, <i>The Spanish Holocaust: Inquisition and Extermination in Twentieth-Century Spain</i> (London: Harper Press, 2012), 10, 15.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref71" name="_edn71"><sup>71</sup></a> Context for claim X088</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>November 1932: the KPD won nearly 6 million votes (16.9%) and 100 Reichstag seats – making it Germany’s third-largest party. Three months later: Hitler takes power, KPD banned, 130,000 Communists arrested and 2,500 murdered.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">November 1932 Reichstag election: the KPD received 5,975,538 votes (16.9%) and won 100 seats, making it Germany’s third-largest party after the Nazis and the Social Democrats.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Neubauer, ‘The German Reichstag Elections’, <i>International Press Correspondence</i>, 10 November 1932, Vol. 12, no. 50 Edition, 1.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref72" name="_edn72"><sup>72</sup></a> Context for claim X089</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Nazi concentration camps were initially created for Communists, not Jews. Dachau opened on 22 March 1933 for political prisoners. By year’s end 130,000 Communists were arrested and 2,500 murdered; the KPD was destroyed.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">1933: the Nazi regime arrested 130,000 Communists (KPD’s own estimate) and murdered more than 2,500; documented deaths in custody: 600 confirmed minimum.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Eric D. Weitz, <i>Creating German Communism, 1890–1990: From Popular Protests to Socialist State</i> (Princeton University Press, 1997), 280.</div>
<div class="citation">German Criminal Police, ‘Communist Party Functionaries Wanted by the German Criminal Police (1933)’, German History in Documents and Images (GHDI), 1933, <a href="https://ghdi.ghi-dc.org/sub_image.cfm?image_id=1880">https://ghdi.ghi-dc.org/sub_image.cfm?image_id=1880</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref73" name="_edn73"><sup>73</sup></a> Context for claim X215</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Political prisoners, primarily communists, were Nazism’s first targets, establishing the camp system. By 1937, the red triangle preceded yellow stars, showing anti-communism was fascism’s foundational violence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The first Nazi concentration camps like Dachau and Oranienburg opened in 1933, holding at least 27,000 prisoners by year’s end – 80% Communists and 10% Social Democrats. Control shifted from the Sturmabteilung (SA) to the Schutzstaffel (SS), which perfected methods of dehumanisation and torture. By 1937, the red triangle marking political prisoners became the model for classifying all camp victims.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Arolsen Archives, ‘Prisoner Groups in the Concentration Camp: How the Nazis Stigmatised Their Victims’, Arolsen Archives, 23 November 2023, <a href="https://arolsen-archives.org/en/news/prisoner-groups-in-the-concentration-camp-how-the-nazis-stigmatized-their-victims/">https://arolsen-archives.org/en/news/prisoner-groups-in-the-concentration-camp-how-the-nazis-stigmatized-their-victims/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Berra, Peter, <i>Photo of Identification Badge of a Political Prisoner in Nazi Camps</i>, 17 July 2020, Montreal Holocaust Museum, <a href="https://museeholocauste.ca/en/objects/identification-badge-of-a-political-prisoner-nazi-camps/">https://museeholocauste.ca/en/objects/identification-badge-of-a-political-prisoner-nazi-camps/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Frank McDonough, <i>Opposition and Resistance in Nazi Germany</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2001), 4.</div>
<div class="citation">German Historical Institute Washington, ‘Table of Coloured Classification Symbols for Prisoners in Concentration Camps (c. 1938–1944)’, accessed 3 September 2025, <a href="https://germanhistorydocs.org/en/nazi-germany-1933%E2%80%931945/table-of-colored-classification-symbols-for-prisoners-in-concentration-camps-1939%E2%80%931942">https://germanhistorydocs.org/en/nazi-germany-1933–1945/table-of-colored-classification-symbols-for-prisoners-in-concentration-camps-1939–1942</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Nikolaus Wachsmann, <i>KL: A History of the Nazi Concentration Camps</i> (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2015), 10, 98, 137.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Dachau Concentration Camp Memorial Site’, KZ Gedenkstätte Dachau, 11 September 2025, <a href="https://www.kz-gedenkstaette-dachau.de/en/">https://www.kz-gedenkstaette-dachau.de/en/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref74" name="_edn74"><sup>74</sup></a> Context for claim X090</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Between taking power (1933) and invading Poland (1939), the Nazis executed 30,000 political opponents – primarily communists and socialists. This domestic genocide preceded external war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Nazi regime executed approximately 30,000 political opponents between 1933 and 1939 – the majority communists and socialists, along with trade unionists and social democrats.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frank McDonough, <i>Opposition and Resistance in Nazi Germany</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2001), 4.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref75" name="_edn75"><sup>75</sup></a> Context for claim X092</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Franco’s </i>limpieza<i> (cleansing) strategy systematically executed all leftists in captured territory. Civilians murdered behind lines – including teachers, union members, and anyone with Republican sympathy: 130,000–200,000.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Franco’s Nationalist forces executed 130,000–200,000 civilians and prisoners in controlled areas (1936–1939).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Julián Casanova et al., <i>Morir, matar, sobrevivir: la violencia en la dictadura de Franco</i> [Die, Kill, Survive: Violence in Franco’s Dictatorship] (Barcelona: Crítica, 2002), 8.</div>
<div class="citation">Paul Preston, <i>The Spanish Holocaust: Inquisition and Extermination in Twentieth-Century Spain</i> (London: Harper Press, 2012), 10, 15.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X093</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Victory on 1 April 1939 brought not peace but systematic extermination. Franco’s Law of Political Responsibilities retroactively criminalised supporting the Republic. Not less than 50,000 were executed after the war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Franco regime executed 50,000 Republicans after the war’s end (April 1939–1943), with 15,000 killed in the first year alone under retroactive death sentences.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Julián Casanova et al., <i>Morir, matar, sobrevivir: la violencia en la dictadura de Franco</i> [Die, Kill, Survive: Violence in Franco’s Dictatorship] (Barcelona: Crítica, 2002), 8.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref76" name="_edn76"><sup>76</sup></a> Context for claim X125</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Franco’s forces turned the city of Badajoz into a killing field in August 1936, machine-gunning Republicans in the city bullring; a </i>Chicago Tribune<i> reporter witnessed the massacre. This was the pattern for fascist victory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Nationalist forces under Colonel Juan Yagüe executed 2,000–4,000 Republicans in Badajoz on 14–15 August 1936, some machine-gunned in the city bullring.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Jay Allen, ‘Slaughter of 4,000 at Badajoz, “City of Horrors”, Is Told by Tribune Man’, <i>Chicago Tribune</i>, 30 August 1936, 2.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref77" name="_edn77"><sup>77</sup></a> Context for claim X152</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>More than 35,000 volunteers from over 50 nations fought Spanish fascism – 30% casualties. Captured brigaders were shot immediately. Survivors were blacklisted at home. The first anti-fascist fighters were the first abandoned.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">International Brigades suffered 30% casualties (over 10,000 of 35,000 volunteers); Nationalist forces typically executed captured international volunteers immediately.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Antony Beevor, <i>The Battle for Spain: The Spanish Civil War 1936–1939</i> (East Rutherford: Penguin Publishing Group, 2006), 157, 211, 366.</div>
<div class="citation">Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War, ‘The International Brigades’, in <i>Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War</i> (Virtual Museum of the Spanish Civil War), accessed 1 September 2025, <a href="https://www.vscw.ca/en/node/699">https://www.vscw.ca/en/node/699</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref78" name="_edn78"><sup>78</sup></a> Context for claim X094</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan’s Peace Preservation Law (1925) preceded Nazi power by eight years. The Special Higher Police (Tokkō) arrested nearly 65,000 for ‘thought crimes’ between 1928 and 1943. Torture was systematic and deaths routine – no trials needed.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Tokkō arrested nearly 65,000 under the Peace Preservation Law between 1928 and 1943.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Elise K. Tipton, <i>The Japanese Police State: The Tokkô in Interwar Japan</i> (London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2012), 25.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref79" name="_edn79"><sup>79</sup></a> Context for claim X126</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Kobayashi Takiji wrote </i>Kanikōsen<i>, exposing capitalist brutality. Special Higher Police (Tokkō) tortured him to death for three hours on 20 February 1933. The autopsy reported every finger broken and internal haemorrhaging.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Kobayashi Takiji, arrested on 20 February 1933 by Tokkō police, was tortured to death same day; the autopsy revealed systematic torture, including broken fingers.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Elise K. Tipton, <i>The Japanese Police State: The Tokkô in Interwar Japan</i> (London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2012), 26.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref80" name="_edn80"><sup>80</sup></a> Context for claim X153</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Mussolini’s Blackshirts (</i>squadristi<i>) destroyed 119 labour chambers, 107 cooperatives, and 83 peasant leagues between 1920 and 1922. The methods: burn buildings, kill leaders, and terrorise members. Democracy died building by building.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Squadristi carried out 2,120 documented violent attacks between 1920 and 1922, killing 709 leftists while destroying 119 labour chambers and 107 cooperatives across northern Italy.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alessandro Saluppo, ‘Paramilitary Violence and Fascism: Imaginaries and Practices of Squadrismo, 1919–1925’, <i>Contemporary European History</i> 29, no. 3 (2020): 289–308, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777319000390">https://doi.org/10.1017/S0960777319000390</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Daron Acemoglu et al., ‘War, Socialism, and the Rise of Fascism: An Empirical Exploration’, <i>The Quarterly Journal of Economics</i> 137, no. 2 (2022): 1233–96, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac001">https://doi.org/10.1093/qje/qjac001</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Mimmo Franzinelli, <i>Squadristi: protagonisti e tecniche della violenza fascista 1919–1922</i> [Squadristi: Protagonists and Techniques of Fascist Violence 1919–1922] (Milano: Feltrinelli, 2019), 33–34, 47, 74.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref81" name="_edn81"><sup>81</sup></a> Context for claim X209</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US media praised Hitler’s anti-communist violence as ‘necessary housekeeping’, revealing capitalism’s preference for fascism over socialism. This editorial support enabled the Holocaust’s architects.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 1933 <i>Seattle Times</i> editorial praised Hitler’s violent suppression of German communists as necessary ‘political housekeeping’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Associated Press, ‘Hitler Granted 4-Year Term as Supreme Ruler’, <i>The Seattle Daily Times</i> (Seattle, WA), 24 March 1933, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Branscum, ‘Nazism in the 1933 Seattle Times’, Civil Rights and Labor History Consortium/University of Washington, 2009, <a href="https://depts.washington.edu/depress/nazi_seattle_times.shtml">https://depts.washington.edu/depress/nazi_seattle_times.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Washington Editors, ‘What the State Thinks – Hitler Appraised’, <i>The Seattle Sunday Times</i> (Seattle, WA), 24 March 1933, 6.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref82" name="_edn82"><sup>82</sup></a> Context for claim X141</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Henry Ford received Nazi Germany’s highest foreign honour in July 1938 – after plans for Kristallnacht were underway and after the Anschluss. His </i>International Jew<i> inspired Hitler. Medal kept, business continued.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Henry Ford received the Grand Cross of the German Eagle – the highest Nazi honour for foreigners – on his 75th birthday, 30 July 1938, presented by a German consul in Detroit.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Max Wallace, <i>The American Axis</i> (New York: St. Martin’s, 2005), 43, 107.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref83" name="_edn83"><sup>83</sup></a> Context for claim N051</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan was already defeated by August 1945. The Soviet Union was preparing to enter the war. The US military leadership had won the Pacific War and understood Japan’s strategic position. Yet the atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima (6 August) and Nagasaki (9 August).</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The highest-ranking US military officer (Leahy) and the Supreme Allied Commander Europe (Eisenhower) stated that the atomic bombings were militarily unnecessary because Japan was already defeated. Historian Gar Alperovitz documents similar opposition from five additional five-star officers.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Dwight D. Eisenhower, <i>Mandate for Change, 1953–1956</i> (New York: Doubleday &amp; Company, Inc., 1963), 312–13.</div>
<div class="citation">Gar Alperovitz, <i>The Decision to Use the Atomic Bomb and the Architecture of an American Myth</i> (New York: A. A. Knopf, 1995), 319–359.</div>
<div class="citation">William D. Leahy, <i>I Was There: The Personal Story of the Chief of Staff to Presidents Roosevelt and Truman Based on His Notes and Diaries Made at the Time</i> (New York: Whittlesey House, McGraw-Hill Book Company, Inc., 1950), 441.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N052</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Immediately after Japan’s surrender, the US government conducted an official investigation into the effectiveness of strategic bombing. The survey, published in July 1946, had access to all military intelligence, Japanese government documents, and testimony from surviving Japanese leaders.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The official US Strategic Bombing Survey concluded that Japan would have surrendered by November 1945 without the atomic bombs, Soviet entry, or invasion.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation"><i>The United States Strategic Bombing Surveys: European War, Pacific War</i> (The United States Strategic Bombing Surveys, 1946), 107.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref84" name="_edn84"><sup>84</sup></a> Context for claim N053</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>At the Yalta Conference (4–11 February 1945), Stalin committed the USSR would enter the war against Japan within three months of Germany’s surrender. Germany surrendered on 8 May 1945. Three months set an 8 August deadline. Manhattan Project physicists worked frantically to complete the bomb.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Manhattan Project scientists were pushed to meet a ‘mysterious deadline’ near 10 August, corresponding to the Soviet Union’s commitment to enter the war by mid-August.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">John Bellamy Foster, ‘The US Quest for Nuclear Primacy: The Counterforce Doctrine and the Ideology of Moral Asymmetry’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 75, no. 09 (2024), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/the-u-s-quest-for-nuclear-primacy/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/the-u-s-quest-for-nuclear-primacy/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Philip Morrison, ‘Blackett’s Analysis of the Issues’, <i>Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists</i> 5, no. 2 (1949): 40.</div>
<div class="citation">US Department of State, ‘Protocol of the Proceedings of the Crimea Conference’, in <i>Foreign Relations of the United States: Diplomatic Papers, The Conferences at Malta and Yalta, 1945</i> (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1955), <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1945Malta/d503">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1945Malta/d503</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N054</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Truman attended the Potsdam Conference (17 July–2 August 1945), where he met with Stalin and Churchill. On 16 July, while at Potsdam, Truman received news that the Trinity test was successful. Truman kept a personal diary recording his private thoughts.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Truman’s diary reveals he viewed the atomic bomb as an ‘ace in the hole’ for dealing with the Soviets and expected Japan would surrender before Soviet entry once ‘Manhattan appears’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gar Alperovitz, <i>The Decision to Use the Atomic Bomb and the Architecture of an American Myth</i> (New York: A. A. Knopf, 1995), 319–359.</div>
<div class="citation">Harry S. Truman, ‘Diary Note of President Harry S. Truman’, 1945, President’s Secretary’s Files (Truman Administration), 1945–1953; File: Truman, Harry S.: Diary, 1947–1952, Harry S. Truman Library, <a href="https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568375">https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568375</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Harry S. Truman, ‘Diary Note of President Harry S. Truman’, 1945, President’s Secretary’s Files (Truman Administration), 1945–1953; File: Truman, Harry S.: Diary, 1947–1952, Harry S. Truman Library, <a href="https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568377">https://catalog.archives.gov/id/183568377</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Henry L. Stimson, ‘Stimson Diary Entries, May 14 and 15, 1945’, National Security Archive, accessed 10 October 2025, <a href="https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/28513-document-12-stimson-diary-entries-may-14-and-15%E2%80%931945">https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/document/28513-document-12-stimson-diary-entries-may-14-and-15–1945</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N055</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>James Byrnes was Truman’s secretary of state, the architect of atomic diplomacy. His aide Walter Brown kept a detailed diary of their discussions at Potsdam. Byrnes had told physicist Leo Szilard in May 1945 that the Soviet Union might be ‘more manageable if impressed by American military might’.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Secretary of State Byrnes explicitly hoped that ‘after atomic bomb Japan will surrender and Russia will not get in so much on the kill’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Robert L. Messer, <i>The End of an Alliance: James F. Byrnes, Roosevelt, Truman, and the Origins of the Cold War</i> (Chapel Hill: University of North Carolina press, 1982), 105.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref85" name="_edn85"><sup>85</sup></a> Context for claim N056</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Hiroshima was bombed on 6 August 1945. There was no emergency meeting of the Supreme War Council on 7 or 8 August. The USSR declared war on 8 August. The Soviet invasion of Manchuria began in the early morning of 9 August. The Supreme War Council held its first emergency meeting on surrender on the morning of 9 August. Nagasaki was bombed later that same day.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet invasion, not the atomic bomb, triggered Japan’s surrender decision; Emperor Hirohito’s rescript cited Soviet entry as threatening the empire’s existence but did not mention the atomic bombs.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Tsuyoshi Hasegawa, <i>Racing the Enemy: Stalin, Truman, and the Surrender of Japan</i> (Cambridge: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press, 2005), 186, 198–199, 250, 295.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N057</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>P. M. S. Blackett was a British Nobel Prize-winning physicist (1948 Nobel Prize for cosmic-ray research), a Fellow of the Royal Society, and a scientific adviser to the British government during the war. He published </i>Fear, War, and the Bomb: Military and Political Consequences of Atomic Energy<i> in 1949 – four years after the bombings, when memories were fresh and evidence was accessible.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">British physicist P. M. S. Blackett’s 1948 analysis identified the atomic bombings as ‘the first major operation of the cold diplomatic war with Russia’ rather than the last military act of WWII, a thesis later verified by subsequent historians.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Gar Alperovitz, <i>Atomic Diplomacy: Hiroshima and Potsdam; The Use of the Atomic Bomb and the American Confrontation with Soviet Power</i> (New York: Vintage Books (A Division of Random House), 1965), 127, 242.</div>
<div class="citation">P. M. S. Blackett, <i>Fear, War, and the Bomb: Military and Political Consequences of Atomic Energy</i> (New York: Whittlesey House, McGraw-Hill Book Company, Inc., 1949), 139.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref86" name="_edn86"><sup>86</sup></a> Context for claim X208</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Within weeks of Japan’s surrender, the US and the UK actively restored colonial rule in Vietnam, violating Atlantic Charter promises – an immediate betrayal of self-determination principles that exposed the true imperial agenda.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">After Ho Chi Minh declared independence on 2 September 1945, British forces rearmed French troops on 22–23 September; the US provided eight transport ships in October to ferry French divisions to Vietnam.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Fredrik Logevall, <i>Embers of War: The Fall of an Empire and the Making of America’s Vietnam</i> (New York: Random House, 2012), 128.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 27.</div>
<div class="citation">Gregg Huff, <i>World War II and Southeast Asia: Economy and Society Under Japanese Occupation</i> (Cambridge University Press, 2020), 405.</div>
<div class="citation">John Springhall, ‘“Kicking Out the Vietminh”: How Britain Allowed France to Reoccupy South Indochina, 1945–46’, <i>Journal of Contemporary History</i> 40, no. 1 (2005): 115–30.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref87" name="_edn87"><sup>87</sup></a> Context for claim X142</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Greek partisans who fought the Nazis were then killed by Britain and the US – the same resistance that tied down 300,000 Axis troops was crushed to prevent communism; 158,000 died. Democracy via massacre.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Greek Civil War (1946–1949): 158,000 deaths; Britain deployed 40,000 troops and the US provided $300 million in military aid to defeat Communist partisans.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Edward G. Lengel, ‘The Greek Civil War, 1944–1949’, The National WWII Museum, 22 May 2020, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/greek-civil-war-1944%E2%80%931949">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/war/articles/greek-civil-war-1944–1949</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref88" name="_edn88"><sup>88</sup></a> Context for claim N013</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>In the aftermath of WWII, the US intervened to suppress leftist movements as part of the emerging Cold War strategy. On Jeju Island, the US military government oversaw the massacre of 14,000–30,000 civilians (1948–1949).</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">South Korean forces under US military government command killed 14,000–30,000 civilians on Jeju Island (1948–1949), with US advisors present and US aircraft conducting reconnaissance.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">The National Committee for Investigation of the Truth About the Jeju April 3 Incident, <i>The Jeju 4.3 Incident Investigation Report</i> (Jeju 4.3 Peace Foundation, 2014), 453–54, 654, <a href="https://doi.org/www.jeju43peace.or.kr">www.jeju43peace.or.kr</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref89" name="_edn89"><sup>89</sup></a> Context for claim X105</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>China entered Korea to prevent US forces from reaching its border. The cost: 197,653 People’s Volunteer Army (PVA) soldiers dead, including Mao’s son. China calls it the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea – framing reveals perspective.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The PVA lost 197,653 soldiers in Korea (1950–1953), including Mao Anying (Mao Zedong’s son), killed by a US airstrike in November 1950.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Li, Xia, ‘China Holds Burial Ceremony for Soldier Remains Returned from ROK’, <i>Xinhua News Agency</i>, 4 April 2019, <a href="https://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019%E2%80%9304/04/c_137949939.htm">https://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2019–04/04/c_137949939.htm</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref90" name="_edn90"><sup>90</sup></a> Context for claim X103</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Korea endured more bombs than the entire Pacific Theatre in WWII: 635,000 tonnes of conventional bombs and over 32,557 tonnes of napalm. No wounded from napalm – only dead, only instant incineration. Entire cities erased.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US forces dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on Korea between 1950 and 1953, exceeding the total Pacific Theatre WWII tonnage on a country one-seventieth the size of Japan.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 152.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref91" name="_edn91"><sup>91</sup></a> Context for claim X096</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US Strategic Air Command dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on Korea. General Curtis LeMay’s assessment: genocide achieved – ‘We killed off – what – twenty percent of the population’.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">General Curtis LeMay stated: ‘Over a period of three years or so, we killed off – what – twenty percent of the population of North Korea’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Richard H. Kohn and Joseph P. Harahan, <i>Strategic Air Warfare: An Interview with Generals Curtis E. LeMay, Leon W. Johnson, David A. Burchinal, and Jack J. Catton</i> (Office of Air Force History, US Air Force, 1988), 166.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref92" name="_edn92"><sup>92</sup></a> Context for claim N014</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US forces dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm on Korea – more than the entire Pacific Theatre in WWII. Every city with a population over 50,000 was destroyed. General Douglas MacArthur himself said he vomited after seeing the results.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">MacArthur testified to the US Senate in 1951: ‘The war in Korea has already almost destroyed that nation of 20 million people – I have never seen such devastation – I vomited’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US Senate, Committee on Armed Services and Committee on Foreign Relations, <i>Military Situation in the Far East: Hearings Before the Committee on Armed Services and the Committee on Foreign Relations, US Senate, Eighty-Second Congress, First Session, to Conduct an Inquiry into the Military Situation in the Far East and the Facts Surrounding the Relief of General of the Army Macarthur from His Assignments in That Area</i>, 82d Cong., 1st Sess. (Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1951), <a href="https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736">https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736</a>.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim N015</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Far East Bomber Command dropped 635,000 tonnes of bombs and 32,557 tonnes of napalm. Targets included dams, irrigation systems, rice paddies, and cities. The strategy: destroy food production. The result: 20% of the population dead.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Major General Emmett O’Donnell Jr., Far East Air Force Bomber Command chief, testified: ‘Everything is destroyed. There is nothing standing worthy of the name’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US Senate, <i>Military Situation in the Far East: Hearings Before the Committee on Armed Services and the Committee on Foreign Relations, US Senate, Eighty-Second Congress, First Session</i>, S. Doc. 153797, Congressional Hearings no. 153797, 82d Cong., 1st Sess. (Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1951), 3075, <a href="https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736">https://catalog.hathitrust.org/Record/001606736</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref93" name="_edn93"><sup>93</sup></a> Context for claim X104</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US Air Force target lists evolved: military targets were exhausted by 1950; industrial sites destroyed by 1951; cities obliterated by 1952; irrigation dams by 1953. Policy: destroy everything. Result: 18 of 22 cities erased.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US airstrikes destroyed 18 of North Korea’s 22 major cities – Sinanju 100%, Sariwon 95%, Pyongyang 75% – with the average destruction rate exceeding 50%.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 152–153.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X202</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US bombing achieved destruction levels surpassing Dresden or Tokyo. Cities weren’t just damaged – they were erased. This systematic obliteration of civilian infrastructure constituted deliberate genocide through aerial warfare.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US Air Force damage assessments confirm Sinanju was 100% destroyed and Sariwon 95% destroyed during the US War of Aggression against Korea bombing campaign.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 153.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref94" name="_edn94"><sup>94</sup></a> Context for claim X107</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The CIA secretly funded intellectual warfare against communism: through the Congress for Cultural Freedom hundreds of intellectuals ended up on the agency payroll. The purpose: make anti-communism synonymous with intelligence.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The CIA funded the Congress for Cultural Freedom (1950–1967) with tens of millions of dollars, publishing over 20 magazines and organising conferences globally.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frances Stonor Saunders, <i>The Cultural Cold War: The CIA and the World of Arts and Letters</i> (New York: The New Press, 2013), 148.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref95" name="_edn95"><sup>95</sup></a> Context for claim X119</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Irving Kristol – the ‘godfather of neoconservatism’ – built a career on CIA money. He edited </i>Encounter<i> magazine, which was secretly funded by the CIA through the Congress for Cultural Freedom. Democracy via deception.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Irving Kristol edited <i>Encounter</i> magazine (1953–1958), receiving CIA funds through the Congress for Cultural Freedom; the funding was revealed in 1967 – Kristol claimed ignorance.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Frances Stonor Saunders, <i>The Cultural Cold War: The CIA and the World of Arts and Letters</i> (New York: The New Press, 2013), 97, 98, 131, 269, 341.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X120</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Sidney Hook promoted the ‘totalitarian twins’ thesis – equating Stalin with Hitler – at CIA-funded conferences. The agency paid for intellectuals to launder state propaganda as independent philosophy.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Sidney Hook attended the founding Congress for Cultural Freedom conference in Berlin (1950), which was secretly organised and funded by the CIA Office of Policy Coordination.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Warner, ‘Origins of the Congress of Cultural Freedom, 1949–50 Cultural Cold War’, <i>Studies in Intelligence</i> 38, no. 5 (1995): 89, 91, 93, 95.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref96" name="_edn96"><sup>96</sup></a> Context for claim X144</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>A CIA official publicly boasted about immorality. Thomas Braden’s 1967 confession: ‘I’m glad the CIA is immoral’. He admitted to buying intellectuals and rigging culture. Democracy via deception.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Thomas Braden, former chief of the CIA’s International Organisations Division, wrote in the <i>Saturday Evening Post</i> on 20 May 1967: ‘I’m glad the CIA is “immoral”’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Thomas W. Braden, ‘I’m Glad the CIA Is “Immoral”’, <i>The Saturday Evening Post</i>, 20 May 1967, 10, 12, 14.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref97" name="_edn97"><sup>97</sup></a> Context for claim X108</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The FBI’s systematic surveillance of academia created an intellectual climate where challenging imperial narratives became career suicide – an infrastructure of intimidation that ensured that those documenting socialist or anti-colonial struggles would be silenced while those promoting US exceptionalism thrived.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">1955 survey: 1,484 of 2,434 social science professors (61%) reported FBI contact within the past year – 676 had 1–2 contacts, 808 had more than 3 contacts.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Paul F. Lazarsfeld and Wagner Thielens, <i>The Academic Mind: Social Scientists in a Time of Crisis</i> (New York: Arno Press, 1958), 401.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref98" name="_edn98"><sup>98</sup></a> Context for claim X109</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Department of Defense captured US universities through funding dependency – in the 1950s it controlled 83.8% of federal research money; at Stanford in 1960, 40% of the budget came from military contracts.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Department of Defense controlled about 83.8% of federal research spending (1950s peak). Stanford University 1960: military contracts comprised 40% of total operating budget.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Andrew Myers, ‘A Period of Transformation 1955–1964’, 100 Years of Stanford Engineering, accessed 13 September 2025, <a href="https://engineering100.stanford.edu/stories/a-period-of-transformation">https://engineering100.stanford.edu/stories/a-period-of-transformation</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Richard Rowberg, <i>Federal R&amp;D Funding: A Concise History</i>, nos 95–1209 STM (Congressional Research Service, 1998), 12, <a href="https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/95%E2%80%931209.html">https://www.everycrsreport.com/reports/95–1209.html</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Stuart W. Leslie, <i>The Cold War and American Science: The Military-Industrial-Academic Complex at MIT and Stanford</i> (New York: Columbia University Press, 1993), 1, 8, 45–46, 59, 62, 73.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref99" name="_edn99"><sup>99</sup></a> Context for claim X206</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>There is a significant discrepancy between the casualty figures for WWII in China cited by some Western historians and the official, documented figures released by the Chinese government.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Western historian Rana Mitter estimates 15–20 million Chinese deaths while the Chinese government’s comprehensive 2015 survey documented 24.05 million deaths from 1931 to 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 402, 405.</div>
<div class="citation">Rana Mitter, <i>Forgotten Ally: China’s World War II, 1937–1945</i> (Boston: Houghton Mifflin Harcourt, 2018), 271–339.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref100" name="_edn100"><sup>100</sup></a> Context for claim X066</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Chinese government casualty figures are confirmed through multiple official sources: announced at 50th (1995), 60th (2005), and 70th (2015) anniversary commemorations, verified through a decade-long nationwide survey (2005–2015) involving 600,000 participants, and formally presented at State Council press conferences (2015). The investigation covered the full war period from 1931 to 1945, collecting local records and survivor testimonies published as a nearly 300 volume research series.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China suffered 35 million military and civilian casualties (dead and wounded combined) from 1931 to 1945. Direct economic losses exceeded $100 billion and indirect economic losses exceeded $500 billion, both calculated using 1937 exchange rates. China’s total documented deaths in 1931–1945 were 24,050,000, comprising 20.6 million direct deaths, 3 million from war-induced famine, and 450,000 from 1931–1937 (author estimate).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 402, 405.</div>
<div class="citation">State Council Information Office [国务院新闻办公室], ‘新闻办吹风会介绍“抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失”调研成果情况和二战中中国贡献的最新理论研究成果 [News Briefing on Research Findings on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the Latest Theoretical Research on China’s Contribution in World War II]’, Chinese Government Website [中国政府网], 14 July 2015, <a href="https://www.gov.cn/xinwen/zb_xwb77/">https://www.gov.cn/xinwen/zb_xwb77/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Xi, Jinping [习近平], ‘习近平在纪念中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争胜利70周年大会上的讲话_中华人民共和国外交部 [Speech at the Commemoration of the 70th Anniversary of Victory in the Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japanese Aggression and the World Anti-Fascist War]’, Speech, Beijing, 3 September 2015, <a href="https://www.mfa.gov.cn/web/ziliao_674904/zyjh_674906/201509/t20150903_9869606.shtml">https://www.mfa.gov.cn/web/ziliao_674904/zyjh_674906/201509/t20150903_9869606.shtml</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">‘抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失调研丛书 [Research Series on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失调研丛书</i> [Research Series on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan], ed. Li, Zhongjie [李忠杰] et al., 抗日战争时期中国人口伤亡和财产损失调研丛书 [Research Series on Chinese Casualties and Property Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan] / A (Beijing: 中共党史出版社 [CPC Party History Publishing House], 2014), Preface.</div>
<div class="citation">国新办新闻发布会 [State Council Information Office], ‘国新办举行抗战时期中国伤亡、财产损失及贡献等研究成果吹风会 [The State Council Information Office held a press briefing on research findings regarding Chinese casualties, property losses, and contributions during the Anti-Japanese War period]’, 国新办新闻发布会 [State Council Information Office], 1 July 2015, <a href="http://www.scio.gov.cn/xwfb/gwyxwbgsxwfbh/wqfbh_2284/2015n_9477/2015n07y14r/">http://www.scio.gov.cn/xwfb/gwyxwbgsxwfbh/wqfbh_2284/2015n_9477/2015n07y14r/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref101" name="_edn101"><sup>101</sup></a> Context for claim N002</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Major encyclopaedic reference works compile WWII casualties with varying completeness. Encyclopaedia Britannica lists 5.68 million Polish civilian deaths but leaves China’s civilian deaths blank despite a 14-year war.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content"><i>Encyclopaedia Britannica</i>’s WWII casualty table lists 1,310,224 Chinese military deaths but leaves civilian and total death fields blank, while providing complete data for all European nations.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Thomas A Hughes and John Graham Royde-Smith, ‘World War II: Facts, Summary, History, Dates, Combatants, and Causes’, in <i>Encyclopaedia Britannica</i>, 9 September 2025, <a href="https://www.britannica.com/event/World-War-II">https://www.britannica.com/event/World-War-II</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref102" name="_edn102"><sup>102</sup></a> Context for claim N040</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>On 13 September 1938, two days before his first meeting with Hitler at Berchtesgaden, Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain wrote privately to King George VI. This letter reveals Chamberlain’s true strategic objectives, which differed fundamentally from his public statements about preserving peace and Czechoslovak sovereignty.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Chamberlain wrote to King George VI on 13 September 1938 stating that his aim was an ‘Anglo-German understanding’ with Germany and England as ‘the two pillars of European peace and buttresses against communism’, acknowledging Hitler was determined ‘to proceed further east’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Christopher Hitchens, ‘Chamberlain: Collusion, Not Appeasement’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 46, no. 8 (1995): 44–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046%E2%80%9308-1995%E2%80%9301_3">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046–08-1995–01_3</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Clement Leibovitz and Alvin Finkel, <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 26.</div>
<div class="citation">John W. Wheeler-Bennett, <i>King George VI: His Life and Reign</i> (New York: St. Martin’s Press, 1958), 346–47.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref103" name="_edn103"><sup>103</sup></a> Context for claim N038</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The 1938 Munich Agreement was not an isolated act of appeasement but the culmination of a formal, secret deal negotiated between Chamberlain and Hitler. Over three meetings in September, Chamberlain sought to establish Germany as a ‘buttress against communism’ by explicitly offering it dominion over Eastern Europe in exchange for a promise to leave the British Empire and Western Europe untouched.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Over three meetings in September 1938, Chamberlain and Hitler formalised a deal, culminating in Hitler’s explicit offer at Godesberg, recorded by German translator Dr Paul Schmidt: ‘you may without harm let us have a free hand on the European continent in central and South-East Europe’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Clement Leibovitz and Alvin Finkel, <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 28.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref104" name="_edn104"><sup>104</sup></a> Context for claim N041</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Sir Nevile Henderson served as British ambassador to Germany from 1937 to 1939, personally negotiating with Hitler on behalf of the British government. After the outbreak of war in September 1939, Henderson wrote his assessment of British policy, revealing what the British leadership would have considered acceptable outcomes.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Britain’s ambassador to Germany, Sir Nevile Henderson, wrote in October 1939 that the world would have ‘acclaimed Hitler as a great German if he had known when and where to stop: even, for instance, after Munich and the Nuremberg decrees for the Jews’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Christopher Hitchens, ‘Chamberlain: Collusion, Not Appeasement’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 46, no. 8 (1995): 44–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046%E2%80%9308-1995%E2%80%9301_3">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046–08-1995–01_3</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Clement Leibovitz and Alvin Finkel, <i>The Chamberlain-Hitler Collusion</i> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1997), 20.</div>
<div class="citation">Neville Henderson, <i>Failure of a Mission: Berlin 1937–1939</i> (New York: G. P. Putnam’s Sons, 1940), 12.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref105" name="_edn105"><sup>105</sup></a> Context for claim N042</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Post-war historiography constructed a narrative of ‘appeasement’ – portraying Chamberlain as naïvely attempting to avoid war through concessions to Hitler. Recent historical scholarship using declassified documents has fundamentally challenged this interpretation, arguing instead that British policy represented calculated strategic collusion.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Historian and <i>Monthly Review</i> editor John Bellamy Foster argues that Chamberlain’s government sought ‘not so much to “appease” Nazi Germany, as to collude with it, in the hope that Germany would turn its guns eastward, toward the USSR’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Christopher Hitchens, ‘Chamberlain: Collusion, Not Appeasement’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 46, no. 8 (1995): 44–47, <a href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046%E2%80%9308-1995%E2%80%9301_3">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-046–08-1995–01_3</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">John Bellamy Foster, ‘Revolution and Counterrevolution, 1917–2017’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 69, no. 03 (2017), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917%E2%80%932017/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/revolution-and-counterrevolution-1917–2017/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref106" name="_edn106"><sup>106</sup></a> Context for claim X110</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Pentagon operates Hollywood’s largest film subsidy programme – providing free equipment, locations, and personnel in exchange for script approval. More than 2,500 productions have been shaped by this process. The people of the US learn history through Pentagon edits.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Pentagon has collaborated on more than 2,500 Hollywood productions, providing equipment and locations in exchange for script approval rights and an ‘accuracy’ review.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Tanner Mirrlees, <i>The Militarisation of Movies and Television</i>, Research Report, Costs of War Project (Watson Institute for International &amp; Public Affairs, Brown University, 2025), 10, <a href="https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/papers/2025/Militarization%20of%20Movies%20and%20TV_2.25.25_.pdf">https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/papers/2025/Militarization%20of%20Movies%20and%20TV_2.25.25_.pdf</a>.</div>
<div class="citation"><i>Theaters of War: How the Pentagon and CIA Took Hollywood</i>, produced by Matthew Alford, directed by Roger Stahl (Media Education Foundation, 2022), 87 min, <a href="https://go.mediaed.org/theaters-of-war">https://go.mediaed.org/theaters-of-war</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref107" name="_edn107"><sup>107</sup></a> Context for claim X219</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Soviet war films reached a maximum of 100 US theatres, versus thousands for Hollywood, ensuring US citizens never saw the reality of the Eastern Front. This cultural blockade maintained a propaganda monopoly.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">During the 1950s, the best Soviet films secured bookings in only 100 US theatres, while average Soviet imports reached just 20–40 venues.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">James H. Krukones, ‘The Unspooling of Artkino: Soviet Film Distribution in America, 1940–1975 p. 9’, <i>History</i>, no. 36 (2009): 9.</div>
<div class="citation">Tsvetkova, Natalia [Наталья Цветкова] et al., ‘Americanisation Versus Sovietisation: Film Exchanges Between the United States and the Soviet Union, 1948–1950’, <i>Cogent Arts &amp; Humanities</i> 5, no. 1 (2018): 1–17, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2018.1471771">https://doi.org/10.1080/23311983.2018.1471771</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref108" name="_edn108"><sup>108</sup></a> Context for claim X218</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Hollywood depicts the Red Army as a primitive horde despite the USSR producing 30 million small arms. This myth transforms Soviet tactical superiority into Asiatic barbarism, erasing scientific victory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The 2001 film <i>Enemy at the Gates</i> depicts Soviet soldiers sharing rifles, contradicting documented Soviet production of nearly 20 million small arms during WWII.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Valerʹevich Isaev, Alekseĭ [Алексей Валерьевич Исаев], ‘Stalingrad: City on Fire’, in <i>Stalingrad: City on Fire</i> (Barnsley: Pen &amp; Sword Military, 2019), 25, 165–166.</div>
<div class="citation">‘The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook’, in <i>The Great Patriotic War: The Anniversary Statistical Handbook</i>, ed. P. V. Malkov (Moscow: Federal State Statistics Service, 2020), 67, 253.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref109" name="_edn109"><sup>109</sup></a> Context for claim N026</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>After executing some war criminals at Nuremberg, the West erected monuments to others. Physical memorialisation of fascists in countries that supposedly defeated fascism reveals priorities.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">An investigation documented 1,500 monuments honouring Nazi collaborators across 25 countries – 110 more than in Germany and Austria combined – and 36 in the US.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Lev Golinkin, ‘Nazi Monuments Around the World’, <i>The Forward</i>, 27 January 2021, <a href="https://forward.com/news/462648/how-many-monuments-honor-fascists-nazis-and-murderers-of-jews-youll-be/">https://forward.com/news/462648/how-many-monuments-honor-fascists-nazis-and-murderers-of-jews-youll-be/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Marco Fernandes, ‘Nobody Is Forgotten, Nothing Is Forgotten: The 80th Anniversary of a Victory Still Contested’, <i>Peoples Dispatch</i>, 21 May 2025, <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/05/21/nobody-is-forgotten-nothing-is-forgotten-the-80th-anniversary-of-a-victory-still-contested/">https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/05/21/nobody-is-forgotten-nothing-is-forgotten-the-80th-anniversary-of-a-victory-still-contested/</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref110" name="_edn110"><sup>110</sup></a> Context for claim N021</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>ITT President Sosthenes Behn met Hitler on 3 August 1933. ITT held 29% of Focke-Wulf aircraft manufacturer through 1943. The US government paid ITT $27 million in compensation for Allied bombing of its Nazi factories.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">ITT maintained 29% ownership of Focke-Wulf aircraft manufacturer until 1943, then received $27 million in US government compensation for Allied bomb damage to its Nazi facilities.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Anthony Sampson, <i>The Sovereign State of ITT</i> (Connecticut: Fawcett Publications, Inc., 1974), 45.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref111" name="_edn111"><sup>111</sup></a> Context for claim X115</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>US denazification was reversed within six years – war criminals whose slave labour built the Wehrmacht arsenal that was used to massacre millions walked free and had their fortunes restored. The pattern: prosecute between 1945 and 1948, release between 1949 and 1951, enrich for Cold War.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Alfred Krupp, convicted in 1948 for using over 100,000 slave labourers, was pardoned on 31 January 1951 by US High Commissioner McCloy; Krupp’s entire industrial empire was restored.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Jack Raymond, ‘21 Nazi Criminals Saved From Death; McCloy, Gen. Handy Commute Sentences as Clemency – 7 to Die – Krupp to Go Free’, Archives, <i>The New York Times</i>, 1 February 1951, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1951/02/01/archives/21-nazi-criminals-saved-from-death-mccloy-gen-handy-commute.html">https://www.nytimes.com/1951/02/01/archives/21-nazi-criminals-saved-from-death-mccloy-gen-handy-commute.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref112" name="_edn112"><sup>112</sup></a> Context for claim X116</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Quandt family – concentration camp profiteers – became BMW billionaires. Günther Quandt used slave labour from Mauthausen and took over Jewish firms. Today, they are Germany’s richest family. Never prosecuted.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Quandt family acquired Jewish businesses through ‘Aryanisation’, used slave labourers from Mauthausen and other camps in battery factories, now control 42.7% of BMW.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Rüdiger Jungbluth, <i>The Quandts: Their Quiet Rise to Germany’s Most Powerful Economic Dynasty</i> [Die Quandts: Ihr Leiser Aufstieg zur mächtigsten Wirtschaftsdynastie Deutschlands] (Cologne: Bastei Lübbe, 2004), 190–191.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref113" name="_edn113"><sup>113</sup></a> Context for claim X117</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Hermann Abs financed the construction of Auschwitz through Deutsche Bank and served on the IG Farben board during the Holocaust. Post-war he was advisor to chancellors and named an architect of Germany’s ‘economic miracle’ – he was never tried.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Hermann Abs, Deutsche Bank board member who arranged Auschwitz financing and served on over 40 Nazi corporate boards, became Adenauer’s chief financial advisor (1949–1966).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Robert S. Wistrich, <i>Who’s Who in Nazi Germany</i> (London: Routledge, 2001), 2–3.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref114" name="_edn114"><sup>114</sup></a> Context for claim X118</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Porsche designed Hitler’s ‘people’s car’ using slave labour. The KdF-Wagen factory was built by Italian POWs and operated with Eastern European slaves. Post-war it became Volkswagen; Porsche flourished.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Ferdinand Porsche used Buchenwald prisoners to produce the Ferdinand (then Elefant) tanks and V-1 flying bombs at the Volkswagen plant; he personally visited camps to select workers.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">David De Jong, <i>Nazi Billionaires: The Dark History of Germany’s Wealthiest Dynasties</i> (London: William Collins, 2022), 13, 140, 158–159, 175–176, 211.</div>
<div class="citation">Robert S. Wistrich, <i>Who’s Who in Nazi Germany</i> (London: Routledge, 2001), 193.</div>
<div class="citation">Thomas Anderson, <i>Ferdinand and Elefant Tank Destroyer</i> (London: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 2015), 15, 18–19, 171, 208.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref115" name="_edn115"><sup>115</sup></a> Context for claim X147</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US recruited over 1,600 Nazi scientists, including SS members who used slave labour. Under Operation Paperclip war criminals got laboratories, concentration camp survivors got displaced-persons camps.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Operation Paperclip (1945–1959) brought over 1,500 Nazi scientists to the US – including Werner von Braun, SS major who used Dora camp slave labour and would later develop the Saturn V rocket.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">US National Archives and Records Administration, ‘Records of the Secretary of Defense (RG 330)’, National Archives, 11 October 2016, <a href="https://www.archives.gov/iwg/declassified-records/rg-330-defense-secretary">https://www.archives.gov/iwg/declassified-records/rg-330-defense-secretary</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref116" name="_edn116"><sup>116</sup></a> Context for claim X124</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Allied powers executed 920 Japanese and 500 German war criminals yet protected entire Japanese command structures. Unit 731 received immunity; German doctors were executed. Racial calculus determined justice.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Allied tribunals executed 920 Japanese war criminals (mostly lower ranks) and approximately 500 Germans while granting immunity to Unit 731 and Emperor Hirohito.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Caroline Sharples, ‘What Do You Do with a Dead Nazi? Allied Policy on the Execution and Disposal of War Criminals, 1945–55’, in <i>Transforming Occupation in the Western Zones of Germany: Politics, Everyday Life and Social Interactions, 1945–55</i>, ed. Camilo Erlichmann and Christopher Knowles (London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2018), <a href="https://pure.roehampton.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/what-do-you-do-with-a-dead-nazi-allied-policy-on-the-execution-an">https://pure.roehampton.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/what-do-you-do-with-a-dead-nazi-allied-policy-on-the-execution-an</a>, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">Philip R. Piccigallo, <i>The Japanese on Trial: Allied War Crimes Operations in the East, 1945–1951</i> (Austin: University of Texas Press, 2021), xi, 265.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref117" name="_edn117"><sup>117</sup></a> Context for claim N028</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Germany was forced to investigate 90,000 individuals, establish domestic courts, and continue prosecutions to this day. In Japan, the US ended prosecutions in 1949. Japanese domestic investigations: zero. Prosecutions: zero.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">A 1949 US State-War-Navy Coordinating Committee memorandum stated: ‘No further trials should be initiated’. Total Japanese prosecuted: 5,700. Germans prosecuted: over 90,000.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Assistant Secretary of State for Occupied Areas (Saltzman) to the United States Member of the Far Eastern Commission (McCoy), <i>Memorandum Trial of Japanese War Criminals</i> (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1976), <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1949v07p2/d8">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1949v07p2/d8</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">John W. Dower, <i>Embracing Defeat: Japan in the Wake of World War II</i> (New York: Norton New Press, 1999), 447.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref118" name="_edn118"><sup>118</sup></a> Context for claim X070</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Unit 731 referred to prisoners as </i>maruta<i> (logs) and carried out vivisection without anaesthesia, froze limbs solid, and deliberately infected prisoners with plague. Over 3,000 were murdered in experiments and over 200,000 by biological weapons. The US granted them immunity.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Unit 731 personnel called their human experiment subjects maruta, conducting vivisection without anaesthesia on over 3,000 victims, primarily Chinese.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Nie, Jingbao [聂精保] et al., ‘Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics’, in <i>Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics</i> (London: Routledge, 2010), 33–108.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref119" name="_edn119"><sup>119</sup></a> Context for claim N027</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Unlike denazification in Germany, where the state apparatus was dismantled and rebuilt, the US strategically preserved Japan’s governmental and military structures. The same personnel who conducted the war managed occupation as anti-communist allies.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">MacArthur granted immunity to Emperor Hirohito and all 3,607 Unit 731 members who killed 3,000 in experiments and over 200,000 through biological weapons.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Douglas MacArthur, ‘Telegram General of the Army Douglas MacArthur to the Chief of Staff, United States Army (Eisenhower)’, in <i>Foreign Relations of the United States, 1946, The Far East</i>, vol. 8 (Washington: US Government Printing Office, 1971), <a href="https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1946v08/d308">https://history.state.gov/historicaldocuments/frus1946v08/d308</a>, 396–397.</div>
<div class="citation">Tanaka, Toshiyuki [田中利幸], ‘Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II’, in <i>Hidden Horrors: Japanese War Crimes in World War II</i>, 2nd edn (Lanham: Rowman &amp; Littlefield, 2018), 174.</div>
<div class="endnote-line context-header">Context for claim X071</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>MacArthur granted immunity to 3,607 Unit 731 members who murdered over 3,000 in experiments and over 200,000 with bioweapons – and paid 150,000 yen ($556) for the data. Value of Chinese lives to the US: $0.19 each.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The US granted immunity to all 3,607 Unit 731 members in exchange for biological warfare data, paying 150,000–200,000 yen for research from human experiments.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Nie, Jingbao [聂精保] et al., ‘Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics’, in <i>Japan’s Wartime Medical Atrocities. Comparative Inquiries in Science, History, and Ethics</i> (London: Routledge, 2010), 33.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref120" name="_edn120"><sup>120</sup></a> Context for claim N029</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>By 1948, the US had decided to enlist war criminals to run Japan and turn the country into a weapon against the rising socialist forces in China and across Asia.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Kishi enslaved 4 million Chinese in Manchukuo (40% mortality), was released from Sugamo Prison on 24 December 1948, and became prime minister in 1957 with CIA support.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Driscoll, <i>Absolute Erotic, Absolute Grotesque: The Living, Dead, and Undead in Japan’s Imperialism 1895–1945</i> (Durham: Duke University Press, 2010), 289.</div>
<div class="citation">Tokumoto, Eiichiro [徳本栄一郎], ‘Boiling Point’, <i>Number 1 Shimbun</i>, August 2023, <a href="https://www.fccj.or.jp/number-1-shimbun-article/boiling-point">https://www.fccj.or.jp/number-1-shimbun-article/boiling-point</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref121" name="_edn121"><sup>121</sup></a> Context for claim N016</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Japan killed 24 million Chinese, 3.4 million Indonesians, 1.5 million Vietnamese. Fifty years later, one prime minister apologised. Subsequent leaders visit Yasukuni Shrine honouring war criminals.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Prime Minister Murayama stated on 15 August 1995: Japan ‘caused tremendous damage and suffering to the people of many countries, particularly to those of Asian nations’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Murayama, Tomiichi [村山富市], ‘Statement by Prime Minister Tomiichi Murayama “On the Occasion of the 50th Anniversary of the War’s End”’, Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan, 15 August 1995, <a href="https://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/press/pm/murayama/9508.html">https://www.mofa.go.jp/announce/press/pm/murayama/9508.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref122" name="_edn122"><sup>122</sup></a> Context for claim X128</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Cairo Declaration promised Korea would be ‘free and independent’. The reality: two US colonels divided the country with a map, it was occupied by the US and USSR and then destroyed in a war that killed 20% of the population.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Cairo Declaration (1 December 1943): Roosevelt, Churchill, and Chiang stated that ‘in due course Korea shall become free and independent’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Stephen Early, ‘Cairo Communiqué’, National Diet Library, 1 December 1943, <a href="https://www.ndl.go.jp/constitution/e/shiryo/01/002_46/002_46tx.html">https://www.ndl.go.jp/constitution/e/shiryo/01/002_46/002_46tx.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref123" name="_edn123"><sup>123</sup></a> Context for claim X129</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Atlantic Charter Article 2 promised ‘no territorial changes that do not accord with the freely expressed wishes of the peoples concerned’. Yet colonial boundaries would be redrawn without consultation. Article 3 of the Atlantic Charter promised the ‘right of all peoples to choose their government’. In September 1941, Churchill clarified: whites only. Colonies mobilised for freedom they would never receive.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Article 2 of the Atlantic Charter (14 August 1941) declared: ‘no territorial changes that do not accord with the freely expressed wishes of the peoples concerned’.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Franklin D. Roosevelt and Winston S. Churchill, ‘The Atlantic Charter’, 14 August 1941, Franklin D. Roosevelt Presidential Library and Museum.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref124" name="_edn124"><sup>124</sup></a> Context for claim N030</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The Atlantic Charter promised self-determination (August 1941). The African colonies mobilised, expecting freedom. Churchill clarified in September 1941 that the charter applied only to Europe under Nazi rule, not to the British Empire.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Churchill declared in Parliament on 9 September 1941 that the Atlantic Charter applied only to ‘states and nations of Europe now under the Nazi yoke’, explicitly excluding the subjects of the British Empire.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Alawad Sikainga, Ahmad [أحمد العوض سيكانغا], ‘Sudanese Popular Response to World War II’, in <i>Africa and World War II</i> (New York: Cambridge University Press, 2015), 475.</div>
<div class="citation">Winston S. Churchill, ‘War Situation’, House of Commons Debate, 9 September 1941, cc67–156, Vol. 374, <a href="https://api.parliament.uk/historic-hansard/commons/1941/sep/09/war-situation">https://api.parliament.uk/historic-hansard/commons/1941/sep/09/war-situation</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref125" name="_edn125"><sup>125</sup></a> Context for claim X121</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Two US colonels divided Korea in 30 minutes using a </i>National Geographic<i> map – no Korean was consulted. Dean Rusk later admitted a ‘dangerous shortage of knowledge’. The result: 4–5 million dead, a nation destroyed.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Colonels Dean Rusk and Charles Bonesteel selected the 38th parallel dividing Korea on 10–11 August 1945 – after taking 30 minutes to decide – using a National Geographic map.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bruce Cumings, <i>The Korean War: A History</i> (New York: Random House Publishing Group, 2010), 100–211.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref126" name="_edn126"><sup>126</sup></a> Context for claim X213</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US maintains history’s largest foreign base network – 902 installations across 98 countries and territories. This permanent occupation – not defence – infrastructure defines modern imperialism’s military architecture.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The United States maintains at least 902 foreign military bases across 98 countries and territories, with major concentrations surrounding China and Russia.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage’, in <i>Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage</i>, ed. Gisela Cernadas et al. (Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, 2024), 22–23.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref127" name="_edn127"><sup>127</sup></a> Context for claim X214</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Okinawa bears 70% of US forces in Japan on 0.6% of Japanese territory – a continuing colonial occupation. This concentration proves the ‘alliance’ masks the subjugation of a strategic territory.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US military bases occupy 18% of Okinawa’s land area while hosting 70% of all US forces stationed throughout Japan.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Taira, Yoshitoshi [平良好利], <i>Okinawa’s Inconvenient Truths</i> (The Tokyo Foundation, 2015), <a href="https://www.tokyofoundation.org/research/detail.php?id=617">https://www.tokyofoundation.org/research/detail.php?id=617</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Okinawa’s Peace Movement Struggles as Military Presence on the Islands Grows’, <i>All Things Considered</i>, directed by Anthony Kuhn, NPR, 9 April 2024, <a href="https://www.npr.org/2024/04/09/1243752613/okinawas-peace-movement-struggles-as-military-presence-on-the-islands-grows">https://www.npr.org/2024/04/09/1243752613/okinawas-peace-movement-struggles-as-military-presence-on-the-islands-grows</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref128" name="_edn128"><sup>128</sup></a> Context for claim X112</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US invited 52 nations for the signing of the Treaty of San Francisco (8 September 1951) but excluded China (24 million dead from the war); the Soviet Union refused to sign. The purpose: transform Japan from defeated enemy to anti-communist military base.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Treaty of San Francisco (8 September 1951): the People’s Republic of China excluded despite 24 million casualties; the Soviet Union attended but refused to sign.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">National Guardian, ‘US Jams “Treaty” through; Gromyko Calls It War Threat’, <i>National Guardian</i>, 12 September 1951, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">Treaty of Peace with Japan (with Two Declarations), Signed at San Francisco, on 8 September 1951, in United Nations Treaty Series, Vol. 136, No. 1832, 46 (1951), <a href="https://treaties.un.org/doc/publication/unts/volume%20136/volume-136-i-1832-english.pdf">https://treaties.un.org/doc/publication/unts/volume%20136/volume-136-i-1832-english.pdf</a>, 46–140.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref129" name="_edn129"><sup>129</sup></a> Context for claim X148</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The USSR refused to sign the Treaty of San Francisco. Gromyko warned that it excluded China – despite 24 million dead – and would turn Japan into a US military base. Prediction proven: 80 years later, 54,000 US troops remain in Japan.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Andrei Gromyko at San Francisco (4 September 1951): treaty makes Japan ‘American military base’, excluding China – ‘one of the main victims’ – invalidates agreement.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">National Guardian, ‘US Jams “Treaty” through; Gromyko Calls It War Threat’, <i>National Guardian</i>, 12 September 1951, 1.</div>
<div class="citation">The New York Times, ‘Text of Gromyko’s Statement on the Peace Treaty’, Archives, <i>The New York Times</i>, 9 September 1951, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1951/09/09/archives/text-of-gromykos-statement-on-the-peace-treaty-contrast-with-other.html">https://www.nytimes.com/1951/09/09/archives/text-of-gromykos-statement-on-the-peace-treaty-contrast-with-other.html</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref130" name="_edn130"><sup>130</sup></a> Context for claim X113</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>Indonesia 1965: a military coup backed by the CIA; the US Embassy and the Australian government provided death lists of 5,000 Communists to the army. The result: 1–2 million murdered. The method: village-by-village extermination using US lists.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Indonesian military killed 1–2 million suspected communists in 1965–1966 using lists of 5,000 Communist Party of Indonesia members provided by the US Embassy in Jakarta and the Australian government.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Brad Simpson, ‘US Embassy Tracked Indonesia Mass Murder 1965’, National Security Archive, 17 October 2017, <a href="https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017%E2%80%9310-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files">https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017–10-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Human Rights Watch, ‘Indonesia: US Documents Released on 1965–66 Massacres’, Human Rights Watch, 18 October 2017, <a href="https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/10/18/indonesia-us-documents-released-1965%E2%80%9366-massacres">https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/10/18/indonesia-us-documents-released-1965–66-massacres</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">Robert B. Cribb, ‘Unresolved Problems Indonesian Killings of 1965–1966’, <i>Asian Survey</i> 42, no. 4 (2002): 557–59, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2002.42.4.550">https://doi.org/10.1525/as.2002.42.4.550</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref131" name="_edn131"><sup>131</sup></a> Context for claim X149</div>
<div class="claim-content context-content"><i>The US-led military bloc spends over $1.5 trillion annually – 75% of the global total. NATO alone outspends China 4:1 – not defence but an architecture of dominance. Same formula since 1945: overwhelm via dollar supremacy.</i></div>
<div class="endnote-line verifiable-claim">Verifiable claim</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US and allied military blocs (NATO, AUKUS, Quad, bilateral treaties) account for over 75% of global military spending; the US alone comprises 39% at $877 billion.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Cernadas, Gisela and John Bellamy Foster, ‘Actual US Military Spending Reached $1.537 Trillion in 2022—More than Twice Acknowledged Level: New Estimates Based on U.S. National Accounts’, <i>Monthly Review</i> 75, no. 6 (2023), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/articles/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1%E2%80%9353-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/">https://monthlyreview.org/articles/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1–53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">‘Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage’, in <i>Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage</i>, ed. Gisela Cernadas et al. (Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, 2024), 16.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref132" name="_edn132"><sup>132</sup></a> Verifiable claim D001</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The 1941 world GDP total of $4,759 billion was calculated using Maddison’s 1940 base of $4,547 billion with a 4.6% weighted growth rate.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Maddison Database 2010 | Releases | Groningen Growth and Development Centre | University of Groningen’, accessed 1 September 2025, <a href="https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010">https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref133" name="_edn133"><sup>133</sup></a> Verifiable claim D003</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The primary source for GDP, military spending, and troops count is Mark Harrison, <i>The Economics of World War II</i> (1998).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Mark Harrison, <i>The Economics of World War II: Six Great Powers in International Comparison</i> (Cambridge University Press, 1998), 10, 14, 21, 101.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref134" name="_edn134"><sup>134</sup></a> Verifiable claim D002</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">USSR population data for 1941 (195.4 million) and 1946 (170.6 million) are from Statista; values for 1942–1945 are derived through linear interpolation.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">‘Population of the Soviet Union 1941 and 1946’, Statista, 31 December 2015, <a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/1260605/soviet-population-changes-wwii-gender-age/?srsltid=AfmBOoq1eA8m43U8D4YjIahdJvpxnzGjd6I3v6Oq63HCkC63yC46Y1qr">https://www.statista.com/statistics/1260605/soviet-population-changes-wwii-gender-age/?srsltid=AfmBOoq1eA8m43U8D4YjIahdJvpxnzGjd6I3v6Oq63HCkC63yC46Y1qr</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref135" name="_edn135"><sup>135</sup></a> Verifiable claim D004</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Soviet Union suffered 27 million deaths – 13.8% of its 1940 population of 196 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Andreev, Evgeny M. [Андреев, Евгений М.] et al., ‘Population of the Soviet Union: 1922–1991 [Население Советского Союза: 1922–1991]’, in <i>Population of the Soviet Union: 1922–1991</i> [Население Советского Союза: 1922–1991], with Institute of National Economic Forecasting [Институт народнохозяйственного прогнозирования] (Moscow: Science [Наука], 1993), 78.</div>
<div class="citation">Michael Haynes, ‘Counting Soviet Deaths in the Great Patriotic War: A Note’, <i>Europe-Asia Studies</i> 55, no. 2 (2003): 303–9, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1080/0966813032000055895">https://doi.org/10.1080/0966813032000055895</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref136" name="_edn136"><sup>136</sup></a> Verifiable claim D005</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">China’s total documented deaths in 1931–1945 were 24,050,000, comprising 20.6 million direct deaths, 3 million from war-induced famine, and 450,000 from 1931–1937 (author estimate).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bian, Xiuyue [卞修跃], ‘抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945) [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)]’, in <i>抗日战争时期中国人口损失问题研究 (1937–1945)</i> [Research on China’s Population Losses During the War of Resistance Against Japan (1937–1945)] (Beijing: Hualing Publishing House [华龄出版社], 2012), 402, 405.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref137" name="_edn137"><sup>137</sup></a> Verifiable claim D006</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">India’s WWII deaths include about 3 million from the Bengal Famine and about 87,000 military deaths. We use 3 million deaths as the consolidated number.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Amartya Sen, ‘Starvation and Exchange Entitlements: A General Approach and Its Application to the Great Bengal Famine’, <i>Cambridge Journal of Economics</i> 1, no. 1 (1977): 36, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349">https://doi.org/10.1093/oxfordjournals.cje.a035349</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">The National WWII Museum New Orleans, ‘Research Starters: Worldwide Deaths in World War II’, accessed 29 September 2025, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref138" name="_edn138"><sup>138</sup></a> Verifiable claim D009</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Dutch East Indies lost 3.4 million people (4.7% of the population), with 1.8 million excess deaths in Java alone between 1944 and 1945.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Pierre van der Eng, ‘Missing Millions: Java’s 1944–45 Famine in Indonesia’s Historiography’, <i>Modern Asian Studies</i> 58, no. 2 (2024): 12.</div>
<div class="citation">Pierre van der Eng, ‘Mortality from the 1944–1945 Famine in Java, Indonesia’, <i>Asia-Pacific Economic History Review</i>, 5 February 2024, 205.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref139" name="_edn139"><sup>139</sup></a> Verifiable claim D010</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">French Indochina suffered 1.5 million deaths (6.5% of a population of 23 million).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Kent G. Budge, ‘French Indochina’, in <i>The Pacific War Online Encyclopedia</i>, 2014, <a href="http://www.pwencycl.kgbudge.com/F/r/French_Indochina.htm">http://www.pwencycl.kgbudge.com/F/r/French_Indochina.htm</a>.</div>
<div class="citation">The National WWII Museum New Orleans, ‘Research Starters: Worldwide Deaths in World War II’, accessed 29 September 2025, <a href="https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war">https://www.nationalww2museum.org/students-teachers/student-resources/research-starters/research-starters-worldwide-deaths-world-war</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref140" name="_edn140"><sup>140</sup></a> Verifiable claim D021</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The population for Korea as a whole in 1936 was 21.37 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, <i>Population of the Republic of Korea</i>, E/CN.11/1241, ESCAP Country Monograph Series (United Nations. Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific, 1975), 273.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref141" name="_edn141"><sup>141</sup></a> Verifiable claim D007</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">The Ethiopian government’s 1945 memorandum recorded 760,300 deaths during the Italian invasion and occupation (1935–1941).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Angelo Del Boca, <i>The Ethiopian War 1935–1941</i> (University of Chicago Press, 1969), 275.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref142" name="_edn142"><sup>142</sup></a> Verifiable claim D008</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Total African deaths in WWII are estimated at 1.6–2 million, with the conservative estimate of 1.6 million adopted for this analysis.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Joe Lunn, ‘Africans in World Wars I and II’, <i>Oxford Research Encyclopedia of African History</i>, ahead of print, March 2019, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190277734.013.42">https://doi.org/10.1093/acrefore/9780190277734.013.42</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref143" name="_edn143"><sup>143</sup></a> Verifiable claim D011</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">North Korea lost 1.5–2.5 million people (15.6–26% of the pre-war population).</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Jon Halliday and Bruce Cumings, <i>Korea: The Unknown War</i> (New York: Pantheon, 1988), 200.</div>
<div class="citation">Shin, Eui Hang [신의항], ‘Effects of the Korean War on Social Structures of the Republic of Korea’, <i>International Journal of Korean Studies</i>, Spring/Summer 2001, 134.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref144" name="_edn144"><sup>144</sup></a> Verifiable claim D013</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Vietnamese government records document 3.1 million deaths during the war (1955–1975), with some demographic studies reaching 5.1 million.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Bộ, Quốc phòng, Viện Lịch sử Quân sự Việt Nam [Ministry of National Defence, Vietnam Military History Institute], ‘Lịch sử Kháng chiến Chống Mỹ, Cứu nước (1954–1975), Tập VIII: Toàn thắng [History of the Resistance War Against the Americans to Save the Nation (1954–1975), Vol. VIII: Total Victory]’, in <i>Lịch sử Kháng chiến Chống Mỹ, Cứu nước (1954–1975), Tập VIII: Toàn thắng</i> [History of the Resistance War Against the Americans to Save the Nation (1954–1975), Vol. VIII: Total Victory], VIII (Hanoi: Nhà xuất bản Chính trị Quốc gia [National Political Publishing House], 2008), 463.</div>
<div class="citation">Vietnam Veterans of America, ‘Vietnam War Statistics’, accessed 29 August 2025, <a href="https://www.vva310.org/vietnam-war-statistics#top">https://www.vva310.org/vietnam-war-statistics#top</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref145" name="_edn145"><sup>145</sup></a> Verifiable claim D022</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">US military deaths in Korea (1950–1953): 54,246.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">Carol Highsmith, ‘Inscription Noting the Death Toll for the US and Its United Nations Allies at the Korean War Veterans Memorial in Washington, D.C.’, Library of Congress Prints and Photographs Division Washington, D.C., 2006 1998, <a href="http://hdl.loc.gov/loc.pnp/highsm.14308">http://hdl.loc.gov/loc.pnp/highsm.14308</a>.</div>
</div>
<div class="note-block">
<div class="endnote-line context-header"><a class="endnote-number" href="#_ednref146" name="_edn146"><sup>146</sup></a> Verifiable claim D014</div>
<div class="claim-content verifiable-content">Total Lend-Lease aid to the British Empire was $30.26 billion, with distribution calculated using export proportions from table 25.</div>
<div class="sources-header">Sources:</div>
<div class="citation">United States Office for Emergency Management et al., <i>Twenty-First Report to Congress on Lend-Lease Operations, For the Period Ended September 30, 1945</i>, Congressional Report H. Doc. 382, 79th Cong., 2d Sess. (Washington, DC: US Government Printing Office, 1946), 14, 42–43, <a href="https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/report-congress-lend-lease-operations-9400/twenty-first-report-congress-lend-lease-operations-687771">https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/report-congress-lend-lease-operations-9400/twenty-first-report-congress-lend-lease-operations-687771</a>.</div>
</div>
</div>
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<p>Xu, Lan [徐蓝]. ‘百年巨变中的中国人民抗日战争暨世界反法西斯战争 [The Chinese People’s War of Resistance Against Japan and the World Anti-Fascist War in the Context of Unprecedented Changes in a Century]’. <em>Studies of the War of Resistance Against Japan </em>[抗日战争研究] 2025, no. 1 (2025). <a href="http://jds.cssn.cn/xscg/xslw/202505/t20250523_5875447.shtml">http://jds.cssn.cn/xscg/xslw/202505/t20250523_5875447.shtml</a>.</p>
<p>Xu, Ping [徐平]. ‘说说抗战时期八路军伙食 [Talking About the Eighth Route Army’s Rations During the War of Resistance]’. China Military Online [中国军网], 11 January 2024. <a href="http://www.81.cn/js_208592/jdt_208593/16279996.html">http://www.81.cn/js_208592/jdt_208593/16279996.html</a>.</p>
<p>Zaloga, Steve. <em>Bagration, 1944: The Destruction of Army Group Centre</em>. London: Osprey, 1996.</p>
<p>Zaloga, Steven J. <em>T-34/76 Medium Tank 1941–45</em>. Oxford: Osprey Publishing, 1994.</p>
<p>Zaloga, Steven J., and Peter Sarson. <em>KV-1 and 2 Heavy Tanks 1939–45</em>, 1st edition. London: Bloomsbury Publishing Plc, 1996.</p>
<p>Zhang, Weidong [张卫东]. ‘Speech by Ambassador Zhang Weidong at the Seminar in Commemoration of the 70th Anniversary of the Victory of the War of Resistance against Japanese Aggression of China and the World Anti-Fascist War’. 28 August 2015. <a href="https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html">https://www.mfa.gov.cn/eng/zy/jj/2015zt/jnkzsl70zn/202406/t20240606_11381447.html</a>.</p>
<p>Zhang, Yu. ‘From Beneath the Ground Rise Great Stories of Ingenuity and Defiance’. <em>China Daily</em>, 22 August 2025. <a href="https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html">https://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/202508/22/WS68a7b10ca310851ffdb4f6e6.html</a>.</p>
<p>Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇]. ‘全面抗战时期苏联和共产国际对中共的援助研究 [A Study of the Aid to the CPC from the Soviet Union and the Communist International During the Full-Scale War against Japanese Aggression]’. <em>CPC History Studies </em>[中共党史研究], no. 8 (2011).</p>
<p>Zhang, Zeyu [张泽宇]. ‘不可虚无苏联反法西斯的贡献 [The Soviet Union’s Contribution to the Anti-Fascist Struggle Cannot Be Negated]’. <em>Historical Review </em>[历史评论], no. 4 (2025).</p>
</div>
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		<title>Hyper-Imperialism: A Dangerous Decadent New Stage</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-on-contemporary-dilemmas-4-hyper-imperialism/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Jan 2024 08:00:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Friends in Defence of the United Nation Charter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BRICS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New World Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Palestine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shanghai Cooperation Organisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sovereignty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[five controls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global South]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Modernisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global North]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[militarism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US military spending]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[multilateralism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hyper-Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[declining West]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military spending]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=93334</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[As we commemorate eighty years since the people’s victory in the World Anti-Fascist War, we must remember who truly saved humanity – and honour their sacrifice with the truth.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="single-post--content--acknowledgments">
<p>Research for this document has been conducted collectively for over a year and has received contributions from many scholars and socialist practitioners. This document was compiled with data and charts provided by Global South Insights (GSI), with editing and coordination by Gisela Cernadas, Mikaela Nhondo Erskog, Tica Moreno, and Deborah Veneziale. The data and charts for Part IV of the document rely heavily on published research by economist John Ross.</p>
</div>
<h1>Introduction</h1>
<p>It has been a scant 30 years since the ‘end of history’ was declared by bourgeois ideologists in pantomimes of wish-fulfilment for sensing the inviolability of United States imperialism.<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> For peoples’ struggles and movements feeling the boot of imperialism on their necks, no such end was in sight.</p>
<p>In the face of violent repression, such as Brazil’s Carajás Massacre in 1996, the Landless Workers’ Movement led the reclamation of land for popular agrarian reform through occupation and production, challenging agribusiness behemoths, such as the US multinational Monsanto.<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> A ‘soldier who shook the continent’, Hugo Chávez won the popular vote in 1999, a sharp left turn that was followed by others in Latin America. This included a wave of mass mobilisation of millions of workers, peasants, Indigenous, women, and students that defeated the proposed US Free Trade Areas of the Americas in 2005, a direct challenge to nearly 200 years of the US Monroe Doctrine.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p>In 2002, Nigerian women gathered at the gates of Shell and Chevron to protest environmental destruction and exploitation in the Niger Delta. Haitians refused the centuries of humiliation in mass demonstrations following the US ousting of Jean-Bertrand Aristide and US occupation in 2004. Millions of Nepalese celebrated the toppling of the monarchy through armed resistance under the leadership of the communists in 2006. When fruit vendor Mohamed Bouazizi set himself on fire in 2010, the Tunisian people revolted against the neo-liberal system that had caused him to take such extreme measures.</p>
<p>In subsequent years, changes – sometimes small and imperceptible, at other times volatile and explosive – unfolded. These involved both popular movements and state actors, in some cases extremely powerful ones. The US was confronted by a rising economic powerhouse in China, growing economies in the Global South (which overtook the Global North’s GDP in PPP terms in 2007), years of domestic capital investment neglect, the financialisation of the economy, and the loss of manufacturing superiority.</p>
<p>The rise of the Tea Party in 2009 signalled internal fracturing of US domestic politics. Internationally, the US failed to achieve soft regime disruption in China and de-nuclearisation or regime change in Russia. After a temporary reduction in military spending with the end of the disastrous war on Iraq (2003–2011), the US shifted to the use and threat of military power as a central pillar of its response to these changes.</p>
<p>Hegemony is historically lost in three stages: production, finance, and military.<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> The United States has lost hegemony in production, though it still has some remaining areas of technological hegemony, including those related to the military. It is seeing its financial hegemony challenged, though still in the very early stages and revolving around the status of the US dollar. Even though the economic and political aspects of its decline might be accelerating, it still retains military power – creating a temptation for the US to attempt to overcome the consequences of its economic decline by military or military related means.</p>
<p>The US has defined China as its strategic competitor. The minimum programme of the US is the containment and economic diminishment of China, sufficient to guarantee the US’s own perpetual future economic hegemony.</p>
<p>From its own point of view, US capitalism is rational in its attempts to limit China’s rise. Failure to do so would erode the relative advantage the US has in controlling higher levels of productive forces and the resulting monopoly privileges that control entails. There is almost complete alignment amongst the US state actors to continue to manage decoupling from China (despite the near impossibility of fully re-modernising US productive forces domestically) and to advance military preparations against China.</p>
<p>The February 2022 movement of Russian troops into Ukraine – a result of the continued violations of US assurances on the non-expansion of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) and the continuing civil war between Kyiv and Donbas – marked an explicit new phase in world military alignment for the US. In a series of rapid-fire moves, the US openly subordinated all the Global North countries and, in so doing, further subordinated the military apparatus of those states. It established itself as the open military hegemon of what is euphemistically called NATO+, which includes all but three members of the former Eastern Bloc. Those who attended the 2023 NATO summit in Vilnius, Lithuania, as a member or observer – including Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and the Republic of Korea – are de facto members of NATO+. Only Israel (excused from attendance for political expediency) and a few smaller countries of the Global North did not attend.</p>
<p>Beginning in October 2023, Israel began a campaign of displacement, ethnic cleansing, collective punishment, and genocide of Palestinians with the full and shameless support of the United States government. The developments in Ukraine followed by the recent escalations in Gaza are significant markers reflecting that there has been a qualitative change within the imperialist system. The US has now completed its economic, political, and military subordination of all the other imperialist countries. This has consolidated an integrated, militarily focused imperialist bloc. It aims to maintain a grip on the Global South as a whole and has turned its attention to dominating Eurasia, the last area of the world that has escaped its control.</p>
<p>It is not a matter of exaggeration to say that the Global North has declared a state of open hostility and war on any section of the Global South that does not comply with the policies of the Global North. This is seen in the <a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_210549.htm">joint declaration</a> on EU-NATO Cooperation published on 9 January 2023:</p>
<blockquote><p>We will further mobilise the combined set of instruments at our disposal, <em>be they political, economic, or military</em>, to pursue our common objectives to the benefit of <em>our </em>one billion citizens.<a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>The Palestinian people in Gaza are certainly feeling the palpable barbarity of NATO+ and the forced ‘mass consensus’ of which the Global North is capable. As Palestinian liberation leader Leila Khaled put it recently:</p>
<blockquote><p>We know that they speak about terrorism, but they are the heroes of terrorism. The imperialist force everywhere in the world, in Iraq, in Syria, in different countries… are preparing to attack China. All of what they say about terrorism turns to be about them. People have the right to resist with all means to it, including the armed struggle. This is in the Charter of the United Nations. So, they are violating the rights of people for resistance because it’s their right to restore their freedom. And this is, and I say it always, a fundamental law: where there is repression, there is resistance. People will not live under occupation and repression. History taught us that when people resist, they can keep their dignity and their land.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p style="text-align: center;">***</p>
<p>Imperialism has begun its transformation to a new stage: Hyper-Imperialism.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a> This is imperialism conducted in an exaggerated and kinetic way, whilst also subject to the constraints that the declining empire has foisted on itself. The spasmodic quality of its exertion is felt by the millions of Congolese, Palestinians, Somalis, Syrians, and Yemeni living under US militarism, whose heads instinctively jerk for cover at sudden sounds.</p>
<p>Yet, this is not the full-blooded march across the globe that the Cold War initiated, fought in proxy battles that were followed by economic imperialism through the World Bank and other development institutions. It is the imperialism of a drowning billionaire who firmly believes he ought to be back on his yacht. It flexes the muscles of power that are still strong – the military. However, absent productive power and knowing that financial power is at a tipping point, the full suite of imperial technologies of control that the US once had is no longer at its disposal. It, therefore, channels its efforts through the mechanisms it has most at hand: culture (the control of truth) and war.</p>
<p>The tactics of Hyper-Imperialism are shaped partly by the modernisation of hybrid warfare, which includes lawfare, hyper-sanctions, seizure of national reserves and assets, and other manners of non-military warfare. New technological tools of surveillance and targeted communication characterising the digital age are deployed to wage imperialist control of the battle of ideas. This has involved implementing more perverse and covert methods against the truth, such as the political imprisonment of WikiLeaks’ publisher Julian Assange, who exposed numerous crimes against the Global South.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>The Global North is an integrated military, political, and economic bloc composed of 49 countries. These include the US, the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Japan, and secondary Western and Eastern European countries. In the military arena, Turkey (as a NATO member), the Republic of Korea and the Philippines (de facto militarised colonies of the US) are included in our definition of the ‘US-led Military Bloc’, even though they are part of the Global South.</p>
<p>Over the last twenty years, the Global North has endured a significant <em>relative</em> economic decline, along with a political, social, and moral decline. Its false ‘moral’ claims of civil rights and ‘press freedom’ are now complete mockeries as they seek to make illegal the public (including online) support for Palestinian rights. This full-on support for the humiliation and destruction of the darker peoples of the world is reminiscent of past centuries, exposing what can be described as collective ‘white fragility’.</p>
<p>The Global South countries comprise former colonies and semi-colonies, a few non-European independent states, and current and former socialist projects. The struggles for national liberation, independence, development, and total economic and political sovereignty still need to be completed for most of the Global South.</p>
<p>Despite the limitations of the terminology, we will use the term ‘Global North’ and occasionally ‘the West’ (an often-used hollow phrase) interchangeably with the more accurate term of the ‘US-Led Imperialist Camp’. We will analyse the Global North in four ‘Rings’. The rest of the world is currently known as the ‘Global South’, much of it was previously called the ‘Third World’. We will analyse the Global South in six ‘Groupings’ that are determined by the relative degree to which a country is a target of regime change and the role its government plays in publicly advancing international, anti-imperialist stances (both in Figure 1). The Global North is engaged in much higher levels of generalised conflict with the rest of the world, the Global South.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93649 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-1-e1705410945522.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-1.png"></p>
</div>
<h1>PART I: The Rise of a Complete US-Led Global North Military Bloc</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Shifts and Consolidation</h2>
<p>The US-Led Military Bloc has had two internal changes in the last three decades:</p>
<ol>
<li>The further expansion of the bloc to include all Eastern Europe countries (only missing Belarus).</li>
<li>The challenge to retain the full subordination of the Western European capitalist states, which abandoned any fundamental, and in many cases even the pretence of, independence.</li>
</ol>
<p>The latter became evident in 2018 by the Western European states’ genuflection to Donald Trump’s withdrawal from the 2015 Iran Nuclear Deal – a significant blow to their economic interests. Further down, we will discuss the history of this process.<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a></p>
<p>The centre of the ‘US-Led Military Bloc’, as we call it, is NATO. It also includes Japan, Australia, Israel, New Zealand, three Global South countries, and the few other European countries who are not NATO members.</p>
<p>The US-Led Military Bloc is the world’s only bloc, a de facto and de jure military alliance with a central command. There is no other bloc of its kind. Its clarity and unity of purpose are sharply evident. The US has abandoned many important anti-nuclear proliferation treaties over the last ten years (Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty in 2002, Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty in 2019, and Open Skies Treaty in 2020).<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a> This has allowed military planners to potentially prepare for the placement of intermediate-range nuclear missiles capable of obliterating Moscow in minutes.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Military Spending</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93659 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-2-e1705410995383.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-2.png"></p>
</div>
<p>In the November 2023 issue of <em>Monthly Review</em>, a well-researched paper by Gisela Cernadas and John Bellamy Foster, using <em>only</em> US official economic statistics from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and Office of Management and Budget (OMB), revealed that the actual US economic military spending is over<em> twice</em> that acknowledged by the US government or even the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI).<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a></p>
<p><em>The actual 2022 US military expenditure was US$ 1,537 billion.</em><a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a></p>
<p>To calculate the world total military expenditure, we have selected SIPRI’s published numbers as our primary source for all countries, except for the US.<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a> For the US alone, we use the figures from <em>Monthly Review</em>. In 2022, SIPRI adjusted the Chinese government reported national defence budget number of $229 billion to $292 billion, a 27.5% increase.<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> Starting in 2021, SIPRI began a new methodology for revising China’s military spending.<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> SIPRI changed their calculations for China’s military spending both for previous years and current years.<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a></p>
<p>SIPRI adjusted the US annual military budget reported by the OMB for the year 2022 by 14.5% up from US$ 765.8 to 876.9 billion.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> This was about half of the percentage increase added to China.</p>
<p>SIPRI’s treatment of China’s military spending is quite different from how it deals with the US, as it adopts a much more circumspect approach to US calculations.</p>
<p>Even if SIPRI doubled the military spending reported by China itself to US$ 458 billion, it would represent 2.6% of its GDP. This is significantly below the actual 6% spent by the US and, even then, China’s military spending would be only 29.8% of that of the US, with a population over four times greater than the US .<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a></p>
<p>Additionally, unlike the US, China does not have 902 overseas foreign bases.<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a> US bases and interventions create a drain not only on the annual budget but also on long-term economic debt. Additional details can be found in the endnote.<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a></p>
<p>What emerged from our analysis was a series of clear findings. The first is that the US controls, through NATO and other means, an astounding 74.3% of all military spending worldwide (Figure 2). This amounts to over US$ 2 trillion.<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93669 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-3-e1705411052617.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-3.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 3 shows that imperialist countries account for 12 of the top 16 military budgets in the world.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93679 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-4-e1705411128514.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-4.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 4 shows the 16 highest military per capita spending by Global North countries versus the three largest Global South military spenders. The United States spends 21 times more on its military per person than China does on its military.<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a> There can be no doubt as to the significance of these findings.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 5</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Countries with military spending exceeding 20 billion USD</h3>
<p>Global North and Global South, 2022</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country Name (GSI)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military Spending<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">US Dollars (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Percentage of<br>
GDP (CER)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Per Capita<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">&gt;world avg. (times)</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th colspan="4">
<div>US-Led Military Bloc</div>
</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,536,859</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68,463</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">55,760</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53,639</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46,365</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45,992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ukraine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,998</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">27.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,490</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">32,299</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,896</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,406</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,307</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<th colspan="4">
<div>Global South</div>
</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">291,958</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,373</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">81,363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75,013</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,211</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on IMF, UN, SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 5 lists all countries that have military budgets exceeding US$ 20 billion, 11 of which are in the Global North compared to six (out of 145) countries in the Global South. For this chart, Republic of Korea is listed under the US-Led Military Bloc.</p>
<p>It is clear that the Global South, in contrast to the Global North, is not a bloc and certainly not a military bloc. The Global South thus faces the extreme monopoly of military spending by the US-Led Military Bloc. This represents a clear and present danger to all countries of the Global South; it presents an imminent danger to the continued existence of humankind and the planet.</p>
<p>In turn, the single most important aspect of state power – that is, military power – the absolute central danger to the working classes of <em>all</em> countries, especially to the darker nations of the world, lies in the US-Led Imperialist Camp. Objectively, there is no such thing as sub-imperialism or non-Western imperialist powers (such concepts are subjective deceptions that cloud over the factual realities).</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">US and UK Military Bases</h3>
<p>In March 2002, <em>Monthly Review</em> published an article with a list and map of countries with known US military bases, arguing that the extent of the US empire could be depicted by its bases.<a href="#_edn23" name="_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> This created a storm in some US military circles. Others have expanded on this work in subsequent years, including David Vine and World <em>Beyond</em> War (which has made an interactive map publicly available). <a href="#_edn24" name="_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a></p>
<p>The information about the location of these bases opened a window onto the absolutely pervasive nature of US military hegemony. The location and number of bases is valuable for understanding the shape and trajectory of imperialism by illuminating its frontiers and showing its role in policing them.</p>
<p>There are 902 known US military bases and 145 known UK military bases described below.<a href="#_edn25" name="_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a></p>
<p>Due to the secrecy of the US military and government, there is a lack of data on US military functions that occur inside these bases and the actions launched from US military forces located there. This makes a full qualitative analysis of US foreign military activities incomplete. Some of the analytical deficiencies include that:</p>
<ul>
<li>Listed bases exclude the facilities and locations of the many privatised military functions that the US has created over the last 40 years. Companies such as DynCorp International, Fluor Corporation, AECOM, and KBR, Inc. run operations worldwide, including in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia.<a href="#_edn26" name="_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a></li>
<li>They do not include ‘unofficial’ projects by the US military like the commandeering of Terminal 1 in Kotoka International Airport in Ghana’s capital city, in which US soldiers do not need passports or visas to enter (only their US military ID) and US military aircrafts are ‘free from boarding and inspection’.<a href="#_edn27" name="_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a> Terminal 1 is thus a de facto US military base. Ghana has ceded national sovereignty to the US.<a href="#_edn28" name="_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a></li>
<li>They exclude essential projects for the US military-industrial-digital communications complex. Many undersea cable terminus locations are controlled by US intelligence-cleared officials only. Control of the undersea cable communications of the world is one of the key US intelligence priorities.<a href="#_edn29" name="_ednref29"><sup>29 </sup></a>This is part of the NSA ‘Collect It All’ program to gather all communications of the world and store them in places like the Bluffdale Utah Data Centre (code-named ‘Bumblehive’), the first Intelligence Community Comprehensive National Cybersecurity Initiative data centre.<a href="#_edn30" name="_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a></li>
<li>They exclude secret military projects and locations (including host-nation facilities known as ‘lily pads’), although some have been exposed and included.<a href="#_edn31" name="_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a></li>
<li>There is little information regarding US military movements between locations, the nature of the activities carried out (such as troop movements or targeted assassinations), and the volume of goods, planes, and vessels.</li>
<li>Not all bases are equal in scale or function, assessing relative importance is near impossible. Sometimes a single building is classified as a base because it is discontiguous from other buildings a kilometre away. Some bases are massive and destructive to everything in their path – like the military facilities in Guam, destroying the natural environment and the lives of people living there. Others are known as small spy network installations.</li>
</ul>
<p>The result of these limitations is a tendency to report on what is measurable, not what is unknown but strategic.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93689 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-6-e1705411277591.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-6.png"></p>
</div>
<p>First, we provide a map using World <em>Beyond</em> War data that shows which countries have bases without showing the exact number in each country. This helps to reduce possible incorrect comparisons. The existence of even one US base within a country means that the country has already ceded some national sovereignty to the US. Second, for completeness, we include below two charts (one for the Global North and one for the Global South) that list countries with known bases as per World <em>Beyond</em> War.</p>
<p>Figure 6 shows the US has at least 902 foreign military bases. They are heavily concentrated in bordering regions or buffer zones around China and seriously undermine the sovereignty of Global South countries.<a href="#_edn32" name="_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 7</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">United States military bases in Global North countries and territories</h3>
<p>2023</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th style="width: 152px;">Number of bases</th>
<th style="width: 1231px;">Country/territory</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;" width="72">50+</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Germany (171), Japan (98)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;" width="123">20-49</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Italy (45), United Kingdom (25)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;">5-19</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Australia (17), Belgium (12), Portugal (9), Romania (9), Norway (8), Israel (7), Netherlands (7), Greece (5), Poland (5)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;">1-4</td>
<td style="width: 1231px;">Bulgaria (4), Iceland (3), Spain (3), Canada (2), Georgia (2), Hungary (2), Latvia (2), Slovakia (2), Cyprus (1), Denmark (1), Estonia (1), Greenland (1), Ireland (1), Kosovo (1), Luxembourg (1)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 152px;"><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="width: 1231px;"><strong>445</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>US foreign military bases not only exist in the Global South, but also have a significant presence in the Global North (Figure 7). More than two-thirds of known bases are concentrated in the two countries defeated in World War II: Germany and Japan.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 8</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">United States military bases in Global South countries and territories</h3>
<p>2023</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Number of bases</th>
<th>Country/Territory</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td class="xl67">50+</td>
<td>Rep. Korea (62)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>20-49</td>
<td>Guam (45), Puerto Rico (34), Syria (28), Saudi Arabia (21)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5-19</td>
<td>Panama (15), Turkey (12), Philippines (11), Bahrain (10), Iraq (10), Marshall Islands (10), Bahamas (9), Belize (9), Honduras (9), Niger (9), Guatemala (8), Jordan (8), Kuwait (8), Oman (8), Pakistan (8), Egypt (7), Colombia (6), El Salvador (6), Somalia (6), Northern Mariana Islands (5), Peru (5), Qatar (5)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1-4</td>
<td>Cameroon (4), Costa Rica (4), Virgin Islands (U.S.) (4), Argentina (3), Central African Republic (3), Chad (3), Kenya (3), Mauritania (3), Nicaragua (3), Palau (3), Thailand (3), United Arab Emirates (3), American Samoa (2), Brazil (2), Diego Garcia (2), Djibouti (2), Dominican Republic (2), Gabon (2), Ghana (2), Mali (2), Singapore (2), Suriname (2), Tunisia (2), Uganda (2), Yemen (2), Antarctica (1), Aruba (1), Ascension (1), Botswana (1), Burkina Faso (1), Burundi (1), Cambodia (1), Chile (1), Cuba (1), DR Congo (1), Indonesia (1), Netherlands Antilles (1), Samoa (1), Senegal (1), Seychelles (1), South Sudan (1), Uruguay (1), Wake Island (1)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td><strong>457</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 8 lists the locations of US foreign military bases in Global South countries and territories. The Republic of Korea hosts 62 permanent US military bases.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 9</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">United States foreign military structures</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">No. of buildings, building area, land area, and no. of bases</h4>
<p>2023</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country/territory</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Building Internal<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">m2</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Buildings<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">total number</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Area<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hectares</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military Bases<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">total number</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,339,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,079</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41,715</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">76</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,135,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,537</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,682</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">93</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,631,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,832</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,262</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,011,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,032</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,382,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,807</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,322</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,364,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,883</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,253</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">676,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,503</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,549</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">661,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">663</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">588,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,540</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,662</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">478,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">817</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,356</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">419,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">889</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,802</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Puerto Rico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">411,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">794</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,042</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">390,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">468</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">83</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">362,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">479</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">286,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">633</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">551</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greenland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">220,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">197</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">94,306</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">459</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">151,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">150</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">128,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">400</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,059</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">114,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">170</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">532</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">92,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">336</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">120</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">179</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">177</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">62,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">179</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">61,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">85</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Helena</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,402</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">83</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">93</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Virgin Islands (U.S.)</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,978</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cyprus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Curaçao</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Northern Mariana Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,499</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iceland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">425</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">91</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>35,548,000</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>48,712</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>240,533</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>468</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="5">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on the Dept. of Defense</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 9 shows the scale of the US military footprint: 36 million square metres in 49,000 buildings covering 245,000 hectares. Ranked by number of buildings, the three Axis powers are in the top four.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93699 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-10-e1705411404139.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-10.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Whilst the sun now happily sets without concern for the British Empire, Figure 10 shows how large the UK network of bases remains, with its focus on West Asia and Africa.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">US and UK Military Invasions, Interventions, and ‘Deployments’</h3>
<p>NATO countries conduct extensive military deployments and interventions worldwide, supported by their vast network of bases.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93709 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-11-e1705411470316.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-11.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figures 11 and 12 are for the year 2022 only. Imperialist forces deployed 317 military operations in Global South countries and 137 in Global North ally nations, totalling 454 (45 of which are not UN member states). The imperialist nations who carried out the highest number of military deployments include the US (56), the UK (32), France (31), Italy (20), Germany (17), Spain (15), Canada (13), and the Netherlands (13) (Figure 11).<a href="#_edn33" name="_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a></p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93719 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-12-e1705411531690.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-12.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 12 shows how Africa and West Asia remain the focal points of Western schemes, with the following five nations suffering the most military deployments in 2022 alone: Mali (31), Iraq (30), Lebanon (18), the Central African Republic (13), and South Sudan (13).<a href="#_edn34" name="_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>Looking at the geography of US and UK bases and Global North deployments, it is clear where the frontiers of US policing lie and how Eurasia and regions that buffer it are the battlegrounds of our time.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93729 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-13-e1705411600347.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-13.png"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93739 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-14-e1705411695821.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-14.png"></div>
<p>The US and its Global North allies, especially the UK, have had centuries of interventions as indicated in Figures 13 and 14. Since Congressional Research Services (CRS) is an official US government publication, it serves as a primary source of data on US military intervention. It is used to demonstrate the scale and historical <em>longue durée</em> of US military intervention. However, it must be noted that CRS does not include secret missions and does not aggregate its data to differentiate between various types of US Armed Forces’ overseas interventions. The data is not organised based on the qualitative and quantitative nature or scale of the instances. The listed instances (over 480) vary greatly in size, duration, legal authorisation, and significance.<a href="#_edn35" name="_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a></p>
<p>The Military Intervention Project (MIP) uses a more comprehensive definition of military intervention that encompasses ‘united instances of international conflict or potential conflict outside of normal peacetime activities in which the purposeful threat, display, or use of military force by official US government channels is explicitly directed toward the government, official representatives, official forces, property, or territory of another state actor’.<a href="#_edn36" name="_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> MIP has not published their database, so exact instances of all the military interventions they identify are not yet publicly available. As such, this report has only accessed summary data from the publication ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project’ (2023) and could not produce a map based on MIP.</p>
<p>As seen in Figure 13, as of June 2023, the acknowledged data from the US Congressional Research Service shows that the US Armed Forces have been deployed to 101 countries between 1798 and 2023.<a href="#_edn37" name="_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a> Figure 14 exposes the UK who has militarily invaded 170 countries and territories between 1169 and 2012.</p>
<p>According to MIP, between 1776 and 2019, the US carried out over 392 military interventions worldwide.<a href="#_edn38" name="_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a> Half of these operations were undertaken between 1950 and 2019, and 25% of them occurred in the post-Cold War period.<a href="#_edn39" name="_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a> The pace of US military interventions has clearly accelerated since 1991.</p>
<p>On International Working Women’s Day in 1950, Claudia Jones, a black communist and immigrant woman, addressed a rally of activists in the US. In different circumstances but with the same spirit, we share this report with the aim, to quote Jones, of ‘heightening [our] consciousness of the need for militant united-front campaigns around the burning demands of the day, against monopoly oppression, against war and fascism’.<a href="#_edn40" name="_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a></p>
<h1>PART II: Evolution of Imperialism</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The New Stage of Imperialism</h2>
<p>The US dollar monopoly and the switch from creditor to debtor nation that began in the 1970s, followed by the fall of the Soviet Union in 1991, ushered in a period where the United States attempted to create a self-crafted unipolar world order. Unipolarity could not be fully established because states – which the US called ‘rogue states’ – refused to submit to this new system.<a href="#_edn41" name="_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a></p>
<p>Over the past fifteen years, the project of US unipolarity has been greatly weakened. The period between the ‘great financial recession’ of 2008 and the February 2022 conflict between NATO and Russia has consolidated a quantitative and qualitative change in global imperialism.</p>
<p>A key historical question flowing from this has been the depth and consequences of inter-imperialist rivalries. This has deep strategic and political implications: will other imperialist powers break with the US on fundamental issues or subordinate their own interests to those of the US?</p>
<p>Today, the facts show these differences are no longer strategic. Imperialism has consolidated a new stage of existence best described as <strong>Hyper-Imperialism. </strong>Later, we explain why we chose this term.</p>
<p>Some of the features of this new stage include the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>China has emerged as the largest and most dynamic economy in the world. The growth of the Global South exceeds that of the Global North. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in Asia is significantly higher than in the G7 countries.</li>
<li>Despite its remaining economic strengths, the US is facing meagre growth and is declining relative to the rise of the Global South (with China’s growth being a major locomotive). This is evidenced by total GDP, industry, trade, infrastructure, and 5G communications. The US is making aggressive attempts to curtail China’s economic growth and its role in global initiatives such as BRICS10. The US is leading the world into increased protectionism.</li>
<li>The US has rapidly advanced hybrid warfare, including US sanctions (inflicted on more than one in four countries around the world).<a href="#_edn42" name="_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a> The US seizure of national reserves (from Russia, Venezuela, Iran, and Afghanistan) has been a rude awakening to many in the Global South.</li>
<li>The US has now set its sights on the domination of Eurasia, where the West faces Russia and China, two powerful countries with a combined strong economic, technological, military, energy, and food capacity. The complete demilitarisation of the long border between China and Russia and their announced ‘no limits’ partnership is a testament to both countries’ common interests in peace and security.</li>
<li>There is a clear and present danger that imperialism will continue its militarist path and rely on its military dominance to offset its growing relative economic and political decline. The political and military interests of the imperialists have now become paramount. Short-term economic losses are being taken. <a href="#_edn43" name="_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a> The interests of individual capitalists or groups are secondary.</li>
<li>US dollar hegemony, financialisation, and technological ability allow finance to move trillions of dollars in trades in milliseconds, which has changed the mechanics of capitalist accumulation and its ownership. European and Japanese capitalists invest their capital in the same structures as those of their US class brethren, albeit under the control of the latter.</li>
<li>The US enhanced its already vast ‘soft power’ infrastructure based on the rise of a new generation of advanced social media and video streaming, under the full control of US monopolies, all of whom are explicitly integrated into the US military industrial digital complex.</li>
<li>The contradictions between the imperialist countries are now non-antagonistic and secondary. Germany, Japan, France, and all other imperialist powers must subordinate their short-term and medium-term interests to the fundamental interests of the United States. Their work is coordinated in NATO+. Official policy documents state that their strategy on China is to de-risk. Yet, Germany’s Bundestag officials, for example, are leading the calls for the isolation of China, even though that entails a considerable loss of markets for ‘German’ manufacturers.<a href="#_edn44" name="_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a> There is also a simultaneous internal drive to re-militarise Germany.</li>
<li>New multilateral institutions and alternative development financing models emerging from the Global South are gaining momentum. This is evident by the breadth of support for the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) and the growing interest in joining BRICS, now BRICS10. Nearly 80% of UN member states participate in the BRI, comprising around 64% of the global population with their combined economies representing 52% of the world’s GDP (Purchasing Power Parity) in 2022.<a href="#_edn45" name="_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> BRICS10 countries now encompass 45.5% of the world population, with 35.6% of the share of the world GDP (PPP). In comparison, though the G7 states (Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States) account for merely 10% of the world population, their share of the global GDP (PPP) is 30.4%.<a href="#_edn46" name="_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a></li>
<li>The Global South is losing confidence in the US and Europe’s economic, political, and moral leadership. China, not the US, facilitated Saudi Arabia and Iran’s breakthrough diplomatic agreement. Russia and China now conduct most of the trade between the two countries in their own currencies. BRICS10 is setting up a working group to explore alternatives to the use of the US dollar, including international payment systems and a possible new reserve currency. On the vote for the UN resolution on a ceasefire in Gaza (A/ES-10/L.25), the Global North was outnumbered, with 14 votes against and 120 in favour.</li>
<li>For the first time in over 600 years, there is now a credible economic and political alternative to the domination of world affairs by the Europeans and their descendant white-settler colonial states. First, is the socialist grouping led by China. Second, are the growing aspirations for national sovereignty, economic modernisation, and multilateralism, emerging from the Global South.</li>
</ul>
<p>Given these shifts, leaders of the US political ruling class at the Centre for New American Security (CNAS) – the Washington-based think tank and the US government’s intellectual core – have defined US geo-strategy as the dual defeat of Russia and China, which would mean that the Global North would gain control of Eurasia. The size, share of natural resources, military power, geographic proximity, and independence from imperialist domination of China and Russia are the key factors in their respective global outlook and strategic partnership.</p>
<p>These objective factors are much more dominant than the ideological ones. The US wants to accomplish their unfinished mission of de-nuclearising Russia. There are maps hanging in Washington that have been drawn to show both countries broken up into small chunks, vassal states of the West, without independence and certainly without nuclear weapons.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93749 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-15-e1705411816711.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-15.png"></div>
<p>As pictured in Figure 15, China, Russia, the DPR Korea, and Iran are the four nuclear (or potentially nuclear) powers that are the centre of the frontline attack from imperialism. China and Russia are the top two targets, the former due to its economic strength and the latter due to its nuclear arsenal. Syria, Venezuela, Cuba, and Belarus are also immediate targets for regime change.</p>
<p>The world faces a very difficult and dangerous moment. Countries in the Global South are highly diverse and heterogeneous, do not form a bloc, and are not ideologically aligned. They certainly have no military alliances. Some – the Republic of Korea and the Philippines – have become enmeshed in the US military sphere.</p>
<p>What they do have is a shared history. They have suffered hundreds of years of colonial and semi-colonial abuse by the Global North. The whiter nations have spent the last fifty years trying to airbrush from history the terror they unleashed on the world’s darker peoples, including those who live within their own borders.</p>
<p>Western media revels in the vast differences within the Global South. The Group of 77 and the Non-Aligned Movement, despite being weaker, continue to exist. The developments stronger sense of shared identity amongst Global South countries cannot be easily dismissed. The demand for national sovereignty is deeply democratic. It remains a crux matter for improving the lives of the popular classes in the Global South and is also a necessary step towards socialism.</p>
<p>The First World War (WWI) ushered in the Russian Revolution (1917), followed by the creation of the Soviet Union, the world’s first fully functioning workers’ state and a wave of revolutionary national liberation struggles. The Second World War (WWII) ended with the creation of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (1948) and the People’s Republic of China (1949), which were followed by another wave of national liberation struggles that included important socialist victories, such as in Viet Nam (1954 and 1975) and Cuba (1959).</p>
<p>We are not living in a comparable period of revolutions today. Yet, there is a clear new mood and an awakening of the spirit to advance the incomplete national liberation projects that began in the two previous periods. The domination of the Western neo-colonial system is being questioned. We are witnessing ‘changes not seen in 100 years’ and entering a new period of history.</p>
<p>Summarily, we can say there are <strong>eight main contradictions</strong> evident in the world:<a href="#_edn47" name="_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a></p>
<ul>
<li>Moribund US-led imperialism vs. emergent China-led socialism.</li>
<li>Parasitic rent-seeking capital vs. societies’ requirements for environmentally sustainable development, industry, agriculture, and employment.</li>
<li>US-led imperialism vs. the urgent necessity for national sovereignty of the socialist and capitalist countries within the Global South.</li>
<li>The ruling classes of the Global North vs. the bourgeoisie of the capitalist countries in the Global South.</li>
<li>The white supremacist ruling class of the G7 (and the rest of the Global North) vs. the popular classes (workers, peasants, and lower petty bourgeoise) in the darker nations of the Global South.</li>
<li>The bourgeoisie and upper strata of the Global South capitalist countries vs. the popular classes of the Global South.</li>
<li>Western imperialism vs. the future of the planet and human life.</li>
<li>The internal contradiction between the Global North bourgeoisie vs. millions of the working class (poor and increasingly growing sections of the skilled and semi-skilled) in the Global North.</li>
</ul>
<p>As we have already begun to do with the military, we attempt here to analyse this new stage of imperialism, the internal functioning of the imperialist camp, and to examine the Global South’s composition and connotations to understand the world’s primary contradictions today.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Conquest, Racism, and Genocide: The Common History of the Imperialist Camp</h2>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-94868 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-477x1024.png" alt="" width="477" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-477x1024.png 477w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-140x300.png 140w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-768x1650.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-715x1536.png 715w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2-953x2048.png 953w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-16-2.png 2000w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 477px) 100vw, 477px"></div>
<p>The wealth of the Global North originated from historical theft through violent dispossession over centuries (Figure 16).<a href="#_edn48" name="_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> Economic stagnation and demands for growth spurred the looting of resources from other regions. This began as early as the military invasions of the Crusades against Arab and Muslim areas of West Asia (1050–1291).</p>
<p>The end of the European Medieval Warm Period (which lasted from about 950AD to 1250AD), and the catastrophe of the Black Death (1346–1353) tilted things in favour of peasants, away from the aristocracy. The peasant rebellions and charters of the forest throughout Europe were a sign that capitalism’s future was far from sealed.</p>
<p>Europe then commenced its trajectory as a world hegemon through its militarised maritime powers, beginning as early as 1415 with Portugal’s invasion and capture of Ceuta, a fortified Moroccan port ­­– a date we use to mark the now over 600 years of Western domination. The first European colonial power, Portugal, used Genovese capital to fund its expeditions, and the rest of Europe followed suit in the 1400s.</p>
<p>The conquests of the darker nations of the world, the subsequent dispossession of peoples from their lands, and the subordination of their labour saw racial ideologies emerge. This ideological layer infiltrated the base and superstructure of both European societies and the peoples they conquered. It is most pronounced in the white settler colonial states, which were racial projects from the very beginning of their existence. Within these white settler colonial states, the US and Israel now represent the most acute, permanent, and deeply ingrained history of racial-religious projects.</p>
<p>Economic analysis shows that the real rise in capitalist investment in the UK began when slavery’s profits and plunder of countries such as India enabled the historic rise in fixed capital investment and was decisive in so-called capitalist primitive accumulation and the financing of the ‘industrial revolution’. In a 2022 study, Utsa Patnaik indicated that the UK extracted US$ 45 trillion (using a compound interest rate formula since it remains unrepaid) from India between 1765 to 1936.<a href="#_edn49" name="_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a> The overwhelming bulk of leading UK institutions profited from the trans-Atlantic slave trade. The racial ideological underpinning, in turn, has shaped the later development of both capitalism and imperialism.</p>
<p>Over the centuries, Europe created several further white-settler colonial projects outside its historic core in the Americas and Australasia, including in Kenya, South Africa, and Zimbabwe. The ‘successful’ ones did not do so by settling on uninhabited land, the myth of <em>terra nullius</em>, but rather through genocide and military conquest in creating majority white populations and states. Germany perpetrated the first twentieth century genocide, murdering approximately 80,000 Herero and Nama peoples in Namibia between 1904 to 1908. Five of these remain today: the United States, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and Israel, all projects of Britain – the latter having begun its colonial conquests in the mid-1500s in Ireland. . Britain’s role in the Americas resulted in the creation of the United States of America. The infamous British Balfour Declaration (1917) was central to the formation of Israel at the expense of the then-UK colony Palestine. The Zionist mission needed to create in Israel a barrier to the ‘barbaric hordes’ of Asia. No other nation is as influential in the US as Israel. The US, due to its size and role, remains the dominant force of world terrorism, but Israel has an outsized role in violence and military spending. It has nuclear weapons that the Western media conveniently downplays.</p>
<p>From creation to modern times, the US has been defined as a racial project. In <em>American Holocaust: The Conquest of the New World </em>(1992), David E. Stannard estimated that within the first 150 years of the European conquest of the Americas, as many as 100 million Indigenous people may have died because of the conquest and its aftermath, including disease, warfare, and enslavement.</p>
<p>By 1860, nearly four million black people were slaves in the US alone.<a href="#_edn50" name="_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a> In 2022, over 720,000 black people were incarcerated in US prisons and jails. Black people represented 38% of the prison population despite being only 12% of the US population. The US has nearly 20% of all prisoners in the world despite having only 5% of the world’s population.<a href="#_edn51" name="_ednref51"><sup>51</sup></a> Over 500 years after slavery began (with the earliest recorded arrival of a slave ship in 1519), the US still puts tens of thousands of black people in solitary confinement, despite this being considered a form of torture by the United Nations.<a href="#_edn52" name="_ednref52"><sup>52</sup></a> It was only in 2013 that the state of Mississippi officially ratified the 13th amendment which abolished slavery – first officially noted in the constitution on 6 December 1865.<a href="#_edn53" name="_ednref53"><sup>53</sup></a> We can only understand the ideology of the US ruling class by recognising the racialised character of its class structure.</p>
<p>The 2023 NATO declaration and the unified support for Israeli genocide against the Palestinians is ample proof that imperialism cannot be divorced from historic racial aspects. For over 600 years, European and white-settler states have sought to and succeeded in dominating the whole world.</p>
<p>Since WWII, the US has sought to extend this rule for at least a millennium. Initially, all the states within the imperialist camp were white. With the absolute defeat of Japan in WWII, including using atomic bombs, Japan was assimilated into the imperialist camp, eventually achieving what the South Africans coined ‘honorary white’ status. This was particularly possible because Japan was a previously fascist power that also tied its imperialist expansion to racialised practices.</p>
<p>Imperialism also has racialised patriarchal foundations, which trace back to how the sexual division of labour, the control of women’s reproductive capacities, and the exploitation of women’s unpaid work were reshaped within Western colonisation, as preconditions for the international expansion of capital accumulation.<a href="#_edn54" name="_ednref54"><sup>54</sup></a> From then to now, gender-based subordination and violence have been used extensively in warfare and conquest, from the sexual slavery of tens of thousands of ‘comfort women’ during Japan’s military occupation in China and Indonesia, to the current sexual exploitation that unfolds inside the US military bases in the Philippines.<a href="#_edn55" name="_ednref55"><sup>55</sup></a></p>
<p>It is not an accident that the United States shows up in seven of the eight categories of historical violence in Figure 16. This process did not begin in the 1890s with the development of modern imperialism. It can be traced back to 1492 with the first European invasion of the Americas.</p>
<p>In October 2023, out of 193 members of the UN, only the United States and Israel voted against ending the illegal embargo and blockade against heroic Cuba. When an initial draft resolution calling for a ceasefire in Gaza was drafted on 16 October 2023, not one single white member of the US House of Representatives initially signed it.<a href="#_edn56" name="_ednref56"><sup>56</sup></a> There is a throughline from the Portuguese slave traders in West Africa to the Israeli and US genocidaires in Palestine.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">History and Definition of ‘Hyper-Imperialism’</h2>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Pre-History</h3>
<p>The pre-history of modern imperialism began in 1415 with the advent of European maritime expansion. Africa was the first victim, followed by the colonisation of the Americas and the genocide of millions of Indigenous peoples, and then the rapid dependence by Europe (and its settler states) on blood-soaked capital from human slavery, which lasted 400 years.</p>
<p>Britain’s existence as a modern power started with the vampiric dependency on the blood of slaves and colonial labourers. The British were responsible for millions of deaths in the Atlantic slave trade and its colonial conquests. Slave labour in the Americas – as well as the British capture of a good part of Spanish and Portuguese colonies’ surplus – provided the ‘special’ ingredient to so-called primitive or originary accumulation (‘ursprüngliche Akkumulation’, the term used by Marx in <em>Capital</em>).<a href="#_edn57" name="_ednref57"><sup>57</sup></a></p>
<p>US imperialism, in addition to starting as a racial project, has a unique path of capitalist development, including the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>A highly profitable capitalist form of slavery.</li>
<li>A state unbridled in its expansion in a large territory, without any holdovers from feudalism.</li>
<li>The only major imperialist country whose territory was not militarily attacked by other imperialists.</li>
<li>An imperial power beginning after Europe had already divided the world.</li>
<li>A self-defined unlimited power through the Monroe Doctrine (1823), as well as concepts such as Manifest Destiny and US exceptionalism.</li>
</ul>
<p>Since the advent of modern industry, the capitalist world system has consisted of two successive periods of dominance by a single capitalist power – first the UK and then the US. From the late eighteenth century to WWII, Britain was considered the dominant force in international finance. However, this openly collapsed when Britain abandoned the pound’s convertibility to gold and ended the gold/pound standard in 1931. In reality, US dominance was clear from WWI and acknowledged US hegemony began in 1945, with Europe in tatters. At the core of the imperialist system, therefore, is what can be called the Anglo-American Project.</p>
<p>The size of the US economy overtook Britain’s in the 1870s, but US per capita GDP (PPP) did not equal Britain’s until the twentieth century. By 1913, the US economy was twice the size of Britain’s in GDP (PPP).<a href="#_edn58" name="_ednref58"><sup>58</sup></a> However, it was not until 1945 (with the US being five times greater than the UK) that US hegemony was fully and formally established. At that point, the US was manufacturing more than half of the products in the world.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">History</h3>
<p>Vladimir Lenin’s work, <em>Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism </em>(1916), drawing heavily on the work of Rudolf Hilferding’s 1910 book <em>Finance Capital</em>, explained the rise of finance capital during the last period of the nineteenth century – marking the shift from classical liberal capitalism to finance-driven imperialism.<a href="#_edn59" name="_ednref59"><sup>59</sup></a> The increase in the organic composition of capital meant that greater and greater outlays of capital were needed to expand production. This went beyond the ability of most individual capitalists engaging in classical competition, leading to domination by oligopolies and monopolies with the reorganisation of the financial system to meet their requirements.</p>
<p>In parallel with this were technological changes. The switch from steam power to electric power in the 1890s saw a leap in the productive forces and of factory production: higher energy efficiency, lower maintenance, decentralisation, a reconfigured factory floor layout, mass production, and a massive increase in the division and socialisation of labour. This type of rapid change in the productive forces happened again later with the invention of the transistor and the rise of computers.</p>
<p>Lenin noted five characteristics of this new stage: the rise of finance capital and the financial oligarchy; the concentration of production and monopolies; the export of capital; the rise of monopolist cartels, which ‘shared’ the world among themselves; and the completion of the territorial division of the whole world amongst the largest capitalist powers, along with the increasing conflict between the imperialist states.</p>
<p>These developments meant that a new, highest, and last stage of capitalism had begun, i.e., the stage of modern imperialism. There cannot be another new stage of capitalism (as a system with no competition would not be capitalism).</p>
<p>Lenin’s book was written on the eve of the Soviet Revolution. Once the Soviet Union was formed, the conflict between labour and capital changed qualitatively and was no longer solely a domestic contradiction within countries but included contradictions between states with a different class basis.</p>
<p>Modern imperialism fully inherits the history of the European project’s domination and exploitation of the world. Lenin defines super-profits, a result of modern imperialism, as ‘a surplus of profits over and above the capitalist profits that are normal and customary all over the world’.<a href="#_edn60" name="_ednref60"><sup>60</sup></a></p>
<p>Post-WWI, international capitalist divisions again intensified during the Great Depression (1929–1939), as various imperialist powers locked their economies behind tariffs and other barriers. Before the end of WWII, the US-led reorganisation of the global financial system was agreed to in Bretton Woods in July 1944. The convertibility of the main currencies into the US dollar and the US dollar into gold established the supremacy of the new ‘green gold’. To make sure its regulations were implemented and followed, the International Monetary Fund and the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD), later, the World Bank, were established. These two institutions have been key pillars of US domination over the Global South since then.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Post-World War Two</h3>
<p>1945 saw the decisive victory by the United States among the capitalist powers, and the US dollar began its domination. The period from 1945 to 1971 was an expansionary phase of US imperialism. The US did suffer significant political losses during this period, including a number of newly formed socialist projects. However, confident of its own productive supremacy, the US began a radical reorganisation of the global capitalist system after WWII. It dismantled tariffs and other protectionist measures that it deemed unnecessary to its own advancement (but retained subsidy measures that advantaged its own capitalist firms). The post-WWII new ‘globalised’ organisation of world capitalism differed significantly in its international structure from the pre-1945 capitalist system. It achieved a more rapid development of the productive forces than the era of the previous colonial empires. Throughout the nineteenth and twentieth centuries, behind the veneer of free trade, there were always monopolies, as Karl Marx said with respect to Britain. The US further developed this domination through imperialist monopolies guarded by an international military apparatus.</p>
<p>Formed in 1949, NATO initially had three objectives: first, to stop the spread of the communist spectre into Western Europe; second, to guarantee the military subordination of all other imperialists to the US; and third to create a military bloc to contain and eventually overthrow the socialist bloc countries. The US also began the domestication of the European elite and elicited their support for the North Atlantic project through economic integration and dependency (symbolised by the Marshall Plan beginning in 1948) and political subordination (such as through institutions like the Bilderberg Meeting, beginning in 1954).<a href="#_edn61" name="_ednref61"><sup>61</sup></a></p>
<p>The US had three objectives in the colonial world. First, finalise the defeat of European control and remove barriers to US economic interests. Second, prohibit their alignment with the socialist bloc. Third, defeat any communist-inspired or -led revolutionary projects.</p>
<p>Outside a few exceptions, such as Cuba and the Philippines at the turn of the twentieth century, the US never had the full aim or desire to rule or manage the full scope of political, economic, and social relations at the local level in what was then called the Third World. Using military power, covert operations, economic inducements, and American ‘soft power’, the US developed a strategy of neo-colonialism: nominal political independence and near-total economic subordination. The first institution responsible for the conscription of Europeans into the US hegemonic project post-WWII, the IBRD, pivoted to its work in the Global South once the Marshall Plan kicked in.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Neo-liberalism</h3>
<p>The next phase of imperialism is generally called neo-liberalism. It emerged as a response to the economic stagnation that began in the 1960s (which became acute by the crisis of 1974) and the political threat of left-led Third World Projects.<a href="#_edn62" name="_ednref62"><sup>62</sup></a> Neo-liberalism was first experimented with in Chile (1973) and Argentina (1976) by the ‘Chicago Boys’ under Milton Friedman. Both were implemented through bloody coup d’états that killed tens of thousands of people to eradicate support for left projects, with support from the US. The elections of Margaret Thatcher (1979) in UK and Ronald Reagan (1980) in the US paved the way for its global ascendancy.</p>
<p>The US had become, in current terms, a debtor nation by 1981. The fall of the Soviet Union in 1991 enabled the US to engage in a more naked imperialist projection, especially in the military realm. Salient features of neo-liberalism included the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>The world experienced economic globalisation and the financialisation of monopoly capitalism, with ‘Super-Imperialist’ financial monopoly privileges created by the US sustaining the removal of the US dollar from the gold standard.</li>
<li>The US aggressively extended its intellectual property rights over the whole world and achieved near-perpetual global monopolies. The tangible goods economy was subordinated to the virtualised economy. Large areas of petty production were ruthlessly destroyed.</li>
<li>The International Monetary Fund and World Bank consistently pursued austerity policies that impoverished and saddled the Global South with large levels of debt. That debt could only be repaid through exporting things that the Global North would pay for in US dollars. Unlike any other bank, the World Bank got to author its creditors economic policy, shrinking the state, and deflating local currency to secure the primacy of the US dollar. Privatisation, enclosures of the public sector, the withdrawal of the state role in the economy and society (especially in the Global South), and increased casualisation of labour were core demands of their policies. This resulted in increased poverty and inequality, such as the intensification of women’s unpaid reproductive work.<a href="#_edn63" name="_ednref63"><sup>63</sup></a></li>
<li>The disarticulation of factory production and supply chains (helped by huge technology changes and US subsidised oil prices) created not only massive increases in productivity but huge advantages to global capital and its multinational corporations at the expense of the working class. Capital was easily able to move parts of production between various small, weak Global South countries, and late-entrant industrial Global South countries like Brazil and South Africa suffered de-industrialisation. Socialism and China’s large size protected it from this fate.</li>
<li>There was a shift from production to speculative finance and monopoly-rent seeking capital. A strong deregulation of financial markets all over the world – and a revolution in communication technologies – made possible huge flows of financial speculative capital in real time.</li>
<li>A new advanced form of monopoly production and circulation became evident in multiple sectors of the economy. Notably, within the rise of digital monopoly capital, a few monopolies and oligopolies, such as Google, dominate the whole world (except for China, Russia, Iran, DPR Korea, Cuba and a few others).</li>
<li>There was a growth in the coercive state, growing high levels of inequality, and a rise in neo-fascist populism.</li>
<li>The rise of Western cultural, political, and foreign policy hegemony was possible due to the pervasiveness and economic monopoly status of US technologies, including Google, Facebook, WhatsApp, Instagram, and Twitter.<a href="#_edn64" name="_ednref64"><sup>64</sup></a></li>
</ul>
<p>Michael Hudson’s work on<em> Super Imperialism </em>(1972) describes the great defeat of the rest of the world when the US abandoned the gold standard.<a href="#_edn65" name="_ednref65"><sup>65</sup></a> Rather than buy gold to maintain their currencies, the US forced other central banks to recycle their dollar surpluses into buying US Treasury bonds. This enabled it to force the rest of the world to pay its debts, including the debts incurred from the war against the people of Viet Nam. The US became a debtor nation but was able to outsource its debt through the instrument of the Dollar-Wall Street complex.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Technology and Soft Power</h3>
<p>Accompanying this process were tremendous changes in technology and the development of the productive forces. Semi-conductors, for example, saw a 100-billion-fold increase in transistor density between 1954, when the first single working silicon transistor was created, and in June 2023, with the release of the Apple M2 Ultra chip with 134 billion transistors.<a href="#_edn66" name="_ednref66"><sup>66</sup></a></p>
<p>The US tech sector power came into existence, first, due to the importance of technological advancement to the military-industrial complex and, second, to the US dominance in world trade that allowed them to flex their commercial muscles to reinforce the centrality of Silicon Valley. Thus, Silicon Valley is both an enabler of core state military intelligence functions and one of the beneficiaries of it.</p>
<p>The underlying nature of what is called the ‘network effect’ allowed for rapidly established ‘natural’ monopolies and oligopolies in many technology areas. Like phone exchanges of a hundred years ago, once a company like Google passed a threshold of market share in search functions and monetised it, they became an oligopoly. Technologies like cloud computing enabled Amazon to move from being solely a retail industry monopoly to challenging Google and Microsoft in new markets.</p>
<p>The term ‘soft power’ was developed by Joseph Nye in the late 1980s, but it is just a label for the extension of the aspect of Gramsci’s concepts of hegemony to US imperialism. The following ‘industries’ are part of US global hegemony: culture, information, entertainment, non-profits (NGO’s), academia, and think tanks. All of these rely on a common centralised communications industry, which covers undersea optical cables, satellites, telecommunications networks, massive data centres, digital communications firms like Twitter (X), Facebook, and Google.</p>
<p>There have been approximately five stages of communications technologies in the last century:</p>
<ol>
<li>Mass medium radio, the telephone, and ‘talkies’ (1920–1950).</li>
<li>Television and the rise of Madison Avenue advertising (1950–1970).</li>
<li>Digital revolution, the widescale growth of the Internet (which actually began as a US military project in 1969) (1980–2000).</li>
<li>Mobile and first-generation social media (2000­–2005).</li>
<li>Pervasive mobile, smart devices, and OTT streaming video monopolies, like Netflix, Amazon Prime, Disney+, CGI, Augmented and Virtual Reality, and soon, AI influenced media (2005–present).</li>
</ol>
<p>Each of these five generations of technologies were commercialised and then ‘weaponised’ under the watchful eye of US military and intelligence agencies. Hollywood is infamous for these ties. The fifth generation of technologies represent a quantitative and qualitative leap in capacity. US tech and media companies, proxies for US hegemony, now effectively control the bulk of voices that the youth of the Global South hear. While X may be declining and was mainly a space for the chattering classes, Facebook and Instagram and streaming services like Netflix penetrate the lives of billions of the working class.</p>
<p>Let’s take the case of India. During the first ten months of 2023, there were 510 million unique internet viewers in India, who spent a total of 371 billion (B) hours with 2.9 trillion views. 105B of these hours were spent on social media, 74B on entertainment, 10.5B on news, 10B on retail, and 12.8B on other (mainly finance). During the month of October 2023, those ages 18–24 years old spent on average 940 minutes on Instagram, 708 on YouTube, 387 on Facebook, and 117 on X. For all ages the time spent on Facebook, Instagram, and X has more than doubled since January 2020. During October 2023, the following OTT video streaming led in millions(M) of viewers: 170M – Disney, 99M – MX Player (Indian firm reportedly under talks with Amazon), 92M ­– JioCinema (Reliance, Paramount, and James Murdoch), and others like ZEE5, Netflix, and Sony. Despite the rise of Bollywood, Hollywood is still present in India.<a href="#_edn67" name="_ednref67"><sup>67</sup></a></p>
<p>Globally, Western media has used four types of censorship with social media: Shadow banning or ghosting (secret suppression of viewers), white and blacklists (prioritising desirable content; deprecating or eliminating unwanted content), private non-visible algorithmic manipulation, and now even direct removal and suppression of content and/or users.</p>
<p>An estimated 73% of internet traffic is conducted by so-called ‘bad bots’, including state-controlled fake user accounts by the United States and Israel in particular.<a href="#_edn68" name="_ednref68"><sup>68</sup></a> More than half of this traffic uses evasion techniques to mimic human behaviour. These techniques are systematically deployed for a range of US soft-power campaigns, including for elections and popular sentiment.</p>
<p>The<em> Financial Times</em>, noting ‘America’s cultural supremacy’, worries on behalf of the empire thus: ‘To retain immense cultural reach is a wonderful cushion for a post-peak superpower. The trick is to not fall asleep on it’.<a href="#_edn69" name="_ednref69"><sup>69</sup></a></p>
<p>However, the level of detailed control of every single phone call, message, and key stroke by US intelligence results in very high stakes for the Global South. Digital sovereignty requires serious attention and cannot be dismissed.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Fictitious Capital</h3>
<p>Karl Marx critically analysed the rise of fictitious capital in Volume III of <em>Capital</em>.<a href="#_edn70" name="_ednref70"><sup>70</sup></a> The latest report from the Bank for International Settlements reports that the total notional value of outstanding derivatives (the three types of which are interest rate, foreign exchange, and equity) reached US$ 715 trillion at the end of June 2023, up 16% in six months, over four times the world GDP (PPP), and over seven times the world GDP in current exchange rate (CER) terms.<a href="#_edn71" name="_ednref71"><sup>71</sup></a> The gross market value of these derivatives was nearly US$ 20 trillion.</p>
<p>Hedge funds such as Bridgewater Associates and private equity firms such as BlackRock engage in this hyper-speculation. One analogy used to help explain derivatives is that if you stand between two mirrors at a slight angle to each other, you can see a long series of images of yourself. You remain real, but the images are ephemeral.</p>
<p>Whilst the capital is fictitious, the results are not. The expropriation of the natural goods and companies of the Global South now happens at a scale of trillions of US dollars at a speed of milliseconds.<a href="#_edn72" name="_ednref72"><sup>72</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">2008–2022: A Transition</h3>
<p>The defeat of the Soviet Union in 1991 led to a new feeling of eternal confidence in imperialism from US capital. Now they could expropriate the markets of the former Soviet Union and have the sense of accomplishing Manifest Destiny. The idea of the ‘end of history’ and the emergence of the sentiment of unilateralism dominated the thinking of the Council of Foreign Relations and other strategic US institutions.</p>
<p>Confronted with a decline in the rate of capital creation in their economies, and as financialisation and intellectual property rights enhanced the prevalence of monopolies, a larger proportion of capital avoided productive investments and increasingly sought short-term gains, becoming even more speculative.</p>
<p>The 2007–2008 financial crisis – what we call the start of the Third Great Depression – meant that previous tools to fight stagnation proved increasingly ineffective. China’s imperviousness to this crisis added to the alarm of the Global North. The following 14 years saw a transition period marking the end of the neo-liberalism phase. From the early 2000s until 2022, major shifts began to take place. Some accelerated the consolidation of capital – others signalled the beginning of an existential crisis of capital:</p>
<ol>
<li>The most important single change was the rise of China as the largest economy in the world when measured by Purchasing Power Parity (PPP).</li>
<li>The Global South moved from 40% of world GDP to 60% when measured in PPP.</li>
<li>The Third Great Depression led to a further drop in GDP growth rates. By 2022, 10-year average per capita growth rates in Europe were less than 1% and in the US 1.5%.</li>
<li>European and Japanese capital were ‘de-nationalised’, accelerated by the rapid changes to the capital markets. They are now fully integrated, dependent on, and subordinate to the US on fundamental issues.</li>
<li>China consolidated itself as a socialist project and the Western hope for a new ‘Chinese Gorbachev’ completely failed.</li>
<li>NATO countries increased the number of their global military interventions but were confronted by a series of defeats such as in Afghanistan, Iraq, and even, to an extent, Syria.</li>
<li>The US decision to expand NATO into Eastern Europe and use Ukraine as a proxy at the centre of the move to control Russia resulted in an important military conflict between nuclear powers.</li>
<li>The US, facing relative economic and political hegemony, began to massively expand the use of sanctions, lawfare, tariffs, and seizure of foreign currency reserves.</li>
<li>To attempt to stop China’s technological advance, the US began using tariffs and protectionism. It began a full-fledged soft power attack on China and started a New Cold War.</li>
<li>Major voices in the US ruling class openly talk of the possibility of using its military hegemony to block China. Since they have also ‘lost’ Russia, at least with Vladimir Putin in power, the US is focused on planning how to complete their historic mission to subordinate Eurasia once and for all. This would ultimately entail the de-nuclearisation and potential dismemberment of both Russia and China.</li>
</ol>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Periodisation of Imperialism</h3>
<p>Imperialism has changed over the last 100 years. We can roughly describe a few key periods as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>1890–1916: </strong>The rise of modern imperialism.</li>
<li><strong>1917–1939:</strong> The birth of the Soviet Union, the decline of British hegemony, continued extreme inter-imperialist rivalry, the rise of fascism, the spread of socialist ideas across the world, and the Great Depression.</li>
<li><strong>1940–1945:</strong> The worldwide battle against fascism, and German and Japanese Aggression.</li>
<li><strong>1945–2008</strong>: The establishment of the People’s Republic of China, the era of US hegemony within the imperialist camp, the advance of national liberation struggles in the Global South and end of direct colonialism, the rising importance of socialist projects like Cuba and Viet Nam, dramatic changes in the productive forces, and numerous wars in which the US murdered tens of millions. This period could be subdivided into two parts: the so-called golden era of US imperialism during the 1950s and 1960s, followed by the 1970s and the turn to stagnation and neo-liberalism.</li>
<li><strong>2008–2023:</strong> The false hope of US unilateralism was replaced with an awareness that a powerful non-white socialist project would, within a lifetime, overcome the US economically. In 1918, on the 73<sup>rd</sup> day of the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic, Vladimir Lenin left his office at the Smolny Institute (Petrograd) and danced in the snow. He celebrated the fact that the Soviet experiment had outlasted the Paris Commune. On 18 November 2023, the People’s Republic of China marked 27,077 days of existence, exceeding the duration of the Soviet socialist project. As noted by President Xi Jinping, we are entering a period not seen in 100 years.</li>
</ul>
<p>In summary, these changes show a transition to what is best described as a new stage of imperialism: Hyper-Imperialism.</p>
<h1>PART III: The World Defined</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Global North Defined</h2>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93759 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-17-e1705411900506.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-17.png"></div>
<p>The Global North is an integrated military, political, and economic bloc at present composed of 49 countries, as pictured in Figure 17. These include the US, the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, Japan, and secondary Western and Eastern European countries. This US-led bloc is the imperialist camp in today’s world.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93779 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-18-e1705412053306.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-18.png"></p>
</div>
<p>As pictured in Figure 18, the Global North is fundamentally a North Atlantic project, with two outlying countries – Australia and Japan.</p>
<p>Inspired by Samir Amin’s concept of the Triad but expanding and modifying it to suit the realities of the present, the organisation of the Global North bloc can be best understood as layers of four concentric rings.<a href="#_edn73" name="_ednref73"><sup>73</sup></a> The position of each country within each ring depends on its rapport with the United States and how close its intelligence services are to those of the US, which is explained below.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 1: Six Core US-Led Anglo-American Imperialist Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 19</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 1: US-led Anglo-American core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">338</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,463</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">76,343</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,717</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54,824</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,265</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58,316</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,629</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">62,026</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">502</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,990</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Zealand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">266</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,962</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>485</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 33,843</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 70,326</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>20.7%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 19</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 1: US-led Anglo-American core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th>NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th>Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>United States</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,536,859</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Kingdom</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68,463</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,896</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australia</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">32,299</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Israel</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,406</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Zealand</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,829</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1,690,752</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>51</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>36</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>77</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>58.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Ring 1 (listed in Figure 19) represents the inner core of imperialism. The white English-speaking victors of  WWII, the Five Eyes (US, UK in 1946, Canada in 1948, Australia and New Zealand in 1956) established themselves as the Praetorian Guard of what can be called the Anglo-American Project. It is composed of the UK and the white settler states it spawned. Israel, treated by the US as the sixth eye, is unofficially part of the inner core. The cohesion of countries in this ring remains; an example is the trilateral security alliance AUKUS, created in September 2021.</p>
<p>A fundamental key to understanding the Global North is the special relationship between the United States and Israel. They are white settler states, founded on and justified by white supremacy and religious zealotry, and are the core of Ring 1 of the Global North. The US was established by white, religious extremists who, in 1690, conceived and established their colonial settlements as ‘plantations of religion’.<a href="#_edn74" name="_ednref74"><sup>74</sup></a> They believed that only they, the white Puritans, could realise God’s plan in the ‘American wilderness’. Their genocide against the native Americans and enslavement of Africans were viewed as the inevitable and obvious outcome of their racial and religious superiority.</p>
<p>Israel was the creation of British and US imperialism and was organised by the leaders of the Zionist movement. It was described by the military expert for <em>The Guardian</em>, Herbert Sidebotham, during WWI as follows: ‘The only possible colonists of Palestine are the Jews… at once a protection against the alien East and a mediator between it and us, a civilisation distinct from ours yet imbued with our political ideas’.<a href="#_edn75" name="_ednref75"><sup>75</sup></a> For the imperialists, ‘freedom from discrimination’ was only the pretext for the formation of the Judaic and white supremacist state of Israel.</p>
<p>As indicated earlier, between 1776, the year of independence from the British, and 2019, the US has spent 228 of 245 years in war/conflict, and only 17 years in ‘peace’.</p>
<p>During its history, the United Kingdom’s forces (or forces with a British mandate) have invaded, had some control over, or fought conflicts in 171 of the world’s 193 countries that are currently UN member states, or nine out of ten of all countries. <a href="#_edn76" name="_ednref76"><sup>76</sup></a></p>
<p>In its 72 years of existence, Israel has ‘officially’ started 16 military conflicts with the Palestinians and other Arab nations. One-fourth of them were under the rule of Benjamin Netanyahu (1996–1999; 2009–2023). Of course, not included in these ‘official’ statistics are the multiple incursions by Zionist settlers and their army brethren against Palestinians.</p>
<p>Israeli white racialism and religious demagogy have morphed from ideological justifications into material forces that have contributed to the qualitative change in imperialism today. This is exemplified by, among other things, the per capita military spend of the US, which is 12.6 times that of the world’s average, with Israel’s 7.2 times, the two largest in the Global North. In the first month following 7 October 2023, Israel killed more civilians than all the civilian deaths in the Ukraine since 2022 and detonated more tons of explosives than the combined weight of the two nuclear bombs in Hiroshima and Nagasaki.<a href="#_edn77" name="_ednref77"><sup>77</sup></a></p>
<p>The US Congressional Research Service reported that: ‘Israel is the largest cumulative recipient of US foreign assistance since World War II… Israel is the first international operator of the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, the Department of Defence’s fifth-generation stealth aircraft, considered to be the most technologically advanced fighter jet ever made’.<a href="#_edn78" name="_ednref78"><sup>78</sup></a> Adjusting for inflation, US aid to Israel from 1951 to 2022 totalled US$ 317.9 billion.<a href="#_edn79" name="_ednref79"><sup>79</sup></a></p>
<p>Nonetheless, it is the US — not Israel — who is driving the agenda in the region following 7 October 2023. Blinken’s ‘shuttle diplomacy’ sets the rules and tones for Israel’s military operations and the ‘proportionate’ actions against the Palestinian resistance and regional powers. The US provides the necessary political and military support for Israel to eliminate the Palestinian resistance ‘permanently’, deter Iran and its allies, and push forward normalisation with Arab neighbouring countries. All these US interventions seek to lay the ground for building the planned India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC), which is not only an economic corridor but essentially an ideological and political plan to block China’s increasing integration and influence in the region. Therefore, Israel constitutes a ‘central junction’ for the US-programmed IMEC, which is outlined within the framework of the G7 Partnership for Global Infrastructure Investment (PGI), a Global North world plan, aiming essentially at countering China’s BRI and any form of Global South long-lasting cooperation.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 2: Nine Core European Imperialist Powers</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 20</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 2: European core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">83</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,370</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">64,086</td>
<td width="87"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">65</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,696</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">56,305</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">59</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,059</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,827</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,272</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47,711</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,244</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70,728</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">735</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">63,268</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sweden</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">695</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,091</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">427</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">78,014</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denmark</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">419</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">71,332</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>9 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>306</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>17,918</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>58,334</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3.8%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>10.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 20</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 2: European core</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Germany</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">55,760</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53,639</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,490</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1982</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,307</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,607</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,867</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sweden</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,722</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Norway</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,388</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Denmark</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,468</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 207,247</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>247</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>37</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>93</strong></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>7.2%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>As listed in Figure 20, the countries in Ring 2 are the closest to the US-led inner core, namely Germany, France, Italy, Spain, Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden, Norway, and Denmark. Ring 2 is defined by each country’s proximity and affinity, and the trustworthiness of their intelligence functions to those of the United States.</p>
<p>‘Politics is a concentrated expression of economics’, Lenin explained.<a href="#_edn80" name="_ednref80"><sup>80</sup></a> The military function is the essential expression of this political concentration. Post-WWII, and with the advent of the Internet and social media, the control of communications and all its related functions has become a qualitatively new strategic intelligence asset of the state and has further advanced the US’s dominant hegemonic control of vast portions of the world.</p>
<p>Thanks to the work of Wikileaks and the bravery of Julian Assange and Edward Snowden, the world was given its <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20131219010450/http:/cphpost.dk/news/denmark-is-one-of-the-nsas-9-eyes.7611.html">first public view</a> into the secret world of intelligence relations among the imperialist forces.<a href="#_edn81" name="_ednref81"><sup>81</sup></a></p>
<p>Instructively, the US prioritised its level of trust beyond the Five Eyes and the hidden special relationship with Israel. Subsequently, secretly but formally, the US created the Nine Eyes, which added Denmark, Norway, France, and the Netherlands. The Europeans were unwilling to have it be known, even privately, that Israel was a formal member. In addition, Israel did not fully trust many European powers with intelligence, so all parties allowed the US to continue having its special relationship with Israel.</p>
<p>Fifty years after WWII, the United States continued to exclude the former fascist powers of Germany, Italy, and Spain from the Five and Nine Eyes. Following the end of WWII, the US built an international system that was premised on the subordination and integration of the former fascist powers and the rest of Europe. This process of subordination and integration was evident in the military apparatus constructed by the United States, with NATO as one of the lynchpins. Establishing a system of US military bases in the defeated powers – Germany, Italy, and Japan – allowed Washington to set aside any talk of a sovereign military or diplomatic project for the defeated.</p>
<p>In 2001, five other countries (Germany, Belgium, Italy, Spain, and Sweden) were added to the Nine Eyes to <a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks-president-obama-australian-parliament">become</a> the Fourteen Eyes.<a href="#_edn82" name="_ednref82"><sup>82</sup></a> Between 2005–2009, the US became increasingly alarmed about Russia and China. The unofficial ‘Pivot to Asia’ had begun; the official launch was delayed until Barak Obama took office in 2012.<a href="#_edn83" name="_ednref83"><sup>83</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 3: Japan and Fourteen Lesser European Imperialist Powers</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 21</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 3: Japan + secondary European Powers</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,145</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">49,090</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Switzerland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2002</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">754</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,262</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ireland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">684</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">132,359</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">604</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,889</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">439</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,692</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">393</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">37,526</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Finland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">324</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58,445</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Luxembourg</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">91</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">141,333</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cyprus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,774</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malta</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">59,408</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iceland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">67,176</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Andorra</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,155</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Marino</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">79,633</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liechtenstein</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1990</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Monaco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>176</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 9,543</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 53,935</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.2%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5.8%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 21</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 3: Japan + secondary European Powers</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45,992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Switzerland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,145</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ireland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,164</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Austria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,626</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,500</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Greece</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1952</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,105</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Finland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2023</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,823</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Luxembourg</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">565</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cyprus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">494</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malta</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">87</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iceland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Andorra</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>San Marino</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liechtenstein</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Monaco</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 74,501</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>118</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>40</strong></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Ring 3 (listed in Figure 21), though made up of 15 countries, has a special focus on Japan, which has become a decisive front-line asset in the effort to curtail and suppress China and Russia. However, we have added here other secondary Western European powers, who, although loyal to the United States, are less strategic than others. A few of them, like Portugal, Finland, and Iceland, are part of NATO. Portugal is the only former fascist colonial power not in Ring 2 due to its small importance to US military intelligence (they are not in the Fourteen Eyes) and its smaller GDP.</p>
<p>Therefore, the third ring of the imperialist camp includes Japan and another 14 European countries (Switzerland, Ireland, Austria, Portugal, Greece, Finland, Luxembourg, Cyprus, Malta, Iceland, Andorra, San Marino, Liechtenstein, and Monaco).</p>
<p>In the past several centuries, countries in the first three rings of the imperialist camp, other than Ireland, have caused massive human disasters. The United Kingdom, the US, and the Netherlands appropriated wealth through the African slave trade. Europeans implemented colonialism worldwide; the entirety of the Americas, nearly all of Africa, and more than half of Asia were dominated by colonisers. Anglo-Saxon white immigrants forcibly expelled or murdered Indigenous people in the Americas, Australia, and New Zealand. There were several imperialist attempts to break up China, including the First Opium War, when Hong Kong was ceded in 1842, and then Taiwan at the end of the First Sino-Japanese War in 1895. In 1884–1885, European colonisers arbitrarily partitioned Africa at the Berlin Conference. This violent methodology of the partitioning has continued unabated until today, as evidenced by the 2011 partition of Sudan and by the ongoing destruction of the country and its people. In 1919, they dismantled the Austro-Hungarian and German empires through the Treaty of Versailles, transferred rights of some areas of China (Shandong) to Japan, handed German colonies in Africa to victorious European powers, and re-established a world order led by Anglo-American forces. As a result of internal crises and imperialist rivalries, fascist states arose within this camp, triggering WWII and leading to the death of at least 50 million Soviet and Chinese people. In the final stages of WWII, the US used atomic bombs on civilians. To this day, the US still refuses to renounce the first use of nuclear weapons and has unilaterally withdrawn from key nuclear and missile treaties.</p>
<p>Since the end of WWII, Japan has become a strategic US ally. With the signing of the US-Japan Security Treaty in 1951, Japan’s Prime Minister Shigeru Yoshida accepted the dominance of the US military over his country. During the Cold War, Japan played a significant role in containing the Soviet Union and China on the Eastern front, and this role continues today. Japan is the second country with the most US military bases as of July 2023 (98), only after Germany (171). To date, none of the German bases are in the former German Democratic Republic.</p>
<p>Although not officially a NATO member, since 2014, Japan has cooperated with NATO on an individual basis – most recently agreeing to the Individually Tailored Partnership Program in July 2023 – and has participated in the past two NATO summits. Japan also regularly participates in meetings held at NATO Headquarters in Brussels between NATO Allies and the four partners in the Indo-Pacific region at the level of ambassadors. This practical incorporation can be explained by the NATO 2022 Strategic Concept, which states that ‘cooperation with partners in this region is key to addressing the increasingly complex global security environment, including Russia’s war on Ukraine, the shift in the global balance of power and the rise of China, and the security situation on the Korean Peninsula’.</p>
<p>In addition, Japan is the only G7 member not part of NATO. In 2022, China was <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64001554">labelled</a> by the Japanese government as ‘the greatest strategic challenge ever to securing the peace and stability of Japan’ and announced plans to double official military spending to 2% of the GDP (on par with NATO countries) by 2027, overturning Japan’s post-WWII cap, which had official limited military spending to 1% of GDP.<a href="#_edn84" name="_ednref84"><sup>84</sup></a></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GN Ring 4: Nineteen European Former Eastern Bloc Integrated into NATO</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 22</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 4: European former Eastern Bloc</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Intelligence Relations</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">5 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">9 Eyes</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">14 Eyes</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,643</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,624</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">737</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38,703</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Czech Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">519</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47,955</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ukraine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">449</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,886</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hungary</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">408</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,121</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovakia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40,211</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">205</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31,857</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Serbia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">164</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24,564</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Croatia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">155</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40,128</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lithuania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">133</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47,107</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">103</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48,757</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Georgia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,243</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Latvia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">73</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,167</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bosnia &amp; Herzegovina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">64</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,518</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Estonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">60</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44,630</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Albania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,164</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Macedonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,129</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Moldova</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,710</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Montenegro</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2006</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,862</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>19 countries</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>167</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5,156</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>32,662</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 22</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Ring 4: European former Eastern Bloc</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="8">Military</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">NATO<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">NATO+</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)<br>
</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">US Bases<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">excl. US</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Intra-Imperialist<br>
Deployments</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military<br>
Deployments<br>
to GS</th>
<th>Nuclear<br>
weapons<br>
power</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Poland</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,573</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Romania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,187</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Czech Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,005</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ukraine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">43,998</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hungary</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,572</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovakia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,994</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bulgaria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,336</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Serbia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,426</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Croatia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2009</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,309</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lithuania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,732</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Slovenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">735</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Georgia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">360</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Latvia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">849</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bosnia &amp; Herzegovina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">184</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Estonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2004</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">811</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Albania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2009</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">289</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Macedonia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2020</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">225</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Moldova</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Montenegro</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2017</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>83,732</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>27</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>42</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>69</strong></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.9%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, World Beyond War, IISS</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Ring 4 is composed of the European members of the former Eastern Bloc and the Eastern European members of the former Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (Comecon, which lasted from 1949 to 1991). They are a new category within imperialist camp and thus not included by Samir Amin in his seminal work on the Triad.</p>
<p>Ring 4 (listed in Figure 22) of the imperialist camp includes Poland, Romania, Czech Republic, Ukraine, Hungary, Slovakia, Bulgaria, Serbia, Croatia, Lithuania, Slovenia, Latvia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Estonia, Albania, North Macedonia, Moldova, and Montenegro (except Belarus). Five countries were formal republics of the Soviet Union.</p>
<p>These countries were not previously part of the imperialist camp. To expand its hegemony, the US has targeted this region militarily, politically, and culturally. Serbia, part of the former Yugoslavia, was subjected to a 78-day NATO bombing in 1999. Despite not being a NATO member to this day, Serbia was compelled to participate in joint military exercises with NATO countries in June 2023.</p>
<p>Romania’s entrance to NATO did not involve a referendum. Instead, the ruling government modified the constitution, allowing senators to make the decision without consultation from the Romanian people.</p>
<p>US and western European expansion were done mainly through economic subordination and NATO’s eastern expansion. Fourteen are NATO members, whilst four (Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, Moldova, and Ukraine) attended the NATO Vilnius meeting in June 2023. Some of these countries are governed by pro-NATO right-wing regimes (examples include Poland, Ukraine, and Estonia), and actively playing the role of frontline troops against Russia.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Global South Defined</h2>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-93789 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-23-e1705412154531.png" alt="" width="793" height="950" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-23.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Outside the 49 countries of the Global North imperialist camp, making up the vast majority of the world’s population, are 145 countries that constitute the Global South (Figure 23).</p>
<p>The use of the term ‘Global South’ has primarily been a loose, imprecise reference. The actions over the last four years of the now fully aligned and integrated US-led Military Bloc have, however, created a large group of countries that are the ‘Rest of the World’. The ‘Rest of the World’ are thus aligned initially by ‘negative unity’, i.e., all its members are excluded. Consequently, they have become a negation of the imperialist camp. These countries include Russia and Belarus, which are not developing countries but are heavily targeted for regime change and subjugation.</p>
<p>The Global South includes mainly so-called ‘less developed’ or ‘developing’ countries, geographically associated with countries in Latin America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. It implicitly refers to countries that have been historically marginalised in the global economic system and are all grappling with the legacies of colonialism and imperialism. These countries were often called the Third World.</p>
<p>The Global South lacks cohesion, an agreed on collective identity, and unified organisation and action. Unlike the integrated Global North bloc, the Global South is not a unified group or bloc. These 145 countries each have distinct ideologies and political agendas, with differences in proximity and orientation towards each other and Global North countries. Various disputes exist among some of them, ranging from territorial disputes (take the case of Eritrea and Ethiopia) to intra-regional political power struggles (take the historical case of Saudi Arabia and Iran).</p>
<p>Much of the Global South pursues sovereignty, peace, and development, yet these countries rarely reach a global consensus on any issue. Often, this points to differences in the degree of proximity of any given country to the inner core of the Global North. As such, we arrange these countries in ‘groupings’ based on some common attributes rather than in an integrated, layered ring, or distinct blocs.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93799 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-24-e1705412213290.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-24.png"></p>
</div>
<p>However, this does not mean that the Global South is – as some Western perspectives would have it – a fabricated concept devoid of substance. The Global South (Figure24) is former colonies or semi-colonies of the Global North imperialist camp, having suffered centuries of oppression and humiliation under imperialism. A handful of these countries share, to varying degrees of commitment or realisation, a socialist political orientation. Objectively, China’s current 2022 per capita income (U$12,850) makes it a developing country.<a href="#_edn85" name="_ednref85"><sup>85</sup></a> It is also because of this common historical background that Xi Jinping in his BRICS Business Forum 2023 speech (read by Wang Wentao) stated: ‘As a developing country and a member of the Global South, China breathes the same breath with other developing countries and pursues a shared future with them’.<a href="#_edn86" name="_ednref86"><sup>86</sup></a></p>
<p>The genealogical roots of the Global South can be traced to the Third World Project that attempted to shift the international balance of forces in favour of the interests of the newly politically independent but economically indentured countries in the mid-20<sup>th</sup> century. This included efforts of the Bandung Conference (1955), Non-Alignment Movement (1961), Organisation of Solidarity with the People of Asia, Africa, and Latin America (1966), and the pursuit of a New International Economic Order (1974) through the formation of the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (1964) by developing countries.<a href="#_edn87" name="_ednref87"><sup>87</sup></a></p>
<p>These countries hold historical and contemporary marginalisation in the global economic and political order in common. One of the most poignant but devastating examples of this commonality is the environmental and ecological damage that the Global North has visited upon Global South countries. Resource extraction and financial speculation on land and crops has led to deforestation, habitat destruction, soil degradation, and water pollution. This has created significant loss of biodiversity and large swathes of uncultivatable agricultural land – destroying local ecosystems and species and resulting in widespread hunger.</p>
<p>In addition, Global North multinational corporations are responsible for air, water, and soil pollution through nefarious methods; neo-liberalism ensures that there are no regulations to prevent these practices. Prohibited in the Global North but widespread in the Global South, agrochemicals and the generation of hazardous and other waste materials have increased health risks, especially to Indigenous people, women, children, and elders.<a href="#_edn88" name="_ednref88"><sup>88</sup></a> Manufacturing, mining, energy, and transportation companies continuously emit greenhouse gases, the greatest contributor to climate change, putting the Global South in imminent danger of catastrophe. Direct Foreign Investment by Global North multinational corporations have decimated the environment, destroyed agricultural lands, and increased the precarity of all working peoples. At the same time, the Global North uses the climate crisis to push more land grabbing and privatisation of biodiverse resources through the financialisation of nature.<a href="#_edn89" name="_ednref89"><sup>89</sup></a></p>
<p>All these 145 countries are now enduring the immense pressure of imperialist over-expansion. Some of the common challenges these countries continue to face include but are not limited to historical underdevelopment, primary sector dependence, limited industrialisation, external debt, trade imbalances, technological gaps, infrastructural deficit, and disproportionate environmental crisis.</p>
<p>Disillusioned by the challenges mentioned above, growing sections of the new bourgeoisie in Global South countries – who emerged through rapid economic growth over the past two decades, particularly in Asia – are gradually losing confidence in the political, economic, and moral leadership of both the United States and Europe. New centres of economic power, such as China, offer alternative development and investment models (e.g., through initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative) and have become more attractive to the Global South bourgeoisie.</p>
<p>Among the 145 countries of the Global South, six groupings of countries can be identified. While each grouping has some identifiable shared traits, importantly, the grouping number correlates to the descending order of countries considered to be a threat to the US-led Anglo-American imperialist bloc. Membership in the groupings is dynamic and can change according to the political and economic conjuncture.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 1: Six Independent Socialist Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 1: Socialist Independent</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,426</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30,217</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,404</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK<br>
Japan<br>
US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1949</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1977</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,321</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,284</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France<br>
Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Venezuela</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">28</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">197</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-11.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,302</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1811</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laos</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">69</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,207</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1953</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DPR Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1959</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1,597</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>31,804</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>20,577</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>20.0%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>19.4%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 1: Socialist Independent</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">291,958</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Venezuela</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laos</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DPR Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>291,963</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>5</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>1</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>10.2%</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 25</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 1: Socialist Independent</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>China</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vietnam</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Venezuela</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Laos</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DPR Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cuba</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>5 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>5 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>All six countries in Grouping 1 (Figure 25) are advancing socialism to varying degrees, and often take progressive international positions. Five of the six are in the Group of Friends in Defence of the UN Charter.</p>
<p>China is the critical member in this grouping. Its GDP, measured by purchasing power parity, ranks first globally, almost tripling India’s. China’s GDP (PPP) corresponds to 119% of the United States’.<a href="#_edn90" name="_ednref90"><sup>90</sup></a> It has made the most significant advancement in human development by lifting 850 million people out of extreme poverty in the last four decades.<a href="#_edn91" name="_ednref91"><sup>91</sup></a> Though it does not seek hegemony over the world system, it is viewed by the US and its allies as the prime threat to their hegemony, labelled in recent years as a ‘near-peer’ competitor in US State and Defence Departments’ strategy documents. China not only represents an economic threat but, with the resurgence of a stronger communist party under President Xi Jinping, represents a major political threat with its overt revitalisation of socialist and communist traditions. China is thrust by its national and social interests and its historical support for the Global South into the role of supporting counter-hegemonic processes and projects. China continues to publicly state a commitment to ‘narrowing the North-South gap’.<a href="#_edn92" name="_ednref92"><sup>92</sup></a></p>
<p>While China represents the major economic and political challenge to Global North hegemony today, Cuba and Venezuela represent the frontline of historical, socialist resistance. Cuba continues to push back against the suffering caused by the over six decades of the US-led economic embargo and blockade. Cuba and heavily sanctioned Venezuela have made no attempt to hide their pursuit of a socialist agenda. DPR Korea remains the West’s ‘bogeyman’ in the east, while Laos and Viet Nam have long-standing communist parties at the helm of their governments and are undergoing rapid economic development.</p>
<p>Ever since the founding of the Soviet Union, the world’s left forces have faced a contradiction between the needs of the state and people of the socialist projects and the needs of the working class in specific countries or regions. Strategic thinking by the working-class leaders in all countries is required to keep ‘contradictions amongst the people’ non-antagonistic and ensure that the decisive blow is directed at the centre of imperialism. Pursuing the dictum that communists have ‘no interests separate and apart from those of the proletariat as a whole’, requires an investigation of the concrete.<a href="#_edn93" name="_ednref93"><sup>93</sup></a> For example, defeats such as the fall of the Soviet Union are catastrophic for all workers. Numerous tactical decisions must be made to take advantage of the cracks in the imperialist camp to protect socialist projects and movements, whether in power or not.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 2: Ten Strongly Sovereign Seeking Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 26</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 2: Strongly Sovereign Seeking</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">145</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,770</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,253</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iran</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">89</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,617</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,865</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belarus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">210</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22,679</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burkina Faso</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,549</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mali</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">57</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,514</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1958</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,025</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1958</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">40</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,518</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Syria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Afghanistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2021</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eritrea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1993</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 395</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 6,795</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 20,938</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>8 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5.0%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 26</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 2: Strongly Sovereign Seeking</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">86,373</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iran</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,847</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belarus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">821</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burkina Faso</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">563</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mali</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">515</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">441</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">243</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Syria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Afghanistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eritrea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">28</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong> 95,802</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong> 8</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>40</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3.3%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 26</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 2: Strongly Sovereign Seeking</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iran</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belarus</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Observer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burkina Faso</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mali</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Niger</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Syria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Afghanistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Observer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eritrea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>9 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>7 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Countries in this grouping (Figure 26) are not socialist states but are prime targets of US-led regime change. These countries are fiercely defending their sovereignty and that of others (as seen by seven out of the nine voting against the US-backed resolution for Russian withdrawal in February 2023 and their full support of a ceasefire in Gaza).</p>
<p>Although these nations have different reasons for doing so, they face some of the most acute situations of the struggle for national sovereignty. They are on the frontline of the Global South’s struggle against imperialism. Whilst they are all either fully or partially economically dependent on the West, they are actively pursuing political independence. They are, therefore, subjected to extreme hybrid warfare from imperialism; put simply, most of these countries are included in US intelligence’s critical targets for regime change.</p>
<p>Particularly since the US-backed, right-wing coup in Ukraine in February 2014, followed by Crimea’s annexation for unification, Russia has been a primary target for regime change by the imperialist camp. The US and its allies have dedicated considerable resources towards weakening, dismantling, and denuclearising Russia; the US has provided more than US$ 90 billion in military assistance to Ukraine for the campaign against Russia from February 2014 to February 2022.<a href="#_edn94" name="_ednref94"><sup>94</sup></a> Belarus is geopolitically and economically aligned with Russia (such as through the Collective Security Treaty Organisation, formed in 1992, as well as the Union State of Belarus and Russia, formed in 1996) and, therefore, remains within the crosshairs of US intelligence.</p>
<p>Since the 1978 and 1979 revolutions that ousted US-aligned leaders, Afghanistan and Iran have been targets of US military intervention and political interference. Iran has been an obstacle to Western advances in the region, with its nuclear energy programme, strong regional influence in proxy conflicts, and consistent anti-Western (and anti-Israeli) posture. Afghanistan was invaded by the US in 2001, with the US spending two decades and over US$ 2 trillion (US$ 300 million a day) to gain a foothold in central Asia – eventually withdrawing in 2021.<a href="#_edn95" name="_ednref95"><sup>95</sup></a> Since 2011, Syria has been a battleground for US attempts to secure control over the whole of West Asia, a war that proves journalist Patrick Seale’s 1965 definition of Syria – ‘the mirror of rival interests’.<a href="#_edn96" name="_ednref96"><sup>96</sup></a></p>
<p>This group is growing, with countries such as Eritrea, Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger taking bolder steps to protect their national sovereignty. Eritrea has had a long-term hostility towards the US and being a target of US intervention via Ethiopia. Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger have rejected the neo-colonial presence of France in the Sahel and removed their Western-aligned political leaders. They have established both the Sahel Economic Alliance and the Alliance of Sahel States, aiming for economic and military cooperation. However, their political situation is still unstable, and they are struggling to guarantee their actual independence from imperialist powers. <strong><br>
</strong></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 3: Eleven Countries Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 27</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 3: Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">215</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,837</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,897</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1822</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Colombia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,720</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1819</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">60</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">953</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,728</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1931</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Algeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">45</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">584</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,900</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nepal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">144</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,787</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bolivia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">119</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,936</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1825</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,832</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicaragua</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,229</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zimbabwe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,603</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,364</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Israel, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Namibia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1990</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,080</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Germany, S. Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1990</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>456</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6,826</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15,397</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>10 Col</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5.7%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.2%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 27</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 3: Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20,211</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Colombia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,938</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,995</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Algeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,146</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nepal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">428</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bolivia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">640</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">478</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicaragua</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zimbabwe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">182</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Namibia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">369</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>44,471</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>7</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>20</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 27</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 3: Current or Historic Progressive</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Brazil</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Colombia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Africa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Algeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nepal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bolivia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Honduras</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nicaragua</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zimbabwe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palestine</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Namibia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>5</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>10 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>6 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>The countries listed in Figure 27 are allocated to this grouping based on two essential concerns: the relative degree to which they are targets of regime change and their role in publicly advancing international anti-imperialist stances. Those in this grouping are either the next in line for regime change (following Grouping 2) or are playing a clear role in speaking out against the interests of the imperialist camp.</p>
<p>Regarding countries that pursue progressive agendas, examples include Brazil under the Workers’ Party (PT) and South Africa under the tripartite alliance (which includes the African National Congress, the South African Communist Party, and the Congress of South African Trade Unions), with the former showing leadership in building alternative intergovernmental institutions such as the South American Nations Union (UNASUR) in 2008, Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) in 2011, and the IBSA Dialogue Forum, which was supplemented by BRICS by 2009, with the latter playing an important role in building the African Union. These countries sometimes defend progressive international positions such as standing with Cuba against US sanctions in international organisations. Nepal abolished the monarchy in 2008, established a republic led by the left and has made significant strides in legally and politically emancipating historically marginalised communities.</p>
<p>Palestine has been under occupation and siege for over seven decades. Algeria has staunchly supported Palestinian self-determination and independence and, within the African Union, has been influential in promoting progressive stances on African unity and economic development. Following the popular coup in Niger, Algeria was the only African state to promptly advocate for non-military solutions to political crises.</p>
<p>These countries attempt to find a path of sovereign development within a global capitalist system yet confront severe internal contradictions. For example, South Africa was forced into significant economic concessions in the 1990s, including deindustrialisation and privatisation, leading to catastrophic results. Today, 57% of South Africans live below the poverty line, 46% are unemployed, and the share of manufacturing to the GDP has decreased from 25% in 1981 – during apartheid rule – to 12% in 2022.<a href="#_edn97" name="_ednref97"><sup>97</sup></a></p>
<p>Unlike China, for example, these nations have seen their revolutionary potential curtailed – or their revolutions did not culminate in socialism – but have tried to pursue progressive agendas in domestic, regional, and/or international spheres. These countries are considered by the US to have political positions that are inimical to the hegemony of the Global North. Many of these countries have experienced US interventions, hybrid warfare, sanctions, and government overthrows. Recent instances of these interventions include the coups in Honduras (2009), Brazil (2016), and Bolivia (2019). Zimbabwe continues to face US sanctions.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 4: Five New Non-Aligned Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 28</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 4: New Non-Aligned</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,417</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,901</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,398</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indonesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1950</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">276</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,037</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,687</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">85</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,353</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,314</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mexico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">128</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,064</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,548</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1810</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">36</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,150</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">66,836</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1,942</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>24,505</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>12,634</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>3 Col</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>24.3%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>15.0%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 28</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 4: New Non-Aligned</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">81,363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indonesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,987</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,645</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mexico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,536</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75,013</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">21</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>184,543</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>1</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>4</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>34</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>6.4%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 28</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 4: New Non-Aligned</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>India</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Original</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Indonesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkey</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mexico</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>4 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>1 Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>With sizable economies of scale, the non-alignment that characterises countries in this grouping is economic, not political (Figure 28). These non-socialist countries are not reviving the political project of the Non-Aligned Movement. Most of these countries have had 50 years or more of independence from former colonial rulers and today have very different relationships to them.</p>
<p>Economically, all five non-aligned countries have significant GDPs (all ranking in the top 20 largest economies in GDP (PPP) terms in 2022) and are taking increasingly independent economic measures.</p>
<p>These countries have recognised that the US hoarding of foreign exchange reserves and sanctions against countries with 30% of the world’s population poses severe threats. Today, more than one in four countries are subject to UN or Western government sanctions, while 29% of the global GDP is produced in sanctioned countries, up from 4% in 1960s.<a href="#_edn98" name="_ednref98"><sup>98</sup></a></p>
<p>Politically, they are ambivalent. Militarily, Indonesia, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia maintain very close relations with the United States. Saudi Arabia is one of the largest purchasers of advanced US weapons. Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdoğan is a less reliable partner for the West, notwithstanding Turkey being a NATO member.</p>
<p>This grouping shows highly contradictory behaviours on the international stage. They show some degree of slowly decreasing economic dependence on and alignment with the West and/or are prepared to oppose it on some key issues.</p>
<p>Despite India’s alignment with the US in organisations such as the QUAD, or its reactionary positions on Israel in its war on Gaza, since the start of the war in Ukraine, India has refused to accede to some important US demands, such as refusing to implement US sanctions against Russia. External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar vocally defended his government’s refusal to accede to Washington’s pressure, saying at a press conference in June 2023, ‘A lot of Americans still have that NATO treaty construct in their heads… It seems almost like that is the only template or viewpoint with which they look at the world… That is not a template that applies to India’.<a href="#_edn99" name="_ednref99"><sup>99</sup></a> The conflict with Canada, and now with the US, over alleged Indian intelligence operations in their countries, is complicating the plan of the US to gain the support of India against China. The big national bourgeoisie of India is beginning to assert their interests.</p>
<p>Saudi Arabia differs from the US when its economic self-interests dictate, e.g., increasing Saudi-China investments (including oil deals paid in Chinese yuan) and using its partnership with Russia at OPEC+ to define the global price of oil. However, simultaneously, at the run-up to the Arab League summit in November 2023, Saudi Arabia blocked Algerian efforts to close US bases, blocked Iranian proposed military aid to Palestine, stopped a proposed trade boycott, and refused to curtail oil shipments to Israel. The Pentagon, CIA, and Saudi Arabia were front-line allies in the recent war against Yemen that took tens of thousands of lives. The US Special Forces provided Saudi pilots with the bombing coordinates of their targets.<a href="#_edn100" name="_ednref100"><sup>100</sup></a></p>
<p>Indonesia, home to the largest Islamic population in the world, has had a compounded average growth rate of the GDP (PPP) of 4.2% between 2012 and 2022.<a href="#_edn101" name="_ednref101"><sup>101</sup></a> According to IMF forecasts, by 2030, Indonesia could be the fifth largest economy in the world by GDP (PPP). Its state-owned enterprises’ assets as a share of GDP increased from 43% in 2014 to 54% in 2018.<a href="#_edn102" name="_ednref102"><sup>102</sup></a> In 2020, Indonesia banned the exports of raw nickel, a key component of lithium batteries. Indonesia accounted for 39% of global nickel production in 2022. Its total exports in current terms surged from US$ 183 to US$ 323 billion between 2020 and 2022.<a href="#_edn103" name="_ednref103"><sup>103</sup></a> On 2 February 2023, during the Mandiri Investment Forum in Jakarta, President Joko Widodo warned, ‘We must remember the sanctions imposed by the US on Russia. Visa and Mastercard could be a problem’. He also stated that, ‘If we use our own platforms, and everybody is using them, from ministries and local administrations to municipal governments, then we can be more secure’. Yet, in November 2023, the US (an active participant in the torture and assassination of 500,000+ Indonesian communists) and Indonesia signed an agreement upgrading their relations to a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership.<a href="#_edn104" name="_ednref104"><sup>104</sup></a> Indonesia withdrew its application to join BRICS in 2023 and has expressed public interest in becoming an OECD member.</p>
<p>Confronted with a war of aggression under international law, 1846 was the de facto moment that consolidated the emerging US imperial project in Mexico. Forced to exchange land for peace and cede 50% of its territory, the new Mexico-US border became a historical line that internally constitutes an inexorable and preordained determination. On the other hand, Mexico has a history that relentlessly returns to its anti-colonial roots, Indigenous culture, and anti-imperialist modern history. Very little analysis is given to the complex interdependency of Mexico and the US, e.g., in population, culture, economics, but perhaps more significant in terms of geopolitical security for the viability of US hegemony.<a href="#_edn105" name="_ednref105"><sup>105</sup></a> The government of López Obrador is, at multiple levels, an attempt of the Mexican social movements to launch a low intensity counter-neo-liberal reform. The concentration is on recovering the public property of all strategic resources, launching a new agrarian reform, and reclaiming land as social property. The current agrarian reform in Mexico guaranties by law the registration of 50.6 % of the territory as social communal property in the hands of campesinos and Indigenous communities (29,803 agrarian communes on 99.7 million hectares). However, the 2020 United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA, formerly the North America Free Trade Agreement) represents a constant impediment to the uncoupling or disentanglement of Mexico’s political position vis-à-vis the emerging Global South. In June 2023, the US began preliminary proceedings (through USMCA arbitration) to block the presidential decree that would take various measures to ban genetically modified corn, which makes up 96% of US corn exports.<a href="#_edn106" name="_ednref106"><sup>106</sup></a> The US is exhibiting more aggressive and interventionist policies to undermine the long and hard-fought historical gains of Mexican sovereignty. In 2022, Mexican President López Obrador refused to attend the VIII Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles after news emerged that the United States would not invite Cuban, Venezuelan, and Nicaraguan leaders to the meeting.</p>
<p>The five countries in this grouping have differing political, economic, or military perspectives and different nuanced levels of closeness to the Global North. However, their growing new national bourgeoisies are gradually seeking alternative economic relations and occasional political divergences with the US, albeit out of self-interest and self-preservation. The question of the new national bourgeoisie emerging in the Global South is outside the scope of this text; it will be addressed in our 2024 research on capital formation and ownership in the Global South.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 5: One Hundred and Eleven Diverse Global South Countries</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 29</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information for top 20 countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">111</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,676</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,174</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1922</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">236</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,520</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,695</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">72</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,482</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,154</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,343</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,971</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,281</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,909</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,226</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,484</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1816</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,137</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34,834</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">835</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84,657</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">719</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">127,563</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">603</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30,523</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">579</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29,221</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1818</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">523</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,310</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">505</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,948</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1932</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">37</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,900</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France, Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">123</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">358</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,435</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">35</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">340</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,634</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">320</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,267</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">311</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,151</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">309</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">109,160</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">261</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,847</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>…</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2,242</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>21,171</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>9,687</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>103 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>28.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>12.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 29</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information for top 20 countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,646</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,337</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,724</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,806</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,109</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,578</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,671</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,688</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,133</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,566</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,845</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,683</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,995</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,031</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,053</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,138</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,412</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15.9</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,857</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>…</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>131,182</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>63</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>192</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 29</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information for top 20 countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>…</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>77 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>20 Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>There are 111 countries that are not included in the previous Global South four groupings above, due to multiple diversities. Figure 29 lists the twenty largest economies; the full list is in the appendix. They do not share the same political views nor governmental systems. Eswatini, Qatar, and Bhutan are still governed by monarchies, whilst Libya, Syria, and Somalia do not have a single governing authority. A handful of countries have abandoned socialist agendas after being hamstrung by Western development finance, such as in the case of Angola and Mozambique. Due to imperialist political and economic intervention, a series of countries in this grouping suffer severe governmental dysfunctionality (breakdown of governance, authority, and law), and are almost entirely unable to provide for their people.</p>
<p>The economic performance of these countries varies significantly. For example, despite Nigeria being the second largest economy in Africa and having a GDP (PPP) fourteen times that of Cambodia, the former has seen a 0.4% negative annual average growth rate between 2012 and 2022, while the latter grew by an annual 5.3%.</p>
<p>Among these countries, they have different levels of military allegiance to the Global North. Egypt has been a strategic partner of Israel and the United States since 1979, while Bangladesh, Comoros, and Djibouti participated in submitting a referral to the International Criminal Court regarding the situation in the State of Palestine on 17 November 2023.</p>
<p>They have a range of internal conflicts and territorial disputes, such as in the case of Morocco’s colonial occupation of Western Sahara, beginning in 1975.<a href="#_edn106" name="_ednref106"><sup>106</sup></a> Others, for example the Democratic Republic of Congo and Haiti, are subjected to UN military interventions, where other Global South countries take part.</p>
<p>Countries in Grouping 5 participate in diverse multilateral platforms with both Global South and Global North nations. Membership in this grouping can change should a country develop more distinctive characteristics. For example, whilst Argentina has played historically progressive roles in the region, the recent right-wing drift currently precludes membership in that grouping today. Therefore, this is not a static or permanent position.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">GS Grouping 6: Two De Facto US Military Colonies</h3>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 30</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 6: Heavily US Militarised</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">52</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,780</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53,845</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">116</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,495</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>167</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3,951</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>24,210</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>2 Col</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2.4%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 30</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 6: Heavily US Militarised</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46,365</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">62</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">11</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>50,331</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>2</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>73</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>1.8%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 30</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 6: Heavily US Militarised</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">International Affiliations</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">UN Votes</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Philippines</td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>0 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>0 N+Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>The peoples of these two nations (Figure 30) largely align with the Global South. Both countries have had pro-US leaders, as well as independent-leaning leaders. However, these countries are – militarily – entirely controlled by the US.</p>
<p>Historically, both nations have been subordinated to the US through military conquest. After WWII, when the US had militarily occupied the Korean peninsula, and, later, at the end of the Korean War, the Republic of Korea retained a large US military presence. Its economic reconstruction was almost entirely funded and directed by the US. Following the Spanish-American War, the Philippines was a US colony for nearly five decades (1898–1946).</p>
<p>This vassalage is evident today: after the elections of Yoon Suk-yeol in the Republic of Korea and Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in the Philippines in 2022, both have served as frontline positions in containing China. In February 2023, the Philippines invited the US to expand its military presence in the country by adding four more bases to the existing five US-operated bases – 30 years after Philippine lawmakers ruled to end permanently the US military presence in the country. The Republic of Korea has also increased the military expansion of the US, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/the-spirit-of-camp-david-joint-statement-of-japan-the-republic-of-korea-and-the-united-states/">participating</a> alongside Japan ‘to inaugurate a new era of trilateral partnership’ with the US.<a href="#_edn108" name="_ednref108"><sup>108</sup></a> In addition, the General Security of Military Information Agreement between Japan and the Republic of Korea, facilitated by their closer alignment with the US, expands intelligence sharing between the two countries to include ‘threats from China and Russia’.<a href="#_edn109" name="_ednref109"><sup>109</sup></a> Their military expenditures should be attributed to the US-Led Military Bloc.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 31</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Global South countries with per capita military spending exceeding world average (excl. Russia)</h3>
<p>2022</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country Name (GSI)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military Spending<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">US Dollars (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Percentage of<br>
GDP (CER)</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Per Capita<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">&gt;world avg. (times)</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Saudi Arabia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">75,013</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep. Korea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46,365</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,412</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15.9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,688</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,244</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,783</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,739</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,381</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,376</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">436</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on IMF, UN, SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<p>Figure 31 lists all Global South countries with military spending exceeding the world average (except Russia, which was shown earlier). Many of these countries have close military relations with the United States but are not listed in Grouping 6.</p>
<h1>PART IV: The West in Decline</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Erosion of United States Economic and Political Hegemony</h2>
<p>US slowing economic growth, measured by a decelerating GDP growth rate, fall of net investment as a share of GDP, higher levels of unutilised productive capacity, and unemployment/underemployment began in the mid-1960s and accelerated from the early-to-mid 1970s.<a href="#_edn110" name="_ednref110"><sup>110</sup></a>The transition to the US becoming a net importer of capital exacerbated the contradictions of monopoly capital.</p>
<p>The change in the US capital account to becoming dependent on continuous large-scale import of capital from the 1980s onwards is key to a financialised wealth generation process and a crucial economic mechanism of US imperialism. The world’s capital assets are preponderantly in US dollars and feed the overall position of US monopoly-finance capital.</p>
<p>By 2009, the US began to plan its pivot to Asia to curtail China’s economic growth. Under the Obama period, the US began to move against the World Trade Organisation. This period also marked the increased reliance on tariffs, sanctions, protectionism, and hybrid warfare.</p>
<p>Given that it is now dependent on large scale net capital imports, which by 2022 reached US$ 1 trillion a year, the US has little internal economic ability to provide economic advantages to its Global North or Global South allies.<a href="#_edn111" name="_ednref111"><sup>111</sup></a> Indeed, it needs to continue to attempt to hollow out even more surplus from them.</p>
<p>Under neo-liberalism, the relative autonomy of the US state eroded, and private capital exerted more direct control of much of the state. Today, however, faced with rising international economic threats to the US position, and the failure of neo-liberalism to maintain US economic dominance, the collective political interests of the ruling class are being asserted by an increasingly autonomous state (as opposed to representing the interests of individual capitalist groups). To borrow from Lenin, for the capitalists also, ‘politics must take precedence over economics’.<a href="#_edn112" name="_ednref112"><sup>112</sup></a></p>
<p>Financialisation or accumulation under the phase of monopoly-finance capital is truly a parasitic development aimed at drawing blood from a sponge and marking the structural crisis of capital. US capital has an internal contradiction. As US capital seeks to increase surplus extraction from its own working class, it risks losing support for its external military wars, which are aimed at removing international obstacles to US capitalist economic interests. The US ruling class is therefore forced into simultaneous attacks on the Global South and its own working class – this necessitated the rise of increasingly right-wing currents in US capitalism. In the 1930s, the US had sufficient reserves to confront a deep crisis of capitalism with a reformist domestic programme, unlike the open attack on the working class in Germany or Japan. However, it took WWII for the US to escape the economic depression not, as is popularly purported, the Keynesian New Deal. Today, in this new situation, the US has no alternative but to rely on combining external aggression with an increasingly repressive domestic agenda.</p>
<p>The US utilises inflation to attempt to increase profits – a trend exacerbated by military spending and the debt it incurs. Interest on US military debt accounts for around 70% of US federal government net interest payments. In the 1970s, the US was able to manage the consequences of its Viet Nam Bonanza in military spending by removing itself from the gold standard to push the cost of this debt onto other countries. This successful attack on imperialist rivals strengthened US economic and financial power compared to them.</p>
<p>An accurate historical perspective, as well as short-term shifts, is required when analysing a potential decline of an empire. In Europe, the transition from slavery to feudalism took several centuries as did the transition from feudalism to capitalism. France was still fighting remnants of feudalism in the 19<sup>th</sup> century, hundreds of years after European capitalism had begun on a small scale in Italian city-states.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93809 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-32-e1705412531537.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-32.png"></p>
</div>
<p>The relative economic decline of an imperialist state can be traced by its increasing need to extract capital from abroad – with the UK and US both following a similar historical trend. The UK stopped being an exporter capital beginning in the early 1930s (Figure 32).</p>
<p>A country’s balance of payments is equal to the difference between its domestic capital creation (savings/surplus) and its domestic capital investment. If a country’s ‘domestic’ capital creation is larger than its domestic investment, it is, therefore, exporting capital and runs a balance of payments surplus. If a country’s domestic capital creation is less than its ‘domestic’ capital investment, it runs a balance of payments deficit and is importing capital, that is, it has a surplus in its capital account.</p>
<p>From 1913 to the early 1980s, with rare exceptions, the US generated more surplus than it invested ‘domestically’. It had a surplus of capital that it could invest in other countries and extend its international hegemony not only through violence. Post-WWII, the particular beneficiaries of this were imperialist countries whom the US wished to enmesh, integrate, and dominate, as seen by the Marshall Plan in Europe. Other beneficiaries, such as the Republic of Korea, became military frontier states to constrain Russia and China and thus received US economic investment.</p>
<p>By the late 1960s, the US understood that the most urgent economic, as opposed to political, threat did not come from communism. The attention began to focus on curtailing the growth of other capitalist rivals. A few capitalist economies – first Germany in the immediate post-war period and then Japan until the late 1970s – achieved investment rates far higher than the US, reaching 30% of the GDP or above. This enabled these countries to achieve higher GDP growth rates than the US. This was a historical result of the immense defeats of the German and Japanese working classes by fascism – the consequences of which continued into the post-war period. German and Japanese capitalists were able to increase the rates of exploitation, which financed high rates of capital investment. Simultaneously, their ‘late industrialisation’ also allowed them access to better quality technology, which further increased productivity. While the US was prepared to accept the economic consequences of this in the immediate post-war period, the continuation of this process began to impact US economic growth.</p>
<p>To prevent effective economic competition from these countries, the United States used political and military pressure to force down their rates of investment and, therefore, growth rates. The decoupling of the US dollar from gold in 1971, and therefore the removal of restraints on the weaponisation of the US control of the international monetary system, played a key role in this process.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93820 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-33-e1705412978934.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-33.png"></p>
</div>
<p>The numbers in Figure 33, positive or negative, show the balance between domestic savings/capital creation and domestic investment over the span of 120 years. A positive number, for example, 0.8% for 1929, means the US is saving/creating more capital than it is investing domestically, i.e., it is lending/exporting capital abroad. A negative number, for example -3.9% of GNP for 2022, means US domestic investment is higher than US domestic capital creation/saving. Thus, there is an inflow of capital of 3.9% of GNP from abroad. A positive number represents an outflow of capital from the US, and a negative number indicates an inflow of capital into the US.<a href="#_edn113" name="_ednref113"><sup>113</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93830 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-34-e1705413026831.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-34.png"></p>
</div>
<p>But despite this ability to slow down imperialist rivals, the US proved incapable of raising its own economic growth rate (to achieve a new higher rate of investment and exploitation), partly because of the withdrawal of US-based capitalists from long-term productive investments within the United States. Indeed, US economic growth decelerated further – the average annual economic growth of the US today is only 2.0%, less than half its growth rate in the 1960s and far behind the rate of growth of China or indeed of a series of Asian states. Figure 34 shows that the US has had a long-term overall decline in average growth rate since 1953.</p>
<p>Confronted with this situation the US has subsequently turned to tariffs, economic sanctions, and technology bans, leading to an increasingly protectionist environment. However, despite this economic decline, as already analysed, the US still maintains a military lead over all other states. US Imperialism, therefore, now turns to a growing reliance on force.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93840 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-35-e1705413276761.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-35.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Tracing the processes underlying this and showing the inability of the US to raise its rate of growth without a complete restructuring of the US economy (which is not on the agenda), Line 1 in Figure 35 shows that from 1965 onwards, US net saving/capital creation progressively fell until by 2009 it was -2.7% of GNI. Line 2 shows that from the 1980s on, US borrowing from abroad, the use of capital imported from other countries, began to rise sharply. By 2002, for the first time, US borrowing from abroad was higher than its domestic net capital creation – i.e., for the first time, even the immediate increase in US capital stock was being financed more by capital from other countries than from the US itself. This slightly reversed and then fluctuated until 2020, when, once again, more of the addition to the US capital stock was financed from other countries.</p>
<p>To summarise this overall process, the US has structured the world economy to its advantage. Its corporations obtain gargantuan amounts of surplus value through the global arbitrage in the Global South and the entire imperial system forces US dollars on foreign countries – including via not only economic processes but through US military bases and other means. The aim is to create a system whereby countries have no choice but to put their US dollars into US securities, financing the US deficit and US domestic investment. This is how global monopoly-finance capital, which is an advanced form of financial imperialism backed by military and political power, works.</p>
<p>What is upsetting this system is that monopoly capital is relatively stagnant in terms of production (the real economy), which has allowed China and other countries in the Global South to leap forward in production. Hudson’s <em>Super Imperialism </em>provides useful insight on what the consequences would be if the US lost its dollar hegemony.<a href="#_edn114" name="_ednref114"><sup>114</sup></a></p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93850 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-36-e1705413371383.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-36.png"></p>
</div>
<p>Figure 36 shows that China has outpaced the US in net fixed capital formation, whilst the US has seen a gradual decline. Whilst this section does not cover the rise of China, it should be noted here that every year since 1992, for 30 years, China has been a net exporter of capital. It is this surplus of capital that makes economically possible the financing of international initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).</p>
<p>This becomes a critical factor in understanding that two nuclei of international processes are developing:</p>
<ul>
<li>The US has increasingly become a fetter on the development of the productive forces domestically and globally.</li>
<li>China is now focused on the development of its national productive forces and on working with the developing nations as a whole. This presents a new path to modernisation through the development of the world’s productive forces taken as a whole (through the BRI, the Global Development Initiative, and various continental-scale industrialisation projects).</li>
</ul>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">The Sunsetting of Bourgeois Liberal Democracy</h3>
<p>Some outside of the US have long held an illusion that democracy in the US has existed for centuries and has only recently been defaced. In 1776, both wings of US capital, those led by Alexander Hamilton and those led by Thomas Jefferson (a slave owner), ensured that only property-owning white males like themselves had the right to vote. From 1776 onwards, property rights were sacrosanct and subordinated all other rights.</p>
<p>‘Freedom of speech’ was effectively restricted to those who owned the means of material production. As Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels wrote in <em>The German Ideology </em>(1846), these were generally those who owned the means of mental production, that is, the media, beginning with the printing press. In some cases, this right extended to those known to have fringe or no support, or others who were no threat to the system. Those opposing capitalist class interests who had the chance of any significant support were subjected to suppression, imprisonment, and sanctioning, as well as judicial murder or assassination. Bourgeois democracy was always a vehicle for protecting property rights. Only the pressure of the US to defend itself against socialist projects internationally in the twentieth century temporarily extended voting rights to black people and increased the appearance of free speech and other civil liberties.</p>
<p>There is a great misunderstanding internationally about the US electoral parties. From their inception, neither the Democratic nor Republican parties were formed as mass membership parties. They have been primarily top-down associations of propertied elites and professional class allies, closely aligned with the status quo. Third parties have practically no influence in the US system, a political party duopoly. The Democratic National Committee and the Republican National Committee that run their respective parties are formally organised as not-for-profit, tax-exempt corporations. They are primarily money-based, vote-gathering machines that periodically attract voters in the context of electoral contests and thus are quite distinct from membership political parties like many European parties. Although there are registered Democrats and Republicans, this mainly affects the right to vote in their respective primaries. Party affiliation for the vast majority of the population, thus, does not go beyond votes cast in particular elections. Therefore, around half of US voters see themselves as politically independent, not attached to either of the major parties. Indeed, neither political party, when in office, reflects the interests of the majority of the US population.</p>
<p>One of the most poignant written words on the hypocrisy of America’s self-proclaimed greatness is found in a poem by Langston Hughes:</p>
<blockquote><p>Let America be America again.<br>
Let it be the dream it used to be.<br>
Let it be the pioneer on the plain<br>
Seeking a home where he himself is free.</p>
<p>(America never was America to me.)</p>
<p>Let America be the dream the dreamers dreamed—<br>
Let it be that great strong land of love<br>
Where never kings connive nor tyrants scheme<br>
That any man be crushed by one above.</p>
<p>(It never was America to me.)</p>
<p>O, let my land be a land where Liberty<br>
Is crowned with no false patriotic wreath,<br>
But opportunity is real, and life is free,<br>
Equality is in the air we breathe.</p>
<p>(There’s never been equality for me,<br>
Nor freedom in this ‘homeland of the free’.)</p>
<p>…</p>
<p>Who said the free? Not me?<br>
Surely not me? The millions on relief today?<br>
The millions shot down when we strike?<br>
The millions who have nothing for our pay?<br>
For all the dreams we’ve dreamed<br>
And all the songs we’ve sung<br>
And all the hopes we’ve held<br>
And all the flags we’ve hung,<br>
The millions who have nothing for our pay —<br>
Except the dream that’s almost dead today.<a href="#_edn115" name="_ednref115"><sup>115</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Large sections of the capitalist class in the Global North and their hangers-on indulged in a period of euphoria caused by the demise of the Soviet Union in 1991. They deluded themselves into believing in the ‘end of history’ with aspirations for a perpetual unipolar world. The War on Terror campaign espoused by the US was a brilliantly constructed methodology to gain support for militarism.</p>
<p>Between 2006 and 2009, new realities began to set in:</p>
<ul>
<li>The demise of the Soviet Union did not result in Yeltsin’s promise of a de-nuclearised Russia nor the permanent establishment of a Russian government entirely following US directions. The usual cries of ‘who failed in Russia?’ followed.</li>
<li>US strategic circles began to announce the idea (both amoral and unscientific) that the US could achieve first-strike nuclear war capability.</li>
<li>In the face of NATO’s continuing eastward expansion and claims of the United States to be on the verge of nuclear primacy, Vladimir Putin delivered his Munich speech in February 2007, marking the end of any illusions about Russia being adopted into the Anglo-American club. In that speech, Putin criticised the ‘almost uncontained hyper use of force – military force – in international relations’ and suggested that the world must not be governed by ‘one master, one sovereign’.<a href="#_edn116" name="_ednref116"><sup>116</sup></a></li>
<li>The creation of the Centre for New American Security in 2007 marked a historic marriage of two groups of foreign policy elites, the mainly Republican neo-conservatives and the largely Democratic liberal hawks. Their joint strategy was to move to target Russia via Ukraine immediately.</li>
<li>Led by populist neo-fascists, the Tea Party arose in 2009. It appealed to the petty bourgeoisie and a section of the upper strata (mainly but not exclusively white) of the working class who had made little to no economic progress and feared a loss of privilege. This signalled the ending of the so-called bipartisan consensus that had dominated the US system for decades.</li>
<li>The bubble caused by financialisation turned into the Third Great Depression starting in 2008, the most significant economic crisis since the 1930s.</li>
<li>There was growing evidence that there would be no Gorbachev in China to lead the surrender of the Chinese Revolution.</li>
<li>The ‘Pivot to Asia’, which is more precisely the pivot to China, and a strategy for the US control of Eurasia, was devised.</li>
</ul>
<p>China’s economy continued to expand rapidly after the beginning of the Third Great Depression, while the Western economies were anaemic.<a href="#_edn117" name="_ednref117"><sup>117</sup></a> In 2016, China exceeded the US in terms of GDP (PPP), and there was palpable fear that by 2030, China would surpass the US in GDP at current exchange rates (CER). The US ruling class needed a response.</p>
<p>Neo-fascism and extreme right-wing forces grew globally. Obama, the Democratic president, adopted regressive domestic measures that would have been the envy of previous Republican administrations. Trump’s election weakened the shared identity of the bourgeoisie’s interests and widened awareness of the limitations of the US political system.</p>
<p>Internationally, this situation also it marked a resumption of global awareness of imperialism as the greatest danger facing humanity. Faced with the evident failure of neo-liberalism, which had culminated in the Third Great Depression, a new movement to reverse some aspects of the hollowing out of the state that neo-liberalism had produced began.</p>
<p>To accurately understand the events following the start of the Third Great Depression, we must evaluate the preceding 60 years. In 1964, Republican Barry Goldwater, an extreme right-wing capitalist, lost the general election but succeeded in bringing the far-right into the mainstream of the Republican Party and the country. The Democrats lost the 1968 election to Richard Nixon, a Republican centrist, who seized the white Southern vote and introduced a new institutional racism-based incarceration system, which both parties have followed since. The Democratic Party began a period of internal fracturing and began abandoning any leftward positioning in the name of ‘electability’ and ‘triangulation’. Instead, it attempted to capitalise on the rightward momentum of the Republicans.</p>
<p>The 1980 election of Ronald Reagan marked the actual far-right takeover of the Republican Party. The 1985 formation of the Democratic Leadership Council (DLC), a private corporation, marked the beginning of a new phase of the Democratic Party: the rise of the New Democrats. A list of some former chairmen of the DLC included Dick Gephardt, Chuck Robb, Sam Nunn, and Joe Lieberman – all military hawks, who favoured shifting social spending to the military. The DLC successfully defeated the left, and its crowning victory was winning the Presidency by their chosen candidate, Bill Clinton, in 1992.</p>
<p>Clinton’s virtue from the standpoint of the DLC was that he could bring the white South back into the Democratic Party by talking left and walking right. For example, he adopted both anti-welfare and pro-incarceration policies (both racial code positions) while making pretensions of a progressive agenda. Less anti-labour than Reagan, he nonetheless represented the Democratic strategy of trying to remain the ‘centre’ in a political dynamic that had shifted far to the right, with the Democrats standing for a lighter, kinder version of neo-liberalism.</p>
<p>It is instructive to think of the Democratic and Republican Parties as operating like private corporations with revenue derived mainly from various capitalists to serve the interests of the shareholders and the corporation’s top officers. For the Democratic Party, this includes groups like the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and the Centre for American Progress (CAP).<a href="#_edn118" name="_ednref118"><sup>118</sup></a> The product sold is elected officeholders who implement the interests of their financiers. Well-known officials include John Podesta and Debbie Wasserman Schultz.</p>
<p>Tony Blair and Hillary Clinton, once elected, became parasites of the state, earned tens of millions, and joined the higher echelons of the capitalist class. At least 85 of the 154 people from private interest groups who met or had phone conversations scheduled with Hillary Clinton, while she led the State Department under President Obama, donated a combined US$ 156 million to the Clinton Foundation.<a href="#_edn119" name="_ednref119"><sup>119</sup></a></p>
<p>The DNC business model requires the assembly of a disparate array of electoral blocks and the necessity of manipulating numerous social strata, groups, and movements. There is now more than ever a sharp rift between the interests of the people who vote for the Democratic Party versus the vastly different interests of the Democratic Party paymasters.</p>
<p>A more comprehensive assessment is beyond the scope of this document. However, the idea of entrepreneurial democracy, in which the concepts of competition between individual capitalists and groups and the battle to acquire votes like a market, trace back to Joseph Schumpeter.<a href="#_edn120" name="_ednref120"><sup>120</sup></a></p>
<p>In the last twenty years, the Republican Party has been transformed ideologically. The emergence of the Tea Party in 2009 signalled both a growing neofascist ideology and the creation of a more engaged core and base. Although the Republican Party also has internal fractures, the weaponisation of large sections of the lower middle class has engendered a radical right that destabilises bourgeois liberal democracy.</p>
<p>All the previous contradictions of race, class, gender, and social identity became weaponised by both the far right and the DNC corporation for different purposes. The social rift between various strata of the US is acute. Hyperbolic claims that the US is heading towards a civil war are highly misleading, however. There is no economic basis for California seceding from the US. This is not the pre-civil war period in the US.</p>
<p>Starting in 1970, the US working class received very little of the vast increases in wealth created by the US’s world domination. Millions of children suffer food insecurity, and their parents have precarious employment and lives. The US is undergoing significant demographic changes, with some estimates showing that non-Hispanic whites will become a minority within the US by 2045, which suggests a trajectory of US racial capitalism toward enhanced segregation and even apartheid.</p>
<p>Narcissism, pessimism, nihilism, and fatalism are now fundamental features of an increasingly stagnant capitalism in the Global North. The traditional trappings of bourgeois liberal democracy are becoming fetters on the needs of capital, which is, ironically, caught up in a process of self-negation.</p>
<p>These fissures inside the US political system are significant to the US working class, which is in a very uneven development of its revolutionary capacity. It faces great danger and opportunities. There can be no illusion that ‘worse is better’.</p>
<p>Simultaneously with this erosion of liberal democracy, millions of young people from Jakarta to Istanbul to Johannesburg to Des Moines, Iowa, have now been brought into political life based on their moral, racial, religious, and political outrage. This has been met with severe repression by Washington in its global geopolitical, economic, and hegemonic military roles. The United States is a waning hegemonic power; it is a wounded one and, as a result, is more dangerous.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">A Defeated and Submissive Europe and Japan</h2>
<p>Since the end of WWII, the United States has been committed to the military, political, and economic integration of countries in Europe and Japan into a bloc that it controls. Through the NATO+ structure, the US ensured complete military dominance within the imperialist group, deploying many military bases in countries defeated in WWII, including in Japan (120), Germany (119), and Italy (45). The latter is home to over 12,000 US military personnel.<a href="#_edn121" name="_ednref121"><sup>121</sup></a></p>
<p>Beginning in the 1950s, the US brought European political elites into their orbit. Through the Marshall Plan, European economic interests were subordinated to those of the US. Over the next fifty years, even imperialist leaders who dared to partially oppose US interests – such as Jacques Chirac (president of France between 1995 and 2007) or Gerhard Schroeder (Chancellor of Germany from 1998 to 2005), both of whom opposed the US invasion of Iraq – were targeted by the US for replacement.</p>
<p>After WWII, Japan, as a frontline state against Soviet and Chinese communism, was allowed to rapidly develop its economy. However, in the 1980s, Japan’s economic rise began to pose a possible threat to the United States’ global economic hegemony, leading to increased bilateral trade frictions. The United States forced a rapid appreciation of the Japanese yen through the 1985 ‘Plaza Accord’, reducing exports and causing Japan to lose its economic momentum.<a href="#_edn122" name="_ednref122"><sup>122</sup></a> Then, following the 1987 Wall Street crash, the US compelled Japan to adopt ultra-loose monetary and economic policies. This aimed to increase the flow of capital to the US to aid finance its international aggression against the USSR. In the process, it created the ‘bubble economy’ in Japan, the bursting of which plunged Japan into a decades-long economic stagnation.</p>
<p>In the fields of information technology and new energy, among other high-tech areas, Japan also faced suppression from the United States, hindering its industrial upgrading. Toshiba was the global leader in semiconductor manufacturing by 1987 until it was sanctioned by the US under the pretext of making deals with the USSR (very similar to what the United States has done with Huawei in China). Toshiba’s main competitors, IBM and Intel, benefited from this policy by the US state.</p>
<p>After the fall of the Soviet Union and Germany’s subsequent reunification, the German bourgeoisie coveted Russia’s markets and low-cost energy. They desired economic ties with Russia but only as long as they and their French compatriots could maintain their unfettered domination of the European project, which they had held since WWII. This meant building economic ties with Russia but excluding Russia’s political leadership from any equal participation in Europe’s political affairs, decisions, or structures. US strategy in turn had been to avoid any strategic relationship between Russia and Germany as their combined strength would create a formidable economic competitor in Europe.</p>
<p>Ownership of capital and the means of production are always fundamental. Over the last 30 years, the ability of capital to move quickly and seamlessly between the borders of imperialist countries has increased exponentially. Capital investments have a defined number of primary categories including stock, notes, bonds, private equity, real estate, and many forms of derivatives. The stock market is one of the fundamental vehicles for most capitalists to make long-term investments. A German firm that goes public may do so in either the US or German stock exchanges. Large funds like Vanguard purchase these funds, but they are not the beneficial owners. They are just effective trustees for the funds of major capital (some small percentage of this capital is owned by the petty bourgeoisie and privileged sectors of the working class through pension funds and other instruments).</p>
<p>The original shareholders of this firm eventually can and do sell their now public stock. They no longer remain dependent on managing their wealth via their investment inside one company. Rather they hire wealth managers, either through firms such as Goldman Sachs or their own advisors, who in turn, invest the cash proceeds from the sale of stock. For many capitalists, their advisors will have them invest well over 50% of their portfolio in the US stock markets. The German capitalist’s ‘family wealth’ therefore does not disappear when the German company they had originally owned declines in value.</p>
<p>The economic, political, and social consequences of this change in capital markets and ownership are vast. This newly minted global – formerly ‘German’ – capitalist behaves very much like their French, English, Swedish, or US peers. This level of integration and denationalisation of capital results in a much more robust economic and, eventually, reinforces political allegiance to the US.</p>
<p>Such a high level of stock market and capital integration rarely occurs in Global South countries for many historical reasons. A capitalist in Turkey has much greater difficulty having their company go public in the US. What the Turkish capitalist can do is to go public in Turkey, sell their stock, turn the proceeds into US dollars, and then invest those dollars in US stocks. This is the most common pathway for the Turkish capitalists to join the global elite. This process, however, is much more competitive, happens in smaller amounts, is less frequent, and is elongated.</p>
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<p>Figure 37 shows research from the OECD that indicates the percentage of beneficial foreign ownership for each of the major stock markets in the world.<a href="#_edn123" name="_ednref123"><sup>123</sup></a> These show that Europe overall has a high percentage of foreign ownership, whereas the US, China, and Saudi Arabia all have less than 20% foreign ownership. Different national imperialisms, and their ruling classes, are not separate or economically divided from each other. They do not pursue substantially divergent strategic national goals on any scale comparable to that before World War II. Progressive and socialist forces, however, always utilise partial, economic, or tactical differences between imperialist powers where valuable.</p>
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<p>The situation in Germany today, for example, clearly illustrates the effectiveness of this integration process and economic consolidation by the US as shown in Figure 38. According to 2020 IHS Markit data, only 13.3% of the German stock market’s value is owned by Germans, while investors from North America and the UK own 58.3%.<a href="#_edn124" name="_ednref124"><sup>124</sup></a> A 2023 study by Ernst &amp; Young revealed that at least 52.1% of the market value of the 40 blue-chip stocks that make up Germany’s DAX index is owned by funds outside of Germany in 2022. Of the remaining shares, 16.5% ownership is unidentified (very likely also owned by foreign capital), with only 31.3% of the market value owned by Germans.<a href="#_edn125" name="_ednref125"><sup>125</sup></a> The major companies of the German economy are primarily not owned by Germans.</p>
<p>Germany’s industrial value added has declined from 9% of the world to just above 6% in the last 18 years.<a href="#_edn126" name="_ednref126"><sup>126</sup></a> The loss of cheap Russian energy and its adaption to risk-managed decoupling are likely to be disastrous for its international competitiveness. In addition, the advent of Electric Vehicles (EV) has led to a huge loss with the end of the importance of the combustion engine. This had been a core one-hundred-year technology superiority enjoyed by Germany.</p>
<p>In 2022, FDI in Germany decreased 50.4% year-on-year.<a href="#_edn127" name="_ednref127"><sup>127</sup></a> Over the course of 15 quarters, starting in Q3 2019, Germany’s GDP increased by a paltry 0.6% in total, in constant prices, whereas China increased 20.2% during the same period, and the US by 8.1%.<a href="#_edn128" name="_ednref128"><sup>128</sup></a></p>
<p>In media, the US dominates more than the Global South. The European television market is largely a US business: ‘Around one in five (18%) of all private TV channels (excluding local TV) are US-owned and over one third of all SVOD (39%) and TVOD (33%) services in Europe belong to a US company… Around half of all children’s TV channels in Europe are US-owned (48%) and so are 59% of entertainment subscription video-on-demand services’.<a href="#_edn129" name="_ednref129"><sup>129</sup></a></p>
<p>The collapse of ‘national will’, the willingness to pursue a path corresponding to its national capitalist interests, demonstrated by Germany in the context of the war in Ukraine, shows that Germany has been defeated for a third time since the beginning of the twentieth century (the first two being the world wars, as noted by Hudson).<a href="#_edn130" name="_ednref130"><sup>130</sup></a> Despite the cost to itself, Germany supported sanctions against Russia and military aid to Ukraine. When Israel’s war on Gaza entered its 100th day, having killed more than 23,000 Palestinians, Germany – with its historical violence in Namibia and domestic holocaust against Jewish people during WWII – supported Israel in the hearing at the International Court of Justice brought by South Africa.<a href="#_edn131" name="_ednref131"><sup>131</sup></a></p>
<p>Over the last few months of 2023, political representatives of German capital in the Bundestag privately raised and then introduced measures to restrict trade with China under the guise of de-risking. This is clearly in contradiction to the short- and medium-term interests of German business. Marx described the relations between the capitalists as one between a band of warring brothers.<a href="#_edn132" name="_ednref132"><sup>132</sup></a> In periods of crisis, the state, as an organ of the ruling class, exerts its political role despite the fissiparous nature of intra-capitalist relations. Today, the short-term interests of executives at nominally German companies are subordinated to the interests of Hyper-Imperialism.</p>
<p>With the formation of the German Empire (1871–1918), political and economic expansion into Eastern Europe, rather than solely territorial expansion, was a key strategy. After reunification in 1990, Germany pursued a dual strategy: first, it decisively supported the US strategy towards Russia of NATO expansion. Second, it led a simultaneous strategy of ‘capital penetration’ into Russia with the aim of securing political control in that state of groups most tied to Western and German interests and against those pursuing a more independent policy. German capital supported proxies like Russian billionaire (at the time) Mikhail Khodorkovsky. In 2001, Khodorkovsky established the Open Russia Foundation, with Henry Kissinger as one of its trustees.<a href="#_edn133" name="_ednref133"><sup>133</sup></a> By 2004, he was imprisoned for fraud and embezzlement after attempting to carry out policies against Putin.</p>
<p>Germany’s Chancellor Angela Merkel pursued dual strategies of supporting military preparations against Russia and organising the internal opposition to Putin. She also orchestrated the building of Nord Stream 2 despite huge US resistance. The latter however was for German self-interest, not for the appeasement of Russia, nor to hinder NATO expansion. In 2014, she arranged the release of Khodorkovsky and enabled a calculated breach of the Minsk agreements. But the dual strategy ended in February 2022, when Germany as a willing partner alongside the US, and with the help of Ukraine, decided to wrestle and topple Russia.</p>
<p>Germany’s reality, however, is that unless it were prepared to undertake a full break with US policy, which no significant section of the German bourgeoisie is prepared to consider, any strategy it has fails without US support – giving the US the whip hand in this relationship. A paradox arose in which the US wanted to maintain German-Russian enmity, but not support a full German victory against Russia. This explains in part why the US appears to be threatening to cut off Ukraine’s funding. The US goal of destroying German-Russian relations has already been achieved as well as the vassalage of Europe and Germany under penalty of the deindustrialisation of Germany.</p>
<p>The US will continue to deprive the German bourgeoisie of all major options for asserting independent political positions. With the help of the capital ownership links that we have described, the German bourgeoisie will be faced with absolute subsumption of the options for the action of German capital under the US aegis. The hostility towards Russia acts as a driver of Europe’s subordination to the US and as a loss of any possibility of independent development.</p>
<p>The situation of antagonistic contradictions between US and European capital on fundamental issues has ceased. Small differences exist, but they are not strategic. The depth of US subordination of Europe is seen by the fact that only 11 of the 49 countries in the Global North are not part of a known US spy network nor attended the Vilnius NATO+ meeting. They are Andorra, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Cyprus, Ireland, Liechtenstein, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, San Marino, Serbia, and Switzerland. Collectively they have 28.3 million people (nearly equivalent to Delhi’s population) and a combined GDP of .8 trillion (1% of world GDP), a small portion of the Global North.</p>
<p>While a member of the secret Fourteen Eyes, Germany’s impotence was on full display when it was revealed that the US spied on its leaders, and it was incapable of even a whimper. Today, Europe’s bourgeoisie has become a toady for US intelligence operations.</p>
<p>NATO has long pressured Germany to spend a minimum of 2% of GDP on the military, following what was called the Goldilocks principle (established in the 1950s), aimed at:</p>
<blockquote><p>… encouraging defence contributions from medium-sized allies – for example, [the Republic of] Korea during the Cold War, or Poland today – while treading lightly when it comes to larger allies like Germany or Japan. In doing so, it seeks to maximise contributions from allies that are powerful enough to supply meaningful military power to the alliance but not so powerful that they can afford to spurn the alliance.<a href="#_edn134" name="_ednref134"><sup>134</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Japan’s governments have pursued policies of political provocation to China, at the behest of the US, despite the great advantages to Japan’s economy that would flow from closer ties with China. In the UK, US opposition to the ‘golden period’ of relations with China carried out under David Cameron’s premiership forced its reversal under his successors – with damaging consequences for British capital.</p>
<p>The creation of the Centre for New American Security in 2007 marked a historic marriage of two groups of foreign policy elites, the mainly Republican neo-conservatives and the largely Democratic liberal hawks. Their joint strategy was to move to target Russia via Ukraine immediately.</p>
<p>In 2022, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida set spending targets for the following five years of 43 trillion yen (US$316 billion).<a href="#_edn135" name="_ednref135"><sup>135</sup></a> It already has the second greatest number of F35 advanced aircraft in the world (after the US) and signed an agreement in 2020 to purchase 105 additional aircraft. These aircraft can be retrofitted with nuclear weapons. It has penned a revised national security strategy to allow the country to develop a pre-emptive strike capability and deploy long-range missiles.<a href="#_edn136" name="_ednref136"><sup>136</sup></a></p>
<p>The rearming of the two main fascist powers of WWII must be considered a crime. A dangerous revanchist movement is re-emerging in Germany. The difference is that this time they do so as part of the US-Led Military Bloc.</p>
<h1>PART V: Changes in the World Order</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">A Southwards Shift of the Economic Base</h2>
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<p>As the countries of the Global North have faced prolonged declining economic growth, countries of the Global South, especially in Asia, have displayed a higher economic growth trajectory over the past thirty years. As can be seen in Figure 39, at the end of the Cold War in 1993, the Global North accounted for 57.2% of the global GDP (PPP), while the Global South accounted for just 42.8%. Thirty years later, these proportions have definitively inverted: the share of the Global South has reached 59.4%, with the Global North holding at 40.6%.</p>
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<p>The G7 (United States, United Kingdom, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan) is the core economic countries of the Global North bloc, and in 1993, these seven countries accounted for 45.4% of the global economy. Meanwhile, the most significant economies of the Global South, later known as BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), made up only 16.7% of the global economy in that year. Among them, Russia had just emerged after the dissolution of the Soviet Union, and China was deepening its economic reforms and establishing a socialist market economy. Neither Russia nor China were competitors to the G7 at the time. Thirty years later, the BRICS countries accounted for 31.5% of the global economy, having surpassed the G7 (30.3%) as shown in Figure 40.</p>
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<p>In August 2023, BRICS expanded by inviting six countries: Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and Argentina (although Argentina has now temporarily declined). BRICS10 (excluding Argentina) added 4% to BRICS’s share of the world GDP (PPP) as shown in Figure 41.</p>
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<p>Over the past thirty years, the absolute leader of the Global North, the United States, has seen its share of the world economy slowly decline in PPP terms from 19.7% in 1993 to 15.5% in 2022. However, in the Global South, China’s rapid rise has been the most notable variable. In 1993, China only accounted for 5% of the world economy (Figure 42); by 2016, China’s economy had surpassed that of the United States in PPP terms; and by 2022, China’s share of the world economy had reached 18.4%. This marks the first time in over 600 years that a non-white dominated country has economically broken through the hegemony of the white imperialist countries. This economic reality led the US to urgently begin to try to suppress China’s rise.</p>
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<p>However, it would be a mistake to view China as the sole source of growth for the Global South. Even without China, the economies of the Global South had surpassed the Global North by 2022 — with their respective shares of the global economy at 41% and 40.6% (Figure 43). The overall economic development of the Global South has enabled them to objectively have the capacity and to seek a more just international order, which is contrary to the wishes of the imperialist bloc of the Global North.</p>
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<p>We have identified all 43 countries – whose share of the world GDP (PPP) amounts to 41.1% (Figure 44) – that are part of one or more of the three new non-imperialist controlled international organisations: BRICS10 (founded in 2009, expanded in 2010 and 2023), Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (founded as ‘Shanghai Five’ in 1996, expanded in 2001, 2017, and 2023), and the Group of Friends in Defence of the Charter of the United Nations (founded in 2021). The full list is provided in a later section.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94794 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-1024x576.png" alt="" width="1024" height="576" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-1024x576.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-300x169.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-768x432.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-1536x864.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-45-1-2048x1152.png 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px"></div>
<p>Figure 45 shows the past decade’s average annual growth rate of GDP (PPP) per capita of the 21 largest economies in the Global South and the G7 countries. China’s growth rate (5.8%) continues to lead among major countries. Asia’s growth rate is generally higher than other countries in the Global South. The next five countries with the highest growth rates are Bangladesh (5.3%), Viet Nam (4.9%), India (4.6%), the Philippines (3.3%), and Indonesia (3.1%). Aside from the United States, the rest of the G7 countries have an average per capita growth rate of less than 1%. Regrettably, the largest economies in Africa and Latin America have experienced negative per capita growth: Nigeria and South Africa at -0.4%, and Brazil and Argentina at 0% and -0.7%, respectively.</p>
<p>Of course, we acknowledge that growth rates themselves can mask the intense class struggles within these countries, where the share of the growth is not nearly equitably distributed between capital and labour. However, it would be a mistake to ignore the growth rates and what their trend lines describe.</p>
<p>One of the most significant changes in the world economy of the last 20 years has been a dramatic shift in the geography of world industrial production.</p>
<p>The World Bank publishes the industry percentage of GDP using the current prices and current exchange rates, which this study refers to as the Current Exchange Rate (CER) method. Currently, we are unaware of any published industry percentages for GDP (PPP) calculations.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93950 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-46-e1705413867986.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-46.png"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93960 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-47-e1705413993535.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-47.png"></div>
<p>Figures 46 and 47 show changes in the percentage of industry value added in GDP for both CER and PPP terms over the last 18 years. It is likely that the figures of the industry value added world share are somewhere in between the CER and PPP. Subsequent charts in this series are shown only for the PPP method and have the same qualifications as made for the first series.<a href="#_edn137" name="_ednref137"><sup>137</sup></a></p>
<p>What we see is that there is indeed a change in the base of the economy, with the Global South home to the majority share. Despite many predictions of a new post-industrial society, no major country has achieved modernisation without industrialisation.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93970 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-48-e1705414067837.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-48.png"></p>
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<p>The world share of industry value added of BRICS10 is now double that of the G7 (Figure 48).</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93980 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-49-e1705414107350.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-49.png"></p>
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<p>The results show the following for industry valued added as a percentage of the world using GDP (PPP):</p>
<ul>
<li>China is the world’s leading industrial country with a 25.7% share value added, while the US holds only a 9.7% share.</li>
<li>The Global South has a 69.4% share, while the Global North has a 30.6% share.</li>
<li>BRICS10 has a 44% share and exceeds the G7.</li>
<li>The share of Japan, Germany, France, and the UK are also declining, whilst India is increasing (Figure 49).</li>
</ul>
<p>We used the World Bank industry percentage multiplied by the annual GDP (PPP) for each country for each year to derive a country-based industrial value added. We then used these to calculate the percentage of total world industry value added by each country and country grouping category. There are some limitations and complex issues regarding this methodology.</p>
<p>Some economists have tried to minimise this change. Some argue that US dollar monopolies and ownership of large multinational corporations mean GDP figures overstate the change. China, at a minimum, cannot be said to have all its production under the lock and key of the US. Even in India, it is a mistake to understate the significance of a growing big national bourgeoise (albeit large sections of it politically reactionary). Moving industrial production to the Global South could only have occurred with massive improvements in their infrastructure.</p>
<p>In his parting words to Russian President Vladimir Putin during his state visit in March 2023, Chinese President Xi Jinping said, ‘Right now there are changes – the likes of which we haven’t seen for 100 years – and we are the ones driving these changes together’.<a href="#_edn138" name="_ednref138"><sup>138</sup></a> Eurasia is now centre stage for determining the future of the next period of human existence.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">US Strategy to Curtail China’s Economic Growth and Influence</h2>
<p>In 2007, Vladimir Putin delivered his famous Munich speech criticising US monopolistic dominance, ‘almost uncontained hyper use of force – military force – in international relations, force that is plunging the world into an abyss of permanent conflicts’.<a href="#_edn139" name="_ednref139"><sup>139</sup></a> In the same year, the Centre for New American Security (CNAS) was formed. By 2009, secret US cables to Washington revealed by Wikileaks stated:</p>
<blockquote><p>Xi knows how very corrupt China is and is repulsed by the all-encompassing commercialisation of Chinese society, with its attendant nouveau riche, official corruption, loss of values, dignity, and self-respect, and such ‘moral evils’ as drugs and prostitution… When Xi takes the helm of the party, he might aggressively attempt to address those evils, perhaps at the expense of the new moneyed class.<a href="#_edn140" name="_ednref140"><sup>140</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>The alarm bells in Langley and Foggy Bottom were ringing. The West’s dream for the rise of a ‘Chinese Gorbachev’ was eviscerated in 2012. It became clear that an economically ascendant China would not be imminently defeated. Thus, the Pivot to Asia strategy began integrating its allies to contain China. Then-US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton publicly declared that ‘the twenty-first century will be America’s Pacific Century’.<a href="#_edn141" name="_ednref141"><sup>141</sup></a> In contrast, Xi Jinping said to US President Barack Obama, ‘The Pacific Ocean is broad enough to accommodate the development of both China and the United States’.<a href="#_edn142" name="_ednref142"><sup>142</sup></a></p>
<p>By 2016, China’s GDP, calculated by purchasing power parity, had surpassed that of the United States. In 2020, the Centre for Economics and Business Research predicted that by 2028, China’s GDP, measured in US dollars, would overtake that of the US, a forecast that became a ‘demon barrier’.<a href="#_edn143" name="_ednref143"><sup>143</sup></a> US officials repeatedly defined China as the most significant strategic threat facing the US and the Global North.</p>
<p>The relative decline of US power, the rise of socialist China, and the economic growth of the Global South are key reasons behind US active subordination and subsequent integration of the rest of the imperialist countries. This has led to a full military, political, and economic bloc under US control. In 1998, former US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski warned, ‘The most dangerous scenario would be a grand coalition of China, Russia, and perhaps Iran… not out of a sudden love for one another but out of a shared opposition to the predominant power (the US)’.<a href="#_edn144" name="_ednref144"><sup>144</sup></a></p>
<p>CNAS, formed by a combination of neo-cons and liberal hawks, spawned a core cadre of US policy elites – from both parties – who focused on developing a new geopolitical strategy for the US. By 2021, ignoring Brzezinski’s warning, they began publicly promoting the preparation for simultaneous wars. Significant figures from CNAS include Secretary of State Antony Blinken, Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell, and former Under Secretary of Defence for Policy Michele Flournoy. Former CNAS staff and consultants have permeated strategic organs of the state, including the National Security Council.</p>
<p>National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan, whilst not a member of CNAS, now plays a dominant role in the Presidency and pursues the same international strategy. In April 2023, Sullivan gave a speech titled ‘Renewing American Economic Leadership’ at the Brookings Institute.<a href="#_edn145" name="_ednref145"><sup>145</sup></a> This speech was significant for three distinct reasons. First, it is very unusual for such an important speech on the US economy to be given by a National Security Advisor. Historically, National Security Advisors, like Henry Kissinger, stayed in the realms of national security, geopolitics, and military affairs. Second, Sullivan’s speech sought to create a ‘new Washington Consensus’ to re-establish US economic hegemony. Third, Sullivan acknowledged the depth of the US structural crisis, including its economic stagnation.</p>
<p>This economic plan is required to support military expansion. In July 2023, the US proposed a bill to add US$ 345 million in military aid to Taiwan.<a href="#_edn146" name="_ednref146"><sup>146</sup></a> From Tel Aviv to Kiev to Taipei, the US is escalating its military operations to the doorsteps of Eurasia.</p>
<p>Cold Wars, necessarily associated with conflicts between nuclear powers, are always dangerous. In 1988, Edward Herman and Noam Chomsky published <em>Manufacturing Consent: The Political Economy of the Mass Media</em>, in which they decried the ‘propaganda model’ utilised by the US corporate media, often in partnership with the state. They wrote it long before that system was able to avail itself of the new technological tools of surveillance and targeted communication characterising the digital age. Thanks to whistle-blower Edward Snowden the world was able to get a glimpse of the vast expansion of US control over all communications and how it has integrated all the US IT tech monopoly platforms into adjuncts of US national security infrastructure.</p>
<p>‘Collect it all’ was how a former senior intelligence officer described the National Security Agency’s former director Keith Alexander’s approach to data collection. All the emails, phone calls, and text messages of all types (including those of WhatsApp, Telegram, and Signal), every key stroke, and every URL are captured for the vast majority of the world’s population (outside of China, Russia, and a few other countries). They are stored in vast networks of hard drives in locations like Bluffdale, Utah. The US created a global network able to capture and manage nearly every packet of data on all undersea optical cables, all cellular traffic, and satellite data traffic.</p>
<p>Despite military hegemony, capital still needs the approximation of consent. Over time, new techniques such as machine learning created a qualitative leap in the ability of the US to conduct psychological secret warfare against the people, the Global South, and their populations.<a href="#_edn147" name="_ednref147"><sup>147</sup></a> The economic models of all media companies collapsed with the advent of the internet and the creation of economic tech monopolies, which disintermediated all media profits. A new era of fully weaponised media outlets began – a development that is part of the overall hybrid war strategy (including economic sanctions and diplomatic isolation) that has been utilised by the US establishment around the world.</p>
<p>The pivot to Asia, in reality a pivot to China, began formally in 2012 under Obama. The US combined propaganda, diplomatic, economic, and political strategies to try to curb, at first, China’s economic development and, later, its growing influence in institutions like BRICS. Starting in 2016, Trump attempted to avoid conflict with Russia and began to focus all US energies against China.</p>
<p>Over the last eight years, the US used a coterie of selected and curated topics to define the Western media narrative on China. Despite millions of dead Muslims at the hands of NATO forces in Yemen, Syria, Iraq, and Afghanistan, the West managed to integrate their formidable array of soft-power resources to wage a fierce cold war against China. Even the chief propagandist of the Nazis, Joseph Goebbels, might have been amazed at the hubris of the West in claiming the mantle of human rights and attempting to use Xinjiang as the whipping point against China.</p>
<p>Lawrence Wilkerson, former Chief of Staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell and former army colonel, noted that an important strategic goal of the US military’s invasion and long-term stationing in Afghanistan was to contain China’s Belt and Road Initiative (2013–present) and to create ethnic divisions and social unrest in Xinjiang.<a href="#_edn148" name="_ednref148"><sup>148</sup></a> <em>The New York Times</em>, <em>The Guardian</em>, and the <em>BBC</em> became central props in a hallmark US psyops campaign.</p>
<p>As we have explained in the economic analysis of Western economies, it is not irrational for the West to seek to retard China’s growth. Central to the next stage of development of China’s economy is promoting a dual circulation economy, i.e., to increase the weight of the domestic market while continuing to keep growing its international trade, switching to high quality development, and advancing the economic development of the western provinces of China. Attacking Xinjiang simultaneously accomplishes many Western interests: weakens China’s domestic growth strategies, isolates China internationally, masks US violence against Muslim countries, and continues to support extremist groups to destabilise their adversaries.</p>
<p>Fabricated allegations of genocide among the Uyghur population in Xinjiang, entirely unsubstantiated by the US State Department, enabled the US government to impose sanctions on China, aiming to strike at China’s entire textile industry chain, which exports more than US$ 300 billion and accounts for over one-third of the world’s textile exports, ranking first globally.<a href="#_edn149" name="_ednref149"><sup>149</sup></a> But despite US sanctions, Xinjiang’s foreign trade surged by 51.25% year-on-year, reaching US$ 30 billion in the first three-quarters of 2023, with trade with five Central Asian nations increasing by 59.1%.<a href="#_edn150" name="_ednref150"><sup>150</sup></a> China has just announced a free trade zone in Xinjiang to promote connectivity with regional Belt and Road countries.</p>
<p>In addition to ‘soft-power’ warfare, the US spared no effort to contain China’s development in high-tech sectors, especially in weakening China’s capacity to produce or even purchase top-end semiconductor chips. By imposing long-arm jurisdiction on technology such as extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines manufactured by the Dutch company ASML, the US seeks to prevent China from entering the future of chip technology. The Biden administration believes that its impact will extend far beyond weakening China’s military advancements, but also threatening China’s economic growth and scientific leadership.</p>
<p>Gregory C. Allen, director of the Artificial Intelligence Governance Project and senior fellow in the Emerging Technology Program at the Centre for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, believes that the message conveyed by the export controls against China issued by the US Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) in October 2022, is part of ‘a new US policy of actively strangling large segments of the Chinese technology industry – strangling with an intent to kill’.<a href="#_edn151" name="_ednref151"><sup>151</sup></a> C.J. Muse, an industry analyst in the US, stated: ‘If you’d told me about these rules five years ago, I would’ve told you that’s an act of war — we’d have to be at war’.<a href="#_edn152" name="_ednref152"><sup>152</sup></a></p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-93990 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-50-e1705414176544.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-50.png"></p>
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<p>Despite severe restrictions by the US, China continues to outgrow the Global North (Figure 50).</p>
<p>Through the Belt and Road Initiative, China strengthens its economic connections with the Global South. From 2013 to 2022, China’s total trade volume with countries participating in the Belt and Road Initiative reached US$ 19.1 trillion, with an average annual increase of 6.4%. Cumulative bilateral investment exceeded US$ 380 billion, and China’s foreign direct investment exceeded US$ 240 billion. China’s new contracted projects reached US$ 2 trillion, with a cumulative turnover of US$ 1.3 trillion completed.<a href="#_edn153" name="_ednref153"><sup>153</sup></a></p>
<p>Ironically, US containment in high-tech fields has only strengthened China’s resolve for self-reliance in innovation. In recent years, China has made significant breakthroughs in independent innovation in high-end chips, electric vehicles, and digital technology, making the US blockade and containment in high-tech fields increasingly unrealistic.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">The Global North Pushing the World Towards War</h2>
<p>The peaceful rise of the Global South countries, led by Asia and especially China, poses a comprehensive economic challenge to imperialist world dominance. For the first time in 600 years, the Atlantic imperialist powers are confronted with a non-white economic force capable of countering them.</p>
<p>To contain China’s rise, the US is intensifying internal integration within the imperialist camp, allowing and demanding that two fascist countries defeated in WWII – Japan and Germany – rearm themselves. US political leaders unanimously consider it essential to contain and defeat China as a core strategic enemy and started a New Cold War. US military leaders make alarming statements about China. The US geopolitical goal is to overthrow the regimes of China and Russia, de-nuclearise and if possible, dismember both countries, split them into several small countries, and ensure they can never again challenge US military or economic hegemony.</p>
<p>On Russia’s western border, NATO’s eastward expansion has brought the security issue of Ukraine to a critical boiling point. Before the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the United States had promised Gorbachev that NATO would not expand eastward since its original mission – countering the Soviet Union and containing European communism ­– had concluded with the end of the Cold War. However, NATO reneged on that ‘gentlemen’s agreement’ and it inducted 14 new member states, including several former Soviet Republics. In 2018, Ukraine amended its constitution to prioritise joining NATO and the European Union as its national strategy, posing a significant threat to Russia’s national security. With Kiev only 760 km away from Moscow, allowing NATO to deploy nuclear weapons in Ukraine would constitute an uncontrollable military threat to Russia.</p>
<p>Simultaneously, neo-Nazi forces in western Ukraine were on the rise. In January 2022, torchlight processions were held in cities like Kiev and Lviv, commemorating the birthday of Nazi collaborator Stepan Bandera. Prior conflicts saw western Ukrainian nationalist extremists hoisting Nazi flags and threatening to annihilate eastern Ukrainians and pro-Russian elements. Ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine had to organise resistance and seek Russian aid. Under these circumstances, Russia launched a ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine, essentially facing a direct confrontation with NATO’s military force.</p>
<p>In the Western Pacific, the United States continuously attempts to stoke tensions over the South China Sea and Taiwan. In August 2022, despite strong opposition and solemn representations from China, US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi visited Taiwan, seriously violating the One-China principle and the provisions of the three US-China joint communiqués, severely impacting the political foundation of Sino-American relations; it is important to recall that in 1972, in the Shanghai communiqué, the United States accepted the ‘One China’ policy, which acknowledges that there is only one China and that Taiwan is not a separate, sovereign state). In August 2023, the US Navy, along with forces from Canada and the Republic of Korea, conducted joint military exercises in the Sea of Japan and the Yellow Sea.<a href="#_edn154" name="_ednref154"><sup>154</sup></a> However, the exercises ended abruptly after just five hours due to China’s targeted military mobilisations.<a href="#_edn155" name="_ednref155"><sup>155</sup></a> Since Ferdinand Marcos Jr. became president of the Philippines in June 2022, the Philippines has opened multiple military bases to the US, strengthened security ties with Australia and Japan, and sparked disputes with China over sovereignty issues in the South China Sea. Warships from the US, Canada, Australia, and other countries also frequently patrol and exercise in the South China Sea, causing several close encounters and frictions with the Chinese Navy.</p>
<p>To date, faced with continuous provocations from the United States and its allies, China has maintained a restrained stance, striving to avoid military conflicts with the US and its allies – a confrontation that could escalate into a global nuclear war. However, Taiwan holds a special significance for China. As part of China, historically and under international law, Taiwan’s continued separation signifies that China’s civil war, and even the ‘century of humiliation’ that began with the Opium Wars in 1840, has not ended. The division of Taiwan is unacceptable to China, ultimately even if it means the risk of direct war against the United States.</p>
<p>With the direct support of Biden and Blinken, Israel is advancing an ethnic cleansing and genocide of Palestinian civilians in Gaza. The situation in Gaza starkly reveals the true face of the imperialist camp of the Global North as a collective of white settlers: when conflicts arise between white settlers and colonised people of colour, the imperialist camp uniformly stands with the settlers.</p>
<p>The fault lines of Ukraine and Palestine have exacerbated the polarisation of the social democrats, sections of whom have proven unable to overcome their desire for acceptability and join in a robust movement for peace.</p>
<p>Let us return to the quote from NATO and the EU that they would be ‘protecting our one billion citizens, preserving our freedom and democracy… against all threats’. This sentence, appearing in the first paragraph of the NATO-EU 2023 communiqué, clearly outlines the structure of today’s world: the imperialist camp, centred around the US and based on NATO infrastructure, is fully united and mobilised militarily, politically, and economically, ready to stifle any emerging forces that might pose a threat to their hegemonic status. This unprecedented immense imperialist pressure has forced many in the ‘rest of the world’ (those outside the imperialist camp) to identify alternative structures and identities for self-preservation.</p>
<h1>EPILOGUE: A Credible Economic and Political Alternative World Order</h1>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94774 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-855x1024.png" alt="" width="855" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-855x1024.png 855w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-250x300.png 250w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-768x920.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-51-1-1282x1536.png 1282w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 855px) 100vw, 855px"></p>
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<p>Twenty-five years after the publication of Zbigniew Brzezinski’s <em>The Grand Chessboard </em>(1997) – identifying this as the greatest geopolitical danger for the US – China, Russia, and Iran have indeed grown closer in various fields, including economics, politics, and security. Not coincidentally, they are the only three countries that are in the BRICS10, the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, and the Group of Friends in Defence of the Charter and United Nations (Figure 51). The driving force behind this convergence – precisely as Brzezinski predicted – is the escalating hegemonic pressure from the imperialist group led by the United States. Compared to NATO, which is highly unified in ideology, military command, and intelligence sharing, there is no anti-imperialist international organisation that is comparable. Nevertheless, three influential international organisations have emerged within the Global South:</p>
<ul>
<li>The BRICS organisation, initiated by Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, is an economic cooperation mechanism that expanded to 17 official and unofficial cooperating partners after the BRICS summit in August 2023. BRICS10 represents 45.5% of the world population, 35.6% of the GDP (PPP), and 44% of the global industrial output. The BRICS New Development Bank began with US$ 100 billion in capital investment and its Contingent Reserve Structure also holds US$ 100 billion.<a href="#_edn156" name="_ednref156"><sup>156</sup></a></li>
<li>The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) started with a focus on security issues. It brings together countries from the Eurasian continent – from the large economic performers like China, India, and Turkey to the leading OPEC countries such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE, as well as member countries of the League of Arab States – to address security challenges through multifaceted development approaches. The SCO represents 60% of the Eurasian territory, a quarter of the world’s GDP, and 40% of the global population.<a href="#_edn157" name="_ednref157"><sup>157</sup></a> In July 2023, Xi Jinping proposed the creation of an SCO development bank.</li>
<li>The newly established Group of Friends in Defence of the Charter of the United Nations (FUNC) seeks to advocate for multilateralism and oppose hegemony and unilateralism within the framework of the UN Charter. Currently, this group has 20 member countries, with Venezuela as its initiator. On the issue of Palestine, the group supports the just demand for national independence of the Palestinian people, backs Palestine’s bid to become a formal member of the United Nations and supports the establishment of an independent Palestinian state with East Jerusalem as its capital.</li>
</ul>
<p>Hitting its 10-year milestone, the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), has also had a significant impact on the Global South. To date, with an investment surpassing US$ 1 trillion, the BRI has been a pivotal force in infrastructure development in the Global South.<a href="#_edn158" name="_ednref158"><sup>158</sup></a></p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94784 size-large img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-855x1024.png" alt="" width="855" height="1024" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1.png" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-855x1024.png 855w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-250x300.png 250w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-768x920.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-52-1-1282x1536.png 1282w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 855px) 100vw, 855px"></p>
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<p>Contrary to the imperialist camp, the primary aspirations of the Global South countries are sovereignty and development, and to achieve peace. Specifically, they face at least eight common challenges and opportunities (Figure 52), elaborated on below:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Multilateralism:</strong> Engaging in profound multilateral dialogues and cooperation among Global South countries without reliance on platforms provided by the Global North countries.</li>
<li><strong>New Modernisation:</strong> Building regional economic integration through economic corridors and belts within the Global South to realise economies of scale at the continental level.</li>
<li><strong>De-dollarisation:</strong> Reducing dependence on the US dollar (especially for those countries facing sanctions) in international trade through mechanisms like local currency transactions, currency swaps, and regional common currencies.</li>
<li><strong>Innovation led by the Global South:</strong> Promoting democratic and open technological innovation among Global South countries. This includes reducing the economic premium caused by intellectual property monopolies in areas like medicine, new energy, and information technology.</li>
<li><strong>Reparations and Debt Resolution:</strong> Addressing the century-old debt trap imposed by imperialist countries through collective negotiations for reductions and compensations.</li>
<li><strong>Food Sovereignty: </strong>Ensuring the peoples’ and states’ right to define their agricultural and food policy, without any dumping vis-à-vis third countries, transnational corporations, and free trade agreements.</li>
<li><strong>Digital Sovereignty:</strong> Enhancing the capability of Global South countries to control digital spaces in hardware, software, data, content, standards, and regulations, and constructing alternatives to the US monopolised digital platforms.</li>
<li><strong>Environmental Justice:</strong> Formulating fair emission rights allocation plans and urging imperialist countries to compensate for their long-term cumulative pollution. Financialisation of nature is a dead end for the Global South.</li>
</ul>
<p>Humanity faces a dangerous and ruthless military power. The US is on a march to rearm the two main fascist powers of WWII, as it itself turns more towards a politics of the extreme right and neo-fascism.</p>
<p>It is sadly very true that the left forces outside the socialist camp are indeed weak and that the subjective aspect of revolution in most countries is not ready for conducting revolution. But we are witnessing significant changes and breaks in consciousness, albeit not full class consciousness. Millions of people are in the streets reviled by the sickness of not only the US and Israel’s genocidal regimes but also of France and the UK. The four nuclear powers of imperialism have banded together, demonstrating their power. The likely cost of this will be the creation of a future generation of youth in the Arab and Muslim world who will never forget nor forgive this flaunting of brutality and humiliation. Mao Zedong described this historical dialectic:</p>
<blockquote><p>Imperialism and all reactionaries, looked at in essence, from a long-term point of view, from a strategic point of view, must be seen for what they are – paper tigers. On this, we should build our strategic thinking. On the other hand, they are also living tigers, iron tigers, real tigers that can devour people. On this, we should build our tactical thinking.<a href="#_edn159" name="_ednref159"><sup>159</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Under President Xi Jinping’s leadership, China has proposed visionary recommendations for humanity. The China model of modernisation, a result of socialism with Chinese characteristics, indicates a path for the Global South countries that does not rely on exploiting and oppressing other nations. It balances the material and spiritual civilisation, economic development, and the ecological environment, offering an essential reference for the development of the Global South.</p>
<p>As a result of over 600 years of humiliation, racial violence, and economic exploitation by the Global North, we have arrived at this stage of Hyper-Imperialism. However, an emerging Global South, even with its contradictions, reminds us that human beings are not constrained to remain victims of history. Despite the different context of subjective factors, the concluding call of <em>The Communist Manifesto</em> (1848) remains compelling today:</p>
<p>We have a world to win.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">***</p>
<p style="text-align: right;"><strong>‘Black Woman’ </strong></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">by Cuban Poet Nancy Morejón</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Still I smell the foam of the sea they forced me to cross.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Night, I cannot recall the night.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Nor could the ocean itself recall it.<br>
But never have I forgotten the first seagull I glimpsed.<br>
High up, the clouds, like innocent ever-present witnesses.<br>
Perhaps I’ve not forgotten my lost coast nor even my ancestral tongue.<br>
They dropped me here and here I’ve lived.<br>
And because I work like a dog,<br>
Here is where I was reborn.<br>
And I sought to rely on epic story of the Mandinga after epic story.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I rebelled.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">His Grace purchased me in a public square.<br>
I embroidered His Grace’s cloak and I bore him a son.<br>
My son was given no name.<br>
And His Grace, he died at the hands of an impeccable English lord.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I trudged forward.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">This is the land where I was lashed and beaten upside down.<br>
I paddled along all its rivers.<br>
Under its sun I sewed, harvested, and ate none of the crops.<br>
I got a slave barracks for a house.<br>
I myself carried the stones to build it,<br>
but I sang in the natural beat of the nation’s birds.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I rose in rebellion.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">In this very land I touched the warm blood<br>
and rotten bones of many others like me,<br>
brought here, or not, as I was.<br>
Then I stopped thinking about the way to Guinea forever.<br>
To Guinea or Benin? Was I thinking about Madagascar or Cape Verde?</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I worked even more.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Then I laid the foundation for my best millenary chant and my hope.<br>
Here I built my world.<br>
I went to the mountains.<br>
My true independence happened at<em> the</em> <em>palenque</em><br>
and I rode with Maceo’s cavalry.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">Only one century later, alongside my descendants,<br>
from atop a blue mountain,</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">I came down from the Sierra</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">to put an end to capitalists and usurers,<br>
and generals and the petit bourgeois.<br>
Now I am: only now do we hold and create.<br>
Nothing is beyond our reach.<br>
Our land.<br>
Ours the sea and sky.<br>
Ours the magic and the amazing dreams.<br>
My equals, here I see you dance<br>
around the tree we planted for communism.<br>
Its generous wood is clearly resounding.</p>
<h1>APPENDIX</h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Methodology</h2>
<p>This report was compiled with data and charts from Global South Insights (GSI), based on diverse sources, including the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund, the United Nations, OECD, the Conference Board, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, <em>Monthly Review</em>, and World <em>Beyond</em> War, among others (see Figure 55). In this section, we present the methodological definitions and criteria that guided the elaboration of this report.</p>
<p>All 193 UN Member States and Palestine as an Observer State are included in the Global North Rings or the Global South Groupings.</p>
<p>In analysing the Global North, we found that among the factors included in our investigation – historical, military, and intelligence relationships – a critical factor was each country’s relationship to US intelligence. As a result, we have divided the Global North into four rings, comprising 49 countries in the US-Led Imperialist Camp. Our analysis of the Global South indicated factors such as the country’s economic and political independence from imperialism and the strategic relationships between Global South countries. However, a critical factor was the relative degree to which they were targets of regime change and their role in publicly advancing international anti-imperialist stances. Therefore, the 145 Global South countries are divided into six groupings.</p>
<p>In addition to UN member countries, we have included the number of military bases in non-UN member countries and in the territories – sometimes contentious – where foreign bases are located.</p>
<p>Other comparative calculations in this report include all countries and territories from their respective source database.</p>
<p>Although invaluable, international databases, such as those from the IMF and the World Bank, are burdened by limitations arising from disparities in national statistical production processes, particularly in the methodologies for variable measurement. This leads to the non-harmonisation of national data compiled by international databases at its sources. Similarly, international databases may have limitations regarding completeness. The data governance and rigorous audit procedures conducted by GSI sought to ensure maximum data consistency.</p>
<p>Regarding GDP-related data, this report primarily uses the IMF data. Notably, the IMF database does not include data for four countries: Cuba and the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea, due to their sovereign decision of not being subject to IMF dictates, as well as Monaco and Liechtenstein. The GDP (PPP) field in tables featuring these four countries is left blank.</p>
<p>Economic data from the World Bank is used only to calculate world industry value added. The World Bank publishes the value added of industry as a percentage of GDP using current prices and exchange rates, referred to in this study as the Current Exchange Rate (CER) method. Only in this case are both CER and GDP (PPP) values presented.</p>
<p>In this document, GDP (PPP) is adopted as the standard. This is not a choice free of controversy, and due to the scope of this report, we will not delve into our methodological reflections on such controversies. PPP conversion factors are statistical estimates based on baskets of goods and services for benchmark years, further applied to GDP for GDP (PPP) estimates. Although there are arguments that GDP (PPP) data could overestimate countries in the Global South, it is a more accurate measure in comparing economic performance and living standards across different countries, as it adjusts for differences in price levels and provides a more stable metric for international comparisons. At the same time, GDP (PPP) delivers a more meaningful basis for ranking countries regarding their economic size and contribution to the global economy, compared to the GDP rankings using CER. In such rankings, countries with strong currencies may rank higher, even if their actual economic output is not as significant.</p>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94020 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-53-e1705414356315.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-53.png"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-94030 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-54-e1705414396274.png" alt="" width="950" height="534" data-original-src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/Figure-54.png"></div>
<p>Figures 53 and 54 show the comparisons for CER versus PPP calculations of percentage of world total GDP for 1) China versus the United States and 2) the Global South versus the Global North. Both CER and PPP show a dramatic rise in relative percentages for China and the Global South.</p>
<p>However, PPP conversion factors to measure military spending are necessarily less reliable than current exchange rates because no price data is collected for military expenditure. Therefore, the nature of military spending lacks this information for international comparisons. SIPRI recognises that using the PPP adjustment for military spending is inaccurate and, therefore, is less reliable than using currency exchange rates. Regarding military spending, we combined data from <em>Monthly Review</em> for actual US military spending, along with SIPRI data, to calculate the real worldwide military spending using CER.</p>
<p>As for other military data, various sources were used to comprehensively address this central phenomenon to analyse Hyper-Imperialism; however, limitations persist due to differing methodologies, measurement variables, data scarcity, and secrecy. We used data from the US Congressional Research Service combined with the Military Intervention Project (MIP) for the quantity of interventions. While the former is an official US publication that serves as a primary data source on US military interventions, it does not include some secret missions and does not aggregate its data to differentiate between the various types of US Armed Forces’ overseas interventions. The latter uses a more comprehensive definition of military intervention, although it only publishes a data summary. Finally, we used the lists published by World <em>Beyond</em> War, Declassified UK, and the US Department of Defence Base Structure Report for data on military bases.</p>
<p>In addition to the aforementioned data sources, GSI’s elaboration in this report draws from a broader set of data sources listed below. GSI carefully created new categories and built complex data integration platforms to provide the analysis from a Global South standpoint. Classification processes are inherently challenging and subject to modification since domestic and regional politics can change quickly. Extensive data collection and integration across diverse countries allowed for hypothesis testing. For example, in determining who were the closest allies of the US, we assessed closeness to US intelligence. The data for this analysis was exposed by Edward Snowden when he showed that, in addition to the ‘Five Eyes’ – the world’s oldest intelligence partnership between five anglophone Western states, which began with the 1946 British-US Communication Intelligence Agreement – there were two other hidden groups, the ‘Nine Eyes’ and the ‘Fourteen Eyes’ (SIGINT Seniors Europe, formed in 1982).</p>
<p>The foundation for this report is the integration of databases, data analysis, and GSI’s elaboration.</p>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 55</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Sources and descriptions of data used for research</h3>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th style="min-width: 10em;">Source</th>
<th style="min-width: 14em;">Database</th>
<th style="min-width: 14em;">GSI explanation</th>
<th style="min-width: 20em;">URLs</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Labor Quality to real GDP growth</td>
<td>https://data-central.conference-board.org/</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Labor Quantity to real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Total Capital Services to real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Contribution of Total Factor Productivity to real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Conference Board (CB)</td>
<td>Growth Accounting and Total Factor Productivity</td>
<td>Real GDP growth</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://data-central.conference-board.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Congressional Research Service (CRS)</td>
<td></td>
<td>US acknowledged use of armed forces abroad, 1798–April 2023</td>
<td><a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738/41">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738/41</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Declassified UK</td>
<td></td>
<td>Declassified UK bases, 2020</td>
<td><a href="https://www.declassifieduk.org/revealed-the-uk-militarys-overseas-base-network-involves-145-sites-in-42-countries/">https://www.declassifieduk.org/revealed-the-uk-militarys-overseas-base-network-involves-145-sites-in-42-countries/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Encyclopedia Britannica</td>
<td></td>
<td>British Commonwealth members</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Enerdata</td>
<td>Global Energy &amp; CO<sup>2</sup> Data</td>
<td>Global Energy &amp; CO<sup>2</sup> Data</td>
<td><a href="https://www.enerdata.net/">https://www.enerdata.net/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Enerdata</td>
<td>World Energy Efficiency &amp; Demand</td>
<td>World Energy Efficiency &amp; Demand</td>
<td><a href="https://www.enerdata.net/">https://www.enerdata.net/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Energy Information Administration (EIA)</td>
<td>Natural Gas</td>
<td>Natural Gas Reserves</td>
<td><a href="https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/">https://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ernst &amp; Young</td>
<td>Who owns the DAX? Analysis of the shareholder structure of DAX companies in 2018 – abridged version</td>
<td>Shareholder structure of DAX companies in 2018</td>
<td><a href="https://assets.ey.com/content/dam/ey-sites/ey-com/de_de/news/2019/06/ey-wem-gehoert-der-dax-2019.pdf?download=.">https://assets.ey.com/content/dam/ey-sites/ey-com/de_de/news/2019/06/ey-wem-gehoert-der-dax-2019.pdf?download=.</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Federation of American Scientists</td>
<td></td>
<td>Nuclear weapons sharing, 2023</td>
<td><a href="https://fas.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Nuclear-weapons-sharing-2023.pdf">https://fas.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Nuclear-weapons-sharing-2023.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Federation of American Scientists</td>
<td></td>
<td>Status of World Nuclear Forces</td>
<td><a href="https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/">https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>G-77</td>
<td></td>
<td>Group of 77 at the United Nations</td>
<td><a href="https://www.g77.org/doc/">https://www.g77.org/doc/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Colonial status</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Common history of Imperialist countries</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Global North or Global South</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Global North Ring or Global South Grouping</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Global South Insights (GSI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>US-Led Military Bloc</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Green Finance &amp; Development Center</td>
<td></td>
<td>Countries signing BRI MOU</td>
<td><a href="https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/">https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Group of Friends in Defense of the Charter of the United Nations</td>
<td></td>
<td>Friends of the UN Charter</td>
<td><a href="https://www.gof-uncharter.org/">https://www.gof-uncharter.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>IHS Markit</td>
<td></td>
<td>Shareholder structure by region in 2020</td>
<td><a href="https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020---DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf">https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020—DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Deployment of troop information</td>
<td><a href="https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/">https://www.iiss.org/publications/the-military-balance/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using constant prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using constant prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP per capita in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP per capita in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using constant prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>GDP per capita in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using current prices</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Monetary Fund (IMF)</td>
<td>World Economic Outlook (WEO)</td>
<td>Population</td>
<td><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2023/October</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Organization for Standardization (ISO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>ISO country and territory</td>
<td><a href="https://www.iso.org/iso-3166-country-codes.html">https://www.iso.org/iso-3166-country-codes.html</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA)</td>
<td>Renewable energy statistics 2023</td>
<td></td>
<td><a href="https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Jul/Renewable-energy-statistics-2023">https://www.irena.org/Publications/2023/Jul/Renewable-energy-statistics-2023</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maddison</td>
<td>Historical Statistics of the World Economy</td>
<td></td>
<td><a href="https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010">https://www.rug.nl/ggdc/historicaldevelopment/maddison/releases/maddison-database-2010</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Monthly Review</td>
<td></td>
<td>Actual US military spending, 2022</td>
<td><a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/">https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>National Bureau of Statistics of China(NBS)</td>
<td></td>
<td>China quarterly GDP from 2019 Q3 to 2023 Q3</td>
<td><a href="https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/easyquery.htm?cn=B01">https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/easyquery.htm?cn=B01</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>2023 NATO Vilnius Summit participants</td>
<td><a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events_216418.htm?selectedLocale=en">https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/events_216418.htm?selectedLocale=en</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>NATO member countries</td>
<td><a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_52044.htm">https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_52044.htm</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)</td>
<td>Capital Market Series</td>
<td>Capital in the hands of non-domestic investors, OECD 10,000 largest companies</td>
<td><a href="https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf">https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)</td>
<td>Capital Market Series</td>
<td>Foreign and domestic ownership key stock exchanges</td>
<td><a href="https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf">https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Eurozone quarterly GDP from 2019 Q3 to 2023 Q3</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://data.oecd.org/gdp/quarterly-gdp.htm</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)</td>
<td>The Annual Statistical Bulletin (ASB)</td>
<td>World proven crude oil reserves by country</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://asb.opec.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)</td>
<td></td>
<td>OPEC members</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/about_us/25.htm</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SanctionsKill Campaign</td>
<td></td>
<td>US sanctioned countries</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://sanctionskill.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO)</td>
<td></td>
<td>SCO members</td>
<td><a href="https://eng.sectsco.org/">https://eng.sectsco.org/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)</td>
<td>SIPRI Military Expenditure</td>
<td>World military expenditure (constant USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI)</td>
<td>SIPRI Military Expenditure</td>
<td>World military expenditure (current USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Stuart Laycock (2012)</td>
<td></td>
<td>UK invasions 927-2012</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>UK current account balance</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>UK GDP at market prices</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>US current account balance 1885–1987</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Economist</td>
<td>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics</td>
<td>US gross national product (GNP) 1889–1987</td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Life expectancy estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 1950–2021</td>
<td><a href="https://data-central.conference-board.org/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Life expectancy estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 2022–2100</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>UN defined regions, sub-regions and intermediate</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Documentation/Documentation/">https://population.un.org/wpp/Download/Documentation/Documentation/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Population estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 1950–2021</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td>World Population Prospects (WPP)</td>
<td>Population estimates by region, subregion and country, annually for 2022–2100</td>
<td><a href="https://population.un.org/wpp/">https://population.un.org/wpp/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td></td>
<td>UN members</td>
<td><a href="https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states">https://www.un.org/en/about-us/member-states</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Nations (UN)</td>
<td></td>
<td>UN voting data</td>
<td><a href="https://digitallibrary.un.org/search?cc=Voting+Data&amp;ln=en&amp;c=Voting+Data">https://digitallibrary.un.org/search?cc=Voting+Data&amp;ln=en&amp;c=Voting+Data</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>International Transactions, International Services, and International Investment Position Tables</td>
<td>Balance on current account</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=62&amp;step=1&amp;_gl=1*xxlwzz*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYwMjkuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6NjIsInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDYsNl0sImRhdGEiOltbIlByb2R1Y3QiLCIxIl0sWyJUYWJsZUxpc3QiLCIxIl0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzEiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jMiIsWyIwIl1dLFsiRmlsdGVyXyMzIixbIjAiXV0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzQiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jNSIsWyIwIl1dXX0=">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=62&amp;step=1&amp;_gl=1*xxlwzz*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYwMjkuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6NjIsInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDYsNl0sImRhdGEiOltbIlByb2R1Y3QiLCIxIl0sWyJUYWJsZUxpc3QiLCIxIl0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzEiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jMiIsWyIwIl1dLFsiRmlsdGVyXyMzIixbIjAiXV0sWyJGaWx0ZXJfIzQiLFsiMCJdXSxbIkZpbHRlcl8jNSIsWyIwIl1dXX0=</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>National Income and Product Accounts</td>
<td>Gross domestic product (GDP), quantity indexes</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDMsM10sImRhdGEiOltbImNhdGVnb3JpZXMiLCJTdXJ2ZXkiXSxbIk5JUEFfVGFibGVfTGlzdCIsIjMiXSxbIkZpcnN0X1llYXIiLCIyMDIxIl0sWyJMYXN0X1llYXIiLCIyMDIzIl0sWyJTY2FsZSIsIjAiXSxbIlNlcmllcyIsIkEiXSxbIlNlbGVjdF9hbGxfeWVhcnMiLCIxIl1dfQ==</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>National Income and Product Accounts</td>
<td>Gross national product</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey&amp;_gl=1*es60tl*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYyODEuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDMsM10sImRhdGEiOltbImNhdGVnb3JpZXMiLCJTdXJ2ZXkiXSxbIk5JUEFfVGFibGVfTGlzdCIsIjMxNyJdLFsiRmlyc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjEiXSxbIkxhc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjMiXSxbIlNjYWxlIiwiLTkiXSxbIlNlcmllcyIsIkEiXSxbIlNlbGVjdF9hbGxfeWVhcnMiLCIxIl1dfQ==">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey&amp;_gl=1*es60tl*_ga*Mjk5NDQ2MTIxLjE2OTA0NjEwMzA.*_ga_J4698JNNFT*MTcwMjMxNjAyMC4xNS4xLjE3MDIzMTYyODEuMC4wLjA.#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDMsM10sImRhdGEiOltbImNhdGVnb3JpZXMiLCJTdXJ2ZXkiXSxbIk5JUEFfVGFibGVfTGlzdCIsIjMxNyJdLFsiRmlyc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjEiXSxbIkxhc3RfWWVhciIsIjIwMjMiXSxbIlNjYWxlIiwiLTkiXSxbIlNlcmllcyIsIkEiXSxbIlNlbGVjdF9hbGxfeWVhcnMiLCIxIl1dfQ==</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA)</td>
<td>National Income and Product Accounts</td>
<td>Net saving as a percentage of gross national income</td>
<td><a href="https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDNdLCJkYXRhIjpbWyJjYXRlZ29yaWVzIiwiU3VydmV5Il0sWyJOSVBBX1RhYmxlX0xpc3QiLCIxMzciXV19">https://apps.bea.gov/itable/?reqid=19&amp;step=2&amp;isuri=1&amp;categories=survey#eyJhcHBpZCI6MTksInN0ZXBzIjpbMSwyLDNdLCJkYXRhIjpbWyJjYXRlZ29yaWVzIiwiU3VydmV5Il0sWyJOSVBBX1RhYmxlX0xpc3QiLCIxMzciXV19</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>US Department of Defense</td>
<td>Base Structure Reports FY2023</td>
<td>Buildings under US military control in foreign countries</td>
<td><a href="https://www.acq.osd.mil/eie/Downloads/BSI/Base%20Structure%20Report%20FY23.xlsx">https://www.acq.osd.mil/eie/Downloads/BSI/Base%20Structure%20Report%20FY23.xlsx</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>Adjusted savings: consumption of fixed capital (current USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>GDP in Current Exchange Rates (CER) terms using current USD</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>GDP in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms using current international dollars</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>Gross fixed capital formation (current USD)</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Bank (WB)</td>
<td>World Development Indicators (WDI)</td>
<td>Industry (including construction), value added (% of GDP)</td>
<td><a href="https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/">https://datatopics.worldbank.org/world-development-indicators/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World BEYOND War</td>
<td>USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database</td>
<td>902 current US military bases</td>
<td><a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Nuclear Report</td>
<td></td>
<td>The World Nuclear Industry Status Report, 2022</td>
<td><a href="https://www.worldnuclearreport.org/IMG/pdf/wnisr2022-v3-hr.pdf">https://www.worldnuclearreport.org/IMG/pdf/wnisr2022-v3-hr.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>World Resources Institute (WRI)</td>
<td></td>
<td>Country shapefiles and boundaries, India Perspective, last updated on May 4, 2017</td>
<td><a href="https://github.com/wri/wri-bounds">https://github.com/wri/wri-bounds</a></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XV BRICS Summit 2023</td>
<td>Johannesburg II Declaration BRICS and Africa: Partnership for Mutually Accelerated Growth, Sustainable Development and Inclusive Multilateralism</td>
<td>BRICS members</td>
<td><a href="https://brics2023.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Jhb-II-Declaration-24-August-2023-1.pdf">https://brics2023.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Jhb-II-Declaration-24-August-2023-1.pdf</a></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="4">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Global South Insights</h2>
<p>Global South Insights (GSI) is a network of researchers committed to advancing quantitative, data-driven research in the field of Humanities and Social Sciences. It is a partner of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research.</p>
<p>GSI has employed advanced data technologies focused on statistical databases from multiple authoritative institutions, embedding comprehensive data governance and audit mechanisms.</p>
<p>Common issues facing researchers include:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Complex data sources, difficultly in data integration. </strong>For commonly used data such as population and GDP statistics, organisations like the United Nations, World Bank, and the International Monetary Fund each have different statistical approaches. The data released by these institutions lack standardisation, leading to various compatibility and interoperability issues during data integration.</li>
<li><strong>Poor data quality, difficultly in data auditing</strong>. Missing and erroneous data exist in the datasets published by various organisations. Auditing original data and integrated/analysed data relies heavily on manual operations, which is labour-intensive, inefficient, error-prone, and lacks repeatability.</li>
<li><strong>Basic processing tools, difficultly in advanced analysis.</strong> Data integration and analysis depend significantly on basic tools like Excel, which are inefficient and cumbersome for operations like 10-year rolling averages and linear regression. These challenges make it difficult to conduct higher-level abstract analyses.</li>
<li><strong>Limited visualisation, difficultly for insight presentation.</strong> Relying on the limited chart formats provided by Excel makes it difficult to create more expressive data presentations like composite charts, maps, heatmaps, etc. Charts created with professional design tools cannot automatically update with data changes.</li>
<li><strong>Lack of data asset management, difficultly in team collaboration</strong>. Quantitative research processes based on Excel files lack the accumulation and management of data assets such as source data, data audit results, data processing workflows, process data, and interim outcomes, making it difficult to support long-term collaborative research among multiple people and multiple topics.</li>
</ul>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Full list of ‘One Hundred and Eleven Diverse Global South Countries’</h2>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 56</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, all countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 1</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th class="br" rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th class="br" style="text-align: center;" colspan="5">General</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">Colonial History</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">UN<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">yr. joined</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Population<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">(bn.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Growth Rate<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10 yr. annual<br>
moving avg.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">GDP (PPP)<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">per capita</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Colonial<br>
Status</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Main<br>
colonial<br>
Powers</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Year of<br>
Independence</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">111</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,676</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,174</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1922</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">236</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,520</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,695</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">72</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,482</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,154</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Semi Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">171</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,343</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,971</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">219</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,281</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,909</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">46</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,226</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,484</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1816</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,137</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34,834</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">835</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84,657</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">719</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">127,563</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">603</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30,523</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">579</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29,221</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1818</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">523</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,310</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">505</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,948</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1932</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">37</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">363</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,900</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France, Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">123</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">358</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,435</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">35</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">340</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,634</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">22</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">320</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,267</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">311</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,151</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">309</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">109,160</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">261</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,847</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1948</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">256</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24,117</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1844</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1963</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">249</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">51,238</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Angola</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">36</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">248</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,944</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ecuador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">231</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,818</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1822</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ghana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">217</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,752</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1957</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tanzania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">65</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">209</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,394</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">204</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,366</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">191</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38,699</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1650</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guatemala</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">188</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,076</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Côte d’Ivoire</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">28</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">184</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,486</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Azerbaijan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">181</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,800</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Panama</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">173</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,397</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1903</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tunisia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">154</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,723</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1956</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Libya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">143</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">21,104</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1951</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DR Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">99</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">136</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,409</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uganda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">47</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">134</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,062</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Costa Rica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">131</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25,000</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,055</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1946</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cameroon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">28</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">124</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,431</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France, UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkmenistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">119</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19,028</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paraguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">108</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,535</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1811</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">99</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">27,770</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1825</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">90</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">58,426</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cambodia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1955</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">90</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,613</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1953</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">78</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,794</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1943</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">78</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,894</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Senegal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">73</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,117</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,097</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1821</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yemen</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">68</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,035</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1967</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benin</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">54</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,048</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Armenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,795</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Madagascar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">53</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,817</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tajikistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">49</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,943</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mongolia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,996</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1911</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mozambique</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,469</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Botswana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">48</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,323</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kyrgyzstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1992</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,127</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Independent</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trinidad &amp; Tobago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">41</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29,050</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gabon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,207</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua New Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,252</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Australia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rwanda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,904</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Haiti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">38</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,161</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1804</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malawi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">36</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,628</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1964</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritius</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26,934</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guyana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,699</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jamaica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">34</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">12,302</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1984</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-0.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">70,576</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1984</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">31</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,113</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Somalia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,928</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, Italy</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chad</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">30</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,724</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Equatorial Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">29</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-4.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19,465</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,277</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Togo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,594</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42,023</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sierra Leone</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,009</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1961</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fiji</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1970</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,950</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1970</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maldives</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">33,663</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eswatini</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,217</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Suriname</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,498</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Netherlands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burundi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">856</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Belgium</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bhutan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1971</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,219</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1947</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>East Timor</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2002</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7,064</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2002</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liberia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1945</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,690</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1847</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,670</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1965</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2011</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">456</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2011</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1977</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,502</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1977</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lesotho</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">7</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,092</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea-Bissau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,911</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1973</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Central African Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,081</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1960</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cabo Verde</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">9,263</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Barbados</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-0.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,339</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1966</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belize</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,564</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seychelles</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">39,079</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Lucia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">17,840</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comoros</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,363</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Antigua &amp; Barbuda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">23,575</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Grenada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">18,843</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1974</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St. Vincent &amp; the Grenadines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">16,216</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Solomon Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,325</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Kitts &amp; Nevis</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1983</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">27,767</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1983</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1976</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,883</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New Zealand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1962</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13,293</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanuatu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1981</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.8%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,890</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, France</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1980</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>São Tomé &amp; Príncipe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,067</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Portugal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1975</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tonga</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.0%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">6,686</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1970</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Micronesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-0.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,693</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">German Emp., Japan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kiribati</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.3%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,271</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1979</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1994</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">-1.2%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">14,515</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">German Emp., Japan, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1994</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.9%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,497</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Spain, German Emp., Japan, US</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1986</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nauru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1999</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4.4%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,930</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK, Australia, New Zealand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1968</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tuvalu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2000</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,376</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Colony</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">UK</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1978</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>2,242</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>21,171</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>9,687</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>103 Col+SemiCol</strong></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>28.1%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>12.9%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="9">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on UN, IMF</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 56</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, all countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 2</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2">Military</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3">US Military Target</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. (mil.)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Military spend<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">adj. per capita<br>
&gt; world avg. (times)</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Sanctions<br>
List</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Military<br>
Intervention<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">hist.</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">US Bases</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,646</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10,337</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,724</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,806</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,109</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,578</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3,671</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">11,688</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,133</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,566</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,845</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,683</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,995</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,031</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,053</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,138</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15,412</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15.9</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">5</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,857</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">761</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">8,244</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Angola</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,623</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ecuador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,489</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ghana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">229</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tanzania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">832</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">5,783</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3.5</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guatemala</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">431</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Côte d’Ivoire</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">607</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Azerbaijan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,991</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Panama</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">15</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tunisia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,156</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Libya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DR Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">371</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uganda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">923</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Costa Rica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2,323</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">8</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cameroon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">417</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkmenistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paraguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">366</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,376</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1,381</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.6</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cambodia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">611</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">4,739</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">326</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Senegal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">433</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">422</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yemen</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benin</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">97</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Armenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">795</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.8</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Madagascar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">98</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tajikistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">103</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mongolia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">118</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mozambique</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">282</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Botswana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">489</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.5</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kyrgyzstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">150</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trinidad &amp; Tobago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">201</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.4</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gabon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">278</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua New Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">97</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rwanda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">177</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Haiti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">13</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malawi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">76</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritius</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">20</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guyana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">84</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jamaica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">215</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">436</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">2.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">225</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Somalia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">115</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chad</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">357</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Equatorial Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">157</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.3</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">266</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Togo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">337</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sierra Leone</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fiji</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">67</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maldives</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eswatini</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">74</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Suriname</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burundi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">101</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bhutan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>East Timor</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">44</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liberia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">19</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">15</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">379</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">2</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lesotho</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">35</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea-Bissau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">25</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Central African Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">42</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cabo Verde</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">10</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">&lt; 0.1</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Barbados</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belize</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">24</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.2</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">9</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seychelles</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">26</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0.7</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Lucia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comoros</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Antigua &amp; Barbuda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Grenada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St. Vincent &amp; the Grenadines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Solomon Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Kitts &amp; Nevis</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanuatu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>São Tomé &amp; Príncipe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tonga</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Micronesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kiribati</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">3</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">10</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nauru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tuvalu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>131,182</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>63</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>192</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Percentage of World</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>4.6%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights elaboration based on SIPRI &amp; Monthly Review, UN, CRS, World Beyond War</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<div class="single-post--table-responsive--wrapper">
<table class="single-post--table-responsive single-post--table-styled">
<caption>
<h5>Figure 56</h5>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;">Grouping 5: Diverse Global South</h3>
<h4 style="margin:2em 0;">Select information, all countries, sorted by GDP (PPP), 2022</h4>
<p>Part 3</p>
</caption>
<thead>
<tr>
<th rowspan="2">Country</th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="3"><strong>International Affiliations</strong></th>
<th style="text-align: center;" colspan="2"><strong>UN Votes</strong></th>
</tr>
<tr>
<th style="text-align: right;">Friends of<br>
UN Charter</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Shangai<br>
Coop. Org.</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">BRICS10</th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Gaza Ceasefire<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">10/2023</span></th>
<th style="text-align: center;">Russia Whitdrawal<br>
<span class="single-post--table-heading--small">02/2023</span></th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Egypt</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Pakistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Thailand</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bangladesh</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nigeria</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Argentina</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malaysia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>United Arab Emirates</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Singapore</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kazakhstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Peru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Iraq</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Morocco</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ethiopia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">New</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uzbekistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sri Lanka</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Qatar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Myanmar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominican Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kuwait</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Angola</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ecuador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ghana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tanzania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Oman</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guatemala</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Côte d’Ivoire</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Azerbaijan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Panama</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tunisia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Libya</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>DR Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uganda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Costa Rica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jordan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cameroon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Turkmenistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Paraguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uruguay</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahrain</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cambodia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lebanon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Zambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Senegal</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>El Salvador</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Yemen</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benin</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Armenia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Madagascar</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tajikistan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mongolia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Observer</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mozambique</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Botswana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kyrgyzstan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Full</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trinidad &amp; Tobago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gabon</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Papua New Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rwanda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Haiti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Malawi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritius</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guyana</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Jamaica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brunei</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mauritania</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Somalia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chad</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Equatorial Guinea</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Rep Congo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Togo</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bahamas</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sierra Leone</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fiji</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maldives</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Dialogue</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Eswatini</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Suriname</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Burundi</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bhutan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>East Timor</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Liberia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Gambia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>South Sudan</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Djibouti</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Lesotho</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Guinea-Bissau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Central African Republic</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cabo Verde</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Barbados</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Belize</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Seychelles</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Lucia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Comoros</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Antigua &amp; Barbuda</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Grenada</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>St. Vincent &amp; the Grenadines</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Solomon Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Saint Kitts &amp; Nevis</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Samoa</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dominica</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Vanuatu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>São Tomé &amp; Príncipe</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Did not vote</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tonga</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Micronesia</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kiribati</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Palau</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marshall Islands</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nauru</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">N</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Tuvalu</td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Abstain</td>
<td style="text-align: center;">Y</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td><strong>Total</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>17</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"><strong>3</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>77 Y</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: center;"><strong>20 Abstain</strong></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot>
<tr>
<td colspan="6">
<div>Source: Global South Insights</div>
</td>
</tr>
</tfoot>
</table>
</div>
<h3 class="single-post--content--citations-title" style="margin:2em 0;">End Notes</h3>
<div class="single-post--content--citations-block">
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> Vijay Prashad, <em>Struggle Makes Us Human: Learning from Movements for Socialism </em>(New York: Haymarket Books, 2022); Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Ten Theses on Marxism and Decolonisation</em>, dossier no. 56, 20 September 2022, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-ten-theses-on-marxism-and-decolonisation/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-ten-theses-on-marxism-and-decolonisation/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Popular Agrarian Reform and the Struggle for Land in Brazil</em>, dossier no. 27, 6 April 2020, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-27-land/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-27-land/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The Strategic Revolutionary Thought and Legacy of Hugo Chávez Ten Years After His Death</em>, dossier no. 61, 28 February 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-61-chavez/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-61-chavez/</a>; Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>A Map of Latin America’s Present: An Interview with Héctor Béjar</em>, dossier no. 49, 7 February 2022, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-hector-bejar-latin-america/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-hector-bejar-latin-america/</a>; Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The US Ministry of Colonies and Its Summit</em>, red alert no. 14, 25 May 2022, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/red-alert-14-summit-of-the-americas/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/red-alert-14-summit-of-the-americas/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Immanuel Wallerstein, ‘The Three Instances of Hegemony in the History of the Capitalist World-Economy’, ed. Lenski, <em>Current Issues and Research in Macrosociology</em>, 1 January 1984, 100–108, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1163/9789004477995_008">https://doi.org/10.1163/9789004477995_008</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Jens Stoltenberg, Ursula von der Leyen, and Charles Michel, ‘Joint Declaration on EU-NATO Cooperation’, North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, 10 January 2023, <a href="https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_210549.htm">https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/official_texts_210549.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Leila Khaled, ‘Where There is Repression, There is Resistance’, <em>Capire,</em> 27 October 2023, <a href="https://capiremov.org/en/interview/leila-khaled-where-there-is-repression-there-is-resistance/">https://capiremov.org/en/interview/leila-khaled-where-there-is-repression-there-is-resistance/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Vladimir I. Lenin, <em>Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism: A Popular Outline</em> (New York: International Publishers, 1939); Walter Rodney, <em>How Europe Underdeveloped Africa</em> (London: Bogle-L’Ouverture Publications, 1972); Kwame Nkrumah, <em>Neo-Colonialism: The Last Stage of Imperialism</em>, Reprinted (London: Panaf, 2004).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Julian Assange, <em>When Google Met WikiLeaks</em> (New York: OR Books, 2014).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Donald Trump, ‘President Donald J. Trump Is Ending United States Participation in an Unacceptable Iran Deal’, The White House, 8 May 2018, <a href="https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trump-ending-united-states-participation-unacceptable-iran-deal/">https://trumpwhitehouse.archives.gov/briefings-statements/president-donald-j-trump-ending-united-states-participation-unacceptable-iran-deal/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> ‘US Completes Open Skies Treaty Withdrawal’, Arms Control Association, December 2020, <a href="https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2020-12/news/us-completes-open-skies-treaty-withdrawal">https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2020-12/news/us-completes-open-skies-treaty-withdrawal</a>; C. Todd Lopez, ‘US Withdraws From Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty’, US Department of Defence, 2 August 2019, <a href="https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/article/article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/">https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/article/article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/</a>; George W. Bush, ‘Statement by the President’, The White House, 13 June 2002, <a href="https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/article/article/1924779/us-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-forces-treaty/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.defense.gov%2FNews%2FNews-Stories%2FArticle%2FArticle%2F1924779%2Fus-withdraws-from-intermediate-range-nuclear-f">https://georgewbush-whitehouse.archives.gov/news/releases/2002/06/20020613-9.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Gisela Cernadas and John Bellamy Foster, ‘Actual US Military Spending Reached US$ 1.53 trillion in 2022 – More than Twice Acknowledged Level: New Estimates Based on US National Accounts’, <em>Monthly Review</em>, 1 November 2023, <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/">https://monthlyreview.org/2023/11/01/actual-u-s-military-spending-reached-1-53-trillion-in-2022-more-than-twice-acknowledged-level-new-estimates-based-on-u-s-national-accounts/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> The Quincy Institute and other authors have also published significantly higher US military spending estimates. Andrew Cockburn, ‘Getting the Defense Budget Right: A (Real) Grand Total, over $1.4 Trillion’, <em>Responsible Statecraft</em>, 7 May 2023, <a href="https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2023/05/07/getting-the-defense-budget-right-a-real-grand-total-over-1-4-trillion/">https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2023/05/07/getting-the-defense-budget-right-a-real-grand-total-over-1-4-trillion/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> ‘SIPRI Military Expenditure Database’, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Chen Zhuo, ‘Explainer: Prudent Chinese Defense Budget Growth Ensures Broad Public Security’, Ministry of National Defence, People’s Republic of China, 6 March 2022, <a href="http://eng.mod.gov.cn/xb/News_213114/TopStories/4906180.html">http://eng.mod.gov.cn/xb/News_213114/TopStories/4906180.html</a>; National Bureau of Statistics of China, accessed 20 December 2023,<br>
<a href="https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/adv.htm?m=advquery&amp;cnC01">https://data.stats.gov.cn/english/adv.htm?m=advquery&amp;cnC01</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> The 2022 SIPRI adjustment are expenses related to (a) spending on the paramilitary People’s Armed Police (PAP); (b) soldiers’ de-mobilisation and retirement payments from the Ministry of Civil Affairs; (c) additional military research, development, testing, and evaluation (RDT&amp;E) funding outside the national defence budget; (d) additional military construction expenses; (e) commercial earnings of the People’s Liberation Army (zero as of 2015); (f) subsidies to the arms industry (zero as of 2010); (e) Chinese arms imports (zero as of 2020); and (g) the Chinese Coast Guard (since 2013). The new series remains internally consistent over the period 1989–2019. <em>See </em>Nan Tian and Fei Su, ‘A New Estimate Of China’s Military Expenditure’, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, January 2021, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2021-01/2101_sipri_report_a_new_estimate_of_chinas_military_expenditure.pdf">https://www.sipri.org/sites/default/files/2021-01/2101_sipri_report_a_new_estimate_of_chinas_military_expenditure.pdf</a>; ‘Sources and Methods’, Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/sources-and-methods#sipri-estimates-for-china">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/sources-and-methods#sipri-estimates-for-china</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> SIPRI figures for China 2021 were on average about 1.36 times larger than China’s official national defence budget, though reducing the estimates made in the past. For instance, for the year 2019, the new SIPRI estimate is 1,660 billion yuan or US$ 240 billion, slightly lower than the old estimate of 1,803 billion yuan or US$ 261 billion. Under the previous estimates, SIPRI increased China’s official 2021 defence budget by 48.6%. Under the new estimates, China’s 2021 budget was increased 36.8% by SIPRI. With the new adjustments China’s military spending corresponds to 1.6% of GDP, compared to 1.3% that the official budget represents. Calculations for GDP are based on IMF WEO GDP CER data.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> Office of Management and Budget, ‘Historical Tables. Table 3.2. Outlays by Function and Subfunction: 1962–2028’, The White House, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historical-tables/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/historical-tables/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Calculations based on the estimates of actual US military spending for the year 2022 by Gisela Cernadas and John Bellamy Foster. <em>See</em> note 11.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> ‘USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database’, <em>World Beyond War</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref20" name="_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> For decades, it has been recognised by independent researchers that actual US military spending is approximately twice the officially acknowledged level. The independent research is not restricted to left-wing circles, but it includes the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, funded by the right-wing billionaire George Soros, the Project on Government Oversight (POGO), and the ‘liberal’ Centre for American Progress. <em>See</em> Lawrence J. Krob and Kaveh Toofan, ‘A Trillion-Dollar Defense Budget? – Centre for American Progress’, <em>Centre for American Progress</em>, 12 July 2022, <a href="https://www.americanprogress.org/article/a-trillion-dollar-defense-budget/">https://www.americanprogress.org/article/a-trillion-dollar-defense-budget/</a>; Cockburn, ‘Getting the Defense Budget Right: A (Real) Grand Total, over $1.4 Trillion’; William Hartung and Mandy Smithberger, ‘Making Sense of the $1.25 Trillion National Security State Budget’, <em>Project on Government Oversight</em>, 7 May 2019, <a href="https://www.pogo.org/analysis/making-sense-of-the-1-25-trillion-national-security-state-budget">https://www.pogo.org/analysis/making-sense-of-the-1-25-trillion-national-security-state-budget</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref21" name="_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> Our <em>worldwide military spending figures use current exchange rates (CER). </em>PPP conversion factors to measure military spending are necessarily less reliable than currency exchange rates. PPP rates are statistical estimates, calculated on the basis of collected price data for baskets of goods and services for benchmark years. No such price data is collected for military expenditure. Therefore, the nature of military spending lacks this information for international comparisons. Thus, the calculation of the military spending applying PPP rates through GDP conversion factors is methodologically invalid since it’s based on the implicit assumption that the ratio of military prices equals the ratio of relative prices of GDP for which no evidence is presented. SIPRI recognises that using the PPP adjustment for military spending is inaccurate and therefore it is less reliable than using currency exchange rates. <em>See </em>Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, ‘Frequently Asked Questions’, SIPRI Military Expenditure Database, accessed 25 November 2023, <a href="https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/frequently-asked-questions#PPP">https://www.sipri.org/databases/milex/frequently-asked-questions#PPP</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref22" name="_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Since China’s military spending is focused on only Chinese territory, there are clear limits to China’s military expansion, The country does not have significant military bases abroad, unlike the US with 902 in 2022. This idea is supported by the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: ‘China has thus far established only one actual, operating overseas military base, on the horn of Africa, in Djibouti, and is probably establishing a naval facility in Cambodia. But there are real limits to how far China can go in duplicating such places. As Isaac Kardon of the Carnegie Endowment has pointed out, China has no formal military alliances (beyond the dubious case of DPR Korea) and is unlikely to acquire any in the foreseeable future, a fact that imposes major constraints on its ability to establish serious military bases. Few if any countries wish to commit to housing full-fledged, sizeable military facilities that could project Chinese military power across their region and, in the process, invite an American response.’ <em>See</em> Michael D. Swaine, ‘Actually, China’s Military Isn’t Going Global’, <em>Responsible Statecraft</em>, 8 September 2023, <a href="https://responsiblestatecraft.org/china-military/">https://responsiblestatecraft.org/china-military/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref23" name="_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> The Editors, ‘US Military Bases and Empire’, Monthly Review, 1 March 2002, <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2002/03/01/u-s-military-bases-and-empire/.">https://monthlyreview.org/2002/03/01/u-s-military-bases-and-empire/.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref24" name="_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> ‘USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database’, <em>World Beyond War</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref25" name="_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2023</em>, International Institute for Security Studies, 15 February 2023, <a href="https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/">https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref26" name="_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Sally Williamson ‘Logistics Contractors and Strategic Logistics Advantage in US Military Operations’, <em>Logistics In War</em>, 4 June 2023, <a href="https://logisticsinwar.com/2023/06/04/logistics-contractors-and-strategic-logistics-advantage-in-us-military-operations/">https://logisticsinwar.com/2023/06/04/logistics-contractors-and-strategic-logistics-advantage-in-us-military-operations/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref27" name="_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> ‘Agreement Between the United States of America and Ghana’, Treaties and Other International Acts, series 18–531, US Department of State, <a href="https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/18-531-Ghana-Defense-Status-of-Forces.pdf">https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/02/18-531-Ghana-Defense-Status-of-Forces.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref28" name="_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> Vijay Prashad, ‘Why Does the United States Have a Military Base in Ghana?’, <em>Peoples Dispatch</em>, 15 June 2022, <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/06/15/why-does-the-united-states-have-a-military-base-in-ghana/">https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/06/15/why-does-the-united-states-have-a-military-base-in-ghana/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref29" name="_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Matthew P. Goodman and Matthew Wayland, ‘Securing Asia’s Subsea Network: US Interests and Strategic Options’, <em>Centre for Strategic International Studies</em>, 4 April 2022, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/securing-asias-subsea-network-us-interests-and-strategic-options">https://www.csis.org/analysis/securing-asias-subsea-network-us-interests-and-strategic-options</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref30" name="_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> ‘Utah Data Centre’, <em>Domestic Surveillance Directorate</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://nsa.gov1.info/utah-data-center/">https://nsa.gov1.info/utah-data-center/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref31" name="_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Nick Turse, ‘Pentagon Misled Congress About US Bases in Africa’, <em>The Intercept</em>, 8 September 2023, <a href="https://theintercept.com/2023/09/08/africa-air-base-us-military/">https://theintercept.com/2023/09/08/africa-air-base-us-military/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref32" name="_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> ‘USA’s Military Empire: A Visual Database’, <em>World Beyond War</em>, accessed 27 November 2023, <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/">https://worldbeyondwar.org/no-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref33" name="_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2023</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref34" name="_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2023</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref35" name="_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Barbara Salazar Torreon and Sofia Plagakis, <em>Instances of Use of United States Armed Forces Abroad, 1798–2023</em>, Congressional Research Service, 7 June 2023, <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R42738</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref36" name="_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Kushi and Toft, ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project’, 4.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref37" name="_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Salazar Torreon and Plagakis, <em>Instances of Use of United States Armed Forces Abroad, 1798–2023</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref38" name="_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Sidita Kushi and Monica Duffy Toft, ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project: A New Dataset on US Military Interventions, 1776–2019’, <em>Journal of Conflict Resolution </em>67, no. 4 (2023): 752–779. <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00220027221117546?icid=int.sj-full-text.citing-articles.1">https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/00220027221117546?icid=int.sj-full-text.citing-articles.1</a><u>.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref39" name="_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> The Military Intervention Project (MIP) has a slightly lower estimate than the larger lists from sources such as the Congressional Research Services (CRS), whose figures are more frequently cited by researchers. MIP uses a range of all known published databases. However, due to its more comprehensive definition, their aggregation process results in a slightly lower total figure due to reclassification. MIP and CRS, therefore, have incomparable data sets and incomparable raw numbers based on the different way they treat dating, scale, duration, legality, and intent. MIP and CRS have incomparable methodological approaches. We use CRS as it is the largest published data available. See Kushi and Toft, ‘Introducing the Military Intervention Project’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref40" name="_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Claudia Jones, ‘International Women’s Day and the Struggle for Peace’, speech delivered at a rally on 8 March 1950, <em>Liberation School</em>, 29 March 2023, <a href="https://www.liberationschool.org/claudia-jones-1950-iwd-speech/">https://www.liberationschool.org/claudia-jones-1950-iwd-speech/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref41" name="_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> Anthony Lake, ‘Confronting Backlash States’, <em>Foreign Affairs</em>, 1 March 1994, <a href="https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/1994-03-01/confronting-backlash-states">https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/1994-03-01/confronting-backlash-states</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref42" name="_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Francisco R. Rodríguez, ‘The Human Consequences of Economic Sanctions’, Centre for Economic Policy Research, 4 May 2023, <a href="https://cepr.net/press-release/new-report-finds-that-economic-sanctions-are-often-deadly-and-harm-peoples-living-standards-in-target-countries/">https://cepr.net/press-release/new-report-finds-that-economic-sanctions-are-often-deadly-and-harm-peoples-living-standards-in-target-countries/</a><u>.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref43" name="_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Agence France-Presse, ‘US Commerce Chief Warns against China “Threat”’, <em>South China Morning Post</em>, 3 December 2023, <a href="https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3243657/us-commerce-chief-warns-against-china-threat">https://www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/3243657/us-commerce-chief-warns-against-china-threat</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref44" name="_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Deutscher Bundestag, <em>China-Strategie der Bundesregierung</em> [China Strategy of the Federal Government], 20/7770, 13 July 2023, <a href="https://dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/077/2007770.pdf">https://dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/077/2007770.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref45" name="_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Own elaboration based on data from Christoph Nedopil Wang, ‘Countries of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) – Green Finance &amp; Development Centre’, accessed 2 December 2023, <a href="https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/">https://greenfdc.org/countries-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative-bri/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref46" name="_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Global South Insights own elaboration based on World Bank WDI and IMF WEO.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref47" name="_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Eight Contradictions of the Imperialist “Rules-Based Order”</em>, Studies on Contemporary Dilemmas, 13 March 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/eight-contradiction-of-the-imperialist-rules-based-order/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/eight-contradiction-of-the-imperialist-rules-based-order/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref48" name="_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> All images in the ‘Common History of Imperialist Countries’ are in the public domain or under Creative Commons. See attribution, listed chronologically: Joseph Swain, <em>On Board a Slave Ship</em>, c.1835, <a href="https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:On_Board_a_Slave-Ship,_engraving_by_Swain_c._1835_Colorized.jpg">https://commons.m.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:On_Board_a_Slave-Ship,_engraving_by_Swain_c._1835_Colorized.jpg</a>; Unknown,<em> The </em><em>D</em><em>estruction of the Pequots</em>, c. 19<sup>th</sup> century, <a href="https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mystic_Massacre_1637_Destruction_Of_The_Pequots_in_Connecticut.png">https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mystic_Massacre_1637_Destruction_Of_The_Pequots_in_Connecticut.png</a>; Unknown, <em>The Berlin Conference on </em><em>P</em><em>artition of Africa</em>, c. 1884, <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Afrikakonferenz.jpg">https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Afrikakonferenz.jpg</a>; William Heysham Overend, <em>Chinese </em><em>O</em><em>fficers </em><em>T</em><em>ear </em><em>D</em><em>own the British </em><em>F</em><em>lag on the Arrow</em>, 8 October 1856, <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Chinese_officers_tear_down_the_British_flag_on_the_arrow.JPG">https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Chinese_officers_tear_down_the_British_flag_on_the_arrow.JPG</a>; Edward N. Jackson, Council of Four at the WWI Paris peace conference, 27 May 1919,  <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Big-Four-Paris_1919.jpg">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Big-Four-Paris_1919.jpg</a>; Charles Levy, <em>Atomic Cloud Rises Over Nagasaki, Japan</em>, 9 August 1945, <a href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nagasakibomb.jpg">https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Nagasakibomb.jpg</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref49" name="_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> Utsa Patnaik, ‘Revisiting the “Drain”, or Transfer from India to Britain in the Context of Global Diffusion of Capitalism’, in <em>Agrarian and Other Histories: Essays for Binay Bhushan Chaudhuri</em>, edited by Shubhra Chakrabarti and Utsa Patnaik (New Delhi: Tulika, 2017).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref50" name="_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> Michael Johnson, ‘Teaching about Slavery’, Foreign Policy Research Institute, August 2008, <a href="https://www.fpri.org/article/2008/08/teaching-about-slavery/">https://www.fpri.org/article/2008/08/teaching-about-slavery/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref51" name="_edn51"><sup>51</sup></a> Wendy Sawyer and Peter Wagner, ‘Mass Incarceration: The Whole Pie 2023’, Prison Policy Initiative, 14 March 2023, <a href="https://www.prisonpolicy.org/reports/pie2023.html">https://www.prisonpolicy.org/reports/pie2023.html.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref52" name="_edn52"><sup>52</sup></a> ‘Trans-Atlantic Slave Trade – Database’, <em>SlaveVoyage</em>, 2019, <a href="https://www.slavevoyages.org/voyage/database">https://www.slavevoyages.org/voyage/database</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref53" name="_edn53"><sup>53</sup></a> Rachel Nuwer, ‘Mississippi Officially Ratifies Amendment to Ban Slavery, 148 Years Late’, <em>Smithsonian Magazine</em>, 20 February 2013, <a href="https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/mississippi-officially-ratifies-amendment-to-ban-slavery-148-years-late-21328041/">https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/mississippi-officially-ratifies-amendment-to-ban-slavery-148-years-late-21328041/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref54" name="_edn54"><sup>54</sup></a> Maria Mies, <em>Patriarchy and Accumulation on a World Scale: Women in the International Division of Labour</em> (London: Zed Books, 2001).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref55" name="_edn55"><sup>55</sup></a> Jean Enriquez, ‘From “Comfort Women” to Prostitution in Military Bases’, <em>Capire</em>, 18 July 2023, <a href="https://capiremov.org/en/interview/from-comfort-women-to-prostitution-in-military-bases/">https://capiremov.org/en/interview/from-comfort-women-to-prostitution-in-military-bases/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref56" name="_edn56"><sup>56</sup></a> Cori Bush and et. al., ‘Calling for an Immediate De-escalation and Cease-Fire in Israel and Occupied Palestine’, Pub. L. No. H.Res.786, 118th Congress (2023–2024) (2023), <a href="https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-resolution/786/cosponsors">https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-resolution/786/cosponsors.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref57" name="_edn57"><sup>57</sup></a> Rosalind C. Morris, ‘<em>Ursprüngliche Akkumulation</em>: The Secret of an Originary Mistranslation’, <em>boundary 2</em> 43, no. 3 (1 August 2016): 29–77, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1215/01903659-3572418">https://doi.org/10.1215/01903659-3572418</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref58" name="_edn58"><sup>58</sup></a> Daniel Larsen, <em>Plotting for Peace: American Peacemakers, British Codebreakers, and Britain at War, 1914–1917</em>, (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2021), <a href="https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108761833">https://doi.org/10.1017/9781108761833</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref59" name="_edn59"><sup>59</sup></a> Lenin, <em>Imperialism</em>; Rudolf Hilferding, <em>Finance Capital: A Study of the Latest Phase of Capitalist Development</em> (London: Routledge &amp; Kegan Paul, 1985).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref60" name="_edn60"><sup>60</sup></a> Vladimir Lenin, ‘Imperialism and the Split in Socialism’, in <em>V. I. Lenin Collected Works</em>, vol. 23 (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1964), 114, <a href="https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/oct/x01.htm">https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/oct/x01.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref61" name="_edn61"><sup>61</sup></a> ‘2023 Bilderberg Meeting Participant List’, <em>Public Intelligence</em>, 19 May 2023, <a href="https://publicintelligence.net/2023-bilderberg-participant-list/">https://publicintelligence.net/2023-bilderberg-participant-list/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref62" name="_edn62"><sup>62</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The Coup Against the Third World: Chile, 1973</em>, dossier no. 68, 5 September 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-68-the-coup-against-the-third-world-chile-1973/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-68-the-coup-against-the-third-world-chile-1973/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref63" name="_edn63"><sup>63</sup></a> Nalu Faria, ‘O Feminismo Latino-Americano e Caribenho: Perspectivas Diante Do Neo-liberalismo [Latin American and Caribbean Feminism: Perspectives on Neoliberalism]’, in <em>Desafios Do Livre Mercado Para o Feminismo [Challenges of the Free Market for Feminism]</em>, Cadernos Sempreviva 9 (São Paulo: SOF, 2005).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref64" name="_edn64"><sup>64</sup></a> Assange, <em>When Google Met WikiLeaks</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref65" name="_edn65"><sup>65</sup></a> Michael Hudson, <em>Super Imperialism: The Origin and Fundamentals of US World Dominance</em> (London: Pluto Press, 2003).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref66" name="_edn66"><sup>66</sup></a> ‘The Transistor Revolution: How Transistors Changed the World’, <em>Arrow</em>, 22 December 2022, <a href="https://www.arrow.com/en/research-and-events/articles/the-transistor-revolution-how-transistors-changed-the-world">https://www.arrow.com/en/research-and-events/articles/the-transistor-revolution-how-transistors-changed-the-world</a>; Omar Sohail, ’ Apple’s M3 Max Has the Highest Generational Leap in Transistor Count with a 37 Percent Difference Compared to the M2 Max’, <em>WCCF Tech</em>, 3 Novemeber 2023, <a href="https://wccftech.com/apple-m3-max-highest-transistor-count-for-any-m-series-chip/">https://wccftech.com/apple-m3-max-highest-transistor-count-for-any-m-series-chip/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref67" name="_edn67"><sup>67</sup></a> <em>2023 Year in Review – India Review</em>, Comscore, December 2023, <a href="https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Events-and-Webinars/Webinar/2023/2023-Year-in-Review-India-Edition">https://www.comscore.com/Insights/Events-and-Webinars/Webinar/2023/2023-Year-in-Review-India-Edition</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref68" name="_edn68"><sup>68</sup></a> Kevin Townsend, ‘Bad Bots Account for 73% of Internet Traffic: Analysis’, <em>Security Week</em>, 16 November 2023, <a href="https://www.securityweek.com/bad-bots-account-for-73-of-internet-traffic-analysis/">https://www.securityweek.com/bad-bots-account-for-73-of-internet-traffic-analysis/</a>; <em>Unheard Voices: Evaluating Five Years of pro-Western Covert Influence Operations</em>, Graphika and Stanford Internet Observatory, 24 August 2022, <a href="https://public-assets.graphika.com/reports/graphika_stanford_internet_observatory_report_unheard_voice.pdf.">https://public-assets.graphika.com/reports/graphika_stanford_internet_observatory_report_unheard_voice.pdf.</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref69" name="_edn69"><sup>69</sup></a> Janan Ganesh, ‘America’s Cultural Supremacy and Geopolitical Weakness’, <em>Financial Times</em>, 19 December 2023,<u> </u><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/dce07860-f39e-432b-a0f6-1a2124e4e1a3">https://www.ft.com/content/dce07860-f39e-432b-a0f6-1a2124e4e1a3</a><u>.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref70" name="_edn70"><sup>70</sup></a> <em>See </em>Karl Marx, ‘Component Parts of Bank Capital’, in <em>Capital</em>, vol. III (New York: International Publishers, 1995), <a href="https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1894-c3/ch15.htm">https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1894-c3/ch15.htm</a>, 336–337.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref71" name="_edn71"><sup>71</sup></a> ‘OTC Derivatives Statistics at End-June 2023’, Bank of International Settlements, 16 November 2023, <a href="https://www.bis.org/publ/otc_hy2311.pdf">https://www.bis.org/publ/otc_hy2311.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref72" name="_edn72"><sup>72</sup></a> ‘OTC Derivatives Statistics at End-June 2023’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref73" name="_edn73"><sup>73</sup></a> Samir Amin, ‘How to Defeat the Collective Imperialism of the Triad’, <em>Monthly Reviw</em>, 5 December 2022, <a href="https://mronline.org/2022/12/05/samir-amin-how-to-defeat-the-collective-imperialism-of-the-triad/">https://mronline.org/2022/12/05/samir-amin-how-to-defeat-the-collective-imperialism-of-the-triad/</a>; Samir Amin, <em>Globalisation and Its Alternative</em>, interviewed by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, 30 October 2018, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/globalisation-and-its-alternative/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/globalisation-and-its-alternative/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref74" name="_edn74"><sup>74</sup></a> ‘Religion and the Founding of the American Republic’, Exhibitions, Library of Congress, <a href="https://www.loc.gov/exhibits/religion/rel01.html">https://www.loc.gov/exhibits/religion/rel01.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref75" name="_edn75"><sup>75</sup></a> Mohammad Shahid Alam, <em>Israeli Exceptionalism: The Destabilising Logic of Zionism</em> (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2009), 109.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref76" name="_edn76"><sup>76</sup></a> Stuart Laycock, <em>All the Countries We’ve Ever Invaded: And the Few We Never Got Round To</em> (London: The History Press, 2012).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref77" name="_edn77"><sup>77</sup></a> ‘Israel Hits Gaza Strip with the Equivalent of Two Nuclear Bombs’, <em>Euro-Mediterranean Human Rights Monitor</em>, 2 November 2023, <a href="https://euromedmonitor.org/en/article/5908/Israel-hit-Gaza-Strip-with-the-equivalent-of-two-nuclear-bombs">https://euromedmonitor.org/en/article/5908/Israel-hit-Gaza-Strip-with-the-equivalent-of-two-nuclear-bombs</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref78" name="_edn78"><sup>78</sup></a> Jeremy M. Sharp, <em>US Foreign Aid to Israel</em>, Congressional Research Service, 1 March 2023, <a href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/RL/RL33222/">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/RL/RL33222/</a>, i.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref79" name="_edn79"><sup>79</sup></a> ‘How Much Aid Does the US Give to Israel?’, <em>USA FACTS</em>, 12 October 2023, <a href="https://usafacts.org/articles/how-much-military-aid-does-the-us-give-to-israel/">https://usafacts.org/articles/how-much-military-aid-does-the-us-give-to-israel/</a><u>. </u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref80" name="_edn80"><sup>80</sup></a> Vladimir Lenin, ‘Once Again on the Trade Unions: The Current Situation and the Mistakes of Trotsky and Bukharin’, in <em>V. I. Lenin Collected Works</em>, vol. 32 (Moscow: Progress Publishers, 1965), 70­–107.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref81" name="_edn81"><sup>81</sup></a> Justin Cremer, ‘Denmark Is One of the NSA’s “9-Eyes”’, <em>The Copenhagen Post</em>, 4 November 2013, <a href="https://web.archive.org/web/20131219010450/http:/cphpost.dk/news/denmark-is-one-of-the-nsas-9-eyes.7611.html">https://web.archive.org/web/20131219010450/http:/cphpost.dk/news/denmark-is-one-of-the-nsas-9-eyes.7611.html</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref82" name="_edn82"><sup>82</sup></a> Ryan Gallagher, ‘The Powerful Global Spy Alliance You Never Knew Existed’, <em>The Intercept</em>, 1 March 2018, <a href="https://theintercept.com/2018/03/01/nsa-global-surveillance-sigint-seniors/">https://theintercept.com/2018/03/01/nsa-global-surveillance-sigint-seniors/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref83" name="_edn83"><sup>83</sup></a> Office of Press Secretary, ‘Remarks By President Obama to the Australian Parliament’, The White House, 17 November 2011, <a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks-president-obama-australian-parliament">https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2011/11/17/remarks-president-obama-australian-parliament</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref84" name="_edn84"><sup>84</sup></a> ‘Japan Defence: China Threat Prompts Plan to Double Military Spending’, <em>BBC</em>, 16 December 2022 <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64001554">https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-64001554</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref85" name="_edn85"><sup>85</sup></a> According to the World Bank, ‘high-income economies are those with a GNI per capita of $13,846 or more’, <em>see</em> ‘World Bank Country and Lending Groups’, The World Bank, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519#High_income">https://datahelpdesk.worldbank.org/knowledgebase/articles/906519#High_income</a>; ‘GNI per Capita, Atlas Method (Current US$) – China’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD?end=2022&amp;locations=CN&amp;start=2005">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GNP.PCAP.CD?end=2022&amp;locations=CN&amp;start=2005</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref86" name="_edn86"><sup>86</sup></a> Xi Jinping, speech at the Closing Ceremony of the BRICS Business Forum 2023. Full text: <a href="https://newsaf.cgtn.com/news/2023-08-23/Full-text-Xi-Jinping-s-speech-at-the-Closing-Ceremony-of-the-BRICS-Business-Forum-2023-1mulkZSzuso/index.html">https://newsaf.cgtn.com/news/2023-08-23/Full-text-Xi-Jinping-s-speech-at-the-Closing-Ceremony-of-the-BRICS-Business-Forum-2023-1mulkZSzuso/index.html</a></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref87" name="_edn87"><sup>87</sup></a> For more, <em>see</em> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The World Needs a New Socialist Development Theory</em>, dossier no. 66, 4 July 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-66-development-theory/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-66-development-theory/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref88" name="_edn88"><sup>88</sup></a> Larissa Mies Bombardi, <em>Agrotóxicos e Colonialismo Químico</em> [Agrotoxins and Pesticide Colonialism] (São Paulo, SP: Elefante, 2023).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref89" name="_edn89"><sup>89</sup></a> Larissa Packer and Camila Moreno, eds., O Brasil Na Retomada Verde: Integrar Para Entregar [Brazil in the Green Recovery: Integrate to Deliver] (Brasília: Grupo Carta de Belém, 2021).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref90" name="_edn90"><sup>90</sup></a> Own elaboration based on IMF data.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref91" name="_edn91"><sup>91</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Serve the People: The Eradication of Extreme Poverty in China</em>, Studies in Socialist Construction no. 1, 23 July 2021, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-1-socialist-construction/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-1-socialist-construction/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref92" name="_edn92"><sup>92</sup></a> Xi Jinping, Hold High the Great Banner of Socialism with Chinese Characteristics and Strive in Unity to Build a Modern Socialist Country in All Respects, report to the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, 16 October 2022, <a href="http://my.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zgxw/202210/t20221026_10792358.htm">http://my.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zgxw/202210/t20221026_10792358.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref93" name="_edn93"><sup>93</sup></a> Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels, <em>The Communist Manifesto</em>, 22nd printing of 100th anniversary ed (New York: International Publishers, 1979).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref94" name="_edn94"><sup>94</sup></a> Bureau of Political-Military Affairs, ‘US Security Cooperation with Ukraine’, US Department of State, 12 December 2023, <a href="https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/">https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref95" name="_edn95"><sup>95</sup></a> Joe Biden, ‘Remarks by President Biden on the End of the War in Afghanistan’, The White House, 31 August 2021, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/08/31/remarks-by-president-biden-on-the-end-of-the-war-in-afghanistan/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/08/31/remarks-by-president-biden-on-the-end-of-the-war-in-afghanistan/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref96" name="_edn96"><sup>96</sup></a> Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Syria’s Bloody and Unforgiving War</em>, dossier no. 3, 5 April 2018, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-3-syrias-bloody-war/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-3-syrias-bloody-war/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref97" name="_edn97"><sup>97</sup></a> ‘Manufacturing, Value Added (% Of GDP) – South Africa’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS?locations=ZA">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NV.IND.MANF.ZS?locations=ZA</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref98" name="_edn98"><sup>98</sup></a> Rodríguez, ‘The Human Consequences of Economic Sanctions’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref99" name="_edn99"><sup>99</sup></a>Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, ‘The Emergence of a New Non-Alignment’, newsletter no. 24, 15 June 2023, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/new-non-alignment/.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref100" name="_edn100"><sup>100</sup></a> Patrick Wintour, ‘Gulf States Fend off Call From Iran to Arm Palestinians at Riyadh Summit’, <em>The Guardian</em>, 12 November 2023, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/12/gulf-states-fend-off-call-from-iran-to-arm-palestinians-at-riyadh-summit">https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/12/gulf-states-fend-off-call-from-iran-to-arm-palestinians-at-riyadh-summit</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref101" name="_edn101"><sup>101</sup></a> Own elaboration based on World Bank data.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref102" name="_edn102"><sup>102</sup></a> Kyunghoon Kim and Andy Sumner, ‘Bringing State-Owned Entities Back into the Industrial Policy Debate: The Case of Indonesia’, <em>Structural Change and Economic Dynamics</em> 59 (December 2021): 496–509, <a href="https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2021.10.002">https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strueco.2021.10.002</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref103" name="_edn103"><sup>103</sup></a> ‘Exports of Goods and Services (current US$) – Indonesia’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.CD?locations=ID">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NE.EXP.GNFS.CD?locations=ID</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref104" name="_edn104"><sup>104</sup></a> Daniel Kritenbrink et al., ‘Joint Statement on the United States-Indonesia Senior Officials’ 2+2 Foreign Policy and Defense Dialogue’, US Department of Defence, 23 October 2023, <a href="https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3566363/joint-statement-on-the-united-states-indonesia-senior-officials-22-foreign-poli/">https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3566363/joint-statement-on-the-united-states-indonesia-senior-officials-22-foreign-poli/</a>; ‘US Embassy Tracked Indonesia Mass Murder 1965’, <em>National Security Archive</em>, 17 October 2017, <a href="https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017-10-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files">https://nsarchive.gwu.edu/briefing-book/indonesia/2017-10-17/indonesia-mass-murder-1965-us-embassy-files</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref105" name="_edn105"><sup>105</sup></a> Ana Esther Ceceña and David Rodriguez, ‘La Guerra Contra El Narco En México Como Política de Reordenamiento Social’, OLAG, no. 157 (2022), <a href="https://geopolitica.iiec.unam.mx/index.php/node/1294">https://geopolitica.iiec.unam.mx/index.php/node/1294</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref106" name="_edn106"><sup>106</sup></a> Timothy A. Wise, ‘The US Assault on Mexico’s Food Sovereignty’, <em>Global Issues</em>, 6 June 2023, <a href="https://www.globalissues.org/news/2023/06/06/33954">https://www.globalissues.org/news/2023/06/06/33954</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref107" name="_edn107"><sup>107</sup></a> Chaba Brahim, ‘“Until Our Territories Are Free”: Women From Western Sahara in Ceaseless Struggle’, <em>Capire</em>, 18 February 2021, <a href="https://capiremov.org/en/interview/until-our-territories-are-free/">https://capiremov.org/en/interview/until-our-territories-are-free/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref108" name="_edn108"><sup>108</sup></a> ‘The Spirit of Camp David: Joint Statement of Japan, the Republic of Korea, and the United States’, press statement, White House, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/the-spirit-of-camp-david-joint-statement-of-japan-the-republic-of-korea-and-the-united-states/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2023/08/18/the-spirit-of-camp-david-joint-statement-of-japan-the-republic-of-korea-and-the-united-states/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref109" name="_edn109"><sup>109</sup></a> Shanna Khayat, ‘GSOMIA vs. TISA: What Is the Big Deal?’, <em>Pacific Forum</em>, 10 February 2020, <a href="https://pacforum.org/publication/yl-blog-19-gsomia-vs-tisa-what-is-the-big-deal">https://pacforum.org/publication/yl-blog-19-gsomia-vs-tisa-what-is-the-big-deal</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref110" name="_edn110"><sup>110</sup></a> The data and charts for this section of the document rely heavily on published research by economist John Ross.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref111" name="_edn111"><sup>111</sup></a> The data and charts for this section of the document rely heavily on published research by economist John Ross.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref111" name="_edn111"><sup>111</sup></a> Calculated by John Ross from <em>One Hundred Years of Economic Statistics: </em>United Kingdom, United States of America, Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan,<em> and</em> Sweden, compiled by T. Liesner (The Economist, 1989) and ‘International Transactions’, Table 1, Bureau of Economic Analysis Data, accessed 13 November 2022, <a href="https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-transactions">https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-transactions</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref112" name="_edn112"><sup>112</sup></a> Lenin, ‘Once Again on the Trade Unions’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref113" name="_edn113"><sup>113</sup></a> Atish Rex Ghosh and Uma Ramakrishnan, ‘Current Account Deficits’, International Monetary Fund, accessed 7 December 2023, <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/Series/Back-to-Basics/Current-Account-Deficits">https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/fandd/issues/Series/Back-to-Basics/Current-Account-Deficits</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref114" name="_edn114"><sup>114</sup></a> Hudson, <em>Super Imperialism</em>, 77.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref115" name="_edn115"><sup>115</sup></a> Langston Hughes, <em>The Collected Poems of Langston Hughes</em>, 1st ed (New York: Knopf, distributed by Random House, 1994).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref116" name="_edn116"><sup>116</sup></a> Vladimir Putin, speech delivered at the Munich Security Council, Munich, Germany, 10 February 2007, <a href="https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf">https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref117" name="_edn117"><sup>117</sup></a> To understand why we refrain from using the terms ‘great recession’ or the ‘great financial crisis’, <em>see </em>our study: <em>The World in Economic Depression: A Marxist Analysis of Crisis</em>, notebook no. 4, 10 October 2023, <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-notebook-4-economic-crisis/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-notebook-4-economic-crisis/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref118" name="_edn118"><sup>118</sup></a> Independent Voter Project, ‘DNC to Court: We Are a Private Corporation With No Obligation to Follow Our Rules’, <em>Independent Voter News</em>, 14 August 2022, <a href="https://ivn.us/posts/dnc-to-court-we-are-a-private-corporation-with-no-obligation-to-follow-our-rules">https://ivn.us/posts/dnc-to-court-we-are-a-private-corporation-with-no-obligation-to-follow-our-rules</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref119" name="_edn119"><sup>119</sup></a>Associated Press, ‘Many Who Met with Clinton as Secretary of State Donated to Foundation’, CNBC, 23 August 2016, <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref120" name="_edn120"><sup>120</sup></a> Joseph A. Schumpeter, <em>Capitalism, Socialism, and Democracy</em> (New York: Harper Perennial Modern Thought, 2008).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref121" name="_edn121"><sup>121</sup></a> <em>The Military Balance 2022</em>, International Institute for Security Studies, 15 February 2023, <a href="https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/">https://www.iiss.org/en/publications/the-military-balance/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref122" name="_edn122"><sup>122</sup></a> Vijay Prashad, <em>The Poorer Nations: A Possible History of the Global South</em> (London &amp; New York: Verso, 2014).</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref123" name="_edn123"><sup>123</sup></a> A. De La Cruz, A. Medina, and Y. Tang, ‘Owners of the World’s Listed Companies’, OECD Capital Market Series, 17 October 2019, <a href="https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.htm">https://www.oecd.org/corporate/Owners-of-the-Worlds-Listed-Companies.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref124" name="_edn124"><sup>124</sup></a> <em>Who Owns the German DAX? The Ownership Structure of the German DAX 30 in 2020 – A Joint Study of IHS Markit and DIRK</em>, IHS Markit, June 2021, <a href="https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020---DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf">https://cdn.ihsmarkit.com/www/pdf/0621/DAX-Study-2020—DIRK-Conference-June-2021_IHS-Markit.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref125" name="_edn125"><sup>125</sup></a>  Henrik Ahlers, <em>Wem gehört der DAX? Analyse der Aktionärsstruktur der im Deutschen Aktienindex vertretenen Unternehmen </em>[Who Owns the Dax? Analysis of the Shareholder Structure of the Companies Represented in the German Stock Index] (Ernst &amp; Young, July 2023), <a href="https://www.ey.com/de_de/forms/download-forms/2023/07/wem-gehoert-der-dax-2023">https://www.ey.com/de_de/forms/download-forms/2023/07/wem-gehoert-der-dax-2023</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref126" name="_edn126"><sup>126</sup></a><em>Who Owns the German DAX?</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref127" name="_edn127"><sup>127</sup></a> ‘Foreign Direct Investment, Net Inflows (BoP, Current US$) – Germany’, The World Bank Data, accessed 20 December 2023, <a href="https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?end=2022&amp;locations=DE&amp;start=1971">https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/BX.KLT.DINV.CD.WD?end=2022&amp;locations=DE&amp;start=1971</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref128" name="_edn128"><sup>128</sup></a> John Ross, ‘事实表明，中国经济表现继续远优于G7国家 [Facts show China’s economy continues to far outperform the G7 economies]’, <em>Weibo</em> (blog), 12 April 2023, https://weibo.com/ttarticle/p/show?id=2309404975244548113063.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref129" name="_edn129"><sup>129</sup></a> ‘US Companies Dominating European TV Market’, <em>Moonshot News</em> (blog), 20 January 2022, <a href="https://moonshot.news/news/media-news/us-companies-dominating-european-tv-market/">https://moonshot.news/news/media-news/us-companies-dominating-european-tv-market/</a>; Agnes Schneeberger, ‘Audiovisual Media Services in Europe – 2023 edition’, June 2023, European Audiovisual Observatory and the Council of Europe, <a href="https://rm.coe.int/audiovisual-media-services-in-europe-2023-edition-a-schneeberger/1680abc9bc#:~:text=Around%20one%20in%20five%20(18,in%20documentary%20and%20children's%20programming">https://rm.coe.int/audiovisual-media-services-in-europe-2023-edition-a-schneeberger/1680abc9bc#:~:text=Around%20one%20in%20five%20(18,in%20documentary%20and%20children’s%20programming</a><u>, 7.</u></p>
<p><a href="#_ednref130" name="_edn130"><sup>130</sup></a> Hudson, <em>Super Imperialism</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref131" name="_edn131"><sup>131</sup></a> ‘Namibia Condemns Germany for Defending Israel in ICJ Genocide Case’, Al Jazeera, 14 January 2024, https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/1/14/namibia-condemns-germany-for-defending-israel-in-icj-genocide-case.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref132" name="_edn132"><sup>132</sup></a> Marx, ‘Exposition of the Internal Contradictions of the Law’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref133" name="_edn133"><sup>133</sup></a> David Hoffman, ‘Russia’s Billionaire Matchmaker To the West’, <em>Washington Post</em>, 24 September 2002, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/lifestyle/2002/09/24/russias-billionaire-matchmaker-to-the-west/e6c98740-ac21-4933-a445-674ea6149102">https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/lifestyle/2002/09/24/russias-billionaire-matchmaker-to-the-west/e6c98740-ac21-4933-a445-674ea6149102</a>/.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref134" name="_edn134"><sup>134</sup></a> Brian D. Blankenship, ‘NATO and the Persistent Problem of German Defense Spending’, Cornell University Press (blog), 1 November 2023, <a href="https://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/burden-sharing-dilemma-coercive-diplomacy-brian-blankenship-11-01-2023/">https://www.cornellpress.cornell.edu/burden-sharing-dilemma-coercive-diplomacy-brian-blankenship-11-01-2023/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref135" name="_edn135"><sup>135</sup></a> Mari Yamguchi, ‘Japan to Jointly Develop New Fighter Jet with UK, Italy’, <em>Associated Press</em>, 9 December 2022, <a href="https://apnews.com/article/business-japan-united-kingdom-government-states-219e0adadd5f14b115766141cd0c5f6f">https://apnews.com/article/business-japan-united-kingdom-government-states-219e0adadd5f14b115766141cd0c5f6f</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref136" name="_edn136"><sup>136</sup></a> Valerie Insinna, ‘US Gives the Green Light to Japan’s $23B F-35 Buy’, 10 July 2020, <a href="https://www.defensenews.com/smr/2020/07/09/us-gives-the-green-light-to-japans-massive-23b-f-35-buy/">https://www.defensenews.com/smr/2020/07/09/us-gives-the-green-light-to-japans-massive-23b-f-35-buy/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref137" name="_edn137"><sup>137</sup></a> If there is evidence that industry has a significantly lower conversion than other elements of GDP, the PPP figures we have presented would overstate for the percentages for the Global South. We feel that despite this possible error the direction of this approach provides useful insights. The percentage composition of the GDP by sector depends on the price data used to measure the value added of each of them. The PPP conversion factors are statistical estimates based on baskets of goods and services for benchmark years that are further applied to the GDP for GDP (PPP) estimates.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref138" name="_edn138"><sup>138</sup></a> Barbara Kollmeyer, ‘“Right Now There Are Changes, the Likes of Which We Haven’t Seen in 100 Years.” Here’s What China’s Xi Said to Putin before Leaving Russia’, <em>Market Watch</em>, 22 March 2023, <a href="https://www.marketwatch.com/story/right-now-there-are-changes-the-likes-of-which-we-havent-seen-in-100-years-what-china-president-xi-said-to-putin-before-leaving-russia-d15150ce">https://www.marketwatch.com/story/right-now-there-are-changes-the-likes-of-which-we-havent-seen-in-100-years-what-china-president-xi-said-to-putin-before-leaving-russia-d15150ce</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref139" name="_edn139"><sup>139</sup></a> Agnieszka Bryc, ‘The Russian Federation and Reshaping a Post-Cold War Order’, <em>Politeja</em> 5, no. 62 (31 October 2019): 161–74, <a href="https://doi.org/10.12797/Politeja.16.2019.62.09">https://doi.org/10.12797/Politeja.16.2019.62.09</a>; Vladimir Putin, speech delivered at the Munich Security Council, Munich, Germany, 10 February 2007, <a href="https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf">https://is.muni.cz/th/xlghl/DP_Fillinger_Speeches.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref140" name="_edn140"><sup>139</sup></a> ‘Special Report: Cables Show US Sizing up China’s Next Leader’, <em>Reuters</em>, 17 February 2011, <a href="https://www.reuters.comarticle/idUSTRE71G5WH/">https://www.reuters.comarticle/idUSTRE71G5WH/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref141" name="_edn141"><sup>141</sup></a> Luke Hunt, ‘The World’s Gaze Turns to the South Pacific’, <em>The Diplomat</em>, 4 September 2012, <a href="https://thediplomat.com/2012/09/the-worlds-gaze-turns-to-the-south-pacific/">https://thediplomat.com/2012/09/the-worlds-gaze-turns-to-the-south-pacific/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref142" name="_edn142"><sup>142</sup></a> Xi Jinping, ‘Remarks by President Obama and President Xi Jinping in Joint Press Conference’, 12 November 2014, The White House, <a href="https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2014/11/12/remarks-president-obama-and-president-xi-jinping-joint-press-conference#:~:text=At%20the%20same%20time%2C%20I,instead%20of%20mutually%20exclusive%20ones">https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/the-press-office/2014/11/12/remarks-president-obama-and-president-xi-jinping-joint-press-conference#:~:text=At%20the%20same%20time%2C%20I,instead%20of%20mutually%20exclusive%20ones</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref143" name="_edn143"><sup>143</sup></a> ‘China to Leapfrog US as World’s Biggest Economy by 2028 – Think Tank’, <em>Reuters</em>, 26 December 2020, <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN290003/">https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN290003/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref144" name="_edn144"><sup>144</sup></a> Zbigniew Brzezinski, The Grand Chessboard: American Primacy and Its Geostrategic Imperatives (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 55; 30–31.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref145" name="_edn145"><sup>145</sup></a> The Editors, ‘Notes from the Editors’, <em>Monthly Review</em> 75, no. 4 (1 September 2023), <a href="https://monthlyreview.org/2023/09/01/mr-075-04-2023-08_0/">https://monthlyreview.org/2023/09/01/mr-075-04-2023-08_0/</a>; Jake Sullivan, ‘Remarks by National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan on Renewing American Economic Leadership at the Brookings Institution’, The White House, 27 April 2023, <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/">https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2023/04/27/remarks-by-national-security-advisor-jake-sullivan-on-renewing-american-economic-leadership-at-the-brookings-institution/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref146" name="_edn146"><sup>146</sup></a> Nomaan Merchant et al., ‘US Announces $345 Million Military Aid Package for Taiwan’, TIME, 29 July 2023, <a href="https://time.com/6299419/us-military-aid-taiwan/">https://time.com/6299419/us-military-aid-taiwan/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref147" name="_edn147"><sup>147</sup></a> Despite the recent exposures of fraudulent practices, behavioural economics was successfully weaponised by US intelligence in online media campaigns.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref148" name="_edn148"><sup>148</sup></a> Daniel McAdams, ‘“What Is The Empire’s Strategy?” – Col Lawrence Wilkerson Speech At RPI Media &amp; War Conference’, The Ron Paul Institute for Peace &amp; Prosperity, 22 August 2018, <a href="https://ronpaulinstitute.org/what-is-the-empires-strategy-col-lawrence-wilkerson-speech-at-rpi-media-war-conference/">https://ronpaulinstitute.org/what-is-the-empires-strategy-col-lawrence-wilkerson-speech-at-rpi-media-war-conference/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref149" name="_edn149"><sup>149</sup></a> Colum Lynch, ‘State Department Lawyers Concluded Insufficient Evidence to Prove Genocide in China’, <em>Foreign Policy</em>, 19 February 2021, <a href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/02/19/china-uighurs-genocide-us-pompeo-blinken/">https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/02/19/china-uighurs-genocide-us-pompeo-blinken/</a>; ‘Textile Exports by Country 2023’, <em>World Population Review</em>, accessed 26 December 2023, <a href="https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/textile-exports-by-country">https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/textile-exports-by-country</a>; ‘China’s Major Exports by Quantity and Value, December 2022 (in USD)’, General Administration of Customs, People’s Republic of China, 8 January 2023, <a href="http://english.customs.gov.cn/Statics/aeb5aefa-b537-4ef3-8e13-59244228cb0e.html">http://english.customs.gov.cn/Statics/aeb5aefa-b537-4ef3-8e13-59244228cb0e.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref150" name="_edn150"><sup>150</sup></a> Li Xuanmin, ‘A Decade of BRI Development Transforms China’s Xinjiang Region into a Core Area of the Silk Road Economic Belt – Global Times’, <em>Global Times</em>, 1 October 2023, <a href="https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202310/1299158.shtml">https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202310/1299158.shtml</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref151" name="_edn151"><sup>151</sup></a> Gregory C. Allen, ‘Choking off China’s Access to the Future of AI’, Centre for Strategic and International Studies, 11 October 2023, <a href="https://www.csis.org/analysis/choking-chinas-access-future-ai">https://www.csis.org/analysis/choking-chinas-access-future-ai</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref152" name="_edn152"><sup>152</sup></a> Alex W. Palmer, ‘“An Act of War”: Inside America’s Silicon Blockade Against China’, <em>The New York Times</em>, 12 July 2023, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/magazine/semiconductor-chips-us-china.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2023/07/12/magazine/semiconductor-chips-us-china.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref153" name="_edn153"><sup>153</sup></a> Xinhua, ‘The Belt and Road Initiative: A Key Pillar of the Global Community of Shared Future’, State Council Information Office, People’s Republic of China, 10 October 2023, <a href="http://english.scio.gov.cn/whitepapers/2023-10/10/content_116735061_5.htm">http://english.scio.gov.cn/whitepapers/2023-10/10/content_116735061_5.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref154" name="_edn154"><sup>154</sup></a> David Choi, ‘US, South Korean, Canadian Warships Train in Yellow Sea Ahead of Incheon Anniversary’, <em>Stars and Stripes</em>, 15 September 2023, <a href="https://www.stripes.com/branches/navy/2023-09-15/trilateral-naval-drill-yellow-sea-incheon-11383145.html">https://www.stripes.com/branches/navy/2023-09-15/trilateral-naval-drill-yellow-sea-incheon-11383145.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref155" name="_edn155"><sup>155</sup></a> An Dong, ‘黄海军演仅5小时，美准航母跑路，舰载机坠毁，美军被迫发帖寻找 [Just Five Hours into the Yellow Sea Naval Exercise, a US Quasi-Aircraft Carrier Ran Away, Its Carrier Crashed, and the US Military Was Forced to Post a Search for It]’, <em>IFENG</em>, 18 September 2023, <a href="https://i.ifeng.com/c/8TBMF5tH2bY">https://i.ifeng.com/c/8TBMF5tH2bY</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref156" name="_edn156"><sup>156</sup></a> ‘Investor FAQs’, New Development Bank, accessed 26 November 2023, https://www.ndb.int/investor-relations/inverstor-faqs/; BRICS Information Centre, ‘Treaty for the Establishment of a BRICS Contingent Reserve Arrangement’, University of Toronto, accessed 26 November 2023, <a href="http://www.brics.utoronto.ca/docs/140715-treaty.html">http://www.brics.utoronto.ca/docs/140715-treaty.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref157" name="_edn157"><sup>157</sup></a> ‘Answers to the Questions of the Video Conference “SCO – Shaping Eurasia”’, The Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, 27 October 2020, <a href="https://eng.sectsco.org/20201027/686658.html">https://eng.sectsco.org/20201027/686658.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref158" name="_edn158"><sup>158</sup></a> Christoph Nedopil Wang, ‘China Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) Investment Report 2023 H1’, Green Finance &amp; Development Centre, 1 August 2023, <a href="https://greenfdc.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-investment-report-2023-h1/">https://greenfdc.org/china-belt-and-road-initiative-bri-investment-report-2023-h1/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref159" name="_edn159"><sup>159</sup></a> Mao Zedong, ‘Speech at the Wuchang Meeting of the Political Bureau of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China’, in <em>Selected Works of Mao Tse-Tung</em>, vol. IV (Beijing: Foreign Languages Press, 1958), 98–99, <a href="https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/mao/works/red-book/ch06.htm.">https://www.marxists.org/reference/archive/mao/works/red-book/ch06.htm.</a></p>
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		<title>Josie Mpama</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-feminisms-5-josie-mpama-of-struggle-women-in-struggle/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 21 Mar 2023 12:49:20 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Feminisms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[feminist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josie Palmer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communist Party of South Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Josie Mpama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[popular feminism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Colonialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[grassroots organising]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[south africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communist International]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[feminism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Communist University of the Toilers of the East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[apartheid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federation of South African Women]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=75019</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Our latest study explores how the decline of Global North hegemony has shifted the geopolitical landscape and opened new possibilities for emergent organisations of the Global South.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="single-post--content--media-block single-post--content--image" style="text-align:center; margin:3em 0;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-75302 alignnone img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-0.jpg" alt="" width="1000" height="1000" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-0.jpg 1417w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-0-300x300.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-0-1024x1024.jpg 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-0-150x150.jpg 150w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-0-768x768.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px"></div>
<div class="single-post--content--image-acknowledgments">Few photographs of Josie Mpama can be found either in the archives or online. The art in this study recovers Josie’s largely unknown presence in important political spaces and processes within the anti-colonial, anti-apartheid struggles in which she played an important role. Her figure is silhouetted, an acknowledgement that, due to material and political conditions then and now, we have little visual evidence of her involvement in shaping South Africa’s history. The art places Josie in key political moments, mirroring the study’s attempt to recover a legacy that has been ‘overlooked and largely excluded from the mainstream historical record’, as we write in the study.</div>
<p>The twentieth century was marked by national liberation struggles that emerged in Africa and Asia, as well as in Latin America, where neocolonial structures had subordinated the formally independent countries. The achievements of the Russian Revolution in 1917 inspired the peasantry and the working class across the Global South. The fight for equality and liberation under the leadership of working people is ongoing in the anti-imperialist struggles of our time. Women, in a myriad of ways, have powerfully shaped and continue to shape all of these struggles.</p>
<p>In the <em>Women of Struggle, Women in Struggle</em> series of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, we present the stories of women in struggle who contributed not only to the wider arena of politics, but who also pioneered the establishment of women’s organisations, opening up paths of feminist resistance and struggle throughout the twentieth century.</p>
<p>Praxis, as a knowledge of theory and organisational methods of struggle as they change and respond to history, gives sustenance to ongoing struggles against oppression. As militants, we study the diverse lives, contexts, and organisational methods of these women not only to better understand their political contributions, but also to inspire us as we build the organisations necessary to win the fight against oppression and exploitation today.</p>
<p>In the fourth study of this series, we discuss the life and political struggles of Josie Mpama (1903–1979), a leader in the resistance against colonial oppression and the apartheid system in South Africa. Josie was a key figure in the history of women organisers in South Africa and a leader in the Communist Party of South Africa. Her life teaches us about the importance of grassroots and mass organising, as well as the challenges that come with that work. Like so many women involved in radical politics, particularly in the Global South, Josie’s extraordinary political contributions and theoretical acumen have been overlooked and largely excluded from the mainstream historical record.</p>
<hr class="single-post--content--separator-section">
<p>Born Josephine Winifred Mpama on 21 March 1903, Josie – as she was known to family, friends, and comrades – came to have many names depending on the manoeuvres she needed to make in different contexts. Where the English language dominated and allowed for greater social and economic mobility, her surname was anglicised and she went by Josie Palmer. At other times, when she was with her common law partner, Edwin, and respectability politics came into play, she used his surname and became Mrs. Mofutsanyana. In more covert work, her known aliases included Winifred Palmer, Beatrice Henderson, and Red Scarf.</p>
<p>Josie was born a year after the end of the South African War (1899–1902), during which the British Empire and the Boers (the descendants of Dutch colonial settlers) wrestled for control over the region. She grew up and became politically active during one of the most tumultuous political periods in South Africa’s history, when the white minority was attempting to cement its control of land, labour, and political power. At the same time, deep shifts and conflicts were also taking place in the international political and economic landscape: before she reached the age of forty, Josie would live through the First World War, the Russian Revolution, the Great Depression, the formation of the Communist International (Comintern), the rise of European fascism, and the outbreak of the Second World War.</p>
<p>Although the Treaty of Vereeniging, signed on 31 May 1902, brought the war between the British Empire and the Boers to an end, it brought no peace to South Africa. During the decades that followed, the foundation was laid for the systematic and structural ascendance of white rule and the racial segregation, land dispossession, and enforcement of cheap migrant labour that came with it. The establishment of the Union of South Africa in 1910, which consolidated various British colonies and Boer settlements into a unitary state, initiated a phase that built the foundations for the emergence of the apartheid system of racially segregated governance. The most heightened application of this system would come following the 1948 electoral victory of the right-wing white Afrikaner National Party, whose leaders, such as John Vorster, had direct connections to German fascism.</p>
<p>Amidst these broader political convulsions, a young Josie experienced personal turmoil and poverty at home. At the age of seven, her parents divorced, setting off a protracted custody battle and a period in which she was continually passed between the care of different relatives, some of whom were highly abusive.<a href="#_prol_ftn1" name="_prol_ftnref1"><sup>1</sup></a> Her working-class family was also divided by the racial categories imposed by the colonial state: her father was Zulu and worked as a court interpreter, while her mother was designated as ‘Coloured’ and was employed as a domestic worker for several years, though amongst the better paid.<a href="#_prol_ftn2" name="_prol_ftnref2"><sup>2</sup></a>According to the state’s designation, Josie was considered ‘Coloured’, which meant that she could have chosen to live apart from and ‘above’ the African majority by accepting the economic and political advantages, limited as they were, that came with conforming to the racial hierarchy imposed by the apartheid system. Instead, Josie rejected it and chose to identify with and work amongst African people all her life, living in predominantly African working-class communities or racially diverse areas, such as Sophiatown, that challenged state-sanctioned segregation.</p>
<p>Josie came to activism through community protests for better residential conditions and rights during the late 1920s and early 1930s in her home town of Potchefstroom, located roughly 120 kilometres southwest of Johannesburg. It was there, in the trenches of struggle, that she became one of the first Black women to join the Communist Party of South Africa (CPSA) in 1928 and, later, to hold a senior leadership position in the party.<a href="#_prol_ftn3" name="_prol_ftnref3"><sup>3</sup></a>The communist movement deeply influenced Josie’s thought and action. At a commemoration of the Russian Revolution organised by the CPSA in November 1932, she affirmed the relevance of the revolution to ‘every worker irrespective of colour’ and continued to hold deep admiration for the Soviet project up until her death. <a href="#_prol_ftn4" name="_prol_ftnref4"><sup>4</sup></a></p>
<p>In the 1930s, Josie became involved in the South African section of the Comintern’s International Red Aid, known as <em>Ikaka la Basebenzi</em> (‘Workers’ Shield’), which was created in 1931 following the assassination of the communist organiser Johannes Nkosi by police at a protest in Durban.<a href="#_prol_ftn5" name="_prol_ftnref5"><sup>5</sup></a> A few years later, Josie travelled to the Soviet Union and gained greater first-hand experience with the Comintern.</p>
<p>Though some of her most pivotal contributions were made to the national campaigns against the apartheid pass law system, her focus on organising women, such as being a founder of the multiracial Federation of South African Women (FEDSAW) in 1954, is particularly significant. Josie was amongst few to publicly advocate for women’s increased political participation and for the advancement of working-class women, and she was amongst the first Black women to publicly speak to the connections between gender, race, and class.<a href="#_prol_ftn6" name="_prol_ftnref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p>
<p>Due to various biases – then and now – around who is considered to be an intellectual and what is considered to be intellectual work, Josie’s roles as an organic intellectual, political thinker, and leader are often overlooked.<a href="#_prol_ftn7" name="_prol_ftnref7"><sup>7</sup></a> Although her education in Marxist theory was somewhat informal and irregular in nature, she had a clear appreciation for the necessity of organised class struggle. For Josie, theory and ideology served their purpose in so far as they took stock of the concrete realities and conditions to inform the course of action. Though guided by the party line, as her biographer Robert R. Edgar notes, ‘she was not reticent about staking out independent positions and sharply criticising CPSA policies that she believed were not rooted in South African realities’.<a href="#_prol_ftn8" name="_prol_ftnref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>Like many organic intellectuals, Josie came to politics through her experiences – in her case, growing up under white rule in apartheid-era South Africa and participating in grassroots community protests. Finding Marxism and revolutionary theory in shards and fragments, she – like many organic intellectuals and political organisers across the Global South during the era of national liberation – pieced together the concepts that she learned and applied them to her specific context in order to advance the people’s struggle.<a href="#_prol_ftn9" name="_prol_ftnref9"><sup>9</sup></a></p>
<p>Outside of her public political life, she took on as many roles as she did names, including those of mother, grandmother, and, in her later years, church-based community organiser and folk medicinal healer. Ultimately, her enduring commitment to changing the social reality of her people was based on her genuine affection for her community and galvanised by a framework of social revolution.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-75160 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-1.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="680" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-1.jpg 680w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-1-300x300.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-1-150x150.jpg 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"></p>
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<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--text">Protests against lodger’s permits in Potchefstroom in the late 1920s often confronted authorities at the town hall, pictured in the distance. These were formative political experiences for Josie.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--credit">Reference photograph by Gawie van der Walt, sourced from Lennie Gouws.</p>
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<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Serving the Burgeoning White Economy</h2>
<p>During the turn of the twentieth century, African men from rural areas in South Africa and neighbouring countries were drawn into the emerging industrial hub of Johannesburg as labour for the city’s churning mines. Only men were permitted to undertake this type of work and, upon their arrival, lived in semi-carceral worker compounds, renumerated at a rate so low that they could not support their families back home. The making of modern South Africa was rooted in a segregated, segmented organisation of labour, relying not only on the ruthless exploitation of a racialised working-class majority, but also benefiting substantially from gendered divisions of labour within that workforce. As the leading journalist and South African communist Ruth First wrote in 1978:</p>
<blockquote><p>It is a system of cheap labour, of migrant labour, which first drags the men out of the rural reserves to serve the white economy, then shovels them out of that economy when they are too old and sick to work; sends them out of the way, back to the reserves when they are unemployed. Thus, the white rulers simultaneously absolve themselves of any responsibility for the old, the sick, the unemployed and their families; and remove the source of rebellion of working-class revolt.</p>
<p>…</p>
<p>It is the women who carry the heaviest burdens of this migrant system. They are left behind with the burden of the family; and they are left behind as producers, to keep the agriculture going. So, they are responsible for both family and production.<a href="#_prol_ftn10" name="_prol_ftnref10"><sup>10</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>This labour consisted not only of caring for the young and old, the sick and unemployed, to ensure that families and communities survived in the rural African ‘reserves’ (a concept taken from Native American reservations in the United States), but, later, also included the domestic and social reproductive work that was essential to maintaining the white ruling class.</p>
<p>Although African women were initially excluded from the burgeoning industries, the harsh conditions on the rural reserves – along with the fact that they received little to no remittances from their urban-based male relatives – eventually pushed them to seek out work or livelihoods in cities. Most toiled as domestic servants, beer brewers, small traders, and washer women. Precarity and low wages characterised this new reserve army of casualised labour, which was pushed to the peripheries of cities and heavily controlled and policed.</p>
<p>In her early teens, Josie joined this informal workforce, taking on a variety of short-term, precarious domestic jobs such as washing clothes, cleaning homes, and cooking, as well as two sewing apprenticeships. She earned extremely low wages, in part due to her young age.</p>
<p>After the South African War, the British and Boers (or Afrikaners) entered into an alliance to establish the Union of South Africa in 1910 and enact a system of oppressive laws and discriminatory processes to cement white rule. African families, homes, labour, and lands were targeted in a number of ways, notably through the pass law system, which placed various restrictions on the African majority and their ability to live in cities, move freely, and work. The system included measures that made strikes a criminal offence for African workers, barred them from certain types of employment, and provided them with less injury compensation than their white counterparts. These policies sought to control and limit their ability to work in urban areas, which had the highest earning potential, and limit their social and, ultimately, political existence. Yet, pass laws were also used to ensure a cheap supply of labour in cities designated almost exclusively for the burgeoning white economy. At various points, the apartheid system was enforced through systematic policing, such as through the use of pass books, which Africans had to carry at all times and which contained personal identification information, including biometric and employment details. Under this regime, Africans were subject to constant surveillance, harassment, and the threat of being fined or arrested<strong>.</strong></p>
<p>Popular and organised resistance to pass laws emerged across the country in the early 1910s, one of the earliest being the historic women-led campaign of 1913 in Bloemfontein. Although these struggles were able to win concessions in some cases, the pass law system continued to expand. The Natives (Urban Areas) Act, passed in 1923, paved the way for the tightening of the influx control system that would unfold during the apartheid era, which further restricted the movements and conduct of African people in metropolitan areas. Under the 1923 act, African people were defined as ‘temporary sojourners’ who were only permitted in cities insofar as they served ‘the wants of the white population’, as the act states.<a href="#_prol_ftn11" name="_prol_ftnref11"><sup>11</sup></a> Though laws enacted in 1902 and 1913 had already established the grounds for racial segregation and land dispossession (allocating less than ten percent of arable land to Africans), the 1923 Natives Act gave local authorities greater powers to enforce controls within their municipalities.<a href="#_prol_ftn12" name="_prol_ftnref12"><sup>12</sup></a> It was within this context that Josie made her political debut.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Potchefstroom Resistance</h2>
<p>Potchefstroom was a political stronghold for the Afrikaner settler project and, later, the apartheid system. Unlike Bloemfontein, where anti-pass struggles developed within a context of labour shortages, the struggles in Potchefstroom unfolded within the context of a labour surplus.<a href="#_prol_ftn13" name="_prol_ftnref13"><sup>13</sup></a> In an attempt to control the growing African population in the area, the colonial government imposed a range of restrictions, including night curfews and fees for public services (such as the construction of water pipes), many of which deeply affected African women.</p>
<p>Fed up with an onslaught of restrictions and the increased costs to their daily lives, on 28 September 1927, an organised group of around 200 African women marched in opposition to the closing of water wells. The women, many of whom made their living by washing white families’ clothes, marched to the local magistrate with a red, white, and blue banner inked with the words ‘For Mercy’ to show their discontent.<a href="#_prol_ftn14" name="_prol_ftnref14"><sup>14</sup></a></p>
<p>The state enacted such measures in order to extract revenue from African households to cover public financial deficits that otherwise would have had to be paid by white households.<a href="#_prol_ftn15" name="_prol_ftnref15"><sup>15</sup></a> The most intense opposition emerged in response to the lodger’s permit policy, which required anyone above the age of eighteen living in a home owned by another person to register and pay the municipal authorities for a monthly permit. This meant that one’s own children and relatives had to pay a monthly fee to live in their family homes. Those who did not pay faced prosecution, eviction, and expulsion, further undermining the social cohesion of the African family already unseamed by the migrant labour system.</p>
<p>Alongside other community leaders and communist cadre (including Edwin Thabo Mofutsanyana, who later became her husband), Josie led important protests against the local municipality and white residents over lodger’s permits, including a passive resistance campaign that called for the refusal to pay the lodger’s fee. Women were particularly creative and resilient during this period, using various tactics of collective resistance such as quickly returning evicted residents and their furniture back to their homes.<a href="#_prol_ftn16" name="_prol_ftnref16"><sup>16</sup></a> Though the protests began spontaneously, the CPSA provided organisational and legal support as well as political direction to the movement. By 1928, the growing local CPSA had roughly one thousand members, with Josie amongst the first recruited in this wave.<a href="#_prol_ftn17" name="_prol_ftnref17"><sup>17</sup></a></p>
<p>In the lead up to a mass meeting of over five hundred people held on 16 December 1929 that aimed to agitate and recruit people to struggle against the racist regime, CPSA flyers declared:</p>
<blockquote><p>Roll up in your thousands! African workers! You have no guns or bombs like your masters, but you have your numbers; you have your labour and the power to organise and withhold it. These are your weapons; learn to use them, thereby bringing the tyrant to his knees.<a href="#_prol_ftn18" name="_prol_ftnref18"><sup>18</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>The struggle in Potchefstroom peaked in January 1930, when a general strike largely shut down the town. African women led the charge, organising pickets, blocking key roads, and preventing other Africans from going to work.</p>
<p>Though these struggles created obstacles for the local authorities, who finally capitulated and dropped the lodger’s permit fees in May 1931, by May 1930 active resistance had died down, party organisation had almost ceased to exist, and Josie was forced to leave the town. <a href="#_prol_ftn19" name="_prol_ftnref19"><sup>19</sup></a> The white authorities used the struggle in Potchefstroom as an experiment in how to improve control mechanisms, which would find new, harsher expressions in later years.</p>
<p>The community struggles that unfolded in and around the resistance to the lodger’s permits in Potchefstroom were formative experiences for Josie, both in terms of organising women and being introduced to communism. They cultivated in her a deep sense that, in order to advance, the political struggle had to be grounded in the bread-and-butter issues that most affected the majority. When members of the CPSA or officials in the Comintern downplayed the importance of these struggles, Josie continued to insist that the party needed to support them in order to be more relevant to the working masses.<a href="#_prol_ftn20" name="_prol_ftnref20"><sup>20</sup></a></p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-75198 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-3.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="680" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-3.jpg 680w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-3-300x300.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-3-150x150.jpg 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"></p>
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<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--text"><i>Umsebenzi</i>, the Communist Party of South Africa’s newspaper, was one of the party’s tools to share its views and work. Josie wrote for the paper and advocated for more contributions from Black workers.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--credit">Reference photograph sourced from Corinne Sandwith/<i>Revolutionary Papers</i> via the Historical Papers Library, University of the Witwatersrand.</p>
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<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Wearing the Red Scarf</h2>
<p>Following months of discussion and debate between various left organisations about the possibility of forming a communist party, the CPSA began its founding conference on 30 July 1921. It was the first of its kind on the continent. The party’s initial aim was, as stated in its founding manifesto, ‘to establish the widest and closest possible contact with workers of all <em>ranks and races </em>and to propagate the Communist gospel amongst them’, drawing inspiration and direction from the Comintern.<a href="#_prol_ftn21" name="_prol_ftnref21"><sup>21</sup></a> The party recognised the importance of supporting African struggles, particularly related to housing, land dispossession, labour influx controls, and political enfranchisement.<a href="#_prol_ftn22" name="_prol_ftnref22"><sup>22</sup></a></p>
<p>Moses Kotane, who became the second African general secretary of the party in 1939, recalled that, of the early Black cadre, Josie was amongst the first to join the party (Comintern records indicate that she was the 516st member to join in 1928).<a href="#_prol_ftn23" name="_prol_ftnref23"><sup>23 </sup></a>The party organised Saturday night classes on communist ideology and organisation, which new recruits like Josie attended after moving to Johannesburg at the end of 1931. Later, she established a branch in Sophiatown and opened a night school for ideological training as well as basic mathematics and English.<a href="#_prol_ftn24" name="_prol_ftnref24"><sup>24</sup></a> By the mid-1930s, Josie had entered the party’s senior leadership. She was in the Political Bureau at various points and in the Central Committee until at least 1946, perhaps the only Black woman to hold such positions in any political party in South Africa at the time.<a href="#_prol_ftn25" name="_prol_ftnref25"><sup>25 </sup></a></p>
<p>Generally speaking, the party had a lack of active women members and leaders. This was largely due to material conditions, namely domestic burdens, racial divisions, patriarchal practices, social and geographical restrictions, and a lack of access to education. When it came to the perception of women’s ability to effectively carry out political work, patriarchal attitudes prevailed both in society and the party, and party work was at times considered to reflect a culture of ‘exclusive intellectualism’ that marginalised those without a formal or political education.<a href="#_prol_ftn26" name="_prol_ftnref26"><sup>26</sup></a>Nonetheless, though small in numbers, women played an important role in the CPSA from the late 1920s through the 1940s. This remained the case after the party was banned in 1950 and forced underground, reconstituting itself as the South African Communist Party (SACP). Amongst these women were Ray Alexander, Molly Wolton, Hilda Bernstein, Dora Tamana, Fatima Seedat, Cecilia Rosier, Rebecca Bunting, Sonia Bunting, Rica Hodgson, Thoko Mngoma, Winifred Seqwana, Florence Mkhize, Letitia Sibeko, Violet Weinberg, and Ruth First.</p>
<p>To rise in the ranks of the party, one needed political education and experience. When the opportunity to train abroad arose, Josie jumped at the chance, accompanying Matilda First, the mother of South African journalist and communist icon Ruth First, to Moscow in 1935 to study at the Communist University of the Toilers of the East.<a href="#_prol_ftn27" name="_prol_ftnref27"><sup>27</sup></a> Using the pseudonyms Red Scarf and Beatrice Henderson, Josie participated in various activities during her time in the Soviet Union, including the Seventh World Congress of the Comintern.</p>
<p>While in Moscow, she testified and provided reports before a commission on South Africa regarding the internal strife between opposing groups within the CPSA, which had reached such a point that many considered the party to be on the brink of collapse. Then General Secretary Moses Kotane raised the important criticism that the party was not sufficiently ‘Africanised’, referring to the fact that a significant section of the leadership, led by Lazarus Bach, knew little of the realities of the African masses and was instead preoccupied with European debates, disconnecting party ideals from party organisation and activity.<a href="#_prol_ftn28" name="_prol_ftnref28"><sup>28</sup></a> Though she called for greater efforts to ‘Africanise’ the party and recognise the existing divisions that ran along racial lines, Josie, alongside Kotane, opposed positions to split the organisational structure of the party along racial lines, including Edwin’s proposal to form separate wings of the party based on race in 1938.<a href="#_prol_ftn29" name="_prol_ftnref29"><sup>29</sup></a></p>
<p>Josie was careful not to take sides during the commission and prioritised holding the party together. She did not, however, shy away from sharing her concerns, such as the lack of initiatives to organise workers in factory cells as well as poor membership retention, insufficient training of African cadre for leadership positions, and the decision to prioritise uniting all races into one front at the expense of addressing the unique issues faced by African people.<a href="#_prol_ftn30" name="_prol_ftnref30"><sup>30</sup></a>Josie also pointed to the party’s approach to writing and publishing articles, expressing her frustration with the leadership for failing to nurture workers’ literary endeavours.<a href="#_prol_ftn31" name="_prol_ftnref31"><sup>31 </sup></a>‘If anything was wrong with the article,’ she asked, ‘could it not have been corrected?’<a href="#_prol_ftn32" name="_prol_ftnref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<p>An important theme in Josie’s criticisms of the party was its lack of engagement with reality and its lack of political vitality. She expressed concerns over the mechanical nature of leadership meetings, saying, ‘We only used to discuss the work of the group and never did we discuss political questions’.<a href="#_prol_ftn33" name="_prol_ftnref33"><sup>33</sup></a> This approach, she argued, led to a fundamental problem: the party’s overall neglect of the issues raised by and affecting African people. For Josie, the party was not sufficiently rooted in the country’s social reality, focusing instead on orthodox Marxist theoretical discussions and European political developments.<a href="#_prol_ftn34" name="_prol_ftnref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>Notably, Josie warned the party against dismissing African nationalist leaders, arguing that they constituted a ‘native bourgeoisie’ and that, within the broad front of resistance, they would ‘help us unite and struggle against imperialism’.<a href="#_prol_ftn35" name="_prol_ftnref35"><sup>35</sup></a></p>
<p>She explained that ‘if we will underestimate the bourgeoisie as a class, it means we do not as yet understand the power of capitalism’ and that ‘we must not run away from the fact that though they are reformist, they have influence over the masses’.<a href="#_prol_ftn36" name="_prol_ftnref36"><sup>36</sup></a> In its early years, the CPSA explicitly discouraged alliances with African nationalist groups, despite the Comintern’s position that advocated for the tactical support of those leading national liberation and decolonisation movements.<a href="#_prol_ftn37" name="_prol_ftnref37"><sup>37</sup></a> The Comintern’s conclusions from the commission on the party’s internal strife echoed many of Josie’s concerns regarding the CPSA’s failure to build a mass base and tactical alliances, which, they argued, arose from a failure to adequately grasp the South African context. Here, the efforts of Josie and others were successful: by the 1940s the CPSA had increased its cooperation with the African National Congress (ANC), a movement for national liberation that began as an African bourgeois project in 1912, in an attempt to build a broader, mass-based front of struggle.</p>
<p>Though the process of participating in Comintern meetings was in itself a part of Josie’s political education, her primary reason for travelling to the Soviet Union was to study at the Communist University of the Toilers of the East. One of the university’s mandates was to provide Marxist-Leninist political education and training to anti-colonial leaders and communists from the Global South, with alumni including Jomo Kenyatta, Ho Chi Minh, Deng Xiaoping, and Harry Haywood. In the 1930s, the university offered a fourteen-month-long course for international students that focused largely on theory but also included two months of practical work (including three days on a collective farm and fifteen days on party organisation<a href="#_prol_ftn38" name="_prol_ftnref38"><sup>38</sup></a> Subjects included political economy, history, Leninism, historical materialism, party-building, military science, contemporary politics, and English-language education.<a href="#_prol_ftn39" name="_prol_ftnref39"><sup>39</sup></a></p>
<p>Though Josie’s studies were disrupted by several bouts of poor health and hospitalisation, this international experience nonetheless had a profound impact on her, deepening her internationalist perspective and class consciousness and further solidifying her belief in the centrality of organisation to advance the struggle. During the Seventh Congress of the Comintern, while discussing the mobilisations of Black dock workers in Cape Town who were refusing to load or crew Italian shipments during Italy’s 1935–1936 invasion of Abyssinia (Ethiopia), Josie highlighted the importance of working-class internationalism: ‘although protests took place, we did not do enough. If all the Africans were organised like the dock workers, no boats would have been loaded with supplies for Italian troops… African workers must help the workers in Europe to fight for their liberty. Peace is only possible by action of the workers’.<a href="#_prol_ftn40" name="_prol_ftnref40"><sup>40</sup></a> In the same speech, she also spoke of the ‘necessity of organisation’, contending that the CPSA’s ‘composition is bad’ as it had no Afrikaners and too few Africans and arguing that its core mandate had to be to create an organisation that ‘will attract all the poor people and become a mighty mass party’.<a href="#_prol_ftn41" name="_prol_ftnref41"><sup>41</sup></a></p>
<p>Upon returning to South Africa in late 1936, Josie focused on building the mass character of the party, fuelled by an urgency to build a broad and organised opposition to the burgeoning apartheid system. She was a member of the CPSA’s coordinating committee, which was formed in 1937 to work on ‘the question of organisation on a national scale’.<a href="#_prol_ftn42" name="_prol_ftnref42"><sup>42</sup></a> This shift towards organising a mass movement across the country marked a new phase for the CPSA, the labour movement, and the liberation struggle as a whole. This was in part furthered by the political and economic consequences of the Second World War, such as the influx of African people to urban areas that resulted from the labour requirements of increased industrialisation within a context of harsh economic conditions (inflation, food shortages, overcrowding, etc.).</p>
<p>For Josie, the priority was clear: as she said in a party debate, ‘Comrades must come among the masses’.<a href="#_prol_ftn43" name="_prol_ftnref43"><sup>43</sup></a> At a meeting of the Non-European Unity Front in 1939, she encouraged the audience to ‘Go into the factories, go on the lands, and wherever the non-European is working for the benefit of the employers, tell them that they have a right to a share and that we have a right to a share of the profits of the wealth of South Africa’.<a href="#_prol_ftn44" name="_prol_ftnref44"><sup>44</sup></a></p>
<p>The CPSA became a leading force at this time and after the war. One key role it played was amongst political groups that gathered for the Anti-Pass Conference in November 1943, where they agreed to pursue all possible means to mount pressure for the abolition of passes, including working more closely with groups that were less ideologically aligned but shared overlapping interests. Josie was at the fore of various women’s efforts in this struggle, including organising a conference on pass laws in March 1944 in the lead up to the launch of an official campaign that May.<a href="#_prol_ftn45" name="_prol_ftnref45"><sup>45</sup></a> These efforts would lay the groundwork for later campaigns to fight the apartheid system after it was formally inaugurated with the 1948 election of the National Party.</p>
<p>Throughout the 1940s, the CPSA built a broad front against colonial domination by forming new tactical alliances and national campaigns, such as the anti-pass movement. As the author Tom Lodge describes, this resulted in the ‘broadening of public support for the organisation, [greater] militancy of communist activities, and the development of mutual perception and understanding between it and the African National Congress’.<a href="#_prol_ftn46" name="_prol_ftnref46"><sup>46</sup></a> Josie could often be found alongside a broad array of political leaders at meetings of the ANC and other groups that organised multiracial gatherings advocating for non-racialism and the participation of Black women as well as offering perspectives of resistance rooted in a class analysis.<a href="#_prol_ftn47" name="_prol_ftnref47"><sup>47</sup></a></p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-75188 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-2.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="680" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-2.jpg 680w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-2-300x300.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-2-150x150.jpg 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"></p>
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<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--text">Many anti-colonial leaders, including Josie, received political education at the Communist University of the Toilers of the East in Moscow. Its main building (to the left), no longer in existence, was located facing Pushkin Square.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--credit">Reference photograph by I. N. Pano, sourced from Rossen Djagalov.</p>
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<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Make Way for Women Who Will Lead</h2>
<p>As the CPSA grappled with the challenge of organising a national mass movement, it also faced the need to pay heed to the unique issues facing women and make a more concerted effort to organise them. By the 1930s, organised labour and the CPSA had started to turn their attention towards women workers and their role in the manufacturing and processing industries. However, African women were mostly restricted to domestic service and made up a fraction of the formal workforce (less than 1% according to available data in the 1950s).<a href="#_prol_ftn48" name="_prol_ftnref48"><sup>48</sup></a> Here, Josie would play an indispensable role, building connections between the party, other political groups, the labour movement, and women. Since her political debut in women-led community struggles, Josie had consistently advocated for women’s rights, with a particular focus on the struggles of African women. As one historian put it, ‘through her, the CPSA was able to disseminate more radical ideas on the part women should be playing in black opposition politics, amongst black women’.<a href="#_prol_ftn49" name="_prol_ftnref49"><sup>49</sup></a></p>
<p>For Josie, it followed that women’s participation was a strategic necessity for the working class to succeed in overthrowing the racist colonial rule. As a result, she fiercely advocated for women’s political participation at a time when few women were participating in such radical public discourse. Along these lines, she made the following appeal in the party’s newspaper against the 1937 Natives Laws Amendment Bill, which would further limit the size of African populations in urban areas in accordance with the minimum number of labourers required, in addition to other restrictions:</p>
<blockquote><p>We, women, should come on to the field as strugglers, for only with our help can our men fight successfully against this new bill. Only by joint struggle can we compel [the withdrawal of] this new slave law.</p>
<p>Women, we can no longer remain in the background or concern ourselves only with domestic and sports affairs. The time has arrived to enter the political field and stand shoulder to shoulder with men in the struggle.<a href="#_prol_ftn50" name="_prol_ftnref50"><sup>50</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>At the same time, she did not refrain from pointing out and criticising how patriarchal relations were infused not only in society but also within the party, limiting women’s political participation:</p>
<blockquote><p>Amongst all our leaders it is very seldom that one will see their wives or women friends accompanying them to meetings, and in all their struggles only few women take active part, except in locations when such struggles for lodger’s permits are fought, then some who cannot afford to pay such fees, and because it affects the family as a whole [when] then they find that there is no other way out than to unite with the others and attend meetings. Then as soon as they find that they have either won or lost they go back home and take to their domestic spheres.<a href="#_prol_ftn51" name="_prol_ftnref51"><sup>51</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>Along with combating patriarchal influences, Josie also grappled with how to encourage women to take part in struggles that seemed distant from their immediate realities. In the case of a proposal to give African men limited voting rights and representation, she reflected that ‘very few women took part in the struggle against the Native Bills, probably because not having had the vote they did not think it important to assist their men to maintain the vote’.<a href="#_prol_ftn52" name="_prol_ftnref52"><sup>52</sup></a></p>
<p>Though African women resisted the colonial control of their labour, lands, and daily lives throughout the early twentieth century (and well before), their early organising in South Africa nonetheless reinforced conservative gender roles, demanding a say as mothers, home makers, etc., or was limited to supportive roles in the struggle against racism. In certain limited frameworks, women did consciously and tactically leverage concepts such as motherhood, which were held in high esteem, to advance their emancipation more broadly, intentionally using them to manoeuvre within limited political spaces and bring in women who were not politically active (despite the essentialist undertones such concepts retained).</p>
<p>Following the political enfranchisement of white women in 1930 and the ensuing swell of women’s participation in political activity, the CPSA created a women’s department in 1931 that Josie would lead. Initially, women were seen merely as supporters of the men in the struggle. However, this began to change as the party placed a greater emphasis on women being able to work shoulder to shoulder with their male counterparts, encouraged more radical conceptions of gender roles, and provided greater flexibility for women to organise on their own terms.</p>
<p>Though women remained a minority in party membership and leadership, as the historian C. J. Walker notes, ‘in the area of women’s emancipation, the CPSA brought new perspectives to the incipient national liberation movement of this time’.<a href="#_prol_ftn53" name="_prol_ftnref53"><sup>53</sup></a> The progressive evolution of the CPSA’s approach towards the gender question grew out of its understanding that the principal contradiction in society was that between the owners of property and capital and those who sold and relied on their labour to survive. As a result, although their words often spoke louder than their deeds, this analysis, as well as its advocacy for non-racialism, positioned the party to best understand the issues facing working women compared to other organisations of the era. For instance, in a statement released in February 1932, the party declared:</p>
<blockquote><p>Toiling native women, white working women, realise your interests, wake up to fight for better conditions side by side with your husbands, fathers, and brothers: only by a united front can you get rid of all the exploitation which you suffer under capitalism and where you as women are the greatest sufferers.<a href="#_prol_ftn54" name="_prol_ftnref54"><sup>54</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>In the early 1930s, the party planned to hold a national conference of working women, which, it stated, aimed ‘to unify and consolidate the sectional struggle of women… [and] to bring into existence a permanent organisation of struggle for the working women of South Africa’. Though this conference would not come to fruition due to the political upheaval within the party, between 1935–1937, Josie, along with other party members such as Ray Alexander, continued to call for militant women’s organising and activity.<a href="#_prol_ftn55" name="_prol_ftnref55"><sup>55</sup></a> As Josie stated while criticising a conservative women’s social welfare organisation for failing to successfully organise campaigns around issues that affected women, ‘they must make way [for] women who will lead and make a move to carry out the work’.<a href="#_prol_ftn56" name="_prol_ftnref56"><sup>56</sup></a></p>
<p>As the anti-pass law campaign began to grow in the late 1940s, the need for more broad-based women’s organising increased. In 1947, women of the CPSA gathered in Johannesburg to establish a non-racial women’s organisation, the Transvaal All-Women’s Union, electing Josie as its president. Though small and localised, it was in some ways the prototype for a larger, national women’s organisation that formed in later years.<a href="#_prol_ftn57" name="_prol_ftnref57"><sup>57</sup></a> Shortly thereafter, the repressive legal system shifted into high gear with the passing of the 1950 Suppression of Communism Act, which effectively banned the CPSA, and a renewed proposal to issue pass books for African women, amongst many other measures, was once again put on the table.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-75210 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-4.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="680" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-4.jpg 680w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-4-300x300.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-4-150x150.jpg 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"></p>
<div class="single-post--content--caption-block">
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--text">Police officers check pass books, which Black people were required to carry under the apartheid system to restrict and control their socioeconomic and political mobility.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--credit">Reference photograph sourced from South African History Online, photographer unknown.</p>
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<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Women on the March</h2>
<p>The increasing repression of the apartheid state only spurred the women’s movement to deepen their efforts to organise. In 1954, 146 delegates representing around 230,000 women across the country from a variety of political backgrounds gathered in Johannesburg for the founding conference of the Federation of South African Women (FEDSAW). At the conference, the delegates pledged their support for the emerging Congress Alliance, a multiracial coalition that was formally established the following year and would launch a national anti-apartheid campaign that generated the largest mass participation yet seen. Josie attended the conference on behalf of the Transvaal All-Women’s Union and became the president of FEDSAW’s Transvaal branch.</p>
<p>Although public historiography propagated by the ANC after the formal end of apartheid in 1994 has portrayed the federation as being led almost exclusively by ANC-affiliated liberal women, it is important to note that FEDSAW was, in fact, the brainchild of CPSA member Ray Alexander and had considerable participation from left-wing working women, from trade unionists such as Francis Baard to communists such as Josie. Though generally putting forward broad liberal demands and aims, such as the right to vote, its founding document, the Women’s Charter, also included a number of more radical elements that were likely added due to the participation and efforts of left-wing women. These included provisions that called for ‘equal pay and possibilities of promotion in all spheres of work’, ‘equal rights with men in relation to property, marriage and children’, and ‘the organisation of women in trade unions’.<a href="#_prol_ftn58" name="_prol_ftnref58"><sup>58</sup></a>While the charter outlined the particularities of women’s social reproductive burdens and called for women to self-organise to achieve equitable political rights and economic conditions, it also called for women to struggle alongside men in ‘a common struggle against poverty, race and class discrimination, and the evils of the colour bar’. The Women’s Charter would eventually become the basis for certain constitutional rights in post-apartheid South Africa.</p>
<p>Though FEDSAW worked within the Congress Alliance, it also had an independent mandate. In the year following its establishment, FEDSAW and its branches organised women around gender issues as well as broader Congress Alliance campaigns. Josie could be heard speaking at events such as the commemoration of International Women’s Day in Johannesburg in March 1955 addressing women from various backgrounds on the plight of African women.</p>
<p>FEDSAW’s first large-scale national protest took place on 27 October 1955, when two thousand women of all races marched against pass laws and the apartheid system. However, one month before the march, Josie was served banning orders, which made it a criminal offence for her to engage in public political meetings and participate in various political organisations, including FEDSAW. At the age of fifty-two, these repressive measures forced Josie to withdraw from publicly participating in demonstrations and the leading organs of struggle. In her last official FEDSAW communication, Josie declared to her comrades:</p>
<blockquote><p>Never were the minds of human beings controlled. Never were the eyes of human beings closed… It is therefore natural that every living soul will ultimately see and follow the road to FREEDOM.</p>
<p>Josie or no Josie, the struggle will go on and ours will be the day of victory.<a href="#_prol_ftn59" name="_prol_ftnref59"><sup>59</sup></a></p></blockquote>
<p>A year later, on 9 August 1956, in the culmination of decades of the work, 20,000 women descended on the Union Buildings in Pretoria, the official seat of the colonial government, carrying with them bundles of signed petitions demanding the abolition of all apartheid pass laws. The march, showing the success of efforts to organise women of all races on a mass scale within a relatively short period of time, inaugurated a new phase that brimmed with hope. The Congress Alliance would later decide that 9 August would be celebrated as Women’s Day in South Africa. Today, the anniversary of the historic multiracial Women’s March to Pretoria is an official public holiday.</p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Always Uplifting the People</h2>
<p>Beginning in the late 1940s, Josie became more active in the Anglican Church and women’s church groups, such as the Mzimhlophe Church Women’s Society and the Ekurhuleni Church Committee, both of which played a role in securing bursaries for children, food parcels for poor families, and other forms of assistance.<a href="#_prol_ftn60" name="_prol_ftnref60"><sup>60</sup></a> A number of factors led Josie to make this shift, including a desire to reconnect with her family and community after decades of prioritising political work, as well as a desire to improve her physical health and spiritual wellbeing. Perhaps most importantly, for many women who, like Josie, had been connected to FEDSAW and were banned from public political life, women’s church groups served as a refuge and alternative form of social organisation within a hostile political climate shaped by the repression of anti-apartheid political activity.<a href="#_prol_ftn61" name="_prol_ftnref61"><sup>61</sup></a></p>
<p>Josie saw no contradiction between communism and Christianity.<a href="#_prol_ftn62" name="_prol_ftnref62"><sup>62</sup></a> Rather, as Edgar notes, she saw both as ‘expressions of her commitment to social justice’.<a href="#_prol_ftn63" name="_prol_ftnref63"><sup>63</sup></a> Much like the traditions of liberation theology that took root in various national liberation struggles across the world, Josie’s involvement in church-based communities in the last decades of her life can be better understood as being embedded in a similar liberatory understanding of theology and recognition of the social functions that religion can fulfil.<a href="#_prol_ftn64" name="_prol_ftnref64"><sup>64</sup></a></p>
<p>Despite her retreat from public political life, Josie continued to be targeted by the state. She was detained and imprisoned for several weeks during the state of emergency that was declared after the Sharpeville Massacre in 1960 (the police killing of sixty nine people during a public protest against pass laws) and remained on the radar of the apartheid police in the years that followed.<a href="#_prol_ftn65" name="_prol_ftnref65"><sup>65</sup></a> This did not deter her from, in her own words, continuing to ‘uplift my people’.<a href="#_prol_ftn66" name="_prol_ftnref66"><sup>66</sup></a> She supported her grandchildren as they came of age in the political struggles of the late 1970s, particularly during the 1976 student uprisings, and continued to encourage women to ‘get up and get moving’.<a href="#_prol_ftn67" name="_prol_ftnref67"><sup>67</sup></a></p>
<p>After her death in 1979, Josie was laid to rest at Avalon Cemetery in Soweto alongside many known and unknown stalwarts of the struggle.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-75220 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-5.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="680" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-5.jpg 680w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-5-300x300.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-5-150x150.jpg 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"></p>
<div class="single-post--content--caption-block">
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--text">Federation of South African Women held its inaugural conference on 17 April 1954 at the Trades Hall in Johannesburg, where Josie chaired the session ‘Women’s Struggle for Peace’.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--credit">Reference photograph by Eli Weinberg, sourced from the Historical Papers Research Archive, University of the Witwatersrand, via the University of the Western Cape Mayibuye Archive.</p>
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<h2 style="margin:3em 0;">Josie or No Josie, the Struggle Will Go On</h2>
<p>From high rates of violence to chronic unemployment, low wages, and precarious work, African people, and African women in particular, live in a state of profound crisis nested within a wider social context of the crisis of capitalism. In modern-day South Africa, feminism is routinely understood as a profession, a mode of academic and NGO work rather than a popular political project. Grassroots feminists are systemically ignored and undermined by elite discourse. Today, there is no organised popular national feminist movement that is advancing Josie’s legacy.</p>
<p>The stranglehold of elite feminism can only be challenged and undone by developing a genuinely popular feminism, a feminism that understands anti-capitalist political agency and organisation as essential to transforming our social reality. As Josie put it, ‘it is only when [the oppressed] are politically advanced that they can and will have advanced education[ally], socially, economically, and commercially.’ <a href="#_prol_ftn68" name="_prol_ftnref68"><sup>68</sup></a> Unlike many women of her time, for Josie, being a member and leader in a communist organisation played a large part in enabling that political advance.</p>
<p>Throughout her life, Josie never wavered from her commitment to changing the social reality of the majority. In a letter to the apartheid government’s minister of justice protesting Josie’s banning from public political life, Congress Alliance activist and FEDSAW national secretary Helen Joseph described her as someone who ‘has always worked for the good of the people as whole’.<a href="#_prol_ftn69" name="_prol_ftnref69"><sup>69</sup></a> For the good of the people as a whole: that is the legacy of Josie Mpama.</p>
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<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-75230 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-6.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="680" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-6.jpg 680w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-6-300x300.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Josie-6-150x150.jpg 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 680px) 100vw, 680px"></p>
<div class="single-post--content--caption-block">
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--text">This photograph of members of the CPSA Johannesburg District Committee in 1945 is one of the only images available in the public domain that captures Josie engaging in party work.</p>
<p class="single-post--content--caption-block--credit">Reference photograph sourced from South African History Online, photographer unknown.</p>
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<h3 class="single-post--content--citations-title" style="margin:2em 0;">Notes</h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<div class="single-post--content--citations-block">
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref1" name="_prol_ftn1"><sup>1</sup></a> Josie Mpama, ‘Autobiography of J. Mpama’, in <em>South Africa and the Communist International: A Documentary History. </em>Vol. 2<em> Bolshevik Footsoldiers to Victims of Bolshevisation 1931–1939</em>, eds. Apollon B. Davidson, Irina Filatova, Valentin P. Gorodnov, and Sheridan Johns, (London: Frank Cass, 2003).</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref2" name="_prol_ftn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Colonial and apartheid governments in South Africa developed a system of racial classification that segregated Africans from European settlers and designated mixed-race individuals as a separate, third, category, ‘Coloureds’. This designation continues to be used today and has come to be associated with Africans in South Africa who either have ‘mixed’ racial ancestry or are the descendants of slaves brought to the Cape Colony from various parts of the world. However, it is important to remember that the term was a colonial imposition that was used to break apart families and communities. It also erased the unique and diverse identities of indigenous groups by categorising those who did not belong to Bantu-speaking ethnic clans as ‘Coloured’ as a method of the ruling elite to divide and conquer the African population. For further reading on this topic, see ‘The Lie of 1652: Race and Class in South Africa, Interview with Patric Mellet’, <em>Amandla!</em>, no. 73/74 (December 2020), <a class="footnote-link" href="=%22https://aidc.org.za/the-lie-of-1652-race-and-class-in-south-africa-interview-with-patric-mellet/%22">https://aidc.org.za/the-lie-of-1652-race-and-class-in-south-africa-interview-with-patric-mellet/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref3" name="_prol_ftn3"><sup>3</sup></a> In South Africa, the term ‘African’ refers to people who descend from groups that migrated from west and central Africa between 2,000 BCE and 1,500 CE. They were first classified by the white settlers as ‘Native’ and ‘Bantu’ under colonialism and ‘African’ under apartheid. The term ‘Black’ refers to everyone not classified as ‘White’ under apartheid, including people who are classified as ‘Indian’ and ‘Coloured’.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref4" name="_prol_ftn4"><sup>4 </sup></a>Robert R. Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer: Get Up and Get Moving</em> (Athens: Ohio University Press, 2020), 113, 221.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref5" name="_prol_ftn5"><sup>5</sup></a> International Red Aid, also known by its Russian acronym MOPR, was founded by the Comintern in 1922 ‘to organise material and moral assistance to vanguard fighters for the cause of communism who are locked in prison, forced into exile, or for any reason excluded against their will from our fighting ranks’. See, John Riddell, ‘International Red Aid 1922–1937: Uniting to Defend Class War Prisoners’, <em>Monthly Review Online</em>, 5 August 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="//mronline.org/2021/08/05/international-red-aid-1922-1937-uniting-to-defend-class-war-prisoners/%22">https://mronline.org/2021/08/05/international-red-aid-1922-1937-uniting-to-defend-class-war-prisoners/</a>; Roth, ‘Josie Mpama’, 122; Hakim Adi, <em>Pan-Africanism and Communism: The Communist International, Africa, and the Diaspora, 1919–1939</em> (Africa World Press, 2013), 386.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref6" name="_prol_ftn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 113, 128; Tom Lodge, <em>Red Road to Freedom: A History of the South African Communist Party, 1921–2021</em> (Johannesburg: Jacana Media, 2021), 313; Mia Roth, ‘Josie Mpama: The Contribution of a Largely Forgotten Figure in the South African Liberation Struggle’, <em>Kleio </em>28, no. 1 (1996): 122.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref7" name="_prol_ftn7"><sup>7</sup></a> For more on organic intellectuals, see Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>The New Intellectual</em>, dossier no. 12, 11 February 2019, <a class="footnote-link" href="://thetricontinental.org/the-new-intellectual/%22">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/the-new-intellectual/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref8" name="_prol_ftn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie </em><em>Mpama/Palmer</em>, 131.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref9" name="_prol_ftn9"><sup>9</sup></a> For further reading on this topic, see Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, <em>Dawn: Marxism and National Liberation</em>, dossier no. 37, 8 February 2021,<a class="footnote-link" href="//thetricontinental.org/dossier-37-marxism-and-national-liberation/%22">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-37-marxism-and-national-liberation/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref10" name="_prol_ftn10"><sup>10</sup></a> Ruth First, ‘Appendix: Transcription of Ruth First’s Speech on South African Women’s Day, August 9<sup>th</sup>, 1978’, In <em>Negotiating Femininity, Ethnicity, and History: Representations of Ruth First in South African Struggle Narratives</em> by Deborah Rochelle Klein (PhD diss., University of Cape Town, 2006), 300.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref11" name="_prol_ftn11"><sup>11</sup></a> ‘Natives (Urban Areas) Act, Act No 21 of 1923’, <em>Digital Innovation South Africa</em>, <a class="footnote-link" href="//disa.ukzn.ac.za/leg19230614028020021%22">https://disa.ukzn.ac.za leg19230614028020021</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref12" name="_prol_ftn12"><sup>12 </sup></a>‘1913 Natives Land Act Centenary’, South African Government, accessed 13 February 2023, <a class="footnote-link" href="//www.gov.za/1913-natives-land-act-centenary%22">https://www.gov.za/1913-natives-land-act-centenary</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref13" name="_prol_ftn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Julia C. Wells, <em>We Now Demand!: The History of Women’s Resistance to Pass Laws in South Africa</em> (Johannesburg: Witwatersrand University Press, 1994), 66.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref14" name="_prol_ftn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie </em><em>Mpama/Palmer</em>, 65.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref15" name="_prol_ftn15"><sup>15</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 68–69.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref16" name="_prol_ftn16"><sup>16</sup></a> Wells, <em>We Now Demand!</em>, 84.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref17" name="_prol_ftn17"><sup>17</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie</em><em> Mpama/Palmer</em>, 54; Lodge, <em>Red Road</em>, 222.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref18" name="_prol_ftn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie</em><em> Mpama/Palmer</em>, 82–83.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref19" name="_prol_ftn19"><sup>19</sup></a> Wells, <em>We Now Demand!</em>, 84, 85.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref20" name="_prol_ftn20"><sup>20</sup></a> Roth, ‘Josie Mpama’, 122; Edgar, <em>Josie </em><em>Mpama/Palmer</em>, 124–126.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref21" name="_prol_ftn21"><sup>21</sup></a> Brian Bunting, <em>Moses Kotane: South African Revolutionary</em> (Western Cape: Mayibuye Books, 1975), 26–27.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref22" name="_prol_ftn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Lodge, <em>Red Road</em>, 69.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref23" name="_prol_ftn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Bunting, <em>Moses Kotane</em>, 53; Mpama, ‘Autobiography of J. Mpama’, 160.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref24" name="_prol_ftn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie</em><em> Mpama/Palmer</em>, 161.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref25" name="_prol_ftn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Mpama, ‘Autobiography of J. Mpama’, 160; Roth, ‘Josie Mpama’, 123.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref26" name="_prol_ftn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Klein, <em>Negotiating Femininity, Ethnicity, and History</em>, 19.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref27" name="_prol_ftn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Bunting, <em>Moses Kotane</em>, 79; Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref28" name="_prol_ftn28"><sup>28</sup></a> Roth, ‘Josie Mpama’, 122; Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 131, 155.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref29" name="_prol_ftn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Around the same time, Josie was a signatory to a letter penned by twelve party members and sent to the Political Bureau, criticising a small ‘clique’ for pushing incorrect policies that isolated the party from the masses and for attempting to remove Kotane from his position. See, Bunting, <em>Moses Kotane</em>; Lodge, <em>Red Road</em>, 317.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref30" name="_prol_ftn30"><sup>30</sup></a> Mpama, ‘J. Mpama’s Statement to South African Commission, 13 March 1936’, In <em>South Africa and the Communist International</em>, 182–185.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref31" name="_prol_ftn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 149.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref32" name="_prol_ftn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Mpama, ‘Statement of J. Mpama to South African Commission, 19 March 1936’, In <em>South Africa and the Communist International</em>, 193.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref33" name="_prol_ftn33"><sup>33</sup></a> Mpama, ‘J. Mpama’s Statement to South African Commission, 13 March 1936’, 182.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref34" name="_prol_ftn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie </em><em>Mpama/Palmer</em>, 120.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref35" name="_prol_ftn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Mpama, ‘Statement of J. Mpama to South African Commission, 19 March 1936’, 195.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref36" name="_prol_ftn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Mpama, ‘Statement of J. Mpama to South African Commission, 19 March 1936’, 195; Lodge, <em>Red Road</em>, 189–190, 216.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref37" name="_prol_ftn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Woodford McClellan, ‘Africans and Black Americans in the Comintern Schools, 1925–1934’, <em>The International Journal of African Historical Studies</em> 26, no. 2 (1993): 375. Woodford McClellan, ‘Africans and Black Americans in the Comintern Schools, 1925–1934’, <em>The International Journal of African Historical Studies</em> 26, no. 2 (1993): 375.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref38" name="_prol_ftn38"><sup>38</sup></a> During the Second Congress of the Comintern, Soviet leader Vladimir Lenin put forward a thesis on the national and colonial question, describing how, at that specific moment in time, ‘The communist International must enter into a temporary alliance with bourgeois democracy in the colonial and backward countries, but should not merge with it, and should under all circumstances uphold the independence of the proletarian movement.’ See V. Lenin, ‘Draft Theses on the National and Colonial Questions’, 2 June 1920, Second Congress of the Communist International, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1920/jun/05.htm">https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1920/jun/05.htm</a>; Lodge, <em>Red Road</em>, 69.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref39" name="_prol_ftn39"><sup>39</sup></a> McClellan, ‘Africans and Black Americans in the Comintern Schools’, 375.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref40" name="_prol_ftn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Mpama, ‘J. Mpama to Sixth National Conference, CPSA, September 1936 (Extract from Conference Minutes)’, In <em>South Africa and the Communist International</em>, 215–216.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref41" name="_prol_ftn41"><sup>41</sup></a> Mpama, ‘J. Mpama to Sixth National Conference’, 216.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref42" name="_prol_ftn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Bunting, <em>Moses Kotane</em>, 87.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref43" name="_prol_ftn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie</em><em> Mpama/Palmer</em>, 156.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref44" name="_prol_ftn44"><sup>44 </sup></a>Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 164.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref45" name="_prol_ftn45"><sup>45</sup></a>Lodge, <em>Red Road</em>, 242, 245.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref46" name="_prol_ftn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Lodge, <em>Red Road</em>, 280–283.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref47" name="_prol_ftn47"><sup>47</sup></a> Elizabeth S. Schmidt, ‘Now You Have Touched the Women: African Women’s Resistance to the Pass Laws in South Africa, 1950–1960’, in <em>The Struggle for Liberation in South Africa and International Solidarity: A Selection of Papers Published by the United Nations Centre Against Apartheid</em>, ed. E.S. Reddy (New Delhi: Sterling Publishers, 1992).</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref48" name="_prol_ftn48"><sup>48</sup></a> Non-racialism is a prominent ideology and political tradition in South Africa that was borne out of opposition to the racialised system of apartheid. The term is enshrined as a founding value in chapter one of the Constitution of South Africa, although its precise meaning is contested by different political forces. The CPSA was a leading organisation of non-racial politics, whilst, for example, the ANC reserved its membership exclusively for Africans up until 1969. See Imraan Buccus, ‘The Dangerous Collapse of Non-Racialism’, <em>New Frame</em>, 30 July 2021,</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref49" name="_prol_ftn49"><sup>49 </sup></a>C. J. Walker, <em>Women in Twentieth Century South African Politics: The Federation of South African Women, Its Roots, Growth and Decline </em>(Master’s thesis, University of Cape Town, 1978), 83–84.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref50" name="_prol_ftn50"><sup>50</sup></a> Mpama, ‘An Appeal to African Women’, 248.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref51" name="_prol_ftn51"><sup>51</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 245–46.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref52" name="_prol_ftn52"><sup>52</sup></a> Josie Mpama, ‘An Appeal to African Women Join the Struggle against Oppressive Laws’, <em>South African Worker</em>, 30 January 1937, In Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 249.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref53" name="_prol_ftn53"><sup>53</sup></a> Walker, <em>Women in Twentieth Century South African Politics</em>, 76.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref54" name="_prol_ftn54"><sup>54</sup></a> Walker, <em>Women in Twentieth Century South African Politics</em>, 90.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref55" name="_prol_ftn55"><sup>55</sup></a> Walker, <em>Women in Twentieth Century South African Politics</em>, 85.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref56" name="_prol_ftn56"><sup>56</sup></a> Josie Mpama, ‘African Women Must Be Organised We Are Prepared to Move’, <em>South African Worker</em>, 26 June 1937, In Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 252.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref57" name="_prol_ftn57"><sup>57</sup></a> Kathryn Sturman, <em>The Federation of South African Women and the Black Sash: Constraining and Contestatory Discourses About Women in Politics, 1954–1958</em> (PhD diss., University of Cape Town, 1996), 65–66.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref58" name="_prol_ftn58"><sup>58</sup></a> Federation of South African Women, <em>Women’s Charter</em>, (Johannesburg, 17 April 1954).</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref59" name="_prol_ftn59"><sup>59</sup></a> Josie Mpama to the Federation of South African Women, 26 October 1955, Federation of South African Women 1954–1963, Historical Papers Research Archive at the University of Witwatersrand, collection no. AD1137, <a class="footnote-link" href="//researcharchives.wits.ac.za/uploads/r/historical-papers-research-archive-library-university-of-witwatersrand/6/7/c/67ce8c3ac5dc7d816f675fdcf489cae89d3e8a9255d3d0247ee782958ad00537/AD1137-Ad1-2-002-jpeg.pdf%22">http://researcharchives.wits.ac.za/uploads/r/historical-papers-research-archive-library-university-of-witwatersrand/6/7/c/67ce8c3ac5dc7d816f675fdcf489cae89d3e8a9255d3d0247ee782958ad00537/AD1137-Ad1-2-002-jpeg.pdf</a>; Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 210.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref60" name="_prol_ftn60"><sup>60</sup></a> Miriam Jeanette Zwane, <em>The Federation of South African Women and Aspects of Urban Women’s Resistance to the Policies of Racial Segregation, 1950-1970 </em>(MA thesis., University of Johannesburg, 2012), 81–82.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref61" name="_prol_ftn61"><sup>61</sup></a> Zwane, <em>Federation of South African Women</em>, 81–82; Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 215.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref62" name="_prol_ftn62"><sup>62</sup></a> Davidson, et al., eds., <em>South Africa and the Communist International</em>, xxvii.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref63" name="_prol_ftn63"><sup>63</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 214.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref64" name="_prol_ftn64"><sup>64</sup></a> For more on the relationship between religion and politics, see Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research , dossier no. 59, <em>Religious Fundamentalism and Imperialism in Latin America: Action and Resistance</em>, 19 December 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="//thetricontinental.org/dossier-59-religious-fundamentalism-and-imperialism-in-latin-america/%22">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-59-religious-fundamentalism-and-imperialism-in-latin-america/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref65" name="_prol_ftn65"><sup>65</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 211–213.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref66" name="_prol_ftn66"><sup>66</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 240.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref67" name="_prol_ftn67"><sup>67</sup></a> Edgar, <em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 240.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref68" name="_prol_ftn68"><sup>68</sup></a> Mpama, ‘Educating our Bantu Women’, <em>Mochochonono</em>, 22 November 1933, In Edgar,<em>Josie Mpama/Palmer</em>, 247–48.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref69" name="_prol_ftn69"><sup>69</sup></a>Helen Joseph to Josie Mpama, 19 November 1955, Historical Papers Research Archive at the University of Witwatersrand, collection no. AD1137,<a class="footnote-link" href="//researcharchives.wits.ac.za/uploads/r/historical-papers-research-archive-library-university-of-witwatersrand/6/7/c/67ce8c3ac5dc7d816f675fdcf489cae89d3e8a9255d3d0247ee782958ad00537/AD1137-Ad1-2-002-jpeg.pdf%22">http://researcharchives.wits.ac.za/uploads/r/historical-papers-research-archive-library-university-of-witwatersrand/6/7/c/67ce8c3ac5dc7d816f675fdcf489cae89d3e8a9255d3d0247ee782958ad00537/AD1137-Ad1-2-002-jpeg.pdf</a>.</p>
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		<title>Eight Contradictions of the Imperialist ‘Rules-Based Order’</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/eight-contradiction-of-the-imperialist-rules-based-order/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Mar 2023 10:00:26 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[financial crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Doomsday Clock]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eight contradictions of the Imperialist Rules Based Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Imperialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international rules-based order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=74912</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This study discusses the life and political struggles of Josie Mpama, a leader in the resistance against colonial oppression and the apartheid system in South Africa.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-74785 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card.png" alt="" width="950" height="499" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card-300x158.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/20230307_Eight-contradictions_card-768x403.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p>We are now entering a qualitatively new phase of world history. Significant global changes have emerged in the years since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. This can be seen in a new phase of imperialism and changes in the particularities of eight contradictions.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>1. The contradiction between moribund imperialism and an emerging successful socialism led by China</strong><strong>.</strong></span></h3>
<p>This contradiction has intensified because of the peaceful rise of socialism with Chinese characteristics. For the first time in 500 years, the Atlantic imperialist powers are confronted by a large, non-white economic power that can compete with them. This became clear in 2013 when China’s GDP in purchasing power parity (PPP) overtook that of the United States. China accomplished this in a much shorter period than the West, with a significantly larger population and without colonies, enslaving others, or military conquest. Whilst China stands for peaceful relations, the US has become increasingly bellicose.</p>
<p>The US has led the imperialist camp since World War II. Post-Angela Merkel and with the advent of the Ukraine military operation, the US strategically subordinated dominant sections of the European and Japanese bourgeoisie. This has resulted in weakening intra-imperialist contradictions. The US first permitted and then demanded that both Japan (the third-largest economy in the world) and Germany (the fourth-largest economy) – two fascist powers during World War II – greatly increase their military expenditure. The result has been the ending of Europe’s economic relationship with Russia, damage to the European economy, and economic and political benefits for the US. Despite the capitulation of most of Europe’s political elite to full US subordination, some large sections of German capital are heavily dependent on trade with China, much more than on their US counterparts. The US, however, is now pressuring Europe to downgrade its ties to China.</p>
<p>More importantly, China and the socialist camp now face an even more dangerous entity: the consolidated structure of the Triad (the United States, Europe, and Japan). The US’s growing internal social decay should not mask the near absolute unity of its political elite on foreign policy. We are witnessing the bourgeoisie placing its political and military interests over its short-term economic interests.</p>
<p>The centre of the world economy is shifting, with Russia and the Global South (including China) now accounting for 65% of the world’s GDP (measured in PPP). From 1950 until the present, the US share of the global GDP (in PPP) has fallen from 27% to 15%. The growth of the US’s GDP has also been declining for more than five decades and has now fallen to only around 2% per year. It has no large new markets in which to expand. The West suffers from an ongoing general crisis of capitalism as well as the consequences of the long-term tendency of the rate of profit to decline.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">2. The contradiction between the ruling classes of the narrow band of imperialist G7 countries and the political and economic elite of capitalist countries in the Global South.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>This relationship has undergone a major change from the heydays of the 1990s and the height of US unilateral power and arrogance. Today, there are growing cracks in the alliance between the G7 and Global South power elites. Mukesh Ambani and Gautam Adani, India’s largest billionaires, need oil and coal from Russia. The far-right Modi-led government represents India’s monopoly bourgeoisie. Thus, the Indian foreign minister now makes occasional statements against US hegemony in finance, sanctions, and other areas. The West does not have the economic and political ability to always provide what power elites in India, Saudi Arabia, and Turkey need. This contradiction, however, has not sharpened to the degree that it can be a focal point of other contradictions, unlike the contradiction between socialist China and the US-led G7 bloc.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">3. The contradiction between the broad urban and rural working class and sections of the lower petty bourgeoisie (collectively known as the popular classes) of the Global South versus the US-led imperial power elite.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>This contradiction is slowly becoming sharper. The West has a great soft power advantage in the Global South amongst all classes. Yet, for the first time in decades, young Africans have come out to support the expulsion of French troops in Mali and Burkina Faso in West Africa. For the first time, the popular classes in Colombia were able to elect a new government that rejected the country’s status as a vassal outpost of US military and intelligence forces. Working-class women are at the forefront of many critical battles of both the working class and society at large. Young people are rising up against the environmental crimes of capitalism. Growing numbers of the working class are identifying their struggles for peace, development, and justice as explicitly anti-imperialist. They are now able to see through the lies of US <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-17-venezuela-and-hybrid-wars-in-latin-america/">‘human rights’ ideology</a>, the destruction of the environment by Western energy and mining companies, and the violence of US <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/dossier-36-twilight/">hybrid war</a> and sanctions.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>4. The contradiction between advanced rent-seeking finance capital versus the needs of the popular classes, and even some sections of capital in non-socialist countries, regarding the organisation of societies’ requirements for investment in industry, environmentally sustainable agriculture, employment, and development.</strong></span></h3>
<p>This contradiction is a result of the decline in the rate of profit and the difficulty of capital to increase the rate of exploitation of the working class to a sufficient level able to finance increasing investment requirements and remain competitive. Outside of the socialist camp, in almost all of the advanced capitalist countries and in most of the Global South – with some exceptions, especially in Asia – there is an investment crisis. New types of firms have arisen that include hedge funds such as Bridgewater Associates and private equity firms such as BlackRock. ‘Private markets’ controlled $9.8 trillion worth of assets in 2022. Derivatives, a form of fictitious and speculative capital, are now worth $18.3 trillion in ‘market’ value but have a $632 trillion notional value – a value more than five times higher than the world’s total actual GDP.</p>
<p>A new class of information technology-based network-effect monopolies, including Google, Facebook/Meta, and Amazon – all under full US control – have emerged to attract monopoly rents. US digital monopolies, under the direct supervision of US intelligence agencies, control the information architecture of the whole world, outside of a few socialist and nationalist countries. These monopolies are the basis for the rapid expansion of US soft power in the last 20 years. The military-industrial complex, the merchants of death, also attract growing investments.</p>
<p>This intensified speculative and monopoly rentier accumulation phase of capital is deepening a strike by capital against necessary social investments. South Africa and Brazil have seen dramatic levels of deindustrialisation under neoliberalism. Even advanced imperialist countries have ignored their own infrastructure, such as the electricity grid, bridges, and the railway. The global elite has engineered a tax strike by providing huge reductions in tax rates and taxes as well as legal tax havens for both individual capitalists and their corporations to increase their share of surplus value.</p>
<p>Tax evasion by capital and the privatisation of large swathes of the public sector have decimated the availability of basic public goods like education, healthcare, and transportation for billions of people. It has contributed to Western capital’s ability to manipulate and gain high interest income from the ‘manufactured’ debt crisis facing the Global South. At its highest level, hedge fund profiteers like George Soros speculate and destroy the finance of entire countries.</p>
<p>The impact on the working class is severe, as their work has become increasingly precarious and permanent unemployment is destroying large sections of the world’s youth. A growing section of the population is superfluous under capitalism. Social inequality, misery, and desperation are abundant.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">5. The contradiction between the popular classes of the Global South and their domestic political and economic power elites.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>This manifests quite differently by country and region. In socialist and progressive countries, contradictions amongst the people are resolved in peaceful and varied ways. However, in several countries in the Global South where the capitalist elite has been fully in bed with Western capital, wealth is held by a small percentage of the population. There is widespread misery amongst the poorest people, and the capitalist development model is failing to serve the interests of the majority. Due to the history of neocolonialism and Western soft power, there is a decidedly pro-West middle-class consensus in most of the large Global South countries. This class hegemony of the local bourgeoisie and the upper stratum of the petty bourgeoisie is used to block the popular classes (who make up most of the population) from accessing power and influence.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>6. The contradiction between US-led imperialism versus nations strongly defending national sovereignty.</strong></span></h3>
<p>These nations fall into four main categories: socialist countries, progressive countries, other countries rejecting US control, and the special case of Russia. The US has created this antagonistic contradiction through hybrid warfare methods such as assassinations, invasions, NATO-led military aggression, sanctions, lawfare, trade war, and a now incessant propaganda war based on outright lies. Russia is in a special category, as it suffered more than 25 million deaths at the hands of European fascist invaders when it was a socialist country. Today, Russia –which notably has immense natural resources – is once again a target for complete annihilation as a state by NATO. Some elements of its socialist past are still present in the country, and there remains a high degree of patriotism. The US’s goal is to finish off what it started in 1992: at a minimum, to permanently destroy Russia’s nuclear military capacity and install a puppet regime in Moscow in order to dismember Russia in the long term and replace it with many smaller, permanently weakened vassal states of the West.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>7. The contradiction between the millions of discarded working-class poor in the Global North versus the bourgeoisie who dominate these countries.</strong></span></h3>
<p>These workers are showing some signs of rebellion against their economic and social conditions. However, the imperialist bourgeoisie is playing the white supremacist card to prevent a larger unity of working people in these countries. At this moment, workers are not consistently able to avoid falling prey to racist war propaganda. The number of people present at public events against imperialism has diminished precipitously over the last thirty years.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">8. The contradiction between Western capitalism versus the planet and human life.</span> </strong></h3>
<p>The inexorable path of this system is to destroy the planet and human life, threaten nuclear annihilation, and work against the needs of humanity to collectively reclaim the planet’s air, water, and land and stop the nuclear military madness of the United States. Capitalism rejects planning and peace. The Global South (including China) can help the world build and expand a ‘zone of peace’ and commit to living in harmony with nature.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes on the Contributors:</strong></span></h3>
<p><strong>Kyeretwie Opoku</strong> is the convenor of the Socialist Movement of Ghana.<br>
<strong>Manuel Bertoldi</strong> from Patria Grande /Federación Rural para la producción y el arraigo.<br>
<strong>Deby Veneziale</strong> is a senior fellow with Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research.<br>
<strong>Vijay Prashad</strong> is the executive director of Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research.</p>
<p> </p>
<div class="cc-by-nc-40">This publication is issued under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. The human-readable summary of the license is available at <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/" rel="noopener">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/</a>.</div>
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		<title>Chrysalises: Feminist Memories from Latin America and the Caribbean</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-feminisms-4-chrysalises-feminist-memories/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Mar 2023 10:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Feminisms]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evo Morales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ANMTR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bartolina Sisa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Via Campesina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Unified Confederation of Peasant Workers of Bolivia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sandinista]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CSUTB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chrysalises]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bartolinas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arlen Siu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nicaragua]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FSLN]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ALBA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Maria Madalena dos Santos]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[feminism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dona Nina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bolivia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[National Platform of Rural Women Workers]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=72954</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Significant global changes have emerged in the years since the Great Financial Crisis of 2008. This can be seen in a new phase of imperialism and the particularities of eight contradictions, summarised in our latest text.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-73427 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/WF-crisalidas01.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="713"></p>
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<tbody>
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<td style="width: 50%; padding: 20px;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-73382 alignright img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logo-ALBA-color-300x158.png" alt="" width="140" height="74" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logo-ALBA-color-300x158.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logo-ALBA-color-1024x539.png 1024w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logo-ALBA-color-768x404.png 768w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logo-ALBA-color-1536x808.png 1536w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logo-ALBA-color.png 1980w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 140px) 100vw, 140px"></td>
<td style="width: 50%; padding: 20px;"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-45081 alignnone img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/Tricon-Logos_Logo-EN-300x81.png" alt="" width="160" height="43" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/Tricon-Logos_Logo-EN-300x81.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/Tricon-Logos_Logo-EN.png 449w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 160px) 100vw, 160px"></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p> </p>
<nav class="p73361-toc">
<h5 class="p73361-font-active">In this issue:</h5>
<ol>
<li><a href="#section-1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-73361 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/01-Arlen-icono.png" alt="" width="250" height="250" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/01-Arlen-icono.png 250w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/01-Arlen-icono-150x150.png 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px"></a></li>
<li><a href="#section-2"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="p-image-73371 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/03-Nina-icono.png" alt="" width="250" height="250"></a></li>
<li><a href="#section-3"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-73341 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/02-Bartolina-icono.png" alt="" width="250" height="250" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/02-Bartolina-icono.png 250w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/02-Bartolina-icono-150x150.png 150w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 250px) 100vw, 250px"></a></li>
</ol>
</nav>
<p> </p>
<p> </p>
<h2 class="p73361-title" style="margin:3em 0;">Introduction</h2>
<h2 class="p73361-title" style="margin:3em 0;"></h2>
<p>In this publication, we are setting out to recover histories, struggles, and resistance in Latin America and place ourselves in moments of the history of <em>Nuestra América</em> <a href="#_prol_ftn1" name="_prol_ftnref1"><sup>1</sup></a>– ‘Our America’ – when women have been on the front lines of the battle to build a more just world. This history encompasses an enormous diversity of sectors, geographies, climates, flavours, and sounds, an entire universe of people, of dissidents, who, step by step, have walked the path of history. We are setting out on a path to recover the history of struggles, resistance, insurrections, and revolutionary dreams that have been led by women and LGBTQ+ people throughout the region at different times in order to find the seeds of the popular Latin American feminisms that exist today.</p>
<p>These feminisms emerge from popular, collective struggles that are born as vital means of self-defence on the fringes of the peripheries. To speak of popular feminisms in Latin America and the Caribbean means thinking about all that women and LGBTQ+ people do every day as they fight for the common good in places where precariousness prevails. It is to speak of that intersection where the communal becomes a fundamental space to guarantee life, always in tension with the pedagogy of cruelty that governs our societies. Popular feminism raises the banner of the collective over the individual; it transforms everything that must be transformed for the decent life that the ‘nobodies’ deserve.</p>
<p>In addition to being organisers and leaders of national processes in various social sectors, popular feminists have set to work vigorously alongside hundreds of comrades to create and sustain a continental platform of social movements as part of the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America, or ALBA (which translates as ‘dawn’). Founded one dawn on Venezuela’s Margarita Island by Hugo Chávez and Fidel Castro, ALBA is a polysemic concept that is dear to our region.</p>
<p>The continent’s platform of popular organisations, known as ALBA Movimientos, seeks to understand the continent’s current context through the eyes of struggle and mobilisation. Of course, in order to do this, it is essential to have material that reclaims the history of the struggles of the women and dissidents of <em>Nuestra América</em> who preceded what today is a struggle for the transformative power of history in every corner of our region.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-73648 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas2.png" alt="" width="931" height="950" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas2.png 931w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas2-294x300.png 294w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas2-768x784.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 931px) 100vw, 931px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section-1"></a></p>
<h2 class="p73361-title" style="margin:3em 0;">Arlen Siu</h2>
<h3 class="p73361-subtitle" style="margin:2em 0;">The Mockingbird Tells of Arlen <a href="#_prol_ftn2" name="_prol_ftnref2"><sup>2</sup></a></h3>
<p>Those who knew her say that, despite the times in which she lived, Arlen was a woman of revolutionary and advanced ideas whose intelligence was complemented by her musical talents playing the guitar, accordion, and piano as well as the gifts of writing, drawing, and painting. She was a poet, artist, intellectual, and revolutionary.</p>
<p>Arlen Siu was born in Jinotepe, in the department of Carazo in Nicaragua on 15 July 1955. She grew up in an intercultural family, her father a migrant of Chinese origin and her mother Nicaraguan. Considering the financial means of Arlen’s family and her intelligence, she could have achieved any of the goals that young women of her time and economic status set for themselves. However, she chose to be a guerrilla fighter, and, with that commitment, she decided to take to the mountains, where the cruelty of the Somoza dictatorship was most relentless. <a href="#_prol_ftn3" name="_prol_ftnref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-73659 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen1.png" alt="" width="950" height="716" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen1.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen1-300x226.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen1-768x579.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p>Arlen was a gifted writer, and she used her words to express her indignation in the face of injustice. Among her most revealing pieces was the final letter she sent to her parents:</p>
<blockquote class="p73361-blockquote"><p>Mankind’s <a href="#_prol_ftn4" name="_prol_ftnref4"><sup>4 </sup></a>determined struggle to achieve perfection is true love. We are more authentic insofar as we break down barriers and limitations, bravely and optimistically confronting the vicissitudes that appear along the way. One day, you come to discover that we are capable of more than what is asked of us, and that we can achieve what for some is forbidden or impossible.</p></blockquote>
<p>With each of her revolutionary acts, Arlen became more authentic. Such was the case in December 1974, when after having accompanied over five hundred workers rebelling against the abuses committed by the textile company Sacos Centroamericanos, S.A. (SACSA) in Diriamba, Carazo, she organised study circles with worker leaders. In these circles, she made use of two communiqués issued by the Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN) during their raid on Minister Chema Castillo’s house and during the release of Somoza’s captured henchmen in exchange for FSLN political prisoners.<a href="#_prol_ftn5" name="_prol_ftnref5"><sup>5</sup></a> On 1 August 1975, Arlen was killed in action in El Sauce, León (in the west of Nicaragua) while covering for her comrades as they retreated during an unequal battle against three hundred armed national guards. Mario Estrada, Gilberto Rostrán, Julia Herrera de Pomares, Mercedes Reyes, Hugo Arévalo, and Juan and Leónidas Espinoza were also killed.</p>
<p>Arlen Siu did not live to see the triumph of the Sandinista Popular Revolution in 1979, but she nonetheless played a key role in the struggle and in organising workers and the population. Even after her death, she inspired the Asociación de Trabajadores del Campo (Rural Workers’ Association) in their work building a rural workers’ social movement through her poem <em>María Rural</em> (‘Rural María’).</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-73669 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen2.png" alt="" width="950" height="906" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen2.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen2-300x286.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Arlen2-768x732.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025; font-size: 18pt;"><strong>Rural María</strong></span></h3>
<p> </p>
<div class="row p73361-poem">
<div class="col-xs-12 col-sm-6">
<p>Along the country paths<br>
You carry your sorrow with you<br>
Your sorrow of love and tears<br>
In your womb of clay and earth</p>
<p>Your earthenware jar<br>
That you fill year after year<br>
With the seed that is sown<br>
By the peasant in his poverty</p>
<p>Today I want to sing to you, rural María<br>
Oh, mother of the countryside<br>
Mother without equal<br>
Today I want to sing<br>
Of your poor children<br>
Your sad debris<br>
Your maternal pain</p>
<p>Malnutrition and poverty<br>
Are what surround you<br>
A silent straw hut<br>
Just the murmur of the jungle</p>
<p>Your hands are of cedar<br>
Your eyes the sadness of dusk<br>
Your tears the mud<br>
That you shed in the mountains</p>
<p>For this reason, on this occasion<br>
I want to sing to your heart<br>
Today I want to tell you how I feel<br>
About so much poverty and desolation</p>
<p>Through meadows and rivers<br>
The peasant mother roams<br>
Feeling the winter cold<br>
And her terrible fate</p>
<p>Along the country paths<br>
You carry your sorrow with you<br>
Your sorrow of love and tears<br>
In your womb of clay and earth</p>
<p>Today I want to sing to you, rural María<br>
Oh, mother of the countryside<br>
Mother without equal<br>
Today I want to sing<br>
Of your poor children<br>
Your sad debris<br>
Your maternal pain</p>
</div>
<div class="col-xs-12 col-sm-6 p73361-poem-es">
<p>Por los senderos del campo<br>
Llevas cargando tu pena<br>
Tú pena de amor y de llanto<br>
En tu vientre de arcilla y tierra</p>
<p>Tu tinajita redonda<br>
Que llenas año con año<br>
De la semilla que siembra<br>
El campesino en su pobreza</p>
<p>Hoy quiero cantarte María rural<br>
Oh madre del campo<br>
Madre sin igual<br>
Hoy quiero cantar<br>
Tus vástagos pobres<br>
Tu despojos triste<br>
Dolor maternal</p>
<p>Desnutrición y pobreza<br>
Es lo que a vos te rodea<br>
Choza de paja en silencio<br>
Solo el rumor de la selva</p>
<p>Tus manos son de cedro<br>
Tus ojos crepúsculos tristes<br>
Tus lágrimas son barro<br>
Que derramas en las sierras</p>
<p>Por esa razón en esta ocasión<br>
Hoy quiero cantar a tu corazón<br>
Hoy quiero decirte lo que siento<br>
Por tanta pobreza y desolación</p>
<p>Por la praderas y ríos<br>
Va la madre campesina<br>
Sintiendo frío el invierno<br>
Y terrible su destino</p>
<p>Por los senderos del campo<br>
Llevas cargando tu pena<br>
Tú pena de amor y de llanto<br>
En tu vientre de arcilla y tierra</p>
<p>Hoy quiero cantarte María rural<br>
¡Oh! madre del campo<br>
Madre sin igual<br>
Hoy quiero cantar<br>
Tus vástagos pobres<br>
Tu despojos triste<br>
Dolor maternal</p>
</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section-2"></a></p>
<h2 class="p73361-title" style="margin:3em 0;">Dona Nina</h2>
<blockquote class="p73361-blockquote"><p>‘I began my activism very early, without realising I was an activist, you know? As a feminist, from home, in the struggle for independence’. <a href="#_prol_ftn6" name="_prol_ftnref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p>
<p class="p73361-blockquote-cite">-Dona Nina</p>
</blockquote>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-73679 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina1.png" alt="" width="950" height="625" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina1.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina1-300x197.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina1-768x505.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p>Maria Madalena dos Santos, better known as Dona Nina, is seventy-three years old and has two daughters, three sons, three granddaughters, and two grandsons. She was born in the <em>quilombola</em><a href="#_prol_ftn7" name="_prol_ftnref7"><sup>7</sup></a>community of Cafundó dos Crioulos in the city of Santa Maria da Vitória, Bahía State, where she began and continues her activism. Dona Nina is a rural <em>quilombola</em> woman, a popular educator, trade unionist, and the president of her community association.</p>
<p>Dona Nina became involved in organising around the struggle of rural women in the early 1980s following the attacks on peasants in her home region, including through land evictions, displacement caused by the construction of dams, and the extreme exploitation of their labour, which mostly fell on peasant women who, at the time, received a quarter of what men received for a day’s work. She later learned that the same phenomenon was taking place in several regions across the country, and that rural women were also organising there.</p>
<p>In the 1980s, there was a resurgence of popular organisations in Brazil. In Bahía, Dona Nina, together with other rural women, realised that they needed autonomous and self-organised processes; without this, their demands would not be included as part of broader struggles. So, she became one of the coordinators of the National Platform of Rural Women Workers (ANMTR) and actively participated in the struggles to ensure that social security programmes and protections would be included in the 1988 Constitution. She was also the coordinator of the national campaign ‘No undocumented rural workers’.</p>
<p>The fight for a better world led Dona Nina to travel all over Brazil and the world, where she participated in debates on the need for a global peasant organisation and in the first congresses of CLOC/La Vía Campesina.<a href="#_prol_ftn8" name="_prol_ftnref8"><sup>8</sup></a>Dona Nina was instrumental in the process to create the national Peasant Women’s Movement (MMC) in 2004, which emerged together with the international peasants’ movement. As the coordinator of peasant women in the northeast, she travelled to several states to discuss the importance of a national movement so that the feminist and peasant struggle would become a reality. Dona Nina recalls: ‘It was not easy; some people didn’t want it [to happen], and they got in the way, but we knew it was important that women be fully included in the term “peasant”. Today, we have achieved that’.</p>
<p>At the age of 73, Dona Nina continues to contribute to the political coordination of the MMC in Bahía. She is a guardian of indigenous seeds and of the Cerrado savanna, serving as inspiration for resistance and commitment to women’s struggles in the fields, forests, and wetlands. She is part of the living history of popular peasant feminism.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-73689 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina2.png" alt="" width="807" height="950" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina2.png 807w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina2-255x300.png 255w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Nina2-768x904.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 807px) 100vw, 807px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section-3"></a></p>
<h2 class="p73361-title" style="margin:3em 0;">Las Bartolinas</h2>
<blockquote class="p73361-blockquote"><p>‘The double discrimination we suffer as women and as Indigenous peasants in our families, communities, organisations, and society as a whole has led us to fight against the violation of our fundamental rights and to defend our full and equal participation in decision-making’.</p>
<p class="p73361-blockquote-cite">–Bartolina Sisa National Confederation of Peasant Women of Bolivia</p>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-73699 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas1.png" alt="" width="950" height="808" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas1.png 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas1-300x255.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/03/Bartolinas1-768x653.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p>The Bartolina Sisa National Confederation of Peasant Women of Bolivia (whose members are known as ‘Las Bartolinas’) is the most influential women’s movement in Bolivia and is well-known far beyond the country’s borders.</p>
<p>The confederation, named in homage to the Aymara hero Bartolina Sisa (one of the most emblematic women of Latin America’s eighteenth century anti-colonial struggles), was founded on 10 January 1980 in a national congress, continuing the legacy of the decisive role that many women played through the peasant women’s unions during the period of military dictatorships. This movement emerged and developed as Bolivia rebuilt its democracy and as popular organisations began to regroup. It was created with the vision that rural women would fully participate in this process through their own organisation and would be able to fully participate in roadblocks, hunger strikes, marches, and other forms of collective action by peasants.</p>
<p>Through their actions, Las Bartolinas seek to reclaim land and food sovereignty as well as dignity among Bolivia’s peasant and Indigenous women. The confederation seeks the equal participation of women in political, social, and economic spaces through the Aymara framework of <em>chacha warmi </em><a href="#_prol_ftn9" name="_prol_ftnref9"><sup>9</sup></a>as a concept of gender equality. They also promote the ongoing education and training of women as the only way to free their minds from oppression and ignorance and achieve true freedom.</p>
<p>Las Bartolinas fight for the social, economic, political, and cultural advancement of peasant, indigenous, and Afro-Bolivian women. They also strive to build a political platform for peasant, indigenous, and Afro-Bolivian women based on their nationality, political programme, unity, reciprocity, and solidarity with the country’s labour and popular organisations.</p>
<p>Furthermore, they are part of the fight against illiteracy in the countryside, demanding public and free education for children in coordination with parents, teachers, and education authorities and promoting bonds of fraternity, solidarity, and reciprocity among the peasant and indigenous women and girls of Bolivia. This process must also defend fundamental rights, including women’s rights to education and food sovereignty, and guarantee gender equality and the full participation of all women.</p>
<p>Las Bartolinas also fight for land and territorial rights and ownership, which are key to the sovereignty of indigenous and rural peoples. In doing so, they seek to disseminate and reaffirm the cultural and historical identity of the indigenous peoples and nationalities of Bolivia in order to build a unified, plurinational state.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #ba2025;">Three Periods in the History of ‘Bartolina’ Women</span></strong></h3>
<p>The Bartolina Sisa National Confederation of Peasant Women of Bolivia was shaped by a progression of events, beginning with its incipient debate on its role within the peasant movement. This included the need to build an autonomous organisation rather than join the existing organisation formed by men, the Unified Confederation of Peasant Workers of Bolivia (CSUTB). So, Las Bartolinas built their own identity as an autonomous movement of peasant women, forming their own confederation with the same influence and importance in the Bolivian sociopolitical scene.</p>
<p>The Bartolina Sisa Confederation soon took on a leading role in the country. In 1994, the confederation was among the organisations that founded the Political Instrument for the Sovereignty of the Peoples (IPSP), later to be known as the MAS-IPSP, with the aim of securing a leading role and direct participation in the country’s parliamentary politics. MAS-IPSP would later become the party through which the working, indigenous, and peasant classes came to power for over a decade beginning with the presidency of Evo Morales.</p>
<p>During this period, the organisation directly participated in the state and in forming public policy, such as seeking to guarantee the political participation of Bolivian women through a policy of gender parity. It has since become impossible to speak of Bolivian politics without recognising the pioneering role of Las Bartolinas. Today, women who are part of the organisation hold senior positions in the state and are leaders of regional politics.</p>
<p>Las Bartolinas’ leading role among Bolivian social movements and their influence on Bolivian public policy represent a huge step forward in terms of women’s political participation in the country. It is important for this successful example of women’s advancement in such key spaces to spread, but it is also the duty of all organisations to guarantee women the full exercise of their political rights not only in Bolivia, but across the Global South.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 class="p73361-subtitle" style="margin:2em 0;">Back cover</h3>
<p> </p>
<div class="p73361-back-cover">
<p>Seemingly inactive, chrysalises rest. Many choose to camouflage themselves and assume the shape and colour of their surroundings. They go unnoticed as they prepare for metamorphosis. With effort, they break open and awaken, spreading their wings and connecting with the world transformed.</p>
<p>These women are all chrysalises: Arlen Siu in her commitment to the peasant struggle and the Nicaraguan Revolution; Dona Nina with her tireless commitment to organising peasant women in Brazil; and Las Bartolinas, who have led the way as central actors in the resistance against dictatorships and neoliberalism and in building a plurinational political project in Bolivia.</p>
<p>May the chrysalises, memories of disobedience in the Global South, grow with the mystique<a href="#_prol_ftn10" name="_prol_ftnref10"><sup>10</sup></a> of this fanzine, passed from hand to hand and from mouth to mouth.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref1" name="_prol_ftn1"><sup>1</sup></a>Translator’s note: <em>Nuestra América</em>, or ‘Our America’, is a construct linked to promoting the regional integration of Central and South America and forging a Latin American identity, as a project opposed to European and US cultural imperialism. The concept stems from Cuban national hero José Martí’s 1981 essay of the same title.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref2" name="_prol_ftn2"><sup>2</sup></a>Translator’s note: This is a reference to the song ‘El <em>zenzontle</em> pregunta por <em>Arlen’ (‘The Mockingbird Asks About Arlen’) </em>by Nicaraguan singer-songwriter <em>Carlos</em><em> Mejía Godoy.</em></p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref3" name="_prol_ftn3"><sup>3</sup></a>Translator’s note: Members of the Somoza family ruled Nicaragua from 1936 to 1979.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref4" name="_prol_ftn4"><sup>4</sup></a>Translator’s note: The writings of Arlen Siu, like many original texts from this period, have a historic and political value that should be interpreted contextually. For this reason, we have made the editorial decision not to modify the use of words such as ‘mankind’ in the translations cited in this text and, in so doing, conserve its original content. However, we believe that it is necessary to clarify that, in re-reading and re-publishing these passages, we are faced with the intellectual exercise of entering into dialogue with and updating these ideas. This is especially the case when discussing the role of men and women in the revolutionary process. To read this text in today’s context – when we are faced with the historic challenge of building diverse feminist organisations – brings with it new political, social, and cultural coordinates that call on our militant creativity to rethink this notion, its significance, and its political and intellectual legacy.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref5" name="_prol_ftn5"><sup>5</sup></a>Translator’s note: On 27 December 1974, FSLN guerrillas stormed a party at José María ‘Chema’ Castillo’s home, where top figures of the Anastasio Somoza Debayle dictatorship were gathered, taking hostages and demanding the release of political prisoners.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref6" name="_prol_ftn6"><sup>6</sup></a>Translator’s note: Here, <em>militancia</em> is translated as ‘activism’ rather than ‘militancy’, though the original term in Spanish, <em>militancia</em>, denotes a strong, active, and generally long-term commitment to a specific political or social movement or project.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref7" name="_prol_ftn7"><sup>7</sup></a>Translator’s note: Brazil’s quilombola communities are settlements that were originally established by escaped African and Afro-Brazilian slaves and maintain a strong sense of their identity and roots.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref8" name="_prol_ftn8"><sup>8</sup></a>Translator’s note: The Latin American Coordination of Rural Organisations (CLOC) was established in February 1994 in Lima, Peru. La Vía Campesina International Peasants’ Movement was founded in 1993 in Mons, Belgium.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref9" name="_prol_ftn9"><sup>9</sup></a>Translator’s note: <em>chacha</em> (man) and <em>warmi</em> (woman) is an Aymara concept whereby the two complement each other and as such, neither is subordinated to the other.</p>
<p><a href="#_prol_ftnref10" name="_prol_ftn10"><sup>10</sup></a>Translator’s note: <em>Mística</em>, literally translated as mystique or mysticism, is a key concept of Brazil’s Landless Workers’ Movement that has extended to popular movements across the continent and world. As John Hammon, a friend of the MST who has written about the concept, explains: ‘This untranslatable word refers to an expressive performance, mainly nonverbal, that incorporates themes central to the goals of the movement and affirms confidence in the achievability of those goals. It is a regular practice of the MST. It is intended to promote a sense of identity as a separate group and commitment to the group’s purposes. The term mística refers not just to the performance, however, but to the whole world view that underlies it, drawing on traditions of Christian mysticism to affirm unity with a transcendent reality. … Through participating in or observing mística, people express their ideals and believe that they come closer to attaining them’. For more, see the full article: mstbrazil.org/sites/default/files/2014_Interface-6-1-Hammond%2C%20mistica.pdf</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<div class="cc-by-nc-40">This publication is issued under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. The human-readable summary of the license is available at <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/" rel="noopener">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/</a>.</div>
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		<item>
		<title>‘Socialism Is the Best Prophylaxis’: The German Democratic Republic’s Health Care System</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-2-ddr-health-care-2/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Feb 2023 10:00:54 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[German Democratic Republic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[healthcare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GDR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[brain drain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[East Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[doctor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polyclinic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nurse]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hospital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Berlin Wall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DRG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[public health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polio]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Soviet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[West Germany]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tuberculosis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polyclinics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[childcare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Soviet union]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vaccination]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BRD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[abortion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FRG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[DDR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social medicine]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=72120</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This publication tells the stories of women who have led struggles throughout the region at different moments in history, recovering the seeds of the popular Latin American feminisms that exist today.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-72569 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Cover-no2_tp.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="735" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Cover-no2_tp.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Cover-no2_tp-300x232.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Cover-no2_tp-768x594.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>Table of Contents</strong></span></h3>
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="0">
<li style="list-style-type: none;"><a href="#_Toc113466469">About Studies on the DDR</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466470"> Health Care in a Sick System</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466471"> Historical Conditions in the Years Preceding the DDR</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466472"> The DDR’s Comprehensive Approach to Health Care</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466473"> Contradictions and Challenges</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466474"> The Polyclinic: A Modern Approach to Outpatient Care</a>
<ul style="list-style-type: none;">
<li>5.1 <a href="#_Toc113466475">From Private Practice to Polyclinics</a></li>
<li>5.2 <a href="#_Toc113466476">The Operation of Polyclinics</a></li>
<li>5.3 <a href="#_Toc113466477">An Overview of the Outpatient Sector</a></li>
</ul>
</li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466478"> Protecting Health in the Workplace</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466479"> Health Care for Mothers and Children</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466480"> Vaccination Strategies</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466481"> The DDR’s International Cooperation and Medical Solidarity</a></li>
<li><a href="#_Toc113466482"> Why Is Socialism the Best Prophylaxis?</a></li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<hr style="border-color: #CCC;">
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-72545 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logos-IFDDR-Tricon.png" alt="Logos IFDDR &amp; Tricontinental" width="720" height="99" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logos-IFDDR-Tricon.png 720w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/Logos-IFDDR-Tricon-300x41.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 720px) 100vw, 720px"></p>
<hr style="border-color: #CCC;">
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466469"></a><strong><span style="color: #4c5bca;">About Studies on the DDR</span></strong></h2>
<p>The German Democratic Republic (DDR) was a socialist state founded in East Germany in 1949 as a democratic, antifascist reaction to the Second World War and the subsequent restoration of monopoly capitalism in West Germany. The DDR represented a new Germany, one in which the land was redistributed, the means of production socialised, and the agricultural system collectivised. It established an egalitarian education, healthcare, and social system and guaranteed equal rights between men and women. It cultivated friendly and close-knit economic relationships with other socialist states and exercised political and material solidarity with countries and movements fighting for their independence in Latin America, Asia, and Africa.</p>
<p>The DDR’s declared objective was to establish a just society based on the principles of equality. With public ownership of the means of production as its foundation, the country developed into a powerful and efficient industrial state that used its economic surplus for the benefit of its citizens and guaranteed them a life of social security. Ultimately, the DDR was successful in realising its main socio-political goal: to satisfy its people’s growing material and cultural needs.</p>
<p>Why bother re-examining the DDR’s achievements, principles, and structures thirty years after its downfall? What can we learn from its alternative economic practices in today’s world, where the triumph of capitalism has exacerbated the problems of inequality and poverty and has resulted in more frequent crises? What did socialist democracy really look like? What contradictions arose during the everyday application of a planned economy? What lessons can we draw from the DDR’s ultimate demise?</p>
<p>With this series, Studies on the DDR, the Internationale Forschungsstelle DDR (International Research Centre DDR) together with Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research seek to encourage a new engagement with the history and principles of the DDR. It is our goal to re-evaluate the legacy and experiences of this project of socialist construction. We use the German acronym DDR, or<em>Deutsche Demokratische Republik,</em>(English: GDR) specifically because it often represents a positive point of reference in many parts of the world and especially for countries in the Global South.</p>
<p>This educational series on the agenda and realities of the DDR explores aspects of everyday life, provides facts about the country’s social achievements, and examines the political and economic foundations of this socialist state. By reflecting on the lived experiences of daily life, which are generally left out of the dominant narrative due to the crushing victory of capitalism and the dominance of the market economy, we seek to make a useful contribution to the debates currently taking place within progressive movements. After all, millions of people around the world are still fighting for advancements that were once a given in the socialist system but were lost with its downfall.</p>
<p>In 1990, after the reunification of Germany, the DDR’s economy was dismantled. It was treated as a shock therapy prototype for the austerity measures that were soon imposed on other countries –and not just the former socialist states. At the same time, the DDR was politically, judicially, and morally delegitimised. The publications in this series are a rejection of the narrative propagated by enemies of socialism, both new and old, that the demise of the DDR proves the inevitable failure of socialist policy and economy. By depicting the realities of life in the DDR and by affirming the experiences of DDR citizens, we hope to remind the reader that alternatives to capitalism did and do exist.</p>
<p>This second publication in Studies on the DDR explores the construction and expansion of the DDR’s health care system in the decades following the Second World War. In the context of limited economic resources and fierce competition with capitalist West Germany, the DDR was able to develop a pioneering approach to medicine that placed people over profits and emphasised the importance of social responsibilities in preventing disease. The insights gained from this historical experience of building an effective, universally accessible health care system can serve as a frame of reference for those struggling towards a society organised for and by working people.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466470"></a><strong><span style="color: #4c5bca;">1. Health Care in a Sick System</span></strong></h2>
<p>The manner in which a society approaches issues of health reveals much about its general character. The priority given to people’s health, the degree to which individuals are protected and treated equally, and the extent to which health care is geared towards people’s real needs paints a picture of the existing social and political conditions.</p>
<p>Health policy cannot, however, be reduced to the system of medical care alone. It is inseparable from working conditions, nutrition, housing, and education; the character of social relationships; leisure and cultural behaviour; and a number of other factors that form the basis upon which people’s physical and mental health develop. The interrelationship between these elements was already being discussed in Germany during the early development of capitalism. An example of this was the work of the German physician Rudolf Virchow (1821–1902), the founder of modern pathology and a pioneer of what was then referred to as ‘social hygiene’ (<em>Sozialhygiene</em>). This field, now associated with the terms social medicine or public health, investigates the interaction between people’s health and their social conditions. Friedrich Engels, too, provided evidence of this connection in his early work on the condition of the working class in England.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘All conceivable evils are heaped upon the heads of the poor. If the population of great cities is too dense in general, it is they in particular who are packed into the least space. […] They are given damp dwellings, cellar dens that are not waterproof from below, or garrets that leak from above. Their houses are so built that the clammy air cannot escape. They are supplied bad, tattered, or rotten clothing, adulterated and indigestible food. […] And, if they surmount all this, they fall victim to want of work in a crisis when all the little is taken from them that had hitherto been vouchsafed them.</p>
<p>How is it possible, under such conditions, for the lower class to be healthy and long lived? What else can be expected than excessive mortality, an unbroken series of epidemics, a progressive deterioration in the physique of the working population?’</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Friedrich Engels, one of the founders of scientific socialism, 1845</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Under capitalism, health protections must be fought for in a constant struggle against economic interests. Public health policies are primarily determined by the private sector and are increasingly being reshaped by market forces. The COVID-19 pandemic has drastically revealed the serious deficiencies and unsolved challenges of health care systems today. Many states lack clear, scientifically grounded decision-making structures. Solidarity-driven cooperation within and between states is blocked above all by private economic interests. Deaths are shamelessly weighed against economic losses by political and business leaders. Throughout the world, the living and working conditions of the lowest earners make them the most vulnerable to the pandemic. In many cases, they are denied access to vaccines and medicines. The protection of private patent rights is prioritised over comprehensive care for the people. The populations of the Global South are left almost entirely empty-handed.</p>
<p>The overall efficacy of health care systems in the Global North is touted as an indication of their superiority, yet their potential is not fully exploited, nor is their efficacy due solely to economic strength or positive medical traditions. Instead, it is the decades-long struggle of trade unions and other democratic forces that has established minimum standards and basic care. The same forces have thereafter been compelled to defend these gains from the constant pressures of the private sector. Further, the health care systems of wealthier states are bolstered by medical personnel who have been lured away from economically weaker countries. This – coupled with the continued exploitation of the Global South – further exacerbates unequal development between the North and South. Today, the private capitalist sector is consolidating its grip on health care systems, particularly in Western economies, leading health and illness to become increasingly commodified and subordinated to profit-driven motives.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘Health care, instead of being an accountable system, has grown into a hodgepodge of corporate fiefdoms whose central aim is to maximise profitability for venture capital investors. A profit-oriented health care system requires the physician to act as a kind of gatekeeper, deciding whether to grant or deny health care. A profit-oriented health care system is an oxymoron, a contradiction in terms. As soon as care serves profit, it is no longer true care’.</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Professor Bernard Lown (1921–2021), an American cardiologist and a co-founder of the International Physicians for the Prevention of Nuclear War (IPPNW)</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Since 1991, the proportion of private hospitals and beds in Germany has increased tremendously, continuing a trend of the increasing commercialisation of inpatient care which began in the Federal Republic of Germany (FRG, commonly referred to as West Germany) in the mid-1980s. This development gained additional momentum in 2003 with the introduction of the US-inspired billing system based on diagnosis-related groups. Under this system, hospital cases are classified into different groups to identify the ‘products’ that patients receive and to determine payment. As such, decisions regarding the treatment and length of hospital stays are increasingly made on the basis of what can be billed profitably rather than on the basis of medical criteria. The quality of health care is thus being eroded, as treatment becomes ever more dependent on patient income and public health services are slashed.</p>
<p>The antagonism between private-sector interests and comprehensive health care for all members of society had already been recognised in the early days of the German Democratic Republic (commonly referred to as East Germany). Throughout its 40-year existence, the DDR was able to construct and advance a fundamentally different health care system. From an initial position of great economic disadvantage, the DDR came to be ranked among the 20 largest industrialised countries in terms of economic production and living standards by the end of the 1980s. The well-being of its 16 million inhabitants was reflected by favourable, even leading values according to certain World Health Organisation measures such as the physician-to-population ratio, infant mortality, and the reduction of tuberculosis. This was despite the suboptimal structural condition of many health facilities, the scarcity of medical supplies, and restrictions on the import of medicine and technology – much of which was the result of economic sanctions imposed by the West.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="wp-image-72171 size-full aligncenter img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_1a_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png" alt="" width="534" height="780" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_1a_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png 534w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_1a_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-205x300.png 205w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 534px) 100vw, 534px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-2" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-2">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-2" class="collapse">Bundesrepublik Deutschland [Federal Republic of Germany]. <em>Gesundheitsbericht für Deutschland</em> [Germany’s Health Report]. Bonn: Statistisches Bundesamt, 1998; Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Statistische Jahrbücher der DDR</em> [Statistical Yearbooks of the DDR]. Berlin: Staatsverlag der DDR, 1956–1991; World Bank Open Data. ‘Mortality rate, infant (per 1,000 live births)’. The World Bank Group. Accessed 1 November 2022. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.IMRT.IN?end=2019locations=GB-US-SE-FRstart=1960view=chart.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>The DDR was able to achieve significant advances in health care both due to the influence of progressive traditions passed down from the 19<sup>th</sup> century and the Weimar Republic (1918–1933) and due to a radical transformation of the economic and political conditions in the DDR. This transformation enabled the young state to reorient the objectives and structure of health care around social principles while also creating new socialist relations in and outside of the workplace that improved the population’s health.</p>
<p>This study assesses the DDR’s health care system and traces several of its central elements, examining the significance of the DDR’s socialist character in the construction of a health care system based primarily on preventive principles. This endeavour did not proceed without its difficulties and contradictions, and the insights gained from this process of building an effective, accessible health care system within the context of limited economic resources can serve as a reference for struggles worldwide. The title, <em>Socialism Is the Best Prophylaxis,</em> pays tribute to a well-known quote of Maxim Zetkin (1883–1965), a physician, politician, and son of the international women’s rights activist and communist Clara Zetkin (1857–1933), that became a slogan in the DDR. In line with the focus of the DDR’s health care system, this slogan refers to the medical approach known as prophylaxis that seeks to prevent disease before it manifests.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-72181 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_2b_Chart_2022.png" alt="" width="545" height="777" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_2b_Chart_2022.png 545w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_2b_Chart_2022-210x300.png 210w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 545px) 100vw, 545px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-3" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-3">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-3" class="collapse">Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Statistische Jahrbücher der DDR</em> [The DDR’s Statistical Yearbooks]. Berlin: Staatsverlag der DDR, 1956–1991.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466471"></a><strong><span style="color: #4c5bca;">2. Historical Conditions in the Years Preceding the DDR</span> </strong></h2>
<p>Devastating social and health conditions for the urban proletariat arose against the background of industrialisation in the German Empire (1871–1918). After years of campaigning, revolutionary social democracy succeeded in introducing social health insurance in 1883. While then German Chancellor Otto von Bismarck is remembered as the founding father of state-organised social insurance, it was in fact the struggles of the working class that demanded and won concessions from the government. Bismarck never made a secret of the fact that he sought to push back the political influence of the socialist labour movement. During a session of the Reichstag, he remarked, ‘Without social democracy and without the fear that it generates in a great many people, we would not have made the modest social reforms that we had to grant today’. The introduction of this health insurance system helped to partially cover the cost of treatment, but inadequacies remained as working conditions had not improved and the workers had to pay two-thirds of the premiums. As a result, self-organised health care organisations such as the Workers’ Samaritan Federation (ASB) and the Proletarian Health Service (PGD) emerged, complementing the work of the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) and the Communist Party of Germany (KPD) respectively during the Weimar Republic. These organisations emphatically demanded the further expansion of public health care.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72192" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72192" class="wp-image- size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/1_Proletarian-Health-Service.jpg" alt="" width="680" height="680"><p id="caption-attachment-72192" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1">Image 1</a>. The Proletarian Health Service (PGD) was a self-organised health service that operated from 1921 to 1926. It was explicitly political and continued the tradition of public health by, for instance, supporting the nutrition of schoolchildren and the labour struggles to maintain the eight-hour day, especially in the mining industry and chemical factories. It further advocated for the socialisation of health care and organised concrete, practical assistance by providing health care training and education, accident prevention, and first aid. The PGD also worked closely with the workers’ sports movement to promote fitness.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>After German fascism came to power in 1933, the Nazis began misusing medicine to enforce their racist and anti-Semitic ideology against people whom they alleged were inferior, committing crimes against humanity on an unprecedented scale. Following the unconditional defeat of Nazi Germany in 1945, a catastrophic health crisis hit the German population. The prevalence of epidemics, diseases, and injuries revealed how wars continue to produce many casualties long after the end of military combat. Hospitals, sanatoriums, and the entire health care system had been destroyed in what then became the Soviet Occupation Zone (SOZ). The supply of medicines collapsed, and epidemics spread uncontrollably, intensified by a large influx of refugees and resettled people arriving from Eastern Europe. Deaths from tuberculosis in this period were twice as high as they had been prior to the war. Typhus, cholera, dysentery, venereal infections, and childhood diseases ravaged the population. The number of doctors halved compared to pre-war levels, and the training of new physicians was interrupted by the closure of universities.</p>
<p>From the defeat of the Nazi regime in 1945 to the founding of the DDR in 1949, the health policies of the SOZ were shaped based on 30 orders issued by the Soviet Military Administration (SMAD), which governed the SOZ from the end of the Second World War until the DDR was established in 1949. The policies were then implemented by the German Economic Commission (the central German administrative body in the SOZ) along with the newly created Central Administration for Health Care and the five regional governments in Eastern Germany. An immediate question confronting the SMAD was how to deal with the doctors and other health professionals who had supported the fascist system. Roughly 45 per cent of physicians had been Nazi Party members, many of them involved in euthanasia and the other atrocities that took place in concentration camps. Many of these individuals fled the SOZ, knowing that they would be treated more leniently in the West. The doctors who stayed posed a politically and morally difficult dilemma: enacting a blanket dismissal of health professionals –as had been carried out among judges and teachers for good reason – was out of the question, if only because of the health crisis facing the country. As a result, doctors who had not been found guilty of any crimes were allowed to continue their work, and many of them later made themselves fully available to the new health system.</p>
<div class="ddr-study--text-lead">
<p><strong>Examples of Soviet Military Administration health policy orders:</strong></p>
<p>• 1945: Establishing the Central Health Administration and the Health Offices (Order No. 17).</p>
<p>• 1946: Repealing the racist laws and other Nazi legal provisions (No. 6) and passing an order to combat tuberculosis (No. 297).</p>
<p>• 1947: Introducing a uniform system of social insurance (No. 28); establishing a workplace health system (No. 234); and ordering the establishment of outpatient centres and polyclinics (No. 272).</p>
<p>• Other orders were concerned with controlling individual infectious diseases and establishing medical and scientific institutions.</p>
</div>
<p>Many of the doctors and health workers who were entrusted with administrative positions in the SOZ’s general administration were those who had been engaged in resistance or had emigrated or been imprisoned under the Nazi regime. Their immediate tasks were dictated by the decisions of the Allied powers in the Potsdam Agreement of 1945 and the newly legalised political parties in the SOZ. The Socialist Unity Party of Germany (SED) formed in 1946, unifying the two working class parties – the Communist Party of Germany (KPD) and the Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) – into a single party in the SOZ and recognised the need for new health structures, especially in outpatient care. When drafting social and health policy programmes for a new, democratic Germany, the authorities in the SOZ drew on the progressive demands and experiences of the Weimar Republic period.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘Since the full development of the health service will only be guaranteed in a socialist society, there is nevertheless a way for democratic Germany as well. […] This is the nationalisation of the health service. Only in this way can physicians, enjoying economically secure positions as well as resources guaranteed by the state, devote themselves entirely to their duties. Only in this way can the achievements of medical science be made available to the entire population. […] The preservation of the health and the productive capacity of working people is one of the nation’s most important tasks and a prerequisite for reconstruction. […] Hence, health protection must be made a matter for the state and thus for the people as a whole. The aim must be one of securing for everyone the protection of his or her health as the basis of vitality and physical fitness’.</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Health policy guidelines of the Socialist Unity Party of Germany (SED), March 1947</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The task was now to establish a functioning health care system. This required nationalising health care institutions and guaranteeing the right to health care. Free medical treatment was provided through a universal health care system, and the protection of health was understood as a task for all sectors of society. Separating people’s medical needs from the private interests of capital was a decisive, central idea in providing health care for all; it was recognised that business considerations, particularly regarding freelance doctors working in private practices, ran counter to the progressive development of medicine. This observation had already been put forth by the League of Nations, an international association of states founded after the First World War and the forerunner of the United Nations.</p>
<p>The DDR’s emerging health care system was shaped by the experiences of the Soviet Union and its health system, the architects of which had themselves been inspired by the policy positions of the German Left during the Weimar period (1918–33). After the 1917 Russian Revolution and the Civil War (1917–22), the young Soviet Union became the first state in world history to build a health care system that guaranteed free, universal health care to the entire population, enshrining the right to free medical care in the Soviet Constitution of 1936 as one of the fundamental rights of the Soviet people. Under the model introduced by Nikolai Semashko (the People’s Commissar for Health from 1918–30), medical facilities and services were completely state funded and centrally managed, and a multilevel system of hospitals, specialty clinics, and sanatoria operated at the national, regional, city, and district levels. While aspects of the Soviet model influenced the transformation of the health care system in the SOZ, it was not simply replicated. Some of the ways in which the DDR’s system differed, for example, were the degree of central organisation and the fact that it was not financed solely by the state.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466472"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>3. The DDR’s Comprehensive Approach to Health Care</strong></span></h2>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘Health policy in the DDR was understood as a totality of ideological, cultural, economic, social, and medical measures conceived of and practiced with varying intensity and quality within the public sphere. The aim was to help shape and optimise the environmental conditions of peoples’ lives in a way that both protects and fosters their health. Patients were to be treated and cared for using the knowledge and experience of modern medicine. Life was to be steadily and progressively extended’.</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Ludwig Mecklinger, the DDR’s minister of health from 1971 to 1989</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The creation of socialist property relations was a crucial precondition for the DDR’s preventive approach to health care. Health-related matters such as working conditions, housing, nutrition, and education could therefore be managed by the state and its democratic decision-making structures. The comprehensive planning of publicly owned institutions made it possible to investigate and tackle everyday health risks. In this endeavour, the DDR built upon the traditions of social medicine, which approached health from a socio-political perspective and focused on the interaction between people’s welfare and their overall living and working conditions. In particular, the focus on preventive care in the workplace and for children, along with a modern concept of outpatient care, demonstrated the integrated and holistic character of the DDR’s health policies.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72202" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72202" class="wp-image-72202 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/2_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-R1011-0320.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="680" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/2_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-R1011-0320.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/2_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-R1011-0320-300x215.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/2_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-R1011-0320-768x550.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-72202" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2">Image 2</a>. A district health inspector measures sound frequencies in a residential area in order to develop methods for reducing noise pollution. The medical fields of social, occupational, and communal health were responsible for monitoring and safeguarding the health standards of the population’s working and living conditions.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>By organising health care institutions as state-owned entities, the DDR overcame the separation found in many capitalist countries today between publicly funded health services and the large, privately organised sector of outpatient and hospital care. The elimination of private forms of ownership enabled the integration of preventive, therapeutic, and aftercare measures that yielded better results for patients. Furthermore, the country’s numerous and diverse medical institutions – from hospitals and clinics to pharmacies and research centres – could now cooperate with one another as part of a unified network led by the Ministry of Health.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-72757 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png" alt="" width="948" height="629" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png 948w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-300x199.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-768x510.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 948px) 100vw, 948px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-4" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-4">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-4" class="collapse">How the DDR’s health care system was organised at the national level. Source: Niemann, Heinrich (former specialist in social medicine in the DDR and district councillor for health in Marzahn-Hellersdorf, Berlin). In discussion with the authors. 2 June 2021. IF DDR office, Berlin.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>The hospital network in the DDR was steadily expanded to improve accessibility for citizens throughout the country. The tiered system, made up of the communal, municipal, and regional administrative divisions, sought to provide basic care in municipal hospitals, while specialised treatment would be administered in regional hospitals or national institutions and universities. Prior to the Second World War, churches played a significant role in maintaining and operating hospitals throughout Germany. Rather than dismantling these structures, the DDR worked with the clergy to ensure that emergency health care would be available in all areas of the country. Thus, of the 539 hospitals in East Germany in 1989, 75 remained under the jurisdiction of churches, though they too were integrated into the state’s planning system.</p>
<p>The DDR also sought to overcome the historically uneven distribution of doctors across rural and urban areas. After graduation, every physician received both their licence to practice and secure paid employment and was required to work for several years in an area where doctors were particularly scarce based ona commitment made at the beginning of their studies. This policy, referred to as the steering of graduates (<em>Absolventenlenkung</em>), was the DDR’s solution to a serious problem that still besets many countries today.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘There came a point when we were told: “ You have committed yourself to serve where society needs you”. Many who studied in Berlin then tried everything possible to stay in Berlin to avoid going to Cottbus or Bitterfeld, for example, into the brown coal district, into the dirt. I said to myself: “Well, these are people who have a right to adequate medical care. They shouldn’t be abandoned there, so I’ll do it”. For me, it was fulfilling a promise that I had made in return for being able to study free of charge. We even received a scholarship that allowed us to study without financial difficulties. Such an obligation does not contradict my understanding of fairness in any way, even today. It was perfectly acceptable to me’.</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Dr. Rüdiger Feltz, a practicing neurosurgeon</p>
</blockquote>
<p>To finance its health care system, the DDR introduced a broad social security scheme that covered health, accident, and pension insurance and was managed by the workers themselves through the Free German Trade Union Federation. This integrated, state-organised model replaced the fragmented and profit-oriented insurance systems that still operate in many capitalist countries today. Individuals in the DDR paid up to 10 per cent of their monthly wages to the scheme, though contributions were capped at 60 Marks per month for workers. Enterprises then matched the contributions of their employees, and additional state subsidies covered any shortfalls.</p>
<p>The political weight given to health care in the DDR is also illustrated by the country’s extensive legislation on this issue. The universal right to health care regardless of one’s social situation (which had already been anchored in the DDR’s first constitution in 1949) was enshrined in the two subsequent constitutions of 1968 and 1974. The DDR thereby realised Article 25 of the UN Universal Declaration of Human Rights, which states that every human being has ‘the right to a standard of living adequate for health and well-being […] including food, clothing, housing, medical care, and necessary social services and the right to security in the event of unemployment, sickness, disability, widowhood, old age, or other lack of livelihood in circumstances beyond his control’.</p>
<div class="ddr-study--text-lead">
<p><strong>Article 35 of the DDR’s 1968 Constitution:</strong></p>
<p>(1) Every citizen of the German Democratic Republic shall have the right to the protection of his or her health and labour power.<br>
(2) This right shall be guaranteed through the planned improvement of working and living conditions; the fostering of public health; the implementation of comprehensive welfare policies; and the promotion of physical activity, school and popular sports, and tourism.<br>
(3) In the event of illness or accident, the loss of income and the costs of medical care, medicines, and other medical services shall be provided through a social insurance system.</p>
</div>
<p>The DDR guaranteed not only basic health-related rights and duties in the sphere of medical care, but also in the spheres of work and education. Equal rights for women as well as health protection for children, youth, and the elderly were also codified. This included internationally commended legislation that decriminalised homosexual acts in 1968 (though they had already been exempt from legal prosecution since the 1950s) and legalised abortion in 1972. Other significant statutes included the introduction of state liability for health damages caused by medical procedures (1987) and the ‘dissent solution’ for organ transplants (1975), which established a presumed consent model for organ donation that required individuals to opt out.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-72757 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png" alt="" width="948" height="629" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png 948w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-300x199.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_8_GSW02_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-768x510.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 948px) 100vw, 948px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-5" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-5">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-5" class="collapse">Niemann, Heinrich (former specialist in social medicine in the DDR and district councillor for health in Marzahn-Hellersdorf, Berlin). In discussion with the authors. 2 June 2021. IF DDR office, Berlin.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>The DDR’s health care system was a highly complex sector that was gradually and systematically developed over the course of four decades, employing nearly 600,000 people –roughly 7 per cent of the total workforce – by 1989. In addition to hospitals and outpatient clinics, this sector included medical teaching and research facilities; specialist institutes; emergency services; scientific societies; medical publishers and journals; health education facilities; and, last but not least, an extensive pharmaceutical industry. With thirteen enterprises, three research institutes, and approximately 15,000 employees, the Kombinat GERMED –meaning ‘combine’, a sort of socialist corporation – produced some 1,300 different medical products, meeting 80–90 per cent of the DDR’s pharmaceutical needs while also exporting medical products to the Soviet Union and other socialist countries. The domestic demand for medicines was communicated to suppliers not through market forces but through the calculations of district pharmacists. Pharmacists, like physicians, were free from profit-oriented considerations in their work, and medicines were provided free of charge to all citizens. Close collaboration between pharmacists and physicians enabled them to tailor patient care and adjust medications if supply shortages occurred.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72244" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72244" class="wp-image-72244 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/3_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-P1208-0025.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="655" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/3_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-P1208-0025.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/3_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-P1208-0025-300x207.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/3_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-P1208-0025-768x530.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-72244" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3">Image 3</a>. In 1950, there were 1,694 pharmacies in the DDR, of which 1,266 were privately owned. By 1989, there were 24 private pharmacies and 2,002 public pharmacies managed by the Ministry of Health. Each of the DDR’s 15 regions was overseen by a head doctor and head pharmacist. On the district level, local pharmacists were responsible for monitoring the distribution of medicine according to unified standards.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466473"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>4. Contradictions and Challenges</strong></span></h2>
<p>The development of the DDR’s health care system was not free from conflicts and challenges. Contradictions between the country’s health care objectives and its economic capacity meant that stated goals and aspirations could not always be achieved. Health policies reflected both the economic difficulties facing the country and shifts in political priorities. For example, when the Unity of Economic and Social Policy was introduced in 1971 to increase access to consumer goods and services, the health sector initially benefited from extra funding. Yet this shift in investment policy away from the industrial sector created imbalances in the planned economy that were ultimately felt in the health sector, too. This was apparent, for instance, in the wear and tear on hospitals and the scarcity of certain medical supplies and equipment, which made health workers’ day to day tasks more difficult. In its final years, the DDR was no longer able to import modern medical technology developed in Western industrialised countries to the extent needed, in part due to the embargo imposed by the West. While innovative diagnostic and therapeutic methods enabled the DDR to make progress against certain diseases that had previously proven difficult or impossible to treat by conventional methods, these efforts were often hampered by a lack of equipment.</p>
<p>In the 1980s, bottlenecks in the supply of materials as well as differing views on how to tackle urgent health issues led to intensified policy debates. The preventive approach to care and the conviction that all social sectors had a role to play in public health remained decisive underpinnings of government policies. Yet, disputes arose around the question of which disease-causing conditions could and should be prioritised. For instance, at times there was an emphasis placed on measures that sought to change unhealthy behaviours in order to combat problems such as obesity, alcohol abuse, and an increase in smoking amongst the youth. This approach of focusing on individual behaviours that contribute to health issues was criticised by social medicine specialists, who instead focused on improving the population’s overall living and working conditions. Such debates reveal that everyday difficulties and strategic questions were open to political discussion, which often took place in bimonthly regional physicians’ meetings and biannual municipal physicians’ conferences, among other venues.</p>
<p>The West’s hostility towards the DDR affected the development of its health system in many ways, exerting an ideological, political, and economic influence on the DDR’s health workers and structures. This had a particularly notable impact on the country’s access to medical and technical material as well as international research initiatives. In addition, West Germany actively poached East German doctors by encouraging them to migrate westward. Physicians who had enjoyed cost-free education and training in the DDR were attracted to the West by better pay or by their reluctance to participate in the social transformations underway in the East. This dynamic impacted the DDR from the outset: the exodus of doctors following the Second World War was so massive that it would have required at least five additional graduating classes of all DDR medical schools to compensate for the loss. This was similar to the situation in Cuba, where – apart from doctors like Che Guevara who committed themselves to the revolution – many doctors left the island for the United States after 1959. This phenomenon of ‘brain drain’ – in which physicians and other highly educated or skilled professionals emigrate from those countries where they are most needed – and its consequences for the Global South are generally brushed off or sold as a positive aspect of globalisation.</p>
<p>Until the border between East and West Germany was closed in 1961, the DDR was also pursuing its pioneering health programme in ‘competition’ with the FRG, which preserved the private practice model and deliberately used high salaries and privileges to incentivise well-trained doctors to leave East Germany. The DDR was thus faced with the same difficulty that confronted the Bolsheviks after the October Revolution: how could the specialised professionals and intelligentsia, who had been privileged under capitalism, be won over to the construction of socialism? Given the high levels of emigration, the SED decided to make concessions to the medical intelligentsia in the late 1950s, utilising material incentives to encourage doctors to work and live in the DDR. Despite these challenges, further shifts away from private practices to public employment prevailed in the following years. Although several thousand doctors left the DDR before the Wall was built in 1961, by 1988 the number of physicians in the country (around 41,000) had more than tripled since 1949, putting the DDR’s physician-to-population ratio on par with the other industrialised states in Europe.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-72254 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_2a_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png" alt="" width="938" height="482" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_2a_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png 938w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_2a_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-300x154.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_2a_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-768x395.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 938px) 100vw, 938px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-6" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-6">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-6" class="collapse">Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Statistische Jahrbücher der DDR</em> [Statistical Yearbooks of the DDR]. Berlin: Staatsverlag der DDR, 1956–1991; Rahlf, Thomas, ed. <em>Deutschland in Daten</em> [Germany in Data]. Bonn: Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung, 2015; World Bank Open Data. ‘Physicians (per 1,000 people)’. The World Bank Group. Accessed 1 November 2022. https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.MED.PHYS.ZS?locations=US-FR-SE-GB.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>As the experiences of the DDR and other socialist states have revealed, the societal transition beyond capitalism is never a simple linear development. Constructing a comprehensive and people-oriented health care system cannot happen overnight. Radical transformations must contend not only with a country’s economic limitations, but also with traditional conceptions of social roles and status. The scale of the brain drain from the DDR, for instance, led the government to make certain compromises in its mission to break the intelligentsia’s long-held monopoly of the medical profession. When drawing lessons for the future, we cannot isolate such compromises and shortcomings from their historical context. That is what differentiates constructive and progressive analyses from those that merely seek to smear and deride socialism.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466474"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>5. The Polyclinic: A Modern Approach to Outpatient Care</strong></span></h2>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466475"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>5.1 From Private Practice to Polyclinics</strong></span></h3>
<p>Under the capitalist model of health care, outpatient care is commonly provided by independent doctors in individual private practices that are scattered throughout cities and towns. Progressive medical traditions have, however, long criticised this model as having two significant limitations. Firstly, self-employed doctors are economically dependent on sick patients seeking out treatment. That is, they are financially incentivised not to prevent disease but to treat symptoms after they manifest. Secondly, the rapid advance of science has greatly improved medical diagnostics and treatment capabilities, but these new methods require access to the latest technology and expertise. Since individual practices cannot house the diverse equipment and staff demanded by modern medicine, patients are referred to separate specialists or diagnostic centres, often creating inefficiencies and discrepancies in diagnoses. In the DDR, polyclinics were developed to overcome these issues in outpatient care.</p>
<p>As the name implies, polyclinics were facilities in which multiple medical specialties collaborated under one roof to prevent and treat a wide variety of diseases. More specifically, polyclinics were defined as publicly owned outpatient facilities containing at least the following six specialist departments: internal medicine, oral medicine, gynaecology, surgery, paediatrics, and general medicine. Many polyclinics also housed clinical diagnostic laboratories, physiotherapy departments, and medical imaging facilities. In addition, polyclinics embodied the conviction that, to be effective, outpatient medical care had to be severed from personal economic considerations. Physicians and staff working in polyclinics were publicly employed and thus freed from their traditional economic dependencies on the sick. With a secured position and a reasonable income, doctors could focus first and foremost on preventive care.</p>
<p>It was again the transition away from private ownership that enabled this fundamental reorientation of the outpatient sector, which plays an important if not decisive role in the capacity of a health care system to serve the entire population. Effective outpatient care ensures that the medical help people need is directly and rapidly available where they live, from prevention and therapy to aftercare and rehabilitation, which helps to minimise inpatient stays in hospitals and ideally prevents illness in the first place. The clustering of medical departments, technology, and laboratories under one roof helped to overcome bureaucratic and financial obstacles that plagued private practices. At the same time, this design facilitated more effective collaboration between medical professionals from different fields.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘Does not […] the real freedom of the physician consist in the fact that they are given the means to secure the health of each individual citizen without limitation? By building up the state health system, physicians are no longer economically interested in people falling ill; they can instead genuinely act as the guardians and preservers of health’.</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Speech at the National Health Conference in Weimar, 1960</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Smaller institutions embodying the same approach as the polyclinic were called outpatient centres (<em>Ambulatorien</em>) and typically housed at least three different departments: general medicine, internal medicine, and paediatrics. More than a third of the outpatient facilities were affiliated with hospitals and university clinics to promote medical collaboration. Consultation centres and state-owned individual practices operated in more remote locations but were organisationally linked to polyclinics for support.</p>
<p>Transforming the outpatient sector presented unique challenges both in terms of infrastructural requirements and the new roles of health care workers, unlike the hospital system, which had a longer history of public ownership. There was, for instance, considerable scepticism and even resistance to the idea of polyclinics among physicians. The radical idea of publicly employing medical specialists to work together under one roof sharply contrasted with the deeply rooted self-perception of the ‘freelance’ doctor who works for him or herself.</p>
<p>Several forerunners of large medical complexes served as inspiration to the DDR’s polyclinic system, such as the House of Health in Berlin, constructed in 1923 during the Weimar Republic. Architects of the DDR’s <em>Bauakademie</em> (Academy of Civil Engineering) began to develop and refine similar projects in the 1950s under the leadership of then President Kurt Liebknecht. When the DDR’s immense housing construction programme was announced in the early 1970s, it specified that polyclinics or outpatient centres were to be incorporated into the new estates. Larger polyclinics were built in Berlin as well as in other big cities, each staffed with upwards of 50 doctors.</p>
<p>Conservative physicians’ associations had already begun systematically opposing calls to establish polyclinics during the Weimar era, and they resumed this offensive after the end of the war in 1945. The DDR’s policymakers sought to demonstrate the advantages of the new model by expanding the technical capabilities and laboratories in polyclinics. This was a gradual process; for many years, private practices continued to provide a large portion of outpatient care.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-72265 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_3_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png" alt="" width="726" height="776" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_3_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png 726w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_3_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-281x300.png 281w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 726px) 100vw, 726px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-7" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-7">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-7" class="collapse">Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Statistische Jahrbücher der DDR</em> [Statistical Yearbooks of the DDR]. Berlin: Staatsverlag der DDR, 1956–1991.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>It ultimately proved possible to gradually win over medical professionals to the concept of the polyclinic: by 1970, only 18 per cent of outpatient physicians were in private practice, compared to well over 50 per cent in 1955. The rapid construction of efficient outpatient facilities throughout the country made the significant practical advantages of the new system evident. The contrast between outpatient health care in East and West Germany gradually widened over the four decades following the founding of the DDR: by 1989, the vast majority of West German outpatient doctors were still operating in private practices, while almost all of their East German counterparts were publicly employed by that time.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466476"></a><strong><span style="color: #4c5bca;">5.2 The Operation of Polyclinics</span></strong></h3>
<p>Physicians and staff working in polyclinics were employed and remunerated by the state, removing personal economic motives from the doctor-patient relationship and the medical decision-making process. In contrast to private practices, polyclinics established unbureaucratic cooperation between individual specialties. Under capitalist health care systems, self-employed outpatient physicians have generally been (and often still are) solely responsible for medical decisions, whereas the collaborative structures in polyclinics made it easier for specialists across different disciplines to discuss complicated cases or, for instance, the prescription of new medications and recommendations for new types of therapy. This interdisciplinary collaboration also provided a framework in which the relationship and communication between preventive, therapeutic, and aftercare measures could be strengthened and brought closer together. Laboratory and medical imaging services could be requested immediately and were usually available within a short time or even during the consultation itself. Polyclinics were also able to house superior medical equipment, mainly because common usage was more cost-effective than individual use in private practices, and a uniform filing system for patient records was maintained to reduce inefficiency and miscommunication between specialists.</p>
<p>On average, polyclinics staffed 18 to 19 physicians, which allowed them to extend hours of operation and continue to provide care even when individual doctors were sick or on holiday, unlike in private practices. In addition, this allowed physicians to provide more extensive care to their patients, as they could couple their normal consultation hours with on-site visits. Paediatricians, for instance, were able to conduct regular check-ups in childcare centres while other doctors took charge of walk-in consultations in polyclinics.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘The fact that a doctor always has to worry about how to secure their income and is dependent on sick people coming to them cannot be the solution. Another solution must be found. Namely, to understand doctors as well-paid employees of the state who can conduct their duties independently of their income. That was one of the basic ideas in the DDR. A second was that the modern development of science no longer corresponds to the model of private practice. I need structures where I can access the laboratory, X-ray machines, and specialists. These two basic ideas led to the gradual creation of polyclinics, or outpatient centres. It was a long process, and one that faced resistance’.</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Dr. Heinrich Niemann, a specialist in social medicine and former policymaker</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The new model of employment in outpatient care greatly improved the collegial atmosphere in the health sector. Staff were guaranteed fixed working hours, in-house health care, communally organised meals, and joint holiday facilities for themselves and their families. Importantly, physicians, assistants, and nurses were all employed as staff members; they were treated equally in accordance with labour laws and were organised within the same trade union. These measures gradually helped erode professional hierarchies.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72275" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72275" class="wp-image-72275 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/4_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-1209-014.jpg" width="950" height="649" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/4_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-1209-014.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/4_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-1209-014-300x205.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/4_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-1209-014-768x525.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-72275" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4">Image 4</a>. Dr. Heinrich Niemann remembers: ‘At the beginning of the 1980s, the large Dr. Karl Kollwitz Polyclinic was built in the working-class district of Prenzlauer Berg in Berlin. The doctors who had already been working there in private practices did not go into polyclinics with flying colours. Of course, they knew that the moment they worked in such a large facility, a different mode of operation, a new way of working together would be necessary. […] Yet, this is the only way that a unity can be established between therapeutic, rehabilitative, and preventive measures. Still today, a private practice can only achieve this to a limited extent’.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"> <span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466477"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>5.3 An Overview of the Outpatient Sector</strong></span></h3>
<p>Outpatient care was a central component of the DDR’s preventive approach to medicine, and its expansion and success in ensuring that <em>all </em>citizens received medical coverage not only during emergencies but throughout the course of their lives arguably represents the most revolutionary aspect of the country’s health care system. In order to achieve this, a vast network of infrastructure was developed in neighbourhoods, workplaces, childcare centres, and rural locations. Through public ownership and the planned nature of the economy, it became possible to shape living and working conditions around health considerations.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-72285 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_4_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-1.png" alt="" width="597" height="768" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_4_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-1.png 597w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_4_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-1-233x300.png 233w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 597px) 100vw, 597px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-8" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-8">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-8" class="collapse">Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Statistische Jahrbücher der DDR</em> [The DDR’s Statistical Yearbooks]. Berlin: Staatsverlag der DDR, 1956–1991.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>By 1989, this network was made up of 13,690 outpatient facilities, 626 of which were polyclinics. Roughly one in four of these polyclinics operated within industrial enterprises, using the workplace as a site to provide consistent, quality, and accessible healthcare to the labour force. Of the almost 19,000 doctors working in the outpatient sector by 1980, 60 per cent were employed in polyclinics, 18.5 per cent in the smaller outpatient centres, and just 11 per cent in individual medical practices.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72295" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72295" class="wp-image-72295 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/5_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-009.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="608" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/5_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-009.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/5_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-009-300x192.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/5_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-009-768x492.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-72295" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5">Image 5</a>. Community nursing was a highly skilled and valued profession. The nurses were well acquainted with the residents in their region and performed important medical services during house visits such as carrying out examinations, dressing wounds, administering medicines and injections, and arranging for a doctor’s assistance when necessary.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>In order to extend preventive care to rural areas and scattered villages, rural outpatient centres were built and staffed with up to three doctors, with the number of these facilities rising from 250 in 1953 to 433 by 1989. In many towns, physicians worked in public medical practices or temporarily staffed field offices to provide residents with consultation hours and home visits, while mobile dental clinics visited remote villages to provide all children with preventive care. In addition, the profession of the community nurse was developed in the early 1950s to alleviate the initial shortage of doctors in the countryside, with the number of community nurses expanding from 3,571 in 1953 to 5,585 by 1989. This extensive rural infrastructure helped to provide less densely populated regions with medical services comparable to what was available in urban areas.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘There was no separation between care work and social work in community nursing, so it was a completely logical development for the nurses that social services became part of the health sector in 1958. […] In villages where there was no doctor, the community nurse was responsible for everything related to health, social, and hygiene matters. Some became members of the local council, and a few became deputy mayors’.</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Dr. Horst Rocholl, a former municipal physician</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The DDR’s revolution in outpatient care went beyond the construction of infrastructure. Comprehensive reform was also carried out in the educational system to break down traditional barriers and hierarchies in the field. This included, among other measures:</p>
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="0">
<li style="list-style-type: none;">
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="0">
<li style="list-style-type: none;">
<ul>
<li>Providing tuition-free education and fixed stipends to cover students’ living costs and ensure that medicine became accessible to the working class and peasantry.</li>
<li>Implementing socio-political measures such as comprehensive childcare and distance education programmes to make medical professions more accessible to women, who, from the late 1970s onwards, often made up more than 50 per cent of medical students in the country.</li>
<li>Turning nursing and caretaking into highly qualified and respected professions through intensive academic training programmes.</li>
<li>Making higher education in medical specialties available to all physicians.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>
<p>However, after 1990, the FRG’s private practice model was rigorously imposed on East Germany, undoing the DDR’s achievements in the outpatient sector. While many East German professionals were stripped of their credentials after the DDR was incorporated into the FRG, no one dared to seriously question the qualifications of East German health professionals: in cases where they were barred from practicing, the motive was almost always political. Furthermore, the liquidation of the polyclinic system represented ‘the greatest blunder in health policy’ after unification, as Dr. Heinrich Niemann argued before the Health Committee of the German Parliament in 1991 –an assessment corroborated by the precarious state of the health system in Germany today. While the FRG made it possible in the late 1990s for outpatient doctors to work as employees rather than freelancers, these clinics are almost exclusively under private ownership and lack a unified structure, and their commercial orientation marks a significant regression from the integrated and publicly funded outpatient facilities of the DDR.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466478"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>6. Protecting Health in the Workplace</strong></span></h2>
<p>In East Germany, workers’ health was given great importance from the very beginning. In 1947, during the period in which Germany was still occupied by the four Allied powers, the Soviet Military Administration issued Order No. 234, which stipulated that workplaces with more than 200 employees were to set up medical stations, while those with more than 5,000 employees were to establish enterprise polyclinics. Within three years, 36 enterprise polyclinics had been set up, and by 1989, they numbered more than 150. The enterprises themselves were responsible for maintaining the rooms, furnishings, and operating costs of these health facilities while the state health system provided and oversaw the medical staff and equipment. This point represents a decisive contrast to the occupational health care that is offered in some private companies today: in the DDR, the medical professionals overseeing occupational health and safety were employed by the public health system, not the enterprise within which they worked. As such, it was the interests of the workers, not the employers, that guided their medical decisions.</p>
<p>In the DDR’s first constitution in 1949, legal protections for workers’ health were laid out alongside the extensive social insurance system. In the subsequent constitutions in 1968 and 1974, these protections were expanded, and their implementation was overseen by the workers themselves: the Free German Trade Union Federation, present in all enterprises and institutions of the DDR, was tasked with monitoring the enforcement of legal provisions and reporting on their effects. By law, the workplace represented much more than merely a source of income. Enterprises provided the framework in which employees could pursue cultural and intellectual interests alongside recreational activities. Workers’ brigades were encouraged to attend cultural and sporting events, discuss political developments, and visit holiday camps maintained by the enterprises. The DDR’s Labour Code of 1977, for instance, contained clauses to protect and promote both the physical and mental health of employees. This legislation further demonstrates that the int<strong>e</strong>rests of working people determined the direction of the economy.</p>
<div class="ddr-study--text-lead">
<p><strong>The DDR’s Labour Code of 1977</strong></p>
<p>§ 2 (4) Labour law is aimed at improving, in a planned manner, the working and living conditions of employees in the enterprises: specifically, to expand health protection; to enhance labour power; to improve social, health, intellectual and cultural programmes; and to increase the workers’ opportunities for meaningful leisure time and recreation. It guarantees working people material security in the case of illness, disability, and old age.<br>
§ 17 (1) Enterprises as defined by this law are all state-owned establishments and combines as well as socialist cooperatives.<br>
§ 74 (3) The enterprise shall systematically reduce hazardous working conditions and limit the amount of physically difficult and monotonous work.<br>
§ 201 (1) It shall be the duty of the enterprise to ensure the protection of the health and labour power of working people primarily by organising and maintaining safe working conditions that are free from hardship and conducive to health and efficiency.<br>
§ 207 Workers who are to undertake work which is physically demanding or hazardous to health shall be medically examined free of charge before employment and at regular intervals in accordance with legislation.<br>
§ 293 (1) The supervision of occupational health in enterprises shall be conducted by the Free German Trade Union Federation (FDGB) through health and safety inspections.</p>
</div>
<p>As with the outpatient sector, the system of occupational health was gradually expanded. By 1989, it covered 7.5 million workers from 21,550 enterprises, or 87.4 per cent of all working people in the DDR. Institutions specifically dedicated to this field – such as polyclinics, outpatient centres, and medical stations operating within enterprises – employed some 19,000 health care professionals. Occupational medicine was also established as a major field of study, with approximately one out of seven outpatient doctors specialising in this field. The Central Institute for Occupational Medicine employed physicians and scientists to research work-related illnesses and develop preventive measures, and the importance that this sector carried in the DDR is evidenced by the fact that the FRG had only half as many occupational health specialists, despite the West German labour force being three times larger than its equivalent in the East.</p>
<p>In certain professions, employees were exposed to hazardous substances and/or particularly arduous physical conditions. Health officials campaigned to reduce the number of such jobs, and enterprises were obliged to report on the measures they were taking to combat harmful conditions. Yet, in certain sectors of the East German economy, such as heavy industry, production processes posed unavoidable threats to workers’ health. By 1989, roughly 1.69 million workers remained exposed to harmful pollutants and stresses such as excessive heat, noise, or vibrations. To minimize the injuries that often resulted from such jobs, the DDR provided targeted care to exposed workers. Of the 7.5 million workers monitored under the occupational health system in 1989, roughly 3.34 million received care that was tailored to the specific conditions in which they worked. For example, regular hearing tests were conducted for those working in construction, while regular lung examinations were conducted for those employed in chemical plants. Alongside these measures, specialist occupational health inspectorates monitored enterprises’ compliance with safety standards and specified limits for harmful substances or work stresses.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72305" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72305" class="wp-image-72305 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/6_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-T1129-0319.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="626" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/6_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-T1129-0319.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/6_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-T1129-0319-300x198.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/6_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-T1129-0319-768x506.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-72305" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6">Image 6</a>. An occupational health inspection measures noise, temperature, humidity, and lighting conditions. In 1981, a strict obligation was placed on enterprises to report on the conditions of high-risk workplaces and to take measures to reduce these risks. Together, these reports created a solid database through which affected employees could be monitored, protected, and provided with targeted care. The data was also used to exert greater pressure on politicians and enterprises to reduce and, if possible, prevent the harmful side effects of work.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>The field of occupational health was particularly important in the context of the FRG’s trade embargo, which caused the DDR to rely heavily on the only energy source readily available in East Germany: brown coal, a lignite-based substance that emits considerable pollution when burned. This economic necessity, alongside shortfalls in technical modernisation in some enterprises, led to special exemptions being permitted regarding harmful exposures in some workplaces. Occupational health and safety thus became a contentious field as officials debated which priorities should be set. Ludwig Mecklinger, the DDR’s minister of health from 1971 to 1989, recognised this dilemma, stating that health policies were inevitably restricted by economic necessities and external factors.</p>
<p>Work-related mental stress was another key issue in the DDR and became the focus of the field of occupational psychology. Here, significant findings were made by the scholar Winfried Hacker, who focused his research on the psychological regulation of labour activity in the context of socialist society, where the greater satisfaction of people’s needs requires increased labour productivity. According to Hacker, work should be designed in such a way that not only maintains workers’ health, but also fosters their psychological development: work that is dull and detached from workers’ lived realities will lead to alienation, whereas a healthy relationship with work must be multi-dimensional and allow workers to develop both themselves and the products of their labour at the same time. To explore these ideas, Hacker and his team of researchers developed methods to identify objective characteristics in the workplace that positively impacted health and psychological development and to measure how they affected subjective perceptions. Although Hacker’s proposals were not implemented on a large scale, his research set the standard in occupational psychology. Hacker’s work differed from the predominant approaches to occupational psychology under capitalism, which prioritise increasing the efficiency of work processes rather than the development of employees’ health and mental state.</p>
<p>Today, the weakening of trade union power and the rise of precarious employment has led to a deterioration in working conditions in most capitalist states. While there have been advances in the production processes themselves, new health burdens are constantly emerging, particularly in connection with digital workplaces, along with agriculture and food industries. As such, the importance of occupational health has only increased, and the experiences of the DDR in this field remain relevant not only from a medical point of view, but also by demonstrating that a fundamentally different approach to health protection in the workplace is possible.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466479"></a><strong><span style="color: #4c5bca;">7. Health Care for Mothers and Children</span> </strong></h2>
<p>In East Germany, women enjoyed access to first-rate health care, comprehensive childcare, and guaranteed employment. These social achievements meant that by 1989, the employment rate among women had reached 92 per cent. At the same time, from the 1970s, East Germany also had a higher birth rate than the West largely due the continuous expansion of the country’s social and health infrastructure, which enabled women to both pursue employment and raise a healthy family.</p>
<p>The development of this infrastructure was established in the DDR’s legislation, which proved to be consistently more progressive than in the FRG, where patriarchal laws reflected bourgeois familial concepts such as the stay-at-home mother. The DDR’s 1950 Law on Mother and Child Protection and the Rights of Women, for instance, prescribed an extensive expansion of day care and health care facilities for children, explicitly supporting single and working mothers. While in 1956 only 10 per cent of children attended childcare facilities, by 1990 nearly 80 per cent of eligible children attended a crèche (from the age of 0 to 3) and 94 per cent attended kindergartens (from ages of 3 to 6). At the time, these were some of the highest rates of childcare coverage in the world. Women’s committees within trade unions were instrumental in introducing and overseeing new laws to address the need to balance family and work responsibilities. One result, for example, was the establishment of enterprise kindergartens directly connected to the workplace. Through the socialisation of childcare responsibilities, mothers were able to work while also raising children and thus develop economic independence from their partners. This was reflected in East Germany’s divorce rate, which remained significantly higher than in the FRG throughout the DDR’s 40-year existence. This trend was dramatically reversed after 1990, when women’s employment levels fell sharply in the former DDR.</p>
<p>Childcare facilities also played a central role in the health policies of the DDR. These institutions were actively monitored by the Ministry of Health and, in the case of crèches, even placed directly under its responsibility rather than that of the Ministry of Education. This made it possible to create integrated social and health standards to further children’s wellbeing, such as regular paediatric visits to crèches to carry out vaccinations and periodic medical check-ups conducted directly in kindergartens and schools, making health care an integral part of children’s everyday lives. In this way, maintaining good health and detecting potential health issues became a social responsibility that was no longer left to parents alone.</p>
<p>In 1965, the Law on the Unified Socialist Education System made health a central pillar of education and laid out qualification requirements for personnel in crèches, kindergartens, and schools. Child psychology and pedagogy were emphasised in training programmes for crèche personnel. Early childhood development was acutely observed by educators to assess, for instance, children’s adaptation to their familial and social environment. When necessary, crèche personnel arranged for consultations with parents to discuss practical recommendations for everyday care. The Professional Paediatric Association (<em>Medizinischen Fachgesellschaft für Pädiatrie</em>) also convened regular interdisciplinary working groups together with childcare personnel to assess the state of crèches and kindergartens. These groups drew up policy proposals and legislative amendments as well as suggestions for pilot projects.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72315" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72315" class="wp-image-72315 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/8_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-G0206-0016-001.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="709" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/8_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-G0206-0016-001.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/8_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-G0206-0016-001-300x224.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/8_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-G0206-0016-001-768x573.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-72315" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7">Image 7</a>. In the DDR, strict norms were developed and enforced to ensure appropriate pedagogical methods, infrastructure, and open spaces at children’s facilities. New housing developments, such as the one in Rostock featured here, were required to include large open spaces for children.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>In addition to providing free childcare to all families, the DDR strove to break down cultural taboos and promote the health of women and children, regardless of their circumstances. The 1965 Family Code, for instance, eliminated the discriminatory legal category of ‘children born out of wedlock’ while emphasising the role of both parents in raising a child. The 1972 Law on the Termination of Pregnancy also contributed to women’s self-determination and family planning by introducing free and legal access to contraceptives and abortions within the first 12 weeks of pregnancy. In contrast, the constitution of the Federal Republic of Germany contains a clause criminalising abortion to this day, and, since 1976, women have been required to attend a compulsory counselling session in order to receive an exemption.</p>
<p>Pregnant women in the DDR were guaranteed comprehensive pre- and post-natal consultations to aid and monitor mothers and their children. By 1989, there were more than 850 pregnancy consultation centres throughout the country to guide expectant mothers in medical and social questions. After birth, some 9,700 maternity consultation centres regularly examined infants and assisted the parents in their new roles. Periodic medical examinations then accompanied children all the way to adulthood. Importantly, dental care was also integrated into preventive screenings in kindergartens and schools, again in contrast to most health systems today in which dental health is not publicly guaranteed and is instead left to the financial resources and discretion of parents. Taken together, these structures and policies helped to ensure that family planning and childhood development could unfold independently of economic considerations.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72325" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72325" class="wp-image-72325 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/7_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-008-1.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="645" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/7_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-008-1.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/7_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-008-1-300x204.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/7_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-008-1-768x521.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-72325" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8">Image 8</a>. A paediatrician carries out an examination in a rural outpatient clinic. In addition to the early detection of health abnormalities, the assessment of a child’s preparedness for school was also part of the preventive screenings. Confidential documentation of all such examinations and findings on health and development accompanied children from birth to graduation.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466480"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>8. Vaccination Strategies</strong></span></h2>
<p>The COVID-19 pandemic has revealed the inequalities and inefficiencies of vaccination production and distribution in the capitalist world today. On the one hand, intellectual property rights have been prioritised over public health, leading to vaccination apartheid in which countries in the Global North have amassed enough doses to vaccinate their populations three times over, while most states in the South are prevented from reproducing these same vaccines themselves. If it were not for South-South cooperation headed by countries such as Cuba and China, vaccination rates in poorer states would be far lower than they already are. On the other hand, in a twist of irony, the same states stockpiling vaccines in the Global North struggled to convince a quarter or even a third of their populations of the efficacy and safeness of immunisation against COVID-19.</p>
<p>As in many other socialist states, the DDR was able to achieve particularly high vaccination rates during its four decades of existence. A clear example of this was the campaign against the polio virus. In 1961, while West Germany was still registering over 4,600 cases of polio, East Germany had reduced its number of cases to less than five. The DDR made use of an oral vaccine produced in the Soviet Union and subsequently offered 3 million doses to the FRG, but the latter declined. While East Germany recorded its last polio case in 1962, cases continued to be recorded in West Germany until the end of the 1980s.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72335" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72335" class="wp-image-72335 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/9_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-71807-0001.jpg" alt="" width="540" height="780" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/9_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-71807-0001.jpg 540w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/9_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-71807-0001-208x300.jpg 208w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 540px) 100vw, 540px"><p id="caption-attachment-72335" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9">Image 9</a>. Vaccinations were a part of the regular medical screenings that accompanied children from birth to adulthood. Health care was guaranteed in crèches, kindergartens, schools, and holiday camps, right through to apprenticeships and university studies. This photograph documents the administering of a new polio oral vaccine in the form of drops.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>The differences in the speed and effectiveness with which the two German states tackled polio stem from two fundamentally different approaches to immunisation. In the DDR, as in most other socialist states and some Western countries, childhood vaccinations had been mandatory since the early 1950s, and all children received a series of standard vaccinations set by the Ministry of Health. These vaccines were administered to children directly in crèches and schools, while adults were vaccinated in the workplace. Individuals who did not want to be vaccinated or have their children vaccinated (which primarily occurred for religious reasons) could obtain an exemption after consultations with a physician and regional health officials. Vaccinations and health care more broadly were thus treated as a social task in the DDR, and a wide range of societal actors, whether doctors, teachers, or parents, ensured that all children received preventive medicine and care.</p>
<p>In the FRG, in contrast, vaccinations were recommended but not mandatory, and it was the responsibility of the families to arrange appointments with their paediatricians for vaccinations. The Standing Committee on Vaccination (STIKO), an honorary commission of medical experts, made vaccination recommendations which doctors were then asked and paid to administer, but public vaccination programmes were not implemented in schools or at the workplace. Hence, for doctors in the FRG, the incentive to vaccinate is primarily financial rather than medical.</p>
<p>The focus of today’s political discourse on the legality of mandatory vaccinations underestimates and often fails to recognise the crucial practical question of how the state can fulfil its obligation to organise vaccination for all citizens in an efficient and safe manner. However, there remains a question as to whether or not the basic conditions for a mass vaccination programme have been established in a given society. These include:</p>
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="0">
<li style="list-style-type: none;">
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="0">
<li style="list-style-type: none;">
<ul>
<li>Securing the resources to ensure that all citizens can be vaccinated. More specifically, this means producing or acquiring enough doses for all citizens, ensuring that facilities are safe and accessible, and employing enough medical personnel to administer the vaccines.</li>
<li>Coordinating and monitoring vaccinations in an integrated system. One of the reasons why certain diseases continue to spread despite vaccination campaigns is that individuals forget to arrange a second or third vaccination necessary for full immunisation. This is a serious limitation of voluntary-based immunisation strategies in which individuals must keep track of and arrange their booster shots themselves.</li>
<li>Maintaining the public’s trust in vaccinations and in the institutions and actors that provide them – that is, the state, pharmaceutical producers, and medical professionals. For instance, are private companies receiving public funding to develop vaccines that they will then patent and profit from, or is the state researching and developing vaccines that will be accessible and beneficial to all?</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>
<p>Mandatory vaccinations in the DDR were ultimately met by a public that was highly willing to be vaccinated. The use of coercion to increase vaccination rates – a hotly debated issue today – was thus not an issue in East Germany. Similar circumstances are evident in Cuba today, where the COVID-19 vaccination rate (roughly 90 per cent of the population) is one of the highest in the world, and yet no coercive measures have been employed.</p>
<p>Mandatory vaccination was understood in socialist East Germany not as a one-sided legal obligation for the citizen, but as the duty of the state and its medical institutions. Monitoring and achieving vaccination coverage to the greatest extent possible was a central priority for health care professionals, especially for physicians and authorities at the municipal level. Alongside the immunisation services that were integrated into workplaces, kindergartens, crèches, and schools, permanent vaccination centres were established where citizens could obtain information and schedule appointments for additional voluntary vaccinations, such as against influenza viruses. To this day, the willingness to be vaccinated against influenza remains significantly higher in East Germany than in the West.</p>
<p>Despite temporary difficulties in the production or import of vaccines, the DDR guaranteed universal child immunisation up to its dissolution in 1990. Furthermore, the number of diphtheria cases was drastically reduced, the fight against measles was advanced through booster jabs despite temporary setbacks, and the introduction of a vaccination against tuberculosis for all new-borns helped to significantly reduce the number of cases. The FRG, which had always been in a stronger financial position than the DDR, was also able to eradicate many childhood diseases, but its campaigns often progressed far more slowly than in East Germany, as is evident with the poliovirus.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter wp-image-72345 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_1b_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png" alt="" width="944" height="667" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_1b_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1.png 944w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_1b_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-300x212.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/ENG_1b_Chart_2022_Zeichenflache-1-768x543.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 944px) 100vw, 944px"></p>
<div class="image-description-container image-description-container--72120">
<p><a role="button" href="#collapse-image-9" data-toggle="collapse" aria-expanded="false" aria-controls="collapse-image-9">Sources</a></p>
<div id="collapse-image-9" class="collapse">Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Statistische Jahrbücher der DDR</em> [Statistical Yearbooks of the DDR]. Berlin: Staatsverlag der DDR, 1956–1991; Rahlf, Thomas, ed. <em>Deutschland in Daten</em> [Germany in Data]. Bonn: Bundeszentrale für politische Bildung, 2015.</div>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p>The dismantling of the DDR’s health care system after 1990 was accompanied by a decline in the willingness to be vaccinated and a rising prevalence of diseases that had previously been in decline. With the transition to a health care system oriented around the private sector, immunisation has once again become an individual responsibility left to the discretion of patients and their general practitioners rather than centrally organised state institutions. Though various factors contribute to the emergence of epidemics, the reappearance of tuberculosis and measles cases in the East of unified Germany after 1990 is tragic proof of the efficacy of the DDR’s vaccination strategy. So too is the particularly low vaccination rate against COVID-19 in Eastern Germany today, which is largely a product of a crisis of confidence in the government and the wider health sector.</p>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466481"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>9. The DDR’s International Cooperation and Medical Solidarity</strong></span></h2>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72355" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72355" class="wp-image-72355 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/10_Stamps_of_Germany_DDR_1988.jpg" alt="" width="477" height="780" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/10_Stamps_of_Germany_DDR_1988.jpg 477w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/10_Stamps_of_Germany_DDR_1988-183x300.jpg 183w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 477px) 100vw, 477px"><p id="caption-attachment-72355" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10">Image 10</a>. In the late 1960s, after a long period of imposed diplomatic isolation, an increasing number of countries (mostly from the Global South) announced official relations with the DDR. In 1973, the DDR was admitted to the United Nations and participated constructively in its various bodies and organisations such as UNESCO and the World Health Organisation.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>This photograph shows the arrival of workers from the city carrying a banner that reads ‘Colleagues from the Karl Liebknecht Berlin transformer factory are helping the first production cooperative with the harvest!’ The 1945/46, democratic land reform in the Soviet Occupation Zone secured food supplies in the dire post-war period while also fundamentally changing the system of land ownership in East Germany. Roughly 560,000 small farms emerged from the redistribution scheme, but they were often poorly equipped and supplied. Urban industrial and craft enterprises stepped in to help with the harvest in the emerging agricultural cooperatives.</p>
<p>On 8 May 1973, the DDR became a recognised, equal, and active member of the World Health Organisation (WHO) alongside 145 other states. The FRG had been a member of the WHO since 1951 and with its claim to be the sole representative of Germany had hindered the DDR’s international cooperation in the field of health and its access to international resources. Following its admission in 1973, the DDR became a proactive contributor to the WHO, hosting the organisation’s 1981 Regional Meeting for Europe along with numerous WHO workshops. It was also actively involved in the WHO’s Health for All by the Year 2000 programme, especially on the concept of primary health care at the 1978 International Conference in Alma-Ata. DDR experts were sent to the WHO as delegates, while foreign students came to study in the DDR on WHO scholarships. Furthermore, fifteen medical institutions and projects in the DDR were certified as WHO Collaborating Centres, which supported the WHO’s global programmes by conducting research, collecting data, and fostering the exchange of scientific and practical experience.</p>
<p>In addition, cooperation between the socialist states was intensive but also limited by differences in each country’s capabilities. The DDR, for instance, supplied many medicines as well as medical equipment to the Soviet Union and its allies, while several thousand doctors from the DDR received specialist training in these countries.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72365" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72365" class="wp-image-72365 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/11_CarlosMarxGSW_neu.jpg" alt="" width="559" height="780" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/11_CarlosMarxGSW_neu.jpg 559w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/11_CarlosMarxGSW_neu-215x300.jpg 215w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 559px) 100vw, 559px"><p id="caption-attachment-72365" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11">Image 11</a>. In this article, copied from an entry in Dr. Rüdiger Feltz’s Nicaragua diary on 15 March 1986, the Nicaraguan press reports on the construction of the Carlos Marx Hospital, which started as a triage tent and was soon expanded into a fully functioning hospital. The hospital’s construction as well as the training of its staff and provision of its equipment and medicines were organised by DDR officials and financed by donations from DDR citizens. It was one of East Germany’s largest solidarity projects.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>The DDR’s internationalist solidarity with countries throughout the Global South included numerous projects in the health sector. There were contractual agreements with over 40 countries and national liberation organisations, such as the South West African People’s Organisation (SWAPO) and the African National Congress (ANC). The spectrum of the DDR’s medical internationalism included supplying medicines and equipment, deploying doctors and nurses overseas, training and further educating international personnel in the DDR, and building and operating hospitals.</p>
<p>For example:</p>
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="0">
<li style="list-style-type: none;">
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="0">
<li style="list-style-type: none;">
<ul>
<li>The DDR-Vietnam Friendship Hospital, today the Viet-Duc (German-Vietnamese) Hospital, in Hanoi, Vietnam was supplied with medical materials by the DDR as early as 1956.</li>
<li>The Carlos Marx Hospital was built in Nicaragua in the 1980s and largely operated by DDR medical and technical experts. By 1989, there were approximately 90 employees working there, including 25 doctors and 23 mid-level medical staff from the DDR.</li>
<li>Over 50 doctors and specialists from the DDR constructed and operated the Metema Tropical Hospital in Ethiopia from 1987 to 1988 to treat drought victims.</li>
<li>Angola received 27 ambulances through DDR solidarity donations in 1975. In a rehabilitation centre in the capital city of Luanda, DDR medical personnel treated wounded combatants of the People’s Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA). The centre also operated as a school to train local nurses and doctors.</li>
<li>The DDR sent specialists to Cambodia (the 17 April Hospital), Mozambique (the towns of Chimoio and Tete), Algeria (Frenda, Mahdia, and Oran), the People’s Democratic Republic of Yemen (Aden), and Guinea (the orthopaedic-technical centre in Conakry). DDR paediatricians also treated patients at the National Union of Tanganyika Workers’ clinic in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ol>
</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_72375" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-72375" class="wp-image-72375 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/12_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-0620-015.jpg" alt="" width="949" height="643" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/12_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-0620-015.jpg 949w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/12_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-0620-015-300x203.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/12_Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-0620-015-768x520.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 949px) 100vw, 949px"><p id="caption-attachment-72375" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #4c5bca; text-align: left; display: block;"><a style="color: #4c5bca; font-weight: normal;" href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12">Image 12</a>. The DDR’s Dorothea Christiane Erxleben Medical School, named after Germany’s first female medical doctor, emphasised medical pedagogy. The objective was to train students so that they could in turn teach trainees in their home countries, thereby promoting the development and autonomy of local health care systems.</span></small></p></div>
<p class="nothing"><span class="sr-only">.</span></p>
<p>Furthermore, doctors from countries throughout Africa, Asia, and Latin America received specialist training in the DDR, and about 700 overseas patients were treated in the DDR every year. Nurses and other mid-level medical professionals also received training in the DDR, most often at the Dorothea Christiane Erxleben Medical School, which drew roughly 2,000 students from more than 60 states and national liberation movements during its 30-year existence. The DDR’s medical internationalism was characterised by both immediate aid and a commitment to supporting the long-term development of self-sustaining medical services in the emerging nation states.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘Contract workers from Poland, Mozambique, Mongolia, and other countries had always been employed in processing plants in the meat industry. As a rule, workers should have been examined for fitness in their home countries before coming to the DDR. Nevertheless, during our recruitment examinations, we often detected serious illnesses of the lungs, liver, kidneys, etc. But these patients were never sent back. Instead, they were admitted to special clinics where they were treated free of charge, sometimes for months. This was practical solidarity in the DDR. What a huge contrast [with health care] after “reunification” in 1990, when, for example, a desperate father from Russia approached me with his child suffering from a tumour. Doctors from the Charité Hospital were willing to operate on him, but the funds could not be secured. In the media today, we often hear people begging for money to help seriously ill children from abroad, which always makes me sad and angry at the same time. The “impoverished” DDR never had to beg for such humanistic gestures!’</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Dr. Renate Rzesnitzek, a radiologist in the enterprise polyclinic of the Berlin meat combine</p>
</blockquote>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><a name="_Toc113466482"></a><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>10. Why Is Socialism the Best Prophylaxis?</strong></span></h2>
<p>With the incorporation of East Germany into the FRG in 1990, the DDR’s 40-year endeavour to construct a fundamentally different health care system was brought to an end. The medical infrastructure and staff of the former DDR were engulfed by the West German system, which had itself been caught up in a wave of neoliberal commercialisation since the mid-1980s. Corporate hospital chains emerged throughout Germany in the decades that followed, and the private practice model of outpatient care was reimposed on the East. The profit motive came to dominate the medical profession once again, as Irene, a former nurse employed in one of the DDR’s polyclinics, recounted: ‘By 1993, physicians had begun to set up their private practices. After my chief doctor had attended a class on self-employment, she said to us, “I learned today that there are three principles of self-employment in the new system. First, we must always be kind to the patients so that they like to come to us. Second, we must discover what we can earn from the patient. How much revenue will they generate for us? And the third principle: We cannot allow them to get healthy”. That was my experience of the system change after 1990, and it has been my overall feeling in the health sector ever since’.</p>
<p>The reimposition of commercially oriented medical practices in East Germany has made the contrast between capitalist and socialist health care all the clearer. While the market turns diseases into commodities and patients into customers, socialist medicine seeks to prevent the disease and illness to begin with, making human well-being its guiding principle. As in other socialist states such as Cuba, prevention remained the guiding principle of the DDR’s approach to health care throughout its existence. Once the profit motive had been eliminated from both medicine and the economy, there was no reason why individuals and workers should be allowed to get sick.</p>
<p>In the DDR, political emphasis was placed on social medicine – that is, the systematic recognition and combating of the socio-economic determinants of health and illness rather than an approach that merely focuses on how these manifest at the individual level. While both social and individual medicine provide crucial perspectives for preventing and treating illness, policies aimed at improving the population’s health will inevitably be restricted if the general social context and root causes of disease are disregarded.</p>
<blockquote class="ddr-study--quote"><p>‘Throughout my political life… I have seen the world through the eyes of a doctor, for whom poverty, misery, and disease are the main enemies. That’s how I came to communism, and that’s how I was lucky enough to experience in the DDR a health and social system that established an impressive framework, a social and health system for the whole population such as I had never seen before. […] I am not uncritical of the former DDR and do not glorify its past. […] But one thing I know for sure: it would never have pushed me away from the ideas of socialism, for I arrived at them via unforgettable experiences under capitalism. […] The best, most humane and scientific medicine ultimately remains helpless under conditions of social misery. The state of the world today provides the most compelling and horrific evidence of this. But the reverse is also true: even the best social environment is powerless in the face of disease if it lacks medicine of the highest scientific and humanistic order.’</p>
<p class="ddr-study--quote-attr">–Ingeborg Rapoport (1912–2017), a professor of paediatrics who held the first chair in the academic field of neonatology in Europe, emigrated from Nazi Germany to the US as a medical student, and resettled in the DDR in 1952.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Outpatient care, which has been a central focus of this study, reflects most strikingly the distinction between a capitalist and a socialist health care system. Outpatient facilities and professionals in East Germany were integrated into all areas of society, from workplaces and schools to urban neighbourhoods and rural villages. The country’s various medical institutions were connected through an integrated network that promoted cooperation rather than competition. This extensive infrastructure functioned as an early warning system that could identify and counteract harmful developments wherever and whenever they emerged. The field of occupational health care was particularly important in this respect since it allowed the links between work and illness to be scrutinised and addressed. Similarly, the integration of preventive care in childcare and educational institutions turned health matters into a social responsibility that was shouldered not only by parents but also by teachers, physicians, and public officials.</p>
<p>What stands out in the East German context are the achievements in health care policy despite the difficulties facing DDR society. Situated on the frontlines of the Cold War, the country was heavily sanctioned and struggled to import modern medical technology and equipment. At the same time, working conditions were strained by the necessities of reindustrialisation after 1945, which often entailed arduous labour and exposure to brown coal pollution. The DDR’s early years were also marked by a serious labour shortage in the health sector as medical professionals were lured westward. Yet, despite these challenges, the socialist state was able to make use of its limited resources to progressively improve the social situation and health of the population, and, in the process, the medical profession was revolutionised to break down traditional hierarchies. The field of medicine was opened up to the working class and peasantry, while the transition from private practices to polyclinics helped to erode the privileges of physicians over nurses and assistants as former employers and employees became colleagues.</p>
<p>These successes were made possible by two major political developments. First, health was made into a societal priority in East Germany after the Second World War. While in the Weimar era health policies had to be fought for by trade unions and conceded by the capitalist class, the DDR was a workers’ and peasants’ state; health, social, and cultural rights were enshrined in the country’s constitution, and the enforcement of these rights was overseen by workers themselves. The second factor was the socialisation of property relations in East Germany, which created the framework for an integrated health care system. The state’s centralised organisation of industry, housing, medicine, and education meant that health objectives could be discussed and implemented in relation to other social, economic, and political objectives. A comprehensive link was thus established between health policy and all areas of society, creating for the first time a practical basis for such discussions (despite often fierce policy debates) .</p>
<p>Today, to justify the privatisation of health care systems worldwide, we are told that markets ensure the most efficient allocation of resources in society. Yet, as the COVID-19 virus claims millions of lives and ravages the enfeebled health sectors of even the richest states, the inefficiency of the market and inhumanity of private ownership are more evident than ever. The DDR demonstrated that an alternative is possible –one that places human well-being at its centre, driven and managed by working people. Even under conditions of severe economic constraint, socialism has proven that preventive care, effective treatment, and dignified employment can be guaranteed for all. Indeed, embargoed Cuba continues to prove this point today, not only providing exemplary health care for its people but also serving those in need around the world. The health care systems of the future will find their blueprints in the socialist societies of those states like Cuba and the DDR.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>Acknowledgements:</strong></span></h3>
<p>This study was produced in collaboration with Dr. Heinrich Niemann (b. 1944), who worked as a specialist in social medicine in the DDR and served as district councillor for health in Marzahn-Hellersdorf, Berlin during the 1990s. The section on occupational psychology was co-authored with Dr. Klaus Mucha, an occupational psychologist. We also received important inputs from interviews with Dr. Herbert Kreibich (b. 1943), a specialist in occupational health care who led the DDR’s Central Institute of Occupational Medicine from 1983 until 1990; Irene (b. 1940), a former nurse in the DDR who worked in a polyclinic in sports medicine prophylaxis and in an enterprise outpatient clinic (she has asked for her surname to be withheld for personal reasons); and Dr. Rüdiger Feltz (b. 1958), a specialist in neurosurgery who was a practising physician in the DDR and today in the Federal Republic of Germany. All the interviews were conducted between May and November 2021 in Berlin.<strong><br>
</strong></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>Bibliography</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p>Bismarck, Otto von. Stenographische Berichte über die Verhandlungen des Reichstags, VI. Legislaturperiode, I. Session 1884/85 [Stenographic Reports on the Negotiations in the Reichstag, VI. Legislative Period, I. Session 1884/85]. In <em>Geschichte der deutschen Arbeiterbewegung, Band I</em> [History of the German Labour Movement, Volume I]. Berlin: Karl Dietz-Verlag, 1970.</p>
<p>Bündnis Krankenhaus statt Fabrik, eds. <em>Das Fallpauschalensystem und die Ökonomisierung der Krankenhäuser – Kritik und Alternativen</em> [The German Diagnosis Related Groups and the Economisation of Hospitals – Criticism and Alternatives]. Maintal: Bündnis Krankenhaus statt Fabrik, 2020.</p>
<p>Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Arbeitsgesetzbuch der Deutschen Demokratischen Republik</em> [Labour Code of the German Democratic Republic]. 16 June 1977. http://www.verfassungen.de/ddr/arbeitsgesetzbuch77.htm.</p>
<p>Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. ‘Befehle der Sowjetischen Militäradministration in Deutschland zum Gesundheits- und Sozialwesen’ [Orders of the Soviet Military Administration in Germany on Health and Social Services]. In <em>Veröffentlichungen des Koordinierungsrates der medizinisch-wissenschaftlichen Gesellschaften der DDR</em> [Publications of the Coordination Council of the DDR’s Medical-Scientific Societies]. Berlin: Verlag Volk und Gesundheit, 1976.</p>
<p>Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Verfassung der Deutschen Demokratischen Republik</em> [The German Democratic Republic’s Constitution]. 9 April 1968.</p>
<p>Deutsche Demokratische Republik [German Democratic Republic]. <em>Statistische Jahrbücher der DDR</em> [Statistical Yearbooks of the DDR]. Berlin: Staatsverlag der DDR, 1956–1991. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.digizeitschriften.de/search?ac-cess=alldirection=ascfilter%5BZeitschrif-ten%5D%5B4%5D=514402644%7Clog1from=-mainFrom=1956mainTo=2003q=Statistisches%20Jahrbuch%20der%20Deutschen%20Demokratischen%20Republikscope=allsorting=_scoreto=">https://www.digizeitschriften.de/search?ac-cess=alldirection=ascfilter%5BZeitschrif-ten%5D%5B4%5D=514402644%7Clog1from=-mainFrom=1956mainTo=2003q=Statistisches%20Jahrbuch%20der%20Deutschen%20Demokratischen%20Republikscope=all;sorting=_scoreto=</a>.</p>
<p>Engels, Friedrich. <em>The Condition of the Working Class in England</em>. London: Panther Books, 1969. https://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/download/pdf/condition-working-class-england.pdf.</p>
<p>Feltz, R. (specialist in neurosurgery who was practicing physician in the DDR and today in the Federal Republic), in discussions with the authors. 28 July 2021. IF DDR office, Berlin.</p>
<p>Feltz, R. (specialist in neurosurgery who was practicing physician in the DDR and today in the Federal Republic), Zoom interview with the authors. 25 May 2021. Berlin/Erfurt.</p>
<p>Reden zur Weimarer Gesundheitskonferenz, Februar 1960. [Speeches at the Weimar Health Conference, February 1960]. In <em>Für das Wohl des Menschen. </em><em>Band 2: Dokumente zur Gesundheitspolitik der SED</em> [For the Good of the People. Volume 2: Documents on the Health Policy of the SED], edited by Fischer, Erich, Lothar Rohland, and Dietrich Tutzke. Berlin: Verlag Volk und Gesundheit, 1979.</p>
<p>Irene (former nurse in the DDR who worked in a polyclinic, in sports medicine prophylaxis and in an enterprise outpatient clinic), in discussion with the authors. 21 June 2021. Berlin-Treptow.</p>
<p>Kreibich, H. (specialist in occupational health care who led the DDR’s Central Institute of Occupational Medicine from 1983 until 1990), in discussion with the authors. 30 November 2021. Eichwalde.</p>
<p>Kupfermann, Thomas. <em>Ärzte, Poliklinik, und Gemeindeschwester</em> [Doctors, Polyclinic, and District Nurse]. Augsburg: Weltbild, 2015.</p>
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<p>Mecklinger, Ludwig, Günter Ewert, and Lothar Rohland, eds. ‘Zur Umsetzung der Gesundheitspolitik im Gesundheits- und Sozialwesen der DDR’ [The Implementation of Health Policy in the DDR’s Health and Social System]. In <em>Interessengemeinschaft Medizin und Gesellschaft e.V. </em>[Interest Group Medicine and Society], no. 13–16. Berlin: Eigenverlag, 1998.</p>
<p>Niemann, H. (former specialist in social medicine in the DDR and served District Councillor for Health in Marzahn-Hellersdorf, Berlin), in discussion with the authors. 2 June 2021. IF DDR office, Berlin.</p>
<p>Rapoport, Ingeborg. <em>Meine ersten drei Leben</em>. [My First Three Lives]. Berlin: Edition Ost, 1997.</p>
<p>Schubert-Lehnhardt, Viola and Klaus Thielmann. ‘Das Einfache, das so schwer zu machen ist: Gute Allgemeinmedizin. Zum Verhältnis von öffentlicher zu individueller Gesundheitsversorgung’ [Good General Practice: The Simple Thing That Is So Difficult to Do. On the Relationship between Public and Individual Health Care]. <em>Ethica</em>, no. 22 (2014): 163–181.</p>
<p>Seidel, Karl. <em>Im Dienst am Menschen – Erinnerungen an den Aufbau des sozialistischen Gesundheitswesens</em> [In the Service of People – Memories of the Building of the Socialist Health System]. Berlin: Dietz-Verlag, 1989.</p>
<p>Spaar, Horst. ‘Dokumentation zur Geschichte des Gesundheitswesens der DDR, Teil I–VI (1945–1989)’ [Documentation on the History of the Health System in the DDR, Part I–VI (1945–1989)]. In <em>Interessengemeinschaft Medizin und Gesellschaft e.V. </em>[Interest Group Medicine and Society], no. 3; 5; 17/18; 29/30; 37/38; 46/47. Berlin: Eigenverlag, 1996–2003.</p>
<p>World Health Organisation. <em>Declaration of Alma-Ata. </em>International Conference on Primary Health Care, Alma-Ata, USSR, 1978. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.who.int/teams/social-determinants-of-health/declaration-of-alma-ata">https://www.who.int/teams/social-determinants-of-health/declaration-of-alma-ata</a>.</p>
<p>Zentralsekretariat der SED [Central Secretariat of the SED]. <em>Gesundheitspolitische Richtlinien der SED</em> [SED Health Policy Guidelines]. Log no. 87, meeting of the Central Secretaries, 31 March 1947. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.argus.bstu.bundesarchiv.de/dy30zspr/mets/dy30zspr_077/index.htm?target=midosaFraContentbacklink=/dy30zspr/index.htm-kid-11ee9da7-4419-481f-8301-b9e989422683sign=DY%2030/IV%202/2.1/77#7">http://www.argus.bstu.bundesarchiv.de/dy30zspr/mets/dy30zspr_077/index.htm?target=midosaFraContentbacklink=/dy30zspr/index.htm-kid-11ee9da7-4419-481f-8301-b9e989422683sign=DY%2030/IV%202/2.1/77#7</a>.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #4c5bca;"><strong>Image Credits</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p>Cover collage: Womacka, Walter. Unser Leben[Our Life]. 1962–1964. Mosaic artwork; Henning and Dorfstecher. 15 Years DDR. 6 October 1964. Stamp; Detlefsen, Hans. German Red Cross DDR. 1972. Stamp; Lüders, Lutz. International Year of the Child 1979. 1979. Stamp; Henning and Dorfstecher. The World United Against Malaria. 1962. Stamp.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1">Image 1</a>: Logo of the Proletarian Health Service.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2">Image 2</a>: Link, Hubert. <em>Berlin, Bersarinstraße, Noise Measurement</em>. 10 November 1976. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="=https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-R1011-0320%2C_Berlin%2C_Bersarinstra%C3%9Fe%2C_L%C3%A4rmmessung.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, image 183-R1011-0320 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3">Image 3</a>: Bartocha, Benno. <em>Friedland Pharmacy PrescriptionRoom</em>. 8 December 1975. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-P1208-0025%2C_Friedland%2C_Apotheke%2C_Rezepturraum.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, image 183-P1208-0025 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4">Image 4</a>: Ritter, Steffen. <em>Berlin Polyclinic</em>. 9 December 1986. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-1209-014%2C_Berlin%2C_Poliklinik.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, image 183-1986-1209-014 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5">Image 5</a>: Paetzold, Wolfried. <em>Gadebusch District, Community Nurse</em>. 1 October 1982. Photograph.<a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-009%2C_Kreis_Gadebusch%2C_Gemeindeschwester.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, image 183-1982-1101-009 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6">Image 6</a>: Link, Hubert. <em>Berlin, VEB Elektro-Apparate, Industrial Hygiene Inspection</em>. 29 November 1978. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-T1129-0319%2C_Berlin%2C_VEB_Elektro-Apparate%2C_Arbeitshygieneinspektion.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, image 183-T1129-0319 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7">Image 7</a>: <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.wikidata.org/wiki/Q58321611">Sindermann</a>, Jürgen. <em>Rostock, Lütten Klein Playground</em>. 6 February 1968. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-G0206-0016-001%2C_Rostock%2C_L%C3%BCtten_Klein%2C_Spielplatz.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, image 183-G0206-0016-001 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8">Image 8</a>: Paetzold, Wolfried. <em>Carlow, Pediatric Examination</em>. 1 November 1982. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1982-1101-008%2C_Carlow%2C_kinder%C3%A4rztliche_Untersuchung.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, image 183-1982-1101-008 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9">Image 9</a>: Löwe, Giso. <em>Kindergarten, Vaccination Against Polio</em>. 26 March 1960. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-71807-0001%2C_Kindergarten%2C_Schutzimpfung_gegen_Kinderl%C3%A4hmung.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, Image 183-71807-0001 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10">Image 10</a>: Lenz, Gudrun. <em>40 Years World Health Organisation</em>. 22 November 1988. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://de.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Datei:Stamps_of_Germany_%28DDR%29_1988%2C_MiNr_3214.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a></p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11">Image 11</a>: Newspaper clipping.<em>Source</em>: Feltz, Rüdiger.<em>Nicaragua Diary</em>. 5 March 1986. Unpublished diary. Personal collection of Dr Rüdiger Feltz. Accessed 20 November 2022.</p>
<p><a class="footnote-link" href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12">Image 12</a>: Lehmann, Thomas. <em>Quedlinburg, Teaching Infant Care</em>. 20 June 1986. Photograph. <a class="footnote-link" href="https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Bundesarchiv_Bild_183-1986-0620-015%2C_Quedlinburg%2C_Unterricht_zur_S%C3%A4uglingspflege.jpg">Wikimedia Commons</a> / German Federal Archive, Image 183-1986-0620-015 / CC-BY-SA 3.0.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<div class="cc-by-nc-40">This publication is issued under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. The human-readable summary of the license is available at <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/" rel="noopener">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/</a>.</div>
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		<title>Looking Over the Horizon at Nonalignment and Peace</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-on-contemporary-dilemmas-2-non-alignment-and-peace/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 27 Sep 2022 09:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BRICS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global South]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New World Order]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[international peace movement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CELAC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[US militarisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UNASUR]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War on Terror]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[disarmament]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[south africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Atlantic Treaty Organisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Non-Alignment Movement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COP27]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[COP28]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[peace]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=66056</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In its 40-year existence, the German Democratic Republic was able to construct a fundamentally different health care system that ensured a continuous improvement of the population’s health.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<p>Catastrophes of one kind or another have rippled outward from Ukraine, including galloping inflation that is out of control. Areas of the world that are not directly party to the conflict are being hit hard by rising prices nonetheless, with political unrest an inevitable consequence. In this context, the <a href="https://thecorbynproject.com/">Peace and Justice Project</a>, a research institute headed by Jeremy Corbyn, joined up with <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a> and with two media partners, <a href="https://globetrotter.media/">Globetrotter</a> and the <a href="https://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/">Morning Star</a>, to produce a series of reflections on the concepts of nonalignment and peace. The first report, by Roger McKenzie and Vijay Prashad, lays out the issues that are further explored by the rest of the articles in this series.</p>
<p>This series was originally produced and distributed by Globetrotter and the Morning Star from April to July 2022 and updated by Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research for publication in this booklet in September 2022.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-66978 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Logos-Post-66056.png" alt="" width="626" height="70"></p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><strong><span style="color: #403b99;">Contents</span></strong></h3>
<ol>
<li><a href="#section_1">Now Is the Time for Nonalignment and Peace</a> by Roger McKenzie and Vijay Prashad</li>
<li><a href="#section_2">Now, Let Us Talk Peace</a> by Jeremy Corbyn</li>
<li><a href="#section_3">Why Nonalignment Is an Urgent Imperative for the Global South</a> by Nontobeko Hlela</li>
<li><a href="#section_4">Why Latin America Needs a New World Order</a> by Marco Fernandes</li>
<li><a href="#section_5">India Has a Key Role to Play in a Possible New World Order</a> by Prasanth Radhakrishnan</li>
<li><a href="#section_6">Europe Is at a Crossroads between Neoliberalism and What People Actually Want</a> by Nora Garcia Nieves</li>
<li><a href="#section_7">Cuba’s Nonalignment: A Foreign Policy of Peace and Socialism</a> by Manolo De Los Santos</li>
<li><a href="#section_8">Rejecting War Is Not Enough—Racism Curdles Peace</a> by Claudia Webbe</li>
<li><a href="#section_9">Why Peace and Disarmament Are at the Heart of Nonalignmen</a>t by Kate Hudson</li>
<li><a href="#section_10">$2 Trillion for War Versus $100 Billion to Save the Planet</a> by Murad Qureshi</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_1"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Now Is the Time for Nonalignment and Peace</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Roger McKenzie and Vijay Prashad</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>War is an ugly part of the human experience. Everything about it is hideous. War is most obviously the act of invasion and the brutality that goes along with its operations. No war is precise; every war hurts civilians. Each act of bombardment sends a neurological shudder through society.</p>
<p>World War II demonstrated this ugliness in the Holocaust and in the atomic bombing of Hiroshima and Nagasaki. From Hiroshima and the Holocaust rose two mighty movements, one for peace and against the perils of further nuclear attacks, and the other for an end to the divisions of humanity and for a nonalignment from these divisions. The Stockholm Appeal of 1950, signed by nearly 300 million people, called for an absolute ban on nuclear weapons. Five years later, 29 countries from Africa and Asia, representing 54 percent of the world’s population, gathered in Bandung, Indonesia, to sign a 10-point pledge against war and for the “promotion of mutual interests and cooperation.” The Bandung Spirit was for peace and for nonalignment, for the peoples of the world to put their efforts into building a process to eradicate history’s burdens (illiteracy, ill health, hunger) by using their social wealth. Why spend money on nuclear weapons when money should be spent on classrooms and hospitals?</p>
<p>Despite the major gains of many of the new nations that had emerged out of colonialism, the overwhelming force of the older colonial powers prevented the Bandung Spirit from defining human history. Instead, the civilization of war prevailed. This civilization of war is revealed in the massive waste of human wealth in the production of armed forces—sufficient to destroy hundreds of planets—and the use of these armed forces as the first instinct to settle disputes. Since the 1950s, the battlefield of these ambitions has not been in Europe or in North America, but rather it has been in Africa, Asia, and Latin America—areas of the world where old colonial sensibilities believe that human life is less important. This international division of humanity—which says that a war in Yemen is normal, whereas a war in Ukraine is horrific—defines our time. There are 40 wars taking place across the globe; there needs to be political will to fight to end each of these, not just those that are taking place within Europe. The Ukrainian flag is ubiquitous in the West; what are the colors of the Yemeni flag, of the Sahrawi flag, and of the Somali flag?</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Return to Peace, Return to Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>We are overwhelmed these days with certainties that seem less and less real. As Russia’s war in Ukraine continues, there is a baffling view that negotiations are futile. This view circulates even when reasonable people agree that all wars must end in negotiations. If that is the case, then why not call for an immediate ceasefire and build the trust necessary for negotiations? Negotiations are only feasible if there is respect on all sides, and if there is an attempt to understand that all sides in a military conflict have reasonable demands. To wit, to paint this war as the whims of Russian President Vladimir Putin is part of the exercise of permanent war. Security guarantees for Ukraine are necessary; but so are security guarantees for Russia, which would include a return to a serious international arms control regime.</p>
<p>Peace does not come merely because we wish for it. It requires a fight in the trenches of ideas and institutions. The political forces in power profit from war, and so they clothe themselves in machismo to better represent the arms dealers who want more war, not less. These people in the blue suits of bureaucracy are not to be trusted with the world’s future. They fail us when it comes to the climate catastrophe; they fail us when it comes to the pandemic; they fail us when it comes to peacemaking. We need to summon up the old spirits of peace and nonalignment and bring these to life inside mass movements that are the only hope of this planet.</p>
<p>It is not merely sentimental to reach back to the past to breathe life into the Nonaligned Movement of today. Already, the contradictions of the present have raised the specter of nonalignment in parts of Africa, Asia, and Latin America. Most of these countries voted against the condemnation of Russia not because they support Russia’s war in Ukraine, but rather because they recognize that polarization is a fatal error. What is needed is an alternative to the two-camp world of the Cold War. That is the reason why many of the leaders of these countries—from China’s Xi Jinping to India’s Narendra Modi to South Africa’s Cyril Ramaphosa—have called, despite their very different political orientations, for a departure from the “Cold War mentality.” They are already walking toward a new nonaligned platform. It is this actual movement of history that provokes us to reflect on a return to the concepts of nonalignment and peace.</p>
<p>Nobody wants to imagine the full implications of the encirclement of China and Russia by the United States and its allies. Even countries that are closely allied with the United States—such as Germany and Japan—recognize that if a new iron curtain descends around China and Russia, it would be fatal for their own countries. Already, the war and sanctions have created serious political crises in Honduras, Pakistan, Peru, and Sri Lanka, with others to follow as food and fuel prices rise astronomically. War is too expensive for the poorer nations. Spending for war is eating into the human spirit, and warfare itself increases people’s general sense of despair.</p>
<p>The warmakers are idealists. Their wars do not settle the major dilemmas of humanity. The ideas of nonalignment and peace, on the other hand, are realistic; their framework has answers to the children who want to eat and to learn, to play and to dream.</p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Roger McKenzie</strong></span> is a reporter for the <a href="https://morningstaronline.co.uk/author/roger-mckenzie">Morning Star</a>. He is the general secretary of <a href="https://liberationorg.co.uk/about-us/">Liberation</a>, one of the oldest UK human rights organizations.</p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Vijay Prashad</strong></span> is an Indian historian, editor, and journalist. He is a writing fellow and chief correspondent at Globetrotter. He is the chief editor of <a href="https://mayday.leftword.com/">LeftWord Books</a> and the director of <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>, and a senior non-resident fellow at <a href="https://tinyurl.com/y2hdjcpo">Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies</a>, Renmin University of China. He has written more than 20 books, including <a href="https://smile.amazon.com/Darker-Nations-Peoples-History-Third/dp/1595583424/?tag=alternorg08-20"><em>The Darker Nations</em></a> and <a href="https://smile.amazon.com/Poorer-Nations-Possible-History-Global/dp/1781681589/?tag=alternorg08-20"><em>The Poorer Nations</em></a>. His latest books are<a href="https://www.haymarketbooks.org/books/1869-struggle-makes-us-human"> <em>Struggle Makes Us Human: Learning from Movements for Socialism</em></a> and (with Noam Chomsky)<a href="https://thenewpress.com/books/withdrawal"> <em>The Withdrawal: Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, and the Fragility of U.S. Power</em></a>.</p>
<hr class="separator">
<p><a name="section_2"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Now, Let Us Talk Peace</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Jeremy Corbyn</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>With Russian shells raining down on Ukrainian cities, an uneasy ceasefire in Yemen, the attack on Palestinians at prayer in Jerusalem, and many other conflicts around the world, it might seem to some to be inappropriate to talk about peace.</p>
<p>When a war is going on, though, it is absolutely the time to talk about peace. How else can we prevent even further loss of life or yet more millions forced into refuge somewhere else in the world? It is welcome that at last the United Nations has taken an initiative to put into motion Secretary-General António Guterres’s request for face-to-face meetings with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.</p>
<p>There must be an immediate ceasefire in Ukraine followed by the withdrawal of Russian troops and agreement between Russia and Ukraine on future security arrangements.</p>
<p>All wars end in a negotiation of some sort—so why not now?</p>
<p>Everyone knows this is what will happen at some point. There is no reason to delay it for bombing and killing, more refugees, more dead and more grieving families in Ukraine and Russia. But instead of urging peace, most European nations have taken the opportunity to ramp up arms supplies, feed the war machine, and boost the share prices of weapons manufacturers.</p>
<p>It is also the time to talk about our humanity, or lack of it, to people in deep distress as a result of armed conflict, the abuse of their rights, or the grinding poverty that many face as a result of the global economic system.</p>
<p>Almost 10 percent of the population of Ukraine is now in exile, suffering trauma, loss, and fear. Most countries in Europe have been supportive of Ukrainian refugees. The British government pretends to be as well but then ensnares Ukrainians in the Home Office’s deliberately labyrinthine and nightmarish bureaucracy to deter them. Instead, Ukrainian refugees should be supported and made welcome. That’s what the British people by and large want; the huge generosity of ordinary people is showing the best of our humanity.</p>
<p>However, in the treatment of desperate refugees from wars where Britain has a direct responsibility, such as Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya and Yemen, the story is painfully different.</p>
<p>If someone is so desperate that they risk all to attempt to cross the English Channel in a dangerous, flimsy dinghy, they deserve sympathy and support. Instead, the Home Office plan is to remove them to Rwanda. If we believe in humanity and the rights of refugees, then they should all be treated equally and decently and allowed to make their contribution to our society, not criminalized and incarcerated. If the Conservative Party gets away with this outsourcing, other European countries will do the same. The Danish government has already spoken warmly about the cruel and unworkable proposal.</p>
<p>The effects of this war on the politics and hopes of our society are going to be huge, not least for the world’s institutions. The United Nations was established after World War II to “save succeeding generations from the scourge of war.” Since then, we can reel off the long and lengthening list of conflicts and proxy wars that the world has endured and that have taken the lives of millions. Korea, Vietnam, Iran-Iraq, Yugoslavia, Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, India-Pakistan, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, and many other conflicts have barely been reported on by mainstream media, maybe because they were conflicts against colonial occupation such as the one in Kenya.</p>
<p>A huge question must be asked of the UN in the Ukraine conflict. When Russia brutally and illegally invaded Ukraine, was not that the moment for the UN to send its secretary-general to Moscow to demand a ceasefire? The UN has been too slow to act, and too much of the interstate system has pushed for escalation, not negotiation.</p>
<p>The call for more effective and proactive international institutions to support peace was powerfully made in April 2022 in Madrid at a conference hosted by Spain’s left-wing Podemos party, following a dialogue initiated by the left-wing activist organization Progressive International. Every one of the 17 speakers condemned the war and occupation and called for a ceasefire and a future of peace for the people of Ukraine and Russia. The participants knew about the dangers of escalation of this conflict and the further hot wars and violence a new cold war would bring. There are 1,800 nuclear warheads in the world primed and ready for use. One “tactical” weapon would kill hundreds of thousands; a nuclear bomb would kill millions. It cannot be contained, nor can its effects be limited.</p>
<p>In June 2022, Vienna hosted a major series of peace events around the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons. This treaty, supported by the UN General Assembly and opposed by the declared nuclear weapons states, provides the best hope and opportunity for a nonnuclear weapons future. The opportunity should be grasped with both hands.</p>
<p>Some say to discuss peace at a time of war is a sign of some kind of weakness; the opposite is true. It is the bravery of peace protesters around the world that stopped some governments from being involved in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Syria, Yemen, or any of the dozens of other conflicts going on.</p>
<p>Peace is not just the absence of war; it is real security. The security of knowing you will be able to eat, your children will be educated and cared for, and a health service will be there when you need it. For millions, that is not a reality now; the aftereffects of the war in Ukraine will take that away from millions more.</p>
<p>Meanwhile, many countries are now increasing arms spending and investing resources in more and more dangerous weapons. The United States has just approved its biggest-ever defense budget. These resources used for weapons are all resources not used for health, education, housing, or environmental protection.</p>
<p>This is a perilous and dangerous time. Watching the horror play out and then preparing for more conflicts in the future will not ensure that the climate crisis, poverty crisis, or food supply is addressed. It’s up to all of us to build and support movements that can chart another course for peace, security, and justice for all.</p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #403b99;">Jeremy Corbyn</span></strong> is a member of the UK Parliament, former leader of the UK Labour Party, and the founder of the <a href="https://thecorbynproject.com/">Peace and Justice Project</a>.</p>
<hr class="separator">
<p><a name="section_3"></a></p>
<h1><strong><span style="color: #403b99;">Why Nonalignment Is an Urgent Imperative for the Global South</span></strong></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Nontobeko Hlela</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>South Africa and other countries that have <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/04/1115782">abstained</a> from voting against Russia at the United Nations General Assembly in response to the war in Ukraine face intense international criticism. In South Africa, the domestic criticism has been extraordinarily shrill, and often clearly racialized. It is frequently assumed that this abstention means that South Africa is in support of the Russian invasion and that this is either due to corrupt relations between Russian and South African elites, nostalgia for the support that the Soviet Union gave to the anti-apartheid struggle, or both.</p>
<p>There is seldom any acknowledgment that nonalignment, in this case refusing to be aligned with the United States and its allies or with Russia, can be a principled position as well as an astute tactical engagement with geopolitical realities. As two founding figures in the Nonaligned Movement (NAM), Yugoslavia’s then-President Josip Broz Tito and India’s then-Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru, said in a <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/26924448">joint statement</a> signed on December 22, 1954, “the policy of nonalignment with blocs… does not represent ‘neutrality’ or ‘neutralism’; neither does it represent passivity as is sometimes alleged. It represents the positive, active, and constructive policy that, as its goal, has collective peace as the foundation of collective security.”</p>
<p>The Global South houses <a href="https://www.un.org/en/global-issues/population">more than 80 percent</a> of the world’s people, yet its countries are systematically excluded from any decision-making in international organizations that determine how the “international community” operates. For decades, countries in the Global South have been advocating for the United Nations to be reformed so that it moves away from the zero-sum game of the cold war mentality that continues to drive it. In June 1969, Gabriel Valdés, Chile’s then-foreign minister, reported that Henry Kissinger <a href="https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1982/12/the-price-of-power/376309/">told</a> him, “Nothing important can come from the South. History has never been produced in the South. The axis of history starts in Moscow, goes to Bonn, crosses over to Washington, and then goes to Tokyo. What happens in the South is of no importance.”</p>
<p>Just a few years earlier, on September 30, 1963, Jaja Wachuku, then a Nigerian foreign minister, <a href="https://www.jstor.org/stable/1035325">posed</a> a still urgent question to the UN’s 18th Session: “Does this Organization want… [the] African States to be just vocal Members, with no right to express their views on any particular matter in important organs of the United Nations…[?] Are we only going to continue to be veranda boys?” Global South countries are still “veranda boys” watching the adults make the rules and decide on the path that the world must take. They continue to be lectured and chided when they do not do as expected.</p>
<p>It is time for a revitalized NAM. The NAM will only succeed if the leaders of the countries in the Global South put their egos aside, think strategically on a global scale, and put their considerable human capital, natural resources, and technological ingenuity to better use. The Global South includes an ascendant China, the second-biggest economy in the world. It includes India, one of the leading countries in medical care and technological innovation. It includes Africa, rich with a growing population and the natural resources that are needed for the mushrooming AI and cleaner energy industries. However, these resources are still extracted for profit to be accumulated in far-off capitals while Africa and much of the Global South remain underdeveloped, with millions still stuck in the desperation of impoverishment.</p>
<p>A renewed NAM has real potential if time is taken to build new institutions and to build buffers against the economic warfare that the United States has been waging against countries like Cuba and Venezuela and is now unleashing on Russia. Financial autonomy is critical.</p>
<p>BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) established the <a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/new-development-bank-updates-ndb-enters-2022-in-expansion-mode-301460273.html">New Development  Bank</a> for its members. For the 16 nations of the <a href="https://www.sadc.int/">Southern African Development Community (SADC)</a>, there is the Development Bank of Southern Africa. Yet the reserves of the countries joined to these projects are still kept in the United States or European capitals. This is the time for leaders within the Global South to wake up and realize that given the type of economic warfare that is currently being let loose on a country like Russia, weaker countries across the Global South have no meaningful autonomy.</p>
<p>This is the time to rethink how we conduct politics, economics, and foreign policy when it is clear that the West can decide to decimate entire countries. The economic weapons being built against Russia will be available to be used against other countries that have the temerity not to toe Washington’s line.</p>
<p>BRICS has been disappointing in many respects, but it has opened some space for Global South countries—with their many differences in creed, culture, and political and economic systems—to find a way of working together. The rejection of intense pressure to bend their collective knee at the United Nations Security Council is an encouraging example of the Global South rejecting the assumption that they should remain permanent “veranda boys” (and girls).</p>
<p>As the United States rapidly escalates its new cold war against Russia and China and expects other countries to fall in line, there is now an urgent imperative to reject this cold war mentality of wanting to divide the world along old acrimonious lines. The Global South should reject this view and call for the respect of international law by <em>all</em> countries. When human rights and international law are only evoked when it is those countries whom the West dislikes or disagrees with who break them, it makes a mockery of these concepts. Only by standing together and speaking with one voice can the countries of the Global South hope to have any influence in international affairs and not continue to be just rubber-stampers of the positions of the West.</p>
<p>The Nonaligned Movement needs to be confident and bold and not seek permission from the West. NAM leaders need to understand that they are there to serve their people and protect their people’s interests and not allow the temptation of being included in the “big boys club” to sway their stance on issues. They need to constantly keep in mind that they have been kept as “veranda boys” for far too long, and unless they truly take their destiny into their hands, they will forever be at the foot of the table, with their people eating only the scraps from the wealth accumulated by the global economy, much of it from the exploitation of the South.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Nontobeko Hlela</strong></span> was the first secretary (political) at the High Commission of South Africa in Nairobi, Kenya. She currently works as a researcher for the South African office of <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/south-africa/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>.</p>
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<p><a name="section_4"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Why Latin America Needs a New World Order</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Marco Fernandes</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>The world wants to see an end to the conflict in Ukraine. The NATO countries, however, want to prolong the conflict by increasing arms shipments to Ukraine and by <a href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-to-return-embassy-to-ukraine-boost-military-aid-blinken-and-austin-tell-zelensky-in-visit-to-kyiv-11650859391">declaring</a> that they “want to see Russia weakened.”  By 3 March 2022, the United States had already allocated $13.6 billion to arm Ukraine; by 28 April, Biden had requested an additional $33 billion. By comparison, it would require $45 billion per year to <a href="https://ceres2030.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/ceres2030-what-would-it-cost_.pdf">end world hunger</a> by 2030.</p>
<p>Even if negotiations take place and the war ends, an actual peaceful solution will not likely be possible. Nothing leads us to believe that geopolitical tensions will decrease, since behind the conflict around Ukraine is an attempt by the West to halt the development of China, to break its links with Russia, and to end China’s strategic partnerships with the Global South.</p>
<p>In March 2022, commanders of the U.S. <a href="https://www.news24.com/news24/africa/news/us-army-general-concerned-about-china-and-russias-growing-influence-in-africa-20220323">Africa Command</a> (General Stephen J. Townsend) and <a href="https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/policy/defense-national-security/southcom-commander-warns-about-russian-and-chinese-influence-in-latin-america">Southern Command</a> (General Laura Richardson) warned the U.S. Senate about the perceived dangers of increased Chinese and Russian influence in Africa as well as in Latin America and the Caribbean. The generals recommended that the United States weaken the influence of Moscow and Beijing in these regions. This policy is part of the 2018 national security doctrine of the United States, which frames China and Russia as “the <a href="https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/19/politics/trump-defense-strategy-china-russia/index.html">central challenge</a>.”</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>No Cold War</strong></span></h3>
<p>Latin America does not want a new cold war. The region has already suffered from decades of military rule and austerity politics justified based on the so-called “communist threat.” Tens of thousands of people lost their lives and many tens of thousands more were imprisoned, tortured, and exiled only because they wanted to create sovereign countries and decent societies. This violence was a product of the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/news/2020/sep/03/operation-condor-the-illegal-state-network-that-terrorised-south-america">U.S.-imposed cold war</a> on Latin America.</p>
<p>Latin America wants peace. Peace can only be built through regional unity, a process that began over 20 years ago after a cycle of popular uprisings, driven by the tsunami of neoliberal austerity, led to the election of progressive governments: Venezuela (1999), Brazil (2002), Argentina (2003), Uruguay (2004), Bolivia (2005), Ecuador (2007), and Paraguay (2008). These countries, joined by Cuba and Nicaragua, created a set of regional organizations: the Bolivarian Alliance for the Peoples of Our America–Peoples’ Trade Treaty (ALBA-TCP) in 2004, the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) in 2008, and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) in 2011. These platforms were intended to increase regional trade and political integration. Their gains were met with increased aggression from Washington, which sought to <a href="https://therealnews.com/the-role-the-us-played-in-reversing-latin-americas-pink-tide">undermine the process</a> by attempting to overthrow the governments in many of the member countries and by dividing the regional blocs to suit Washington’s interests.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Brazil</strong></span></h3>
<p>Because of its size and its political relevance, Brazil was a key player in these early organizations. In 2009, Brazil joined with Russia, India, China, and South Africa to form BRICS, a new alliance with the goal to rearrange the power relations of global trade and politics.</p>
<p>Brazil’s role did not please the White House, which—avoiding the crudeness of a military coup—staged a successful operation in alliance with sectors of the Brazilian elite that used the Brazilian legislature, judiciary system, and media to overthrow the government of President Dilma Rousseff in 2016 and to cause the arrest of former President Lula in 2018 (who was then leading the polls in the presidential election). Both were accused of a corruption scheme involving the Brazilian state oil company, and an investigation by Brazil’s judiciary known as Operation Car Wash ensued. The participation of both the U.S. Department of Justice and the <a href="https://noticias.uol.com.br/ultimas-noticias/agencia-publica/2020/07/01/o-fbi-e-a-lava-jato.htm">FBI</a> in that investigation was revealed following a massive <a href="https://theintercept.com/2019/06/09/brazil-archive-operation-car-wash/">leak</a> of the <a href="https://thewire.in/world/lula-de-silva-brazil-cia">Telegram chats</a> of Operation Car Wash’s lead <a href="https://www.conjur.com.br/2021-fev-08/deltan-disse-prisao-lula-presente-cia">prosecutor</a>. However, before the U.S. interference was uncovered, the removal of Lula and Dilma from politics brought the right wing back to power in Brasília, the country’s capital; Brazil no longer played a leading role in either the regional or the global projects that could weaken U.S. power. Brazil abandoned <a href="https://www.radiohc.cu/en/noticias/internacionales/188489-brazil-quits-unasur-after-receiving-pro-tempore-presidency">UNASUR</a> and <a href="https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-diplomacy-celac-idUSKBN1ZF2U9">CELAC</a> and remains in BRICS only formally—as is also the case with India—weakening the perspective of strategic alliances in the Global South.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Turning the Tide</strong></span></h3>
<p>In recent years, Latin America has experienced a new wave of progressive governments. The idea of regional integration has returned to the table. After four years without a summit meeting, <a href="https://elpais.com/mexico/2021-09-18/lopez-obrador-pide-la-integracion-comercial-y-el-fin-de-los-bloqueos-en-america-latina.html#?rel=mas">CELAC reconvened</a> in September 2021 under the leadership of Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Argentine President Alberto Fernández. Given <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/06/19/gustavo-petro-wins-historic-elections-in-colombia/">Gustavo Petro’s victory</a> in the Colombian presidential election in June 2022, and a possible victory should <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/apr/30/is-brazil-ready-for-the-next-incarnation-of-president-lula">Lula win</a> his campaign for reelection to Brazil’s presidency in October 2022, for the first time in decades, the <a href="https://es.statista.com/grafico/26372/paises-latinoamericanos-con-el-mayor-pib-a-traves-del-tiempo/">four largest economies</a> in Latin America (<a href="https://www.statista.com/statistics/802640/gross-domestic-product-gdp-latin-america-caribbean-country/">Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, and Colombia</a>) would be governed by the center-left, notably supporters of Latin American and Caribbean integration. Lula has said that if he wins the presidency, Brazil will <a href="https://lula.com.br/integra-do-discurso-de-lula-na-camara-dos-deputados-do-mexico/">return to CELAC</a> and will resume an active stance in <a href="https://www.brasil247.com/blog/vitoria-de-lula-na-onu-incomoda-washington-porque-fortalece-geopolitica-dos-brics-x-eua-otan">BRICS</a>.</p>
<p>The Global South might be prepared to reemerge by the end of 2022 and create space for itself within the world order. Evidence for this is found in the lack of unanimity that greeted NATO’s attempt to create a large coalition to sanction Russia. This NATO project has aroused a backlash around the <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/mar/10/russia-ukraine-west-global-south-sanctions-war">Global South</a>. Even governments that condemn the war (such as Argentina, Brazil, India, and South Africa) do not agree with NATO’s unilateral sanction policy and prefer to support negotiations for a peaceful solution. The idea of resuming a <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/24/world/asia/cold-war-ukraine.html">movement of the nonaligned</a>—inspired by the initiative launched at the 1955 Bandung Conference—has found resonance in numerous circles.</p>
<p>Their intention is correct. They seek to de-escalate global political tensions, which are a threat to countries’ sovereignty and tend to negatively impact the global economy. The spirit of nonconfrontation, and peace, of the Bandung Conference is urgent today.</p>
<p>But the Nonaligned Movement emerged as a refusal by Third World countries to choose a side in the polarization between the United States and USSR during the Cold War. They were fighting for their sovereignty and the right to have relations with the countries of both systems, without their foreign policy being decided in Washington or Moscow.</p>
<p>This is not the current scenario. Only the Washington-Brussels axis (and allies) demand alignment with their so-called “<a href="https://mronline.org/2022/01/12/the-u-s-makes-a-mockery-of-treaties-and-international-law/">rules-based international order</a>.” Those who do not align suffer from sanctions applied against dozens of countries (devastating entire economies, such as those of <a href="https://www.wola.org/2020/10/new-report-us-sanctions-aggravated-venezuelas-economic-crisis/">Venezuela</a> and <a href="https://www.jacobinmag.com/2021/07/us-policy-cuba-blockade-embargo-protests-rubio-history-war-covid-food-medicine-shortages">Cuba</a>), illegal confiscation of hundreds of billions of dollars in assets (as in the cases of Venezuela, Iran, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2022/02/13/world/asia/afghanistan-funds-biden.html">Afghanistan</a>, and <a href="https://www.globaltimes.cn/page/202203/1255112.shtml">Russia</a>), invasions and interference resulting in genocidal wars (as in Iraq, Syria, Libya, and Afghanistan), and outside support for “<a href="https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3124567/china-and-russia-should-work-together-combat-colour">color revolutions</a>” (from <a href="https://www.wsws.org/en/topics/event/2014-coup-ukraine">Ukraine in 201</a><a href="https://www.wsws.org/en/topics/event/2014-coup-ukraine">4</a> to Brazil in 2016). The demand for alignment comes only from the West, not from China or Russia.</p>
<p>Humanity faces urgent challenges, such as inequality, hunger, the climate crisis, and the threat of new pandemics. To overcome them, regional alliances in the Global South must be able to institute a new multipolarity in global politics. But the usual suspects may have other plans for humanity.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Marco Fernandes</strong></span> is a researcher at <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>, a member of the <a href="https://nocoldwar.org/">No Cold War</a> campaign, and a co-founder and co-editor of News on China (<a href="https://dongshengnews.org/en/">Dongsheng</a>). He lives in Shanghai.</p>
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<p><a name="section_5"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>India Has a Key Role to Play in a Possible New World Order</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Prasanth Radhakrishnan</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>In the first half of April 2022, India’s External Affairs Minister Subrahmanyam Jaishankar made <a href="https://www.businesstoday.in/latest/economy/story/indias-monthly-oil-purchase-from-russia-less-than-europes-in-an-afternoon-jaishankar-329481-2022-04-12">some revealing remarks</a> at a press conference in Washington, D.C. He was standing beside U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken and U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin. When asked about India’s purchase of Russian oil, Jaishankar said: “If you’re looking at energy purchases from Russia, I’d suggest that your attention should be focused on Europe. We do buy some energy, which is necessary for our energy security. But I suspect, looking at figures, our total purchases for the month would be less than what Europe does in an afternoon.”</p>
<p>Jaishankar’s statement was not unusual. He and his colleagues <a href="https://www.business-standard.com/article/international/don-t-patronize-us-indian-envoy-at-un-to-dutch-ambassador-on-unga-voting-122050600161_1.html">have been pushing back</a> against the West’s “concerns” and “advice” to India about its stance on Russia in the Ukraine conflict, including India’s <a href="https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/india-abstains-on-resolution-to-call-for-un-general-assembly-session-on-ukraine-2793567">refusal</a> to <a href="https://thewire.in/diplomacy/un-general-assembly-india-abstain-resolution-criticise-russia-ukraine-invasion">vote against</a> Russia at the United Nations as well as India’s discussion with Russia to set up a <a href="https://www.livemint.com/politics/policy/russia-india-explore-opening-alternative-payment-channels-amid-sanctions-11647371750761.html">payment mechanism</a> that would bypass sanctions imposed by the West. <a href="https://indianexpress.com/article/world/india-united-states-daleep-singh-russia-ukraine-war-7847094/">Visits</a> by <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/news/foreign-secretary-in-india-as-part-of-diplomatic-push-on-ukraine">Western diplomats</a> to India did not help to alter the Indian government’s actions.</p>
<p>India, under the government of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, has been firmly in the U.S. camp, taking part <a href="https://thediplomat.com/2017/11/us-japan-india-and-australia-hold-working-level-quadrilateral-meeting-on-regional-cooperation/">in reviving the Quad</a> and signing <a href="https://theprint.in/defence/the-3-foundational-agreements-with-us-and-what-they-mean-for-indias-military-growth/531795/">three foundational defense</a> agreements with the United States. These moves suggest that India strongly agreed with the United States’ focus on the containment of China. Has India then shifted from this alignment with the United States based on its dealings with Russia? Is nonalignment back on the table? The answer to this question is far more complicated than it would appear on the surface.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Economics</strong></span></h3>
<p>Part of India’s recent response can be explained by simple economics. For a government dealing with mounting inflation, the <a href="https://www.livemint.com/news/india/russia-offers-oil-to-india-at-35-bbl-discount-from-pre-war-price-11648704105136.html">prospect of oil at discounted rates</a> from Russia <a href="https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/indias-russian-oil-purchases-since-ukraine-invasion-more-than-double-2021-total/2502873/">was too good to resist</a>. Also, Russia <a href="https://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/russia-accounted-for-half-of-india-s-arms-imports-during-2016-20-122022600072_1.html">continues to be India’s largest arms supplier</a>, although its <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/russias-share-of-arms-import-to-india-fell-from-69-in-2012-17-to-46-in-2017-21-report/articleshow/90218483.cms">dependence seems to be decreasing</a> (imports from Israel and the United States have <a href="https://warontherocks.com/2022/04/after-ukraine-where-will-india-buy-its-weapons/">surged</a> in the past 30 years). A much less noticed fact is that India also <a href="https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/opinion/russia-ukraine-war-choking-fertiliser-supply/article65210842.ece">depends on Russia</a> for fertilizers that are vital for its agricultural sector. These economic bonds are too profitable to sever. There are precedents for this too. After all, India did not give in to U.S. pressure or <a href="https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/s400-missile-system-deal-us-may-still-sanction-india-says-top-diplomat-101646281899828.html">even the threat of sanctions</a> when it came to procuring the S-400 missile system from Russia. Geopolitically, Russia remains key if India wants to engage in its immediate neighborhood where it has previously missed the bus at key moments, such as during the crisis in Afghanistan.</p>
<p>However, at the current moment, purely economic and geopolitical perspectives are perhaps inadequate.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Strategic Autonomy</strong></span></h3>
<p>India’s post-Cold War approach has often been defined as strategic autonomy, which has encompassed groupings as diverse as the BRICS alliance of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa; the Shanghai Cooperation Organization; and the Quad, comprising the United States, India, Japan, and Australia. However, India’s foreign policy in the past few decades has been characterized by a more transactional approach, taking advantage of what has made financial and strategic sense at a particular moment more than any long-term perspective.</p>
<p>The responses of the West and its allies to the war in Ukraine indicate that such an approach has limited utility. The <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/russia-becomes-worlds-most-sanctioned-country/articleshow/90070310.cms">sanctions regime</a>, seizure of assets, <a href="https://qz.com/2135316/the-g-7-froze-all-of-russias-reserve-assets-in-their-countries/">freezing of reserves</a>, and attack on Russia’s currency are not mere responses to an armed conflict. They mark actions that have been weaponized previously and <a href="https://inthesetimes.com/article/sanctions-war-economic-punishment-afghanistan-iran-cuba-venezuela">deployed</a> against countries like Cuba, Venezuela, and Iran and are a warning to anyone who seeks to challenge the hegemony of the United States and its allies. They are a sign that any substantive challenge to the current global order will be met with a harsh response. The target is Russia today. Could it be China tomorrow? India the day after?</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>A Robust Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>The current moment calls for a fresh approach, and this is where the proposal for nonalignment crops up. Although it is not a new idea, it may now have found its moment of urgency.</p>
<p>The genesis of the Nonaligned Movement (NAM) lies in the tradition of <a href="https://www.telesurenglish.net/multimedia/The-Non-Aligned-Movement-was-Heart-of-Anti-Colonial-Struggle-20160711-0017.html">anti-colonial struggles</a>. For instance, an emergent NAM intervened critically in liberation movements in Africa. In contrast with colonialism, which evolved and continued its predatory activities, NAM was reduced to a moral voice, and its members were isolated and preyed upon by the neoliberal global order that rose from the 1970s.</p>
<p>So, what does nonalignment mean today when a few men and women, with the stroke of a pen, can seize billions in foreign reserves and bar trade between two sovereign countries? It is clear that in order for nonalignment to be effective, it cannot be restricted to transactional relationships or mere moral posturing.</p>
<p>It is also clear that the nonalignment of today must be based on the demand for the <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/text-a-plan-to-save-the-planet/">transformation of the world order</a><a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/text-a-plan-to-save-the-planet/">,</a> which will entail the rejection of the dictatorship of the World Bank and the IMF and the enduring impact of debt, the abolition of sanctions as a tool of war, and a more equitable United Nations. This requires the building of structures for which there are precedents. The BRICS nations had the right <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/05/02/why-nonalignment-is-an-urgent-imperative-for-the-global-south/">idea</a> with the New Development Bank, referred to as the BRICS Development Bank previously, which can be a model for future blocs. Organizations like the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) and the Community of Latin American and Caribbean States (CELAC) in <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/05/10/why-latin-america-needs-a-new-world-order/">Latin America</a> provided examples of such groupings in action.</p>
<p>Such structures are, however, not built in isolation or merely because a few leaders decree it. Their foundation must be based on a two-pronged strategy by individual countries. One prong must be a renewed emphasis on self-reliance in economic development and scientific and technological research. This is perhaps what India lost out on when it abandoned central planning and ended up being a supplier of skilled human resources and a mere recipient of both technology and goods.</p>
<p>The other prong has to be economic relationships that play to the strengths of each country and that can be achieved despite political and diplomatic differences. Trade and commercial blocs in Southeast Asia, Africa, and Latin America have all provided hints of what this could mean and how profoundly it could affect the global order.</p>
<p>For India and other countries in the Global South, this moment offers immense challenges and provides glimpses of the possibility of a new world. Will India transcend its transitional approach and embrace this possibility? There is little reason to expect any desire for change from the ruling class—but this possibility is integral to the agenda of people’s movements.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Prasanth Radhakrishnan</strong></span> is a journalist with Newsclick and Peoples Dispatch.</p>
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<p><a name="section_6"></a></p>
<h1><strong style="color: #403b99;">Europe Is at a Crossroads between Neoliberalism and What People Actually Want</strong></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Nora Garcia Nieves</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>“Neither war that destroys us, nor peace that oppresses us”: This historic anti-war slogan of the Spanish feminist movement holds one of the fundamental keys to building a horizon of peace. It claims that peace is not just a ceasefire, nor is it a surrender or silence in the face of those who impose their wars on others. Rather, peace is the building of a foundation to foster relations based on mutual respect and cooperation.</p>
<p>Such an idea is neither naive nor impossible. Where there’s a will, there’s a way.</p>
<p>Building a new path based on a lasting peace is the only possible alternative for the sustainability of all people and the planet. The opposite of this means a silencing of the people, the loss of human lives, a divided world, permanent war, living in constant fear of nuclear weapons, and misery for the people affected by war.</p>
<p>Those who claim to defend freedom do not want those who are not like them to enjoy it. What we are facing is an “either with me or against me” mentality—or, as Josep Borrell, a high representative of the European Union for foreign affairs and security policy, recently <a href="https://mobile.twitter.com/dw_espanol/status/1498829189482356739">said</a>, “We will remember those who are not by our side.”</p>
<p>Freedom, therefore, is not solely a choice between two options, but the possibility of creating our own option. That is why it is essential that, in the face of the mainstream perception of the world that tries to rob us of the ability to envision a new alternative, we must articulate one where everyone can fit in—where war is not inevitable.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>‘Europe Is Indefensible’</strong></span></h3>
<p>In the current context, with Russia having invaded Ukraine, we are surrounded by a sense of amnesia and the feeling of having returned to the 20th century. Once again, there is war, hatred, and the familiar rhetoric of division of “us” against the “others.” It is shocking that in the face of the war in Ukraine, <a href="https://www.amnesty.org/en/documents/eur05/001/2014/en/">Fortress Europe</a> now finds it is so easy to make changes in policies and to open its doors to white people with blue eyes. This is the same approach that in Europe’s response to the refugees and migrants of war-torn and poor countries in the Global South has turned the Mediterranean Sea into a <a href="https://www.clarin.com/mundo/mediterraneo-gran-fosa-comun-inmigrantes-europa_0_FhU7-2XHT.html">mass grave</a>; that <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2021/may/05/revealed-2000-refugee-deaths-linked-to-eu-pushbacks">illegally</a> carries out pushbacks against migrants; and that <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/frontex-europes-border-agency-fire-aiding-libyas-brutal-migrant-detent-rcna6778">locks</a> asylum-seekers in detention centers, without any access to lawyers. However, the war in Ukraine has proven the EU to be perfectly capable of receiving refugees, but for those trapped in Libya—a country destroyed by NATO—there are no safe routes, no trains, and no free buses. This shows us again: <em>where there’s a will, there’s a way</em>.</p>
<p>All people have the right to flee war and rebuild their lives, like the Afghan, Kurdish, and Syrian people who made their way to Moria, the crowded refugee camp on the Greek island of Lesbos that burned down during the pandemic in 2020, leaving the <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-54082201">almost</a> 13,000 people living in the camps there without any shelter. This is the same camp where 10-year-old children have <a href="https://tdh-europe.org/news/lesbos-prisoners-of-the-horror-camp-story-in-lillustre-magazine/7402">tried</a> to commit suicide due to violence, hunger, and overcrowding. The attitude from colonial Europe’s history has endured, reiterating that there are lives that matter and lives that don’t matter.</p>
<p>But not so many years ago, thousands of Spanish families had to flee fascism, which also persecuted “the others,” a categorization that included the Roma people, members of the LGBTQ community, and supporters of the Spanish Republic. As Aimé Césaire wrote in his <em>Discourse on Colonialism</em>, “Europe is indefensible.” The level of hypocrisy is already astounding, and yet we continue down this path where we talk about peace while we send weapons to the warring nations, we talk about democracy while we support censorship, we talk about human rights while we dismantle the United Nations, we talk about freedom while we ignore the creep of fascism. And at the center of all this is NATO. As if it were not enough to surrender our sovereignty to the capitalist market, we must also surrender it to wars waged by the United States.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>‘You Can’t Eat Dignity, but People Without Dignity Get Down on Their Knees and End Up Without Food’</strong></span></h3>
<p><a href="https://elpais.com/opinion/2020-05-16/julio-y-el-hilo-rojo.html">Julio Anguita González</a>, the late mayor of Córdoba and an influential political leader within Spain’s left wing, famously said, “You can’t eat dignity, but people without dignity get down on their knees and end up without food.” These words echo in my head as I try to figure out what is happening in Europe, or more importantly, what Europe is and how we can make it the opposite of that. But to understand what Europe is today, we must remember that the debates that built the consensus toward this European Union were laid out in abstract and aspirational terms, associating modernity with neoliberalism. While the people became enchanted by an empty European identity, the foundation for an economy separated from political and democratic power was built.</p>
<p>Like the little mermaid from Hans Christian Andersen’s popular fairy tale, we sold our voices for a romantic idea of love—in our case, for a sense of belonging to a vague European identity. While we were voiceless, the EU’s manufacturers filled the gap between economic and social structures with institutions that foster inequalities and a European security project that answers to Washington. The EU’s decisions in the face of the 2008 financial crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the war in Ukraine could not be any further from the real and daily security needs of its people. The lesson we should have taken from the little mermaid, however, is that without our voices, there can be no real love.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>The Fight Against Amnesia</strong></span></h3>
<p>Those of us who have fought against historical amnesia know that we don’t need military alliances, because war is a terrible symptom, but it isn’t the disease plaguing the world. To remove it, Europe urgently needs a heart transplant—an anti-fascist and anti-colonial heart, one that is responsible for the world it builds and the people who live in it and come to it. So how can we make Europe the opposite of what it is now? First, by assuming that we cannot postpone opening our eyes any longer, by seeing Europe for what it is, and by tackling the most difficult task: building a path of our own. With memory, we will be able to undertake that path, one that has been attempted before. Let’s listen to the past, and let’s make the present better. That path goes from the anti-war activist Rosa Luxemburg to the Nonaligned Movement, BRICS, Pan-Africanism, and the struggle of the Mothers of the Plaza de Mayo. All of this history reminds us that the struggle to build an alternative path to peace is full of courage and that those who fought for peace learned on their way that their will also counts.</p>
<p>Because <em>where there’s a will, there’s a way</em>.</p>
<p>More weapons won’t save us—we will.</p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Nora Garcia Nieves</strong></span>, is a member of the No Cold War campaign and lives in Madrid, where she is an activist working in the feminist, internationalist, and cultural struggle.</p>
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<p><a name="section_7"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Cuba’s Nonalignment: A Foreign Policy of Peace and Socialism</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Manolo De Los Santos</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>Though Bandung in Indonesia and Havana in Cuba couldn’t be farther apart geographically—with each city located on two distant islands in their respective countries and separated by more than 17,000 km—they are ideologically close in the imaginations of many people across the Global South. The <a href="https://www.globallearning-cuba.com/blog-umlthe-view-from-the-southuml/the-third-world-project-1948-79">Third World Project</a>, born out of the continuous collaboration between newly independent states and their struggles for national liberation, has defined and continues to define the history of the movements for peace and nonalignment even today.</p>
<p>When the Bandung Conference began on April 18, 1955, Fidel Castro was still a political prisoner on what was then called the Isle of Pines, just south of Havana. He was serving a 15-year sentence for having organized a failed attack on the Moncada Barracks two years before. During those years in prison, a young Fidel read voraciously and began to solidify his ideas on the concepts of sovereignty and independence and how they had to be redefined during the Cold War, when imperialism was developing new approaches about how to continue with the subjugation of whole continents.</p>
<p>As Fidel and his comrades in prison charted a new path for Cuba, it was clear that their cause for national liberation had to be closely connected to a broader project of ensuring development and work toward active nonalignment for the people of the Third World.</p>
<p>From the round table in Bandung, the leaders of the Third World unleashed a global struggle to <a href="https://www.globallearning-cuba.com/blog-umlthe-view-from-the-southuml/the-third-world-project-1948-79">restructure</a> the prevailing world system of that time. The conference witnessed the convergence of socialist countries and the Third World and saw a growing unity among these nations in the struggles to deepen the process of decolonization.</p>
<p>While at the Bandung Conference, the independent governments of Asia and Africa raised the urgency of reviving the anti-imperialist and anti-colonial struggle and the need to increasingly unite and solidify the interests and aspirations of their people. The vast majority of the governments of Latin America, meanwhile, went against the common interests and aspirations of their people and further submitted to U.S. imperialism under the guise of the Organization of American States (OAS), already functioning as the Ministry of Colonies of the U.S. Department of State, as Fidel would later <a href="https://mondediplo.com/2020/05/13oas">call</a> it.</p>
<p>In 1959, the Cuban Revolution triumphed, marking a transformative point of no return for Latin America and its relations with the United States, whose government would later decide not to recognize the revolutionary process on the island. By 1961, Cuba became the focal point of U.S. aggression in the region, leading to a blockade that is <a href="https://www.midwesternmarx.com/articles/the-blockade-against-cuba-turns-60-by-rosa-miriam-elizalde">now</a> six decades old. For the first time in history, a guerrilla movement had carried out a revolution and confronted U.S. imperialism right under its nose, unleashing far-reaching transformations in its socioeconomic structure that were opposed to the neocolonial interests of U.S. domination.</p>
<p>Soon after, Cuba became the only country in Latin America to join the Nonaligned Movement (NAM), created in Yugoslavia in 1961. Fidel Castro and the Cuban Revolution would begin to play a <a href="https://www.e-ir.info/2020/12/19/cuban-cold-war-internationalism-and-the-nonaligned-movement/">strategic</a> role in internationalist solidarity with the anti-imperialist and anti-colonial liberation struggles of the people of the Third World.</p>
<p>The Cuban Revolution was fully aware that its destiny was at one with that of the people of Latin America, Asia, and Africa. As Fidel <a href="https://tinyurl.com/yu36wvwa">said</a> in 1962, “What is the history of Cuba if not the history of Latin America? And what is the history of Latin America if not the history of Asia, Africa, and Oceania? And what is the history of all these people if not the history of the most ruthless and cruel exploitation of imperialism in the entire world?”</p>
<p>When Cuba joined the NAM in 1961, its foreign policy was at a stage of strategic definition. Cuba’s commitment to the Third World became a pillar of its internationalist strategy, whether through the Nonaligned Movement or the <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/our-history/">Tricontinental Conference</a> or the subsequent <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/homage-to-ospaaal-the-organisation-of-solidarity-for-the-peoples-of-asia-africa-and-latin-america-newsletter-thirty-one-2019/">Organization of Solidarity of the People of Asia, Africa, and Latin America</a> (OSPAAAL). In the coming decades, many of the national liberation movements that met in Havana in January 1966 during the first conference of OSPAAAL would be among the new states that began to participate in the Nonaligned Movement, becoming the new Third World paradigm.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Committed to Our Own Principles of Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>At the founding meeting of the Nonaligned Movement in socialist Belgrade (then the capital of Yugoslavia) in 1961, Osvaldo Dorticós Torrado, Cuba’s president at the time, stated that nonalignment “didn’t mean that we are not committed countries. We are committed to our own principles. And those of us who are peace-loving people, who struggle to assert their sovereignty, and to achieve the fullness of national development, are, finally, committed to responding to those transcendent aspirations and not betraying those principles.” In his opening speech during the founding NAM meeting, at a time when many criticized Cuba’s apparent “alignment” with the Soviet Union and attacked the premise of national liberation being tied to a socialist project, Dorticós sought to further define nonalignment, stating that the moment required “more than general formulations, [and that] concrete problems must be considered.”</p>
<p>This active definition of nonalignment has been important for Cuba’s foreign policy in its relationship with the most progressive forces of the Third World. The thinking of the Nonaligned Movement, starting from 1973, seems to have abandoned the ideas about “neutrality” that had permeated the movement since its creation and has expanded its activities to international economic relations in defense of the need for a new international economic order with much more force than in its previous period.</p>
<p>Following the fall of the USSR and the rise of the United States to a position of near primacy, the NAM struggled to adapt to the new realities and became adrift. In recent years, however, with the revival of regionalism in Latin America, and with the emergence of Eurasian integration, the importance of nonalignment and the NAM are gradually being considered once again. People around the world are resistant to the coercion tactics adopted by the United States, which has been trying to isolate countries that do not submit to the will of Washington. This has especially become clear with the June 2022 Organization of American States’ Summit of the Americas in Los Angeles, which countries such as Bolivia, Mexico, and Honduras <a href="https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2022-05-21/biden-risks-troubled-americas-summit-in-los-angeles">boycotted</a> in protest of the ban that prevented Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela from attending. As an alternative, the <a href="https://peoplessummit2022.org/">People’s Summit for Democracy</a> carried forth the legacy of Bandung and Havana, bringing together the voices of the excluded.</p>
<p> </p>
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<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Manolo De Los Santos</strong></span> is the co-executive director of the <a href="https://peoplesforum.org/">People’s Forum</a> and a researcher at <a href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/">Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research</a>. Most recently, he co-edited <em>Viviremos: Venezuela vs. Hybrid War</em> (<a href="https://mayday.leftword.com/catalog/product/view/id/22050">LeftWord Books</a>/<a href="https://1804books.com/products/viviremos-venezuela-vs-hybrid-war">1804 Books</a>, 2020) and <em>Comrade of the Revolution: Selected Speeches of Fidel Castro</em> (<a href="https://mayday.leftword.com/catalog/product/view/id/22524">LeftWord Books</a>/<a href="https://1804books.com/products/comrade-of-the-revolution-selected-speeches-of-fidel-castro">1804 Books</a>, 2021). He is a co-coordinator of the <a href="https://peoplessummit2022.org/">People’s Summit for Democracy</a>.</p>
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<p><a name="section_8"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Rejecting War Is Not Enough—Racism Curdles Peace</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Claudia Webbe</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>War and racism have always been violently, tragically inseparable. For centuries, the most devastating and brutal conflicts in the world have been driven by destructive notions of racial superiority and murderous assertions of ethnic differences.</p>
<p>Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is abhorrent and deeply concerning. It is an unprovoked, unjustifiable outrage and a heinous violation of international law that will have long-lasting and tragic consequences. The Russian aggression, military bombardment, and deployment of troops to Ukraine should end immediately.</p>
<p>No good can ever come from war and military escalation. As <a href="https://globetrotter.media/author/vijayprashad/">Globetrotter</a> journalist Vijay Prashad <a href="https://peoplesdispatch.org/2022/02/26/vijay-prashad-war-itself-is-a-crime/">said</a> at the <a href="https://peoplesforum.org/">People’s Forum</a> in February 2022, “War is never good for the poor. War is never good for workers. War itself is a crime.” The international community needs to redouble its efforts to find a diplomatic solution that ensures peace and protects the lives of people in Ukraine and in other countries <span style="color: #000000;">afflicted by war.</span></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Racism and Wars</strong></span></h3>
<p>The ubiquity of support for Ukraine, especially by Western states, holds up a mirror to show how, through the prism of racism, some conflicts, wars, and incidences of mass suffering are seen as more important and deserving of sympathy than others. There have been numerous instances of journalists expressing shock that the appalling images of suffering from Ukraine are taking place in a European country with a majority white population. This was expressed by NBC News London correspondent Kelly Cobiella, who <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CBWuDajHdCo">said</a>: “To put it bluntly, these are not refugees from Syria; these are refugees from neighboring Ukraine… These are Christians; they’re white. They’re very similar [to us].” Echoing this explicit reference to race, Ukraine’s former Deputy Chief Prosecutor David Sakvarelidze <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pU-8gKaUO_Y">told</a> the BBC: “It’s very emotional for me because I see European people with blue eyes and blond hair being killed.”</p>
<p>If we contrast this to the dehumanizing language used to describe nonwhite refugees, asylum-seekers, and victims of war—such as former British Prime Minister David Cameron’s <a href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/uk-politics-33714282">description</a> of refugees as a “swarm”—a very worrying picture emerges about the inherent racism in how crises are reported, discussed, and responded to by the media, leaders, and the public across the world. This othering of nonwhite, non-European people serves to diminish their suffering. We should oppose the unjustifiable trauma of people in Ukraine as vehemently as we do the suffering of victims of conflicts in Palestine, Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan, and other countries suffering from the evils of war.</p>
<p>The media organizations and the UK government need to recognize that every theater of conflict is deserving of both our solidarity and our compassion. The UK government should therefore provide safe passage and refuge for displaced people, refugees, and asylum-seekers arriving from Ukraine as well as all other theaters of conflict across the globe. The UK government’s ongoing hypocrisy is clear to see with the abhorrent <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/04/1116342">Rwanda offshore processing plan</a> and the anti-refugee <a href="https://bills.parliament.uk/bills/3023">Nationality and Borders Act</a> of 2022, which provides for drastic changes in Britain’s asylum system. These policies should be scrapped immediately.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>A Long Tradition of Nonalignment</strong></span></h3>
<p>On March 2, 2022, the United Nations held a <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2022/03/1113152">vote</a> on a motion condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This was supported by 141 of its 193 member states, with just <a href="https://theweek.com/russo-ukrainian-war/1010836/only-5-countries-including-north-korea-vote-against-un-resolution">five states</a>—Russia, Belarus, North Korea, Eritrea, and Syria—voting against it. To understand why 35 states, which are overwhelmingly former colonies from the Global South, abstained from voting on the motion, it is vital to consider the long tradition of nonalignment based on which these states are acting.</p>
<p>The <a href="https://www.globallearning-cuba.com/blog-umlthe-view-from-the-southuml/the-third-world-project-1948-79">Bandung Conference</a> of 1955 is rightly considered one of the most important meetings in human history, as it was a hugely inspiring global gathering of formerly colonized people and was a strong assertion of Pan-Africanism and anti-imperialist solidarity. The conference also helped to popularize the Nonaligned Movement, which was an effort to counterbalance the rapid polarization of the world during the Cold War, whereby two major powers formed blocs and embarked on a policy to pull the rest of the world into their orbits. One of these blocs was the pro-Soviet, communist bloc united under the Warsaw Pact, and the other was the pro-American, capitalist group of countries, many of which were members of NATO. Millions of civilians died during the proxy wars between the U.S. and the Soviet Union in the second half of the 20th century, and the ever-present threat of nuclear annihilation hung like the sword of Damocles over the entire planet.</p>
<p>Nonalignment points us toward a safer, more peaceful future. In 1961, drawing on the principles agreed to at the Bandung Conference of 1955, the Nonaligned Movement was formally established in Belgrade, then part of Yugoslavia. Today, the Nonaligned Movement includes 120 countries, representing nearly <a href="https://espace-mondial-atlas.sciencespo.fr/en/topic-regulatory-efforts/focus-6F02-EN-contemporary-aspects-of-nonalignment.html">two-thirds</a> of the United Nations’ members, which are home to 55 percent of the world’s population. Kwame Nkrumah, the first president of Ghana and a leader of the Nonaligned Movement, famously <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/1960/11/21/archives/ghana-tells-us-she-is-a-neutral-nkrumah-assures-envoy-in-accra-his.html">said</a>, “We face neither East nor West; we face forward.”</p>
<p>While the Nonaligned Movement developed during the geopolitics of the Cold War, it was founded and has endured on the recognition that no good can ever come from war and that violent conflicts, colonialism, and racism have always been closely intertwined. For instance, of the 35 countries that abstained from voting on March 2, 17 were <a href="https://www.brookings.edu/blog/africa-in-focus/2022/03/09/figure-of-the-week-african-countries-votes-on-the-un-resolution-condemning-russias-invasion-of-ukraine/">African nations</a> that for centuries suffered the violent extraction of colonialism. The abstention was far from a reflection of support for Russia’s invasion. It was an assertion of pacifism made by countries that for centuries have lived under the abominable racist outcomes of colonial warfare.</p>
<p>Across the world, instances of appalling murder and violence at the hands of the British state have been erased from our present-day memory of the empire. The time has come for former colonial states to apologize for and take seriously the historical debt that they owe to the countries, communities, and individuals who endured their cruelty. A revitalized Nonaligned Movement, guided by the principles of pacifism, justice, and international cooperation, could help rebalance the scales of global politics away from racist wars and toward a future of peace.</p>
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<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Claudia Webbe</strong> </span>is a member of the UK Parliament representing Leicester East. You can follow her on <a href="https://www.facebook.com/claudiaforLE/">Facebook</a> and on Twitter <a href="https://twitter.com/ClaudiaWebbe">@ClaudiaWebbe</a>.</p>
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<p><a name="section_9"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Why Peace and Disarmament Are at the Heart of Nonalignment</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Kate Hudson</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>As our world spirals toward the catastrophe of nuclear war, there has never been a greater need for a new global balancing, a rejection of great power, war, exploitation, and aggression. Now more than ever, we need to reject the brutal unipolar agenda of the United States, the dividing up of the world between hostile powers, and the suppression of the rights of the many in the interests of the few. Nowhere is this clearer than the possession of nuclear weapons: only nine states possess these ultimate weapons of mass destruction, yet they can hold the rest of the world to ransom with their nuclear terror.</p>
<p>The struggle for a genuinely multipolar world, aligned only with the world’s people, not military blocs, has peace and disarmament at its heart: this is as true now as it was 60 years ago when the Nonaligned Movement (NAM) was founded. As well as opposition to colonization and economic subjection, those founding the movement championed self-determination and equality in states’ relations, and they also agreed on their opposition to military blocs, their commitment to world peace, and a very strong advocacy of global nuclear disarmament. That thread has remained a constant ever since, and today we continue to see the countries of the Global South leading global disarmament initiatives.</p>
<p>Virtually the entire Global South is self-organized into internationally recognized nuclear-weapons-free zones originating in the 1960s. In 1967, a nuclear-weapons-free zone was established by 21 countries in Latin America renouncing the acquisition and siting of nuclear weapons on their territories. Signatories to this treaty, the Treaty of Tlatelolco, also agreed to International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) jurisdiction over their nuclear power facilities. In return, nuclear weapons states agreed not to use or threaten to use nuclear weapons against any of the signatory states. The Treaty of Rarotonga, signed in 1985, prohibited nuclear explosive devices in the South Pacific and banned the testing and use of nuclear explosive technologies. The African nuclear-weapons-free zone was formalized in 1996 with the signing of the Treaty of Pelindaba following South Africa’s disarmament of its apartheid-era nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>There has been strong regional development in disarmament led by the Global South, but there have also been—and continue to be—global attempts. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), negotiated during the 1960s, which came into force in 1970, was in large part initiated by India to bring proliferation and spiraling arsenals under control. India and Pakistan both declined to join the NPT, asserting that it enshrined nuclear haves and have-nots in law—a two-tier, double standards system. Regrettably, they both went on to test and develop their own arsenals. But the point was correct—nuclear weapons states did not comply with their NPT obligations to disarm. Indeed, they have subsequently attempted to reinterpret the NPT as allowing them to retain nuclear weapons.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>The West Departs</strong></span></h3>
<p>In the early years of the 21st century, in the context of the so-called “war on terror,” U.S. President George W. Bush and UK Prime Minister Tony Blair attempted to shift the international legal framework governing nuclear weapons. They tried to overturn the disarmament requirement, focusing on preventing more countries from acquiring nuclear weapons. Their goal was to reinterpret the NPT as legitimizing the possession of weapons by existing nuclear states while using it to justify confrontation with states accused of proliferation. They claimed that a new document was needed to reflect the drastic changes in international security conditions, including the September 11 attacks in 2001.</p>
<p>The reality was that the U.S. and UK were researching new weapons and would be prepared to use them even against a non-nuclear-weapons state, and they were also developing weapons for confrontation with more powerful states such as Russia or China. This was the real driver of nuclear proliferation, together with the U.S. determination to make Israel the only nuclear weapons state in the Middle East.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>A New Path</strong></span></h3>
<p>It was frustration with the NPT that led to the founding of the Humanitarian Initiative on the consequences of nuclear weapons in 2013. This initiative came to fruition in the form of the Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons (TPNW), which entered into force in January 2021.</p>
<p>The treaty makes nuclear weapons illegal for the first time, outlawing the development, possession, and deployment of nuclear weapons by participating states. The treaty currently has 61 states parties that are legally bound by the treaty and many more that are in the process of coming on board. The countries of the Global South are at the forefront of achieving this treaty; they understand that any nuclear weapons use by states in the Global North will disastrously affect their own populations, lands, and food production. As has always been their position, any possession of nuclear weapons is unacceptable; no hands are safe hands when it comes to nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>In a remarkable development, the treaty also places obligations on signatories to assist victims of nuclear weapons use and testing. It requires environmental remediation for lands contaminated by nuclear testing. It also explicitly recognizes the disproportionate impact of nuclear weapon activities on Indigenous peoples because of the choices made by colonial nuclear powers for their testing sites. For example, many of the UK tests were conducted on the Australian First People’s territories in Emu Field and Maralinga, contaminating large parts of South Australia. France conducted nuclear tests in its former colonies, including 17 in Algeria and 193 in French Polynesia. These historic wrongs must be righted.</p>
<p>The initiatives of the global majority for peace and disarmament show that another world is possible. War is terrible. In all wars, people suffer, and war’s consequences last for generations. Countless people’s futures are destroyed, as we see in Ukraine, Afghanistan, Palestine, Yemen, Libya, Syria, Iraq, and the Sahel. The priorities of humanity are to fight against inequality and poverty, tackle the climate crisis, and expand access to health and vaccines. Massive state spending on military production and destruction is a criminal waste of resources. Military alliances do not solve our problems, but dialogue, demilitarization, and international cooperation do.</p>
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<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Kate Hudson</strong></span> is the general secretary of the <a href="https://cnduk.org/">Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament</a>. She is a leading anti-nuclear and anti-war campaigner in the United Kingdom and internationally.</p>
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<p><a name="section_10"></a></p>
<h1><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>$2 Trillion for War Versus $100 Billion to Save the Planet</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;">By Murad Qureshi</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>During late April and early May, South Asia was shaken by the terrible impacts of global warming, with temperatures <a href="https://www.npr.org/2022/05/03/1096085028/climate-scientists-say-south-asias-heat-wave-120f-is-a-sign-of-whats-to-come">reaching</a> almost 50 degrees Celsius (122 Fahrenheit) in some cities in the region. These high temperatures came alongside dangerous flooding in Northeast India and in Bangladesh as the rivers burst their banks, with <a href="https://reliefweb.int/report/bangladesh/flash-flooding-northeast-bangladesh-sylhet-sunamganj-and-netrokona-district-briefing-note-19062022">flash floods</a> taking place in places like Sunamganj in Sylhet, Bangladesh.</p>
<p>Saleemul Huq, the director of the <a href="https://www.iied.org/users/saleemul-huq#:~:text=Saleemul%20Huq%20is%20the%20director,the%20perspective%20of%20developing%20countries.">International Center of Climate Change and Development</a>, is from Bangladesh. He is a veteran of the UN climate change negotiations. When Huq read a tweet by Marianne Karlsen, the co-chair of the UN’s Adaptation Committee, which <a href="https://twitter.com/LossandDamage/status/1537434616809725953">said</a> that “[m]ore time is needed to reach an agreement” while referring to the negotiations on loss and damage finance, he <a href="https://twitter.com/SaleemulHuq/status/1537437290263216128">tweeted back</a>: “The one thing we have run out of is Time! Climate change impacts are already happening, and poor people are suffering losses and damages due to the emissions of the rich. Talk is no longer an acceptable substitute for action (money!)” Karlsen’s comment came in light of the treacle-slow process of <a href="https://time.com/6188699/loss-damages-blocked-from-cop27-agenda/">agreeing</a> on the “loss and damage” agenda for the 27th Conference of Parties or COP27 meeting to be held in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, in November 2022.</p>
<p>In 2009, at COP15, developed countries of the world agreed to a <a href="https://www.unep.org/news-and-stories/story/what-does-cop26-mean-adaptation">$100 billion</a> annual adaptation assistance fund, which was supposed to be paid by 2020. This fund was intended to assist countries of the Global South to shift their reliance on carbon to renewable sources of energy and to adapt to the realities of the climate catastrophe. At the time of the Glasgow COP26 meeting in November 2021, however, developed countries were unable to meet this commitment. The $100 billion may seem like a modest fund, but it is far less than the <a href="https://news.un.org/en/story/2021/06/1094762">Trillion Dollar Climate Finance Challenge</a> that will be required to ensure comprehensive climate action.</p>
<p>The richer states—led by the West—have not only refused to seriously fund this adaptation, but they have also reneged on the original agreements such as the <a href="https://unfccc.int/kyoto_protocol">Kyoto Protocol</a> (1997), an important step toward mitigating the climate crisis that the U.S. Congress has <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2013/07/26/world/kyoto-protocol-fast-facts/index.html">refused</a> to ratify. Furthermore, the United States has shifted the goalposts for reducing its methane emissions and has refused to account for the <a href="https://watson.brown.edu/research/2019/pentagon-fuel-use-climate-change-and-costs-war">massive output</a> of carbon emissions by the U.S. military.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Germany’s Money Goes to War Instead of the Climate</strong></span></h3>
<p>Germany hosts the secretariat of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. In June, as a prelude to COP27, the UN held a <a href="https://unfccc.int/SB56">conference</a> on climate change in Bonn. The talks ended in acrimony over finance for what is known as “loss and damage.” The European Union consistently blocked all discussions on compensation. Eddy Pérez of the Climate Action Network, Canada, <a href="https://climatenetwork.org/2022/06/16/eu-hypocrisy-as-a-climate-champion-exposed-at-bonn-climate-conference%EF%BF%BC/">said</a>, “Consumed by their narrow national interests, rich nations and in particular countries in the European Union came to the Bonn Climate Conference to block, delay, and undermine efforts from people and communities on the frontlines addressing the losses and damage caused by fossil fuels.”</p>
<p>On the table is the hypocrisy of countries such as Germany, which claims to lead on these issues but instead has been sourcing fossil fuels overseas and has been spending increasing funds on their military. At the same time, these countries have denied support to developing countries facing devastation from climate-induced superstorms and rising seas.</p>
<p>After the German elections in September 2021, hopes were raised that the new coalition of the Social Democrats with the Green Party would lift up the green agenda. However, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz has instead <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/a9045654-f378-4f42-a012-e35f9e43b135">promised</a> €100 billion for the military, which Financial Times reporter Guy Chazan described as “the biggest increase in the country’s military expenditure since the end of the Cold War.” Chancellor Sholz also committed to increasing the military budget to more than 2 percent of the country’s gross domestic product. This means more money for the military and less money for climate mitigation and green transformation.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>The Military and the Climate Catastrophe</strong></span></h3>
<p>The money that is being swallowed into Western military establishments does not only drift away from any climate spending but also promotes greater climate catastrophe. The U.S. military is the largest institutional polluter on the planet. The maintenance of its more than 800 military bases around the world, for instance, means that the U.S. military <a href="https://worldbeyondwar.org/climate-collapse-and-the-responsibility-of-the-military/">consumes</a> 395,000 barrels of oil daily. In 2021, the world’s governments <a href="https://www.sipri.org/media/press-release/2022/world-military-expenditure-passes-2-trillion-first-time#:~:text=(Stockholm%2C%2025%20April%202022),2021%2C%20to%20reach%20%242113%20billion.">spent</a> $2 trillion on weapons, with the leading countries being those who are the richest (as well as the most sanctimonious on the climate debate). Money is available for war but not to deal with the climate catastrophe.</p>
<p>The way weapons have poured into the Ukraine conflict gives many of us pause. The prolongation of that war is intensifying severe food insecurity in a <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/climate-environment/2022/06/13/climate-disasters-collide-with-ukraine-war-deepen-hunger-crisis/">global reality</a> in which 49 million people have already been identified as being at risk of famine in 46 countries as result of conflicts, climate change, and extreme weather conditions, <a href="https://www.fao.org/documents/card/en/c/cc0364en/">according</a> to the “Hunger Hotspots” report by the United Nations agencies. Conflict and organized violence were the main sources of food insecurity in Africa and the Middle East, specifically in northern Nigeria, central Sahel, eastern Democratic Republic of Congo, Ethiopia, Somalia, South Sudan, Yemen, and Syria. The war in Ukraine has exacerbated the food crisis by driving up the price of agricultural commodities, as Russia and Ukraine together account for around 30 percent of the global wheat trade. So, the longer the Ukraine war continues, the more “hunger hotspots” will grow, taking the concentration of severe food insecurity beyond Africa and the Middle East.</p>
<p>While one COP meeting has already taken place on the African continent, another will take place later this year. First, Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, hosted the UN Convention to Combat Desertification in May 2022, and then Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, will host the UN Climate Change Conference (COP27) in November 2022. These are major forums for African states to put on the table the great damage done to parts of the continent due to the climate catastrophe.</p>
<p>When the representatives of the countries of the world gather at Sharm el-Sheikh, they will hear Western representatives talk about climate change, make pledges, and then do everything possible to continue to exacerbate the catastrophe. What we saw in Bonn is a prelude to what will be a fiasco in Sharm el-Sheikh.</p>
<p> </p>
<hr class="line">
<p> </p>
<p><span style="color: #403b99;"><strong>Murad Qureshi</strong></span> is a former member of the London Assembly and a former chair of the Stop the War Coalition.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>The United States Is Waging a New Cold War: A Socialist Perspective</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/the-united-states-is-waging-a-new-cold-war-a-socialist-perspective/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Amilcar]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Sep 2022 05:00:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Contemporary dilemmas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NATO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[neoconservatism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Eurasia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military industrial complex]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ukraine War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[world war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Henry Kissinger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[john ross]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Climate change]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[John Bellamy Foster]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[deborah veneziale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hegemony]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Monthly Review]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Global South]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear war]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Cold War]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear primacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[exterminism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear winter]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=64140</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In our collaboration with the Peace and Justice Project, Globetrotter, and the Morning Star, we explore the realities of war and the possibilities of nonalignment and peace.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><b>Contents</b></span></h3>
<ol style="padding-left: 1.5em;" start="1">
<li><a href="#section_1">Introduction</a> by Vijay Prashad</li>
<li><a href="#section_2">What Is Propelling the United States into Increasing International Military Aggression?</a> by John Ross (Luo Siyi)</li>
<li><a href="#section_3">Who Is Leading the United States to War?</a> by Deborah Veneziale</li>
<li><a href="#section_4">“Notes on Exterminism” for the Twenty-First-Century Ecology and Peace Movements</a> by John Bellamy Foster</li>
</ol>
<p> </p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-64182 img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/mrs_logos.png" alt="Tricontinental Institute, Monthly Review Press and NoColdWar logos" width="600" height="51" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/mrs_logos.png 600w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/mrs_logos-300x26.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 600px) 100vw, 600px"></p>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_1"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_1"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Introduction</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">Vijay Prashad</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>At the World Economic Forum meeting in Davos (Switzerland) on May 23, 2022, former U.S. Secretary of State Henry Kissinger made some remarks about Ukraine that struck a nerve. Rather than be caught up “in the mood of the moment,” Kissinger said, the West—led by the United States—needs to enable a peace agreement that satisfies the Russians. “Pursuing the war beyond [this] point,” Kissinger said, “would not be about the freedom of Ukraine, but a new war against Russia itself.” Most of the commentary from the Western foreign policy establishment rolled their eyes and dismissed Kissinger’s comments. Kissinger, no peacenik, nonetheless indicated the great danger of escalation towards not only the establishment of a new iron curtain around Asia but perhaps open—and lethal—warfare between the West and Russia as well as China. This sort of unthinkable outcome was too much, even for Henry Kissinger, whose boss, former President Richard Nixon, spoke frequently of the Madman Theory of international relations; Nixon told his chief of staff Bob Haldeman that he had his “hand on the nuclear button” to terrify Ho Chi Minh into capitulation.</p>
<p>During the lead-up to the U.S.’s illegal invasion of Iraq in 2003, I spoke to a senior member of the U.S. State Department who told me that the prevailing theory in Washington amounts to a simple slogan: <i>short-term pain for long-term gain</i>. He explained that the general view is that the nation’s elites are willing to tolerate short-term pain for other countries—and perhaps for working people in the United States, who could experience economic difficulties due to the disruptions and carnage created by war. However, if all goes well, this price will result in long-term gain as the United States would be able to maintain what it has sought to maintain since the end of the Second World War, which is primacy. <i>If all goes well</i> is the premise that sent shivers down my back as he spoke, but what rattled me just as much was the callousness about who must face the pain and who would enjoy the gain. It was quite cynically said in Washington that it was worth the price that Iraqis and working-class U.S. soldiers be negatively impacted (and die), so long as large oil and financial companies could enjoy the fruits of a conquered Iraq. This attitude—<i>short term pain, long-term gain</i>—is the defining hallucination of the elites in the United States, who are unwilling to tolerate the project of building human dignity and the longevity of nature.</p>
<p><i>Short term pain, long-term gain</i> defines the dangerous escalation by the United States and its Western allies against Russia and China. What is striking about the posture of the United States is that it seeks to prevent a historical process that seems inevitable, which is the process of Eurasian integration. After the collapse of the U.S. housing market and the major credit crisis in the Western banking sector, the Chinese government, alongside other Global South countries, pivoted to build platforms that were not dependent upon the markets of North America and Europe. These platforms included the creation of BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) in 2009 and the announcement of One Belt, One Road (later the Belt and Road Initiative or BRI) in 2013. Russia’s energy supply and its massive metal and mineral holdings, as well as China’s industrial and technological capacity, drew many countries into association with the BRI despite their political orientation, with Russia’s export of energy undergirding this association. These countries included Poland, Italy, Bulgaria, and Portugal, while Germany is now China’s largest trading partner in goods.</p>
<p>The historical fact of Eurasian integration threatened the primacy of the United States and of the Atlantic elites. It is this threat that drives the dangerous attempt by the United States to use any means to “weaken” both Russia and China. Old habits continue to dominate in Washington, which has long sought nuclear primacy to negate the theory of détente. The United States has developed a nuclear capacity and posture that would allow it to destroy the planet to maintain its hegemony. The strategies to weaken Russia and China include an attempt to isolate these countries through the escalation of the U.S.-imposed hybrid war (such as sanctions and the information war) and a desire to dismember these countries and then dominate them in perpetuity.</p>
<p>The three essays in this volume closely and rationally analyze the longer-term trends that have now manifested in Ukraine.</p>
<p>John Bellamy Foster, the editor of <i>Monthly Review</i>, catalogued the “escalation domination” theory of the U.S. establishment, which has been willing to risk nuclear winter—which means annihilation—to hold onto primacy. Despite the actual numbers of nuclear weapons held by Russia and the United States, the latter has developed an entire counterforce architecture that it believes can destroy Russian and Chinese nuclear weapons and then pulverize these countries into submission. This fantasy emerges not only in the turgid documents of U.S. policy makers, but it also appears occasionally in the popular press, where arguments are made about the importance of a nuclear attack against Russia.</p>
<p>Deborah Veneziale, a journalist based in Italy, excavates the social world of militarism in the United States, looking at how the various factions of the U.S. political elite have come together to support this strategy of confrontation against Russia and China. The intimate world of think tanks and arms production companies, of politicians and their scribes, has negated the constitutional protections of checks and balances. There is a rush to conflict so that the U.S. elites can protect their extraordinary control over global social wealth (the combined net worth of the richest 400 U.S. citizens is now close to $3.5 trillion, while the global elites, many of them from the United States, have hoarded nearly $40 trillion in illicit tax havens).</p>
<p>John Ross, a member of the No Cold War collective, writes that the United States has qualitatively escalated its military assault on the planet through the conflict in Ukraine. This war is dangerous because it shows that the United States is willing to directly confront Russia, a major power, and that it is willing to escalate its conflict with China by “Ukrainizing” Taiwan. What can constrain the United States, Ross argues, is China’s resilience and its commitment to defending its sovereignty and its project, as well as the growing annoyance in the Global South against the U.S.’s imposition of its foreign policy objectives. Most countries in the world do not see the Ukraine War as their conflict since they are gripped with the need to address broader dilemmas of humanity. It is telling that the head of the African Union, Moussa Faki Mahamat, said on May 25, 2022 that Africa has become “the collateral victim of a distant conflict, that between Russia and Ukraine.” The conflict is distant not only in terms of space, but also in terms of the political objectives of countries in Africa, as well as in Asia and Latin America.</p>
<p>This study is jointly produced by Monthly Review, No Cold War, and Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research. We invite you to read it, share it with friends, and discuss it wherever you get the opportunity. Precious human life and the longevity of the planet are at stake. It is impossible to ignore these facts. Most of the people of the world would like to get along with our real problems. We do not want to be dragooned into a conflict that is driven by a parochial desire by the Western elite to maintain their preponderant power. We affirm life.</p>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_2"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_2"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>What Is Propelling the United States into Increasing International Military Aggression?</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">John Ross</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Introduction</strong></span></h3>
<p>The events leading to the Ukraine War represent a qualitative acceleration of a more than two-decade-long trend in which the United States has escalated its military aggression on an international level. Before the Ukraine War, the United States carried out military confrontations only against developing countries, which had far weaker armed forces and did not possess nuclear weapons: the bombing of Serbia in 1999, the invasions of Afghanistan in 2001 and of Iraq in 2003, and the bombing of Libya in 2011. However, the U.S. threat to extend the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) into Ukraine, which is the main cause of the war, represents something fundamentally different. The United States was aware that extending NATO into Ukraine would directly confront the national interests of Russia, a country with large military forces and an enormous nuclear arsenal. Though it would cross Russia’s red lines, the United States was ready to take this risk.</p>
<p>The United States has not (yet) committed its own soldiers to the war in Ukraine, stating that this would threaten a world war and risk nuclear catastrophe. But it is, in fact, engaging in a proxy war against Russia. Not only has it insisted on leaving open the possibility that Ukraine could join NATO, but it trained Ukraine’s army in the lead up to the war and has now supplied massive amounts of military weapons and passed satellite and other intelligence information to the country. So far, U.S. aid to Ukraine has amounted to some $50 billion.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>How the United States Pushed Ukraine into the War</strong></span></h3>
<p>The United States and its allies have been preparing Ukraine for war since at least 2014, such as by sending hundreds of instructors to train Ukraine’s military. This is similar to its approach during the Gulf War in Iraq in 1990, reflecting a model that Washington appears to be using to achieve its geopolitical goals. Russia was purposefully lured into the situation in Ukraine beginning with the 2014 coup, when anti-Russian forces took power in Kiev, backed by Ukrainian neo-Nazis as well as by the United States. At that time, the Ukrainian army was not a powerful military force, having suffered considerably following the “reforms” launched in 1991, after the collapse of the United Socialist Soviet Republic (U.S.S.R.). Decades of neglect and underfunding led to decaying military infrastructure and equipment, along with the depletion of morale among officers and soldiers. As Vyacheslav Tetekin, a member of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (K.P.R.F.), puts it, “The Ukrainian army did not want [to] and could not fight.”</p>
<p>After the 2014 coup, state spending was diverted away from improving social welfare and redeployed toward building up the military. From 2015–2019, Ukraine’s military budget increased from $1.7 billion to $8.9 billion, constituting 6% of the country’s GDP in 2019. Measured as a percentage of its GDP, Ukraine spent three times more on its military than most developed countries in the West. Extensive funds were poured into restoring and modernizing the country’s military hardware, and ultimately re-establishing the military’s combat capability.</p>
<p>During the 2014–15 war against Donbass (the Russian-speaking region of eastern Ukraine), Ukraine had little air combat support, as nearly all combat aircraft were in need of repair. However, by February 2022, the Air Force was equipped with approximately 150 fighters, bombers, and attack aircraft. The size of the Ukrainian Armed Forces also expanded dramatically. It is important to note that, at the end of 2021, remuneration for soldiers increased three-fold, according to Tetekin’s data. This strengthening of military power alongside powerful fortifications erected near Donbass indicates the U.S. intention to initiate conflict in the region.</p>
<p>However, despite these preparations for war, the Ukrainian army was unable to seriously contest with Russia. The balance of forces was clearly not in favor of Kiev. This did not matter to the United States, which sought to use Ukraine as cannon fodder against Russia. According to Tetekin, “the United States planned two options for the new, militarized Ukraine… The first one was to conquer Donbass and invade Crimea. The second option was to provoke Russia’s armed intervention.”</p>
<p>In December 2021, aware of the growing danger it faced from Ukraine under U.S. influence, Russia sought a set of security guarantees from NATO to defuse the crisis. In particular, Russia demanded that NATO end its eastward expansion, including membership of Ukraine. “The West… ignored these demands,” Tetekin writes, “knowing that preparations for the invasion of Donbass [were] in full swing. Most combat-ready units of the Ukrainian Army, numbering up to 150 thousand people, were concentrated close to Donbass. They could break the resistance of local troops within days, with the complete destruction of Donetsk and Lugansk and [the] death of thousands.”<a href="#_sect1_edn1" name="_sect1_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Ukraine Is a Qualitative Escalation of Military Aggression by the United States</strong></span></h3>
<p>It is therefore clear from both the fundamental political facts—the U.S.’s insistence on Ukraine’s “right” to enter NATO—and the military facts—the U.S. build-up of Ukraine’s armed forces—that the United States was preparing a confrontation in Ukraine, even though this would inevitably involve a direct clash with Russia. Consequently, in assessing the Ukraine crisis, it is important to note that the United States was prepared to escalate its military threats from simply those against developing countries—always unjust but not directly risking military conflicts with great powers or world wars­—to aggression against very strong states such as Russia, which do risk global military conflict. Therefore, it is crucial to analyze what creates this escalating U.S. military aggression. Is it temporary, after which the United States will resume a more conciliatory course, or is increasing military escalation a long-term trend in U.S. policy?</p>
<p>This is, of course, of utmost importance for all countries, but particularly for China, itself a powerful state. To take only one key example, in parallel with escalating U.S. aggression against Russia, the United States has not merely imposed tariffs against China’s economy and carried out a systematic international campaign to exploit the situation in Xinjiang for its own foreign policy agenda; it has also attempted to undermine the One China policy regarding Taiwan Province.</p>
<p>Among the United States’ actions regarding Taiwan Province:</p>
<ul>
<li>For the first time since the commencement of United States-China diplomatic relations, President Biden invited a representative of Taipei to the inauguration of a U.S. president.</li>
<li>Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi—the third-highest ranking U.S. official in order of presidential succession—visited Taipei on August 2, 2022.</li>
<li>The United States has called for Taipei’s participation in the UN.</li>
<li>The United States has intensified sales of military armaments and equipment to the island.</li>
<li>U.S. delegations visiting Taipei have increased.</li>
<li>The United States has increased its military deployment in the South China Sea and has regularly sent U.S. warships through the Taiwan Strait.</li>
<li>U.S. Special Operations Forces have trained Taiwanese ground troops as well as Taiwanese Navy sailors.</li>
</ul>
<p>As is the case with Ukraine and Russia, the United States is fully conscious that the One China policy affects China’s most fundamental national interests, and it has been the basis of U.S.-China relations for the fifty years since Nixon’s 1972 visit to Beijing. To abandon it crosses China’s red lines. It is therefore crystal clear that the United States is attempting in a confrontational way to undermine the One China policy in the same way that it deliberately decided to cross Russia’s red lines in Ukraine.</p>
<p>Regarding the question of whether these U.S. provocations against both China and Russia are temporary, long term, or even permanent, the clear conclusion of this author is that the trend of U.S. military escalation will continue. However, given that such an issue, potentially involving wars, is of utmost seriousness and has extremely major practical consequences, exaggeration and mere propaganda are unacceptable. The aim here is therefore to present in a factual, objective, and calm way the reasons why the United States will attempt to further escalate its military aggression over the coming period. In addition, I will ascertain which trends may serve to counteract this dangerous U.S. policy and which may exacerbate it.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Economic and Military Position of the United States during the “Old Cold War” and the “New Cold War”</strong></span></h3>
<p>Reduced to the most essential facts, the key forces that have driven this escalating U.S. policy of military aggression, which has now lasted more than two decades, are clear. They are, first, the permanent loss of the overwhelming weight of the U.S. economy in global production, and, second, the preponderance of U.S. military power and spending. This asymmetry creates a very dangerous period for humanity, one in which the U.S. may attempt to compensate for its relative economic decline through its use of military force. This helps explain U.S. military attacks on developing countries, as well as its escalating confrontation with Russia in Ukraine. An important question is whether this U.S. military aggression will increase further to include a growing confrontation with China, even to the point of a willingness to consider a world war. To answer this question, it is necessary to make an accurate analysis of the United States’ economic and military situation.</p>
<p>To start with the economy, in 1950, near the commencement of the first Cold War, the United States accounted for 27.3 percent of the world GDP. In comparison, the U.S.S.R., the largest socialist economy of that period, accounted for 9.6 percent of world GDP. In other words, the U.S. economy was nearly three times larger than the Soviet economy.<a href="#_sect1_edn2" name="_sect1_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> During the entire post-Second World War period (the first Cold War), the U.S.S.R. never came close to the U.S.’s GDP, equaling only 44.4 percent of it in 1975. That is, even at the peak of the U.S.S.R.’s relative economic achievement, the U.S. economy was still more than twice the size of the Soviet economy. Throughout the “Old Cold War,” the United States enjoyed a significant economic lead over the U.S.S.R., at least in terms of conventional measures of output.</p>
<p>Turning to the present situation, the United States accounts for considerably less of the global GDP than it did in 1950, ranging from roughly 15 to 25 percent depending on how it is measured. China, the main economic rival of the United States today, has gotten much closer to parity with the U.S. economy. Even at market exchange rates, which oscillate somewhat independently of actual outputs with currency fluctuations, China’s GDP is already 74 percent that of the United States’, a far higher level than the U.S.S.R. ever achieved. Furthermore, China’s economic growth rate has for some time been much faster than that of the United States, meaning that it will continue to close in on the latter.</p>
<p>Calculated in purchasing power parities (PPPs, which account for countries’ different price levels), the measure used by Angus Maddison and the IMF, by 2021, the United States accounted for only 16 percent of the world economy—that is, 84 percent of the world economy is outside of the United States. By the same measure, China’s economy is already 18 percent larger than that of the United States. By 2026, according to International Monetary Fund PPP projections, China’s economy will be at least 35 percent larger than that of the United States. The economic gap between China and the United States is far closer than anything the U.S.S.R. ever achieved.</p>
<p>Taking into account other factors, no matter how they are measured, China has become by far the world’s largest manufacturing power. In 2019, the latest available data point, China accounted for 28.7 percent of world manufacturing production, compared to 16.8 percent for the United States. In other words, China’s global share of manufacturing production was more than 70 percent higher than that of the United States. The U.S.S.R., on the other hand, never came close to overtaking the United States in manufacturing production.</p>
<p>Turning to trade in goods, the defeat of the United States by China in the trade war launched by Trump is even somewhat humiliating for him and the country. In 2018, China already traded more goods than any other country, though its trade in goods was only around 10 percent larger than that of the United States at that time. By 2021, China’s trade in goods outpaced the U.S. by 31 percent. The situation was even worse for the United States in terms of the export of goods: in 2018, China’s exports were 58 percent higher than those of the U.S., and, by 2021, China’s exports were 91 percent higher. In summary, not only has China become by far the world’s largest goods-trading nation, but the United States has suffered a clear defeat in the trade war launched by the Trump and Biden administrations.</p>
<p>Even more fundamental from a macroeconomic viewpoint is China’s lead in savings (household, business, and state), the source of real capital investment and the driving force of economic growth. According to the latest available data in 2019, China’s gross capital savings were, in absolute terms, 56 percent higher than those of the United States—the equivalent of $6.3 trillion, compared to $4.03 trillion. However, this figure greatly understates China’s lead: once depreciation is taken into account, China’s net annual capital creation was 635 percent higher than that of the United States—the equivalent of $3.9 trillion, compared to $0.6 trillion. In summary, China is greatly adding to its capital stock each year, while the United States, in comparative terms, is adding little.</p>
<p>The net result of these trends is that China has overwhelmingly outperformed the United States in terms of economic growth, not merely in the entire four-decade period since 1978, as is well known, but continuing into the recent period. In inflation adjusted prices, since 2007 (the year before the international financial crisis), the U.S. economy has grown by 24 percent, while China’s economy has grown by 177 percent—that is, China’s economy has grown more than seven times faster than the U.S. economy. On the terrain of relatively peaceful competition, China is winning.<a href="#_sect1_edn3" name="_sect1_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p>The U.S. lead in productivity, technology, and company size means that, overall, its economy is still stronger than China’s, but the gap between the two countries is far narrower than was the case between the United States and the U.S.S.R. Furthermore, whatever one might say are the exact relative economic strengths of the two global giants, it clear that the United States has lost its global economic predominance. From a purely economic standpoint, we are already in a global era of multipolarity.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The U.S. Military in a Moment of Economic Decline</strong></span></h3>
<p>These economic setbacks for the United States have led some, particularly in a few circles in the West, to believe that the defeat of the United States is inevitable or has already occurred. A similar view has been expressed by a small number of people in China who take the view that China’s comprehensive strength has already overtaken that of the United States. These views are incorrect. They forget, in V.I. Lenin’s famous words, that “politics must take precedence over economics, that is the ABC of Marxism,” and, regarding politics, that “political power grows out of the barrel of a gun,” in the famous dictum of Chairman Mao. The fact that the United States is losing its economic superiority does not mean that it will simply allow this economic trend to peacefully continue: to presume that this is the case would be to make the mistake of placing economics before politics. On the contrary, the fact that the United States is losing ground economically both to China and to other countries is pushing it toward military and military-related political means to overcome the consequences of its economic defeats.</p>
<p>More precisely, the danger to all countries is that the United States has not lost military supremacy. In fact, U.S. military spending is greater than that of the next nine countries combined. Only in one area, nuclear weapons, is U.S. strength roughly equaled by another country, Russia, which is due to Russia’s inheritance of nuclear weapons from the U.S.S.R. The exact numbers of nuclear weapons held by countries in general are state secrets, but, as of 2022, according to a leading Western estimate by the Federation of American Scientists, Russia possesses 5,977 nuclear weapons, while the United States has 5,428. Russia and the United States each have about 1,600 active deployed strategic nuclear warheads (though the United States has far more nuclear weapons than China).<a href="#_sect1_edn4" name="_sect1_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> Meanwhile, in the field of conventional weapons, U.S. spending is far greater than that of any other country.</p>
<p>This divergence in the United States’ position in economic and military spheres underlies its aggressive policy and creates the distinction between its economic and military positions in the present “New Cold War” compared to the “Old Cold War” waged against the U.S.S.R. In the Old Cold War, U.S. and U.S.S.R. military strengths were approximately equal, but, as already noted, the U.S. economy was much larger. Therefore, in the Old Cold War, the U.S. strategy was to attempt to shift issues onto an economic terrain. Even Reagan’s military buildup in the 1980s was not intended to be used to wage war against the U.S.S.R., but rather to engage it in an arms race that would damage the Soviet economy. Consequently, despite tension, the Cold War never turned to a hot war. The U.S.’s present situation is the opposite: its relative economic position has weakened tremendously, but its military power is great. Therefore, it attempts to move issues to the military terrain, which explains its escalating military aggression and why this is a permanent trend.</p>
<p>This means that humanity has entered a very dangerous period. The United States might be losing in peaceful economic competition, but it still retains a military lead over China. The temptation is then for the United States to use “direct” and “indirect” military means to attempt to halt China’s development.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Direct and Indirect Use of U.S. Military Strength</strong></span></h3>
<p>The U.S. employs both “direct” and “indirect” means to display its military strength, which are far more expansive than the most extreme “direct” possibility of a frontal war against China. Some of these approaches are already in use, while others are being discussed. The former includes, for example:</p>
<ul>
<li>subordinating other countries to the U.S. military and attempting to pressure these countries to adopt more hostile economic policies towards China, as is the case in relation to Germany and the European Union.</li>
<li>attempting to overcome the multipolar economic character of the world, which has already been established, instead creating alliances dominated in a unilateral way by the United States. This is clearly the case with NATO, the Quad (United States, Japan, Australia, India), and in relation to some other nations.</li>
<li>attempting to force countries that have good economic relations with China to weaken these relations. This is particularly evident with Australia and is now being attempted elsewhere.</li>
</ul>
<p>Meanwhile, approaches that are being discussed include the possibility of waging wars against allies of China and Russia and attempting to draw China into a “limited” war with the United States regarding Taiwan Province.</p>
<p>An example of the U.S.’s integrated use of both direct and indirect military pressure was given by <em>Financial Times</em> chief U.S. political commentator, Janan Ganesh, following the outbreak of the war in Ukraine, who explained how “America will be the ultimate ‘winner’ of the Ukrainian crisis.” Within three days of Russia’s intervention in Ukraine, Ganesh writes, Germany expedited the construction of the country’s first two liquified natural gas (LNG) terminals. By 2026, the U.S. will likely become Germany’s top LNG supplier, as it is closer both geographically and politically, thereby eliminating German dependence on Russian energy imports. Ganesh also argues that Germany’s pledge to increase its defense budget will also benefit the U.S. because Germany would in turn “share more of NATO’s financial and logistical burden” that is currently held by the U.S. Lastly, he points to what could be a massive advance for the U.S.:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">A Europe that is more tethered to America and at the same time less of a drain on it: no Kissinger could have schemed what the Kremlin is poised to achieve through accident. Far from ending the US turn to Asia, the war in Ukraine might be the event that enables it.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">As for that part of the world, if the Chinese aim is to exorcise at least the Pacific Rim of US influence, the past six weeks have been an education in the size of the task. Japan could hardly be doing more to side with Kyiv, and therefore with Washington.<a href="#_sect1_edn5" name="_sect1_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a></p>
<p>In short, the United States used its military pressure to increase the economic subordination of Germany and Japan. Though many other variants can be envisaged, their common feature is that the United States uses its military strength to attempt to compensate for its weakened economic position. Understood in this way, it is clear that the United States has already embarked on this fundamental policy of directly and indirectly using its military strength.</p>
<p>Since China is experiencing more rapid economic development than the United States, it is likely that its military strength will eventually become its equal. However, it would take years for China to build a nuclear arsenal equivalent to that of the United States, even if China decided to embark on such a policy. It would likely take even longer to create conventional armaments equivalent to those of the United States given the enormous technological development and training of personnel required for such advanced air and naval forces and much else. Therefore, the United States will have stronger armed forces than China for a very significant number of years, creating the permanent temptation for the United States to attempt to use military means to compensate for its declining economic position.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Significance of the War in Ukraine</strong></span></h3>
<p>Two fundamental lessons can be drawn from the events leading to the war in Ukraine.</p>
<p>First, it confirms that it is pointless to ask the United States for compassion. After the U.S.S.R.’s dissolution in 1991, for seventeen years Russia pursued a policy of attempting to have friendly relations with the United States. Under Boris Yeltsin, Russia was humiliatingly subordinated to the United States. During the early period of Putin’s presidency, Russia gave direct assistance to the United States in its so-called war on terror and in the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan. The U.S. response was to violate every promise it had made that NATO would not advance “by an inch” towards Russia, all while aggressively increasing military pressure on Russia.</p>
<p>Second, this dynamic makes it clear that the outcome of the war in Ukraine is crucial not only for Russia, but also for China and for the entire world. Russia is the only country which is the United States’ equal in terms of nuclear weapons, and the good relations between China and Russia are a major deterrent for the U.S. not to adopt any policy of a direct attack on China. The aim of the U.S. in Ukraine is precisely to attempt to bring about a fundamental change in Russia’s policy and install a government in Moscow which no longer defends Russia’s national interests—and one which is hostile to China and subordinate to the U.S. If that were achieved, not only would China face a greatly increased military threat from the U.S., but its long northern border with Russia would become a strategic threat; China would be surrounded from the north. In other words, both Russia and China’s national interests would be undermined. In the words of Sergei Glazyev, a Russian commissioner on the executive body of the Eurasian Economic Union: “After failing to weaken China head-on through a trade war, the Americans shifted the main blow to Russia, which they see as a weak link in the global geopolitics and economy. The Anglo-Saxons are trying to implement their eternal Russophobic ideas to destroy our country, and at the same time to weaken China, because the strategic alliance of the Russian Federation and the PRC is too tough for the United States.”<a href="#_sect1_edn6" name="_sect1_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>U.S. Military Actions and the Constraints They Face</strong></span></h3>
<p>As the United States is pushed both by its declining economic position and by its military strength, there is no limit on an “internal” (domestic) level to the scope of U.S. aggression. History clearly shows that the U.S. has been prepared to carry out the most extremely violent military aggression to the point of being willing to destroy entire countries. In one of many examples, in the Korean War, the U.S. destroyed nearly all of North Korea’s cities and towns, including an estimated 85 percent of its buildings.</p>
<p>The U.S. bombing in Indochina during the Vietnam War was even greater in scale, using both explosive devices and chemical weapons, such as the notorious Agent Orange, which produces horrifying deformities. From 1964 to August 15, 1973, the United States Air Force dropped over six million tons of bombs and other ordnance in Indochina, while U.S. Navy and Marine Corps aircraft expended another 1.5 million tons in Southeast Asia. As Micheal Clodfelter notes in<em> The Limits of Air Power:</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">This tonnage far exceeded that expended in World War II and in the Korean War. The U.S. Air Force consumed 2,150,000 tons of munitions in World War II and in the Korean War—1,613,000 tons in the European theater and 537,000 tons in the Pacific theater—and 454,000 tons in the Korean War.<a href="#_sect1_edn7" name="_sect1_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a></p>
<p>Edward Miguel and Gerard Roland expand upon the same point in their study on the long-term impact of bombing in Vietnam, noting that:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Vietnam War bombing thus represented at least three times as much (by weight) as both European and Pacific theater World War II bombing combined, and about fifteen times the total tonnage in the Korean War. Given the prewar Vietnamese population of approximately 32 million, U.S. bombing translates into hundreds of kilograms of explosives per capita during the conflict. For another comparison, the atomic bombs dropped at Hiroshima and Nagasaki had the power of roughly 15,000 and 20,000 tons of TNT. … U.S. bombing in Indochina represents 100 times the combined impact of the Hiroshima and Nagasaki atomic bombs.<a href="#_sect1_edn8" name="_sect1_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>In the invasion of Iraq, the United States was prepared to (and did) devastate the country, using horrific weapons such as depleted uranium, which is still producing terrible birth defects many years after the U.S. attack. In its bombing of Libya in 2011, the United States reduced what had been one of the richest income per capita countries in Africa, with a developed welfare state, to a society in which tribal conflicts exist and in which slaves are openly sold. The list goes on.</p>
<p>In short, the evidence shows that there is no level of crime or atrocity to which the United States is not prepared to descend. If the United States were to posit that it could eliminate the economic challenge from China by launching an atomic war, there is no evidence that it would not do so. Furthermore, while there are certainly anti-war movements in the United States, they are nowhere near strong enough to prevent the United States from using nuclear weapons if it were to decide to do so. There are no adequate internal constraints in the U.S. that could prevent it from launching a war against China.</p>
<p>But if there are no fundamental internal constraints on U.S. aggression, there are certainly great external constraints. The first is other countries’ possession of nuclear weapons. That is why the explosion of China’s first nuclear bomb in 1964 is rightly regarded as a great national achievement. China’s possession of nuclear weapons is a fundamental deterrent to a nuclear attack by the United States. Nevertheless, unlike its adversary, China has a No First Use nuclear weapons policy, showing its restraint and defensive military posture.</p>
<p>A full-scale nuclear war involving the United States, China, and Russia would be a military catastrophe without precedent in human history. In such a war, at a minimum hundreds of millions would die. It would be infinitely preferable to prevent the escalation of U.S. military aggression before it reached that point, but what are the chances of doing so?</p>
<p>The overall trend of United States policy since the Second World War shows a clear and logical pattern. When the United States feels that it is in a strong position, its policy is aggressive; when it feels weakened, it becomes more conciliatory. This was shown most dramatically before, during, and after the Vietnam War, but also in other periods.</p>
<p>Immediately after the Second World War, the United States considered itself to be—and was—in a strong position and was therefore prepared to carry out a war against Korea. Even after the U.S. failed to win the Korean War, it still felt confident enough to attempt to diplomatically isolate China during the 1950s and 1960s, depriving the country of a seat at the UN, blocking direct diplomatic relations, and so on. However, the United States suffered severe defeats due to the failure of its war on Vietnam, in which it sought to defeat the Vietnamese people’s national liberation struggle and the large-scale military support they received from China and the U.S.S.R. The weakening of the United States’ global position as a result of its defeat in Vietnam (beginning even before the official end of the war in 1975) led it to adopt a more conciliatory policy, symbolized by Nixon’s 1972 visit to Beijing and followed by the establishment of full diplomatic relations with China. Soon after 1972, the United States opened a policy of détente with the U.S.S.R. However, by the 1980s, having regrouped and recovered from defeat in Vietnam, the United States returned to a more aggressive policy towards the U.S.S.R. under then President Ronald Reagan.</p>
<p>This same pattern of U.S. aggression in moments of strength or a more conciliatory attitude in moments of weakness can also be seen around the international financial crisis that began in 2007/8. This crisis dealt a severe blow to the U.S. economy, as a result of which the United States began to emphasize international cooperation. Though the G20, which includes the world’s largest economies and two-thirds of its population, was established in 1999, it only began to hold yearly meetings after the 2007/8 economic crisis. In 2009, the G20 group pledged itself as the major force for international economic and financial cooperation, with the United States playing a major role. In particular, as it felt weakened, the United States displayed a more cooperative attitude toward China in these areas.</p>
<p>As the United States recovered from the international financial crisis, its posture with respect to China became increasingly aggressive, culminating in the launch of Trump’s trade war against the country. That is, as soon as the United States felt itself stronger, it became aggressive.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>A Comparison of Today’s Reality and the Pre-Second World War Period</strong></span></h3>
<p>Turning to an historical comparison, we can juxtapose the present situation with the period leading up to the Second World War. The immediate path to that war began with the strengthening of Japanese militarism and the resulting invasion of Northeast China in 1931, followed by Hitler’s ascension to power in Germany in 1933. Yet, despite these ominous events, the war was not inevitable. The first victories of Japanese militarism and German fascism escalated to world war as a result of a series of the Allied powers’ defeats and capitulations between 1931 and 1939 as well as their failure to confront the Japanese militarists and German Nazis.</p>
<p>The ruling political party in China, the Kuomintang, concentrated its efforts for most of the 1930s not on repelling Japan but on fighting the communists. Meanwhile, the United States failed to intervene to stop Japan until it was itself attacked at Pearl Harbor in 1941. In Europe, Britain and France failed to stop the remilitarization of Nazi Germany even when they had the right to do so under the Treaty of Versailles. Further, they did not support the legitimate government of Spain in 1936 against the fascist coup and civil war launched by Francisco Franco, who was supported by Hitler. Then, they directly capitulated to Hitler’s dismemberment of Czechoslovakia under the notorious Munich Pact of 1938.</p>
<p>Today, we see a pattern similar to 1931, which marked the beginning of the lead up to the Second World War. Though support for an aggressive world war certainly does not have majority support in the United States, such support does exist among a small and, so far, fringe element within the U.S. foreign policy/military establishment. If the United States suffers political defeats, it will not move directly to frontal war with China or Russia. Nonetheless, the medium-term danger exists that—as was the case following Japan’s invasion of China in 1931 and Hitler’s coming to power in 1933—if the United States achieves victories in more limited struggles, it will likely be encouraged to move towards a major global military conflict. The decisive struggle must be to prevent such a global conflict. This means that it is of utmost importance that the United States does not win immediate struggles, such as the war it provoked in Ukraine, its attempt to undermine the One China policy with regard to Taiwan, and its economic wars against many other countries.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Main Forces Opposing U.S. Military Aggression</strong></span></h3>
<p>There are two powerful forces that oppose U.S. military aggression. The first, and most powerful, is China, whose economic development is not merely crucial for improving the living standards of its population, but also for eventually allowing the country to put its military forces more on par with those of the United States. This will very likely be the ultimate deterrent to U.S. military aggression. The second powerful force is the opposition of a large number of countries to U.S. aggression—including many in the Global South, comprising the majority of the world’s people—not merely from a moral viewpoint but from direct self-interest. The U.S.’s attempt to overcome the consequences of its economic failures by military and political means inevitably leads it to take actions against numerous other countries’ interests.</p>
<p>One among many examples of the impacts of these actions is that the U.S. provocation of the war in Ukraine has helped create a massive increase in world food prices because Russia and Ukraine are the world’s largest international suppliers of wheat and fertilizer. Meanwhile, banning the Chinese telecommunications company Huawei from participation in 5G telecommunications development means that the inhabitants of every country that agrees to the U.S. ban pays more for their telecommunications. U.S. pressure to force Germany to buy U.S. liquified natural gas, instead of Russian natural gas, raises energy prices in Germany. In Latin America, the United States attempts to prevent countries from pursuing policies of national independence. U.S. tariffs on China’s exports raises the cost of living for U.S. households. The fact that, in practice, other countries’ populations are being forced to finance aggressive U.S. militarism is bound to generate opposition to such policies and their outcomes.</p>
<p>These two mutually reinforcing forces—China’s own development and the fact that U.S. policy is against the interests of the overwhelming majority of the world’s population—constitute the main obstacles to U.S. aggression. Integrating China’s development with the international forces that are opposed to the U.S.’s attacks against them is therefore the most crucial task for the majority of the global population. While those of us outside of the country cannot fully grasp the complexities facing China’s leaders, we can say that they shoulder a great responsibility not only to push the world toward peace and a sustainable planet, but also to make good on the promises of their revolution and to justify the great sacrifices of peasants and workers—the very sacrifices that made China’s current standing in the world possible.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Choices Facing the United States</strong></span></h3>
<p>The U.S. turn to escalating military aggression alongside its loss of economic supremacy has already begun. In Ukraine, the United States is directly and forcefully challenging Russia, a state with powerful atomic weapons, thereby raising a potential risk of a nuclear war. Simultaneously, it is applying maximum pressure on its allies, such as Germany, to damage their own interests by subordinating themselves to U.S. policy.</p>
<p>However, the United States is still hesitant to utilize full military force, evidently weighing the gains and risks of escalating its military aggression. Though the United States provoked the Ukraine War by threatening to extend NATO into the country, thereby giving it access to ever more deadly weaponry and intelligence, it has not yet dared to directly commit its military forces to this war, showing that there is still considerable uncertainty at work at the highest levels of the U.S. state machinery.</p>
<p>All of this directly affects Russia and China’s relations with each other, and it makes the outcome of the war in Ukraine crucial for the entire world. Because friendly Sino-Russian relations pose a formidable economic and military obstacle to U.S. threats of war, the central strategic goal of U.S. policy is to separate Russia and China. If this can be achieved, then the United States will have a greater capacity to attack them individually, including through the use of its military strength.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Conclusion</strong></span></h3>
<p>The United States will increase its aggressive actions towards China, as well as towards other countries, not only in the economic field but in particular through the direct and indirect use of U.S. military power, hesitating only when it suffers defeats. Naturally, every opening to develop a conciliatory approach by the United States must be taken advantage of, but it is essential to be clear that U.S. policy during such periods, when it has suffered defeats, will attempt to regroup its forces to launch a new aggressive policy.</p>
<p>Defeating U.S. aggression depends in large part on the overall domestic development of China in the economic, military, and all other fields, which is also in the interests of other countries suffering from U.S. aggression. After China’s own domestic development, the most important force blocking U.S. aggression is the opposition of the majority of the world’s population and countries whose position is worsened by U.S. policy. The degree to which U.S. military-based aggression, both direct and indirect, will intensify depends on how much the United States is defeated in individual struggles. The more it is successful, the more aggressive it will become; the more it is weakened, the more conciliatory it will become.</p>
<p>In the short term, the outcome of the war in Ukraine will therefore be crucial for the broader geopolitical reality. While the details of U.S. aggressive foreign policy cannot be seen with a crystal ball, the overall escalation of U.S. aggression clearly follows from its combination of economic weakening and military strength unless it suffers significant defeats.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref1" name="_sect1_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> Vyacheslav Tetekin, “How the US Pushed Ukraine into the War,” Communist Party of the Russian Federation, April 4, 2022, https://cprf.ru/2022/04/how-the-us-pushed-ukraine-into-the-war/. The quotes and analysis in this section are from this source.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref2" name="_sect1_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> See Angus Maddison, <em>The World Economy: A Global Perspective</em> (Paris: Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, 2001). Note that other sources give the U.S. economy a much greater share of global GDP in 1950, with estimates in excess of 40 percent.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref3" name="_sect1_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> The data comparing the economic performance of the United states and China are taken from the IMF’s database published accompanying the April 2022 <em>World Economic Outlook</em>, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/weo-database/2022/April; U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, International Data, https://apps.bea.gov/iTable/iTable.cfm?ReqID=62&amp;step=1#reqid=62&amp;step=9&amp;isuri=1&amp;6210=4; <em>Trading Economics</em>, https://tradingeconomics.com/; World Bank, <em>World Development Indicators</em>, https://databank.worldbank.org/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref4" name="_sect1_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Federation of American Scientists, “Status of World Nuclear Forces,” 2022, https://fas.org/issues/nuclear-weapons/status-world-nuclear-forces/.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref5" name="_sect1_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Janan Ganesh, “The US will be the ultimate winner of Ukraine’s crisis,” <em>Financial Times</em>, April 5, 2022, https://www.ft.com/content/cd7270a6-f72b-4b40-8195-1a796f748c23.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref6" name="_sect1_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> “Events like This Happen Once a Century”: Sergey Glazyev on the breakdown of epochs and changing ways of life, <em>The Saker</em>, 28 March 2022, https://thesaker.is/events-like-this-happen-once-a-century-sergey-glazyev-on-the-breakdown-of-epochs-and-changing-ways-of-life/.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref7" name="_sect1_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Micheal Clodfelter quoted in Edward Miguel and Gerard Roland, “The Long-run Impact of Bombing Vietnam,” <em>Journal of Development Economics</em> 96 (1), 2011: 1-15. https://eml.berkeley.edu/~groland/pubs/vietnam-bombs_19oct05.pdf.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect1_ednref8" name="_sect1_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Edward Miguel and Gerard Roland, “The Long-run Impact of Bombing Vietnam,” <em>Journal of Development Economics</em> 96 (1), 2011: 1–15. https://eml.berkeley.edu/~groland/pubs/vietnam-bombs_19oct05.pdf.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_3"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_3"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Who Is Leading the United States to War?</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">Deborah Veneziale</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>The world is sensing the United States’ growing rapacious intent for war.<a href="#_sect2_edn1" name="_sect2_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> Amid the development of the Ukraine crisis, the United States and NATO have been attempting to escalate their proxy war with Russia while continuing to intensify their siege and provocations against China. This intent to go to war was on display during the May 15, 2022 segment of NBC’s <em>Meet the Press</em>, which simulated a U.S. war against China.<a href="#_sect2_edn2" name="_sect2_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a> It should be noted that this “war game” was organized by the Center for a New American Security (CNAS), a prominent Washington, D.C., think tank that is funded by the U.S. and allied governments, including the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office, George Soros’ Open Society Foundations, and an array of U.S. military and technology companies such as Raytheon, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, Boeing, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft.<a href="#_sect2_edn3" name="_sect2_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p>This simulation is in line with other alarming signals toward war from both Congress and the Pentagon. On April 5, Charles Richard, commander of U.S. Strategic Command, made a case before Congress that Russia and China pose nuclear threats to the United States, claiming that China is likely to use nuclear coercion for its own benefit.<a href="#_sect2_edn4" name="_sect2_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> Shortly thereafter, on April 14, a bipartisan delegation of U.S. lawmakers visited Taiwan. On May 5, South Korea announced that it had joined a cyber defense organization under NATO. In June, at its annual summit, NATO named Russia its “most significant and direct threat” and singled out China as a “challenge [to] our interests”. Furthermore, South Korea, Japan, Australia, and New Zealand participated in the summit for the first time, which suggests the possibility that an Asian branch may be formed in the future. Finally, on August 2, in a blatant provocation of Beijing, U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi—the third-highest ranking official in the Biden administration—visited Taiwan, escorted by the U.S. Air Force.<a href="#_sect2_edn5" name="_sect2_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a></p>
<p>In the face of the Biden administration’s aggressive foreign policy, one can’t help but wonder: among the U.S. ruling elite, who is advocating war? Is there a mechanism to curb such belligerence in the country?</p>
<p>This article comes to three conclusions. First, in the Biden administration, two elite foreign policy groups that used to compete against each other—liberal hawks and neoconservatives—have merged strategically, forming the most important foreign policy consensus within the country’s elite echelon since 1948 and bringing U.S. war policy to a new level. Second, in consideration of its long-term interests, the big bourgeoisie in the United States has reached a consensus that China is a strategic rival, and it has established solid support for this foreign policy. Third, the so-called democratic institutions of checks and balances are completely incapable of restraining this belligerent policy from spreading due to the design of the U.S. Constitution, the expansion of far-right forces, and the sheer monetization of elections.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Merging of Belligerent Foreign Policy Elites</strong></span></h3>
<p>Early representatives of U.S. liberal interventionism<strong> </strong>included Democratic presidents such as Harry Truman, John F. Kennedy, and Lyndon B. Johnson, whose ideological roots can be traced back to Woodrow Wilson’s notion that America should stand on the world stage fighting for democracy. The invasion of Vietnam was guided by this ideology.</p>
<p>After the U.S. defeat in Vietnam, the Democratic Party temporarily reduced calls for intervention as part of its foreign policy. However, Democratic Senator Henry “Scoop” Jackson (also known at the time as “the senator from Boeing”), a liberal hawk, joined with other anti-communists and staunch interventionists, helping to inspire the neoconservative movement. The neoconservatives, including a number of Jackson’s supporters and former staffers, supported Republican Ronald Reagan in the late 1970s because of his commitment to confront alleged Soviet expansionism.</p>
<p>With the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 and the rise of U.S. unilateralism, the neoconservatives entered the mainstream in U.S. foreign policy with their thought leader, Paul Wolfowitz, who had been a former aide to Henry Jackson. In 1992, just a few months after the disintegration of the Soviet Union, Wolfowitz, then undersecretary of defense for policy, introduced his <em>Defense Policy Guidance</em>, which explicitly advocated for the United States to maintain a permanent unipolar position. This would be realized, he explained, through the expansion of U.S. military power into the former Soviet Union’s sphere of influence and along all its perimeters with the object of preventing the reemergence of Russia as a great power. The U.S.-led unipolar strategy, implemented through the projection of military force, guided the foreign policies of George H.W. Bush and his son George W. Bush, as well as Bill Clinton and Barack Obama. The U.S. was able to launch the first Gulf War in large part due to Soviet weakness. This was followed by the U.S. and NATO’s military dismemberment of Yugoslavia. After 9/11, the Bush Jr. administration’s foreign policy was completely dominated by the neoconservatives, including Vice President Dick Cheney and Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld.</p>
<p>While both liberal hawks and neoconservatives have ardently advocated for foreign military interventions, historically there have been two important differences between them. First, liberal hawks tended to believe that the United States should influence the United Nations and other international institutions to carry out military intervention, while neoconservatives tended to ignore multilateral institutions. Second, liberal hawks sought to lead military interventions alongside Western allies, while neoconservatives were more willing to conduct unilateral military operations and flagrantly violate international law. As Niall Ferguson, a historian at Harvard University, put it, the neoconservatives were happy to accept the title of the American Empire and unilaterally decide to attack any country as the world’s hegemonic power.<a href="#_sect2_edn6" name="_sect2_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p>
<p>Although Republicans and Democrats have historically developed their own policy and advocacy institutions, it is a misconception to think that they have distinct approaches to foreign policy strategy. It is true that think tanks such as the Heritage Foundation are major neoconservative strongholds that have leaned toward Republican policy, while others such as the Brookings Institution and the later established CNAS have been home to more pro-Democratic liberal hawks. However, members of both parties have worked in each of these organizations, with differences centering around specific policy proposals, not partisan affiliation. In reality, behind the White House and Congress, a bipartisan policy planning network consisting of nonprofit foundations, universities, think tanks, research groups, and other institutions collectively shape the agendas of corporations and capitalists into policy proposals and reports.</p>
<p>Another common misconception is that the so-called progressive side of liberalism will promote social development, provide international assistance, and limit military spending. However, the neoliberal period, which began in the mid-1970s, has been characterized by the state’s subordination to market forces and austerity in social spending in areas such as healthcare, food assistance, and education, all while encouraging unlimited military spending, severely damaging the quality of life for the vast majority of the population. Both Republicans and Democrats follow the principles of neoliberalism, as exemplified by Biden’s annual budget for 2022, which includes a 4 percent increase in military spending, and the fact that, during the COVID-19 pandemic, $1.7 trillion of the $5 trillion that the U.S. government provided in stimulus funding went directly into the pockets of corporations.<a href="#_sect2_edn7" name="_sect2_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a> Neoliberalism has had a particularly devastating impact in the Global South, where it has dragged developing countries into debt traps and coerced them into endless debt payments to the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.</p>
<p>In the field of foreign policy, the most influential U.S. think tank since the Second World War has been the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), which is funded by an array of ruling class sources. Founder-level corporate members of the council include leaders in energy (Chevron, ExxonMobil, Hess, Tellurian), finance (Bank of America, BlackRock, Citi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Morgan Stanley, Moody’s, Nasdaq), technology (Accenture, Apple, AT&amp;T, Cisco), and the internet (Google, Meta), among other sectors, and the CFR’s current board includes Richard Haass, Bush Sr.’s principal adviser on the Middle East, and Ashton Carter, Obama’s secretary of defense. The German magazine <em>Der Spiegel</em> described the CFR as “the most influential private institution in the United States and the Western world” and “the politburo for capitalism,” while Richard Harwood, former senior editor and ombudsman at <em>The</em> <em>Washington Post</em>, called the council and its members “the nearest thing we have to a ruling establishment in the United States.”<a href="#_sect2_edn8" name="_sect2_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a> The CFR’s policy proposals reflect the long-term strategic thinking of the U.S. bourgeoisie, as seen by its proposal to “strengthen U.S.-Japan coordination in response to the Taiwan issue” in January 2022, ahead of Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan in August of the same year.</p>
<p>Regardless of which party’s candidates the staffers of these various institutions support in the elections, this long-standing bipartisan, collaborative network has maintained consistent foreign policy in Washington. This network promotes a U.S. supremacist worldview that denies other countries’ right to be involved in international affairs, an ideology dating back to the 1823 Monroe Doctrine that proclaimed U.S. domination over the entire Western hemisphere. Today’s U.S. foreign policy elite has extended the doctrine’s application from the Americas to the entire world. Cross-party synergy and party switching are common for this group of foreign policy makers, which is closely tied to the ruling capitalist class and its surrogates within the political power elite that control U.S. foreign policy, as well as to the Deep State (the intelligence services together with the military).</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_64119" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64119" class="wp-image-64119 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1.png" alt="" width="933" height="807" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1.png 933w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1-300x259.png 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-1-768x664.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 933px) 100vw, 933px"><p id="caption-attachment-64119" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #ba2025;">Process of policy formation, from Who Rules America? by William Domhoff.</span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<p>At the turn of the century, neoconservatives, who gathered in the Republican Party, were more concerned with the disintegration and denuclearization of Russia than they were with China. Around 2008, however, forces within the U.S. political elite began to realize that China’s economy would continue its strong rise and that its future leaders would not cave to U.S. influence; there would be no Chinese equivalent of Gorbachev or Yeltsin. Beginning in this period, the neoconservatives began to take an entirely confrontational approach to China and pursue containment. At the same time, some pro-Democratic liberal hawks founded CNAS, and Hillary Clinton, then secretary of state, led the development and implementation of the Pivot to Asia, a strategic shift in U.S. foreign policy that was applauded by the neoconservatives, who were still in the Republican camp at the time. Clinton was hailed as a “strong voice” by Max Boot, a political commentator and senior fellow at CFR, who, in 2003, wrote that, “[g]iven the historical baggage that ‘imperialism’ carries, there’s no need for the U.S. government to embrace the term. But it should definitely embrace the practice.”<a href="#_sect2_edn9" name="_sect2_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a> Today, extending NATO to Ukraine and confronting Russia remains a priority for neoconservatives and liberal hawks alike. Both groups disagree with the realists who propose a détente with Russia in order to strengthen the confrontation with China.</p>
<p>However, the election of Trump in 2016 briefly created turbulence in the CFR consensus. As John Bellamy Foster wrote in <em>Trump in the White House: Tragedy and Farce</em>, the former president rose to power partly through the mobilization of a neofascist movement based in the white lower-middle class.<a href="#_sect2_edn10" name="_sect2_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a> Only a small number of people in the big capital elite supported him initially. Among them were Dick Uihlein, the owner of the shipping giant Uline; Bernie Marcus, the founder of the building materials retailer Home Depot; Robert Mercer, an investor in the far-right media outlet Breitbart News Network; and Timothy Mellon, grandson of the banking tycoon Andrew Mellon. Trump’s tendency to shrink engagement in global affairs—as seen with the withdrawal of troops from Syria and the initiation of the withdrawal from Afghanistan as well as diplomatic contact with North Korea—favored the short-term interests of the lower and middle bourgeoisie and won the support of foreign policy realists, including Henry Kissinger, but it upset the neoconservatives. A group of elite neoconservatives played a major role in the campaign against Trump, with some 300 officials who had supported the Bush administration backing the Democratic Party in the 2020 election. This included the aforementioned Boot, who has become a thought leader on foreign policy and has had a strong impact on the Biden administration.</p>
<p>Under Biden, the CFR consensus resumed, and the neoconservatives and liberal hawks have become completely aligned on the country’s strategic orientation. Their joint awareness of China’s rise has fostered a unity between these two groups unseen in decades. This unity is based on the theory of international affairs that stipulates that the United States should actively intervene in other countries’ politics, make every effort to promote “freedom and democracy,” crack down on those states that challenge Western economic and military dominance, remove unwanted governments, and secure global hegemony by all means—with Russia and China as its primary targets. In May 2021, Secretary of State Antony Blinken (who previously served as deputy secretary of state under Obama) declared that the U.S. would defend an ambiguous “rules-based international order,” a term that refers to U.S.-dominated international and security organizations rather than broader UN-based institutions. Blinken’s stance suggests that, under the Biden administration, liberal hawks have officially forsaken the pretense of following the UN or other international multilateral organizations unless they bow to U.S. diktat.</p>
<p>In 2019, the prominent neoconservative Robert Kagan co-authored an article with Antony Blinken urging the United States to abandon Trump’s America First policy. They called for the containment (i.e., siege and weakening) of Russia and China and proposed a policy of “preventive diplomacy and deterrence” against America’s adversaries, that is, troops and tanks wherever it is deemed necessary.<a href="#_sect2_edn11" name="_sect2_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a> Incidentally, Kagan’s wife, Victoria Nuland, served as the assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian affairs in the Obama administration. Nuland played a key role in organizing and supporting the 2014 color revolution/coup in Ukraine and has boasted about the billions of dollars the United States has spent to “promote democracy” in the country.<a href="#_sect2_edn12" name="_sect2_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a> She is currently serving as undersecretary of state for political affairs in the Biden administration, the third highest position in the State Department after Secretary Blinken and Deputy Secretary Wendy Sherman. She is also a spiritual heir to her mentor, the liberal hawk leader Madeleine Albright.</p>
<p>The hawkish orientation espoused by Kagan and Blinken was taken a step further by NATO’s think tank, the Atlantic Council, which has advocated for nuclear brinkmanship. In February, Matthew Kroenig, the deputy director of the Atlantic Council’s Snowcroft Center for Strategy and Security, argued for the consideration of the U.S.’s preemptive use of “tactical” nuclear weapons.<a href="#_sect2_edn13" name="_sect2_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a></p>
<p>From this small coterie of warmongers, one can easily detect the deep integration of two elite foreign affairs groups, both of which are the real drivers of the Ukraine crisis. The evolution of this crisis reveals the following set of tactics adopted by this belligerent clique:</p>
<ul>
<li>strengthening U.S. leadership over NATO, using the military alliance (rather than the UN) as the primary mechanism for foreign intervention;</li>
<li>provoking a so-called adversary to war by refusing to recognize its claim to sovereignty and security over sensitive regions;</li>
<li>planning the use of tactical nuclear weapons and conducting a “limited nuclear war” in or around the so-called adversary’s territory; and</li>
<li>imposing hybrid warfare in order to weaken and subvert the adversary through unilateral coercive measures and combining economic sanctions with financial, informational, propagandistic, and cultural measures along with a color revolution, cyberwarfare, lawfare, and other tactics.</li>
</ul>
<p>If the desired results are achieved in Ukraine, the same strategy will undoubtedly be replicated in the Western Pacific.</p>
<p>Strategic alignment does not mean that policy elites are not divided on other issues that they deem to be of lesser importance, such as climate change. Even on this matter, however, the United States is demanding that Europe stop importing natural gas from Russia. John Kerry, Biden’s climate envoy, is noncommittal about the potential negative environmental impacts of such a move, in part because the United States wants to replace Russian gas sales in Europe with its own.</p>
<p>In recent years, progressive forces around the world have launched several international campaigns to voice their concerns about the aggressive global strategy being pursued by the U.S., often using the term “New Cold War.” However, the narratives put forth at times underestimate the depravity of some aspects of current U.S. foreign policy. The “Old Cold War” with the Soviet Union followed certain rules and bottom lines: the United States used a variety of political and economic means to exert pressure and seek to subvert the Soviet state, and the two sides acknowledged one another’s scope of interests and security needs. However, the U.S. did not try to change the national boundaries of nuclear adversaries. This is not the case today, as seen by <em>The</em> <em>Wall Street Journal</em>’s open declaration that the United States should demonstrate its ability to win a nuclear war, a stance which is undergirded by the foreign policy elite’s claim that Ukraine and Taiwan must be protected as they are both strategic locations within the Western military perimeter.<a href="#_sect2_edn14" name="_sect2_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> Even the Cold War leader Kissinger has expressed concern and opposition to current U.S. foreign policy, arguing that the correct strategy is to divide China and Russia and warning that there will be dangerous consequences if the U.S. directly pursues war against these two nuclear-armed states simultaneously.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The U.S. Bourgeoisie Prepares for War Against China</strong></span></h3>
<p>Washington has sought to economically decouple the United States from China through trade and technology wars, a process that was initiated by the Trump administration and has continued under Biden’s leadership. However, this policy has spurred unintended consequences. On the one hand, due to the formation of global supply chains, U.S. and European manufacturing industries rely heavily on imports from China, and Biden has faced domestic opposition with calls to scale back trade war tariffs in order to ease the enormous pressure of inflation in the United States. On the other hand, although China did not initiate economic decoupling, the pressure of the trade and technology wars has promoted the development of the “internal grand circulation” within the country (reducing reliance on exports and relying more on domestic consumption). Since the pandemic, there has been a superficial phased increase in the trade of merchandise between the U.S. and China.</p>
<p>It must be noted, however, that there is a change underway in the basic logic of U.S. relations with China: the U.S. bourgeoisie has been tightening its alliance against China and supporting the bellicose strategy of Washington. This situation stems from both economic and ideological factors. For one, GDP figures of the U.S. and other countries in the West mask the contributions made by labor in factories in the Global South. For example, Apple’s highly profitable sales in the United States appear in the U.S.’s GDP numbers, but the actual source of their high returns is the surplus created by the massively efficient and low-cost advanced productive labor force in Shenzhen, Chongqing, and other cities in China where Foxconn factories are located.<a href="#_sect2_edn15" name="_sect2_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> China has come a long way from the era of large factories with low-paid unskilled workers and has developed an extremely sophisticated industrial, logistical, and societal infrastructure that, as of 2019, accounted for 28.7 percent of global manufacturing.<a href="#_sect2_edn16" name="_sect2_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a> Moving the whole supply chain from China to India or Mexico would be a decades-long process and cannot be based on just lower wages.</p>
<p>Few sectors of the U.S. economy depend heavily on the local Chinese market for sales, with U.S. chipmakers being the exception. Major firms such as Boeing, Caterpillar, General Motors, Starbucks, Nike, Ford, and Apple (at 17 percent) obtain less than 25 percent of their revenue from China.<a href="#_sect2_edn17" name="_sect2_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> The total revenue of S&amp;P 500 companies is $14 trillion, no more than 5 percent of which is related to sales inside China.<a href="#_sect2_edn18" name="_sect2_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a> U.S. CEOs are unlikely to oppose the direction of U.S. foreign policy on China, as they are not being presented with a clear path to increase their long-term access to China’s growing internal market. This attitude was on display during Disney’s May 2022 earnings call when CEO Bob Chapek expressed confidence in the company’s success even without access to China’s market.<a href="#_sect2_edn19" name="_sect2_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a> This approach toward China is visible across key U.S. industries:</p>
<p><strong>Tech/internet</strong>.<strong> </strong>Nine of the top ten richest Americans are in the tech/internet industry, the zeitgeist of our time, with the partial exception of Elon Musk, the CEO of the electric automobile manufacturer Tesla, whose first pot of gold also came from the internet industry. Compared to the lists of the richest Americans from past decades, those from traditional sectors such as manufacturing, banking, and oil have been overtaken by a rising tech elite, which is steeped in anti-China attitudes due to the difficulties they have faced in penetrating the Chinese market. U.S. tech giants such as Google, Amazon, and Facebook have virtually no market in China, while companies like Apple and Microsoft face increasing difficulties. In the past decade, the Chinese technology and telecommunications corporation Huawei surpassed Apple in terms of market share within China, only for Apple to regain the top spot due to U.S. sanctions, which banned the sale of semiconductor chips—a key component in smartphones—to Huawei. The Chinese government is reportedly embracing indigenous Linux and Office Productivity systems to replace Microsoft Windows and Office software. Traditional IT companies such as IBM, Oracle, and EMC (collectively referred to as IOE) have long been marginalized in the Chinese market by the Alibaba-driven de-IOE wave, which seeks to replace IBM servers, Oracle databases, and EMC storage devices with indigenous and open-source solutions. U.S. tech giants yearn for a change to the political system in China that would open the door to the country’s massive market, and major actors in this sector are actively working to advance Washington’s hostile foreign policy. Eric Schmidt, the former CEO and executive chairman of Google, led the establishment of the U.S. government’s Defense Innovation Unit in 2016 and the National Security Commission on Artificial Intelligence in 2018. His fervent promotion of the “China Threat” theory reflects the prevailing opinion of the U.S. tech community, which also shapes public discourse. Twitter and Facebook have partnered with U.S. and Western governments to increasingly censor criticisms of their foreign policy and influence discussion around key issues—such as the pandemic, Hong Kong, and Xinjiang—in the name of combatting disinformation campaigns allegedly launched by China and other so-called adversaries.</p>
<p><strong>Manufacturing</strong>. U.S. manufacturing remains dependent on Chinese production capacity. Consistent investment and technological innovation in U.S. manufacturing were effectively abandoned during the neoliberal period, and, despite Obama’s and Trump’s calls to near-shore manufacturing back to North America, little has been accomplished in this regard. However, U.S. manufacturing investments in China have decreased in recent years, with the notable exception of Tesla’s mega-factory in Shanghai. Even in this case, however, it is important to note that Elon Musk has won numerous U.S. government and military procurement contracts through his space exploration firm SpaceX, whose Starlink satellite system was criticized by China for its “close encounters” with the Chinese space station on two occasions in 2021. The Chinese People’s Liberation Army warned that the U.S. may seek to militarize the Starlink system. The deployment of Starlink’s services in Ukraine during the war is evidence of this dynamic. Musk’s potential acquisition of Twitter would be unlikely to change the company’s relationship with U.S. and Western governments and orientation toward China and Russia.</p>
<p><strong>Finance</strong><em>. </em>The U.S. financial services industry has long expected China’s capital markets to open further to them, their ultimate hope being regime change in China that would lead the country to an outright neoliberal path. The anti-Chinese attitude of the influential Hungarian-born U.S. financial magnate and philanthropist George Soros is well known. In January 2022, Soros tweeted that “China’s Xi Jinping is the greatest threat that open societies face today.”<a href="#_sect2_edn20" name="_sect2_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a> These comments came after Jamie Dimon, the CEO of JPMorgan Chase, declared in November 2021 that the multinational bank would outlive the Communist Party of China (though he later apologized for this comment and said he was joking). Dimon also implied that China would suffer a heavy military strike if it attempted to reunify Taiwan, a threat for which made no apology.<a href="#_sect2_edn21" name="_sect2_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> This hostile attitude is a response to the fact that China’s capital markets are not advancing in the direction that Wall Street would prefer, as evidenced by the Chinese government strengthening capital controls and delisting a series of Chinese stocks from the U.S. stock exchange. At the investing conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway’s annual shareholders meeting for 2022, Charlie Munger, vice chairman of the company, stated that China was still “worth” the investment. Even in this case, however, Munger accepted the premise of his interviewer, who characterized the Chinese government as an “authoritarian regime” that commits “human rights violations.” For Munger, China is only worth the extra risk because one can invest in better businesses at lower prices.</p>
<p><strong>Retail and consumer sectors</strong><em>.</em> U.S. retail and consumer industries have long been squeezed by their Chinese competitors. In March 2021, Nike and other companies boycotted Xinjiang cotton on the false grounds of forced labor. Shortly thereafter, Nike released an advertisement that was criticized for promoting racist stereotypes about Chinese people, resulting in a further loss of its market share, which had already begun to be outflanked by the Chinese brand Anta.</p>
<p>Furthermore, there is a significant disconnect between the two countries’ cultural and entertainment industries, with domestically produced movies accounting for 85 percent of the Chinese box office in 2021. Marvel superhero movies, once popular among Chinese filmgoers, have been unable to enter the Chinese market due to ideological concerns, with zero box office takings in China in 2021. The recent Marvel production <em>Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness</em> yet again features anti-Chinese scenes, including a reference to the far-right, anti-government newspaper <em>The Epoch Times</em>. It has not been screened in China. These cases reflect U.S. companies’ trade-offs between commercial interests—reaching the Chinese consumer market—and political ideology—opposing the Chinese political system.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The U.S. Military-Indus­­trial Complex and the Drive for War</strong></span></h3>
<p>The U.S. military-industrial complex plays a special role in galvanizing cooperation between strategic economic, technological, political, and military sectors toward imperialist interests. In 2021, the top six military contractors in the world—Lockheed Martin, Boeing, Raytheon Technologies, BAE Systems, Northrop Grumman, and General Dynamics—had combined sales of over $128 billion to the U.S. government.<a href="#_sect2_edn22" name="_sect2_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a> Big Tech companies including Amazon, Microsoft, Google, Oracle, IBM, and Palantir (founded by the extremist Peter Thiel) have formed close bonds with the U.S. military, signing thousands of contracts worth tens of billion dollars in recent decades.<a href="#_sect2_edn23" name="_sect2_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> The tech industry plays the strategic role of collecting data in the vast U.S. intelligence empire and is at the center of U.S. soft-power media and social media hegemony, ensuring digital domination over the majority of the Global South. As such, this sector has become immune from meaningful regulation or threats of de-monopolization.</p>
<p>The U.S. drive for military supremacy leads to spending sprees in the areas of weapons, computer technology (silicon chips, in particular), advanced communications (including satellite cyber warfare), and biotechnology. The U.S. government has officially requested $813 billion for the military as part of its 2023 budget (which does not factor in additional military spending that is disguised in other sections of the overall budget), and the Pentagon claims it will need at least $7 trillion in appropriations over the next ten years.<a href="#_sect2_edn24" name="_sect2_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a></p>
<p>The privatization of the state under neoliberalism has led to the development of a revolving door between the U.S. government and the private sector over the past four decades. The state has become a vehicle for high level government officials including congresspersons, senators, policy and security advisors, cabinet members, colonels, generals, and presidents from both parties to become multi-millionaires by leveraging their political insider status with private interest groups.<a href="#_sect2_edn25" name="_sect2_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a> Within governmental bureaucracy, the phrase “national security” opens the spigot for personal and corporate greed and radical military expansion even wider. Under this prevalent form of First World, legalized corruption, firms often tender payoffs to officials after they leave public office. These legal bribes are essentially payments in arrears for services granted while in office. For example, upon leaving office, former public officials are frequently hired as paid employees, board members, or advisors with the same firms that they had previously advocated on behalf of, provided favorable voting for, or awarded government contracts to as public officials.<a href="#_sect2_edn26" name="_sect2_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a> Some prominent examples of this pervasive dynamic include the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>Bill Clinton claims to have been $16 million dollars in debt when he left the White House in 2001, but, by 2021, he was worth an estimated $80 million.<a href="#_sect2_edn27" name="_sect2_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a></li>
<li>With shocking impunity, at least 85 of the 154 people from private interest groups who met or had phone conversations scheduled with Hillary Clinton while she led the State Department under President Obama donated a combined $156 million to the Clinton Foundation.<a href="#_sect2_edn28" name="_sect2_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a></li>
<li>James “Mad Dog” Mattis, a retired four-star general, former secretary of defense under Trump, and former board member of CNAS, had a net worth of $7 million in 2018, five years after his “retirement” from the military. This was earned through significant payments from a wide list of military contractors and included $600,000 to $1.25 million in stock and options in the major defense contractor General Dynamics.<a href="#_sect2_edn29" name="_sect2_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a></li>
<li>Lloyd Austin, the secretary of defense under President Biden, formerly served on the board of directors of several military-industrial companies such as United Technologies and Raytheon Technologies. Austin earned the majority of his $7 million net worth after “retiring” as a four-star general.<a href="#_sect2_edn30" name="_sect2_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a></li>
</ul>
<p>Between 2009 and 2011, over 70 percent of top U.S. generals worked for military contractors after retiring from their position. Generals also double dip by simultaneously receiving compensation from the Pentagon and payments from private military contractors.<a href="#_sect2_edn31" name="_sect2_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a> In 2016 alone, nearly 100 U.S. military officers went throug­h the revolving door between the government and private military contractors, including 25 generals, 9 admirals, 43 lieutenant generals, and 23 vice admirals.<a href="#_sect2_edn32" name="_sect2_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<p>During the Trump administration, many Obama-era officials moved to the private sector, consulting and advising the world’s largest corporations, only to return to the White House under Biden. In a staggering display of this revolving door, the Biden administration has appointed more than 15 senior officials from the corporate consultancy firm WestExec Advisors, which was founded in 2017 by a team of former Obama administration officials and claims to provide “unparalleled geopolitical risk analysis” to its clients (including “Managing China-Related Risk in an Era of Strategic Competition”).<a href="#_sect2_edn33" name="_sect2_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a> The firm facilitates cooperation between Big Tech and the U.S. military, with clients including Boeing, Palantir, Google, Facebook, Uber, AT&amp;T, the drone surveillance company Shield AI, and the Israeli artificial intelligence firm Windward. WestExec alumni working in the Biden administration include Secretary of State Blinken, Director of National Intelligence Avril Haines, Deputy Director of the CIA David Cohen, Assistant Secretary of Defense for Indo-Pacific Security Affairs Ely Ratner, and former White House press secretary Jen Psaki.<a href="#_sect2_edn34" name="_sect2_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_64129" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-64129" class="wp-image-64129 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2.jpg" alt="" width="950" height="1186" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2-240x300.jpg 240w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2-820x1024.jpg 820w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/09/Graph-2-768x959.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-64129" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #ba2025;">The WestExec to Biden administration pipeline, part one. Graphic: Soohee Cho/The Intercept. <a href="#_sect2_edn35" name="_sect2_ednref35"><sup style="color: #ba2025;">35</sup></a></span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Weakening of Domestic Resistance to U.S. Militarism</strong></span></h3>
<p>In 1973, the United States abolished military service conscription, or what was known as the draft, after which the U.S. military cleverly and misleadingly referred to itself as an all-volunteer army. This was done to reduce domestic opposition to U.S. wars abroad, especially from the children of propertied and middle-class families who had become vocal against the U.S. war of aggression in Vietnam. Although the measure was justified in the name of selecting more professional and dedicated soldiers, in reality, the bourgeoisie sought to prey upon the economic vulnerabilities of poorer working-class families, who they recruited into service through offers of technical training and secure earnings. Technological advances in warfare allowed the United States to simultaneously increase its capacity to kill civilians and enemy combatants in invaded countries while reducing the death rate of U.S. soldiers. For example, in the $2.2 trillion war against Afghanistan between 2001 and 2021, only 2,442—1 percent—of the 241,000 people killed (including over 71,000 civilians) were U.S. military personnel.<a href="#_sect2_edn36" name="_sect2_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> The reduction in U.S. death tolls has weakened the domestic emotional connection to U.S. war campaigns, which has further been blunted by the rise of private military contractors. By the mid-2010s, it was estimated that nearly half of the U.S. armed forces in Iraq and Afghanistan were employed by private military contractors. <a href="#_sect2_edn37" name="_sect2_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a> In 2016, the world’s largest private military contractor, ACADEMI (initially founded by Erik Prince as Blackwater) was purchased by the world’s largest private equity firm, Apollo, for an estimated $1 billion.<a href="#_sect2_edn38" name="_sect2_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a> Far from an all-volunteer army, today, it is increasingly apt to describe the U.S. military as an all-mercenary army.</p>
<p>The United States is further emboldened in its warmongering by the fact that, while it has invaded or participated in military operations in over a hundred countries, it has never been invaded or experienced large-scale civilian casualties at the hands of foreign governments. The psychology of U.S. exceptionalism is shaped by the fact that the current generation of political elites largely grew up after the end of the Cold War, a period defined as the so-called “end of history”, when their country appeared to be invincible. The United States had not experienced a serious challenger either abroad or at home until the rise of China. As a result, this elite is particularly ahistorical in its worldview, seized by delusions of grandeur, and consequently feels unconstrained—an extremely dangerous combination.</p>
<p>The military-industrial complex, composed of generals, politicians, tech companies, and private military contractors, is pursuing a massive expansion of U.S. military capacity. Today, nearly all in Washington use China as well as Russia as their pretext for this build up. Meanwhile, many of them have committed or supported war crimes in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, Libya, and elsewhere.</p>
<p>Few influential individual capitalists in the United States are willing to openly stand against the chorus demonizing China, and those who do are disciplined or ostracized. One rarely comes across publicly dissenting views or calls for restraint in the op-ed sections of <em>The New York Times</em> or <em>The</em> <em>Wall Street Journal</em>. During the 2020 presidential campaign, Michael Bloomberg was heavily criticized for being “soft” on China after he stated that the Communist Party was responsive to the public and refused to label President Xi Jinping as a dictator. Bloomberg appears to have been successfully disciplined; under the Biden administration, he joined the war hysteria and was named chair of the Pentagon’s Defense Innovation Board in February 2022. The global management consulting firm McKinsey &amp; Company, which has favored greater economic engagement with China, has faced increasing criticism for these views, being smeared by <em>The New York Times </em>as “help[ing] raise the stature of authoritarian and corrupt governments across the globe.”<a href="#_sect2_edn39" name="_sect2_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a> Consequently, McKinsey’s influence in U.S. business circles has been greatly weakened. Though a small number of figures—such as Ray Dalio, billionaire investor and founder of Bridgewater Associates—continue to express optimism about U.S.-China relations, they are outliers.</p>
<p>More critically, those in the current upper echelon of the U.S. bourgeois elite have diversified their investments across a slew of industries, enabling them to overcome the narrow, short-term economic interests of any one industry and to align with the “big picture” of U.S. strategy. In contrast to millionaires of generations past who were focused on a single industry, the billionaires of today have developed a more shared consciousness and can envision the major long-term returns from a fully liberalized Chinese market that would follow the overthrow of the Chinese state. Consequently, these billionaires are motivated to support the U.S. containment of China despite the short-term losses they might suffer as a result. As detailed above, this big bourgeoisie funds a large swathe of think tanks and policy groups through non-profit foundations, shaping U.S. policy discussions and proposals.</p>
<p>Among the upper-middle-class elite, there is a small group of far-right libertarian isolationists mainly composed of intellectuals and represented by the Cato Institute. This political network speaks out against the U.S. Federal Reserve System and foreign intervention and is opposed to the U.S.’s role in Ukraine. However, it is marginalized in the U.S. foreign policy arena and does not wield much influence.</p>
<p>As Karl Marx once noted, capitalists have always been a “band of warring brothers.” This band maintains a modern state that has a massive, permanent body of armed men and women, intelligence functionaries, and spies. In 2015, 4.3 million individuals in the United States had security clearance to access “confidential”, “secret”, or “top secret” government material.<a href="#_sect2_edn40" name="_sect2_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a> Regardless of any electoral result, this state apparatus is ultimately able to exert its dominance and guide U.S. foreign policy, as evidenced during the Trump administration’s inability to implement its own foreign policy.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The Rise of the Far Right and the False Nature of Checks and Balances in the U.S. Political System</strong></span></h3>
<p>The hostility of the U.S. ruling bourgeois elite and middle classes toward China has deep, racist roots. Trump’s four years in office coincided with the formation of a united coalition of populist and white supremacist right-wing movements known as the Alt-Right. Stephen Bannon, a mouthpiece of this movement, is a former chairman of the white supremacist website <em>Breitbart News Network</em> and is unsurprisingly one of the most active anti-China campaigners in the United States. The Alt-Right’s support base comes from the lower middle class: mostly white people with annual household incomes of around $75,000. While Bannon and even Trump himself like to boast of the support they get from “the white working class,” their primary support base is in fact the lower middle class—not the working class.</p>
<p>The Republican Party has benefited electorally from the creation of this neofascist voting bloc. The Alt-Right tends to lionize big capitalist personalities and desires upward mobility to join the elite. Meanwhile, this bloc expresses hatred toward both elitist political and cultural leaders for blocking their road to wealth as well as toward the working class. In 1951, the prominent U.S. sociologist C. Wright Mills offered the following characterization of the U.S. middle classes:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">They are rear guarders. In the shorter run, they will follow the panicky ways of prestige; in the longer run, they will follow the ways of power, for, in the end, prestige is determined by power. In the meantime, on the political marketplace… the new middle classes are up for sale; whoever seems respectable enough, strong enough, can probably have them. So far, nobody has made a serious bid.<a href="#_sect2_edn41" name="_sect2_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a></p>
<p>The Trump administration directed the lower middle class’s resentment of their deteriorating economic situation toward China. The U.S. economy has never fully recovered from the subprime mortgage crisis of 2008, when loose monetary policy enabled big capitalists to reap enormous profits while the working class and the lower middle class suffered great losses. The latter group, angry and frustrated with their situation and in dire need of a spokesperson, was mobilized by Trump to become his key vote bank with the help of white supremacy, racial capitalism, and a New Cold War to suppress China as an opponent in an all-out manner.</p>
<p>Today, hostility toward China has become widespread across the U.S. population. The impression that China is the arch enemy of the free world and the greatest threat to the United States has been emphatically reinforced by mainstream media outlets and internet platforms, while freedom of speech for those who oppose this dangerous trend has been increasingly restricted. Any acknowledgement of Russian and Chinese perspectives or criticism of U.S. foreign policy toward these countries meets strong public criticism. Public opinion in the United States increasingly resembles the McCarthyist period of the 1950s and, in certain ways, the social climate bears disturbing similarities to that of Germany in the early 1930s.</p>
<p>Outsiders often misunderstand the real nature of checks and balances and the separation of powers in the U.S. political system. Unlike the history of European constitutional reforms that were spawned by social revolutionary movements, the U.S. Constitution, which was originally founded by a group of property holders (including slaveholders), was designed from the beginning to protect the rights of private property owners against what they feared could become mob majoritarian rule. To this day, the constitution allows for the dismantling of most traditional bourgeois social and legal rights.</p>
<p>Measures such as the electoral college, which was originally implemented to protect the interests of southern slave-holding and other smaller rural states, were designed to impede the people’s direct vote for president (one person, one vote). This undemocratic system, which is safeguarded by a difficult and onerous process to amend the constitution, resulted in both Bush Jr. and Trump winning the presidency despite receiving fewer votes than their respective opponents. Despite the eventual extension of voting rights to Black people, women, and those without property, voter disenfranchisement continues to this day. As of 2021, 19 states had enacted a total of 34 voter suppression laws that could limit the voting rights of up to 55 million voters in those states.<a href="#_sect2_edn42" name="_sect2_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a> Meanwhile, the unelected Supreme Court has the power to overturn voting rights legislation, strike down affirmative action, and allow religious organizations to abridge civil rights.</p>
<p>A 2010 Supreme Court ruling known as <em>Citizens United</em> removed limits on private and corporate contributions to elections, making them a contest of financial strength.<a href="#_sect2_edn43" name="_sect2_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a> In the 2020 elections, overall spending for the presidential, congressional, and Senate races was $14 billion.<a href="#_sect2_edn44" name="_sect2_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a> In addition to financial competition, there is also psychological-technological competition: the persuasive technological tools based on social media, behavioral economics, and Big Data play a huge role in shaping electoral processes. At the same time, these tools are extremely expensive, helping to ensure that politics is a near exclusive game for the rich. In 2015, the median wealth of U.S. senators exceeded $3 million.<a href="#_sect2_edn45" name="_sect2_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> This is hardly a government that is checked and balanced by the people.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Are We Doomed to War?</strong></span></h3>
<p>In 2014, Xi Jinping, shortly after becoming China’s top leader, told then U.S. President Obama that “the broad Pacific Ocean is vast enough to embrace both China and the United States.”<a href="#_sect2_edn46" name="_sect2_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a> Rejecting this diplomatic olive branch, then U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton boasted in an private speech that the United States could call the Pacific “the American Sea” and threatened to “ring China with missile defense.”<a href="#_sect2_edn47" name="_sect2_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a> In 2020, the UK’s Center for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) predicted that China would overtake the United States to become the world’s largest economy by 2028, a threshold that haunts the U.S. elite. U.S. foreign policy and public opinion in recent years have fixated on preparations to wage a hot war to contain China before that can take place. The proxy war in Ukraine can be seen as a prelude to this hot war. The ideological mobilization to prepare for war is already in full swing in the United States. The wheels of neofascism are turning, and a new era of McCarthyism has arisen. So-called democratic politics are only a cover for the rule of the bourgeois elite; they will not serve as a braking mechanism for the war machine.</p>
<p>There are 140 million working and poor people in the United States, with 17 million children suffering from hunger—six million more than before the pandemic.<a href="#_sect2_edn48" name="_sect2_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> While a portion of this class does express ideological support for U.S. warmongering policy, this support directly contradicts their interests: the near trillion-dollar military budget comes at the expense of providing funding to guarantee healthcare, education, infrastructure, and other human rights, as well as combating climate change. Historically, progressive groups in the United States such as Black and feminist movements have had a strong spirit of anti-war struggle, and leaders such as Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr. and Malcolm X courageously fought to build a wave of domestic resistance to U.S. aggression in Southeast Asia. Sadly, today, some (but not all) progressive leaders in the United States have been unwilling to challenge Washington’s anti-China campaign or, worse, have even become supporters of it.</p>
<p>There are important moral voices in the United States that speak out. However, it must be noted that the few progressive groups opposed to a New Cold War have been vilified for allegedly justifying genocide in Xinjiang. The U.S. political system ruthlessly works to marginalize voices from this section of society.</p>
<p>Although the United States and its allies are aggressively pursuing global military expansion through NATO, the vast majority of the world does not welcome their war making. On March 2, 2022, the UN General Assembly held the 11<sup>th</sup> emergency special session, and countries which together constitute more than half of the world’s population voted against or abstained from voting on the draft resolution titled “Aggression against Ukraine.” Meanwhile, countries which represent 85 percent of the world’s population have not endorsed the U.S.-led sanctions against Russia.<a href="#_sect2_edn49" name="_sect2_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a> Washington’s attempts to escalate and prolong the war and to force a decoupling of Moscow and Beijing will lead to massive economic dislocation, which will bring about sizeable negative reactions to U.S. rule. Even countries like India and Saudi Arabia are deeply concerned about the excesses of the United States in freezing Russian foreign exchange reserves and reinforcing the hegemony of the dollar. Similarly, the presidents of Mexico, Bolivia, Honduras, El Salvador, and Guatemala did not attend the Summit of the Americas hosted by the United States in Los Angeles in June 2022 because of the exclusion of Cuba, Venezuela, and Nicaragua. Resistance to U.S. rule is growing in Latin America. It should be noted, however, that international platforms such as the UN are not actually capable of restraining the United States from waging wars. Washington refuses to be bound by anything but its own rules-based international order.</p>
<p>In the United States, the Biden administration is providing massive military aid to Ukraine to create a protracted war to weaken Russia to the maximum extent possible and bring about regime change. It is also deviating from the spirit of the three Sino-U.S. joint statements and destabilizing the Taiwan Strait in various ways. Though the United States does have great military power, its current economic strength, while immense, is in a perpetual state of decline and crisis.</p>
<p>As John Ross shows in this study, U.S. economic supremacy is waning and may be ended by the Chinese economic juggernaut. In addition, the United States, along with its NATO allies, face multiple profound economic and ecological difficulties. The U.S.-driven war will exacerbate these problems. The war may doom Europe to lower, possibly negative GDP growth, along with inflation and increased and socially useless military spending. The United States has effectively abandoned any pretense of a serious strategy to address climate change, not to mention that its unending pursuit of war has exacerbated the climate catastrophe. And, ironically, despite the domestic political consensus for economic decoupling, U.S. firms continue to increase orders to China—substantive decoupling remains a pipedream.</p>
<p>The United States will not just collapse economically, however; Washington’s drive for war, sanctions, and economic decoupling will continue to damage its own economy and jeopardize the world food supply chain. The resulting global social instability will, in turn, further weaken the U.S. economy and generate even more challenges to its rule, including growing opposition to the hegemony of the dollar.</p>
<p>China’s relatively stable social governance, strong national defense, diplomatic strategy of peace, and resistance to succumbing to U.S. power can, as Chinese State Councilor Yang Jiechi put it, allow the country to proceed “from a position of strength” and eventually force the United States to give up the illusion that it could go to war with China and win.<a href="#_sect2_edn50" name="_sect2_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a> It is in the interests of the Global South that China remain a strong socialist, sovereign state and that it continue to promote alternative policies for global governance such as the concept of “building a community with a shared future for humanity” and the Global Development Initiative. There must be an immediate commitment to reinvigorating viable multilateral projects of the Global South such as BRICS and the Non-Aligned Movement, initiatives in which much of the world shares a common interest. The world population, the vast majority of which is located in Global South, must resist war and call for peace. The United States is not the first empire to overreach with arrogance and hubris, and it, too, will eventually see its power come to an end.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref1" name="_sect2_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> This article was originally written for a Chinese audience and adapted and published in <em>Guancha</em>, a Chinese news website.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref2" name="_sect2_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Meet the Press, “War Game: What Would a Battle for Taiwan Look Like?,” NBC News, May 15, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/video/war-game-what-would-a-battle-for-taiwan-look-like-140042309777">https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/video/war-game-what-would-a-battle-for-taiwan-look-like-140042309777</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref3" name="_sect2_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Center for a New American Security, “CNAS Supporters,” accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cnas.org/support-cnas/cnas-supporters">https://www.cnas.org/support-cnas/cnas-supporters</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref4" name="_sect2_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Roxana Tiron, “U.S. Sees Rising Risk in ‘Breathtaking’ China Nuclear Expansion,” <em>Bloomberg</em>, April 4, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/u-s-sees-rising-risk-in-breathtaking-china-nuclear-expansion">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-04-04/u-s-sees-rising-risk-in-breathtaking-china-nuclear-expansion</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref5" name="_sect2_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> North Atlantic Treaty Organization, “NATO 2022 Strategic Concept”, June 29, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2022/6/pdf/290622-strategic-concept.pdf">https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2022/6/pdf/290622-strategic-concept.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref6" name="_sect2_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Niall Ferguson, <em>Colossus: The Rise and Fall of the American Empire</em> (New York: Penguin Books, 2005).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref7" name="_sect2_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Joan E. Greve, “Biden’s Record Defense Budget Draws Progressive Ire Over Spending Priorities,” <em>The Guardian</em>, April 3, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/apr/03/biden-record-defense-budget-progressive-spending-priorities">https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/apr/03/biden-record-defense-budget-progressive-spending-priorities</a>; Alicia Parlapiano, Deborah B. Solomon, Madeleine Ngo and Stacy Cowley, “Where $5 Trillion in Pandemic Stimulus Money Went,” <em>The New York Times</em>, March 11, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/03/11/us/how-covid-stimulus-money-was-spent.html">https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/03/11/us/how-covid-stimulus-money-was-spent.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref8" name="_sect2_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Swiss Policy Research, “The American Empire and Its Media,” March 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://swprs.org/the-american-empire-and-its-media/">https://swprs.org/the-american-empire-and-its-media/</a>; Laurence H. Shoup, <em>Wall Street’s Think Tank: The Council on Foreign Relations and the Empire of Neoliberal Geopolitics, 1976-2019</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2019); Richard Harwood, “Ruling Class Journalists,” <em>The Washington Post</em>, October 30, 1993,  <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/1993/10/30/ruling-class-journalists/761e7bf8-025d-474e-81cb-92dcf271571e/">https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/opinions/1993/10/30/ruling-class-journalists/761e7bf8-025d-474e-81cb-92dcf271571e/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref9" name="_sect2_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Ivo H. Daalder and James M. Lindsay, “American Empire, Not ‘If’ but ‘What Kind’,” <em>New York Times</em>, May 10, 2003, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/10/arts/american-empire-not-if-but-what-kind.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2003/05/10/arts/american-empire-not-if-but-what-kind.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref10" name="_sect2_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> John Bellamy Foster, <em>Trump in the White House: Tragedy and Farce</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2017).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref11" name="_sect2_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Antony J. Blinken and Robert Kagan, ‘America First’ Is Only Making the World Worse. Here’s a Better Approach,” <em>Brookings Institution</em>, January 4, 2019, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2019/01/04/america-first-is-only-making-the-world-worse-heres-a-better-approach/">https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2019/01/04/america-first-is-only-making-the-world-worse-heres-a-better-approach/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref12" name="_sect2_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> Victoria Nuland, “Remarks at the U.S.-Ukraine Foundation Conference,” <em>U.S. Department of State</em>, December 13, 2013, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://2009-2017.state.gov/p/eur/rls/rm/2013/dec/218804.htm">https://2009-2017.state.gov/p/eur/rls/rm/2013/dec/218804.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref13" name="_sect2_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Matthew Kroenig, “Washington Must Prepare for War with Both Russia and China,” <em>Foreign Policy</em>, February 18, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/02/18/us-russia-china-war-nato-quadrilateral-security-dialogue/">https://foreignpolicy.com/2022/02/18/us-russia-china-war-nato-quadrilateral-security-dialogue/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref14" name="_sect2_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Seth Cropsey, “The U.S. Should Show It Can Win a Nuclear War,” <em>Wall Street Journal</em>, April 27, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-us-show-it-can-win-a-nuclear-war-russia-putin-ukraine-nato-sarmat-missile-testing-warning-11651067733">https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-us-show-it-can-win-a-nuclear-war-russia-putin-ukraine-nato-sarmat-missile-testing-warning-11651067733</a>; “A Conversation with Representative Michael McCaul,” <em>Council on Foreign Relations</em>, April 6, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cfr.org/event/conversation-representative-michael-mccaul">https://www.cfr.org/event/conversation-representative-michael-mccaul</a>; Elliot Abrams, “The Ukraine War, China, and Taiwan,” <em>Council on Foreign Relations</em>, May 3, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cfr.org/blog/ukraine-war-china-and-taiwan">https://www.cfr.org/blog/ukraine-war-china-and-taiwan</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref15" name="_sect2_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> John Smith, “The GDP Illusion: Value Added versus Value Capture,” <em>Monthly Review</em> 64, no. 3 (July-August 2012), <a class="footnote-link" href="https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-064-03-2012-07">https://doi.org/10.14452/MR-064-03-2012-07</a>; Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research, “iPhone Workers Today Are 25 Times More Exploited Than Textile Workers in 19<sup>th</sup> Century England: The Thirty-Ninth Newsletter (2019),” September 25, 2019, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/iphone-workers-today-are-25-times-more-exploited-than-textile-workers-in-19th-century-england-the-thirty-ninth-newsletter-2019/">https://dev.thetricontinental.org/newsletterissue/iphone-workers-today-are-25-times-more-exploited-than-textile-workers-in-19th-century-england-the-thirty-ninth-newsletter-2019/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref16" name="_sect2_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> Felix Richter, “China Is the World’s Manufacturing Superpower,” <em>Statista</em>, May 4, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.statista.com/chart/20858/top-10-countries-by-share-of-global-manufacturing-output/">https://www.statista.com/chart/20858/top-10-countries-by-share-of-global-manufacturing-output/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref17" name="_sect2_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> “10 US Companies with Highest Revenue Exposure to China,” <em>Yahoo! Finance</em>, August 2, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-us-companies-highest-revenue-225350456.html">https://finance.yahoo.com/news/10-us-companies-highest-revenue-225350456.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref18" name="_sect2_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Yardeni Research, Inc., <em>S&amp;P 500 Revenues &amp; the Economy</em>, June 13, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.yardeni.com/pub/stmktbriefrev.pdf">https://www.yardeni.com/pub/stmktbriefrev.pdf</a>; Office of the United States Trade Representative, “The People’s Republic of China: U.S.-China Trade Facts,” accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/china-mongolia-taiwan/peoples-republic-china">https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/china-mongolia-taiwan/peoples-republic-china</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref19" name="_sect2_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> Phil Hall, “Can Marvel Films Profit without Playing in China? Here’s What Disney CEO Bob Chapek Says,” <em>Benzinga</em>, May 12, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/22/05/27166040/disneys-chapek-marvel-films-can-profit-without-playing-in-china">https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/22/05/27166040/disneys-chapek-marvel-films-can-profit-without-playing-in-china</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref20" name="_sect2_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> George Soros (@georgesoros), “China’s Xi Jinping is the greatest threat that open societies face today,” Twitter, January 31, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://twitter.com/georgesoros/status/1488233860584427530?lang=en">https://twitter.com/georgesoros/status/1488233860584427530?lang=en</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref21" name="_sect2_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> David Henry and Anshuman Daga, “Jamie Dimon jokes that JPMorgan will outlast China’s Communist Party,” <em>Reuters</em>, November 23 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.reuters.com/business/jpmorgan-ceo-dimon-jokes-his-bank-will-outlast-chinas-communist-party-2021-11-23/">https://www.reuters.com/business/jpmorgan-ceo-dimon-jokes-his-bank-will-outlast-chinas-communist-party-2021-11-23/</a></p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref22" name="_sect2_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Bloomberg Government, “The Top 10 Defense Contractors,” June 10, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://about.bgov.com/top-defense-contractors/">https://about.bgov.com/top-defense-contractors/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref23" name="_sect2_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Big Tech Sells War, accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://bigtechsellswar.com/">https://bigtechsellswar.com/</a>; April Glaser, “Thousands of Contracts Highlight Quiet Ties Between Big Tech and U.S. Military,” <em>NBC News</em>, July 8, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/thousands-contracts-highlight-quiet-ties-between-big-tech-u-s-n1233171">https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/thousands-contracts-highlight-quiet-ties-between-big-tech-u-s-n1233171</a>; Joseph Nograles, “Buy PLTR Stock: Palantir Is a Defense Contractor Powerhouse,” Nasdaq, October 14, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/buy-pltr-stock%3A-palantir-is-a-defense-contractor-powerhouse-2021-10-14">https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/buy-pltr-stock%3A-palantir-is-a-defense-contractor-powerhouse-2021-10-14</a>; Frank Konkel, “NSA Awards Secret $10 Billion Contract to Amazon,” Nextgov, August 10, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nextgov.com/it-modernization/2021/08/nsa-awards-secret-10-billion-contract-amazon/184390/">https://www.nextgov.com/it-modernization/2021/08/nsa-awards-secret-10-billion-contract-amazon/184390/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref24" name="_sect2_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Mike Stone, “Biden Wants $813 Billion for Defense as Ukraine Crisis Raises Alarm,” <em>Reuters</em>, March 28, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-wants-813-billion-defense-ukraine-crisis-raises-alarm-2022-03-28/">https://www.reuters.com/world/us/biden-wants-813-billion-defense-ukraine-crisis-raises-alarm-2022-03-28/</a>; Michael A. Cohen, “Bloated Defense Budget Passes Easily but Congress Fights over Safety Net Programs,” <em>MSNBC</em>, October 1, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/bloated-defense-budget-passes-easily-congress-fights-over-safety-net-n1280568">https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/bloated-defense-budget-passes-easily-congress-fights-over-safety-net-n1280568</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref25" name="_sect2_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Open Secrets, accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.opensecrets.org/">https://www.opensecrets.org/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref26" name="_sect2_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Ben Freeman, “The Hidden Costs of Star Creep: Generals Making More in Retirement Than in Service,” <em>POGO: Project on Government Oversight</em>, February 8, 2012, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.pogo.org/analysis/2012/02/hidden-costs-of-star-creep-generals-making-more-in-retirement-than-in-service">https://www.pogo.org/analysis/2012/02/hidden-costs-of-star-creep-generals-making-more-in-retirement-than-in-service</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref27" name="_sect2_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Sam DiSalvo, “How Much Is Bill Clinton Worth?” <em>Yahoo! News</em>, February 12, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://ca.news.yahoo.com/much-bill-clinton-worth-234218086.html">https://ca.news.yahoo.com/much-bill-clinton-worth-234218086.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref28" name="_sect2_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> CNBC, “Many Who Met with Clinton as Secretary of State Donated to Foundation,” August 23, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2016/08/23/most-of-those-who-met-with-clinton-as-secretary-of-state-donated-to-foundation.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref29" name="_sect2_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Jeremy Herb and Connor O’Brien, “Pentagon Pick Mattis Discloses Defense Industry Work,” <em>Politico</em>, January 8, 2017, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.politico.com/blogs/donald-trump-administration/2017/01/james-mattis-defense-disclosures-233331">https://www.politico.com/blogs/donald-trump-administration/2017/01/james-mattis-defense-disclosures-233331</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref30" name="_sect2_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> Dan Alexander, “Here’s How Much Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin Is Worth,” <em>Forbes</em>, June 18, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/2021/06/18/heres-how-much-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-austin-is-worth/?sh=552340be63e4">https://www.forbes.com/sites/danalexander/2021/06/18/heres-how-much-secretary-of-defense-lloyd-austin-is-worth/?sh=552340be63e4</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref31" name="_sect2_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Luke Johnson, “Report: 70 Percent of Retired Generals Took Jobs with Defense Contractors or Consultants,” <em>HuffPost</em>, November 20, 2012, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.huffpost.com/entry/defense-contractors-generals_n_2160771">https://www.huffpost.com/entry/defense-contractors-generals_n_2160771</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref32" name="_sect2_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Tom Vanden Brook, Ken Dilanian and Ray Locker, “How Some Retired Military Officers Became Well-Paid Consultants,” <em>ABC News</em>, November 18, 2009, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/retired-military-officers-retire-paid-consultants/story?id=9115368">https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/retired-military-officers-retire-paid-consultants/story?id=9115368</a>; Mandy Smithberger, “Brass Parachutes: The Problem of the Pentagon Revolving Door,” <em>POGO: Project on Government Oversight</em>, November 5, 2018, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.pogo.org/report/2018/11/brass-parachutes">https://www.pogo.org/report/2018/11/brass-parachutes</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref33" name="_sect2_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> Jonathan Guyer and Ryan Grim, “Meet the Consulting Firm That’s Staffing the Biden Administration,” <em>The Intercept</em>, July 6, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/">https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/</a>; WestExec Advisors, accessed August 14, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.westexec.com/">https://www.westexec.com/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref34" name="_sect2_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Jonathan Guyer and Ryan Grim, “Meet the Consulting Firm That’s Staffing the Biden Administration,” <em>The Intercept</em>, July 6, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/">https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/</a>; Alex Thompson and Theodoric Meyer, “Janet Yellen Made Millions in Wall Street, Corporate Speeches,” <em>Politico</em>, January 1, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/01/yellen-made-millions-in-wall-street-speeches-453223">https://www.politico.com/news/2021/01/01/yellen-made-millions-in-wall-street-speeches-453223</a>; Eric Lipton and Kennet P. Vogel, “Biden Aides’ Ties to Consulting and Investment Firms Pose Ethics Test,” <em>The New York Times</em>, November 28, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/28/us/politics/biden-westexec.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/28/us/politics/biden-westexec.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref35" name="_sect2_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Jonathan Guyer and Ryan Grim, “Meet the Consulting Firm That’s Staffing the Biden Administration,” <em>The Intercept</em>, July 6, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/">https://theintercept.com/2021/07/06/westexec-biden-administration/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref36" name="_sect2_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Neta C. Crawford and Catherine Lutz, “Human and Budgetary Costs to Date of the U.S. War in Afghanistan,” <em>Costs of War Project</em>, April 15, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/figures/2021/Human%20and%20Budgetary%20Costs%20of%20Afghan%20War%2C%202001-2021.pdf">https://watson.brown.edu/costsofwar/files/cow/imce/figures/2021/Human%20and%20Budgetary%20Costs%20of%20Afghan%20War%2C%202001-2021.pdf</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref37" name="_sect2_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Bryan Stinchfield, “The Creeping Privatization of America’s Armed Forces,” <em>Newsweek, </em>May 28, 2017, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.newsweek.com/creeping-privatization-americas-forces-616347">https://www.newsweek.com/creeping-privatization-americas-forces-616347</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref38" name="_sect2_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Ross Wilkers, “Apollo Group, Constellis Executives to Buy Out Security Services Contractor,” <em>GovCon Wire</em>, August 15, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.govconwire.com/2016/08/apollo-group-constellis-executives-to-buy-out-security-services-contractor/">https://www.govconwire.com/2016/08/apollo-group-constellis-executives-to-buy-out-security-services-contractor/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref39" name="_sect2_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> Walt Bogdanich and Michael Forsythe, “How McKinsey Has Helped Raise the Stature of Authoritarian Governments,” <em>The New York Times</em>, December 15, 2018, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/15/world/asia/mckinsey-china-russia.html">https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/15/world/asia/mckinsey-china-russia.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref40" name="_sect2_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Congressional Research Service, “Security Clearance Process: Answers to Frequently Asked Questions,” October 17, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R43216">https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R43216</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref41" name="_sect2_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> C. Wright Mills, <em>White Collar: The American Classes</em> (New York: Oxford University Press, 1951), 353.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref42" name="_sect2_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Tony Eskridge and Shailly Gupta Barnes, “Quick Facts on Voting Rights,” <em>Kairos Center</em>, accessed August 9, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://kairoscenter.org/quick-facts-on-voting-rights/">https://kairoscenter.org/quick-facts-on-voting-rights/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref43" name="_sect2_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Ian Vandewalker, “Since Citizens United, a Decade of Super PACs,” <em>The Brennan Center for Justice</em>, January 14, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/citizens-united-decade-super-pacs">https://www.brennancenter.org/our-work/analysis-opinion/citizens-united-decade-super-pacs</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref44" name="_sect2_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Brian Schwartz, “Total 2020 Election Spending to Hit Nearly $14 Billion, More than Double 2016’s Sum,” <em>CNBC</em>, October 28, 2020, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/28/2020-election-spending-to-hit-nearly-14-billion-a-record.html">https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/28/2020-election-spending-to-hit-nearly-14-billion-a-record.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref45" name="_sect2_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Dan Kopf, “The Typical Us Congress Member Is 12 Times Richer than the Typical American Household,” <em>Quartz</em>, February 12, 2018, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://qz.com/1190595/the-typical-us-congress-member-is-12-times-richer-than-the-typical-american-household/">https://qz.com/1190595/the-typical-us-congress-member-is-12-times-richer-than-the-typical-american-household/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref46" name="_sect2_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Embassy of the People’s Republic of China in the United States, “Xi Jinping Holds Talks with President Barack Obama of the US,” November 12, 2014, <a class="footnote-link" href="http://us.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zmgx/zxxx/201411/t20141115_4909273.htm">http://us.china-embassy.gov.cn/eng/zmgx/zxxx/201411/t20141115_4909273.htm</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref47" name="_sect2_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> William Gallo, “Clinton Says US Would ‘Ring China With Missile Defense’,” <em>Voice of America</em>, October 14, 2016, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.voanews.com/a/clinton-says-us-would-ring-china-with-missile-defense/3550418.html">https://www.voanews.com/a/clinton-says-us-would-ring-china-with-missile-defense/3550418.html</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref48" name="_sect2_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> Shailly Gupta Barnes, “Explaining the 140 Million: Breaking Down the Numbers Behind the Moral Budget,” <em>Kairos Center</em>, June 26, 2019, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://kairoscenter.org/explaining-the-140-million/">https://kairoscenter.org/explaining-the-140-million/</a>; Save the Children, “Child Hunger in America,” 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.savethechildren.org/us/charity-stories/child-hunger-in-america">https://www.savethechildren.org/us/charity-stories/child-hunger-in-america</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref49" name="_sect2_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> No Cold War, “Briefing: The World Does Not Want a Global NATO,” July 28, 2022, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://nocoldwar.org/news/briefing-the-world-does-not-want-a-global-nato">https://nocoldwar.org/news/briefing-the-world-does-not-want-a-global-nato</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect2_ednref50" name="_sect2_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> “China Says U.S. Cannot Speak from ‘a Position of Strength’” <em>BBC</em> <em>News</em>, March 19, 2021, <a class="footnote-link" href="https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-56456021">https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-56456021</a>.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p><a name="section_4"></a></p>
<h1 class="mrst_section_title mrst_section_title_4"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>“Notes on Exterminism” for the Twenty-First-Century Ecology and Peace Movements</strong></span></h1>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;">John Bellamy Foster</span></h2>
<p> </p>
<p>In 1980, the great English historian and Marxist theorist E. P. Thompson, author of <em>The Making of the English Working Class</em> and leader of the Movement for European Nuclear Disarmament, wrote the pathbreaking essay “Notes on Exterminism, the Last Stage of Civilization.”<a href="#_sect3_edn1" name="_sect3_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a> Although the world has undergone a number of significant changes since, Thompson’s essay remains a useful starting point in approaching the central contradictions of our times, characterized by the planetary ecological crisis, COVID-19 pandemic, New Cold War, and current “empire of chaos”—all arising from features deeply embedded in the contemporary capitalist political economy.<a href="#_sect3_edn2" name="_sect3_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a></p>
<p>For Thompson, the term <em>exterminism</em> referred not to the extinction of life itself, since some life would remain even in the face of a global thermonuclear exchange, but rather to the tendency toward the “extermination of our [contemporary] civilization,” understood in its most universal sense. Nevertheless, exterminism pointed to mass annihilation and was defined as consisting of those “characteristics of society—expressed in differing degrees, within its economy, its polity, and its ideology—which thrust it in a direction whose outcome must be the extermination of multitudes.”<a href="#_sect3_edn3" name="_sect3_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a> “Notes on Exterminism” was written eight years before climatologist James Hansen’s famous 1988 testimony on global warming to the U.S. Congress and the formation that same year of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Hence, Thompson’s treatment of exterminism focused squarely on nuclear war and did not directly address the other emerging exterminist tendency of contemporary society: the planetary ecological crisis. Yet, his perspective was a deeply socioecological one. The tendency toward exterminism in modern society was thus seen as directly opposed to “the imperatives of human ecological survival,” demanding a worldwide struggle for a socially egalitarian and ecologically sustainable world.<a href="#_sect3_edn4" name="_sect3_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a></p>
<p>With the demise of the Soviet Union and the end of the Cold War in 1991, the nuclear threat that had loomed over the planet since the Second World War seemed to subside. As a result, most subsequent considerations of Thompson’s exterminism thesis have considered it primarily in the context of the planetary ecological crisis, itself a source of “the extermination of multitudes.”<a href="#_sect3_edn5" name="_sect3_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a> However, the advent of the New Cold War over the last decade has brought the threat of nuclear holocaust back into the center of world concerns. The 2022 Ukraine War, the origins of which date back to the 2014 U.S.-engineered Maidan coup and the resulting Ukrainian Civil War fought between Kyiv and the breakaway republics of the Russian-speaking Donbass region in Ukraine, has now evolved into a full-scale war between Moscow and Kyiv. This took on an ominous worldwide significance on February 27, 2022, with Russia, three days into its military offensive in Ukraine, placing its nuclear forces on high alert as a warning against a direct NATO intervention in the war, whether by non-nuclear or nuclear means.<a href="#_sect3_edn6" name="_sect3_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a> The potential for a global thermonuclear war between the leading nuclear powers is now greater than at any time in the post-Cold War world.</p>
<p>It is therefore necessary to address these dual exterminist tendencies: both the planetary ecological crisis (including not only climate change but also the crossing of the eight other key planetary boundaries that scientists define as essential for the Earth’s ability to be a safe home for humanity) and the growing threat of global nuclear annihilation. In approaching the dialectical interconnections between these two global existential threats, emphasis must be placed on updating the historical understanding of the thrust toward nuclear exterminism as it metamorphosed in the decades of U.S. unipolar power, while the world’s attention was directed elsewhere. How is it that the threat of global thermonuclear war is once again hanging over the globe, three decades after the end of the Cold War and at a time when the risk of irreversible climate change looms on the horizon? What approaches need to be adopted within the peace and environmental movements to counter these interrelated global existential threats? To answer these questions, it is important to address such issues as the nuclear winter controversy, the counterforce doctrine, and the U.S. quest for global nuclear supremacy. Only then can we perceive the full dimensions of the global existential threats imposed by today’s catastrophe capitalism.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Nuclear Winter</strong></span></h3>
<p>In 1983, teams of atmospheric scientists in both the United States and the Soviet Union produced models appearing in the major scientific journals predicting that a nuclear war would lead to a “nuclear winter.” This took place in the midst of the Ronald Reagan administration’s nuclear buildup, associated with the Strategic Defense Initiative (better known as Star Wars) and the growing threat of nuclear Armageddon. The outcome of a global thermonuclear exchange resulting in megafires in a hundred or more cities, it was discovered, could enormously reduce the average temperature of the Earth by pushing soot and smoke into the atmosphere and blocking solar radiation. The climate would be altered much more abruptly and in the opposite direction from global warming, introducing rapid global cooling causing temperatures to drop by several degrees or even “several tens of degrees” Celsius across the world (or at least across the hemisphere) in a matter of a month, with horrific consequences for life on Earth. Thus, although hundreds of millions­—perhaps even a billion or more people—would be killed by the <em>direct</em> effects of a global thermonuclear exchange, the <em>indirect</em> effects would be far worse, annihilating most people on the planet via starvation—even those not caught up in the direct effects of nuclear firebombs. The nuclear winter thesis had a powerful effect on the nuclear arms race that was taking place at the time and played a role in getting the U.S. and Soviet governments to pull back from the brink.<a href="#_sect3_edn7" name="_sect3_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a></p>
<p>However, the power elite in the United States saw the nuclear winter model as a direct attack on the nuclear armaments industry and the Pentagon, aimed at the Star Wars program in particular. It therefore led to one of the biggest scientific controversies of all time, despite the fact that the controversy was more political than scientific, since the scientific results were never really in doubt. Although claims were made that the initial nuclear winter models from NASA scientists were too simple and that studies were produced pointing to effects less extreme than originally envisioned—“nuclear autumn” rather than nuclear winter—the nuclear winter thesis was validated again and again by scientific models.<a href="#_sect3_edn8" name="_sect3_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>Nevertheless, if the initial response of the public and political leaders to the nuclear winter studies helped to create a strong movement to dismantle nuclear weapons, contributing to nuclear arms control and the end of the Cold War, this was soon countered by powerful military, political, and economic interests behind the U.S. nuclear war machine. Thus, the corporate media together with political forces launched various campaigns meant to discredit the nuclear winter thesis.<a href="#_sect3_edn9" name="_sect3_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a> In 2000, the popular science magazine <em>Discover</em> went so far as to list nuclear winter as one of its “20 Greatest Scientific Blunders in the Last 20 Years.” Yet, the most that <em>Discover</em> could claim in this respect was that the key scientists behind the most influential nuclear winter study in the 1980s had pulled back by 1990, claiming that the average temperature reduction as a result of a global nuclear exchange was estimated to be somewhat smaller than originally conceived and would at most constitute a 36°F (20°C) <em>drop</em> in average temperature in the Northern Hemisphere. This updated estimate, however, remained apocalyptic on a planetary level.<a href="#_sect3_edn10" name="_sect3_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a></p>
<p>In one of the greatest instances of denialism in the history of science, surpassing even the denial of climate change, the public sphere and the military widely rejected these scientific findings on nuclear winter out of hand based on the charge that the original estimate had somehow been “exaggerated.” The exaggeration charge has been used in ruling circles for decades, up to the present, to downplay the full effects of nuclear war. In the case of Pentagon capitalism, such denial was clearly motivated by the reality that, if the scientific results on nuclear winter were allowed to stand, the strategic planning aimed at fighting a “winnable” nuclear war, or at least one in which one’s own side would “prevail,” would be senseless. Once the atmospheric effects are considered, the global devastation cannot be confined to a particular nuclear theater; the unimaginable effects would, within several years of the global thermonuclear exchange, destroy all but a tiny fraction of the population of the Earth, going beyond what was even envisioned by mutual assured destruction (MAD).</p>
<p>In some ways, the catastrophic effects of nuclear war have always been downplayed by nuclear planners. As Daniel Ellsberg points out in <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, the estimated death toll from all-out nuclear warfare that U.S. strategic analysts provided was a “fantastic underestimate” from the start, “even before the discovery of nuclear winter,” since they deliberately omitted the firestorms in cities resulting from nuclear blasts—the largest impact on the overall urban population—on the questionable grounds that the level of devastation was too difficult to estimate.<a href="#_sect3_edn11" name="_sect3_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a> As Ellsberg writes:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Yet even in the sixties the firestorms caused by thermonuclear weapons were known to be predictably the <em>largest</em> production of fatalities in a nuclear war. … Moreover, what no one would recognize… [until the first nuclear winter studies emerged some twenty-one years after the Cuban Missile Crisis] were the indirect effects of our planned first strike that gravely threatened the other two thirds of humanity. These effects arose from another   neglected consequence of our attacks on cities: smoke. In effect, in ignoring fire, the [Joint] Chiefs [of Staff] and their planners ignored that where there’s fire there’s smoke.  But what is dangerous to our survival is not the smoke from ordinary fires, even very large ones—smoke that remained in the lower atmosphere and soon would be rained out—but smoke propelled into the upper atmosphere from the <em>firestorms</em> that our nuclear weapons were sure to create in the cities we targeted.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Ferocious updrafts from these multiple firestorms would loft millions of tons of smoke and soot into the stratosphere, which would not be rained out and would quickly encircle the globe, forming a blanket blocking most sunlight around the Earth for a decade or more. This would reduce sunlight and lower temperatures worldwide to a point that it would eliminate all harvests and starve to death—not all but nearly all—humans (and other animals that depend on vegetation for food). The population of the Southern Hemisphere—spared nearly all direct effects from nuclear explosions, even from fallout—would be nearly annihilated, as would that of Eurasia (which the Joint Chiefs already foresaw, from direct effects), Africa and North America.<a href="#_sect3_edn12" name="_sect3_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a></p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Worse than the original pushback against the nuclear winter thesis, according to Ellsberg, writing in 2017, was the fact that, over the decades that followed, nuclear planners in the United States and Russia have “<em>continued</em> to include ‘options’ for detonating hundreds of nuclear explosions near cities, which would loft enough soot and smoke into the upper stratosphere to lead [via nuclear winter] to death by starvation of nearly everyone on Earth, including, after all, ourselves.”<a href="#_sect3_edn13" name="_sect3_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a></p>
<p>The denialism built into the doomsday machine (the thrust to exterminism entrenched in Pentagon capitalism) is all the more significant given that not only were the original nuclear winter studies never disproven, but twenty-first-century nuclear winter studies, based on computer models more sophisticated than those of the early 1980s, have gone on to show that nuclear winter can be set off at lower levels of nuclear exchange than envisioned in the original models.<a href="#_sect3_edn14" name="_sect3_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a> The importance of these new studies is symbolized by <em>Discover</em> magazine, which, in 2007—only seven years after it had included nuclear winter in its list of the twenty “greatest scientific blunders” of the previous two decades—carried an article entitled “The Return of Nuclear Winter,” essentially repudiating its earlier piece.<a href="#_sect3_edn15" name="_sect3_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a></p>
<p>The most recent studies, motivated in part by nuclear proliferation, demonstrated that a hypothetical nuclear war between India and Pakistan fought with 100 fifteen-kiloton (Hiroshima-sized) atomic bombs could produce direct fatalities comparable to all deaths in the Second World War, in addition to the fatalities and suffering resulting from global famine in the long-term. The atomic explosions would immediately ignite firestorms of three to five square miles. Burning cities would release some five million tons of smoke into the stratosphere, circling the Earth within two weeks, which could not be removed by rainfall and might remain for more than a decade. By blocking sunlight, this would decrease food production globally by 20 to 40 percent. The stratospheric smoke layer would absorb warming sunlight, heating the smoke to temperatures near water’s boiling point, resulting in an ozone layer reduction of 20 to 50 percent near populated areas and generating UV-B increases unprecedented in human history, such that fair-skinned individuals could get severe sunburns in around six minutes and levels of skin cancer would go off the charts. Meanwhile, it is estimated that up to 2 billion people would die of famine.<a href="#_sect3_edn16" name="_sect3_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a></p>
<p>The new series of nuclear winter studies, published in major peer-reviewed scientific journals beginning in 2007 and continuing to the present, did not stop there. They also looked at what would happen if there were a global thermonuclear exchange involving the five leading nuclear powers: the United States, Russia, China, France, and the United Kingdom. The United States and Russia alone, which account for most of the world’s nuclear arsenal, have thousands of strategic nuclear weapons with an explosive power ranging from seven to eighty times that of the Hiroshima bomb (although some thermonuclear weapons developed in the 1950s and ’60s that have since been discontinued were a thousand times as powerful as the atom bomb). A single strategic nuclear weapon hitting a city would ignite a firestorm covering a surface area of 90 to 152 square miles. Scientists calculated that the fires from a full-scale global thermonuclear exchange would propel into the stratosphere 150 to 180 million tons of black carbon soot and smoke that would remain for twenty to thirty years and would prevent up to 70 percent of solar energy from reaching the Northern Hemisphere and up to 35 percent with respect to the Southern Hemisphere. The noonday sun would end up looking like a full moon at midnight. Global average temperatures would fall below freezing every day for one or two years, or even longer in the main agricultural regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Average temperatures would dip below those experienced in the last Ice Age. The growing seasons of agricultural areas would disappear for more than a decade, while rainfall would decrease by up to 90 percent. Most of the human population would die of starvation.<a href="#_sect3_edn17" name="_sect3_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a></p>
<p>In his 1960 book <em>On Thermonuclear War</em>, RAND Corporation physicist Herman Kahn presented the notion of the “doomsday machine,” which would kill everyone on Earth in the event of a nuclear war.<a href="#_sect3_edn18" name="_sect3_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a> Kahn did not advocate building such a machine, nor did he contend that either the United States or the Soviet Union had done so or were then seeking to do so. He merely suggested that a mechanism that would ensure no survivability from nuclear war would be a cheap alternative with which to achieve complete and irrevocable deterrence on all sides and take nuclear warfare off the table. As Ellsberg, himself a former nuclear strategist, has since remarked—in line with scientists Carl Sagan and Richard Turco, who helped develop the nuclear winter model—today’s strategic arsenals in the hands of the dominant nuclear powers, if detonated, constitute an actual doomsday machine. Once set in motion, the doomsday machine would almost certainly directly or indirectly annihilate most of the population on the planet.<a href="#_sect3_edn19" name="_sect3_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Counterforce and the U.S. Drive to Nuclear Primacy</strong></span></h3>
<p>From the 1960s, when Moscow achieved rough nuclear parity with Washington, until the demise of the Soviet Union, the dominant nuclear strategy during the Cold War between the United States and the Soviet Union was based on the notion of Mutually Assured Destruction (MAD). This principle, which refers to the possibility of utter devastation on both sides, including the deaths of hundreds of millions of people, effectively translates into nuclear parity. However, as nuclear winter studies indicate, the consequences of an all-out nuclear war would go far beyond even this, extending to the destruction of almost all human life (as well as most other species) on the entire planet. Still, ignoring the nuclear winter warnings, the United States, with far more resources than the Soviet Union, sought to transcend MAD in the direction of U.S. “nuclear primacy” so as to restore the level of U.S. nuclear preeminence of the early Cold War years. <em>Nuclear primacy</em>, as opposed to <em>nuclear parity</em>, means “eliminating the possibility of a retaliatory strike” and thus is also referred to as “first strike capability.”<a href="#_sect3_edn20" name="_sect3_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a> In this respect, it is significant that Washington’s official defense posture has consistently included the possibility of the United States carrying out a first strike nuclear attack on nuclear or non-nuclear states.</p>
<p>In addition to introducing the doomsday machine concept, Kahn, as one of the leading U.S. strategic planners, also coined the key terms <em>countervalue</em> and <em>counterforce.</em><a href="#_sect3_edn21" name="_sect3_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> <em>Countervalue </em>refers to targeting an enemy’s cities, civilian population, and economy and is aimed at complete annihilation, thus leading to MAD. <em>Counterforce</em>, in contrast, refers to targeting the enemy’s nuclear weapons facilities to prevent retaliation.</p>
<p>When the counterforce strategy was originally introduced by Robert McNamara, the U.S. defense secretary in John F. Kennedy’s administration, it was seen as a “no cities” strategy that would attack the opponent’s nuclear weapons rather than civilian populations, and it has sometimes been fallaciously justified in those terms since. McNamara, however, soon realized the flaws in the counterforce strategy, namely that it provokes a nuclear arms race directed at achieving (or denying) nuclear primacy. Moreover, the notion that a “preemptive” counterforce strike did not involve attacks on cities was incorrect from that start, as targets included nuclear command centers in cities. He therefore abandoned the effort shortly after in favor of a nuclear strategy based on MAD, which he saw as the only true approach to nuclear deterrence.<a href="#_sect3_edn22" name="_sect3_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a></p>
<p>This U.S. nuclear strategy prevailed for most of the 1960s and ’70s and was characterized by the acceptance of rough nuclear parity with the Soviet Union and thus of the possible reality of MAD. However, this broke down in the final year of the Jimmy Carter administration. In 1979, Washington strong-armed NATO into allowing nuclear-armed cruise and Pershing II missiles, both counterforce weapons aimed at the Soviet nuclear arsenal, to be sited in Europe, a decision that ignited the European antinuclear movement.<a href="#_sect3_edn23" name="_sect3_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> In the subsequent U.S. administration under Ronald Reagan, Washington adopted the counterforce strategy in full force.<a href="#_sect3_edn24" name="_sect3_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a> The Reagan administration introduced Star Wars, aimed at developing a comprehensive antiballistic missile system capable of defending the U.S. homeland. Though this was subsequently abandoned as impractical, it nonetheless led to other antiballistic missile systems in later administrations.<a href="#_sect3_edn25" name="_sect3_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a> In addition, under the Reagan administration the United States pushed the MX missile (which later became known as the Peacemaker), viewed as a counterforce weapon able to destroy Soviet missiles before they were launched. All of these weapons threatened the “decapitation” of Soviet forces in a first attack as well as the ability to intercept through antiballistic missile systems what few Soviet missiles survived.<a href="#_sect3_edn26" name="_sect3_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a> Counterforce weapons required greater accuracy since they were no longer conceived as city-busters as in “countervalue” attacks, but rather as precision targeting of hardened missile silos, mobile land-based missiles, nuclear submarines, and command-and-control centers. It was here, in counterforce weapons, that the United States had a technological advantage.</p>
<p>This major nuclear arms buildup, beginning in 1979 with the planned deployment in Europe of missile delivery systems carrying nuclear warheads, generated the great nuclear war protests of the 1980s in Europe and North America as well as Thompson’s critique of exterminism and scientific research about nuclear winter. Nevertheless, today, “counterforce remains the sacrosanct principle of American nuclear strategy,” aimed at nuclear primacy, in the words of Janne Nolan of the Arms Control Association.<a href="#_sect3_edn27" name="_sect3_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a></p>
<p>With the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 and the end of the Cold War, Washington immediately commenced the process of translating its new unipolar position into a vision of permanent U.S. supremacy over the entire globe, beginning with the February 1992 <em>Defense Policy Guidance</em> issued by then Undersecretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz.<a href="#_sect3_edn28" name="_sect3_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a> This was to be enacted through a geopolitical expansion of the areas of Western dominance to regions formerly part of the Soviet Union or within its sphere of influence in order to thwart the reemergence of Russia as a great power. At the same time, in a climate of nuclear disarmament and with the deterioration of the Russian nuclear force under Boris Yeltsin, the United States sought to “modernize” its nuclear weapons, replacing them with more technologically advanced strategic weaponry with the object not of enhancing deterrence, but rather of achieving nuclear primacy.<a href="#_sect3_edn29" name="_sect3_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a></p>
<p>The U.S. pursuit of nuclear primacy in the post-Cold War world by continuing to promote counterforce weapons was known as the “maximalist” strategy in debates over nuclear policy at the time and was opposed by those who advocated for a “minimalist” strategy that relied on MAD. In the end, the maximalists won and the New World Order came to be defined by both the enlargement of NATO, with Ukraine seen as the ultimate geopolitical and strategic pivot, and by the U.S. pursuit of a maximalist goal of absolute nuclear dominance and first strike capability.<a href="#_sect3_edn30" name="_sect3_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a></p>
<p>In 2006, Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press published the landmark article “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy” in <em>Foreign Affairs</em>, the flagship journal of the Council of Foreign Relations. In their article, Lieber and Press argued that the United States was “on the verge of attaining nuclear primacy,” or first strike capability, and that this had been its aim since at least the end of the Cold War. As they put it, “the weight of evidence suggests that Washington is, in fact, deliberately seeking nuclear primacy.”<a href="#_sect3_edn31" name="_sect3_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a></p>
<p>What placed such first strike capability seemingly within Washington’s reach was the new nuclear weaponry associated with nuclear modernization that, if anything, accelerated after the Cold War. Weapons such as nuclear-armed cruise missiles, nuclear submarines able to fire their missiles near the shore, and low-flying B-52 stealth bombers carrying both nuclear-armed cruise missiles and nuclear gravity bombs could more effectively penetrate Russian or Chinese defenses. More accurate intercontinental ballistic missiles could fully eliminate hardened missile silos. Improved surveillance could allow for the tracking and destruction of mobile land-based missiles and nuclear submarines. Meanwhile, the more accurate Trident II D-5 missiles being introduced on U.S. nuclear submarines carried larger-yield warheads to use on hardened silos. More advanced remote sensing technology in which the United States has had the lead has greatly enhanced its ability to detect mobile land-based missiles and nuclear submarines. The ability to target the satellites of other nuclear powers could weaken or eliminate their capacity to deliver nuclear missiles.<a href="#_sect3_edn32" name="_sect3_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<p>The siting of strategic weapons in countries recently admitted to NATO and near or on Russian borders would serve to enhance the speed with which nuclear weapons could strike Moscow and other Russian targets, giving the Kremlin no time to react. The Aegis ballistic missile defense facilities that the United States established in Poland and Romania are also potential offensive weapons capable of launching nuclear-armed tomahawk cruise missiles.<a href="#_sect3_edn33" name="_sect3_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a> Nuclear missile defense facilities, mainly useful in the case of countering retaliation to a first strike by the United States, could shoot down a limited number of missiles that had survived and were launched on the other side, but these anti-ballistic missile systems would be ineffective in the face of a first attack since they would be overwhelmed by the sheer number of missiles and decoys. Furthermore, in recent decades, the United States has developed large numbers of high-precision, <em>non-nuclear</em> aerospace weapons to be used in a counterforce strike aimed at enemy missiles or command-and-control facilities that are comparable to nuclear weapons in their counterforce effects due to precision targeting based on satellites.<a href="#_sect3_edn34" name="_sect3_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>According to Lieber and Press, writing in 2006, “the odds that Beijing will acquire a survivable nuclear deterrent in the next decade are slim,” and the survivability of the Russian deterrent was in question in the face of a massive U.S. first strike. “What our analysis suggests is profound: Russia’s leaders can no longer count on a survivable nuclear deterrent.” As they wrote, the United States was “seeking primacy in every dimension of modern military technology, both in its conventional arsenal and in its nuclear forces,” something known as “escalation dominance.”<a href="#_sect3_edn35" name="_sect3_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a></p>
<p>The signing of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty or New START between the United States and Russia in 2010, while limiting nuclear weapons, did not prevent a race toward the modernization of counterforce weapons that would allow one side to destroy the other side’s armaments. The signing of the New START Treaty between the United States and Russia in 2010, while limiting nuclear weapons, did not prevent a race toward modernization of counterforce weapons to destroy the other side’s weapons. In fact, the limits on numbers of nuclear weapons permitted made a counterforce strategy, in which the United States had the upper hand, much more feasible, since one of the three primary bases for survivability of a nuclear retaliatory arsenal (along with hardening of land-based missile sites and concealment) is the sheer number and thus redundancy of such weapons.<a href="#_sect3_edn36" name="_sect3_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> With nuclear primacy as the goal set in Washington, the United States began unilaterally to withdraw from some of the main nuclear treaties established in the Cold War. In 2002, under the George W. Bush administration, the United States unilaterally withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. In 2019, under the Donald Trump administration, Washington withdrew from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, claiming that Russia had violated it. In 2020, again under Trump, the United States withdrew from the Open Skies Treaty (which placed limits on reconnaissance flights over other countries); this was followed by Russia’s withdrawal in 2021. There is little doubt that withdrawal from these treaties was favorable to Washington by allowing it to expand its counterforce options in its quest for nuclear primacy.</p>
<p>Given the U.S.’s pursuit of overall nuclear dominance, Russia has attempted to modernize its nuclear weapon systems over the last two decades, though it is at a distinct disadvantage in terms of counterforce capability. Its fundamental nuclear strategy is therefore determined by fears of a U.S. first strike that could effectively eliminate its nuclear deterrent and its ability to retaliate. Thus, it has strived to reestablish a credible deterrent. As Cynthia Roberts of the Saltzman Institute of War and Peace at Columbia University wrote in “Revelations About Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Policy” in 2020, Russians perceive further U.S. improvements to strategic forces, both conventional and nuclear, as part of a continuous effort to “stalk Russia’s nuclear deterrent and deny Moscow a viable second-strike option,” effectively eliminating its nuclear deterrent altogether through “decapitation.”<a href="#_sect3_edn37" name="_sect3_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a> While the United States has adopted a maximum nuclear “defense” posture of threatening “nuclear first use and phased escalation” in which it retains dominance at every level of escalation, this compares to Russia’s approach of “all-out war once deterrence fails” while continuing to rely primarily on MAD.<a href="#_sect3_edn38" name="_sect3_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a></p>
<p>However, in recent years, Russia and China have leaped ahead in strategic weapons technology and systems. In order to counter Washington’s attempts to develop first strike capability and neutralize its nuclear deterrents, both Moscow and Beijing have turned to asymmetrical strategic weapons systems designed to counterpoise U.S. superiority in missile defense and high-precision targeting. Intercontinental ballistic missiles are vulnerable because, while they reach hypersonic speeds—usually defined as Mach 5, or five times the speed of sound or greater—when they reenter the atmosphere, they follow an arc that constitutes a predictable ballistic path, like a bullet. They thus lack surprise; their targets are predictable, and they can theoretically be intercepted by antiballistic missiles. Hardened missile silos housing intercontinental ballistic missiles are also distinct targets and today are far more vulnerable given both nuclear and non-nuclear U.S. high-precision, satellite-guided missiles. Confronted with these counterforce threats to their basic deterrents, Russia and China have pushed ahead of the United States in developing hypersonic missiles that can maneuver aerodynamically in order to dodge missile defenses and prevent the adversary from knowing the ultimate intended target. Russia has developed a hypersonic missile called the Kinzhal that is reputed to reach Mach 10 or more on its own and another hypersonic weapon, Avangard, that, boosted by a rocket, can reach the astounding speed of Mach 27. China has a “waverider” hypersonic cruise missile that reaches Mach 6. Borrowing from Chinese folklore, it is referred to as an “assassin’s mace,” a weapon effective against a much better-armed adversary.<a href="#_sect3_edn39" name="_sect3_ednref39"><sup>39</sup></a> Russia and China, meanwhile, have been developing antisatellite “counterspace” weapons designed to remove the U.S. advantage of high-precision nuclear and non-nuclear weapons.<a href="#_sect3_edn40" name="_sect3_ednref40"><sup>40</sup></a></p>
<p>So-called nuclear primacy has remained just beyond Washington’s grasp given the technological prowess of the other leading nuclear powers. Moreover, a nuclear arms race spurred by a counterforce strategy is fundamentally irrational, threatening a global thermonuclear conflagration with consequences far greater than even those envisioned by the MAD scenario, with its hundreds of millions of deaths on both sides. Nuclear winter means that, in a global nuclear exchange, <em>the entire planet</em> would be engulfed by the smoke and soot circling the stratosphere, killing off almost all of humanity.</p>
<p>Given this reality, the U.S. nuclear posture, which is based on the notion of prevailing in an all-out nuclear war, is particularly dangerous since it denies the role of firestorms in cities and thereby the effects of smoke that would loft up into the upper atmosphere and blot out most of the sun’s rays. The search for nuclear primacy, therefore, leads from MAD to madness.<a href="#_sect3_edn41" name="_sect3_ednref41"><sup>41</sup></a> As Ellsberg writes:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">The hope of successfully avoiding mutual annihilation by a decapitating attack has always been as ill-founded as any other. The realistic conclusion would be that a nuclear exchange between the United States and the Soviets [Russians] was—and is—virtually certain to be an unmitigated catastrophe, not only for the two parties but for the world. … [Policymakers] have chosen to act as if they believed (and perhaps actually do believe) that such a threat is not what it is: a readiness to trigger global omnicide.<a href="#_sect3_edn42" name="_sect3_ednref42"><sup>42</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>The New Cold War and the European Theater</strong></span></h3>
<p>In “Notes on Exterminism” and his general stance as a leader of the Movement for European Nuclear Disarmament in the 1980s, Thompson argued that the nuclear arms buildup in Europe taking place at the time was a product of military machines and technological imperatives “tak[ing] place independently of the ebb and flow of international diplomacy, although it is given an upward thrust by each crisis or by each innovation by ‘the enemy’.”<a href="#_sect3_edn43" name="_sect3_ednref43"><sup>43</sup></a> His argument was part of a strategy to unite the peace movements of the West and East against their respective establishments based on the premise that nuclear buildup was equally a product of both sides. However, in this regard, he belied his own evidence, which pointed to Washington’s aggressive nuclear buildup of counterforce weapons and the placement of strategic weapons in Europe targeting the Soviet Union. In an article entitled “Nuclear Chicken” in the September 1982 issue of <em>Monthly Review</em>, Harry Magdoff and Paul M. Sweezy challenged this part of Thompson’s argument, pointing not only to the strategic expansions of NATO under the United States, but also to the fact that the U.S. imperial order was heavily dependent on credible threats of first strikes directed at other countries, both nuclear and non-nuclear.<a href="#_sect3_edn44" name="_sect3_ednref44"><sup>44</sup></a></p>
<p>In a 1981 introduction to the U.S. edition of <em>Protest and Survive</em> edited by Thompson and Dan Smith, Ellsberg listed a long series of documented instances beginning in 1949 in which the United States used threats of nuclear first strikes to pressure other countries (both nuclear and non-nuclear) to back down in order to achieve its imperial ends.<a href="#_sect3_edn45" name="_sect3_ednref45"><sup>45</sup></a> Between 1945 and 1996 alone, twenty-five cases of nuclear threats were documented, though others have occurred since.<a href="#_sect3_edn46" name="_sect3_ednref46"><sup>46</sup></a> In this sense, the use of nuclear warfare as a threat is built into U.S. strategy. The development of nuclear primacy through counterforce weapons held out the possibility that such threats could once again be credibly directed even at major nuclear powers such as Russia and China. Magdoff and Sweezy called this whole approach a game of “nuclear chicken,” in which the United States was the most aggressive player.</p>
<p>Nuclear chicken did not end with the Cold War. The U.S. national security state, influenced by key figures such as Zbigniew Brzezinski, Carter’s national security advisor and one of the principal architects of NATO’s post-Cold War expansion, continued to seek ultimate U.S. geopolitical hegemony over Eurasia, which he referred as the “grand chessboard.” Checkmate, according to Brzezinski, would constitute bringing Ukraine into NATO as a strategic nuclear alliance (though Brzezinski carefully excluded the nuclear aspect in presenting his geopolitical strategy), spelling the end of Russia as a great power and possibly leading to its breakup into various states, thereby marking U.S. supremacy over the entire globe.<a href="#_sect3_edn47" name="_sect3_ednref47"><sup>47</sup></a> This attempt to turn U.S. unipolar power after the Cold War into a permanent global empire required the expansion of NATO to the east, which commenced in 1997 during the Bill Clinton administration, gradually annexing to the Atlantic Alliance virtually all the countries between Western Europe and Ukraine, with the latter as the ultimate prize and a dagger at Russia’s heart.<a href="#_sect3_edn48" name="_sect3_ednref48"><sup>48</sup></a> Here, there was a kind of oneness exhibited between the U.S.-directed strategy of expanding NATO and Washington’s drive for nuclear primacy, which proceeded in almost lockstep.</p>
<p>The fact that Russia was compelled to consider the question of its own national security in the face of NATO’s attempt to expand militarily into Ukraine should hardly surprise anyone. A decade into the expansion of NATO, which already encompassed eleven nations that were formerly either in the Warsaw Pact or part of the Soviet Union, and only a year after near U.S. nuclear primacy was highlighted in <em>Foreign Affairs</em>, Russian President Vladimir Putin startled the world by unequivocally declaring at the 2007 Munich Security Conference that “the unipolar model is not only unacceptable but impossible in today’s world.”<a href="#_sect3_edn49" name="_sect3_ednref49"><sup>49</sup></a> Nevertheless, consistent with its long-term strategy to extend into what Brzezinski had called the “geopolitical pivot” of Eurasia, thereby fatally weakening Russia, in 2008 NATO declared outright at its Bucharest Summit that it intended to bring Ukraine into the military-strategic (nuclear) alliance.</p>
<p>In 2014, the U.S.-engineered Maidan coup in Ukraine deposed the country’s democratically elected president and imposed in his place a leader chosen by the White House, putting Ukraine in the hands of right-wing, ultra-nationalist forces. Russia’s response was to incorporate Crimea into its territory following a popular referendum that gave the predominantly Russian-speaking Crimean population, who regarded themselves as independent and not part of Ukraine, a choice as to whether to remain in Ukraine or join with Russia. The coup (or “color revolution”) led to Kyiv’s violent repression of the populations in the Russian-speaking Donbass region of Ukraine, resulting in the Ukrainian Civil War between Kyiv (supported by Washington) and the breakaway Russian-speaking Donbass republics of Donetsk and Luhansk (supported by Moscow). The Ukrainian Civil War, which resulted in more than 14,000 deaths between 2014 and early 2022, continued at a low ebb over the following eight years despite the signing of the Minsk peace agreements in 2014, meant to end the conflict and give autonomy to the Donbass republics within Ukraine. In February 2022, Kyiv had massed 130,000 troops on the borders of Donbass in eastern Ukraine, firing on Donetsk and Luhansk.<a href="#_sect3_edn50" name="_sect3_ednref50"><sup>50</sup></a></p>
<p>As the Ukrainian crisis worsened, Putin insisted on a number of Russia’s red lines related to the country’s essential security needs, consisting of:</p>
<ol>
<li>adherence to the previous Minsk agreement (worked out by Russia, Ukraine, France, and Germany and signed onto by the Donbass people’s republics and supported by the UN Security Council), thereby guaranteeing the autonomy and security of Donetsk and Luhansk,</li>
<li>an end to NATO’s militarization of Ukraine, and</li>
<li>an agreement that Ukraine would remain outside of NATO.<a href="#_sect3_edn51" name="_sect3_ednref51"><sup>51</sup></a></li>
</ol>
<p>NATO, urged on by the United States, continued to cross all of these red lines, providing increased military aid to Kyiv in its war on the Donbass republics in what Russia interpreted as a de facto attempt to incorporate Ukraine into NATO.</p>
<p>On February 24, 2022, Russia intervened in the Ukrainian Civil War on the side of Donbass, attacking the Kyiv government’s military forces. On February 27, Moscow put its nuclear forces on high alert for the first time since the end of the Cold War, confronting the world with the possibility of a global nuclear holocaust, this time between competing great capitalist powers. Figures in Washington, such as Senator Joe Manchin III (Democrat, West Virginia), have backed the idea of a U.S. imposition of a no-fly zone in Ukraine, which would mean shooting down Russian planes, in all probability escalating into a Third World War.<a href="#_sect3_edn52" name="_sect3_ednref52"><sup>52</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Exterminism in Two Directions</strong></span></h3>
<p>It is common today to recognize that climate change represents a global existential threat that places the very survival of humanity in jeopardy. We are faced with a situation in which the continual expansion of capitalism based on the burning of ever larger amounts of fossil fuels points to the possibility—even probability, if the system of production is not altered radically in a matter of decades—of the downfall of industrial civilization, placing the survival of humanity in question. This is the meaning of environmental exterminism in our time. According to the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), net zero carbon dioxide emissions must be reached by 2050 if the world is to have a reasonable hope of keeping global average temperatures below a 1.5°C, or well below a 2°C, increase over preindustrial levels. Not to accomplish this is to invite the devastation of the Earth as a safe home for humanity and innumerable other species.</p>
<p>Climate change is part of a more general planetary ecological crisis associated with crossing the nine planetary boundaries, including those—beyond climate change itself—related to species extinction, stratospheric ozone depletion, ocean acidification, the disruption of the nitrogen and phosphorous cycles, the loss of ground cover/forests, declining fresh water sources associated with desertification, atmospheric aerosol loading, and the introduction of novel entities such as new synthetic chemicals and new genetic forms.<a href="#_sect3_edn53" name="_sect3_ednref53"><sup>53</sup></a> To this should be added the emergence of new zoonoses, as in the COVID-19 pandemic, resulting principally from the transformation of human beings’ relationship to the environment, spurred by agribusiness.<a href="#_sect3_edn54" name="_sect3_ednref54"><sup>54</sup></a></p>
<p>Yet, there is no doubt that climate change is at the center of the current global ecological crisis. Like nuclear winter, it poses a threat to civilization and the continuation of the human species. The IPCC tells us in its 2021–22 reports on the physical science of climate change and its impacts that the most optimistic scenario, though warding off irreversible climate change, is still one of growing global catastrophe in the decades ahead. Immediate action is required to protect the lives and living conditions of hundreds of millions, and perhaps billions, of people who will be exposed to extreme weather events of a kind that global civilization has never seen before.<a href="#_sect3_edn55" name="_sect3_ednref55"><sup>55</sup></a> To counter this requires the greatest movement of workers and peoples the world has ever seen in order to restore the conditions that allow for their existence, which have been usurped by the regime of capital, and to reestablish an ecologically sustainable world rooted in substantive equality.<a href="#_sect3_edn56" name="_sect3_ednref56"><sup>56</sup></a></p>
<p>Ironically, the 2022 IPCC report, which was meant to draw the world’s attention to the catastrophic nature of today’s climate crisis, was published on February 28, 2022, four days after the Russian entry into the Ukrainian Civil War in defiance of NATO, resulting in growing concern over the possibility of a global thermonuclear exchange. Hence, the world’s attention was drawn away from considering one global existential threat endangering all of humanity, <em>carbon omnicide</em>, by the sudden reemergence of another, <em>nuclear omnicide</em>.</p>
<p>As the world turned its attention to the possibility of war between the leading nuclear powers, the full planetary scale of the nuclear threat, as understood by science in terms of nuclear winter, was absent from the picture. Global warming and nuclear winter, though arising in different ways, are closely connected in climate terms, demonstrating that the world is on the brink of destroying most of the inhabitants of the Earth in one way or the other: global warming leading to a point of no return for humanity, and/or the death of hundreds of millions by nuclear fire, followed by days and months of global cooling (nuclear winter) and the extermination of most of the rest of the world’s population through starvation. Just as the full destructive implications of climate change threatening the very existence of humanity are in large part denied by the powers that be, so are the full planetary effects of nuclear war, which scientific research about nuclear winter tells us will effectively annihilate the population of every continent on Earth. Furthermore, if global warming increases to the extent that global civilization is destabilized, something that natural scientists predict could happen if global average temperatures increase by 4°C, competition between capitalist nation states will increase, thereby enhancing the risk of a nuclear conflagration and thus nuclear winter.<a href="#_sect3_edn57" name="_sect3_ednref57"><sup>57</sup></a></p>
<p>Today, we are confronted with a choice between <em>exterminism</em> and the <em>human ecological imperative</em>.<a href="#_sect3_edn58" name="_sect3_ednref58"><sup>58</sup></a> The causal agent in the two global existential crises now threatening the human species is the same: capitalism and its irrational quest for exponentially increasing capital accumulation and imperial power in a limited global environment. The only possible response to this unlimited threat is a universal revolutionary movement rooted in both ecology and peace that turns away from the current systematic destruction of the Earth and its inhabitants and towards a world of substantive equality and ecological sustainability: namely, socialism.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong>Notes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref1" name="_sect3_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> E.P. Thompson, “Notes on Exterminism, the Last Stage of Civilization,” <em>New Left Review</em> 121 (1980): 3–31. Citations to this essay in the present article are taken from the slightly revised version in E. P. Thompson, <em>Beyond </em><em>the Cold War</em> (New York: Pantheon, 1982), 41–79. See also E. P. Thompson et al., <em>Exterminism and the Cold War</em> (London: Verso, 1982); E. P. Thompson and Dan Smith, ed., <em>Protest and Survive</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1981).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref2" name="_sect3_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 55; Samir Amin, <em>Empire of Chaos</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 1992).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref3" name="_sect3_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, pp. 64, 73.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref4" name="_sect3_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 75–76.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref5" name="_sect3_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> Rudolf Bahro, <em>Avoiding Social and Ecological Disaster</em> (Bath: Gateway Books, 1994), 19–20; John Bellamy Foster, <em>Ecological Revolution</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2009), 27–28; Ian Angus, <em>Facing the Anthropocene</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2016), 178–81.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref6" name="_sect3_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> For a brief discussion of the events leading up the present Ukraine War, see The Editors, “Notes from the Editors,” <em>Monthly Review</em> 73, no. 11 (April 2022).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref7" name="_sect3_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Stephen Schneider, “Whatever Happened to Nuclear Winter?,” <em>Climatic Change</em> 12 (1988): 215; Matthew R. Francis, “When Carl Sagan Warned About Nuclear Winter,” <em>Smithsonian Magazine</em>, November 15, 2017; Carl Sagan and Richard Turco, <em>A Path Where No Man Thought: Nuclear Winter and the End of the Arms Race</em> (New York: Random House, 1990), 19–44.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref8" name="_sect3_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Malcolm W. Browne, “Nuclear Winter Theorists Pull Back,” <em>New York Times</em>, January 23, 1990.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref9" name="_sect3_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Steven Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Towards Armageddon—U.S. Leaders Reject Nuclear Winter Studies,” <em>Public Interest Report</em> (Federation of American Scientists) 69, no. 2 (2016–17): 24.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref10" name="_sect3_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> Judith Newman, “20 of the Greatest Blunders in Science in the Last 20 Years,” <em>Discover</em>, January 19, 2000.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref11" name="_sect3_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> Daniel Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine: Confessions of a Nuclear War Planner</em> (New York: Bloomsbury, 2017), 140. The failure to include the foremost cause of death from thermonuclear weapons directed at cities in the form of firestorms is deeply ingrained in the Pentagon. The declassified practical guide on nuclear weapons stockpile and management published by the U.S. Department of Defense for 2008 includes more than twenty pages on the effects of a nuclear weapons explosion in a city without a single mention of firestorms. See U.S. Department of Defense, <em>Nuclear Matters: A Practical Guide</em> (Washington: Pentagon, 2008), 135–58.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref12" name="_sect3_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 141–42.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref13" name="_sect3_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18, 142.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref14" name="_sect3_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Owen B. Toon, Allan Robock, and Richard P. Turco, “Environmental Consequences of Nuclear War,” <em>Physics Today</em> (2008): 37–42; Alan Robock and Owen Brian Toon, <em>Local Nuclear War, Global Suffering</em> (New York: Scientific American, 2009).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref15" name="_sect3_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> Emily Saarman, “Return of Nuclear Winter,” <em>Discover</em>, May 2, 2007.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref16" name="_sect3_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Toward Armageddon,” 4–5; Alan Robock, Luke Oman, and Geeorgiy L. Stenchikov, “Nuclear Winter Revisited with a Modern Climate Model and Current Nuclear Arsenals: Still Catastrophic Consequences,” <em>Journal of Geophysical Research </em>112 (2007) (D13107): 1–14.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref17" name="_sect3_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Toward Armageddon,” 5–6; Robock, Oman, and Stenchikov, “Nuclear Winter Revisited”; Joshua Coupe, Charles G. Bardeen, Alan Robock, and Owen B. Toon, “Nuclear Winter Responses to Nuclear War Between the United States and Russia in the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model Version 4 and the Goddard Institute for Space Studies ModelE,” <em>Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres</em> (2019): 8522–43; Alan Robock and Owen B. Toon, “Self-Assured Destruction: The Climate Impacts of Nuclear War,” <em>Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists</em> 68, no. 5 (2012): 66–74; Steven Starr, “Nuclear War, Nuclear Winter, and Human Extinction,” Federation of American Scientists, October 14, 2015.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref18" name="_sect3_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Herman Kahn, <em>On Thermonuclear War</em> (New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers, 2007), 145–51.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref19" name="_sect3_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18–19; Sagan and Turco, <em>A Path Where No Man Thought</em>, 213–19. Here, the doomsday machine is not to be confused with the version of the doomsday machine in Stanley Kubrick’s film <em>Strangelove</em>. Yet, Kubrick’s film drew on Kahn’s notion and retains a concrete significance in the context of contemporary nuclear reality. See Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18–19.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref20" name="_sect3_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” <em>Foreign Affairs</em> (2006), 44.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref21" name="_sect3_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> Sagan and Turco, <em>A Path Where No Man Thought</em>, 215.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref22" name="_sect3_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> John T. Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce,” <em>Air Force Magazine</em>, October 1, 2005; Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 120–23, 178–79.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref23" name="_sect3_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Harry Magdoff and Paul M. Sweezy, “Nuclear Chicken,” <em>Monthly </em><em>Review</em> 34, no. 4 (September 1981): 4; Richard J. Barnet, “Why Trust the Soviets?,” <em>World Policy Journal</em> 1, no. 3 (1984): 461–62.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref24" name="_sect3_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref25" name="_sect3_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Steven Pifer, “The Limits of U.S. Missile Defense,” Brookings Institution, March 30, 2015.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref26" name="_sect3_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Cynthia Roberts, “Revelations About Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Policy,” <em>War on the Rocks </em>(<em>Texas National Security Review</em>), June 19, 2020; Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref27" name="_sect3_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Janne Nolan, quoted in Correll, “The Ups and Downs of Counterforce.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref28" name="_sect3_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> “Excerpts from Pentagon’s Plan: Preventing the Re-emergence of a New Rival,” <em>New York Times</em>, March 8, 1992.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref29" name="_sect3_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 45–48.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref30" name="_sect3_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> Richard A. Paulsen, <em>The Role of U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the Post-Cold War Era</em> (Maxwell Air Force Base, Alabama: Air University Press, 1994), 84; Michael J. Mazarr, “Nuclear Weapons After the Cold War,” <em>Washington Quarterly</em> 15, no. 3 (1992): 185, 190–94; Zbigniew Brzezinski, <em>The Grand Chessboard</em> (New York: Basic Books, 1997), 46.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref31" name="_sect3_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 43, 50.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref32" name="_sect3_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 45.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref33" name="_sect3_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> Jack Detsch, “Putin’s Fixation with an Old-School U.S. Missile Launcher,” <em>Foreign Policy</em>, January 12, 2022; Jacques Baud (interview), “The Policy of USA Has Always Been to Prevent Germany and Russia from Cooperating More Closely,” <em>Swiss Standpoint</em>, March 15, 2022; Starr, “Turning a Blind Eye Toward Armageddon.” Estonia has cruise missiles supplied by Israel: David Axe, “Estonia’s Getting a Powerful Cruise Missile. Now It Needs to Find Targets,” <em>Forbes</em>, October 12, 2021. Russia is also concerned with the possible reintroduction of Pershing II intermediate ballistic missiles in Europe.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref34" name="_sect3_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Jaganath Sankaran, “Russia’s Anti-Satellite Weapons: An Asymmetrical Response to U.S. Aerospace Superiority,” Arms Control Association, March 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref35" name="_sect3_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy,” 48–49, 52–53; Karl A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press, “The New Era of Counterforce: Technological Change and the Future of Nuclear Deterrence,” <em>International Security</em> 41, no. 4 (2017). A key element of Beijing’s nuclear deterrent is reducing the acoustic signature or noise level of its nuclear submarines. In 2011, it was believed that it would take China decades to reduce the acoustic signature of its submarines enough to survive a U.S. first strike. However, in less than a decade, China made significant advances toward that goal. Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 47; Caleb Larson, “Chinese Submarines Are Becoming Quieter,” <em>National Interest</em>, September 10, 2020; Wu Riqiang, “Survivability of China’s Sea-Based Nuclear Forces,” <em>Science and Global Security</em> 19, no. 2 (2011): 91–120. The 2006 Lieber and Press article in <em>Foreign Affairs </em>resulted in criticisms of their analysis by both Russia and China, and also served to generate concerns in these states leading to the revival and modernization of their nuclear capabilities. Yet, the threat posed by the U.S, drive for nuclear primacy continues to stalk Russian and Chinese strategic planners. See Karl Lieber and Daryl G. Press, “Nuclear Weapons, Deterrence, and Conflict,” <em>Strategic Studies Quarterly </em>10, no. 5 (2016): 31–42.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref36" name="_sect3_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 16–17.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref37" name="_sect3_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> Roberts, “Revelations About Russia’s Nuclear Deterrence Policy”; Sankaran, “Russia’s Anti-Satellite Weapons.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref38" name="_sect3_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Alexey Arbatov, “The Hidden Side of the U.S.-Russian Strategic Confrontation,” Arms Control Association, September 2016; Brad Roberts, <em>The Case for U.S. Nuclear Weapons in the 21<sup>st</sup> Century</em> (Stanford: Stanford University Press, 2015).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref39" name="_sect3_edn39"><sup>39</sup></a> Richard Stone, “National Pride Is at Stake: Russia, China, United States Race to Build Hypersonic Weapons,” <em>Science</em>, January 8, 2020, 176–96; Dagobert L. Brito, Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, Michael D. Intriligator, “The Case for Submarine Launched Non-Nuclear Ballistic Missiles,” Baker Institute, January 2002.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref40" name="_sect3_edn40"><sup>40</sup></a> Sankaran, “Russia’s Anti-Satellite Weapons.” The development of “countermeasure” strategies and technologies to elude counterforce attack on a nation’s nuclear deterrence is emphasized by Russia and China, given the U.S. lead in counterforce. See Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 46–48.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref41" name="_sect3_edn41"><sup>41</sup></a> See Diane Johnstone, “Doomsday Postponed?,” in Paul Johnston, <em>From Mad to Madness: Inside Pentagon Nuclear War Planning</em> (Atlanta, GA: Clarity, 2017), 272–86.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref42" name="_sect3_edn42"><sup>42</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 307. Today, there is once again increased discussion in U.S. strategic circles of a “low-casualty” or “decapitation” first-strike capability on the part of the United States, which would seem to make nuclear firestorms less likely. See Lieber and Press, “The New Era of Counterforce,” 27–32.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref43" name="_sect3_edn43"><sup>43</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 46.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref44" name="_sect3_edn44"><sup>44</sup></a> Magdoff and Sweezy, “Nuclear Chicken,” 3–6.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref45" name="_sect3_edn45"><sup>45</sup></a> Daniel Ellsberg, “Introduction: Call to Mutiny,” in Thompson and Smith, ed., <em>Protest and Survive</em>, i–xxviii. It was reprinted as “Call to Mutiny,” <em>Monthly </em><em>Review</em> 33, no. 4 (September 1981): 1–26.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref46" name="_sect3_edn46"><sup>46</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 319–22.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref47" name="_sect3_edn47"><sup>47</sup></a> Brzezinski, <em>The Grand Chessboard</em>, 46, 92–96, 103.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref48" name="_sect3_edn48"><sup>48</sup></a> Editors, “Notes from the Editors.”</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref49" name="_sect3_edn49"><sup>49</sup></a> Diana Johnstone, “Doomsday Postponed?,” 277.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref50" name="_sect3_edn50"><sup>50</sup></a> Editors, “Notes from the Editors”; Diane Johnstone, “For Washington, War Never Ends,” <em>Consortium News</em> 27, no. 76 (2022); John Mearsheimer, “On Why the West Is Principally Responsible for the Ukrainian Crisis,” <em>Economist</em>, March 19, 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref51" name="_sect3_edn51"><sup>51</sup></a> Mark Episkopos, “Putin Warns the West to Heed Russia’s Redlines in Donbass,” <em>National Interest</em>, December 21, 2021; Associated Press, “Russia Publishes ‘Red Line’ Demands of U.S. and NATO Amid Heightened Tension Over Kremlin Threat to Ukraine,” <em>Marketwatch</em>, December 18, 2021.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref52" name="_sect3_edn52"><sup>52</sup></a> Luke Broadwater and Chris Cameron, “U.S. Lawmakers Say They Are Largely Opposed to a No-Fly Zone Over Ukraine,” <em>New York Times</em>, March 6, 2022.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref53" name="_sect3_edn53"><sup>53</sup></a> Will Steffen et al., “Planetary Boundaries: Guiding Human Development on a Changing Planet,” <em>Science</em> 347, no. 6223 (2015): 736–46.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref54" name="_sect3_edn54"><sup>54</sup></a> See Rob Wallace, <em>Dead Epidemiologists: On the Origins of COVID-19</em> (New York: Monthly Review Press, 2020).</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref55" name="_sect3_edn55"><sup>55</sup></a> UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, “Summary for Policymakers,” <em>Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaption and Vulnerability</em> (Geneva: IPCC, 2022). See also “Summary for Policymakers,” <em>Climate Change 2021</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref56" name="_sect3_edn56"><sup>56</sup></a> This conclusion is in fact consistent with the original scientists’ assessment in the third part (on Mitigation) of the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s <em>Sixth Assessment Report </em>(AR6). The scientists’ assessment <em>Summary for Policymakers </em>of AR6, part 3 was leaked in August 2021, months in advance of its final publication in April 2022. The published <em>Summary of Policymakers</em> of part 3 (known as the government assessment report) was severely censored and rewritten by governments, effacing the main findings on mitigation provided by scientists. See Editors, “Notes from the Editors,” <em>Monthly Review </em>(June 2022), <a class="footnote-link" href="https://monthlyreview.org/2022/06/01/mr-074-02-2022-06_0/">https://monthlyreview.org/2022/06/01/mr-074-02-2022-06_0/</a>.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref57" name="_sect3_edn57"><sup>57</sup></a> Ellsberg, <em>The Doomsday Machine</em>, 18.</p>
<p><a href="#_sect3_ednref58" name="_sect3_edn58"><sup>58</sup></a> Thompson, <em>Beyond the Cold War</em>, 76.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<div class="creative-commons-license">This publication is issued under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. The human-readable summary of the license is available at <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/</a>.</div>
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		<title>The PAIGC’s Political Education for Liberation in Guinea-Bissau, 1963–74</title>
		<link>https://dev.thetricontinental.org/studies-1-national-liberation-paigc-education/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ariana]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Jul 2022 18:12:10 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[National Liberation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cape Verde]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Portuguese Colonialism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sónia Vaz Borges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liberated zones]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[national liberation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[African liberation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[decolonisation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[political education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amílcar Cabral]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[armed liberation Struggle]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[African Party for the Independence of Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[PAIGC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Guinea-Bissau]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://thetricontinental.org/?p=61537</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The United States is committed to waging a New Cold War against both Russia and China, even at the risk of destroying the planet.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div id="attachment_61596" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61596" class="wp-image-61596 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/17022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_9_21_-_School_in_the_liberated_areas_in_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974-4.jpg" alt="" width="949" height="625"><p id="caption-attachment-61596" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">A teacher writes on a blackboard at a PAIGC school in the liberated areas in the Guinean forests, 1974. </span><br><span style="color: #069e49;">Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)</span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<div style="border: 2px solid #069E49; padding: 25px;">
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Whether in Cape Verde or anywhere else in the world, education is the fundamental basis that underpins the work of the emancipation of every human being and the conscientisation of mankind<a href="#_edn1" name="_ednref1"><sup>1</sup></a>, not in relation to individual or class needs or conveniences, but in relation to the environment in which he lives, to the needs of the community, and to the problems of the humanity in general. … Today, education aims at the full realisation of man, without distinguishing race or origin, as a conscious and intelligent, useful, and progressive being, integrated into the world and his (geographic, economic, and social) environment, without any sort of submission. For this and because of this, the issue of education cannot be treated separately from the socioeconomic question.– Amílcar Cabral, 1951<a href="#_edn2" name="_ednref2"><sup>2</sup></a></p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_61617" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61617" class="wp-image-61617 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_F_16_-_School_in_Candjambary_Guinea-Bissau_in_the_open_air_-_Childrens_drawings_-_1974.jpg" alt="A child's drawing made at a school in the liberated area of Candjambary, 1974. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)" width="950" height="635" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_F_16_-_School_in_Candjambary_Guinea-Bissau_in_the_open_air_-_Childrens_drawings_-_1974.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_F_16_-_School_in_Candjambary_Guinea-Bissau_in_the_open_air_-_Childrens_drawings_-_1974-300x201.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_F_16_-_School_in_Candjambary_Guinea-Bissau_in_the_open_air_-_Childrens_drawings_-_1974-768x513.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-61617" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">A child’s drawing made at a school in the liberated area of Candjambary, 1974. </span><br><span style="color: #069e49;">Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)</span></small></p></div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><em><span style="color: #ba2025;"><strong> </strong></span></em></h2>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>The PAIGC’s Struggle for Liberation</strong></span></h2>
<p>The liberation struggle against colonialism, if it is to be a total liberation struggle, is not only for the political conquest of territory (‘flag independence’); it is a struggle to liberate the people from the tentacles of colonialism. The liberation struggle is a social and political phenomenon that gains strength when colonised people organise themselves to reclaim their political and economic sovereignty and to dismantle and destroy the institutions that overpower their own sense of themselves and their capacity to control the fruits of their labour. The liberation struggle employs – at different times – a range of means to end colonial domination, from armed struggle to economic strikes to educational projects, programmes, and cultural resistance.</p>
<p>It was within this context of colonialism and oppression and through the process of becoming conscious of these structures that the African Party for the Independence of Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde (PAIGC) was created in September 1956. Founded by a group of anti-colonialist <em>militantes</em> (‘militants’) primarily from Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde, <em>A Geração Cabral</em> (‘The Cabral Generation’) – named after the anti-colonial Bissau-Guineans leader Amílcar Cabral – emerged to lead the struggle for liberation from Portuguese colonialism.<a href="#_edn3" name="_ednref3"><sup>3</sup></a></p>
<p>Born in Guinea-Bissau with an extensive diasporic network, the PAIGC emerged out of a long tradition of resistance in Guinea-Bissau, Cape Verde, and Portugal. In a struggle that lasted from 1903 to 1936, the people of Guinea-Bissau revolted against the <em>imposto de palhota</em> (‘hut tax’), a property tax that was imposed on people’s homes and that, across colonial Africa, was used to force people into wage labour. In the case of the Cape Verdean Islands, a significant peasant uprising known as the Revolt of Ribeirão Manuel (1910) struck out against the deplorable conditions of subsistence in the countryside. In Lisbon, the political centre of Portuguese colonialism, discontent grew – particularly after the Second World War (1939–45) – amongst the more politically organised African students who had come from colonised territories to pursue university studies in Portugal. From the state-created <em>Casa dos Estudantes do Império</em> (‘House of the Students of the Empire’), African students created the <em>Centro de Estudos Africanos</em> (‘Centre of African Studies’). The political curiosity of African students found expression in clandestine study groups housed in the private home of the Espírito Santo family from São Tomé and Príncipe. Their home became a hub where critical political thought around national independence and liberation began to emerge amongst African students. Amílcar Cabral (1924–73), who was studying agronomy in Lisbon at the time, emerged from these experiences to lead struggles in Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde and became one of the most influential anti-colonial African liberation leaders. Inheriting the collective outcomes of these political and intellectual rebellions, young Africans discovered their generation’s mission: to fight for Africa’s independence from colonialism. Later, in a fictional narrative that laid out the path taken by these groups of young people and their desires for liberation, Angolan writer Pepetela would describe them as <em>A Geração da Utopia</em> or ‘The Generation of Utopia’.</p>
<p>In 1961, six years after the creation of the PAIGC and after several attempts to negotiate independence with the Portuguese colonial regime, the party officially began an armed liberation struggle in the name of total independence. Led from within the forest territories of Guinea-Bissau, the armed guerrilla struggle lasted from 23 January 1963 until April 1974. On 24 September 1973, challenging Portuguese colonial rule and international diplomacy, the PAIGC declared independence for Guinea-Bissau, though this was only officially recognised by the Portuguese government on 10 September 1974.</p>
<p>The objective of the PAIGC’s struggle was very clear: independence and liberation of two colonised territories, Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde, which were politically and culturally connected by the historical developments of colonialism. In order to achieve this, the PAIGC sought to:</p>
<ol>
<li>Overthrow colonial institutions of oppression and exploitation, and</li>
<li>Create a project of national reconstruction to pursue the economic, political, and social liberation of the people. This project would fight against the toxic residues left by colonial structures in the bodies and minds of the people.</li>
</ol>
<p>These objectives were further elaborated on in the Party’s Major Programme, which was made up of nine sections.<a href="#_edn4" name="_ednref4"><sup>4</sup></a> The first section demanded the ‘total and unconditional national independence of the people of Guinea and the Cabo Verde Islands [and] the end of all colonialist or imperialistic relationships, … revision or revocation of all agreements, treaties, alliances, and concessions made by the Portuguese colonialist’. The second and third sections defended national ‘economic, political, social, and cultural unity’, emphasising the union between Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde for the ‘construction of a strong and progressive African nation, on the basis of suitably consulted, popular will’. The fourth section complemented these last two by defending African unity. The fifth section focused on what kind of government to implement in the territories after independence, namely one that is ‘democratic, anti-colonialist, and anti-imperialist’ and committed to the principle that all citizens would be equal ‘before the law, without distinction as to nationality or ethnic group, sex, social origin, cultural level, profession, position, wealth, religious beliefs, or philosophical conviction’. The sixth section focused on economic independence, a structured economy, and the development of production ‘governed by the principles of democratic socialism’; the seventh section on ‘justice and progress’ at the social, educational, and cultural levels; and the eighth section on national defence and how it was ‘linked to the people and directed by national citizens’. Finally, the ninth section explained how its international policy aimed to be developed ‘in the interest of the nation, of Africa, and of the peace and progress of humanity’.</p>
<p>To fulfil the objectives of the national liberation movement and to put into practice the programme and strategies designed for liberation, one had to be ready to face significant obstacles. The majority of the population was experiencing great levels of impoverishment and underdevelopment, exhibited in high infant mortality rates, cyclical famines, high percentages of illiteracy, a lack of public infrastructure and services, and underdeveloped to non-existent industrial sectors. In a speech given at a mass meeting in London, October 1971, Amílcar Cabral explained the dismal situation:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">the lack of protein and many basic foods holds back the development of our people. In some regions, there has been an 80% infant mortality rate. Throughout the golden age of Portuguese colonialism, we had only two hospitals with a total of 300 beds in the whole country and only 18 doctors, 12 of them in Bissau.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">As for schools, there were only 45 of them, and they were Catholic missionary schools, only teaching the catechism. There were 11 official schools for <em>assimilado</em><a href="#_edn5" name="_ednref5"><sup>5</sup></a> children. There were no secondary schools at all in [Guinea-Bissau] until 1959; now there is one. … There were only 2,000 children in schools throughout the country. And you can imagine the kind of teaching. It was a deliberate decision to prevent the development of our people, just as they did in Angola, Mozambique, and the other colonies.<a href="#_edn6" name="_ednref6"><sup>6</sup></a></p>
<p>The path to liberation required leadership that lived by Cabral’s often quoted words: ‘Tell no lies … claim no easy victories’. As such, in the pursuit of national liberation, the PAIGC was faced with the task of creating anew the processes, structures, and spaces that could begin to attend to the material needs of the people and the needs of the political struggle. Investing in education became a fundamental pillar of the liberation struggle that was necessary at the levels of political, economic, cultural, and armed resistance. Combating illiteracy, fear, and ignorance, education would become the means through which African people could begin to reclaim and regain their voices and emerge as politically conscious and active members of society, both within their country and in the course of world history.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_61628" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61628" class="wp-image-61628 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/h.jpg" alt="A student at a PAIGC semi-boarding primary school in the Sárà region reviews the mathematics textbook for grade one, produced for the Mozambique Liberation Front (FRELIMO) by Joachim Kindler and financed by the German Democratic Republic (DDR) under the International Solidarity Committee, 1974. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)" width="920" height="611" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/h.jpg 920w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/h-300x199.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/h-768x510.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 920px) 100vw, 920px"><p id="caption-attachment-61628" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">A student at a PAIGC semi-boarding primary school in the Sárà region reviews the mathematics textbook for grade one, produced for the Mozambique Liberation Front (FRELIMO) by Joachim Kindler and financed by the German Democratic Republic (DDR) under the International Solidarity Committee, 1974.</span><br><span style="color: #069e49;">Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)</span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>The PAIGC’s Education Project</strong></span></h2>
<p>The first party congress of the PAIGC, known as the Cassacá Congress, took place between 13–17 February 1964 in the southern liberated area of the Guinean forests. The ‘liberated areas’ or ‘liberated zones’ (terms often used interchangeably in the party writings) were the major territories under party control; here, Portuguese access or influence was very limited and virtually non-existent. By 1971, two-thirds of the country was governed by the PAIGC.<a href="#_edn7" name="_ednref7"><sup>7</sup></a> In these territories, the party developed the beginnings of a revolutionary state that prioritised providing the inhabitants with people-centred basic services such as healthcare, judicial organs, education, and small commerce. These liberated areas played an essential political function in the liberation struggle.</p>
<p>A key outcome of the congress was the political and military reorganisation of the party, with important restructuring regarding:</p>
<ul>
<li>The reinforcement of popular power;</li>
<li>The regulation of economic, administrative, judicial, educational, and social assistance activities in the liberated areas; and</li>
<li>The creation of the <em>Forças Armadas Revolucionárias do Povo</em> (FARP, or ‘Revolutionary Armed Forces of the People’), which included the guerrilla groups, popular army, and popular militia.</li>
</ul>
<p>Among the resolutions that came out of the congress was the need to enhance knowledge. This took place by creating schools, investing in the education of adults and youth, and encouraging individuals to invest in their own education for the betterment of party cadres. In the directives that Cabral wrote for the congress, he highlighted how, in order ‘to carry on the victorious development of our struggle’, the PAIGC would need to:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Set up schools and develop teaching in all the liberated areas. … Improve the work in the existing schools, avoid a very high number of pupils which might prejudice the advantage to all. Found schools but bear in mind the real potential at our disposal to avoid our having to later close some schools because of a lack of resources. … Constantly strengthen the political training of teachers… Set up courses to teach adults to read and write, whether they are combatants or elements of the population. … Little by little set up simple libraries in the liberated areas, lend others the books we possess, help others to learn to read a book, the newspaper and to understand what is read.<a href="#_edn8" name="_ednref8"><sup>8</sup></a></p>
<p>The creation of a national consciousness about Portuguese colonialism and the need to struggle for national independence and reconstruction under the umbrella of a pluralistic but singular Guinean identity was a significant obstacle that the party had to face at the beginning of the struggle, in which the PAIGC’s education project played a key role.</p>
<p>Developing mobilisation campaigns to popularise the party directives from the Cassacá Congress became an important process for educating the general population as well as for training within the party’s organisational structures. Through the work of the <em>comissário político</em> (‘political commissar’), these campaigns became a significant activity for the party. Congress directives invited PAIGC militants to ‘give the widest possible distribution of the party newspaper, hold sessions for collective reading (in a group) and lead those who are reading into a discussion and into expressing views on what they have read’.<a href="#_edn9" name="_ednref9"><sup>9</sup></a></p>
<p>Under the shade of mangrove trees, open sessions were held with the general population. The mobilisation campaign concentrated on dialoguing about the practical aspects of daily life under Portuguese colonial rule. In January 1969, during an interview recorded at the International Conference in Support of the Peoples of Portuguese Colonies and Southern Africa in Khartoum, Cabral shared the content of these conversations and the goals that they aimed to achieve:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Telling the people that ‘the land belongs to those who work on it’ was not enough to mobilise them, because we have more than enough land, there is all the land we need. We had to find appropriate formulae for mobilising our peasants, instead of using terms that our people could not yet understand. We could never mobilise our people simply on the basis of the struggle against colonialism – that has no effect. To speak of the fight against imperialism is not convincing enough.</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Instead, we use a direct language that all can understand: ‘Why are you going to fight? What are you? What is your father? What has happened to your father up to now? What is the situation? Did you pay taxes? Did your father pay taxes? What have you seen from those taxes? How much do you get for your groundnuts? Have you thought about how much you will earn with your groundnuts? How much sweat has it cost your family? Which of you has been imprisoned? You are going to work on road-building: who gives you the tools? You are bringing the tools. Who provides your meals? You provide your meals. But who walks on the road? Who has a car? And your daughter who was raped – are you happy about that?’<a href="#_edn10" name="_ednref10"><sup>10</sup></a></p>
<p>The meaning and impact of colonialism needed to resonate with people on the most personal level in their daily lives. The open sessions intended to raise the people’s consciousness about what was happening to them on their land and were crucial to the PAIGC mobilisation campaigns and the early development of political education, also known as ‘militant education’.<a href="#_edn11" name="_ednref11"><sup>11</sup></a></p>
<p>Such conversations with the population and the broader investment in education contributed to the party’s larger aim to ‘combat, without violence, harmful practices, the negative aspects of the beliefs and traditions of our people… [and] all particularisms (separatist feeling) prejudicial to the unity of people, [and] all demonstrations of tribalism, of racial or religious discrimination’.<a href="#_edn12" name="_ednref12"><sup>12</sup></a> The sessions not only contributed to raising and solidifying people’s consciousness about the struggle, but also to establishing administrative, political, judicial, economic, and social structures in the liberated areas. These structures and processes promoted a great shift in people’s lives and were crucial to reinforcing the political development of their consciousness. As Cabral noted in the congress directives:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">The people struggle and accept the sacrifices demanded by the struggle, but in order to gain material advantages, to be able to live in peace, to see their lives progress, and to ensure their children’s future. National liberation, the struggle against colonialism, working for peace and progress – independence – all these are empty words without meaning for the people unless they are translated into a real improvement in standards of living. It is useless to liberate an area if the people of that area are left without the basic necessities of life.<a href="#_edn13" name="_ednref13"><sup>13</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_61638" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61638" class="wp-image-61638 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/10052022-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_13_20_-_Campada_college_on_the_northern_frontline_Guinea-Bissau_-_Medical_consultation_-_1973-1.jpg" alt="A student uses a microscope during a PAIGC medical consultation in a college in Campada, 1973. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)" width="950" height="633" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/10052022-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_13_20_-_Campada_college_on_the_northern_frontline_Guinea-Bissau_-_Medical_consultation_-_1973-1.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/10052022-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_13_20_-_Campada_college_on_the_northern_frontline_Guinea-Bissau_-_Medical_consultation_-_1973-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/10052022-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_13_20_-_Campada_college_on_the_northern_frontline_Guinea-Bissau_-_Medical_consultation_-_1973-1-768x512.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-61638" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">A student uses a microscope during a PAIGC medical consultation in a college in Campada, 1973.</span><br><span style="color: #069e49;">Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)</span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>PAIGC Schools in the Liberated Areas</strong></span></h2>
<p>Under the struggle’s watchwords ‘all those who know should teach those who don’t know’, the PAIGC developed two simultaneous educational projects, one for adults and another for youth. The underlying goals of developing education systems in the liberated areas were, in Cabral’s words, ‘to destroy, through our resistance, everything that makes our people like dogs – men or women – to let us advance, grow, and rise up, like flowers on our land, all that can make our people valued human beings’.<a href="#_edn14" name="_ednref14"><sup>14</sup></a></p>
<p>Between 1963 and 1972, the PAIGC developed educational facilities for three groups: youth, adults, and military personnel. Educational initiatives for adults and military personnel had been carried out since the mobilisation work of the early years but were strengthened and institutionalised during this period through the creation of schooling and education infrastructure. <em>Escolas de Tabanca</em> (‘village schools’) and <em>internatos</em> (‘boarding schools’) were built in liberated areas ­– with the exception of two boarding schools that were located in neighbouring countries (<em>Escola Piloto</em> in the Republic of Guinea and <em>Escola Teranga</em> in the Republic of Senegal).</p>
<p>The PAIGC’s schools abroad were coordinated by <em>Instituto Amizade </em>(‘Friendship Institute’), created by the party in 1965, with permanent representative offices in Conakry and Dakar. The institute was non-political with ‘humanitarian purposes’, as its statutes describe, and worked in close collaboration with the education department of Guinea-Bissau’s liberated areas. It therefore functioned as a ‘sort of outline of a Ministry of Education’ within the party structure.<a href="#_edn15" name="_ednref15"><sup>15</sup></a> The institute coordinated all aspects arising out of party directives, from running schools to developing curricula and materials to managing and distributing scholarships abroad. During the liberation struggle, the PAIGC was offered scholarships from countries such as Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, Cuba, Hungary, Yugoslavia, the German Democratic Republic, Romania, the United States, and the Soviet Union. The institute was also responsible for organising and coordinating adult seminars, training cadres, educating social service workers such as schoolteachers, and tracking the rapid growth of school life during the liberation struggle.<a href="#_edn16" name="_ednref16"><sup>16</sup></a></p>
<p>The core educational structures of the PAIGC were developed through broader mobilisation campaigns and educational processes for children and youth coordinated by the Friendship Institute. There was also a group of facilities for adults: <em>Lar Sami </em>in Ziguinchor and <em>Lar de Dakar</em> in the Republic of Senegal as well as <em>Lar do Bonfim </em>(also known as <em>Lar de Conakry</em>) in the Republic of Guinea.<a href="#_edn17" name="_ednref17"><sup>17</sup></a> These were multifunctional centres that served as party representative offices for administrative and political functions, small hospitals and recovery centres for those injured as a result of the armed struggle, and educational spaces that provided literacy programmes and political education courses for those who were recovering from injuries. In 1966, the party created two other centres for the adult population and the military: the <em>Centro de Reciclagem e Aperfeiçoamento de Professores </em>(‘Centre for Improving and Retraining Teachers’) and the <em>Centro de Instrução Política e Militar de Madina do Boé </em>(‘Political and Military Instruction Centre of Madina do Boé’). In 1964–65, the PAIGC education system had 50 schools with 4,000 students total in the liberated areas; this increased to 127 schools with 13,361 students and 191 teachers by 1965–66 and to 159 schools with 14,386 students and 220 teachers by 1966–67.<a href="#_edn18" name="_ednref18"><sup>18</sup></a> In a 1973 report about the development of the PAIGC education system between 1963–73, the total numbers of trained party cadres and students in the liberated zones were recorded as follows:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">Today, the party has 164 primary schools in their liberated areas, where instruction is carried out by 258 teachers, serving a total of 14,531 students, of whom about a third are girls. … Today, in less than ten years, the PAIGC formed 36 university cadres and we have 46 cadres of higher technical training; 241 cadres of professional and specialised education; 174 trade union and policy cadres; and 410 healthcare cadres. In addition to those already formed, we have at this moment 422 students receiving middle and higher training abroad who will be joined by about 100 students this year.<a href="#_edn19" name="_ednref19"><sup>19</sup></a></p>
<p>In order to gain a fuller appreciation of the PAIGC’s education initiatives and achievements during the liberation struggle, it is necessary to study the approach that guided their political education and consciousness work, which reached beyond conventional childhood education and literacy programmes.</p>
<p> </p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_61648" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61648" class="wp-image-61648 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/17022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_9_14_-_School_in_the_liberated_areas_in_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974.jpg" alt="A makeshift PAIGC school in the liberated areas built with leaves and branches, hidden under trees to avoid being spotted by aircrafts, 1974. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)" width="950" height="627" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/17022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_9_14_-_School_in_the_liberated_areas_in_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/17022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_9_14_-_School_in_the_liberated_areas_in_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974-300x198.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/17022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_9_14_-_School_in_the_liberated_areas_in_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974-768x507.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-61648" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">A makeshift PAIGC school in the liberated areas built with leaves and branches, hidden under trees to avoid being spotted by aircrafts, 1974. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974) </span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>A Militant Approach to Education</strong></span></h2>
<p>Many African countries declared their independence in the second half of the twentieth century, led by their liberation movements and in interaction with anti-colonial and anti-imperialist struggles around the world. The PAIGC, along with the Mozambique Liberation Front (FRELIMO), the People’s Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA), and others, was deeply influenced by communist and socialist ideologies. The adoption of the term <em>militante</em> or ‘militant’ to identify particular members of the party, for example, was drawn from the revolutionary frameworks of the PAIGC’s international contemporaries.</p>
<p>Submerged within the ideological, political, social, and armed movement, militants were characterised by their disciplined adherence to the liberation struggle and active engagement within the fight to achieve total independence from the Portuguese colonial government. In 1974, Samora Machel – a military commander, leader of FRELIMO, and socialist in the tradition of Marxism-Leninism – provided the following definition of militants and militancy:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">The militant is he who lives the worries of the organisation and who, through the creative application of our line of thought in the detail of everyday life, becomes a model servant of the people for everyone, the builder of the new society. The task entrusted to him is carried out with the sense that its objective is to serve the people, and in receiving his mission from the people, he consecrates everything to them, including his own life.<a href="#_edn20" name="_ednref20"><sup>20</sup></a></p>
<p>In the PAIGC’s liberation struggle, ‘militant’ was used as an umbrella term for all those who consciously participated in the struggle, whether they were combatants, commanders, political commissars, ‘responsible workers’,<a href="#_edn21" name="_ednref21"><sup>21</sup></a> teachers, nurses, doctors, or civilians. The party considered the militant to be the key participant in the vanguard of the struggle, with the following considerations in mind:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">a good militant (like a good citizen) is the one who does his duty properly. He is the one who, in addition to doing his duty, succeeds in improving himself each day so as to be able to do more and better. … [A]ll those in our land who are ready to put an end to Portuguese colonialism and ready to follow the party’s watchwords and to respect and carry out the orders of our party leadership – they are of the party. But tomorrow the party will mean only those who have exemplary moral conduct, as men and women worthy of our land. It will mean those who work and have work, for there can be no place for idlers in our party. It will mean those who dedicate themselves body and soul to the programme of our party in our land, ready to fight any enemy.<a href="#_edn22" name="_ednref22"><sup>22</sup></a></p>
<p>During a seminar for PAIGC members held between 19–24 November 1969, Cabral explained how, in the ‘service of the liberty and the progress’ of the Guinean people, the militant should defend at all costs the advances being made in the liberation struggle.<a href="#_edn23" name="_ednref23"><sup>23</sup></a> The militant should ‘live among the people, before the people, behind the people … [and] must work for the party in the certainty that they are working for the people in our land’.<a href="#_edn24" name="_ednref24"><sup>24</sup></a></p>
<p>Becoming a PAIGC militant was considered a conscious act. As such, ‘some specific evidence that one satisfies certain requirements’ was to be given to the party leadership that exhibited knowledge about its programme and principles. The militant should also have been active in organisational work that sought to achieve the party’s objectives in practice.<a href="#_edn25" name="_ednref25"><sup>25</sup></a></p>
<p>To achieve these goals, this militant vanguard, or what the PAIGC called the <em>militante armado</em> (‘armed militant’), also needed to be actively leading or engaged in political education about the struggle amongst adult civilians, party members, youth, and children. The militant vanguard needed to be the driving force behind politically educating those strategic groups that could be forged into political instruments for the liberation struggle and for national reconstruction after independence. The creation of such a vanguard, as Cabral outlined during the November 1969 sessions, should be ‘constantly more honed, more sharpened, more perfected, and our people must constantly embellish it’.<a href="#_edn26" name="_ednref26"><sup>26</sup></a></p>
<p>It was in this context that the PAIGC developed their concept of <em>educação militante</em> (‘militant education’, also referred to as political education). This term was not used often in PAIGC archival documents until in 1978, when was the term adopted to characterise the education system developed during the struggle.<a href="#_edn27" name="_ednref27"><sup>27</sup></a> The PAIGC’s conception and practical application of militant education were deeply influenced by the specific historic moment in which it emerged and shaped by a number of factors: African liberation struggles and their anti-colonial positions; pan-African movements and the African unity principle; the Cold War and socialist ideological blocs; the Non-Aligned Movement and international solidarity; the period of internal armed conflict in the Guinean territory; and the international human rights struggle of the liberation movement in the realm of the United Nations.</p>
<p>Militant education was a committed, engaged, and conscious anti-colonial educational process focused on an expansive concept of liberation ‘rooted and supported by the realities and necessities of the community’ and principles of decolonisation. Its ‘pedagogical role combined three aspects: political learning, technical training, and the shaping of individual and collective behaviours’.<a href="#_edn28" name="_ednref28"><sup>28</sup></a> Through this education, students and citizens would be guided to develop themselves fully and encouraged to give conscious contributions to the sustainable development of the newly independent country. Militant or political education was applied to the training and formation of three groups: the militant teacher, the militant combatant, and the militant student.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><em>The Militant Teacher</em></span></h3>
<p>Militant teachers abandoned their daily lives to join the struggle; they came from the working class (artisans, service and urban industry workers, etc.), the peasantry (farmers and rural land-dwellers), and a few from the petty bourgeoisie (former primary school teachers, former government employees, and students). Their ages varied from 15 to 25 years old, and students recruited from Portuguese colonial schools to join the struggle were also trained to become PAIGC militant teachers.</p>
<p>For a militant teacher, one’s profession and work entailed more than preparing classes, teaching the set curricula, and grading students’ academic performance: militant teaching sought to transform behaviours and habits, overcome past experiences, rethink and produce new knowledge, and adapt to the changing world and the demands of the liberation struggle. In this way, becoming a militant teacher was to undergo two simultaneous processes: to decolonise the existing educational materials and to produce new school curricula and materials as part of the PAIGC’s broader educational work. In this way, the militant teacher was both a pedagogical resource and a mirror of the liberation struggle’s ideals. Until the publication of the first school manual in 1966, PAIGC teachers had to operate using colonial manuals and material. For example, teachers had a double task when using the Portuguese spelling manual: apart from fundamentals such as teaching the alphabet, it was also their work to critically interpret the message that the Portuguese books transmitted and reformulate it in a way that was more relevant to the students’ universe.<a href="#_edn29" name="_ednref29"><sup>29</sup></a></p>
<p>However, for this to happen, the teachers themselves had to go through their own process of decolonisation to deconstruct and dismantle the colonial knowledge that was imposed on them by the Portuguese government. Although the party developed training courses for teachers which addressed themes such as pedagogy and the acquisition of pedagogical skills, the process of becoming a militant teacher was largely characterised by the teachers’ re-investment in and re-evaluation of their own education and knowledge. This often took place through early apprenticeships in the classroom together with their students.</p>
<p>Teachers in these schools found themselves in a position in which their knowledge, skills, and attitudes could work to create learning environments that encouraged critical thinking amongst students. The process of questioning, interrogating, and sparking curiosity not only built confidence in the students; it also transformed the teachers into agents of change. Although the militant teacher and militant combatant were engaged on different fronts in the struggle for independence and liberation, both were tasked not only with carrying out daily technical, logistical, and operational functions (such as contributing to running schools and participating in running military operations), but also with consciously training and politically educating the future generation that would lead the country to liberation and post-independence reconstruction. In this process, it was their responsibility to develop the pedagogical approaches and materials – as well as the emotional conditions – that would cultivate the principles and goals designed by the party.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><em>The Militant Combatant</em></span></h3>
<p>Inspired by the Cuban military training model, the Political and Military Instruction Centre of Madina do Boé was created in 1966 by PAIGC Commander Pedro Verona Pires, who had received military training in Cuba. Following the PAIGC’s directives, it was important for the party’s military to be conscious of the liberation struggle’s political strategies: the revolutionary armed forces could only wage an effective military campaign if they knew why the struggle was necessary and what the intended outcomes were. Political lessons about colonialism and the principles and goals of the liberation struggle were an integral part of their training.</p>
<p>Due to the high illiteracy rate in Guinea-Bissau, the instruction centre also promoted literacy classes for militant combatants. Teaching reading and writing skills was a crucial aspect in the military not only because it was necessary for engaging and comprehending party materials, but also because it was required for developing military logistics, preparing attacks, communicating between fronts and the party headquarters, and understanding military coordinates and technology.</p>
<p>As a continuation of this political and ideological mobilisation work and the education of civilians, the PAIGC created the <em>Brigadas de Trabalho Político</em> (‘Political Work Brigades’) in 1968, which were re-organised under the name <em>Brigadas de Acção Política</em> (‘Political Action Brigades’) in 1970. According to the Political Action Brigades’ 1971 statutes, their core functions were:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">to strengthen the party’s political work… [and] to strengthen and develop the political consciousness of militants, combatants, and populations, [as well as] the explanation and popularisation of the party’s watchwords and other directives in all fields of our activity. … [The brigade] must have materials for the realisation of its function (party documents, newsletters, press releases, photographs, and other audiovisual media) that are provided by the party leadership. The brigade, like any other organism of the party’s political leadership, must live in the heart of the people.<a href="#_edn30" name="_ednref30"><sup>30</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><em>The Militant Student</em></span></h3>
<p><em> </em>It was under the slogan ‘Education, work, struggle’ and the salutation ‘long live the PAIGC, strength, light, and guide of our people in Guiné and Cape Verde!’ that the party started to train what it would consider to be ‘the best sons and daughters’ of the nation, namely militant students and students of the youth organisation <em>Pioneiros do Partido</em> (‘Party Pioneers’).<a href="#_edn31" name="_ednref31"><sup>31</sup></a> In 1966, alongside the inauguration of the boarding school <em>Escola Piloto </em>in Conakry, the PAIGC created the Party Pioneers for students between the ages of 10 and 15 years old who had concluded their first year of primary education. As an ‘organisation of [the] vanguard’, it aimed to create spaces and processes that would produce militant students. According to its statutes, the Party Pioneers aimed to contribute to a quality education for children based on the principles of the party and to reinforce love for the Guinean and Cape Verdean people, dedication to the struggle, respect for the family and schools, and ‘fondness for justice, work, progress, and liberty’. Its goals and activities sought to make all of its members ‘worthy militants’ of the party and ‘conscious citizens’ capable of taking on the great responsibilities of national reconstruction in the future as well as the ‘uncompromising defence of the conquest of the revolution’. <a href="#_edn32" name="_ednref32"><sup>32</sup></a></p>
<p>In addition to the work involved in being a good student, other tasks of the militant student included:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">to discuss everything that concerns the struggle, school, and land. They should meet with parents, … leaders, officials, militants, fighters, foreign friends, and all those who are interested in the [Party] Pioneers’ work. They should organise sports competitions, drawing, games competitions, singing, handwork, etc., both with school students and with other pioneers.<a href="#_edn33" name="_ednref33"><sup>33</sup></a></p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_61658" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61658" class="wp-image-61658 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_D_15_-_Hermangono_Guinea-Bissau_-_Military_learning_to_read_and_write_-_1974.jpg" alt="PAIGC militant combatants use their resting time to learn to read and write, putting into practice one of the Party Watchwords to ‘demand from responsible workers of the Party that they devote themselves seriously to study … [and] constantly improve their knowledge, their culture, their political training … [and] constantly learn’, 1974. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)" width="950" height="635" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_D_15_-_Hermangono_Guinea-Bissau_-_Military_learning_to_read_and_write_-_1974.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_D_15_-_Hermangono_Guinea-Bissau_-_Military_learning_to_read_and_write_-_1974-300x201.jpg 300w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/16022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_D_15_-_Hermangono_Guinea-Bissau_-_Military_learning_to_read_and_write_-_1974-768x513.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-61658" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">PAIGC militant combatants use their resting time to learn to read and write, putting into practice one of the Party Watchwords to ‘demand from responsible workers of the Party that they devote themselves seriously to study … [and] constantly improve their knowledge, their culture, their political training … [and] constantly learn’, 1974. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974) </span></small></p></div>
<p><strong> </strong></p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>Transforming Pedagogical Materials and Curricula</strong></span></h2>
<p>Political education was obligatory in every front of the struggle and was one of the PAIGC’s highest priorities. As Cabral explained in a seminar to party members in November 1969:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 40px;">It is necessary to struggle with political consciousness in one’s head. It is necessary that we be aware that it is the consciousness of a man that guides the gun, and not the gun that guides his consciousness. The gun counts because the man is behind it, grasping it. And it is worth more the more the consciousness of the man is worth [and] the more the man’s consciousness serves a well-defined, clear, and just cause.<a href="#_edn34" name="_ednref34"><sup>34</sup></a></p>
<p>The PAIGC’s militant or political education was anti-colonial and African-centred in its objectives, aiming to dismantle the biased, hierarchical, and oppressive education system and practices inherited from Portuguese colonial education. It brought new knowledge and experiences of social life to school manuals and curricula, placing an emphasis on learning about the concrete realities of the African people, the historical processes that they were challenging at the time – that is, colonialism – and the violent and structural relations that emerged from its practices.</p>
<p>Equally as important was the special emphasis placed on learning and teaching strategies of resistance against colonial practices. The experiences of African people, their past, their present, and their future had to be at the heart of this new education. The school curricula needed to grapple with and be shaped by the forms of knowledge that existed in local communities. With these new approaches to knowledge, the PAIGC intended to cultivate in the learners a personal sense of obligation to themselves, their peers, and their communities. As early as 1949, Cabral advocated for knowledge production to focus on the existing African realities through his research experiences of the agricultural conditions in Portugal and its African territories.<a href="#_edn35" name="_ednref35"><sup>35</sup></a> He argued that one of the best ways to defend the land lay in learning and understanding how to use the soil sustainably and consciously improve the benefits we reap from it.<a href="#_edn36" name="_ednref36"><sup>36</sup></a> To know and understand the land was a form of defending the people and their right to better their living conditions.</p>
<p>The curricula developed for the education of the militant student was comprised of several subjects, from mathematics to Portuguese language learning, gymnastics, art, geography, science, theatre, and music. Between 1966 and 1974, the PAIGC developed four school manuals for the first to the fourth grade and four manuals for the fifth and sixth grade. These included one manual on general African history, one on the history of Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde, another on political lessons, and, finally, a translation of <em>A Short History of Pre-Capitalist Society</em> (the first volume of a two-volume study written by D. Mitropolsky, Y. Zubritsky, V. Kerov, and others in 1965 at the Patrice Lumumba Friendship University in Moscow, USSR). PAIGC school manuals were created collectively by teachers and other militants and printed in Uppsala, Sweden by the printing house Wretmans Boktryckeri. Cabral’s transcribed speeches and writings were also used as teaching materials.</p>
<p>In addition, the party developed a range of media, including newspapers such as <em>Jornal Libertação</em> (‘Liberation Journal’) and the international French-language <em>PAIGC Actualités</em> (‘PAIGC News’) and a youth magazine, <em>Blufo </em>–<u>­</u> <em>Órgão dos Pioneiros do PAIGC </em>(‘<em>Blufo</em>: Organ of the PAIGC Pioneers’),<a href="#_edn37" name="_ednref37"><sup>37</sup></a> which was also widely read by adults. In addition, the party founded the <em>Rádio Libertação </em>(‘Liberation Radio’), which broadcasted daily news about the struggle and contributed to the PAIGC’s adult education programme.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong> </strong></span></h3>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><em>Curricula for Children and Youth</em></span></h3>
<p>Strongly inspired by the party’s political and ideological orientation and influenced by global circumstances at the time, the PAIGC curriculum for children and youth was divided into two phases: from first to second grade and from third to fifth grade, each with a different scope. Political education for the first and second grade was dedicated to the history of the liberation struggle. Here, themes such as the creation of the PAIGC and its structure and organisations, heroes and heroines, and goals and programme were central. Teaching about the liberation struggle would in turn require discussing colonialism, oppression, exploitation in general, and Portuguese colonialism in particular.</p>
<p>Political education for the third to fifth grade was more comprehensive than the curricula for the first and second grade and centred on the liberation struggle’s dedication to internationalism. The PAIGC taught about similar struggles on the African continent, such as the Mozambique Liberation Front (FRELIMO); the Movement for the Liberation of São Tomé and Príncipe (MLSTP); the People’s Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA); and the Conference of Nationalist Organisations of the Portuguese Colonies (CONCP), an organisation for cooperation between the national liberation movements of the African territories colonised by the Portuguese. Such national struggles were explored in relation to other international issues, including:</p>
<ul>
<li>Diplomatic struggles such as fighting for international recognition of the colonial occupation of their territories by the Portuguese.</li>
<li>Gender struggles aiming to advance the rights of women and children in a context in which feudal and colonial patriarchal domination were interlaced (which PAIGC leaders like Carmen Pereira referred to as ‘two colonialisms’).</li>
<li>Historical struggles elsewhere such as the socialist revolution in Russia in October 1917 and the labour movement in Africa.</li>
<li>Class struggle highlighting the connection between the PAIGC, trade unions such as the National Union of Guinean Workers, and the international working class.</li>
<li>Racism, freedom, progress, national reconstruction, and African history (including the slave trade and the great empires that predated colonisation).</li>
</ul>
<p>Writing school texts was central for transmitting the ideas defined in the school curriculum and for assisting teachers in transmitting dense information to school students in an accessible and interesting way. One way of doing this was to transform the liberation struggle of daily life, politics, and ideology into short stories and fables that explored human and militant civic behaviours and complemented the political or militant components of the curricula.</p>
<p>For the first and second grades, the teachers who were entrusted to create school manuals developed a broad range of lesson plans. In the curricula for the first to the fourth grade, political and ideological themes were adapted to school texts, intertwining concrete learning outcomes with texts that directly expressed the objectives of the liberation struggle, including the following titles:</p>
<ul>
<li><em>The Major Programme of Our Party</em>, which introduced the party principles to first grade students.</li>
<li><em>The Great Patriot</em>, which addressed the theme of the militant combatant to second grade students.</li>
<li><em>The Past of Our People</em> and <em>Centuries of Pain and Hope</em>, concerning the history of Portuguese colonialism for third grade students.</li>
<li><em>The Poem of a Militant</em> and <em>The Objectives of Our Struggle</em>, which shared the core goals of liberation for fourth grade students.</li>
</ul>
<p>Unlike past materials that represented far-flung scenes of colonial Portugal, these new materials and learning processes were embedded with the geography, social life, and organisation of the territories where the struggle for liberation was taking place. Now one could find texts with titles such as<em> Life in the Tabanca</em> (‘village’) and <em>The Professions</em>, the latter of which revealed the local social structure and organisation. There was also a dedicated focus on scientific explanations of the natural world. Lessons addressed the marvels of nature such as oceans and the richness of botanical life. The goal was to demystify natural phenomena while taking care not to put into question the students’ religious beliefs. Another important theme explored was how to use natural resources for the country’s development in a sustainable manner.</p>
<p>However, PAIGC school programmes and texts did not always achieve the goals for education, particularly in school manuals from first to third grade. The great emphasis on celebrating the contemporary struggle, battles, and heroes of the PAIGC left topics on African culture and history almost unexplored in the school manuals.</p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"></h3>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><em>Curricula for Adult Political Education</em></span></h3>
<p>Adult political education at the Political and Military Instruction Centre of Madina do Boé followed the same topics as youth education but with a deeper analysis. The centre’s instruction curriculum, <em>Programa para a formação do soldado FARP </em>(‘Training Programme for the FARP Soldier’), consisted of 180 hours of classes during a thirty-day period, of which 60 hours were dedicated to ‘political preparation’.</p>
<p>The political education curriculum for adults was divided into five sections. The first section was dedicated to history and geography, addressing themes such as ‘the exploitation of our people by the Portuguese colonial government’, as well as its consequences; ‘the distinction between Portuguese colonialism and the Portuguese people’; and ‘oppression’.<a href="#_edn38" name="_ednref38"><sup>38</sup></a> It was an important part of the PAIGC’s politics to clarify that they were fighting an oppressive colonial structure – not its people. This made two issues very clear: first, that fighting people did not necessarily result in the elimination of the colonial structure and, second, that the Portuguese people were also victims of the oppression perpetrated by an authoritarian regime.</p>
<p>The second section of the curriculum was dedicated to the PAIGC’s history and ideology, which more or less followed the same lines that were implemented in the curriculum for school children. However, greater focus and detail were given to the PAIGC’s history, especially concerning its early mobilisations and the beginning of the armed struggle and its development, difficulties, and reality at the time. Discussions also focused on the party programme and principles as well as some of the struggle’s weaknesses. Here, socialist and Leninist concepts such as criticism, self-criticism, democratic centralism, and revolutionary democracy were expounded upon in greater detail, shedding light on the political influences that the party received from other ideologies and how it intended to adapt them to the Guinean context.</p>
<p>The third section of the curriculum was dedicated to international issues. The purpose here was to contextualise the PAIGC’s liberation struggle in the broader context of struggles that were happening around the world and to establish the connections between them. This aimed to highlight international themes such as the contemporary liberation struggle and decolonisation in Africa, Asia, and Latin America; the Cold War; imperialism; and anti-colonial organisations around the world. Discussions of topics such as imperialism, socialism, the ‘Third World’, and the liberation struggle against imperialism were central.</p>
<p>The fourth section focused on the sociological and ethnographic character of Guinea-Bissau in the present and future. Here, they covered topics such as religion, ethnicity, and racism, as well as the economy, organisational work, development, and planning methods. Religion needed to be confronted given its dominant role in social life and given that there was a concern that the strong influence of religious leaders could jeopardise the development of the struggle.</p>
<p>The last section of the programme was focused on the training and civic behaviour of the militant armed forces. This included gender equality and the expectation that combatants behave with discipline and comradery both amongst each other and with civilians.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_61668" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61668" class="wp-image-61668 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/10052022-lossy-page1-3189px-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_3_21_-_School_in_Guinea-Bissau_in_the_liberated_areas_-_1974.tif.jpg" alt='El horario diario de una escuela primaria en régimen de semi-internado de la región de Sárà que pretende "mejorar los servicios" del centro, que debe "cumplirse estrictamente... [pero] modificarse si las circunstancias lo requieren", 1974. Créditos: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)' width="630" height="950" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/10052022-lossy-page1-3189px-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_3_21_-_School_in_Guinea-Bissau_in_the_liberated_areas_-_1974.tif.jpg 630w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/10052022-lossy-page1-3189px-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_3_21_-_School_in_Guinea-Bissau_in_the_liberated_areas_-_1974.tif-199x300.jpg 199w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 630px) 100vw, 630px"><p id="caption-attachment-61668" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">The daily schedule at a semi-boarding primary school in the Sárà region that seeks ‘to improve the services’ of the school, which is to be ‘strictly adhered to … [but] changed if required by the circumstances’, 1974.</span><br><span style="color: #069e49;">Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)</span></small></p></div>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"></h2>
<p> </p>
<h2 style="margin:3em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>Education, Revolution, and Resistance</strong></span></h2>
<p>The PAIGC’s liberation struggle and political education were not just ideals. They were a continuous process of reflection, organisation, and action that sought to develop a militant, anti-colonial, and decolonial consciousness in the minds and bodies of the people of Guinea-Bissau and Cape Verde. Despite the fact that this iteration of the PAIGC’s political education system existed only for a brief period (1963–74) and within a small territory, it remains an important part of the larger liberation struggle. The study of the PAIGC’s educational practices during its liberation struggle forces us to leave the realm of the theoretical and engage with the concrete historical processes that unfolded. Delving into the material realm of how the struggle’s ideals were put into practice in daily life and how they were transmitted to future generations pays homage to the revolutionary principles that guided the liberation struggle.</p>
<p>Early in the struggle, the party and its militants understood the crucial role and power of education to fulfil the goals of the liberation struggle. This led them to put into practice revolutionary ideals and initiatives such as:</p>
<ul>
<li>Creating schools across the liberated zones for youth, adults, and combatants. In addition to teaching, reading, and writing, the schools emphasised the development of education curricula based on the realities of the people and their struggle.</li>
<li>Carrying out mobilisation campaigns to educate and raise the political consciousness of the population.</li>
<li>Establishing political education as central in the process of national liberation and basing education in anti-colonial and decolonial practices.</li>
<li>Developing school curricula and materials that reflected the reality of Africa in relation to other international struggles with the aim of pursuing the goals of total liberation.</li>
<li>Valuing the importance of teachers’ work, their role in the vanguard of the struggle, and their responsibility to the country’s advancement.</li>
<li>Establishing international networks for educational support. This included countries such as Cuba, Hungary, Yugoslavia, the USSR, Romania, the German Democratic Republic, Czechoslovakia, and Bulgaria, where students could continue their technical and higher education studies as well as cadre training.</li>
<li>Producing and publishing media via their own platforms and channels for communication (newspapers, magazines, and radio), which functioned as additional educational material throughout the liberation struggle.</li>
</ul>
<p>Together, political education and the revolutionary process became crucial for producing political consciousness and facilitating the struggle that led to national liberation. Political education was the most important way to keep the party’s ideology alive and the only way to solidify the roots of independence required to imagine and create the future. Ideology, education, and conscious politicisation worked together in the PAIGC’s political education process in a way that allows us to see the liberation struggle as both a political process and an educational praxis.</p>
<p>The PAIGC’s experience of building schools in the forest, their pioneering form of political education, their development of emancipatory curricula specific to their context, and their establishment of international networks supporting this education process are both our legacy and inspiration. They are processes from which we must learn and advance as we envision and enact our struggles today.</p>
<p> </p>
<div id="attachment_61678" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-61678" class="wp-image-61678 size-full img-responsive" src="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/18022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_24_41_-_Primary_school_in_the_liberated_areas_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974.jpg" alt="Students inside of a PAIGC classroom in a primary school in the liberated areas, 1974. Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)" width="950" height="1316" srcset="https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/18022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_24_41_-_Primary_school_in_the_liberated_areas_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974.jpg 950w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/18022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_24_41_-_Primary_school_in_the_liberated_areas_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974-217x300.jpg 217w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/18022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_24_41_-_Primary_school_in_the_liberated_areas_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974-739x1024.jpg 739w, https://dev.thetricontinental.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/18022016-ASC_Leiden_-_Coutinho_Collection_-_24_41_-_Primary_school_in_the_liberated_areas_Guinea-Bissau_-_1974-768x1064.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 950px) 100vw, 950px"><p id="caption-attachment-61678" class="wp-caption-text" style="text-align:center;"><small><span style="color: #069e49;">Students inside of a PAIGC classroom in a primary school in the liberated areas, 1974.</span><br><span style="color: #069e49;">Source: Roel Coutinho, Guinea-Bissau and Senegal Photographs (1973–1974)</span></small></p></div>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>Acknowledgments:</strong></span></h3>
<p>We would like to thank Sónia Vaz Borges for producing this study in collaboration with Tricontinental: Institute for Social Research.</p>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>Endnotes</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p><a href="#_ednref1" name="_edn1"><sup>1</sup></a> The writings of Amílcar Cabral, like many original texts from this period, have a historic and political value that should be interpreted contextually. For this reason, we have made the editorial decision not to modify the use of words such as ‘man’ and ‘mankind’ in the translations cited in this text and, in so doing, conserve its original content. However, we believe that it is necessary to clarify that, in re-reading and re-publishing these passages, we are faced with the intellectual exercise of entering into dialogue with and updating these ideas. This is especially the case when discussing the role of men and women in the revolutionary process. To read this text in today’s context – when we are faced with the historic challenge of building diverse feminist organisations – brings with it new political, social, and cultural coordinates that call on our militant creativity to rethink this notion, its significance, and its political and intellectual legacy.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref2" name="_edn2"><sup>2</sup></a> Cabral, ‘A propósito de Educação,’ 24–25, our translation.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref3" name="_edn3"><sup>3</sup></a> Pinto de Andrade, <em>A geração de Cabral</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref4" name="_edn4"><sup>4</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Revolution in Guinea</em>, 136–140.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref5" name="_edn5"><sup>5</sup></a> During Portuguese colonisation, the Indigenous Statutes, dated from 1926 and applied in the territories of Angola, Mozambique, and Guinea Bissau, regulated social hierarchies. There was the category of Indigenous people and the category of the <em>assimilado</em>. To be an <em>assimilado</em>, one had to go through a process in order to be considered a ‘civilised person’ and therefore considered to be a Portuguese citizen that followed Portuguese culture. It is important to mention that the <em>assimilado</em> was not a lifelong status and, as such, could be revoked at any time.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref6" name="_edn6"><sup>6</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Our People are Our Mountains</em>, 5.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref7" name="_edn7"><sup>7</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Our People are Our Mountains</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref8" name="_edn8"><sup>8</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 242–244.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref9" name="_edn9"><sup>9</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 244.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref10" name="_edn10"><sup>10</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Revolution in Guinea</em>, 128.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref11" name="_edn11"><sup>11</sup></a> In the PAIGC archives, the terms ‘political education’ and ‘militant education’ are used interchangeably, although ‘militant education’ is the term more common in the curriculum design. In 1978, education ministers and teachers from Angola, Cape Verde, Guinea Bissau, Mozambique, and São Tomé and Príncipe met in Bissau to discuss the education programme developed during the liberation struggle, as well as the future of education. From this meeting, the PAIGC developed a report where ‘militant education’ was first defined explicitly and articulated in a conceptual form.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref12" name="_edn12"><sup>12</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 242–244.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref13" name="_edn13"><sup>13</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 241.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref14" name="_edn14"><sup>14</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Análise de alguns tipos de Resistência</em>, 12.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref15" name="_edn15"><sup>15</sup></a> Ana Maria Cabral, Interview by Sónia Vaz Borges, 5 September 2013.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref16" name="_edn16"><sup>16</sup></a> PAIGC, <em>O Analfabetismo na nossa terra (suas causas e consequências)</em>, 5, our translation.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref17" name="_edn17"><sup>17</sup></a> <em>Lar</em> is the Portuguese word for ‘home’ but is also a term for an institution that provides services or assistance to a specific group of people.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref18" name="_edn18"><sup>18</sup></a> Rudebeck, <em>Guinea Bissau: A study of political mobilisation</em>, 206.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref19" name="_edn19"><sup>19</sup></a> PAIGC, <em>O Analfabetismo na nossa terra</em>, 4–5, our translation.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref20" name="_edn20"><sup>20</sup></a> Machel, <em>Fazer da escola uma base para o povo tomar o poder</em>, 18, our translation.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref21" name="_edn21"><sup>21</sup></a> The term <em>trabalhador responsável </em>(‘responsible worker’), in the words of Stephanie Urdang in <em>A Revolution within a Revolution: Women in Guinea-Bissau </em>(1975)<em>,</em> ‘is a term used for party members who are responsible in their work for a particular area of the struggle’, such as health and education. ‘Their work entails political education rather than direct nursing, or teaching, etc’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref22" name="_edn22"><sup>22</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 89, 244.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref23" name="_edn23"><sup>23</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 75.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref24" name="_edn24"><sup>24</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 77, 97.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref25" name="_edn25"><sup>25</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 103.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref26" name="_edn26"><sup>26</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 87.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref27" name="_edn27"><sup>27</sup></a> Before independence, the term <em>educação militante</em> appeared on an undated document related to the school curricula plan for students from the first to fifth grade, initially as a class title for the first and second grade. It was later substituted by the term <em>educação política</em> (‘political education’) when referring to students attending the third to fifth grade.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref28" name="_edn28"><sup>28</sup></a> PAIGC, Comissariado de Estado da Educação Nacional, <em>Educação, Tarefa de toda a sociedade</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref29" name="_edn29"><sup>29</sup></a> de Deus, <em>Cartilha Maternal ou Arte de Leitura</em>.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref30" name="_edn30"><sup>30</sup></a> PAIGC, <em>Para a reorganização e a melhoria do trabalho das Brigadas de Acção Política</em>, 5–6, our translation.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref31" name="_edn31"><sup>31</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Unity and Struggle</em>, 64, 298.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref32" name="_edn32"><sup>32</sup></a> Vaz Borges, ‘Annex 14. Statutes of the Party Pioneers’, 227–229.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref33" name="_edn33"><sup>33</sup></a> PAIGC, <em>O nosso livro 4</em> <em>ª classe</em>, 20.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref34" name="_edn34"><sup>34</sup></a> Cabral, <em>Resistance and Decolonization</em>, 79.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref35" name="_edn35"><sup>35</sup></a> Vaz Borges, ‘O trinómio terra, agricultura e camponeses na modelação revolucionária de Cabral’, 97–100.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref36" name="_edn36"><sup>36</sup></a> Cabral, ‘Em defesa da terra’, 15–17.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref37" name="_edn37"><sup>37</sup></a> <em>Blufo</em> is a creole-derived word with several meanings, one of which is ‘inexperienced young person’.</p>
<p><a href="#_ednref38" name="_edn38"><sup>38</sup></a> Vaz Borges, Sónia. ‘PAIGC, CIPM curriculum’, <em>Militant Education, Liberation Struggle and Consciousness: The PAIGC Education in Guinea Bissau, 1963–1978</em>, 137.</p>
</div>
<p> </p>
<h3 style="margin:2em 0;"><span style="color: #069e49;"><strong>Bibliography:</strong></span></h3>
<div class="footnotes">
<p>Cabral, Amílcar. <em>Análise de alguns tipos de Resistência.</em> Bolama: Imprensa Nacional, 1979.</p>
<p>Cabral, Amílcar. ‘A propósito da educação’. <em>Cabo Verde:</em> <em>Boletim de Propaganda e Informação</em>, June 1951.</p>
<p>Cabral, Amílcar. ‘Em defesa da terra’. <em>Cabo Verde: Boletim de Propaganda e Informação</em>, c. 1949.</p>
<p>Cabral, Amílcar. <em>Our People are Our Mountains: Amilcar Cabral on the Guinean Revolution</em>. London: Committee for Freedom in Mozambique, Angola &amp; Guiné, 1972.</p>
<p>Cabral, Amílcar. <em>Revolution in Guinea: Selected Texts</em>. New York: Monthly Review Press, 1969.</p>
<p>Cabral, Amílcar.<em> Resistance and Decolonization</em>. Translated by Dan Wood. New York: Rowman &amp; Littlefield International, 2016.</p>
<p>Cabral, Amílcar. <em>Unity and Struggle: Speeches and Writings</em>. New York: Monthly Review Press, 1979.</p>
<p>Cabral, Ana Maria. Interview by Sónia Vaz Borges. Personal interview. Praia Cabo Verde, 5 September 2013.</p>
<p>Césaire, Aimé<em>. Discourse on Colonialism</em>. New York: Monthly Review Press, 1972.</p>
<p>Chabal, Patrick<em>. Amílcar Cabral: Revolutionary Leadership and People’s War</em>. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1983.</p>
<p>Chung, Fay. <em>Re-living the Second Chimurenga Memories from the Liberation Struggle in Zimbabwe.</em> Stockholm: Nordic Africa Institute, 2006.</p>
<p>de Deus, João.<em> Cartilha Maternal ou Arte de Leitura</em>. Porto: Expresso Banco Comercial Português, 1996.</p>
<p>Davidson, Basil. <em>No Fist is Big Enough to Hide the Sky: The liberation of Guinea and Cape Verde: Aspects of an African Revolution</em>. London: Zed Books, 1981.</p>
<p>Depelchin, Jacques. <em>Silences in African History: Between the Syndromes of Discovery and Abolition</em>. Dar es Salaam: Mkuki Na Nyota Publishers, 2005.</p>
<p>Enwezor, Okwui. ‘The Short Century: Independence and Liberation Movements in Africa, 1945­–1994. An Introduction’. In <em>The Short Century: Independence and Liberation Movements in Africa 1945–1994</em>, edited by Okwui Enwezor, and Chinua Achebe, 10–16. Munich: Prestel Publishing, 2001.</p>
<p>Fanon, Frantz. <em>Os condenados da Terra</em>. Lisbon: Editora Ulisseia, 1961.</p>
<p>Giroux, Henry A. <em>Teachers as Intellectuals: Toward a Critical Pedagogy of Learning</em>. London: Bergin &amp; Garvey, 1988.</p>
<p>Machel, Samora. <em>Fazer da escola uma base para o povo tomar o poder</em>. Lisboa: Nova Aurora, 1974.</p>
<p>Machel, Samora. <em>Produzir é um acto de militância. </em>Maputo: Departamento do Trabalho Ideológico, 1979.</p>
<p>PAIGC. <em>CIPM curriculum: School for the education of combatants. Program to prepare the soldier of FARP. </em>n.d.</p>
<p>PAIGC. <em>Educação, Tarefa de toda a sociedade</em>. Bissau: Comissariado de Estado da Educação Nacional, 1978.</p>
<p>PAIGC. <em>Para a reorganização e a melhoria do trabalho das Brigadas de Acção Política</em>. Lisbon: Fundação Mário Soares, 1971.</p>
<p><em> </em>PAIGC. <em>O Analfabetismo na nossa terra (suas causas e consequências)</em>. Lisbon: Instituto Amizade/Fundação Mário Soares, 1973.</p>
<p>PAIGC. <em>O nosso livro 4</em> <em>ª classe</em>. Uppsala: Wretmans Boytryckeri AB, n.d.</p>
<p>Pinto de Andrade, Mario. <em>A geração de Cabral. </em>Instituto Amizade PAIGC, 1973.</p>
<p>Rudebeck, Lars. <em>Guinea Bissau: A Study of Political Mobilisation</em>. Uppsala: The Scandinavian Institute of African Studies, 1974.</p>
<p>Samoff, Joel. ‘Socialist education?’ <em>Comparative Education Review</em> 35, no. 1 (1991), 1–22.</p>
<p>Urdang, Stephanie. <em>A Revolution Within a Revolution: Women in Guinea-Bissau</em>. Massachusetts: New England Free Press, 1975.</p>
<p>Vaz Borges, Sónia. ‘O trinómio terra, agricultura e camponeses na modelação revolucionária de Cabral’, <em>Amílcar Cabral: estratégias políticas e culturais para independência da Guiné e Cabo Verde</em>. PhD diss., University of Lisbon, 2009.</p>
<p>Vaz Borges, Sónia. <em>Militant Education, Liberation Struggle and Consciousness: The PAIGC Education in Guinea Bissau, 1963–1978. </em>Berlin: Peter Lang, 2019.</p>
</div>
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